Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 376 - 10/17/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 376 - 10/17/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:14
  Hello and welcome to episode 376.
• 0:18
  Of the all systems Go sports betting podcast powered by.
• 0:22
  Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh Applebaum.
• 0:29
  What's going on, everyone? Happy Friday.
• 0:32
  We're going to finish up our. Work week here guys today as we
• 0:35
  steam into a big weekend. And we got a lot to get to on
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  today's. Podcast including a huge.
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  Final card for college football in the NFL for this upcoming
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  weekend. So I have 7 plays lined up here.
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  For the weekend, including three.
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  College football plays tomorrow and then four NFL plays upcoming
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  on Sunday. And I do have a play for you.
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  Tonight in college. Football.
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  So there's four games. Overall, and there's one game
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  I'm going to take the dog plus the points and it reminds me.
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  Quite a bit. Of the Bengals last night, Who?
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  By the way, came up absolutely massive for the team.
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  Bengals gave us A1. And O night plus. 0.95 units, so
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  this is another angle here where we have a really good.
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  Green Star recommendation from Rhythm.
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  Again, shout out to anyone. And all of you who were able to
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  TuneIn? To the live stream last night,
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  pretty much. Worked out perfectly because
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  myself and my buddy Cade Harper. Again, it's every Thursday, 6:00
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  PM Eastern Time. Stream live on Twitter.
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  My buddy. Cade, he's an Ohio guy.
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  And as I'm doing my part of the stream.
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  From my work from home. Studio Cade's actually in the
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  car driving to the the Bengals game and I asked him, hey, what
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  were your seats? Right beyond the end.
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  Zone. And then I said what, what
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  jersey are you wearing? He was wearing a Jamar Chase
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  jersey and Jamar Chase absolutely went off but.
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  Great example last night. Of really what we look.
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  For it, you know, wasn't. A super sharp.
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  Bengals play, but I think. It was a great value play by low
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  play because remember that line did move up.
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  Toward Pittsburgh -4 up to -5 1/2.
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  But it started to get to get juiced up towards Cincy.
• 2:01
  You started to see that buyback. On Cincy and then it just
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  matched as a classic divisional dog, primetime dog.
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  We've now seen these primetime dogs.
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  Continue to cash it's been. Great here they're now 14 and 6
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  against the spread. 70% this season.
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  And of course, Joe Flacco absolutely lit it up.
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  We're down 10, nothing early and I got a little nervous but man
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  did the. Did the Bengals?
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  Turn it on and I. Think that's also a great test
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  case of, you know, the buy low sell high aspect where again you
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  had the Steelers on a win streak, you had Cincinnati on a
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  big losing streak. Who was the more desperate team?
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  What was buying low on that team that had that losing streak so
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  great hit there with? A1 and O Knight.
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  Plus 0.95 units with the Bengals and the points now if you're
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  listening carefully. To the introduction of this
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  podcast, you might have been. Surprised we have new
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  introduction music. So truth be told guys, I'm a big
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  blink 182 fan. The song that I would always
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  play at the beginning of the pod.
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  Is a song by Boxcar Racer called All Systems Go.
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  Boxcar Racer. I'm really getting into like
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  the, you know, the nitty gritty here, but this was a Blink 182
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  offshoot anyway. It matched perfectly with the.
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  Pod and then believe it or not. This goes to show you how our
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  podcast. Has been growing here.
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  I actually got a cease and desist.
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  From Spotify where somehow. Blink 182, I guess discovered
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  that we were using, you know, 15 seconds of a Blink 182 song to
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  start in it, you know, get into an.
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  An end the. Podcast and they said you can't
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  do that anymore. So I can't, you know, couldn't
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  play it again. That tells me that, you know
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  we're. Getting a lot of.
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  Links. A lot of a lot of clicks, a lot
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  of listens. If you were under the radar and
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  no one listened, I don't think they'd ever find out.
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  But somehow they found out. And I I reached out to my buddy
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  James Santor. Who's been one of my great
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  friends and allies in the industry, James.
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  And I worked together with. Rhythm we worked.
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  Back in the day, together with V, Syn and the.
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  Lombardi Line and James now works for Splash Sports, which
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  is how. I teamed up and did.
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  That survivor pool. But my buddy James I reached
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  out. I said hey man, he helped me set
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  up the the first intro. Music I'm like, hey, I I got I
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  got flagged here. We need a new intro and outro.
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  So he cooked up. Something for us.
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  And we got the countdown there 54321 all systems go with Josh
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  Applebaum starts now. So pretty excited to unveil
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  that. So if.
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  You're wondering. Nope, you're not tweaking out.
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  That is a new intro song. We'll be rocking that.
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  Moving forward. But anyway, guys, finishing up
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  the week strong hopefully. One play in college football for
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  tonight, we'll start. Off with that and then again
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  full recap of the. Card for this weekend, 7 plays
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  overall. See if we can get some winners
• 4:35
  as we steam into. A big weekend and a reminder,
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  no? Podcasts on Saturday and Sunday.
