Latest / Financial Survival Network / Age of the AI Bank Teller, Lawyer and Judge — John Rubino #5984
Transcript
- 0:00Technology is kind of working its way up the food chain, and more and
- 0:03more things are being automated, so banking is a very logical place for that
- 0:08to happen. Can't wait for robot Fellers, derivatives, trainers. You're listening
- 0:15to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network where you get valuable information. You just can't
- 0:20find anywhere else to thrive in today's trying times. You need the Financial Survival
- 0:26Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com and get your
- 0:32free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network now more than ever, And welcome
- 0:42you are listening to watching the Financial Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie
- 0:46Letz. It's one one, five twenty four. The month is already half
- 0:51over and the insanity will it ever cease? John Rabino Rabino dot substack dot
- 0:58com with us now, John, layoffs, especially in tech but also banking
- 1:03are starting to spike, and maybe the vaunted employment numbers are finally going to
- 1:10go against the narrative. Hey Kerry, Well, yeah, we'll see where
- 1:14this goes. But these are big numbers that are coming out late later.
- 1:17Dow Well City Group was twenty thousand layoffs, but that's more of a that's
- 1:22not an economy thing, that's a business thing. City Group is trying to
- 1:26restructure so that so that they're not a big incompetent bank that can't make any
- 1:30money, you know, and it's going to take twenty thousand layoffs apparently.
- 1:34But a lot of tech companies are laying people off too, and I think
- 1:40part of that, Okay, do you know that trend of having two tech
- 1:46jobs at the same time. Yeah, we're yeah, where this might be
- 1:51partially a response to that where people, let's say a coder or somebody,
- 1:56he takes the job and he figured out he can do that job in four
- 1:59hours a day, so he goes out and applies for an entire new full
- 2:01time job and then he doesn't both with been nine hours a day or whatever.
- 2:07I can't imagine that tech companies appreciate that, right, and they know
- 2:10what's going on. So double dip so a double yeah, yeah, and
- 2:15yeah it sounds like good money though, I mean, if you're if you're
- 2:19a well paid coder, but you've got two full time jobs. But anyhow,
- 2:23part of this could be that the tech companies are making sure that their
- 2:29employees are already working somewhere else, you know, get rid of the ones
- 2:32that they don't trust. But part of it is that the economy is slowing
- 2:37down. You know, there's a lot of signs now that that consumer stunding
- 2:43is going to be lowered going forward, That commercial real estate is a catastrophe,
- 2:46that housing is going to be flooded with new inventory. Our loans are
- 2:53going bad at our record rate. Credit card delinquencies are way up. You
- 2:59know, there's an awful lot of reasons to expect layoffs and we're starting to
- 3:05see it happen. Now. There's a website attracts this called layoffs dot f
- 3:12Yi fy I love it. Yeah, it's just it's just a real time
- 3:22sort of like a spreadsheet that shows you who's laying off, how many people,
- 3:27and you know when it started and stuff like that. So it's it's
- 3:30got some big names on it, on the current list and some big numbers,
- 3:34so we'll see, Wow, that's potentially a big deal. These layoffs
- 3:38start to snowball, and that's that's the catalyst. You know, we don't
- 3:42know what the catalysts is going to be for the next recession, but that
- 3:45could be one of them. Jobs definitely, no question. I looked while
- 3:51you were talking about City Bank. They've got two hundred and forty thousand employees
- 4:00globally worldwide, and they still think they're headquarters is in Lower Manhattan, but
- 4:06we won't get into that. It's actually on Park Avenue. But I guess
- 4:11if you live up in Washington Heights, it's Lower Manhattan. Their equity in
- 4:15twenty twenty two, So we're going back a year here, and this is
- 4:19twenty twenty two, so they probably got two hundred and fifty thousand employees and
- 4:25their equity is at two hundred plus billion, And you know, hey,
- 4:30it's kind of a rounding era. I wonder how many of them will be
- 4:33overseas, how many will happen here in the US. Well, now they're
- 4:39saying at the end of twenty twenty three they had two hundred thousand workers excluding
- 4:46Mexican employees. Point is, they're cutting ten percent of the workforce. They
- 4:51specifically exclude their Mexican employees their head count. I don't know why. It's
- 4:58probably impossible, Hey, how many cartel members are working for the bank.
- 5:04Not kidding, but it's not secure to make it so hard. You get
- 5:09Jack Choltham because they're always moving around. Wow, it needs to be.
- 5:14There's a debate how many employees they have because Reuters is saying that two hundred
- 5:18and thirty nine thousand. Well this is through twenty twenty six, so if
- 5:26I infer it correctly, a lot of it will be coming through attrition as
- 5:29well. John, Do we don't need banks the way we used to need
- 5:33them, right, we don't need these branches. What do they do?
- 5:36But see, the thing about finance is that it's pretty fungible. You know,
- 5:42one investment banker can get the deal done just as easily as the next
- 5:46investment banker, you know, and the bank teller can do the same.
