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Ranking Every Week 1 RB as a Start or Sit · BDGE Fantasy Football

0:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Good morning friends and enemies and welcome into the very first video of the 2026 regular season We will be going into a deep dive for all the running backs in this upcoming slate All right, we will be going game by game talking through each running back in each game And if you enjoy this we're doing the same exact thing for wide receivers tomorrow We'll be doing this all season long every single week So make sure you subscribe if you like this style of content.
0:23
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, it's a big day We all got things to do.
0:26
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's jump in
0:26
[SPEAKER_00]: So, quick reminder, this is how things work.
0:29
[SPEAKER_00]: We are gonna go game by game.
0:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Every single game in the slate through this drop down, we will have players over here, every single fantasy relevant running back.
0:36
[SPEAKER_00]: And I will drop them into one of five tiers of Mustart.
0:39
[SPEAKER_00]: It feels good to have in your lineup, a dub flex, a shaky flex, and an overall rather not.
0:44
[SPEAKER_00]: And as we talk through these things, we will cover the overall game situation, the game flow, different injuries that we are dealing with.
0:51
[SPEAKER_00]: The practice reports going into the game, if there are any weather concerns we will talk through it.
0:56
[SPEAKER_00]: And of course we'll talk through the actual defensive matchups for all the running backs as well as their Vegas props.
1:01
[SPEAKER_00]: It is everything that you need at your fingertips.
1:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Hopefully help you make this single greatest hit start decisions you've ever made in your lives.
1:08
[SPEAKER_00]: So things kick off New England at Seattle on Wednesday night.
1:13
[SPEAKER_00]: They are playing in Seattle.
1:14
[SPEAKER_00]: New England is a three and a half point underdog with a 44 and a half point total.
1:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Good weather all around, but good defenses all
1:22
[SPEAKER_00]: We have two injuries that are of note right now.
1:25
[SPEAKER_00]: Trayvion Henderson's been at a practice for a while with an ankle injury.
1:29
[SPEAKER_00]: It does feel like he is trending towards not playing in this one, but there are still a couple days left of practice.
1:36
[SPEAKER_00]: If it was a minor ankle injury, which feels like he would've got back to practice by now, but he could still get a limited practice in on Monday or Tuesday and suit up for this one.
1:44
[SPEAKER_00]: So we don't wanna make any hard statuses about that, but it does look like Ramanjari's line over here.
1:49
[SPEAKER_00]: 80 total yards is starting to creep up and up and up looks like Vegas is not expecting Craven Henderson to play and if he does play, looks like he'll have a limited role in that.
1:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Christian Barmore, there are other interior defensive linemen next to Milton Williams.
2:04
[SPEAKER_00]: He did not play, he's been kind of dealing with this neat thing all summer.
2:07
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know if this is just like a rest day for him, but if he misses this game, the interior of the line for New England would be at a bit of a deficit there, so that's a plus for this Seattle side of things.
2:16
[SPEAKER_00]: Overall, with Remandre, he's going to be the starter here.
2:19
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to get the majority of work, even if Trevion Henderson is healthy.
2:23
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go into the field's good category as it relates to where the statuses are right now.
2:27
[SPEAKER_00]: Let me minimize this.
2:28
[SPEAKER_00]: You got, this feels about right.
2:30
[SPEAKER_00]: I think you guys can see the majority of players on the board.
2:33
[SPEAKER_00]: As always, we want to improve as the weeks go by, so let me know if this is like too small or this is a good size for you guys.
2:39
[SPEAKER_00]: So Remandre, I put him in the field's good category.
2:42
[SPEAKER_00]: He would without a doubt be in the Mustard category at this point if he was going against
2:45
[SPEAKER_00]: A more lenient defense, but obviously Seattle is ferocious here.
2:49
[SPEAKER_00]: You can see a lot of red across the board and just to give you guys a little bit more texture onto what these dots are.
2:55
[SPEAKER_00]: The leftmost dot is fantasy points per game allowed.
2:58
[SPEAKER_00]: This is like Seattle's run defense.
3:00
[SPEAKER_00]: This is EPA per Rush allowed.
3:01
[SPEAKER_00]: This is success rate allowed and this is explosive plays allowed.
3:04
[SPEAKER_00]: So you can see Seattle's run defense is obviously elite.
3:06
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, those are 20, 25 numbers.
3:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, we don't have any 20, 26 data.
3:10
[SPEAKER_00]: So we can't update those numbers yet, but they will be updated as the season progresses.
3:15
[SPEAKER_00]: But a lot of red just think of it intuitively.
3:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Red means very tough matchup.
3:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Green means great matchup for the running back.
3:21
[SPEAKER_00]: So reminder, I think it's going to get a ton of work.
3:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Might struggle on the ground.
3:24
[SPEAKER_00]: Efficiency wise, because Seattle's run defense is so good.
3:28
[SPEAKER_00]: But overall, should see a very, very healthy volume of touches in this one.
3:32
[SPEAKER_00]: should catch a decent amount of passes if he's playing on all three downs, and Vegas has him as a coin flip to score a touchdown.
3:37
[SPEAKER_00]: So I can't see a lot of teams that have much better options than Roman Drake this week.
3:42
[SPEAKER_00]: Judarian Price is kind of like the black box here.
3:44
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, we haven't seen a ton of them throughout the summer, but Seattle's very high in them.
3:47
[SPEAKER_00]: The first round pick on him for me.
3:49
[SPEAKER_00]: He's a dub flex.
3:50
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I feel pretty good about him.
3:51
[SPEAKER_00]: This is another tough match up going against the New England run defense.
3:54
[SPEAKER_00]: There is no Christian Bar more.
3:56
[SPEAKER_00]: I like that a lot more.
3:57
[SPEAKER_00]: I think they're going to let this man rip.
3:58
[SPEAKER_00]: I think George Alonni is going to play a role in my ready to put him in a lineup.
4:02
[SPEAKER_00]: No, he's definitely a shaky flex for me at best here.
4:05
[SPEAKER_00]: You could see the Vegas totals here have him at 19 and a half rushing yards, 11 and half receiving yards.
4:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Jerry and Price all the way up at 60 total yards and plus 120.
4:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Two score of touchdown in this one.
4:15
[SPEAKER_00]: You can definitely find worse guys thrown in your lineup.
4:17
[SPEAKER_00]: The engineering and price.
4:18
[SPEAKER_00]: If I have them on my team, I have no problem throwing him into my flex spot.