• 4:41
  But you can. Read the Sharp reports.
• 4:42
  That I write for Visen. Dot com by just following me on
• 4:44
  Twitter at Josh under score. Insights and reminder.
• 4:48
  If you'd like to support the pod, you can get the all.
• 4:50
  Systems go best bet picks officially and exclusively only.
• 4:54
  On the Juice Real app and it costs $4.99 a week so thank you
• 4:58
  all who have signed up it. Really means a lot to me.
• 5:00
  And again, you get the plays as soon as I make them.
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  They go right to the to the the Juice Real app.
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  Well, that being said on a big Friday.
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  Again, we got a lot going on. We got four games in college
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  football. We got two Major League Baseball
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  postseason. Games we got some NHL.
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  But I'm going to dance with the one who brung me and.
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  Stick with what's been making us money, which is, which is.
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  Football. So.
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  One game caught my eye tonight, and I kind of.
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  Teased it a little bit earlier, but it.
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  Reminds me a lot. Of the Bengals.
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  Steelers game from last night where the line?
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  Moved in favor of the road favorite, but then all the
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  buyback was back toward the home dog.
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  So one play here for me tonight guys I'm looking at.
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  Nebraska at Minnesota. This is a 8.
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  O'clock Eastern Time kick off here.
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  Nationally televised game. It's the most heavily or one of
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  the most heavily. Backed Games of the night.
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  Right now, Louisville. And Miami is #1 but that's a
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  7:00 game. So this.
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  Will probably overtake it with that extra hour, but coming into
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  it just have a little. Background of.
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  Both these teams, the Cornhuskers.
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  Come in five and one ranked 25th in the country.
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  They just held off Maryland. 3431 didn't cover though as A7.
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  Point Rd. Favorite.
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  Meanwhile, Minnesota, four and two unranked, did just beat
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  Purdue 27 to 20. But either pushed as a 7 point
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  favorite or lost. And failed to cover as a 7 1/2
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  point home favorite depending on what.
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  What line you got? This game opened Nebraska listed
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  around a 5 1/2. Point Rd.
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  Favorite And just like the Steelers last night, the initial
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  line move was toward that road favorite, so.
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  Nebraska went from -5 1/2. All the way up to believe it or
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  not and. I had to double check this and
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  I. I definitely have the.
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  Proof it's true, but at one point it got all the.
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  Way up to Nebraska. -9. Very, very early in the week.
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  So that was the the. 13th. Which was what on Monday?
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  But ever since that time. There's been nothing but buyback
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  on Minnesota. So Minnesota again.
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  Getting as high as plus 9. They're now down to +7 and 1/2 +
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  7. So I'm.
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  The type of better who really respects late movement.
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  One good part of the the Bengals game last night was that you.
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  Saw a lot of those five and a halfs get juiced up and creep
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  back down toward 5, so that's kind of what you're.
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  Seeing here with Minnesota over the last 20. 4 to 48 hours, the
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  lines you know. Dropping back, breaking back
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  toward the Gophers and the points here you look at the
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  splits. Not a huge contrarian play
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  Minnesota right now. DraftKings, though, getting 52%
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  of spread bets, but 59% of spread dollars.
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  So just a little bit of low bets, higher dollars.
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  There, but to me this. Is a value play, a sharp buyback
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  play and a big. System match play listen all the
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  systems that are lighting. Up on Minnesota here tonight,
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  one would be a buy low. Unranked home dog versus sell
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  high ranked opponent. Remember.
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  Nebraska is ranked 25th. Minnesota is unranked, so the
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  public automatically. Is going to want to lean.
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  Toward that quote UN quote better.
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  Team but remember all these rankings are.
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  You know, basically, you know, a result of humans and their
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  opinions. So it's not like this is like a
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  data, you know, ranking based on numerical value.
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  But anyway, that spot. Unranked Home favors ranked
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  opponent 46 and 40 against the spread this year, 53%, 1:54 and
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  1:00. 31 ATS 54. Percent with a 5%.
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  ROI since the start of last year.
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  Next Angle Minnesota as a conference dog.
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  The built in familiarity and rivalry aspect levels the
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  playing field benefits the team getting points home.
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  Conference dogs are 43 and 34 against the spread this year.
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  56%. They're 1:55 and 1:00. 28 ATS
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  55. Percent with a 5% ROI since
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  2024. And listen to this if you layer
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  on just the bigger dogs. So if you're a home conference
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  dog getting 7 points or more. Those teams are 80. 4 and 59
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  against the spread 59 percent 12% ROI since 2024.
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  Next you look at 2:00. Teams in the Big 10 playing each
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  other, so conference matchup take the dog.
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  That system is 17 and 10 against the spread 63% with a 19% ROI.
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  Lastly, again. Very similar to that Steelers.
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  Game line moved up towards Steelers, all the buyback was
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  toward the Bengals. Similar thing here.
