Latest / Diplomacy and International Relations / Summer 03: The Hidden Actors of Global Politics
Transcript
- 0:00So picture this right, You're just sitting on your couch and
- 0:05you're scrolling through your news feed on your phone.
- 0:07Like we all do. Yeah, exactly.
- 0:09And you swipe past a headline about, you know, a brutal
- 0:13territorial war in Eastern Europe.
- 0:15Then you swipe again and it's this breakdown of some global
- 0:19climate summit where like 200 countries are fighting over
- 0:23carbon emissions. Yeah, just massive structural
- 0:25disagreements. And then you swipe 1/3 time and
- 0:28it's an alert about a huge multinational tech company
- 0:32dodging billions in taxes by shifting profits through three
- 0:37different countries. It's exhausting just hearing
- 0:39about. It, it is, it feels totally
- 0:40chaotic, right? Like there's no underlying
- 0:42logic, just this terrifying lottery of global events
- 0:47happening all at once. I mean, it's completely
- 0:49overwhelming. Or it is entirely overwhelming,
- 0:51and you know, the reason it feels that way is that we're
- 0:53essentially trying to read a completely foreign language
- 0:55without a dictionary. Yeah, that makes sense.
- 0:58We look at the world stage and we just see a bunch of random
- 1:00noise, but in reality there is a very specific, deeply entrenched
- 1:05architecture dictating almost everything you just mentioned.
- 1:08Which brings us to our mission for this deep dive.
- 1:13Today we are handing you the ultimate decoder ring I.
- 1:17Love that framing. Because we're working through
- 1:19this really comprehensive academic text on the foundations
- 1:23of international relations, and we are just going to skim the
- 1:27surface here. No, we are really getting into
- 1:29the weeds. We are going to dismantle the
- 1:31entire machine of global politics and show you the gears.
- 1:36We'll look at where the concept of a, you know, a country even
- 1:39came from. Because it wasn't always just
- 1:40there. Exactly.
- 1:42And we'll see how scholars predict whether states will go
- 1:44to war or trade, and why massive, borderless corporations
- 1:49and human rights activists are like completely rewriting the
- 1:52rules of the game as we speak. To really understand the
- 1:54machine, you have to look at the factory where the parts were
- 1:57made right. If you want to comprehend why a
- 1:59modern border dispute happens, or why the United Nations
- 2:03operates the way it does, you have to realize that the primary
- 2:06actor on the global stage, the sovereign state, is an
- 2:10invention, right? It's a piece of technology.
- 2:12And it's not a natural phenomenon at all.
- 2:14A state isn't a mountain or a river, but we treat it like one.
- 2:19Don't. We, we absolutely do.
- 2:20We take it completely for granted.
- 2:21Like when you look at a globe, the colored patches for France
- 2:25or Brazil or Japan, they look permanent.
- 2:28But if we wind the clock back to Europe before the 1600s, those
- 2:32neat lines completely disappear. They do.
- 2:35It was a very different world. The text calls this the medieval
- 2:38system, but I honestly just think of it as the medieval
- 2:41mess. The medieval mess.
- 2:43Honestly, that is an incredibly accurate description.
- 2:45He really is right, yeah. So imagine you are a farmer
- 2:48living in what we now call Germany in the 14th century.
- 2:52Your life is intensely local. You.
- 2:55You never leave your village. You're.
- 2:56Just farming, paying taxes. Exactly.
- 2:58You owe taxes and labor to a local feudal Lord, but that Lord
- 3:02answers to a higher Duke who maybe answers to a king.
- 3:06But wait, it doesn't stop there, right?
- 3:08Because layered right on top of that local hierarchy are these
- 3:12massive, overarching universal authorities.
- 3:14Right, the Catholic Church and the Holy Roman Empire.
- 3:17Yeah, and the church wasn't just a place he went on Sunday.
- 3:19Oh, not at all. It was an immense political and
- 3:22economic power. It levied its own taxes, called
- 3:25tibes right out of your harvest. It had its own courts.
- 3:29It owned vast swaths of land, and alongside the church you had
- 3:33the Holy Roman Emperor claiming this sort of divinely ordained
- 3:38secular authority. Over hundreds of overlapping
- 3:41territories. Yes, hundreds of semi
- 3:43independent principalities, free cities and Dutchies.
- 3:46So as that peasant, your loyalties are completely
- 3:50fractured. I mean, your local Lord wants
- 3:51your labor, the emperor wants you for a military campaign, and
- 3:54the Pope says he holds the keys to your eternal soul.
- 3:57And demands your absolute obedience.
- 3:59And you like a massive chaotic group chat where everyone
- 4:01everyone is an admin? That is a great way to put it
- 4:04right? Everyone keeps changing the
- 4:06server rules, deleting each other's messages, claiming they
- 4:09are the one true owner. There's no single authority you
- 4:12can point to and say you know the buck stops there.
- 4:15And that fractured system? It was inherently unstable.
- 4:18When it finally broke, it resulted in one of the most
- 4:21cataclysmic events in human history, the 30 Years War.
- 4:24Which ran from 1618 to 1648, right?
- 4:26Exactly. And it's often taught as a
- 4:29religious war sparked by the Protestant Reformation.
- 4:32You know, Catholics fighting Protestants.
- 4:34But the text reveals a much darker structural reality to.
- 4:39It it does. Religion was the spark, sure,
- 4:42but the fuel was this desperate, vicious scramble for hegemony.
- 4:46The medieval order was dying. The Pope's universal authority
- 4:50was crumbling. And the monarchs of Europe just
- 4:52recognize an opportunity to consolidate power.
- 4:54Yes, and the devastation was unimaginable.
- 4:57We throw around historical dates, but let's sit with the
- 4:59human cost of this for a second. Yeah, please, as the text points
- 5:02out that up to 1/3 of the population of Germany was wiped
- 5:05out. 1/3. Just a third of the people gone.
- 5:09And armies didn't have modern supply chains back then, they
- 5:11were essentially heavily armed mobs of mercenaries roaming the
- 5:15countryside. Just eating everything insight.
- 5:17Eating everything, burning farms and bringing the plague wherever
- 5:21they went. It was a complete societal
- 5:23collapse. It's just horrifying to think
- 5:25about. It really is.
