Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NASCAR USA Today 301 2024 | DraftKings DFS Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential
Transcript
- 0:04All system's gone clear for lifting. Hello and welcome to this week's NASCAR Quick
- 0:39Hit. Here at ship at Nation. I am Eric, also known as
- 0:44the Game on Discord, and today we will be discussing the USA today three
- 0:50oh one, taking place at the New Hampshire Motor Speedway. As always,
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- 1:12break down the USA today three oh one, which is taking place at the
- 1:18New Hampshire Motor Speedway, let me, of course mention code FGWC fifteen.
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- 2:57drafters, all right, let's here this weekend. The race is on
- 3:06the USA Network in the US and TSN five in Canada. Green Flag is
- 3:15at two thirty pm Eastern Time on Sunday, and there are three hundred and
- 3:22one laps, which equals out to two hundred and ten point seven dominator points
- 3:29on DraftKings. As always, we will want to target those points. But
- 3:35I'm going to be rolling out with at least one dominator per lineup, and
- 3:40you might be thinking at least one that'll probably make more sense as we break
- 3:46down the sleep. And speaking of breaking down the slate, let's go ahead
- 3:50and do that. Let me go ahead and change from our handy dandy USA
- 3:53today three oh one graft to our handy dandy one shot overlay and bring you
- 4:00a blank version of the stone. And the first thing you'll notice is there's
- 4:06no practice data. Why well, mother nature has not at all been our
- 4:14friend. This weekend in the great state of New Hampshire, qualifying for the
- 4:18Cup Series was rained out and they did attempt to get practice in. However,
- 4:27they were only able to get literally six laps of practice in before the
- 4:32rains came and canceled that. So for all intensive purposes, no practice.
- 4:40I'm not gonna build and skew projections based off of six laps of practice that
- 4:45would that would not be good ju juw. So for all intentsive purposes,
- 4:48no practice and no qualifying. So this weekend we are really really, really,
- 4:59really really relying on recent form. You know how the drivers have been
- 5:05running recently, their track rank. Now there has only been two Next Gen
- 5:12races here at New Hampshire. The Cup Series only visits here once a year,
- 5:15but they have been here two other times, and thankfully the track type
- 5:20of rank Thankfully, NASCAR runs a great amount of these short, flat type
- 5:26tracks, including many this year, so we will be relying on the power
- 5:32rankings a lot this week since we have had no true on track time and
- 5:40speeds to be able to judge these drivers by Also, one more thing,
- 5:45and this actually isn't in my notes, but I did want to make sure
- 5:46I touched base on this. There is a really strong possibility that tomorrow's race
- 5:56is already or how should I say it, there's a strong possibility that tomorrow's
- 6:01race could potentially be impacted by rain. In today's Infinity race, they started
- 6:10the race on rain tires and then switch to slick tires within like twenty or
- 6:16twenty five laps or so. I never like to recommend to people like,
- 6:21hey, you should maybe consider playing light this week, or hey, this
- 6:26might not be a bad weekend to take off if there's like rain in the
- 6:31area and there's talk of them using rain tires. I would not blame anyone
- 6:39for playing lightly and taking a step back this week. Rain tires on ovals
- 6:46are incredibly new. There's really no way to judge anything, right because we
- 6:57don't see them very often, and there's nothing to compare any of the cars
- 7:02by this weekend, as there's been no practice and no qualifying. So as
- 7:09of the recording of this video, which a little spoiler, it's a four
- 7:13fifty one on Saturday afternoon. As of the recording of this video, it's
- 7:19still a race as normal Sunday at two thirty with slicks, et cetera,
- 7:25et cetera, et cetera. But that could absolutely change, and it's something
- 7:31you should be cognizant of. Uh, if you are a member of ship
- 7:36at nation dot com, you already know I will be in the discord keeping
