Latest / In The Loop / Why the department of war banned Claude
Transcript
- 0:00So last week Anthropic, so the maker of Claude, fell out with
- 0:04the US government and the Department of War.
- 0:07This is a huge high profile fallout.
- 0:09Trump even took to true social to claim that Anthropic and
- 0:14Claude are enemies of peace and the government and huge woke
- 0:19liberals and all because Claude said no to some really quite
- 0:24terrifying use cases that the army wanted to implement.
- 0:27And then the very same afternoon, Open AI announced a
- 0:30high profile partnership with the Department of War.
- 0:33And since then, we've seen Open AI uninstalls rise by 295%, one
- 0:40star reviews spike and double day over day.
- 0:44And then, despite being banned by the government, Anthropic's
- 0:47cord was then used to conduct air strikes against Iran.
- 0:51What a crazy turn of events. And today I'm covering it all.
- 0:55What the actual contracts say and the fine print now, the
- 0:58things that most people don't know about the situation, the
- 1:01specific details that really do matter and trying to understand
- 1:06the answer to a key question. When technology becomes so
- 1:10powerful, who has the right to decide how to use it?
- 1:14This is in a Leaf with Jack Horton.
- 1:16Hope you enjoy the show. So on Thursday evening, on
- 1:30February 27th, Sam Altman sent an internal memo to every single
- 1:36employee Open AI. So the Wall Street Journal broke
- 1:39the story. And in it, Altman actually said
- 1:42the open AI had long believed that AI should not ever be used
- 1:46for mass surveillance or autonomous lethal weapons.
- 1:50And this is a case where it's important to me.
- 1:53And I quote, this is by Sam Altman.
- 1:55This is a case where it's important to me that we do the
- 1:58right thing and not the easy thing that looks disingenuous.
- 2:02And less than 24 hours later, Open AI then signed a deal with
- 2:06the Pentagon and therefore the Department of War to deploy its
- 2:10models in throughout its security operations.
- 2:13So to understand how we got here, I think you need to
- 2:16understand what happened in the days before this agreement,
- 2:19because Anthropic had been embedded in the Pentagon system
- 2:22since, you know, June 2024, and it was the first frontier AI
- 2:27model to get there. They got into this partnership
- 2:30via Palantir and AWS and actually got security level
- 2:35clearance at level 6, which is classified as secret clearance.
- 2:40And by the summer of 2025, they had a contract worth up to $200
- 2:43million. And Claude was being used by
- 2:47CENTCOM for intelligence assessments, identifying
- 2:50targets, simulating battle scenarios.
- 2:53And it was reportedly used during the capture of the
- 2:55Venezuelan president in January 2026.
- 2:58And, you know, this wasn't a company sitting on the sidelines
- 3:00here being super ethical. Anthropic was already very deep
- 3:04inside the US military establishment, far more than any
- 3:07other AI lab. Now the dispute that really
- 3:10kicked off publicly and had Trump weighing in, calling
- 3:13Anthropic an enemy of the people, actually was triggered
- 3:16by Palentia. Palentia tried to get Claude or
- 3:20Anthropic to agree to what they call an all lawful use standard,
- 3:23meaning that essentially the military could use claw for
- 3:26anything they wanted that wasn't explicitly illegal.
- 3:30And Anthropic said, yeah, that's absolutely fine, apart from 2
- 3:32exceptions that it wouldn't budget on, which was #1 mass
- 3:36surveillance or mass domestic surveillance of the American
- 3:40people and #2 was fully autonomous weaponry that would
- 3:43take humans completely out of the loop.
- 3:46Everything else, as I said, was completely on the table.
- 3:49All fine. Every other military use case
- 3:51you can think of, just not those two.
- 3:53Now on Tuesday the 25th of February, the Defence Secretary
- 3:58of the US government met with the CEO of Anthropic, Dario
- 4:02Amadei at the Pentagon and essentially they gave each of
- 4:05their deadline which was Friday. By 5:00 PM we have to have
- 4:08agreed to all lawful use or lose the contract completely.
- 4:11So lose that massive contract with the US government.
- 4:14And that night the Pentagon sent what it called it's last and
- 4:17final offer. So Anthropics team had reviewed
- 4:19the offer that was given to them and essentially their conclusion
- 4:22was, and all the lawyers conclusion was that there was
- 4:25lots of wording that frames the agreement as a compromise, but
- 4:29ultimately left all the legal loopholes to just do whatever
- 4:34they want anyway. So essentially we had to just
- 4:36disregard all safeguards. And it got that heated that the
- 4:40CEO of Anthropic, Amede, published his response on the
- 4:44Anthropic website. You can go see that today.
- 4:45His arguments was specific and not ideological.
- 4:49He said on weapons, current frontier AI models are just not
- 4:52reliably good enough to engage in targets, and deploying them
- 4:55are just going to endanger American fighters and civilians.
- 4:59And on surveillance, he said that there is no federal law
- 5:01that stops AI conducting mass surveillance on millions of
- 5:05people. But federal agencies haven't yet
- 5:08caught up with laws to protect people from mass surveillance.
