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NCAAB Best Bets Saturday 12/13/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
0:06
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:08
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's how I'm gonna
0:12
Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
0:15
Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
0:18
Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
0:20
Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
0:25
Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
0:28
Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
0:33
Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
0:37
Speaker 1: reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
0:41
Speaker 1: bruins hat Man. I don't know what is going on
0:44
Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape. Is that what it is?
0:47
Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
0:50
Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know a data anymore.
0:53
Speaker 1: I'm not I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
0:55
Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
0:58
Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
1:02
Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
1:06
Speaker 1: did not go well for me. Own five the worst
1:10
Speaker 1: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
1:13
Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slumps,
1:17
Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
1:23
Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
1:25
Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up? It's
1:34
Speaker 1: toad back with the Toadstool Sports is going to be
1:38
Speaker 1: college basketball edition for tomorrow Saturday, December thirteenth, College Basketball Saturdays.
1:46
Speaker 1: I mean, these are just gigantic. It is grueling to
1:49
Speaker 1: handicap it. But I just handicapped the entire slate. I'm
1:52
Speaker 1: gonna give about six plays for tomorrow. So do with
1:57
Speaker 1: these numbers what you want to, I guess, and hopefully
2:01
Speaker 1: the lines all move in my direction and we get
2:03
Speaker 1: better numbers. Now, I don't know if that's gonna be
2:06
Speaker 1: the case. So sometimes, I mean, if it's one of
2:08
Speaker 1: the bigger games and we're fading the public in that game,
2:11
Speaker 1: maybe I would say you could wait and potentially get
2:13
Speaker 1: a better number. Other than that, I think it kind
2:15
Speaker 1: of makes sense to just jump on the numbers, and
2:17
Speaker 1: sometimes you're gonna not get the better numbers. Sometimes the
2:20
Speaker 1: market disagrees with me. Whatever, But I'm going based on
2:24
Speaker 1: the situation, hopefully we can keep going. We've had a
2:26
Speaker 1: good college basketball season up to this point, so I
2:29
Speaker 1: want to keep it going. Obviously, I'm just doing what
2:32
Speaker 1: I usually do, trusting the process. So let's get to it.
2:35
Speaker 1: This is just way way too much to do in
2:38
Speaker 1: the morning, man, especially with the bowls starting, and I
2:41
Speaker 1: got to pay attention to that too. So although tomorrow
2:43
Speaker 1: there's only really one but yeah, Charles, what's up? Thanks
2:48
Speaker 1: for hanging out? All right? And I think I put
2:52
Speaker 1: too much emphasis on like the small pools, on them
2:55
Speaker 1: and with like friends and whatever, like the confidence Bowl
2:59
Speaker 1: Mania audience. I gotta get these in, man, I gotta
3:01
Speaker 1: get them right. You can shift around all the confidence
3:04
Speaker 1: values that you haven't used yet in that game. But
3:06
Speaker 1: still I want to, like I have like a spreadsheet
3:09
Speaker 1: with like all the odds, and then I try to
3:10
Speaker 1: like I try to do it that way. All right,
3:15
Speaker 1: let's jump. We're gonna jump into this, man, and then
3:17
Speaker 1: tomorrow morning we're gonna do whatever's left of We're gonna
3:20
Speaker 1: talk about the few college football games. Tomorrow morning we'll
3:23
Speaker 1: talk NHL and NBA. So I'm splitting it up here.
3:28
Speaker 1: We go men's college basketball. Man, we're gonna get into
3:32
Speaker 1: the Do you want me to do the best bets
3:34
Speaker 1: at the end of the show? Charles? You the only
3:35
Speaker 1: one here. What do you want me to do best
3:37
Speaker 1: bets at the end? Or do you want me to
3:39
Speaker 1: just do them as I go? Like I have been
3:40
Speaker 1: doing recently so people have to dig into the episode
3:43
Speaker 1: to even find them. Which one should I do? Because
3:47
Speaker 1: I have one like right away in this Michigan State
3:50
Speaker 1: Penn State game? So uh, I don't know. Should I
3:53
Speaker 1: just do them as like? We'll do them as I go?
3:55
Speaker 1: Why not? Best bets? Here we go first one. You
3:59
Speaker 1: already know what this is gonna be. Man, all right,
4:02
Speaker 1: thank you, you already know what this is gonna be.
4:05
Speaker 1: We're taking the points with Penn State plus the twelve
4:08
Speaker 1: and a half. I know I got caught fading Michigan
4:10
Speaker 1: State last time. It didn't go well. But we're gonna
4:13
Speaker 1: go right back to it and do it again. I
4:15
Speaker 1: don't like to spot for Michigan State here. This is
4:17
Speaker 1: right away at noon, Big ten Network. Everything starts at
4:20
Speaker 1: noon tomorrow. Pretty much. Michigan State ranked ninth in the country.
4:23
Speaker 1: I mean, you know the public's gonna come in on
4:26
Speaker 1: one side, and this they're only gonna play the Michigan
4:28
Speaker 1: State side. Everybody knows the name. They're ranked in the
4:31
Speaker 1: top ten. Ken Bum does have them slightly worse than that.
4:34
Speaker 1: Outside of the top ten. They do play slow, and
4:38
Speaker 1: they're up against Penn State here. Penn State. I'm used
4:41
Speaker 1: to them playing fast, although they don't play as fast
4:43
Speaker 1: this year. And yes, I am worried a little bit.
4:45
Speaker 1: The Penn State is very high and ken Bump's luck index.
4:48
Speaker 1: I usually don't want to look at a team where
4:50
Speaker 1: that's the case. And they have a very weak strength
4:52
Speaker 1: of schedule as well, so we do have to worry
4:55
Speaker 1: about those things. But we're gonna do this anyway. Yes,
4:58
Speaker 1: of course I know Michigan State it's a better team,
5:00
Speaker 1: but you're asking him to cover a double digit spread
5:03
Speaker 1: on the road as a team that they play slow,
5:06
Speaker 1: So if it's a slow paced game, it makes more
5:09
Speaker 1: sense to be taking points. Michigan State is better defensively
5:12
Speaker 1: than offensively, so another indicator that maybe you should not
5:17
Speaker 1: be laying points of the team like that. The number
5:20
Speaker 1: has gone up on this one because it's gonna be
5:22
Speaker 1: public this one. I mean, I don't really think you
5:25
Speaker 1: need to take it right away. But twelve and a
5:28
Speaker 1: half thirteen thirteen and a half is not gonna be
5:30
Speaker 1: a huge difference, hopefully. I know today one of the plays,
5:32
Speaker 1: I said that, and it landed right on the eighteen
5:34
Speaker 1: with Missouri State. So hopefully people found the best number
5:38
Speaker 1: there on that one. Because seventeen and a half's are
5:41
Speaker 1: out there as well. This is a low total one
5:43
Speaker 1: hundred and forty four and a half, so taking the
5:45
Speaker 1: points makes sense in that regard as well. But if
5:48
Speaker 1: we look at the situational setup, that's where this comes in. Man,
5:52
Speaker 1: Michigan State, they're coming up a few huge games in
5:56
Speaker 1: a row. I mean they beat North Carolina, very satisfying
5:59
Speaker 1: win a back I think that was a game that
6:01
Speaker 1: was in Florida a while ago. Then they follow that
6:05
Speaker 1: up with a win beating US here on the show.
6:07
Speaker 1: By beating Iowa, Iowa in their first Tchure road game.
6:10
Speaker 1: They just couldn't handle Michigan State. Man, Michigan State, big win.
6:13
Speaker 1: That was their big ten opener. It was at home,
6:16
Speaker 1: huge win there. Then they had another big game after
6:19
Speaker 1: that where they had to play Duke and this game
6:21
Speaker 1: was in actually this was at home as well, I
6:25
Speaker 1: thought this was a neutral site, but that was at
6:26
Speaker 1: home as well, and Michigan State pretty much played Duke
6:30
Speaker 1: right to the wire and they lost by six. So
6:32
Speaker 1: they're coming up their biggest game in the season man
6:34
Speaker 1: against Duke, and they took the loss. So I think
6:37
Speaker 1: this is kind of a natural letdown spot or hangover
6:39
Speaker 1: spot for that reason, when a team comes off a
6:42
Speaker 1: huge game like that where they came close to pulling
6:44
Speaker 1: off a huge win, they could tend to be in
6:47
Speaker 1: a little bit of a flat spot after that. But
6:49
Speaker 1: not only that, but Michigan State took their first loss
6:51
Speaker 1: of the season, so they're no longer undefeated, So when
6:55
Speaker 1: that happens, I also think that's a bad spot. And
6:57
Speaker 1: that also becomes a hangover spot because when team isn't
7:01
Speaker 1: used to losing and they lose that late into the
7:04
Speaker 1: season for their first loss, that will tend to hang
7:06
Speaker 1: them over as well. And this is also their first
7:09
Speaker 1: true road game the season. I know it's at Penn State.
7:11
Speaker 1: They play there like every year or whatever, or every
7:14
Speaker 1: other year, whatever it is, they're used to it, but
7:17
Speaker 1: it's still their first true road game of the season. Man,
7:20
Speaker 1: And when a team hasn't played a true road game
7:22
Speaker 1: for quite a while. That can be a problem as well.
7:26
Speaker 1: That's what we're looking at here. Meanwhile, I do think
7:28
Speaker 1: Penn State will show up. I know Penn State at
7:30
Speaker 1: eight and two, they're definitely not as good as their
7:32
Speaker 1: record looks, as I already showed you with Ken Bomb.
7:34
Speaker 1: They've had a week schedule, I get it, but they're
7:39
Speaker 1: they're at least battle tested now because they did finally
7:42
Speaker 1: have to step up in class and play Indiana and
7:44
Speaker 1: they got destroyed in that game, which I know that
7:47
Speaker 1: is kind of a bad thing. They've lost their both
7:49
Speaker 1: both of their Power Conference games have lost against Providence
7:53
Speaker 1: and Indiana by double digits, but only the Providence one
7:57
Speaker 1: was at home. Actually this one wasn't at home either,
8:00
Speaker 1: am I saying neither of them were at home? Never
8:02
Speaker 1: mind so neutral sight against Providence that actually was more
8:05
Speaker 1: favorable to Providence because that was actually at Mohegan Sun,
8:08
Speaker 1: So that was like a semi road game almost almost
8:11
Speaker 1: for Penn State. And the other one was a true
8:13
Speaker 1: road game at Indiana. So they have not played any
8:17
Speaker 1: Power Conference team at home yet. It's their big ten
8:19
Speaker 1: home opener. Man, I think they're gonna get up for
8:21
Speaker 1: this one, and they got wrecked by Indiana. And in
8:25
Speaker 1: this last game, man, they gave up one hundred and
8:27
Speaker 1: thirteen points. They lost by forty one points. So who's
8:30
Speaker 1: gonna want Penn State after that? Man? But when a
8:33
Speaker 1: team loses like that, they they usually are gonna come
8:36
Speaker 1: with a better effort in the next one. Man. I mean,
8:38
Speaker 1: that's an embarrassing performance. If you look at what happened
8:41
Speaker 1: in this game was a major, major outlier. Indiana shot
8:45
Speaker 1: sixty nine percent from the field in the game and
8:48
Speaker 1: fifty five percent from three. I mean, come on, man, Like,
8:52
Speaker 1: what team is ever gonna do that unless it's like
8:55
Speaker 1: a game that's just a monster mismatch. I mean, that's
8:59
Speaker 1: just ridiculous. Indiana couldn't miss in the game. That's what
9:02
Speaker 1: happened in that game. That made it more of an
9:04
Speaker 1: outlier performance. Sure, Indiana won the game, they were the
9:06
Speaker 1: better team, but not to that extent. So we're going
9:10
Speaker 1: to be on Penn State plus the points in that
9:12
Speaker 1: one for the first play, you're gonna fall asleep, all right. Well,
9:19
Speaker 1: hopefully you'll be able to get this in before the
9:22
Speaker 1: games happened tomorrow, though some of them are gonna be
9:24
Speaker 1: at night though, bets you like SMU. I'm gonna do
9:29
Speaker 1: this in a word of though, So I don't know
9:31
Speaker 1: if you want to hang on and wait. I will
9:32
Speaker 1: talk about that game once I get to it. I
9:35
Speaker 1: don't remember what I even thought about that game. I
9:37
Speaker 1: don't have a strong opinion on it though. FanDuel Us
9:41
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half? All right, yeah, we can get
9:42
Speaker 1: an even better number on this. Now that's good. How'd
9:45
Speaker 1: you get eighteen and a half? Do you have to
9:47
Speaker 1: pay more for it? The best I saw all day
9:49
Speaker 1: was eighteen, But all right, eighteen and a half. You
9:52
Speaker 1: actually get a win on it. I never saw him
9:55
Speaker 1: more than eighteen. The number went down to seventeen and
9:57
Speaker 1: a half. Consensus pretty much. ESPN two has a pretty
10:01
Speaker 1: good game up at noon as well. Arkansas and Texas
10:04
Speaker 1: Tech number seventeen, Arkansas number sixteen. Texas Tech. This is
10:08
Speaker 1: actually not at Texas Tech. This is in Dallas, so
10:11
Speaker 1: it's a semi home game, if you want to call
10:14
Speaker 1: it that. For Texas Tech. It's not really that far
10:16
Speaker 1: away from Arkansas's campus either, though, so it's kind of
10:19
Speaker 1: a neutral ish game here. It actually might be further
10:23
Speaker 1: away from Texas Tech to be honest, because Texas Tech
10:27
Speaker 1: is further west. I mean, these teams are both pretty good.
10:31
Speaker 1: I think Texas Tech is the slightly better team, which
10:34
Speaker 1: is where they're ranked Arkansas. They followed up a game
10:38
Speaker 1: against Louisville where we actually lost on this game with
10:41
Speaker 1: Fresno State here because I thought Arkansas was in a
10:43
Speaker 1: horrible spot after playing Duke and Louisville and beating Louisville.
10:47
Speaker 1: They got Fresno State and they had Texas Tech coming
10:50
Speaker 1: up next. I thought it was a sandwich spot. They
10:52
Speaker 1: beat us anyway, they covered the twenty whatever points spread
10:56
Speaker 1: by a couple points there. Now they get this game
10:59
Speaker 1: against Texas Tech that I said they would be looking
11:01
Speaker 1: ahead to. But both games are both teams, in my opinion,
11:04
Speaker 1: are gonna be showing up for this one man Texas
11:07
Speaker 1: Tech's coming off, I guess, debatably a more satisfying win.
11:10
Speaker 1: Or they beat LSU, an SEC team who is off
11:14
Speaker 1: to a pretty good start this season, and they beat
11:17
Speaker 1: them handling man, so that win does look a little
11:19
Speaker 1: bit better. So I think for that reason I'm gonna
11:23
Speaker 1: slightly lean towards Arkansas. Texas Tech up from one to
11:26
Speaker 1: one and a half, though I would agree that Texas
11:28
Speaker 1: Tech is probably the better team, but I think they're
11:31
Speaker 1: appropriately valued based on this line. I think if you
11:34
Speaker 1: think this is a true neutral at least, which maybe
11:37
Speaker 1: it's slightly semi home for Texas Tech, I don't know,
11:40
Speaker 1: but I think given the spot, Arkansas makes slightly more sense.
11:44
Speaker 1: But I really don't have much of an opinion on
11:45
Speaker 1: that at all. Also at Noon number twenty two, Saint John's.
11:50
Speaker 1: Oh no, not Saint John's. They're not doing as well
11:53
Speaker 1: this year, man, Yeah, inside, I want to kill myself.
11:57
Speaker 1: They're hosting Iona here, and this is a big game
12:00
Speaker 1: for Iona, man, because I own A. They're a little
12:03
Speaker 1: guy that's like just outside of New York City, so
12:05
Speaker 1: they consider Saint John's to be a big brother to them,
12:08
Speaker 1: so I own A. They're pretty much always gonna at
12:11
Speaker 1: least try to step up their game for a game
12:13
Speaker 1: against Saint John's. And I do not like the spot
12:16
Speaker 1: for Saint John's here. Man, they're coming off. Look at
12:18
Speaker 1: this run of games they've ever. They lost to Iowa
12:21
Speaker 1: State by one, and we've seen how good Iowa State is.
12:24
Speaker 1: They beat Baylor, they lost to Auburn, and then they
12:27
Speaker 1: beat Ole Miss in their last game, even though Ole
12:29
Speaker 1: misses down, so that win maybe not as great as
12:33
Speaker 1: it looks. Saint John's was a favorite in the game.
12:35
Speaker 1: They actually I'm assuming they didn't cover in the game,
12:38
Speaker 1: so I guess I mean, I'm gonna I'm gonna still
12:42
Speaker 1: say this is a Sandwich spot. But if then win
12:45
Speaker 1: was against a better team than Ole Miss, I might
12:47
Speaker 1: be more inclined to jump on Iona here. But it's
12:50
Speaker 1: still a big win when you beat an SEC team,
12:52
Speaker 1: a Chris Beard coach teams, so big win for Saint John's. Nonetheless,
12:57
Speaker 1: Mississippi was actually able to slow them down in that
12:59
Speaker 1: game too, because Saint John's likes to play fast and
13:03
Speaker 1: Saint John's does have their conference opener next. It'll be
13:07
Speaker 1: their first conference game, but it's against De Paul. So
13:10
Speaker 1: if it was really against any other Big East team,
13:12
Speaker 1: I think they might be looking ahead more to that
13:14
Speaker 1: game than they are, because I mean, De Paul is
13:18
Speaker 1: they're the dormat in the Big East. Man, if it
13:21
Speaker 1: was like any other Big East team, that might be
13:23
Speaker 1: a bigger deal coming up next. So I'm gonna pass
13:26
Speaker 1: on this one, but I would lean to Iona. Iona
13:29
Speaker 1: does have the better looking record of although of course,
13:31
Speaker 1: they've had a much easier schedule than Saint John's. Iona's
13:34
Speaker 1: coming up pretty lackluster game against Bryant. I think Iona
13:38
Speaker 1: was looking ahead. I think I called that game out
13:41
Speaker 1: as a potential look ahead for Iona on the show.
13:44
Speaker 1: They were a pretty big favorite in that game against Bryant,
13:47
Speaker 1: and they only won by six. Of course ESPN doesn't
13:49
Speaker 1: show us the historical odds anymore. I'm guessing Iona was
13:53
Speaker 1: a favorite of about several points in that game, so
13:56
Speaker 1: they didn't play that well. I think they were looking
13:58
Speaker 1: ahead a little bit. I lean towards Iona Hear in
14:01
Speaker 1: this one, actually one of my stronger leans. Actually that's
14:04
Speaker 1: not on my card. At least, you're taking a lot
14:07
Speaker 1: of points in this one if you do it. Saint
14:09
Speaker 1: John's dev for minus twenty seven of minus twenty six
14:12
Speaker 1: and a half. The game is at Madison Square Gardens,
14:17
Speaker 1: so it's one of Saint John's home arenas, but the
14:20
Speaker 1: non campus one, so you know, you get kind of
14:23
Speaker 1: the it's a little bit less of an intense crowd there,
14:27
Speaker 1: all those Saint John's, I mean, it is like their
14:28
Speaker 1: other homes, so whatever. But it is also gonna be
14:32
Speaker 1: a fast paced game. Most likely a Saint John's definitely
14:35
Speaker 1: likes to wait fast. The one thing you do have
14:37
Speaker 1: going for you if you do like iona, though, is
14:39
Speaker 1: that Saint John's is not a very good offensive team.
14:42
Speaker 1: That's just kind of what they do. They go fast,
14:44
Speaker 1: but they're actually better defensively than offensively for whatever reason.
14:48
Speaker 1: Although this year their offense has actually been a little
14:50
Speaker 1: bit better. It's they've been more balanced, despite the fact
14:54
Speaker 1: that they've already lost more games this year than they
14:56
Speaker 1: did all of last year. So yeah, with all that information,
15:01
Speaker 1: what you want to That game's on TNT. The total
15:05
Speaker 1: is still fairly high though, It's up to one sixty
15:07
Speaker 1: three and a half, so money seems to think it's
15:10
Speaker 1: gonna be a high scoring game, even though Saint John's
15:13
Speaker 1: doesn't necessarily put up high point totals despite their fast pace.