4:22
[SPEAKER_00]: And seeing what they do with their first round running back here.
4:25
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he takes the majority of early down touches.
4:27
[SPEAKER_00]: And I know there's been a lot of, you know, talk about, oh, George Alonni is going to be the guy on the goal line.
4:31
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think that might happen here and there, but I think they're going to split goal line carries.
4:35
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's not like George Alonni is Derek Henry.
4:37
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not like George Alonni is this like big bruising back, who, like, you need to have it on the goal line.
4:41
[SPEAKER_00]: I think they'd like to have a breather back for jerry and price.
4:44
[SPEAKER_00]: They'd like to have a guy that plays on alternate downs, but I don't think George Alonni is a guy that you go out of your way for to put him in
4:50
[SPEAKER_00]: over a generic price if he happens to be on the field already for the goal line stuff.
4:54
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm not as concerned about those reports.
4:55
[SPEAKER_00]: I think Cologne will still play 30 to 35% of the snaps, but I'm excited to see what they let generic price do.
5:02
[SPEAKER_00]: And, you know, it is trending toward Trayvon Henderson, probably not playing, but if he does suit up, very, very shaky flex for me.
5:08
[SPEAKER_00]: He's not someone I want to put my line up right now.
5:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to game number two, which is Thursday night in Melbourne, out in Australia, you've got San Francisco against the Los Angeles Rams.
5:18
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a really fun one.
5:19
[SPEAKER_00]: We won't waste time here on C-Mac.
5:21
[SPEAKER_00]: He goes right into the Mustart category.
5:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Kyra Williams, I think I still feel a good about him.
5:24
[SPEAKER_00]: I know they're going to use quite a bit of split backfield work here between Kyra Williams and Blake Corn.
5:30
[SPEAKER_00]: But I still think Kyra and ends up being the dude who catches the majority of passes.
5:35
[SPEAKER_00]: More often than not, he will be in on the goal line.
5:38
[SPEAKER_00]: And honestly, I think it's the season progresses.
5:39
[SPEAKER_00]: We'll probably see the split get closer and closer to merging near 50, 50.
5:44
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think with Kyron early on, I want to take advantage of the matchup for him.
5:49
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's going to go into the field's good category for me.
5:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Blake Korm, I don't know that I necessarily put him into the Doug Flex category.
5:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, I'm not overly excited to get him into my lineup because he'll probably get 10, 11 carries, but plus 150 to score,
6:02
[SPEAKER_00]: a touchdown nine and a half rushing attempts per Vegas.
6:05
[SPEAKER_00]: It is relatively a good matchup on paper, but you've got to remember that San Francisco is getting a lot of the players back that we're injured last year, Fred Warner, et cetera.
6:13
[SPEAKER_00]: So there'll be a better defense than they were last year.
6:15
[SPEAKER_00]: And I'd even go into the game.
6:16
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a three and a half point game in favor of the Los Angeles Rams, a nice 48 and a half point total.
6:23
[SPEAKER_00]: So definitely one that you want to have pieces of,
6:25
[SPEAKER_00]: For right now, Blake Horn is going to go into the shaky flex category, like he, I don't feel as good about him as I do with the guy like Jderian Price, but I'll definitely go more towards the top of the shaky flex category for me.
6:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Next game, we've got the 1pm slate, Chicago at Carolina.
6:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Chicago, only 3.0 favorites here, a 46.5 point total, just wonderful weather out there.
6:46
[SPEAKER_00]: You got 90 degree heat, clear skies all through and through.
6:50
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have any practice reports for any of these games, in case you're curious about how that works.
6:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Basically, you have three practice reports leading up to the games.
6:58
[SPEAKER_00]: If you're playing on Sunday, you get practice reports on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday for Wednesday's game, this upcoming Wednesday game, the first game.
7:06
[SPEAKER_00]: We had a practice report yesterday for Sunday, which is why we knew Trayvon Anderson Christian Barmer weren't playing.
7:10
[SPEAKER_00]: So you typically get the three days leading up to the game.
7:14
[SPEAKER_00]: There's one day break in between it, and then you get the final game.
7:17
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's like practice reports for Monday, would be Thursday Friday, Saturday, breaks Sunday, game Monday.
7:23
[SPEAKER_00]: So we don't act, I film, I'm filming this Monday morning right now, September 7th, 8 a.m.
7:27
[SPEAKER_00]: So unfortunately, we can kind of only go off of vibes right now, and the vibes for Chicago and Calmanungai,
7:33
[SPEAKER_00]: are very much in favor of the Andre Swift being a bell-cow out the gates, and this is one where like we saw last year, Chicago any time they had a running-back get the combined work of both guys back there between Swift and Monungai, that person ended up being one of the better fantasy options in all of the NFL because Ben Johnson's offense is so fantasy running back friendly.
7:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Their offensive line is very good.
7:56
[SPEAKER_00]: They have to score a lot of points here.
7:58
[SPEAKER_00]: The over under in this game's pretty healthy for a game that has Caroline in it, 46 and a half point.
8:03
[SPEAKER_00]: So the answer is actually going to go right into the Mustard category for me, especially if Kylemanungai misses.
8:08
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he's got 84 total yards.
8:10
[SPEAKER_00]: That reception line at two and a half is beautiful.
8:12
[SPEAKER_00]: If Kylemanungai misses, minus 180 to score a touchdown in this one.
8:16
[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, I actually have no limit of where I feel like you can probably rank the Andre Swift in week one, but he must be in your lineup.
8:24
[SPEAKER_00]: If one on guys suits up, he's definitely going to be a shaky flex.
8:26
[SPEAKER_00]: He's missed a lot of time with the hyper extension in his knee.
8:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know how healthy he's going to be.
8:30
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know if he's going to be ready to go.
8:31
[SPEAKER_00]: There's some guys behind Swift like Rochon Johnson and I can't even remember the other dude, but it doesn't really matter.
8:36
[SPEAKER_00]: None of those guys are taking away Belkow work from DeAndre Swift.
8:39
[SPEAKER_00]: If Kyleman on guy misses this one.
8:41
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, we've got kind of a shaky situation here, obviously.
8:44
[SPEAKER_00]: With you, Bahubber Jonathan Brooks, Juba Hubbard missed the last few weeks with a soft tissue injury, but he is by all accounts ready to go for week one.
8:52
[SPEAKER_00]: Jonathan Brooks is also missed time with a little bit of soreness, but I think he's going to be good to go.
