Latest / The Curve / SpaceX Is Set to Be the Biggest IPO in History.
Transcript
- 0:00So basically it has officially filed its paperwork to go public on the US stock market and this
- 0:05is going to be the biggest IPO in history.
- 0:08It's going to be a two trillion dollar company but with five billion in losses.
- 0:13We're going to break down what an IPO actually is, what you'd be buying and more crucially
- 0:17how you can invest if you want to.
- 0:19We're also going to be covering Elon Musk and his lawsuit on OpenAI which did not go
- 0:23this way.
- 0:24She carried just one a 55 million euro tax battle with the Spanish government and surprisingly
- 0:29there are some genuinely useful takeaways that could apply to you.
- 0:32And finally, the impact of AI on the jobs market, there is much more to this than makes
- 0:36the AI.
- 0:37We discuss what industries are going to stand the test of time and how you can position
- 0:40yourself well.
- 0:41This is the Curb Weekly where we read the finance news that you don't have to, I'm Vic
- 0:44Harris, a finance professional who's had a career making money for other people and my
- 0:49co-founder Sophie is on holiday with her boyfriend so I am flying solo today.
- 0:53Huge thanks to Emily Rigby, our producer and Lucy Monroe, our fab social media manager and
- 0:58the rest of the Curb team behind the scenes.
- 1:00But before we dive into the headlines, here is a word from today's sponsor.
- 1:06This episode of the Curb Weekly is made possible by Pathfinder Kiwis Everplan helping you invest
- 1:09alongside your values.
- 1:10Pathfinder's one mindful money, best ethical investing provider for five years running so
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- 1:18Got questions about the ethics of an investment or unsure where you draw the line?
- 1:21Submit your questions via the link in the podcast, show notes and thank you so much to Pathfinder
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- 1:27Pathfinder asset management limited is the issuer of the Pathfinder Kiwis Everplan.
- 1:31A product disclosure statement is available at Pathfinder.qwe.
- 1:36So we have some very exciting news.
- 1:37SpaceX has officially filed for IPO.
- 1:40Now IPO, remember, is the first time that a company has its shares available to the public.
- 1:45So it goes from bring a private company to a public company where you and I can buy shares,
- 1:49which is awesome.
- 1:50It is going to list on the NASDAQ and the NASDAQ is one of the US stock exchanges.
- 1:56So we've got the NASDAQ, we've got the New York Stock Exchange, they're kind of like competitors.
- 2:00On the NASDAQ, we've got, it's mainly more tech companies.
- 2:03So it's Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, it's got all the big names we know.
- 2:09So yeah, SpaceX is kind of following certain going on that exchange.
- 2:14This is going to be the biggest IPO ever.
- 2:18The company is going to be valued at $2 trillion.
- 2:22So we have never ever seen a company come to market that is that big.
- 2:27And just to put that in context, when Facebook first went public in 2012,
- 2:33it was valued at $100 billion in SpaceX is coming at $2 trillion.
- 2:38Amazon is a $3 trillion company, Microsoft is a $3 trillion company.
- 2:42So just to put that in perspective, they've been public companies for like so long now.
- 2:46Not only that, they're highly profitable, they've got a proven track record.
- 2:50And you now have a company coming to market for the first time, and it's got none of that.
- 2:55It hasn't got a track record.
- 2:56It hasn't got like the history, hasn't been traded on the stock exchange for years.
- 3:00Yet it's somehow thinks that it should be like at the same level as all these other companies.
- 3:04So anyway, this is why it's got so much interest.
- 3:06I mean, it's revenue is $20 billion last year, but it lost $5 billion.
- 3:10So it is lost making.
- 3:13I mean, Uber was lost making when IPO'd for the first time.
- 3:16It was absolutely heavily criticized for it.
- 3:19But for some reason, people are giving SpaceX a lot of time.
- 3:23There's a lot of excitement and a lot of you for around it.
- 3:25But those of you who don't know what SpaceX is, it's not just a rocket company.
- 3:31So SpaceX owns Starlink.
- 3:33Starlink is the kind of satellite company that has about 10 million subscribers globally.
