Latest / Financial Survival Network / Trump Shocks Markets Higher - Dale Smothers #6362
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: And to be honest with you, if you listen to
- 0:01Speaker 1: the World Economic Forum conversation, if only half of what
- 0:04Speaker 1: Donald Trump is projecting to come to pass, if it
- 0:07Speaker 1: actually comes to pass at only fifty percent of what
- 0:10Speaker 1: he's forecasting, you do not want to be on the
- 0:12Speaker 1: sidelines with the US economy that's coming over the next
- 0:15Speaker 1: couple of years.
- 0:17Speaker 2: He made mention and you might have heard him and again, rhetoric, right,
- 0:20Speaker 2: it's his Yeah, it's his way of speaking.
- 0:24Speaker 1: The dow I believe he mentioned or might have just been,
- 0:26Speaker 1: the market in general will double under his presidency.
- 0:29Speaker 2: Now again, if half of that happens. Wear in good shape.
- 0:33Speaker 3: You are listening to Carrie Let's's Financial Survival Network, where
- 0:37Speaker 3: you get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else
- 0:41Speaker 3: to thrive in today's trying times. You need the Financial
- 0:44Speaker 3: Survival Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork
- 0:49Speaker 3: dot com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial
- 0:53Speaker 3: Survival Network now more than ever.
- 1:00Speaker 4: And welcome you are listening to and watching the Financial
- 1:04Speaker 4: Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Lutz. Well, unbelievable times, man.
- 1:10Speaker 4: I am planning a trip to Greenland. I might have
- 1:13Speaker 4: to stay on a military base. But that's okay because
- 1:17Speaker 4: it'll be the good old USA, as one person called it,
- 1:22Speaker 4: green Tonamo. And I think that's where we're headed from
- 1:25Speaker 4: dal Smothers with us Dale, you know, like it's all
- 1:29Speaker 4: noise and distractions. I heard somebody say, and I couldn't
- 1:33Speaker 4: agree with it more. I think it was Scott Jennings,
- 1:36Speaker 4: the guy from CNN who's the only sane person there.
- 1:39Speaker 4: He said, with the people on the left, they take
- 1:45Speaker 4: Trump's words literally, but they don't take him seriously. People
- 1:50Speaker 4: on the right take his don't take him literally, but
- 1:57Speaker 4: do take him seriously. And you know, markets, they could
- 2:02Speaker 4: just get shaken so easily, especially when they're getting up
- 2:07Speaker 4: near new all time highs.
- 2:10Speaker 1: Yeah, I've never heard that before. That's that's an interesting
- 2:13Speaker 1: way to think through that. I think it's become Donald
- 2:16Speaker 1: Trump's m right carry this. This has put out the
- 2:19Speaker 1: extreme and work towards a middle. And clearly the ten
- 2:25Speaker 1: percent tariff followed bout twenty five percent tariff or you
- 2:27Speaker 1: know what, we might just come take Greenland. That type
- 2:30Speaker 1: of rhetoric was the extreme. It is going to result
- 2:33Speaker 1: in something that benefits America, no doubt. I think in
- 2:38Speaker 1: his plan. He's laid out that this is a big
- 2:40Speaker 1: piece of the Golden Dome, extending that Golden Dome over
- 2:43Speaker 1: the Arctic, And I mean, it all makes sense, and
- 2:45Speaker 1: it makes sense not only for Donald Trump, but it's
- 2:48Speaker 1: made sense for five presidents for very similar reasons.
- 2:52Speaker 4: Day it wants it, Yeah, everybody wants that God forsaken
- 2:55Speaker 4: the piece of ice and spice. Yeah.
- 2:57Speaker 1: And you know, and there are certainly very intelligent people
- 3:02Speaker 1: who are working on this. I'm confident, and there are
- 3:04Speaker 1: reasons for it. I don't think we've got to get
- 3:07Speaker 1: a need one thread together and start putting the fifty
- 3:10Speaker 1: first state on our flag anytime soon. But I do
- 3:14Speaker 1: think that this is going to benefit America in the
- 3:17Speaker 1: long run. And clearly the market has overreacted to the rhetoric,
- 3:23Speaker 1: and now that a deal is being discussed has come
- 3:26Speaker 1: back with a little bit of a rebound here onto
- 3:30Speaker 1: the twenty twenty six news cycle, which I think is
- 3:32Speaker 1: more AI than anything.
- 3:34Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, oh sure, they stopped reporting a long time ago.
