Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 8 | October 19, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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CFB DFS - WEEK 8 | October 19, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:13
Speaker 1: What's going on? Another week of college football? Halfway through
0:16
Speaker 1: the season. Halfway Yeah, yeah, I think we're about halfway.
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Speaker 1: at that more. But go ahead, jump right in five
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Speaker 1: And congratulations to last week's winner, Hard Work twenty four
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2:00
Speaker 1: You can see there's still some ship of Flags in
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Speaker 1: the top five. There looks like I'm Robbins at fourth
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Speaker 1: and in sixth. Can't kind of see him down there,
2:09
Speaker 1: but yeah, and look out though I finally cashed. I'm
2:11
Speaker 1: coming for you, guys, but let's just jump right into
2:14
Speaker 1: this week. We got another good actually really a lot
2:16
Speaker 1: of good college football this week, a lot of good games,
2:19
Speaker 1: a lot of close games, and even not for DFS,
2:21
Speaker 1: like a lot of good real life football games out
2:24
Speaker 1: there on the slate this Saturday. So we'll get started
2:28
Speaker 1: with Auburn at Missouri, a four point spread to a
2:31
Speaker 1: close game right off the bat. A couple of teams
2:33
Speaker 1: that you know, in all honesty, have him been great necessarily,
2:38
Speaker 1: at least consistently for DFS. I mean, Jarcross Hunter thought
2:42
Speaker 1: was going to be great this year, and he's He's
2:44
Speaker 1: shown some flashes. Like the one thing that intrigues me
2:47
Speaker 1: about Hunter is that he had thirteen and ninety one
2:49
Speaker 1: or thirteen carries for ninety one yards and a touchdown
2:51
Speaker 1: against Georgia, so fifty one hundred. I definitely don't mind
2:55
Speaker 1: him here. You know, KeAndre Lambert Smith I'd craped on
2:59
Speaker 1: in so much, but he's his favorite target. He's Thorn's
3:02
Speaker 1: favorite target this year. So he's he's still at a
3:07
Speaker 1: good price that you could look at him in this spot.
3:09
Speaker 1: Thorn is still at a good price you could look
3:10
Speaker 1: at him in the spot, especially for a game stacking.
3:12
Speaker 1: I mean, it's a close enough game this one, it
3:14
Speaker 1: could shoot out very easily. And then camp Coleman said
3:19
Speaker 1: Freshman actually finally started getting a few more snaps. It
3:22
Speaker 1: seemed like last game. So you know, at thirty seven
3:25
Speaker 1: hundred mm one hundred and fifty lineups, you know, I
3:28
Speaker 1: don't mind taking a shot on something like that if
3:30
Speaker 1: you're game stacking this. And then on the Missouri side,
3:34
Speaker 1: Brady Cook, you know, mostly less than impressive this year,
3:37
Speaker 1: but he still has the potential to get there. The
3:40
Speaker 1: thing with Missouri is that they're not coming off of
3:42
Speaker 1: bie week, but they're coming off a game in a
3:43
Speaker 1: zoo or at U Mass, so you know, basically a bye.
3:48
Speaker 1: And some of those guys did go on by, like
3:50
Speaker 1: Nate Noel, who you know, he was a late scratch,
3:54
Speaker 1: but you know it was U Mass so I think
3:57
Speaker 1: if it was a big opponent he probably would have played.
3:59
Speaker 1: That's just just my initial thought when I heard that
4:02
Speaker 1: Luther Burden exited the game with injury, so like he
4:06
Speaker 1: got hit hard. You might see them on the injury report,
4:09
Speaker 1: but Drink said they're most likely going to go, so
4:11
Speaker 1: Missouri should be full steam ahead, and they're still probably
4:13
Speaker 1: a little bit wounded from getting embarrassed by Texas A
4:16
Speaker 1: and M. And you know, they could very easily take
4:19
Speaker 1: it out at home against Auburn after seeing what Texas
4:23
Speaker 1: A and M did to Missouri. The defense isn't maybe
4:26
Speaker 1: as scary as it seems, so this game could be
4:28
Speaker 1: a little bit sneaky. I don't mind, don't mind a
4:31
Speaker 1: game stack. You know, everybody seems pretty appropriately priced, though Lamber,
4:34
Speaker 1: Smith and Hunter may be a little underpriced, but again,
4:36
Speaker 1: they haven't had the consistency this year, but the potential
4:40
Speaker 1: is always there. The next game, the Clemson might just
4:43
Speaker 1: be a wagon. I'm gonna issue apology to kay Klubnick Clubnick.
4:48
Speaker 1: I still don't even know if I've seen his name right,
4:50
Speaker 1: but I don't know him, so it doesn't really matter. Sorry,
4:53
Speaker 1: Kate if you're watching. But he's been good and he's
4:57
Speaker 1: putting up numbers, and yes, Clemson is up by thirty
5:00
Speaker 1: points and still throwing the ball. But you know what,
5:02
Speaker 1: for GFS, we use that well, like if he's ninety
5:05
Speaker 1: six hundred, but if he's going to be throwing well
5:07
Speaker 1: into the late third quarter, even in a blowout. Got it,
5:10
Speaker 1: gotta love it. Virginia side. Anthony Calandria last week had
5:14
Speaker 1: a you know, maybe his best rushing game of the season,
5:17
Speaker 1: but it was against Louisville, who will talk about here
5:19
Speaker 1: in a minute. But at sixty nine hundred nice he should,
5:25
Speaker 1: you know, get some looks even in a game script
5:27
Speaker 1: like this. I don't know if Virginia's gonna throw a
5:30
Speaker 1: whole lot more even if they're down, but if they do,
5:33
Speaker 1: it's probably it's going to beat a Malachi Fields. Now,
5:35
Speaker 1: Trel Harris has already been ruled out. Chris Tyree is
5:39
Speaker 1: expected back, so that could maybe jump start a little bit.
5:41
Speaker 1: I don't know if Chris Tyree's the jump start type,
5:44
Speaker 1: but really what that does is, you know, Cam Courtney
5:46
Speaker 1: had been getting a lot more looks in the slot.