15:20
Speaker 1: All Right, we have U mass and Florida State also
15:24
Speaker 1: at noon. U mass just pulled off a pretty big
15:26
Speaker 1: win man against BC. Like whenever you beat the big
15:30
Speaker 1: boy in Massachusetts, it's a big deal. Even though I
15:33
Speaker 1: think U. Mass was maybe only a slight underdog in
15:35
Speaker 1: that one. I thought BC was gonna be in the
15:37
Speaker 1: better spot in that one. That game was out in
15:39
Speaker 1: Western mass though closer to Amherst it was sem I
15:44
Speaker 1: think it was in Springfield. It's not really a semi
15:46
Speaker 1: home but maybe slightly favorable to you Mass there. Now
15:50
Speaker 1: U Mass gets Florida State, but I don't think U
15:53
Speaker 1: Mass is really gonna be in a letdown spot because, like,
15:56
Speaker 1: how do you overlook Florida State, Like you get to
15:58
Speaker 1: play a team that's got an aim like that. This game,
16:01
Speaker 1: I think is actually a neutral site game though, yeah,
16:04
Speaker 1: this game is actually in Florida, so this game is
16:07
Speaker 1: more beneficial to Florida or Florida State. Excuse me the
16:10
Speaker 1: location here. Florida State's coming up three big games in
16:13
Speaker 1: a row against Texas A and M Georgia Houston. They
16:17
Speaker 1: didn't play that close, but still when you come off
16:20
Speaker 1: games like that, I think you're gonna be a little
16:22
Speaker 1: bit physically punished coming into this game. And they do
16:25
Speaker 1: have Dayton up next, which is maybe a bit of
16:27
Speaker 1: a bigger game than playing U Mass. So I actually
16:30
Speaker 1: think the spot might be a little bit worse for
16:31
Speaker 1: Florida State. I don't love either side, but Florida State
16:36
Speaker 1: up from ten to ten and a half to eleven
16:37
Speaker 1: and a half. Here. You know, I might slightly lean
16:41
Speaker 1: towards taking the points with U mass, but it's a
16:43
Speaker 1: total up to one hundred and fifty nine and a
16:44
Speaker 1: half as well. No real opinion on that one at all, though, Pinzy,
16:49
Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. I appreciate it, guys.
16:53
Speaker 1: Thanks for subscribing or whatever and coming back when I
16:56
Speaker 1: go live at random times and whatever. Al Right, what
17:01
Speaker 1: other games we even really want to talk about here? Man,
17:03
Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to keep this, you know, big. If
17:07
Speaker 1: you want to talk about another game, I will. I'm
17:08
Speaker 1: gonna talk about the SMU game for bets there. I'm
17:11
Speaker 1: gonna talk about most of the big games at the
17:13
Speaker 1: very least Oklahoma State and Oklahoma. This is a big game, man,
17:17
Speaker 1: at one pm on Fox. It's a huge rivalry. We
17:20
Speaker 1: know these two teams are the big rivals in their state.
17:23
Speaker 1: They don't like each other. Oklahoma State's off to a
17:25
Speaker 1: nine to oh start, but Oklahoma is actually the favorite here.
17:29
Speaker 1: They're up from pick them to two and a half.
17:31
Speaker 1: This is not at one of the campuses. This is
17:32
Speaker 1: in Oklahoma City, so it's a neutral game here. Both
17:37
Speaker 1: teams will have their fan bases showing up here. Oklahoma
17:40
Speaker 1: is the favorite for I think a reason. I think
17:43
Speaker 1: they are actually the better team, even though you'll see
17:46
Speaker 1: Oklahoma has some losses in Oklahoma State does not, but
17:49
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State does not face a very difficult schedule. Their
17:52
Speaker 1: best wins are against Texas A and M Northwestern on
17:56
Speaker 1: the road, and then Grand Canyon is a pretty solid win,
18:01
Speaker 1: but they haven't really been that tested yet. They're now
18:04
Speaker 1: they're gonna face Oklahoma, who's sitting at six and three.
18:07
Speaker 1: So I think people might look at these records and
18:09
Speaker 1: maybe even think there's value because people see a team
18:12
Speaker 1: that hasn't lost yet and like, well, how are they
18:14
Speaker 1: an underdog? Right? You know what I mean? That's gonna
18:16
Speaker 1: come up with one of my actual plays. By the way,
18:18
Speaker 1: it works even more extreme, but people might have a
18:22
Speaker 1: tendency to want to look to take the points here
18:24
Speaker 1: to some extent. With Oklahoma State, I probably wouldn't, although
18:28
Speaker 1: Oklahoma's coming up a more difficult run of games where
18:31
Speaker 1: they beat Marquette, they beat Wake on the road, Wake Forest,
18:34
Speaker 1: and then they played Arizona State I think maybe in
18:37
Speaker 1: a neutral site game. Yeah, the Jerry Colangelo Classic. It
18:41
Speaker 1: was in Phoenix, so it was like a semi home
18:44
Speaker 1: for Arizona State kind of, and they lost that game.
18:46
Speaker 1: Now they're coming back from that, so they are coming
18:48
Speaker 1: up of a more difficult game than Oklahoma State, is,
18:51
Speaker 1: I believe, because Oklahoma State's well, Oklahoma State's coming up
18:54
Speaker 1: beating Grand Canon. I think Oklahoma State was a favorite
18:57
Speaker 1: in that game. I would imagine, Yeah, they weren't a
19:00
Speaker 1: huge favorite though, and that was also in the Colangelo
19:03
Speaker 1: Classic in Arizona, but that was like a semi home
19:07
Speaker 1: game for Grand Canyon because of that. Basically, so a
19:10
Speaker 1: lot of things going on in this game. I think
19:12
Speaker 1: it comes down to the line just looking a little
19:14
Speaker 1: bit bizarre here. I would probably lean towards Oklahoma in
19:19
Speaker 1: that one. But no strong opinion on that one really
19:22
Speaker 1: at all. I just talk about the bigger games. Man.
19:24
Speaker 1: We have Marquette at number six, per Due at two
19:28
Speaker 1: pm Eastern. Purdue has not moved up in the rankings yet,
19:32
Speaker 1: although I think the rankings don't come out again until
19:34
Speaker 1: like Sunday or whatever. Right, so Purdue is coming up
19:37
Speaker 1: beating Minnesota down. I mean, it was a nice bounce
19:39
Speaker 1: back for Purdue off that ugly loss at home against
19:43
Speaker 1: Iowa State. Purdue one of the worst home losses ever,
19:47
Speaker 1: like score wise, although Iowa State it's a very good team,
19:50
Speaker 1: but still that was embarrassing, and when you lose like
19:52
Speaker 1: that to anybody, that's embarrassing. Purdue got the bounce back
19:56
Speaker 1: now they get Marquette here, but maybe they're gonna be
19:58
Speaker 1: looking ahead a little bit to awe because Markette's a
20:01
Speaker 1: little bit down right now in Auburn is probably, I
20:04
Speaker 1: mean maybe reason for a look ahead there, because Auburn
20:07
Speaker 1: is at least ranked. Marquette is coming off a pretty
20:10
Speaker 1: ugly loss to their in state rival Wisconsin, losing by
20:14
Speaker 1: twenty points. I think Marquette might be in more of
20:18
Speaker 1: a bounce back mode after that, so I kind of
20:20
Speaker 1: lean to Marquette in this one. But Marquette likes to
20:23
Speaker 1: go fast and Purdue likes to go really slow. So
20:25
Speaker 1: Purdue probably will be able to slow this game down
20:28
Speaker 1: to control of the pace, and that might frustrate Marquette,
20:31
Speaker 1: although it might also mean that the Purdue will have
20:33
Speaker 1: a more difficult time covering an eighteen point spread. They're
20:37
Speaker 1: down from eighteen and a half to eighteen here, so
20:39
Speaker 1: slightly into taking the points here totally looks like it's
20:42
Speaker 1: dropping down to one p fifty three and a half.
20:44
Speaker 1: It's still not exactly low, but yeah, those are my
20:48
Speaker 1: quick thoughts on that one. On North Carolina at number
20:51
Speaker 1: fourteen in the country, That game is on Peacock. By
20:53
Speaker 1: the way, this North Carolina game is on the CW
20:57
Speaker 1: if you want to go over there and watch this
20:58
Speaker 1: one after you watch Buffy the Vampire Slayer or whatever.
21:02
Speaker 1: They're facing South Carolina, Upstate, USC Upstate, South Carolina Upstate.
21:07
Speaker 1: You gotta figure they're gonna at least try to get
21:09
Speaker 1: up for a game against one of the big boys
21:11
Speaker 1: in the Carolinas. Whereas North Carolina might not have full
21:15
Speaker 1: focus on this. They're coming off a run of losing
21:18
Speaker 1: to Michigan State, beating Kentucky big win for North Carolina,
21:21
Speaker 1: and that won a true road game as an underdog.
21:24
Speaker 1: They beat Kentucky man that's a big one, and then
21:26
Speaker 1: they followed it up with no let down. They beat
21:29
Speaker 1: Georgetown by twenty after that. So after that run of games,
21:33
Speaker 1: maybe they'll be in a little bit of a let
21:35
Speaker 1: down here in this one. I would probably only towards
21:38
Speaker 1: taking the points if I was gonna play this USC
21:40
Speaker 1: Upstate coming off a win over Western Carolina not really
21:46
Speaker 1: not a game that really matters whatsoever coming into this one.
21:50
Speaker 1: I mean, this is gonna be one of their games
21:51
Speaker 1: they have circled at least, and for USC Upstate, they're
21:55
Speaker 1: pretty battle tested. I mean, they played a lot of
21:57
Speaker 1: road games. They've actually done pretty well in the games.
22:00
Speaker 1: They lost to cal Baptist by twelve, that's not a
22:03
Speaker 1: horrible loss. Having to go to the Pacific Coast to
22:05
Speaker 1: start the season, cal Baptist is not that bad, and
22:08
Speaker 1: they followed it up with a win at Fresno State
22:11
Speaker 1: that's not bad either. I mean, I'm assuming they were
22:13
Speaker 1: a huge underdog in that one. Probably they only lost
22:16
Speaker 1: by thirteen at UNC Wilmington. They're a good team too.
22:20
Speaker 1: Did have kind of a sandwich loss after that Tennessee Tech.
22:24
Speaker 1: They did lose again at Western Georgia, which is not
22:27
Speaker 1: a great loss, But then their most recent road game,
22:30
Speaker 1: they came to within nine of Nebraska. I mean that's
22:33
Speaker 1: a pretty good sign. Nebraska also likes to play fast,
22:36
Speaker 1: which North Carolina also does, so I don't think South
22:40
Speaker 1: Carolina Upstate is going to be intimidated by that game
22:43
Speaker 1: at the very least, so I would look towards taking
22:45
Speaker 1: the points you're getting twenty eight and a half. Now,
22:49
Speaker 1: if you do that, the total's gone up a little bit,
22:51
Speaker 1: but it's still pretty low at one hundred and forty nine,
22:54
Speaker 1: which surprises me because North Carolina they like to play
22:57
Speaker 1: somewhat on the faster side, so I'm kind of rise
23:00
Speaker 1: they're kind of in the mid tempos right now. But yeah,
23:03
Speaker 1: I'm kind of surprised that total is as low as
23:05
Speaker 1: it is. So weird. Nate, what's up man? Yeah? Nebrasketball.
23:11
Speaker 1: I'll probably talk about that one. I have not talked
23:14
Speaker 1: about that game yet. Nebraska and Illinois. I will talk
23:19
Speaker 1: about that one, obviously. It's a big game. It's on
23:21
Speaker 1: my card as well. And you're gonna hate me, all right,
23:26
Speaker 1: What other games do we have that are really that interesting?
23:28
Speaker 1: I also have a notepad here where I have some
23:30
Speaker 1: of the other games that I found to be somewhat
23:32
Speaker 1: interesting here, all right, Yeah, I mean, also, for time's sake,
23:38
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be skipping some of these. I'm talking about
23:40
Speaker 1: all the big games at least. And again, if you
23:42
Speaker 1: want me to talk about some other game that I haven't,
23:44
Speaker 1: you can shout it out. But if I don't talk
23:46
Speaker 1: about it, play means I don't have that much of
23:48
Speaker 1: an opinion on it. I'm gonna talk about the other
23:50
Speaker 1: ones that I do have an opinion on that don't
23:53
Speaker 1: make my card because I have like six other ones there,
23:56
Speaker 1: and then I'm talking about all the big games at
23:58
Speaker 1: least too. All Right, So this one we have what
24:02
Speaker 1: was I going to talk about? Oh? Yeah, Providence and Butler.
24:05
Speaker 1: I mean, this is a big East game, somewhat big
24:08
Speaker 1: game here, Providence coming off of a pretty lackluster performance
24:13
Speaker 1: against Brown, which I kind of told you that looked
24:15
Speaker 1: sandwiching to me because Providence was coming up beating Rhode Island,
24:19
Speaker 1: who's a better Rhode Island team, and Providence beat them down.
24:23
Speaker 1: Then they didn't have a great game against Brown, who's
24:25
Speaker 1: a littler brother there, and Brown stepped up their game,
24:29
Speaker 1: played well in that one. Providence, I think was looking
24:31
Speaker 1: ahead to this big East opener. Hero This is only
24:34
Speaker 1: gonna be their second true road game of the season,
24:36
Speaker 1: though their first one was a win for us on
24:38
Speaker 1: the show in High Elevation in Colorado. Bad spot for them.
24:43
Speaker 1: But Providence has not stepped up well against Power Conference
24:46
Speaker 1: teams so far. Man they lost in Virginia Tech they
24:48
Speaker 1: lost that Colorado game. They beat Penn State at home,
24:51
Speaker 1: so that was a pretty good win, or maybe that
24:53
Speaker 1: was a slightly neutral gay I forget, maybe a semi
24:56
Speaker 1: home whatever it was. They lost to Wisconsin and they
24:58
Speaker 1: lost to Florida, although Wisconsin and Florida are obviously better
25:03
Speaker 1: teams than Butler though, so now Butler, you know, they're
25:07
Speaker 1: kind of somewhere in the middle of those teams that
25:10
Speaker 1: Providence has played as far as the big conference games.
25:12
Speaker 1: But this is a road game. Man. Again, they didn't
25:14
Speaker 1: do well their last road game, although this is at
25:17
Speaker 1: least a more familiar road environment because Butler's in the
25:21
Speaker 1: same conference. As far as Butler is concerned, I don't
25:24
Speaker 1: think they're as good as their record looks. Butler, They've
25:27
Speaker 1: been all over the map, dude. I mean, they have
25:31
Speaker 1: losses to SMU and Boise in their last game, so
25:34
Speaker 1: they might bounce back from that because they were definitely
25:36
Speaker 1: a favorite at home against Boise, and they had a
25:38
Speaker 1: bad game against Boise, so maybe they were even looking
25:41
Speaker 1: ahead to the Big East slate. So I think Butler
25:45
Speaker 1: probably is the side to look at in this game. Butler,
25:48
Speaker 1: they also do have some decent wins in here against
25:50
Speaker 1: Virginia South Carolina. I mean those are not that bad.
25:53
Speaker 1: Losing by two on the road at SMU is not
25:56
Speaker 1: bad either, So yeah, I mean Butler, they're somewhat battle
25:59
Speaker 1: test at least. I don't think they're that good. But
26:01
Speaker 1: they're a five point favorite here and they're favored like
26:04
Speaker 1: that for a reason. Man, so slightly to Butler in
26:08
Speaker 1: that game for me, Okay, Mercy Hurst, that Davidson is
26:15
Speaker 1: kind of interesting Mercy Hurst. I mean it's a kind
26:20
Speaker 1: of a weird environment for them to have to go
26:22
Speaker 1: down to Davidson though. And I do worry because they
26:24
Speaker 1: have Syracuse up next. That's a big conference game, so
26:26
Speaker 1: they might be looking ahead to Syracuse because I was
26:29
Speaker 1: looking at this game and thinking maybe Mercy Hurst would
26:33
Speaker 1: be like a look in this game. Mercy Ears is
26:35
Speaker 1: at least somewhat battle tested. Playing Northwestern, they beat Loyal Chicago.
26:41
Speaker 1: The Loyal Chicago has been really underperforming this year. Good
26:46
Speaker 1: performance from Mercy Ears at Miami Ohio, not losing by
26:49
Speaker 1: that much, not losing by much at Marshall. They played
26:51
Speaker 1: West Virginia. They got blasted in that game. But I
26:55
Speaker 1: mean Mercirius, they're not really going to be intimidated by
26:58
Speaker 1: going to Davidson though, even though it's the South than
27:00
Speaker 1: they have traveled this year for Davidson. And yeah, Mercy
27:05
Speaker 1: Hers is really bad on the road though. They're one
27:06
Speaker 1: and six on the road or something. Davidson's five and
27:09
Speaker 1: one at home. But Davidson is coming up a big
27:11
Speaker 1: game man against Saint Mary's where Saint Mary's is a favorite,
27:15
Speaker 1: I think at Davidson and Davidson played them fairly close
27:19
Speaker 1: to the game, was within one or two possessions pretty
27:21
Speaker 1: late in that game, lost by nine. So Mercy Hurst
27:25
Speaker 1: would be my lean in this one. Davidson does play
27:27
Speaker 1: Temple and then Kansas after this. Those are somewhat bigger
27:31
Speaker 1: games as well, and then they start conference play after
27:34
Speaker 1: that as well, So this is pretty much the down spot.
27:37
Speaker 1: Like if they're gonna overlook a spot in their schedule,
27:40
Speaker 1: it's gonna be this game, I would say. So I
27:43
Speaker 1: would slightly need to take in the points with Mercy Hearst.
27:45
Speaker 1: You're getting fourteen with a really low total of one
27:48
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty five, So that would be a slight
27:51
Speaker 1: opinion for me in that one. Maybe that would be
27:53
Speaker 1: an extra one of those like six or seven that
27:56
Speaker 1: are not on my card, but in opinion, nonetheless, Cincinnati
28:02
Speaker 1: at Georgia. This is also at two pm. That other
28:04
Speaker 1: game I just talked about Davidson is on ESPN Plus.
28:08
Speaker 1: Cincinnati and Georgia are gonna be an ESPN U. Cincinnati,
28:12
Speaker 1: as I talked about earlier this morning, is coming off
28:14
Speaker 1: a game against Xavier. Those two teams do not like
28:17
Speaker 1: each other. Man, it's a big game. It was a
28:19
Speaker 1: pretty close game. I think Cincinnati had to make a
28:23
Speaker 1: comeback in that game and then fell short. Big game
28:26
Speaker 1: from them though. The Georgia, I mean, I don't think
28:28
Speaker 1: Georgia is really gonna be an opponent they're gonna overlook
28:31
Speaker 1: either though, Like I don't really think they're gonna overlook
28:33
Speaker 1: an SEC team, especially when they have a smaller game
28:35
Speaker 1: up next. This is in the Holiday hoops Giving and
28:39
Speaker 1: I believe this is in Atlanta, Georgia, so the location
28:44
Speaker 1: is definitely more beneficial to Georgia here. Georgia, though, they're
28:48
Speaker 1: coming off smashing Florida stay on the road, so they're
28:52
Speaker 1: coming off a pretty big game as well. Man, that's
28:54
Speaker 1: a very satisfying win for them. So both teams look
28:57
Speaker 1: like they're in spots where I kind of want to
28:59
Speaker 1: fade them. So I don't know which way I would
29:01
Speaker 1: even want to look in this game. And Georgia's already
29:03
Speaker 1: up from six and a half to nine though, So
29:04
Speaker 1: the early money, for what it's worth, does seem to
29:08
Speaker 1: be coming in on the Georgia side. Sometimes that's a
29:11
Speaker 1: false move, but when it's moved that much, it kind
29:14
Speaker 1: of seems like it's the legit side, and that one
29:16
Speaker 1: to me for now. I mean, it's hard to read
29:18
Speaker 1: some of these early marks, like it's hard to read
29:20
Speaker 1: the market this early, but yeah, I mean it seems
29:23
Speaker 1: like Georgia is the side that's getting the money there though,
29:26
Speaker 1: So I guess take that for what it's worth. Maybe
29:29
Speaker 1: you could argue george is coming off a more satisfying
29:32
Speaker 1: game with like a blowout win. Maybe they'll be in
29:34
Speaker 1: a letdown spot where Cincinnati coming off a loss, but
29:38
Speaker 1: it was a tough game against Xavier Man for Evansville
29:42
Speaker 1: and Notre Dame. Notre Dame, I mean, they're coming up
29:46
Speaker 1: only beating Idaho, So I was thinking that they were
29:48
Speaker 1: coming off that game against TCU, but they're not, because
29:50
Speaker 1: that was a nice win on the road against CCU,
29:52
Speaker 1: but Notre Dame had what looked like it was kind
29:54
Speaker 1: of a flat spot against Idaho. They won anyway, although
29:57
Speaker 1: they probably didn't cover the only one by fifteen. Now
30:02
Speaker 1: they're getting Evansville. Evansville is the little brother though in
30:07
Speaker 1: in Indiana they're also an Indiana team, and so is
30:09
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, of course. But the problem with is Evansville
30:13
Speaker 1: is actually in a bad spot because they just took
30:15
Speaker 1: Western Kentucky to the limit. Man, and Western Kentucky was
30:18
Speaker 1: a big favorite in this one. I would guess they
30:20
Speaker 1: were probably about a probably around an eight to nine
30:23
Speaker 1: point favorite in the game based on what the ESPN
30:26
Speaker 1: projections were there at least. So Evansville is having to
30:29
Speaker 1: play two straight really big effort road games here if
30:32
Speaker 1: they're gonna want to try to do this against Notre Dame.
