Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 10: Week 5 Betting Preview - This is a Big Ass Week of Football
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls at your favor time
- 0:04Speaker 1: a week. You download the crazy sheets, you get your
- 0:06Speaker 1: something to drink, snuggle up, and you get ready to
- 0:08Speaker 1: talk some college football. I'm market, I'm in the podcasting studio,
- 0:11Speaker 1: but man Scott actually's out there in the desert. How
- 0:14Speaker 1: the hell are you, brother?
- 0:15Speaker 2: Man?
- 0:16Speaker 1: I'm good.
- 0:16Speaker 3: It's been nice staying at the lovely South Point because
- 0:20Speaker 3: you know, I actually like this joint, great little sports book.
- 0:23Speaker 3: Food's pretty good out here for a work deal, so
- 0:28Speaker 3: it's actually not a bast spot.
- 0:29Speaker 2: Not like gambling here.
- 0:30Speaker 3: It's pretty good spot. So it's affordable to gamble. That's
- 0:35Speaker 3: not really the case at many places anymore.
- 0:37Speaker 2: So it's been good. I've enjoyed it.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Got big week last week, six and four of the total.
- 0:44Speaker 1: We didn't hit any of our underdogs, but enjoyable week
- 0:47Speaker 1: at college football. Got some good data points, learned, some things.
- 0:50Speaker 1: Got some big injuries. Big injuries starting to hit the board.
- 0:53Speaker 2: Now.
- 0:54Speaker 1: John Mattier at Oklahoma obviously out for three to four weeks.
- 0:58Speaker 1: We'll be having surgery. We've seen there. Lagway at Florida's
- 1:03Speaker 1: hopping around in a boot. At this point, you lose
- 1:06Speaker 1: the tight end at Utah in that game, who's probably
- 1:09Speaker 1: their best receiver in that run first offense. West Virginia,
- 1:12Speaker 1: you'll be down a quarterback this week and so starting
- 1:15Speaker 1: to mate up some injuries, starting to tell some stories
- 1:17Speaker 1: that they get rolling there. But what was your takeaway
- 1:20Speaker 1: from last weekend?
- 1:21Speaker 3: Well, my first takeaway is I've never been more right
- 1:25Speaker 3: about a game and not covered it as an underdog
- 1:29Speaker 3: than the Miami UNLV game. If Fendom get hurt, they
- 1:34Speaker 3: crush UNLV. They don't win that game. They crushed them.
- 1:39Speaker 3: I mean they were in the midst of throttling them
- 1:42Speaker 3: when he got hurt. They had no answer for that guy.
- 1:45Speaker 3: And it was and then of course, you know pick
- 1:48Speaker 3: sixes and all the other ship that happened in the
- 1:51Speaker 3: fourth quarter. What was it forty one points or something?
- 1:53Speaker 3: Nuts they scored in the fourth quarter first time. Yeah, yeah,
- 1:58Speaker 3: for us to not cover, I mean it was the nuts.
- 2:01Speaker 3: And you know, and then they come back and they
- 2:04Speaker 3: win the game, all because of the all because of
- 2:06Speaker 3: an injury. It sucked, But I was right on that pick.
- 2:09Speaker 3: And it's his gambling. That's the way it is. Sometimes.
- 2:13Speaker 3: Last week, I thought, man, Jackson Arnold, is that offensive
- 2:20Speaker 3: line is going to get crushed. I will challenge you
- 2:24Speaker 3: that it more than half those sacks are on him.
- 2:27Speaker 3: He's holding the football too long. He can't process what
- 2:30Speaker 3: he's seeing. At the end of the day, it's not
- 2:32Speaker 3: about talent. It's what can you see when you're on
- 2:34Speaker 3: the field. That dude's seeing goes up there and Auburn's
- 2:38Speaker 3: got to figure out how to simplify things and get
- 2:41Speaker 3: the ball out of his hand faster and get him
- 2:43Speaker 3: some simple throws and catches to get him on rhythm
- 2:47Speaker 3: because it doesn't get the easier rolling into College station
- 2:50Speaker 3: this week, so and if they lose here, it can
- 2:53Speaker 3: get wonky. We talked about Auburn having a tough schedule.
- 2:56Speaker 3: It thingms better and it's talented, but man can aren't
- 2:59Speaker 3: is on the guy to do it? And Freeze went
- 3:02Speaker 3: and spend a bunch of money. He's gonna be in
- 3:04Speaker 3: the portal again looking for another quarterback. So it's gonna
- 3:08Speaker 3: be really gonna be fascinating, uh to see what happens
- 3:13Speaker 3: that my bulldogs. That was a workman like That was
- 3:16Speaker 3: exactly what I thought we would get in that game.
- 3:18Speaker 3: They looked terrible in the first half, came out played
- 3:21Speaker 3: much better in the second half.
- 3:23Speaker 2: State's explosive. They can get behind defenses.
- 3:26Speaker 3: Northern Illinois was doing a nice job of keeping trying
- 3:29Speaker 3: to keep guys in front of them, and State were
- 3:31Speaker 3: still getting deep shots in the first half. It just
- 3:33Speaker 3: didn't hit them. And they are a different team. Those
- 3:38Speaker 3: two wide receivers are fast, they can get down the field,
- 3:40Speaker 3: they get open and stay can run football.
- 3:42Speaker 2: Actually found a.
- 3:42Speaker 3: Third back this week kid who's pretty explosive. They're a
- 3:47Speaker 3: good team. We'll talk a little more about them in Tennessee,
- 3:50Speaker 3: I'm sure. But that's gonna be an interesting, u interesting ballgame.
- 3:54Speaker 3: Texas Tech is.
- 3:54Speaker 2: Exactly what we thought they could be.
- 3:57Speaker 3: They are somebody's gonna have to beat them to that
- 4:00Speaker 3: that game last week, they were significantly the better team.
- 4:03Speaker 3: We got that ball game right. They could play Utah
- 4:07Speaker 3: ten more times than they're probably gonna go ten. And
- 4:09Speaker 3: oh that's how much better I think they were because
- 4:11Speaker 3: they missed on a lot of opportunities in that in
- 4:14Speaker 3: that first half to put that ball game away. And look,
- 4:17Speaker 3: I think they got hosed on a couple of calls too.
- 4:20Speaker 3: I mean, the officiating was questionable at best. For if
- 4:24Speaker 3: you're a Tech fan, if you're watching that game, every
- 4:28Speaker 3: call was going U tooss Away and at the end
- 4:32Speaker 3: of the day that that that can affect ball games.
- 4:34Speaker 3: But Tech just came out even with a backup quarterback
- 4:37Speaker 3: and really got it done in the second half. So
- 4:39Speaker 3: that last week was interesting. Illinois holdle disappointment. How do
- 4:43Speaker 3: you have that many people back and get gas canned?
- 4:47Speaker 3: I mean, I love this line again this week, and
- 4:50Speaker 3: I can't bet on those assholes.
- 4:51Speaker 2: The way they played last week, they were awful.
- 4:55Speaker 1: It was Brokes.
- 4:57Speaker 3: Let me tell you some two coaches you're going to
- 5:00Speaker 3: you're gonna, I'm gonna. I'm gonna lay this out for
- 5:02Speaker 3: two people. If the Florida Gators don't hire Kirk Signetti,
- 5:07Speaker 3: they're idiots. The other school, if they don't hire him,
- 5:11Speaker 3: Wisconsin doesn't go hire Lance light Pole, and they ought
- 5:13Speaker 3: to fire everybody up there at that university. Both those
- 5:17Speaker 3: jobs are going to be open, and they're neither one
- 5:19Speaker 3: of them are going to hire those guys because they're
- 5:21Speaker 3: in their sixties, You mark my words, They're not.
- 5:23Speaker 2: Gonna do it.
- 5:24Speaker 3: People are going And that was the same thing people
- 5:26Speaker 3: were saying, you know about Houston when when when they
- 5:31Speaker 3: were when they were hiring Willie Fritz. Oh told here
- 5:34Speaker 3: he is doing it again, you know, doing just making
- 5:37Speaker 3: another winner this fourth time. You need to go hire
- 5:40Speaker 3: people that know how to coach ball, and Kirk Signette's
- 5:43Speaker 3: ass can coach.
- 5:44Speaker 2: That's the bottom line.
- 5:45Speaker 1: God yeah, and he does. He is not there to
- 5:47Speaker 1: make friends. Trust me, will run you out of the
- 5:50Speaker 1: building without a love of it too.
- 5:52Speaker 2: It's old school. It's like Spurrier. It ain't job to
- 5:56Speaker 2: stop his team. It's your job.