5:48
Speaker 1: Tyree coming back will hurt him a little bit. In
5:50
Speaker 1: all likelihood, Andre Green had been starting for Trell Harris,
5:53
Speaker 1: so will likely still see him unless they shuffle where
5:55
Speaker 1: these receivers play. That's obviously something we're probably not going
5:58
Speaker 1: to know ahead of time, just something we need to
6:01
Speaker 1: be aware of. If you are looking at this team,
6:03
Speaker 1: Kobe Pace in revenge spot, Clemson is where he started
6:06
Speaker 1: his career. And you know, Micah Ford for Stanford did
6:11
Speaker 1: have over one hundred yards rushing against Clemson, so it's
6:14
Speaker 1: not impossible that Pace has a payoff game at forty
6:17
Speaker 1: four hundred, same with Calandria at sixty nine hundred. That
6:21
Speaker 1: same game, Ashton Daniels ran for eighty seven yards. So
6:23
Speaker 1: the potential's there. Clemson, we know all we need to
6:26
Speaker 1: know as far as you know where the ball is
6:28
Speaker 1: going to go. In all likelihood, it's kay Klubnick, It's
6:31
Speaker 1: maf Mafa's priced up though it's a little bit harder
6:33
Speaker 1: to play him at this price, but if he keeps crushing,
6:36
Speaker 1: you got to give him a look. Antonio Williams had
6:39
Speaker 1: been kind of the clear favorite target until last week.
6:42
Speaker 1: Jake brinnan stool with his big game. He you know,
6:45
Speaker 1: ten targets, seven catches, one hundred and four yards in
6:47
Speaker 1: a touchdown. You know, we'd be talking about him this
6:49
Speaker 1: week if he hadn't been overshadowed by Tyler Warren last week.
6:53
Speaker 1: But the big question mark for Clemson is Brian West
6:55
Speaker 1: were going to play. You know, we found out late
6:58
Speaker 1: Saturday morning last week that he wasn't going to play.
6:59
Speaker 1: It in make the trip of the team. If he
7:02
Speaker 1: doesn't go, you could look at a cheap guy like TJ.
7:04
Speaker 1: Moore Agan if he gets the start. Especially Cole Turner
7:07
Speaker 1: is a guy that could be involved too. He plays
7:09
Speaker 1: kind of the same position and choice. Delatto's just you know,
7:12
Speaker 1: he's a dude that's there. He's going to get looks
7:14
Speaker 1: regardless of who's in er out. But Williams and Rnning
7:16
Speaker 1: store of the two guys, and then MafA and obviously Klubnick.
7:21
Speaker 1: Moving on Miami at Louisville. A five point spread and
7:25
Speaker 1: very high implied team totals, which for DFS means we're
7:28
Speaker 1: probably going to be taking a look at this game.
7:29
Speaker 1: But oh boy, that price tag on cam Ward. The
7:33
Speaker 1: thing is I mentioned Calandria on Louisville last talking about
7:40
Speaker 1: the last game. It's because he kept up the fifty
7:42
Speaker 1: plus yard streak for a rushing quarterback against Louisville. Ever,
7:46
Speaker 1: just look at the box scores. Every quarterback that faces Louisville,
7:48
Speaker 1: book him for fifty plus yards and possibly a touchdown.
7:51
Speaker 1: Cam Ward is mobile enough to make that happen. At
7:55
Speaker 1: ten eight. You think that's a really high price that
7:57
Speaker 1: you think it's tough to pay. He's his floor is
8:01
Speaker 1: like thirty two this year, like his his floor is
8:04
Speaker 1: three x of that price. So yes, it's tough. Yes
8:08
Speaker 1: it's going to do. It's gonna handcuff a lot of
8:10
Speaker 1: your lineup, but if you can make it work, He's
8:13
Speaker 1: definitely somebody. The row points upside is there even at
8:16
Speaker 1: ten eight, So I don't mind that. This running game,
8:19
Speaker 1: it's you know, shuffle. I mean Damien Martinez, he's getting
8:23
Speaker 1: the most looks at and he has a little bit
8:25
Speaker 1: of upside. Fifty eight hundred, it's just a weird price
8:27
Speaker 1: range for a running back by committee, and the pricing
8:31
Speaker 1: on these wide receivers makes it a little bit tough
8:33
Speaker 1: to restrepo at eighty two. Yes, he's the number one option,
8:36
Speaker 1: but it's it's tough to pay eighty two hundred for
8:39
Speaker 1: a wide receiver, especially when you look right across the
8:41
Speaker 1: screen and see seventy three hundred times and Corey Brooks.
8:43
Speaker 1: I'd be maybe more interested in a guy like Isaiah
8:46
Speaker 1: Horten or Sam Brown, especially like Sam Brown and a
8:49
Speaker 1: guy like Elijah Royo the tight end with the pricing
8:52
Speaker 1: to be able to pair those guys with cam Ward.
8:55
Speaker 1: So if you if you try to pair cam Ward
8:57
Speaker 1: with Xavier Restrepbo, it's basically gonna punt at least least
9:00
Speaker 1: three to four other guys in your lineup, just with
9:02
Speaker 1: with how tight that makes it. So that's where that
9:05
Speaker 1: Sam Brown, Elijah or Royal range comes in makes it
9:08
Speaker 1: a lot easier to do. And then on the other side,
9:11
Speaker 1: you know, Louisville Miami has shown some vulnerability. They should
9:14
Speaker 1: have lost to Virginia Tech. He argue they should have
9:17
Speaker 1: lost to cal They've squeaked by and good teams squeak
9:20
Speaker 1: by in those games with you know, help from the refs,
9:22
Speaker 1: depending on how you feel about it. But Louisville can
9:25
Speaker 1: put up points too, and they're at home and Miami
9:28
Speaker 1: has to you know, like again travel Tyler Schuck priced
9:32
Speaker 1: up a little bit again, solid, solid play like but
9:36
Speaker 1: not something that screams yes, not something that screams fade.
9:39
Speaker 1: So that's kind of where I'm at. Isaac Brown, he's
9:41
Speaker 1: getting more course carries, He's just he's not priced up
9:44
Speaker 1: enough yet. Fifty six hundred is not something I'm afraid
9:47
Speaker 1: to click. Even Donald Chaney in thirty two, mm me,
9:49
Speaker 1: maybe a shadow one or two, don't love it, but
9:52
Speaker 1: he's cheap, and then the wide receiver cords to Corey Brooks.
