Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | April 5, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:00Yeah, all systems going clear the lifting. M H, what's up,
- 0:37guys, We're here gonna be breaking down this ten game NBA slate Friday,
- 0:41April fifth. Let's talk about so. I'm not gonna spend a ton of
- 0:46time. I don't really have any toys. It's a big injury slate got
- 0:50you know, obviously end of the season, a lot of team sitting guys.
- 0:53So let's get right into it. First game of the slate, we
- 0:56have Portland taking on Washington and Washington Portland going to be without Anthony Simon's,
- 1:03Jeremie Grant, all the other guys that are missing Kamara, Shade and Sharp
- 1:07So and the Wizards will be without Kyle Kuzma, Tias Jones, Marvin Bagley,
- 1:14and possibly Rashaun Holmes who's been missing some games with a toe injury.
- 1:18Starting on the Portland side of things. Yeah, I love the spot for
- 1:22downger Aiden. Great matchup, best matchup on paper. On the whole slate,
- 1:26the Wizards are dead last in DVP versus center, so I think that
- 1:30he's a very strong option, probably one of the best players in the slate
- 1:34in my opinion. I think both Scoot and Ben are really good Pray really
- 1:38good plays. Even at these price tags, I would probably still want to
- 1:41be Maxim one of those two guys. I think that they eat into each
- 1:44other a little bit too much. I mean, I think at with the
- 1:46ownership discount on Scoot being a little bit, you know, a little bit
- 1:49lower than I'm probably leading Scoot here, even though I think that Ben has
- 1:53much higher upside. We've seen multiple fifty point games out of him. But
- 1:57I just think that they really want to get Scoot going towards the end of
- 2:00the season. So I think that he's probably the better play of the two
- 2:04right now. It looks pretty good too. I mean, the assist numbers
- 2:07have been up, scoring much better lately. I don't think you're worried about
- 2:09anybody defensively on the Washington side of things. So yeah, he looks like
- 2:13a pretty good option tonight. And then Jambari Walker five point five K I
- 2:17mean, you know, bumping price tag, but I mean he played forty
- 2:21two forty thirty five minutes in the last three games, got twenty two rebounds
- 2:23last game, didn't shoot the ball that well, but still took seventeen shot
- 2:28at himp. So I mean that's really hard to ignore. I think that
- 2:30this is obviously one of the better matches for him, best matchup just all
- 2:34around for anybody playing Washington, but especially guys that score around the basket.
- 2:38So I think that he could still plast a really big upside game here at
- 2:40five point five K on the Washington side things. Yeah, I mean,
- 2:45it's really just Jordan Poole for me. Danny Avdia got ruled in, but
- 2:51I think the I think the matchups much better for Jordan Poole. Going to
- 2:53see a lot of Scoot Henderson defensively, ball handley roll has been really good
- 2:57for Pool lately. I think that seven point four K is a totally fine
- 3:00price I pay for him. And then if if Rashaun Holmes misses this game,
- 3:05then I think we go right back to Tristan Vukovic. He got talked
- 3:08up pretty nicely by the coach, so I think that he's pretty locked into
- 3:10playing some some minutes either way, but maybe a little bit more upside from
- 3:15a minute standpoint. If Holmes were to miss, and we like to attacking
- 3:20the dealsra Aiden with opposing centers, I think that he'd be a great play
- 3:23next game. Okay, see versus the Indiana Pacers. Okay, se gonna
- 3:28be without SGA and Jaylen Williams, so we kind of know what to expect
- 3:30from them. Probably gonna see a starting lineup of Josh Giddy, Chet Holmgren,
- 3:35Lou Dort, Aaron Wiggins, and Casey Wallace and then Pacers really only
- 3:39noteworthy injury news on their side of things is Miles Turner's listen questionable with the
- 3:43finger injury. If he misses, we'll see Jayalen Smith re enter the starting
- 3:46lineup as it stands right now, and only have a ton of interest in
- 3:51this game. I think that the game environment itself should be pretty good.