- 5:26And it was out of that profound trauma that the leaders of
- 5:30Europe finally reached their break point.
- 5:33In 1648 they convene and signed the Treaty of Westphalia.
- 5:37And this is like arguably the most crucial pivot point in the
- 5:41foundation of international relations.
- 5:43Absolutely. The Westphalian system
- 5:45introduced A radical new software update for global
- 5:49politics. Which was sovereignty.
- 5:51Sovereignty which? Fundamentally changed that crypt
- 5:53chat we were talking about instead of 1 chaotic room where
- 5:56the Pope, the Emperor and the kings are all shouting over each
- 5:59other. Westphalia basically created
- 6:01separate private discord servers.
- 6:04That's the perfect analogy. If you are the king of France,
- 6:07France is your server. You have absolute exclusive
- 6:10control over the rules, the religion, and the people inside
- 6:14that server. No one from the outside, not the
- 6:17Pope, not the Emperor can ban your users or change your
- 6:20settings. That mechanism of exclusive
- 6:23territorial control that is the bedrock of our modern world.
- 6:27It is, and because every state is sovereign, every state is
- 6:30formally equal in legal terms. But this introduces the most
- 6:35fundamental dilemma in international relations.
- 6:38Right, because if every state is supreme within its own borders
- 6:42and there is no overarching authority above.
- 6:44Then that means the international system is in a
- 6:46perpetual state of anarchy. Now, anarchy is one of those
- 6:50words that immediately makes people picture rioters smashing
- 6:52windows. Yeah, total chaos.
- 6:54But IR scholars use it entirely differently, don't they?
- 6:57It doesn't mean chaos, it means literally without a ruler.
- 6:59Right. Think about the difference
- 7:00between domestic life and international life.
- 7:03If your neighbor steals your car, you call the police.
- 7:05Because there is a higher authority.
- 7:07Exactly. An authority with a monopoly on
- 7:09violence that enforces the law. But if country A invades country
- 7:14B, there is no Global 911. There's no world police force
- 7:18with the authority to arrest a state.
- 7:20No, it's a pure self help system.
- 7:23You either have a big enough military to defend yourself, or
- 7:26you find some really strong friends to form an alliance
- 7:29with. The wait, I'm stuck on a
- 7:31terminology issue here. The text and scholars in
- 7:34general. They keep calling this the
- 7:35international system or the nation state.
- 7:37Oh, right. But in 1648 there were no
- 7:40nations. These were absolute monarchs
- 7:43treating territories like personal real estate.
- 7:45The people living there didn't feel like a nation, right?
- 7:48That is a critical distinction to make.
- 7:50Westphalia gave us the state, the physical container.
- 7:54It gave us the borders, the standing armies, the tax
- 7:57collectors, the bureaucratic machinery of control.
- 8:01But you're right, it did not give us the nation.
- 8:04Because the early modern state was basically a coercive
- 8:07extraction machine. The king was the state, the
- 8:09people were merely subjects. They were property.
- 8:12They were property. Precisely.
- 8:13The fusion of the nation with the state didn't happen for
- 8:16another century and a half. We really have to look to the
- 8:19end of the 18th century, specifically the American
- 8:21Revolution in 1776 and the French Revolution in 1789.
- 8:26Let's focus on the French Revolution, because the
- 8:28psychological shift there is just staggering.
- 8:31It's massive. You go from a society where a
- 8:34peasant works the land for King Louis the 16th to suddenly you
- 8:39know we are the citizens of France, right?
- 8:42The state is no longer the King's property.
- 8:44The state is the physical manifestation of the shared
- 8:47identity, culture and soul of the French people.
- 8:50It's the birth of the nation state.
- 8:52And this wasn't just a philosophical shift either.
- 8:54It completely revolutionized warfare and power.
- 8:58Oh, completely. Before this, monarchs fought
- 9:00wars using small armies of paid mercenaries.
- 9:03Or unwilling subjects who would desert at the first opportunity.
- 9:06Exactly. But once the French
- 9:09revolutionary government and later Napoleon instituted the
- 9:12Lavey on mass, the mass conscription of citizens, they
- 9:15were suddenly fielding armies of hundreds of thousands of men.
- 9:18Because they were fighting for their patri, their homeland.
- 9:20Right. They were fueled by patriotism,
- 9:22not just a paycheck, and that made them a terrifying
- 9:25juggernaut. Napoleon just steamrolled over
- 9:28the old traditional kingdoms of Europe.
- 9:30He did, and the text highlights how those older aristocratic
- 9:34states looked at France with absolute horror.
- 9:37Not just because of the guillotine.
- 9:39No, because they realized they were functionally obsolete, they
- 9:42had to adopt this new nation state model.
- 9:46They had to cultivate a sense of national identity just to
- 9:49survive the military threat. And throughout the 19th century,
- 9:52we see this play out. National communities began
- 9:55demanding their own states. This mechanism drove the
- 9:59unification of Germany, the unification of Italy, and you
- 10:03know, the slow agonizing collapse of the massive multi
- 10:06ethnic empires. Like the Austro, Hungarian and
- 10:09Ottoman empires, the map of Europe was completely redrawn
- 10:12around the idea that every distinct nation deserved its own
- 10:16sovereign state. OK, so I follow the logic of how
- 10:19Europe sorted itself out, but calling this the global
- 10:23international system feels like a massive historical sleight of
- 10:26hand. How so?
- 10:28Well, this wasn't a global consensus.
- 10:29It was a very specific European blueprint that got violently
- 10:32forced onto the rest of the planet.
- 10:33It is the original sin of the international system.
- 10:36You're absolutely right. Europe didn't just invent the
- 10:38nation state, they exported it at the barrel of a gun.
- 10:42Through ruthless imperialism and colonization, European powers
- 10:46subjugated the vast majority of the globe.
- 10:48You had corporate state hybrids like the Dutch East India
- 10:52Company acting as sovereign entities.
- 10:54For violent resource extraction in the Americas.
- 10:57In the literal carving up of the African continent at the Berlin
- 11:00Conference of 1884, right where European and diplomats drew
- 11:04arbitrary lines on maps, completely ignoring pre-existing
- 11:08ethnic, linguistic or political realities on the ground.