- 5:49You know, one black teller can do the same job as another. So
- 5:54I think you could scale back the banking industry by hand and not see a
- 5:59bit of deterioration to the job. You know, you know, you just
- 6:03you just replace people with ATMs. Basically, how often do you go to
- 6:09the bank anymore? I mean I seldom ever go. If I need to
- 6:12do a wire, I generally like to go to the bank to do it
- 6:15because I don't trust myself on the computer, even though I've done many of
- 6:19them. If it's enough money. I'll do it otherwise unless or I need
- 6:24to open a new account or something Otherwise, I never stepped foot in the
- 6:27place, John, Yeah. Yeah, technology is kind of working its way
- 6:30up the food chain and more and more things are being automated, so banking
- 6:35is a very logical place for that to happen. Can't wait for robot derivatives,
- 6:42trainers, robot robot bank tellers. I mean you can see they'll just
- 6:47hire some optimist robots from Tesla and you won't even see a live human being
- 6:55in the in the branch except for the the guys that service the road.
- 7:00Right. Well, I mean when when you do go to a teller,
- 7:02a lot of what you do is simple verbal commands that they patuate. And
- 7:10yeah, next generation AI is going to be able to understand those commands and
- 7:16it'll be able to you know, if you if you're depositing checks, it'll
- 7:19be able to scan the checks, put them in your account, and then
- 7:25give you back some cash if you want. You know, right, you
- 7:29scan your checks at home now least I do. I use the app Wells
- 7:32Fargo City and you just take a chase, You take a picture of the
- 7:38check and it gets deposited and then you keep a copy of it for a
- 7:42few days afterwards to make sure nothing happens to it, and then you dump
- 7:46it. You know, it's the age of the AI bank teller is coming
- 7:49with us. What I want to see is the AI lawyer and the AI
- 7:55judge. Then we'll know arrived. Yeah. Well, you know, the
- 8:00the AI paralegal is here today. Yeah, so they just have to work
- 8:03their way up just a little bit. You know, I think litigation is
- 8:07going to be the final thing, you know, where you're yelling at each
- 8:09other in the court room. But you know, most of the rest of
- 8:13law is kind of cook. The same thing with medicine, and you know,
- 8:18you go into your doctor and say I have these symptoms. They're they're
- 8:22going to look it up in their head because they remember it, or they'll
- 8:24look it up in a book or online. You know, these symptoms,
- 8:28what are the possible diagnoses, and what are the treatments and that it's all
- 8:31right there, you know. So AI could do that too. So yeah,
- 8:35a lot of this stuff is going away. Hey. So in January
- 8:39third, the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, John Roberts, said,
- 8:43I predict that human judges will be around for a while until he retires hopefully.
- 8:48Yeah, and the sooner the better. But with equal confidence, I
- 8:52predict that judicial work, particularly at the trial level, will be significantly affected
- 8:58by AI. Now, look if it comes to a judge or an AI,
- 9:03I mean, you know, the judge could be paid off. Remember
- 9:07that's saying. I think it was Francis Bacon where lawyer goes to him and
- 9:11he's outraged because he took money from the other side. Said, you're honor
- 9:15an outrage. You took money from my adversary. You know, how could
- 9:18you do this? And he replied, straight faced, well, why don't
- 9:22you pay me too? And then we can have an honest trial. Right,
- 9:26that's what we're coming to here. I think AI judges, I think,
- 9:31well, but I think it's in the offing. But they could be
- 9:33hacked too, So you know, Jen Soak in the real one voting machines.
- 9:37Yeah, yeah, I guess we're never going to get fair trial.
- 9:41Yeah, but you know it is nice, but you might get a fast
- 9:43one. At least. Justice delayed is justice denied. Hey, you wait
- 9:46two years to get screwed and wait a month to get screwed. What's the
- 9:50difference. Yeah, well, you know, have you seen that video of
- 9:54it's a young guy, kind of an Hispanic looking young kid who there is
- 10:00a drone flies in front of him and says you are under arrest, and
- 10:05it gives him handcuffs to put on and takes him the hand. And then
- 10:07there's an automated jail where there's like a you know, the phone answering system
- 10:13when you call the bank or something like that for this press this and this
- 10:16press that, and he's in jail. He never sees a human and that's
- 10:22where he ends up at the end of the video. He has yet to
- 10:24see a human, but he has been tried and convicted and he's in prisoned.
- 10:30And you know that's disturbingly close to a system that could easily happen.
- 10:35Pretty sure, yet, yeah, well, like, hey, with a
- 10:39ninety nine percent conviction rate in federal court, you know, hey, China
- 10:48is the only difference between US and China is they have a one hundred percent
- 10:52conviction rate and then the sentence is right away to behind the ear in a
- 10:56field. But you know, hey, it could be you know, it
- 11:01could definitely happen. So it looks like we're getting to that point. And
- 11:07that's kind of big brother esque, right should I'd say so? Now,
- 11:15you know, now it gets dark because for real, the ability of the
- 11:22military industrial complex and the intelligence community to surveil you, to plant evidence,
- 11:31to arrest you, and like you said, it's a ninety nine percent conviction
- 11:33rate with the fence because they're able to say, listen, we've got the
- 11:39power of the federal government. We can throw millions of dollars at convicting you.