- 3:41It also includes XAI, which is Elon Musk AI company.
- 3:45So you've got a satellite company, you've got an AI company.
- 3:47And also in there is X, which used to be Twitter.
- 3:50So you've got kind of three, I guess, three businesses.
- 3:55One in kind of satellites, one in AI, one in media.
- 3:59Like all of those combined together is what has created that value of $2 trillion.
- 4:06So it's really a company that investors are betting on the future,
- 4:11particularly with AI satellites, all that.
- 4:13But this is where it gets interesting.
- 4:14So Elon Musk, he is going to control 85% of this company.
- 4:20If you are not in alignment with what he wants to do,
- 4:23then I guess you shouldn't be buying this company.
- 4:25But it also goes to show that she is going to have very, very little say
- 4:29in how this company is run.
- 4:31It is very much going to be the Musk show.
- 4:33I guess it is similar to how Mark Zuckerberg ran meta.
- 4:37He was very much a dominant force, very much the leader.
- 4:40It's how Google has actually structured it.
- 4:43So the two Google founders have structured Google and Alphabet shares.
- 4:46So it's kind of, there's a lot of protections in it to protect the founder.
- 4:50But personally, I like investing alongside founders,
- 4:53not necessarily Elon Musk, but there are some,
- 4:56some I like investing alongside more than others.
- 4:58Founders are very visionary, they're very driven,
- 5:02they're very long-term thinking.
- 5:05And that's what I like when I look for an investment.
- 5:07But this IPO in SpaceX could make Elon Musk the first trillionaire,
- 5:13the first person to have a trillion dollars in wealth.
- 5:18I can't even believe that we're speaking about trillion dollar companies,
- 5:21a trillion dollar IPO.
- 5:23If you kind of mentioned that to me 10 years ago even,
- 5:25when we didn't even have a trillion dollar sized business,
- 5:29and now we've got so many, and now I've got an IPO coming in,
- 5:32it's wild, wild, wild.
- 5:33Now there's actually a part of this IPO,
- 5:37which I don't know if it's crazy, I don't know if it's amazing.
- 5:41There is kind of, I guess a pay package or a bonus structure
- 5:45that has been created for Elon Musk that's tied to this IPO
- 5:49on top of his existing stake of around five billion shares.
- 5:52So that's around $700 billion that he will have
- 5:57created in value when he IPOs this business.
- 5:59On top of that, the board of SpaceX has granted him
- 6:04an additional billion shares if he hits certain targets.
- 6:09And one of those targets, I'm laughing because it is so crazy,
- 6:14is tied to colonizing Mars, putting people on Mars,
- 6:19and also building data centers in space.
- 6:21The Mars bonus is he will be awarded 200 million shares
- 6:26if SpaceX hits a valuation of seven and a half trillion.
- 6:30So remember, it's IPOing it two trillion.
- 6:33So if it hits seven and a half trillion in size,
- 6:36which is bigger than any existing company ever,
- 6:40and he successfully establishes a colony on Mars
- 6:43of at least one million people, he gets this bonus.
- 6:48So it's not just one person on Mars.
- 6:50There's to be a million people living on Mars,
- 6:53but he long must to get this bonus of a billion shares.
- 6:57There is no time frame on this.
- 6:58So if he does this in, I don't know, in 50 years time,
- 7:02when he's old and decrepit and I'm, you know,
- 7:04100 or 120 years old, he'll get paid this.
- 7:08But he has had some pretty impressive bonus structures
- 7:11that have been tied to Tesla and he's hit them
- 7:13and he's got these incredible payouts.
- 7:16When I read this, I was like, that's absolutely crazy.
- 7:19But now I'm actually like, you know what?
- 7:22If there's any person that could do it on this planet,
- 7:25and could actually create a new planet that we civilise,
- 7:29is probably Elon Musk.
- 7:31Nothing would be more motivating
- 7:33than a billion shares in SpaceX.
- 7:36So anyway, we'll see how it plays out.
- 7:39But even if he got the valuation of SpaceX
- 7:41to seven and a half trillion,
- 7:42and he only had 900,000 people living on Mars,
- 7:45he wouldn't get a payout.