- 5:58Speaker 3: And I love that he goes for little gas Can
- 6:00Speaker 3: when he gets a chance, because a lot like that
- 6:02Speaker 3: Indiana team was not nearly that good last year. Ninety
- 6:07Speaker 3: percent of coaches go six and six, seven and five
- 6:09Speaker 3: of that football team last year, and he got them
- 6:12Speaker 3: in the damn playoffs. I mean that that guy can coach.
- 6:16Speaker 3: And I'm telling you you need to go hire Florida's
- 6:19Speaker 3: probably gonna hire Gruden, which I actually don't think will
- 6:21Speaker 3: be a bad fit for them. But at the end
- 6:25Speaker 3: of the day, there's gonna be some big jobs open.
- 6:28Speaker 3: There's some guys that can go win for you and
- 6:31Speaker 3: fix this. But I'm telling you they're going up not
- 6:33Speaker 3: hiring these guys because they think they're too old.
- 6:36Speaker 1: I agree. I love Fritz at Houston and you and
- 6:40Speaker 1: I've been on the Fritz stran a long time and
- 6:43Speaker 1: I like Somemmer all too too late. It took a spot.
- 6:45Speaker 1: I think he's a good coach. But yeah, I love
- 6:48Speaker 1: Fritz Houston, don't. I think you got to get past
- 6:50Speaker 1: the age thing, especially if these guys have proven that
- 6:52Speaker 1: they can do it over. I mean, look aet Rich
- 6:53Speaker 1: Rod going back to West Virginia. Yeah, great move for him.
- 6:56Speaker 1: And so yeah, you've got to get coaches that can
- 6:59Speaker 1: coach ball and just and understand the game that they're playing.
- 7:02Speaker 1: And I think there's a lot about how you're evaluating talent.
- 7:05Speaker 1: I mean, look at Lane Kiffin. They're about to roll
- 7:07Speaker 1: in this week and play lsu kive. It has done.
- 7:10Speaker 1: You can say whatever you want to about this guy.
- 7:12Speaker 1: He's reinvented. He's reinvented himself. He has followed how the
- 7:17Speaker 1: game has evolved to take that and and he's got
- 7:20Speaker 1: a bunch of portal people. Every year he learns how
- 7:22Speaker 1: to meld it him into a team. He's got a
- 7:25Speaker 1: dude starting a quarterback, Chambliss that's probably gonna start this week.
- 7:28Speaker 1: He was playing D two ball D two ball and
- 7:31Speaker 1: a fair State and won the national championship. And now
- 7:34Speaker 1: he's gonna be He's gonna be in the SEC Game
- 7:37Speaker 1: of the week basically on Zach.
- 7:38Speaker 3: I think and I think Chambliss is legit. I think
- 7:41Speaker 3: they're crazy if they switched back to Austin. I really ain't.
- 7:44Speaker 3: I agree. I agree, I totally that I'll be done
- 7:46Speaker 3: a great job there. Look he's done a great job.
- 7:48Speaker 3: I will say, how great was the troll job? I
- 7:52Speaker 3: mean Kiffin has taught the daughter how to troll pretty
- 7:55Speaker 3: well that she drops it out there. He's stayed with
- 7:59Speaker 3: weeks a week in the game. And then what was
- 8:02Speaker 3: what was Kiffin's response?
- 8:03Speaker 1: He said, take the over, Just take the over.
- 8:06Speaker 2: Gotta love it. I mean that is that's that's the
- 8:10Speaker 2: way college football should be a.
- 8:11Speaker 3: Little bit of tweak in because look, Ole Miss and
- 8:13Speaker 3: Elius your rivals, and make no mistake, they make a
- 8:16Speaker 3: big deal out of that's one of their permanent opponents.
- 8:19Speaker 3: That the ess he's put in place, that's there their
- 8:22Speaker 3: two bigs rivals for state and omen or state in
- 8:24Speaker 3: L s U. And that is a that's a big deal.
- 8:28Speaker 3: And for her to drop that is quality, I mean
- 8:31Speaker 3: quality trolling. So you get you gotta love that little
- 8:35Speaker 3: little little bit of a little bit of love going
- 8:37Speaker 3: on between those schools. I think that's gonna be a
- 8:41Speaker 3: that is must watch football. The last time they were
- 8:44Speaker 3: in Oxford, If you didn't watch that game, you missed
- 8:47Speaker 3: one of the all time classics two years ago in Oxford. Man,
- 8:51Speaker 3: it was a old I mean a score fest, and
- 8:55Speaker 3: I think that is which I do love.
- 8:57Speaker 2: At Giffing, we're never playing at night.
- 9:00Speaker 3: You played them at night two years ago, literal night
- 9:06Speaker 3: two years ago. The last time they came to Oxford,
- 9:08Speaker 3: they played at night. Sorry, it's the Marquee game on
- 9:11Speaker 3: a Marquee week. You're playing in the afternoon. Sorry you know,
- 9:14Speaker 3: I mean, come on, you have a kidney. That was
- 9:16Speaker 3: the all time gripe. I'm like, dude, the last time
- 9:19Speaker 3: they played you here, you played them at night.
- 9:23Speaker 1: Who knows they the schedule this week if you have
- 9:26Speaker 1: not been paying attention, is probably one of the strongest
- 9:29Speaker 1: college football slates from beginning to end.
- 9:32Speaker 2: That I have ever seen.
- 9:33Speaker 1: There is no window of opportunity to do anything. If
- 9:36Speaker 1: you were a true fan, you're going to need four
- 9:38Speaker 1: and five televisions start get eleven, roll it all until
- 9:41Speaker 1: eleven o'clock at night.
- 9:43Speaker 3: I've got itvs in my media room, Mark, and there's
- 9:46Speaker 3: no way I'm gonna have to do split screen on
- 9:48Speaker 3: at least one of the TVs.
- 9:50Speaker 1: To be able to keep up. YouTube TV not a
- 9:53Speaker 1: sponsor because we don't have one. You know, they changed
- 9:56Speaker 1: it this year where you actually can build your own
- 9:58Speaker 1: multi screen. It's fantastic. So if you haven't switched to
- 10:01Speaker 1: YouTube TV knows what they're doing with sports fans, they
- 10:04Speaker 1: literally it's like other than having the point spread moving
- 10:08Speaker 1: alongside the screen, everything else.
- 10:09Speaker 2: Is there is the same way.
- 10:12Speaker 1: They're good.
- 10:12Speaker 2: They're good for sports.
- 10:13Speaker 3: Yeah, guys, you can jump on and off for Fubo
- 10:17Speaker 3: and like for Mark, I'll I join it usually market
- 10:20Speaker 3: week in the fall for those for that for that
- 10:23Speaker 3: weekend so I can get all the access to the games. Man,
- 10:26Speaker 3: they make it so easy to transfer between games and
- 10:29Speaker 3: stuff like that.
- 10:30Speaker 2: They do. They do it pretty well too.
- 10:32Speaker 1: Now. It's good stuff. And last thing I want to
- 10:34Speaker 1: point out speaking a great coach, is let's talk about
- 10:37Speaker 1: the Ryder Cup. This weekend. I got my main coach
- 10:40Speaker 1: O on the front row leading the US a chap
- 10:43Speaker 1: let's get them going, let's get to the USA going
- 10:45Speaker 1: to come on now? I mean, just I guarantee you
- 10:51Speaker 1: a couple of those guys on there, don't I bet
- 10:53Speaker 1: the British guys or the Europeans have no idea who
- 10:56Speaker 1: coach O is. And when he takes his shirt off
- 10:59Speaker 1: on Sunday, it's going to be fantastic.
- 11:01Speaker 2: Oh I need that.
- 11:03Speaker 3: I need the America actually be in it though, so
- 11:06Speaker 3: that he gets an opportunity to lead the cheers with
- 11:09Speaker 3: the shirt off. But I don't know that that's going
- 11:12Speaker 3: to happen. But what a what a great atmosphere. I
- 11:14Speaker 3: texted one of my buddies. He's an Oregon fan, listens
- 11:17Speaker 3: to the show, and I was gonna ask him about
- 11:20Speaker 3: the white Appat's like, well, he's not going. I'm like what,
- 11:23Speaker 3: and she goes, yeah, they're going to the Ryder couple.
- 11:25Speaker 2: I'm like, excuse me. I text him and I'm like,
- 11:29Speaker 2: it must be nice to have options.
- 11:33Speaker 1: Seriously, good options. It's a great, great sports weekend all
- 11:37Speaker 1: the way around. So let's dive in Scott six and four.
- 11:40Speaker 1: We did have a great contest week. We kind of
- 11:42Speaker 1: entered in some of the wrong picks. We're going to
- 11:43Speaker 1: try to revive that this week. Uh, Thursday night will
- 11:47Speaker 1: quickly start these Army East Carolina. I'll just put this
- 11:50Speaker 1: out there. I would fade all three service academies this week.