- 3:53These are two teams that play pretty fast in pace, but the okay see
- 3:58Thunder are definitely spreading out their rotation pretty deep right now, So it doesn't
- 4:02really make these guys. Any of these guys must have to think that Giddy
- 4:05is probably the guy most excited to play, even at seven point five K.
- 4:09We've seen him have a ton of success in recent seasons with SJA off
- 4:13the court. You know, he's had multiple triple doubles sixty point upside and
- 4:17a match up against the Pacers is definitely a good one for a player like
- 4:20him. Pacers are dead last in pick and roll defense this season. I
- 4:25love the matchup for Chet if Miles Turner were to miss. Think that even
- 4:28if Turner's in, he looks like a pretty solid option. But I wouldn't
- 4:31say a priority by any means. Think that center is pretty strong tonight,
- 4:34so I'd probably want to find the money get to Aid and if I'm choosing
- 4:36between the two, But totally a fine option at seven point three K for
- 4:40Chet. But would would really like the matchup if Miles Turner were to miss.
- 4:45And I think that Wiggins is pretty solid, probably my favorite of the
- 4:47secondary pieces. I think that they just want to get him going as well.
- 4:51They talked about wanting to get these secondary guys a little bit more confidence
- 4:56heading into the playoffs. I think that Wiggins is a guy that they're kind
- 4:59of honing in on, so I think that he's pretty safe from a minute
- 5:01standpoint. Indiana side really just Siakam and Turning Haliburn For me, I don't
- 5:09think that either of these guys are priorities by any means. Think the matchup
- 5:12is a little bit tougher for Haliburn, going to see two pretty solid on
- 5:15ball defenders lou Dort case of Wallace are very very solid on ball defenders.
- 5:18But what is encouraging the thunder do need to win games right now, and
- 5:23we saw Halburn get up to thirty seven minutes. He hasn't played that many
- 5:27minutes in a game and quite some time play got to thirty eight against the
- 5:30Golden State earlier in March, but really been kind of limited to around the
- 5:34low thirties. But he you know, he's kind of running into form taking
- 5:39more shots. Got twenty two shots last game against Brooklyn, put up fourteen
- 5:43threes. The systember is always pretty solid for him, but he's he's scoring
- 5:46the ball nicely right now, twenty four to twenty seven to twenty one in
- 5:49his last three games. So I think that he's a pretty pretty solid option
- 5:55even at nine point four k definitely has huge upside if the minutes are going
- 5:58to be there, and this is a fast paced game, so I like
- 6:00it for him. Siakam is never a guy I'm too excited about playing.
- 6:03Always comes in pretty high owned never really kills you. I had a couple
- 6:09of games in the fifties, but for the most part, he's gonna be
- 6:12in the low forties, so I'm okay getting away from him. And then
- 6:15if Jalen Smith is starting for Miles Turner tonight, I would really like the
- 6:17spot for him. We've seen, okay see get beat up on the boards
- 6:20by opposing center, so he'd be a pretty strong value play with some upside.
- 6:26Next game, Orlando versus Charlotte. This game is pretty much a full
- 6:29fade on the Charlotte side of things in particular, but Orlando doesn't look too
- 6:32enticing. I think the only guys that I would really keep my playpool excuse
- 6:40me, oh, I guess sneeze coming on. I think it's Polo Franz
- 6:45and Wendell Carter. I would be maxiwan Polo and Franz, and then Wendo
- 6:48is just a kind of a GPP play for me. Been playing pretty good
- 6:54lately thirty four, forty nine and forty two DK points in his last three
- 6:57games. I mean this is definitely to attack, probably the third or fourth
- 7:01best spot on the slate for opposing centers. I think that he's pretty interesting.
- 7:08Next game Boston versus Sacramento. Boston really not playing for much right now.
- 7:12They already ruled out Derek White and Jalen Brown. So we're gonna see
- 7:15extended minutes from guys like Paydon Pritchard, Sam Houser obviously gonna see more usage
- 7:19to go around to Tatum, Porzingis, Drue Holiday alhor for type of guys.