30:35
Speaker 1: So I don't love it now. I would probably lay
30:37
Speaker 1: the points with Notre Dame in this one, but I
30:39
Speaker 1: worry about it because again Evansville is still the little
30:42
Speaker 1: brother here, and the money looks like it has come
30:45
Speaker 1: in on Evansville early on a Notre Dame after seventeen,
30:48
Speaker 1: after sixteen total really low at one hundred and thirty six,
30:52
Speaker 1: So not really a game where I'm really wanting to
30:55
Speaker 1: lay points. And I don't think Notre Dame plays fast either,
30:58
Speaker 1: so not really can do jusif to winning by margin necessarily.
31:02
Speaker 1: And again it is still a big game for Evansville.
31:04
Speaker 1: I mean, Notre Dame is one of the bigger names
31:07
Speaker 1: in Indiana, so Evansville probably want to get up for it.
31:11
Speaker 1: Next up, we'll have my next play here. We're gonna
31:13
Speaker 1: take the points again. We got some big underdogs here,
31:16
Speaker 1: and this we're gonna be on George Washington plus the
31:19
Speaker 1: fifteen and a half, even though he's only one man.
31:21
Speaker 1: And the school changed their name from the Colonials because
31:25
Speaker 1: you can't talk about colonizing anymore. You can't talk about
31:28
Speaker 1: the Revolution or the American Revolution anymore. Man. They changed
31:32
Speaker 1: their name to the revolution Areas though, which does sound
31:35
Speaker 1: more like leftist. Though it sounds more like a reign
31:38
Speaker 1: of terror type of thing man than the American Revolution.
31:41
Speaker 1: So I hate that name change. It's stupid. These woke
31:46
Speaker 1: name changes are all bs, but we're gonna ride them
31:48
Speaker 1: here in this game. At Florida. I know it sounds
31:53
Speaker 1: like it's gonna be, it's actually not. At Florida. Sorry,
31:55
Speaker 1: it's not a home game for Florida. It's in Sunrise,
31:58
Speaker 1: Florida in that whatever it is, the Sunshine Slam or no,
32:01
Speaker 1: the Orange Bowl Classic, my mistake, so in anticipation of
32:06
Speaker 1: the actual Orange Bowl. So Sunrise, I'm guessing is close
32:10
Speaker 1: to Miami then, because that's where the Orange Bowl is.
32:13
Speaker 1: So you know, Florida benefits from the location, but they're
32:17
Speaker 1: on the other side of the state pretty much. So
32:21
Speaker 1: take from that what you will. And again I will
32:23
Speaker 1: point out Florida is nowhere near as bad as their
32:25
Speaker 1: five and four record looks. I understand that, and this
32:28
Speaker 1: is one where people are gonna look at it him
32:30
Speaker 1: maybe the public might have a little bit of a
32:33
Speaker 1: tendency to maybe not want to lay the points with
32:35
Speaker 1: Florida at least because GW is at eight and three.
32:38
Speaker 1: But I don't like the spot for Florida man I
32:40
Speaker 1: said that last time. I acknowledge that Florida is not
32:43
Speaker 1: as bad as the record looks. They faced a really,
32:45
Speaker 1: really difficult schedule losing to Arizona, Duke Yukon. I mean,
32:50
Speaker 1: those are all three of those teams are like legit,
32:53
Speaker 1: like top five teams. So I'm not gonna knock Florida
32:56
Speaker 1: for those losses. But they're coming off not only now
32:59
Speaker 1: that do game, but the Connecticut game that they just
33:02
Speaker 1: played the other night. So they're coming off two really
33:05
Speaker 1: big games, man. And the Connecticut game was up in
33:08
Speaker 1: New England as well. I think that was or no,
33:10
Speaker 1: it was a where was it at Madison Square? It
33:12
Speaker 1: was somewhere in the northeast. I think it was in
33:14
Speaker 1: New York Madison Square gardens. So now they're coming off
33:17
Speaker 1: two huge step up games where they played close against
33:20
Speaker 1: Duke and Yukon, and now they're coming off all that
33:22
Speaker 1: and they got to play George Washington. It looks like
33:25
Speaker 1: a flat spot to me for Florida, man, even though
33:27
Speaker 1: I know they do tend to like to play fast.
33:29
Speaker 1: George Washington likes to play fast as well, though, man,
33:32
Speaker 1: So at the very least, they're not gonna be thrown
33:34
Speaker 1: out of their their element here at least, and Ken
33:37
Speaker 1: Bomb has George Washington in the top one hundred, so
33:40
Speaker 1: they're not a pushover. They're not a horrible team. Yes,
33:44
Speaker 1: they're bad defensively, so there is that that's a little
33:47
Speaker 1: bit of a worry. But they do play fast, like
33:49
Speaker 1: I said, and yes again, I know Florida is very
33:53
Speaker 1: low in the luck index right now. In Ken Bomb
33:55
Speaker 1: he has them as there his fourth unluckiest team, and
33:59
Speaker 1: havev he faced the fourth most strong schedule. I get
34:03
Speaker 1: all that, but look at what George Washington's coming off of. Man,
34:06
Speaker 1: they lost at home to Delaware, and that was a
34:10
Speaker 1: Delaware was a winless on the road. George Washington was
34:13
Speaker 1: undefeated at home. I think George Washington was looking ahead
34:17
Speaker 1: to this Florida game, and I mean they were a
34:18
Speaker 1: massive favorite in this game, like they had to have
34:21
Speaker 1: been like at like there were more than a double
34:24
Speaker 1: digit favorite in this game at the very least. And
34:26
Speaker 1: they lost this game outright. And when a huge favorite
34:29
Speaker 1: loses outright like this, I like to look to play
34:32
Speaker 1: on that team in the next game. And look at
34:34
Speaker 1: what happened in this game. GW did win the turnover battle,
34:38
Speaker 1: and they won the rebounding battle barely. But look at
34:41
Speaker 1: the shooting. Delaware shot fifty one percent against them, which
34:44
Speaker 1: is an outlier in it's on its own, and forty
34:47
Speaker 1: five percent from three that's even a little bit crazier.
34:50
Speaker 1: But GW was twenty nine percent from the floor in
34:54
Speaker 1: this game. Man, that is an unbelievably low percentage that
34:57
Speaker 1: you're like, never gonna see that happen again, probably, and
35:02
Speaker 1: from a GW team that you know they tend to,
35:04
Speaker 1: I think, like to get out in transition as well
35:06
Speaker 1: with their fast pace. They're forty second in all of
35:10
Speaker 1: college basketball and offensive offensive efficiency as well according to
35:15
Speaker 1: Ken Bomb. So there's no way you're gonna see them
35:17
Speaker 1: shoot like that again, even if they are playing Florida.
35:20
Speaker 1: Hear so, I kind of like it, man, And maybe
35:23
Speaker 1: Florida's just a little bit down from where they were
35:27
Speaker 1: last year. I mean, the rankings makers are already telling
35:29
Speaker 1: you that, but I think that's the case. I mean,
35:32
Speaker 1: Xavian Lee, one of their big acquisitions over the offseason,
35:35
Speaker 1: hasn't really been that good. They brought them up from Princeton,
35:37
Speaker 1: so he's having a step up in class. Florida has
35:40
Speaker 1: gone up from twelve to sixteen here, and I get it,
35:42
Speaker 1: it's a high total in one hundred and sixty seven
35:44
Speaker 1: and a half. I understand all that. But the combination
35:48
Speaker 1: of Florida being in like a let down hangover spot
35:50
Speaker 1: in GW coming off a horrific game is a huge favorite.
35:55
Speaker 1: I think it's worth it to take the points here.
35:57
Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna do. I understand the high the
36:00
Speaker 1: high total means the teams are gonna be going up
36:02
Speaker 1: and down the floor, and it does make it easier
36:04
Speaker 1: for the favorite to cover. But GW is not gonna
36:07
Speaker 1: be thrown out of the style that they want to play, man,
36:09
Speaker 1: because they like to go fast as well. So that's
36:12
Speaker 1: what we're gonna do there in that game. Although I
36:15
Speaker 1: know the tempo, Like, even if I say, like a
36:17
Speaker 1: team is a fast tempo playing a slow tempo team,
36:20
Speaker 1: I usually make the excuso, Well, the fast tempo teams
36:23
Speaker 1: is not gonna step. They're not gonna like go full throttle,
36:25
Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So I do make that
36:27
Speaker 1: point as well. But it still works out. Man. It
36:30
Speaker 1: really just all comes down to the spot you know.
36:33
Speaker 1: And George Washington, I think they're really gonna get up
36:35
Speaker 1: for this because it's on ESPN two. They get to
36:38
Speaker 1: play an sec A ranked team on ESPN two. That's
36:41
Speaker 1: a big deal, man. It's a bigger deal for GW
36:43
Speaker 1: than it is for Florida. I mean, Florida is playing
36:45
Speaker 1: National Spotlight Games all the time, all right, one of
36:52
Speaker 1: these what other games I even want to talk about here?
36:54
Speaker 1: We do have Georgetown and Saint Peter's here, Uh, Georgetown
37:00
Speaker 1: coming off losing to North Carolina, a big game, but
37:02
Speaker 1: they got blown out by North Carolina. But they do
37:04
Speaker 1: start big East play next in four days against Marquette,
37:07
Speaker 1: So debatably still a bit of a sandwich spot here
37:11
Speaker 1: facing Saint Peter's. Saint Peter's coming off a blowout themselves
37:15
Speaker 1: against Niagara, which whenever you blow anybody out like that
37:18
Speaker 1: seventy one to forty three, you're gonna be feeling a
37:21
Speaker 1: little bit satisfied. But you gotta think Saint Peter's is
37:25
Speaker 1: gonna step it up for a big East matchup though,
37:27
Speaker 1: and they're not gonna be intimidated. I mean, they already
37:29
Speaker 1: played Seaton Hall on the road as well, so they
37:31
Speaker 1: already played another big East team on the road. So
37:34
Speaker 1: for me slightly towards Saint Peter's, it's a low total
37:37
Speaker 1: of one hundred and forty one and a half plus
37:39
Speaker 1: the points for Saint Peter's. I mean, Georgetown down from
37:42
Speaker 1: nineteen to eighteen and a half there, so taking the
37:45
Speaker 1: eighteen and a half in a low total game kind
37:48
Speaker 1: of makes sense. That's two thirty pm Eastern ESPN plus
37:52
Speaker 1: Houston number seven in the country gets New New Orleans
37:54
Speaker 1: at three pm on ESPN plus. UH Houston coming off
37:59
Speaker 1: just Rowyan Jackson State. No real surprise there. They do
38:03
Speaker 1: have Arkansas next to us that will be a bigger
38:05
Speaker 1: game for them. Possible look ahead here. New Orleans is
38:08
Speaker 1: not as bad as the record looks. At the very least,
38:10
Speaker 1: They've had a difficult schedule, so that also means they
38:13
Speaker 1: won't be intimidated. I mean, they played road games the
38:16
Speaker 1: entire season up until two games ago, and I thought
38:19
Speaker 1: that their home opener would be good for them. And
38:21
Speaker 1: we laid the points here on the show and that
38:23
Speaker 1: one and we took that loss. That was bad. They
38:25
Speaker 1: bounced back with a win over Incarnate Words, so that's
38:29
Speaker 1: good at least because it broke along lost streak for
38:31
Speaker 1: New Orleans, although they were actually an underdog in that game.
38:34
Speaker 1: I think Incarnate Word actually is kind of on their
38:36
Speaker 1: way up a little bit this year. But you know,
38:38
Speaker 1: New Orleans is gonna step it up for a game
38:40
Speaker 1: against Houston, and again they won't be intimidated because they've
38:43
Speaker 1: already played on the road against TCU, LSU Mississippi State
38:48
Speaker 1: Texas Tech, and they actually won the game against TCU,
38:51
Speaker 1: So yeah, New Orleans won't be intimidated at the very
38:54
Speaker 1: least Houston. You know, they're gonna be laying a ton
38:56
Speaker 1: of points here too, so and they play really really
39:00
Speaker 1: so asking Houston to cover in this case, a thirty
39:03
Speaker 1: three point favorite with a thirty three point spread with
39:06
Speaker 1: the total of one hundred and thirty nine, they're probably
39:10
Speaker 1: not gonna get there. I mean, Houston could easily win
39:12
Speaker 1: this game without covering. So I would probably take the
39:15
Speaker 1: points with New Orleans if I was gonna play that game.
39:19
Speaker 1: Next up, next play, uh, Southern Miss plus the points
39:23
Speaker 1: I'm giving you. I'm giving you four big underdogs. I'm
39:26
Speaker 1: gonna give you one pretty big favorite, and then I'm
39:28
Speaker 1: gonna give you another smaller underdogs. How about that? Southern
39:32
Speaker 1: Miss is, first of all, they're playing in state big
39:35
Speaker 1: brother Ole Miss, So I start looking that way pretty
39:38
Speaker 1: much right away. Like for Southern Miss, they're gonna step
39:41
Speaker 1: up their game for a game against Old Miss. That's
39:43
Speaker 1: just what it is. They're the little brother here. They're
39:46
Speaker 1: gonna want to play well against their big brother. But
39:49
Speaker 1: then I'm looking at this and This is not at
39:50
Speaker 1: Old Miss. This is in Bloxie, So this is in
39:54
Speaker 1: Southern Miss. So this game is actually closer to Hattiesburg,
39:57
Speaker 1: which is where Southern Miss is. Ole Miss. This is
40:00
Speaker 1: actually an Oxford Miss, Mississippi, which is way up north,
40:03
Speaker 1: so this game is actually closer to Southern MISSUS campusuits
40:06
Speaker 1: to the location actually helps Southern Miss. So I think
40:10
Speaker 1: their crowd is gonna show up for this one. Man,
40:12
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a big deal for them. Uh for
40:14
Speaker 1: Old Miss. They're coming off bigger games. But I know
40:17
Speaker 1: they've lost four games in a row, but all step
40:20
Speaker 1: up games. They lost close to Iowa by five. They
40:23
Speaker 1: lost by one to Utah, although I knew Utah is
40:25
Speaker 1: not that good. But they lost by nine to Miami.
40:28
Speaker 1: He seems to be on the way up again. And
40:29
Speaker 1: then then in their last game on the road at
40:32
Speaker 1: Saint John's, they only lost the game by five, and
40:34
Speaker 1: Ole Miss was in that game then, and they slowed
40:37
Speaker 1: the pace down, which is what Ole Miss likes to do.
40:40
Speaker 1: They slowed Saint John's down and they almost won that game,
40:44
Speaker 1: or they were in They were within like three points
40:46
Speaker 1: I think late in that game or whatever. Now they're
40:48
Speaker 1: coming back home off of that, I think it's a
40:50
Speaker 1: bad spot for them. Man, even though they don't have
40:52
Speaker 1: a big game up next. Southern Miss I think is
40:54
Speaker 1: gonna step up their game for this one. And yeah,
40:57
Speaker 1: I know Old Missus record is ugly, so the public
41:00
Speaker 1: probably won't really be coming in laying the points here
41:03
Speaker 1: in this one, but I still like it. Southern miss
41:06
Speaker 1: does have a slightly better record. Sure they're not as
41:09
Speaker 1: battle tested. They did go on the road against Miami.
41:12
Speaker 1: They did play within four on the road at South Carolina, though,
41:15
Speaker 1: so they're not gonna be intimidated against Old Miss. Man,
41:18
Speaker 1: and this not being a true road game and being
41:20
Speaker 1: closer to their campus, They're not gonna be intimidated. They
41:23
Speaker 1: played some of the big boys alreadything again, came to
41:26
Speaker 1: within four of South Carolina. That was a nice performance
41:29
Speaker 1: against another SEC team, by the way, and then we
41:33
Speaker 1: faded them in the next game against Grambling and we
41:35
Speaker 1: got the win with Grambling, and that one, I think
41:37
Speaker 1: Grambling was actually an underdog there. Now Southern Miss is
41:41
Speaker 1: coming off. Yeah they got revenge over Grambling, but whatever,
41:44
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not gonna put much stock into that.
41:46
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be a letdown spot when they're playing
41:48
Speaker 1: Old Miss. Okay, so yeah, they beat Grambling, it still
41:52
Speaker 1: wasn't really the greatest performance from Southern Miss. I mean
41:55
Speaker 1: they were a decent sized favorite in this game. They
41:57
Speaker 1: won by eight, so they probably did cover but barely.
42:02
Speaker 1: But anyway, yeah, I'm looking at Southern Miss in this one, man.
42:05
Speaker 1: So that's that's the way that we're going in this one.
42:08
Speaker 1: I think it's a bad spot for ole Miss, and
42:11
Speaker 1: I like the location as well. It's a low total
42:13
Speaker 1: as well, down one thirty nine. That was the other
42:15
Speaker 1: thing I was gonna say again, taking points to the
42:17
Speaker 1: low total tends to be good the totals dropping. Ole
42:21
Speaker 1: Miss has gone up to a fourteen point favorite now,
42:23
Speaker 1: so you can probably get fourteen. I might update the
42:25
Speaker 1: description for whatever the best number is when I update
42:29
Speaker 1: it there right after this show. And yeah, again Ole
42:35
Speaker 1: Miss plays slow, so asking him to cover a large
42:37
Speaker 1: spread like that makes it a little bit more difficult
42:41
Speaker 1: for them to get that done. All right. Delaware State
42:46
Speaker 1: and Longwood was kind of interesting me. Delaware State. They're
42:49
Speaker 1: coming off a nice win as a little brother against Delaware.
42:52
Speaker 1: Now I know Delaware is not that good, so it
42:54
Speaker 1: was only really a slight upset, but that's a big
42:57
Speaker 1: game for Delaware State man because they're a pretty bad team,
42:59
Speaker 1: and you what's your bigger brother in Delaware, that's a
43:02
Speaker 1: big deal. Now they're gonna go to Longwooden up next.
43:05
Speaker 1: They do have Saint Joe's which is a bit of
43:07
Speaker 1: a bigger game, maybe a bit of a look ahead there.
43:10
Speaker 1: The Longwood's not exactly a bad team though, but Delaware
43:13
Speaker 1: State's been awful on the road. Oh and six. Longwood's
43:16
Speaker 1: four and one at home. Longwood's coming off a pretty
43:19
Speaker 1: lackluster game where they went on the road against a
43:21
Speaker 1: bad Morgan State team and they only got by them
43:24
Speaker 1: by four. Longwood was a pretty big favorite in this game.
43:27
Speaker 1: They didn't play well. Yeah, they did not cover. I'm
43:30
Speaker 1: assuming in that one at the very least, so I
43:33
Speaker 1: think Longwood makes sense. But they do have a big
43:34
Speaker 1: game against Wake in four days, so I am a
43:37
Speaker 1: little bit worried about that. The Wake Forest look ahead.
43:39
Speaker 1: But overall, I would say lay it with Longwood in
43:42
Speaker 1: this one. Eleven is the number. That's that's some long
43:46
Speaker 1: Wood to lay in this one. Laying the lumber in
43:49
Speaker 1: that one with eleven total is not that high one
43:51
Speaker 1: hundred and forty four and a half. But I think
43:53
Speaker 1: Longwood is the right side there. Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
43:57
Speaker 1: is interesting. Louisiana. They're coming off playing pretty well against
44:02
Speaker 1: UNC Wilmington Man at home. For Louisiana. Louisiana is a
44:06
Speaker 1: bad team this year. Man, they're one to nine. They
44:09
Speaker 1: do have one, uh their one win is a Division
44:11
Speaker 1: one win at least against Southeast Louisiana. It was not
44:14
Speaker 1: really that bad even though the record looks bad Louisiana,
44:18
Speaker 1: though they're coming off that was a big game against
44:20
Speaker 1: Wilmington Man. UNC Wilmington was a big favorite there in
44:23
Speaker 1: Louisiana was pretty close in that game. Now they're coming
44:26
Speaker 1: off of that, they gotta go back out on the road.
44:28
Speaker 1: Although I do think they consider LA Tech to be
44:31
Speaker 1: a bigger brother than them those That's the hesitation I
44:34
Speaker 1: would have with laying the points with LA Tech is
44:36
Speaker 1: that Louisiana still might get up for this game. But
44:38
Speaker 1: they're coming off a big performance Man and they're oh
44:41
Speaker 1: and six on the road and LA Tech is five
44:44
Speaker 1: and zero at home. Of course, all that's straight up
44:46
Speaker 1: though Louisiana Tech's coming off a beatdown of some non
44:50
Speaker 1: Division one teams, so they're coming off a much easier game.
44:52
Speaker 1: But Louisiana Tech is really facing easy schedule this year
44:56
Speaker 1: though they really have not been battle tested. And the
45:00
Speaker 1: other reason I worry about laying the points with them
45:02
Speaker 1: is they play Tulane next. Man. In Tulane, I think
45:06
Speaker 1: they considered to be a bigger brother to them in
45:08
Speaker 1: the state of Louisiana, so I do worry about that
45:10
Speaker 1: a little bit. So a lot of moving parts in
45:12
Speaker 1: that one thought it was interesting to talk about. Louisiana
45:15
Speaker 1: Tech is up from ten to twelve there. I would
45:18
Speaker 1: lean towards laying the points there, but the total is
45:21
Speaker 1: really low and one hundred and twenty six, so not
45:24
Speaker 1: really tempted to delay double digits there with that total either.