8:56
[SPEAKER_00]: So a lot of optimism at a camp about how they're both going to be ready to go.
9:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Does that make me feel good about either of them?
9:02
[SPEAKER_00]: No.
9:02
[SPEAKER_00]: The matchup is great against this week Chicago defense.
9:06
[SPEAKER_00]: So I don't mind rolling the dice on either of these guys.
9:09
[SPEAKER_00]: And I'm actually slightly ahead of Chuba Hubbard over Jonathan Brooks' week.
9:14
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the coaching staff probably trusts Chubo a little bit more.
9:16
[SPEAKER_00]: I also, like, I don't think giving Jonathan Brooks any sort of like bell cow or workhorse role off the rip outside of a Chubo Hubbard injury to start the year was ever going to be in their plans.
9:26
[SPEAKER_00]: This is always going to be a committee, at least for the first half of the season.
9:29
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think the matchup kind of lends itself to someone having a good game.
9:32
[SPEAKER_00]: And I'm going to roll the dice on Chubo here, especially early in the season.
9:36
[SPEAKER_00]: If there is a time again when Jonathan Brooks takes over more so in the backfield, I think it'll be, you know, past week, four, past week, six, past week, eight.
9:43
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm gonna throw Chuba in the bottom part of the dub flex category and then Jonathan Brooks, more towards the top end of the shaky flex category for now.
9:51
[SPEAKER_00]: As you can see, Chuba's got a little bit higher every anytime touch on odds.
9:54
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he ends up catching more passes in this one and they probably split work near evenly on the rushing department.
9:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving over to Tampa Bay and the Cincinnati Bengals, they are in Cincinnati.
10:05
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 50 and a half point total in this one.
10:07
[SPEAKER_00]: So supposed to be a lot of points that just makes sense given the two matchups here.
10:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Chase Brown is definitely not one that we're going to overthink despite the Tampa Bay buck and years defense actually being really good in terms of EPA per Rush and success rate per Rush.
10:20
[SPEAKER_00]: But this is a Cincinnati offense and I think they could just kind of beat them through the air here.
10:24
[SPEAKER_00]: So Chase Brown's going to go into the Mustard category for me.
10:28
[SPEAKER_00]: On the Tampa Bay side of things, we've got Bucky and Cadet's Game Well, of course going against one of the Sloppy or Defenses in football.
10:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, they did add Dexter Lawrence, added some guys on the defensive side of the ball that I think will make their defense a lot better than it was prior.
10:41
[SPEAKER_00]: They do have that big imposing threat in the middle of that defensive line, which will obviously help stop the run.
10:46
[SPEAKER_00]: But overall, I'm optimistic about Bucky early on, especially in this matchup.
10:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's going to go into the feels good category.
10:51
[SPEAKER_00]: I think if you have Bucky, this is like,
10:53
[SPEAKER_00]: one of the matchups that you're really excited to get him in for.
10:55
[SPEAKER_00]: 72 total yards per Vegas, two and a half reception total, expecting a lot of points here.
11:00
[SPEAKER_00]: So I like Bucky here, Gainwell's a little bit tougher.
11:03
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I feel good about the outlook because they're going against Cincinnati.
11:07
[SPEAKER_00]: They pay them a lot of money.
11:08
[SPEAKER_00]: I'd imagine they have some plays like drawn up for him right away.
11:11
[SPEAKER_00]: That's the thing when you sign these guys very early on.
11:14
[SPEAKER_00]: Even if Gainwell ends up flaming out for Tampa Bay, like,
11:16
[SPEAKER_00]: You know they're going to force the situation for the first month of the season regardless.
11:20
[SPEAKER_00]: So I do feel like this is PPR rankings, by the way, on the site right now, you have half PPR, full PPR, anything that you need for your league is available to you, but as I'm talking through these rankings, this is more so just like a game outlook and how I'm feeling about these players, but when I am thinking through these for the most part, they are full PPR leagues.
11:37
[SPEAKER_00]: and off the old kind of game wall to the dub flex category because I think this is a game that you kind of just want to attach pieces to.
11:43
[SPEAKER_00]: You also have pretty banged up Tampa Bay wide receiver group right now, America, Boooka, who is supposedly slated to play week one.
11:50
[SPEAKER_00]: You got Jalen McMillan banged up and you have a bunch of kind of unproven guys behind them.
11:53
[SPEAKER_00]: They might need to lean on the running back group here, catching more passes out of the back field.
11:57
[SPEAKER_00]: So I like kind of game wall.
11:58
[SPEAKER_00]: I think you can throw them into the dub flex categories.
12:00
[SPEAKER_00]: You got two running backs for Tampa Bay that are startable this week.
12:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to New Orleans at Detroit's Jamir Gibbs going right to the top of the Mustard category.
12:10
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 49.5-point total.
12:12
[SPEAKER_00]: They're obviously playing in the dome.
12:13
[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing at Detroit.
12:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Detroit is 7-point favorites here.
12:17
[SPEAKER_00]: This is one of those matchups that like you draft Travis CTN4.
12:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Even if Detroit is relatively good against running backs, it's like these are the matchups where it's like high-flying ton of plays being run.
12:28
[SPEAKER_00]: A ton of offense happening, just a ton of explosive happening as well.
12:32
[SPEAKER_00]: So for Travis ETN, for me, he's going into the field's good category and the very, very top of it.
12:38
[SPEAKER_00]: And if you wanted the throw him into the Mustard, I've got no problem with it.
12:41
[SPEAKER_00]: Alvin Kumar are going to miss this one very, very likely, and there's no one behind your mirror gives that I want to have in my lineup, so we can move right to Buffalo at
12:49
[SPEAKER_00]: Houston now this one's being played at Houston.
12:52
[SPEAKER_00]: So we've got no other concerns.
12:53
[SPEAKER_00]: We are in the dome Buffalo one and a half point underdogs in this one being in Houston.
12:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously as a phenomenal defense, but you're not not starting James Cook.
13:01
[SPEAKER_00]: I know on paper the matchup seems very scary.
13:03
[SPEAKER_00]: And this they're one of the best, you know, defenses all around past, run, etc.
13:06
[SPEAKER_00]: You can see all the red across the board here.
13:08
[SPEAKER_00]: However, James Cook has played against Houston.
13:10
[SPEAKER_00]: in each of the last two seasons and had two very, very, very strong fantasy days in both of those games.
13:15
[SPEAKER_00]: So let's not overthink James Cook here.