- 7:23But Boston's locked into the number one seed right now. So I don't
- 7:27think that you're really rushing to play these guys because I think that the minutes
- 7:30could be pretty pretty modest for them. I think they'll probably probably get the
- 7:34secondary guys a little bit more run. So I think that the guys that
- 7:39you're considering in this game, I mean, Tatum is obviously a great spent
- 7:42up in nine point seven K. I would not call him a priority by
- 7:44any means. I think that there are some better spots, but he's definitely
- 7:48solid matchup's really good for Porzingis. I don't think you really need to go
- 7:53there for Drew or al Horford, and then pretty sure it. He's been
- 7:57really good as a starter lately, even coming off the bench. Probably gonna
- 8:01see around thirty minutes tonight, and he's always been a really solid fantasy minute
- 8:03producer. Now that the price is down to four point six K, I
- 8:07think that He's a really strong value option and looks to be decently low owned
- 8:09tonight, so got that going for him. And then Sam Hauser. We've
- 8:15seen the Kings kind of give it up to three point shooters at times,
- 8:18but shooting is very you know, high variance. We've seen him, you
- 8:22know, in the teens scoring from a fantasy perspective, and then we see
- 8:26him get up to like the forties, so it's kind of you know,
- 8:30the ranger rackcoms is really really wide for a guy like Sam Hauser. Sacramento
- 8:33side of things, Sacramento needs to win every game from here on out to
- 8:37you know, stay in that SUC seed or even move up a little bit.
- 8:41So they're gonna play sabonas Fox, Ky Murray. They're gonna play these
- 8:43guys a ton of minutes. I think that on a big slate like this,
- 8:46I'll probably be Max One, Sabonis, and Fox, and I think
- 8:50that I'm have a slight lean on Darren Fox tonight, never too afraid about
- 8:56attacking this matchup, even though I do respect Drew as a as an on
- 9:00ball defender. The Celtics are bottom five and pick and roll defense this season,
- 9:03and Fox has had pretty good success in this matchup earlier this season,
- 9:07so I think that he's a pretty solid option. Nine point one K savonas
- 9:11is, you know, don't really like attacking Boston with posing Biggs, but
- 9:15he's got the triple double upside. Ten point four K is a very reasonable
- 9:18price sect for him, and if he's singing around forty minutes tonight, should
- 9:20be able to pay that off pretty easily. But I like Fox a little
- 9:24bit better. Next game, Detroit versus Memphis. This is the game you're
- 9:28definitely gonna want to have pieces of, mainly on the Memphis side of things,
- 9:31because they're I'm not gonna list all the guys that they have out,
- 9:35but pretty much their entire rosters out, so they're gonna suit up eight guys
- 9:39tonight. They're even dusting off Xavier Simpson, who, if you remember from
- 9:43the early COVID NBA days, he was with OKC playing forty five minutes a
- 9:48night at the end of the season. I don't think he's gonna play the
- 9:52tonight, but this team will definitely be running out a very short rotation,
- 9:56so I think you're gonna have exposure to this game regardless. It's really tough
- 10:01to break down. So I don't want to make any rules. I would
- 10:03just do a ranking system for this one. For me, it's a good
- 10:07one. It's gonna be the number one guy for me. At four point
- 10:09six K. We've seen him be a very solid fantasy player, and you
- 10:13know, he does a little bit of everything. Got you know, double
- 10:16digit rebounds in three straight games. Assist numbers look pretty good. The scoring
- 10:20numbers is not great. But you know, if you're telling me I'm getting
- 10:24a double double from a guy at four point five K or four point six
- 10:26K with possible triple double upside, then yeah, he's probably my top option.
- 10:31I think La Ravia is probably right behind him because he's very similar been
- 10:35a very solid h fantasy producer when he's you know, getting around thirty minutes,
- 10:39which we should probably expect from him tonight, probably gets upper thirties,
- 10:43so he would be number two for me. Gigi Jackson would be number three.
