Latest / District Territory / How can the youngest Nats take the next step?
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Welcome back to the District Territory Podcast. I'm Eric Shellhouse
- 0:08Speaker 1: from Bat Boys Baseball. And joining me today, Spencer Nussbaum
- 0:11Speaker 1: of The Athletic. Nats break out with a big victory
- 0:14Speaker 1: last night against the Marlins, 9-2. But really, the big
- 0:18Speaker 1: story of the game, Brady House's nuclear home run. Originally
- 0:22Speaker 1: tracked at 474 feet. They're still giving it to us
- 0:25Speaker 1: on StatCast there. That is the longest home run by
- 0:27Speaker 1: a national all-season game. and in Nationals Park by a
- 0:31Speaker 1: National in the StatCast era. However, they did update it. Spencer,
- 0:35Speaker 1: do you trust the StatCast readings? You went out there.
- 0:38Speaker 1: It was a titanic shot by Brady last night, but overall,
- 0:41Speaker 1: what'd you see from the offense?
- 0:43Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I will say I did go out there
- 0:45Speaker 2: hoping to talk to the people who got the ball
- 0:48Speaker 2: because I was like, oh, they caught the, not caught,
- 0:50Speaker 2: but on a bounce, caught the furthest home run in
- 0:53Speaker 2: Nats history. And as I'm like, Walking up to them,
- 0:57Speaker 2: I get a notification on my phone and it's from,
- 1:00Speaker 2: you know, Nationals comms and it says, you know, 445 feet.
- 1:03Speaker 2: Don't blame us. That being said, like, can I really
- 1:07Speaker 2: distinguish between 30 feet? No. Did it look like 470?
- 1:10Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:11Speaker 2: Like I can't remember a ball being hit that hard
- 1:14Speaker 2: that far to that part of the park at home. So, yeah,
- 1:18Speaker 2: I mean, it was it was unfathomable to see see
- 1:22Speaker 2: Brady kind of put that one together.
- 1:25Speaker 1: Yeah, absolute moonshot for him. Harry Ford had another home
- 1:29Speaker 1: run as well. It was just good to see to
- 1:31Speaker 1: get the bats going after the week that they've had
- 1:34Speaker 1: of late. But also, you've got to give some credit
- 1:36Speaker 1: to Jackson Kent. It's just his third big league outing,
- 1:39Speaker 1: but he was really spectacular last night. Went seven innings,
- 1:42Speaker 1: allowing one run. Spencer, what stood out to you in
- 1:45Speaker 1: this start compared to his first two, I guess, that
- 1:48Speaker 1: maybe allowed him to have a bit more success?
- 1:51Speaker 2: Yeah, so for me... And it kind of all rips
- 1:55Speaker 2: together just with like the theme of the game in general,
- 1:57Speaker 2: because there's a bunch of young guys doing things that
- 2:00Speaker 2: you would see in them kind of progress towards. And
- 2:03Speaker 2: with Jackson, we saw him progress towards this, if not elite,
- 2:08Speaker 2: really good command in the minor leagues. No, again, I
- 2:11Speaker 2: think people are going to look at that final line
- 2:13Speaker 2: and see four walks and say like command's not elite.
- 2:17Speaker 2: And I would agree with that. And I think he,
- 2:19Speaker 2: you know, he needs to be better than that. I
- 2:20Speaker 2: think that's fair. at the same time it wasn't the
- 2:23Speaker 2: same like four pitch walks or, you know, six walls
- 2:28Speaker 2: in a row or things like that. Um, he was
- 2:30Speaker 2: really sharp and, um, a lot of those walks were
- 2:34Speaker 2: competitive where it's just like a piss, a pitch just missing, um,
- 2:38Speaker 2: off the plate or just kind of like landing right
- 2:40Speaker 2: on the edge. Um, now again, like, was it a
- 2:44Speaker 2: perfect start? No, but I was so impressed with that. Um,
- 2:48Speaker 2: And it always feels dumb, for whatever reason to me,
- 2:51Speaker 2: to just say it comes down to competing. But that
- 2:56Speaker 2: was as aggressive as he's been in any start. Anyone
- 2:59Speaker 2: who was at the park, Harry Ford who caught him,
- 3:02Speaker 2: Blake who managed him, Jackson himself, just felt like that
- 3:05Speaker 2: was kind of the mode that they expected him to
- 3:07Speaker 2: be in. And you can't talk about that without talking
- 3:11Speaker 2: about the 106 pitches, right? For him to go... um,
- 3:16Speaker 2: and get that opportunity, I think says a lot about, um,
- 3:19Speaker 2: the faith that the staff has in him and frankly,
- 3:22Speaker 2: who he is as a pitcher, right. Where he finally
- 3:25Speaker 2: started to tail off a little bit before that mountain visit, um,
- 3:29Speaker 2: comes back pumps 95, uh, two pitches on the black.