- 11:53Speaker 1: I don't like the spot either, whate we're in. East
- 11:55Speaker 1: Carolina's coach last week almost made my head explode when
- 11:59Speaker 1: he went he geinst the vault into the first half
- 12:01Speaker 1: and instead of just taking a knee and getting out
- 12:03Speaker 1: of there, he tries to run a run pass option
- 12:05Speaker 1: ends up being a pick six the other way, and
- 12:07Speaker 1: that just started a title way for the boys in
- 12:09Speaker 1: special underwear. But they're playing Army here, Armies down a
- 12:13Speaker 1: couple of quarterbacks. You can't get any injury reports out
- 12:15Speaker 1: of this team. I would lean East Carolina higher score
- 12:19Speaker 1: than you see in a lot of these games. At
- 12:21Speaker 1: fifty three and a half, i'd leave East Carolina no
- 12:24Speaker 1: real play for me. But that's all we've got on
- 12:26Speaker 1: Thursday night Friday, you've got some actual good games. Florida
- 12:30Speaker 1: State Virginia matching up in this one here. Florida State.
- 12:34Speaker 1: No one's really talked about Florida State a whole lot
- 12:36Speaker 1: since they beat since they came out and won that
- 12:39Speaker 1: first game against Alabama, but laying six and a half
- 12:42Speaker 1: here against Virginia, there's some news that Tommy Castellanos may
- 12:46Speaker 1: be banged up. He's coming out saying he just got
- 12:48Speaker 1: rolled up and he seems to be fine. I would
- 12:50Speaker 1: go with the Knowles in this one. I like Virginia
- 12:52Speaker 1: a lot, and they're playing way above where I thought
- 12:55Speaker 1: they were going to be this season. But I think
- 12:57Speaker 1: Florida State's kind of on a mission here to take
- 12:59Speaker 1: care of busines. You've got any interest in this game.
- 13:01Speaker 2: I do. I like Florida State a lot.
- 13:03Speaker 3: Actually, I think they're gonna run into the same thing
- 13:06Speaker 3: here that they ran into play in North Carolina State.
- 13:10Speaker 3: I think they're gonna keep this ball game closed, but
- 13:11Speaker 3: at the end they're not gonna be able to close
- 13:13Speaker 3: it out. I think Florida State and the second half
- 13:16Speaker 3: is gonna stretch this out. I think they cover this.
- 13:20Speaker 3: I think I think it's Florida State team is good
- 13:22Speaker 3: and I don't. And I think they're playing with some swagger.
- 13:25Speaker 3: They got a chip on their shoulder because of what happened,
- 13:28Speaker 3: and I think this sets up a here. I think
- 13:31Speaker 3: the only reason this line is the way it is
- 13:33Speaker 3: is because of what's on deck for Florida State. You
- 13:36Speaker 3: know they got Miami next week, but I think they
- 13:39Speaker 3: go up and they take care of business here and.
- 13:40Speaker 2: Get it done.
- 13:42Speaker 1: Let's go Florida State minus six and a half. Get
- 13:45Speaker 1: that now before it gets up over a touchdown because
- 13:47Speaker 1: that line's been moving a little bit there. DCU traveling
- 13:50Speaker 1: to the deserts play Arizona State. They just came out
- 13:53Speaker 1: and finally stretched it out against SMU last week in
- 13:56Speaker 1: the Battle for the Iron Skillet, whereas Arizona State needed
- 14:00Speaker 1: Levitt and some magic to win that game at Spaylor
- 14:03Speaker 1: uh kick the last second field goal. Now they come
- 14:06Speaker 1: home short week tribal week for TCU. I would lead
- 14:11Speaker 1: TCU here, but I have no play in this week
- 14:13Speaker 1: you got.
- 14:15Speaker 2: I got no play either.
- 14:16Speaker 3: I think TCU is good. I think TCU and Houston
- 14:19Speaker 3: are two best teams, and then I would put Iowa
- 14:21Speaker 3: State as third in the in the Big twelve. I
- 14:23Speaker 3: think those are the three best teams. If you got
- 14:26Speaker 3: an outsider, I would say it's Houston and so I
- 14:30Speaker 3: think I don't. If TCU is what I think they are,
- 14:33Speaker 3: I think they win this game. But I've always I've
- 14:38Speaker 3: always felt like Arizona was talented, but I just don't
- 14:40Speaker 3: feel like they're getting the quarterback play to win, to
- 14:43Speaker 3: to compete against the better teams.
- 14:46Speaker 2: Uh.
- 14:46Speaker 3: They get any quarterback play in Startville and they win
- 14:48Speaker 3: that game, and what are they going to get Tonight's
- 14:51Speaker 3: at home so it'll be easier.
- 14:53Speaker 2: But no, I don't have a play because I want
- 14:54Speaker 2: to see what TCU.
- 14:55Speaker 3: This is a real this is a real test for
- 14:58Speaker 3: them and are they what I think they are are?
- 15:00Speaker 3: After these first couple of games, I want that. I
- 15:04Speaker 3: want to see.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Yeah, I would, I would leave the TCU. I think
- 15:08Speaker 1: I've got TCU in Texas. Tech will be my two
- 15:11Speaker 1: teams in the Big twelve Championship game. It's kind of
- 15:14Speaker 1: where I'm going right now. I'm gonna see if I
- 15:16Speaker 1: was taking hang on, but we'll go from there. Houston
- 15:18Speaker 1: traveling two cores, Balance laying thirteen and a half.
- 15:21Speaker 2: Uh.
- 15:22Speaker 1: This is one of those double time zone games. We've
- 15:24Speaker 1: got a bunch of them this week now that's starting
- 15:26Speaker 1: to make media. I've seen a couple of reports now
- 15:28Speaker 1: where teams just don't cover when they're moving two time zones,
- 15:31Speaker 1: and we see it more and more this game right here, though,
- 15:34Speaker 1: I would lean with the coops. Fucking Oregon State is awful,
- 15:40Speaker 1: I mean really bad shape there, the Pac two waiting
- 15:43Speaker 1: to become the Pac twelve again or whatever they're gonna do.
- 15:46Speaker 1: I lean with the Coups. And it's not just because
- 15:48Speaker 1: of the offense the defense. They're gonna give it up
- 15:50Speaker 1: nine points a game and I don't think they're gonna
- 15:53Speaker 1: be able to do anything. I mean, Oregon State's offense
- 15:55Speaker 1: is gonna be able to move the ball at all
- 15:56Speaker 1: in this team. So I lean Houston. I will probably
- 15:58Speaker 1: get involved, but I wouldn't laid over two touchdowns. Uh
- 16:03Speaker 1: kind of even like the under there. You've got any
- 16:05Speaker 1: love for some bowl and green traveling to Ohio and
- 16:08Speaker 1: this back.
- 16:08Speaker 2: Plays, you know I do.
- 16:10Speaker 3: This isn't official play, but I wouldn't make it my
- 16:12Speaker 3: MAC play. I think Ohio is going to put some
- 16:16Speaker 3: gas can in play right here. I think this is
- 16:18Speaker 3: their best team in the MAC again, which you haven't
- 16:21Speaker 3: we have. We really have never been able to say
- 16:24Speaker 3: because last year was the first time they'd want it
- 16:26Speaker 3: so good for good for Ohio was not expecting this
- 16:29Speaker 3: team to be as good as they are.
- 16:30Speaker 2: They've played good competition.
- 16:32Speaker 3: They've gotten some good wins, uh, and I think now
- 16:35Speaker 3: they're leveling out and getting on their level. I think
- 16:38Speaker 3: they I think they show out a little bit here
- 16:41Speaker 3: and I think because I think they're better on offense.
- 16:44Speaker 3: This team's been I think really good, uh for who
- 16:47Speaker 3: they've played against. They've done a really nice job on
- 16:51Speaker 3: the offensive side, and I think that shows this weekend.
- 16:53Speaker 3: I think they cover this number and win by ten plus.
- 16:57Speaker 1: I like Ohio I can get down played some Ohio
- 17:00Speaker 1: bowling green is. I mean, you've got Eddie George rosters
- 17:03Speaker 1: literally completely rebuilt, and the only two games that they
- 17:06Speaker 1: have performed well in are really bad teams Liberty, which stucks.
- 17:10Speaker 1: I mean, if there was ever a misread by everybody
- 17:13Speaker 1: on the planet thinking that team was gonna win their conference,
- 17:15Speaker 1: Liberty is awful. Yeah all and then Lafaette here and
- 17:20Speaker 1: then you've got, you know, an Ohio team that I've
- 17:23Speaker 1: been really surprised with beat West Virginia in that game.