- 10:48I think Scottie Pippen probably number four, Trey Jamison five, and then
- 10:54Pereira, Stevens and Simpson. This is how it would rank it. I
- 10:56think the Pereira is probably the most interesting though, just because he's only three
- 10:58point one k looking to be single digit owned, which I think that you
- 11:03definitely want to take shots on him in large FIELT tournament. I would even
- 11:07consider taking a stand on him in a single entry tournament just because he's gonna
- 11:11be the lowest owned option, and I would much rather play him over Lamar
- 11:15Lamar Stevens at eight hundred cheaper. He seems like he's a pretty solid Fantasy
- 11:20portfany producer. Played twenty nine minutes against Orlando, which I think is a
- 11:24tougher matchup, and he put up twenty eight fantasy points. You know,
- 11:28got five stocks in that game. Going against Detroit, who is a team
- 11:30that could be very turnover prone. So I think that Pereira is probably the
- 11:35most interesting guy from a leverage standpoint. The Detroit side of things, It's
- 11:39pretty much just gonna be Saser or Malachi Flynn for me. With Kate Cunningham
- 11:43out. I want to get to, you know, recency bias, but
- 11:48I think that Flynn is going to be the preferred option. Obviously, had
- 11:50the fifty point game against Atlanta the other night, put up seventy draftings points,
- 11:54but I mean even outside of that, he's been the more consistent fantasy
- 11:58producer between the two, and he's shown more upside even outside of that that
- 12:03seventy point game. The role will probably be much better for Sasser, and
- 12:07the shooting guard eligibility is nice, probably gonna see more minutes. But I
- 12:11think that I'm just gonna side for Flynn because he'll be cheaper, he's gonna
- 12:16be much lower owned, and I kind of am a little bit more confident
- 12:18in his upside in this one. Next game, New York Knicks taken on
- 12:22Chicago. This game is pretty much a cross off for me. The Knicks
- 12:26look like they're gonna be getting healthier with og and Andobi getting coming back tonight,
- 12:31or he got upgrade to questionable but looks like he could be making his
- 12:33return. Yeah, I mean, unless they do something weird and they sit
- 12:37some guys, then the Knicks are pretty much a full cross off for me,
- 12:41and kind of the same thing for Chicago. I just don't really want
- 12:43to attack the Knicks on this big of a slate, so I'm pretty fine
- 12:46making this a nine game slate right there. Next game, Santoios Furs taken
- 12:50on the New Orleans Pelicans. Pretty big injury news in this one was zionistic
- 12:56questionable. Kind of think that he plays, but you know, you never
- 13:00know. I mean, this seems like a game they should be able to
- 13:03win even with Zion missing, But Pelicans do need to win games right now,
- 13:07so I think that they probably if he has a chance to play,
- 13:09he probably does play. And he's been pretty durable this season. Obviously not
- 13:13the same as years past, but this season he's been been pretty solid,
- 13:18hasn't missed a ton of games, so I think that he plays. It's
- 13:22a finger injury. He's not a guy that's gonna be taking you a bunch
- 13:24of jump shots, so he's just gonna be around the rim, and I
- 13:28don't think that you really need to worry too much about the finger for that.
- 13:30I don't know how bad it is, but I think that he plays
- 13:33tonight and definitely have interest in him. Should be a really good match of
- 13:37him. We've seen the role be really good with no brandon Ingram But on
- 13:41the matchup side of things, no Jeremy Soshan on the other side is a
- 13:45big boost for him because the Spurs are really going to have no defenders to
- 13:48throw at him. Their pick and roll defense has been bad this season.
- 13:52We've seen more ball handling from Zion and their bottom Spurs are a bottom six
- 13:56room defense, So yeah, Zion is a very high upside option tonight.
- 14:00I think CJ is pretty good too, even if Zion is in, because
- 14:03the Spurs are bottom two in DVP versus point guards this season. But if
- 14:07Zion misses, I think he probably becomes one of the better midsier options.
