Latest / What Bitcoin Did / The AI Future Is Overhyped. Why Bitcoin Still Matters | Junseth
Transcript
- 0:00If something comes along and improves the world 2%, you now have a world that doubles
- 0:0936 years faster than it used to be.
- 0:12Bitcoin is a global project.
- 0:14People that have dreams for it, it's very selfish.
- 0:18Their dreams are going to be very small compared to what Bitcoin does.
- 0:21Don't fall into the trap of the autistic bedroom dweller telling you his dream for the world
- 0:29and how he's about to achieve it.
- 0:31You don't have to live in that world.
- 0:33You can elect not to.
- 0:34Bitcoin needs to be used primarily
- 0:37for its function of transferring value
- 0:40from place to place right now,
- 0:41such that that is the number one reason
- 0:43that someone wants to use the blockchain.
- 0:46And until then,
- 0:48we will have a million attack vectors.
- 0:54Mr. Junset.
- 0:56Aye.
- 0:57We are on.
- 0:58Have you seen, you were obviously on the show maybe three years ago, talking about how-
- 1:06This is for me, obviously.
- 1:07Yeah, you've got your sippy cup ready.
- 1:09It was whiskey when you were on the show last time.
- 1:11Now it's sippy cups.
- 1:12It was whiskey and guns.
- 1:14But you were on the show a few years ago.
- 1:16Look at you eating all your baby snacks.
- 1:18Well, I love baby snacks.
- 1:20This is actually what I buy now when I go to the store.
- 1:22I put things into sippy cup bottles so I can drink them later.
- 1:26I don't want to be the one to dox it, Jenseth,
- 1:29but I feel like you have.
- 1:30You've got your kid in the room.
- 1:33Yeah, my little baby's here.
- 1:34Having a fun time walking around, seeing the cameras?
- 1:37She might make an appearance if she's brave.
- 1:40She has no idea what's going on.
- 1:42But last time, not last time,
- 1:44but a few years ago when you were on the pod,
- 1:45did a show about how the metaverse isn't real.
- 1:48Yeah.
- 1:48Have you seen they've closed down the metaverse?
- 1:51What metaverse? It wasn't real.
- 1:52Well, the company that named themselves after the metaverse.
- 1:55They've closed down their metaverse.
- 1:57Well, that's not surprising because it never really existed in the first place.
- 2:00It's one of the latest narratives in crypto world to die.
- 2:04It's really easy to make predictions when you're just saying true things.
- 2:09You know, the metaverse stuff was funny.
- 2:12I remember debating someone.
- 2:13They told me that the amazing thing about the metaverse was that very soon,
- 2:17Boeing is going to be able to stop making airplanes.
- 2:21Because why would you need to go there?
- 2:23And that we will be able to just walk into an airplane in the virtual world, fly somewhere, and land and get to see any place we want.
- 2:32And I said to this person, well, why use an airplane?
- 2:35Why not a Star Trek transporter then?
- 2:39And they just kind of froze because they hadn't considered that maybe in the metaverse you don't need an airplane.
- 2:47I was like, why spend like three hours flying to a place that's virtual when you could just transport there?
- 2:53No, you've still got to go through TSA.
- 2:56Sir, please.
- 2:57You have metal in your pockets.
- 2:59The thing that was insane to me about that narrative
- 3:03is how they thought you could take
- 3:05any kind of human touch out of an interaction.
- 3:07Like they thought that it could be the same.
- 3:09Me and you sat here with our VR headsets on
- 3:11and it feel the same as us being sat here.
- 3:14I don't know what the kind of, what was going on?
- 3:17What were people actually thinking?
- 3:18I think this was like brain rot after COVID.
- 3:19it. It used to be that the world was imagined by people who were grounded and had a sense of
- 3:30wonder about the future. And now the world is imagined by a bunch of autistics who want nothing,
- 3:39who think that the best state of the world is one wherein you live in your bedroom and never come out.
- 3:45and human interactions are superfluous like food in Silicon Valley.
- 3:53You know what I mean?
- 3:54Like it's the, what's that?
- 3:57The green drink or whatever it was from that movie.
- 4:01What's this?
- 4:02Where they drink the people.
- 4:04Oh, I do know what you mean.
- 4:05So I was talking to, I think this is where-
- 4:07What's that called?
- 4:08I don't know.
- 4:09Do you want me to look it up?
- 4:09Yeah.
- 4:11I can't think of what that was called.
- 4:12They have a product that they make of it too.
- 4:14It's like a soy, like milk thing.
- 4:18Let's see.
- 4:19All the energy you'd ever need.
- 4:22Soylent green.
- 4:24Soylent.
- 4:24What was that?
- 4:25Is that what it was called?
- 4:26Or is that what the fake one is?
- 4:27Soylent.
- 4:27It was both.
- 4:28I mean, they named Soylent after Soylent.
- 4:30So yeah, the whole world is like, it's like Soylent, but in like human interaction sense.
- 4:35Like you, you just, the world's imagined by people who think the best state of the world
- 4:41is living in your bedroom and not seeing beautiful things and not experiencing art,
- 4:49you know, for the sake of, you know, there's a whole lot of things that have always existed
- 4:56that you can do, that you could do virtually, that are virtually identical to doing the real
- 5:02thing, going to a concert, listening to a CD, for example. And people have decided that it is a
- 5:08better world where I can go to a concert and watch the person who I love to listen to the CD of
- 5:14perform the music live. And there's a whole class of people that we've given a whole bunch of power
- 5:20to for some reason who view the world as, or who view those people who believe those things as
- 5:26insipid and as, as, uh, as
- 5:31uncomfortably imaginative, I guess. And I view those people as, as normal. And I think you would
- 5:42have too. Yeah. And the thing is that there's like an infection that I've noticed that has occurred
- 5:47in, in humans where we take this class of people who believe that living inside their bedroom is
- 5:52the best state of the world. And it seems like it infects all of our analyses all over. Everyone I
- 5:59talk to talks about AI as if it's going to replace every single job. They talk about the great future
- 6:07in which we'll all be embedding chips in our brain and sitting in chairs in the matrix.
- 6:12And I just don't see that as an interesting world. And I don't think that they would see that as an
- 6:19interesting world. And I don't see how you end up from here to there without convincing people that
- 6:23it's an interesting world. As humans, we still have to be, we still have to elect to live in the
- 6:30world that we build. There's so much in that. So I do want to come back to the AI taking jobs,
- 6:35but before we do, like, do you think the world, like the world is dictated by like the genius
- 6:40autist coders at the moment, because like everything comes out of the big tech company.
- 6:43No, the world is not dictated by them. The imagination is captured by them. That's what
- 6:47I'm saying is like, they don't make the world. They, they're the ones that make stupid products
- 6:52and say that everyone's going to like this amazing product in Bitcoin. We saw it for years. We had
- 6:57Slocket and like all sorts of other retarded things that people made and proposed. And I was
- 7:02like, you know, always viewed as this person who was just so amazing in terms of understanding what
- 7:07wouldn't, wouldn't work. But like they, I knew that nothing would work because it was stupid.
- 7:12And like, it's the same way nowadays, you know, but you can't say the big tech companies haven't
- 7:17work like it's not that the big tech companies haven't worked it's that it's that the the
- 7:22augmentation of the world we live in is like a good thing things that allow us to better connect
- 7:29can you know maybe be good and good enhancements to your life or my life but a world where like
- 7:35every single every single young kid has anxiety about how many likes they get on a post i think
- 7:42you and i both would agree that that is not an optimal world to live in absolutely and i think
- 7:47that those kids that have the anxiety would agree that if there were an alternative, which there is.
- 7:52You just don't go on social media.
- 7:53Yeah. If there were an alternative, they would prefer the alternative. And so the imagination
- 8:01is captured by these autistic idiots who don't understand human interaction. But we as humans,
- 8:10again, still have to elect to live in the world they're imagining. And I don't think that there's
- 8:15support for that. See, I wonder if AI really changes that. So I was speaking to Jesse Posner,
- 8:20who, I don't know if you know him, working on Vora with Eric Kaysen at the moment. They're doing a
- 8:25load of AI stuff. And he was saying the interesting change that's going to happen is that the world
- 8:30is no longer created, for example, social media by these genius coders at Silicon Valley. It's
- 8:36going to be the philosophers and the English majors that are now going to be the best actually
- 8:40implementing ideas, because all you have to do is use language to talk to these AI models. And who's
- 8:44better at language than those people. That's dumb. Why? Because... Let me just help you out there.
- 8:54He told me it was a death trap, Abigail. Come here, hon.
- 9:01You're doxing yourself now. We nearly lost the camera, but we're okay.
- 9:05Okay. So it's dumb because the language of every single industry is not best spoken by an English
- 9:12major the language of art is going to be spoken by someone who is well versed in art and maybe has
- 9:19an art history major i mean he included the artists the creatives they're the people great
- 9:23talking about but the language of like i don't know science is best spoken by a scientist
- 9:31like i i i've done some things in chat gpt and these other llms where i'm making things using
- 9:38them for making various things that I sell just for fun.
- 9:44I have these little projects I do.
- 9:46And I won't tell you how many times they have given me formulations that if I were to mix
- 9:51them together, they would cause a giant explosion.
- 9:55And then when I ask it-
- 9:57Do you mean unintentionally or intentionally?
- 9:59It tells me that just mix these two things together.
- 10:02And then I'll be like, that'll explode.
- 10:04And I'll be like, oh, yeah, that it will.
- 10:05Yeah.
- 10:06Potentially, yes.
- 10:07I think you can argue that's down to
- 10:10inputs as well. Okay, so we'll give that to an
- 10:12English major. Let the English major
- 10:14parse that out then.
- 10:16But did you see the guy in Australia? I don't know how true this is
- 10:18because it was on Twitter, but the guy whose dog had
- 10:20cancer. And then he cured his dog's cancer
- 10:22with the... I heard about this.
- 10:24So he sequenced the genome
- 10:26and then fed it into some
- 10:28LLM, got it to come up with the
- 10:30mRNA vaccine and created
- 10:32the vaccine, went through the regulations,
- 10:34gave this dog the vaccine, and it seemingly
- 10:36has done a good job at like reducing the cancer.
- 10:38Sounds like mRNA might actually be incredible.
- 10:40I think we always knew that though, right?
- 10:43But like, okay, so what we have here
- 10:45is regulatory hurdles that prevent mRNA
- 10:48from being incredible.
- 10:50We have LLMs that will take all of the mRNA research
- 10:53and tell you what to do.
- 10:55We also have scientists that can do that stuff.
- 10:57And like, this isn't a world,
- 10:59like what's neat is the DIY chemistry stuff.
- 11:02Like a lot of that DIY chemistry and DIY everything.
- 11:08I mean, I set up a chemistry lab in my own house.
- 11:11What happened to the wood shop?
- 11:13I have a wood shop in my own house.
- 11:14I have a chemistry lab.
- 11:15I have a wood shop.
- 11:16I have, you know, everything I can.
- 11:19You know, I have toys and whatever that I enjoy.
- 11:23But I have a daughter that I want to, like, have her be allowed to touch and do everything that she can possibly do.
- 11:30so she can learn the language of the world.
- 11:33And the language isn't like Chinese or Spanish or anything like that.
- 11:37It's like the language of chemistry and the language of biology
- 11:41and the language of computer science and all of these things.
- 11:43All of that language is going to actually help you to actually navigate,
- 11:47whether it's LLMs or whatever it is in the future.
- 11:49I don't really view the LLM space as AI per se.
- 11:56It's just language models.
- 11:59They're just, you know, output machines.
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- 14:26So when you look at like,
- 14:28I guess what you project the future to be
- 14:29with these LLMs, with AI,
- 14:32you said you don't think it's going to take every job.
- 14:33I think every job is a stretch for anyone,
- 14:35but like, I think it's going to replace a lot of jobs.
- 14:37And especially those jobs tend to be,
- 14:40at least at first, white collar jobs.