- 7:46He has to reach both of those milestones,
- 7:49but no time frame.
- 7:50So he just has to be employed still by SpaceX.
- 7:52So very, very interesting bonus structure,
- 7:55something I've never ever seen before.
- 7:57If it comes to fruition, I think our world is going to look so weird
- 8:02and so different and the fact that we're going to have
- 8:03all humans running around on Mars,
- 8:05yeah, it's kind of absolutely crazy.
- 8:07But this will be probably one of the most
- 8:10hotly debated IPOs, I think, in a generation.
- 8:13I think there's anything that I've seen.
- 8:14The ambition is just insane from Elon Musk
- 8:18and what the companies are going to achieve.
- 8:20People that are really positive on it are like,
- 8:21you know what, they're styling,
- 8:22which is hugely profitable.
- 8:24SpaceX is dominating and rocket launching.
- 8:26And there is kind of this generational infrastructure
- 8:29they're trying to create with data centers on Mars.
- 8:32It'd be like buying Amazon, you know, 25 years ago.
- 8:35Nobody believed what they were going to do.
- 8:37And they've absolutely transformed that business
- 8:40from selling books online to having one of the world's
- 8:43biggest logistics networks in the world.
- 8:45Being one of the largest cloud providers,
- 8:49all of that is like, never ever in a world of strings.
- 8:51We've seen that 25 years ago.
- 8:53So we could be sitting here,
- 8:54maybe listen to this podcast in 25 years.
- 8:57And we've got people walking around on Mars
- 8:58and Elon Musk is walking away with a billion in shares.
- 9:02I guess the negative side of this,
- 9:03people are like the valuation.
- 9:06So what this company is being priced at,
- 9:07which is the two trillion,
- 9:09is 100 times is annual revenue.
- 9:13So you are paying 100 times the revenue
- 9:15that this business is creating
- 9:17to come up with that value for the whole business.
- 9:19And this is how most businesses are valued,
- 9:21as it's a kind of a multiple of either profit or revenue.
- 9:24And so just to kind of put it in perspective,
- 9:26like if we think of Apple,
- 9:28Apple was trading at 11 times its revenue
- 9:30in terms of the size of the business.
- 9:31In video, the AI chip company is trading at 25 times
- 9:36and we've got this business that has never been public.
- 9:39No trade record that's coming at it 100 times.
- 9:40So anyway, there's a lot of people on the positive side,
- 9:43a lot of people on the negative side,
- 9:44it's pretty divisive to be honest.
- 9:46If you do want to invest in this IPO,
- 9:50the great thing about this IPO is that Elon Musk
- 9:53for all his sins, he is actually with this IPO
- 9:57carved out a really large chunk for retail investors.
- 10:00And retail means just kind of like you and me,
- 10:02mum and dad investors.
- 10:03And a lot of IPOs go to institutional clients.
- 10:08So think like fund managers or KiwiSave
- 10:12or pension providers or wealthy clients.
- 10:14And Elon Musk has gone, you know what?
- 10:16No, I want the everyday investor to get
- 10:19to have a large portion of this IPO.
- 10:21So 23 billion of the 75 billion
- 10:25that they're kind of raising for IPO
- 10:28is going to go towards retail investors,
- 10:30which is great, it's about 30% of the IPO.
- 10:33So if you are on a trading platform,
- 10:35like shearsies or trading two, one, two in the UK,
- 10:39stake in Australia, like keep an eye out,
- 10:41there could be a notification if you want to access this IPO
- 10:44and actually buy shares.
- 10:45And just remember, IPOs in general are very risky
- 10:49that they haven't had a track record.
- 10:51They haven't made their finances public.
- 10:53They don't have to.
- 10:54So and also with this kind of IPO, there's a lot of hype.
- 10:57We saw what happened to all birds,
- 11:00not saying that this is going to go the same way.
- 11:01I have no idea, but just something to be aware of
- 11:04is that sometimes there is better opportunities
- 11:07to buy shares in a company, not at IPO.
- 11:10It might be a year later or once it's kind of got over the hype.