- 5:12You know, data brokers can legally sell mass data to the US
- 5:16government and then use those models to quite literally
- 5:20conduct huge mass surveillance. And if you think about AI
- 5:23models, what they're fantastic about is turning huge amounts of
- 5:26data into the ability to zone in on particular people, groups of
- 5:32people or situations. You know, before AI, think about
- 5:35this, an agency that buys and sells people's data, it was
- 5:38basically like pouring data into a big bucket.
- 5:41And it's really difficult to make sense of that data.
- 5:43Yes, you can use it, and it's really powerful for machine
- 5:46learning models, and there's loads of nefarious, dangerous
- 5:49use cases there. But with AI, that same data
- 5:51becomes an insane surveillance system.
- 5:54You know, you can cross reference, you can automatically
- 5:57build profiles that flags individuals or tracks any
- 6:00pattern you want across millions and millions of people
- 6:04instantaneously. The technology is what makes
- 6:06that data really, really dangerous.
- 6:08And that's the gap that Anthropic took a stance on.
- 6:10And I have to say, I've been a big cloud user for a long time.
- 6:14I couldn't even imagine using open AI.
- 6:16I've not got an open AI subscription.
- 6:18I tell everyone to not use open AI for a number of reasons.
- 6:21We'll discuss those, I'm sure. But it makes me respect the
- 6:25company a bit more as well because Amadei wrote and I
- 6:28quote, these threats do not change our position.
- 6:31We cannot in good conscience accede their request.
- 6:35You know, anyone that's been a entrepreneur that has their own
- 6:39business or is running high profile, high pressure teams,
- 6:43for example, knows that the pressure to say yes to contract
- 6:47can be pretty overwhelming at times.
- 6:49Because although a company from the outside looks amazing,
- 6:52they're always, as we all know, internal stresses and pressures.
- 6:55And sometimes doing that right thing is not easy, especially
- 6:59when you're throwing away hundreds and hundreds and
- 7:01hundreds of millions and probably billions over a couple
- 7:03of years of potential revenue. And he said no, which I'm so
- 7:08relieved up. So yeah, that's that's all the
- 7:10situation that led up to Donald Trump.
- 7:12And I quote, calling them left wing nut jobs, putting American
- 7:16lives at risk and threatens actually the full power of the
- 7:19presidency with major civil and criminal criminal consequences
- 7:24if they didn't agree to cooperate.
- 7:26And you know, a few minutes later, they called Anthropic a
- 7:28complete supply chamber that must be removed from every
- 7:31system. That same evening, about 8-9
- 7:50hours before the US launched strikes on Iran, Sam Altman
- 7:53announced on X that Open AI had reached an agreement with the
- 7:56Pentagon. Surprise, surprise.
- 7:57So yeah, let's, let's get into what Open AI's agreement looks
- 8:00like, because as I've said, that they're seeing huge backlash
- 8:03right now from their customers and user groups.
- 8:06On the face of it, both companies are claiming identical
- 8:09principles. The difference is the mechanism,
- 8:12and the mechanism is quite literally everything.
- 8:14So Anthropic wanted specific contractual prohibitions, so
- 8:19language in the contract itself that specifically banned
- 8:22surveillance and autonomous weaponry regardless of their
- 8:26legal status. So whether or not that is made
- 8:29legal in the next two, 5-7 years, they did not want AI to
- 8:33be used for that. And obviously that's what the
- 8:34Pentagon refused to accept. Their position was that no
- 8:37private company should ever have veto power over how the military
- 8:41uses technology. You know, the Constitution and
- 8:43existing laws are the appropriate constraints in the
- 8:46view of the Pentagon. And, you know, there's an
- 8:48argument to say that it's, you know, and this is what was on
- 8:51all American news channels on CBS, saying on some levels, you
- 8:55have to trust the military to do the right thing.
- 8:57And the geopolitical argument behind, you know, that stance is
- 9:01real. But there are real threats all
- 9:03over the world. And China's AI labs are
- 9:05definitely not negotiating red lines with their government.
- 9:08Their integration is moving incredibly fast because there's
- 9:110 friction. And so the Pentagon will view
- 9:14this as an arms race with China. And you can't let from their
- 9:19perspective, the government's perspective and the Pentagon's
- 9:21perspective, the vendors set the rules, whereas Open AI have
- 9:24taken a very different approach. Instead of any contractual
- 9:28prohibitions, they cited existing laws and policies.
- 9:31So the 4th Amendment, the Foreign International
- 9:34Surveillance Act, which is a Pentagon directive against
- 9:38autonomous weaponry, their position is essentially, you
- 9:41know, these laws already cover all of our concerns.
- 9:44The government has agreed to follow them, and we build
- 9:46technical safeguards into the model as an additional layer of
- 9:50protection. But this is where, if you read
- 9:51the fine print where, you know, there's a gap that opens up.
- 9:55So Jessica Tillotman, which is she's the associate Dean for
- 9:59government procurement law and George Washington University,
- 10:02she analysed the published contract and she concluded that
- 10:05it doesn't give open AI an anthropic style ability to stop
- 10:09the government using the technology on those use cases.
