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NFL Week 6 BEST BETS | Hello Good Bye · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: in your chest.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 3: Man, you look like a mess. Three-team parlay turned to
• 0:28
  Speaker 3: dust in your hand.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet, don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name still means something to somebody for sure. Put
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: the glass.
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: Down, baby.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Look at me now.
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: Oh! Hold on, not.
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: Tonight, not now Hold on, hold on Let me pull
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: you out That fella fights hard But he don't get
• 1:12
  Speaker 3: the crown Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: Stay with me now.
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: What?
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: I was still muted. Oh, no. What's up, everybody?
• 1:31
  Speaker 4: It's Toad back with you. Toadstool Sports. NFL Week 6 show.
• 1:37
  Speaker 4: Coming in hot, man. We got to get this last
• 1:41
  Speaker 4: college football game, right? It's a late-night game. Don't even
• 1:43
  Speaker 4: tell me what's going on with that.
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: I don't even want to know. We had a winning
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: day anyway, but I want it to be a good
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: winning day. Charles, what's up?
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: Mr.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: Benzie. NOAD? Is that a.
• 1:55
  Speaker 4: That feels like it's some national... Weather service or something.
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: Oh, I'm thinking of NORAD. Yeah, that's what I'm thinking of.
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: The National, I don't know. What does that even stand for?
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: They have weather radar shit.
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: Dude, I don't know anything anymore. I had a stroke.
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: All right, whatever. I don't know anything. Let's get into this.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: You're not going to like these plays. Nobody's going to
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: like these plays.
• 2:18
  Speaker 4: We're already off to a 1-0 start, though, with the
• 2:20
  Speaker 4: ugly Denver Broncos play on Thursday night. I'm going to
• 2:24
  Speaker 4: keep doing it with these ugly... Ugly Place and Missile Raider.
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: Are you sure? What am I thinking of then?
• 2:32
  Speaker 4: Yeah, you might be right. What am I thinking of? Dude,
• 2:35
  Speaker 4: I can't get anything right anymore. I don't know what
• 2:37
  Speaker 4: else to tell you. Yeah.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: Alright, yeah. You're going to like these?
• 2:43
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: We got a few games that are kind of confusing here, man.
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: I got to admit. Let's get into it.
• 2:49
  Speaker 4: Let's turn that TV effect off and let's get into this. Unfortunately,
• 2:53
  Speaker 4: we have a London game again featuring the London Jaguars, again,
• 2:59
  Speaker 4: that's what I'm going to call them from now on,
• 3:01
  Speaker 4: as they're again playing a second straight game in London,
• 3:05
  Speaker 4: which I think is an advantage to them because they
• 3:07
  Speaker 4: don't have to readjust to the time zone.
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: They're already out there and they've been out there for
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: a week.
• 3:11
  Speaker 4: And I believe Jacksonville has done this three times before
• 3:14
  Speaker 4: and they've won all three games.
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: So it is an advantage of some kind.
• 3:19
  Speaker 4: I know that's a small sample size, but you got
• 3:21
  Speaker 4: to think that it is because the other team has
• 3:23
  Speaker 4: to come in and adjust to this time zone. Whereas
• 3:26
  Speaker 4: Jacksonville is already out there. Jacksonville is really used to
• 3:29
  Speaker 4: this venue. Uh, cause I think they're playing or no,
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: they're playing in Wembley this time. They were playing in
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: Tottenham Hotspur stadium, whatever last week, I'm pretty sure. So
• 3:38
  Speaker 4: I think Jacksonville is, yeah, they're playing in a different
• 3:40
  Speaker 4: stadium here, but whatever they're staying.
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: In London at the very least. Uh, so that would
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: be an advantage to Jacksonville.
• 3:47
  Speaker 4: Um, Aside from that, there might be another advantage to
• 3:51
  Speaker 4: Jacksonville because last week they didn't look good in the
• 3:53
  Speaker 4: London game. They were a big favor, and they almost
• 3:55
  Speaker 4: lost to the Philadelphia Eagles, and they only won because
• 3:58
  Speaker 4: of what happened at the end of that game?
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: I don't even remember.
• 4:01
  Speaker 4: Something really stupid that the Eagles did. Sirianni should probably
• 4:05
  Speaker 4: get fired.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: What was it?
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: I forget exactly what happened at the end of that game,
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: but I know he gave Jacksonville a.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: Chance to actually win the game, and they did with
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: a field goal.
• 4:17
  Speaker 4: Late or something is that right i don't even remember
• 4:19
  Speaker 4: like they they chose to pass it on like first
• 4:22
  Speaker 4: and second down or something instead of running the clock
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: down i don't know what they were doing but whatever
• 4:29
  Speaker 4: jags merchandise those people probably think that it's a merchandise
• 4:32
  Speaker 4: related to the british car maker because it is jag
• 4:36
  Speaker 4: jaguar jaguar they're british right They probably think it's that.
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: Oh, give me this.
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: Cool car jersey here. Not Derek Carr or David Carr.
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: Dirty sock, what's up? Thanks for hanging out. But the Jags,
• 4:51
  Speaker 4: I mean, when you almost lose a big favorite like this,
• 4:54
  Speaker 4: and by the way, Jacksonville did outgain Philly by quite
• 4:57
  Speaker 4: a bit in this game. They had a ton of penalties,
• 4:59
  Speaker 4: which really hurt them here. They dominated the possessions, whatever.
• 5:03
  Speaker 4: And I always talk about how when you have a
• 5:04
  Speaker 4: big favorite like this and almost loses the game, They
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: tend to get shocked back into focus for the next game,
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: but then I have some other question marks.
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: With Jacksonville, though.
• 5:15
  Speaker 4: Even though they have all the advantages I just went over,
• 5:18
  Speaker 4: it looks like they over-celebrated that Cam Little huge field
• 5:22
  Speaker 4: goal at the end of that game. But the other
• 5:24
  Speaker 4: thing is, this line just does not sit right with me.
• 5:27
  Speaker 4: Jacksonville is a two-and-a-half point favorite here against the one-and-four
• 5:32
  Speaker 4: Houston Texans.
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: Jacksonville, I think, is what, four-and-one?
• 5:35
  Speaker 4: It just looks way too easy to play Jacksonville So
• 5:38
  Speaker 4: that's kind of where I land on this.
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: I actually think I have.
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: To lean to Houston in this game, even though Jacksonville
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: does have the travel edge here and all that stuff.
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: But this looks so easy to lay the points with Jacksonville.
• 5:50
  Speaker 4: It looks like such a trap. I just don't think
• 5:52
  Speaker 4: I could do it, man. Houston, I know it hasn't
• 5:55
  Speaker 4: panned out so far, but based on who they have
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: on their team, you could definitely make the argument they're
• 6:01
  Speaker 4: the better defense out of these two defenses. Houston finally
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: got a win, and I think that should kind of
• 6:06
  Speaker 4: propel them and give them some momentum. When you finally
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: get that first win of the season, you've had a
• 6:11
  Speaker 4: losing season up to that point. Usually that does help
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: give you positive momentum, so I think that is a
• 6:17
  Speaker 4: positive for Houston. It was not a win that's going
• 6:21
  Speaker 4: to make them overconfident or anything. They beat Tennessee. So, yeah,
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: I mean, and Houston has had a somewhat difficult schedule,
• 6:28
  Speaker 4: at least. I mean, they had to face some good
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: quarterbacks in here, at least.
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: Josh Allen.
• 6:33
  Speaker 4: Not Daniel Jones, but Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Dak Prescott.
• 6:37
  Speaker 4: Although Trevor Lawrence has been played pretty well as well.
• 6:40
  Speaker 4: But yeah, I think overall I'm going to lean Houston
• 6:42
  Speaker 4: plus the points here. Might wind up getting a three
• 6:45
  Speaker 4: on this by game time because Jacksonville is definitely a
• 6:47
  Speaker 4: public side. 76% of the tickets on them and 77%
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: of the cash. Too public for my liking. For me,
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: it just comes down to it looks like... It looks
• 6:58
  Speaker 4: way too much like a trap to me, so I
• 6:59
  Speaker 4: think I would lean Houston. But I do not want
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: to do it because I don't want to buck those
• 7:04
  Speaker 4: advantages that I think Jacksonville might have as far as
• 7:06
  Speaker 4: the situation.
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: And I know I'm.
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: A situational guy, but it's like this is situation versus
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: market read, and it's like, well, what do you do
• 7:14
  Speaker 4: with this game?
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: Well, for me, it's just a pass.
• 7:18
  Speaker 4: Chicago Bears at Atlanta on Fox as we get into
• 7:21
  Speaker 4: the 1 p.m.
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: Games here.
• 7:23
  Speaker 4: I believe the big news here is Caleb Williams is
• 7:26
  Speaker 4: returning for the Chicago Bears.
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: I talk about the reverse injured player spot.
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: When a star player or starting quarterback has been out
• 7:35
  Speaker 4: for a while and they come back, I think there's
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: a little bit of an adjustment period. I think the
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: line over-adjusts to that quarterback being back. I think you
• 7:43
  Speaker 4: actually get value fading that team. Again, I think the
• 7:48
  Speaker 4: line over-reacts to the guy coming back and there is, again,
• 7:53
  Speaker 4: that chemistry has to be kind of built up again.
• 7:56
  Speaker 4: The quarterback has to get back in rhythm and whatever
• 7:59
  Speaker 4: because he hasn't played in a while.
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: So those would be my concerns with Chicago here.
• 8:03
  Speaker 4: The good news for Chicago is one of the reverse
• 8:06
  Speaker 4: injured player angles won't work against them here, which is
• 8:09
  Speaker 4: that when the quarterback has been injured and then the
• 8:13
  Speaker 4: team has been winning, without that quarterback, a lot of
• 8:17
  Speaker 4: times they get complacent. Like, oh, we can win without him.
• 8:20
  Speaker 4: Of course we're going to win with him coming back, right?
• 8:22
  Speaker 4: But I think that's going to be out the window
• 8:24
  Speaker 4: because the Bears got absolutely destroyed last week by the Packers.
• 8:28
  Speaker 4: So the Bears are not going to show up without
• 8:31
  Speaker 4: focus here at the very least. And in fact, seeing
• 8:33
  Speaker 4: a loss like that, I think I have to kind
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: of lean to Chicago here, even though I usually do
• 8:37
  Speaker 4: not want to play on the team with a quarterback
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: coming back. But it seems like they are probably going
• 8:42
  Speaker 4: to be the right side here, because I think people
• 8:45
  Speaker 4: just won't want them after that hideous-looking loss. Whereas the
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: Falcons looked good in their loss last week, which was
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: a night game against the Ravens, overtime game. We got
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: the win on the show with Baltimore here. Although, you
• 9:00
  Speaker 4: know what? I might have to rethink this, because... I
• 9:03
  Speaker 4: guess my other question is, is Penix hurt right now?
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: Um, let me see. No, it looks like he is
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: going to play.
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: So, okay.
• 9:09
  Speaker 4: I don't have to worry about that. Then I was,
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: I was going to be worried about Atlanta being, being
• 9:12
  Speaker 4: in an injured player spot because of Penix was hurt.
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: That would mean that the line would then readjust in
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: the other direction.