9:56
Speaker 1: Still the top dog, Colin Lacey hasn't. I mean, he
9:59
Speaker 1: hasn't got gotten super involved like we've wanted him to
10:02
Speaker 1: ever since he came back. But I mean, forty two hundred,
10:06
Speaker 1: with that ceiling, you still he's still capturing my eye
10:09
Speaker 1: a little bit. I'm not gonna lie, but this is
10:11
Speaker 1: a very stackable game. You know, a sixty point game total,
10:17
Speaker 1: close spread. It's exactly what we want to see when
10:20
Speaker 1: we're looking at dfs. It's just the pricing that's gonna
10:22
Speaker 1: make it a very very interesting stack. And actually, I
10:25
Speaker 1: mean if it's gonna make it a little bit lower
10:26
Speaker 1: own stack, that's I mean perfect for me moving on
10:31
Speaker 1: to a much lower game total, but one that honestly
10:34
Speaker 1: I could see getting a little sneaky. I'll tell you
10:35
Speaker 1: why in a minute. Dylan Riola and forty seven hundred,
10:41
Speaker 1: come on, he's been mediocre at best. Nebraska's been winning games.
10:47
Speaker 1: It hasn't necessarily been because of Roola. But at forty
10:50
Speaker 1: seven hundred, a team that's you know, projected to score
10:54
Speaker 1: twenty one points, what does he need to get there?
10:56
Speaker 1: He needs to have a quin yours game to get there,
10:58
Speaker 1: and it's fine, So I don't mind that at all.
11:02
Speaker 1: I'm not really touching this running back room. It's just
11:04
Speaker 1: such a shuffle, like Dawbdell was supposed to be the
11:06
Speaker 1: top guy, but it's there's too much going on there
11:09
Speaker 1: for me to love it. And then in the wide
11:11
Speaker 1: receiver room, the one nugget that I do have for you,
11:14
Speaker 1: that actually I heard on another podcast is just talking
11:17
Speaker 1: about how much size Nebraska's wide receivers are going to
11:20
Speaker 1: have on Indiana's defensive backs. So that makes me like
11:24
Speaker 1: a guy like Jamal Banks at thirty nine hundred, even
11:26
Speaker 1: they are at forty six hundred, Like, these guys do
11:29
Speaker 1: have some potential to get points. And that's what makes
11:33
Speaker 1: me love really even more, just because he's cheap. You know,
11:37
Speaker 1: you gotta like a cheap quarterback. You don't get a
11:39
Speaker 1: sub five k quarterback very often. And we have two,
11:43
Speaker 1: and Riola is my preferred of the two. Now on
11:46
Speaker 1: the Indiana side, just a wagon undefeated, putting up points
11:50
Speaker 1: left and right, like it's it's been a phenomenal run
11:53
Speaker 1: for them. But who have they played? Northwestern? I mean
11:58
Speaker 1: Ucla got to look at who they played. James Madison
12:01
Speaker 1: two point zero has Curtis Rourke at quarterback. He's priced appropriately.
12:05
Speaker 1: The upside's definitely there if they can move the ball.
12:08
Speaker 1: And that's the reason I think this could be a
12:09
Speaker 1: sneaky game is Indiana is one of the faster teams
12:12
Speaker 1: in college football and they're at home in Bloomington. So
12:15
Speaker 1: if they can control the pace and move the ball
12:17
Speaker 1: up and down the field and push Nebraska, this game
12:21
Speaker 1: could get you know, above a fifty point team total
12:25
Speaker 1: pretty quickly. Backfield, it's between Alison and Lawson. I thought
12:31
Speaker 1: it was Alison for a while. Then Lawton had a
12:33
Speaker 1: game that he was a top dog, like nineteen carries
12:35
Speaker 1: or something. So again, I don't hate it with the pricing,
12:40
Speaker 1: but I okay, here's an example. If you guys watched
12:44
Speaker 1: the Virginia Tech game on Thursday against Boston College Baseil Tuton,
12:48
Speaker 1: that's a workhorse running back. That is exactly who we're
12:51
Speaker 1: looking at now. Is it always going to be two
12:52
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty yards and four total touchdowns? Probably not.
12:56
Speaker 1: But the reason he got there is because he had
12:59
Speaker 1: the upper tunity. He's a guy who gets twenty carries
13:02
Speaker 1: in a game, and we'll talk about somebody in the
13:03
Speaker 1: next game that kind of fits that description. But I'm
13:05
Speaker 1: not going to get too far ahead of myself because
13:07
Speaker 1: we're still talking about Indiana. But Elijah Serat's a top dog,
13:10
Speaker 1: pretty cheap for a number one wide receiver at fifty
13:12
Speaker 1: two hundred. All of those guys are going to be involved, though,
13:15
Speaker 1: but Sarat is a top guy. I don't mind this
13:18
Speaker 1: as a game stack. If you want to run with
13:21
Speaker 1: a pass catcher and Roola and then run it back
13:23
Speaker 1: with Sarat or even Ellison and Lawton, if you're going
13:27
Speaker 1: to get an ownership discount, it's it's not the worst
13:30
Speaker 1: stack in the world. Again, I think this game could
13:33
Speaker 1: get a little bit sneaky on to the next forty
13:36
Speaker 1: seven hundred dollars quarterback. We have Ucla at Rutgers. I'm
13:41
Speaker 1: gonna tell you right off the bat, I don't like
13:42
Speaker 1: this game because Rutgers has the TTT the triple time
13:45
Speaker 1: zone travel or UCLA has a triple time zone travel.
13:49
Speaker 1: So I don't like them at all. I mean not
13:50
Speaker 1: that I like them much. Beforehand they lost to the
13:52
Speaker 1: freaking Gophers. The Gophers only played one half of football,
13:56
Speaker 1: but Garber's you know he looks so for forty seven hundred.
14:01
Speaker 1: I'm not going to tell you no. I just prefer
14:03
Speaker 1: Rayola just because of the matchup. TJ. Harden, a shell
14:08
Speaker 1: of himself, hasn't been able to get it going this year.