- 11:43So just plead guilty to this lesser offense. And your public defender lawyer
- 11:48says, wow, you know you should probably do that because I don't have
- 11:52millions of our proboblic AI your public AI defender, Yeah, yeah, and
- 12:00then and then AI jail too, man, because too expensive. See the
- 12:05thing is, that's right for political dissonance. This whole thing is is closer
- 12:11to the truth than we would like to admit, because this kind of thing
- 12:13could be done, and you know that people in charge would love to do
- 12:16it as soon as they're able to. They already do versions of it.
- 12:20So this has come that we have a civil war. That's all there is
- 12:22to it. Yeah, well, don't forget pre crime. Remember a minority
- 12:28report so if you think the guy might commit a crime even though there's a
- 12:33minority report, like why wait for him to commit the crime and kill him
- 12:37just now? Well, they know they're already doing that with a sort of
- 12:43a social credit score slash pre crime thing where if you show up on some
- 12:48kind of a flagged data to days, you can't buy a gun for instance,
- 12:52which you know, yeah you can't. You can't fly, we have
- 12:58no fly list, and of those things can be arbitrarily increased by adding more
- 13:03names, you know, and there's nothing you can really do about it.
- 13:05If you're on the no flonger list and the police are the ones who put
- 13:11you there, who are you gonna call? You know? The cops will
- 13:13say, well, you know you're on there because we decided you needed to
- 13:18be on there. What's your point? You know? And I'll give you
- 13:22a perfect example of AI, like screwing me over on the Tesla. If
- 13:26you get five warnings on your FSD, it's automatically suspended for a week and
- 13:35you can't send a tweet to Elon to say, hey, this wasn't right,
- 13:39like I've had it at times where it just wrongly kicked me off the
- 13:45AI. You know, kicked me off the FSD. And you know that's
- 13:50like that old saying from Donovan, Jay Donovan, I think he was Reagan's
- 13:56labor secretary. Where do I go to get my reputation back? Where do
- 14:01I go to get my full size living back? So full set, that's
- 14:05what that stands for. Full self driving? Yeah, fs did, And
- 14:07really it's a full self destruct mode because if you just leave it to the
- 14:13car, you will die very shortly. Okay. I was going to say,
- 14:16you don't want to be turning that on in Florida traffic. Geez.
- 14:18Well that especially where you want it, because if you want to take it,
- 14:22if you want to rest and close your eyes for a couple of minutes,
- 14:26you're in bumper to bumper traffic. It's perfect for that. But there's
- 14:28a camera in there that tells you that starts ringing alarms and everything. You're
- 14:33sleeping, Wake up, wake up, and then it kicks you off the
- 14:37FSD. Even when you need the thing most, you can't. You can't
- 14:41even take advantage of it. That happened to me. Also, you know,
- 14:45it's just taking up, it's just closing my eyes for a minute.
- 14:50And man, the nanny came on and it's like, forget about it.
- 14:54But hey, so what about office vacancy rates in New York? I heard
- 14:58it's like over a third. You know that New York you think is the
- 15:03office building capital in LA and the Chicago, all these big cities and nobody's
- 15:11in there. They're see through and you can't you can't even like repurpose these
- 15:18buildings that've got to be knocked down. Well, San Francisco is where it's
- 15:22worse, but it's bad in a lot of other big cities. And part
- 15:24of that is that people got a chance to work at home during the pandemic.
- 15:28They never want to go back to office life. And part of it
- 15:31is just, you know, money is cheap. There were too many buildings
- 15:33built, and so now that the disturbing part of it is that these buildings
- 15:41are not generating enough cash flow to cover their loans, so they're going to
- 15:45be sold at big losses. At some point. Those losses are going to
- 15:48be primarily on the balance sheets of local and regional banks who are going to
- 15:52have to report the losses, which will spook their their depositors into bullying their
- 15:58money out, which forced this is the banks to sell even more assets of
- 16:02big losses and so on, until the small bank sector in the US just
- 16:07blows up. Yeah, that's what the that's what those office buildings mean.
- 16:11It's not just a one sector story. It spreads over to the banking sector,
- 16:15and then then it spreads in the economy as a whole. When that
- 16:19the federal government has to step in and bail out three trillion dollars worth of
- 16:26deposits in the banking sector. So it sounds doomed, you know, and
- 16:30it also sounds inevitable. There's no real way around this unless something happens to
- 16:34jack up the price of office buildings. And you know, if we're heading
- 16:40into a recession already, which we kind of are, that means office buildings
- 16:44are going to hampy out even further, become less valuable, and that's when
- 16:47they're going to be sold. When instead of being sixty percent of the loan
- 16:52value, might be thirty percent of the loan value for a lot of these
- 16:55things. It is going to be had eclismic for that sector. Yeah,
- 17:00there's kind of no way out of this that I see. There's nothing they
- 17:06could do because people aren't going back to the office. And then you combine
- 17:08that with a recession where the few people who are working on the in their
- 17:12offices or the banking sector where presumably most people working for the banking sector are
- 17:19not stay at home jobs. Right. And one other trend I don't know
- 17:25if you caught it, is that that the they're gonna say. One other
- 17:32trend is that they're closing the number. Going back to what we're talking about,
- 17:36they're actually shrinking the number of branches, like by thousands of branches around
- 17:41the country. Those are real jobs where people actually go to work, right,
- 17:45So yeah, at the moment, it is. And they're kind of
- 17:49they're not exactly office buildings, but they kind of, you know, they're
- 17:52small office buildings mostly if they're a standalone bank branches and some of them are
- 17:57in bigger buildings. So yeah, you know, a real thing that's happening.
