Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 207 - 1/28/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello and welcome to episode 2 O seven of the all Systems Go
- 0:25sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:36Happy Tuesday, the final week of January continues.
- 0:40Before you know it, it'll be February.
- 0:42We'll have the Super Bowl, we'll have conference tournaments in
- 0:44college basketball, we'll have March Madness.
- 0:47And then hopefully the weather gets a little bit better, the
- 0:50snow melts if you're like me in New England, and we will have
- 0:52the return of Major League Baseball pitchers and catchers
- 0:56spring training not that far off, just a couple weeks away.
- 0:59So that being said, guys, let's try to finish up the month of
- 1:02January strong. I have a four pack of sweats for
- 1:06you tonight, including 3 college basketball plays, a couple of
- 1:10short money line home favorites as well as a short Rd. favorite
- 1:14and some good rhythm edges here as well.
- 1:16So we're going to see if we can go two and one with our college
- 1:19basketball plays and then one NHL bet.
- 1:22Now this line dipped a little bit.
- 1:23It's not really a line move play for me, but it is a big system
- 1:26match play in terms of this this short rested Rd. favorite.
- 1:31So we'll see if we can get a play in hockey as well.
- 1:33So a four pack overall. Let's see if we can scratch and
- 1:35claw get at least two, hopefully three or more.
- 1:39Now looking back to her last night, I'm still sweating 2 and
- 1:431 + 0.38 units. Huge winner there with Lamar had
- 1:47a loser with Alabama State. But the biggest one of the night
- 1:50and one of the best sweats of the college basketball season
- 1:53for me and probably for you as well.
- 1:55Arizona Wildcats, OMGI tell you what guys, that is the microcosm
- 2:02and the perfect example of why we love sports betting and why
- 2:06we trust the betting market because if you remember Iowa
- 2:09State third ranked team in the country, great record.
- 2:12Arizona unranked yet that line move toward Arizona flipping dog
- 2:16to favor verse line move public all over the the cyclones line
- 2:20went to the Wildcats and I went on Twitter.
- 2:23I saw a lot of people saying what's going on like what's up
- 2:25with this Arizona game? Why are they favorite?
- 2:28It's like I get it. If you're new to betting, it's
- 2:29definitely confusing head scratching, but that's the play
- 2:32you make 10 times out of 10 and you trust the market.
- 2:35And I'm not going to lie, we had an incredible break there
- 2:38because Caleb Love, I remember him, he was incredible as AI.
- 2:42Think he's only a sophomore for North Carolina.
- 2:44I believe they went to the final four that year, but he's
- 2:47supposed to be their best player.
- 2:48And he was kind of terrible the entire game.
- 2:50He could not make a A3 pointer. I think at one point he was
- 2:53like, oh, of eight and then down three with like 2 seconds left,
- 2:57I'm like, oh, we lost this one. He nails a three quarter court
- 3:01shot. Unbelievable.
- 3:02Just an absolute bomb. You know, like when you're
- 3:05playing in the backyard or you're playing, I don't know, at
- 3:08at the YMCA, you just heave one from way beyond half court
- 3:12again, nailed it went to overtime.
- 3:14Then he got hot in overtime. Arizona found a way to win that
- 3:17game for us. Unbelievable 86 to 75 S Caleb
- 3:21Love Boy, were you frustrating to sweat for much of the game,
- 3:24But boy did you hit an absolutely massive, unbelievable
- 3:28miracle shot, which sometimes is what you need.
- 3:30Even the sharpest bets sometimes need a little bit of luck.
- 3:33So it was great to see Arizona come through for us last night.
- 3:36So 2 and 1 + 0.38 units, I will take it.
- 3:40And then of course, we'll get right back, reinvest that money
- 3:43into today and hopefully cash some tickets and keep the
- 3:46winning streak going. Now, before we dive into college
- 3:48hoops, I wanted to mention one thing real quick. 4:00 today, as
- 3:52always, we're going to have our rhythm live stream with the
- 3:55Tuesday college basketball live stream.
- 3:57So I'll be hosting that. You can just follow me on
- 4:00Twitter at Josh under score Insights.
- 4:02We'll go live right at 4:00 PM. I'll break down some games.
