Latest / Toadstool Sports / NHL + NBA + NCAAF + MLB World Series + Trump November Best Bets Friday 10/31/25

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NHL + NBA + NCAAF + MLB World Series + Trump November Best Bets Friday 10/31/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's how I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: did not go well for me. Own five the worst
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: To the slump, yes, prase, the slump discontinuous. The slump continues.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: better off dead this Friday, Happy Halloween. I will be
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: posting my Halloween costume later today. Everything works out correctly,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to shave my face for it, by
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: the way, so as sometimes I tend to do it,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: I look like a fat, ugly baby after I do that,
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: So enjoy that on this show for the next couple
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: of days. I don't know anything else to say besides that.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: I guess. Oh man, we went to and one on
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: the show last night, so we had another winning day
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: with one and one in hockey. We got the win
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: with the favorite, so that actually meant that that one
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: and one in hockey was actually a slight win as well.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: With Tampa Bay Lightning. They got the win close game,
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: two to one. I didn't really look at what happened
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: statistically in the game, but I will eventually and then
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: the Nationale Predators did not come close. I think the
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: game was not as statistically bad as the score looked,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: but that was a loser Predators. They might have to
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: go back them. I like, do not bet list. I mean,
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: that kind of happened last year. I don't know, man,
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm gonna see spots at some points where
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: I liked them, and that just didn't happen. But obviously,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: the night was capped by a nice easy win with
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: the Texas San Antonio road Runners in the Alamo Dome.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: I think I accidentally called it the Alamo Bowl whatever.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: The Alamo Dome hosts the Alamo Bowls, that's where they play.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: But yeah, that was an easy, outright win for Texas
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: San Antonio. They jumped ahead, well, they were up seventeen
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: to six, and then Tulane was like threatening to cut
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: it back to seventeen to thirteen or whatever something. Okay,
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a close game. But then I
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened. I had it on over here,
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: but I was doing other stuff, and I think Tulane
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: I would think I was uploading my yuke stuff, and
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, Tulane didn't have the ball
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: anymore and didn't score. I'm like, okay, and then like
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: shortly after that, it's thirty to six UTSA. I'm like, well,
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: I guess we got this one. And I think the
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: final was I don't even know what the final was,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: like forty forty eight to twenty six, maybe something in
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: that ballpark. Whatever it was, I don't know. It was
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: nice outright wins the money line hit on that one.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: I always recommend sprinkle a little bit on the money line.
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: Hell yeah, today, I'm gonna give up one NBA play,
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: maybe two. One is going to be completely dependent on
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: an injury situation, but I think it's probably gonna be
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: a go. And then I'll give out a college football
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: play and it might not be the one that you think,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: so yeah, hopefully it's good enough. There's one college football
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: game that I like enough that I think it's worthy. Jeffrey,
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: what's up man, Thanks for hanging out, and I'm gonna
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: because it was requested, I'm going to talk about this
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: polling market thing, and hopefully I don't get my channel banned.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: Hopefully this show isn't too long, because I actually have
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: to get out of here and I'm going to wind
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: up doing some Halloween stuff today. I gotta get my
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: costume prepared as well. No, it is not the Raptors.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: I'll talk. I can talk about that game if you
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: want to. I'm probably gonna skip some of the NBA games,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: but like as far as talking about them, first up hockey,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: we actually have an interesting hockey slate. There are only
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: three games, Colorado and Vegas is actually in the afternoon,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: basically at four pm Eastern. Interesting. It'll be an afternoon
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: game out in the Pacific time zoning Vegas. Good match up,
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: two good teams. You gotta think they're both gonna show
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: up for this. Colorado just broke a four game loss Streek,
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: although three of the four losses were overtime losses, as
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: almost all their losses have been to overtime. This is
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: a Colorado team that's very good, very hard to be