14:10
Speaker 1: The one thing I will say is that with Rico
14:12
Speaker 1: Flores potentially missing again, J Michael Sturt event had eleven
14:16
Speaker 1: targets without Flores last week. So that's something you could
14:19
Speaker 1: look at, especially if you want to run back your
14:22
Speaker 1: Manungai teams. Kama Nungui twenty carries a game. Remember Baseil
14:28
Speaker 1: toot in the conversation we had just like a minute
14:31
Speaker 1: and a half ago. Yeah, So that's that's what I'm
14:33
Speaker 1: looking at with Rutgers. Is Kayama Nungui the wide receiver room.
14:36
Speaker 1: It's a different guy leading the way every week. Flip
14:39
Speaker 1: a coin. Last week it was Ben Black. The week
14:41
Speaker 1: before that, kJ Duff had a bigger game. It was
14:44
Speaker 1: Ian Strong the week before. Chris long With had very demere,
14:47
Speaker 1: very whatever Miller. So it's just tough. The pricing is
14:52
Speaker 1: there not so like they're two low totals. But I
14:56
Speaker 1: prefer the game stack in the Indiana Nebraska game just
14:58
Speaker 1: because the pace has potential to get there. I think
15:00
Speaker 1: a lot better than a lot better chance than the
15:03
Speaker 1: UCLA Ruckers game. But again, Manungai, he can't argue, especially
15:08
Speaker 1: at seventy two hundred. Come on, South Carolina at Oklahoma.
15:12
Speaker 1: A very close game again, a very possibly good football
15:15
Speaker 1: game again. But you know, for DFS, where do we
15:20
Speaker 1: want to go with it? On the South Carolina side?
15:22
Speaker 1: Sellers Sanders too cheap, That's again it's a price thing
15:25
Speaker 1: for me. They both have the upside. Sellers needs eighteen,
15:28
Speaker 1: Sanders needs less than fifteen points and they both definitely
15:32
Speaker 1: have the upside to get their Sanders average five yards
15:35
Speaker 1: to carry against Alabama, so the potential is there. And
15:39
Speaker 1: then with Jared Brown now for the year, gage Larva
15:41
Speaker 1: Dane at thirty five hundred, he's been getting the targets
15:44
Speaker 1: and again he just needs to fall in the box
15:46
Speaker 1: with a few catches and you're fine. Then the rest
15:48
Speaker 1: of it. Nick Harbor finally had a touchdown, which was
15:50
Speaker 1: good to see. But they got a lot of young talent,
15:54
Speaker 1: and you know, it's potential. It's a price play. You're
15:57
Speaker 1: going to get some low owned guys here that are
15:59
Speaker 1: very cheap and help you get in a guy like
16:02
Speaker 1: you know cam Ward that we talked about earlier. So
16:06
Speaker 1: on the Oklahoma side, Michael Hawkins Junior cheap enough that
16:08
Speaker 1: I don't mind taking a chance. He has the rushing upside.
16:11
Speaker 1: Oh first, if we can't before we get into anything
16:13
Speaker 1: with Oklahoma, I have to give you a weekly out report.
16:16
Speaker 1: So here's the guys on offense that we care about
16:18
Speaker 1: that are out for Oklahoma. Jaden Gibson, Julia for Ruth,
16:21
Speaker 1: Nick Anderson, Andrew Anthony and the doubtful guys Cave McIntyre
16:24
Speaker 1: and Sam Franklin. Notice I didn't say m Burgs. He's
16:28
Speaker 1: officially questionable on the SEC injury report. Now when you're
16:31
Speaker 1: watching this, he's probably gonna be out. Just I need
16:33
Speaker 1: to cover my own butt there. But he's questionable. So
16:37
Speaker 1: if DM Bergs plays sixty five hundred, I mean, I'm
16:40
Speaker 1: at a point where I don't know if I want
16:42
Speaker 1: to pay up for a wide receiver in this offense.
16:45
Speaker 1: But sixty five hundred for maybe the best wide receiver
16:48
Speaker 1: transfer in the country, I don't know. It's tough, you know,
16:53
Speaker 1: because we haven't seen him play with Hawkins yet, and
16:55
Speaker 1: Hawkins is more like you play Hawkins for the rushing upside.
16:58
Speaker 1: Now for the throwing upside to get there. It's going
17:01
Speaker 1: to be a close game. Joe Barnes is leading the
17:04
Speaker 1: way in that backfield. Sachak actually got more snaps than
17:06
Speaker 1: Tatum last week, but Tatum was, you know, was banged
17:09
Speaker 1: up a little bit earlier this year, so I don't
17:11
Speaker 1: look too much into that. Not really looking much at
17:14
Speaker 1: this game though either, other than you know, these guys
17:16
Speaker 1: are cheap. Alabama and Tennessee a tale of two teams
17:20
Speaker 1: that have kind of struggled lately. Uh. You know, obviously
17:24
Speaker 1: Bama lost to Vandy, looked bad against South Carolina. Tennessee
17:28
Speaker 1: lost to Arkansas, look bad against Florida. I shouldn't say
17:32
Speaker 1: look bad. They didn't look great though. Uh but Jaylen
17:35
Speaker 1: Milroe ten to five. Personally, I'm probably gonna try to
17:39
Speaker 1: find the extra money for Camore. But at the same time,
17:42
Speaker 1: if that's going to temper with Milrose or you know,
17:44
Speaker 1: lower Milroe's ownership a little bit, I don't mind that either,
17:47
Speaker 1: because he's basically a running back in this offense that
17:50
Speaker 1: can throw the ball pretty well, so his upside is
17:53
Speaker 1: always going to be there. Again, Justice Hayden's jam Miller
17:56
Speaker 1: tough to touch that backfield with the RBBC. If you
17:58
Speaker 1: find the guy that gets, you know, a few more
18:01
Speaker 1: catches and you know, the touchdown or two touchdowns, whatever
18:04
Speaker 1: it is. Jeremy Bernard is still too cheap. And I'm
18:07
Speaker 1: talking about him first because his price is forty one
18:09
Speaker 1: hundred and that's ridiculous. He had a stellar game last week,
18:12
Speaker 1: crushed and they lowered his price. I don't get it,
18:14
Speaker 1: but I mean it makes it a better option for us.
18:17
Speaker 1: Ryan Williams stud I mean, it's seventy four hundreds. Fine,
18:21
Speaker 1: Prentice Law. You know we're gonna have to see what
18:23
Speaker 1: the health of this wide receiver room is. I don't
18:24
Speaker 1: think anybody was on the injury report when I look
18:26
Speaker 1: last but the option, you know it's going to be there.