- 4:04We'll talk about kind of edges here based upon the rhythm
- 4:08models, based upon or kind of in comparison to the betting
- 4:11market. Answer any questions you may
- 4:13have about rhythm. Also talk a little bit of Super
- 4:16Bowl, again, looking at where the rhythm models are leaning
- 4:18for spread total and some early player props.
- 4:21So I hope to see you guys there. 4:00 the live stream Rhythm
- 4:25Tuesday sweats. I will see you guys there.
- 4:28Now I want to get right back to college basketball because I
- 4:30tell you what guys, when you're losing and things aren't going
- 4:32your way, man, it's rough. But when you hit a winner like
- 4:35that with Zona, you cannot wait to get right back at it and
- 4:38sweat your next game. So let's see if we can hopefully
- 4:40carry some momentum into tonight.
- 4:43So first game I want to talk about Toledo and Ohio.
- 4:46This is a 7:00 Eastern Time game tonight.
- 4:49Obviously this is a big match in Showdown and I got to play for
- 4:52you on this one. So set the stage, look at the
- 4:55way the betting market has reacted, look at some system
- 4:57matches and I'll give you the side that I'm playing and you're
- 5:00more than welcome to join. Going into this one, we have
- 5:03Toledo 11 and eight. They've been kind of
- 5:05inconsistent. Toledo's rotated wins and losses
- 5:08over their last four games, all they are coming off a win, just
- 5:11took down Bowling Green 84 to 71.
- 5:14They covered that game as a 2 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 5:17Meanwhile, Ohio, 11:00 and 8:00 on the year, just snapped the
- 5:20two game losing skid with a 61 to 59 win over Kent State.
- 5:24They won that game outright as a 1 1/2 point home dog.
- 5:27So what have we seen across the market here?
- 5:29Well, Ohio opened as a very short 2 1/2 point home favorite
- 5:33and we've seen all movement liability on the home chalk.
- 5:37Ohio Bobcats open -2 1/2. They've been bet up to -3 some
- 5:42shops are. Most of the betting market even
- 5:43got up to 3 1/2. So it's been pretty much all one
- 5:46sided movement in favor of Ohio. Now, I like the bet splits here
- 5:50on the Bobcats at DraftKings. They're getting 71% of spread
- 5:53bets, 88% of spread dollars. So again, this is not a
- 5:58contrarian play, but it is a line move play.
- 6:00And it's one of those pro and Joe bets where maybe the betting
- 6:03public just says, hey, 2 evenly matched teams, might as well go
- 6:07the home favorite. Whereas the wise guys kind of
- 6:09like the value of the number. Maybe they had this game closer
- 6:12to four to begin with, which is why they hit Ohio pretty hard at
- 6:15-2 1/2. And -3 Now Ken Palm does have
- 6:19Ohio winning by five points. He's got him winning 84 to 79.
- 6:24He also has Ohio ranked much higher, 172 in the country
- 6:27versus 2O2 for Toledo. But you guys know the drill.
- 6:31I'm a money line short favorites guy.
- 6:33I can't tell you how many times, again, you win the game, but you
- 6:36don't cover the number. And I like the angle here.
- 6:39And actually, so in a way, it's kind of intriguing.
- 6:41Like let's say again, ohio's -3 Ken Palm has him winning by 5.
- 6:45That might say to you, oh, I'll just lay the three because even
- 6:48if they win by 4I covered the number, to me, that's more of
- 6:52just ammunition that, hey, more likely that they win the game.
- 6:54A higher number makes me more confident in going money line.
- 6:57So it's not that just because the number is higher, you go
- 6:59spread versus money line. I don't know if this is making
- 7:02kind of the sense that I'm hoping that it is, but in a way
- 7:05that just makes me keep to the money line, but just be a little
- 7:07bit more confident. So Ken Palms got him winning by
- 7:105. He's got him ranked higher now.
- 7:12I got Ohio, I believe -165 on the money line, you might be
- 7:16able to shop around, find them as low as -160 So of course,
- 7:20have those multiple outs and get the best price.
- 7:23Now Ohio, some advantages here as well.
- 7:25Better defensive efficiency. They ranked 211 in the country
- 7:28versus 327 for Toledo. Toledo, one of the worst
- 7:32offensive teams in the country. Also, much better effective
- 7:35field goal percentage for Ohio, 53% versus 50% for Toledo.