- 14:11I think Trey Murphy would be a really good play. We've seen the wing
- 14:15Wings beat this San Antonio team. We've seen the Spurs be able to give
- 14:18up a ton of threes at times, so you know that Murphy can get
- 14:20hot. Yeah, I think I'm not really messing with these secondary guys like
- 14:26Herb Jones or Jonas Valanciunas on this slate unless we get news at Zion where
- 14:30to be out. But that would bring you know, Naji Marshall in to
- 14:31play. That probably bring Larry and Junior to play more. Maybe they do
- 14:37something weird and start like Jeremiah robertson Earl. I doubt it, but yeah,
- 14:39just really Zion and CJ. For me, maybe Trey Murphy mixed into
- 14:43some large field tournaments and then San Antonia side of things. Think that Webby
- 14:48is probably one of my favorite span ups tonight. Really small sample size,
- 14:52but with this current iteration of the Spurs roster right now, Wemby has an
- 14:56almost thirty six percent usage rate, almosting seventy three DK points per thirty six
- 15:01minutes. I think that's pretty on par with where he's at this season in
- 15:05terms of fantasy point per minutes. He's just been a lead, like right
- 15:09around two fantasy points per minute. Just obviously has the blocks upside, It's
- 15:13got the triple double upside. I don't need to tell you how good of
- 15:18a play he is, but yeah, I think that bump him up in
- 15:20your runs. I think that he's a totally great option tonight. I think
- 15:24that Trey Jones is really solid as well. Shout out to Dray Jones won
- 15:28me my fifty K the other night. But yeah, I mean small sample,
- 15:31a smaller sample than Wemby's, but he has a pretty solid usage rate
- 15:35twenty four percent, massive, fifty six percent percent assist percentage, and he's
- 15:39averaging sixty six and a half DK points per thirty six minutes. And this
- 15:43is like a thirty minute sample size, so I don't want to read into
- 15:46that too much. But I mean, we saw last game put up the
- 15:48triple double, played thirty two minutes. You know he's gonna have the ball
- 15:54in his hands a ton. I think that he's a really solid option even
- 15:56at five point nine k in a tough matchup. And then we should see
- 16:00Sandro Mankelshavili get a start tonight with Cheddi Osmond out. Yeah, I think
- 16:06that's probably him starting. They do have, I mean, a bunch of
- 16:10random guys at the bottom of their roster with City Kisoko, Jamari Buya,
- 16:14David Duke, Junior Ray Kwan Great. I don't even know who these guys
- 16:17are outside of David Duke, but yeah, I think Sandro is a really
- 16:22really strong option tonight and a pivot off of those Grizzlies pieces. Next game
- 16:27on the slate Toronto versus Milwaukee to Toronto gonna be getting RJ Bear back tonight.
- 16:33But they do have a couple guys listen, questionable Gary Trent, Bruce
- 16:36Brown, and Oshaig Baji. You're really not considering these Toronto guys on this
- 16:40big of a slate, I don't think. I think that Quickly is probably
- 16:42the guy to consider if you are looking to get any sort of exposure.
- 16:45I don't think you need to go there, but yeah, the guards versus
- 16:52Milwaukee has always been a very good spot to attack this season. Milwaukee bottom
- 16:56two pick and roll defense this season. Eight point two K for Quickly,
- 17:00I don't know. Maybe they give him some extra run tonight, but I
- 17:03doubt it. So officially not listing any of these Toronto guys as good.
- 17:07Plays. The Milwaukee side much different. Toronto ha been terrible defensively in the
- 17:11second half of the season. No Johannis tonight, so obviously we're gonna see
- 17:15a big, big usage bump for Dame tonight, who is making his return.