13:17
[SPEAKER_00]: On the other side of things, you've got David Montgomery shooting up against the Buffalo.
13:21
[SPEAKER_00]: His very first game as a Houston Texan.
13:25
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, Buffalo's run defense has been really poor over the last two years.
13:29
[SPEAKER_00]: And you know, David Montgomery, you know, they signed him to kind of be the workhorse.
13:32
[SPEAKER_00]: And I wouldn't be surprised if they tried to lean on him out of the gates.
13:36
[SPEAKER_00]: Do I feel like any either of these guys?
13:39
[SPEAKER_00]: Do I feel like David Montgomery is going to be a bell cow?
13:41
[SPEAKER_00]: No, I think people need to like be able to use their brain with a little bit of nuance here when it comes to the situation.
13:46
[SPEAKER_00]: It feels like everybody on Twitter is either like, oh, David Montgomery is going to be the bell cow and get 90% of the work of course he is because that's how they want to run their offense or it's like nope.
13:54
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a clear 50 50 between David Montgomery and Woody Mars.
13:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Just turn your brain on a little bit.
13:58
[SPEAKER_00]: They're just very, very clear like Dave Montgomery's very good at this.
14:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Very good at early downs can be the thumper can be the goal line guy.
14:06
[SPEAKER_00]: Also good enough to catch passes on first and second down.
14:09
[SPEAKER_00]: What he marks is a pass catching specialist.
14:10
[SPEAKER_00]: He's not good at running him between the tackles, but he is good on third downs.
14:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Those are probably going to be the fucking rolls here.
14:15
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have to like think past that.
14:17
[SPEAKER_00]: So Houston, it kind of depends on what you think their offense is going to be able to do against his Buffalo defense.
14:22
[SPEAKER_00]: I think they're very much going to try to establish the run.
14:24
[SPEAKER_00]: So for me, Dave and Montgomery, I think we'll get the work here minus 125 in terms of any time touchdown here.
14:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, Buffalo has got a lot of green there, not a good run defense.
14:34
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go into the Doug Flex category for me.
14:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Do I feel great about having him in my lineup?
14:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Not really, I do think there's, you know, some world where he gets 13, 14 carries goes for 60, 70 yards.
14:45
[SPEAKER_00]: If he doesn't end up scoring a touchdown, it feels like it could be disappointing, but this is also one of those games where if he ended up scoring multiple touchdowns like wouldn't surprise me either.
14:53
[SPEAKER_00]: He's definitely going towards the top of the dub flex category, though Woody Marks is going to end up being a shaky flex for me.
14:58
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have word on Ty Johnson yet, and not that you would ever have him in your lineup, obviously, but it's something I should touch on as it comes to James Cook to kind of like calm your nerves a bit.
15:06
[SPEAKER_00]: Ty Johnson hasn't practiced in weeks, but since the beginning of August, and as of like September 2nd or 3rd, he's still was not practicing.
15:13
[SPEAKER_00]: So this is obviously relatively serious lower body injury and Ty Johnson's the dude who comes in and catches passes on third downs.
15:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Like James Cook might catch, you know, four or five passes a game while Ty Johnson is out.
15:24
[SPEAKER_00]: So love that reception line here for James Cook at two and a half if Ty Johnson misses, obviously keep an eye on practice reports.
15:29
[SPEAKER_00]: But I think despite the matchup, you could make an argument to move James Cook like very far up the rankings this week, just purely based on the role he's probably going to have.
15:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to the next matchup.
15:38
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Baltimore at Indianapolis.
15:40
[SPEAKER_00]: They are at Indianapolis.
15:41
[SPEAKER_00]: So they are in a dome this is a 47.5 point total.
15:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Baltimore 3 point favorites here.
15:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously Derek Henry is going into your lineup.
15:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously Jonathan Taylor is going into your lineup.
15:50
[SPEAKER_00]: There's nothing really that we need to talk about in that one.
15:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to Cleveland at Jacksonville.
15:56
[SPEAKER_00]: This is where things get a little bit messy.
15:57
[SPEAKER_00]: They are in Jacksonville.
15:59
[SPEAKER_00]: It's going to be very nice weather, but it is a 40 and a half point total here.
16:04
[SPEAKER_00]: These are two teams with above average defenses.
16:08
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a seven and a half point favorite game for the Jacksonville Jaguars.
16:12
[SPEAKER_00]: For Judkins to be a good play for you this week, he obviously needs to rip off a very big run
16:23
[SPEAKER_00]: I can't say I do.
16:24
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to throw him into the Dove Flex category.
16:26
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I think their offense is going to feature Quint John Johnkins.
16:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I think they're going to run through him.
16:30
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I think he's going to be the guy here.
16:33
[SPEAKER_00]: I imagine they give him as much work as he can handle on early downs and try to not let Jacksonville's offense be on the field for as much as they probably are going to be.
16:41
[SPEAKER_00]: But still at that same pace, plus 150 any time touched down here, which is almost the same odds as George Alani and even worse than Jonathan Brooks.
16:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So really like Quint Chaud-Judkins as a player.
16:53
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't know that this is the week that I'm like dying to get him into my lineup right away.
16:57
[SPEAKER_00]: And don't Samsung, underneath him, is also kind of in that category for me.
17:02
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side of things, it looks like Quint Allen is going to be out for this one.
17:07
[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, which gives us a backfield of, like, base y'all to in Chris Rotterie is they signed a mirror of Duela, so they probably will force some other random player until like a third down roll, but I do think it probably raises the floor a little bit for the guy like base y'all to and maybe playing on a little bit more of the passing down roll.
17:22
[SPEAKER_00]: And I do think he goes into the year as the starter.
17:24
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that is his job kind of to lose there.
17:26
[SPEAKER_00]: That seems like what the reports out of camp have been.
17:28
[SPEAKER_00]: This is obviously an explosive offense, but Cleveland's defense despite losing Miles Garret is still like not one that you're going to run all over.
17:35
[SPEAKER_00]: So with base all two in and this Jacksonville backfield overall, this is one, it's, you probably want to see one go through the hoop before you get overly excited about it.
17:45
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I'm fine throwing two into the dub flex category, like I think he's fine in your lineup, but there are definitely a lot of options this week that I would rather throw into my lineup.
17:55
[SPEAKER_00]: If I have a lineup that's luxurious enough to have those opportunities here,
17:59
[SPEAKER_00]: We just don't know how this backfield is going to play out yet.
18:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I think to like overplay your hand in week one to really think that you know how it's going to work, probably going to bite you in the ass a little bit there.