- 11:14Personally, I, I really like what is happening
- 11:18in the space industry and yet the fact that we're seeing
- 11:22data centers in space, like satellites and more,
- 11:26even like more commercial trips to space.
- 11:28I think there is, it's a huge trend.
- 11:31It's going to get more and more interest.
- 11:33We've got Rocket Lab, which is done fantastically well.
- 11:37I think the big caveat with this one is
- 11:39just the kind of ridiculousness associated with it
- 11:42in terms of the valuation, in terms of the fact
- 11:44that it is just a huge, huge company coming in at such a high price
- 11:49and in our musk spawner structure,
- 11:51it's kind of taking the person bit, I think.
- 11:53But that is my opinion, but the whole space I do love
- 11:56and it is, I think, a long-term trend that's going to be here for a while.
- 12:00So yeah, I do like this space.
- 12:04Just to continue on the theme of Elon Musk.
- 12:08So I think it was earlier this year.
- 12:11We spoke about Elon Musk suing OpenAI,
- 12:16which owns Chatur B.T.
- 12:17I remember so I've saying something like,
- 12:19I think this is going to be the new Netflix series
- 12:21and we're getting all excited that it might be like the Netflix,
- 12:26Warner Brothers, Paramount, Drama,
- 12:28or something that we talk about in each curve weekly.
- 12:30Well, sorry, it's well and truly been shut down.
- 12:33A bit of the background.
- 12:34So back in 2015, Elon Musk actually co-founded OpenAI,
- 12:41so Chatur B.T., it was started as a not-for-profit.
- 12:45So it was the idea that something so powerful as AI
- 12:49should benefit the whole of humanity, not shareholders.
- 12:53And so it was kind of founded on that premise,
- 12:56the mission and that's what people got on board with
- 12:58and that's what Elon Musk got on board with, which is surprising.
- 13:01Anyway, he donated because you can't invest.
- 13:06So he essentially donated millions to the company.
- 13:09There was a bit of a power struggle between becoming CEOs
- 13:12and then all of that.
- 13:12Anyway, he left in 2018.
- 13:15So started in 2015, he left three years later.
- 13:18At that point, OpenAI converted from a not-for-profit
- 13:22to become a for-profit company.
- 13:24Elon Musk was absolutely furious
- 13:26and that's what he is suing for.
- 13:28Now, he was suing for, I think it was 134 billion in damages.
- 13:34He wanted to remove Sam Altman, who is the CEO and founder of OpenAI.
- 13:39And he wanted to reverse the business from a for-profit to a not-for-profit.
- 13:44So kind of back to what it originally was.
- 13:46There were in court and within two hours,
- 13:49the judge was like, this case is kind of dismissed.
- 13:52They unanimously decided that the claims that Elon Musk was making
- 13:56effectively was beyond the statute of limitations.
- 14:00Now, I was like, what is it?
- 14:01That just means it took him too long to bring this case to court.
- 14:04So if he'd done it maybe five years earlier,
- 14:07he probably could have actually had a case,
- 14:09but they were like, oh, you've waited way too long.
- 14:11And also, the company that is OpenAI now is now worth billions of dollars.
- 14:17And so no wonder he's pissed off and now he's claiming these huge losses.
- 14:21So they're just like, you know what, you took too long.
- 14:23Elon Musk said he's going to appeal, but essentially it's a non-offent.
- 14:28So apologies.
- 14:29There is no Netflix series coming out of this about Elon Musk and Sam Altman
- 14:33kind of going at it for years.
- 14:34And but one interesting thing that actually came out of the court case,
- 14:38which is kind of embarrassing for Elon Musk, is that he wanted OpenAI
- 14:42to be a for-profit company.
- 14:43And so this is all becoming like, well, hang on a second.
- 14:46You wanted it to be a for-profit company.
- 14:48And you actually have seen an email that you wanted to become CEO.
- 14:52So this is just a complete power struggle of two men
- 14:55who have these dominating AI businesses.
- 14:58Anyway, it's probably a good thing.
- 15:00It allows now for SpaceX to kind of have its time in the sun
- 15:05in terms of being a new public company.
- 15:07And they've also actually got OpenAI,
- 15:09which is going to become public soon.