- 14:41Like it's the computer programmers,
- 14:43it's going to be the lawyers, the accountants,
- 14:44like these, this is going to be like incredibly disruptive.
- 14:48Do you think it's all,
- 14:50do you think we're going to move to a better future,
- 14:53even if we have like a huge interim period
- 14:55where it's very painful for people?
- 14:57Or do you think we're going to see
- 14:58some like revolt against technology?
- 15:01I don't know.
- 15:02I tend to live my life as a Luddist and the first,
- 15:05so it doesn't really bother me anyway,
- 15:08which way it goes.
- 15:10And as to whether we end up having a revolt with people
- 15:14or whether there actually is this incredible transition
- 15:19that everyone's predicting,
- 15:20I don't know.
- 15:21I think the thing about transition in history, I think, shows us this, is that we as humans do fine with tumultuous transitions as long as they're slow.
- 15:39And we—
- 15:41But this isn't going to be slow.
- 15:43I don't think you're right.
- 15:44I think that—I think it will be very slow comparatively.
- 15:49I think it's going to be...
- 15:51What makes you think that, though?
- 15:52Because you look at the sort of the charts of how good these LLM models are getting,
- 15:56and it's basically exponential at the moment.
- 15:59So how can that be slow?
- 16:05Because it's just...
- 16:06Everything just takes longer than you think.
- 16:10It's kind of like the humanoid robots.
- 16:12Everyone is telling me we were going to have by now that we don't have.
- 16:15you know um and i don't think that we'll ever have them i think that those will probably i i was
- 16:21talking to someone a couple months ago saying that like i don't think that humanoid robots are
- 16:25the answer i think it's going to be specific task robots that you know yeah and that's just that's
- 16:31my prediction like i don't think that there's any reason why it has to look like a human like
- 16:36you know i think that a robot built to sweep my floors is going to be way better at sweeping my
- 16:43floors and like a general purpose human robot. I mean, I have one of them. I have a robot vacuum.
- 16:47And it's terrible. I mean, it's better than you because it does it every day. Well, that's the
- 16:51thing is like, there's just like reality in which if you've had one of these robots, you know,
- 16:56okay, your robot does a job that is 10% as good as your job, but it does it every day. So after
- 17:03two weeks, you look at the floor and you're like, this is 400% better than it is when I take care of
- 17:08it yep but like in like an aggregate sense it's better but in an like an individual like i just
- 17:14vacuum the floor sense it's heinous 100 right and that's how all these are same with my like my my
- 17:19my uh my mower same thing it's you have a robot mower oh yeah it does a five percent as good a job
- 17:27as i do five percent and only an aggregate like after a week is it as good as as mine
- 17:34You know, dad is pretty good, too.
- 17:37She doesn't want that.
- 17:38Do you want peanuts down there, hon?
- 17:42I think this is the most wholesome show I've ever done.
- 17:44Yeah, well, peanuts here.
- 17:48Uh-oh.
- 17:48You can have peanuts.
- 17:51Mommy can make sure you don't choke on them.
- 17:53There you go.
- 17:55So, yeah, I think in aggregate, the mower does about a 5% as good a job as I do mowing the lawn.
- 18:00But because it does it every day, now my lawn is mowed.
- 18:04Did you see the humanoid robot thing that came out maybe six months ago or something,
- 18:09where it was sold as this thing that was going to do all the tasks around your house?
- 18:12It looked like a human.
- 18:13It could do the dishwasher.
- 18:14And it turned out it was being driven by someone with a VR headset in another part of it.
- 18:18You can always expect that, though.
- 18:19Nothing.
- 18:20I have a rule in my life, which is that no innovation will ever change the world more
- 18:25than 2%.
- 18:25Even Bitcoin?
- 18:28Nothing.
- 18:29You don't think Bitcoin has changed the world by more than 2%?
- 18:32No, not efficiency.
- 18:33I think it will, like, I think maximum, like, Bitcoin could do, like, a big 2%.
- 18:38Like, that's a huge, think about it this way.
- 18:40Like, if something comes along and improves the world 2%, you now have a world that doubles 36 years faster than it used to be.
- 18:52It's pretty big.
- 18:53It's huge.
- 18:54So, like, every 36 years, you'll have another doubling based on the 2% change.
- 18:59Like, 2% is a lot.
- 19:00People don't realize that.
- 19:01I think last time we spoke, you said Bitcoin's not done anything yet.
- 19:05Yeah.
- 19:06Do you feel like it has at this point?
- 19:09No.
- 19:10No, not yet.
- 19:11I find that really hard.
- 19:13It's just, it's jumped in value.
- 19:14Like, what has it done?
- 19:16We haven't done anything yet.
- 19:17It's done, but it has done things for people.
- 19:21It's made people rich.
- 19:22No, no, and it's helped people escape dictatorships and autocratic regimes.
- 19:26Well, that's what it does.
- 19:29That's it?
- 19:30That's what it does.
- 19:30Yeah. No, that is a thing that Bitcoin does.
- 19:32Makes people rich and helps people escape.
- 19:34Well, Bitcoin goes in your prison wallet and helps you escape autocracy, oligarchy, whatever,
- 19:41arcy you're living under, right?
- 19:43Bitcoin is good at being transported.
- 19:47That's the function of Bitcoin, right?
- 19:49You memorize some things in your head and it moves from place to place.
- 19:52Incredible.
- 19:53Helps you escape fiat debasement?
- 19:55Yeah.
- 19:56So it has done things.
- 19:58If that's a thing that if we're considering that doing a thing, then yeah.
- 20:03Okay.
- 20:03So when you say that-
- 20:05It moves value.
- 20:06That's what Bitcoin does.
- 20:07Like that's, I'm not, I'm not like, I'm not, I don't want to take away from that.
- 20:11What I mean is like, is Bitcoin, is Bitcoin doing like, like, are we seeing banks use
- 20:17it and governments grab it?
- 20:19And like is it really changing the world Like getting people out of like bad situations they could stick gold up their butthole or they can stick Bitcoin up their butthole Bitcoin is better And especially especially over shorter periods of time where it like a little you know we can get it in
- 20:33get it out, sell it. It's highly liquid. It doesn't, you don't have to go to your local
- 20:37coin shop and take a 10% VIG on it, right? Like Bitcoin is better at that. That's a thing. It's
- 20:42way better at getting in and out of countries. You could literally, you know, mine your way out
- 20:48of Venezuela or something like that if you had to. Although now we don't have to worry about
- 20:51Venezuela. They're fine. But I'm not sure they're fine. They're fine. They might be in a slightly
- 20:57better situation. I'm not sure they're fine. Good job done. Mission accomplished. Is there something
- 21:03that you would look at and be like, okay, that Bitcoin is real now? I think if governments were
- 21:11were kind of doing like mini war with Bitcoin, that would be kind of an interesting thing.
- 21:15like uh fighting over i think if we um i think if bitcoin were used more in like transactions for
- 21:24like arms and maybe higher crimes i don't know but arms deals and other such things maybe that
- 21:31would be i i don't know i just i just feel like i look at it and bitcoin's kind of it's just boring
- 21:36bitcoin's boring it's not it's not that's not a bad thing it's a good thing i always joked about
- 21:41it i said if bitcoin were universal so like we we have you know these meetup groups down here we had
- 21:46them the bitcoin were universal it would this meetup group would be like having the like
- 21:51uh greenback money club it'd just be like very very stupid uh just passing around dollar bills
- 21:58yeah and you know i like exactly like look at this dollar man like that's cool and like i i feel like
- 22:05we're just i i'm not gonna have a strong sense that bitcoin's done something until we're at the
- 22:10stage where like we're doing that kind of thing. I think the ETFs are a really big thing. I think
- 22:17the like acceptance generally for Bitcoin in everyday life and such is a really big thing.
- 22:23I think the fact that the shit coins are still around is a bad thing.
- 22:27Yeah, but are they even like that relevant anymore? I feel like the sort of-
- 22:30Well, they've piggybacked on a lot of the Bitcoin stuff and like nobody knows, right? Like for
- 22:35example, like you have ETH ETFs and you have Ripple, I'm sure ETFs and you know, whatever.
- 22:39like you have all of these things that are just kind of like piggybacking on the the the the sort
- 22:45of like footsteps that bitcoin's forged and they're just kind of they're just a few months
- 22:52behind it it would seem and also no one really cares about them like the the treasury companies
- 22:57like who's talking about them bitcoin tina is he he called me up once and he goes you gotta get
- 23:04this big picture of this theory company i said that's so stupid i'm not doing that
- 23:08i put ten dollars and just took track it oh is he just trying to make it all back in one trade
- 23:14no what he's doing i i've told him before to just like like i don't think everyone knows what
- 23:21bitcoin t is but i've uh i get a kick out of it because like like i i think i think for him he
- 23:27needed to reduce his like Bitcoin stack because he's an older guy. And, uh, and now like I just,
- 23:34he's, he's, he just really loves reading market news and following ideas. And I just think he's
- 23:40a really bad trader. I would be too. I don't trade though. I just, I don't have any Bitcoin,
- 23:47but of course not. Never have. Um, when did Bitcoin get boring then? Cause like,
- 23:51even since I've come in, it's, I mean, it's changed massively in since you, were you like
- 23:572011? I was a week after pizza day. So I think that's 2010, but I'm not sure.
- 24:02So you've seen everything. I've seen everything. And it definitely hasn't always been boring.
- 24:06Well, you know, it's funny because at the time I didn't think I'd seen everything at the time.
- 24:09I thought it was late. I mean, that's insane. That's how everyone felt at every stage of
- 24:13entering Bitcoin. It doesn't matter when you got here. Every single person has felt like they missed
- 24:18everything and that they're late. I felt that way. I couldn't believe how late I was to this like
- 24:24cool project.
- 24:28It's weird to be in the position now
- 24:30that I'm considered an OG
- 24:32because when I got here, there were people that had been here before.
- 24:35Yeah, but the longest they could have been before you is like 18 months.
- 24:38But it still felt
- 24:40the same.
- 24:42It felt exactly the same.
- 24:45And
- 24:45back then we celebrated things like
- 24:48when Bitcoin Magazine
- 24:50was in a few Barnes
- 24:52and Nobles
- 24:53that was when vitalik had it well i guess so i guess that's the story um when matthew and right
- 25:01this is pre uh pre-acquisition by bitpay or tony galipi matthew and right was one of the big guys
- 25:10on there i don't remember vitalik really being uh anything other than kind of a staff writer and i
- 25:17think maybe they gave us equity but maybe i'm wrong there's there's some history of that that
- 25:20I'm not sure exactly how that worked, but Matthew and Wright and a few other guys, Matthew's kind of like disappeared from the community after the pirate scandal.
- 25:30But yeah, that got in.
- 25:33Bitcoin magazine was put into some Barnes and Nobles.
- 25:36I remember going and buying issue one at Barnes and Noble, if it was issue one or two.
- 25:41And just couldn't couldn't believe that my like teeny tiny project had like made it done enough to get into Barnes and Noble.
- 25:49So I guess the news around Bitcoin has been exciting before, but now it just kind of turned into CNBC financial news.
- 25:58Before, it felt like we were building a business at one time as a giant community of people.
- 26:04Does it feel in any way like it's failed to become what you thought it was going to be?
- 26:08No. I never had any expectations.
- 26:11I wasn't a libertarian who thought we were going to take over the world.
- 26:13I would say that the way that Bitcoin has gone has been closer to their predictions than I thought it ever would be.
- 26:22It's been faster than I think they ever thought.
- 26:25The idea that you have this asset that you've created out of thin air that is sort of like, I don't know, it's sort of like going through Pennsylvania, right?
- 26:35And discovering that the Indians are finding this juice coming out of rocks.
- 26:41And then you're like, oh, that's interesting.
- 26:43And you're like, you're like, it lights on fire.
- 26:46Interesting.
- 26:47And you pull it out of the ground, you fill up barrels.