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: in regulation. They're coming off a big win, a nice
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: quick revenge win over New Jersey and they destroyed them.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: That was on Tuesday, eight to four. So normally I
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: would say maybe that's a letdown spot. But because they
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: broke their four game Losstreek, I think that actually might
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: propel them into this game and give them a little
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: bit of momentum, and going out on the road usually
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: you are going to be focused. It's a two game
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: road trip. I think you can guarantee their focus is
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: going to be on this Vegas game and not on
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: the San Jose game. So I would probably start leaning
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: towards Colorado in this one. And then Vegas is returning
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip, so they went out to
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: the East. They played Florida, Tampa Bay. Carolina only won
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: one game on the road trip, so they did finish
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: the road trip with a win on Tuesday. They're coming
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: back home. They've only been a waste. It's Saturday. But
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: I did you talk about this When your turno from
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: a road trip took you cross country across multiple time zones,
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: it can be a little bit of a distractions spot.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: You can come home and you have stuff to do
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: at home, it could distract you. But in this case,
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure that's gonna be the case, because
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think you're gonna overlook the Colorado Avalanche because
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: they're one of the best teams out there right now,
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: and they have multiple days off after this, so I
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: think if they have stuff they still need to get
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: done at home, they're gonna be able to do that,
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: and maybe actually they'll be more distracted in the game
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: after this against Detroit. So I don't think they're gonna
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: overlook Colorado. It still might be a little bit of
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: a factor. I will still lean to Colorado in this game,
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: though they flip from plus one oh two as an
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: underdog to minus one twelve is a favorite. So the
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are telling you Colorado is enough the better team
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: over Vegas that they're actually favored on the road. That's
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: interesting to note. It almost makes it look like maybe
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: you think the public might come in and think there's
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: kind of some value in Vegas as a home under Here,
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna agree with the oddsmakers here. I would fade
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: the return home spot. Usually, if you have a return
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: home spot and you have another team that's starting a
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: road trip, I'm almost always going to be leaning towards
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: that team on the road trip. If the team's starting
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: the road trip, if not, giving out a play on them.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: So fifty two ticket, sixty one percent of the cash
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: on Colorado, I'll agree with that. I think if you're
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: playing that game, Colorado money line is the way to
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: do it. Islanders at Washington. Washington is coming off a
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: big game where they fell short against Dallas on Tuesday
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: one to nothing. Could be maybe a little bit of
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot here that went out on the road
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: for that game actually returning home. We though it wasn't
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: a long road trip, so I don't know if like
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: a full return home distraction spot comes into play here
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: that they do have to go out on the road
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: again after this to Buffalo, but that's also one game
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: road trip and then they come back home again, so
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: I don't really think the road trip dynamics really apply
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: here for the Islanders. They're below five hundred right now.
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: I think they're maybe a little bit better than that.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: They've lost three in a row, all on the road,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: probably looking to try to salvage this last game of
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: the road drip, but it's gonna be difficult because they're
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: on a back to back and they're playing a third
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: game in four and as all in different cities Boston, Carolina,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: and now Washington, so that's not easy to do. They
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: played Carolina yesterday. Carolina is one of the top teams
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: as well. Carolina beat them six to two, so I
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: don't really want anything to do with the Islanders here,
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: just on the back to back. I worry about it.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: They did put Ridditch in net last night, so it
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: will be Sarrok and back in net here who is
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: their better goalie? But even so, I mean, I don't