- 11:12They took the Westphalian software and aggressively
- 11:14installed it on hardware that wasn't designed for it.
- 11:17That's such a good way to put it.
- 11:18And the tragedy, the really bitter irony here, is how this
- 11:21model became truly universal. It is tragic.
- 11:24During the 20th century, when colonized peoples across Africa
- 11:28and Asia fought these brutal, exhausting wars for
- 11:31decolonization, they realized something terrible.
- 11:34What was that? The only way the international
- 11:36community, which was still run by their former colonizers,
- 11:38would recognize their hard won independence was if they played
- 11:41by the European rules. They had to adopt the exact
- 11:44aesthetic and bureaucratic structure of their oppressors.
- 11:47To be taken seriously, to get a seat at the table, a newly
- 11:50independent society needed to find Ridge borders.
- 11:54They needed a capital city, a foreign ministry, a standing
- 11:57army, a national anthem, a flag. They had to set up a discord
- 12:01server that looked exactly like the French or British servers.
- 12:04Wow. And understanding this
- 12:07historical baggage changes everything.
- 12:09Like when we see a state in the Global South struggling today
- 12:12with civil war or corruption or unstable borders, we tend to
- 12:16view it as a failure of their leadership.
- 12:18We do. Yeah, but the text forces us to
- 12:20realize they were forced into a structural mold that completely
- 12:23fracture their traditional ways of life.
- 12:25We are essentially judging a fish by its ability to climb a
- 12:28tree. That historical context is
- 12:30vital. So we now have the game board.
- 12:32We have a world carved entirely into sovereign nation states
- 12:35interacting in a state of anarchy with no world police.
- 12:39Right. So the obvious next question is
- 12:40how do we actually analyze what these states are doing?
- 12:42Exactly when something massive happens, how do scholars and
- 12:45policymakers filter the noise? That brings us to our
- 12:48theoretical toolkit. To make sense the chaos, IR
- 12:52scholars use what they call levels of analysis.
- 12:55It's basically adjusting the zoom lens on a microscope.
- 12:58And the text uses the 2008 global financial crisis as the
- 13:02perfect case study to show how this works.
- 13:04Let's walk through that. OK, so if you are trying to
- 13:07understand why the 2008 crash happened and you start the
- 13:10widest possible view the system level, you aren't looking at
- 13:14individual people at all. You are looking at the
- 13:17overarching structure of the global economy.
- 13:19Right, You see how deeply intertwined global markets have
- 13:23become. You see a massive systemic trend
- 13:25toward financial deregulation across multiple continents.
- 13:28So from this altitude, the crisis is a story of structural
- 13:32linkages, where a housing bubble bursting in Florida instantly
- 13:36triggers banking collapses in London, Tokyo and Reykjavik.
- 13:39Exactly. But if you click the lens down 1
- 13:41notch to the state level, the picture completely changes.
- 13:45Now you aren't looking at the whole globe, you're looking at
- 13:47specific countries acting as single units.
- 13:50You're asking how do the United States specific regulatory
- 13:53policies fail? Or why did the UK government
- 13:57choose to bail out certain banks while the German government took
- 14:00a different approach? It becomes a story of national,
- 14:02foreign and domestic policy. OK, so zoom in again to the
- 14:06group level and you basically break the state open.
- 14:09Now you're looking at the factions operating inside the
- 14:11government and society. The text specifically calls out
- 14:14the misrule of experts. Oh, right, the incredibly
- 14:18powerful influence of technocrats, central bankers and
- 14:22massive financial lobbying groups.
- 14:24At this level, 2000 8 is a story of regulatory capture.
- 14:28It's about how specific agencies like the SEC or credit rating
- 14:32agencies like Moody's were influenced by corporate groups
- 14:35to label toxic subprime mortgages as safe investments.
- 14:39And finally, you zoom all the way down to the individual
- 14:42level. Think about your own mortgage or
- 14:43your own bank account. At this level, scholars are
- 14:46studying human psychology, right?
- 14:48They are analyzing the specific cognitive biases, the greed or
- 14:52the fear of individual actors. Why did the CEO of Lehman
- 14:55Brothers refused to see the warning signs?
- 14:57Why did a specific mortgage broker in Nevada push a family
- 15:01into a loan they couldn't afford?
- 15:03Why did Alan Greenspan, the head of the Federal Reserve, possess
- 15:06an ideology that completely blinded him to the flaws of
- 15:09unchecked capitalism? It's fascinating because each
- 15:12level provides a completely different explanation for the
- 15:15exact same event. And none of them are wrong,
- 15:18they're just incomplete without the others.
- 15:20But levels of analysis are just the zoom function.
- 15:22Right. IR scholars also need grand
- 15:24theories to explain and why actors behave the way they do at
- 15:27any of those levels. And for decades the field has
- 15:30been dominated by two heavyweight theories, realism
- 15:33and liberalism. Let's start with realism,
- 15:35because it is incredibly bleak. It really is.
- 15:38It's the Darth Vader of IR theories.
- 15:41Realism views human nature as inherently selfish, fearful, and
- 15:45power hungry. Thinkers like Hans Morgenthau
- 15:47argued that because we live in an anarchic system, because
- 15:50there is no world police to protect you, every single state
- 15:54must prioritize its own survival above everything.
- 15:57Else and how do you ensure your survival?
- 15:59By maximizing your power. Realists argue that you can
- 16:02never, ever truly know the intentions of another state.
- 16:06They might be friendly today, but their leadership could
- 16:08change tomorrow. Therefore, the only logical,
- 16:11rational response to anarchy is to build up your military and
- 16:15economic might. Morality, ethics, human rights,
- 16:20these are luxurious illusions in the realist worldview.
- 16:24Politics is a 0 sum game. If your neighbor gets stronger,
- 16:27you automatically become less secure.
- 16:30It's pure paranoia's policy it. Is liberalism, on the other
- 16:33hand, is the optimistic counterweight.