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
• 9:21
  Speaker 4: And possibly overreact to that and that you might get
• 9:24
  Speaker 4: value on the Falcons then, uh, to some extent and
• 9:27
  Speaker 4: the Falcons might step up their game, uh, to, uh,
• 9:31
  Speaker 4: you know, to compensate for him being out, but I
• 9:33
  Speaker 4: think that's not going to be the case. Pennix did
• 9:35
  Speaker 4: get hurt at the end of that game, and Tua
• 9:37
  Speaker 4: came in and blew the game with an interception at
• 9:39
  Speaker 4: the end, but it looks like Pennix is starting in
• 9:41
  Speaker 4: this game, so we will actually have Williams against Pennix
• 9:44
  Speaker 4: in this game, so lucky us, I guess. We get
• 9:48
  Speaker 4: the starting quarterback matchup here, but Atlanta, I mean, they
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: have a short week because they played on Sunday night,
• 9:54
  Speaker 4: and that was a big game, man, playing against the
• 9:56
  Speaker 4: Ravens and taking them into overtime, almost winning that game
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: and falling short. Yeah, I mean, that loss looks a
• 10:04
  Speaker 4: lot better than the Bears' loss last week. So I
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: think I have to lean to the Bears in this one,
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: even though I don't like taking the team with the
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: injured player coming back and the bears still look public.
• 10:13
  Speaker 4: You're looking at a one point favorite is what the
• 10:16
  Speaker 4: bears are here, even though they were going to be
• 10:18
  Speaker 4: a three point favorite though. So honestly, I'm not exactly
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: sure what is going on here. Cause you would think
• 10:23
  Speaker 4: that number would climb back up to three of Williams
• 10:26
  Speaker 4: was coming back and I'm almost positive he is right.
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, this says so right here. They're planning on starting Williams. So,
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know. This is really, really weird. It's saying
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: he had a torn hamstring. I don't think that's what happened, man.
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: I think it was a strain, but whatever.
• 10:42
  Speaker 4: I think they're making excuses for him because I think
• 10:44
  Speaker 4: he's a sissy, but whatever. Chicago has 60% of the
• 10:47
  Speaker 4: tickets on them, 51% of the cash on Atlanta. So,
• 10:50
  Speaker 4: the market read is saying Atlanta. Based on what we
• 10:54
  Speaker 4: saw last week, I think I have to disagree. I
• 10:56
  Speaker 4: think I would play the Bears, but I do not
• 10:58
  Speaker 4: want to do it, obviously. Uh, we had, there are
• 11:02
  Speaker 4: definitely some conflicting, uh, situations there. Uh, MJ, Michael Jackson.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: Uh, I don't know.
• 11:09
  Speaker 4: Um, wait, who, uh, Pitt, uh, Pitt state. What are
• 11:16
  Speaker 4: we even talking about, Justin? I don't, I don't understand who,
• 11:19
  Speaker 4: who are these people?
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: Uh, who are, who are the Pitt state gorillas? Is
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: that a fake team? I have no idea. They probably are.
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: I don't want to get this channel nuked.
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: Uh, okay.
• 11:29
  Speaker 4: Um, Although I have said, you know, Noah Kaniga's name
• 11:33
  Speaker 4: on the show before. You know, and I have his
• 11:36
  Speaker 4: hat and his jersey, so I might break those out again.
• 11:39
  Speaker 4: Let me get through these games, man.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: This is bad.
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: It's already 11 minutes in. It's a shorter card because
• 11:44
  Speaker 4: we have a bunch of teams on bye, by the way. Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami,
• 11:47
  Speaker 4: Minnesota are all on bye this week.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: Just FYI.
• 11:50
  Speaker 4: Next game up, I feel more strongly about this game.
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: Baltimore at Cleveland.
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: I like Cleveland in this one.
• 11:57
  Speaker 4: Baltimore coming off the game I just talked about, that
• 12:00
  Speaker 4: Sunday night game, you could argue maybe they got a
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: little bit lucky with Tua turning it over at the
• 12:05
  Speaker 4: end of that game, but Baltimore looked good any way
• 12:08
  Speaker 4: you look at it because the Falcons came into that
• 12:10
  Speaker 4: game looking really good with Michael Penix out there, so
• 12:13
  Speaker 4: that looked like a good win for Baltimore, and they're
• 12:16
  Speaker 4: now on a short week. They have to play another
• 12:18
  Speaker 4: road game in Cleveland, which is a team that Usually.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: You overlook, man.
• 12:23
  Speaker 4: And Baltimore, look at the games they have coming up next.
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: They have the Bengals, the Bills, and the Jaguars in
• 12:27
  Speaker 4: their next three games. And the Jags are a Thursday
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: night game too, so it looks like they might be
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: looking ahead to those games.
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: The Bengals up next. My hesitation would be.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: Will they actually.
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: Overlook the Browns when Cleveland is actually in second place
• 12:44
  Speaker 4: in the division right now? Cleveland has the tiebreaker because
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: they beat Pittsburgh already. And I guess they have whatever
• 12:50
  Speaker 4: their tiebreaker is against Cincinnati conference record or whatever. I
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: guess they actually have that tiebreaker right now. And all
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: three of those teams are only one game behind Baltimore.
• 12:59
  Speaker 4: So that's my question is, is Baltimore going to do
• 13:02
  Speaker 4: what they typically do and overlook the Browns because they're
• 13:04
  Speaker 4: usually asked? Or are they actually going to show up here?
• 13:08
  Speaker 4: My guess is they're still going to kind of overlook them.
• 13:11
  Speaker 4: So I like the Browns, but that's just, it gives
• 13:13
  Speaker 4: me hesitation as far as wanting to actually play this game.
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: And by the way, the Browns, I'm pretty sure are
• 13:17
  Speaker 4: undefeated at home. Yeah, but Baltimore is also undefeated on
• 13:20
  Speaker 4: the road. So do what you want with all that info.
• 13:23
  Speaker 4: The Browns, we faded them last week because they were
• 13:25
  Speaker 4: coming up their huge win against the Steelers. That's always
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: a huge win for the Browns when they do that.
• 13:30
  Speaker 4: And it seems like they do it every year at
• 13:31
  Speaker 4: this point in their home game. They had to go
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: on the roads to play the Jets. I gave out
• 13:36
  Speaker 4: a winner on the show on the Jets last week.
• 13:38
  Speaker 4: We got that win. I thought Cleveland was in a
• 13:40
  Speaker 4: sandwich spot because they were also looking ahead to the
• 13:43
  Speaker 4: Ravens game. So that would tell you that I thought
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: Cleveland was going to be putting more stock into this
• 13:48
  Speaker 4: Ravens game. I think they will. I think they're going
• 13:50
  Speaker 4: to show up. I mean, the Ravens are leading the
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: division again. It's a huge divisional game. Divisional home underdog
• 13:56
  Speaker 4: at home. I like Cleveland in this one. I mean,
• 13:58
  Speaker 4: this one I don't have much difficulty figuring out in
• 14:02
  Speaker 4: my mind. You know, Baltimore, 57% of tickets, 50% of
• 14:04
  Speaker 4: the cash on them. they're going to be a somewhat
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: public side in this game at.
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: The very least.
• 14:09
  Speaker 4: They're a four point favorite or so here. Actually, it's
• 14:12
  Speaker 4: gone down to three, three and a half now, or
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: maybe even three. So they opened four and a half,
• 14:17
  Speaker 4: but it looks like the real money is knocking that
• 14:19
  Speaker 4: number down back towards Cleveland. But if you like Cleveland,
• 14:22
  Speaker 4: I mean, you could wait a little bit, get at
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: least three and a half. I would say if you
• 14:25
  Speaker 4: like Cleveland, um, how do we, how do.
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: We pronounce this name without, without getting my channel nuked, man? Uh, Nigaman?
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: Can I pronounce it that way? I don't know. Nijaman.
• 14:42
  Speaker 4: He's actually on a D2. No way the Pitt State
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: Gorillas is a real D2 team. All that sounds made up.
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: Nancy, what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Don't have the
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: huge crowd of, you know, randos.
• 14:55
  Speaker 4: Like we had last night for the college football show.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: So I don't know. We'll see. Maybe people are just
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: still watching college football tonight or something. I don't know.
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: I don't think I want to be watching. Tennessee at Indianapolis. Yeah,
• 15:07
  Speaker 4: this game is definitely ugly. Nobody's going to want Tennessee
• 15:11
  Speaker 4: because they're 0-5. Indy, I mean, I'm not sure that
• 15:14
  Speaker 4: Indy's really that good, although you could make the argument
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: they face a pretty difficult schedule. Ravens, Chiefs, Texans, I
• 15:19
  Speaker 4: don't think are as bad as their record.
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: Makes them look....
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: Washington, you know, without Jaden Daniels, that's not a great
• 15:26
  Speaker 4: win for Indy there. And also, it was a misleading win,
• 15:29
  Speaker 4: as I talked about. And then Indy, we faded them
• 15:32
  Speaker 4: last week. We had another winner on the show with
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: the Steelers last week because Indy was coming back from
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: a misleading blowout win in London, coming back home, and
• 15:39
  Speaker 4: the Steelers had extra time off of a loss to Cleveland.
• 15:43
  Speaker 4: So I liked the Steelers quite a bit, and they
• 15:45
  Speaker 4: got the job done for us last week. After all that, though,
• 15:49
  Speaker 4: I don't necessarily think Indy's going to bounce back after that.
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: I actually like the Titans in this game, plus the points.
• 15:55
  Speaker 4: I think Tennessee is just way too easy to overlook
• 15:58
  Speaker 4: here because they haven't done anything right, and they got
• 16:00
  Speaker 4: blown out again last week.
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: They look extra bad because they got.
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: Blown out by another winless team As of last week,
• 16:08
  Speaker 4: the Houston Texans, Houston got their first win against them.
• 16:10
  Speaker 4: But like I said, Houston is better than people think.
• 16:14
  Speaker 4: And Tennessee, I mean, they've actually been fairly competitive. If
• 16:17
  Speaker 4: you exclude that game against Houston, Tennessee and the game
• 16:22
  Speaker 4: against the Jets, excuse me, but their games where they
• 16:25
  Speaker 4: stepped it up against the Eagles and the Ravens, they
• 16:27
  Speaker 4: actually played pretty well. So Tennessee is capable of covering
• 16:31
  Speaker 4: as an underdog. And in a divisional matchup like this,
• 16:34
  Speaker 4: getting a touchdown, total's pretty low.
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: By the way.
• 16:37
  Speaker 4: Well, not that low, but 44. It's not exactly a
• 16:40
  Speaker 4: high total. So, yeah, I would lean towards taking the
• 16:43
  Speaker 4: points with the Tennessee Titans here. The money does agree
• 16:46
  Speaker 4: with this. Indy is public. 72% of the tickets on them.
• 16:49
  Speaker 4: 69% of the money on Tennessee, though. So the money
• 16:53
  Speaker 4: definitely indicating on Tennessee. If you like Tennessee, I would
• 16:56
  Speaker 4: try to get the key number seven, obviously. I think
• 16:58
  Speaker 4: there's no excuse not to. I think you'll be able
• 17:00
  Speaker 4: to get the 7. Looks like you can get it
• 17:02
  Speaker 4: right now at some of these books, maybe with a
• 17:04
  Speaker 4: little bit of juice, but I would just wait. I
• 17:06
  Speaker 4: think you should get it because Indy's going to be
• 17:08
  Speaker 4: the public side. Also, the oddsmakers are kind of signaling
• 17:11
  Speaker 4: to you by having this number just staying at 6.5
• 17:14
  Speaker 4: for most of the week. It's almost like they're just
• 17:17
  Speaker 4: trying to get you to bet Indy.