- 15:11Probably this year, haven't given any dates yet.
- 15:14But yeah, both founders can just swan off into the sun
- 15:17and just focus on, focus on growing the businesses.
- 15:19Coming up after the break, we talk about a lawsuit
- 15:22that Shakira has filed, and actually won.
- 15:26But before we dig into that, here is a note from today's motto.
- 15:29Oh, I invest so much more now,
- 15:31but I still don't feel great about profiting from companies
- 15:35that I don't believe in.
- 15:36You know, weapons, I just, I personally,
- 15:38do not want to be making money from conflict.
- 15:40But what about weapons companies that supply
- 15:42like both sides of the conflict?
- 15:44Pretty confusing, right?
- 15:45I know it's so confusing.
- 15:47And I feel like I'm not alone in that.
- 15:49Yeah, I mean, 80% of New Zealand investors
- 15:51don't want weapons in their Kiwis over yet.
- 15:53Mindful money reports that over $400 million
- 15:57is still invested in weapons manufacturers,
- 15:59which is why choosing the right provider matters.
- 16:01Like Pathfinder Kiwis have a plan,
- 16:03which aims to avoid profiting from conflict.
- 16:06They've been recognized as weapons free by Mindful Money
- 16:08and written loads of blogs on this topic,
- 16:11even covering their position on Gaza,
- 16:12which a lot of people have avoided.
- 16:14So if you want to check out our podcast show notes
- 16:16to learn more, and thanks so much to Pathfinder
- 16:18for making this episode of the Curve Weekly possible.
- 16:20Pathfinder asset management limited
- 16:22is the issuer of the Pathfinder Kiwis ever plan.
- 16:24A product disclosure statement is available
- 16:26at Pathfinder.qwe.
- 16:28Now look, for many people who have listened here for a while,
- 16:31you will know that I hate talking about tax.
- 16:33And anytime we get us a tax question,
- 16:35I just avoid it like the plague.
- 16:36It is so personal.
- 16:38And everyone's situation is different.
- 16:39And so when we get questions about
- 16:41what amount of tax should I pay,
- 16:42which should I pay tax, or where do I pay tax?
- 16:44Like it totally depends on your personal situation.
- 16:46But this headline sparked my interest
- 16:49because it said Shakira wins a 55 million Euro tax battle.
- 16:57And I was like, oh my goodness, that's a lot of tax.
- 17:00The context of this.
- 17:01So she had been in a relationship
- 17:03with a Barcelona footballer.
- 17:06So a very high profile Barcelona footballer.
- 17:08So naturally, it's been a bit of time in Spain.
- 17:12And Spanish tax authorities actually claimed
- 17:15this made her a tax resident.
- 17:17This is way back in 2011.
- 17:18So she's just been fighting since then,
- 17:20and she's just won this.
- 17:22But yeah, they claimed that she was a tax resident
- 17:25because she'd been dating this Barcelona football player.
- 17:28And therefore, she was liable to pay Spanish tax
- 17:31on worldwide income.
- 17:32So some countries you only pay it on your income
- 17:35that you are a tax resident for.
- 17:38Other countries you have to pay it on your worldwide income,
- 17:40like in the US, you have to pay, if I lived here in the UK,
- 17:44but I had a US passport, for example,
- 17:47then I might have to pay it on my worldwide income.
- 17:50So anyway, this is what was going down with Shakira.
- 17:53This week, a Spanish high court overall that decision
- 17:57and said that the tax agency had failed to prove its claims.
- 18:01And part of this, which seems so obvious,
- 18:04is like the Spanish tax agency had failed to prove
- 18:08that she had spent 183 days in the country in 2011.
- 18:13So one of the biggest things that claim that you're a tax resident
- 18:16if you spend more than 183 days in that country.
- 18:19And I remember with Sophie and I,
- 18:21when we were kind of going back and forth between the UK and New Zealand,
- 18:24I had to prove that I, in order to be a tax resident in New Zealand,
- 18:28that I'd spent in more than 183 days there.
- 18:30So this is kind of a bit of a common thread
- 18:33with a lot of countries, is this threshold.