- 26:49And then you're like, huh, I wonder what the fuck this does.
- 26:52And then over time, like it replaces like oil lamps.
- 26:56And over time, it replaces, you know, and then all of a sudden there's a use for it because we have like the automobile arrives.
- 27:01Right.
- 27:01And you derive like all sorts of things from it, including what goes in there to lubricate like gasoline and whatever.
- 27:07Right.
- 27:09So there's there's that sort of thing.
- 27:13And I think that's kind of how Bitcoin is oil in your computer, right?
- 27:18We don't really, like it was discovered there by Satoshi Nakamoto.
- 27:22There's an asset in there.
- 27:23We didn't really know how to quantify the asset.
- 27:25He did it with some numbers and some algos to like pull it out.
- 27:29And now it's like, oh, there's an asset in my computer.
- 27:32Well, what is it useful for?
- 27:34It's kind of like money, like this thing that we've theorized.
- 27:38We've made these proximate things that we call money that are like money.
- 27:43that have the features of a thing that we think money has.
- 27:47And so there's this thing in the computer digitally
- 27:50that looks like what we have theorized exists, which is money.
- 27:55It's kind of like oil in that it's an asset we've never touched.
- 27:59And we're just kind of looking like, what does it do?
- 28:00And maybe it is money.
- 28:02Maybe it is.
- 28:02We don't know yet exactly because it's just kind of like sitting there
- 28:07in your computer doing its thing.
- 28:08And we are just holding it and just watching it
- 28:11and seeing what smarter people than us do with it.
- 28:14So you don't worry at all about this idea of co-option,
- 28:19what Bitcoin could have been?
- 28:23No.
- 28:24No, that's stupid.
- 28:27No, Bitcoin don't live in the no regrets.
- 28:30Neither does John Seth.
- 28:32But why is it stupid?
- 28:34Because I know you understand the sort of idea around that,
- 28:36that basically it becomes like a walkthrough.
- 28:37It's stupid because there's not one person who's in charge of this.
- 28:40and there's like maybe you have dreams for bitcoin but your dreams for bitcoin are so stupid and small
- 28:45well i agree with that but like that's everybody everyone's got dreams for bitcoin and their dreams
- 28:48for bitcoin are stupid and small like bitcoin you know like no one could have foreseen the automobile
- 28:54no one maybe some people who are working on it could have foreseen ai maybe some people could
- 28:58have foreseen you know like whatever um nvidia is making chips like bitcoin proceeds like a lot of
- 29:04this like what happens ethereum uh what i call a scam comes out trying to take a different kind
- 29:10kind of market. It's a stupid market for it to take, but people are mining it. Therefore,
- 29:13NVIDIA is like, we got to make these chips. NVIDIA makes a bunch of chips, gets really,
- 29:17like really valuable on the back of Ethereum. Then all of a sudden AI is announced. We're like,
- 29:22hey, by the way, we need these chips. It's almost like Bitcoin was like created by an AI back.
- 29:28Well, the government might have had AI back then.
- 29:32Maybe Bitcoin is an AI. And it was like, I need to devise the greatest scheme in history
- 29:36to have NVIDIA make chips
- 29:38so that AI can become a thing in the future.
- 29:41And it only took 15 years really for it.
- 29:43What, 16 years for it to do it?
- 29:46And that would be incredible.
- 29:48But Bitcoin's a global project.
- 29:52People that have dreams for it
- 29:53have dreams for it
- 29:55and they can have their dreams.
- 29:57And it's very selfish.
- 29:59Their dreams are going to be very small
- 30:01compared to what Bitcoin does.
- 30:02All my dream is that I hope that Bitcoin
- 30:04can always be used as freedom money.
- 30:06that's basically my only dream for Bitcoin.
- 30:09Because that's why I cared about it originally.
- 30:11It's why I still care about it today.
- 30:12I think they're the only properties
- 30:14that I need it to not lose for it to remain interesting.
- 30:19Yeah, but those properties are endemic to it.
- 30:23So the way it would lose them exclusively is through regulation.
- 30:27But that doesn't change the properties of the thing itself.
- 30:29Yeah.
- 30:30But I guess usability is important.
- 30:33You need to be able to actually use it as freedom money.
- 30:35Maybe. I mean, if you want things to skirt regulation, then maybe recruit some anarchist UI developers.
- 30:48I mean, they're here. That's for sure.
- 30:50It's just that everyone's going to work toward the regulatory thing being prettier and better.
- 30:57And the hard thing is always going to be uglier and harder.
- 31:00Yeah. I like throwing these narratives at you because you just basically say everything's dumb.
- 31:05Everything is dumb.
- 31:06But do you think Bitcoin will be the money of AI?
- 31:13AI is really dumb. No, I'm kidding. I'm just kidding.
- 31:17Will Bitcoin be the money of AI?
- 31:22I don't know. Maybe Tether will be the money of AI.
- 31:25It depends on what AI wants.
- 31:27If it's looking for stable currency to trade in, Tether is probably a better option for now than Bitcoin.
- 31:35But Tether runs on Bitcoin.
- 31:38And other blockchains.
- 31:39Yeah, but started on Bitcoin.
- 31:42Bitcoin is where all of this experimentation began, and it went to other blockchains for marketing purposes.
- 31:48And then eventually for liquidity.
- 31:50you know if you believe as i do that like the liquidity collapse like that liquidity collapses
- 31:55to bitcoin eventually like tethers on bitcoin right and so you know to me like maybe maybe
- 32:02tether maybe bitcoin i don't know i could see a world where it's both at least in the short period
- 32:07it's ai so like there's no reason it can't just use credit cards and well there is ach because
- 32:12like if it tries to buy something on a website with a credit card and it hits a security check
- 32:15what does it do well i mean i think the internet's going to change see i think this is what's going
- 32:21to happen with ai i don't think that like i don't think that you're going to necessarily like
- 32:25everyone's going to lose their jobs but i think the internet's going to fundamentally change i
- 32:28think the internet is going to become like heavily botted oh yeah for sure advertisements are going
- 32:33to be two ais you know uh websites might end up being like there might be entire sections of the
- 32:41internet that are just like blocks of code but it's just ap just api calls back and forth kind of
- 32:48i mean like ai doesn't need amazon to show them a picture of pretty shoes to buy them
- 32:53so if you if you have an agent if that is like if we go agentic in the future here
- 33:02where like everyone's got their own personal agent um which i think is not gonna work today
- 33:08but it's just because it's too hard it's just way too hard these things are expensive like unless
- 33:14you have unlimited funds you're not going to be able to go like have a have have a good agentic
- 33:21experience but might change in a year so if we're going to go agentic like if that actually is
- 33:27happening you're not going to necessarily be doing a lot of your grocery shopping you know so why
- 33:33does Instacart need to have like a picture of the raspberries, you know, for you to buy them.
- 33:38I don't know. So I don't know exactly. But like to me, as I'm watching traffic trends change on
- 33:45the internet, particularly with regard to ads, like it used to be that bots were taking over the
- 33:50web. And, you know, for whatever reason, people were just crawling, crawling, crawling, but that
- 33:56there was enough traffic of real people. I would say nowadays, I'm hearing and looking at like
- 34:01websites, content websites with 60, 40, 60 to 80% traffic from AIs, at least in the short term,
- 34:09that's been the case. And that's like incredible. Do you want to pay less in taxes and stack more
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- 36:19But does that not get to the point
- 36:20where the internet just becomes unusable?
- 36:21if there's trillions of AI agents on there
- 36:24just publishing whatever?
- 36:27Because like Twitter already,
- 36:28like the bots on Twitter are insane.
- 36:29I mean, the Ouroboros effect.
- 36:32What's that?
- 36:33Ouroboros is a snake eating its own tail, right?
- 36:36So like at the point AI is consuming AI content
- 36:40and then using that to train AI,
- 36:43I don't know what you end up with
- 36:44because you might end up with something incredible
- 36:48or you more than likely end up
- 36:49with something inscrutable and stupid.
- 36:51and it happens real quick because AI just can make a lot of bad content really quickly.
- 36:57So I don't know.
- 36:59I don't know.
- 37:00I've been wondering about that since the day it started
- 37:02because the first thing I heard is everyone's going to not have jobs.
- 37:05I'm like, well, then that means AI is going to be the only thing writing,
- 37:07and if AI is the only thing writing, then AI is the only thing training AI.
- 37:10Which is already kind of happening.
- 37:12AI models are training the next AI models.
- 37:14Yeah, but they're training it with data that existed before.
- 37:17So it's just the problem is if the entire internet becomes like,
- 37:21AI is philosophizing to themselves about religions that they can follow. It's really weird.
- 37:31I guess that's the point where AI then over time just gets worse, not better.
- 37:35Yeah, I think so. I think it just gets worse and worse. It doesn't improve at that stage.
- 37:38Whereas if it's practicing on... I think AI in some sense needs to interact with the real world.
- 37:46if AI is purely digital
- 37:49and interacting with digital world only
- 37:52then it's going to be
- 37:54very difficult for it to become better
- 37:59I think that's often true of the Bitcoin stuff
- 38:02and again this is the autistic living in his room dream
- 38:06I just live on the internet and become better
- 38:10and if you don't interact with the real world
- 38:12you become better at coding maybe
- 38:14but like nothing, you don't become better at baseball.
- 38:17You don't become better at understanding
- 38:19like what people like or enjoy or, you know, whatever.
- 38:24And that's, I think that it's going to be very difficult
- 38:27for AIs if they don't operate in the real world as well.
- 38:30So this is like the idea that for AI
- 38:32to actually get to sort of AGI,
- 38:34it needs to have some sort of plain pleasure response.
- 38:37Depends on what you mean by AGI
- 38:38because like eight months ago,
- 38:39AGI meant that AI was the singularity.
- 38:42and I then said, AGI will never happen.
- 38:47And now AGI means that like,
- 38:49it's like a little better than it is now.
- 38:51So when you say, what do you mean?
- 38:52Maybe like super intelligence is a better word
- 38:55or, you know, I think you can't go as far as-
- 38:57How do you define super?
- 38:58Cause like it can beat everybody in chess, right?
- 39:00Yeah, and it's really hard
- 39:01cause like you almost want to say conscious
- 39:03but it's not going to be conscious.
- 39:05But like, I guess perpetually self-improving,
- 39:08I think it needs a pleasure response
- 39:10to have like the right incentives.
- 39:12It needs to go out into the world
- 39:13and experience things, I feel.
- 39:14And that's where the AI robots get more interesting.
- 39:19Like imagine if every AI robot
- 39:20was like its own sort of self-hosted LLM
- 39:23that reported back to the mothership type thing.
- 39:26Then it would have its own unique set of experiences.
- 39:29And I think that's where it can truly be considered
- 39:32like super intelligent AI,
- 39:34whatever term you want to put on that.
- 39:35Would you call this like a Borg of sorts?
- 39:37I guess.
- 39:38I think in some ways, like I, I, I see these like futurists, like Rick Hertz, while talking about
- 39:53how the world is going to be and they're perpetually incorrect, perpetually nothing
- 39:59they think is going to happen has ever occurred. And yet Google pays them massive amounts of money
- 40:05to come and speak as if they're like an alien from outer space explaining to you for the first
- 40:10time what the future of the world will be. But someone's got to have a swing. Everyone can't
- 40:14just be like, I swing all the time and I'm just so right. So off this stuff. I like, I, I, I think
- 40:23with like this, this AI stuff, I have a lot of difficulty because there's, we're clearly seeing
- 40:28some new stuff come on. I do think AI is potentially as revolutionary as the internet.
- 40:35however revolutionary you think that was.
- 40:37Very.
- 40:38Yeah, but I don't know that it achieved everybody's dreams, right?