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: want any part of this game. Really. Washington's up from
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: minus two hundred to minus two twelve on the money line,
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: cash on Washington. Probably not an accurate cash percentage there,
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: but it looks like some of the actual money might
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: be coming out on that side. Some of it's probably
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: just due to the back to back. I mean that
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: sometimes sometimes you do see that. Generally, I'd be kind
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: of leaning towards the Islanders in a spot like this.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Just the only problem I have with them is the
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: the fatigue issue here on the back to back, a
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: third game in four days. That's what worries me about it,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: So I gotta stay away from it. I mean, I
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know if I would give out much of
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: an opinion on that one. Possibly an over in that game.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: The total did go up from five and a half
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: to six through the six a little bit. So when
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: you have you know, a team that might be a
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: little bit distracted and then a fatigued team that can
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: kind of take its effect on the defense. I'm not
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: really doing the totals this year like I did last year.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that I was totally great with those,
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean that might be one of those
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: over situations that I look for there, mister Pinzy, what's
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out again. Hopefully I'm getting
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: you to us some more winners there. That UTSA one
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: was was really nice yesterday to give us the winning
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: day last night. Detroit at Anaheim. Money's coming in on
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Detroit in this one. Anaheim's down for minus one thirty
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: four to minus one, fifteen, fifty percent of the tickets,
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash on Detroit. I mean
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: to me, I don't think Anaheim is very good, so
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: it kind of would surprise me seeing them as that
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: much of a favorite. I know they're at home, but like,
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: that's that line where it came out, was almost indicating
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: that Anaheim's the better team over Detroit. I don't think
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: that's the case, but I don't think Anaheim is in
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: a very good spot either. Detroit maybe not in a
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: great spot either though, which is the problem. This is
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: another one of those who are maybe an over is
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: gonna start making sense. Detroit is playing a third game
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: in four days, all on the road. Uh. They played
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: in Saint Louis, but their last game was in LA,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: so from yesterday to today, it's only like a trip
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: up the road basically to Anaheim, so it's not really
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: a huge travel leg here between yesterday and today. But
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: they are still having to play twice in two days,
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: and they did go to a shootout last night to
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: beat LA, so somebody to keep in mind. Talbot was
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: in Net for that one, so it will be Gibbs
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: and back in Net for Detroit for this one. At
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: this point, I even know which one of them is
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: considered to be the better of the two because they
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: kind of just alternate. So I don't think it's a
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: big upgrade or down grade really one way or the other.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're really gonna necessarily overlook Anaheim because
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: they only have San Jose up next, but it might
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of a letdown spot coming off
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: that win over LA. That was a big win in
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: a shootout Anaheim, though they're returning home from a road trip,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna be the more rested team because they've
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: had two days off. But they went on the road
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: way back on the nineteenth and they went to the
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: Midwest basically, and then all the way to the east northeast,
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: then to the southeast to Florida, and they finished the
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: road trip with a big win over the returning champs,
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: the Florida Panthers, winning three of the five games on
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: the road trip. That was a win for us on
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: the show if I remember correct, So big win for
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: them returning home from this, I don't like the spot
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: here either. I mean, I don't think Detroit's really gonna
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: be a team to overlook, but still your turn home,
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: you're having to get us to the time zone shift. Again,
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: it's not an easy spot. It could be a distraction
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: spot as well. So I agree with the market in
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: this one that I think Detroit maybe the right side here.