- 3:39Speaker 4: At least the artificial intelligence is definitely brighter than the
- 3:44Speaker 4: average reporter that's around these days.
- 3:47Speaker 2: You know, outsource AI, outsource the reporter. I love it.
- 3:51Speaker 4: Yeah, well it works, you know, like places like financial
- 3:57Speaker 4: reporting like on Yahoo and Google, and you know Bloomberg
- 4:02Speaker 4: that's been AI generated for years.
- 4:04Speaker 2: Oh certainly.
- 4:05Speaker 1: Yeah, and you can kind of see it if you
- 4:06Speaker 1: start looking across multiple platforms. Very similar language across those platforms.
- 4:12Speaker 4: Definitely, definitely. So what do you think we go in
- 4:17Speaker 4: for records now on the SMP.
- 4:20Speaker 2: I do, I really do?
- 4:21Speaker 1: I think the S and P five hundred, even the
- 4:23Speaker 1: Nasdaq on the back of the AI boom, is likely
- 4:28Speaker 1: to see all time highs very soon. And to be
- 4:30Speaker 1: honest with you, if you listen to the World Economic
- 4:33Speaker 1: Forum conversation, if only half of what Donald Trump is
- 4:36Speaker 1: projecting to come to pass, if it actually comes to pass,
- 4:39Speaker 1: it only fifty percent of what he's forecasting, you do
- 4:42Speaker 1: not want to be on the sidelines with the US
- 4:44Speaker 1: economy that's coming over the next couple of years. He
- 4:47Speaker 1: made mention and you might have heard him and again rhetoric, right.
- 4:50Speaker 2: It's his Yeah, it's his way of speaking.
- 4:54Speaker 1: The Dow I believe he mentioned or might have just
- 4:57Speaker 1: been the market in general will double under his presidency.
- 5:00Speaker 2: Now again, if half of that happens.
- 5:02Speaker 1: Wearing good shape, and I think a lot of that
- 5:05Speaker 1: is driven by the growth that we have.
- 5:08Speaker 2: He made mention that one of his.
- 5:10Speaker 1: Big filters for the FED is that if we see
- 5:15Speaker 1: record breaking GDP, we don't then all the all of
- 5:18Speaker 1: a sudden decide that we're going to raise interest rates,
- 5:21Speaker 1: which has kind of been the mo for several FED
- 5:23Speaker 1: chairs that raising interest rates in preparation for inflation.
- 5:27Speaker 2: That's not here.
- 5:28Speaker 1: He thinks we're going to grow ourselves out of a
- 5:31Speaker 1: national debt, this thirty what eight now trillion dollar national
- 5:35Speaker 1: debt and counting from his mouth, And obviously that's been
- 5:40Speaker 1: his goal from day one, and we talked about this
- 5:42Speaker 1: multiple times.
- 5:42Speaker 4: Garriy, Hey, so what about the facto that the precious
- 5:46Speaker 4: metals are hitting record highs even today, Silver hits a
- 5:50Speaker 4: new high, Gold pretty close to a new high. I
- 5:53Speaker 4: haven't looked at gold yet today, but silver is trading
- 5:57Speaker 4: near ninety six dollars. We're looking at one hundred dollars
- 6:00Speaker 4: silver here, Dell. Yeah.
- 6:01Speaker 1: You know, for for years, precious metals were always the
- 6:06Speaker 1: flight to safety, and clearly there is some of that
- 6:10Speaker 1: happening now.
- 6:11Speaker 2: We saw with Greenland's.
- 6:12Speaker 1: News come out on Monday Tuesday, silver was higher, Gold
- 6:16Speaker 1: was higher.
- 6:16Speaker 2: Coppers higher.
- 6:17Speaker 1: These precious metals and commodities are certainly still a flight
- 6:21Speaker 1: to safety. But one unique thing about silver is that
- 6:24Speaker 1: it has a conductivity of no other type of metal.
- 6:29Speaker 1: It's the highest sought after for AI in terms of conductivity.
- 6:34Speaker 1: Electronics needs silver, and AI is on the backs currently
- 6:39Speaker 1: of electronics and these processors that have to connect. And
- 6:42Speaker 1: you know, I'm getting over my skis here. I'm not
- 6:44Speaker 1: sure a computer engineer, but I do know that silver's
- 6:47Speaker 1: demand is driven by much more than just a flight
- 6:50Speaker 1: to safety. Gold going higher, silver going higher, I think
- 6:54Speaker 1: that also has a lot to do with global insecurity. Clearly,
- 6:59Speaker 1: is the dollar going to be the reserve currency of
- 7:03Speaker 1: the world. I don't think bitcoin quite yet has managed
- 7:06Speaker 1: to be a true currency for let's say, preserving capital.