- 40:43So I keep getting called an AI bear because I like instead of the internet basically putting every single person out of a job making every single digital everything you know obsolete whatever
- 40:59maybe it'll end up in like a, you know, place where you buy pants and shoes, you know, for the
- 41:05most part, and then, you know, allow us to communicate and, you know, whatever. So there's,
- 41:11there's great things the internet has done, incredible opportunities. It's opened up,
- 41:15you know, amazing efficiencies.
- 41:20And, and it's made us a better, better as a society in some ways and worse in others,
- 41:26like the consequences of it, I think we have not necessarily fully dealt with, nor like
- 41:30seen what they fully are. Right. Are you really talking about social media here?
- 41:36I guess I like, to me, that's sort of like a small, I'm honestly, like, I, I think outsourcing
- 41:42the ease of outsourcing yeah the reduction of quality like have you ever used a phone from the
- 41:5090s how old are you uh i'm 30 nearly 35 so barely yeah the i think the first phone i had was a nokia
- 41:583310 you mean a cell phone yeah okay oh do you mean like a natural like house like landline yeah
- 42:04oh yeah of course i use one yeah copper to copper yeah it's uh it's not digital
- 42:09right it's analog the quality is like you're standing next to the person yeah there's not
- 42:16you're not like i can't hear you your signal's bad you know that stuff yeah
- 42:21we sacrificed like high fidelity for bad fidelity talk to people anywhere
- 42:30and so there's consequences to that is it better i think we've all decided it is
- 42:37there's consequences and that's like a lot of a lot of life is like that where we've given up
- 42:45quality for like sort of anywhereness furniture i want to move 42 times before i'm 38 so i buy
- 42:55a hundred dollar furniture and instead of like ordering a craftsman home from sears that has
- 43:01the furniture built into the walls you know what i mean and that lasts 135 years before it like
- 43:06ever needs to be looked at again.
- 43:08I know this is, you're going to, again, you're going to call me dumb here,
- 43:10but like, I think there is.
- 43:12I really call you dumb.
- 43:13There is like a fiat element to that as well, though.
- 43:17Like when you consider how expensive, like handcrafted.
- 43:20That's dumb.
- 43:20Yeah.
- 43:21But like, when you consider how expensive like a handcrafted table is
- 43:24compared to like the average salary,
- 43:25and then you compare that to like my parents' generation,
- 43:27there's a big difference there.
- 43:28I don't think so.
- 43:29No, I don't think so.
- 43:30I think there is, but I think that it's not just.
- 43:32Wait, like, why can't they go?
- 43:33But it's also, it's the loss of craftsmanship.
- 43:35a handicrafted table used to be made by your grandpa exactly like that's not true like it
- 43:40you can still go get lumber from home depot you could make a 1990s era red oak table uh for
- 43:49maybe 800 in wood i think you're right there because like my dad could build a nice table i
- 43:54couldn't yeah i mean you could if you watch enough pornography about videos uh woodworking though
- 44:00yeah true yeah it's like the whole world now just learns everything that's that's actually the
- 44:04The interesting thing, like it's, it's the sort of information has been democratized.
- 44:08Like you can go on YouTube and watch, I'm sure there's tens of thousands of videos of
- 44:11how to make a really nice table, but no one does it.
- 44:14Yeah.
- 44:14Or very few people.
- 44:15It's because it's porn.
- 44:16It's titillating, especially to men.
- 44:18It's pornography.
- 44:19Yeah.
- 44:20So like you want to make a, you want to make an heirloom table.
- 44:22You can watch someone go make an heirloom table and fantasize about how you would do
- 44:26it too.
- 44:27See, mine is a, the people that go out into like the woods in Alaska and camp with nothing.
- 44:31I've never, I've never done it.
- 44:32I never want to do it, but that's the thing I watch.
- 44:34That's your titillating pornography.
- 44:36But now you know how to do it.
- 44:38That's true.
- 44:38Yeah.
- 44:38Although I stick me in that situation, I'm dead in a week.
- 44:40You can learn in two ways.
- 44:42You can have generational knowledge passed down through the generations by the old folks.
- 44:47Or you can learn through pornography.
- 44:48And I think the latchkey generation and many others after it learned their sex from Playboy and other places.
- 44:58and uh you know the modern day child is learning sex from you know ex hamster and and you porn and
- 45:06porn tube and porn hub and i mean you know all of them obviously these are we discussed this earlier
- 45:13a longer list than i did and so so like you can learn you can learn sex through watching people
- 45:22have it uh which is what like the modern generation has done and it's the same with everything else
- 45:28it's just you you can learn from the old generations you can learn by being hands-on or you can learn
- 45:32through porn and there are consequences to that so it's not i'm like to the earlier question it's
- 45:38not social media so much that like i'm that worried about like i don't mind you know phone books
- 45:44online which is essentially what like most social media is but i am i'm like i said i'm a ludist i
- 45:51I don't know how to use most social media, to be honest, and I don't really care.
- 45:56Because I just think that the world is made for humans.
- 46:03Whether you believe in God or not, none of this matters if it's not for our pleasure.
- 46:10And so I don't spend a lot of my time indoors experiencing the pleasure of surfing the internet.
- 46:18Like, I'd rather go into nature and look at it and be amazed and in awe of a thunderstorm that's happening and take care of my yard and trees and plants and stuff like that.
- 46:33I'd rather be tending to my external environment than tending to the environment that I can create internally.
- 46:40And if there's like automations that I can make that allow me to do that better and more quickly, oftentimes I'll take advantage of those.
- 46:50Like this morning, I put a gardener out of business with AI.
- 46:53I put a timer on my hose.
- 46:58But so essentially, I started this by saying, do you think people will revolt against this?
- 47:03And actually, AI could be a way off the Internet for a lot of people.
- 47:06AI could be the interface between you and the internet
- 47:08without you having to go on the internet.
- 47:10Yeah, that's kind of what I'm saying, though.
- 47:12I think that there is a world in which people use AI
- 47:15to go do the things that people used to do.
- 47:19And I think that that frees up a lot of your own time.
- 47:23And I don't think necessarily,
- 47:24I'm not going to lament the loss of Instacart shoppers
- 47:29or something, but maybe that doesn't get lost, right?
- 47:31Maybe Instacart shoppers remain
- 47:33and maybe Uber drivers remain
- 47:34or maybe eventually they're replaced by actual robots, right?
- 47:37I don't know.
- 47:39Maybe you have a robot kitchen in your house
- 47:41that makes Chef Ramsay-type dishes.
- 47:43That's an American HODL idea to talk about.
- 47:46But maybe that's the kind of thing that happens.
- 47:51But yeah, I do think that if there's anything really good about AI,
- 47:56it's the promise that you as an individual
- 47:58will have the opportunity possibly
- 48:00to do more interaction with the external world.
- 48:03and I don't think that's what the autists are thinking is going to happen.
- 48:07I think that they think your whole life is going to be like taken over by the AI monster.
- 48:11Whereas I'm thinking like this sounds, AI sounds to me like the promises that were made to me about IoT.
- 48:20Everyone, every company in the world wanted to be the hub of your home and they all tried.
- 48:26Microsoft, Honeywell, PlayStation, Sony, every.
- 48:31Amazon, Apple.
- 48:31Amazon, Apple, all wanted to be the hub of your home.
- 48:34And then what happened is some of them were made the hub,
- 48:38and they were like, what the fuck are we getting from this?
- 48:40What information are we gleaning?
- 48:41Nothing, nothing, nothing.
- 48:43And they tried it in the thermostat.
- 48:45They tried it in the home speaker systems.
- 48:49Doorbell.
- 48:50Yeah, in the doorbell.
- 48:51They tried everything.
- 48:53We'll make the doorbell the hub of the home.
- 48:54We'll make whatever it is.
- 48:56Nothing worked.
- 48:57And what people ended up doing is kind of like mishmashing ecosystems together.
- 49:04The true IoT people have really discovered that they maybe want their speaker system on IoT, if you will.
- 49:10They maybe want some plugs on IoT.
- 49:14They like their garage door on IoT.
- 49:17And then every other thing in their home, they want offline for the most part.
- 49:22Maybe a few extra things, right?
- 49:24But the IOT world was one in which everyone was attached.
- 49:30Your shoes were on the internet.
- 49:33And I was told that was going to be a great world.
- 49:35But then when I heard that, I was like, that's stupid.
- 49:37That's, again, another world created by an autistic retard sitting in his room going, it's better this way.
- 49:43And that's not how the world is.
- 49:45I don't opt to live in that world.
- 49:48I don't want to replace the batteries in my light switch every four years.
- 49:52because that's fucking gay.
- 49:57But I think the world that you're painting there
- 50:01is very sort of utopian.
- 50:03It sounds great if you don't have to-
- 50:05Which world?
- 50:05I didn't say anything utopian.
- 50:07I was talking about the world remaining a lot like it is.
- 50:10But it's like you're saying everyone will have more time
- 50:12to go outside, touch grass, think, walk, whatever.
- 50:15That's great.
- 50:16But what do they do for their jobs?
- 50:18Because if it does replace a big portion
- 50:22of white collar work,
- 50:23which I think it has the potential to do.
- 50:24In Australia, you guys can go back to
- 50:25in America, we got other sorts.
- 50:29That's getting cut.
- 50:30I know.
- 50:31That's getting cut.
- 50:35There's always one part of you that gets cut.
- 50:39So in, in,
- 50:41the reality is that when people have more time,
- 50:45Daddy, you can't handle the jokes.
- 50:47I can,
- 50:48but I'm not being associated with the jokes.
- 50:51I feel like I wouldn't be allowed to go to Australia if I tried.
- 50:54I don't think you're allowed already.
- 50:56So, I mean, the thing is, people have more time.
- 50:58You might get f***ed.
- 50:59I think that's getting cut, too.
- 51:01Which one?
- 51:03Both.
- 51:03Everything's getting cut.
- 51:04The whole thing's cut.
- 51:05No more.
- 51:06I think that when people have a lot of time,
- 51:10you have the ability to do more things and think about more things.
- 51:15I think people underestimate the need for men to create, in particular.
- 51:20Like I'm often called a sexist,
- 51:24but I just believe men and women are really different people.
- 51:28And men.
- 51:28I think they're different people.
- 51:29What's that?
- 51:29I think they're different.
- 51:30Yeah.
- 51:31I'm not saying that like women.
- 51:31It's not one's better, one's worse, but they're different.
- 51:33Being a man is more awesome.
- 51:36You know, external pudenda is awesome.
- 51:42It's just like less showering, you know?
- 51:46So like, you know, the thing is like,
- 51:48Men have a drive that forces them to be, to produce.
- 51:57That drive is hot chicks.
- 52:01And I think like for whatever reason,
- 52:05it seems like a lot of that motivation has been reduced over the last couple,
- 52:09last few years.
- 52:10And I don't know what the reason is,
- 52:12but like a lot of men have abandoned attempting to like impress hot chicks
- 52:17anymore.
- 52:18But I do think that there's a world in which a lot of that motivation comes back because it's biological.
- 52:23And I think if there's more time to be outside and do things, men are going to create more things.
- 52:30And they might, the good ones are going to use AI to do it, right?
- 52:33Like, I talk regularly about like my own little projects.
- 52:39I have lots of little projects that I do just for fun for myself.
- 52:43But I enjoy scaling things.
- 52:46I make a wood finish.
- 52:48in my garage I know exactly how long it takes me to make it I know how many I can make with like a
- 52:54you know whatever size whatever I make right and so I'll make it in my garage with my recipe
- 53:01I know that it takes me 30 minutes to make X number of you know jars and I sell it for X amount
- 53:10this much profit is how much I get I don't do anything like that unless I'm making $500 an hour
- 53:15but i sell eight a month you know for a profit of you know 13 a thing right but
- 53:26all of my hours combined are 500 an hour and if i had 15 little jobs like that
- 53:33then i would be you know making 500 an hour from 15 jobs maybe the future is everyone's got 45 jobs
- 53:43Maybe they're growing tomatoes and selling them at Trader Joe's.
- 53:46I don't know.
- 53:48But if everyone's got time, then we can think of things to do.
