Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3866 Something HUGE Is Happening on Kharg Island!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_00]: say we're living in historic times doesn't even come close to reality.
- 0:26[SPEAKER_00]: What's happening right now in the Persian Gulf, in the back channels of Tehran, in the holds of two of the most powerful warships America has ever launched, is the kind of moment that historian spend careers writing about.
- 0:42[SPEAKER_00]: The kind of moment that gets named, the kind of moment that changes everything that comes after it.
- 0:49[SPEAKER_00]: We are watching, in real time, the possible end of 47 years of Islamic tyranny in Iran.
- 0:56[SPEAKER_00]: And right now at this very hour, the clock is ticking.
- 0:59[SPEAKER_00]: There's a five day diplomatic window open.
- 1:03[SPEAKER_00]: There are 5,000 US Marines loaded aboard two floating fortresses converging on the Persian Gulf.
- 1:11[SPEAKER_00]: There's a tiny island 15 miles off the coast of Iran that holds the entire financial lifeblood of the Muller regime, and there's a president who has gone and done what seven presidents before him refused to even dream of doing.
- 1:29[SPEAKER_00]: This is not a drill, it's not a new cycle.
- 1:33[SPEAKER_00]: This is the hinge of history.
- 1:37[SPEAKER_00]: Again, it's me, Dr. Steve, your Patre professor, helping to make sense to the madness.
- 1:42[SPEAKER_00]: We're breaking news into analysis.
- 1:44[SPEAKER_00]: You're not going to get anywhere else.
- 1:45[SPEAKER_00]: Make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button.
- 1:49[SPEAKER_00]: As many of you know, President Trump has ordered a ceasefire on all energy and electrical targets throughout Iran after what he called, quote, very good and productive conversations.
- 2:00[SPEAKER_00]: with what he considers to be the true leaders in Iran, though he is refused to say who they are for tactical reasons.
- 2:07[SPEAKER_00]: And so he's ordered the Department of War to postpone all strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for a five day period.
- 2:16[SPEAKER_00]: Now that five day deadline for these talks is not coincidental.
- 2:21[SPEAKER_00]: And that's because as we speak, 5,000 US Marines are converging on the Persian Gulf, aboard two amphibious ready groups.
- 2:31[SPEAKER_00]: The USS Tripoli sailing in from the Indo-Pacific and the USS Box are re-rooted from the West Coast.
- 2:38[SPEAKER_00]: Now, these aren't just ships gang.
- 2:40[SPEAKER_00]: These are floating fortresses each packed with F-35B lightning two jets,
- 2:51[SPEAKER_00]: amphibious assault vehicles and marines who've been drilling for exactly this kind of operation for months and alongside them reports are now surfacing that the 80-second airborne division America's elite rapid response paratroopers 3,000 strong
- 3:10[SPEAKER_00]: is on height and alert with flight data showing possible movement toward the Middle East.
- 3:15[SPEAKER_00]: That's your backup, your reinforcement, your insurance policy that this operation stays limited, decisive, and victorious.
- 3:25[SPEAKER_00]: And there'll be in the region by this Friday right with this five day deadline ends.
- 3:31[SPEAKER_00]: So the question on every military analyst mind right now is, what's the target?
- 3:37[SPEAKER_00]: The most likely candidate, Carg Island.
- 3:41[SPEAKER_00]: It sits about 15 miles off Iran's coasts in the northern Persian Gulf.
- 3:46[SPEAKER_00]: It's roughly a third-the-size man-hatten, and it handles nearly all of Iran's oil exports.
- 3:54[SPEAKER_00]: We're talking 9 of 10 exported barrels, loading up super tankers with as much as 7 million barrels of oil per day.
- 4:03[SPEAKER_00]: This tiny coral outcrop in the Persian Gulf is the regime's beating economic heart.
- 4:09[SPEAKER_00]: It's literally their ATM.
- 4:11[SPEAKER_00]: Without car, the Mullahs got no money.
- 4:14[SPEAKER_00]: And without money, they got no regime.
- 4:17[SPEAKER_00]: And this is precisely why Trump has his eye on it.
- 4:21[SPEAKER_00]: Now, here's the genius of what St. Commons already done to set the table.
- 4:26[SPEAKER_00]: Initial US air strikes have deliberately targeted the island's military defenses.
- 4:33[SPEAKER_00]: It's air defense networks, it's hard and long sites, while specifically sparing the oil infrastructure itself.
- 4:41[SPEAKER_00]: Now think about that strategic calculus for a moment.
- 4:44[SPEAKER_00]: We didn't blow up the oil terminals, right?
- 4:46[SPEAKER_00]: We didn't torch the tanker loading facilities.
- 4:49[SPEAKER_00]: We surgically remove the military threat while leaving the economic prize intact.
- 4:56[SPEAKER_00]: That's not an accident.
- 4:57[SPEAKER_00]: That's the setup for a seizure.
- 5:00[SPEAKER_00]: So here's how the operation could unfold.
- 5:03[SPEAKER_00]: The 31st and 11th M-U's, that's the Marine Expeditionary units.
- 5:07[SPEAKER_00]: They would launch a precision amphibious assault on car.
- 5:11[SPEAKER_00]: A dozen or more F-35Bs orbit overhead, providing non-stop, close air support.
- 5:18[SPEAKER_00]: Their sensors scanning for any revolutionary guard defender even so much as twitches.
- 5:24[SPEAKER_00]: Then you have the MV-22 Osprey's Rush Marines ashore to seize the airport.
- 5:30[SPEAKER_00]: That's a critical
- 5:31[SPEAKER_00]: 1.8 kilometer runway that once taken allows heavy equipment and reinforcements to be flown in.