- 16:35And it's important to note we aren't talking about liberal in
- 16:37the American domestic political sense like Democrats versus
- 16:41Republicans. No, we are talking about
- 16:42classical liberal IR theory, which goes back to thinkers like
- 16:45Immanuel Kant. Liberals look at the exact same
- 16:48anarchic system and draw a totally different conclusion.
- 16:51They acknowledge that the system is anarchic, but they deeply
- 16:53believe in human progress and rationality.
- 16:56They argue that states can learn, adapt and realize that
- 16:59constant warfare is incredibly destructive and expensive.
- 17:02So how do you solve the anarchy problem?
- 17:04You build institutions and you trade.
- 17:06The idea is that if Country A and Country B integrate their
- 17:10economies, if they're constantly buying each other's goods,
- 17:12relying on each other's supply chains, going to war becomes
- 17:16economic suicide. Plus, liberals argue that shared
- 17:19values, particularly democracy, create peace.
- 17:23Democracies rarely, if ever, go to war with other democracies
- 17:26because leaders are accountable to the public and the public
- 17:29doesn't want to die in a trench. So you have realism focusing on
- 17:32military power and survival, and liberalism focusing on economic
- 17:36interdependence in international organizations.
- 17:38But the text shows how the field has evolved beyond just these
- 17:42two. We now have middle ground
- 17:44theories like constructivism. Constructivism is fascinating to
- 17:47me. Realists and liberals both treat
- 17:49the world purely in terms of material things, right?
- 17:52Tanks, bombs, money. Yeah.
- 17:54But constructivism says, wait a minute, the world's actually
- 17:56made of ideas. It's made of norms and social
- 17:59constructs. The most famous quote here is
- 18:01from Alexander Went. Anarchy is what states make of
- 18:04it. That quote is so profound.
- 18:07Wint is saying that the lack of a world police doesn't
- 18:09automatically mean states have to act like rabid dogs.
- 18:13It's not a law of physics. Right.
- 18:15If states behave aggressively and constantly prepare for war,
- 18:19they construct a reality of enmity.
- 18:22But if they begin to interact cooperatively, build trust and
- 18:25establish shared norms, they can literally construct a different
- 18:29kind of reality. It reminds me of the concept of
- 18:32paper money. Oh, how so?
- 18:34Well, $100 bill is physically just a useless piece of cotton
- 18:38and linen. It has 0 intrinsic value, but
- 18:41because we all socially agree that it has value, it runs the
- 18:44entire planet. That's a great comparison.
- 18:46Constructivists argue that concepts like sovereignty or
- 18:49enemies are just like paper money.
- 18:51They only exist because we collectively agree to act like
- 18:54they exist. And we can't ignore the critical
- 18:56theories the text introduces, like Marxism and post
- 18:59structuralism. These theories don't just want
- 19:01to explain the world, they want to challenge its core
- 19:03assumptions. Marxism, for instance, looks the
- 19:05entire Westphalian state system and says this is a distraction.
- 19:08Marxists argue the state is merely a tool, a committee
- 19:12managing the affairs of the global ruling class, the
- 19:14bourgeoisie. For them, the real struggle
- 19:17isn't between America and China, it's between the global
- 19:20capitalist class and the global working class.
- 19:23And poststructuralism goes even further.
- 19:25It completely deconstructs the language of power.
- 19:27Post structuralists ask why we even accept the state as the
- 19:31natural unit of human life. They look at how politicians use
- 19:34language, labeling groups as terrorists versus freedom
- 19:38fighters, or calling an intervention A peacekeeping
- 19:41mission versus an invasion to justify violence and maintain
- 19:45control. These theories are essentially
- 19:48different lenses you can apply to reality.
- 19:51I always picture them as Instagram filters applied to the
- 19:53exact same photograph. OK, I like this.
- 19:55You take a picture of the world, throw the realism filter on and
- 19:59it turns up the shadows. In the contrast, everything
- 20:01looks dangerous, stark and competitive.
- 20:04Swipe over to the liberalism filter and it boosts the
- 20:07brightness and warmth. You see the connections, the
- 20:09trade routes, the potential for cooperation.
- 20:12Swipe to the Marxist filter and the borders disappear
- 20:15completely, replacing them with heat maps of wealth and poverty.
- 20:19The dangerous part about those filters is that leaders forget
- 20:22they are wearing them. Theories aren't just academic
- 20:25thought experiments debated in university halls.
- 20:28They are cognitive maps that dictate life and death
- 20:31decisions. It's a self fulfilling prophecy.
- 20:33If a leader goes into power wearing the realist filter, they
- 20:37assume their neighbor is a threat no matter what.
- 20:39So to be safe, they build a bunch of tanks and put them on
- 20:42the border. But their neighbor looks out the
- 20:43window, sees 100 tanks on their border and says, Oh my God,
- 20:47they're preparing to invade us. So the neighbor builds 200
- 20:51tanks. The first leader sees that and
- 20:53says aha, I knew they were aggressive.
- 20:56The theory created the exact conflict it predicted through
- 20:59what scholars call the security dilemma.
- 21:02We saw that security dilemma play out to its absolute
- 21:04terrifying extreme during the Cold War.
- 21:07Which brings us to the next vital piece of the puzzle,
- 21:11diplomacy and international law. If theory is the blueprint of
- 21:14global politics, diplomacy is the day-to-day maintenance
- 21:18required to keep the House from burning down.
- 21:20And there is no better example of diplomacy literally saving
- 21:24humanity than the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962.
- 21:27It is the ultimate case study. The United States and the Soviet
- 21:31Union were locked in a massive security dilemma.
- 21:34The Soviets secretly transported nuclear ballistic missiles to
- 21:38Cuba, just 90 miles off the coast of Flaherty.
- 21:41When US spy planes photographed the launchpads, the world froze.
- 21:46It was the closest we've ever come to full scale nuclear
- 21:49annihilation. U.S.
- 21:50President John F Kennedy and Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev
- 21:54were staring into the abyss. Kennedy's military advisers were
- 21:57pushing for immediate airstrikes and an invasion of Cuba.
- 21:59Which we now know would have almost certainly triggered A
- 22:02Soviet nuclear response. There's a 13 day day standoff.
- 22:0513 days of just pure terror honestly.
- 22:08But what stopped the missiles from flying wasn't one side
- 22:11having a bigger military. It was intense, high stakes
- 22:14diplomacy. It was structured communication.