- 18:02And that okay, So that's the commercial real estate part. The housing
- 18:06part is equally scary because because you've got Airbnb entrepreneurs who went out and bought
- 18:15seventeen houses a piece or whatever, and now we're going to have to sell
- 18:18them pretty soon, and you've got boomers who have to downsize. You know
- 18:22that We've been putting this off as a generation for a really long time,
- 18:26but there's an increasing number of seventy year olds who need hip replacements are finding
- 18:33themselves in three story McMansions, which is a really bad place to be when
- 18:37your hip flakes out. So they're going to have to downsize. And yes,
- 18:44and so Wall Street is the final piece of that puzzle where all the
- 18:49private equity guys bought millions of houses thinking they would just jack up the rent
- 18:55and make a fortune. But the rents we're not high enough. Yeah yeah,
- 18:59worked for wow, but they lately they've been paying full price plus twenty
- 19:03percent in a bubble market. So now there's a whole subgenre of videos on
- 19:10YouTube of guys going around to hey, I'm in Las Vegas and look at
- 19:15this house here. Yeah, yeah, I hed guy, Yes, yeah,
- 19:18yeah. It's been marked down from a million to six hundred thousand already,
- 19:22and still nobody's buying it. You know that that's happening out there,
- 19:25and now it's going to cause a deluge of supply at some point. You
- 19:30weren't one would think, one would think. One would think, yeah,
- 19:36well, that'll be interesting to see how they deal with that one. Hey,
- 19:41in the meantime, we got an energy shortage, global electricity shortage,
- 19:45you know, average person Now in the United States, it used to be
- 19:48we had an average outage per year of like six minutes. It's now up
- 19:55to like thirty something minutes. Somebody told me recently, And that only makes
- 20:00sense that uranium prices are going to go up. Yeah, uranium got a
- 20:07nice pop this last week because, oh, how do you pronounce that company's
- 20:12name? Is that a prom okay and from Kazakhstan? Yeah, yeah,
- 20:18And so that's the biggest that's just like the oh Saudi ram code. Yeah,
- 20:25oh uranium, you know, it's great. Saudi Ramco is bigger than
- 20:27Excellent, but it's just a state owned company, so we don't think of
- 20:30it as a start for anything. But is that a prom is bigger than
- 20:36chemic Coat, which is the big publicly Yeah, uranium company, So they
- 20:41has that A Prome just announced that they're having production troubles and it's looking like
- 20:47maybe ten percent less next year than they thought they were going to produce.
- 20:49So that riled up the uranium market and it popped up to one hundred dollars
- 20:55a pound. It was thirty bucks a pound a little over a year go.
- 21:00So uranium is a startling bull market right now. And the uranium stocks,
- 21:06like I on my substack, I have a uranium stock portfolio and that's
- 21:11basically my only winner. Everything else is down, but the uranium stocks are
- 21:17have rocketed. A couple of them have almost doubled in just the last six
- 21:22months or so, and the rest are up nicely. So that's a very
- 21:27hot sector. And as you said, yeah, we need more electricity and
- 21:33we're going to get it from nuclear. It looks like and it's been beaten
- 21:36down for for over a decade now, very sickly. See the problem.
- 21:41The problem with nuclear is that every fifteen years one of us plants melts down.
- 21:45That scares everybody, and when you know, the market goes out of
- 21:48favor and then it takes a long time to come back into favor. So
- 21:52hopefully this time around, you know, when the next thing melts down,
- 21:56we'll go all right. You know three mile Asle didn't tell anybody. Ucashine
- 22:02book didn't kill very many people. Let's just keep this in perspective, and
- 22:07I'm not shut down all our nuclear plants, you know, I think that
- 22:10that's a good chance that happens this time. In Yeah, no, they've
- 22:14gotten very expensive. The modular ones might be a plus. We'll see that
- 22:19remains yet to be seen, but definitely around the world globally, nuclear is
- 22:26where it's at. So this is your note here. Doomberg now thinks peak
- 22:32oil will never come thanks to new extraction technologies. And I can tell you
- 22:37I went out to Canadian oil shields up in Saskatchewan that were given up for
- 22:42dead, and through you know, rejiggering, horizontal drilling, these fields are
- 22:52at some point going to be producing more than they were in their peak.