- 18:38And anyway, her defense was that it is materially impossible
- 18:43for her to have spent more than half a year in Spain
- 18:47because she was on a wheelchair.
- 18:49So she had performed 120 concerts in 37 countries.
- 18:53And she was like, that just completely shows
- 18:56that I could not have spent more than 1803 days in Spain.
- 18:59Anyway, it was overturned.
- 19:01The tax agency in Spain has to pay her 55 million euros plus interest.
- 19:07I think the kind of the takeaway for me from this was that
- 19:12if you are, I guess, in between countries
- 19:15or kind of doing your tax,
- 19:17one thing that you should always do,
- 19:19if you're not in a salary job and it's kind of all done for you,
- 19:23is make sure that you keep all your receipts.
- 19:25I know it sounds really, really basic,
- 19:27but like document everything.
- 19:29Keep your receipts, have a diary or at least note down
- 19:33if it's digitally or in a note pad or something,
- 19:36like the days that you're in each country
- 19:38and just make sure that your document
- 19:40keep your boarding passes, all of that just,
- 19:42even if it's physical or online,
- 19:45because you'll never know.
- 19:46And I remember having to scour through all boarding passes
- 19:50and trying to figure out what days I entered
- 19:53and what days I did and it was actually really cumbersome.
- 19:56So if you are in a position where you're working
- 19:58in different countries,
- 19:58just make sure that you document everything.
- 20:00Also, it's where you actually live, not where your partner lives.
- 20:05It's all about you.
- 20:06And there's other things like if you own a house
- 20:08or if you have family in that country.
- 20:09So there's lots of different things,
- 20:10but that's a bit of a,
- 20:12I guess a bit of a learning from Shakira.
- 20:14So yeah, thanks.
- 20:15Thanks.
- 20:20Now, we had a podcast a while ago about how we think
- 20:25that AI is actually going to create more jobs,
- 20:28not destroy them,
- 20:29but there's been a bit of an alarming economic stat
- 20:32that's come out last week.
- 20:34And it's all around jobs that have been created in the US.
- 20:37Now, people look at this kind of statistic quite closely
- 20:41because it does show like the health of an economy.
- 20:44And in the US,
- 20:46the jobs data came out last week for April.
- 20:49And it showed that there was 115,000 jobs
- 20:51that were created, which is great news.
- 20:54And this is the kind of,
- 20:55this is two months now of gains and jobs.
- 20:58So really, really positive to see two months of growth.
- 21:01But if we dig under the surface,
- 21:05there's actually some real warning signs.
- 21:07And firstly is that that number of jobs was,
- 21:11or that jobs growth was dominated by health care.
- 21:13And we need to kind of strip health care out
- 21:15because it's always going to grow.
- 21:17There's always going to be jobs.
- 21:18It's because people always get sick.
- 21:20We've got an age in population.
- 21:21There's always a need for it.
- 21:22So it's, it's quite recession proof.
- 21:24Yeah, 30% of all those new jobs were created in the health care space.
- 21:28So if we strip that out and you take health care out of the equation,
- 21:32the US economy is actually losing jobs.
- 21:35So it's losing more jobs and it's gaining.
- 21:38So it's like a net negative.
- 21:39So it might have added some, but it's lost more.
- 21:42So like overall, it's lost jobs.
- 21:45And the predominant places are in government
- 21:48because there's massive government cuts right now,
- 21:50government spending cuts.
- 21:51So they're not hiring, not creating new jobs.
- 21:54But it's also in finance, tech and IT
- 21:57with the next biggest sectors of job cuts.
- 22:01US employers across the board
- 22:04announce the third highest monthly cuts
- 22:08since the 2008 financial crisis.
- 22:11That's quite massive.
- 22:12And that just shows, I guess, the uncertainty
- 22:16that employers and businesses are facing now.
- 22:18And this is not only in the US.
- 22:20We're seeing this across the board.
- 22:21We're seeing this in the UK.
- 22:22We're seeing this in New Zealand, less so in Australia,
- 22:24but we are seeing it across the board.