- 22:17Through secret back channels and incredibly tense negotiations,
- 22:20they found a compromise. Khrushchev agreed to publicly
- 22:24dismantle and remove the missiles from Cuba.
- 22:26In exchange, Kennedy publicly pledged not to invade Cuba.
- 22:30And crucially, he secretly agreed to remove US Jupiter
- 22:34nuclear missiles from Turkey and Italy, which have been
- 22:37threatening the Soviets. That compromise, saving face for
- 22:40both sides, was the triumph of diplomacy, and it fundamentally
- 22:44altered the architecture of the Cold War.
- 22:46The sheer terror of those 13 days forced both sides to
- 22:50realize they needed better tools for crisis management.
- 22:53It directly led to the creation of the Moscow Washington
- 22:56Hotline, ensuring direct communication between leaders,
- 22:59and it paved the way for the 1963 Partial Test Ban Treaty.
- 23:03Diplomacy works, but diplomacy often relies heavily on
- 23:07international law, and this is where my brain always stalls out
- 23:10a bit. Why is that?
- 23:10Because we already established the international system is
- 23:13anarchic. There is no world police.
- 23:15So if I break a law in my city, the cops show up and arrest me,
- 23:18right? But if a sovereign state breaks
- 23:19international law, who arrests them?
- 23:22Nobody said I was at actually law.
- 23:23It relies on consent and the immense power of norms.
- 23:27International law is not a top down command, it is a horizontal
- 23:30agreement. The text details how a legal
- 23:33norm actually comes into existence through what scholars
- 23:36call the norm life cycle. Walk me through that.
- 23:39First, you have norm emergence. This is usually driven by
- 23:42activists, NGOs, or specific states who highlight a horrific
- 23:46issue and propose a new rule. OK, then you reach a tipping
- 23:49point. This happens when a critical
- 23:51mass of influential states adopts the new rule.
- 23:54Finally, you reach widespread internalization, where the rule
- 23:58becomes so accepted that it just becomes expected behavior.
- 24:01And breaking it becomes unthinkable.
- 24:03Exactly. The global prohibition against
- 24:05torture is a classic example of that, or the responsibility to
- 24:09protect the R2P doctrine. The text tells the story of how
- 24:12R2P was born. Back in 1999, NATO intervened in
- 24:16Kosovo to stop ethnic cleansing. But they did it without the
- 24:19authorization of the UN Security Council, making it technically
- 24:23illegal under international law. Even though many felt it was
- 24:26morally necessary, this sparked a crisis.
- 24:28Yes, it highlighted a massive flaw in the system.
- 24:32Does the international community just sit by and watch a genocide
- 24:35happen because the paperwork wasn't approved?
- 24:38To answer this, a private Commission was formed, heavily
- 24:41backed by the Canadian government, they developed the
- 24:43R2P concept. Which argues that sovereignty
- 24:46isn't just a right to control territory, it implies a
- 24:49responsibility to protect the people living there.
- 24:52If a state fails that responsibility, the
- 24:54international community has the right to step in it.
- 24:57Was a massive shift in how international law views human
- 25:00life versus state power. But here is the elephant in the
- 25:04room. I think of international law as
- 25:08the house rules in a shared apartment.
- 25:10OK, I'm tracking. There is no landlord.
- 25:12You and your roommates agree to wash your own dishes and keep
- 25:14the noise down after midnight because you have to live
- 25:16together. But what happens when the
- 25:18biggest, richest roommate just decides to blast music at 3:00
- 25:22AM? They just ignore the rules.
- 25:23Right. The text brings up the US
- 25:25invasion of Iraq in 2003. the US wanted UN Security Council
- 25:29authorization. They failed to get it, and they
- 25:32invaded anyway. Doesn't that prove that when
- 25:35push comes to shove, international law is an
- 25:37illusion? That critique is incredibly
- 25:39common, especially among realists, but it misses the
- 25:43broader, more subtle power of the law.
- 25:46So. Even when the global hegemon
- 25:48breaks the rules, they do not escape the consequences.
- 25:51Following the 2003 invasion, the United States suffered A
- 25:54catastrophic loss of what political scientist Joseph Nye
- 25:58calls soft power. Soft power being the ability to
- 26:01attract and persuade others rather than forcing them or
- 26:04paying them off. Exactly.
- 26:05The US didn't get arrested, but their global reputation
- 26:09plummeted. Their ability to build
- 26:10coalitions to persuade allies to support their initiatives in the
- 26:13future became incredibly difficult.
- 26:16The blowback was immense because they broke the house rules and
- 26:19suddenly none of the other roommates trust them anymore.
- 26:21Furthermore, observe how the US invaded.
- 26:24They didn't just say we're the strongest, we do what we want.
- 26:26They spent months trying to build a legal case.
- 26:29They presented intelligence to the UN.
- 26:30They argued that Iraq had violated previous UN resolutions
- 26:34regarding weapons of mass destruction, even when breaking
- 26:38international law. The most powerful state in the
- 26:40world felt compelled to use the language of international law to
- 26:44try and justify its actions. Wow, yeah.
- 26:46The law isn't a police force. It is a language of legitimacy.
- 26:50If you lose your legitimacy, your power becomes incredibly
- 26:53expensive to maintain. That reframes it completely.
- 26:57The law forces states to explain themselves, and if the
- 27:01explanation is bad, they pay a massive political price.
- 27:04Precisely. So far, we've been entirely
- 27:06focused on states, the roommates in the apartment.
- 27:09But if we look at the actual stage of global politics today,
- 27:12it is incredibly crowded. States are no longer the only
- 27:15actors that matter. No, they aren't.
- 27:17We have to look at the massive network of international
- 27:19organizations and civil society groups.
- 27:21The modern world is far too complex for states to manage
- 27:24alone, hence the explosion of institutions.
- 27:28But we have to make a very sharp distinction between the two main
- 27:30types. First, we have intergovernmental
- 27:32organizations or Igos. The heavyweight champion being
- 27:36the United Nations. The UN is the prime example,
- 27:39Yeah, but the defining characteristic of an IGO is
- 27:42right in the name intergovernmental.