- 22:56And there's still there was only about ninety some percent of the oil left on
- 23:02tap, even though the current a MIN has done its best to kill oil.
- 23:07I don't know if you've been reading the article, especially in zero heads
- 23:10Shot, that US oil production is at record highs with a hostile administration.
- 23:17You can only wonder where they'd be if Trump had been reelected. We'd be
- 23:21doing we're doing thirteen million barrel equivalent now we probably do in fifteen or sixteen
- 23:26million. Well, here's Doomberg's thesis that it's really interesting they're saying that,
- 23:33yeah, we have new technologies for cracking basically for getting oil out of the
- 23:37ground. Recently, what we couldn't use, say, yeah, but natural
- 23:41gas is an unwanted a side effect, you know, side product of cracking
- 23:48boil. So right now we're just flaring it off. We're selling it incredibly
- 23:52cheaply. But there are new refineries coming online that can take natural gas and
- 23:57break any other stuff with the natural gas, break them down, turn them
- 24:00into petroleum products. So you have to start counting natural gas as oil in
- 24:07your calculations, and that means that there's basically unlimited oil for as far as
- 24:12I can see, because there's natural gas everywhere. Oh yeah, yeah,
- 24:17yeah, yeah. Well, so it's interesting about that gas is that you
- 24:21have two types, dry gas wet gas. Wet gas has istolates, condensates
- 24:26in it, natural gas liquids, and that's worth basically what a barrel of
- 24:30oil is worth, pretty close. And then you got dry gas, where
- 24:34at the current price, like most of those wells are unprofitable they shut in
- 24:38production. Once you could take dry gas and do the same thing to it
- 24:44that you do with wet gas, all bets are off because there's we have
- 24:48hundreds and hundreds of years supply, and if what you're saying comes to fruition,
- 24:55I mean literally, the water coming out of your tap could be more
- 25:00costly than what a barrel of oil or a gallon of gas is going to
- 25:03cost, because it's just a question of capacity constraints at that point. Yeah,
- 25:10yeah, which is very interesting on a lot of levels, because then
- 25:17energy will not be inflation denary. In other words, oil will be going
- 25:21up all the time and making everything else more expensive, so you get a
- 25:25lot less pressure on the prices. And also the US would be not just
- 25:33self sufficient and energy in that kind of scenario, but a massive exporter,
- 25:38so that the US is in you know that this helps the US relatively speaking
- 25:41and in objectively speaking, you know, and so good, so be it.
- 25:49But so we'll see it. So that's the thing here about the optimist
- 25:55robot. Elon Musk says, when this thing really gets going, the robot
- 26:00division of Tesla will be worth way more than the auto version, and that
- 26:07basically you won't have to work unless you want to. And then you get
- 26:11into the UVII and all that. Are you buying what he's saying that these
- 26:15robots are really going to eliminate the need for human work. Well, automation
- 26:21eliminates certain kinds of work, right, you know, you don't have to
- 26:25wash your flows by hand anymore, so to the extent that was your job,
- 26:29you don't have to do that job anymore. But you know, there's
- 26:34a real societal transition that has to happen as that goes on, because a
- 26:40lot of people do say, you know, it's the whole post scarcity thing
- 26:42where machines are doing all the value out of jobs, and then you have
- 26:48to tax the owners of the robots and then spread that money around or else
- 26:52you'll have a revolution. So there's going to be political pressure as this happens.
- 26:59And you know, there's no doubt that it that it progresses from here
- 27:03in that direction. But whether we get all the way out where literally the
- 27:10only people who are working are doing it because they think it's fun, we'll
- 27:15see. But we're definitely headed in that direction gradually and maybe quickly pretty soon,
- 27:21because you know, just like how we go Brooke, Yeah, you
- 27:26know, you know, slowly then quickly, right, because well you know
- 27:30what once AI they call it general intelligence right now, they don't have that
- 27:36yet, but general intelligence is where you can be trained to do a job
- 27:40and then do it and handle the complexities of that job. So when AI
- 27:45is pretty close to that that a humanoid robot like Elon Musk is making would
- 27:52be kind of like a person on most jobs, right, you know,
- 27:55same shape, the same abilities for jobs. So yeah, so and then
- 28:00then you get into the whole sex robot thing, which we probably don't want
- 28:03to go to, but but I think is you know you know that one.
- 28:07Yeah, how poorn is the most valuable part of the Internet. Well,
- 28:11sex robots might be the biggest part of automation. All right, Well,
- 28:15hey, but once you start, you know, you know what the
- 28:18guy said in Risky Business, the pimp Weedo. He said, you know,
- 28:23when you mess with you mess with a man's livelihood, you're going to
- 28:27have problems. You start messing with the girls' livelihoods, you're going to have
- 28:33problems. Many will. It'll be just like the Luddites storming the looms in
- 28:41eighteen hundreds, late eighteen hundreds England or remember that that's where we get the
- 28:45term Luodite from where they were protesting against the technology. Well, that's when
- 28:51that's when we'll start seeing Tesla factories be attacked here well, yeah, you
- 28:56know, if it gets out ahead of UBI. In other words, if
- 29:00more people get laid off that are being paid not to work, then yeah,
- 29:07it's an imbalanced society. It'll just explode. So yeah, I mean,
- 29:11you know, this is like a fifty year thing probably, but we're
- 29:15we're in the early stages of the acceleration part now, so fascinating and hopefully
- 29:22manageable. Yeah. Oh, it's a brave new world out there. Huh,
- 29:27yeah, yeah, it really is. So what about gold? It
- 29:30does look like twenty thousand is the base. Every time something happens where it
- 29:37looks like the price of gold that's going to crash two thousand, something happens.