45:28
Speaker 1: The aforementioned ud to see Wilmington coming off of such
45:31
Speaker 1: an ugly performance against Louisiana La Fayette. Now they're on
45:34
Speaker 1: the road again, but they're going to Valpo. I kind
45:37
Speaker 1: of expect them to have a better performance here against Valpo,
45:39
Speaker 1: the other team that changed their name stupidly from the Crusaders,
45:44
Speaker 1: because you can't talk about spreading Christianity anymore. Man Valpo
45:48
Speaker 1: is good at home though they're five and one at home.
45:51
Speaker 1: They are coming up an easy win against some non
45:54
Speaker 1: D one team, though after they took a close loss
45:56
Speaker 1: to Marquette, which that was a win for us on
45:58
Speaker 1: the show by the way, I think, right, I don't
46:01
Speaker 1: remember was it. I think it was. I think it
46:02
Speaker 1: was a bad spot for Marquettes, so I think we
46:04
Speaker 1: faded them and Valpo almost pulled off the upset. So
46:08
Speaker 1: I don't know if there's gonna be any delayed let
46:10
Speaker 1: down here. But Valpo does have Northwestern next, so there's
46:13
Speaker 1: a possible look ahead there, although do they really overlook
46:16
Speaker 1: a one loss UNC Wilmington team. Probably not, although Northwestern
46:21
Speaker 1: is a big deal because I mean it's I don't know,
46:23
Speaker 1: it's Indiana versus Illinois whatever. I would probably lay it
46:26
Speaker 1: with new UNC Wilmington in this one. The total is
46:30
Speaker 1: low dropped to one thirty six and a half though,
46:33
Speaker 1: So yeah, again just putting all the information out there.
46:36
Speaker 1: That's at three pm on ESPN Plus, and so is
46:39
Speaker 1: the uh the other game that I talked about with
46:43
Speaker 1: all three of those remaining game, oh sorry, the last
46:46
Speaker 1: three games are all there. I'm just shouting out where
46:48
Speaker 1: you can watch those. The Southern miss Ole Miss game
46:51
Speaker 1: is on the on the SEC network. By the way,
46:54
Speaker 1: all those games at three pm. Kansas State Creighton on Fox.
47:00
Speaker 1: Interesting one here, man, Kansas State, really they're not that good, man.
47:05
Speaker 1: I mean every time they stepped up in class except
47:08
Speaker 1: for the win over Mississippi State and I guess the
47:10
Speaker 1: cow one lthough I think they were a favorite and
47:12
Speaker 1: didn't cover in that one. They haven't done well man.
47:15
Speaker 1: I mean they lost to Nebraska, though they only lost
47:17
Speaker 1: by one, lost at Indiana, lost the seat in Hall.
47:20
Speaker 1: That's pretty ugly they did. And they lost a Bowling
47:23
Speaker 1: Green in between the two. It was a bad spot,
47:26
Speaker 1: a sandwich spot, but that is an ugly loss. Losing
47:28
Speaker 1: at home to Bowling Green. Now, yeah, they bounced back
47:31
Speaker 1: with a win over the worst team in all of
47:33
Speaker 1: D one, Mississippi Valley State, the Delta Devils. So maybe
47:38
Speaker 1: that will get them back on track, because at least
47:40
Speaker 1: when you break a losing street sometimes it will give
47:43
Speaker 1: you momentum coming into the next game, you know. But
47:46
Speaker 1: Kansas State, they only had one true road game so far.
47:49
Speaker 1: That was that lost to Indiana. They lost by margin there.
47:52
Speaker 1: It was not a good game for them. So I
47:55
Speaker 1: don't know, man, Although playing in Omaha is a little
47:58
Speaker 1: bit easier for Kansas team, but Creighton's good at home
48:01
Speaker 1: four and oh at home. Kse State owned one on
48:04
Speaker 1: the road so far. Creighton is coming off that big
48:06
Speaker 1: game against Nebraska, though. Man, they did not play well.
48:09
Speaker 1: They lost by twenty one, but there you go, Nate.
48:13
Speaker 1: That was a step up game for Nebraska, though a.
48:15
Speaker 1: Nebraska got that blow all win, very good win for them.
48:19
Speaker 1: I don't know, will Creighton be in some sort of
48:21
Speaker 1: emotional letdown off of that or will they show up.
48:25
Speaker 1: I kind of think they'll show up. I mean, yeah,
48:28
Speaker 1: I mean I don't know. My read on this is
48:31
Speaker 1: somewhat towards the crighton side here. They're down from five
48:34
Speaker 1: to four and a half here, though, I mean, I
48:35
Speaker 1: think they are the somewhat better team. They're the more
48:39
Speaker 1: battle tested team as well. I mean, they lost to Gonzaga, Baylor,
48:43
Speaker 1: Iowa State, they beat Oregon, so they played more of
48:46
Speaker 1: a gauntlet so far, somewhat than Kansas State. So that's
48:50
Speaker 1: my quick read on that game. I don't really have
48:54
Speaker 1: a strong opinion at all in that game, though. Next
48:57
Speaker 1: up is another play. This is the biggest dog that
48:59
Speaker 1: we have on the day, We're gonna go with Mercer
49:02
Speaker 1: plus twenty one and a half against Clemson. I know
49:05
Speaker 1: Clemson unranked, and they're probably at least worthy of being
49:10
Speaker 1: close to being ranked at the very least, even though
49:12
Speaker 1: I thought they were down this year. But we're just
49:14
Speaker 1: Ken Bom has them just outside of the rankings at
49:17
Speaker 1: twenty sixth. So yeah, Clemson is not bad. They're a
49:19
Speaker 1: pretty balanced team. Again, I get all that this is
49:22
Speaker 1: ACC Network at three pm, by the way, but this
49:25
Speaker 1: is a really bad spot for Clemson. Dude, Clemson, they're
49:29
Speaker 1: coming off close losses at Alabama by six and then
49:32
Speaker 1: against BYU. They had a huge lead against BYU, and
49:36
Speaker 1: they had BYU on the ropes, man, And that game
49:38
Speaker 1: was I think up in where was this in New York? Maybe, yeah,
49:42
Speaker 1: the Jimmy V Classic. This was in Madison Square Garden.
49:45
Speaker 1: Clemson had like a twenty point lead in that game
49:47
Speaker 1: and they were ready to beat BYU. The game was
49:50
Speaker 1: at Clemson's pace. I was completely wrong about that game.
49:53
Speaker 1: And then Clemson imploded and blew the entire lead and
49:57
Speaker 1: they wound up losing the game. And when that happened, man,
50:00
Speaker 1: when you almost beat a top ten ranked team like that,
50:03
Speaker 1: and you have the completely on the ropes like that.
50:05
Speaker 1: Now you have to come back home of of that.
50:06
Speaker 1: I hate the spot for Clemson, man, And this is
50:09
Speaker 1: actually not at home. Actually, either by the way, this
50:11
Speaker 1: is a or no, it is my mistake. I thought
50:13
Speaker 1: this was a neutral. My mistake. It's not my mistake.
50:15
Speaker 1: This is at Clemson. But Clemson, by the way, three
50:18
Speaker 1: days from now. Yeah, they got to face their major
50:21
Speaker 1: rival South Carolina, so that's coming up in three days.
50:25
Speaker 1: That is a huge rivalry game. So this is a
50:28
Speaker 1: bad spot, dude. This is a big time sandwich. And
50:30
Speaker 1: after that they got Cincinnati Syracuse, so they have beiten pit,
50:35
Speaker 1: you know, so they're starting acc play after they play, Yes, Cincinnati,
50:38
Speaker 1: they got big games on the horizon. Man, this is
50:41
Speaker 1: definitely the down spot in their schedule. Yeah, they're five
50:44
Speaker 1: and zero at home. But again, I know I'm pointing
50:46
Speaker 1: out these home records, but you gotta look at who
50:48
Speaker 1: they played, because a lot of these wins and losses
50:51
Speaker 1: are just mismatch games that don't really matter, you know
50:54
Speaker 1: what I mean. A lot of non Division one teams
50:56
Speaker 1: getting into the mix there. For Mercer, I know, the
50:59
Speaker 1: record looks good seven to two, but I still don't
51:01
Speaker 1: see the public coming in on Mercer in this one man.
51:04
Speaker 1: Clemson is up to twenty one and a half. The
51:06
Speaker 1: total is not that low at one hundred and fifty
51:08
Speaker 1: two and a half. But Clemson they like to play slow, dude,
51:12
Speaker 1: So again, they're not really the type of tempo team
51:15
Speaker 1: that you really want to lay points with. Like laying
51:18
Speaker 1: a ton of points with a slow team, I don't
51:20
Speaker 1: love that. And the fact that the total is high
51:22
Speaker 1: almost indicates that Mercer might actually be maybe even speeding
51:25
Speaker 1: the game up a little bit to try to suit
51:27
Speaker 1: what they want to do, because Mercer actually likes to
51:30
Speaker 1: play fast and Mercer, they're not a terrible team. I mean,
51:33
Speaker 1: they're like a mid tier team according to Ken Bomb. Yes,
51:37
Speaker 1: I do worry about the fact that there's sixth in
51:39
Speaker 1: his luck index. That's not good, but they faced some
51:42
Speaker 1: moderately difficult schedule, you know. I mean, they're not a
51:46
Speaker 1: horrible team, Mercer. They're coming off beating Oglethorpe, who's a
51:52
Speaker 1: non Division one little brother in the state of Georgia.
51:56
Speaker 1: There for Mercer. I think Mercer's in Georgia. That's just
51:59
Speaker 1: a tune up game, and Mercer has less travel to
52:01
Speaker 1: do here because they're just going from Georgia to South Carolina,
52:04
Speaker 1: so it's a lot easier for them to do that.
52:06
Speaker 1: And this is gonna be one of their biggest games
52:07
Speaker 1: of the season. Man, They're gonna step it up for
52:10
Speaker 1: a game against Clemson, and they won't be intimidated because
52:13
Speaker 1: they did already play Tennessee on the road. They're in state,
52:16
Speaker 1: big brother, and they were decent in the game. They
52:18
Speaker 1: lost by fifteen. I'm pretty sure they covered that number,
52:21
Speaker 1: so decent. You know that. That's a decent data point there,
52:28
Speaker 1: although they got crushed on the road by Winthrop, but
52:31
Speaker 1: I think that was because Mercer was coming up or sorry,
52:34
Speaker 1: not not an in state brother. Sorry, I think Mercy's
52:36
Speaker 1: in Georgia. What am I talking about? But that was
52:38
Speaker 1: a big game against Tennessee, I should say, and they
52:41
Speaker 1: played well in the game, although they did lose horribly
52:43
Speaker 1: to Winthrop. So that's that was a bad data point there,
52:47
Speaker 1: But that's that looks like a bit of an outlier
52:49
Speaker 1: because that was their only other loss so far. So anyway,
52:52
Speaker 1: terrible spot for Clemson. We're taking the points and now,
52:55
Speaker 1: or yeah, terrible spot for Clemson taking the points there.
52:58
Speaker 1: All right, your aunt played for the Lady Blue Jays
53:02
Speaker 1: a Creighton Hell yeah, man, you like Creighton even though
53:08
Speaker 1: you're a Nebraska fan. Is that blasphemy? I don't know.
53:10
Speaker 1: Is it Nebraskay? I have no idea. Your uncle coach
53:15
Speaker 1: Creighton soccer. You got a lot of Creighton tie ins there.
53:18
Speaker 1: Nate Memphis and number eleven Illinois. This is number eleven Louisville.
53:23
Speaker 1: Excuse me. This is a an ESPN game at three
53:25
Speaker 1: point thirty pm. Pretty big game. I mean Memphis, they're
53:29
Speaker 1: not as good as Louisville, obviously, I mean the rankings
53:31
Speaker 1: will also tell you that. Memphis, I mean, the face
53:34
Speaker 1: is a pretty difficult schedule so far, but they're coming
53:37
Speaker 1: off a big win over Baylor, so I do worry
53:39
Speaker 1: that they might be in a little bit of a
53:40
Speaker 1: letdown off of that. Although really, do you have a
53:42
Speaker 1: letdown when you're facing Louisville? Probably not. Memphis played okay
53:47
Speaker 1: in their other road game, they lost by six at
53:49
Speaker 1: Old Miss. In their only other road games, that was
53:51
Speaker 1: a good game for them. They played well, but coming
53:54
Speaker 1: off of winover Baylor, I do worry a little bit
53:56
Speaker 1: about Memphis, man, and their next game is a bigger
53:59
Speaker 1: game probably than the Louisville game. And I know this
54:01
Speaker 1: is a huge game against Louisville, but they're playing their
54:04
Speaker 1: in state brother Vandy, who's really on the upswing. Vandy
54:08
Speaker 1: actually very good. Crazily, Vandy is now awesome in football
54:13
Speaker 1: and basketball. That's a big game for Memphis on the horizon. Man.
54:17
Speaker 1: I'm not saying they're gonna overlook Louisville, but I just
54:21
Speaker 1: I can't really get there with Memphis here, man, even
54:23
Speaker 1: though Louisville, I don't think it's in a very good spot.
54:25
Speaker 1: Louisville coming off losing pretty close to Arkansas on the road,
54:29
Speaker 1: and then they beat Indiana in their most recent game
54:32
Speaker 1: at home, I believe eighty seven to seventy eight. Nice
54:36
Speaker 1: win there in Louisville. Is Tennessee up next, so this
54:39
Speaker 1: is pretty much a sandwich spot for Louisville here. And
54:41
Speaker 1: that game is in three days. So I do lean
54:43
Speaker 1: to Memphis in this game overall, not gonna be one
54:46
Speaker 1: that makes my card or anything. Louisville up from fifteen
54:49
Speaker 1: to fifteen and a half with a high total of
54:51
Speaker 1: one hundred and sixty one, but slightly in to taking
54:55
Speaker 1: the points. There, Nate, you've been waiting for this one.
54:58
Speaker 1: Nebraska Illinois four pm Eastern on Peacock, This game number
55:05
Speaker 1: twenty three, Nebraska, number thirteen Illinois. People are gonna look
55:09
Speaker 1: at this though, and even though they see the rankings,
55:12
Speaker 1: they're gonna see Nebraska at ten and oher versus Illinois
55:16
Speaker 1: at eight and two. What are they gonna want to
55:17
Speaker 1: do where they see the spread is ten points in
55:20
Speaker 1: this game and it's going up. Man, the public's yeah,
55:24
Speaker 1: the public's gonna look at this and think, oh my god,
55:26
Speaker 1: I'm getting ten points with a Nebraska team that hasn't
55:29
Speaker 1: lost at all yet. It looks so easy to take
55:32
Speaker 1: the points to Nebraska here right. Well, sorry, sorry, Nape,
55:36
Speaker 1: that's not what we're doing. We're gonna lay Illinois minus
55:39
Speaker 1: ten in this one. As good as Nebraska's been so far,
55:42
Speaker 1: Illinois is the better team. They're the more balanced team
55:45
Speaker 1: this year, believe it or not, even though they're usually
55:47
Speaker 1: not that good defensively, pretty high total up to one
55:50
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty nine. So laying the points we're in
55:53
Speaker 1: like a point range where it makes more sense in
55:55
Speaker 1: a high scoring game. Both teams like to go fast,
55:58
Speaker 1: So that's not really gonna be an issue really for
56:01
Speaker 1: either team. Illinois just better at it. Illinois, they've gone
56:04
Speaker 1: up from nine to ten already. If you see a
56:06
Speaker 1: nine and a half out there, of course do that
56:07
Speaker 1: instead of the ten. But hopefully there's not a difference there.
56:11
Speaker 1: But I like Illinois. Man, this is one of those
56:13
Speaker 1: misleading lines here, right, even though Illinois is the higher
56:16
Speaker 1: ranked team, which is correct, but laying ten points like
56:20
Speaker 1: the public is not gonna be doing that. Man, I
56:22
Speaker 1: think Nebraska might set up in this game is a
56:24
Speaker 1: little bit of a public underdog here. Illinois is legit
56:28
Speaker 1: ken bumsim at ninth in the country. Yeah, there's still
56:30
Speaker 1: better offensively than defensively, but they're in the top twenty
56:33
Speaker 1: five in defense. Illinois actually likes to play a little
56:36
Speaker 1: bit slower, believe it or not this year than they're
56:39
Speaker 1: like almost a mid tempo team actually now, so they're
56:42
Speaker 1: actually probably gonna maybe even slow Nebraska down a little bit.
56:45
Speaker 1: Nebraska likes to play a little bit faster than that,
56:49
Speaker 1: so maybe Illinois will frustrate them a little bit, even
56:53
Speaker 1: though I know I just said faster pace means they're
56:55
Speaker 1: gonna be more likely to cover, but I still think
56:57
Speaker 1: we're gonna get a slightly fast game here. As far
57:01
Speaker 1: as Nebraska is concerned, they're the significantly worse offensive team.
57:06
Speaker 1: That's where Illinois has the biggest edge. Illinois fifth according
57:09
Speaker 1: to ken Bum in offense, Nebraska forty sixth. And ken
57:14
Speaker 1: Bum does have Nebraska as the very slightly better defense.
57:17
Speaker 1: So the both teams or no, sorry, he has Illinois
57:21
Speaker 1: one ranking spot high or my mistake, I can't see anymore.
57:24
Speaker 1: So he actually has the defenses are almost even, but
57:27
Speaker 1: Illinois is even slightly better there or two. And Illinois
57:31
Speaker 1: faces a more difficult schedule as well. So that's the thing, like,
57:35
Speaker 1: why does Illinois have two losses yet it's because they
57:38
Speaker 1: faced the more difficult schedule. Illinois lost to Alabama close.
57:42
Speaker 1: They beat Texas Tech. That's a good one. They lost
57:45
Speaker 1: to Yukon, and then he beat Tennessee. Those are good games, man,
57:48
Speaker 1: And now they're coming off not playing the best game
57:50
Speaker 1: against Ohio State. We lost with Ohio State here on
57:53
Speaker 1: the show. I know Ohio State didn't cover, but Illinois
57:56
Speaker 1: didn't play that well in that game, man, so I
57:59
Speaker 1: think it was kind of a game. They went through
58:00
Speaker 1: the motions they did get the win, good win, but
58:04
Speaker 1: this is their conference home opener. You know they're gonna
58:06
Speaker 1: show up for this one, man, especially with Nebraska being ranked.
58:10
Speaker 1: I don't think Illinois is gonna overlook this thing, man.
58:12
Speaker 1: And that was kind of the down spot in their
58:14
Speaker 1: schedule last game for Nebraska. You want to talk about
58:16
Speaker 1: being in a down spot, I know it's Illinois, so
58:19
Speaker 1: that sounds weird. But after Nebraska like crushed Creighton, their
58:24
Speaker 1: in state rival, they're a huge win. They didn't suffer
58:27
Speaker 1: a letdown at all. And they crushed Wisconsin by thirty
58:30
Speaker 1: points in their last game. So that's gonna make Nebraska
58:33
Speaker 1: look I think a little bit too good. And by
58:35
Speaker 1: the way, Nebraska also has not played a true road
58:38
Speaker 1: game yet this entire season. So they're this late into
58:42
Speaker 1: the season, We're in mid December and they haven't played
58:45
Speaker 1: a true road game yet. That's not good. So when
58:49
Speaker 1: a team hasn't played a true road game yet, I
58:51
Speaker 1: want to look to fade them, man. And they had
58:53
Speaker 1: a couple of neutral set games and they played them
58:55
Speaker 1: in Kansas City, So Nebraska has not traveled outside of
59:01
Speaker 1: the furthest I the we've gone is Kansas City. This
59:03
Speaker 1: entire season, I'm pretty sure. So, like, what are we
59:06
Speaker 1: doing here? Man? Nebraska or sorry they went to Sue Falls,
59:09
Speaker 1: South Dakota. Sorry that was the furthest They traveled one
59:13
Speaker 1: game in Sue Falls and then and then Kansas City.
59:16
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean it's gonna be a really hostile
59:20
Speaker 1: environment here. Man. This game is in Champlaine Champagne, Illinois.
59:25
Speaker 1: I always say Champlain Champagne, Illinois. Yeah, Illinois is the
59:30
Speaker 1: right side as far as I'm concerned. In this one.
59:32
Speaker 1: We're gonna lay it with Illinois against an undefeated team.
59:37
Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna do there. Hoiburg knows, well, where's
59:41
Speaker 1: Hoiburg at? Now? All right? What other games I want
59:45
Speaker 1: to talk about here? I know I'm skipping a bunch
59:47
Speaker 1: of these here. I'm looking at the other games I
59:51
Speaker 1: have on my slate here to talk to potentially talk about.