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  Line open with Nebraska favored. Big move early there.
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  In favor of Nebraska. Now we're coming back down
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  toward Minnesota with all these system matches as well.
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  And then I popped open rhythm and I have. 2.
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  Rhythm Green Star recommended plays.
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  One has Minnesota plus 5.4 and one has Minnesota +5.
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  So here we are getting a. Sharp edge here, remember.
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  Last night, I think it. Was plus 4.4 with the Bengals
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  and we were getting, you know, 5 1/2.
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  So it was a one. .1 Edge. This is a you.
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  Know upwards of a 2.2 and a half point.
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  Edge, so that's. What I like to see with.
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  With rhythm kind of backing us up here, but then also.
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  Popped open the Juice Reel app and noticed a. 12% sharp mush
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  edge on Minnesota, so 12% more of the sharper.
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  Winning betters who have downloaded.
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  Synced up their books with Juice Real.
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  Are also going with Minnesota here.
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  Lastly, got to shop. Around and you.
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  Got to get the hook here guys, because if you look.
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  Across the market right now. There are a lot of.
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  Plus sevens with Minnesota. So right now.
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  I'm looking at Minnesota +7 at Bet MGM, DraftKings, Caesar's
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  Fanatics. But there are two books.
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  Offering the hook right now. FanDuel is plus 7 1/2 - 120.
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  ESPN BET is plus 7 1/2 - 115. So I placed my bet at.
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  ESPN bet got the hook. Got a lower juice price?
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  -115 versus -120 but again, this reminds me.
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  Quite a bit of last. Night.
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  I'm hoping for the same sort of result.
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  Does Minnesota have to win straight up like Joe Flacco?
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  Last night, no. You just got to lose by 7 or
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  less, ideally 6 or less if anyone can't get the hook.
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  There, but with a good. Rhythm edge again around A5 5
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  1/2 point game. Robo Jackson Sharp mush
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  opportunity. Tons of system matches, sharp
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  buyback. I took the Minnesota Gophers
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  plus 7 1/2 at -115 at ESPN bet. So let's go Minnesota now,
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  looking toward the weekend. Reminder, I'll have an updated
• 10:58
  Sharp report. Tomorrow morning that'll tweet
• 11:00
  out if you don't follow me on Twitter.
• 11:02
  Or X as it is. Called Now you can always find
• 11:05
  me at Josh. Under score insights, but 3
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  plays in. College coming up for tomorrow.
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  First one for me, LSU and Vanderbilt.
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  Now this one is intriguing. For a bunch of reasons, the
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  main. One for me is that.
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  It's kind of a fade, the trendy dog.
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  Play. So if you look at what we've
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  seen. Across the market.
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  We open this game, you know, it's basically Vandy. -1 -, 1
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  1/2. Some books even opened LSU.
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  As a very short favorite. But we've pretty much stayed
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  steady, Vandy. -1 1/2 juiced up -115.
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  And some books. Vandy even. -2 at this point.
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  And this is notable because if you look.
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  At the splits right now. The public is leaning LSU 50. 5%
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  of spread bets but Vandy only 45% of spread bets but 79% of
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  spread dollars. That is a.
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  Really good low bets, higher dollar sharp.
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  Split. Vandy would also be A2 rank
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  teams take the home favorite. System match that is 175 and 46
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  straight up 79% with a 9% ROI. So also match with.
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  Vanderbilt and this. Is a money line play.
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  For me, I'd hate to see anyone lay a 1 1/2 or two with Vandy
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  and they win by 1 and you lose your bet so you're able to.
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  Right now across the market, get Vandy around.
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  I think it's -120 at bet MGM -125 minus. 1:30 at a few other
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  shops, but to me this is kind of like a fade the trendy.
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  Dog play, it reminds me. A little.
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  Bit in terms of if you remember in the NFL the Chiefs game
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  against, there's actually 2. Not the the Chiefs game against.
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  The Lions last week. Where you had basically, you
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  know, the public all. Over the Lions.
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  But the line kind of stayed. Steady and move.
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  Toward the Chiefs? Well, same sort of thing here.
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  Where? The public says LSU is the
• 12:48
  better team, but yet you're. Kind of seeing that movement in
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  liability. In a fade, the trendy dog spot
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  pop up here in favor of Vanderbilt.
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  And by the way. Me and my wife actually went
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  down to Nashville. Was it last fall?
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  And we rented scooters and kind of scooter through the
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  Vanderbilt University and there's actually a game going
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  on. Super cool spot so if you're
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  looking for a A school down South can't do much worse.
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  Than that and then also Vandy has a rest advantage.
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  They last played on October 4th versus LSU playing on the. 11th
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  so rest first Tired. Fade the trendy dog.
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  I'm going money line Vandy. I got it kind of a bad. -130 You
• 13:28
  can get as low as -120. Right now, but let's go.
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  Vandy next one for you haven't mentioned this game in a.