- 29:44Huh was this funny? The last three years gold has gone up and
- 29:47up and bounced it hit two thousand, bounce back down, hit two thousand,
- 29:51bounced back down. Now it's it's correcting a little, getting near two
- 29:55thousand and bouncing back up. So so far, I mean, you know,
- 30:00a couple of bad days and gold could be back below two thousand.
- 30:03But what's happening lately is two thousand is acting well like support instead of resistance.
- 30:11And the longer that goes on, the more that i'd pay able to
- 30:14take hold in the minds of investors, and that'd be very good for the
- 30:18miners because then you can extrapolate out twenty you know, two thousand and fifty
- 30:25gold for years, which means wide margins for the miners, lots of free
- 30:29cash flow, and therefore higher stock prices. So you know, this is
- 30:33a big deal for gold mining investors. And here's hoping you know that the
- 30:40two thousand is the lowest we see in the rest of our lifetimes, and
- 30:45it's all uphill from here. You know, could be then it could very
- 30:51well be the case, and I wouldn't doubt it for a minute, but
- 30:53you never know. But in the meantime, like bitcoin, you thought,
- 30:56oh, well, now the etfs's body tfs are out, it's going to
- 31:02take off all this increased demand. And what did it do? It went
- 31:06down like six thousand dollars. But did you see that the hacked tweet supposedly
- 31:11hacked tweet from the SEC the night before, And that was the tip off
- 31:15that nothing was going to happen because the hack tweet got released, And when,
- 31:21since when does a federal agency issue of ruling by tweet doesn't happen?
- 31:26But nothing happened too, went up a little bit and then immediately came back
- 31:33down. So that was sorry Kerry, that that was a cay case of
- 31:38by the rumor, I'll the sell the announcement, they sell the ETF.
- 31:45Yeah, well, well, but bitcoin had been going up for the months
- 31:48leading up to that anticipation, and so so it's reasonable. I think the
- 31:55people who had some embedded profits, excuse me, on the way it up
- 31:59would be to get some profits now. So that's that's to be expected.
- 32:04And but we'll have to see what these ETFs do, because I'm, to
- 32:07be honest, not clear about whether there's synthetic where they're is using my futures.
- 32:12They are. They're not ETFs, they're ETPs. Don't forget that.
- 32:15If you look us, look up Google ETP. It's an exchange traded product
- 32:22and it's a tracking product, all right, if you look up I will
- 32:27look it up right this second, because somebody told me it's an ETP,
- 32:30and I said that, what is an ETP? Extreme exchange traded product?
- 32:37Okay, listen to this. Are instruments that track underlying securities, an index
- 32:44or other financial products. Right, yeah, I'm okay. So it's tracking,
- 32:52So how do you track it? Right, You're buying futures probably right.
- 32:58See, So that's it's not necessarily good for bitcoin at all, because
- 33:04if they're just using derivatives, nobody's going out and buying bitcoin and taking it
- 33:08off the market the way I physical etp work. So you would think,
- 33:12yeah, right, physical et ups are. I'm not sure they should be
- 33:15legal. There's sort of a kind of almost an unethical thing where may they
- 33:19just you know, buy a bunch of uranium take it off the market.
- 33:22That makes prices go up, which makes it harder for the actual users of
- 33:27the product, but it's profitable to just hoard it. And so it's kind
- 33:31of a perpetual motion machine where they you know, they buy something, its
- 33:35price goes up, and they sell their inflated stock to buy more and so
- 33:39on. So if bitcoin is not going to do that, then we have
- 33:44to see whether it has any effect on the price of or if bitcoin et
- 33:47ups are not going to do that, and we have to see what there
- 33:51has any effect. Yeah, And I want to just mention that Nick Santiago
- 33:55pointed this out to me, and then I did further research on it eat
- 34:00EP and you know, technically, things like the USO that's the oil exchange
- 34:07and then gas un G really almost fall into this category of ETPs because they're
- 34:14not actually taking the product. They're working on futures and on options. There
- 34:22are no Bitcoin options to my knowledge, crypto options, but there are crypto
- 34:28futures, so they could just be an ingenious way to manipulate the market,
- 34:32right yeah, yeah, I mean if it's just futures, then it is
- 34:37just a markup manipulation technique or people who want a short as well as go
- 34:44along, you know, so you can see some relacious corruptions in bitcoin if
- 34:49that's all these etaps are. So so we'll see this is an ongoing story.