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean? So that's kind of a signal.
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: The fact that the oddsmakers also.
• 17:24
  Speaker 4: Haven't... They have not tried to kill the teasers on
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: Indy because Indy is going to be probably a pretty
• 17:29
  Speaker 4: popular teaser leg this week to just win the game
• 17:32
  Speaker 4: against the winless Tennessee Titans. And the Osbakers are letting
• 17:36
  Speaker 4: that happen. They're like, yeah, sure, why not? Tease them
• 17:38
  Speaker 4: down to just win the game. So to me, it
• 17:42
  Speaker 4: tells you something that the Osbakers have not tried to
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: kill the teasers on a public side like Indy there.
• 17:48
  Speaker 4: And they think that Tennessee might be able to kind
• 17:52
  Speaker 4: of hang around in that game. So yeah, I would
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: lean towards Tennessee in that one. Jim, what's up, man?
• 17:58
  Speaker 4: Thanks for hanging out. Thanks for checking out the show, everybody.
• 18:02
  Speaker 4: New York Jets at New England Patriots. This is another
• 18:05
  Speaker 4: one where I think you have a public favorite that,
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: in this case, they look too good, I think. So
• 18:10
  Speaker 4: I would also fade the New England Patriots here. I
• 18:12
  Speaker 4: would be looking at the Jets in this one. Patriots
• 18:15
  Speaker 4: looked really good the last two weeks, winning on the
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: road and an upset against the Bills and then turning
• 18:19
  Speaker 4: around and annihilating the Raiders last week. And that was
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: a revenge game because the Raiders came into New England
• 18:25
  Speaker 4: in week one last year and upset the Patriots.
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: Did they care that much about that?
• 18:31
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, they seemed to.
• 18:32
  Speaker 4: Patriots definitely showed up with a lot of focus there,
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: but they did catch the Raiders in a bad spot,
• 18:37
  Speaker 4: even though Patriots were also in a bad spot, sure,
• 18:39
  Speaker 4: off that upset of the Bills. But the Raiders were
• 18:41
  Speaker 4: coming off a near upset of the Kansas City Chiefs
• 18:45
  Speaker 4: and having to travel across the country. So I pointed
• 18:48
  Speaker 4: out it was a worse spot for the Raiders going
• 18:50
  Speaker 4: into that. Patriots looked too good.
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: Off of that game.
• 18:53
  Speaker 4: Off of their last two games, I think they looked
• 18:55
  Speaker 4: too good. And by the way, they have a quick
• 18:57
  Speaker 4: turnaround time this week because they have to play on
• 18:59
  Speaker 4: Thursday night at Chicago. So I think they actually, even
• 19:02
  Speaker 4: though this is a divisional game against the Jets, do
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: the Patriots really care that much about the Jets? How
• 19:07
  Speaker 4: many times have the Patriots beaten the Jets in a
• 19:09
  Speaker 4: row now? My guess would be that they've probably beaten
• 19:13
  Speaker 4: the Jets like eight times in a row or something
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: like that. Honestly, I don't think the Jets have beaten
• 19:18
  Speaker 4: them enough. in like years, really. So yeah, the Patriots
• 19:23
  Speaker 4: usually beat the Jets, so they're a really easy team
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: to overlook. With Caleb Williams back, quick turnaround to that
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: Thursday game, primetime game against the Bears. I think that
• 19:32
  Speaker 4: game might be considered to be bigger for the Patriots,
• 19:35
  Speaker 4: so they might actually look ahead to that. For the Jets,
• 19:39
  Speaker 4: I think the Jets are at least a better team
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: than the record suggests. I mean, they They hung around
• 19:43
  Speaker 4: with the Packers and the Lions in Detroit against the Lions.
• 19:47
  Speaker 4: So this Jets team has put up some decent performance.
• 19:50
  Speaker 4: here against some competitive teams or some, I would say,
• 19:53
  Speaker 4: good teams here. And the Jets coming off that win
• 19:56
  Speaker 4: for us last week over the Browns that broke a
• 19:58
  Speaker 4: three-game losing streak. I think a win like that will
• 20:01
  Speaker 4: give you some newfound confidence and it won't make.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: You overconfident, right?
• 20:04
  Speaker 4: Because it's just the Cleveland Browns and you finally broke
• 20:07
  Speaker 4: that losing streak.
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: So.
• 20:09
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'd be leaning towards the Jets here. And interestingly enough,
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: as I pointed out last week, the Jets have a
• 20:14
  Speaker 4: 2-3 record, but all three of their losses are against
• 20:17
  Speaker 4: the NFC North. So the Jets are 2-0 against every
• 20:22
  Speaker 4: division besides the NFC North right now. And they're 2-0
• 20:26
  Speaker 4: in AFC play. So do with that what you want.
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: But of course, it was the Titans and the Browns.
• 20:31
  Speaker 4: The Patriots are better than those teams, obviously. But you're
• 20:34
  Speaker 4: getting a lot of points here with the Jets here.
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: You're going to get 7.5 on this. I like the
• 20:39
  Speaker 4: Jets plus the points here. New England, 81% of the tickets,
• 20:43
  Speaker 4: only 79% of the cash on them. The Republic side,
• 20:46
  Speaker 4: less of the money on them. And again, you get
• 20:48
  Speaker 4: that key number. You get the hook on it. You'll
• 20:50
  Speaker 4: get the 7.5 on the Jets in this one. And
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: it's not a high total either, 43.5. So the points
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: are worth more whenever it's a lower total. If the
• 20:58
  Speaker 4: points are harder to come by, every point is worth more.
• 21:04
  Speaker 4: So I like taking the underdogs in lower total games.
• 21:06
  Speaker 4: And that looks like it might be one of them
• 21:08
  Speaker 4: where the jets might be able to kind of muddy
• 21:10
  Speaker 4: that game up a little bit. Like they still have
• 21:12
  Speaker 4: a decent defense and they, they really, honestly, they have
• 21:15
  Speaker 4: a better offense than people think that they do as well.
• 21:17
  Speaker 4: So Patriots also kind of have a better defense than
• 21:20
  Speaker 4: people think as well.
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: Um, new Orleans at, at the New York giants.
• 21:24
  Speaker 4: And I know I have not given out any of
• 21:25
  Speaker 4: my plays yet.
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: I know they're coming.
• 21:27
  Speaker 4: Um, Not this game either, although I do have, the
• 21:31
  Speaker 4: last few games I talked about, I have strong-ish opinions on,
• 21:35
  Speaker 4: and this is another one where I don't have difficulty
• 21:38
  Speaker 4: figuring out what my opinion is on this one.
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: I like the Saints. I mean, what else is new?
• 21:42
  Speaker 4: I know I've liked the Saints the last couple weeks.
• 21:44
  Speaker 4: We lost a play on them a couple weeks ago.
• 21:46
  Speaker 4: They're not coming through. I get it, but I still
• 21:48
  Speaker 4: think the Saints are an undervalued team here, and I
• 21:51
  Speaker 4: think this is a spot where It's better to play
• 21:54
  Speaker 4: them than to play the Giants. Giants have looked fairly
• 21:57
  Speaker 4: good so far, but a couple of their wins are
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: against bad teams, the Titans, the Cardinals. Last week, they
• 22:03
  Speaker 4: had a tie against Washington. That was a big divisional
• 22:05
  Speaker 4: game against a Washington team with Jaden Daniels back. So
• 22:09
  Speaker 4: you know the Giants put in a big effort in
• 22:11
  Speaker 4: that game, and coming off that game, blowing the lead
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: that they had in that game uh or excuse me
• 22:16
  Speaker 4: Washington blew the lead in that game excuse me the
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: Giants came back in that game so to come back
• 22:21
  Speaker 4: and put in that effort to come back in that
• 22:23
  Speaker 4: divisional game like that uh just to wind up with
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: a tie which was kind of lucky because we know
• 22:29
  Speaker 4: horrible clock management at the end of that game uh
• 22:32
  Speaker 4: when Washington was in range to kick a winning field
• 22:34
  Speaker 4: goal I don't know what that was man I mean
• 22:36
  Speaker 4: I think there's Poor coaching going on from Dan Quinn.
• 22:39
  Speaker 4: I think Jaden Daniels was bad on that play and
• 22:43
  Speaker 4: made a bunch of mistakes with that play. I don't
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: know what else to tell you, man. Some bad mental
• 22:48
  Speaker 4: mistakes by Washington. But big game for the Giants. Coming
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: off of that, I just... I don't see it, man.
• 22:54
  Speaker 4: And it's Jameis Winston against Tyler Shuck here, man.
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: Shuck is the better quarterback here. I'm sorry. And I
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: think you're getting a Saints team sitting at 1-4.
• 23:02
  Speaker 4: I don't think they're as bad as that makes them look. Like,
• 23:05
  Speaker 4: they lost to the Lions by 1 on the road.
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: They won at Baltimore.
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: On the road.
• 23:11
  Speaker 4: And by the way, those were only two road games.
• 23:13
  Speaker 4: So for whatever reason, the Saints team has played better
• 23:15
  Speaker 4: on the road. One of their home games, they lost
• 23:18
  Speaker 4: because they had four consecutive turnovers in the fourth quarter
• 23:21
  Speaker 4: against the Raiders. And yeah, we tried to play them
• 23:23
  Speaker 4: after that. They got blown out by the Falcons, I know.
• 23:25
  Speaker 4: And then last week, I don't know. I mean, it
• 23:28
  Speaker 4: seemed like they had some chances to hang around in
• 23:30
  Speaker 4: that game against the Vikings, and they fell short.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: But whatever, man. I think one of the best things
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: for the Saints, though, is to just leave.
• 23:37
  Speaker 4: Go out on the road. Like, when you're playing poorly
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: at home and you just lost three straight home games.
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: It's actually good to just leave. Go out on the road.
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: You don't have to listen to what the media is
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: saying about you and whatever. Just go focus on football
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: because home can be a distraction.
• 23:51
  Speaker 4: You know, if things aren't going well and whatever, and
• 23:52
  Speaker 4: it just kind of compounds you.
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: Leave the distractions behind. Go out on the road. So yeah,
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: I like the Saints in this one.
• 23:59
  Speaker 4: And the oddsmakers are telling you something by the fact
• 24:01
  Speaker 4: that the Saints are actually favored in this game, I believe. Yeah,
• 24:05
  Speaker 4: they flipped to the favorites. So the Giants open a
• 24:07
  Speaker 4: one-point favorite. It's now Saints basically minus one and a
• 24:11
  Speaker 4: half or minus one here, it looks like. It's sort
• 24:14
  Speaker 4: of a pick-em line, but even if you... say that
• 24:16
  Speaker 4: it's a pick-em line here. Doesn't it look way too
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: easy to take the 3-1-1 team at home against the
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: 1-4 team?
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, pick the winner. It looks way too easy to
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: do that.
• 24:27
  Speaker 4: The fact that the Giants aren't even getting home field here,
• 24:30
  Speaker 4: and of course, like I said, Giants have no Jackson Dart.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: They have no Burns, I think, as well on their
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: defense for the rest of the season.
• 24:38
  Speaker 4: Yeah, the oddsmakers are telling you New Orleans is actually
• 24:40
  Speaker 4: the better team right now, despite what the records tell you.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: So I like New Orleans in this one.
• 24:45
  Speaker 4: Giants, 72% of the tickets on them, only 65% of
• 24:48
  Speaker 4: the cash. So the market read is saying New Orleans.