- 22:26And like even speaking to friends who are unfortunately
- 22:29being made redundant and trying to find new jobs
- 22:31or in the job market, young people,
- 22:34young people are really struggling to find jobs at the moment.
- 22:36And it's because when there's a lot of uncertainty
- 22:39in the world, it makes it harder for businesses
- 22:42to make decisions.
- 22:43So even just taking the curve, for example,
- 22:44if we didn't really know what was going to happen
- 22:46in the future and of course you don't to a degree.
- 22:48But if you were trying to make decisions about growth
- 22:52and whether to go into this market or launch this product
- 22:55and you couldn't make those decisions
- 22:56because you didn't know what the world was going to be,
- 22:59then of course you're not going to be hiring people either.
- 23:01So everything that's going on that I run,
- 23:04the oil price, inflation,
- 23:05that all of those things that are going on in the world right now
- 23:07have made it really hard for businesses to grow
- 23:10and therefore hire.
- 23:12And then you throw on top of that AI.
- 23:15It's not quite what you think.
- 23:17It's not a case of robots replacing people overnight.
- 23:20It's definitely not that.
- 23:21But companies are kind of cutting divisions
- 23:23or cutting costs in certain areas
- 23:26so they can redirect that money into AI.
- 23:29So they're like, instead of spending over here
- 23:30or maybe hiring in HR and operations or whatever,
- 23:34we're going to spend on AI.
- 23:36So there's not new jobs being created.
- 23:38It's either jobs being cut due to AI
- 23:41or status quo, we're just not going to hire anyone.
- 23:44We're going to make people more efficient by using AI.
- 23:48But I just want to say this is,
- 23:50it's kind of like a reallocation of resources.
- 23:53It's not a kind of mass automation
- 23:56and we're going to see waves of people live their jobs.
- 23:59Yes, in the short term right now, we're seeing this,
- 24:01but over the long term, I genuinely believe
- 24:06that this is going to create so much more opportunity
- 24:08and growth and so many more jobs in the long run.
- 24:13But when we do see these big changes,
- 24:16like evolutions, revolutions going on in the world,
- 24:19there's almost like a bit of a digestion period
- 24:21as people rejig to, I guess, get the kind of correct foundations
- 24:26that then invest and grow again.
- 24:28Also, if you are looking for a job right now
- 24:30and you are feeling disheartened and, you know,
- 24:33it is tough, don't get me wrong.
- 24:34But just remember, this is a cycle that is happening.
- 24:38It's not because of you.
- 24:39And I think the best thing that you can do is
- 24:42look at how you can upskill and maybe incorporate AI
- 24:45a bit more into your CV and into your experience,
- 24:48your talent, so therefore you're more likely to get fired.
- 24:51But also, think of the jobs that are going to be around
- 24:54in 10, 20 years' time or where the growth is going to be.
- 24:57And how can you position yourself to be part of that?
- 25:00And I think that's for me, the really exciting part
- 25:03is always looking into the future of being like, okay,
- 25:06where is the growth, not only from an investment standpoint,
- 25:08but obviously from you personally,
- 25:10as a little asset and as an investment,
- 25:12how can you upskill so that you can grow with those jobs
- 25:17and with the movement of the world right now
- 25:19and where it's hitting rather than being left behind?
- 25:21Speaking of jobs, we have one available at the curve.
- 25:23It is a junior-editor role and it is based in London.
- 25:26It's full-time and you get to work with the amazing curve team.
- 25:29If you're interested, we'll put the link in the podcast show notes.
- 25:33But the applications close on the 30th of May.
- 25:36Yeah, it's just the MLS is telling me it's the 30th May.
- 25:38Yeah.
- 25:39Now we have our community question, which I love these.
- 25:41And it says, when people say they're getting an income
- 25:45from their investments, i.e. being able to retire
- 25:48because of investing, are they selling their stocks
- 25:51to generate income or is this from dividends?
- 25:53Really good question.
- 25:54Look, it completely depends.
- 25:56Some people do both.
- 25:58So some people might sell their stocks.
- 26:00Some of them might just live off the dividends.
- 26:02It completely is up to their own situation.
- 26:05So firstly, some of them might live off the dividends.