- 7:13Speaker 1: It is a very good transfer of capital. Vehicle Shane sure,
- 7:20Speaker 1: absolutely a media of exchange. I love that idea, but honestly,
- 7:24Speaker 1: gold silver going higher for us is more of an
- 7:27Speaker 1: opportunity for those who maybe look for stability but still
- 7:30Speaker 1: want a growth story, at least in the short term.
- 7:33Speaker 1: I think both of those continue higher, and we want
- 7:35Speaker 1: to be a part of that as well. Here at
- 7:36Speaker 1: RDS Wealth.
- 7:38Speaker 4: Hey couldn't have said it better myself, Heredell, one hundred
- 7:43Speaker 4: dollars silver right around the corner. And yes, it's it's
- 7:48Speaker 4: a confidence play in the dollar, just like gold is.
- 7:52Speaker 4: But it's also a commodity shortage play because the wh
- 8:00Speaker 4: do you believe that silver has been kept artificially lowered
- 8:04Speaker 4: by certain players in the market or not. The fact
- 8:08Speaker 4: is that for much of the past several decades, the
- 8:13Speaker 4: cost of production exceeded the cost of or the amount
- 8:20Speaker 4: that you could earn proounce, and therefore it became strictly
- 8:23Speaker 4: a byproduct. A lot of the pure silver minds long
- 8:27Speaker 4: since shut down. I was at one in Nevada. So
- 8:31Speaker 4: you got three things spurring it on. You have increased demand,
- 8:36Speaker 4: you have shortages, and you have monetary confidence.
- 8:43Speaker 2: Which causes more demand.
- 8:44Speaker 4: Yeah, so exactly, but real demand for real products. I think,
- 8:52Speaker 4: honestly my own opinion, Dell, and you're the guest, you're
- 8:55Speaker 4: the expert. I think we will reach an emergency with silver,
- 9:00Speaker 4: and basically I don't know that we'll call it silver confiscation,
- 9:06Speaker 4: but the government will have to go door to door
- 9:09Speaker 4: to get people was collectible silver. And I think it's
- 9:14Speaker 4: going to multi hundred dollars per ounce.
- 9:16Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, the price point that you put there,
- 9:20Speaker 1: I definitely agree with. You'd hate to imagine confiscation, but
- 9:24Speaker 1: definitely these silver traders that have collectible silver, you know,
- 9:30Speaker 1: no longer are you quote unquote trading the coin as
- 9:34Speaker 1: much as you're trading the actual commodity itself, which hasn't
- 9:37Speaker 1: been the case. Just like you mentioned, I mean, silver
- 9:40Speaker 1: has had an unbelievable run up, and we've been able
- 9:44Speaker 1: to take part of that for a lot of our clients.
- 9:48Speaker 1: Gold is gold, the true reserve capital, if you will.
- 9:53Speaker 1: It's got an intrinsic value. I think it's clearly behind
- 9:57Speaker 1: the US dollar, the second largest reserve of capital. There's
- 10:01Speaker 1: a lot of things shaken out too with I mean Greenland.
- 10:04Speaker 1: Going all the way back here full circle, Greenland is
- 10:06Speaker 1: probably bigger piece of the story.
- 10:08Speaker 2: Than that, I realize.
- 10:09Speaker 1: Certainly you may you may be well read on it,
- 10:12Speaker 1: but but Russia's dominance and China's partnership with Russia should
- 10:17Speaker 1: scare us in the form of does the US dollar
- 10:22Speaker 1: maintain it's its reserve capital of the world, because that
- 10:25Speaker 1: is the hingepin that all of this rest on getting
- 10:29Speaker 1: back to.
- 10:30Speaker 2: A gold standard. I don't.
- 10:31Speaker 1: I don't know how in the world you'd ever do it,
- 10:33Speaker 1: but it wouldn't probably be a bad thing for Americans. Yeah,
- 10:37Speaker 1: it's a it's a challenging, challenging proposition there and uh
- 10:41Speaker 1: it unfortunately, what is it? History repeats itself certainly if
- 10:46Speaker 1: you don't yeah in a rhymes, Yeah, there you go.