• 24:51
  Speaker 4: The public is on the Giants, predictably, and less money.
• 24:55
  Speaker 4: I know that sounds weird. Predictably, the public is on
• 24:58
  Speaker 4: the Giants.
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: Yes, correct. Welcome to 2026, man. Whatever, but yes, less
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: of the money on the Giants there.
• 25:07
  Speaker 4: Next game, this game is extremely difficult to figure this
• 25:10
  Speaker 4: game out.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: Carolina at Philadelphia.
• 25:14
  Speaker 4: There are so many different situational angles that go against
• 25:16
  Speaker 4: each other in this game. I get whiplash going back
• 25:20
  Speaker 4: and forth trying to figure out even what I think
• 25:22
  Speaker 4: about this game.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: Carolina's coming out of a bye. Okay, cool.
• 25:26
  Speaker 4: So Carolina has a rest edge. Philadelphia is coming back
• 25:28
  Speaker 4: from London. Okay, so this all seems like this is
• 25:31
  Speaker 4: a good spot to play Carolina, right? They have a
• 25:34
  Speaker 4: rest edge. They're staying in the United States. Philadelphia just
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: had a big game as an underdog, right? And they
• 25:41
  Speaker 4: almost pulled off the upset and they blew it at
• 25:43
  Speaker 4: the end of that game in London as a big underdog.
• 25:46
  Speaker 4: So coming off a game as an underdog where you
• 25:49
  Speaker 4: almost won the game in general, I think that sets
• 25:51
  Speaker 4: up a flat spot in the next game. If you
• 25:53
  Speaker 4: put up a big effort just to fall short like
• 25:55
  Speaker 4: that in a big game like that, but Compound that
• 25:58
  Speaker 4: with returning home from London.
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: That makes it look even worse for Philly. Cool. I
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: get all that. But there are some things that I
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: don't like about Cleveland. Number one, they went into the
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: bye on a good note. And I talk about going
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: into the bye on a good note. I actually think
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: it's a negative. Because I think you have nothing to
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: fix when you go into the bye on a good note.
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: They beat the Lions in, I think it was a
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: Sunday night game. That's how Carolina went into the bye.
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: Good win against a solid team on prime time. Normally,
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: coming off a game like that, I would say Carolina's
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: in a letdown spot. And I think maybe the letdown
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: spot can still kind of carry through a bye like that.
• 26:36
  Speaker 4: When you're going to the bye, you're just kind of thinking, yeah,
• 26:39
  Speaker 4: we're pretty good right now. And to make matters worse
• 26:42
  Speaker 4: for the possibility that Carolina might get overconfident here, Jalen
• 26:46
  Speaker 4: Hurts is Jalen Hurt in this game. So he's not playing.
• 26:51
  Speaker 4: So injured player theory is coming into play for Philadelphia
• 26:54
  Speaker 4: here now. What did I say earlier in the show?
• 26:57
  Speaker 4: When you have a quarterback that gets injured, the odds
• 27:00
  Speaker 4: makers a lot of times overreact, and the line gets
• 27:02
  Speaker 4: moved against that team too much. Just in the first game,
• 27:06
  Speaker 4: I would say, with that player out, you get the
• 27:09
  Speaker 4: line overreaction, but the team usually steps up their game.
• 27:13
  Speaker 4: In that one game, they usually put in a big effort, thinking, well,
• 27:17
  Speaker 4: we have to put in a big effort now that
• 27:18
  Speaker 4: our quarterback is out.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean? They have to.
• 27:23
  Speaker 4: Compensate for their player being out. So those are some
• 27:26
  Speaker 4: positives for the Eagles coming into this game. It is
• 27:30
  Speaker 4: not going to be the Red Rocket in this game, though.
• 27:32
  Speaker 4: Andy Dalton, he's their backup. It looks like he's not
• 27:36
  Speaker 4: even on the roster anymore.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: Did they cut him?
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: That surprised me.
• 27:40
  Speaker 4: They might have because they just picked up Joe Milton III,
• 27:43
  Speaker 4: but he's listed as their third string player.
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: Which is weird. Who the hell is Cole Payton? Cole
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: Payton is their second string.
• 27:50
  Speaker 4: I expected Milton to be their second string because he
• 27:52
  Speaker 4: does have some NFL experience. But no, it's going to
• 27:55
  Speaker 4: be Tanner McKee in this game starting for Philadelphia. I
• 28:00
  Speaker 4: don't know how many starts.
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: He actually has in the NFL. Let me see. It
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: looks like he had one at the very end of
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: the season last year. He started a meaningless game against Washington,
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: and he was not great in that game. But he
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: did get experience in that one, at least. And that
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: might have been his only.
• 28:20
  Speaker 4: No, it looks like he played in another meaningless game
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: against the Giants the year before that at the end
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: of the season. So he has a couple of NFL
• 28:27
  Speaker 4: starts under his belt, but in meaningless games. This is
• 28:30
  Speaker 4: a meaningful game.
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: And also, by the way, Philadelphia, Saquon Barkley is also
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: out for them in this game. So yeah, this is
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: a very injured.
• 28:38
  Speaker 4: philadelphia team true this game is so so hard to
• 28:43
  Speaker 4: figure out dude man i actually think i lean philly
• 28:47
  Speaker 4: in this game i just i'm gonna go with like
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: i think that the last time we we saw each
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: of these teams carolina looked like the better team carolina
• 28:57
  Speaker 4: beat detroit in prime time and went into the bye
• 29:00
  Speaker 4: riding that high, whereas Philadelphia, even though they put up
• 29:02
  Speaker 4: a big effort and fell short in London, they just
• 29:05
  Speaker 4: looked so ugly in that low-scoring game.
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: Neither team looked.
• 29:08
  Speaker 4: That good in that game, which, by the way, that's
• 29:11
  Speaker 4: a strike against leaning towards Houston this week, even though
• 29:14
  Speaker 4: I still do lean towards Houston in that game, but whatever. Yeah,
• 29:17
  Speaker 4: I think I would take the points with Philly here.
• 29:19
  Speaker 4: You're getting Philadelphia as a three-point underdog at home in
• 29:23
  Speaker 4: this game, man. And again, I know, it's without Barkley
• 29:26
  Speaker 4: and without Hurts, and I think Devontae Smith is also
• 29:28
  Speaker 4: still out.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: So I know, this is like not.
• 29:31
  Speaker 4: Even the Philadelphia Eagles. It's the Philadelphia Eagles backup crew.
• 29:34
  Speaker 4: But still, at some point, man, just the number moves
• 29:39
  Speaker 4: too far. in the other direction you know what I
• 29:41
  Speaker 4: mean this is still the Philadelphia Eagles at home and
• 29:45
  Speaker 4: an underdog okay of a field goal so yeah I
• 29:49
  Speaker 4: think Philadelphia might be the side to look at in
• 29:51
  Speaker 4: that game do I really want to do it absolutely
• 29:53
  Speaker 4: not no for all the reasons I stated at the
• 29:57
  Speaker 4: beginning of that handicap. I told you that game is
• 29:59
  Speaker 4: extremely difficult for me to figure out. All right, Pittsburgh
• 30:02
  Speaker 4: at Tampa Bay. This one, I think I know what
• 30:04
  Speaker 4: I think, and the market doesn't agree with me. Now,
• 30:09
  Speaker 4: for Tampa Bay, the one big positive is they ended
• 30:11
  Speaker 4: their winlessness. They had four straight losses to open the season,
• 30:15
  Speaker 4: and they won last week. And I talk about how
• 30:17
  Speaker 4: a lot of times when you do that, That'll end
• 30:20
  Speaker 4: that losing momentum for you, and it'll give you positive
• 30:22
  Speaker 4: momentum moving forward.
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: So that's the positive for Tampa.
• 30:26
  Speaker 4: The negative is that they upset the Dallas Cowboys on
• 30:29
  Speaker 4: Thursday night. And while they do have extra rest here,
• 30:33
  Speaker 4: I think that's kind of a bad thing. I think
• 30:34
  Speaker 4: they're in a letdown spot coming off that big upset
• 30:37
  Speaker 4: win of the Cowboys. Everybody saw it on Thursday night.
• 30:39
  Speaker 4: Everybody's going to think maybe Tampa Bay's not so bad
• 30:42
  Speaker 4: after that. And it is true that they played close
• 30:45
  Speaker 4: in all their losses. But remember, Baker Mayfield was there
• 30:47
  Speaker 4: for most of those losses. And while I know I'm
• 30:51
  Speaker 4: a Baker Mayfield naysayer, I'm a Nayfield-sayer. I know, I
• 30:55
  Speaker 4: don't think he's that good, but I still think he's
• 30:57
  Speaker 4: better than undrafted free agent... Jalen Daniels, not Jaden Daniels,
• 31:02
  Speaker 4: Jalen Daniels, who's the starter now for Tampa Bay. I
• 31:05
  Speaker 4: know he's going to have some confidence after beating the Cowboys, but, yeah,
• 31:09
  Speaker 4: I mean, I'm still not sold on him, man. He
• 31:13
  Speaker 4: wasn't good against the Packers, really, and the Steelers are
• 31:16
  Speaker 4: obviously a better defense than the Cowboys. The Cowboys might
• 31:19
  Speaker 4: be the worst defense in the NFL. That defense is putrid, so.
• 31:24
  Speaker 4: It's starting to seem like Tampa Bay is in a
• 31:26
  Speaker 4: fade spot here. It's a letdown spot, I think, coming
• 31:29
  Speaker 4: off the upset of the Cowboys. Everybody saw that in primetime.
• 31:32
  Speaker 4: Usually you want to fade teams that looked better than
• 31:35
  Speaker 4: expected in primetime like that. They might be riding that
• 31:38
  Speaker 4: high throughout the week, so I don't think the extra
• 31:40
  Speaker 4: rest is going to help them. I think the extra
• 31:42
  Speaker 4: rest coming off a big win like that actually hurts you.
• 31:45
  Speaker 4: And they do have a big game up next against
• 31:47
  Speaker 4: the Carolina Panthers.
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: And if you remember... like seemingly really every year recently,
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: it seems like, well, actually, you know, the last couple
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: of years, maybe, It came down to Tampa Bay versus
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: Carolina last year to win the division, if you remember.
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: And Tampa Bay beat Carolina in the final game of
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: the season, but Carolina still won the division because of
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: the tiebreaker.
• 32:07
  Speaker 4: So I think that is a big game. Tampa Bay
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: with Carolina up on deck. I think that game is
• 32:13
  Speaker 4: going to be big for Tampa Bay.
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: Maybe a little bit of revenge because Carolina essentially stole
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: the division from them last year.
• 32:20
  Speaker 4: So Tampa might be looking ahead to that. I don't
• 32:22
  Speaker 4: know if they're going to pay that much attention.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: To the Steelers. The question is, will the Steelers pay
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: attention to the Buccaneers?
• 32:29
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 32:29
  Speaker 4: They're coming off a win over the Colts that I
• 32:31
  Speaker 4: don't think is anything special. And they only play the
• 32:34
  Speaker 4: Saints next. So to me, it doesn't really look like
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: a negative spot in the schedule for Pittsburgh here, so
• 32:41
  Speaker 4: I think I have to lean to the Steelers in
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: this one. I think it's debatably a sandwich spot for
• 32:45
  Speaker 4: Tampa Bay, but the money definitely does not agree with this. Pittsburgh,
• 32:49
  Speaker 4: 71% of the tickets, 62% of the cash, so Pittsburgh's
• 32:53
  Speaker 4: the public side with less of the money on them,
• 32:54
  Speaker 4: but I think they're the right side in this game.