• 13:34
  Couple days, but have you guys noticed the?
• 13:36
  Washington, Michigan line move. I jumped on Washington.
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  Earlier this week at. Plus 6 1/2 I got him at -120.
• 13:44
  I just looked yesterday. And noticed that Washington had.
• 13:47
  A lot of books. Across the market is all the way
• 13:49
  down to plus 4 1/2. Now you can still get.
• 13:52
  Washington at +5 and 1/2. Juiced up at both.
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  FanDuel and and ESPN bet So if you haven't bet it yet, again, 5
• 14:00
  1/2's your best number. But pay attention to, you know.
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  Games we talked about earlier in the week, I always.
• 14:05
  Try to mention when we're betting a college game on a.
• 14:08
  On a Tuesday, the goal is to get a good number that looks better
• 14:11
  by the end of the week, so if. You're able to get that 6 1/2.
• 14:13
  Or if you follow the all systems go best bet picks from juice
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  reel you would have gotten. That alert, I'll still play the
• 14:19
  five and a half. Now, but again. 6 1/2.
• 14:22
  A lot of us here are holding that in pocket, which looks good
• 14:25
  now. Only 48% of bets, but 65% of
• 14:28
  dollars are on Washington at Circa and then at DraftKings,
• 14:33
  51% of spread bets, 77% of spread dollars.
• 14:38
  We also have. Washington in a spot here where
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  Big 10 conference dogs are 17 and 10 against the spread 63%
• 14:45
  this year. Washington can put up.
• 14:47
  Points, so they're also a. Dog who can score?
• 14:48
  System match and again we're. Kind of seeing a good split with
• 14:53
  some good sharp buyback in Michigan, if you remember
• 14:55
  Michigan. Opened like -6 -, 6 1/2 So we're
• 14:58
  starting to see this. Thing again creep back down
• 15:00
  toward the Huskies. So I am on Huskies plus 6 1/2
• 15:04
  again. Pretty much can't find that
• 15:05
  anymore. But you.
• 15:06
  Can still find plus. Five and half at.
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  FanDuel and ESPN. That's important.
• 15:10
  Because again, some books are down to 4 1/2.
• 15:13
  But let's go. Washington, keep that thing
• 15:15
  close. One of my favorite games of the
• 15:17
  weekend because it's so gross and so disgusting.
• 15:20
  Penn State love this. Opportunity with Penn State
• 15:23
  because it's kind of the. Ultimate contrarian play, not
• 15:26
  just in terms of percentages. Because Penn State.
• 15:29
  Right now is only getting. 38% of bets at DraftKings.
• 15:33
  And if you look at Penn State? At circa only 27% of spread
• 15:36
  bets. But it's also just a kind of buy
• 15:39
  on bad. News type of play like Penn.
• 15:41
  State fired their coach. Their quarterback had a season
• 15:45
  ending. Injury.
• 15:45
  They were a national title contender.
• 15:47
  Now they'll be lucky to make the Tostitos ball.
• 15:50
  So again, people have pretty much given.
• 15:51
  Up on Penn State, they've lost. Three in a row I believe.
• 15:55
  And again to the big. Favorites in a lot of these
• 15:58
  games, you axe your coach, he's gone.
• 16:01
  No one wants to play Penn State. Because of all this.
• 16:03
  Bad news swirling around them, however, the betting market is
• 16:06
  showing some good sharp. Liability on Penn State, we had
• 16:09
  Iowa. Open this game around a 3 1/2
• 16:11
  or. 3 point favorite. Public is playing Iowa, yet this
• 16:14
  line is down to three and it's juiced up.
• 16:16
  Even a little bit. More toward Penn State.
• 16:18
  Like it may get down to 2 1/2 so.
• 16:19
  Why is this line not? Shooting up to Iowa. -4 - 5 You
• 16:24
  know, if anything, it's coming back down toward Penn State,
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  even though Penn State has all these.
• 16:28
  Issues that we talked about. So I'll I love the spot for Penn
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  State. One thing I noticed is at circa
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  only 27% of spread bets, but 66% of spread dollars are on Penn
• 16:39
  State and then. You also look at a really good.
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  Sharp mush or rhythm system match I should say, on the
• 16:46
  Nittany Lions at rhythm. Penn State is plus 1.9.
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  So you can even round that up to two, you're getting a three.
• 16:54
  That provides a pretty good edge there.
• 16:55
  Now here's the kicker. I wanted the.
• 16:57
  Hook all week and I'm actually glad I waited because I was
• 17:00
  talking about how again, this is also a dog low total, like a
• 17:03
  total of. Only 39 and a half 40 ish so
• 17:06
  benefits a. Dog there with a few amount of
• 17:09
  expected points scored. Again, harder for the favorite.
• 17:12
  To cover. But Iowa plays a lot of these
• 17:14
  low scoring games and a lot of these like 3 point games.
• 17:18
  So Iowa in this spot. I was looking to.