- 17:27Speaker 1: Hunt around with Rutgers actually stayed in the Ohio game
- 17:29Speaker 1: a lot better than Ohio State games.
- 17:31Speaker 4: Many They should have won that Rutgers game. Yeah, I know,
- 17:35Speaker 4: they's just absolutely won that Rutgers game. I was shocked
- 17:38Speaker 4: how good they were that one. So yeah, I'd go
- 17:40Speaker 4: with Ohio, we'll put that down as a play. Let's
- 17:42Speaker 4: get it booked, moving and stand on.
- 17:44Speaker 1: The East coast. Got a Utah West Virginia. Another interesting
- 17:47Speaker 1: game here. I leaned to the under at forty seven
- 17:49Speaker 1: and a half. West Virginia lost their quarterback last week.
- 17:53Speaker 1: He's going to be out for this game. Rich Ryde
- 17:54Speaker 1: has not announced who is going to be playing quarterback
- 17:57Speaker 1: at the same time. Utah this is a double travels spot.
- 18:00Speaker 1: They lost their tight end, who was kind of Devin
- 18:02Speaker 1: dam Piers made guy. I think you're going to get
- 18:05Speaker 1: back to a very physical, round attack game in this one.
- 18:08Speaker 1: West Virginia likes to run at back speed. The only
- 18:12Speaker 1: thing would scare me about the under. It's forty seven
- 18:14Speaker 1: and a half. I might sit around and see if
- 18:15Speaker 1: i'd get it pop to a forty eight, and you
- 18:18Speaker 1: just got to wonder if there could be some turnovers.
- 18:20Speaker 1: The turnovers turn into cheap points. But I would definitely
- 18:22Speaker 1: lean to the under in this Utah West Virginia game.
- 18:25Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 18:26Speaker 3: Well, the other thing is Utah will go ground and
- 18:28Speaker 3: pound if they get a lead and that gives you
- 18:32Speaker 3: some that gives you a chance to keep it there.
- 18:34Speaker 3: I think they are going to get a lead because
- 18:35Speaker 3: I think without their quarterback, I think West Virginia is
- 18:38Speaker 3: going to have all kinds of problems scoring because this
- 18:41Speaker 3: is a good Utah defense. I mean, that's the only
- 18:44Speaker 3: reason they were in that ball game last week, just
- 18:46Speaker 3: because their defense played well enough to keep them to
- 18:49Speaker 3: keep them in it. So I will tell you this, Tech,
- 18:54Speaker 3: I know, the quarterback, the backup, the freshman was a
- 18:57Speaker 3: big time recruit for them. You got to be fire
- 19:00Speaker 3: up having a guy like that stepping into the wings.
- 19:03Speaker 3: I mean, he looked good and coming in. Hey, he
- 19:05Speaker 3: throws some tough throws, gets got a live arm. You
- 19:08Speaker 3: gotta be excited. If you're a Tech fan, kids athletic,
- 19:10Speaker 3: you gotta be fired up about what's coming spending all
- 19:13Speaker 3: that money, all the players. So not to digress on
- 19:16Speaker 3: the tech, but you got to be pretty fired up
- 19:17Speaker 3: about that.
- 19:18Speaker 1: Hey, Tech's defense, that defensive crime is what's going to
- 19:21Speaker 1: be the biggest difference maker for this team this year.
- 19:23Speaker 1: That is an sec defensive front line, and that's what's
- 19:26Speaker 1: going to probably lead them into the Big Twelve championship.
- 19:29Speaker 1: If they just don't read their press clippings and keep
- 19:31Speaker 1: this thing rolling. But we'll see. I've got a fat ticket,
- 19:34Speaker 1: Scotty when we bet this summer, little Texas taking one
- 19:37Speaker 1: hundred and twenty to one. Oh by some Christmas presents
- 19:40Speaker 1: in there, they win the Natty. Let's get into the
- 19:43Speaker 1: big game, Scott eleven o'clock window, Notre Dame traveling down
- 19:46Speaker 1: to Arkansas last week. We talked about the Memphis game,
- 19:49Speaker 1: how big of a sandwich spot it was. We were
- 19:51Speaker 1: hoping Memphis would be ten never ended up closing around
- 19:54Speaker 1: seven to seven and a half. We still played Memphis.
- 19:57Speaker 1: I did not expect Arkansas just to add absolutely crater
- 20:01Speaker 1: in that game and leave the door open for Memphis.
- 20:04Speaker 1: It's almost like they thought they had it over and
- 20:06Speaker 1: just kind of gave it. I don't know, it looked.
- 20:08Speaker 1: It looked bad.
- 20:11Speaker 2: Mark.
- 20:11Speaker 3: This Arkansas team should be undefeated. They have fumbled inside
- 20:15Speaker 3: the twenty twice and both their losses on the road
- 20:21Speaker 3: to win the ball game. And they were about to
- 20:24Speaker 3: score against Ole Miss, and all they needed was a
- 20:26Speaker 3: field goal to win the ball game against Memphis and
- 20:29Speaker 3: they fumbled the ball. Why if you're Sam Pittman, you
- 20:32Speaker 3: have got to be going. What have I got to do?
- 20:35Speaker 3: Just hold on to.
- 20:36Speaker 2: The damn ball. I mean, they've done well enough.
- 20:40Speaker 1: He played really well.
- 20:42Speaker 3: He's played really well in that Arkansas offensive line has
- 20:45Speaker 3: played extremely well. I saw one rating where they're the
- 20:48Speaker 3: highest rated offensive line uh through this point in season
- 20:51Speaker 3: in the country, So they've done really well. POI with
- 20:55Speaker 3: the bed coming down the end though.
- 20:58Speaker 1: I like the over Notre Dame's offense is our defense
- 21:02Speaker 1: is bad and they're gonna be back. I think they
- 21:04Speaker 1: lost their best corner this week as well, and CJ.
- 21:07Speaker 1: Carr has done a good job. I mean, sticks bey.
- 21:09Speaker 1: Four and a half is a huge number. Probably not
- 21:12Speaker 1: gonna get involved, but I'm excited for this game, and
- 21:15Speaker 1: I would not be surprised one bit if Arkansas won
- 21:18Speaker 1: this game, not one bit. I probably have a little
- 21:20Speaker 1: money line and sprinkle and they're on this one. I'm
- 21:23Speaker 1: excited for this one. Moving on down the board, you
- 21:26Speaker 1: got here Scott Indiana and Iowa. Iowa getting seven and
- 21:30Speaker 1: a half. I would at home coming off of that
- 21:33Speaker 1: Indiana game. God do I want to bet Iowa, But
- 21:36Speaker 1: I just cannot pull the trigger on this Iowa offense.
- 21:40Speaker 1: You know you heard about markre and Kowski moving in
- 21:42Speaker 1: here and he was gonna take things to the next level.
- 21:45Speaker 1: He's had one game where he looked good. It was
- 21:47Speaker 1: the last one against you know, lesser competition. But I'm
- 21:52Speaker 1: interested to see this one. I would love to see
- 21:55Speaker 1: Iowa upset Indiana, but I just don't know that they
- 21:57Speaker 1: got the mustard to do it.
- 21:58Speaker 2: I'm at that Indiana.
- 22:00Speaker 3: It's looked really, really good, nervous about it, and they're
- 22:02Speaker 3: obviously going on the road. But your gut, everything in
- 22:07Speaker 3: your gut, tells you to take Iowa. Here's just the
- 22:11Speaker 3: reason I'm not playing it.
- 22:14Speaker 1: You've got some stinky lines this week, without a doubt.
- 22:17Speaker 1: I mean Iowa at seven and a half. They're begging
- 22:19Speaker 1: you to take Iowa. Every book in America is going
- 22:22Speaker 1: to need somebody about Iowa come Saturday. Trust me.
- 22:25Speaker 2: Uh.
- 22:25Speaker 1: Louisville Pittsburgh interesting game. Louisville's probably team nobody's watched so far.
- 22:30Speaker 1: I don't know why, but they have every time they
- 22:32Speaker 1: go to Pittsburgh. I feel like they've got a problem
- 22:34Speaker 1: up there. It's gonna be a fun game to watch.
- 22:36Speaker 1: I would lean pitt getting four at home if they
- 22:39Speaker 1: Louisville wins this one. Now you've got to start wondering, Okay,
- 22:42Speaker 1: does this team actually have a shot when they try
- 22:44Speaker 1: to go through the acc here? Moving on down the board,
- 22:48Speaker 1: what do we got? Are you going to stop everything
- 22:50Speaker 1: you're doing? At two thirty on Saturday, scott so you
- 22:52Speaker 1: can watch the UCLA both Western games.