• 32:57
  Speaker 4: They're minus two and a half here. If you're going
• 32:59
  Speaker 4: to play them, I would... try to find the 2.5
• 33:01
  Speaker 4: and not let it get to 3, which it might
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: because they're public. So I think if you're going to
• 33:05
  Speaker 4: play Pittsburgh, you should probably get on it before that
• 33:07
  Speaker 4: gets to 3. And points are at a premium here
• 33:10
  Speaker 4: because this is a low total at 38.5. I think
• 33:13
  Speaker 4: we're looking at an old Aaron Rodgers against a rookie
• 33:20
  Speaker 4: quarterback here, so we might see not a whole lot
• 33:22
  Speaker 4: of offense in this game.
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
• 33:25
  Speaker 4: Total did drop from 48.5 to 38.5 already, but that
• 33:26
  Speaker 4: is a low total. NFL total, and yeah, I think
• 33:31
  Speaker 4: it's low for a reason. By the way, Carolina-Philadelphia is
• 33:33
  Speaker 4: also that low, which is kind of insane to think about.
• 33:36
  Speaker 4: I mean, obviously it makes sense in that Philadelphia has
• 33:39
  Speaker 4: a bunch of offensive injuries, but Carolina doesn't really.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: So that total seems really low for.
• 33:45
  Speaker 4: A Carolina game, but I think it's faith in Philadelphia's
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: defense to some extent is what's going on there. That
• 33:52
  Speaker 4: total did possibly over-adjust to the Hurts injury, by the way.
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: In Carolina-Philly.
• 33:57
  Speaker 4: It dropped from 43 down to 39.5, so that might
• 34:00
  Speaker 4: be a little bit of an overreaction to the Hurts injury,
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: but in Pittsburgh-Tampa Bay, I could see this game being
• 34:07
  Speaker 4: ugly and low scoring here. I think both teams might
• 34:10
  Speaker 4: focus on the rushing attack. They've both been running the
• 34:12
  Speaker 4: ball pretty well, so that might happen in this game. Total, yeah,
• 34:18
  Speaker 4: it hasn't really crossed through a key, key number yet,
• 34:20
  Speaker 4: I don't think. 41 and 37, I think, are the
• 34:23
  Speaker 4: more key numbers in this range, so An under may.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: Be playable in that game. And I know usually an
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: underdog is correlated with the under, but it's kind of
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: a small spread. So if you're worried about that, Pittsburgh
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: money line could be an option. But I don't want
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: to really fade the market read there either. Market read
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: is definitely opposing Pittsburgh there, but I think the situation
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: lines up for them. All right.
• 34:47
  Speaker 4: Arizona at the LA Rams. LA Rams, they looked good
• 34:51
  Speaker 4: in a loss on Monday night. Last time we saw them,
• 34:53
  Speaker 4: Monday night, big game against the Bills, and they blew
• 34:57
  Speaker 4: the game right at the end. Thicker kicker, who's now
• 35:00
  Speaker 4: been thicker kicked off of the team after that.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: He's no longer there. He's gone.
• 35:06
  Speaker 4: I don't even know who LA replaced him with, but
• 35:09
  Speaker 4: that was bad. I think it was coaching, to be honest.
• 35:11
  Speaker 4: I would not put it all on Mevis, the thicker
• 35:14
  Speaker 4: kicker in that game. I had so many issues with
• 35:17
  Speaker 4: what Sean McVay did and Sean Payton did the same
• 35:21
  Speaker 4: thing in overtime in the Denver game the other day.
• 35:24
  Speaker 4: These coaches named Sean, man, what the hell are they doing?
• 35:28
  Speaker 4: Sean McVay in this game, if you don't remember, same
• 35:30
  Speaker 4: thing that Sean Payton did the other night, refused to
• 35:33
  Speaker 4: get closer for a more makeable field goal. Basically, they
• 35:37
  Speaker 4: had a field goal to win the game situation. Field
• 35:40
  Speaker 4: goal wins the game.
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: And they were just.
• 35:43
  Speaker 4: satisfied with kicking a really long field goal that was
• 35:46
  Speaker 4: like a 60% shot maybe. And it was even crazier
• 35:50
  Speaker 4: for Denver because it was a 53 yarder.
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: For the Rams, it was like 48 yards.
• 35:55
  Speaker 4: And I know mile-high stadium for Denver makes it a
• 35:58
  Speaker 4: little bit easier to kick longer distances. I know for
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: the Rams it was in a dome, which makes it
• 36:02
  Speaker 4: easier as well because you take the weather out of
• 36:04
  Speaker 4: the equation.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: And Mivas' kick got blocked. I thought it was stupid.
• 36:08
  Speaker 4: Third and two for the Rams, I'm pretty sure, is
• 36:12
  Speaker 4: what it was in that game. And they basically just
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: were okay with kicking the field. I'm like, what are
• 36:16
  Speaker 4: you doing, man? What are you doing? Or it might
• 36:18
  Speaker 4: have been third and five. Maybe it was third and
• 36:20
  Speaker 4: two for Denver.
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: Whatever it was.
• 36:22
  Speaker 4: How can you not run another offensive play there to
• 36:24
  Speaker 4: try to get the first down and get your kicker closer?
• 36:28
  Speaker 4: It's so, so dumb. And that cost the Rams the game.
• 36:31
  Speaker 4: But the Rams looked really good in that loss, okay?
• 36:34
  Speaker 4: So the public is still going to play the Rams here,
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: even though they're sitting at 2-3. They faced a really
• 36:39
  Speaker 4: difficult schedule.
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, one of their losses was in Australia, where
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: they didn't adjust to the time zone at all, and
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: they lost to the Niners. Yeah.
• 36:47
  Speaker 4: They had a loss in Mile High where they seriously
• 36:50
  Speaker 4: outplayed the Broncos and somehow lost that game. They outplayed
• 36:54
  Speaker 4: the Eagles by way more than it looks like on
• 36:56
  Speaker 4: the scoreboard, beating them in Philly with the Eagles still
• 36:59
  Speaker 4: with the Hurts playing in that game at least. But yeah,
• 37:03
  Speaker 4: the Rams have looked good. There's still a public side here, man.
• 37:06
  Speaker 4: Some of it is because nobody wants the Cardinals. They're
• 37:08
  Speaker 4: 1-4 here. Cardinals got blown out last week by the Lions.
• 37:13
  Speaker 4: But I think the Cardinals have the ability to hang
• 37:15
  Speaker 4: in this game, man. Like, when they get up for
• 37:17
  Speaker 4: a divisional game like this, they can definitely.
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: Kind of hang around.
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: And they did do that in San Francisco, although it
• 37:23
  Speaker 4: was more like a backdoor cover there.
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: But I think there's always the chance that that happens, right?
• 37:28
  Speaker 4: Like, San Francisco had kind of a big lead in
• 37:30
  Speaker 4: that game, and they just took their foot off the
• 37:31
  Speaker 4: gas in Arizona.
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: Came roaring back.
• 37:35
  Speaker 4: Arizona does have the ability to do that if the
• 37:37
  Speaker 4: Rams don't take them seriously or take their foot off
• 37:40
  Speaker 4: the gas. The Cardinals definitely have the ability to cover here,
• 37:44
  Speaker 4: and they function fairly well as a big underdog because
• 37:47
  Speaker 4: Jacoby Brissett, while obviously he's not a super talented arm
• 37:51
  Speaker 4: or anything, the one thing he does well is not
• 37:53
  Speaker 4: turn the football over typically. I don't know what his
• 37:57
  Speaker 4: turnover stats look like this year, but that's been the
• 37:59
  Speaker 4: case throughout his career. I would take the points with
• 38:01
  Speaker 4: Arizona if I was going to play this. The line
• 38:03
  Speaker 4: is quite up there at 12 and a half. And,
• 38:06
  Speaker 4: you know, laying double digits in the NFL is not
• 38:08
  Speaker 4: exactly something in my repertoire. 68% of tickets, 61% of
• 38:14
  Speaker 4: the cash on the Rams. They're the public side, less
• 38:16
  Speaker 4: of the money on them. It is a high total though,
• 38:18
  Speaker 4: 51 and a half. So it's not one of those
• 38:21
  Speaker 4: lower totals where it looks even better to take the
• 38:24
  Speaker 4: underdog with a lower total. But even so, I think
• 38:27
  Speaker 4: the underdog is the right way to look in that game.
• 38:31
  Speaker 4: Harry Kane, yeah, they brought him over from England. He
• 38:36
  Speaker 4: might be at the Jacksonville game, I don't know, although
• 38:38
  Speaker 4: they have Cam Little, so they don't.
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: Really need a kicker. All right, Chargers at Kansas City,
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: as we continue with the 4 p.m. slate here.
• 38:49
  Speaker 4: And this is an 0-5 team against a 5-0 team,
• 38:53
  Speaker 4: I believe, right? So you know me, I'm almost by
• 38:55
  Speaker 4: default going to take the 0-5 team against the, or
• 38:58
  Speaker 4: against a 4-0 team, sorry. I'm almost by default going
• 39:01
  Speaker 4: to play the 0-5 team against the undefeated team. I
• 39:05
  Speaker 4: would not do that in this game, though. I actually
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: like the Chiefs in this game, even though it sounds insane.
• 39:11
  Speaker 4: The Chargers, I know they're going to show up for
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: this game for sure, even though their season's basically dead.
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: This is one of the games they will still show
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: up for.
• 39:19
  Speaker 4: It's a big divisional game against the Chiefs, but they're
• 39:22
  Speaker 4: coming off another big game against the Broncos last week
• 39:25
  Speaker 4: where they blew the game, and that was in my
• 39:28
  Speaker 4: contest entry, my pick five. absolutely the Chargers should have
• 39:31
  Speaker 4: covered that number they were winning the game with like
• 39:35
  Speaker 4: with what five six minutes left in the game Chargers
• 39:37
  Speaker 4: had a touchdown lead somewhere in the fourth quarter at
• 39:40
  Speaker 4: least They wound up completely blowing the game, and then
• 39:42
  Speaker 4: the Broncos kicked an extra field goal.
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: With less than a minute left probably to cover the spread.
• 39:48
  Speaker 4: I'm like, you've got to be kidding me, dude. But
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: the Chargers, that was a big divisional game for them
• 39:52
  Speaker 4: there too, and coming off a loss like that where
• 39:54
  Speaker 4: they had the Broncos on the ropes, coming off that game,
• 39:58
  Speaker 4: even though mentally, yeah, they should get up for this game,
• 40:00
  Speaker 4: having to go into Arrowhead and play another physically demanding
• 40:04
  Speaker 4: game like this for the Chargers... I don't think that
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: looks good to me, man.
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: I really don't.
• 40:09
  Speaker 4: Having to put in a big effort like that two
• 40:11
  Speaker 4: games in a row. And for the Chiefs, they're coming
• 40:13
  Speaker 4: off of a bye coming into this game. We know
• 40:16
  Speaker 4: Andy Reid, excellent off of a bye. He does really
• 40:19
  Speaker 4: well coming off of a bye. The one negative I
• 40:22
  Speaker 4: see for Kansas City here is they went into the
• 40:24
  Speaker 4: bye on a 4-0 loss. And, you know, I talk
• 40:27
  Speaker 4: about going into the bye on a win streak usually
• 40:29
  Speaker 4: breaks your win streak, right?