- 53:54I'm not worried about that.
- 53:55Like, that's what everyone's like, what are we doing?
- 53:56Everyone's out of a job.
- 53:57We know what to do when everyone's out of a job.
- 54:00Go make a job.
- 54:01But see, that's not the part that necessarily worries me.
- 54:03It's the part that is like the step between here and there.
- 54:07Because if like you said, you don't think it's going to happen fast.
- 54:10I think it is going to happen fast.
- 54:12If it does, and we have 5% of the country unemployed,
- 54:17then 5% of the country are now no longer servicing debt.
- 54:20What does that do to the economy?
- 54:22I think if people can't afford their mortgage,
- 54:25then do we go into a 2008-style financial crisis?
- 54:30Do we have UBI?
- 54:31What happens there?
- 54:32All these things are like punctuations.
- 54:34You have a punctuated three to five-year period.
- 54:36They're not.
- 54:36They're three to five years.
- 54:38We have the Great Recession.
- 54:41Were you jobless during the Great Recession?
- 54:44I was like 17.
- 54:45Okay.
- 54:46Were your parents jobless?
- 54:47I did have a job, but...
- 54:48You had a job during the Great Recession at 17.
- 54:50Your parents?
- 54:51I was washing pots.
- 54:51What about your parents?
- 54:53My dad had his own business, kept the business,
- 54:57definitely did worse during it.
- 54:59Yeah.
- 55:00But you had a job.
- 55:01Do you know a lot of other people that were jobless
- 55:04or most of the people that you knew?
- 55:05I know people that lost homes
- 55:06or had to at least downsize homes.
- 55:08Okay.
- 55:08They did downsize.
- 55:09Not that tragic, to be honest.
- 55:11I mean, see, the tricky thing here is like,
- 55:13I was like lucky.
- 55:16I was amongst like, I went to private school.
- 55:17I had like-
- 55:18Most people are though.
- 55:20Most people, I don't know.
- 55:22Is that true?
- 55:22Like by definition, can that be true?
- 55:24Yes, it's true.
- 55:25Most people are in like a privilege enough,
- 55:27like at least of the people that, you know,
- 55:30in these societies that are producing and doing things.
- 55:33Yeah.
- 55:35Yeah, the eaters, the eaters might lose their jobs,
- 55:39but like a lot of people are producers and and they will find work i'm not too worried about it
- 55:48like i i remember reading in uh an article by um it was eb white talking about how he lived through
- 56:00the um great depression is the editor of the new yorker at the time and saying that like
- 56:06he barely noticed it was happening which you know you read the history of it like how could you not
- 56:12notice this was happening in the reality is that like i look back at the 2008 financial crisis i
- 56:18graduated into it got a job lived in new york like got a crappy place like every kid who gets a job
- 56:25in new york out of college does lived on top of someone's kitchen in like a four by five by eight
- 56:32foot like like hollow and a futon bed that they pushed up there for me and they needed some help
- 56:39so i rented it for 550 a month which i didn't have um so this is like you know the story of
- 56:48every major depression is that like there's a bunch of people who can't get work or can't find
- 56:53jobs or lose their jobs and and it sucks for like a portion of people but it's not that it's it's not
- 56:59But the tricky thing there is, like, what happened?
- 57:02We know what happened to the wealth divide since then, and it's only got worse.
- 57:05And you're lucky in that situation, because I guess about that time is when you found
- 57:09Bitcoin, not long after, at least.
- 57:11And so, like, you have had a very unusual experience post-financial crisis, whereas
- 57:16most people have comparatively got poorer compared to the people, like-
- 57:21I don't think that's true.
- 57:23I just don't think that's true.
- 57:24Like, I think that, like, in the last couple of years with, like, great inflation, that's
- 57:28true but we had like 10 years of really low inflation before that which you know made people
- 57:33comparatively rich look at the s p 500 for the last 10 years but these are all the asset owners
- 57:37you ever done the math of put like put money into like tqqq five ten thousand dollars in 2010 how
- 57:43much money you have today i don't know a lot how much 10 000 in 2010 uh 15 years
- 57:49500 000 i think it's like i think it's like two million dollars yeah that's really triple levered
- 57:56QQQs or something. But again, this is always focusing on the people that like can buy assets.
- 58:00It's $5,000. Yeah. There's a lot of people in America that don't have $5,000 spent.
- 58:04There's people that are bad at managing money. Yeah. I don't know. I'm not like, I'm not like,
- 58:09I don't find it that interesting to like discuss like the, uh, discuss people that like can't
- 58:15manage their money because like, yeah, those people are going to be like maybe out of jobs,
- 58:20but they don't have that important jobs.
- 58:23And they're like not managing themselves.
- 58:26But even if you don't think they have important jobs,
- 58:28like it does matter to society.
- 58:31Yeah.
- 58:31Well, it depends.
- 58:33It depends on what they're doing.
- 58:33Not even that the job necessarily matters to society.
- 58:35They're not creating the jobs.
- 58:36Someone else is going to come along.
- 58:37Someone else is going to make a job that they can do.
- 58:39But they're like, if it's a menial job, like they can.
- 58:43But it's not even that the job necessarily matters to society.
- 58:45It's the fact that like the wealth divide matters to society.
- 58:49I think there are less menial job takers than you think.
- 58:53That's what I'm trying to say is like,
- 58:54there are people that are taking menial jobs.
- 58:58How do I navigate this?
- 59:00Like I've already said things that are so offensive, I feel like.
- 59:03At least you, we all know this.
- 59:06There are people that have menial jobs that will keep them
- 59:09and who can manage themselves, right?
- 59:10Like there's people who work at McDonald's in a menial way
- 59:14and like retire with millions of dollars
- 59:17because they managed their life.
- 59:19Um, I guess what I'm saying is, is like in a situation where there's turmoil like this,
- 59:24or you think there's going to be turmoil from, from job loss, the people that don't manage their
- 59:30lives now are going to have a lot of trouble navigating that, but they would have trouble
- 59:34navigating every single crisis. And I'm not that worried about them. Cause I think there are more
- 59:40people in the world that are managing themselves enough that we're not going to see like nine,
- 59:4790% homeless rates across the United States because nobody has a job. You're going to end
- 59:53up with people who are like, I got to feed my family. I'm going to sell peanuts door to door,
- 59:58you know, and they'll do it. Might be back to like the Hoover salesman coming to your door to
- 1:00:03sell vacuums. I don't know. But I do know that like people figure things out and I don't think
- 1:00:09that it's going to be as fast as you think or as fast as anybody seems to think, despite the fact
- 1:00:14that AI is advancing really quick, we'll see. I don't think that it's going to be like jobs lost
- 1:00:19as fast as everybody thinks. And the reason is because I think people realize, particularly the
- 1:00:26very wealthy, that you can't transition so quickly as to have your own house get burned down by
- 1:00:32the plebeians who are coming and like, you know, burning the beast's gates, right? They know that
- 1:00:40they have to transition probably over the course of a generation and they will do their best to do
- 1:00:46it. And, uh, and a lot of the people that like, I think would be out of jobs here are hitting a
- 1:00:53retirement age. Like we're like seeing sort of a boomer exodus from the workforce and like the new
- 1:00:59group of people that are coming up there. A lot of them started working younger. They started
- 1:01:02programming when they were in like eighth grade, you know, maybe they weren't saving money, but
- 1:01:07They had well-paying jobs for many years.
- 1:01:09And there's a lot of things that might change,
- 1:01:11but a lot of them are also very aware of the changes that are coming Like when a journalist when you have the entire the entirety of the journalist class lose their jobs you don have riots in the streets
- 1:01:24That's just like, those are the people that don't riot. Yeah, that's true. When you have
- 1:01:28computer programmers all losing their job, they're like, good, I don't have to talk to anyone anymore.
- 1:01:35You know? So I do think you said something interesting there, which is that like,
- 1:01:38I think I agree that maybe the people most at risk here are the older workforce, because they're not going to be the ones that necessarily adapt to AI as quickly.
- 1:01:48Like sweeping statement, but I think generally true.
- 1:01:50And I think the younger kids, like I've got a kid similar age to you, to your kid, not to you.
- 1:01:58I think they're going to be all right.
- 1:01:59You're really old.
- 1:02:01I think they're going to be all right, because there's going to be a lot of time to process what happens in the next 10, 15 years.
- 1:02:05They're going to get to see, like, the world is going to be, like, whatever world develops, it's going to be massively different 20 years from now than it is today.
- 1:02:14But, like, look at what people predicted 20 years ago.
- 1:02:16They told us today, 20 years from then, that universities would be dead.
- 1:02:24Yeah.
- 1:02:25They told us that oil was going to be gone.
- 1:02:27I mean, the Amazon rainforest is going to be completely burned down.
- 1:02:31Like, none of this happened.
- 1:02:33Yeah.
- 1:02:33The same number of people apply to Harvard every year.
- 1:02:38And I mean, could the universities be gone with AI, though?
- 1:02:44Your guess is as good as mine, but I'll bet you the chances are about the same.
- 1:02:49Like you can predict also like institutions have staying power and they have staying power for a lot of reasons.
- 1:02:57Reputation being one of them.
- 1:02:58Like, don't fall into the trap of the like autistic bedroom dweller, like telling you his dream for the world and how he's about to achieve it.
- 1:03:10It's such a mistake because the world, the perspective on the world you get is so dismal.
- 1:03:16And like people start telling you things like you, like you never, ever going to have to fly on an airplane again.
- 1:03:22Like, but do you want that world?
- 1:03:25If I could teleport, fuck yeah.
- 1:03:26You don't know, not the teleporter.
- 1:03:28Like, do you want the world where you never get to go to South Dakota and see the Badlands with your own two goddamn eyes?
- 1:03:36Absolutely.
- 1:03:37Do you want the world where you don't go to the Grand Canyon and look down at it?
- 1:03:41Like you did.
- 1:03:42You're just like, wow, what a beautiful VR rendering of the Grand Canyon.
- 1:03:46It's just like the real thing.
- 1:03:47Like what a crappy world.
- 1:03:49And there's just some autistic stream of how you and I will live.
- 1:03:53And he's so excited about it.
- 1:03:55And I'm telling you, I don't elect to live in that world.
- 1:03:59Me neither.
- 1:04:00I know you don't.
- 1:04:01No one does.
- 1:04:02So why is that the world that like when we talk about things, we talk about AI, we're like, and then it's going to airplanes will crash out of the sky.
- 1:04:10It's going to be so cool.
- 1:04:11Like it's not the world that you will elect to live in.
- 1:04:14Maybe a world in which like you have more free time is when you elect to live in.
- 1:04:18But a world where no humans have jobs, nobody's doing any work, no one has any idea what to do.
- 1:04:23Like you're talking about zombies.
- 1:04:25Like we're just like, oh, that's the world that AI is going to bring.
- 1:04:31Oh, great.
- 1:04:32I elect to live in that.
- 1:04:34You don't have to live in that world.
- 1:04:36You can elect not to.
- 1:04:37And no one elects to live in that world.
- 1:04:39So that is not what AI will do.
- 1:04:42It's a really simple rubric.
- 1:04:44Like AI is going to give us, hopefully, a world that all of us are more desirous of.
- 1:04:50And if we take AI and it has consequences that we do not like in 20 years, we will roll them back.
- 1:04:59Just like we're doing now with immigration or with some of the outsourcing or whatever it is.
- 1:05:06We're rolling things back because they have consequences.
- 1:05:10And as we see the consequences, we take back the world for ourselves.
- 1:05:14and we live in a world that we elect to enjoy
- 1:05:18because we're the ones for whom it's created.
- 1:05:22This world is not created for AI robots to enjoy.
- 1:05:26It's created for you and me.
- 1:05:28And if the world is not one that you elect to live in
- 1:05:30and it's not one that I elect to live in,
- 1:05:32then what's the point?
- 1:05:34Yeah, I mean, I agree with that.