- 22:58Speaker 3: Although I would I would tell you in this travel
- 23:00Speaker 3: spight you Seela looks like they would have a problem
- 23:03Speaker 3: new coach. But I want to see what they may
- 23:05Speaker 3: be better without Sean Foster. So I want to think.
- 23:08Speaker 3: I want to find out. I want to I want
- 23:11Speaker 3: to see this team, but they've got every reason to
- 23:13Speaker 3: mail it in. I mean mail it in so I'll
- 23:16Speaker 3: be fascinated to see what you see. La looks like.
- 23:21Speaker 1: Oh man, uh? Moving on down the board, Scottie, let's
- 23:24Speaker 1: get to the smurf turf baby. Boise State at home
- 23:28Speaker 1: laying a huge number sixteen and a half against Appy State.
- 23:32Speaker 1: How are we going to roll this one?
- 23:33Speaker 2: I absolutely love love Boise.
- 23:38Speaker 3: This This number is moving around, so you need to
- 23:42Speaker 3: check what you're looking at. I mean it's fifteen in
- 23:46Speaker 3: some spots, it's all the way up to sixteen and
- 23:48Speaker 3: a half in other spots.
- 23:50Speaker 2: So I would tell you to pay attention to your
- 23:53Speaker 2: number here.
- 23:54Speaker 3: But I think Boise is going to crush these guys
- 23:57Speaker 3: Appy has lost to honestly haven't beaten anybody any good.
- 24:02Speaker 3: I mean, that's the deal that went against Charlotte. The
- 24:04Speaker 3: Open is completely unimpressive. They lost to an average I
- 24:10Speaker 3: would say even average USM team. I think they are
- 24:14Speaker 3: going to go up to Boise and get absolutely crushed.
- 24:18Speaker 3: You got a long travel time here from the East
- 24:20Speaker 3: coast out to the Mountain time zone. You got a
- 24:24Speaker 3: lot that is a long trip. I think they're outmatched
- 24:27Speaker 3: from a talent standpoint. I think Boise goes to town.
- 24:31Speaker 3: They've made a living living crushing teams that are on
- 24:35Speaker 3: their level, and I think that's starts Saturday night.
- 24:40Speaker 1: Yeah, this was our team to win the Mountain West
- 24:42Speaker 1: and so I definitely think they need to kind of
- 24:43Speaker 1: get it back on track. Nobody's paid attention to them
- 24:46Speaker 1: since they lost in South Florida in week one. But yeah,
- 24:49Speaker 1: I agree with you here, let's go Boise State. That'll
- 24:51Speaker 1: be an official play late a big number in sixteen
- 24:53Speaker 1: and a half. A couple other games we'll get into
- 24:55Speaker 1: some big ones now, Cincinnati is going to Kansas. I
- 24:59Speaker 1: like Cincinnati plus four and a half. I would tell
- 25:01Speaker 1: you Cincinnat's live dog in the spot. This is a
- 25:03Speaker 1: team I think has kind of been overlooked a little bit,
- 25:06Speaker 1: and I just Kansas. To me, I just can't quite
- 25:08Speaker 1: get there with them for some reason. But I like
- 25:10Speaker 1: Cincinnati here Plust one and a half probably would play
- 25:13Speaker 1: the money line, but I haven't gotten involved yet.
- 25:15Speaker 2: Yeah, I like them on I like them on this too.
- 25:18Speaker 3: They're one of the teams I was thinking about choosing
- 25:21Speaker 3: for the for the money line.
- 25:23Speaker 2: So I can go with that. I can.
- 25:24Speaker 1: I can.
- 25:24Speaker 3: I can get down within seeing the money line a
- 25:27Speaker 3: little bit. It's funny. I have a friend who's a
- 25:29Speaker 3: Cincinnati fan and they're scared to death that Saderfield is
- 25:34Speaker 3: gonna win enough to games to keep your job.
- 25:38Speaker 1: He su that's funny. Well go Kansas if you're those guys,
- 25:47Speaker 1: I would stay at home. Lay in six and a
- 25:49Speaker 1: half against Arizona. This is the Arizona team that's much
- 25:53Speaker 1: improved from last year. Uh. But this is NWA State
- 25:56Speaker 1: team I've got slated. Like I said, they're one of
- 25:58Speaker 1: the top two three teams in the Big twelve. To me,
- 26:00Speaker 1: I like what they do here. But one thing's going
- 26:02Speaker 1: to be interesting to see is how Arizona goes to
- 26:04Speaker 1: attack Iowa State. Iowa State is not a big rush team.
- 26:07Speaker 1: They typically got three down line, then they've got five
- 26:10Speaker 1: that they run. That kind of cloud defense keeps everything
- 26:12Speaker 1: in front of them, and that's seras they be able
- 26:14Speaker 1: to stay in the games. But I think rock go
- 26:16Speaker 1: Beck is a dog and I like this team a lot.
- 26:19Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay it. I've already laid it an when
- 26:21Speaker 1: it popped under seven. I want a head of laid
- 26:23Speaker 1: Iowa State by the six and a half.
- 26:25Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you. I like this, I like
- 26:27Speaker 3: Iowa State. I have liked them all week. Arizona is
- 26:32Speaker 3: much improved. I think this game again will be close
- 26:36Speaker 3: for a good bit, but I think I think the
- 26:38Speaker 3: Isle State defense is going to be the difference in
- 26:41Speaker 3: small game. I've said this all along. Their quarterback has
- 26:44Speaker 3: got some moxie and that team kind of responds to him. Man,
- 26:48Speaker 3: They've got some big guys that are hard to cover.
- 26:50Speaker 3: Some of those tight ends are big dudes, hard to cover.
- 26:53Speaker 3: They do a nice job of getting them open. I
- 26:55Speaker 3: like Iowa State here.
- 26:57Speaker 1: Uh, next game I've got to play not official on
- 27:01Speaker 1: the board. Rice plus fourteen and a half against Navy.
- 27:04Speaker 1: Rice runs the option. They run the same type of
- 27:08Speaker 1: offense that Navy does. I don't think it's gonna be
- 27:10Speaker 1: anything new that they're gonna have to practice against to
- 27:12Speaker 1: get ready for this one, and just kind of I
- 27:15Speaker 1: don't think many of these. There won't be very many
- 27:17Speaker 1: possessions in this game. I think both teams will probably
- 27:18Speaker 1: get eight to nine possessions. Could be a lower scoring affair.
- 27:21Speaker 1: Fourteen and a half points is a lot. Can't make
- 27:24Speaker 1: a lot of mistakes if your Navy and cover two
- 27:25Speaker 1: to have touchdowns. So I'm gonna lay it with right
- 27:28Speaker 1: or get taken with Rice at fourteen and a half.
- 27:30Speaker 1: Scotty Mississippi State getting seven and a half that home
- 27:34Speaker 1: against Tennessee. Mississippi State's four and oh for oh against
- 27:38Speaker 1: the number baby. Is this team a wagon? Are you
- 27:41Speaker 1: gonna roll with Stark Vegas this week? No?
- 27:43Speaker 2: I think it comes to an end this week. I
- 27:45Speaker 2: think Pauls are gonna be able to run the football.
- 27:47Speaker 3: States still, you know, playing three down line when they're better,
- 27:50Speaker 3: but they've lost their best defensive lineman. I think Tennessee
- 27:54Speaker 3: is able to control this game on the ground, which
- 27:58Speaker 3: opens up everything else about this team. State has been
- 28:01Speaker 3: big play. They've been able to get guys behind them,
- 28:03Speaker 3: they got some speed of wide receiver, they are better
- 28:05Speaker 3: at the running back spot, even found a third guy.
- 28:08Speaker 3: So I think they're gonna be I think they're gonna
- 28:10Speaker 3: be good. I think this team's markedly better. They got
- 28:13Speaker 3: a chance to get Bowl eligible, but I don't think
- 28:15Speaker 3: it's against Tennessee. I think Tennessee covers this number and
- 28:20Speaker 3: start will hope I'm wrong. I'll certainly be cheering for
- 28:23Speaker 3: my boys, but I do and I will not bet
- 28:25Speaker 3: on this game just because I don't think they've got
- 28:29Speaker 3: the horsepower to keep up with them. I think they're
- 28:31Speaker 3: able to control the ball, running the football, and I
- 28:35Speaker 3: think that's gonna make State stack the box, which in
- 28:38Speaker 3: turn is gonna open up the deep threat down the field.
- 28:41Speaker 3: And that's how Tennessee wins it.