18:30
Speaker 1: And then on the Tennessee side, we have the potential
18:34
Speaker 1: Nico iam Aliava has not been great, But have they
18:39
Speaker 1: tried to really unleash him yet. I don't know. It's
18:43
Speaker 1: tough to say. I have a bet on him to
18:45
Speaker 1: win the Heisman. I got before the season started because
18:47
Speaker 1: I like the odds that I got. But you know,
18:49
Speaker 1: I obviously I kind of doubt. I don't really feel
18:53
Speaker 1: good about that, obviously, but this offense has run through
18:56
Speaker 1: Dylan Samson. But I think if Nico is going to
18:59
Speaker 1: bust out that For some reason, this feels like the week.
19:03
Speaker 1: Don't don't ask me why. I just think it kind
19:04
Speaker 1: of needs to be. But again, Dylan Samson stud even
19:08
Speaker 1: at eighty seven hundred, the upside is there and then
19:12
Speaker 1: this wide receiver room actually, so you know, for for
19:15
Speaker 1: a minute we thought I was gonna be Thornton. For
19:17
Speaker 1: a minute we thought it was going to be Brasil
19:18
Speaker 1: Bru McCoy still way too cheap. But the guy that
19:20
Speaker 1: kind of sticks out to me this week is Squirrel White.
19:23
Speaker 1: Over the last couple of weeks he's had seventeen targets
19:25
Speaker 1: in two games. Again, it's it's one of those things.
19:29
Speaker 1: I just have a gut feel about score White, and
19:31
Speaker 1: he's priced perfectly for me to go after it. I
19:35
Speaker 1: keep playing this song on my head, the Mississippi Score Revival.
19:37
Speaker 1: I don't know if if anybody knows, it's a day
19:39
Speaker 1: this squirrel went berserk in the first stuff right, just
19:42
Speaker 1: church if you don't, if you haven't heard it, it's
19:45
Speaker 1: it's a pretty good tune. Look up the Mississippi Score Revival.
19:48
Speaker 1: I don't know if I need to pay the owner
19:51
Speaker 1: of that song for singing, but you know what, it's
19:53
Speaker 1: good anyway, a good team total. It's just gonna be
19:57
Speaker 1: tough to pay off for some of these guys other
19:59
Speaker 1: than the you know, Tennessee Wide Receiver Room and Jeremy Bernard.
20:02
Speaker 1: But the potential is there. This is a stackable game
20:05
Speaker 1: if he can make it work price wise. Notre Dame
20:08
Speaker 1: at Georgia Tech. This game is inside because it's at
20:11
Speaker 1: Mercedes Benz Stadium. Riley Leonard eighty one hundred, just plug
20:15
Speaker 1: and play again. Kind of the same situation we were
20:17
Speaker 1: in last week. I don't really care about the opponent.
20:19
Speaker 1: At this point. Leonard has hit his groove with Notre Dame.
20:23
Speaker 1: Jeremiah loved Jerry and Price Love is priced well love Price,
20:29
Speaker 1: that's pretty good anyway, Like fifty nine hundred. You kind
20:33
Speaker 1: of want to give him a look with this game script.
20:34
Speaker 1: But if Price is gonna get double the carries, it's tough.
20:38
Speaker 1: And you know, last week Coach talked about Price leading
20:41
Speaker 1: up to the game, like we have all the confidence
20:42
Speaker 1: in the world even after the fumbles, so on and
20:44
Speaker 1: so forth. So I don't know if I'm gonna touch
20:46
Speaker 1: this backfield, but they are on the table, like I
20:49
Speaker 1: gotta at least consider them. Love still did get more
20:52
Speaker 1: snaps than Price. Price just got the carries wide receiver
20:55
Speaker 1: room roulette, just like we've seen. Bo Collins is cheap enough,
20:58
Speaker 1: though he's still kind of SEMs to be the clear
21:00
Speaker 1: favorite in this wide receiver room. Seven targets again last week,
21:04
Speaker 1: so I don't mind that. Georgia Tech Haines King, you know,
21:08
Speaker 1: it's he left last game, didn't look good. You know,
21:11
Speaker 1: there was some quote earlier that said it's you know,
21:15
Speaker 1: it was good to see him back at the practice field.
21:18
Speaker 1: Like the way it was worded was almost like it
21:20
Speaker 1: was just good to see him upright at practice or
21:23
Speaker 1: like in the flesh, not that he was back at practice.
21:26
Speaker 1: So I don't know. And this line, you know, this
21:30
Speaker 1: line started at eight, it shot up to twelve, and
21:33
Speaker 1: now it's back at nine and a half. So do
21:35
Speaker 1: with that what you will. I'm not going to try
21:37
Speaker 1: to make any predictions based on how much that's fluctuating.
21:40
Speaker 1: But if we get the Zach Pyron Show and Chad
21:42
Speaker 1: Alexander come on, frustrated a lot of people last week.
21:47
Speaker 1: I know, but j Jamal Haynes is priced fine. It's
21:51
Speaker 1: just not a great game script. And these wide receivers
21:54
Speaker 1: there priced where you could still play him regardless, but
21:56
Speaker 1: you're gonna like him a lot more if Haines King
21:58
Speaker 1: is healthy. I don't see. But you know, honestly, by
22:02
Speaker 1: the time you're watching this, he might already be ruled out.
22:04
Speaker 1: You can disregard everything I just said then, but yeah,
22:07
Speaker 1: these wide receivers are are definitely more in play with
22:09
Speaker 1: Haynes King looking definitely at the Riley Leonard and maybe
22:13
Speaker 1: playing him naked. In this game, Michigan and Illinois got
22:18
Speaker 1: a four point spread, Michigan favored and Jack Tittle's quarterback.
22:23
Speaker 1: And that's all I have to say about that, because
22:25
Speaker 1: I don't know that Michigan's going to be that much
22:27
Speaker 1: better because they're still going to run the Michigan offense.
22:29
Speaker 1: I don't know that I'm considering total. It does boost
22:32
Speaker 1: Lovelin and Morgan and these guys in the receiving corps
22:34
Speaker 1: a little bit more, you would think, because he will
22:37
Speaker 1: throw the ball more than Alex Orgy as the coach permits.