- 27:45It is created by states, funded by states, and ultimately
- 27:48controlled by states. The UN does not have independent
- 27:51sovereignty over its members. It is a forum for interaction.
- 27:54And it inherently reflects the power dynamics of the states
- 27:57that filled it. The text points to the UN
- 27:59Security Council as the ultimate proof of this.
- 28:02The Security Council has 15 members, but five of them the
- 28:05USUK, France, Russia and China are permanent members.
- 28:09And they hold the veto. Yes, the veto is crucial.
- 28:12If 14 countries vote to send peacekeepers to stop a conflict,
- 28:16but Russia or the US raises their hand and says no, the
- 28:20resolution is dead. The UN is paralyzed.
- 28:22It was a pragmatic compromise made in 1945.
- 28:25The architects of the UN knew that if the major superpowers
- 28:28didn't have a veto, they simply wouldn't join and the UN would
- 28:32collapse, just like the League of Nations did before World War
- 28:342. And state sovereignty is guarded
- 28:36so fiercely within the UN that it leads to absurd situations.
- 28:40Look at Taiwan. By almost any practical metric,
- 28:43Taiwan functions as an independent state.
- 28:46They have a government, an economy, a military, passports.
- 28:50But they're completely blocked from UN membership or even
- 28:52participation in bodies like the World Health Organization.
- 28:56Because China claims Taiwan as its own territory and uses its
- 29:01diplomatic leverage to freeze them out, state power dictates
- 29:04the limits of the IGO. Contrast that structural
- 29:07paralysis with the second category, international non
- 29:10governmental organizations or NGOs.
- 29:12These are formed by private individuals and groups, totally
- 29:16independent of governments, and their ability to reshape the
- 29:19world is astounding. The text highlights the origin
- 29:22of the Red Cross as a prime example.
- 29:23This is one of the most incredible stories in the book.
- 29:25It really is. It's 1859.
- 29:28A Swiss businessman named Henry Danaan is traveling in Italy,
- 29:31and he accidentally rides near the aftermath of the Battle of
- 29:34Solfarino. It was a bloodbath between the
- 29:36French Sardinian alliance and the Austrian army.
- 29:39Danaan arrives and sees nearly 40,000 dead and wounded soldiers
- 29:44literally just left in the dirt. There was almost no Medical
- 29:47Corps. Men are dying of easily
- 29:49treatable wounds, crying out for water.
- 29:51And Danon didn't just walk away. He was so horrified that he
- 29:55abandoned his business trip. He rallied the local civilian
- 29:57population, mostly women, from nearby villages, and convinced
- 30:01them to treat the wounded from both sides.
- 30:03Regardless of what uniform they wore.
- 30:04He goes home and writes a book about it called A Memory of
- 30:07Sulfarino, which becomes a massive bestseller across
- 30:10Europe. It sparks a movement that
- 30:11directly leads to the founding of the International Committee
- 30:14of the Red Cross in 1863. And Duna specific proposals in
- 30:18that book LED governments to sit down and draft the original
- 30:21conventions. One random businessman witnessed
- 30:25a horror, used his voice, and literally wrote the foundation
- 30:28of modern international humanitarian law.
- 30:31And we see that same mechanism of civil society creating global
- 30:34change today. The text sites The Jubilee 2000
- 30:37campaign. A massive transnational network
- 30:40of churches, activists and rock stars who successfully pressured
- 30:44the world's wealthiest governments and the IMF to
- 30:47cancel over $100 billion in debt for the world's poorest
- 30:51countries. Or the Ottawa Mine Ban Treaty in
- 30:541997 where a coalition of NGOs managed to get anti personnel
- 30:58land mines banned globally, bypassing the slow veto ridden
- 31:02UN process entirely. So if the UN is like a massive
- 31:06corporate boardroom where 5 founders hold 51% of the voting
- 31:10stock and constantly veto each other, NGOs are like the
- 31:13activist shareholders. They're the whistleblower
- 31:15standing in the parking lot with megaphones.
- 31:17They can't change the corporate bylaws by themselves.
- 31:19They don't have armies or tax revenue, but they have immense.
- 31:23That is the crucial dynamic. NGOs have the agility and the
- 31:26grassroots connection to set the global agenda.
- 31:29They shine a spotlight on the darkness.
- 31:31But the magic only truly happens when the megaphone interacts
- 31:34with the boardroom. The defining successes of global
- 31:36governance occur when civil society generates so much public
- 31:39pressure that States and Igos are forced to enshrine that
- 31:42moral outrage into binding legal treaties.
- 31:45The text mentions the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio as the perfect
- 31:48example. You had 10s of thousands of NGO
- 31:51activists mobilizing the public, putting climate change and
- 31:55biodiversity on the map. And that pressure forced the
- 31:58state leaders inside the UN summit to actually sign
- 32:01monumental framework agreements. Yeah, OK, let's bring all of
- 32:04this high level governance, these treaties and vetoes back
- 32:07down to earth because ultimately all of this lands on the kitchen
- 32:10table of the everyday citizen. We have to talk about the global
- 32:13political economy. How does the movement of money
- 32:17across these sovereign borders actually impact human lives?
- 32:21To frame this, the text relies heavily on the work of the
- 32:23political economist Carl Polanya Polanyi.
- 32:27Revolutionize how we think about markets.
- 32:29Classical economist tend to treat the market as an abstract
- 32:32mathematical machine, totally separate from society.
- 32:34Polanyi argued that this is a dangerous fiction.
- 32:37Markets are deeply embedded in human communities.
- 32:40Economic life and social life are one in the same.
- 32:43And he introduced this concept of the double movement.
- 32:46When massive, unregulated free market policies are unleashed,
- 32:49they inevitably cause severe social disruption.
- 32:52They displace workers, destroy environments or concentrate
- 32:56wealth at the very top. That's the first movement.
- 32:58The second movement is society's natural reaction.
- 33:01People push back. They demand labor unions,
- 33:04environmental regulations, tariffs or welfare protections
- 33:07from the state to shield themselves from the brutal logic
- 33:10of the market. It is a perpetual tug of war
- 33:12between the expansion of the market and the self protection
- 33:15of society. And in our era of
- 33:18hyperglobalization, that tug of war has gone global.