- 10:48Speaker 2: I like that, Mark, I.
- 10:49Speaker 1: Think I think we've got uh yeah, give credit. Right,
- 10:53Speaker 1: We've got this dichotomy. And it's and it's communism socialism.
- 10:59Speaker 1: You know, some may say that's even invaded our shores
- 11:03Speaker 1: here uh in in New York City, this this communism
- 11:08Speaker 1: socialism approach to to global uh security in their mind
- 11:14Speaker 1: versus capitalism and free markets.
- 11:16Speaker 2: And and they're starting to merge.
- 11:18Speaker 1: Certainly, you know, even even our current administration some things
- 11:23Speaker 1: somewhat socialistic in in in some sense, you know, twenty
- 11:27Speaker 1: years ago it would have been a socialistic playbook that
- 11:29Speaker 1: we're playing here in some areas. But the real I
- 11:33Speaker 1: think the real challenge is where does the world where
- 11:36Speaker 1: does Europe fall?
- 11:37Speaker 2: Uh?
- 11:38Speaker 1: Do they do they want to get in bed with
- 11:40Speaker 1: that communistic agenda or do they stay true to the
- 11:44Speaker 1: American West and uh and and capitalism, which clearly comes
- 11:49Speaker 1: with democracy and republic type of government. It's playing out
- 11:54Speaker 1: right now, real time totally, you know or believe it?
- 11:59Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I think a lot of things going on
- 12:03Speaker 4: now and where it's going to be, where it's going
- 12:06Speaker 4: to end up, I don't know the answer to it,
- 12:09Speaker 4: but certainly the trends are inescapable here and well, when
- 12:16Speaker 4: the dollar goes it's not going to be because people
- 12:19Speaker 4: want an alternative. It's going to be because they have
- 12:23Speaker 4: to have an alternative because the dollar becomes too unreliable.
- 12:28Speaker 1: Sure, sure, and you know, to back up here, I'm
- 12:33Speaker 1: I'm certainly not a doomsday prepper, but you've got to
- 12:37Speaker 1: see that as a as a potential.
- 12:40Speaker 2: It's a possibility. But what we've.
- 12:43Speaker 1: Seen in this current administration to strengthen America, to erase globalism,
- 12:48Speaker 1: because that's where we were headed, to erase this one
- 12:52Speaker 1: world currency, one world government, one world it's all. It's
- 12:56Speaker 1: all been in preparation really since.
- 12:59Speaker 2: The late night you know.
- 13:02Speaker 1: You've got you've got this president now that says scratch
- 13:05Speaker 1: all that we want to be self sufficient, we want
- 13:08Speaker 1: to we could theoretically build a wall around America and
- 13:11Speaker 1: be okay and that scares the rest of the world
- 13:13Speaker 1: to debt because if we truly start paying down our
- 13:16Speaker 1: national debt, and this is just a speculation here, if
- 13:18Speaker 1: we can actually start paying down our national debt and
- 13:21Speaker 1: and we can become you know, essentially we're currently hopefully
- 13:25Speaker 1: living in the next American economic revolution, and if that
- 13:29Speaker 1: becomes the reality, I think that the global dominance of
- 13:33Speaker 1: the dollar continues for decades to come. So so that
- 13:37Speaker 1: is the hope, is that we're at this crossroads and
- 13:40Speaker 1: that the dollar becomes relevant again because of an American
- 13:44Speaker 1: first agenda and bringing home things that we depend on,
- 13:48Speaker 1: uh solely, that would be our objective I think as
- 13:51Speaker 1: a country now, and unfortunately it's not been that for
- 13:54Speaker 1: the last twenty years. It's four year blip there, and
- 13:58Speaker 1: I won't tell you who the president was during that time.
- 14:01Speaker 4: Yeah, we've had a lot of blips over the years,
- 14:04Speaker 4: that's for sure. So, Dell, when we do our road
- 14:08Speaker 4: post twenty twenty six wrap up next January in twenty
- 14:13Speaker 4: twenty seven, what do you think we'll be seeing.
- 14:16Speaker 1: I think you're going to see the AI story for
- 14:19Speaker 1: markets specifically, I think you're going to see the AI
- 14:22Speaker 1: story be a little bit more clear on what can
- 14:26Speaker 1: and can't become profitable for companies. This is going to
- 14:29Speaker 1: create a winner.
- 14:31Speaker 2: And loser column.