22:40
Speaker 1: It's still going to be run by Mullings and Edwards.
22:42
Speaker 1: These guys are still going to own the show. Mullings
22:44
Speaker 1: is down at a point where seven thousands not that bad.
22:48
Speaker 1: Edwards did split with him a lot more against Washington,
22:51
Speaker 1: But I think coming off of a bye week, you know,
22:54
Speaker 1: we could be back to Mullings like a two thirds
22:56
Speaker 1: to one third sort of thing. And Illinois run defense
23:00
Speaker 1: and scare me outside the Nebraska teams have been able
23:02
Speaker 1: to run the ball on them. So I'm really looking
23:05
Speaker 1: at the running game for Michigan. If anything. On the
23:07
Speaker 1: Illinois side, it's a little bit more interesting because Josh
23:11
Speaker 1: McCray is going to be the starting running back in
23:13
Speaker 1: all likelihood because Cayden Fvegan is out. We saw McCray
23:17
Speaker 1: last week at something like sixteen carries and a couple
23:20
Speaker 1: of catches out of the backfield, and it makes me
23:22
Speaker 1: think back to when the Gophers played Michigan and Darius
23:25
Speaker 1: Taylor had ten catches and had a blow up game.
23:28
Speaker 1: Now it's McCray and Taylor are and apples to apples comparison,
23:32
Speaker 1: and just because one running back doesn't have success means
23:34
Speaker 1: they're going to again. But it tells me that the
23:36
Speaker 1: opportunity is there, and McCrae can handle the workload. So
23:40
Speaker 1: at thirty eight hundred, that's a guy I'm really considering.
23:43
Speaker 1: And this is a stack of passing game too. I
23:46
Speaker 1: don't know how I feel about it. I will Johnson
23:49
Speaker 1: is on the other side, but he can only cover
23:51
Speaker 1: one guy, Pat Bryant and Zakari Franklin. Last time I
23:54
Speaker 1: checked our two guys, So it's definitely something you know
23:58
Speaker 1: you're considering. You're probably going to get it lower owned
24:00
Speaker 1: because of the game script and because of the opponent.
24:02
Speaker 1: But Michigan their defense is still good, but it's not
24:04
Speaker 1: quite as scary as it used to be. So I
24:06
Speaker 1: don't know that I'm on a full on game stack
24:08
Speaker 1: of this game, but there's a few pieces that I
24:09
Speaker 1: don't mind. One that I wouldn't mind stacking if the
24:13
Speaker 1: price can work is Colorado at Arizona got a big,
24:16
Speaker 1: big total in a close, close spread Colorado good offense,
24:20
Speaker 1: poor defense, Sear Sanders priced appropriately. He's a guy that's
24:24
Speaker 1: probably gonna get you twenty five to thirty five and
24:26
Speaker 1: you're just going to go home happy if he has
24:28
Speaker 1: a ceiling game. I don't mind it. In his game
24:31
Speaker 1: script where as close and they're projected to lose and
24:33
Speaker 1: might need to throw. I mean I shouldn't say might
24:35
Speaker 1: need to throw, because Colorado doesn't. They just don't run
24:38
Speaker 1: the ball. In the wide receiver room, Travis Hunter and
24:42
Speaker 1: Jimmy Horn we have Mark Travis Hunter is listed as active.
24:45
Speaker 1: He's expected to play. Jimmy Horn is weird. The phrasing
24:49
Speaker 1: was more something like we expect him to participate, So
24:53
Speaker 1: I don't know if there's anything to look into there,
24:57
Speaker 1: but Omarion Miller is out, so it's likely going to
24:59
Speaker 1: be Western Horn in the slot and then Shepard and
25:02
Speaker 1: Hunter out wide and Shephard at thirty nine hundred. You
25:05
Speaker 1: know he's coming along the last few games. He's not
25:08
Speaker 1: priced for it. He's not price like Miller's going to
25:10
Speaker 1: be out for this game yet, So this is where
25:13
Speaker 1: we kind of want to catch him before he goes
25:15
Speaker 1: up into that five to fifty five hundred range like
25:19
Speaker 1: his buddy Wester right above him. So I'm loving this
25:22
Speaker 1: wide receiver corpse, just a matter of how you want
25:23
Speaker 1: to mix and match it. And then on the other side, no,
25:26
Speaker 1: Ifafida has been dog poop, but he's cheap. So the
25:30
Speaker 1: thing with Fafida though, is like he threw for three
25:31
Speaker 1: hundred yards last week, but still when he scored something
25:33
Speaker 1: like thirteen and a half DK points, So the upside
25:36
Speaker 1: is there if he can find the box a couple
25:38
Speaker 1: more times. Kawali Conley workhorse back. Gotta love it, you know,
25:44
Speaker 1: and I say workhorse. He gets thirteen to fifteen carries,
25:46
Speaker 1: but he's super, super involved in the past game. I
25:48
Speaker 1: think he's like third on the team in targets, So
25:51
Speaker 1: you know, for DFS, the points are going to be
25:53
Speaker 1: there whether he gets thirteen to carries eighteen carries, because
25:55
Speaker 1: he's probably going to catch the ball a few times.
25:58
Speaker 1: Set McMillan very on the fence about him. He is
26:04
Speaker 1: a very good wide receiver. You know, I thought he
26:06
Speaker 1: was a very good wide receiver. He's very skewed this
26:09
Speaker 1: year if you look at his stats because of the
26:10
Speaker 1: one big blow up game he had earlier in the season.
26:13
Speaker 1: He really has only paid off his price tag two
26:15
Speaker 1: or three times this year, and a couple of times
26:17
Speaker 1: he's missed bad. Even at this eighty three hundred price tag.
26:21
Speaker 1: I'd actually be more interested in the tight end Keyan Burnett.
26:24
Speaker 1: His targets have increased the last few weeks he has six,
26:26
Speaker 1: then seven, then eight, and at thirty eight hundred, you
26:29
Speaker 1: know the flip flop of eighty three hundred with McMillan.