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: So usually that's a negative.
• 40:33
  Speaker 4: But given that Andy Reid is very good coming out
• 40:35
  Speaker 4: of the bye and the fact that Kansas City almost
• 40:38
  Speaker 4: lost their last game against the Raiders, I actually think
• 40:41
  Speaker 4: that they might consider that not being a good note
• 40:43
  Speaker 4: to go into the bye on. The fact that they
• 40:46
  Speaker 4: almost lost a game that they should have definitely won
• 40:49
  Speaker 4: against the Raiders, they might actually have some stuff to
• 40:51
  Speaker 4: fix there.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: Throughout that bye there. So I actually, I'd lay.
• 40:54
  Speaker 4: The points with the Chiefs in this one, believe it
• 40:56
  Speaker 4: or not, if I was going to play this game.
• 40:58
  Speaker 4: 57% of the tickets are on the Chiefs, so they're
• 41:01
  Speaker 4: not even really that public, surprisingly. You'd think they'd be
• 41:04
  Speaker 4: really public, but it doesn't really look like they are, shockingly,
• 41:08
  Speaker 4: against an 0-5 Charger team. 66% of the cash on
• 41:12
  Speaker 4: Kansas City. It opened above 7.5, and when I see that,
• 41:16
  Speaker 4: sometimes which side of the 7 it opens on sometimes
• 41:19
  Speaker 4: tells you what the oddsmakers are thinking and where they
• 41:23
  Speaker 4: want to induce some of the money. If it's a
• 41:25
  Speaker 4: favorite you know is going to be a public side
• 41:27
  Speaker 4: and they put up a 6.5, that kind of tells
• 41:30
  Speaker 4: you that the oddsmakers think that that underdog has a
• 41:33
  Speaker 4: decent chance because it looks way too easy to play
• 41:37
  Speaker 4: the favorite under a touchdown. But when they put up
• 41:40
  Speaker 4: a 7.5, it makes it look a lot less enticing
• 41:44
  Speaker 4: to lay the points with that favorite through that key number.
• 41:48
  Speaker 4: So that kind of is an indicator to me as well.
• 41:51
  Speaker 4: It is a low total, though, with the total dropping,
• 41:54
  Speaker 4: by the way. So there is a low total here.
• 41:56
  Speaker 4: So points will be at a premium. most likely in
• 41:58
  Speaker 4: this game, but I still kind of like Kansas City
• 42:00
  Speaker 4: in that one. All right, I know, I'm aware. I've
• 42:03
  Speaker 4: not given you any of my plays yet. Well, yeah,
• 42:05
  Speaker 4: it is time for that.
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: Let's do this. You want to know what I'm betting?
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: Let's do it.
• 42:14
  Speaker 4: Best bet segment. We're going to have both of them
• 42:16
  Speaker 4: back to back here. You're not going to like this.
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: Nobody's going to like this.
• 42:20
  Speaker 4: We're going to take the Las Vegas Raiders plus five
• 42:23
  Speaker 4: and a half or maybe six.
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: You might still be able to get a six on this.
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: I hope it doesn't make that much of a difference.
• 42:28
  Speaker 4: It's sort of in that dead number zone there, but
• 42:31
  Speaker 4: mostly this is a fade of the Buffalo Bills here.
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: The Bills have looked really good. I get it. They're 4-1.
• 42:37
  Speaker 4: They looked way too good against the Rams, though, and
• 42:40
  Speaker 4: that's what everybody saw Monday night. This Bills offense doing
• 42:43
  Speaker 4: what they do, putting up a big number against a
• 42:46
  Speaker 4: Rams team that the public still really likes. This Rams
• 42:49
  Speaker 4: team still considered to be one of the top teams
• 42:51
  Speaker 4: in the NFL by what the oddsmakers tell you and whatever.
• 42:54
  Speaker 4: And I think in the public mind, they still are.
• 42:56
  Speaker 4: So that was a huge win, high-scoring win for Buffalo
• 42:59
  Speaker 4: on Monday night.
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: Looked really good. Well, now they're on a short week.
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: And by the way, I forgot to point out the
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: Rams are also on a short week. Turning around on
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: a short week, a little bit difficult to do, although
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: it'll be a little bit easier for Buffalo because they
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: did stay in the Pacific time zone. They didn't go
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: back home because they– realize that they have la and
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: then las vegas right so they did not do anything
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: stupid they didn't go back home if they did i
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: would really like this play because you know how i
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: always talk about the east coast team having to play
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: in the pacific time zone how it's a negative but
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: in this case it's not gonna matter that much anyway
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: because it's not a night game so i don't think
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: it's gonna it wouldn't be one that like really messes
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: with their biological clocks anyway but even though they did
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: stay out there i just think they're gonna be riding
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: that high off of that rams win And the Bills
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: go into a bye after this game. And then they
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: play the Baltimore Ravens coming out of the bye. That's
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: a bigger game, dude. The Ravens.
• 43:51
  Speaker 4: I just don't think teams are going to take the
• 43:54
  Speaker 4: Raiders seriously still, especially with what they did last week.
• 43:57
  Speaker 4: Whereas the Ravens are obviously a serious contender here. So
• 44:01
  Speaker 4: this is a sandwich spot for the Bills, dude.
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: Between the Rams and the Ravens. With the Raiders in between.
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: The R.A. sandwich spot here. I don't know. What would
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: that be? The RA, the residential advisor. What types of
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: sandwiches did your residential advisor eat? I don't know. I'm
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: trying to remember.
• 44:17
  Speaker 4: I think I only remember who my RA was like
• 44:20
  Speaker 4: my freshman year in college. And I don't remember what
• 44:24
  Speaker 4: that dude liked for sandwiches. What I do know is
• 44:28
  Speaker 4: he carried hot sauce around with him everywhere. And he
• 44:32
  Speaker 4: put it on every food. including like ice cream and stuff.
• 44:36
  Speaker 4: I'm like, this dude is kind of crazy. Based on
• 44:39
  Speaker 4: that knowledge, you.
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: Can probably guess what this guy looked like, by the way.
• 44:41
  Speaker 4: I'm not saying anything, but you know, he probably liked
• 44:45
  Speaker 4: fried chicken sandwiches, I'm guessing.
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: So that's what we'll call this. This will be a
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: fried chicken sandwich here. The R.A.
• 44:53
  Speaker 4: Sandwich, Buffalo, between huge games against the Rams and the Ravens.
• 44:57
  Speaker 4: They've got to play the Raiders in here. And even
• 44:59
  Speaker 4: though the Raiders are actually returning cross-country from the East
• 45:02
  Speaker 4: Coast back west, I'm not that concerned about that because, again,
• 45:06
  Speaker 4: it's not a night game at least. And they looked
• 45:08
  Speaker 4: real bad against the Patriots last week. So now I
• 45:10
  Speaker 4: think the public's just going to want nothing to do
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: with the Raiders here. Obviously, they're going to be on
• 45:15
  Speaker 4: the side of the Bills. Raiders, you know, probably the
• 45:18
  Speaker 4: public feels like they've shown us who they are now.
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean? They opened the season with
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: three wins yesterday.
• 45:24
  Speaker 4: Against three teams that have a combined one win, by
• 45:28
  Speaker 4: the way. The Raiders beat Miami, the Chargers, and the Saints.
• 45:31
  Speaker 4: Those three teams have one win total. So the public
• 45:35
  Speaker 4: is not going to, and I know it sounds like
• 45:37
  Speaker 4: I'm arguing against the Raiders here. The public is not
• 45:39
  Speaker 4: going to want the Raiders. But again, I don't think
• 45:42
  Speaker 4: the Saints are that bad of a team. And then
• 45:44
  Speaker 4: the Raiders played well against the Chiefs. They hung with
• 45:46
  Speaker 4: the Chiefs. So this Raider team isn't that bad. Kirk
• 45:49
  Speaker 4: Cousins is a capable, experienced quarterback. that they have there.
• 45:54
  Speaker 4: And the one good thing that we have going for
• 45:55
  Speaker 4: our other Raiders here, the Bills defense sucks, okay? The
• 46:00
  Speaker 4: Bills defense is still not good. So the Raiders should
• 46:03
  Speaker 4: be able to put up some points here. And I
• 46:04
  Speaker 4: don't think you should be laying points on the road
• 46:06
  Speaker 4: with a bad defense. like buffalo and that on top
• 46:09
  Speaker 4: of it being a bad spot buffalo's very public 73
• 46:13
  Speaker 4: of the tickets on them only 72 of the cash
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: so the market read is agreeing with me on this
• 46:18
  Speaker 4: i know it is a really high total uh it's
• 46:20
  Speaker 4: the highest of the week at 53 and a half
• 46:23
  Speaker 4: because it is buffalo's just an over team dude again
• 46:26
  Speaker 4: prolific offense bad defense for buffalo but still um I'm
• 46:31
  Speaker 4: still going to take the points here in this one.
• 46:33
  Speaker 4: You can get probably five and a half out there.
• 46:35
  Speaker 4: I don't think you're going to get better than that
• 46:36
  Speaker 4: at this point, but there's no huge difference between five,
• 46:40
  Speaker 4: five and a half, four and a half, whatever.
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: We're going to take the points here. I know we
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: could have gotten a six earlier in.
• 46:45
  Speaker 4: The week, but still it's not that big of a
• 46:48
  Speaker 4: deal missing that. So, yeah, we're going to take the
• 46:50
  Speaker 4: Raiders here in this one. Like I said, I know
• 46:53
  Speaker 4: it sounds like my NFL plays are the ugliest, of course.
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: That's what it is. It's the most public sport. And,
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: you know, fading the public is what I do. I
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: go contrarian. It leads to some real ugly stuff in
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: the NFL, man, although you don't necessarily want to play
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: on– teams that are so bad that they're like incapable
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: of winning.
• 47:10
  Speaker 3: Right.
• 47:11
  Speaker 4: But I don't think that's, I don't think that is
• 47:13
  Speaker 4: how I would classify the Raiders or my next play.
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: He only ate pizza. What are we talking about? I
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: don't even remember what I said. Oh yeah.
• 47:24
  Speaker 4: Well, yeah, it's especially wild in, you know, Massachusetts where, yeah,
• 47:29
  Speaker 4: I mean, I went to college in Worcester, though, so
• 47:33
  Speaker 4: it's less white out there in Worcester.
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: Oh, wait, there's no H there.
• 47:40
  Speaker 4: But, yeah, even so, I think basically everybody in my building,
• 47:44
  Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure, was white, though, otherwise.
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm a nerd, man. It was a nerd school,
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: so what do you expect? Actually, am I wrong about that?
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to think now. Who was on my floor
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: freshman year? I don't know. I mean, it was almost.
• 48:01
  Speaker 4: Entirely white dudes at the very least.
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 48:04
  Speaker 4: Next game, we're still in the best bet segment here.