- 10:13Though it does state that the Pentagon cannot use the
- 10:16technology when breaking laws. Which sounds reassuring until
- 10:20you remember that the entire reason Anthropic drew its lines
- 10:23was that no existing laws prohibit the things that we
- 10:27should be worried about because law has not caught up yet with
- 10:30technology. You know, the 2023 Pentagon
- 10:33directive that was against autonomous weaponry, The open AI
- 10:36citing, you know, it doesn't actually ban them.
- 10:38All it is is creating guidelines on how it should and should not
- 10:42be used. And there's always a waiver that
- 10:45essentially is a clause stating that urgent military needs means
- 10:49that you can do anything you want.
- 10:50And Altman even admitted in an AMA.
- 10:54So it asked me anything on XA couple days later.
- 10:56The deal was very, very rushed and the optics definitely don't
- 11:00look good for open AR. And he even went further and
- 11:03said on Monday that we shouldn't have rushed to get this out on
- 11:06Friday. Even open a eyes own team and
- 11:08people noticed. Leo Gow, an alignment researcher
- 11:12of the company even said that. You know, it's so obvious that
- 11:15this is weak and the government can now just technically use it
- 11:18for anything that is deemed lawful, but there are now
- 11:21missing laws to deem what is or is not lawful when it comes to
- 11:24things like mass surveillance. Now that there is always a
- 11:47counterpart, you know, which is opening eye eyes argued that if
- 11:51you don't trust the government to follow the law, why would you
- 11:53trust it to honour contract terms either, You know, if the
- 11:56Pentagon is going to do mass surveillance regardless, you
- 11:59know, align and drop its contract wouldn't stop them
- 12:02doing it. And there definitely is
- 12:03something to that. However, contract term shape
- 12:06behaviour and it creates oversight mechanisms and
- 12:09establishes political consequences for actions and
- 12:12violations. You know, a line in the sand
- 12:14that someone might just step over anyway is better than no
- 12:17line in the sand. And anyway, I mean, there's been
- 12:19huge fallout as you can just imagine.
- 12:21The council ChatGPT movement has, it's been going on since
- 12:24January. I mean, I actually cancelled
- 12:26mine in January because I found Greg Brockman was the biggest
- 12:31donor to Trump, donating over $25 million to his action
- 12:37committee. And I think the Pentagon
- 12:40situation has turned this into something much, much, much
- 12:43larger. You know, Chat GPTS daily
- 12:46download growth fell by 13% and one star review spiked over 775%
- 12:52on Saturday and doubled again on Sunday.
- 12:55Claw downloads are climbed by 81% and hit #1 on Apple's US App
- 13:01Store with over 500,000 downloads in a single day.
- 13:04You know, people aren't just debating policy online.
- 13:07I think they're they're voting with their fingers and their
- 13:10funds. See, I think there's going to be
- 13:12a bunch of things to watch for here.
- 13:13First, whether the supply chain risk designation.
- 13:16So when the government announced the cord is a supply chain risk
- 13:20actually gets fully formalized. It isn't just a tweet so far,
- 13:24it's just a social media post. It's not a legal proceeding and
- 13:28legal experts called it, you know, basically more political
- 13:31theatre than than an actual show of force.
- 13:33Second, Claude is still the only model on the Pentagon's
- 13:37classified network, and the Wall Street had reported that it was
- 13:40even used in the Iranian strikes just hours after the ban was
- 13:44announced. The military would have six
- 13:45months to swap the model under that directive, but many people
- 13:49have already come out in the military saying it's going to be
- 13:51a huge pain in the arse. And 3rd, the what could be
- 13:54described as the chilling effect.
- 13:55So, for example, Google has quietly removed its long
- 13:58standing ban on AI weaponry development from its AI
- 14:02principles. We did that in February 2025
- 14:05right before signing an agreement with the Pentagon.
- 14:08And you know, every tech company is probably watching what
- 14:10happens to your Anthropic, which is if you step out of line,
- 14:13you'll be burnt. So yeah, to conclude, I think
- 14:37there's been a bit of a crazy turn of events.
- 14:39I think there's been one of the most high profile fallings out
- 14:42between AUS company and the US government.
- 14:46But what's really important I think, is that, you know, I
- 14:48can't help but coming back to the fact that Dario Amadei's
- 14:51favorite book, the one that he used to buy for every single new
- 14:55employee and frofic was The making of the Atomic Bomb.
- 14:59He wanted people at the company to understand that what they
- 15:02were building could and probably would eventually become so
- 15:07important that the government would want to control it.
- 15:11And that when that moment arrived, the people who built
- 15:14the technology would have to decide whether they got a say in
- 15:17how it was used. And that moment arrived last
- 15:20Thursday. One company said no, another
- 15:22said yes. And the person who wrote the
- 15:24memo about doing the right thing then signed the deal the next
- 15:27day. I think that says a lot about
- 15:29Sam Altman, and it says a lot about Open AI.
- 15:31And I hope the cancelled ChatGPT movement continues.
- 15:35Anyway, that's it. I hope you enjoyed today's
- 15:37episodes. I hope you learned something and
- 15:40I'll see you next week.