- 7:40And again, home Rd. Ohio has been great at home.
- 7:43They're 8 and O on their homecourt this year.
- 7:45Let's hope we can make it 9 and O tonight.
- 7:47Then I got a system match for you.
- 7:48When 2 play, two teams in the Mac play each other.
- 7:51So Mac Conference game, the favorite this season is 30 and
- 7:5512 straight up 71%. So when 2 Mac teams play each
- 7:58other, the favorites basically winning 7 out of 10, nearly
- 8:01three out of four times. Little cherry on top here again,
- 8:04there's a money line play for me on Ohio.
- 8:06Ken Palms got them by 5, rhythm as Ohio -3.2.
- 8:11So that's maybe another reason why you want to go money line
- 8:13with Ohio. Even though Ken Palms got A5
- 8:15rhythms got it right on the number.
- 8:17So let's say Ohio wins by three. You lay a three, you push where
- 8:21as you go money line, you win. But everything's pretty much
- 8:23lined up here on Ohio. Guys.
- 8:25I'm a big Bobcats fan tonight. We got a line move, We got bet
- 8:28splits, we got good a good defensive and some offensive
- 8:32metrics. Home Rd. splits.
- 8:34I got Ohio, first play of the night.
- 8:35Shop around around -160 Bobcats on the money line.
- 8:40Next one for you, Dayton and Saint Bonaventure.
- 8:44Big match up here in the Atlantic 10.
- 8:46It's a very short number. Little bit of movement though,
- 8:48and it's in favor of Dayton. Let's set the stage here.
- 8:51Dayton 14 and 6, they've won three straight, just outlasted
- 8:55Saint Joe's 77 to 72. They covered that game as a four
- 8:59and a half point home favorite. Meanwhile, the Bonnies 15 and 6
- 9:02good record, but they have dropped five of their last six
- 9:05just fell. The VCU 75 to 61 did not cover
- 9:08as a 12 1/2 point Rd. dog. So what we seen across the
- 9:11market here, well, Dayton opened as a very short 1 or 1 1/2 point
- 9:16Rd. favorite. So think of it this way.
- 9:19You'll get the Bonnies at home. You're probably going to get
- 9:21around two or three points of homecourt advantage.
- 9:24That means that if Dayton's around minus, you know, 1 and -1
- 9:271/2 on the road neutral court, they're probably about four
- 9:30points better somewhere around there, maybe even maybe even
- 9:33more like 5 points. So I always think that's
- 9:35important when you have a short Rd. favorite actually means that
- 9:37team is better applying homecourt.
- 9:40They'd be even favored by more on a neutral court.
- 9:43But anyway, we have Dayton opening -1 -, 1 1/2 on the road.
- 9:47We've seen Dayton get steamed up -1 1/2 - 115.
- 9:50And now Dayton is up to -2 at quite a few shops.
- 9:54So it tells me you got some sneaky bit sneaky respective
- 9:57money here on the Flyers. Now Dayton is taking in at
- 10:00DraftKings, 65% of spread bets, 74% of spread dollars.
- 10:06At circa Dayton's taking in 50% of spread bets, but 91% of
- 10:11spread dollars. So when I'm trying to piece
- 10:14together the puzzle to making a data-driven bet, if you're
- 10:16giving me both DraftKings and FanDuel or or in circuit, I
- 10:20should say low bets, higher dollars in the lines moving
- 10:23toward that team. That's the nut meat and
- 10:25potatoes, nuts and bolts of what I'm looking for.
- 10:28I want the the splits to have more money than bets and the
- 10:32basically the line to be moving toward that team with more money
- 10:35and bets. So you're actually checking off
- 10:37a couple big boxes here for Dayton.
- 10:39Of course, Dayton -1 1/2 -, 2. I'm not going to lay the points
- 10:43here. Odds makers, when they open
- 10:44minus one 1 1/2, they're telling you this could be a one point
- 10:47game. Therefore I'll pay the money
- 10:49line here. It's really not that bad.
- 10:50It's only around -130 But if you look at when 2 Atlantic teams
- 10:54play each other. So you're just talking about in
- 10:56the Mac how those favorites do well.