- 7:41you find folks up to breast of all the information as we get it throughout
- 7:46the day on Sunday. So all right, that's uh, that's my spiel
- 7:53on that. Now let's go ahead and talk some drivers. And this is
- 7:59kind of it's not difficult to do. However, I like to highlight drivers
- 8:03who showed me something good in practice or had a shitty qualifying run, and
- 8:09then you know what was good in practice or something of that nature. We
- 8:13don't have anything like that to go by this weekend. So let me first
- 8:20talk about the first two drivers that probably every NASCAR content creator will speak about
- 8:28this weekend but for good reason, and that would be one Christopher Bell and
- 8:35one Martin Truex Junior, both from the Joe Gibbs Racing stable. Christopher Bell
- 8:41rolls off fourth on Sunday and Trueex starts seventh on Sunday, and they are
- 8:50both. Christopher Bell is currently the Vegas odds on favorite and Truex is like
- 8:58the one B to be one A. However, true X has the stronger
- 9:03history here at New Hampshire. So Christopher Bell in just in general, is
- 9:09a short flat track ace. These types of flat track short tracks fit his
- 9:18driving style to a t. In fact, when I went to click record
- 9:22on this, he was dominating the Xminity race that's taking place. These tracks
- 9:28absolutely fit him, and his Vegas odds reflect that, and his salary on
- 9:35DraftKings reflects that he will be in my player pool. I will have a
- 9:41decent amount of exposure to him, but as will Martin Truex Junior. And
- 9:46again, Truex is ten to five on DraftKings compared to Bell's eleven k and
- 9:52true X is currently plus four fifty on the books to Bell's plus four hundred.
- 9:58Just to be blunt. True X's been incredible here at New Hampshire.
- 10:03Incredible. There's been two two races here at New Hampshire in the next Gen
- 10:09era, and they both have been three hundred and one laps and TRUEX has
- 10:15led a combined four hundred and twenty six laps in those two races. Right,
- 10:22So two races, both three hundred and one laps, which would be
- 10:26six hundred and two total laps. Out of all those laps, Truex led
- 10:31four hundred and twenty six of them. He finished first here last year and
- 10:39fourth here back in twenty twenty two, and in twenty twenty two Christopher Bell
- 10:43won that race. So Bell and true X are the two defending winners here
- 10:50at New Hampshire eleven k and ten to five respectfully on DraftKings. They will
- 10:58be very popular on Sunday, but for good reason they're excellent place. Next
- 11:05up, let's talk about old Kyle Larson. Yes, I know I'm really
- 11:11breaking down the walls here by speaking about good drivers, but look, well,
- 11:18there's not often where Kyle Larson is the cheapest stud on the slate,
- 11:24and he is. He's cheap at ten thousand compared to Hamlin at ten eight,
- 11:30Truex at ten five, Bell eleven K and even Bryan Blaney at ten
- 11:35to three. By the way, these tracks fit Team Penske to a tea
- 11:39as well. But Kyle Larson at ten thousand dollars on DraftKings is rolling off
- 11:46the grad nineteenth on Sunday, and he's excellent too. You know this right
- 11:52like he's Kyle Larson. He's Kyle freaking Larson. He's finished third here last
- 11:58year fourteen, the year before. A little spoiler alert on his power rankings,
- 12:03I have it blocked off here for the YouTube video, but I don't
- 12:07think it's any surprise. He's a plus in every power ranking category right,
- 12:15plus seven hundred on the Vegas books starting nineteenth. There is no reason he
- 12:22should not be able to gain you those sweet sweet place differential points which we
- 12:28are looking for. Next up, who I want to highlight is starting two
- 12:33positions in front of him, and that is Bubba Wallace, And in my
- 12:39opinion, Bubba is priced too cheap. This week, Bubba is only seventy
- 12:46five hundred on DraftKings and he has finishes of eighth and third here at New
- 12:52Hampshire in the next Gen Era why he's so cheap even the books at plus
- 13:01four thousand. I'm not sure what his top ten odds would be, but
- 13:05might not be a bad flyer there seventy five hundred for a driver who's starting
- 13:11in seventeenth and has finished both of his races here in the top ten.