- 3:33Speaker 2: Like it, it was everything you want if you're at
- 3:36Speaker 2: the nationals.
- 3:37Speaker 1: Yeah. It was encouraging to see, uh, he just looked
- 3:41Speaker 1: a little something was different the other night and I
- 3:43Speaker 1: was also very surprised to see him get that length
- 3:46Speaker 1: and get the opportunity to finish seven innings um and
- 3:49Speaker 1: like you said I hopefully just speaks to sort of
- 3:51Speaker 1: the confidence they have in him and hopefully lots more
- 3:53Speaker 1: good things to come from Jackson Kent let's move on
- 3:56Speaker 1: to our next subject here CJ Abrams made Nationals history
- 4:00Speaker 1: the other day he is the second National since Alfonso
- 4:02Speaker 1: Soriano to record a 2025 season Uh, of course, Doriano
- 4:06Speaker 1: had the 40, 40 in 2006, I believe when the
- 4:09Speaker 1: nationals had first moved to DC, Abrams is having an
- 4:11Speaker 1: incredible season. Uh, it seems like, you know, barring an injury,
- 4:15Speaker 1: he is definitely on pace for 30, 30, but Spencer,
- 4:18Speaker 1: you know, what, what are the ceiling for this guy
- 4:21Speaker 1: in a healthy 162 games?
- 4:25Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, I, I think you have to think 40, 40, right. Um, no, he's,
- 4:31Speaker 2: he's hit the 40 stolen base mark before. Um, 40
- 4:36Speaker 2: homers to me, honestly, is the one that I look at.
- 4:38Speaker 2: And I, I think I have to squint a little
- 4:41Speaker 2: bit to see that if only because yeah, sure. He's
- 4:43Speaker 2: gotten better every single season. He's added power every single season. Um,
- 4:48Speaker 2: but the second half in some of these seasons, it's
- 4:49Speaker 2: been hard for him to sustain that. Like even in
- 4:52Speaker 2: August this year, um, I think his OPS is in
- 4:55Speaker 2: the four, the fives, right? Like it's, it's been a
- 4:58Speaker 2: downturn this season, um, in August again. And so, um,
- 5:03Speaker 2: when I look at guys who have gone 40-40, most
- 5:06Speaker 2: of the time it's also finishing strong, right? That being said,
- 5:11Speaker 2: we can't discount what this guy's done this season just
- 5:14Speaker 2: because he's had an OPS in the 4s or 5s
- 5:18Speaker 2: this month. To me, it's such a showcase of when
- 5:24Speaker 2: you have an elite player on the roster, what it does, right? Again,
- 5:31Speaker 2: we can debate the validity of creating items or extending
- 5:35Speaker 2: him or things of that nature. I will say this
- 5:38Speaker 2: is the sort of guy who like ends up on
- 5:41Speaker 2: World Series rosters, right? Because he is one of those
- 5:44Speaker 2: like tier 1B or so players that like there's whatever, 25,
- 5:52Speaker 2: 35 of them in the league. And yeah, he's unbelievable
- 6:00Speaker 2: when he's at his best. So I think 30-30 seems.
- 6:04Speaker 2: Pretty likely barring an injury. Um, that 40, 40 marker
- 6:08Speaker 2: that was candidly, not something I've thought a lot about.
- 6:09Speaker 2: So that's good questions. Yeah.
- 6:11Speaker 1: Um, I, I think you really have to get it going.