- 28:44Speaker 1: That's what I got to Baylor Oklhoma State. I don't
- 28:46Speaker 1: have a play in this, but if once the team
- 28:48Speaker 1: totals come out, if I can get Baylor in anything
- 28:50Speaker 1: under team total of thirty eight and a half, I'm
- 28:53Speaker 1: gonna play Baylor. I don't know that their defense will
- 28:56Speaker 1: allow them to cover a twenty one point line, but
- 28:58Speaker 1: I don't think it for Glumbus States defense is gonna
- 29:01Speaker 1: show up. They have an all season Uh they're giving
- 29:04Speaker 1: up thirty one points a game and they haven't even
- 29:05Speaker 1: played any they could yet and they just lost to Tulsa.
- 29:08Speaker 1: Gundy got fired. And if you want to talk about
- 29:11Speaker 1: a team that with a weird bounce, I mean, I
- 29:12Speaker 1: know we talked about to Sean Foster being you know
- 29:15Speaker 1: you still be without them. Gundhy with not being there,
- 29:18Speaker 1: is gonna gotta be strange in that in that locker room.
- 29:21Speaker 1: I would think that guy's the.
- 29:22Speaker 2: Thirty five years between coaching and playing.
- 29:26Speaker 1: I mean, it's gotta be weird in there right now.
- 29:29Speaker 1: And that that they are bad, I mean really bad.
- 29:32Speaker 1: This goes to show you look at this real quick digress.
- 29:35Speaker 1: Last year, Oklahoma State, everybody's back. They're gonna win the
- 29:38Speaker 1: Big twelve. Fucking terrible. Clemson everybody's back. Oh yeah, we're
- 29:42Speaker 1: gonna compete for the national championship. They're not any good.
- 29:46Speaker 1: I mean they could could they still win the ACC maybe,
- 29:49Speaker 1: But I'm saying that team is not good. We're gonna
- 29:51Speaker 1: get to another one that I've kind of got the
- 29:53Speaker 1: same opinion with it here in a second. Just because
- 29:55Speaker 1: everybody's back doesn't mean you're that good, because they weren't
- 29:57Speaker 1: that good to begin with. Maybe, and so we'll get
- 30:00Speaker 1: there in a second. Kentucky South Carolina loved this game. Man.
- 30:04Speaker 1: This is a team in Kentucky that is much better
- 30:06Speaker 1: than I anticipated they were going to be. South Carolina
- 30:09Speaker 1: is exactly what I thought they were going to be.
- 30:11Speaker 1: You've got Lenora Sellers. Still think that some bitch is
- 30:13Speaker 1: gonna get hurt. He's been hit around a bunch already.
- 30:16Speaker 1: He does not have of the talent around him. They've
- 30:19Speaker 1: got the running back to transferred in there from Utah State.
- 30:21Speaker 1: I think Fason's his name, and he's done pretty well.
- 30:24Speaker 1: But and they've got the wide receiver that can blow
- 30:26Speaker 1: the top off the defense, but you can cover that.
- 30:29Speaker 1: And defensively, this team has got some holes. I think
- 30:32Speaker 1: Kentucky getting six and a half is a problem for
- 30:35Speaker 1: South Carolina.
- 30:36Speaker 3: Oh I couldn't. Oh, I couldn't. I couldn't agree with
- 30:38Speaker 3: you more. I think South Carolina is Lenora Sellers. This defense,
- 30:44Speaker 3: As you said, problems. They you know, they had to
- 30:48Speaker 3: replace so many guys. Uh, it was a miracle that
- 30:51Speaker 3: covered last week against Missouri. They got all jazzed up
- 30:54Speaker 3: for that. Kentucky beat these guys last year, didn't they
- 30:57Speaker 3: and that and look and the because I think it
- 31:02Speaker 3: is one of their only wins. I think if they
- 31:05Speaker 3: didn't it was I think they played them pretty close.
- 31:07Speaker 3: But either way, the the this Kentucky team is better
- 31:13Speaker 3: and I think the South Carolina team is not. This
- 31:15Speaker 3: is just too many points. They got a legit chance
- 31:17Speaker 3: to win this game. And when you get an SEC
- 31:21Speaker 3: team playing on the road, catching almost a touchdown and
- 31:23Speaker 3: you feel like this could be a Queen flip kind
- 31:26Speaker 3: of game, you gotta take the number.
- 31:28Speaker 2: I like Kentucky here.
- 31:30Speaker 1: Yeah the uh yeah, I was you. I like Kentucky
- 31:35Speaker 1: here a lot. You know the reason South Carolina covered
- 31:37Speaker 1: that game last week? Fucking kickers, college kickers.
- 31:41Speaker 2: Yeah, college kickers.
- 31:43Speaker 1: He missed the first extra point dry then they had
- 31:45Speaker 1: to go for two the next time. Otherwise that game covers.
- 31:48Speaker 1: I mean, kid, lord, that was a bad beat, all right, Scott,
- 31:51Speaker 1: another line that absolutely reeks this week. We hadn't talked
- 31:56Speaker 1: about it. You and I haven't talked about. On the
- 31:58Speaker 1: run up, Kansas State is laying six and a half
- 32:01Speaker 1: against UCF at home. Kansas State is one in three
- 32:04Speaker 1: in zero and four against the number. I mean, this
- 32:08Speaker 1: is one of those lines where you it stinks so
- 32:11Speaker 1: bad that everybody's like undefeated team coming. You're getting almost
- 32:16Speaker 1: a touchdown. Kansas State has stuck. I am super interested
- 32:20Speaker 1: to see how this plays out, because this is one
- 32:23Speaker 1: of those ones that Vegas is telling me, you've gotta
- 32:26Speaker 1: bet Kansas State or you don't play it. And I
- 32:28Speaker 1: do not want to bet Kansas State. I don't know
- 32:30Speaker 1: how you can lay six and a half points with
- 32:32Speaker 1: Kansas State at this point in season. I mean you
- 32:34Speaker 1: see that, you've seen the same thing.
- 32:35Speaker 3: Oh yeah, it's crazy. It's crazy. They hadn't beaten anybody
- 32:40Speaker 3: by six and a half losing what are they won
- 32:42Speaker 3: in three?
- 32:44Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean I can't get there.
- 32:46Speaker 2: I agree with.
- 32:49Speaker 1: LSU Old Miss, one of the older rivalries of the
- 32:52Speaker 1: SEC lines one and a half over under fifty four
- 32:55Speaker 1: and a half LSU. We now know nes Meyer is
- 32:58Speaker 1: binged up a little bit, has been off season. You've
- 33:01Speaker 1: got that LSU defense that is exactly what I thought
- 33:05Speaker 1: they were going to be just strangling people to death
- 33:08Speaker 1: to win games. Old Miss coming back with backup quarterback.
- 33:12Speaker 1: We talked about that a little bit earlier. How's this
- 33:14Speaker 1: one gonna roll?
- 33:15Speaker 2: Baby?
- 33:16Speaker 1: This is an exciting game, man. I love the grove,
- 33:18Speaker 1: I love this rivalry. I am excited for this game
- 33:21Speaker 1: Saturday afternoon.
- 33:22Speaker 3: This game's always This game is always a shootout. And
- 33:25Speaker 3: it's even when LSU is great and Old Miss is bad.
- 33:28Speaker 3: This is a great game. And flip side and there
- 33:31Speaker 3: was a stretch in the nineties where LSU was terrible
- 33:34Speaker 3: and Old Miss was pretty good and the game was
- 33:36Speaker 3: the games were fabulous.
- 33:37Speaker 2: These teams get after it. They always do.
- 33:40Speaker 3: I think the Kiffin deal is just an added element
- 33:44Speaker 3: to just make this weekend that much more fun. I
- 33:48Speaker 3: think LSU is the better team, and I think they're
- 33:50Speaker 3: going to figure out how to get it done. And
- 33:52Speaker 3: you're giving me points, give me the Tigers, Give me
- 33:55Speaker 3: the Tigers. At the bottom line is they got to
- 33:57Speaker 3: figure out how to win this ball game. They were
- 33:59Speaker 3: not the better team in this ball game last year,
- 34:02Speaker 3: and they figured out how to get it done. Can
- 34:04Speaker 3: they do it again? More takes going to be on
- 34:07Speaker 3: Chambliss and teams are going to get an opportunity to.
- 34:09Speaker 2: Figure out, Okay, how do we stop this guy?
- 34:12Speaker 3: What can they do? It's a really really talented LSU defense.
- 34:16Speaker 3: You've got an athlete at linebacker in Perkins who's got
- 34:18Speaker 3: a chance to spy, just like they did with Club Nick.
- 34:21Speaker 3: Let's see what that how that works out. That's the
- 34:24Speaker 3: main reason I'm going with the Tigers.
- 34:26Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm going with the Tigers because of the defense. Here.