- 17:18I mean, he's had an elite role even with Giannis in over the
- 17:22last month or so, been leading the league in touch time, been playing
- 17:26much better. And this is a yeah, one of the best matchups going
- 17:30against the Toronto team. Chris Middleton very similar, gonna have a big usage
- 17:34bump. I think the match was a little bit tough for a seven point
- 17:37five K is pretty tough price spay for Middleton. I think that he's much
- 17:41further behind the my list on this team and really just a whole slate in
- 17:49terms of priorities tonight. I don't think that I'm probably gonna get too much
- 17:52of him. Bobby Portis, I think is really strong at six point six
- 17:56k and he doesn't look too out of hand for ownership perspective. We've seen
- 18:00him have really good numbers with Giannis off the court the season, so I
- 18:03think that he's a very strong play against, you know, very very easy
- 18:07matchup against, you know, Kelly Linnock and some of these other centers.
- 18:11They are going to run out there at him, so I think that he's
- 18:12a great option tonight. And then the secondary guys not really messing with them.
- 18:18I think that Brook Lopez, I don't know, maybe you get random
- 18:22forty pointer out of him, Probably not, but yeah, the matchup's good.
- 18:26I think the Beas League pat Con crowd are a little bit too expensive
- 18:30when you consider all the Memphis guys that are priced right around them, So
- 18:33not going to get to any of them. Next game is Miami versus Houston.
- 18:38This game, for the most part, going to be a cross off
- 18:41for me unless we get more injury news. We did see that Terry or
- 18:45Tyler Hero is probably going to play tonight, so you know that's a big
- 18:49usage guy. I think that really takes I would say everybody out of play
- 18:53for me on the on the Miami side of things and then the Houston side
- 18:56of things. They'll be without Arman Thompson, but they're also got eliminated from
- 19:00the playoffs, so probably not gonna be seeing the forty minutes from these guys
- 19:06anymore. Like Jalen Green, Frederman Fleet probably don't see that anymore. There's
- 19:10just no needs, of no reason to run them out there like that.
- 19:12But I do think that Cam Whitmore is pretty interesting at four point five K
- 19:17with no Aman Thompson'd be interested to see if they go to him in the
- 19:22starting lineup. If they do, I think that he's a pretty strong value
- 19:26option. But either way, coming off the bench, he's got really big
- 19:29upside. Side'd be okay getting to him. Last game of the slate Golden
- 19:33State Warriors taken on Dallas. Yeah, I mean this is not a game
- 19:37looking to get too much of all these guys have elevated price tags. Lucas
- 19:41almost thirteen K. There's probably enough value to get him tonight. I don't
- 19:45think that we really need to matchup. Is pretty tough for him going against
- 19:48kaminga who's gonna be making his return tonight. Andrew Wiggins playing really good defensively
- 19:53right now. I mean the Warriors just in general are playing really good defense.
- 19:56So I don't think that I really want to get too much on the
- 20:02Dallas side things as much of a you know, Luca has the highest upside
- 20:04on the slate probably, so if you want to get to him, there's
- 20:07definitely no value to But I don't think I'm going to go there tonight.
- 20:11I do like PJ Washington though, at five point seven K. He's seen
- 20:15a lot of minutes late thirty six and back to back games with Lively out,
- 20:18He's shooting the ball much better, playing really good defense. I think
- 20:22that he's probably my favorite option on the Dallas side of things at five point
- 20:25seven K. On Golden State, yeah, I mean kaminga returning that's a
- 20:30high usage guy. It really muddies up the rotation a lot. I did
- 20:33like Jerymond Green and Wiggins the best, just because I think those are two
- 20:37guys that will probably have the cleanest matchups and probably going to be the guys
- 20:42that they try to leave open with Curry in there with coming in there with
- 20:45Klay Thompson in there. I think that they'll probably slack off of these guys
- 20:48a little bit, so those are probably my favorite players. But yeah,
- 20:52I don't think that you're really running to get any of these guys and what
- 20:56should probably be a defensive battle. We saw the game a couple of games
- 21:00go be a very low scoring one. I'm kind of expecting something similar tonight.
- 21:04That's gonna do it all ten games, got it done just over twenty
- 21:07minutes, So proud of myself for that, But good luck tonight everybody.
- 21:11Hopefully everybody has a good weekend and I'll see you guys next week. Later