- 6:14Speaker 1: Obviously to get to 40, 40, I think it's a
- 6:16Speaker 1: little out of reach, uh, here recording on August 29th,
- 6:19Speaker 1: but barring fingers crossed an injury or anything, you would
- 6:23Speaker 1: think he's, he's definitely on pace for 30, 30. I'd
- 6:25Speaker 1: love to see him push for 35, 35. Maybe he's
- 6:27Speaker 1: got to start swiping a little more than, uh, the
- 6:30Speaker 1: nationals have had him stealing bases this season. But, uh, 35-35.
- 6:34Speaker 1: I still think that's an extra five to hang your
- 6:37Speaker 1: cap on, which is something. So the Nationals have three
- 6:41Speaker 1: more here against the Marlins before they head off into September,
- 6:44Speaker 1: and then they get two against the Braves to open
- 6:46Speaker 1: that up, and then a day off. Road trip out
- 6:49Speaker 1: west to take on the Dodgers and the Padres. If
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- 7:57Speaker 1: Thank you, SeatGeek. And we are back, Spencer. Nationals outfielder
- 8:02Speaker 1: Dalen Lyle has just been on an absolute roll lately.
- 8:05Speaker 1: I think we really need to have a serious conversation
- 8:08Speaker 1: about the Nationals trying to lock this guy up. I
- 8:11Speaker 1: know it hasn't been the cleanest 162, but I think
- 8:15Speaker 1: this is someone who has proven he should be a
- 8:17Speaker 1: fixture in this outfield for a while to come. And
- 8:20Speaker 1: I'm wondering if you've heard any discussions of that or
- 8:22Speaker 1: what the price range may look like for a player
- 8:25Speaker 1: of Lyle's caliber.
- 8:27Speaker 2: Yeah, so I... I discussed this, uh, honestly, it was
- 8:32Speaker 2: like first or second week of the season. It might've
- 8:34Speaker 2: even been before we started the podcast. Um, I, I
- 8:38Speaker 2: broached the idea and did a little bit of reporting
- 8:41Speaker 2: around it around that time. Um, the nationals and Lyle
- 8:46Speaker 2: had not, um, engaged in any sort of conversations. Um,
- 8:50Speaker 2: I haven't heard of any conversations being engaged in sense,
- 8:53Speaker 2: but that doesn't mean that they haven't happened per se. Um,
- 8:58Speaker 2: to me, when I think about who smart candidates to
- 9:02Speaker 2: extend are, it is the kind of uber-reliable players who A,
- 9:09Speaker 2: seem to love DC, and B, seem to have, for
- 9:15Speaker 2: lack of a better word, phrasing, I guess, agencies that
- 9:20Speaker 2: have shown a willingness to extend players in the past, right?
- 9:24Speaker 2: There's a million other factors that go into it, which
- 9:26Speaker 2: is part of why they rarely happen but um Lyle's
- 9:30Speaker 2: an interesting case to me right because he hasn't been
- 9:33Speaker 2: consistent this season but I've I mean just frankly been
- 9:36Speaker 2: being the drama all year that he is still um
- 9:38Speaker 2: going to figure it out now again is he having
- 9:40Speaker 2: the season he wanted absolutely not um he's been quite
- 9:44Speaker 2: frustrated and quite open about his frustrations uh with himself
- 9:48Speaker 2: but um this is around the time he turned it
- 9:51Speaker 2: on last year and I think when you look at
- 9:54Speaker 2: the swing itself right um It is swing that screams
- 9:59Speaker 2: consistency it screams a guy who's going to play in
- 10:02Speaker 2: the big leagues for a long long time um and
- 10:05Speaker 2: so ultimately that next step is the thing and it
- 10:08Speaker 2: feels weird to say but because he's been saying it
- 10:10Speaker 2: right like the the mental side of things right not
- 10:13Speaker 2: getting in his own head um maybe taking it a
- 10:15Speaker 2: little easier on himself he mentioned he's been like swinging
- 10:19Speaker 2: less pregame, right? Because he just, he would take one
- 10:22Speaker 2: hack after another, after another. Um, when in reality the
- 10:26Speaker 2: swing is fine, right? Like, um, he said he kind
- 10:29Speaker 2: of takes after James and CJ in that way where
- 10:31Speaker 2: he's tried to like scale it back a little bit
- 10:34Speaker 2: more focused on the approach and things like that. Um,
- 10:38Speaker 2: and so just to kind of like sum it all