- 34:52We have to see how this plays out, because you know, there's
- 34:55no reason why I guess in theory that you couldn't have the election on a
- 35:00version of our physical bitcoin fund, right where they just because you can store
- 35:04bitcoin and a purgrad Yeah. But so, but you know what is it's
- 35:09just they're not ets, they're not they're ETPs, and yet the whole media
- 35:15has misrepresented their actual you know, their actual formation here. It's like,
- 35:23oh, well, you have a corporation or you have an LLC, same
- 35:28difference. It's not it's doing a partnership or corporation. It's different, and
- 35:35and and the internet. It's all spot ETF this, ETF that. But
- 35:40according to what I heard, they're like ETPs. If I'm wrong, I
- 35:44want to be corrected, let me know. But but they evidently or ETPs.
- 35:52Anyways, you're please send in your emails, put it up on YouTube
- 35:57here, let us know. Are they e tps or are they ETFs?
- 36:05Right, because that's that's how we get to the bottom. There already were
- 36:08a couple of e t fs for bitcoin, but I think they were traded
- 36:12a little bit differently. And here you know, eleven funds were here.
- 36:20It is today is from s SEC dot gov. Today the Commission approved the
- 36:24listing and trading of a number of Bitcoin exchange traded product shares. Okay,
- 36:32so explain to us, any of you smarter people than us, why this
- 36:37is a good thing and what difference does it make or are we just blowing
- 36:43this out of proportion? I think not. I think the devils and the
- 36:45details, and we found one of the devils here, John, Well,
- 36:51we'll see it. You know, hey, we broke it. No,
- 36:55I think the fraud, I think the Bitcoin map. Some lists are on
- 37:00this, so we just have to see what they say. You know,
- 37:04are you ever an interviewed Mark Jeptervic That rings the bell? But yeah,
- 37:08I'm not sure, but i'd like to if he's listening, Yeah, well
- 37:13to interview him. Hey, I'll send you an invite. I know he
- 37:16would like to do some more. Yeah, and he's an expert on this
- 37:20up, he can those questions. Yeah. Hey, imagine that we actually
- 37:28scoop something here, because all the morons in the media, you know,
- 37:32can't read right, or they won't read. I mean, give me a
- 37:39freaking break here. Like Fidelity calls it the Fidelity Physical Bitcoin ETP, but
- 37:47it's an exchange treated product. But and it aims to track the price of
- 37:53bitcoin. FBTC is one hundred physically backed by bitcoin. All right. I
- 38:00don't believe that for two seconds, but Fidelity says it. It must be
- 38:05true, right, it's not funny, it has been. It has physical
- 38:09in its name. Yeah, but the thing that it's physically owning is not
- 38:15a physical thing. Klina's computer code basically, Well, maybe it'll get the
- 38:20coins with the ship embedded in it. Yeah, phile vault. Yeah,
- 38:25you got a laugh, you know, got a laugh at this. It's
- 38:29just so unbelievable. So border crisis, like New York, Chicago, all
- 38:35of these northern cities, the southern This is a throwback to like the fifties
- 38:40and sixties when in Houston, if somebody applied for welfare, they used to
- 38:45give them a bus ticket to New York or Chicago because the benefits were better.
- 38:51Here, they just give them a one way ticket. Yeah. You
- 38:54know, the the political establishment is imploding this open border thing because you know,
- 39:02they originally thought it was just a way to swamp up the border states
- 39:06and make sure that they vote Demoica. Yeah, but now the governors down
- 39:12there are just shipping them up to Chicago and New York, and those cities
- 39:16are starting to go nuts because well one of them, I think it's New
- 39:22York literally closed a high school, put the kids on virtual learning, and
- 39:28filled the high school up with illegal immigrants. And then that might be O'Hare
- 39:34Airport. I know there's an airport, might be I was there, Oh
- 39:37Hair Airport. Yeah, they have a bus terminal. I went down there.
- 39:42It's taken the shuttle bus to the airport to the hotel. I was
- 39:45staying at and I look around, there's curtains up there, and I look
- 39:50further down there's all these immigrants like lying down in mattresses. There were hundreds
- 39:57of them there. It was no cops either. It's a scary, scary
- 40:02thing. They're just like living there. It's horrible. But see, this
- 40:07is the end of the process because the voters up there are getting a real
- 40:10taste of what open borders are like, and they're coming to some conclusions.
- 40:16But they don't like that policy, you know, So the the Democrats either
- 40:21either have to change and adopt kind of Trumpian border policies, yeah, or
- 40:25it's going to be a bloodback, you know. That's that is a wedge
- 40:28issue where people who used to vote one way are they're going to switch.
- 40:32They'll vote a different way because of this one issue. And and this is
- 40:37you know, closing a school that does it. That's that's where you can
- 40:40draw the line. You know, Hey, pretty soon they'll we'll start like
- 40:45emptying out hospitals, maternity wards. You know what's next. Hey, look
- 40:52Trump, if we're allowed to mention him, I don't think we get censored
- 40:57just for uttering his name. But let's the bridge term. The Queen of
- 41:01Trumps. He had the problem almost stopped, almost stopped. You know,
- 41:08it was almost over. And that was Congress's opportunity to revise the process so
- 41:16that these people who want to come here get vetted and could become legal citizens,
- 41:22which nobody in their right mind could ever take issue with, because that's
- 41:27what we want and we don't want them to be charges of the state.