- 34:28Speaker 1: You're getting a point. I think they win the game,
- 34:30Speaker 1: But I think the defense is what makes the biggest
- 34:32Speaker 1: difference in this one. A couple of real quick ones
- 34:34Speaker 1: before we get the last two. USC travels to Illinois.
- 34:37Speaker 1: Love the bounce back spot here for Illinois probably not
- 34:40Speaker 1: gonna play it. But at the same time, if you
- 34:41Speaker 1: see if USC does the two time travel trip here
- 34:44Speaker 1: and covers, I'm now going to start believing what they've
- 34:48Speaker 1: got going on is real. Because Jordana I was playing
- 34:50Speaker 1: really well inside Lincoln Riley system. They would have covered
- 34:53Speaker 1: that game AGAINSTI Michigan State last week. They gave up
- 34:56Speaker 1: a touchdown late that fourth quarter. Yeah, and otherwise that
- 35:00Speaker 1: would have gotten the home for US. But I like
- 35:03Speaker 1: what USC is doing they're playing more physical, the defense
- 35:06Speaker 1: is stepping up, so I like what's going on there.
- 35:08Speaker 3: C was awful and two trips to Minnesota and the
- 35:11Speaker 3: Michigan last year on the road in these same spots,
- 35:14Speaker 3: so I'll be interesting. Look, Penn State was awful going
- 35:17Speaker 3: out there in that ball game. So with a bounce
- 35:20Speaker 3: back with Illinois again, everything about this tells me to
- 35:24Speaker 3: take Illinois and the points.
- 35:27Speaker 2: Everything about it.
- 35:28Speaker 3: They sucked so bad last week that I'm scared to
- 35:32Speaker 3: death to do it.
- 35:33Speaker 2: But I think it only bounces back, and I'm probably not.
- 35:36Speaker 3: I'm probably leaving money on the table not betting this,
- 35:39Speaker 3: and I probably will get involved on Saturday because I'll
- 35:41Speaker 3: be itching like this is stupid, you're overthinking it, and
- 35:44Speaker 3: we'll see.
- 35:45Speaker 2: But that's the deal.
- 35:47Speaker 1: Auburn traveling down to Texas A and M getting six
- 35:49Speaker 1: and a half points against this Texas A and M
- 35:51Speaker 1: team that's moved all the way up the night of
- 35:53Speaker 1: the country. After that Notre Dame went a couple of
- 35:55Speaker 1: weeks ago. Uh, this is an interesting game to be
- 35:59Speaker 1: I think six and a half boys could be too
- 36:00Speaker 1: many if Jackson Arnold can, if he's not broken mentally.
- 36:04Speaker 1: I think Auburn has a legitimate chance to win this game,
- 36:07Speaker 1: but the offensive line play and him hold on the
- 36:10Speaker 1: Baltimore scares the shit out of me. And that's the
- 36:13Speaker 1: reason I'm probably gonna watch this one and just enjoy it.
- 36:16Speaker 1: But yeah, this, I mean A and M wins big here.
- 36:19Speaker 1: Auburn put them to bed. You could probably start wondering
- 36:21Speaker 1: if you Freeze is gonna make it back next year?
- 36:24Speaker 1: And A and M's got a pretty nice path to
- 36:25Speaker 1: try to make a run the SEC championship. You got
- 36:28Speaker 1: any action in this one?
- 36:29Speaker 3: Uh, this is a total gag spot for the Aggies.
- 36:32Speaker 3: This is where they've done it so many times, you know,
- 36:37Speaker 3: to everybody. Nobody's talking about Everybody just assumes they're gonna
- 36:41Speaker 3: beat on. They went on the road and beat Notre Dame.
- 36:44Speaker 3: The old body's talking about Auburn. This is a total
- 36:47Speaker 3: spot where the Aggie's gag. That is why I'm scared
- 36:52Speaker 3: to death, scared to death to touch this because I
- 36:54Speaker 3: don't like Arnold. It will be how he didn't cover
- 36:57Speaker 3: last week. It's just, I mean, it was just single
- 37:00Speaker 3: handedly that was. They get the penalties, it backs them
- 37:04Speaker 3: up and then boom, he takes two terrible sacks holding
- 37:08Speaker 3: onto the ball. You got to get out of the
- 37:10Speaker 3: chat out here on goalplace. You got to throw a
- 37:12Speaker 3: short route and try to get some yards. I honestly,
- 37:14Speaker 3: I don't know why Freeze didn't try to run it
- 37:16Speaker 3: and get them, get them a little bit of yards.
- 37:18Speaker 3: But I know they were out of time and trying
- 37:19Speaker 3: to get back. I got no confidence in this guy
- 37:23Speaker 3: right now because he's seeing ghosts out there. But this
- 37:26Speaker 3: is a spot where the Aggies have always gagged. So
- 37:29Speaker 3: this I think this ball game's fascinating.
- 37:31Speaker 1: Saturday, Oh, let's got three games left. Scottie, Ohio States
- 37:36Speaker 1: traveling two times on travel Baby, moving out to the
- 37:38Speaker 1: West Coast play the two thirty game, becaus you dubbed
- 37:41Speaker 1: line opened up as high as ten, been bat all
- 37:43Speaker 1: the way down to seven and a half. Over under,
- 37:45Speaker 1: here's fifty more and a half. This is going to
- 37:47Speaker 1: be you know, richert freshman Julian Saying's first road trip
- 37:50Speaker 1: in a big time game. You dub's a tough place
- 37:53Speaker 1: to play, man. They had done really well out there,
- 37:56Speaker 1: Jed Fish my favorite comment on why they've done so well.
- 37:59Speaker 1: He goes, I don't know, maybe people get out here
- 38:00Speaker 1: just it's so pretty they forget they're playing football till halftime.
- 38:05Speaker 1: So I thought that was pretty awesome. But no, I
- 38:09Speaker 1: like UDB plus seven and a half. Man, I was
- 38:11Speaker 1: high on this team coming into the season. I'm gonna
- 38:13Speaker 1: ride this train. Last time I got on the UB train,
- 38:15Speaker 1: it was a couple of years ago when they ran
- 38:17Speaker 1: for the Mattie. It kind of bit me in the butt.
- 38:19Speaker 1: But I'm going to ride this with uw it plus
- 38:21Speaker 1: seven and a half against the young Ohio State team.
- 38:24Speaker 1: I do think this team has the best wide receiving
- 38:26Speaker 1: corps probably in the country, and the talent that he's
- 38:29Speaker 1: got around him here. But I think this stuff. I
- 38:32Speaker 1: think this UDB team is going to be able to
- 38:34Speaker 1: step up. I think they're gonna confuse saying this will
- 38:37Speaker 1: be a tough road game for him to be in
- 38:39Speaker 1: this spot. I think you dub at home. Give me
- 38:42Speaker 1: the seven and a half, baby. I think this team's
- 38:44Speaker 1: a live dog too.
- 38:46Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got an eight and a half in my book.
- 38:47Speaker 3: But I like Washington here. I think again the.
- 38:51Speaker 2: Travel tough place to play.
- 38:53Speaker 3: Ohio State with a much more experienced team went on
- 38:56Speaker 3: the road and a similar situation lost to Oregon straight
- 38:59Speaker 3: up last year and basically the exact same spot. I
- 39:03Speaker 3: think we're running into a similar deal. Nobody thinks Washington's
- 39:06Speaker 3: any good. They think this is a six and six,
- 39:08Speaker 3: seven and five teen. I think Washington's better than that.
- 39:11Speaker 3: I love their quarterback, love Boston the wide receiver. They've
- 39:15Speaker 3: got some really, really good players. I think they're better
- 39:18Speaker 3: than people think. And Jeff Fish a good coach.
- 39:21Speaker 2: He really did a great.
- 39:21Speaker 3: Job turning that Arizona program around. He didn't inherit nearly
- 39:25Speaker 3: as bad of a deal in Washington. And I think
- 39:27Speaker 3: this deal is getting turned around faster. When I say
- 39:30Speaker 3: turned around, when you have coaching changes. Now, obviously they
- 39:33Speaker 3: played for the Natty two years ago. It's not a rebuild.
- 39:35Speaker 3: But when I say that, you lose so many people
- 39:37Speaker 3: when there's a coaching change, and so a new coach
- 39:41Speaker 3: coming in, I think he's got it on the tracks.
- 39:43Speaker 3: I just think this tough spot for Ohio State. They
- 39:46Speaker 3: need to try to get out with a W.
- 39:47Speaker 2: And that's it. You're giving me more than a touchdown here.
- 39:50Speaker 2: I'll take it.
- 39:52Speaker 1: Still, Baby Godalds, I love it all right. The Night Slate, Scottie,
- 39:57Speaker 1: Here we go Oregon traveling literally all the way the
- 40:00Speaker 1: country to go to state college to play Penn State.