59:54
Speaker 1: As far as other leans, I don't think I've seen
59:59
Speaker 1: any of the other ones come up yet. Yeah, I
1:00:01
Speaker 1: don't think I have. Al Right, I'm gonna keep going.
1:00:05
Speaker 1: What other games are interesting to talk about? I'm gonna
1:00:07
Speaker 1: do have Auburn at four thirty pm and SEC Network.
1:00:10
Speaker 1: They're playing against Chattanooga Chattanooga looks a little bit down
1:00:14
Speaker 1: this year. Chattanooga coming off a win over Oakwood or whatever,
1:00:19
Speaker 1: they're beating a non Division one team whatever. You gotta
1:00:22
Speaker 1: think they're gonna step up their game against Auburn. But Chattanooga,
1:00:24
Speaker 1: they're not exactly totally battle tested here. Their biggest game
1:00:28
Speaker 1: was against Saint Mary's. They played okay, I guess in
1:00:31
Speaker 1: the game, losing by twenty one. Now they're facing Auburn. Auburn,
1:00:36
Speaker 1: I think this is a neutral game though, Yeah, this is.
1:00:38
Speaker 1: This is in Atlanta, Georgia and whatever's going on there.
1:00:40
Speaker 1: So this is the yeah, the holiday hoops giving, So
1:00:45
Speaker 1: it is a neutral site game. Probably a game where
1:00:48
Speaker 1: Chattanooga's gonna get up for it more than an Auburn does.
1:00:50
Speaker 1: Auburn coming off getting blown out though by Arizona. I
1:00:54
Speaker 1: know they faced a bunch of difficult teams, Michigan, Saint John's.
1:00:57
Speaker 1: They got the win against Saint John's, win against en
1:00:59
Speaker 1: C State. Those are good wins. Now, if they played
1:01:02
Speaker 1: closer at Arizona, I would like Chattanooga more here, But
1:01:05
Speaker 1: the fact that they lost by almost thirty maybe they
1:01:08
Speaker 1: will actually come to play in this game. But they
1:01:10
Speaker 1: do have to turn around and play Purdue next, which
1:01:13
Speaker 1: is a huge game, although that's not for a week.
1:01:16
Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't love the game, but I would
1:01:19
Speaker 1: probably lean towards fading Auburn here, thinking that maybe Chattanooga
1:01:24
Speaker 1: will get up for this more than Auburn will. Of course,
1:01:26
Speaker 1: I'm clicking around here. It's I can't even come on, man,
1:01:30
Speaker 1: I hate it. I apologize. There we go. Auburn's up
1:01:33
Speaker 1: from sixteen and a half to twenty two, though, so
1:01:36
Speaker 1: the numbers moved up and with a total of one
1:01:38
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty two, which is not low either. So
1:01:41
Speaker 1: we're staying away but slightly maybe towards Chattanooga. But the
1:01:45
Speaker 1: money has disagreed so far on that one. Pit at
1:01:49
Speaker 1: Villanova for thirty on True TV. Villanova coming off losing
1:01:54
Speaker 1: to Michigan, a big step up game against Michigan, although
1:01:57
Speaker 1: they lost by twenty eight. The the problem with Villanova
1:02:01
Speaker 1: is they hadn't lost since their season opener against BYU,
1:02:04
Speaker 1: where they did play pretty well against BYU. But Villanova
1:02:07
Speaker 1: really is untested right now. Man. They are two games
1:02:10
Speaker 1: against power conference teams. Were those two and they lost
1:02:12
Speaker 1: them both? So then maybe isn't a great sign coming
1:02:16
Speaker 1: into this game against Pitt. Although Nova is undefeated at home,
1:02:19
Speaker 1: Pitt lost their only road games so far bad as
1:02:22
Speaker 1: well at West Virginia. They got embarrassed in that game.
1:02:26
Speaker 1: Pitt's resume is not great, man. I mean their games
1:02:29
Speaker 1: against power conference teams, they won one of them again
1:02:32
Speaker 1: at home with the we won on it here on
1:02:34
Speaker 1: the show against Ohio State. Ohio State was in a
1:02:36
Speaker 1: bad spot there. Pitt got the buzzer beater win there,
1:02:40
Speaker 1: and then they did lose to Texas A and M,
1:02:42
Speaker 1: although they played decently in the game, barely losing. Now
1:02:45
Speaker 1: Pitt is coming off an ugly game against Hofstra. Man,
1:02:48
Speaker 1: Pitt was a big favorite in this game, and they
1:02:50
Speaker 1: lost at home to Hofstra. That is a bad performance
1:02:54
Speaker 1: from pitt Man. So you got to think they were
1:02:56
Speaker 1: maybe looking ahead to this. So I probably lean to
1:03:00
Speaker 1: Pit for that reason because they're gonna be in bounce
1:03:03
Speaker 1: back mode. But ah, yeah, I mean, I don't know, man,
1:03:07
Speaker 1: I don't know if I if I could really, I
1:03:09
Speaker 1: don't think I could do it obviously. But it's a
1:03:11
Speaker 1: low total one hundred and thirty seven. You know, you
1:03:13
Speaker 1: don't really want to lay tons of points with the
1:03:15
Speaker 1: team like Villanova where they play slow. So Villanova is
1:03:19
Speaker 1: a ten point favorite here, Yeah, slightly for me to
1:03:22
Speaker 1: taking the points, but I don't really love it. Selthea's
1:03:26
Speaker 1: Louisiana against Houston Christian. This is the one that was
1:03:29
Speaker 1: close to making my card so so far. Iona was
1:03:33
Speaker 1: the other one I mentioned that was close as to
1:03:35
Speaker 1: making my card, and I think I might have shout
1:03:37
Speaker 1: it out one other one that I didn't have on
1:03:39
Speaker 1: the list here. But it's a lot to keep track of. Man, huh,
1:03:43
Speaker 1: I'm losing my mind here. We're up late every night.
1:03:46
Speaker 1: Oh boy, all right, we got Southeast Louisiana. They're coming
1:03:51
Speaker 1: off an awful game against Northwestern State. I know, Southeast
1:03:55
Speaker 1: Louisiana the record looks bad, but believe it or not,
1:03:58
Speaker 1: they were a big favorite in this game against north
1:04:00
Speaker 1: Western State. Man soull These Louisiana probably was close to
1:04:03
Speaker 1: a double digit favored and they lost the game outright,
1:04:06
Speaker 1: So I think they're at a bounced back spot coming
1:04:08
Speaker 1: off of that. They're decently battle tested. I mean, the
1:04:12
Speaker 1: reason why Southey's Louisiana's record looks so bad, I mean,
1:04:14
Speaker 1: look at some of their losses. Oh miss on the road,
1:04:17
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech on the road, Mississippi State on the road,
1:04:20
Speaker 1: UNC Wilmington also good on the road. So really their
1:04:23
Speaker 1: only bad losses are Louisiana, which was in a sandwich spot,
1:04:27
Speaker 1: and this inexplicable one in Northwestern. But I think they
1:04:30
Speaker 1: come to play here in this one. Houston Christian is
1:04:34
Speaker 1: gonna look like the right side because they have the
1:04:35
Speaker 1: better record, but they're not actually the better team, and
1:04:38
Speaker 1: they're coming off a nice win. Man, So they beat us.
1:04:41
Speaker 1: They pulled off two straight ups Excuse me, they pulled
1:04:44
Speaker 1: off an upset after they They almost pulled off two
1:04:49
Speaker 1: straight upsets, is what I wanted to say, because the
1:04:50
Speaker 1: reason we faded them against New Orleans was one of
1:04:54
Speaker 1: the reasons was Houston Christian played in North Texas really
1:04:57
Speaker 1: well on the road. Man, it's huge underdogs. They almost
1:05:00
Speaker 1: off the upset against North Texas. They came off of that,
1:05:02
Speaker 1: and they did pull off an upset of a milder
1:05:05
Speaker 1: variety beating us against New Orleans. And now they're coming
1:05:08
Speaker 1: off multiple big performances. And to make it worse for them,
1:05:12
Speaker 1: in two days, they got to play MacNeice and Macneice's
1:05:15
Speaker 1: I actually like this one quite a bit, man, I'm
1:05:18
Speaker 1: not on it, but yeah, they have McNeice, who is
1:05:20
Speaker 1: still until further notice, macnice is still the best team
1:05:24
Speaker 1: in the Southland man, after Will Wade built up their programs,
1:05:27
Speaker 1: so that is a pretty major look ahead. So I
1:05:29
Speaker 1: like SELA in this game, man, Southeast Louisiana. This is
1:05:33
Speaker 1: close to being a play for me. So Houston Christians
1:05:38
Speaker 1: are two and a half point favors of the osmakers
1:05:40
Speaker 1: are not really giving them full home court. I think
1:05:42
Speaker 1: you're getting points with the better team in SELA in
1:05:45
Speaker 1: this one, man. Even though the record looks worse, the
1:05:47
Speaker 1: total is low as well, one hundred and thirty four
1:05:49
Speaker 1: and a half, so taking the points even though it's
1:05:52
Speaker 1: not that many, makes more sense there as well. So yeah,
1:05:55
Speaker 1: I would go with SELA. I would probably like it
1:05:59
Speaker 1: more if they were a bigger favorite in their loss
1:06:02
Speaker 1: in the last game, and if Houston Christian had pulled
1:06:03
Speaker 1: up a bigger upset than they did there. But I
1:06:07
Speaker 1: do still like it. Yeah. I mean we have Cal
1:06:12
Speaker 1: playing Northwestern State. Northwestern State is coming off that upset
1:06:15
Speaker 1: that I just pointed out against SELA, so maybe not
1:06:18
Speaker 1: the greatest spot for them, and having to go to
1:06:20
Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast to face Cal, though they actually I
1:06:23
Speaker 1: think did. Yeah, they did go out to the Pacific
1:06:25
Speaker 1: Coast to play San Francisco. Already they lost by twenty
1:06:28
Speaker 1: I mean, that's not really a horrible loss because San
1:06:30
Speaker 1: Francisco is not that bad, but it's not great either Cal.
1:06:35
Speaker 1: I mean, they're just sitting around at home off with
1:06:37
Speaker 1: some easy wins, so the spot does set up better
1:06:39
Speaker 1: for CAL. I would probably lay the points with Cal
1:06:42
Speaker 1: if I was gonna look at this game. Twenty and
1:06:44
Speaker 1: a half is what the number is there, pretty low
1:06:46
Speaker 1: total of one hundred and forty eight and a half,
1:06:48
Speaker 1: But I would probably lean towards laying it in that one.
1:06:52
Speaker 1: All right, let me see what else do I have
1:06:54
Speaker 1: on my list here? Kansas and NC State is the
1:06:57
Speaker 1: next ESPN game up. That CAL game is ACC Network
1:07:01
Speaker 1: at five pm Eastern. This game is five point thirty
1:07:04
Speaker 1: pm on ESPN, number nineteen, Kansas at NC State. Here.
1:07:10
Speaker 1: People are gonna look at this though, and probably only
1:07:12
Speaker 1: lean one way. They're gonna look towards Kansas here. Man,
1:07:15
Speaker 1: But this is a situation where I talk about this
1:07:17
Speaker 1: in football all the time. We're gonna also talk about
1:07:19
Speaker 1: it in basketball. You have the unranked team as a
1:07:23
Speaker 1: favorite against the ranked team, and you know that that
1:07:26
Speaker 1: does make my short list. This is not on my car,
1:07:28
Speaker 1: but this is one of the ones that almost made
1:07:30
Speaker 1: my car, which is laying the points with NC State
1:07:32
Speaker 1: here man, because you know, I talk about this in yeah,
1:07:36
Speaker 1: in college in general football and basketball, when you have
1:07:39
Speaker 1: a ranked team that's an underdog against an unranked team,
1:07:42
Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you that the rankings are a
1:07:44
Speaker 1: bit off, and Ken bumb will tell you that as well.
1:07:46
Speaker 1: Is he has Kansas seventeenth and he has NC State
1:07:50
Speaker 1: twenty eighth, so there's not that much of a difference
1:07:52
Speaker 1: between the two teams here. Kansas is the better defense
1:07:55
Speaker 1: getting points though, so I do worry about that NC
1:07:58
Speaker 1: State is the better offense. And this is like a
1:08:01
Speaker 1: typical matchup where Kansas State likes to slow it down,
1:08:04
Speaker 1: they play better defense. NC State likes to speed it
1:08:07
Speaker 1: up and score. So that's what you got going on
1:08:09
Speaker 1: in this game. I would still lay it with NC
1:08:13
Speaker 1: State though, if I was gonna play it, even though yes,
1:08:15
Speaker 1: I know Kansas does fall into the better defense getting
1:08:18
Speaker 1: points category. The public's only going to want to play
1:08:22
Speaker 1: Kansas here man. And they're coming up a very satisfying
1:08:24
Speaker 1: win in what's a rivalry basically between Kansas and Missouri.
1:08:28
Speaker 1: The border war is what it is in football, and
1:08:31
Speaker 1: they were coming off a big lot. So look at
1:08:33
Speaker 1: Kansas's run here. Man. They played Duke lost by twelve,
1:08:37
Speaker 1: and I think I out in Las Vegas. They beat
1:08:39
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, beat Syracuse. I mean, those aren't great wins,
1:08:42
Speaker 1: but still Power Conference wins. They beat Tennessee. I think
1:08:46
Speaker 1: we won on that one. On the show. They caught
1:08:48
Speaker 1: Tennessee off of I think the Houston win, so that
1:08:50
Speaker 1: was a big let down for Tennessee. Kansas got the
1:08:53
Speaker 1: job done there. Then Kansas turned around and played well
1:08:56
Speaker 1: against Yukon as well. Big game for them, Two big games,
1:09:01
Speaker 1: and then they made it three in a row by
1:09:02
Speaker 1: beating Missouri by twenty as well. And now they're coming
1:09:05
Speaker 1: up of all of that, and this is only gonna
1:09:07
Speaker 1: be their second true road game of the season, and
1:09:09
Speaker 1: they lost by thirteen to North Carolina in the first
1:09:12
Speaker 1: win in North Carolina and NC State are both ranked
1:09:15
Speaker 1: really close to each other in kemp BOM's rankings. Man,
1:09:18
Speaker 1: he's got North Carolina only four ranking spots high or
1:09:21
Speaker 1: so the fact that Kansas lost to North Carolina also
1:09:25
Speaker 1: kind of a similar style of team as well, because
1:09:28
Speaker 1: both teams play fast. So though UNC is actually better defensively,
1:09:32
Speaker 1: but still not a great sign having to now go
1:09:35
Speaker 1: on the road again, but they haven't been on the
1:09:36
Speaker 1: road for a while. NC State's undefeated at home, six
1:09:41
Speaker 1: and zero. They're coming off an easy win over Liberty,
1:09:44
Speaker 1: although fairly satisfying to bomb Liberty by forty points, and
1:09:48
Speaker 1: Liberty is not that bad of a team, but still
1:09:51
Speaker 1: NC State They're gonna show up for a game against
1:09:53
Speaker 1: Kansas man. But I do worry that NC State's a
1:09:56
Speaker 1: little bit less battle tested. I mean, their biggest games
1:09:59
Speaker 1: they haven't stepped up. Well, let's just put it that way.
1:10:01
Speaker 1: They're big conference games are all losses against Seaton Hall,
1:10:06
Speaker 1: Texas in Auburn. So I do worry about that fact
1:10:09
Speaker 1: as well. So some reasons why it doesn't make my card,
1:10:12
Speaker 1: but I like NC State and that one. Nonetheless, I
1:10:14
Speaker 1: would lay it with NC State if I was gonna
1:10:16
Speaker 1: play it. You can probably lay around two and a
1:10:19
Speaker 1: half there up from Pickham to two and a half
1:10:22
Speaker 1: or three now total at one hundred and fifty one
1:10:24
Speaker 1: in that one. Okay, Southern Utah and Washington on the
1:10:29
Speaker 1: Big ten network. Weird seeing Washington on Big ten network. Man,
1:10:33
Speaker 1: this is that we're getting into the evening now, so
1:10:35
Speaker 1: we're almost done six pm on Big ten Network. Washington,
1:10:40
Speaker 1: they're coming up a pretty good win, man. I mean
1:10:42
Speaker 1: they've played a couple of big games in a row
1:10:44
Speaker 1: Man former pack twelve games now Big ten games. They
1:10:48
Speaker 1: played to within two of ucla big game there, and
1:10:51
Speaker 1: then they beat USC in the last game. And I
1:10:53
Speaker 1: think USC's best player is hurt right now. I think
1:10:56
Speaker 1: he got hurt a couple of games ago, so I
1:10:57
Speaker 1: don't know if he's back. I haven't I don't play
1:10:59
Speaker 1: a lot of attention to the personnel in college. I apologize,
1:11:02
Speaker 1: I just look at situations. But Washington, yet, they're coming
1:11:07
Speaker 1: off a pretty satisfying win as an underdog at u
1:11:11
Speaker 1: USC big win, and they do have an in state
1:11:14
Speaker 1: little brother, big brother in state or in city little
1:11:18
Speaker 1: brother big brother's situation up next against Seattle, which is
1:11:21
Speaker 1: more of a big deal for Seattle. I know Seattle
1:11:23
Speaker 1: really wants to step up their game against Washington, and
1:11:26
Speaker 1: they've given Washington some fights in the past. But still
1:11:30
Speaker 1: Washington might still look ahead to that game because it
1:11:32
Speaker 1: is bigger than facing Southern Utah. I mean, they're really
1:11:36
Speaker 1: going to get up for a Southern Utah team that
1:11:38
Speaker 1: stinks in his own six on the road. Probably not,
1:11:41
Speaker 1: although I do worry that Southern Utah is coming off
1:11:43
Speaker 1: a loss edwardg And State and now they're having another
1:11:47
Speaker 1: road game against another big opponent for them against Washington.
1:11:50
Speaker 1: I'm staying away, but this one was close to making
1:11:52
Speaker 1: my card as far as I don't think it's a
1:11:54
Speaker 1: good spot for Washington. They're up from twenty five and
1:11:57
Speaker 1: a half to twenty six as a favorite here Washington,
1:12:00
Speaker 1: And obviously I would take the points with Southern Utah
1:12:03
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it. One hundred and fifty
1:12:05
Speaker 1: and a half is the total in that one. All right,
1:12:12
Speaker 1: Vandy number fifteen in the country here Man and ken
1:12:15
Speaker 1: Bum actually as them in the top ten. So Vandy
1:12:18
Speaker 1: they are no joke. They're good. This is on the
1:12:21
Speaker 1: SEC network at six thirty pm Eastern. But I don't
1:12:24
Speaker 1: like the spot for Vandy here, and people are starting
1:12:27
Speaker 1: to notice that they're good because they're climbing up the rankings.
1:12:29
Speaker 1: They're nine to zero. They're really not that battle tested
1:12:33
Speaker 1: yet though they're big wins. They won on the road
1:12:36
Speaker 1: against UCF was a big twelve team now, but the
1:12:38
Speaker 1: only other Power conference win was against SMU, so they're
1:12:41
Speaker 1: really not that tested like their actual biggest wins are
1:12:44
Speaker 1: probably actually VCU and Saint Mary's are probably the best
1:12:47
Speaker 1: teams they played in. Saint Mary's is a big win
1:12:50
Speaker 1: for them because that was a tournament revenge game for
1:12:53
Speaker 1: Vandy because Saint Mary's knocked them out of the tournament
1:12:55
Speaker 1: last year. But they did not suffer a letdown at all.
1:12:58
Speaker 1: Vandy did not, and they beat SMU in their most
1:13:01
Speaker 1: recent game, so another big win for them. Now they
1:13:03
Speaker 1: get Central Arkansas. I just don't really see them focusing
1:13:06
Speaker 1: here man against Central Arkansas, who's a bad team, and
1:13:10
Speaker 1: Vandy has a big game. They got to turn around
1:13:11
Speaker 1: and face Memphis next. Although I know I mentioned that
1:13:14
Speaker 1: game is bigger for Memphis because it's an in state
1:13:16
Speaker 1: little brother, big brother situation, but it's still Memphis. They're
1:13:20
Speaker 1: gonna draw your attention more So. I think this is
1:13:22
Speaker 1: kind of a sandwich spot for Vandy here Central Arkansas.