26:33
Speaker 1: This is like a Fafita keyan Burnett stack and run
26:36
Speaker 1: it back with one of these wide receivers and then
26:38
Speaker 1: you can pay it for cam Ward. I keep going
26:40
Speaker 1: back to cam Ward. I don't know why. It's weird,
26:42
Speaker 1: like he's a good football player or something, but this
26:44
Speaker 1: is a very stackable game too, just finding the right
26:46
Speaker 1: pieces from it. Almonious Craig is on the field. You know,
26:50
Speaker 1: Raymelo Murphy from Old Dominion finally saw some action again
26:54
Speaker 1: last game. He has only had two targets, but he
26:57
Speaker 1: caught both of them, so that's something you know, maybe monitor,
27:00
Speaker 1: probably not this week, but something to monitor moving forward.
27:05
Speaker 1: Baylor Texas Tech quite possibly my favorite game on the
27:09
Speaker 1: slate for DFS purposes. Sawyer Robertson is one of those
27:13
Speaker 1: guys at sixty eight hundred, DK refuses to raise his
27:15
Speaker 1: price and I don't know why his floor has been
27:17
Speaker 1: twenty points the last few weeks, and Texas Tech is not,
27:20
Speaker 1: you know, one of those scary defenses that you're concerned
27:22
Speaker 1: about not being able to produce. Lubbock is a tough
27:25
Speaker 1: place to play. I will give it that, and it's
27:27
Speaker 1: a weird tough place to play. That atmosphere is kind
27:29
Speaker 1: of crazy, but it doesn't scare me in this game environment.
27:33
Speaker 1: Twenty four and a half points with a mobile quarterback,
27:36
Speaker 1: the running running back room probably not something I'm touching.
27:39
Speaker 1: Richard Reese, Dominic Richardson. Reese's missed the last couple games.
27:42
Speaker 1: Rich missed last week. Reese has been practicing. We still
27:45
Speaker 1: don't know exactly what it's going to be. Bryce and
27:48
Speaker 1: Washington will lead the way, probably regardless. If it's four,
27:51
Speaker 1: I'm not interested. If it's two, maybe I'll take a peek.
27:54
Speaker 1: Hal Presley, though at near the top of the list
27:57
Speaker 1: for Comeback Player of the Year, had been injured. Price
28:00
Speaker 1: at thirty one hundred and Over the last two weeks,
28:02
Speaker 1: he has twenty five targets. I don't care if he
28:05
Speaker 1: catches half of them. Six catches a game is exactly like,
28:10
Speaker 1: that's a third of the way six catches. It's two
28:13
Speaker 1: thirds of the way to what you need for a
28:15
Speaker 1: thirty one hundred dollars price tag. If he finds a
28:17
Speaker 1: touchdown ceiling. It doesn't even matter how many catches in
28:20
Speaker 1: yards he has. A touchdown is almost a ceiling game
28:23
Speaker 1: without anything else. So how Pressy's a guy I'm really considering.
28:26
Speaker 1: If you look at the rest of this wide receiver room,
28:27
Speaker 1: you're gonna notice this trend. They're all cheap and they
28:29
Speaker 1: all see the field a lot, so picking another one
28:32
Speaker 1: after Presley's a little bit more difficult to do. But
28:35
Speaker 1: this is a game where you could stack Robertson with
28:37
Speaker 1: two wide receivers and then run it back with toaj
28:40
Speaker 1: Brooks and you could be sitting real pretty for the
28:42
Speaker 1: rest of your lineup, Like there's gonna be a lot
28:44
Speaker 1: of room to work with because of how cheap these
28:45
Speaker 1: wide receivers are. And that brings me to Tosh Brooks workhorse.
28:49
Speaker 1: I don't know what I can say. There's only one
28:51
Speaker 1: game this year he's gotten fewer than twenty carries, So
28:54
Speaker 1: I don't mind that Baron Morton is priced exactly probably
28:57
Speaker 1: where he should be. His floor, like his average is
29:00
Speaker 1: right there around you know, probably twenty to twenty five
29:02
Speaker 1: DK points. It's okay. You know, if he has a
29:04
Speaker 1: ceiling game in this game script, you know, if a
29:07
Speaker 1: couple of his passes are dump offs to Brooks and
29:09
Speaker 1: Brooks takes him to the house. But then you know,
29:12
Speaker 1: he also has Josh Kelly, who's leading the team in
29:14
Speaker 1: targets this year, the transfer from from Wazoo, who's looked
29:16
Speaker 1: really good in this offense. Caleb Douglas had a blow
29:20
Speaker 1: up game last week, and he's the cheapest of the
29:21
Speaker 1: three top dogs, so he's maybe the guy I'm looking
29:24
Speaker 1: at most four thousand. Again, it just doesn't take much
29:28
Speaker 1: for the former Gator to to get there. You know,
29:31
Speaker 1: if he catches him sixty yards in a touchdown and
29:34
Speaker 1: you're looking pretty and in this game environment, it could
29:37
Speaker 1: be any one of these guys. Jalen Conyers, I just
29:39
Speaker 1: got to mention him because he's a tight end. Oh
29:40
Speaker 1: same with Michael Trig. Michael Trigg actually does get a
29:42
Speaker 1: lot of targets though, so Trigg might be the tight
29:45
Speaker 1: end in this game that you want to go with.
29:47
Speaker 1: But yeah, this is this is one of my favorite
29:49
Speaker 1: games for DFS purposes, So definitely give it a look.
29:51
Speaker 1: USC and Maryland two of the most confusing teams. You know,
29:55
Speaker 1: a good one to end on the two of the
29:57
Speaker 1: toughest teams to project for DFS In many aspects, one
30:00
Speaker 1: of the easier guys is what Marx Woody Marks has
30:02
Speaker 1: twenty carries in back to back games, one hundred yards
30:05
Speaker 1: rushing in for the last five just I mean frustrating.
30:08
Speaker 1: The joiner had the touchdown last week, But what are
30:10
Speaker 1: you going to do? The thing is it's a thirty
30:12
Speaker 1: two point team total, But where do you get that
30:14
Speaker 1: other than Marx? I mean Miller Moss. He's fine, he's fine,
30:19
Speaker 1: It's just what he is. But then pick a wide receiver.
30:21
Speaker 1: I think Hiron Hudson's the one that's looked best in
30:24
Speaker 1: the past few weeks. I don't know if that means
30:26
Speaker 1: he's going to be the guy this week. Selfishly, I
30:28
Speaker 1: wanted to be Deuce Robinson because I love that dude.