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: That's probably the way that I would lean, But I
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: don't really want to have anything to do with it
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: on the back to back, even though the fact that
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: they're already in the LA area I think is a
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: pretty big edge for them really. And then as far
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: as the total, maybe an over does make sense. Eighty
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty three percent of the cash
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: on the over. There's a little bit less juice on
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: the six and a half. That is a high total though,
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: that's like as high as you'll see in hockey six
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: and a half. But it's high for a reason. And
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: I mean Anaheim tends to get in a lot of
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: high scoring games as well, So things to keep in
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: mind on that one. Yeah, six and a half, Yeah,
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: it's a high number, but I think it's probably that
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: way for a reason. NBA, what do we want to
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: talk about in the NBA? I don't even know. Man,
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: Atlanta and Indiana is somewhat interesting. The Hawks or actually
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: a road favorite here at two and a half. It's
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: gone up a little bit with some juice. Although we
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: see sixty seven percent of the tickets eighty six percent
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Indiana, Indiana still doesn't have a win,
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: and I'm not sure that the spot is great because
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: Indiana is coming up that close call against Dallas and
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: that was the game I gave out on the show
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Indiana covered the other night. They put in a big
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: effort to come back in that game. Man cut it
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: to two and wand up losing the game by two
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: as a big underdog. Now they come home from a
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: road trip, so that makes it kind of a bad
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: spot too, because they had to go to Memphis and
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: then Minnesota and then Dallas. They're kind of all over
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: the place. Not a long road trip, but it's been
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: less than a week. But still you come home. You
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: have stuff to do back at home. And they do
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: have Golden State up next to the Milwaukee So are
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: they gonna overlook Atlanta a little bit? Maybe? Even though
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: Atlanta's kind of been a playoff team the last few years,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: like one of the teams that barely makes the playoffs
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Atlanta's coming off just a win, right. Don't
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: think they really paid much attention against Brooklyn. I think
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: they just went in, didn't really care, like get in,
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: get out. You know. Brooklyn maybe the worst team in
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: the NBA. I mean, they're one of them. So I
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: expect more focus out of Atlanta and this one. Although
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: they do have Cleveland up next, so maybe a little
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: bit worrious than that. Maybe there's gonna be a little
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: bit of an overlook spot there, but I still think
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: the spot is better for Atlanta. I would lean to
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: Atlanta in that game. If I was gonna play it,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Boston at Philadelphia, my Boston Celtics at the Sixers, Sixers
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: or four and oh, but the Sixers have had an
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: easy schedule so far, man, except they did play the
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: Celtics probably should have lost that game, although that does
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: mean this is gonna be revenge for Boston, so somebody
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: keep in mind there. It's a quick revenge spot because
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: the Celtics lost at home, so of course they're gonna
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: want to return the favor at Philadelphia. But other than that,
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia beat Charlotte, that's not a good win. They beat Orlando.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: Orlando has just really been struggling, man. For some reason.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: Orlando they were like this physical, like slow you down
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: defensive team, and all of a sudden they're trying to
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: go faster and it makes absolutely no sense. I don't
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: know why they're doing it. So yeah, I mean that's
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: part of the reason why Orlando sucked early on. And
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: then Philadelphia had that game where we don't even want
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: to talk about it on the show because Washington was
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: absolutely annihilating Philadelphia in that game and somehow wound up
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: either not covering or pushing for you by the way,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: I forgot to mention Washington was actually up five in
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: overtime in that game too, and then there was still
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: a ten point swing after that. It's just such bullshit, man,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: It's ridiculous. Joelle Embiid did actually play in that game.
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: He only played like twenty minutes or something, but he
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: scored twenty five points I think, so he actually was
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: really good in the game in the minutes that he
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: was in there. Embiid is still gonna play here as well.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: He still looks like he's, you know, hurting, like his
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: leg doesn't look right, but he did finally have a
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: good game in that game against Washington because that was
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: a close call. Because this is Boston, you gotta think
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is gonna show up for this, even though I
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: think they're probably overrated right now, because their schedule has
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: not been that difficult the Celtics. They've played a more
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule. I mean they've played the Knicks, Detroit, Cleveland,
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: and New Orleans has improved this year too, thought that
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: was without Zion on Celtics. I mean, after they beat Cleveland,
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: I was looking to maybe fade the Celtics after that,
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: because you gotta think that's gonna put them in a
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: let down spot. I mean, they just crushed Cleveland at home,
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: and of course we know Cleveland's one of the best
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. Celtics just took it to them.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: Man had a really good game, really good fourth quarter
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: for the Celtics in that one. Just yeah, slam the
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: door shut. Sometimes the Celtics don't do that, and they
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: let teams like hang around and get back into the game.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: They did not do that in that game. They were
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: up I think nine or ten in the fourth quarter,
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: and they took over the fourth quarter and won that
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: game by twenty. Yeah. I still agree it could be
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: a bit of a letdown Spottle though, because they lost
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: to Philadelphia at home already. I don't really think they're
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: actually gonna not show up focus for this. I'll slightly
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: lean to Philadelphia in this game, but I don't think
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: I can make it a play, which is odd. Fifty
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: four percent of the tickets are on the Sixers, sixty
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on the Celtics. Sixers have
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: dropped from a three and a half point favorite to
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: a one and a half point favorite. Three and a
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: half seemed high. I don't know if there was like
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: an injury situation. I think maybe it was three and
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: a half because maybe Paul George was expected to make
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: his return, but I don't think he is, so that's
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: maybe why the line fell back down. I think maybe
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: the initial line came out thinking George would be back,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: and now he isn't, So maybe that's why the Celtics
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: I think we're about a three and a half point
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: favorite when they played the Sixers at home, which by
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: the way, was a win for us on the show,
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: though kind of lucky the Sixers plus the points there.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: Celtics were winning that game by ten I think in
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, and in that one they did not
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: slam the door shut. I don't know what else I
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: have to say about this one, but yeah, I forget
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: I had thoughts in my mind. I was gonna say
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: something else. What the hell else was I gonna say?