- 14:32Speaker 1: Companies that have built out and expanded data centers that
- 14:37Speaker 1: maybe are struggling to become profitable. They're going to be
- 14:42Speaker 1: the pets dot Com of the nineteen nineties. Right. You're
- 14:46Speaker 1: going to have some significant winners though, and I think
- 14:49Speaker 1: for the clients that we work with, Carrie, you know,
- 14:53Speaker 1: we're not as much looking for the next let's say Microsoft,
- 14:57Speaker 1: if we go back to the nineties, because the current
- 15:00Speaker 1: Microsoft is going to benefit from the next Microsoft as well,
- 15:04Speaker 1: and there's going to be room for multiple winners in
- 15:07Speaker 1: the AI race. AI will change the world. It's already
- 15:09Speaker 1: change the world. It's here to stay. Quantum computing is
- 15:12Speaker 1: the next story wrapping up twenty twenty six. If we
- 15:15Speaker 1: go into this futuristic time machine and go into say
- 15:18Speaker 1: we're setting in January twenty seven, I think that we've
- 15:21Speaker 1: started to see a move towards quantum computing, maybe a
- 15:24Speaker 1: little more than we.
- 15:25Speaker 2: Have in the past.
- 15:26Speaker 1: We've had some pretty incredible IPOs. Let's speculate a little
- 15:30Speaker 1: bit with SpaceX. That would be nice if that happened
- 15:33Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six, maybe some nice IPOs with big,
- 15:37Speaker 1: large companies that we can now invest in, which gives
- 15:40Speaker 1: more opportunity. I think gold and silver continues higher. I
- 15:44Speaker 1: think we're into now the third year of a Trump
- 15:46Speaker 1: agenda which has put America first. Productivity is at all
- 15:49Speaker 1: time highs. That is a little bit of a challenge
- 15:52Speaker 1: to the labor market though, carry I mean the reality
- 15:54Speaker 1: is the more productive of worker becomes, the less workers
- 15:57Speaker 1: you need. So what does that mean for labor? That's
- 16:01Speaker 1: the big piece. We've seen lower interest rates most likely
- 16:04Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six because we've got a fed chair
- 16:07Speaker 1: that is determined to get to what he deems to
- 16:09Speaker 1: be neutral speculation here. I think that's about one hundred
- 16:13Speaker 1: points lower than where we are today, and the market
- 16:15Speaker 1: reacts favorably to that. So a lot of potential and optimism,
- 16:20Speaker 1: but be diligent as an investor. We have to be
- 16:23Speaker 1: disciplined and take advantage of opportunities when they present, but
- 16:26Speaker 1: don't go all in uh with money you need tomorrow.
- 16:30Speaker 4: Couldn't agree with you more very wise words, Dell, how
- 16:34Speaker 4: do we find you? How do we connect with you?
- 16:36Speaker 2: On the web?
- 16:38Speaker 1: So Rdswealth dot Com is the name of our firm.
- 16:40Speaker 1: You can go to art excuse me, the name RDS
- 16:43Speaker 1: Wealth is our website. Our dswealth dot com is our website.
- 16:46Speaker 2: Forgive me Gary.
- 16:47Speaker 1: Our first name, Rdsmother's Wealth Management's our firm name Rdswealth
- 16:52Speaker 1: dot com.
- 16:53Speaker 2: Go there.
- 16:54Speaker 1: Set up a time to chat with us. If you
- 16:56Speaker 1: have any questions, you can set up a time that's
- 16:57Speaker 1: convenient for you. You can find out our podcast, The
- 17:01Speaker 1: Retirement Matters Show by going to the podcast streaming service
- 17:05Speaker 1: of your choice. We're big fans of your show, Carrie
- 17:08Speaker 1: and just appreciate you having us on.
- 17:10Speaker 2: Get in a chat with your listeners as well.
- 17:12Speaker 4: My pleasure. Great to have you back on. Happy New Year, healthy,
- 17:15Speaker 4: prosperous to you. If you've got a question for Dale myself,
- 17:19Speaker 4: shoot me an email Klatcarrie LUTs dot com.
- 17:23Speaker 2: Dale.
- 17:23Speaker 4: We'll talk to you again real soon.
- 17:24Speaker 2: Be well, talk real soon.
- 17:25Speaker 3: Thank you, sir, Thanks for listening to Carrie Letz's Financial
- 17:29Speaker 3: Survival Network, your solution to today's trying times. For the latest,
- 17:34Speaker 3: go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now
- 17:40Speaker 3: more than ever