- 41:30And the second he walked out of the White House, that policy was reversed.
- 41:36And then we got thirteen million, who knows, at least thirteen million,
- 41:39maybe more, And you gotta wonder, you know, we're doing things
- 41:45that nobody in the right mind would do unless they intended to destroy the culture
- 41:54and just just wipes society. As you cannot have open borders and have the
- 42:00stable country Rome. Rome, remember the Visigoths and all the media. That's
- 42:06what brought down Rome. Now, granted, and their population wasn't three hundred
- 42:09million, so you know, if they had like five million and they imported
- 42:15you know, two or three whatever, No, I know that story.
- 42:19It was like half a million of Germanic tribes showed up on the border because
- 42:23there were meaner Germanic tribes at their back and the Romans invited them in,
- 42:30thinking, okay, sheep, labor and soldiers. You know, we'll make
- 42:34you of these guys, but there were too many of them. They just
- 42:36swarmed. Yeah. Yeah, so we're we're basically doing the same thing,
- 42:39but it seems like we're doing it on purpose base time. You know,
- 42:44I'm the poague. Get Yeah, there's a plant. Well, the Democrats
- 42:47want it because it's more voters in the future, and the Republicans want it
- 42:52for cheap labor. At least that's the theory, but they it doesn't seem
- 42:57to really be a question of economic or interest. It's really just a question
- 43:01of there's some lot of foot Hey, finally got to finish up here.
- 43:07We've going along Chinese missiles filled with water, the hatches of their ICBMs don't
- 43:13work. And also there was a massive hack of the Chinese Space Force where
- 43:20missiles were programmed basically when they're fired off, to turn around and attack their
- 43:24launch site. And this has led to a major purge of China's military and
- 43:32has brought into question whether they're actually in a position to attack Taiwan. Now,
- 43:37if we assume the story is true, this is a big issue.
- 43:43They were actually using rocket fuel as cooking fuel because it cooks better than any
- 43:49other products out there get natural gas or petroleum. I guess better heat distribution.
- 43:53I don't know. I've never tried it, but if you've ever cooked
- 43:57with rocket fuel, send me an email kl Well at kerry LUTs dot com.
- 44:00I'd love to hear your experience. Wouldn't it be nice if we tried
- 44:05to have World War three and nobody was capable of doing it? Yeah,
- 44:09everybody's rockets turned around and hit them back. We just didn't even exply.
- 44:15You know, that would be That would be the best thing that's happened in
- 44:20the last hundred years for sure. Yeah, wouldn't it. Hey, finally,
- 44:23I'm considering becoming a passport bro. I'm not going to define it here.
- 44:29You could look it up on Google Hit in Thailand first three weeks of
- 44:35February. If you live in Thailand, particularly Bangkok, please send me an
- 44:40email to Kal at Kerry LUTs dot com. I'd love to meet you.
- 44:44I know we have a bunch of TIE followers out there because I've seen it
- 44:49from the analytics. I think this is about it. The only other thing
- 44:52we didn't mention that we should have, John, was what's going on with
- 44:57the criminal case against Trump in Atlanta that appears to have imploded. The DA
- 45:05was having an affair with the guy who she appointed special prosecutor. Not the
- 45:10smartest move, but hey, the case wasn't too smart anyway. Which we're
- 45:17not a competent country and we're caring opposition probably anymore. Yeah, Jesus,
- 45:25we can't even cheat successfully. New Gigrich said that he heard that they pushed
- 45:35her to file the indictment, and that's why I got leaked the day before
- 45:38the day that a whole Hunter Biden scandal dropped in the news, and that
- 45:43was to squeeze it out. Who the heck knows. But but this is
- 45:49like the signs of devolving into a Banana Republic, John, It is because
- 45:53we're you know, we're corrupt and we're we're incompetent, And it takes two
- 45:58of those, the both of those things to make of ananda republican. We
- 46:00seem to be there well, being that we're corrupt. To imagine if we
- 46:05were competent, that would really be a problem. We'd have even less freedoms
- 46:09than we'd have now. So maybe we should be grateful for that I don't
- 46:13know. In any event, that's it. We'll talk to you in a
- 46:15couple of weeks, Sean, and that'll be the day before I go off
- 46:20to Asia. Make sure you check out John's site where you find this material
- 46:24Rabino dot substack dot com and the link is in the show notes on Financial
- 46:30Survival Network dot com. Haven't signed up for your free newsletter, please do
- 46:35so right away. John, We'll talk to you soon. See you care.
- 46:38Thanks for listening to carry Letz's Financial Survival Network, your solution to today's
- 46:44trying times. For the latest, go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial
- 46:50Survival Network now more than ever,