- 13:16If we think Larson can gain me a place differential from starting nineteenth, there
- 13:22ain't no reason Bubba can't do it starting from seventeenth. And he's what thirty
- 13:28five hundred dollars cheaper than Larson. So yeah, Bubba Wallace seventy five hundred
- 13:35on DraftKings. I am all over him on Sunday and last, but certainly
- 13:43not least, the bargain bin play for the weekend, and I kind of
- 13:50can't believe I'm going to recommend this. And I'm not sure why he's highlighted
- 13:56there. He shouldn't be highlighted, so ignore that. I can't believe I'm
- 14:01going to do this. My bargain bin play of the week is Ty Dylan
- 14:13starting thirty six at only fifty six one hundred dollars on DraftKings. Yes,
- 14:22there are some cheaper plays above him, However, I trust him more than
- 14:33those plays. I truthfully trust him more than Nimachek, more than Harrison Burton,
- 14:41more than Hamrick, more than Zane Smith, and more than Kasgarala.
- 14:46As always, the driver who starts dead last can't lose any place differential points,
- 14:52so that's always a positive. And the main reason why I'm comfortable in
- 14:58rolling him out is he has next Gene experience here at New Hampshire, so
- 15:05he can't lose you any points because he's starting last. He has next Gen
- 15:09experience here in New Hampshire. In those two races in which he ran,
- 15:15he has finishes of twenty sixth and thirty third. Are they great finishes?
- 15:20Absolutely not? Could he mimic that on Sunday? Absolutely? If ty Dylan
- 15:28would gain us ten place differential points, I would be over the moon,
- 15:33right over the moon. So I am going to roll him out in tournaments.
- 15:41I don't know what kind of exposure I'm going to have to him,
- 15:46but I will be playing him. And yeah, I didn't think I would
- 15:50be playing ty Dylan at all this year, but it everything's lined up for
- 15:56me. It's to make that happen this weekend. So yeah, the drivers
- 16:00I wanted to highlight again, nobody that you haven't probably already heard on some
- 16:04other talking head NASCAR shows this weekend. Christopher Bell, Mark Truex Junior,
- 16:11your two odds on Favorites. They're starting fourth for Ceball and seventh for true
- 16:17X. I spoke about Larson, he is rolling off nineteenth, Bubba Wallace
- 16:23is starting seventeen, and we spoke about ty Dylan, who is starting thirty
- 16:29six. I did also want to touch on our front row starters, Chase
- 16:37Elliott and Ryan Blaney. I have a sneaking suspicion one of those two drivers
- 16:45is going to lead the majority of Stage one, which one, Well,
- 16:52if I had some practice data to compare to, I'd be able to pick.
- 16:57If I had to blindly picking. I'm going to assume Ryan Blaney is
- 17:03going to get the jump and get this day and get the and get the
- 17:07majority of Stage one lapslid. Will he be able to hold on to it
- 17:12for long? Who knows, But that's I kind of predict planning to get
- 17:17the jump on Elliott at the beginning of the race on Sunday. All right,
- 17:22I think that is officially everything I have. Oh, I do have
- 17:27one more thing, and this isn't really that important. But we're officially at
- 17:33the halfway point of the NASCAR season. This is race number eighteen on the
- 17:37Cup schedule, and I just want to thank you guys for sticking with me
- 17:42and sticking with our first full season of NASCAR coverage here at ship in Nation.
- 17:48It shipped Nation's first full season of covering NASCAR and my first full season
- 17:52of providing NASCAR content. So thank you guys for sticking with me and growing
- 17:59with me and hanging out with me in the discord and win some money.
- 18:03It's pretty dope. So yeah, personal note, thank you guys. As
- 18:07always, code FGWC fifteen fifteen percent off any monthly or annual membership plan here
- 18:18at ship a Nation and ship it with drafters ship a Nation dot com slash
- 18:23drafters code ship it to get one percent deposit bonus up to one hundred dollars
- 18:30on drafters. All right, everybody, that is it for me for today.
- 18:34As always, please feel free to tag me in any questions you have
- 18:38concerning this slate on Discord and I will as always answer them to the best
- 18:44of my abilities. Good luck on Sunday, and as always, let's ship
- 18:48its Hands has most and most madsts and still most stay Madst, Most had
- 19:32a still mothered b Mons, Most and most Mother and Mansst Mast mad and
- 19:48Mast and still Mother and St.