- 33:21We can see the dark, destructive side of market expansion in
- 33:25modern global supply chains. The text tells a harrowing,
- 33:28infuriating story about Cambodia.
- 33:30In 2006, the Cambodian government granted massive land
- 33:33concessions to private corporations to create sugar
- 33:36plantations. They literally evicted 1700
- 33:39families from their ancestral lands.
- 33:42The military and police came in, bulldozed farms, burned down
- 33:45houses and shot livestock. Just like that for sugar.
- 33:48And why did they do this? To produce a cash crop for
- 33:50export. Specifically, they were
- 33:52exploiting a trade initiative created by the European Union
- 33:55called Everything But Arms, which allowed developing nations
- 33:59to export goods to the EU. Tariffs free the massive demand
- 34:04for cheap sugar in European supermarkets, directly
- 34:07incentivize violent displacement in Southeast Asia.
- 34:10This is what activists later called blood sugar.
- 34:14But this is where it ties back to civil society.
- 34:16The Cambodian families didn't just give up.
- 34:19They couldn't rely on their own government for justice because
- 34:22their government was the one bulldozing their homes.
- 34:25So they used a strategy scholars call boomerang activism.
- 34:29They realized they lived in a globalized world, so they threw
- 34:32their pleas for help outward into the international arena.
- 34:35They partnered with global NGOs. They launched the Clean Sugar
- 34:39campaign. They flew to Europe.
- 34:41They shamed the international banks that were financing the
- 34:43plantations, and they literally filed a lawsuit in London
- 34:47against Tate and Lyle, the massive British sugar company
- 34:50that was buying the product. They threw the boomerang out and
- 34:53it looped around to hit the corporations and the Cambodian
- 34:56government from the outside. It's a brilliant strategy, but
- 34:59it also highlights a terrifying reality of the modern political
- 35:03economy, the immense unchecked power of multinational
- 35:08corporations. Corporations have become
- 35:10incredibly adept at exploiting the anarchic structure of the
- 35:13Westphalian system. Remember, the system is made of
- 35:16separate sovereign borders. Corporations operate
- 35:19transnationally across all borders, but they are regulated
- 35:23and taxed locally within specific borders.
- 35:26They play the discord servers against each other.
- 35:28The text highlights how companies engage in tax
- 35:31avoidance. Look at the example provided
- 35:33regarding Netflix. Netflix has millions of paying
- 35:36subscribers in the UK, generating massive revenue.
- 35:39But they managed to route those European profits through
- 35:41subsidiaries in places like Luxembourg, taking advantage of
- 35:45wildly low tax rates, the text notes.
- 35:47They paid essentially of 5% income tax.
- 35:50This practice, broadly known as base erosion and profit
- 35:53shifting, drains hundreds of billions of dollars from public
- 35:56treasuries globally. States are so desperate for
- 35:58foreign investment and jobs that they engage in a race to the
- 36:01bottom, slashing corporate taxes and regulations to attract these
- 36:05massive companies. The corporations end up wielding
- 36:08more leverage than sovereign governments.
- 36:10This brings up a massive contradiction.
- 36:13If you listen to mainstream liberal economists, they will
- 36:15tell you that globalization and free trade are the ultimate
- 36:19engines of human progress. It's the rising tide that lifts
- 36:22all boats. But if I look at the news, I see
- 36:25massive populism, anger over cororate tax evasion, and
- 36:29horrific supply chain stories like the Cambodian sugar graft.
- 36:33If free trade is so great, why is there so much backlash?
- 36:37That is the defining tension of our era, because both narratives
- 36:40are technically true depending on which level of analysis you
- 36:43use. OK, if you look at the system
- 36:45level, globalization has been an unmitigated triumph.
- 36:48Global GDP has skyrocketed. Hundreds of millions of people
- 36:52in places like China and India have been lifted out of extreme
- 36:55poverty. But if you zoom down to the
- 36:57individual or group level, the picture fractures.
- 37:01The wealth generated by globalization has been captured
- 37:04largely by the very top tier of society.
- 37:06It is hollowed out the working class and developed nations,
- 37:09shifted immense power to unaccountable corporate boards
- 37:13and caused environmental devastation.
- 37:15The populist backlash we see today, the anger, the protests
- 37:19of the demand for closed borders is Palani's double movement.
- 37:23It is society desperately trying to protect itself from the
- 37:26destabilizing force of the global market.
- 37:29Which perfectly transitions us to the final piece of our
- 37:31decoder ring. We've talked about states,
- 37:33theories, laws and money, but at the core of all of this are
- 37:37human beings. Beliefs, identities and
- 37:39individual safety are woven deeply into international
- 37:42relations. For a very long time, academic
- 37:44IR scholars operated with a massive blind spot.
- 37:48They completely ignored religion.
- 37:49The dominant assumption in the 20th century was secularization
- 37:52theory, the belief that as societies modernized, grew
- 37:56wealthier, and adopted science, religion would naturally fade
- 37:59away as a political force. It was viewed as a relic of the
- 38:02medieval mess. But then September 11th, 2001
- 38:05happened. The 9/11 attacks were a massive,
- 38:08violent wake up call to the policy in academic worlds.
- 38:12They realized that not only was religion not fading away, it was
- 38:16actually surging as a transnational political force.
- 38:19Scholars had to scramble to understand why.
- 38:21The text explains that religion provides something that standard
- 38:24political ideologies like liberalism or socialism simply
- 38:27can't. It provides sacred symbols.
- 38:29It offers powerful deep seated narratives of absolute good
- 38:32versus absolute evil, of martyrdom, of divine justice and
- 38:36eternal salvation. When a political movement
- 38:39attaches its grievances to sacred sales, it mobilizes
- 38:43people in a way that transcends borders and rational economic
- 38:46calculations. A standard realist scholar
- 38:48assumes the state will back down from a fight if the cost is too
- 38:51high. But how do you deter an actor
- 38:53who believes that dying in the conflict guarantees them
- 38:55paradise? Traditional deterrence theory
- 38:58completely breaks down. This realization forced a
- 39:00broader shift in how we think about security itself.