1:13:25
Speaker 1: Kark is coming in, although I know they're own five
1:13:28
Speaker 1: on the road. That's not great. Vandy five and zero
1:13:31
Speaker 1: at home, but you're getting a ton of points with
1:13:33
Speaker 1: Central Arkansas here. They are coming up a pretty ugly
1:13:36
Speaker 1: loss at East Texas A and mL though, of course
1:13:39
Speaker 1: Central Arkansas is so bad they were an underdog in
1:13:41
Speaker 1: that one. I would look towards taking the points with
1:13:44
Speaker 1: Central Arkansas if I was gonna play it. I do
1:13:46
Speaker 1: think it is a sandwich spot. But Vandy's up to
1:13:50
Speaker 1: a thirty six point favorite. I think it's just a
1:13:52
Speaker 1: spot where Vandy probably just doesn't care about really pushing
1:13:56
Speaker 1: the tempo and blowing them out. Vandy does play fast, though,
1:13:59
Speaker 1: and I think to Arkansas to play slow. Yeah, so
1:14:03
Speaker 1: I worry about about that a little bit. Actually, Central
1:14:05
Speaker 1: Arkansas plays on a little bit of the faster side,
1:14:08
Speaker 1: actually my mistake. But Vandy, I just don't see them
1:14:11
Speaker 1: really going full tempo here, man, full effort, because you know,
1:14:15
Speaker 1: I just don't think it's a game where they're gonna
1:14:17
Speaker 1: do that, you know. Uh. Sorry, I haven't gotten to
1:14:20
Speaker 1: Smu yet. By the way, man for Bets money Bets,
1:14:24
Speaker 1: who was in the chat. It's a late game, man,
1:14:25
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna get to it. But it's a long
1:14:28
Speaker 1: process here with all these games. Here man a Citadel
1:14:31
Speaker 1: at South Carolina at seven pm on SEC Network. All
1:14:35
Speaker 1: I can really say is the Citadel are a little
1:14:37
Speaker 1: brother in the state of South Carolina, so they're probably
1:14:40
Speaker 1: gonna get up for this game. In South Carolina. They
1:14:42
Speaker 1: did have an easy win over stats Send, nice bounce
1:14:45
Speaker 1: back after they after South Carolina lost as a favorite
1:14:48
Speaker 1: to Virginia Tech. But you gotta think they're probably gonna
1:14:51
Speaker 1: look past Citadel because they got Clemson up next. As
1:14:54
Speaker 1: I mentioned, that's a big deal for South Carolina, probably
1:14:57
Speaker 1: even bigger for South Carolina because Clemson has been the
1:14:59
Speaker 1: better of the two teams in basketball recently, So I
1:15:03
Speaker 1: see them kind of looking past Citadel here. I would
1:15:05
Speaker 1: lean towards Citadel in this one of the South Carolina
1:15:08
Speaker 1: has been good at home so far, as Citadel bad
1:15:11
Speaker 1: on the road. Not a good team obviously, but Citadel
1:15:14
Speaker 1: did just break along losing streak with a win, although
1:15:16
Speaker 1: it was against a non D one team, but still
1:15:19
Speaker 1: that's at least a decent sign, and you got to
1:15:22
Speaker 1: worry about them not being battle tested though. For the Citadel,
1:15:25
Speaker 1: I mean, they really haven't faced anybody good yet. Their
1:15:28
Speaker 1: biggest game was at BC and they got blown out
1:15:31
Speaker 1: in that game. BC is not as good as South Carolina.
1:15:33
Speaker 1: But yeah, do with that information what you will. They
1:15:38
Speaker 1: at least probably won't be intimidated. It's a low total
1:15:40
Speaker 1: of one hundred and forty and a half and you're
1:15:42
Speaker 1: looking at taking twenty four points here, So it looks
1:15:46
Speaker 1: decent to take the all those points and what's gonna
1:15:48
Speaker 1: be a probably a slower game here. South Carolina does
1:15:52
Speaker 1: play slow tempo, so again putting all the information out there. Man,
1:15:58
Speaker 1: all right, we have Arizona State Santa Clara. Is interesting.
1:16:03
Speaker 1: This game for some reason is in Henderson, Nevada, so
1:16:06
Speaker 1: the game is a neutral site game here. But it's
1:16:08
Speaker 1: interesting because Arizona State is the bigger conference team here,
1:16:11
Speaker 1: but Santa Clara is actually favored. Santa Clara osmakers are
1:16:15
Speaker 1: telling you they're actually the better team here, and I
1:16:17
Speaker 1: don't disagree. Arizona State's a little bit down in the
1:16:20
Speaker 1: Big twelve. Santa Clara is not a joke, man. I mean,
1:16:23
Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna threaten Saint Mary's in Gonzaga,
1:16:26
Speaker 1: but they are the third best team in that conference.
1:16:29
Speaker 1: And San Francisco is not that bad either. But so
1:16:32
Speaker 1: the quality of that conference is actually increasing, which is interesting.
1:16:35
Speaker 1: Arizona State's coming up an easy blowout win over in
1:16:38
Speaker 1: state little brother, Northern Arizona JC. What's up, man, Thanks
1:16:43
Speaker 1: for hanging out really late at night here. I'm not
1:16:45
Speaker 1: gonna get any sleep, but that's all right. Arizona State
1:16:49
Speaker 1: probably satisfying to beat down their little brother, and they
1:16:52
Speaker 1: do have UCLA up in four days on the road.
1:16:54
Speaker 1: That's a big, big game, man, that's a big deal.
1:16:56
Speaker 1: That's a former PAC twelve game as well, so that's
1:16:59
Speaker 1: a big game than Santa Clara. I think this is
1:17:02
Speaker 1: the Jack Jones Classic, one of these early season tournaments, man,
1:17:07
Speaker 1: before we get to conference play where we don't really
1:17:09
Speaker 1: have to worry about neutral locations anymore. Santa Clara just
1:17:12
Speaker 1: lost at New Mexico at the pit. That's a difficult
1:17:15
Speaker 1: place to play, man, in New Mexico. So they're coming
1:17:18
Speaker 1: off of that. I think they're gonna get up for
1:17:20
Speaker 1: a game against Arizona State, though. So I do like
1:17:22
Speaker 1: Santa Clara and that one, and again I think the
1:17:25
Speaker 1: public's gonna look at it and say, oh my god,
1:17:27
Speaker 1: the bigger conference team getting points and be tempted to
1:17:30
Speaker 1: go that way, I would lay it with Santa Clara
1:17:32
Speaker 1: and that one though. Stanford and San Jose State at
1:17:36
Speaker 1: seven pm on CBS Sports. Of course I talked about
1:17:39
Speaker 1: it in football. San Jose State is a little brother
1:17:42
Speaker 1: in northern California to Stanford, so they do step up
1:17:44
Speaker 1: their game usually when they play Stanford. Sanford's looking like
1:17:48
Speaker 1: they're on the way up again, though they're pretty decent
1:17:50
Speaker 1: this year, and man seven to two. They're coming off
1:17:53
Speaker 1: a close loss to UNLV. Although this is actually a
1:17:56
Speaker 1: bad game for Stanford. I know it looks like it
1:17:58
Speaker 1: might have been a big game, but Stanford was a
1:18:00
Speaker 1: pretty big favorite here. UNLV is not that good. Sanford
1:18:03
Speaker 1: is on the rise, so the fact that they lost
1:18:05
Speaker 1: a favorite. I don't really want to fade Stanford for
1:18:10
Speaker 1: that reason. And this is actually the first true road game,
1:18:13
Speaker 1: although I know they're not traveling far to San Jose
1:18:15
Speaker 1: but still they have not played in a true road
1:18:18
Speaker 1: environment yet this year, which is interesting. And San Jose
1:18:21
Speaker 1: State's at least been pretty good at home. They're coming
1:18:23
Speaker 1: off a pretty weak performance against a bad Long Beach
1:18:27
Speaker 1: State team, or Long Beach State took them into overtime.
1:18:30
Speaker 1: San Jose State was a pretty significant favorite in this game,
1:18:33
Speaker 1: and Long Beach is really bad this year and San
1:18:35
Speaker 1: Jose State didn't do well. Maybe they were looking ahead
1:18:38
Speaker 1: because this game's gonna be a big one for them,
1:18:41
Speaker 1: So I like San Jose State in that one, taking
1:18:45
Speaker 1: the points. Stanford's up from six to seven and a
1:18:47
Speaker 1: half there, San Jose State. The total, sorry is up
1:18:52
Speaker 1: to one hundred and forty five and a half, but
1:18:53
Speaker 1: it's not a big total. So I would probably take
1:18:55
Speaker 1: the points with San Jose State if I was gonna
1:18:58
Speaker 1: play it, Sab, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out
1:19:02
Speaker 1: all right? Indiana Kentucky, big game here, man. Both of
1:19:05
Speaker 1: these teams just dropped out of the rankings recently. They
1:19:08
Speaker 1: were both in the rankings. Do they deserve to be
1:19:11
Speaker 1: in the rankings? Ken bum is both of them in
1:19:14
Speaker 1: the top twenty five. He's got Kentucky twenty in Indiana
1:19:17
Speaker 1: twenty one. Both teams kind of mid tembo teams. Both
1:19:20
Speaker 1: teams are actually better defensively than offensively. Interesting that Kentucky.
1:19:26
Speaker 1: Kentucky usually does not profile like that, so that's all
1:19:29
Speaker 1: interesting to see. This is a close matchup, man, it's
1:19:32
Speaker 1: gonna be a good one. It's in Kentucky in Lexington,
1:19:35
Speaker 1: so you know, Dave Portnoy might be hanging out there
1:19:37
Speaker 1: at the Glory Holes. ESPN Games seven thirty pm Eastern.
1:19:41
Speaker 1: It's a decent game to schedule on ESPN. I think
1:19:44
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a competitive game, man, I think, although
1:19:47
Speaker 1: you never know, even if it's a close line, you
1:19:49
Speaker 1: never really know. Indiana, I mean, they're coming up a
1:19:52
Speaker 1: nice little run here where they played Louisville, Okay to
1:19:56
Speaker 1: within single digits, and they blasted Penn State in their
1:19:59
Speaker 1: most recent games. That was nice game for them. Now
1:20:01
Speaker 1: they're going out on the road of the Indiana. You
1:20:04
Speaker 1: gotta worry about how unbattle tests that they are because
1:20:07
Speaker 1: their biggest games were a win over Marquette on a
1:20:10
Speaker 1: neutral beating Kansas State I think at home of them.
1:20:13
Speaker 1: I don't know if that was a neutral or not
1:20:14
Speaker 1: because it wasn't asterisk. So they beat Kansas State somewhere.
1:20:18
Speaker 1: They lost to Minnesota on the road, and that was
1:20:20
Speaker 1: a win for us on the show because I've faded
1:20:22
Speaker 1: Indiana in their first true road game. That's not a
1:20:24
Speaker 1: good sign that they lost to Minnesota on the road, man,
1:20:27
Speaker 1: And now they're on the road again here. Although on
1:20:29
Speaker 1: the road again, although at least they are now a
1:20:33
Speaker 1: little bit more road tested from that, but they haven't
1:20:36
Speaker 1: stepped up well. In class man. They lost to Louisville,
1:20:39
Speaker 1: which was the one really good opponent they face, and
1:20:41
Speaker 1: other than that, all their bigger games that they played
1:20:43
Speaker 1: were not against the caliber team that Kentucky is. So
1:20:46
Speaker 1: the only time they faced the team anywhere near as
1:20:48
Speaker 1: good as Kentucky was against Louisville and they lost, although yeah,
1:20:51
Speaker 1: they only lost by nine. Kentucky they're only at six
1:20:56
Speaker 1: and four man, but I think they're not as bad
1:20:58
Speaker 1: as the record looks. They're more battle tested because they
1:21:02
Speaker 1: have losses to Louisville, Michigan State, road game at Louisville,
1:21:06
Speaker 1: although of course Kentucky Louisville, it's in Kentucky, but it's
1:21:09
Speaker 1: still a true road game at Louisville. Neutral lost to
1:21:12
Speaker 1: Michigan State, lost at home to North Carolina, although you're
1:21:16
Speaker 1: not really gonna knock them for that, and I don't
1:21:17
Speaker 1: think even though Kentucky was the favorite, and then they
1:21:20
Speaker 1: had an awful game and a neutral against Gonzaga, which
1:21:24
Speaker 1: I think that game was in Tennessee, but Gonzaga was
1:21:26
Speaker 1: coming off an embarrassing loss, man, and Kentucky was coming
1:21:30
Speaker 1: off a close game, so Gonzaga set up much better
1:21:33
Speaker 1: in that game. And Gonzaga is legit, they're good. So
1:21:35
Speaker 1: Kentucky does have the more difficult schedule behind them than
1:21:39
Speaker 1: Indiana so far. So I kind of like Kentucky in
1:21:42
Speaker 1: this one. They're down from four and a half to
1:21:44
Speaker 1: three and a half. I would probably lay it though,
1:21:48
Speaker 1: because they are at home, so you got to give
1:21:49
Speaker 1: them the home edge in this one. Total up to
1:21:53
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty seven and a half here, kind
1:21:56
Speaker 1: of a mid tempo game expected here. Yeah, I would
1:22:00
Speaker 1: it with Kentucky if I was gonna play it. Short
1:22:03
Speaker 1: of time to handicap. All right, man, So I'll do
1:22:06
Speaker 1: the work for you. Went on. I'm talking about a
1:22:08
Speaker 1: ton of games here I'm gonna give. I'm giving out
1:22:10
Speaker 1: six plays and then some of my other opinions as well.
1:22:14
Speaker 1: Here you have a system play for NHL. All right, Well,
1:22:18
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna look at NHL until the morning, so
1:22:20
Speaker 1: I'll have no idea. You can let me know what
1:22:22
Speaker 1: it is. If you're gonna hang out in the morning,
1:22:24
Speaker 1: you can let me know what it is then, or
1:22:25
Speaker 1: let me know if I'm on it, or what I
1:22:27
Speaker 1: say about it or whatever, because I'm probably gonna do
1:22:29
Speaker 1: all of the NHL tomorrow. But we'll see a game.
1:22:35
Speaker 1: So your system is fade a team that came off
1:22:38
Speaker 1: of a four game or longer road trip and once
1:22:41
Speaker 1: they came back, Oh and they're in their first and
1:22:46
Speaker 1: when they were in their first game back, they beat
1:22:48
Speaker 1: an above five hundred team. So they return home and
1:22:51
Speaker 1: they didn't suffer the letdown in the return home, is
1:22:53
Speaker 1: what you're saying. They beat a good team. So you're
1:22:55
Speaker 1: saying that that's the Ottawa Senators against Minnesota. Okay, I'm
1:22:59
Speaker 1: gonna I'll be looking at that tomorrow and we'll see,
1:23:01
Speaker 1: all right, So you're on Ottawa. Good to know, all right? Fox?
1:23:05
Speaker 1: At eight pm, we have number two in the country, Michigan.
1:23:07
Speaker 1: They're actually number one in ken BOM's rankings. Now do
1:23:10
Speaker 1: I think they're actually the number one team? I don't know, Man,
1:23:15
Speaker 1: These rankings fluctuate. Right now. They're looking real good so far,
1:23:18
Speaker 1: but they've had some games where they were not as good,
1:23:21
Speaker 1: which I'll talk about in a second. But this is
1:23:22
Speaker 1: a road game at Maryland on Fox, and it's Maryland
1:23:26
Speaker 1: is somewhat newer to the Big Ten. This is not
1:23:28
Speaker 1: one of the easier places to travel from Michigan, having
1:23:31
Speaker 1: to go out to the East coast there. Now Michigan,
1:23:34
Speaker 1: I mean, I know they've looked really impressive recently, with
1:23:37
Speaker 1: blowout wins over San Diego State, Auburn, Gonzaga. They did
1:23:41
Speaker 1: really well in that Vegas tournament. Then they annihilated rot Gers,
1:23:46
Speaker 1: although Rutgers is not that good, but still forty one
1:23:49
Speaker 1: point win, that's crazy. That was the Big Ten opener there.
1:23:53
Speaker 1: Then now they're coming off another blowout win against Villanova,
1:23:56
Speaker 1: though Villanova not really as good. Now they get Maryland
1:24:00
Speaker 1: on the road, and if you look at what Michigan
1:24:02
Speaker 1: was doing earlier in the season, there one true road
1:24:04
Speaker 1: game they had so far at TCU was not a
1:24:06
Speaker 1: good one, the only one by four, and they did
1:24:09
Speaker 1: have a really close game before that against Wake too,
1:24:12
Speaker 1: So there is some precedent from Michigan to maybe not
1:24:15
Speaker 1: play as well here. So I don't think they're as
1:24:16
Speaker 1: good as they looked in these recent games, and I
1:24:18
Speaker 1: don't think they're as bad as they were in those
1:24:20
Speaker 1: early games either, So still remains to be seen. And
1:24:24
Speaker 1: I know they have Dusty may as their coach. He'd
1:24:27
Speaker 1: built up Fau's program really great and then came over
1:24:30
Speaker 1: to Michigan and took Vlod Golden with them. I don't
1:24:34
Speaker 1: know where Vlad Golden is now. Is he in the
1:24:35
Speaker 1: NBA now? I don't know, But still Michigan. The fact
1:24:39
Speaker 1: that they haven't been on the road since earlier in
1:24:40
Speaker 1: the season. This is the first time I think going
1:24:43
Speaker 1: to the Eastern time zone, is that right? Let me see, Yeah,
1:24:46
Speaker 1: because they went to Vegas, So where do they play Wake?
1:24:48
Speaker 1: Let me say, maybe I'm wrong about that. No, they
1:24:51
Speaker 1: played Wake in Detroit, Michigan, so they were in Michigan
1:24:54
Speaker 1: for that. Yeah. I don't think they've traveled to the
1:24:55
Speaker 1: Eastern times on this season. I know it's a late game,
1:24:58
Speaker 1: like it's a night game, so it won't be one
1:25:00
Speaker 1: of those weird early games. But I don't know. I
1:25:03
Speaker 1: kind of like Maryland in this one. Man. Maryland, they're
1:25:06
Speaker 1: coming up a blowout loss to Iowa. Iowa had a
1:25:09
Speaker 1: nice bounce back win there. That was an ugly loss
1:25:11
Speaker 1: for Maryland on the road. I mean that was Maryland's
1:25:14
Speaker 1: only their second true road game of the season. I
1:25:17
Speaker 1: kind of expect them to bounce back here at home. Man, Maryland,
1:25:20
Speaker 1: they're pretty ballle tested. I mean, they won't be intimidated.
1:25:22
Speaker 1: They played Alabama against Zaga, I know, Yes, they got
1:25:25
Speaker 1: blown out by them, so that's not great. They also
1:25:28
Speaker 1: lost to Georgetown, so the only Power Conference win they
1:25:30
Speaker 1: was against Marquette, but that was on the road. I
1:25:34
Speaker 1: don't know. Maryland did come in and they did lose
1:25:36
Speaker 1: their best player at some point in here, and I
1:25:38
Speaker 1: don't remember when exactly he came back, but they were
1:25:41
Speaker 1: without him at some point. He got hurt in the
1:25:42
Speaker 1: Marquette game, I think, and then I forget when he
1:25:45
Speaker 1: came back. But overall, yeah, I mean, I think you're
1:25:49
Speaker 1: gonna get at least a little bit of value. Looking
1:25:51
Speaker 1: towards Maryland in this one. Michigan's up from seventeen to
1:25:54
Speaker 1: nineteen here, total of one hundred and fifty four, not
1:25:58
Speaker 1: that high of a total. Probably look towards taking the
1:26:01
Speaker 1: points in Maryland, we're just ken bum Maryland at I
1:26:05
Speaker 1: didn't think they were that bad, but maybe they're not
1:26:07
Speaker 1: that great right now. Actually they're worse than I thought. Man,
1:26:11
Speaker 1: my apologies. He's got Maryland at ninety fourth, so my apologies. Yeah,
1:26:15
Speaker 1: you gotta worry about Maryland actually not being that good
1:26:18
Speaker 1: right now. So I knew they had dropped off from
1:26:20
Speaker 1: last year because they lost like all their good players
1:26:22
Speaker 1: from last year and they weren't a deep team. But yeah,
1:26:25
Speaker 1: it looks like they're definitely a bit down this year.
1:26:29
Speaker 1: Wild beat the Dallas Stars five to two in the
1:26:33
Speaker 1: home return spot. Yet I don't remember if we lost
1:26:35
Speaker 1: on that game or not. I don't think we did,
1:26:37
Speaker 1: but I don't think I faded the Wild in that
1:26:40
Speaker 1: one because I thought they might still step it up
1:26:42
Speaker 1: because Dallas is a big opponent. Ottawa broke their losing
1:26:48
Speaker 1: streak against Columbus positive spot. I probably agree with you
1:26:51
Speaker 1: on that one. Whether it makes my card, I don't know.