- 10:58Well in the A10, the favorite in, in conference, the matchups
- 11:0335 and 19 straight up 65%. So not quite as chalky as the
- 11:08Mac, but still 2/3 of the time you're having these A10
- 11:11favorites win. Now Dayton lot of offensive
- 11:15advantages here. They have the better offensive
- 11:17efficiency, 35th in the country versus 125.
- 11:21For the Bonnies, effective field goal percentage is better, 55%
- 11:25versus 51%. They can shoot the three better.
- 11:28Hoping they can knock them down tonight, but 37% versus 33%.
- 11:32And then take care of the ball. Don't, don't cough it up.
- 11:35Don't turn it over. Flyers are ranking 44th in the
- 11:38country in the lowest turnover percentage.
- 11:40Bonnies ranked one O 3 conference play, 2 Dayton four
- 11:44and three. Nothing amazing, but above 500.
- 11:47Bonnies 3 and five in conference play.
- 11:49Then if we look to our friends at rhythm, they have Dayton
- 11:52winning or Dayton favored -1.4. So you're kind of right on the
- 11:56number. It's not a huge line move, but
- 11:58we got low bets, higher dollars. I really love that that circus
- 12:02split out in Vegas. Again, only 50% tickets, 91%
- 12:05money, and we do have a good rhythm edge here with a better
- 12:08offensive team. So I'm going to hope that Dayton
- 12:10can come through for us. I got the Flyers, not the
- 12:13Philadelphia Flyers. The Dayton Flyers on the money
- 12:16line at -130 last bit of the night in college hoops and boy
- 12:20is this one moving, which I'm loving.
- 12:23Arizona State and Colorado late night game here. 9:00 Eastern
- 12:26Time. We have Arizona State coming in
- 12:2811 and eight. However, they have dropped five
- 12:30of their last six. Just fell to Iowa State 76 to
- 12:3361, didn't cover as a nine and a half point home dog.
- 12:37Similarly, Colorado 9 and 10 on the year.
- 12:40They have lost eight in a row. Had a good start and really have
- 12:43struggled here. Just got rolled by Arizona 78 to
- 12:4663. Didn't cover as a 14 1/2 point
- 12:48Rd. dog. Now what have we seen across the
- 12:50market here? Well, some books open this game
- 12:53around to pick them. Most books open around Colorado
- 12:56around A1 or 1 1/2 point home favorite.
- 12:58What's noble to me is that the public says why is Colorado
- 13:03favored? Arizona should be favored.
- 13:04The wrong team is favored. Arizona State.
- 13:07They're 11 and 8. Colorado's 9 and 10.
- 13:10So the public is saying give me Arizona State all day.
- 13:13They're getting nearly 2/3 of bets at DraftKings.
- 13:15However, even though you're getting, you know, 2/3 of bets
- 13:19on Arizona State, the line has gone further toward Colorado.
- 13:24So Colorado has crept up -1 1/2 to -2 1/2 and now they're up to
- 13:28-3 so further movement in the afternoon in favor of Colorado.
- 13:32I'm loving that. This looks like a fade the
- 13:34trendy dog play to me because again, public is Arizona State
- 13:37yet line is going to Colorado. Good bet splits here at
- 13:40DraftKings. Colorado's only getting 37% of
- 13:43spread bets but 84% of spread dollars.
- 13:47I repeat 34% bets, 84% money. That is a huge sharp contrarian.
- 13:53Low bets, higher dollars bet split.
- 13:54Of course, again, I hate to see Colorado win by one or two and
- 13:58you lose your -2 and half or -3. So this is a money line play for
- 14:01me at around -140 if you look at Colorado, I think the biggest
- 14:05fishy play for them. In a way, Colorado kind of
- 14:08reminds me of a mini Arizona just because worst record yet,
- 14:11you know, moving to a favorite. But Colorado has by low value as
- 14:15an unpopular home fave on a losing skid.
- 14:18Buffalo's also big edge of the free throw line.
- 14:21If this becomes, you know, tight down the stretch, hopefully the
- 14:23Buffs can make their shots at the charity stripe. 76% versus
- 14:2770% Home Rd. Even though Colorado is 9 and 10
- 14:31on the year, they are 8 and four at home altitude.