18:08
[SPEAKER_00]: So, Tune will get into the dub flex category, but I think there are better options this week.
18:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Rodriguez is going to the shaky flex category, and then we can move on to the next game, which is Atlanta at Pittsburgh, good weather here, 42 and a half point total.
18:22
[SPEAKER_00]: This is going to be a mess of a game, Atlanta three and a half
18:24
[SPEAKER_00]: point underdogs here.
18:26
[SPEAKER_00]: There's obviously nothing to talk about on the Atlanta side of things.
18:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Be John's going into the Mustard category and flip side.
18:32
[SPEAKER_00]: This is where things get a little bit dicey obviously because you got Rico Dattle coming over to Pittsburgh and you got Jalen Warren who's already cemented as a player there.
18:38
[SPEAKER_00]: This to me is going to be a clear one a one or you know one A one B situation or whatever you want to look at it.
18:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Me personally I like Warren a little bit more.
18:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, I do think Rico probably ends up with more volume end of year, as long as he, you know, doesn't get hurt.
18:51
[SPEAKER_00]: But I think just the fit of this offense, like, I think I like Mike McCarthy coming in calling the plays there.
18:57
[SPEAKER_00]: And obviously with Aaron Rodgers and the way that he plays at this point of his career, I think Warren just kind of fits what they're going to do there a little bit more.
19:03
[SPEAKER_00]: But Mike McCarthy and Rico doodle have that, you know, that chemistry from their time in Dallas.
19:07
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's another one, sort of like Jacksonville where I think you're doing yourself a disservice if you are like,
19:12
[SPEAKER_00]: going into week one with two strong of an opinion or a take on one of these players or the other.
19:18
[SPEAKER_00]: Vegas actually sees this as pretty even here.
19:21
[SPEAKER_00]: They give the rushing edge a little bit to Rico doubtal here.
19:23
[SPEAKER_00]: 50 and a half rushing yards, 12 and a half rushing attempts were Jalen Warrens at nine and a half and 40 and a half rushing yards, but they do give the edge obviously to Warren in the passcatching department two and a half receptions over one and a half.
19:34
[SPEAKER_00]: There are any time touchdown odds are exactly the same at plus one thirty five.
19:37
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think the right way to look at this is, you know, in PPR, I probably throw Jaylon Warren to the dub flex category.
19:43
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think it could make the case that Rico can be in the dub flex or the top of the shaky flex category because the matchup is good.
19:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Like the Atlanta Falcons team is going to be hot.
19:50
[SPEAKER_00]: asked this year.
19:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Our defense was like kind of good last year because our rookie edge players, Jalen Walker, and James Pierce Jr were kind of prolific for us as as far as rookies can go, but we will be without both of them for the first, well, Jalen Walker for the entire season but James Pierce for the first eight games of the season.
20:08
[SPEAKER_00]: So I just don't expect us to be very good.
20:10
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, I think you can make the case for Rico Dattel to be at the bottom of the dub flex tier or the top of the shaky flex tier.
20:16
[SPEAKER_00]: If you move towards more of like a half
20:20
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'll throw them at the bottom of the dub flex here for now, and if you do want to see where I end up landing with all these players like exactly where they slot in exactly their rankings.
20:29
[SPEAKER_00]: Our weak one rankings are live on the site for all fantasy Members and all the information that we talk about throughout these videos is available for you So just on the site and the fantasy drop down you got the start sit rankings.
20:40
[SPEAKER_00]: That's all the players obviously, you know, position by position Um, whatever, you know, leagues settings are in.
20:45
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't do standard because like I'm just I'm just done with that
20:48
[SPEAKER_00]: We're just phasing that out of the industry.
20:49
[SPEAKER_00]: The adult mind real quick, but it's got all the game information, you know, the team total.
20:53
[SPEAKER_00]: It's got all the weather data throughout the year.
20:55
[SPEAKER_00]: So anytime team is playing outdoors, you will have hour by hour weather data available to you.
21:00
[SPEAKER_00]: You'll have match of information, fantasy points per game allowed, EPA per pass, explosive pass plays allowed, and then every single player is Vegas props.
21:07
[SPEAKER_00]: throughout the year every single game.
21:09
[SPEAKER_00]: You can click into a player and you'll have this little pop-up drawer here, which will also include practice reports for that given team.
21:15
[SPEAKER_00]: All the information you need, and if you want to actually use a tool like compare players, I used to use this in my content last year quite a bit.
21:22
[SPEAKER_00]: Now you guys actually have the availability to use this yourself.
21:25
[SPEAKER_00]: At any point, you can sync your leagues here.
21:27
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21:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Nico Collins, whatever, you can click those two players and it'll pop up all the information that you need in order to just like decide between the two.
21:42
[SPEAKER_00]: It'll have our ranking like positional ranking for that week.
21:45
[SPEAKER_00]: It'll have the flex ranking.
21:46
[SPEAKER_00]: More importantly, it'll have all the information that you actually need kind of at your fingertips to make these decisions of who to sit start.
21:52
[SPEAKER_00]: So you can go sign up to be a fantasy member at bdge.co.
21:56
[SPEAKER_00]: The fantasy membership is on there.
21:57
[SPEAKER_00]: You can get this basically for the entire season three months free.
22:01
[SPEAKER_00]: If you are a new user on bed and GM, all you got to do is go over to their app or their website.
22:07
[SPEAKER_00]: When you sign up for the very first time, use our code bdge.
22:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Play any slip on their $10 or more as soon as you do.
22:14
[SPEAKER_00]: They're going to message you in app.
22:16
[SPEAKER_00]: With a promo code to use on our website that will give you three months free of our entire website, fantasy membership.
22:22
[SPEAKER_00]: So you'll get all these tools that are included in this video for the next three months, which will take you into December, basically.
22:28
[SPEAKER_00]: All right.
22:28
[SPEAKER_00]: All these rankings are curated, updated, made, and massaged in real time throughout the entirety of the week.
22:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's keep moving down.
22:36
[SPEAKER_00]: We have the last one o'clock slate game.
22:38
[SPEAKER_00]: I believe.
22:39
[SPEAKER_00]: Oh, we've got a little bit of a weather warning here.
22:41
[SPEAKER_00]: First weather warning of the day 11% rain 95 temperature up to 50%.
22:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, that doesn't really feel like it needs to be a yellow warning.
22:50
[SPEAKER_00]: We need to work on that algorithm quite a bit.