- 40:03Speaker 1: They're getting three and a half points over under in
- 40:05Speaker 1: this game is fifty one and a half. I'm gonna
- 40:07Speaker 1: give you my breakdown first and we go from there.
- 40:09Speaker 1: A couple of things. Number One, Oregon is exactly who
- 40:12Speaker 1: I thought they were. I love Dan Lanning. I think
- 40:14Speaker 1: he's a very creative coach. I think he's done a
- 40:17Speaker 1: hell of a job creating a better culture in that
- 40:19Speaker 1: Oregon locker room that we've had in the last couple
- 40:21Speaker 1: of years. Leadership in there. They went from Dylan Gabriel
- 40:25Speaker 1: is transferred to Dante Moore playing quarterback. It's flowed in
- 40:28Speaker 1: really nicely. I think more getting a chance to see
- 40:30Speaker 1: Gabriel play last year has helped this team. I mean,
- 40:33Speaker 1: I know this teams, but getting three points all the
- 40:36Speaker 1: way across the country, I know you've got the two
- 40:38Speaker 1: time zone travel here. I just have faith in this
- 40:41Speaker 1: team a lot more than I do Penn State. Here's
- 40:43Speaker 1: another thing. All we've heard since the beginning of the
- 40:46Speaker 1: seat this summer was Penn State drew allers back. They're
- 40:50Speaker 1: only losing the tight end. The running backs are all
- 40:53Speaker 1: coming back blah blah blah blah blah. You know what
- 40:56Speaker 1: Penn State hasn't done yet this year. They haven't covered.
- 40:59Speaker 1: They're against the number. And I bring that up because
- 41:02Speaker 1: you and I have talked countless times that we're convinced
- 41:04Speaker 1: James Franklin always knows the spread and he wants to
- 41:07Speaker 1: cover when he beats these teams, and so he hasn't
- 41:10Speaker 1: done it yet this year. Penn State, to me, I'm
- 41:14Speaker 1: gonna call him cold crimson. That's all they are. Yeah,
- 41:16Speaker 1: everybody's back. You weren't that great last year. I think
- 41:20Speaker 1: right here they're gonna get their first loss. I think
- 41:23Speaker 1: they lose probably again at Ohio State. Give me the
- 41:26Speaker 1: Ducks plus three and a half. And on the money line, baby,
- 41:28Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win this game, straight up in
- 41:31Speaker 1: a light out. I love it.
- 41:32Speaker 3: The crazy part of this is he's gonna get Oregon
- 41:37Speaker 3: and Ohio State at home, and he may lose them both,
- 41:41Speaker 3: and that is the crazy part. They have looked awful.
- 41:45Speaker 3: I think not playing anybody is going to hurt them
- 41:48Speaker 3: in this situation.
- 41:49Speaker 2: I really do. And they have not looked good.
- 41:53Speaker 3: I said this on one of the preseason podcasts. You Got
- 41:58Speaker 3: your quarterbacks got to have some swagger. He's got to
- 42:00Speaker 3: think he's the dude. And I just don't think aler does.
- 42:05Speaker 3: I don't, and I just don't think he doesn't have
- 42:09Speaker 3: that hit factor. And this team. He can't throw the
- 42:12Speaker 3: ball down. We know it was a wide receiver last
- 42:14Speaker 3: year because the kid at all missus lighting it up,
- 42:18Speaker 3: missus lighting it up.
- 42:19Speaker 2: It wasn't wide receivers. You know, it's somebody else.
- 42:23Speaker 3: And now they've got good wide receiver transfers and they're
- 42:26Speaker 3: still not throwing the ball down the field and the
- 42:28Speaker 3: lighting up the offense. You got these kinds of backs, man,
- 42:32Speaker 3: throwing the deep ball ought to be able to aught
- 42:34Speaker 3: to be easy to do when you got these kinds
- 42:36Speaker 3: of backs, and they just simply aren't doing it. I
- 42:39Speaker 3: think this is a team that's equally every bit as
- 42:42Speaker 3: talented or more. I won't go all the way to
- 42:45Speaker 3: the money line. I'm gonna take the three and a
- 42:46Speaker 3: half because it's a road game. But yeah, give me Organ, I.
- 42:51Speaker 1: Mean or yeah, I'm with you. Got James Franklin, got
- 42:55Speaker 1: drives some crazy last game, Scottie night game Alabama. I'm
- 43:00Speaker 1: getting three points. Traveling down to Georgia, over under. Here's
- 43:03Speaker 1: fifty two and a half. Georgia's three and oh straight
- 43:06Speaker 1: up zero and three against the number, Bama's two and one,
- 43:10Speaker 1: straight up two and one against the number. Pretty much,
- 43:12Speaker 1: if you've been paying attention, everybody's seen both of these
- 43:15Speaker 1: teams play once. We saw the Georgia game against Tennessee,
- 43:18Speaker 1: which I completely misread. I thought Georgia would strangle hold Tennessee,
- 43:22Speaker 1: and Tennessee damn sure Sana won that game. And then
- 43:25Speaker 1: you got Bama on the other side that just got
- 43:27Speaker 1: absolutely pantsed Week one when they played Florida State. Scottie,
- 43:32Speaker 1: what is your play in this game? Or do you
- 43:34Speaker 1: have one?
- 43:35Speaker 3: Give me Bama and a number. Look, I've said this
- 43:39Speaker 3: all along. I said this after the Florida State game.
- 43:42Speaker 3: Quarterback play was not the problem in that game. There
- 43:44Speaker 3: were other factors in that ball game that led them. Man,
- 43:47Speaker 3: he ran for his life in that ball game, and
- 43:50Speaker 3: I think it's made Alabama. It really kind of woke
- 43:53Speaker 3: them up. And I'm gonna tell you why I like them.
- 43:55Speaker 3: They've already gone into a brutal environment and they and
- 43:59Speaker 3: this football team better forgetting housed the way they did
- 44:03Speaker 3: in Tallahassee. Now, They're going into another tough environment. They
- 44:07Speaker 3: know what to expect, and it's got to be more
- 44:09Speaker 3: than they gave down there. I think they keep it
- 44:11Speaker 3: within the number will not surprise me at all if
- 44:15Speaker 3: they win this ball game. That Georgia defense does not.
- 44:18Speaker 3: It doesn't look like they've got the defensive line play
- 44:21Speaker 3: to put the quarterback on the run the way Florida
- 44:24Speaker 3: State did. And I think that's the difference in the ballgame.
- 44:27Speaker 3: And saying that Georgia doesn't have the defensive line play
- 44:30Speaker 3: sounds just asinine coming out of your mind.
- 44:33Speaker 2: But they don't.
- 44:35Speaker 1: It's true. They only have three sacks on the season,
- 44:37Speaker 1: and three of those are they're all from linebackers. They
- 44:39Speaker 1: have not had the penetration up front, and so it
- 44:42Speaker 1: will be interesting to see if that Alabama offensive line
- 44:45Speaker 1: has jeled and fixed itself, then you could have they
- 44:48Speaker 1: could have some time back there. I'll roll with you.
- 44:50Speaker 1: Give me Baba plus three Scotty. Looking at this board
- 44:53Speaker 1: that we've got here, we'll get these put in the contest.
- 44:56Speaker 1: What is your money line and your underdog of the
- 44:59Speaker 1: week that you're going to go with. I'm gonna take Oregon. Now,
- 45:01Speaker 1: let's do what you do plus eight and a half.
- 45:03Speaker 2: I think I'm when to roll. We talked about this.
- 45:06Speaker 3: I'm gonna roll with SENSI and Kentucky as mom who
- 45:11Speaker 3: I like that my money line play, I said, Mac.
- 45:15Speaker 3: My mac pick is Ohio minus nine and a half.
- 45:18Speaker 3: So that is uh, that is how I'm gonna That's
- 45:20Speaker 3: how I'm gonna roll this week.
- 45:22Speaker 1: Gotcha. I like everything about it. The sincey Kentucky game Man,
- 45:26Speaker 1: two teams right next to each are not that far apart.
- 45:29Speaker 1: I like that. Let's get this going, folks. We thank
- 45:31Speaker 1: you for the download. Give us some reviews. We got
- 45:33Speaker 1: a comment last week. I forget who it was from.
- 45:35Speaker 1: I was gonna read it, but I'll get it next
- 45:36Speaker 1: week on air. Love hearing all the feedback. Everybody, go
- 45:39Speaker 1: have some fun, enjoy your weekend. Man, it is gonna
- 45:42Speaker 1: be one hell of a college football Saturday. We'll talk
- 45:45Speaker 1: to you next week.