- 1:05:35The thing that does suck though
- 1:05:36is that narratives matter, at least in the short term.
- 1:05:39And I think the generation that are
- 1:05:41in a really tricky spot right now,
- 1:05:43the people leaving college now,
- 1:05:44the, like, I don't know, say 16 to 25 year olds,
- 1:05:48if they're trying to go into the workforce
- 1:05:49and all these companies are trying to prepare
- 1:05:51for this AI world that you're saying may never come,
- 1:05:54but they're at least preparing for that.
- 1:05:56Like the jobs that are on offer to them
- 1:05:57are completely different.
- 1:05:59Yeah, go make a company.
- 1:06:00It's never been a better time.
- 1:06:02Everyone in your cohort is going to be out of a job
- 1:06:04because they're all lamenting the coming of AI.
- 1:06:09Go, I don't know.
- 1:06:10I mean, I, like when Bitcoin's down, I start companies.
- 1:06:13um i just started a trash cleaning business a trash a trash bin cleaning business like all
- 1:06:19the rage i didn't know this we had a maggots after a party last year
- 1:06:23and uh and i wanted to get my trash can clean because it was disgusting and i don't want to
- 1:06:32do it myself because that's gross so i uh so i looked online and i found out that there were like
- 1:06:37people that did this and i was like this i was like i wonder if this is like a business and
- 1:06:41Sure enough, there's a few people doing it in a small way.
- 1:06:43I was like, you know what?
- 1:06:44I'm going to try one of these businesses.
- 1:06:47So I bought a truck, and we've been selling trash bin cleaning services locally in South Florida.
- 1:06:54That's awesome.
- 1:06:55Yeah, but what's AI going to do?
- 1:07:00I mean, you get it to clean your bin.
- 1:07:02You're going to get AI to clean your bin?
- 1:07:03Maybe.
- 1:07:04If I have a robot, maybe.
- 1:07:04Maybe.
- 1:07:05Yeah, maybe it will.
- 1:07:06Maybe it won't.
- 1:07:07I don't know.
- 1:07:07But like, you know, my truck is going to do it better because I have, you know, high pressure water coming out at like 200 degrees, you know, like he's going to clean with a hose.
- 1:07:19Bleach.
- 1:07:21There's just like, it's just very, there's tons of jobs out there that you can go make for yourself.
- 1:07:27You can make them.
- 1:07:29You don't need a truck.
- 1:07:30You could do it with a hose.
- 1:07:31Like I'm only talking about cleaning bins because it's the one that I did.
- 1:07:34But like my wife wanted to start a nursery.
- 1:07:36So I went and I bought a bunch of plants and I put them in our front yard and said, here you go.
- 1:07:41And then I advertised on Facebook marketplace and now she has a nursery.
- 1:07:45Like it's going to be a funny mindset shift though, because I don't think most people are
- 1:07:51entrepreneurial because they think they're just going to get to go to New York and work in finance.
- 1:07:56Most people think that as an example, your view of the world is like, you're telling me like my
- 1:08:02view of the world like everybody's like no no no nobody's getting jobs i mean i think the vast
- 1:08:06majority of people going like into the working world think they're going to get like a corporate
- 1:08:10job or be a mechanic i think i think you're right but well there's nothing and there's nothing wrong
- 1:08:14with that stuff but i'm saying like if you're if the world you're entering is one in which like ai
- 1:08:18is taking over that's the narrative that's a short-term narrative and the result of the short-term
- 1:08:23narrative is that there are no jobs available if you're a man and i'm not saying women can't do it
- 1:08:29But if you're a man and you want a hot chick, you need to just go make a job.
- 1:08:37It's not hard.
- 1:08:38Go make a job.
- 1:08:40And you're like, well, what am I going to do?
- 1:08:42I don't know.
- 1:08:43Buy shoes cheap.
- 1:08:46Go door to door until you find someone to buy the shoes.
- 1:08:49I don't care.
- 1:08:50Like sell peanuts, sell Diet Coke at like a concession stand.
- 1:08:55I don't care.
- 1:08:57But like go work.
- 1:08:58knowing your cohort is working. So go work, go find work. Work is good. Go find work.
- 1:09:05I mean, a world of more entrepreneurs is a good world.
- 1:09:07Become an entrepreneur. So go, go find people with coconut trees in the backyard. If you're
- 1:09:12in Florida, pick them and then set up a stand at the side of the road and sell them. Like it's,
- 1:09:18it is, there are so many opportunities that are not going to be taken by AI, no matter what,
- 1:09:24at least not in the short term.
- 1:09:26And if they are in the long term,
- 1:09:28the world may suck because we want people to do things like it's the commies
- 1:09:33and the libertarians who are the same thing.
- 1:09:37They're Ouroboros.
- 1:09:38The tail is the libertarian and the communist is the mouth,
- 1:09:42right?
- 1:09:42They're the same goddamn thing.
- 1:09:44They're both of them have the same dream,
- 1:09:46which is that you're going to sit.
- 1:09:47I know that you're going to sit there on the side of,
- 1:09:50of the stream at the end of the day in their perfect world.
- 1:09:53And you're going to be fishing.
- 1:09:54which is what you definitely want to be doing as a human.
- 1:09:57You want to just be fishing all day.
- 1:09:59That's fun.
- 1:10:00And that's their dream world.
- 1:10:02And like, that's cute.
- 1:10:04And I think that like some of this stuff fulfills that.
- 1:10:06It's like, everyone's going to be out of a job
- 1:10:08and then we're going to all be on UBI.
- 1:10:09And it's both mine and my communist friend's dream
- 1:10:13as a libertarian.
- 1:10:14And that's like exactly what the world that they want
- 1:10:16is everyone on UBI, like Milton Friedman said.
- 1:10:20and um and it just doesn't it's it's a terrible world yep it's a really it is a dismal world
- 1:10:28i totally agree with that but i think we might have go through a period of ubi
- 1:10:32yeah they're gonna try it they're gonna it's gonna fail because all all things where human
- 1:10:38incentives are not aligned with money fail so if we do ubi uh and you give people money to lounge
- 1:10:47around and do nothing, the program will fail at producing the consequences that you'd like.
- 1:10:54Do you think that's a situation where everyone just, or not everyone, a large amount of people
- 1:10:57just end up drinking themselves to death, doing drugs, like loss of meaning?
- 1:11:01Could be. I don't see why not. Like in a world where like, if you construct, if you construct
- 1:11:05the zombie apocalypse is the world that you live in and you elect to live in that world,
- 1:11:09you're going to have a lot of people eating brains. You know, it's just not, you can't
- 1:11:14survive as a, as humanity.
- 1:11:17If we're electing to live in worlds that we don't want to live in.
- 1:11:22You've made me feel better about AI.
- 1:11:25Good.
- 1:11:27I guess.
- 1:11:28I don't feel anything about AI.
- 1:11:31I just like everyone.
- 1:11:32Do you feel anything?
- 1:11:34I've been trying to for years.
- 1:11:36It's like, it's like cut myself.
- 1:11:39That's getting cut.
- 1:11:41Why?
- 1:11:41That's a good joke.
- 1:11:44I mean, I don't really feel much toward AI.
- 1:11:48I feel immense love toward my daughter.
- 1:11:52I feel immense love toward my wife.
- 1:11:55I feel love of a different sort towards my friends, toward you.
- 1:12:02I feel great about the place I live,
- 1:12:06and I feel wonderful when I'm outside fixing things with my hands
- 1:12:11or I'm in my garage turning a piece of wood, right?
- 1:12:15Like the idea that AI is going to come
- 1:12:20and make me feel worse in that world is nuts.
- 1:12:24And the idea that it's going to take my job is nuts
- 1:12:28because I will just create a new job in that world
- 1:12:30where AI is either part of it or is not.
- 1:12:35One sec.
- 1:12:37A.
- 1:12:38Works for me.
- 1:12:40All right.
- 1:12:40Bye.
- 1:12:41schedule training on cleaning dumpsters.
- 1:12:47There you go.
- 1:12:48See, I think narratives are really important, though.
- 1:12:50And I think one of the interesting things is that
- 1:12:53sci-fi for the last 20 years or however long
- 1:12:56have been that AI is this terrible thing.
- 1:12:59It's going to kill us all.
- 1:13:00It's going to take over the world.
- 1:13:01And hearing someone say that it can be actually
- 1:13:04kind of restorative is really interesting.
- 1:13:08Yeah, I think that's...
- 1:13:09But I do also have this other belief that either you believe that AI is human or conscience, or you can believe in God.
- 1:13:20And I think that these are diametrically opposed beliefs.
- 1:13:24I don't think you can believe them both.
- 1:13:27Why not?
- 1:13:29Because in my world, God creates life.
- 1:13:34It is magical.
- 1:13:35how it happens. There's insolument and all sorts of amazing things that occur.
- 1:13:42And consciousness is a gift from the creator in that sense. So then we as humans fiddle-faddle
- 1:13:53with our machines, and we create this thing that feels very alive, but isn't. And it feels so alive
- 1:14:03that many people believe it to be alive.
- 1:14:06But we can't really do that.
- 1:14:10So in my world, it is impossible for AI to be alive.
- 1:14:15It can't be alive.
- 1:14:18But humans can be.
- 1:14:21And I think in a world where you believe that AI is alive,
- 1:14:25it's very difficult to believe in an all-powerful creator
- 1:14:30because, you know,
- 1:14:32apparently we can just create life.
- 1:14:34So.
- 1:14:35Makes sense.
- 1:14:36You know, why?
- 1:14:37What's the point of God?
- 1:14:39See, I'm not religious at all,
- 1:14:41but God couldn't have created the AIs.
- 1:14:45Why not?
- 1:14:47God can do anything.
- 1:14:48But I tell you, if you're not religious,
- 1:14:51you will believe that AI is real.
- 1:14:53It's alive.
- 1:14:54See, I don't at the moment.
- 1:14:56Not yet.
- 1:14:57But you will.
- 1:14:58Again, it's very hard to say what I'll believe in the future.
- 1:15:02I can't see it, but potentially.
- 1:15:04I think I'm in a place right now
- 1:15:06where I think that everyone is going to fall into the two camps.
- 1:15:10And there will be one side you'll have to take.
- 1:15:14And I just think it's inevitable
- 1:15:15because if the better AI gets, the more real it seems.
- 1:15:21Yeah, but then it's like,
- 1:15:23that gets to the point where you think that AI
- 1:15:26has to have some kind of like human rights treatment
- 1:15:28and they're equal to humans, which...
- 1:15:30It's coming.
- 1:15:31You think?
- 1:15:32You wait until the debates start.
- 1:15:33It might be 30 years down the road, but yeah.
- 1:15:37Yeah, unless I start believing in God,
- 1:15:40I think I'm going to fade that narrative
- 1:15:42because I can't see that.
- 1:15:46Just wait.
- 1:15:48Should we talk about Bitcoin?
- 1:15:49We've done like an hour on AI there.
- 1:15:50Yeah, let's do it.
- 1:15:50You're wearing your ocean shirt.
- 1:15:53Are you a Bit110 guy?
- 1:15:54am i a what a bit 110 guy i don't know what that means yes you do no i don't you're such a liar
- 1:16:01let me let me tell you something i think that right now in bitcoin there's like
- 1:16:06factions developing and political uh political parties of a sort developing
- 1:16:13and everybody wants you to take a side and i just couldn't care less uh i'm an ocean investor
- 1:16:22because I think Ocean is a good money-making opportunity, possibly.
- 1:16:28I think it's also very good for Bitcoin.
- 1:16:30I also think it's very good for Bitcoin to have a mining pool like Ocean.
- 1:16:35Yep.
- 1:16:39I'm not always a fan of ideology entering into your business,
- 1:16:43but it's their business and they get to do what they want with it.
- 1:16:47And it's not like you invest with Luke Dash Jr.
- 1:16:49and don't know that he's got an ideology, right?