• 48:08
  Speaker 4: You know, that last one was ugly. You might think
• 48:11
  Speaker 4: this one is even uglier. We're going to take the
• 48:13
  Speaker 4: Dallas Cowboys plus one and a half against the Green
• 48:15
  Speaker 4: Bay Packers in the Sunday night game here. This is
• 48:18
  Speaker 4: my favorite play on the NFL board this entire week,
• 48:23
  Speaker 4: including the one that we already got right. I like
• 48:27
  Speaker 4: Dallas a lot here. All the situational stuff I look
• 48:30
  Speaker 4: for lines up on Dallas here. They're coming off a
• 48:33
  Speaker 4: really ugly loss as a favorite, so I like teams
• 48:36
  Speaker 4: to bounce back if they have a bad loss as
• 48:38
  Speaker 4: a favorite. That's what they did against the Buccaneers. They
• 48:40
  Speaker 4: have extra time off after that loss because that was
• 48:43
  Speaker 4: Thursday night. It was a very public game as far
• 48:46
  Speaker 4: as a lot of people watched it because it was
• 48:48
  Speaker 4: a primetime, isolated Thursday game, so everybody saw Dallas look
• 48:52
  Speaker 4: like Dallas again in that game. So I like all that.
• 48:56
  Speaker 4: Nobody's going to want Dallas coming off a game like that.
• 48:58
  Speaker 4: Everybody saw them look real bad in prime time. They
• 49:01
  Speaker 4: have extra time off to fix shit. So I think
• 49:04
  Speaker 4: the extra time off will help them in this type
• 49:06
  Speaker 4: of scenario. They should be in a bounce back spot here.
• 49:10
  Speaker 4: And for the Green Bay side, Green Bay's coming off
• 49:13
  Speaker 4: a blowout win against their most hated rival, the Chicago Bears.
• 49:17
  Speaker 4: And it was even more monumental for Green Bay because
• 49:20
  Speaker 4: that was a double revenge spot. If you remember, the
• 49:23
  Speaker 4: last two times Green Bay played Chicago last year, they.
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: Blew leads that they shouldn't have blown. They were in Chicago,
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: I think, well, in the playoffs. They were definitely in
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: Chicago in the playoffs, and they blew that game. I
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: know I'm still pissed about it because that was a
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: play I gave out on the show on Green Bay
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: last year. in the playoff game against Chicago.
• 49:42
  Speaker 4: Green Bay had a huge lead in that game and
• 49:44
  Speaker 4: had an unbelievable implosion to lose that game.
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: So it was a huge revenge spot just because of that.
• 49:51
  Speaker 4: So not only is Green Bay, Green Bay and Chicago
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: are one of the biggest rivalries in the NFL, but
• 49:58
  Speaker 4: on top of that, Green Bay had been knocked out
• 50:00
  Speaker 4: of the playoffs by the Bears in that game where
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: Green Bay basically caused their own demise. So you know
• 50:06
  Speaker 4: they wanted that game big time against the Bears. And
• 50:09
  Speaker 4: on top of that, like I said, it was double
• 50:10
  Speaker 4: revenge because they also blew a game that they should
• 50:13
  Speaker 4: have won where they had a multiple score lead late
• 50:16
  Speaker 4: in the game.
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: I think it was at Green Bay, I want to say,
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: later in the season.
• 50:20
  Speaker 4: And I think the Bears scored and got like an
• 50:22
  Speaker 4: onside kick in that one and then won the game
• 50:25
  Speaker 4: or sent it into overtime and then won something like that.
• 50:28
  Speaker 4: It was completely ridiculous. So huge win for Green Bay
• 50:31
  Speaker 4: in every way you look at it. Now they got
• 50:33
  Speaker 4: to play this Cowboys team that just didn't look good
• 50:37
  Speaker 4: last week. And up next, by the way, The Packers
• 50:40
  Speaker 4: have their second most hated rival, the Detroit Lions, up next.
• 50:44
  Speaker 4: So they're in an NFC North divisional sandwich here. I
• 50:47
  Speaker 4: know the Cowboys are America's team. They're the Dallas Cowboys.
• 50:52
  Speaker 4: But they're playing poorly enough that you could definitely overlook
• 50:55
  Speaker 4: the Cowboys in a spot like this. And I think
• 50:57
  Speaker 4: that's what's going to happen with Green Bay here, man.
• 51:00
  Speaker 4: I know Green Bay has the better defense, obviously. Dallas'
• 51:03
  Speaker 4: defense is terrible. And usually I like the better defense.
• 51:07
  Speaker 4: Not in this case, man. I think Dallas' offense is,
• 51:10
  Speaker 4: they're still, I mean, I know Dallas' offense is still
• 51:12
  Speaker 4: really good. I think they can do enough to get
• 51:14
  Speaker 4: this thing done. This is supposed to be a high-scoring game,
• 51:17
  Speaker 4: and I think if it becomes a shootout, I think
• 51:19
  Speaker 4: that's what Dallas wants. Dallas wants this thing to be
• 51:22
  Speaker 4: a shootout, and the total is like 53.5 in this game,
• 51:25
  Speaker 4: and it's gone up with some money coming in on.
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: The over here.
• 51:30
  Speaker 4: I think the over is definitely correlated with Dallas in
• 51:32
  Speaker 4: this game. I think if Green Bay is going to win,
• 51:34
  Speaker 4: they're going to try to Keep this game under. But
• 51:37
  Speaker 4: it's going to be difficult for them to do because
• 51:39
  Speaker 4: they still don't have a rushing attack. I know Josh
• 51:41
  Speaker 4: Jacobs is coming back. Yay for my fantasy team if
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: I decide to keep him. He's not playing this week, though.
• 51:47
  Speaker 4: So they have to wait for Josh Jacobs to come back.
• 51:51
  Speaker 4: So in the meantime, Green Bay can't run the football.
• 51:53
  Speaker 4: And Dallas has a much more balanced offensive attack here.
• 51:57
  Speaker 4: They can run and they can throw it. So, yeah,
• 52:00
  Speaker 4: and the spot is just great for Dallas, in my opinion,
• 52:03
  Speaker 4: in this game, and horrible for Green Bay.
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: The money doesn't seem to agree, at least right now.
• 52:08
  Speaker 4: Dallas, 51% of the tickets, 53% of the cash on
• 52:11
  Speaker 4: Green Bay. But I don't buy that. Like, I'm not
• 52:16
  Speaker 4: going to put much weight into what I see there.
• 52:17
  Speaker 4: I mean, those numbers are really close to 50%. To me,
• 52:21
  Speaker 4: I think the public is only going to want Green
• 52:22
  Speaker 4: Bay in this game. After what they saw last week,
• 52:25
  Speaker 4: Green Bay, a massive blowout win against the Bears, even
• 52:28
  Speaker 4: though I know it was the Bears without Caleb Williams,
• 52:30
  Speaker 4: but it was the Bears without Caleb Williams. So that
• 52:33
  Speaker 4: win is actually, it's not as good as it looked,
• 52:36
  Speaker 4: let's say. And hopefully the public is just not catching
• 52:39
  Speaker 4: on to that is what I'm implying. But you'd think
• 52:41
  Speaker 4: after a blowout win like that, the public would only
• 52:43
  Speaker 4: want to play Green Bay. And after seeing Dallas, oh
• 52:46
  Speaker 4: my God, lose to Tampa Bay, To me, the public
• 52:50
  Speaker 4: is not playing Dallas in this game, dude. Those are
• 52:53
  Speaker 4: my thoughts here. The line is right around the one
• 52:58
  Speaker 4: number here, one or one and a half. You get
• 52:59
  Speaker 4: Dallas as a slight underdog here. If you want to
• 53:01
  Speaker 4: play them on the money line, you could do that too.
• 53:04
  Speaker 4: Highly likely that if they cover the win, it's basically
• 53:06
  Speaker 4: just to pick the winner.
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: That's all that. That's Sunday night. Then we do have
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: a Monday night game, which I will talk about again
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: on the Monday show.
• 53:16
  Speaker 4: It's Washington at San Francisco. The undefeated 49ers, I think, no,
• 53:22
  Speaker 4: it's them and the Vikings are the undefeated teams left
• 53:24
  Speaker 4: in the league, right? Is there any other undefeated team left?
• 53:28
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 53:28
  Speaker 4: My apologies if I missed one. The public's going to
• 53:32
  Speaker 4: be on the 49ers here, obviously, and they are. 72%
• 53:35
  Speaker 4: of the tickets, but 91% of the cash on them, too.
• 53:38
  Speaker 4: They're laying 7.5 points, but I would not do that.
• 53:42
  Speaker 4: I would lean towards Washington plus the points in this
• 53:44
  Speaker 4: Monday night game. By the way, the primetime games have
• 53:47
  Speaker 4: had a lot of underdogs.
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: Hitting here.
• 53:49
  Speaker 4: I think the underdogs have, I think, uh, covered at
• 53:52
  Speaker 4: least 11 primetime games in a row or something like that.
• 53:55
  Speaker 4: So the underdogs have been excellent in primetime. And I
• 53:59
  Speaker 4: guess Dallas technically qualifies as a one and a half.
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: I'm not expecting that trend to continue.
• 54:04
  Speaker 4: But if it does, maybe a more substantial underdog like
• 54:07
  Speaker 4: Washington will get the cover here. It kind of makes sense, though,
• 54:10
  Speaker 4: because usually the favorites can have the public action. And
• 54:13
  Speaker 4: usually the line is going to be skewed a little
• 54:14
  Speaker 4: bit more towards where the public is going to be
• 54:16
  Speaker 4: in the primetime games because it's just a higher volume
• 54:19
  Speaker 4: of bets.
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 54:20
  Speaker 4: So the odds makers have to account for where the
• 54:22
  Speaker 4: public is going to be just a little bit more
• 54:24
  Speaker 4: on those games. But there are situational aspects to this
• 54:28
  Speaker 4: that would have me leaning towards Washington here as well, though.
• 54:31
  Speaker 4: I mean, mainly San Francisco just beat the Seahawks, dude.
• 54:34
  Speaker 4: That was a monster win for San Francisco. That was
• 54:36
  Speaker 4: a revenge win as well because the Seahawks embarrassed San
• 54:40
  Speaker 4: Francisco in knocking them out of the playoffs last year,
• 54:42
  Speaker 4: if you remember. San Francisco went into Seattle, and Seattle
• 54:47
  Speaker 4: blew the doors off them to end their season. So
• 54:49
  Speaker 4: you know San Francisco wanted that game.
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: They won. Huge win in Seattle, returning to the scene
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: of the crime.
• 54:56
  Speaker 4: Coming off that, at the very least, this is a
• 54:58
  Speaker 4: letdown spot for San Francisco coming off that game.
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: And they do play the Falcons next.
• 55:02
  Speaker 4: I don't know if that's a big deal or not,
• 55:04
  Speaker 4: but to me, I think they might overlook this Washington
• 55:06
  Speaker 4: team that has not played well so far. A one-win
• 55:09
  Speaker 4: Washington team. But they got Jaden Daniels back, and it's
• 55:12
  Speaker 4: his second game back. So it is not a reverse
• 55:15
  Speaker 4: injured player theory now for Washington, where I talk about
• 55:18
  Speaker 4: how the reverse injured player spot sometimes.
• 55:22
  Speaker 4: It takes a little while for that quarterback to get going.
• 55:24
  Speaker 4: Sometimes you don't get enough value on that team. Washington
• 55:28
  Speaker 4: was also coming back from London in that game, but
• 55:30
  Speaker 4: I still actually liked Washington in that game, and they
• 55:33
  Speaker 4: probably should have done it. They probably should have won
• 55:36
  Speaker 4: and probably covered. I mean, they were winning that game
• 55:37
  Speaker 4: by two scores late in the game, blew it, and
• 55:40
  Speaker 4: then had that ridiculous mental lapse in overtime, and they
• 55:43
  Speaker 4: could have won on a field goal and at least
• 55:45
  Speaker 4: pushed on the three. And one maybe for me and
• 55:49
  Speaker 4: some of my pick-em pools, I think it was a
• 55:50
  Speaker 4: two and a half, so whatever. But Washington coming off
• 55:53
  Speaker 4: a game, that was an ugly game against the Giants, dude.