- 10:39Speaker 2: up here, um, it's a player where if he gets
- 10:42Speaker 2: kind of that approach side, um, back where it was
- 10:46Speaker 2: at the end of last year and we're starting to
- 10:48Speaker 2: see that a little bit it is like the perfect
- 10:51Speaker 2: player for the nationals to extend add on top of
- 10:53Speaker 2: that like his defense has improved monumentally this year um
- 10:57Speaker 2: his base running is still elite and figures to hold
- 11:00Speaker 2: up for a while um now again if you're extending
- 11:03Speaker 2: him just for the sake of extending him like oh
- 11:05Speaker 2: we're gonna you know buy out the final two years
- 11:08Speaker 2: of his contract or whatever um and just to say
- 11:12Speaker 2: we did it, like that's never a smart reason to
- 11:14Speaker 2: do it. But if you think you're getting value down
- 11:16Speaker 2: the line, um, it's a, it's a good idea. Um,
- 11:20Speaker 2: as for, I think you also asked about like the,
- 11:22Speaker 2: the potential cost associated with it. Um, candidly, I don't
- 11:27Speaker 2: remember exactly where we ended up. Um, but I, I
- 11:31Speaker 2: know that kind of around the Lawrence Butler number made
- 11:34Speaker 2: sense earlier this season. Um, I think in like the
- 11:38Speaker 2: $ 70 million range or so was where it was floated. Now, again,
- 11:42Speaker 2: that changes a little bit because of the season he's had,
- 11:45Speaker 2: because you've already lost this year itself. But it is
- 11:52Speaker 2: compelling to think about, right, because he's been on a downturn.
- 11:55Speaker 2: But in my eyes, and I think in at least
- 11:58Speaker 2: some other people's eyes, this is a guy that should
- 12:02Speaker 2: be able to recapture what he's done in the past.
- 12:05Speaker 2: So we'll see.
- 12:07Speaker 1: I would love to see it happen. Ownership, learner family,
- 12:10Speaker 1: please find a way to get the job done. Final
- 12:12Speaker 1: thing I want to finish with today, though, Spencer, you
- 12:14Speaker 1: had written about a week or so ago about the
- 12:17Speaker 1: possibility of Andres Chaparro getting a little more playing time
- 12:19Speaker 1: over at third base, and we saw him there the
- 12:21Speaker 1: other day. Is he getting more reps over there at
- 12:25Speaker 1: third base? And I guess take me through that story
- 12:28Speaker 1: and the versatility he could really provide at the hot
- 12:31Speaker 1: corner if he's able to get it down.
- 12:34Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think the thought process here, right, is
- 12:38Speaker 2: You don't want to turn Brady House just into a
- 12:39Speaker 2: platoon bat who only faces lefties. But there are absolutely
- 12:43Speaker 2: right handers that he struggles against, or at least has
- 12:46Speaker 2: in the past. We'll get to that. But when you
- 12:51Speaker 2: think about a potential platoon next year, like Chaparro and
- 12:55Speaker 2: I mean, like Ortiz feels like a perfect fit where
- 12:59Speaker 2: Abby is the, you know, left handed bat. Chaparro is
- 13:04Speaker 2: the right handed bat. But then you go over to
- 13:06Speaker 2: third base where, again, Brady has struggled a little bit
- 13:08Speaker 2: against right-handers. And so you want to get Chaparro potentially
- 13:13Speaker 2: in some of those right-handed spots, right? And at that point,
- 13:17Speaker 2: you're saving a roster spot. You don't have to roster
- 13:20Speaker 2: a left-handed hitting third baseman, not just for the sake
- 13:26Speaker 2: of doing it, but just for the sake of making
- 13:27Speaker 2: him comfortable. I feel like you have more versatility there,
- 13:32Speaker 2: especially if he's decent at third base. which we'll see, right?
- 13:37Speaker 2: He hasn't done much of it in the big leagues before.
- 13:40Speaker 2: There's a reason for that, and that they believe in
- 13:44Speaker 2: Brady and they believe in the other options they've had
- 13:46Speaker 2: over there. But to me, that is really the compelling
- 13:50Speaker 2: angle of the end of Chaparro's season, is how often
- 13:55Speaker 2: do they play him there? And then on Brady's front, right?