- 14:33Hopefully that's an advantage. Hopefully we have Arizona State
- 14:36gassed in the second-half. Arizona State only one and four
- 14:40on the road and then looking towards some Big 12 play.
- 14:43Two teams in the Big 12 play each other.
- 14:45The favorite 51 and 16 straight up this year, 76%.
- 14:50Lastly, we have our friends at rhythm with a model of Colorado
- 14:54-2.6. So that's why I'm going money
- 14:57line here. But again, why is the team on a
- 15:00long losing streak with a under 500 record favored and becoming
- 15:04more of a favorite against a team that is above 500?
- 15:07This looks sneaky, sneaky sharp in favor of the Buffs.
- 15:10So let's go. Colorado got them on the money
- 15:12line around -140 so Ohio, Dayton, Colorado.
- 15:17Can we scratch and claw and get two of those or more?
- 15:20That would be fantastic. Now, I got one play for you in
- 15:24the NHL and it is not what I would call a sharp play.
- 15:28It's what I would call, however, a value play.
- 15:31I'm looking at the Boston Bruins and the Buffalo Sabres.
- 15:34Now, this is a 7:00 game tonight.
- 15:36Boston comes in 2520 and 6:00. They have won three of their
- 15:40last four, however, Sabres 1826 and five and they've struggled
- 15:45here as of late. The Sabres have lost 1234 of
- 15:48their last five. So what have we seen across the
- 15:51market? Well, the Bruins opened around a
- 15:53-, 115 road favorite and they're pretty much right where they
- 15:57opened at -115 they've dipped a little bit at some shops down to
- 16:01like -110 so it's not a huge line move play, but I'm going to
- 16:06go Boston Bruins here tonight. I got him at -110 on the money
- 16:09line, very short number. I do like the Circa bet splits,
- 16:1364% bets, 65% dollars. DraftKings 75% bets, 78%
- 16:18dollars. So both low bets, higher
- 16:20dollars, money, line splits, but it's not a line move play and it
- 16:23isn't really per SE a bet splits play, but it is a system match
- 16:27play. I got a lot of matches here on
- 16:28the Bruins and a lot of them have to do with a road favorite
- 16:32that's rested. So rested Rd. favorite at least
- 16:35three days between their last game in the current game and
- 16:37they made the postseason this year.
- 16:39Their opponent did not. I know that's a mouthful, but
- 16:42that is 66% this season with a 3% ROI.
- 16:46Rested Rd. Division favorites since
- 16:4820/21/65 percent, 5% ROI this year.
- 16:52Rested Rd. favorite getting three days off or more. 60 and
- 16:563563% Rd. favorite off a win. That is 62% since 2021 and a
- 17:03favorite off a win versus an opponent who missed the playoffs
- 17:06the previous year. 64 percent, 3% ROI since 2021.
- 17:10So I have 5 systems lit up on the Bruins tonight, which is why
- 17:14even though we don't have a huge line movement, I'll be fully
- 17:16honest with you guys, for whatever reason, the hockey line
- 17:19moves really haven't come through in terms of like, you
- 17:22know, you open -140 you get steamed to -170 there have been
- 17:25years in the past where that is like almost an automatic.
- 17:28I felt like, I feel like this year the line moves haven't
- 17:31really been coming to fruition. So I'm going to learn more on
- 17:33the system match here, hopefully on the Bruins.
- 17:36I also like the schedule spot. Not only are the Bruins rested,
- 17:39but Buffalo is playing their first game back home after a 4
- 17:43game road trip. And if you you know, it applies
- 17:46to a lot of different sports, baseball as well.
- 17:48But when you're on a long road trip, even the NBA, you come
- 17:50back home your first night back, you kind of exhale, you're
- 17:54excited to sleep in your own bed, but you also got family up
- 17:57your butt asking for things and people asking for tickets.
- 18:00So a lot of times it's a it's a kind of automatic fade of the
- 18:04team first game back after a long road trip.
- 18:06So hopefully that is to the advantage of the Bruins in the
- 18:08detriment of the Buffalo Sabres tonight.
- 18:11Goaltenders in net they're about equal.