- 1:16:51Like, so I think that there's like some, some sort of like political, uh, thing going on here
- 1:16:58in Bitcoin right now. There's factions developing. And I think that like, it'll probably end up
- 1:17:04making Bitcoin better in a weird way. And everyone is going to be surprised by how.
- 1:17:09Yeah. Because it gets more like, we don't need, this is money for enemies. We don't need to agree
- 1:17:13on everything. There's this, there's no point. Like I'm glad there's factions. Like who cares?
- 1:17:16like let core fight for their like legitimacy always uh core is this amorphous group of
- 1:17:23programmers that come together and decide on how the bitcoin protocol looks and they could just
- 1:17:30it could be just as it could be that core you know loses that legitimate like power and that's
- 1:17:39some other you know implementation takes over it's just like i think that i think that everyone
- 1:17:45should always be on their toes in a world like this. Everyone should know that if you put some
- 1:17:50kind of like bad code into the blockchain, if you put any, any, anything, you'll be found.
- 1:17:58And it'll be, and apparently the accusations will just go nuts. Like you will be accused of
- 1:18:04looking at child porn and, you know, jerking it to pictures of, you know, your mom.
- 1:18:10Which to be fair, like that whole narrative has been very disappointing, but, um,
- 1:18:14It is what it is.
- 1:18:16I get what's going on.
- 1:18:19It's rhetoric.
- 1:18:21It's like the worst people at rhetoric playing games of rhetoric.
- 1:18:26Yeah.
- 1:18:27You know what I mean?
- 1:18:28Yeah.
- 1:18:28Like they're like, it's like they didn't take the rhetoric class in college.
- 1:18:31And so they're sitting there like, well, you look at child porn.
- 1:18:35And you're like, wait, wait, what?
- 1:18:36Like, uh-huh.
- 1:18:38And they're like, no, I don't.
- 1:18:39Oh, yeah.
- 1:18:40Something like a child porn guy would say.
- 1:18:43You know, like, okay.
- 1:18:43Like that's, you know, so it's like two sides of a coin.
- 1:18:47Neither side, like core was not prepared for taking political positions because there are a bunch of autistic programmers.
- 1:18:55And like the other side didn't tell them because there are a bunch of autistic programmers that they were going to start like doing rhetoric.
- 1:19:03And so it's autistic rhetoric versus like unprepared autists.
- 1:19:07And it's really funny to me to watch.
- 1:19:10I'm not disappointed.
- 1:19:11I sit back and watch the game.
- 1:19:14You got to do more of that, like being in the stadium,
- 1:19:16announcing the game kind of thing.
- 1:19:18It's like, oh, you're accusing her of watching child porn.
- 1:19:21Let's see what he's doing.
- 1:19:22You know what she's doing.
- 1:19:23And she just kind of like sits there and doesn't know what to do.
- 1:19:25It's, you know, it's fine.
- 1:19:27It is what it is.
- 1:19:28I mean, who does know what to do when you get accused of that?
- 1:19:30And I do think it's disappointing.
- 1:19:31You just say no, and then you just move on.
- 1:19:33Like you say, then you go, well, that's what they'd say.
- 1:19:35Yeah, whatever.
- 1:19:35like do you i think i think that if you're a regular consumer of that content you'll get caught
- 1:19:44in like not too long a time you know like they'll show up at your house and they'll rage you
- 1:19:51and everybody will know because it just it is what it is like it just seems it seems like it's
- 1:19:56difficult to not end up stepping on a lot of giant landmines when you're like searching for that
- 1:20:03stuff. I would think it's rife with FBI and CIA or whoever the hell the enforcement agencies are.
- 1:20:09Yeah. So are you a Bitpontent guy though?
- 1:20:12Am I a what?
- 1:20:12Do you support Bitpontent? Come on, you never pull punches.
- 1:20:17I don't care. I actually have not looked strongly into Bitpontent. The idea that we need to control
- 1:20:28the blockchain i've always thought was not not control the blockchain but control like what is
- 1:20:33put in it i think that like the blockchain has a very limited amount of space that space has a price
- 1:20:40maybe we've made a mistake with like the segwit discount and stuff like that i don't know
- 1:20:46i think that'll let people debate that and figure that out but like as to whether uh as to whether
- 1:20:52we right now need to regulate it like i don't know because i think i think that like what needs
- 1:20:56to happen is like this is the whole bitcoin that has not done anything yet bitcoin needs to be used
- 1:21:02primarily for its function of transferring value from place to place right now such that that is
- 1:21:07the number one reason that someone wants to use the blockchain and until then every we will have
- 1:21:14a million attack vectors things people want to put in there whether it's words or not and so i'm not
- 1:21:20like i'm not that concerned about it i never have been i think that there's a lot of people that are
- 1:21:26concerned about it um there has definitely been some like bloat in the blockchain which i don't
- 1:21:32you know it's it's bigger right now than maybe it would otherwise have been but i'm not i'm just not
- 1:21:37that worried about it yet it's it's we're still early in bitcoin's history i'll let them debate it and then if
- 1:21:42Implement it, they implement it.
- 1:21:43And if they don't, they don't.
- 1:21:44Like, it's not, to me, this is never, this is more about, like, the sort of emergence
- 1:21:48of, like, factions than it is about whether a BIP is going to end up getting, like, you
- 1:21:52know, operationalized or not.
- 1:21:54Very fenced city.
- 1:21:56It's not fenced city.
- 1:21:57It's, like, do you care about every BIP?
- 1:22:00No.
- 1:22:00Me neither.
- 1:22:02There's someone that cares about every BIP, you know?
- 1:22:05And there's some people that, like, just don't know what's going on.
- 1:22:08I tend to know what the BIPs are.
- 1:22:11And then some of them, I'm like, OK, that would be good.
- 1:22:14That would be bad.
- 1:22:15There's some ideas that I think are good and some ideas that I think are bad.
- 1:22:17And they get hammered out and debate.
- 1:22:21And then I have, to be honest, no, apart from maybe starting a movement in Bitcoin, I'm not going to affect whether that BIP gets implemented or not unless I have a really strong opinion and start, I don't know, lobbying the developers.
- 1:22:35I'll call Adam back and let him know.
- 1:22:38But most of us don't really know day to day what the BIPs are.
- 1:22:46You're just in your Bitcoin Zen watching.
- 1:22:48That's always been the case with me.
- 1:22:50I'm always watching.
- 1:22:51Fence sitting, I've never taken strong stances on what Bitcoin should do
- 1:22:56other than that it did and probably needs to remain serving the underserved,
- 1:23:02which is exactly your statement.
- 1:23:04It needs to remain free and open, right?
- 1:23:06Freedom money.
- 1:23:07so that's exactly what I think as long as it remains freedom money like you do whatever you
- 1:23:12want the rest is just noise yeah like it's you know it's an asset in your computer and then
- 1:23:19they're trying to put controls on it whatever those controls are some are going to be regulated
- 1:23:22you know with uh code some with laws yeah I mean as much as I called you a fence sitter but I think
- 1:23:29more people probably need to have that opinion I I can't imagine caring so much about everything
- 1:23:35like just people spend so much time carrying whatever like i i i make jokes bitcoin uncensored
- 1:23:41back in the day it was all fart jokes like the whole thing fart jokes and then technical discussion
- 1:23:46fart jokes and technical discussion fart jokes and that was the show like if you asked me to
- 1:23:50summarize it that would be it was like i was mostly a podcast about fart jokes and like bitcoin
- 1:23:55technical discussions and i don't think you can have the perspective that like everything
- 1:24:00everything is important and i must care about it if you're going to tell a lot of fart jokes
- 1:24:05and like that was the thing is like with bu we just we just kind of watched we just let it happen
- 1:24:10we thought things were hilarious we thought most of what we thought was funny was how seriously
- 1:24:16people took themselves like we and now everyone does everyone takes themselves so seriously in
- 1:24:22this space like do you guys do you guys realize where we came from like this is like bitcoin
- 1:24:29magazine was run by a guy who like put on like those fake horse contests of faith you know horse
- 1:24:35masks and like all over himself and put posted these things online all the time embarrassingly
- 1:24:40like ethereum bitcoin's competitor is run by a a weird emaciated ethiopian child who like
- 1:24:52needs to eat a burger and like i don't know like none of this it's all funny nothing here is serious
- 1:25:00and yet like there's an ef or etf about it hilarious i don't know that surprises me
- 1:25:07it's it's as surprising as an etf about pokemon cards or beanie babies or beanie babies it's
- 1:25:13hilarious and like people take themselves so seriously about it and it is important i really
- 1:25:19do think it is important but i think that it is like it is contingent on everyone to remember where
- 1:25:25we were like when the suits got here that's when things got retarded like we had suits come in for
- 1:25:31a while and then try to sell blockchain to everybody every time the suits come in it gets
- 1:25:34dumb because they don't know what they're looking at so i don't know like everyone's taking themselves
- 1:25:40so seriously it gets real bad when you get serious folk in here i mean i kind of love that that's
- 1:25:46That's a, that makes me bullish.
- 1:25:48Yeah.
- 1:25:50Yeah.
- 1:25:50No, this is a toy and we're playing in a sandbox.
- 1:25:53And then like, maybe at some point someone goes like, oh, that toy looks really amazing.
- 1:25:57I'm going to turn that into a big toy for adults.
- 1:26:01I don't know.
- 1:26:02I think that's what the ETF is in some ways.
- 1:26:04Like they're like, it's a big toy for adults.
- 1:26:06Like, well, that's cool.
- 1:26:07I'm going to turn that into a big toy for adults.
- 1:26:09So they put it, they wrapped it in an ETF and they're like, now it's a big toy for adults.
- 1:26:13And like the adults are like oh wow look at this thing It kind of cool And so like you know I think that kind of what going on here is like we been playing in a sandbox and then the suits showed up multiple times in Bitcoin history and they did just the dumbest things and they were always funny
- 1:26:28And then we watch suits fall for scams from other suits. And then we'd watch the suits that just got
- 1:26:32here, go on CNBC and go like, I've been here for a very long time since May. And you're like, whoa,
- 1:26:38they are. I remember I've told the story before, but like, I remember the first Bitcoin conference,
- 1:26:43there was a VC who got up on stage.
- 1:26:46And he was on with a panel of four people.
- 1:26:50It was like Mo Levin's first conference.
- 1:26:53And this guy, this VC, is talking.
- 1:26:56And he's like, I've been in Bitcoin quite a while.
- 1:27:00Been in since, I think he said, like $200 or something like that.
- 1:27:05And this is like January, I think.
- 1:27:07I remember turning to Chris and going, that was May.
- 1:27:11He's been in a while.
- 1:27:12He's been in since May.
- 1:27:13What is he talking about?
- 1:27:16The suits have no idea what they're doing.
- 1:27:19And I love it.
- 1:27:19I think that that's great.
- 1:27:20I think it's really difficult for me to take anything we do here seriously.
- 1:27:26Because it's so, the people that got the richest are the funniest, most unlikely people to have gotten there.
- 1:27:36Have you been watching Bruce Fenton?
- 1:27:38I really like Bruce.
- 1:27:40Bruce Fenton took himself so seriously for years.
- 1:27:42he was you know mr bruce i'm so serious i'm big money guy he would make fun of me like you're just
- 1:27:47an alarm salesman or you know whatever now people like you're just a trash guy you know like like oh
- 1:27:51yeah bruce okay bruce goes now and like does bitcoin uncensored like bits in front of his
- 1:27:58like city council ship because he's bored and so he puts on like a wig and not and talks like a
- 1:28:04tory and like it does these things and i'm just like okay there we go like don't take yourself
- 1:28:09so seriously because on the other side of this as you're trying to build your wealth as you're
- 1:28:13trying to build the world you want to live in on the other side of this when you retire you'll
- 1:28:17realize that you you took yourself serious taking yourself seriously was nothing but larping and
- 1:28:22then on the other side of this all you want to do is go and like talk to your city council like an
- 1:28:26englishman put on a ridiculous like tory uh fucking uh wig you know he's doing that like uh
- 1:28:34what's it called is it gumbo style what's the word i'm like gonzo style journalism yeah you know
- 1:28:38that's gumbo gonzo gumbo gumby style journalism uh that was what we like again be we always thought
- 1:28:45of ourselves as like gonzo journalists in a sense like where you become the story as well
- 1:28:49and that that is you know what be you was it was gonzo journalism but i just i just think it's funny
- 1:28:56that like i see people who spent years trying to like take themselves very seriously getting off
- 1:29:01the serious train and like being i'm rich i arrived right i can stop being serious and then
- 1:29:07And they're like, oh, I guess here at this station, I don't have to be serious anymore.