- 13:57Speaker 2: He hit 445, 473, whatever you want to call it, tank.
- 14:04Speaker 2: um off a off a right hander off 99 miles
- 14:06Speaker 2: per hour um he is blake said yesterday i looked
- 14:11Speaker 2: into this i i think i don't know if we're
- 14:14Speaker 2: looking at different stats or i need to um maybe
- 14:16Speaker 2: refine my search a little bit he said brady's chase
- 14:18Speaker 2: is down a lot over the last six weeks um
- 14:21Speaker 2: it's definitely down i think it's probably maybe men against
- 14:25Speaker 2: right handers or certain pitch types or whatever um but
- 14:27Speaker 2: brady's approach nevertheless has been better over the last six
- 14:31Speaker 2: weeks or so um And so if you have basically
- 14:36Speaker 2: two guys in that position who are comfortable hitting or
- 14:39Speaker 2: comfortable enough hitting against right-handed pitching, um, you save yourself from, again,
- 14:46Speaker 2: having to roster someone that, um, is just kind of there.
- 14:50Speaker 2: And I'm, you know, I don't want people to read
- 14:53Speaker 2: between the lines and think I'm saying VVAS, right? Like
- 14:56Speaker 2: I think it's more so you, whoever ends up in
- 15:00Speaker 2: that third base spot next year, um, you don't want
- 15:04Speaker 2: to have to feel like pigeonholed by the idea that
- 15:07Speaker 2: Brady or Chaparro can't hit right-handed pitching. Um, and so that's,
- 15:11Speaker 2: that's a big reason why it compels me. Yeah.
- 15:14Speaker 1: Well, uh, I am finally back in Washington, DC. I'm
- 15:17Speaker 1: excited to see the boys over at the ballpark later today. Spencer,
- 15:20Speaker 1: is there anything you want to toss in before we
- 15:22Speaker 1: wrap up this weekend episode?
- 15:25Speaker 2: Um, I think just the final thing I would touch
- 15:27Speaker 2: on again is, is Jackson being able to go, uh,
- 15:32Speaker 2: seven innings, 106 pitches, right? Like, I think that deserves
- 15:35Speaker 2: its shine. I think it's fascinating that for how new
- 15:42Speaker 2: school organization is, for how candidly young their manager is, like,
- 15:47Speaker 2: there's still a decent amount of, like, old school traditional
- 15:53Speaker 2: elements to it in the sense of, you know, Blake
- 15:56Speaker 2: saying he wouldn't pull a guy with a no-hitter unless
- 15:58Speaker 2: there were, like, really, really dire straits because it's something that,
- 16:03Speaker 2: you know, is special and a guy deserves a chance
- 16:06Speaker 2: to do. Or again, like Jackson being given 106 pitches
- 16:10Speaker 2: to see if he can do it, see if he
- 16:13Speaker 2: can grid it out because it might help him in
- 16:14Speaker 2: the future, all these things. And then Jackson himself, right?
- 16:20Speaker 2: Like he didn't, you know, play it up or play
- 16:23Speaker 2: it down too much. He basically said what it was,
- 16:25Speaker 2: which is like, this is awesome, right? He loved it.
- 16:29Speaker 2: And I think when I think about the nationals rotation
- 16:32Speaker 2: next season, right. I think so much about Jackson and how,
- 16:38Speaker 2: how much length the nationals can get out of him. Right.
- 16:41Speaker 2: Is it, you know, 90 inning season or is it
- 16:44Speaker 2: a hundred and 70 inning season? Right. And I think that's,
- 16:47Speaker 2: that could swing a lot for the nationals. If he
- 16:50Speaker 2: is someone you can bank on, start in, start out
- 16:54Speaker 2: in his, you know, first full season in the big leagues. Right.
- 16:58Speaker 2: And so, See something like this to see if he
- 17:00Speaker 2: can do it this far into the season. Again, it's
- 17:05Speaker 2: really compelling stuff.
- 17:07Speaker 1: We will see you next week's episode. Everyone have a
- 17:11Speaker 1: great weekend. Keep going Nats.