1:26:54
Speaker 1: I gotta look at it and see if I vibe
1:26:56
Speaker 1: with it. Like that's seriously what I do, man, Like
1:26:58
Speaker 1: I look at the schedules. I dig into each game,
1:27:02
Speaker 1: kind of dig into the box wheres, look at what
1:27:04
Speaker 1: the line is, read the market. I do all that,
1:27:06
Speaker 1: But I look at the schedule and I kind of see, like,
1:27:08
Speaker 1: I don't know, there's almost like an art to it,
1:27:09
Speaker 1: and to win. I see like, like, how does the
1:27:12
Speaker 1: scheduling spot look for me? You know what I mean,
1:27:14
Speaker 1: I don't know. Fox Sports One at eight pm we
1:27:16
Speaker 1: got the Battle of New Jersey, which is Rutgers and
1:27:19
Speaker 1: Seaton Hall. But Seaton Hall is definitely the better team
1:27:22
Speaker 1: right now, man, Rutgers after they lost they were a
1:27:25
Speaker 1: not deep team last year either, and they lost Ace
1:27:27
Speaker 1: Bailey and who is the other guy? I forget? But
1:27:30
Speaker 1: Ace Bailey is starting to look pretty good for the
1:27:32
Speaker 1: Jazz man. I kind of want his jersey, and I
1:27:36
Speaker 1: kind of like the Jazz jerseys as well. But people
1:27:38
Speaker 1: were making fun of me for saying that Ace Bailey should,
1:27:41
Speaker 1: like absolutely deserve to be a top draft pick. He's
1:27:44
Speaker 1: a great player, man, I think I think he will
1:27:46
Speaker 1: be good in the NBA, and he's starting to look
1:27:48
Speaker 1: pretty good. But that's beside the point. Rutgers lost him
1:27:51
Speaker 1: and whoever their other best player was last year's they're
1:27:53
Speaker 1: a very they were a thin team and they're not
1:27:55
Speaker 1: good this year. And Seaton Hall hasn't been good for
1:27:57
Speaker 1: a few years either, but they look like they're on
1:27:59
Speaker 1: the rise, so they are the better team here. But
1:28:02
Speaker 1: all that being said, it's factoring into the line. Rutgers
1:28:05
Speaker 1: is coming off that awful loss to Michigan. I know
1:28:08
Speaker 1: it's Michigan. Yeah, Like you don't expect them to beat
1:28:10
Speaker 1: Michigan on the road, but losing by forty one points
1:28:13
Speaker 1: and giving up over one hundred that is something. Man.
1:28:16
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna want to bounce back from that.
1:28:19
Speaker 1: You're gonna be a little bit angry. This, by the way,
1:28:21
Speaker 1: is the Garden State the Garden State Hodwood Classic. Man,
1:28:25
Speaker 1: if I'm gonna go Boston, Tody A Garden State had Wood.
1:28:30
Speaker 1: So this is actually a neutral site game. This is
1:28:32
Speaker 1: in Newark, New Jersey, I believe. Oh no, actually wait no,
1:28:35
Speaker 1: So this is actually at Seton Hall. What am I saying?
1:28:37
Speaker 1: Which is why they're getting the home advantage baked into
1:28:40
Speaker 1: the line. I thought this was a neutral site, but
1:28:42
Speaker 1: it's not. It's actually at Seaton Hall. Seaton Hall. Though. Yeah,
1:28:46
Speaker 1: they're undefeated at home. Yeah they're nine to one. I
1:28:49
Speaker 1: don't think they're that good though, Like I don't think
1:28:51
Speaker 1: they've turned it around to that degree. Their step up
1:28:55
Speaker 1: games so far. Will win over NC State, which I
1:28:57
Speaker 1: think was in Hawaii. They lost to US also out
1:29:00
Speaker 1: in Hawaii, and then they had to win on the
1:29:02
Speaker 1: road over Kansas State. That's a good win, but Kansas
1:29:05
Speaker 1: State's pretty down this year, so you know that's still
1:29:10
Speaker 1: a better win, though it is an upset road win.
1:29:12
Speaker 1: And now Seaton Hall is this game against Rutgers, who's
1:29:14
Speaker 1: not good right now. And Seaton Hall does start Big
1:29:17
Speaker 1: East play next against Providence, so I like the spot
1:29:20
Speaker 1: better for Rutgers. That's what I would do in this game.
1:29:22
Speaker 1: I would take the points. You're looking at a lot
1:29:25
Speaker 1: of eleven. And with a Seaton Hall team that likes
1:29:27
Speaker 1: to play really slow, they play a lot of ugly games, man,
1:29:30
Speaker 1: I mean, they are not a team that I like
1:29:32
Speaker 1: to lay points. With totals low and one hundred and
1:29:35
Speaker 1: thirty one and a half expected to be an ugly game.
1:29:37
Speaker 1: I think Rutgers also play slow. Yeah, so you're looking
1:29:40
Speaker 1: at a slow paced game. It's gonna be difficult for
1:29:43
Speaker 1: Seaton Hall to cover a number like that, man. So
1:29:45
Speaker 1: that's what I look at in that game. A Coastal
1:29:48
Speaker 1: Carolina and Grand Canyon is a weird one. Let me
1:29:51
Speaker 1: just make sure I'm talking about all the games I
1:29:53
Speaker 1: was gonna talk about it. I think I have except
1:29:54
Speaker 1: one where Grand Canyon has actually has a worse record
1:29:58
Speaker 1: than Coastal Carolina. Five and four of Verus six and four.
1:30:01
Speaker 1: But Grand Canyon is a sixteen and a half boy favorite,
1:30:03
Speaker 1: so like what gives man? Like the public is not
1:30:06
Speaker 1: gonna lay sixteen and a half with a team with
1:30:08
Speaker 1: the slightly worst record, but that's probably what I would
1:30:12
Speaker 1: do in this one though. Grand Canyon, I mean they
1:30:15
Speaker 1: face some more difficult schedule. I mean, they faced Saint Louis.
1:30:18
Speaker 1: They're looking pretty good Iowa Oklahoma State, but they are
1:30:22
Speaker 1: coming off a close game against Oklahoma State, So I
1:30:24
Speaker 1: don't love that, man, Grand Canyon. That was a big
1:30:27
Speaker 1: game against a big twelve team, big step up game
1:30:29
Speaker 1: for Grand Canyon. The game was in Phoenix, Arizona, so
1:30:32
Speaker 1: it was kind of a semi home game for Grand Canyon.
1:30:36
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. They were an underdog in the game as well,
1:30:39
Speaker 1: like not a huge underdog, but yeah, coming up with that,
1:30:42
Speaker 1: I kind of don't love the spot though for Grand Canyon.
1:30:45
Speaker 1: For Coastal, I don't love the spot for them either
1:30:48
Speaker 1: though at all. I mean they're having to go out
1:30:50
Speaker 1: to the Mountain time zone or wherever. Gran Grand Canyon's
1:30:54
Speaker 1: in Arizona, so this is the first time they're traveling
1:30:57
Speaker 1: that far west, I think, so I don't love that
1:30:59
Speaker 1: for Coastal gonna go all the way out there to
1:31:01
Speaker 1: Arizona and they're coming up a nice win themselves where
1:31:04
Speaker 1: they beat Winthrop winthrow, but I believe is also in
1:31:07
Speaker 1: South Carolina, so that was a big win for them
1:31:09
Speaker 1: against an in state bigger brother in Winthrop. But Coastal
1:31:12
Speaker 1: was a huge underdog in this game too, so probably
1:31:15
Speaker 1: around an eight eight and a half point underdog. I
1:31:17
Speaker 1: would guess something like that, maybe more so that they're
1:31:20
Speaker 1: coming off a big win and in a weird travel spot,
1:31:22
Speaker 1: so I would lay it with Grand Canyon. But the
1:31:24
Speaker 1: problem is Grand Canyon is coming off that big game,
1:31:27
Speaker 1: so I'm staying away. They're out from fifteen to sixteen.
1:31:31
Speaker 1: One hundred and forty one is the total in that one.
1:31:35
Speaker 1: Next up, we do have. My last play of the
1:31:37
Speaker 1: day is taking the four with West Virginia. I know
1:31:41
Speaker 1: this game is closer to Ohio State. I know it's
1:31:43
Speaker 1: a neutral site game against Ohio State. It's in Cleveland,
1:31:46
Speaker 1: so closer to Ohio State. I think West Virginia will
1:31:50
Speaker 1: travel okay to this one too. I mean they're not
1:31:51
Speaker 1: that far away. Both teams have pretty good fan bases
1:31:57
Speaker 1: for Ohio State. I don't like the spot though. That's
1:31:59
Speaker 1: really the deal here. Ohio State's coming off beating Northwestern
1:32:03
Speaker 1: in their Big ten opener on the road, and then
1:32:05
Speaker 1: they came home and they played that close game against Illinois.
1:32:08
Speaker 1: We lost the game with Ohio State, even though they
1:32:10
Speaker 1: were close, they didn't cover. That was a big game
1:32:12
Speaker 1: for Ohio State, man big ten home opener in that one,
1:32:16
Speaker 1: playing Illinois was ranked really high and playing there, like,
1:32:20
Speaker 1: Ohio State played a really good game and played close
1:32:22
Speaker 1: to Illinois. Now they're coming off of that and they
1:32:24
Speaker 1: got this ugly West Virginia team and up next they
1:32:27
Speaker 1: got to play North Carolina. Although I know it's not
1:32:29
Speaker 1: until next week, next Saturday, but still North Carolina is
1:32:33
Speaker 1: up next. I think it's a sandwich spot. Whereas for
1:32:36
Speaker 1: West Virginia, I know it might look tempting maybe to
1:32:39
Speaker 1: the public to grab the points because they're eight and three,
1:32:43
Speaker 1: which is a little bit of a better record, But
1:32:45
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I think the public still is
1:32:47
Speaker 1: going to be more in line with Ohio State because
1:32:50
Speaker 1: West Virginia they just play ugly. The public does not
1:32:52
Speaker 1: like a team that plays ugly like that. But I
1:32:55
Speaker 1: do this is in the Cleveland hoops showdown. Now for
1:32:58
Speaker 1: West Virginia, they're coming on an easy win over a
1:33:02
Speaker 1: little rock Man, so nothing to really see there. West
1:33:04
Speaker 1: Virginia had taken a loss to Wake Forest in the
1:33:07
Speaker 1: previous game. But I think West Virginia they're in a
1:33:09
Speaker 1: nice momentum spot now that they beat Little rock after that,
1:33:13
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up. And the other good
1:33:14
Speaker 1: thing is you're getting points with a team it's probably
1:33:17
Speaker 1: gonna really try to ugly this thing up. I mean,
1:33:20
Speaker 1: West Virginia they play really, really, really slow, which is
1:33:25
Speaker 1: already the case, but now it's even more of the case.
1:33:27
Speaker 1: With North Texas's former coach coming in there, he had
1:33:31
Speaker 1: North Texas playing like the slowest tembo in the country.
1:33:34
Speaker 1: So that's not gonna be what Ohio State really wants
1:33:37
Speaker 1: to do, and it's gonna be easier to slow the
1:33:38
Speaker 1: pace down. Ohio State wants to go a bit faster.
1:33:41
Speaker 1: They're on the faster side. So I think if West
1:33:43
Speaker 1: Virginia could slow this thing down and make this real ugly, yeah,
1:33:48
Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's gonna be more conducive than
1:33:50
Speaker 1: them covering this. I know West Virginia is the worst team,
1:33:52
Speaker 1: but they're actually the better defense, believe it or not.
1:33:55
Speaker 1: Their offense leaves something to be desired for sure. But
1:33:58
Speaker 1: West Virginia is also low in the rankings. I know
1:34:01
Speaker 1: they're not battle tests, they have a very weak strength
1:34:04
Speaker 1: of schedule, but in the luck rankings, I should say
1:34:07
Speaker 1: West Virginia is also low, which means that they've underperformed
1:34:11
Speaker 1: so far, whereas Ohio State is higher up a little
1:34:13
Speaker 1: bit in the luck rankings. On Kembum, they Ohio State
1:34:16
Speaker 1: really hasn't faced that difficult of a schedule either, though,
1:34:19
Speaker 1: which I keep pointing out, so neither team is really
1:34:21
Speaker 1: that battle tested yet. But he has Ohio State only
1:34:25
Speaker 1: fifty sixth in defense and West Virginia is actually in
1:34:28
Speaker 1: the top fifty defensively, So you're getting the better defense
1:34:32
Speaker 1: actually here getting points and a team that might be
1:34:34
Speaker 1: able to slow it down. And I think they're in
1:34:36
Speaker 1: the better spot. So that that puts it in in
1:34:41
Speaker 1: range where it's gonna make my card man, So that's
1:34:43
Speaker 1: what I'm gonna do there. The line did go up
1:34:45
Speaker 1: from three to four. It's expected to be ugly because
1:34:48
Speaker 1: the total is pretty low at one hundred and forty two,
1:34:50
Speaker 1: So I like that. So we got West Virginia plus
1:34:52
Speaker 1: the points in that one. Smart sob Yeah, the wild
1:34:57
Speaker 1: or plump and gay, they might be a bait line. Yeah.
1:35:02
Speaker 1: I like these small underdogs personally. Yeah. That was their
1:35:08
Speaker 1: first win against Dallas and regulation in ten games. Interesting.
1:35:13
Speaker 1: I don't even look into it that deeply. Man, all right,
1:35:15
Speaker 1: let's finish it off, Bets. I'm gonna finally get to
1:35:19
Speaker 1: your game next. But San Francisco is Saint Louis almost
1:35:23
Speaker 1: is on my card here, man. People are gonna look
1:35:25
Speaker 1: at this and probably not want to lay it man
1:35:28
Speaker 1: with Saint Louis, even though they got Kareem abdul Jabbar there. Man,
1:35:32
Speaker 1: Robbie Avila who was on Indiana State, he's got the goggles.
1:35:35
Speaker 1: I like him. Saint Louis has a nice eight and one,
1:35:38
Speaker 1: pretty record six and zero at home, so maybe the
1:35:41
Speaker 1: public won't be taking the points of San Francisco. But
1:35:44
Speaker 1: eleven and a half to me, looks pretty big against
1:35:46
Speaker 1: a pretty good San Francisco team. But I actually think
1:35:49
Speaker 1: it's warranted, and I don't like the spot for San
1:35:52
Speaker 1: Francisco because they just got a win for us. That
1:35:54
Speaker 1: was a play for us on the show against Mississippi State.
1:35:57
Speaker 1: They caught Mississippi State in a bad spot. In Mississippi's
1:36:00
Speaker 1: down this year, that line looked really weird, man, with
1:36:03
Speaker 1: San Francisco only being a four and a half point favorite,
1:36:05
Speaker 1: and the game was in Mississippi, I believe, all though
1:36:08
Speaker 1: it wasn't in it wasn't at Mississippi State in Starkville,
1:36:11
Speaker 1: but it was in Tupelo. So that was a big
1:36:15
Speaker 1: win for San Francisco though anyway, and the line looked
1:36:18
Speaker 1: weird only being at four and a half, so I
1:36:21
Speaker 1: jumped on San Francisco on the show. They got the win,
1:36:24
Speaker 1: But now they're going out on the road and they
1:36:27
Speaker 1: have only had one other true road games so far.
1:36:29
Speaker 1: But granted they played pretty well. They only lost to
1:36:31
Speaker 1: Memphis by six in their other road games, so yeah,
1:36:35
Speaker 1: I mean they are fairly battle tested, so I do
1:36:37
Speaker 1: worry about all that. But I just think they're in
1:36:39
Speaker 1: a letdown spot coming off beating an SEC team like
1:36:41
Speaker 1: Mississippi State, even though they're down this year. And for
1:36:44
Speaker 1: Saint Louis, the game they just last played, I mean,
1:36:47
Speaker 1: they had an easy go of it. They blasted Central Michigan.
1:36:50
Speaker 1: But I don't necessarily want to be on a team
1:36:52
Speaker 1: they just put up one hundred points and won by
1:36:54
Speaker 1: over forty. But that was almost like a tune up
1:36:57
Speaker 1: because Central Michigan is real bad and for San Francisco
1:37:03
Speaker 1: coming in here, I mean, they were Pacific Coast teams.
1:37:05
Speaker 1: So really the only other time they really like traveled
1:37:09
Speaker 1: this much was and they went they went to Memphis
1:37:11
Speaker 1: and theyugh. Granted again, they did pretty well in that game,
1:37:13
Speaker 1: but still, I like Saint Louis in this one. I
1:37:15
Speaker 1: would lay it, but I'm not gonna play it. I'm
1:37:18
Speaker 1: not gonna put it on my card. They're up to
1:37:20
Speaker 1: a twelve point favorite, totals up to one fifty three
1:37:23
Speaker 1: and a half. All right, SMU and lsu bets. If
1:37:28
Speaker 1: you're still hanging with me, man, I'm sorry. I know
1:37:30
Speaker 1: it took forever. SMU. Yeah, they're nine to one here,
1:37:35
Speaker 1: but they've had a pretty weak schedule up until this
1:37:38
Speaker 1: point where they just lost to Vandy in their biggest game.
1:37:41
Speaker 1: They did beat us and beat Mississippi State that they
1:37:43
Speaker 1: took our bet down on the show. They beat us
1:37:48
Speaker 1: when we had to play in Mississippi State. I was pissed.
1:37:50
Speaker 1: Mississippi State had the lead down the stretch and they
1:37:52
Speaker 1: should have won the game. SMU pulled off the win there,
1:37:56
Speaker 1: they turned around. They lost to Vandy, also on the road.
1:37:59
Speaker 1: Then they played a neutral site game and they had
1:38:02
Speaker 1: a big win against Texas A and M Man. They
1:38:04
Speaker 1: won by thirteen, but that went into overtime, Man, so
1:38:07
Speaker 1: the game wasn't really as lopsided as it looked. You're
1:38:10
Speaker 1: not gonna see too many thirteen point overtime victories, man,
1:38:13
Speaker 1: I mean, that's ridiculous. That was a huge win for SMU.
1:38:17
Speaker 1: Man against S and m Oh God. No against Texas
1:38:20
Speaker 1: S and m oh God S and Mu No, that's
1:38:23
Speaker 1: something else. SMU. That's a big win for them, man,
1:38:26
Speaker 1: against what they considered to be one of the big
1:38:28
Speaker 1: boys in the state of Texas. So I think they
1:38:30
Speaker 1: might be in a bit of a letdown spot here
1:38:33
Speaker 1: having to play LSU in the Compete for Cause Classic,
1:38:37
Speaker 1: which is in New Orleans, so the venue definitely helps LSU.
1:38:40
Speaker 1: It's kind of a semi home game in Louisiana, and
1:38:44
Speaker 1: LSU is coming off just an ugly, ugly loss man
1:38:47
Speaker 1: to Texas Tech, losing eighty two to fifty eight. And
1:38:50
Speaker 1: when you lose that bad, I think you're gonna turn
1:38:53
Speaker 1: around and play better. The only issue that I have
1:38:55
Speaker 1: with LSU is that was their first loss of the season.
1:38:58
Speaker 1: You know I talk about when a team takes their
1:38:59
Speaker 1: first loss of the season sometimes it does hang them
1:39:02
Speaker 1: over into the next game. Is they don't They're not
1:39:04
Speaker 1: used to losing. They just don't play well. So that
1:39:07
Speaker 1: worries me. And the other thing that worries me is
1:39:09
Speaker 1: LSU's schedule is even weaker than SMUs. I mean, a
1:39:12
Speaker 1: very weak schedule for LSU, with their biggest wins being
1:39:16
Speaker 1: against DePaul and on the road against Boston College. So
1:39:19
Speaker 1: I worry they haven't really stepped up in class well
1:39:21
Speaker 1: at all so far. But given the scheduling spot, I
1:39:24
Speaker 1: do actually somewhat lean to LSU here. SMU is taking
1:39:27
Speaker 1: some of the money early, so that agrees with the
1:39:30
Speaker 1: bets there. It's gone from pick them to a two
1:39:32
Speaker 1: point favorite, totals up to one hundred and fifty eight
1:39:35
Speaker 1: and a half. I actually slightly lean to LSU. But
1:39:37
Speaker 1: as for all those reasons I just stated, I don't
1:39:39
Speaker 1: love it, though there are definitely arguments for both sides.
1:39:42
Speaker 1: In that one. We got UC riverside at BYU. BYU
1:39:47
Speaker 1: ranked tenth in the country right now BYU coming off
1:39:49
Speaker 1: that win over Clemson. Man, that was a big win
1:39:51
Speaker 1: for BYU that came back. They had to put in
1:39:53
Speaker 1: a huge effort to come back to beat Clemson that
1:39:56
Speaker 1: was up in Madison Square Guard and now they're having
1:39:58
Speaker 1: to travel back. Not a great spot for BYU here. Man.