22:52
[SPEAKER_00]: Not overly concerned about the weather there, but it is the New York Jets at the Tennessee Titans.
22:56
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 39 and a half point game total, which I believe is the lowest on the slate.
23:01
[SPEAKER_00]: The Jets are one and a half point underdogs here.
23:04
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Breeze Hall, the starter for New York, Etsy extension, and all the talk this off season is how he's going to
23:09
[SPEAKER_00]: be their bell cow.
23:11
[SPEAKER_00]: And I believe that for at least the first month, first two months, as you can see his 82 total yards are pretty pretty strong for a week one.
23:21
[SPEAKER_00]: It's kind of on par with, you know, Romandre here.
23:23
[SPEAKER_00]: He's close like Chase Brown.
23:25
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's very much in the middle of like the feels good Mustard category.
23:28
[SPEAKER_00]: I think just based on the matchup, I think this is a game where the Jess can actually stay in and kind of
23:32
[SPEAKER_00]: go by the game plan that they want to go by, which is probably feeding Breeze Hall the ballad, because when they're playing other teams that are actual NFL teams on like Tennessee Titans, they will not really be able to impose their will per se.
23:45
[SPEAKER_00]: So we'll throw Breeze Hall into the bottom of the Mustard category, Tony Pollard.
23:48
[SPEAKER_00]: On the other side of the ball, you've got him and Tajaj Spears, kind of splitting snaps.
23:51
[SPEAKER_00]: And I do think this will be a one A, one B situation.
23:54
[SPEAKER_00]: The matchup is phenomenal.
23:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously against the New York Jets who will have the second most fantasy points per game to the running back position last year, new team obviously.
24:02
[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, we don't want to just like harp on that.
24:04
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he'll be the guy, obviously early on, like he was last year.
24:07
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm not though Tony Pollard into the dub flex category.
24:10
[SPEAKER_00]: I probably put him over a guy like Rico Dattle, but I do think Tajaj Spears will be a little bit like uncomfortably involved in this offense.
24:16
[SPEAKER_00]: And Tony Pollard will get less and less appealing as a fantasy start as the season goes by.
24:21
[SPEAKER_00]: And as Tajaj Spears can stay more so on the field.
24:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Like Vegas has him as 40 total yards in week one, which feels a little bit high.
24:27
[SPEAKER_00]: But I imagine he's probably going to play between 35 and 45% of the snaps in this one.
24:32
[SPEAKER_00]: Other than that, yeah, we're not looking to start Ray on Allen or anything like that.
24:36
[SPEAKER_00]: So we can move on to the first afternoon game of the slate.
24:39
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Arizona at the Los Angeles Chargers.
24:42
[SPEAKER_00]: This is going to be a good one.
24:43
[SPEAKER_00]: 47.5 point total there in the dome there in LA.
24:47
[SPEAKER_00]: LA is 10 point favorites in this one.
24:49
[SPEAKER_00]: This is obviously one of the trickier games as it relates to injuries.
24:53
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have word on Keaton Mitchell.
24:55
[SPEAKER_00]: He's been out of practice for a bit now.
24:57
[SPEAKER_00]: He wasn't placed on the IR or anything, but his status for a week one is definitely not guaranteed.
25:02
[SPEAKER_00]: And while I think Keaton Mitchell is like going to have his own role regardless, obviously that would kind of raise the floor for the number of snaps that a guy like we're in Hampton is going to play, but overall you just love this matchup out of the gay.
25:12
[SPEAKER_00]: I think they're going to feature their guy right away.
25:14
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm already in Hampton.
25:15
[SPEAKER_00]: I think come on, even though I'll end up playing 20, 30% of the of the snaps here.
25:19
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think you could actually make the case that if Keaton Mitchell misses time, that command of a doll can get thrown into the shaky flex category because the spread of this game.
25:29
[SPEAKER_00]: They are 10 point favorites.
25:30
[SPEAKER_00]: You'd imagine they're going to control the clock, you imagine they're going to control the game.
25:33
[SPEAKER_00]: And that will lead to a ton of running back touches in this one.
25:36
[SPEAKER_00]: Just based on a game script and I think Mike McDonald is a guy who really likes to get multiple backs involved and gets all of them kind of even touches.
25:43
[SPEAKER_00]: On the other side of things, we have Jeremiah love coming back from that ankle injury, not guaranteed to play in week one.
25:48
[SPEAKER_00]: You got to tell her as you'll behind him.
25:49
[SPEAKER_00]: You got James Connor on the IAR, Tray Benson's, you know, was picked back up.
25:52
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's on the practice report, practice water, IAR, whatever, but it's Jeremiah love inside of ours yet right now.
25:58
[SPEAKER_00]: I believe the last report we got was on like September,
26:01
[SPEAKER_00]: third, last Thursday or Friday, and that was at Jeremiah Love was not practicing at the open portion of practice for them, you know, available to the media.
26:09
[SPEAKER_00]: So, has not returned to practice yet.
26:11
[SPEAKER_00]: We obviously need to see him get in like at least a couple of limits this week for him to be able to suit up.
26:16
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a tough match against the L.A. Chargers run defense who did lose Jesse Minter, so maybe they're not as stout, but I would say if you're on my love plays, he's going to go into the dub flex category, but I don't know that I could put a much higher because of the injury he's been dealing with.
26:30
[SPEAKER_00]: I'd imagine they're going to ease him back a little bit because of the injury and probably split time until our year you match that up with, you know, the fact that they're playing against the Chargers so like.
26:40
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I'm fine having Jeremiah love in my line up here.
26:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Probably closer to like the gerian price, David Montgomery, tier, we're like, all right, cool.
26:46
[SPEAKER_00]: He's in my line up, but they're definitely better options.
26:49
[SPEAKER_00]: If you have too strong, too, really strong running back here.
26:51
[SPEAKER_00]: And in that case, how are else year?
26:53
[SPEAKER_00]: We're going to the shaky flux category.
26:54
[SPEAKER_00]: If Jeremiah love ends up missing and Tyler else year is kind of like the bell cow here.
27:00
[SPEAKER_00]: I think you can make the case for him being as high as the field's good category, because he'll monopolize a lot of the work.
27:05
[SPEAKER_00]: They probably will use some sort of like zon of a night in the third down pass catching roles.
27:09
[SPEAKER_00]: So like I don't want to get over my skis.