• 17:21
  Again, take Penn State plus the hook.
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  And waited, and waited and waited.
• 17:25
  And then last night. Right as that Bengals game.
• 17:28
  Is ending. I looked at my.
• 17:30
  My app and I was starting to shop around and popped open my.
• 17:33
  Odds logic live odds page. And I did find a book offering
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  the hook plus 3 1/2. It is ESPN bet now.
• 17:39
  It's a little juicy. It's about as high as I'll.
• 17:41
  Go it's -130 but again, this is a three-point loss you want to
• 17:45
  cover. With the hook, so it's still.
• 17:47
  Available right now I'm looking. At it as we speak.
• 17:49
  Plus 3 1/2 -, 130 I jumped on that with Penn State.
• 17:53
  Because again. 3 is the most. Common key number you lose.
• 17:56
  By three I want to catch with a 3 1/2.
• 17:58
  So I did put in. Penn State Plus 3 1/2.
• 18:00
  Juicy. -1. 30 at ESPN bet so. Vandy money line Washington plus
• 18:06
  6 1/2 now down to 5 1/2 and Penn State plus 3 1/2 -. 130 at ESPN
• 18:11
  bet and again Rhythm has that plus 1.9 now.
• 18:15
  Over to the NFL. Big slate in the NFL upcoming.
• 18:19
  1st but on the board. For me is the early game.
• 18:21
  Coming here at 9:30 AM Eastern Time on Sunday, this is across
• 18:25
  the pond with the Jaguars and it's kind of a buy.
• 18:28
  Low sell, high play in favor of Jacksonville.
• 18:30
  So I took the Jags. +3 again I was holding.
• 18:32
  Out for a hook, really couldn't find any.
• 18:35
  But this game opened -3 1/2 Rams and we're down to three.
• 18:39
  So this line is moving in favor of the Jacksonville Jaguars if
• 18:43
  you look at the bet. Splits right now Jags 57% of
• 18:46
  spread bets. But 80?
• 18:47
  1% of spread dollars at DraftKings, so again, little
• 18:51
  bits higher dollars in their favor.
• 18:53
  You also look. At a buy low, sell high where?
• 18:55
  The Rams just won and covered their last game.
• 18:58
  I. Think they blew out?
• 18:59
  Who was at the Ravens? Like 17 to 3?
• 19:01
  Jags lost and failed. To cover the previous week.
• 19:04
  So a buy low, sell high. And that.
• 19:06
  Spot right there, dog. Off a loss versus opponent.
• 19:08
  Off a win at cash last night with the Bengals.
• 19:11
  That's 16 and 11 against the spread 59% with a 12% ROI this
• 19:15
  year. So I'm hoping Puka Nakua is not
• 19:18
  going to play. Obviously he's a great player,
• 19:20
  but if he's out. Further benefit there to the.
• 19:23
  Jags but a buy low sell high I took.
• 19:25
  Jags I would have. Loved the hook but I can't find
• 19:27
  any. I took the Jags plus three and
• 19:30
  also the Jags have A7. Percent sharp mush edge in their
• 19:34
  favor from. Juice Rail.
• 19:36
  Next one I played Cleveland Browns now.
• 19:39
  This is a crazy. Windy under.
• 19:41
  I mentioned this with my buddy Patrick Maher last night.
• 19:43
  But you're looking at like 20 to 30 mile per hour winds gusts up
• 19:46
  to like I. Think it's like 50 miles an
• 19:48
  hour. And it could be.
• 19:50
  Rainy as well. That total is.
• 19:51
  Plummeted 41. And a half down to 37 and a half
• 19:54
  37 if. You do like a windy.
• 19:56
  Under it certainly matches, but my one.
• 19:58
  Play here is taking. Cleveland on the money line?
• 20:01
  Because this is a. Really good fade the trendy dog
• 20:04
  play. I guess it's not quite as
• 20:06
  contrarian anymore. Like Cleveland's getting 54.
• 20:08
  Percent of spread bets now at at DraftKings.
• 20:12
  But 80? 5% of the money.
• 20:14
  And Cleveland opened as low as minus. 1 1/2 Now they're up to
• 20:18
  -2 and a. Half and they're juiced up like
• 20:20
  they may even go to three. So this line is moved toward
• 20:23
  Cleveland even though. It's kind of a.
• 20:25
  Split ticket count and if you look.
• 20:26
  Over at Circa, Browns are getting a really short money
• 20:31
  line split 57% of bets over 90% of dollars on the money line.
• 20:36
  Browns 48% bets 69% dollars on the money line at DraftKings.
• 20:41
  So both books are showing a good.
• 20:42
  Split in favor of Cleveland. Also I think with the.
• 20:45
  Elements. You know Miami.
• 20:46
  Is a warm weather team. You know, Cleveland, it's going
• 20:49
  to be super windy. That's something that they're
• 20:51
  used to Miami, I think. It's kind of a -2 has got really
• 20:55
  good numbers historically at home.