- 5:39[SPEAKER_00]: Meanwhile, amphibious assault vehicles land marine recontimes at the oil terminals in the south of the west.
- 5:47[SPEAKER_00]: And if the beach head needs reinforcing, that's where the 80-second airborne drops in.
- 5:53[SPEAKER_00]: The operation stays limited, it takes the island, it denies the regime, it's cash, and then it hands the infrastructure to the free people of Iran.
- 6:03[SPEAKER_00]: And so the obvious question here is, what about Iran's response?
- 6:08[SPEAKER_00]: Can the regime fight back?
- 6:11[SPEAKER_00]: That's what we're about to find out.
- 6:14[SPEAKER_00]: But first of all, quick question.
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- 6:31[SPEAKER_00]: shortly after the Iran conflict began.
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- 7:16[SPEAKER_00]: Before US strikes began, Carg Island was one of the most heavily fortified small territories in the entire Middle East.
- 7:24[SPEAKER_00]: It had to be, again, nine of 10 Iranian barrels of oil were shipped from that island.
- 7:29[SPEAKER_00]: The massive surgical strikes took out their air defenses, took out their anti-ship missiles, the naval base that was on there was obliterated.
- 7:39[SPEAKER_00]: Their naval mines were destroyed, the airport control tower, the IRGC Command Center's all gone.
- 7:46[SPEAKER_00]: It was a pretty devastating series of strikes.
- 7:49[SPEAKER_00]: But,
- 7:50[SPEAKER_00]: The most dangerous variable that remains here is mainland fire support, again, cargo sits only 15 miles from Moron's coast.
- 8:00[SPEAKER_00]: It's well within range of mainland IRGC artillery, short-range ballistic missiles, mortar positions, and desagros, mountains, and near unlimited swarms of cheap shahed drones that they could fire.
- 8:14[SPEAKER_00]: The most, uh, and most war gamers are arguing that landing troops on the island isn't much of a problem because of our overwhelming fire powers I described earlier.
- 8:27[SPEAKER_00]: The concern in this is coming from military analysts, particularly at the Atlas Institute.
- 8:32[SPEAKER_00]: The concern here is what they call the grounded collipolis scenario.
- 8:37[SPEAKER_00]: So what this means is that even after taking the island, US Marines would be sitting
- 8:44[SPEAKER_00]: within conventional artillery and drone range of the Iranian mainland indefinitely, right?
- 8:51[SPEAKER_00]: So in this in effect, they're sitting ducks, Iran's already threatened that any invasion would trigger unprecedented escalation, including disrupting
- 8:59[SPEAKER_00]: the Bob on man-deb, straight, and targeting U.S. linked energy infrastructure across the region.
- 9:06[SPEAKER_00]: So they could end up both pinning down our troops with constant bombardment and even further disrupting the global oil market.
- 9:15[SPEAKER_00]: Now, of course, we do have defenses against that grounded Galipoli scenario, we've been striking main land coastal positions preemptively.
- 9:27[SPEAKER_00]: We talked about that in our second video today.
- 9:30[SPEAKER_00]: We got cheap interceptor drones.
- 9:31[SPEAKER_00]: It calls about 15 grand per shot with a reported 95% intercept rate against shahed type drones.
- 9:39[SPEAKER_00]: We got laser rocket defense systems.
- 9:41[SPEAKER_00]: We got the
- 9:43[SPEAKER_00]: And most importantly, and consequently, for Iran, we got the oil, right?
- 9:50[SPEAKER_00]: That's the ultimate leverage.
- 9:52[SPEAKER_00]: As long as the terminal stay intact under US control, Iran faces a catastrophic choice, keep attacking and risk destroying the oil facilities, or even have Trump ordering those terminals destroyed, or stand down.
- 10:14[SPEAKER_00]: But this is where the negotiations over this week are so key.
- 10:17[SPEAKER_00]: Trump doesn't need to physically garrison card permanently if Iran agrees to surrender its nuclear program and stop threatening Hormuz.
- 10:27[SPEAKER_00]: The threat of permanent seizure is more useful than the seizure itself.
- 10:32[SPEAKER_00]: I'll say that again, the threat of the permanent seizure is more useful than the seizure itself.
- 10:39[SPEAKER_00]: This is why the diplomacy running parallel to the military campaign is so important.
- 10:45[SPEAKER_00]: season car without a political pathway to transition could easily end up being a trap.
- 10:51[SPEAKER_00]: But season car with a credible political transition, you know, in this case with exalt prints rates of polyvy waiting in the wings with Iranian streets already see thing after 47 years of theocratic tyranny, this is how you turn the greatest tactical military victory in a
- 11:15[SPEAKER_00]: So here's the bottom line.
- 11:17[SPEAKER_00]: The Marines are locked.
- 11:19[SPEAKER_00]: The Marines are locked and loaded aboard the trippily in the boxer.
- 11:23[SPEAKER_00]: The F-35s are already flying.
- 11:27[SPEAKER_00]: The 82nd Airborne is on standby ready to go.
- 11:29[SPEAKER_00]: Iran's missile stocks are burning towards empty and President Trump.
- 11:36[SPEAKER_00]: He's playing literally 40 dimensional chess for get four day.
- 11:41[SPEAKER_00]: Maximum military pressure smart diplomatic positioning a five day window for a run to choose dignity over destruction and a Marine force sitting just outside the door of carg that frankly makes the mullers and offer they can't refuse.
- 11:57[SPEAKER_00]: That my friend is not just the art of the deal.
- 11:59[SPEAKER_00]: That's the art of the deal from 30,000 feet with an F-35 overhead.
- 12:05[SPEAKER_00]: And that's what we'll be watching for in the days ahead.
- 12:10[SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening this episode of the Trolley Talks podcast.
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- 12:27[SPEAKER_00]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.