27:11
[SPEAKER_00]: If you think about how they operated last year with James Connor and Tray Benson, and then as soon as Tray Benson became the guy, it was like,
27:16
[SPEAKER_00]: someone else was the guy behind him.
27:18
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think it took out as your ends up being the start of their return.
27:21
[SPEAKER_00]: I love out for week one.
27:23
[SPEAKER_00]: They will in some capacity end up using a past catching role.
27:26
[SPEAKER_00]: So you know what, I wouldn't put him in the field's good category now.
27:28
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm talking through this more.
27:29
[SPEAKER_00]: He would definitely end up in the dub flex category closer to like a Rico doubtal closer to a Tony Pollard situation because I think that's probably how he gets used in a tough matchup.
27:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Gamescript will be against him because he's not a past catching type of back.
27:41
[SPEAKER_00]: But again, as always, as these injuries kind of come out to us and we learn more information, I will be updating my rankings in real time for you guys available on bdde.co.
27:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Next came up.
27:51
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Miami at the Las Vegas Raiders 40.5 point total.
27:54
[SPEAKER_00]: The Dolphins are three and a half point underdogs.
27:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Devon A chance going right into the most dark category.
27:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, I mean, despite not loving him all offseason, you know, where he was being drafted.
28:04
[SPEAKER_00]: He's still obviously going to be the workhorse there and the offense is going to run through them and in game scripts where they're actually going to be kind of in the game here against the Raiders.
28:12
[SPEAKER_00]: These are the games that you want to take advantage of having the Von H and in your lineup.
28:16
[SPEAKER_00]: So similar to Jeremiah Love, we are still waiting to hear back about Ashton Genties injury dealing with the ankle reports from Raiders camp are that they are optimistic that he'll be ready for a week one.
28:27
[SPEAKER_00]: He didn't practice that all last week, so
28:29
[SPEAKER_00]: still a little bit of a of a murky situation.
28:32
[SPEAKER_00]: I would like him more than I like Jeremiah love here.
28:35
[SPEAKER_00]: If he does end up playing, the match of his obviously way stronger against Miami.
28:40
[SPEAKER_00]: So, Gentie for me is going to be in the feels good category and very close to the top of it.
28:44
[SPEAKER_00]: If he does end up playing and then that puts my Washington very much in the shaky flex, probably towards the bottom of it.
28:49
[SPEAKER_00]: He'll have a roll, but you know, if Gentie's playing, I don't know how big that roll is going to be.
28:53
[SPEAKER_00]: They do obviously trust him there and I think he will actually have a roll throughout the majority of the season.
28:57
[SPEAKER_00]: If Gentie misses this game, I think Mike Washington's a no-brainer to have in your line up and you would go right into the field's good category as well.
29:04
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think regardless, the Raiders probably have a running back that you want to have in your line up if Gentie plays if he does not play.
29:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to Green Bay at Minnesota.
29:12
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 46.5 point total here.
29:15
[SPEAKER_00]: It's the first game with Colour Murray under quarterback there in Minnesota.
29:18
[SPEAKER_00]: Green Bay is one and a half point underdogs in this one.
29:21
[SPEAKER_00]: Without Josh Jacobs, Martian Lloyd is going to be the guy there and I'm going to let him rip for as long as he is in the backfield here.
29:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's going to end up playing a near bell cow roll there, but probably have a mix in match of Christopher Brooks in the backfield playing some of the obvious, you know, past blocking or passing down situations.
29:39
[SPEAKER_00]: I think March on the way you get the goal on work.
29:40
[SPEAKER_00]: I think March on the way you get all of the early down dump offs and catches and things like that.
29:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I like that reception line as well.
29:46
[SPEAKER_00]: It wanted to have some of my favorite lines to take throwing this out there, totally not relevant to what we're talking about.
29:51
[SPEAKER_00]: But love taking running back reception lines, especially early on in the year.
29:55
[SPEAKER_00]: And a lot of times like they're very low because pass catcher or running back or not, viewed as like the pass catcher is per se.
30:02
[SPEAKER_00]: But if a running back is playing the majority of the early down snaps for a team, that's also where a majority of targets come from.
30:08
[SPEAKER_00]: A lot of times when you have a pass catching specialist or a passing down specialist, they're typically saying into block anyways.
30:14
[SPEAKER_00]: So I like to do like March on Lloyd, I think it's going to take a ton of the work early on for this backfield.
30:19
[SPEAKER_00]: So Mark on Lloyd's going to be a feels good for me.
30:22
[SPEAKER_00]: And I would feel damn good about having him in my lineup.
30:24
[SPEAKER_00]: On the other side of things, you've got a split between Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones.
30:28
[SPEAKER_00]: It feels like the kind of mojo at a camp is at Jordan Mason, it is likely going to be more so than guy, but this is definitely going to be a split backfield to start things out.
30:39
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, you got Rico Dally, you got Jalen Warren.
30:41
[SPEAKER_00]: I think this will probably be like a light inversion of that, where Jordan Mason's more of the Rico doubtal.
30:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Aaron Jones is more of the Jalen Warren passcatching fluid, elusive running back, and it'll likely come down to whether or not Jordan Mason scores.
30:53
[SPEAKER_00]: His prop is only at plus 150, so not super heavy odds of score.
30:57
[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's just someone certainty baked into that of what the actual snap share is going to be.
31:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Is Minnesota's offense going to be any good?
31:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Room-based defense not really scary right now.
31:07
[SPEAKER_00]: They work pretty bad last year once Micah Parsons got hurt.
31:10
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's not an overly scary matchup, but I still think until we know how this back feels really going to split out, Jordan Mason is a shaky flex definitely belongs in that, you know, Jonathan Brooks tier where she'd get a decent amount of work, but you don't know how efficient or how fantasy friendly that works going to end up being Aaron Jones can fall into that same category as well.
31:29
[SPEAKER_00]: It's moved to Washington at
31:31
[SPEAKER_00]: Filly here, they are playing infilly.
31:33
[SPEAKER_00]: Filly is only four and a half point favorites.
31:36
[SPEAKER_00]: Kind of surprising there.
31:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Sake Wombarkly should go nuclear against his terrible Washington defense here.
31:41
[SPEAKER_00]: See if there are any improved in the linebacker courts on these styles, etc.
31:45
[SPEAKER_00]: But Sake Wombarkly of course is going right into your lineup with this juicy matchup.
31:48
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side of things,
31:49
[SPEAKER_00]: Little bit tricky here between JCM and Rashad White.