1:40:03
Speaker 1: I know BYU is difficult to beat at home though,
1:40:05
Speaker 1: but maybe Riverside will step it up here. The problem
1:40:08
Speaker 1: is you see Riverside, Well, actually maybe isn't a problem
1:40:11
Speaker 1: because they did play at New Mexico and they only
1:40:13
Speaker 1: lost by fourteen. That's a difficult road game, and it's
1:40:16
Speaker 1: a high elevation game just like BYU WI, so they're
1:40:19
Speaker 1: not unused to playing in high elevation right now. So
1:40:23
Speaker 1: that's maybe not as bad as maybe it seems. And
1:40:26
Speaker 1: they're coming off a win over cal Poly, which maybe
1:40:28
Speaker 1: we'll give them some confidence coming into this. So overall,
1:40:30
Speaker 1: I would lean towards Riverside getting the points that you're
1:40:33
Speaker 1: getting thirty three and a half in that one, with
1:40:36
Speaker 1: a total down to one hundred and fifty four and
1:40:38
Speaker 1: a half, so I would lean that way. The trades
1:40:41
Speaker 1: in the NHL, I don't pay attention to the personnel
1:40:43
Speaker 1: at all Man, what were the trades. I have not
1:40:46
Speaker 1: seen it at all. The huge game, maybe the biggest
1:40:50
Speaker 1: game of the day, the night game on ESPN here,
1:40:53
Speaker 1: or the second to last game. ESPN's got games all day, man,
1:40:57
Speaker 1: but nine to thirty pm kind of the late ish
1:41:00
Speaker 1: primetime one. Number one Arizona, number twelve Alabama. And this
1:41:04
Speaker 1: game is a semi home for Alabama in Birmingham, Alabama,
1:41:08
Speaker 1: so it's not in Tuscaloosa, so not at Alabama's campus.
1:41:11
Speaker 1: But this is a crazy game. And my first reaction
1:41:14
Speaker 1: to this is how high is the total here? Because
1:41:17
Speaker 1: these two teams, they're really good at scoring, they like
1:41:20
Speaker 1: to play fast. Arizona's number one in the country right
1:41:23
Speaker 1: now in the rankings, Alabama's number twelve. Ken BAM has
1:41:26
Speaker 1: Arizona at six, So maybe a little bit slightly overrated
1:41:29
Speaker 1: right now, total is up to one hundred and seventy
1:41:32
Speaker 1: eight and a half. And you know, I would probably
1:41:35
Speaker 1: still go over in this one. I mean, you're gonna
1:41:37
Speaker 1: have two teams that are gonna be running up and
1:41:39
Speaker 1: down the floor. Both teams are really good offensively. I
1:41:42
Speaker 1: know Arizona's actually balanced, more balanced than Alabama. Alabama's barely
1:41:48
Speaker 1: inside the top fifty defensively, which is not good. But
1:41:51
Speaker 1: Alabama is a top ten tempo team. Arizona's thirty fourth
1:41:55
Speaker 1: in tempo. Both teams are gonna step it up min
1:41:57
Speaker 1: although Arizona's the much better defense though, so both teams
1:42:00
Speaker 1: are really good offensively, but Arizona. The difference in the side,
1:42:05
Speaker 1: I think is that Arizona plays better defense man as
1:42:07
Speaker 1: far as the x's and o's in this one. Arizona,
1:42:11
Speaker 1: they're coming off blowing out Auburn, but are they really
1:42:14
Speaker 1: going to be in a letdown when they get an
1:42:16
Speaker 1: ESPN game against Alabama? Probably not. And Arizona they've stepped
1:42:20
Speaker 1: up really well in class. They've played some good teams Man, Florida, Yukon, Ucla,
1:42:24
Speaker 1: they beat all of them, so that's a good side.
1:42:27
Speaker 1: They're not going to be intimidated at all. This is
1:42:29
Speaker 1: the CM Newton Classic. By the way, Alabama is coming
1:42:33
Speaker 1: up an easy win over UTSA. Yes, they're battle tested
1:42:37
Speaker 1: as well. They beat Saint John's on the road, they
1:42:39
Speaker 1: beat Illinois, good wins there, nice wins against Clemson Maryland,
1:42:43
Speaker 1: but they did take losses against Gonzaga and Purdue, and
1:42:46
Speaker 1: Gonzaga also speeds it up. Gonzaga is probably the best
1:42:50
Speaker 1: equivalent to Arizona because both teams play fast and have
1:42:53
Speaker 1: good balance defense and offense. So Alabama losing it Againstzaga
1:42:58
Speaker 1: can kind of glean something from that here. So I
1:43:01
Speaker 1: actually like, I kind of like Arizona in this spot. Man,
1:43:06
Speaker 1: they flipped from a two point dodge and one to
1:43:08
Speaker 1: that point. Favorite. I'm kind of relying on the fact
1:43:10
Speaker 1: that just I think Arizona being the better defense is
1:43:13
Speaker 1: the difference in the game, Like they're maybe the one
1:43:15
Speaker 1: team that might be able to slow down the opponent's
1:43:18
Speaker 1: offense to some extent here. So I probably prefer an
1:43:21
Speaker 1: over if I was gonna play it, because again, it's
1:43:23
Speaker 1: a really high total for a reason, I think it's
1:43:26
Speaker 1: gonna be a high scoring game. But uh yeah, other
1:43:30
Speaker 1: than that, I would probably look towards Arizona. Quinn Hughes
1:43:35
Speaker 1: or you're talking about Quinn news Quinn housed to Minnesota
1:43:37
Speaker 1: and the Oilers and Pens. Wow, skin or traded from
1:43:42
Speaker 1: the Oilers. Wow, that's how down they are right now.
1:43:44
Speaker 1: For Jari Jerry, I don't think either one of those
1:43:47
Speaker 1: goalies is good. Man, that's a weird trade. Hughes as
1:43:51
Speaker 1: a game changer. I don't know. Yeah, I don't hate personnel.
1:43:54
Speaker 1: I just don't factor it in that much in hockey
1:43:56
Speaker 1: because hockey you got a lot of players on and
1:43:58
Speaker 1: off the ice man, for you know, whatever it is
1:44:03
Speaker 1: like an individual players just doesn't impact the game as much,
1:44:06
Speaker 1: except for a goalie, as far like as much as
1:44:10
Speaker 1: it doesn't in other sports. Excuse me? The best two
1:44:15
Speaker 1: teams in hockey? What do you mean? Who are the
1:44:17
Speaker 1: best two? The Avs and the Aves in Carolina? Is
1:44:23
Speaker 1: that what we're saying in Dallas? Maybe? Who are the
1:44:24
Speaker 1: best two? I don't know. All right, Mississippi State and
1:44:31
Speaker 1: Utah playing on espn U at ten pm. We're almost
1:44:34
Speaker 1: done here, man, We're done with my players. We have
1:44:36
Speaker 1: two more games that I'm really gonna talk about here
1:44:38
Speaker 1: if you want me to talk about any any of
1:44:40
Speaker 1: the other ones before I get out here. We will
1:44:42
Speaker 1: Mississippi State coming up that loss I already pointed out
1:44:44
Speaker 1: against San Francisco, so maybe they will bounce back and
1:44:48
Speaker 1: show up for a game against Utah. Utah is really
1:44:50
Speaker 1: not that good. I know Mississippi State's down, but Utah
1:44:55
Speaker 1: is not great. However, this game is in Salt Lake, City.
1:44:58
Speaker 1: There's this, uh, I think this is the Salt Lake
1:45:02
Speaker 1: Slam or something like that. There are a lot of
1:45:04
Speaker 1: games in Salt Lake City tomorrow, so be aware of that.
1:45:07
Speaker 1: There are a lot of neutral site games, mostly like
1:45:09
Speaker 1: small conference teams playing out there, so you can check
1:45:12
Speaker 1: that out. Just make sure that when you're looking at
1:45:14
Speaker 1: these games you check the venue. Man in these earlier
1:45:18
Speaker 1: season in college basketball games and Salt Lake it's high elevation.
1:45:22
Speaker 1: Obviously the location is more beneficial to Utah. Obviously Utah
1:45:27
Speaker 1: is coming in up barely beating Cal Baptist, so both
1:45:30
Speaker 1: teams coming off lackluster performances against smaller conference teams. Utah
1:45:36
Speaker 1: was coming off a pretty good game at Cal before
1:45:39
Speaker 1: then beating Old Miss the game before that, so you
1:45:43
Speaker 1: know they were in a bad spot there. They do
1:45:45
Speaker 1: at least have some precedent for beating an SEC team
1:45:48
Speaker 1: because they beat Old Miss here. And I think Mississippi
1:45:50
Speaker 1: State is actually worse right now. So Mississippi State, I
1:45:53
Speaker 1: think it's pretty down. Yeah, ken Bum's got Old Miss
1:45:57
Speaker 1: in the fifties and he's got Mississippi State down at
1:45:59
Speaker 1: eighty third, so they're really on the down, which you're trajectory.
1:46:03
Speaker 1: Although Utah is not good. He's got Utah outside of
1:46:07
Speaker 1: the top one hundred, so something to keep in mind.
1:46:10
Speaker 1: So Mississippi State is the better team, that's why they're favored,
1:46:14
Speaker 1: but they're down from two and a half to two here.
1:46:17
Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Utah because Utah's
1:46:20
Speaker 1: game against cal Baptists was a game where Utah they're
1:46:23
Speaker 1: staying in Utah. They didn't play well at home, they
1:46:26
Speaker 1: didn't play well. As a favorite. We gotta win on
1:46:28
Speaker 1: that one. By the way, I think we had cal
1:46:30
Speaker 1: Baptists in that game. Uh, they got in under the
1:46:32
Speaker 1: number for us. I think just barely. Mississippi State having
1:46:36
Speaker 1: a fly in to elevation here. San Francisco a tougher
1:46:39
Speaker 1: opponent from them, So I don't love it, man, So
1:46:41
Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Utah. Then we
1:46:44
Speaker 1: do a number twenty five UCLA and number eight Gonzaga
1:46:48
Speaker 1: at eleven thirty pm Eastern in Seattle, a climate pledge
1:46:53
Speaker 1: arena where the crack and play, and hopefully Seattle gets
1:46:57
Speaker 1: the SuperSonics back. Man, that's what we want. I love
1:46:59
Speaker 1: the super Sonics branding and stuff back in the day,
1:47:02
Speaker 1: and now they're the OKC Thunder, but man, bring back
1:47:05
Speaker 1: the Sonics and then they can play in this arena
1:47:09
Speaker 1: because the arena already is set up for basketball, So
1:47:12
Speaker 1: I think it is gonna happen anyway. U C l A.
1:47:17
Speaker 1: They play really slow, Gonzaga plays really fast, and I
1:47:20
Speaker 1: think playing in Washington is more helpful to Gonzaga, even
1:47:23
Speaker 1: though Gonzaga they're across the state out in western excuse me,
1:47:27
Speaker 1: in eastern Gonzaga. Eastern Washington is where Gonzaga is. They're
1:47:31
Speaker 1: in Spokane, but will they will their crowd travel over
1:47:34
Speaker 1: to Seattle probably for a game like this, So I
1:47:37
Speaker 1: think the spot is better for the location is better
1:47:40
Speaker 1: for Gonzaga. Uh. UCLA coming up a win over Oregon,
1:47:44
Speaker 1: but Oregon plays slow. It's a good win former you know,
1:47:48
Speaker 1: pack twelve rivals who are now packed up, who are
1:47:51
Speaker 1: now a big excuse me, big ten. I don't even
1:47:54
Speaker 1: know where any of these teams are anywhere. That's a
1:47:56
Speaker 1: big conference win. Man, that's a conference win for UCLA there,
1:47:59
Speaker 1: so that is a pretty big game for them. They're
1:48:01
Speaker 1: coming off two conference wins at Washington and then against Oregon. C. Yeah,
1:48:05
Speaker 1: they did play at Washington, so yes, they did just
1:48:08
Speaker 1: go up to Seattle, and now they're going back to
1:48:10
Speaker 1: Seattle again, so yes, they're used to playing in Seattle,
1:48:13
Speaker 1: but coming up back to back conference wins, and now
1:48:16
Speaker 1: they get Gonzaga, and Gonzaga plays fast man wheres Oregon
1:48:20
Speaker 1: really does not, so I don't know if UCLA is
1:48:23
Speaker 1: gonna handle it that well. And UCLA's other loss was
1:48:26
Speaker 1: against Arizona, and Arizona does play fast as well, although
1:48:30
Speaker 1: UCLA only lost by four and it was a low
1:48:32
Speaker 1: scoring game. So I think it was in southern California somewhere.
1:48:36
Speaker 1: I don't remember if it was at UCLA, but I
1:48:37
Speaker 1: think it was somewhere close to UCLA. Where was this game?
1:48:42
Speaker 1: It was in Inglewood, so yeah, it was close to UCLA.
1:48:47
Speaker 1: But they they did struggle a little bit with Arizona
1:48:49
Speaker 1: because Arizona, you know, does try to play faster, but
1:48:52
Speaker 1: again UCLA did slow them down. So I'm kind of
1:48:55
Speaker 1: going back and forth here, like which way is it
1:48:57
Speaker 1: gonna go for Gonzaga. This is the Seattle who showdown.
1:49:00
Speaker 1: By the way, Gonzaga's coming out of an easy win
1:49:03
Speaker 1: over North Florida after they came back from that huge
1:49:06
Speaker 1: blow all win over Kentucky, they did not have a
1:49:08
Speaker 1: letdown at all. They easily crushed North Florida. Now they
1:49:12
Speaker 1: get UCLA, I think they are gonna step it up.
1:49:14
Speaker 1: I think Gonzaga will be the team to control the
1:49:17
Speaker 1: pace here, so they will I think, be able to
1:49:20
Speaker 1: speed it up. As far as Gonzaga playing any like
1:49:24
Speaker 1: slower paced teams, though I don't really think that they've
1:49:28
Speaker 1: really done that though, like not to the extent that
1:49:31
Speaker 1: UCLA does at the very least. I mean, unless no,
1:49:37
Speaker 1: because like all the teams they played are like fast
1:49:39
Speaker 1: paced teams Michigan, Kentucky, Alabama, I don't think Creighton really is,
1:49:45
Speaker 1: though they did crush Creighton with Creighton coming up to Smokkane,
1:49:48
Speaker 1: So I don't know, man. I mean this is a
1:49:49
Speaker 1: game where I don't have much of an opinion on
1:49:51
Speaker 1: the line has moved on Gonzaga from eight and a
1:49:53
Speaker 1: half to ten and a half. I don't really disagree.
1:49:56
Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Gonzaga. I was gonna
1:49:59
Speaker 1: do it total down to one hundred and forty eight.
1:50:03
Speaker 1: And I will say that UTEP having to go out
1:50:05
Speaker 1: to Hawaii is kind of a weird one. Man. I
1:50:08
Speaker 1: don't think that's good, Like having to go all the
1:50:11
Speaker 1: way out to Hawaii. That's difficult. They played pretty well
1:50:13
Speaker 1: as an underdog at Seattle in their prior game, and
1:50:16
Speaker 1: now they're gonna go out to Hawaii. It's gonna be
1:50:18
Speaker 1: a difficult spot for them. I think, having to go
1:50:20
Speaker 1: out there in the bailout game at midnight here one
1:50:24
Speaker 1: of the bailout games. If you're interested, Hawaii is just
1:50:27
Speaker 1: staying at home. They beat some non D one team there.
1:50:29
Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Hawaii in that one.
1:50:31
Speaker 1: They're off from twelve to twelve and a half. The
1:50:33
Speaker 1: total is low though, at one hundred and thirty seven
1:50:36
Speaker 1: and a half, and that will do it for the
1:50:38
Speaker 1: breakdown Dallas, Colorado the top two Sonics reterm and be nasty.
1:50:46
Speaker 1: Yeah for sure. So we go almost two hours. It's
1:50:50
Speaker 1: like having the college football show back. Man, it takes
1:50:52
Speaker 1: a lot out of me, but it makes my morning easier.
1:50:56
Speaker 1: So there we go. You get six plays out of
1:50:58
Speaker 1: me here for college bass here. That's gonna do it
1:51:03
Speaker 1: once again. We're gonna be on Penn State plus the
1:51:05
Speaker 1: points again, like look for the best number that you
1:51:08
Speaker 1: can on these I don't know if the numbers are
1:51:10
Speaker 1: gonna move in our direction or not really, It's hard
1:51:12
Speaker 1: for me to predict that sometimes. George Washington plus the points, Uh,
1:51:17
Speaker 1: Southern miss plus the points, Mercer plus the points. You
1:51:21
Speaker 1: got a lot of big dogs. We have the one
1:51:23
Speaker 1: big favorite Illinois minus the points and West Virginia plus
1:51:27
Speaker 1: the points. That's gonna do it. You can go see
1:51:30
Speaker 1: my analysis again. I'll put them out on Instagram as well,
1:51:32
Speaker 1: with the short analysis there. And once I get to it,
1:51:35
Speaker 1: I gotta get some sleep too though. It's learned a
1:51:37
Speaker 1: toad on Twitter. Learn it, toad. I've finally got subscriptions.
1:51:40
Speaker 1: If you want to subscribe to me on Twitter, you
1:51:42
Speaker 1: can go do that too, but it's probably gonna be
1:51:44
Speaker 1: mostly Yuke content of the I don't know should I
1:51:47
Speaker 1: should I put these betting tweets behind it too. I mean, people,
1:51:50
Speaker 1: I don't get any interaction on them though, so it
1:51:52
Speaker 1: seems like it doesn't really matter. So I don't know.
1:51:54
Speaker 1: We'll see what I want to do with that, but
1:51:56
Speaker 1: check that out obviously, like subscribe here, give me good
1:52:00
Speaker 1: comments here, you know, let's boost this channel. Want to
1:52:03
Speaker 1: boost it up? Listen on audio Spotify and Apple over
1:52:07
Speaker 1: up there as well. We're increasing the view the viewership
1:52:11
Speaker 1: and listenership, so let's keep it going. Give me good
1:52:14
Speaker 1: reviews over there as well. Covered in you because my
1:52:16
Speaker 1: Yuke channel here on YouTube just did another Yuke cover today.
1:52:20
Speaker 1: I probably will get it up on YouTube shortly. Got
1:52:23
Speaker 1: to get it up on Patreon as well, Patreon dot
1:52:25
Speaker 1: com slash and learned it to and I got a
1:52:28
Speaker 1: few that I still gotta get up on the Spotify
1:52:31
Speaker 1: Patreon feed for the Yuke songs that are there. And
1:52:34
Speaker 1: you get requests, which I know, Charles, I'll look and
1:52:38
Speaker 1: see if you requested any Christmas stuff. I know you
1:52:40
Speaker 1: give me way too much to look at, man, like,
1:52:42
Speaker 1: I don't know how long it's gonna take me to
1:52:44
Speaker 1: get to all of it. Plus I don't really know
1:52:46
Speaker 1: the stuff that you gave me very well at all.
1:52:48
Speaker 1: If I knew it, I would probably do it like
1:52:50
Speaker 1: much more quickly. If it's a song, I already know
1:52:53
Speaker 1: I'm gonna get it done like way more quickly if
1:52:55
Speaker 1: I can do it. So that's part of the hold
1:52:58
Speaker 1: up at least, so my apologies there. Check out Loser
1:53:02
Speaker 1: Cast every Tuesday night, where we have a panel of
1:53:05
Speaker 1: losers talking about even bigger losers than we are. Man
1:53:08
Speaker 1: so go check that out Tuesday nights the loser Cast
1:53:12
Speaker 1: YouTube channel. It's up there now so you can find that.
1:53:16
Speaker 1: I'll put it in my link tree. Do I have
1:53:17
Speaker 1: an updated the link tree. I gotta get that up there.
1:53:19
Speaker 1: And then the g spot, which is the New York
1:53:22
Speaker 1: Giants podcast that I'm gonna be doing with Ben Weir. Probably,
1:53:26
Speaker 1: I'm guessing will start it on Sunday while watching the
1:53:29
Speaker 1: Giants Redskins game. But we'll see. That's gonna do it
1:53:33
Speaker 1: for now. I'll be back in the morning. Of course.
1:53:35
Speaker 1: We got to talk at NHL, NBA and a little
1:53:37
Speaker 1: bit of college football tomorrow. We'll see what other plays
1:53:40
Speaker 1: I had tomorrow. I don't think I'm gonna have any
1:53:42
Speaker 1: college football plays tomorrow though, but the one that I
1:53:45
Speaker 1: really liked that's upcoming within the next couple of days.
1:53:48
Speaker 1: The line crashed already, so I'm not happy about that,
1:53:53
Speaker 1: but maybe we still like it at the line where
1:53:55
Speaker 1: it's at, man, we'll talk about it. You already know
1:53:57
Speaker 1: what you guys already know what it is. It's old
1:53:59
Speaker 1: dominion already. I already gave it to you, So gonna
1:54:02
Speaker 1: be like I want to see, like maybe at this
1:54:04
Speaker 1: point we just wait until game time because the public
1:54:07
Speaker 1: is gonna want to get some football action and they're
1:54:09
Speaker 1: probably gonna lay it with South Florida. So maybe we
1:54:11
Speaker 1: get a little bit of a better line. Then we'll
1:54:14
Speaker 1: see that's gonna do it, mister Penzy Nate. Thanks everybody
1:54:18
Speaker 1: for hanging out, Man SOB Charles JC money bets, all
1:54:23
Speaker 1: you guys. Thanks everybody for hanging out. Hopefully I didn't
1:54:25
Speaker 1: miss anybody there. Sometimes I try to call everybody out
1:54:27
Speaker 1: because they'ren't that many people there. Thanks guys, I appreciate it.
1:54:32
Speaker 1: Thanks for all hanging out, and we'll be back yeah
1:54:33
Speaker 1: in the morning. Peace.