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but well, if the Celtics were three
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: and a half at home, you get like NBA, you
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: don't get a lot of home court, maybe one and
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: a half to two. So Sixers being somewhere in the
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: vicinity of like a one point favorite doesn't seem too
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: far off. On the line like that kind of makes sense,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: assuming that it's the same personnel that George is still
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: not playing and whatever. So the money is saying the
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: Celtics in this game. I slightly disagree with that, but
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: I'm not going to give it out as a play. Dave,
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Thanks for thanks for checking checking out
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: the show on Twitter. There, Dave, you've been in the
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: show before. Actually I appreciate it. Man, Thanks again for
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: hanging out. LaMelo ball got fined? Which which ball is? That?
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: Is he the one that's on the Hornets because I
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: have his jerseys. That's pretty based if that's the case.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: Fading the Sixers or taking the under on them, Yeah,
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: I mean I don't know. I mean for me, it's
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: always just about the spot. So I'm not like just
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: looking to like just constantly fade one particular team Cleveland.
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about in a second money on the
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: under showing on Yahoo in the Sixers game. It makes
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: sense that it would be an under. I mean, the
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: total has dropped a little bit, we have seventy one
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty percent of the cash in the
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: over here. I would probably actually kind of agree towards
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: an under in that game as well. I mean, it's
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be more of a playoff atmosphere, some more
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: focused deepfense there, even though you gotta worry about the
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: Celtics being in a potential letdown spot though, and that
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: would impact their deepfense, so I would worry about that
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Oh, thank you, sir. On the NFL games,
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: I've already I've already offered an opinion on maybe the
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: ugliest one that's out there. I'm gonna have a play
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: on Carolina Panthers plus the points. I don't know what
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: else I'm gonna do in the NFL. I don't love
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: the to the board really, otherwise I might be maybe
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna wind up with about two plays this week.
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: I'm not really sure yet. But we'll see Raptors and Calves.