30:31
Speaker 1: I love the way he plays football. I love it.
30:33
Speaker 1: You know, his size and speed and everything, and it
30:35
Speaker 1: just I think he should be better than he is.
30:38
Speaker 1: And it might be the offense. I don't know. It's
30:40
Speaker 1: Roulette wide receiver and Maryland. I just don't know what
30:44
Speaker 1: this team is. Billy Edwards I thought was going to
30:46
Speaker 1: be a lot better. They looked. They looked hideous against
30:49
Speaker 1: Northwestern last week. There's a couple of constants. Ty Felton
30:54
Speaker 1: had nineteen targets last week. Cayden Prayther had thirteen, so
30:59
Speaker 1: the targets are still condensed. I will say Preston Howard
31:03
Speaker 1: came in strong with seven targets last game, so you
31:06
Speaker 1: know you can look at him at dang near min price.
31:09
Speaker 1: He might be a little bit easier pill to swallow
31:10
Speaker 1: because ty Felton's eighty nine hundred. But you know, Billy
31:14
Speaker 1: Edwards is they just looked, they've looked unimpressive. I mean,
31:18
Speaker 1: Roman Hemby Romulus is still in that price range where
31:21
Speaker 1: I could consider him. Mean, he's kind of started being
31:23
Speaker 1: a workhorse, like he's like he has double the snaps
31:27
Speaker 1: as his counterpart. Nolan Remis. Some of you will understand
31:31
Speaker 1: what I'm doing here, but Kobe McDonald has basically disappeared.
31:35
Speaker 1: So Roman Henby at that price kind of giving him
31:37
Speaker 1: a look. Tye Felton, the volumes there and the raw
31:39
Speaker 1: points pray there's priced right. Edwards is priced right. If
31:42
Speaker 1: he could get his rushing upside going seventy seven's a
31:45
Speaker 1: lot easier to swallow. Then the other side is what
31:47
Speaker 1: he marks. Tough to know what to do with this
31:50
Speaker 1: wide receiver cord. But if you sack this game right,
31:52
Speaker 1: you'll probably be pretty unique. But that's it. That's a
31:55
Speaker 1: twelve game slate. If you don't like how not colored
32:01
Speaker 1: this stone is and you want more information, this is
32:04
Speaker 1: what the real stone looks like. This is last week's stone.
32:08
Speaker 1: You can see we have the same thing that just
32:10
Speaker 1: showed you DK pricing vegas spread team totals, but then
32:14
Speaker 1: we have grades for defense, rushing and passing. How much
32:19
Speaker 1: two teams run and pass, how much? How many plays
32:22
Speaker 1: are there, and what their pace is? We color them,
32:25
Speaker 1: are they high upside? Are they cash? It's basically just
32:27
Speaker 1: all of the information. Oh and over on the right,
32:29
Speaker 1: look at Russi's per game targets per game so you
32:30
Speaker 1: can find those workfurses like Basil Toot and Kyle Mannongai.
32:35
Speaker 1: It's like, Bill, how do I get a stone like this?
32:38
Speaker 1: It's easy. Just join the nation. We're here ready for you.
32:42
Speaker 1: We have so many different packages that you pick what
32:46
Speaker 1: works best for you and nothing that's going to break
32:48
Speaker 1: the bank. You don't have to pay three hundred dollars
32:49
Speaker 1: a month for your content. You can get all access
32:52
Speaker 1: for six months for about the same price as you
32:55
Speaker 1: know some of the our competitors. But the thing is,
32:57
Speaker 1: we want you to pay for your contests, not your content,
33:00
Speaker 1: and it's flexible to how you want to do it
33:01
Speaker 1: if you want all access. Right now is a good
33:03
Speaker 1: time because we have NFL College Football, PGA swing season.
33:06
Speaker 1: MMA is going strong, NHL is getting started up. NBA's
33:09
Speaker 1: right on the corner like every single sport, and you
33:12
Speaker 1: can get the optimizer to go with it, or you
33:14
Speaker 1: don't have to because we want it to be flexible
33:17
Speaker 1: for you. We want to cater to your knees as
33:18
Speaker 1: much as possible. If you only want one sport, football
33:21
Speaker 1: is your favorite. Just go and click football. You know
33:24
Speaker 1: it's just the one sport. Actually, you know what, it's
33:26
Speaker 1: two sports because football includes NFL and college football. You
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Speaker 1: can do PGA. You can do it with or without
33:32
Speaker 1: the optimizer. Again, so plenty of options at the nation
33:35
Speaker 1: and the proof is in the pudding. This is a
33:38
Speaker 1: just last week alone, twenty five our boy ham Hawk
33:41
Speaker 1: up top. He man, he hit it hard last week Thursday,
33:46
Speaker 1: I believe he hit and Saturday too, Slates like just
33:50
Speaker 1: a crazy week for college football for him. We have
33:52
Speaker 1: so many flags flying up at the top. We actually
33:56
Speaker 1: had our guy Rio win one hundred. Hey, that one
34:00
Speaker 1: didn't make this collage because it was this week, not
34:02
Speaker 1: last week. But you'll see that one next week, I promise.
34:05
Speaker 1: So yeah, there's a lot, a lot of winning happening
34:07
Speaker 1: in the nation. We have our discord where we have
34:09
Speaker 1: the community, which is my favorite part of being a
34:12
Speaker 1: part of this is just the conversations we have, the
34:16
Speaker 1: back and forth. There's humor, there's intentionality, there's real data insight,
34:20
Speaker 1: a lot of opinions that help us, you know, kind
34:22
Speaker 1: of the icing on top when we're building our lineups
34:25
Speaker 1: and you know, approaching DFS. So again, join the nation.
34:30
Speaker 1: Pay for your contest, not your content, but always remember
34:33
Speaker 1: the most important rule. Enjoy the process, Enjoy building your lineups,
34:38
Speaker 1: Enjoy watching college football, and just be glad that we
34:41
Speaker 1: have the opportunity to do this and hopefully enjoy watching
34:46
Speaker 1: your lineups climb the leaderboard. And I hope to see
34:48
Speaker 1: you there. Enjoy your weekend. Everybody was so I se