- 18:14Jeremy Swayman 2.95 goals against, 898 save percentage UP
- 18:19Louokinen 299 goals against, 897 save percentage.
- 18:23Obviously Swayman is much better than that.
- 18:26So even though their numbers are similar this year, I would hope
- 18:28that Swayman and what he's done in the past, you know he's he's
- 18:32on the rise here. Regressing positively, the
- 18:35Bruins do have the better defensive team. 3.1 goals
- 18:37allowed versus 3.4 last 10 games.
- 18:40Bruins are 5, three and two, scoring 3.2 goals a game.
- 18:44Last 10 for Buffalo, Four and six they're only scoring 2.7.
- 18:47And when the Bruins are favored this year, they're 17 and 12.
- 18:51When the Sabres are a dog, they're 10 and 19.
- 18:54So again, not a huge line move or bet split system or, you
- 18:59know, play here, but a ton of systems flashing for me on
- 19:02Boston at a relatively, you know, cheap -110 I'm going to
- 19:06take a shot on the Bees tonight. And you know what, last couple
- 19:08times I bet against the Bruins, they beat me.
- 19:10So hopefully tonight I bet on them and they get a win for us.
- 19:14That would be nice, but give me the Bruins.
- 19:16Bruins -110 So that about does it for episode 2 O seven of the
- 19:22All Systems Go sports Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
- 19:25Not too much here to update in terms of the Super Bowl.
- 19:28You're kind of talking just thoughts on the big game here.
- 19:31You're still at Kansas City -1 1/2.
- 19:34The total is still 49 1/2. Although I do see a couple books
- 19:38that are 49 1/2 under -115 so we'll see if that, you know,
- 19:43creeps its way down to 49. Although I remember last time it
- 19:45was a was it 3835 game. Still got Philly, possibly a
- 19:50teaser 1 1/2 to 7 1/2. And I'm still almost guaranteed
- 19:54to be going Kansas City money line here at this point without
- 19:57anything, you know, getting me off that position.
- 19:59So not much to report for the big game.
- 20:02But of course, each day we'll we'll check in see if anything
- 20:04changes and hopefully we'll we'll score some some wins here
- 20:08for the big game. So that being said.
- 20:11Wrapping up the pod, as always with a few final comments.
- 20:14One, thank you. Thank you out there.
- 20:17If you hear my voice, I appreciate you.
- 20:18I consider you a friend, a fellow wise guy or wise gal.
- 20:22But it means so much to me that you take the time out of your
- 20:24busy lives to devote 30 minutes or so to sit back, hopefully
- 20:28escape the world and just kind of get get it, get into the
- 20:31nitty gritty of what the betting market is doing.
- 20:33Hopefully you find some value in this data-driven approach.
- 20:36But if you enjoy the pod, could you please do me a huge favor?
- 20:39If you haven't done it yet, give it a five star review.
- 20:42If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, just click rate and
- 20:44review. Click five stars.
- 20:46That would make my day. Help us to continue to grow the
- 20:48podcast. If you want to click follow,
- 20:50there's an option to follow. Click that.
- 20:52That way you'll get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
- 20:54It'll go right to your your library and Spotify or iTunes.
- 20:58Also, if you want to recommend it to a friend.
- 21:00Word of mouth always, always meaningful.
- 21:03I would seriously thank you all for tuning in.
- 21:04I appreciate you guys. Next, if you enjoy this style of
- 21:09betting breakdown data-driven betting, looking at how aligned
- 21:12open, how it moved, where's the juice liability where the the
- 21:16splits at low bets, higher dollars where, where the betting
- 21:19system matches a flat betting approach.
- 21:21Notice we never talked parlays. There's a reason for that
- 21:24because the books make a killing off parlays.
- 21:26But if you have some, if you're interested in learning more, I
- 21:29should say about data-driven sports betting or you want to
- 21:32let me know you appreciate the pod.
- 21:33There's one thing you can do. You can go to Amazon.com and
- 21:37type in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
- 21:40That's my baby. I wrote that book a few years
- 21:42ago, poured everything I knew into it.
- 21:44And really, it's got everything I've learned in the industry.