31:52
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't know how this backfield, another one that's going to split up, probably going to depend on what your actual scoring settings are going to be, like in a full PPR league, you know, you might lean a little bit into favor with Rashad White.
32:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Regardless, he's definitely a shaky flex for me.
32:05
[SPEAKER_00]: JCM, definitely going to be a shaky flex as well, though I like him more than Rashad White.
32:09
[SPEAKER_00]: 10 and a half rushing attempts, 41 and a half rushing yards.
32:12
[SPEAKER_00]: Plus 140 on the any time touchdown feels pretty good relative to Rashad White at plus two,
32:16
[SPEAKER_00]: 20.
32:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, this is just not a quarterback that likes to dump the ball off, but it is a very, very, very good defensive course going against Philadelphia here.
32:25
[SPEAKER_00]: So don't know how much success they're going to have on the ground overall.
32:28
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a backfield that I'm probably in wait and see mode on getting these guys into my lineup.
32:32
[SPEAKER_00]: Want to see one kind of go through the hoopier.
32:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Tank bigsby.
32:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Definitely I get it.
32:36
[SPEAKER_00]: He'll probably get some work this year.
32:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Can't report to been exciting, but like I think if you are starting tank bigsby in a flex in week one, you are in tough territory.
32:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving on to Sunday Nightfall, but we've got Dallas at the New York Giants, a 48-and-a-half point total here, Dallas's three point favorites going against the New York Giants defense, which allowed just so many things via the running back last year.
32:58
[SPEAKER_00]: With no jade on blue, Javante Williams is going to play so many snaps.
33:02
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going right into the Mustard category.
33:04
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side of things,
33:05
[SPEAKER_00]: You have this bad field that we don't really know what to make of, right?
33:08
[SPEAKER_00]: You've got Camp Scadabo, who should be the starter, but, you know, kind of splitting snaps in preseason games, and then they sign Nagi Harris, who has like an overlap in terms of like skill set and talent.
33:19
[SPEAKER_00]: So what should we expect for a week one?
33:22
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know, Camp Scadabo for me, just based on the matchup against Dallas, like he's definitely going to be in my lineup, he's going to go into the field's good category.
33:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know that I feel much better about him than I do about these other guys.
33:32
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think Vegas sees it the same way.
33:34
[SPEAKER_00]: He's akin to 65 total yards.
33:36
[SPEAKER_00]: Martian Lloyd's at 63.
33:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Kind of Williams at 68.
33:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Is any time touchdowns at minus 105.
33:41
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's actually juiced a little bit in favor of scoring a touchdown, which makes sense given the match up here and just given the overall game script.
33:48
[SPEAKER_00]: I think could be very, very high scoring in this one with two teams where I think their offenses could be better than the other teams defenses here.
33:55
[SPEAKER_00]: So I like Camp Scatabone week one.
33:56
[SPEAKER_00]: I think if he's in my lineup, I feel pretty good about it.
33:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Other than that though, there's no one in this game that I think you can feel even remotely okay about throwing into your lineup.
34:05
[SPEAKER_00]: So we can move to the very last game of the slate that is Denver at Kansas City.
34:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Kansas City 3.5.43.5, totally.
34:12
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got the new workhorse in Kansas City.
34:15
[SPEAKER_00]: with Kenneth Walker going against one of the tougher defenses in the NFL, obviously in Denver.
34:19
[SPEAKER_00]: So with Kenneth Walker, I think they're going to come out of the gate and I think they're going to give him as much work as he could possibly handle.
34:25
[SPEAKER_00]: However, the matchup is a little bit spooky.
34:27
[SPEAKER_00]: So I mean, listen, if you drafted Kenneth Walker, you did so in like the early second round.
34:31
[SPEAKER_00]: So there's no chance that you're actually sitting him.
34:33
[SPEAKER_00]: But I think based on the matchup, like where I'm going to have him in my ranking, so probably be around RB like 15.
34:38
[SPEAKER_00]: So is there a world where you have a handful of guys like you know you're in a league you're only start to running backs there might be a world where you actually start kind of walker or you actually have guys that you'd have over kind of walker but like unfortunately just needs to mean your line up regardless of matchup so put them at the bottom of mustar put them at the top of feels good whatever you want you'll see my rankings where I end up having him we're just kind of talking through things right now on the flip side you got jk down to i think it's going to you know be the dude in this backfield to start things off for them
35:05
[SPEAKER_00]: But Vegas is not like his or anyone's touchdown lines in this one.
35:10
[SPEAKER_00]: At plus 180, that is criminally low.
35:13
[SPEAKER_00]: But the matchups tough, you don't know how the back feels.
35:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Going to shake out is Jonah Coleman going to have a role.
35:18
[SPEAKER_00]: What is RJ Harvey's role going to be very likely going to be, you know, a pretty clear like pass catching, designed targets and designed touches for your type of role.
35:27
[SPEAKER_00]: Overall, you know, despite how much I like Dobbins, I think the matchup is tough enough that I'm going to throw him into the shaky flex category.
35:32
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not dying to get him into my lineup this week.
35:35
[SPEAKER_00]: based on the matchup, based on the uncertainty in the back field, I think like him in that like chorom, Jordan Mason tier makes a little bit of sense here.
35:43
[SPEAKER_00]: I like him better than those guys, but I don't think when I'm thinking of Dobbins, I'm like excited to get him into my flex necessarily.
35:48
[SPEAKER_00]: I think RJ Harvey also goes into the shaky flex category and these other guys are definitely in weight and C mode to see if they have a role whatsoever in their back fields.
35:57
[SPEAKER_00]: So week one running back.
35:58
[SPEAKER_00]: So this is how things are shaking and baking out here.
36:00
[SPEAKER_00]: You can see the moustards.
36:02
[SPEAKER_00]: We get all the way down to running back 14 here.
36:04
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got seven players in the fields.
36:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Good category.
36:06
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got another 10 players in the dub flex category.
36:09
[SPEAKER_00]: 17 in the shaky flex and then eight more in the rather nuts.
36:13
[SPEAKER_00]: We will be doing this exact same thing for wider receivers tomorrow so subscribe to the channel if you are new here and again if you want all the updates to my rankings throughout the week as injury reports come in as well as access to again all of these up to date real time stats defensive matchups biggest props all that kind of stuff it is available on the front end and
36:31
[SPEAKER_00]: B-d-g-e.co, you can sync your leagues so that it's right there for you to help make your sit-start decisions throughout the season.
36:38
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36:51
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm Ad here, I love y'all, smooches.