• 20:56
  Has struggled on the road, but I played money line here with the
• 21:00
  Cleveland Browns -140 and I did notice a 21% sharp mush edge on
• 21:05
  the Browns, so I'm playing. Cleveland in this spot,
• 21:09
  hopefully they can get a win. For us and I'm I didn't play it.
• 21:11
  I just hate getting the. Worst of the number, but.
• 21:14
  Under. 37 1/2. Again, super windy under play.
• 21:17
  It'll be nice. So we had like a. 17 to 10.
• 21:19
  Cleveland win. How about that?
• 21:21
  Next one. If The Jets beat me, I'll tip my
• 21:24
  cap, but I like Carolina here. Carolina Panthers on the road.
• 21:27
  At the New York Jets, we've seen a big line move toward Carolina.
• 21:30
  Really the big angle for me is this dog to fave line move
• 21:33
  because we opened. Jets around a 2 1/2 point.
• 21:36
  Favorite we've now flipped to. Carolina -1 -, 1 1/2.
• 21:41
  So it tells me you got big money here.
• 21:43
  Moving this number, getting down on the Panthers.
• 21:45
  Panthers right now at circa 66% bets 87% of dollars.
• 21:51
  So it tells me a. Lot of sharps out there in Vegas
• 21:53
  are going with Carolina Panthers again.
• 21:57
  I'm going to go money line because I don't want to win by 1
• 21:59
  and, you know, lose this bet. Or or push.
• 22:02
  If you're out of one, there's a lot of.
• 22:03
  Books mostly 1 1/2. But I got Carolina -120 and
• 22:08
  again. I'll take a dog to fade move,
• 22:09
  especially against The Jets anytime I can get it.
• 22:12
  Last bit of the weekend for me, Indianapolis.
• 22:15
  Colts. At the LA Chargers, this is a
• 22:18
  really sharp fade. The trendy dog play.
• 22:20
  In favor of the Chargers. So we all know Indiana Jones and
• 22:25
  the and the Colts here again, Daniel Jones has been great.
• 22:27
  Colts are 5. And one and it's time we.
• 22:29
  Fade or sell? High on the Colts here, this
• 22:32
  game opened Chargers around a one point.
• 22:34
  Favorite and the public says the wrong team is favored.
• 22:37
  Colts are better right now. We are getting. 64% of spread
• 22:42
  bets on the Colts. But the Colts are not down to a
• 22:44
  pick or hopping the fence and going to -1 no.
• 22:48
  We're seeing this line move. Further toward the chargers so.
• 22:51
  Chargers across the market only getting. 36% of spread bets, but
• 22:56
  they've gone up -1 up to -1 1/2, so the.
• 22:58
  Lines moving toward the Chargers, even though public is
• 23:01
  on the Colts if you look at the splits.
• 23:03
  Right now chargers 36%, bets 48% dollars on the spread.
• 23:08
  You look at the. Circa spread, they're getting
• 23:11
  60. 2% bets 90. 2% of dollars so.
• 23:14
  Really good sharp split there in favor of LA.
• 23:17
  This is a money line play for me again.
• 23:19
  Same thought with if you're playing like Cleveland.
• 23:22
  As a short money line favorite or Carolina short money line
• 23:24
  favorite. Same thing with the.
• 23:26
  Chargers. I got chargers.
• 23:27
  On the money line -125 at DraftKings.
• 23:30
  And if you look at the Chargers with the DraftKings.
• 23:33
  Money Line splits 32% Bets 46% dollars.
• 23:37
  You also have. System match here.
• 23:40
  I like both off a win. Take the favorite straight up
• 23:43
  that is 98 and 3872 percent, 8% ROI since. 2022 we also have a
• 23:49
  12. Percent sharp mush edge on the
• 23:51
  chargers and we have rhythm chargers -1.9.
• 23:55
  Again, that's not an edge on laying a 1 1/2.
• 23:58
  But it's decent. Edge there on the money line.
• 24:00
  So public indie. Line going to the Chargers.
• 24:03
  I'm playing the Chargers here. Money line. -125 S Jags +3.
• 24:08
  Panthers money line. Browns money line.
• 24:10
  Chargers money line. If we could get at least two of
• 24:13
  those or maybe more, that would be fantastic, but that is the
• 24:16
  board. For tonight with Minnesota and
• 24:19
  the weekend Washington, Penn State, Vandy Jags, Panthers,
• 24:23
  Browns and Chargers. So that about does it.
• 24:26
  For episode 376. Of the all systems.
• 24:29
  Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm as.
• 24:32
  Always. This is the part of the pod
• 24:33
  where. We wrap things up and I'll start
• 24:35
  first by saying thank you. Thank you for listening, Thank
• 24:38
  you for tuning. In thank you for helping me grow
• 24:41
  this pod to such an extent that we get flagged because I guess
• 24:45
  people are listening and we're getting bigger and maybe blink
• 24:47
  182 found out about our. Intro and outro song so.