- 21:47How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
- 21:49movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
- 21:52person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
- 21:55a bankroll management plan, chapters on all the major
- 21:57sports, how to go contrarian. It's all included in the
- 22:00Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
- 22:02So pick one up for you or a buddy or friend, That friend of
- 22:06yours that said, yeah, the wrong team is favored.
- 22:08Hammer the number three Cyclones, you say?
- 22:11Not so fast again, because sometimes when it's fishy,
- 22:15there's a reason for it. But pick one up, bring it to the
- 22:18sports book. And when I see you there, we'll,
- 22:21we'll sweat some games together. I'll buy you a beer, a beer or
- 22:24ginger ale and we'll sweat some games together next.
- 22:27Have you taken advantage of a 7 day free trial of Juice Reel or
- 22:30Rhythm yet? Well, if you haven't, now's the
- 22:32time. In particular in the lead up to
- 22:34the Super Bowl because there are a lot of great features from
- 22:36both Rhythm and Juice Reel that can hopefully help you to have a
- 22:39successful Super Bowl rhythm fantastic for their AI backed
- 22:42models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 22:46Juice reel where you can find all of the all systems go best
- 22:49bet picks just by clicking the social tab searching ASG under
- 22:53score podcast or you can just click the link that I tweet out
- 22:56late afternoon each day. You can also tell the Robo
- 22:59Jackson best bet picks. You can get sharp mush
- 23:02indicators as well as arbitrage opportunities and great for
- 23:06shopping for the best line, getting the best futures price
- 23:09as well. So go to the OR download the
- 23:12app. You know again, iTunes or Google
- 23:14Play. If you're an Android or an iPad
- 23:16person or a iPhone person, download rhythm, download juice
- 23:20reel, tell a friend and hopefully you'll be off and
- 23:22running making sharp bets left and right.
- 23:25So that about does it for today's pod.
- 23:28As always, I'm going to leave you with a couple things.
- 23:30Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
- 23:33Rhode Island, the Brook in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
- 23:36Sun down in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
- 23:39Park Casino or MGM Springfield. In my neck of the woods in
- 23:42Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true grinders
- 23:45get down. Where Billy Walter sends his
- 23:46number runners, where the lowest use possible is found, the South
- 23:49Point or Sweat and sharp Contrarian plays jumping in the
- 23:52stadium swim pool when he cash a big ticket at Circa.
- 23:55You can show me a Lamar ticket, but really the one you're going
- 23:58to show me Arizona baby, U of A boy.
- 24:02Was that the sharpest bet and most unbelievable sweat that
- 24:06I've experienced in quite a while.
- 24:08And again, just when you think you're dead, Caleb Love nails a
- 24:12three quarters court shot to keep us alive and then win it in
- 24:15overtime. Oh, man, that that that game is
- 24:17why you love betting on sports. That right there, the sweat, the
- 24:21the losing, the winning, the losing the winning that that
- 24:25journey that you take, buying the ticket, taking the ride.
- 24:27Man, that was incredible last night with Arizona.
- 24:30So flash me Ozona ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
- 24:34on you. We'll post about the book
- 24:35sweatshop and train plays all night long.
- 24:38So wish you the best of luck, everyone.
- 24:40As always, two and one one and 2-3 and OO and three hot, cold,
- 24:45you know, grinding, whatever the case may be, doesn't matter.
- 24:49We are going to continue to stick to the model, stick to the
- 24:52blueprint, and if we can do that, we're going to be
- 24:54successful sports bettors. So if we can find that sweet
- 24:57spot against the public with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
- 25:00avoid parlays, get that CLV, we can do that.
- 25:03We're going to be a OK long term.
- 25:05So have a great Tuesday night, everybody, and I hope to see you
- 25:08guys at 4:00 Eastern Time, which will be the rhythm live stream.
- 25:12I'll be hosting that right at 4:00.
- 25:13And you can just follow me on Twitter at Josh under score
- 25:16insights. See that little little icon go
- 25:19live boom, come right in, say hello.
- 25:21I'm always always happy when I see a podcast listener show up
- 25:25in the in the chat or in the the live stream.
- 25:27So hope to see you guys there. But as always, guys, good luck
- 25:30tonight. Let's cash some tickets and as
- 25:32always, I will see you tomorrow for episode 2 O eight of the all
- 25:36systems go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 25:39Good luck everybody and have a great Tuesday night.