- 26:08So that just means that they're getting paid
- 26:11for owning the shares.
- 26:11So if you think of, maybe a property.
- 26:13If you think of a property and you rent that out
- 26:16and you get rental income, it's exactly the same.
- 26:18A dividend, when you own a share,
- 26:19you get paid some of the profits.
- 26:20So that's kind of what a dividend is.
- 26:22If you have a large enough sum,
- 26:23you can actually generate a pretty livable income
- 26:26off your shares that give you dividends.
- 26:29Let's use an example.
- 26:30If we had someone called Sarah who say she owned 500,000
- 26:36by the time she retired in a dividend paying fund
- 26:39or in stocks that pay dividends,
- 26:41and she received a 4% dividend each year.
- 26:46That's $20,000 a year.
- 26:47So if that's enough for her to live off, that's great.
- 26:49She doesn't have to sell her stocks
- 26:50because she can just live off the dividend part,
- 26:52if that makes sense.
- 26:53So her 500,000 just keeps growing and growing
- 26:57and she just kind of clips the 20,000 in dividends
- 27:00each year that it pays.
- 27:02And she can live off that absolutely fine.
- 27:04So she didn't have to dig into her 500,000 if that wasn't enough
- 27:09and you actually had to maybe do a combination of both.
- 27:13So you had the 20,000 from the dividends,
- 27:15but then you also maybe had to take out 10,000
- 27:18by selling your shares.
- 27:19Then yes, you're going to reduce that amount
- 27:21that 500,000 each year.
- 27:23So there is actually a really good rule
- 27:27and that most kind of financial advisor
- 27:28and financial planners use.
- 27:30And it's called this rule of 4%.
- 27:33And it's the idea that if you withdraw
- 27:35no more than 4% of your portfolio each year,
- 27:39your money should last about 30 years.
- 27:41So if you decided you know what,
- 27:44I think I can live off 40,000 a year
- 27:46when I'm in retirement,
- 27:47then kind of back solving that,
- 27:49you'd need a million dollars when you retire.
- 27:52So 4% for 30 years on a million dollars
- 27:56is about 40,000 a year to live off.
- 27:59So if you're like, you know what, actually 40,000,
- 28:01I can't live off that, I need 60,000.
- 28:03Then when you retire, you'd need 1.5 million.
- 28:06So it's called this rule of 4%.
- 28:084% of 1.5 million is 60,000.
- 28:12So if you can live off that per year,
- 28:14that's what you need when you reach retirement
- 28:16is 1.5 million.
- 28:17And just to be clear,
- 28:18you are not taking 4% out from when you first start investing,
- 28:21you are taking 4% out when you retire at 65.
- 28:24Yep, just to be clear.
- 28:28Thank you so much for listening to The Curve Weekly.
- 28:30Make sure you hit subscribe or follow wherever you're listening.
- 28:32So you're always up to date with the latest finance
- 28:34and investing news.
- 28:35And feel free to leave a comment
- 28:36to let us know what you thought about this episode
- 28:38because we would love your feedback.
- 28:40We've got new Curve Weekly episodes
- 28:41for you to listen to every Monday.
- 28:43But until then,
- 28:44listen to a raise in the curve.
- 28:45These are our in-depth podcast episodes
- 28:47where we chat about all things money.
- 28:48We're also around all week on socials,
- 28:50if you're hungry for more Curve content
- 28:51and all the links are in this podcast store notes.
- 28:54We hope you have a great week
- 28:55and we'll catch you for the next episode
- 28:57of The Curve Weekly on Monday.
- 28:58Okay, quickly, the curve was created to empower
- 29:08and educate you about investing,
- 29:09but we are not financial advisors.
- 29:12Our platform exists for educational purposes only
- 29:14and it doesn't provide personalized
- 29:16investing advice for your individual needs
- 29:17and should not be relied upon to make
- 29:19an investment or financial decision.
- 29:21And always remember to do your own research
- 29:23before making any investment or financial decision.
- 29:26We're here for any knowledge and support you need,
- 29:28but the final call is always yours.
- 29:30And thanks for being here. You got this.
- 29:32Yeah, we know you got this.