• 24:50
  Seriously, thank you for grinding.
• 24:52
  Listening to the breakdown, sweating the games with me means
• 24:55
  the world to me that we're creating this this community
• 24:57
  here because I think we're doing it the right way.
• 24:59
  Will we win every bet we make? No, because no one does and
• 25:01
  betting is really hard. But we're betting based on data,
• 25:05
  numbers, money, split system matches.
• 25:08
  Not our opinion, not our hopes and wants, which again is a
• 25:12
  recipe for disaster very quickly here.
• 25:15
  But either way guys, if you enjoy the pod, please could you
• 25:17
  give it a five star review? On Spotify or iTunes, I'll leave
• 25:21
  a nice review. If you're inclined.
• 25:23
  Recommend the pod to a friend. Click the follow button.
• 25:25
  I would very much appreciate that next if you enjoy this.
• 25:28
  Style of betting breakdown data. Driven sharp contrarian betting
• 25:31
  focusing on again the numbers, not.
• 25:34
  The teams. This style of betting has.
• 25:36
  Appealed to you. You've started to cash some
• 25:38
  tickets. It's.
• 25:39
  Provided you a blueprint. How to attack and analyze and
• 25:41
  interpret the market and you want to learn more about
• 25:44
  data-driven betting or you have a friend or family?
• 25:46
  Member, colleague, whoever, Who maybe.
• 25:49
  Never has bet and wants to get into betting or does bet loses a
• 25:52
  lot. It needs to kind of have a.
• 25:54
  Philosophy here to abide by. I would love it if you could go
• 25:56
  to. Amazon.com and Type.
• 25:58
  In the NFL sharp betting playbook, that's my new book.
• 26:02
  It's now two months old. But it's got everything we
• 26:04
  talked about through. A data-driven perspective.
• 26:07
  How to approach the? NFL so if you want to support
• 26:09
  the team or pick up a copy, it would.
• 26:11
  Really mean a lot to me. I also have another book called
• 26:13
  the Everything Guide to Sports Betting so I never.
• 26:15
  Want to forget my my first child?
• 26:17
  You know, again you got. To.
• 26:19
  You got 2 two books here. You always like the new one.
• 26:21
  It's. Exciting, but the first one is
• 26:22
  what? What made all everything start
• 26:24
  and everything happened? So if you want to pick up the
• 26:26
  everything guide to sports betting.
• 26:28
  Or the NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 26:30
  Please give them a 5. Star Review.
• 26:32
  If you enjoy them on Amazon and bring them the sports book, I'll
• 26:35
  sign them for you. I'll buy a beer or ginger ale.
• 26:37
  We'll sweat some games together. Next, have you downloaded?
• 26:40
  Rhythm and juice. Real yet?
• 26:41
  My 2. Favorite sports betting apps
• 26:43
  Rhythm Fantastic for their AI backed models and predictions
• 26:46
  for game bets and player props. Look no.
• 26:48
  Further Then again, Bengals checking off boxes for us.
• 26:52
  We we got a 5 1/2. Rhythm said it should've been
• 26:54
  4.4. That's how you use rhythm to
• 26:56
  your advantage. It's that cherry on top to make
• 26:58
  you feel more confident. To place a bet because you got
• 27:01
  you know that the data is behind you and then also Juice Reel, so
• 27:05
  many great features of Juice. Reel I mentioned earlier if
• 27:07
  you'd like to support the pod if you've been.
• 27:09
  You know, turning some good, some good profits here recently
• 27:12
  and winning some good bets that we talked.
• 27:14
  About on the pod. I would love it if you could.
• 27:16
  You know, kind of support the team by signing up to get the
• 27:19
  all. Systems go official best bet
• 27:21
  picks from juice. Rail cost $4.99 a week. 5 bucks.
• 27:25
  To get 7 days worth. Of plays so if you want to do
• 27:28
  that you'd make me happy you'd make my buddy Ricky gold happy
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  at juice rail and then juice rail is also going to give you
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  the robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators the
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  arbitrage plays the shop for the best sign features all available
• 27:39
  when you download juice rail so. Download Rhythm.
• 27:41
  Download Juice Rail. Give them a five star review in
• 27:44
  the App Store. Next you have a live odds page.
• 27:47
  You need a live. Odds page if you don't.
• 27:49
  You really don't know #1. I don't know how.
• 27:52
  People consistently bet. On sports without a live odds
• 27:55
  page, to me you're kind of flying blind.
• 27:57
  I need to know all the games. Being played today, I need to
• 27:59
  know what the lines open at, what they are now.
• 28:02
  Very first piece of information. Is which direction has the line
• 28:05
  moved? Then you apply the splits.
• 28:07
  Then you apply your system matches.
• 28:09
  You can shop for the best price. You can identify steam.
• 28:11
  You get live scoring, live in game wagering odds all available
• 28:15
  when you sign up for an Odds Logic membership.