- 39:04The text details the transition from state security to human
- 39:07security. In the traditional Westphalian
- 39:10mindset, the only thing that matters is protecting the
- 39:12state's borders from an invading army.
- 39:14If the border is secure, the state is secure.
- 39:18But that definition ignores A horrific, undeniable statistic.
- 39:22In the 20th century, far more people were murdered by their
- 39:25own governments than were killed by foreign enemies in wars.
- 39:29Scholars call this demicide. Stalin's purges, Mao's Great
- 39:33Leap Forward, the Holocaust, the Rwandan genocide.
- 39:37The sovereign state, the entity supposedly designed to protect
- 39:40its people, was historically the greatest threat to their lives.
- 39:44I always use the analogy of a nightclub bouncer.
- 39:47The traditional concept of sovereignty means the state is
- 39:49the bouncer. Their job is to stand at the
- 39:51door and protect the patrons inside from the dangerous
- 39:54elements out on the street. But human security asks what
- 39:58happens when the bouncer locks the doors, pulls out a weapon
- 40:00and starts attacking the patrons.
- 40:02Oh, that's a terrifying thought. And that question leads to the
- 40:05most agonizing moral dilemma in international relations.
- 40:08If the state is massacring its own people, does the
- 40:12international community, the police outside the club, have a
- 40:15moral obligation to kick the door down, breach the club's
- 40:18sovereignty and save the patrons?
- 40:21This is the responsibility to protect R2P coming back around,
- 40:24but it's incredibly divisive. If you allow states to breach
- 40:28sovereignty for humanitarian reasons, don't you just create a
- 40:32massive loophole for powerful empires to invade weaker
- 40:35countries whenever they want? Exactly.
- 40:37Scholars are violently divided on this.
- 40:39The optimistic or liberal interventionist camp argues that
- 40:43human rights must trump state sovereignty, but we must use
- 40:46strict multilateral UN mechanisms to ensure the
- 40:49intervention is genuine and not just a land grab.
- 40:51In the other side. The tragic or realist camp
- 40:55argues that powerful states are entirely self interested.
- 40:58They will weaponize the language of human rights.
- 41:00They will claim they are intervening to save people when
- 41:03in reality they are just toppling A regime they dislike
- 41:05or securing access to oil. They argue that opening the door
- 41:09to humanitarian intervention destroys the Westphalian rule of
- 41:13non interference, which will ultimately lead to endless
- 41:16chaotic wars that kill even more people.
- 41:18And compounding all of this human complexity is technology.
- 41:22The text points out that the digital age is the ultimate
- 41:25double edged sword. On one hand, the Internet
- 41:28bypasses borders completely. It connects humanity.
- 41:31It allows a young activist in Cairo during the Arab Spring to
- 41:34use Twitter to organize a massive democratic protest that
- 41:38topples A dictator. It empowers the individual.
- 41:41But the state pushes back. The Great Firewall of China is
- 41:44the textbook example of a state asserting its sovereignty over
- 41:48the digital realm. The state uses the exact same
- 41:51technology, the Internet AI facial recognition to filter
- 41:54information, silence descent and build a surveillance apparatus
- 41:57that absolute monarchs in the 1600s couldn't even dream of.
- 42:01Technology empowers the citizen, but it's supercharges the state.
- 42:05OK, take a deep breath. We have journeyed through
- 42:07centuries of history and complex theory.
- 42:09Today, let's look at the decoder ring we've built.
- 42:12We started with the sheer trauma of the 30 Years War, which
- 42:15birthed the Westphalian sovereign state.
- 42:17The ultimate group chat where everyone gets their own private
- 42:21server. We watched the French Revolution
- 42:23infuse those states with the fiery passion of the nation,
- 42:27creating the nation state model that Europe violently exported
- 42:30to the rest of the globe. We learned to adjust our lenses
- 42:33using levels of analysis to see how the 2008 financial crisis
- 42:37looks totally different depending on whether you focus
- 42:40on global systems or individual grade.
- 42:42We explored how realists see a world of paranoid survival,
- 42:46while liberals see the potential for trade and peace, and
- 42:49constructivists remind us that the rules are only what we make
- 42:53them. We stood in the room during the
- 42:54Cuban Missile Crisis and saw how diplomacy pulled humanity back
- 42:58from the nuclear brink. We learned that international
- 43:00law isn't a police force, but a set of house rules that punishes
- 43:04rule Breakers by destroying their soft power and legitimacy.
- 43:07We navigated the crowded 21st century stage, balancing the
- 43:11structural gridlock of the UN Security Council against the
- 43:14moral megaphone of Ng OS like the Red Cross.
- 43:17We saw the human cost of globalized markets, from
- 43:20Cambodian land grabs to corporate tax havens.
- 43:23And finally, we confronted the undeniable power of religion,
- 43:27the moral agony of human security, and the digital
- 43:30battleground. Which leaves us with one final
- 43:33provocative thought to Mull over, drawn right from the
- 43:36conclusion of our source text. We've spent this entire deep
- 43:39dive establishing that the Westphalian state, that private
- 43:42Discord server with hard borders is the undisputed fundamental
- 43:46building block of our world. We have cyber warfare where
- 43:49malicious. Code travels from Moscow to
- 43:51Washington in milliseconds, completely ignoring borders.
- 43:54We have a rapidly warming climate that.
- 43:56Doesn't care about customs checkpoints or passports.
- 43:59We have massive multinational. Corporations with economies
- 44:02larger than entire continents and digital currencies designed
- 44:05specifically to bypass national central banks, the Westphalian
- 44:08state was invented. To solve the specific
- 44:10territorial problems of 17th century Europe, the burning
- 44:14question is, is that 400 year old technology finally becoming
- 44:18obsolete in the face of 21st century borderless crises?
- 44:22Are we currently living to the painful?
- 44:23Messy death of the nation state and if the state is dying, what
- 44:28on earth comes next that is something for you to think about
- 44:31the. Next time you scroll through
- 44:32your newsfeed. The world stage is complex but
- 44:36is built by people and what was built by people can't be changed
- 44:39by people. Keep questioning the map because
- 44:42the lines are definitely blurring.
- 44:44Thanks for taking this Dee dive with us.