• 55:56
  Speaker 4: The public's not going to want Washington off of a
• 55:58
  Speaker 4: game like that. My only concerns would be that was
• 56:01
  Speaker 4: still kind of a big divisional game for Washington. But
• 56:05
  Speaker 4: I think because they know that they blew that game,
• 56:06
  Speaker 4: they're going to be mentally focused because they know they
• 56:08
  Speaker 4: should have won that game after blowing that game the
• 56:10
  Speaker 4: way that they did. I think they might be a
• 56:12
  Speaker 4: little bit more focused after that, although maybe not because
• 56:15
  Speaker 4: sometimes the public will say, well, Washington absolutely should have
• 56:18
  Speaker 4: won that game and Giants got lucky and whatever. When
• 56:21
  Speaker 4: that's the narrative... The team that got lucky actually gets
• 56:25
  Speaker 4: more motivated because it's like, well, what are you?
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: You're saying we didn't win legitimately? We'll show you.
• 56:29
  Speaker 4: Whereas the team that lost and got unlucky kind of thinks, well,
• 56:33
  Speaker 4: we did enough to win and we still didn't win.
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: But whatever.
• 56:36
  Speaker 4: The main negative for Washington here and the reason I'm
• 56:38
  Speaker 4: not going to put this on my card is, you
• 56:40
  Speaker 4: know what I'm going to say if you follow me.
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: The Pacific Coast travel spot.
• 56:44
  Speaker 4: An East Coast team... going all the way to the
• 56:46
  Speaker 4: West coast. And it's even worse by the way, because
• 56:49
  Speaker 4: Washington was in London two weeks ago, played on the
• 56:52
  Speaker 4: East coast last week. And now they have to go
• 56:54
  Speaker 4: to the Pacific coast. That is a lot of travel.
• 56:56
  Speaker 4: So I'm going to avoid Washington for those reasons, but
• 56:59
  Speaker 4: the Pacific coast late night spot, again, I'm going to
• 57:02
  Speaker 4: point it out. It's bad for your biological clock for
• 57:05
  Speaker 4: an East coast team to have to go out West,
• 57:07
  Speaker 4: try to adjust to that time zone. Um, Play that
• 57:10
  Speaker 4: game that's going to go really late on your biological
• 57:12
  Speaker 4: clock where late at night you tend to be fatiguing
• 57:16
  Speaker 4: late at night. So, yeah, that's the reason why I'm
• 57:20
  Speaker 4: going to stay off. But I actually still like Washington
• 57:23
  Speaker 4: in this one. I just think the 49ers are just
• 57:26
  Speaker 4: simply in too big of a letdown spot here. They're
• 57:29
  Speaker 4: going to be public and they're laying– a few too
• 57:31
  Speaker 4: many points in my opinion. And second game with Jaden
• 57:34
  Speaker 4: Daniels back should be a little bit better for Washington
• 57:36
  Speaker 4: as you know, he's more comfortable back again after playing
• 57:39
  Speaker 4: a full game and not getting re-injured again for once,
• 57:43
  Speaker 4: you know, he was able to get through a game,
• 57:45
  Speaker 4: not getting injured. He should have some confidence back, um,
• 57:48
  Speaker 4: you know, be back in rhythm and whatever. So I
• 57:50
  Speaker 4: would leave Washington, but obviously there are some reasons to
• 57:53
  Speaker 4: not do it. So the overrunner don't, don't even talk
• 57:58
  Speaker 4: about what is going on in that game right now.
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: Um, I don't know. Oh, the 49ers owner scandal. What
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: was that again? I don't even remember what that was. Um, oh,
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: he was, was he gambling? I don't remember. He was, no,
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: he was, uh, uh, he was hiring prostitutes. Yeah, that's
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: what it was. Whatever, man, whatever he wants to do
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: on his own time. Um, you know, I, I don't know.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: I don't think it should be a scandal really. That's
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: going to do it though. Uh, you know, we got, uh,
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: my plays there. Um, Two plays for the week.
• 58:30
  Speaker 4: Well, we're going to have three because we already won
• 58:32
  Speaker 4: with the Broncos on Thursday. But two plays for tomorrow.
• 58:34
  Speaker 4: You've got to wait for these plays to start because
• 58:37
  Speaker 4: we're going with the 4 p.m. slate with the Raiders
• 58:40
  Speaker 4: plus five and a half. And we're going to go
• 58:42
  Speaker 4: with the Dallas Cowboys in the Sunday night game plus
• 58:44
  Speaker 4: one and a half.
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: Ugly stuff. It's how you win long term in this business, though,
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: especially in the NFL. That's going to do it. Learn
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: to toad on.
• 58:54
  Speaker 4: Twitter, Instagram, TikTok now. So go check that out. We're
• 58:57
  Speaker 4: going to try to blow this thing up on TikTok,
• 58:59
  Speaker 4: even though I don't even know what I'm doing over there,
• 59:01
  Speaker 4: but I'm going to start posting clips there.
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: Tell me what you think about my new clips, by
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: the way.
• 59:05
  Speaker 4: I know they look better, but I'm cutting them shorter
• 59:07
  Speaker 4: so there's less like actual analysis in them but it's
• 59:10
  Speaker 4: supposed to be a little bit of a hook to
• 59:12
  Speaker 4: get you to come in and like watch the show
• 59:14
  Speaker 4: now you know what i mean so those are getting
• 59:15
  Speaker 4: posted on all those platforms check it out all those
• 59:18
  Speaker 4: different things uh don't get mad at me for all
• 59:20
  Speaker 4: my political stuff on twitter i'm trying to fill too
• 59:23
  Speaker 4: many niches at once um listen to this show obviously
• 59:27
  Speaker 4: like subscribe let's bump this thing to the moon baby
• 59:31
  Speaker 4: let's go uh toadstool sports on youtube like subscribe comment
• 59:35
  Speaker 4: all that stuff um listen on audio apple spotify spreaker
• 59:39
  Speaker 4: boost all that stuff too we're on a few of
• 59:42
  Speaker 4: the other platforms too as well but you know we're
• 59:44
  Speaker 4: on the the big ones i got my other stuff
• 59:47
  Speaker 4: covered in uke um a ukulele stuff on youtube patreon.com
• 59:50
  Speaker 4: slash learn to tow which i never um check i
• 59:54
  Speaker 4: apologize but you know If you want to just support
• 59:57
  Speaker 4: your boy, you can do that.
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: But I will... I occasionally will check it, and I'll
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: try to do some of the Uke requests.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 4: And you get a Ukulele Spotify feed still, so you
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 4: can check that out. Losercast is every Tuesday night, and
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 4: I think that is it.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, that's going to do it. That's right.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 4: It was a trailer park hooker in Ohio, correct? I'm
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 4: not a fan of TikTok as an app. I've never
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 4: really done anything with it, but, like, I... I mean,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 4: I've looked at it and been like, this looks like ass. Like,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 4: I don't even know what to tell you.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: But I do have an account on there now, which
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: is the same name as all these other things. Go
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: check it out.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 4: The clips will start going up there as well. So
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 4: let's get it all done, baby. We're trying to boost
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 4: this thing. Let me know what you think about all
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 4: the new graphics and stuff that I'm dealing with here.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: And the new....
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 4: Intro, uh, if you missed it, we had a new
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 4: intro for the show tonight as well. So you can
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 4: check that out.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: We have the new best bets intro video. That's real creepy. Um,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: with the, uh, the AI toad, uh, telling you that you,
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: I know you want to know what I'm betting.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: Uh, see if I can do the voice.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 4: I got to tone my voice down and I'm going to,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 4: I got to start wearing a fedora on a suit
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 4: here and just be, yo, uh, yeah, just be way
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 4: more cool. Be like a, a crooner, be like a Vegas, uh,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 4: Italian gambler. I am Italian at least, uh, back in, uh,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 4: the old times. And I've stayed at the Flamingo in
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 4: Vegas before too, like a real, like a real Italian
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 4: cloud native.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: What's up, man?
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 4: Uh, Tom, I should say Pittsburgh fan. I see terrible towel.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 4: It looks like an Irish terrible towel.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: Um, I'm great. Thank you. I appreciate it, sir. Uh,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: Penguins are going to be last place.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: What do they do tonight? I don't even know.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 4: What was my opinion on that game tonight? I don't
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 4: even remember what I said. They played tonight or were
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 4: they off? Because they were on a back-to-back, right? If
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 4: they played tonight, they were on a back-to-back. Don't fret,
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 4: I guess, based on tonight at least because if they
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 4: played tonight, they were on a back-to-back, but yeah, I mean,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 4: I don't think they're that good.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: I think they're an.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 4: Overrated team, so, you know, that's just, I don't know,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 4: that's just the reality. I mean, no knock on any
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 4: of that, but I like Aaron Rodgers, so huge fan
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 4: of Aaron Rodgers, so there you go, so I'm not
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 4: a Pittsburgh hater, so, and even though I'm a New
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 4: England guy, like, I'm not, I'm not really a huge
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 4: Patriots fan, I like Drake May, but I really hated
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 4: Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, so, you know, I jumped
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 4: off that.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: Patriot train way back then, so... You know, so there
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: you go with that. But I like Drake May, especially
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: with his conspiracy stuff that he's been kind of seemingly
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: delving into based on some of his podcast appearances. I'm like, yeah,
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: this is my guy, Drake May. Let's go.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 4: As long as he's got to stick with his wife, man.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 4: He's got a cute wife that he's been with since
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 4: like high school or whatever. And she does baking content online.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: Trad wife. Let's go, baby. Drake May. Better guy than
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: Tom Brady. How about that? All right. That's going to
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: do it. I appreciate it, everybody. I'll be back in
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: the morning. Not going to be a whole lot to
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: talk about, but, oh, no. Well, I don't know. Sunday,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know how big the card is going to
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: be or the board is going to be, but we'll see.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: We'll figure it out.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 4: And then, yeah, stay tuned because I'm going to do
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 4: some sort of NBA preview as well before the NBA
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 4: starts on Tuesday. And All hell is going to break
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 4: loose when I have to handicap basketball coming back and
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 4: college basketball.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: I'm going to die, dude.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 4: Luckily, the college basketball, college football overlap isn't that much
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 4: because I do the college basketball long form like Saturday nights,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 4: and those are huge shows.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: Hopefully, we can get it done, man.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 4: Hopefully, I can limit myself and cut down the games
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 4: that I'm talking about and whatever. College basketball, I actually
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 4: handicap all 365 teams or whatever. It's a year's worth of.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: College basketball teams, however many there are. Whatever. I'm rambling. Peace, everybody.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. Thank you, Tom. Thank you, everybody. Tom, Charles,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: whoever else is in here. Mr. Pinsey. I'm not going
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: to be able to shout out everybody who's in here
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: every time. But, yeah, Dirty Sock, Justin, Nancy, Jim. Yes,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: hope I didn't miss anybody. Thanks for hanging out, everybody. Peace.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone. Let
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: somebody answer, let somebody know. You do not have to
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: lose this round alone. Hold on, hold on, not tonight.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: Not now Hold on, hold on Let me pull you
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: out That bad luck bites hard But it don't get
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: the crown Hold on, hold on Stay with me now
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on You're still here now guitar solo