• 28:18
  So I am a proud partner of Odds. Logic actually.
• 28:21
  Odds Logic tweeted. That they are looking to hire
• 28:24
  someone. To kind of be.
• 28:27
  A team member and I had a lot. Of a lot of you guys reach out,
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  say any. Any more info on that?
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  I don't have more info but I think it'll be a fantastic job
• 28:34
  so I highly. Recommend that you apply.
• 28:36
  If you're interested in getting into the world of sports
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  betting. True story, I started off as a.
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  Customer service representative for Sports Insights back in
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  2011, the Bruins had just won the Cup.
• 28:47
  I saw a Craigslist ad it was I think it was like 10 bucks an.
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  Hour. And that's where I learned
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  everything I know now. About sports betting, so you get
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  your foot in the door. It could be a great opportunity
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  for you guys, but I do have a. Promo for odds logic.
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  If you go to. Oddslogic.com/josh 123 you're.
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  Going to get A7. Day free trial and 50% off your
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  first month of service so. Definitely give it a shot.
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  Next have. You signed up for Novig yet?
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  Novig is a betting exchange. And you're going to get.
• 29:16
  Better. Prices because you're not paying
• 29:17
  the juice to the house. So it's a big, big advantage and
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  when you win and things are going well.
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  Unlike a sports book who would limit you and boot you and kick
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  you out, you don't get limited or booted.
• 29:27
  So if you look at the juicer, you're always going to get.
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  Better numbers, better prices. It's almost always like. -110 or
• 29:34
  less on the favorite or plus 110 or less on the.
• 29:37
  Dog and again we both win at a. 54% clip but I'm laying -1 tens
• 29:42
  -1 O fives on juice prices. You're laying -110 -. 115 I'm
• 29:47
  going to make a. Little more money than.
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  You because I'm paying less. Juice.
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  So if you've never given it a shot and now is a great.
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  Time to sign up with. Novig get better prices and you
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  can. Use promo code Josh 123 when
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  you. Deposit you'll get 100.
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  Percent deposit match up to. 25 bucks.
• 30:05
  So that about does it for episode 376 of the ASG pod
• 30:08
  finishing up strong on a big Friday.
• 30:10
  As always guys, two final. Thoughts One whether I.
• 30:13
  See you at the Borgata. In Atlantic City Twin.
• 30:15
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire
• 30:17
  Foxwoods. Or Mohegan Sundown in
• 30:19
  Connecticut, the Encore in Boston, plain Ridge park casino
• 30:22
  MGM Springfield the Nash in my neck of the.
• 30:25
  Woods on the border of. New Hampshire and Mass are out
• 30:27
  in the desert, where the true grinders.
• 30:28
  Get down or Billy Walter. Sends his number runners.
• 30:31
  Where the lowest juice possible. Is found at the South.
• 30:33
  Point or. Sweat and Sharp can train plays
• 30:35
  jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you catch a big ticket
• 30:38
  at Circa. Wherever it may be you're going
• 30:40
  to walk up to. Me and show me a.
• 30:41
  Beautiful, beautiful Bengals plus 5 1/2 baby.
• 30:47
  Man. That was a great hit last night,
• 30:49
  especially getting. Down 10, nothing and then.
• 30:51
  Really storming back. And you know what?
• 30:53
  I. I was worried to be honest with
• 30:54
  you. At the very end when when the
• 30:58
  the Bengals. Had the lead and then they lost
• 30:59
  the lead. There's a deep pass to Friar
• 31:01
  Muth. And I was worried like.
• 31:04
  Oh oh boy, are we going to have like a Placo pick 6 to kill?
• 31:08
  Our spread but Nope went. All the way down the field, walk
• 31:11
  off field goal. So thank you to the Bengals.
• 31:13
  For great winter last night. But as always, guys.
• 31:16
  Coming off A1 and O night or an O in one night.
• 31:18
  A great night, a terrible night. Mediocre night whether you're
• 31:21
  hot. Or cold.
• 31:22
  Or grinding. Or somewhere in the middle.
• 31:24
  Never. Get too high or too low?
• 31:25
  Let's stick to the model, stick to the blueprint, focus on the
• 31:28
  numbers and the data. Bypass layoff.
• 31:31
  Games that are not checking off all our boxes.
• 31:32
  But if? The games fit our model.
• 31:34
  We're going to get down. South against the.
• 31:36
  Public with the house with the pros Flat bet avoid.
• 31:39
  Parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
• 31:42
  to be successful sports bettors, so.
• 31:44
  Have a fantastic Friday, everybody.
• 31:46
  Have an even better weekend, I'll see you back.
• 31:48
  On Monday and by the. Way we got a double header
• 31:50
  Monday Night Football, so looking forward to that.
• 31:52
  We'll see you on Monday for episode 377 of the All Systems
• 31:56
  Go. Sports betting podcast powered
• 31:58
  by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and I'll see
• 32:01
  you soon.