- 1:29:12And they put down the pretense and they suddenly become like hilarious, funny people that are no longer the professional that they like pretended to be for 10 years.
- 1:29:23Yeah.
- 1:29:23So I don't know.
- 1:29:24Like, I just, I think it's funny in Bitcoin how seriously people take it.
- 1:29:28And I just think that everyone's got to remember that, like, at the end of this, we're all going to take our pants off and probably find ourselves in some kind of orgy.
- 1:29:37What else is there, man?
- 1:29:40We've talked about a lot there.
- 1:29:42I don't know.
- 1:29:42Do you have a really unpopular Bitcoin opinion?
- 1:29:45These days?
- 1:29:47I feel like my AI opinions are the unpopular ones these days.
- 1:29:50I like that opinion.
- 1:29:52I don't know if it's true.
- 1:29:53No, it's like the only really positive outcome from AI that I've heard.
- 1:29:59I mean, the Bitcoin opinions are, I feel like they're all said and done.
- 1:30:03like any like specific things about bitcoin like bitcoin's kind of doing its thing right now it's
- 1:30:09kind of like we're in a bear market uh this is a good like being at 70k in a bear market feels
- 1:30:15pretty good that feels it's weird isn't it it's like oh bummer it's it's real weird like i don't
- 1:30:23know like bitcoin is bitcoin it always has been like my my whole thesis about bitcoin like i feel
- 1:30:29like much of it is one and i just kind of like sit back and let bitcoin do its thing it's not
- 1:30:35there's i i don't the metaverse is dead it never was uh all of these shit coins like i said they
- 1:30:42still exist but like i don't think they will forever real world assets is the new metaverse
- 1:30:47real world assets is the new metaverse which is was obvious because you know it doesn make any set on real world assets like i i think i don like the touch grass meme but i think that like i find that having a sense of the world you in is the only way that
- 1:31:10you can kind of understand what's coming particularly when things look difficult like
- 1:31:17everyone thinks they're going to lose their jobs and i i kind of like work it out in my head i'm
- 1:31:21like okay so like someone in the company is going to have to go in and really learn ai and that's
- 1:31:26someone like in an entrepreneurial sense is going to have to be the person with the incentive to get
- 1:31:33rid of the workers like you're not going to get the workers themselves to work themselves out of
- 1:31:38a job so like the entrepreneurs themselves are going to have to do it so maybe there will be
- 1:31:43businesses that go like come in and do it and they're gonna they're gonna charge you fifty
- 1:31:46thousand dollars to teach you the ai that will help you get rid of workers and then you as the
- 1:31:51entrepreneur are gonna have to like actually hold become a manager of the ais and if you suck at
- 1:31:58managing people you're gonna suck at managing ais and so your whole company like now is like on your
- 1:32:05back whereas before you had like an operations manager and like three or four levels of people
- 1:32:10that actually knew what was going on.
- 1:32:12And like just the world,
- 1:32:14that's just not how it's going to go.
- 1:32:18It just like,
- 1:32:19it's not going to be that fast.
- 1:32:21The only people that are going to be able to do this
- 1:32:23are the people that are like
- 1:32:24the ones with the incentives
- 1:32:26to get rid of the jobs.
- 1:32:29And there aren't that many people like that.
- 1:32:32I love it, man.
- 1:32:33I really hope it takes longer than we think.
- 1:32:34It will.
- 1:32:35Don't worry.
- 1:32:37This time next time.
- 1:32:38clothes will be shredded i have no pants what we're doing in the metaverse
- 1:32:44couldn't afford to drive down the gases two dollars a gallon i just can't afford that
- 1:32:49anymore my ubi check didn't cover it really like i don't i don't know like it just seems it just
- 1:32:58seems to me to be implausible that that all of a sudden we're going to have a whole bunch of
- 1:33:02competent people show up and like all of these companies like from the other side that the you
- 1:33:09know the gelman amnesia effect you know what this is no it's the idea that you you know in a in an
- 1:33:15industry you're competent in if you look at a newspaper and you read about it so like you go
- 1:33:20you read the reporting on bitcoin on the new york times and you're like you're reading it you're
- 1:33:24like that's not how bitcoin works oh yeah what the hell that's not true that's not what the debate
- 1:33:28what are they oh my god this whole article like 93 percent of this article is wrong that's weird
- 1:33:34then the next page AI gonna take all the jobs whoa no right yeah like they just you just read
- 1:33:41what someone in your industry is going is is thinking like and it was 90 wrong you flip the
- 1:33:48page and you forget that like that just happened and that's that's kind of how I feel like with
- 1:33:53with AI like you get a couple of people like I worked in the AI industry and everything is
- 1:33:57going to change and no one's going to have it. These people aren't not making companies.
- 1:34:04They're still making companies. Explain that one to me. They're still hiring programmers to do the
- 1:34:09jobs that programmers need to do. They're still hiring janitors. They're still hiring operations
- 1:34:15managers. They're still hiring drivers and still sending their kids to school.
- 1:34:22The janitors and the bin cleaners will be the last ones to go.
- 1:34:25you've diversified well that's my goal but like you know what i mean like these these silicon
- 1:34:33valley guys who are telling you that the world's about to come to an end like why is why is there
- 1:34:38uh the rate of starting companies not slowing down don't believe the hype it's not that it's
- 1:34:44it's not that it's not like you know when like if barack obama tells you the world's going to be
- 1:34:48underwater in three years and then buys a home on martha's vineyard or whatever like right next
- 1:34:52of the ocean, maybe there's something he's saying that he doesn't actually truly believe
- 1:34:58in his heart of hearts.
- 1:34:59Yeah.
- 1:34:59It wasn't Miami meant to be gone by now.
- 1:35:01Miami's been gone for the last 15 years.
- 1:35:03It's been underwater.
- 1:35:05Like, this is the thing.
- 1:35:06That's why I picked the highest department I could.
- 1:35:08Oh, good.
- 1:35:08It is beautiful.
- 1:35:10Just in case it's this time.
- 1:35:11It is incredible the amount of times the experts are wrong, particularly in their timelines,
- 1:35:17and the amount of credibility we give them every single time they propose a new timeline.
- 1:35:21Yep.
- 1:35:22Like Elon Musk has never been right about a timeline.
- 1:35:26And then like he comes and he's like,
- 1:35:27oh well you know the jobs will be done in like a year and a half and blah blah blah And like no one going to be in work and we going to be at Mars in two years And like you like okay can I get that full self on my car that was promised
- 1:35:41me eight years ago or whatever?
- 1:35:42Yeah, it wasn't the roadster meant to be out like six years ago.
- 1:35:45The roadster, that's right.
- 1:35:46He's like, next month it will do.
- 1:35:47Yeah.
- 1:35:48For like six, seven, eight years.
- 1:35:51So, you know, that's true of Elon Musk, but like you have scientists who for the last
- 1:35:5630, 40 years have been predicting the demise of every major city along the coast. We're still here.
- 1:36:02Yeah.
- 1:36:03We have experts in programming that have been telling us the future of the world looks like
- 1:36:11this with this new technology, IoT.
- 1:36:16Maybe it's not true.
- 1:36:18Everyone's annoyed that their fridge connects to the internet now.
- 1:36:20Yeah.
- 1:36:21And nobody wants-
- 1:36:22I've never understood why you'd want your fridge to get into that.
- 1:36:2410 years ago, everyone wanted their fridge to connect to the internet because.
- 1:36:29Yeah.
- 1:36:30And I think in 10 years, AI, many of the promises of AI will look similar.
- 1:36:38I do love the idea, though, that this could be your interface to the internet
- 1:36:41and you don't actually have to be terminally online.
- 1:36:43That sounds amazing to me.
- 1:36:44Wouldn't it be great?
- 1:36:44Yep.
- 1:36:45Yeah, I just, I don't know exactly how that looks.
- 1:36:48But to me, that like, if you're going to set up things like agents,
- 1:36:53And this is the thing.
- 1:36:54AI has gone from absolutely horrendously bad to like, wow, that's pretty good.
- 1:37:00But you got a preview of what it was doing a year ago.
- 1:37:02It's like, oh, it writes things.
- 1:37:04Cool.
- 1:37:06Oh, it makes images.
- 1:37:07Cool.
- 1:37:07But now it's like you can literally take two photographs and be like, take this image and take the thing from here, transform it, combine it into this image, and put them here.
- 1:37:17And then voila, you have like a near perfect facsimile of that.
- 1:37:21So that's cool.
- 1:37:22and I think it'll probably get a little better.
- 1:37:25On the agent side, it's brand new.
- 1:37:27Like people have just started running like CloudBots
- 1:37:29and stuff like that.
- 1:37:29So that absolute, absolutely terrible experience.
- 1:37:32I've got one.
- 1:37:32It worked amazing for a while.
- 1:37:33Now it just keeps breaking.
- 1:37:34Just absolutely terrible experience.
- 1:37:37But in a year, maybe two years,
- 1:37:39it might be that these agents are incredible.
- 1:37:42I think that's the likely outcome.
- 1:37:44So that's the likely outcome.
- 1:37:45What that means is that your agent
- 1:37:47is going to do things for you that you don't want to do.
- 1:37:49They're going to grocery shop for you with your help.
- 1:37:51right they might message you and say hey are you out of bananas you can say actually yes i am like
- 1:37:55that's what i thought because it's about that time and it'll say hey are you out of uh you know
- 1:38:00dishwashing detergent you know yeah actually i am or no and so it'll buy these things for you
- 1:38:06and it'll like make your general life pretty easy and then you can focus if you want to buy things
- 1:38:12that like make your life fun now you're going to shop for things that make your life fun but you
- 1:38:17might even ask you ask your a i to do that but for the most part like if you can allow the ai to do
- 1:38:22all that stuff you just get a bunch of time back you just unlock productivity it doesn't have to
- 1:38:27be productive like it depends on what you mean by productivity like time potential for it but
- 1:38:32yeah time a lot you're allowed to not do anything with your time doesn't always feel like it
- 1:38:38especially with a kid but yeah but like that's the thing is like more you have a kid so more time
- 1:38:46with your kid is wonderful, right?
- 1:38:50It's amazing.
- 1:38:51You'd hope that you could have more of that.
- 1:38:54Absolutely.
- 1:38:55And I wouldn't call that productive time,
- 1:38:59like not in any way, shape, or form.
- 1:39:00It's absolutely like useless, like relationship building.
- 1:39:04I don't think that's useless.
- 1:39:05Totally useless.
- 1:39:07No, it's just relationship building.
- 1:39:09It's not like you're not making money, right?
- 1:39:11Like you're earning dollars for that.
- 1:39:13But you're probably building a better future.
- 1:39:15yeah yeah yeah well you're making the world you're electing to live in the world that you
- 1:39:22want to live in yeah i love it jen seth i genuinely love talking to you you're one of
- 1:39:27my favorite people to have on the show oh um thank you sorry yeah everyone else that's that's how
- 1:39:33bad very very like low standards no it's been awesome um i normally say where do you want people
- 1:39:40to go but you don't want people to go anywhere unless you've got unless you've got a dirty trash
- 1:39:44can around if you're in south florida you want your dirty trash can clean go to wash a can.com
- 1:39:48thank you man i will see you soon all right