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about this. The money seems like it is
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: coming on on the Raptors, although, as was being alluded
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: to by Jeffrey, the Calves might have some injury situation
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: here that's causing that line to drop. Because it's dropped
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: from nine and a half to six and a half.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: So normally it's not gonna move like that, just based
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: on the market action alone, so I think maybe it's
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: market action plus like an injury situation with the Calves
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the tickets on the Calves eighty
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on the Raptors, so the
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: money is indicating on the side of the Raptors. We
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: can see what the injury situation is in this one.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: So Jared Allen, I believe, is what was being referred
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: to there or were you saying the Calves are the Raptors.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: Jared Allen is the center for Cleveland. He's game time decision,
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: so I'm not entirely sure that he's gonna be out,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: but I think it's just this combination of injuries here.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: Man Darius Garland is up and I don't think he's
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: played yet this season, so that's not gonna cause the
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: line to drop like that. I don't think, uh, Donovan
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: Mitchell is a game time decision. He's the one that
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: would impact the line the most. He's got a hamstring issue,
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: so there's a lot of there are a lot of
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: things to watch in this game, man, Like I don't
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: think I could. I'm not sure I can offer much
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: of an opinion on this one. I'm not gonna give
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: it a play on this one anyway. But I think
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna play this game, you gotta like see
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: what's acting who like who's actually gonna play. But then,
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: of course, once we know that that's information and the
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: line is gonna move off that information, but it's it
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: makes this game very unpredictable. Mitchell might not play. He's
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: the best player on the Cavs. Jared Allen is their center,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: so I mean that would have an impact as well
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: if he's not gonna play. They're both game time decisions
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: right now, they're both questionable Alan with a finger injury.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens. I mean right now, this line
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: almost seems to be indicating that Mitchell, I guess, might
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: actually not play in this game based on that line,
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: but I don't know for sure. I think based on
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: the spot, I would slightly lean to Toronto though the Cavs.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, that was a game. You know, they got
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: up for that game against Boston and they, yeah, they
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: got blown out. It's a little bit embarrassing. I think
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: did Mitchell get hurt in that game because he was
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: not their top score for the first time. I don't
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: know he played thirty two minutes. He just had a
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: bad game. But he may have gotten injured during the
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: game too. I don't know. I didn't see that happen.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: But Cleveland that broke a win streak for them too.
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: So it's a big game. You get up for it
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: against Boston, you know, you lose the game, it could
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of a hangover spot, even though
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: it was a blowout. They do have Atlanta and Philly
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: up next, and those are probably playoff teams, so it
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: is possible they kind of overlook this Toronto team that's
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: been bad in recent years and they're only one to
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: four so far this year. Toronto, I mean, they face
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: a somewhat difficult schedule. I mean they had to go
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: to Texas for two games. We played pretty much all
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: good teams Atlanta, Milwaukee, Dallas is still not I don't think,
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: as bad as their record looks. Spurs, who are five
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: and zero at this point and playing really solid defense,
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: and Houston. I mean, hasn't been an easy schedule for
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: Toronto here, and it doesn't get any easier having to
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: play Cleveland either. But you know they're gonna show up
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: focus for this one at least, and They're coming off
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: kind of a blowout loss at home to Houston, so
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: I do think the spot does actually set up a
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: little bit better for Toronto as well, So I would
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: lean that way. But I don't know. I don't know
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: what we want to do in that one besides besides
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: stay away Carolina to cover the spread. Yes, it's like
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: plus thirteen thirteen and a half. I'm wondering if it
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: even gets to fourteen. Fourteen would be really nice on
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: that one. I was basically saying just wait on that one,
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: because any number between ten and a half and thirteen
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: and a half there's not a huge difference. I mean,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: thirteen slightly key, but fourteen is a lot more key,
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: and so is ten. So any number like between those
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: two is much of a difference. Huge Packers fan, I
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: picked the Packers to win the NFC before the before
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: the season started, but I had them against the Ravens
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. So I'm still sticking with it. Man.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: I still think the Ravens are gonna win their division. Uh.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: They just they had to get healthy and they gotta
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: just coalesce. Which, by the way, I apologize I was
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: wrong about the game last night. I lose my Thursday
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: Night mister Thursday Night status. That was the first wrong
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: lead that I had on Thursday Night. Miami. Actually, uh,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: they almost outgained Baltimore in the game, Like it was
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: only like a five yard difference in the game, Miami,
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: it was minus three in turnovers. That was part of
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: the reason why Baltimore didn't really do enough to win
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: by what the score was. So I will put out
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: put that out there. Yeah, Raptors have played good teams. Correct, Yeah,
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: you're gonna take the Raptors. I agree with it. But yeah,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: I mean yeah, I mean the Calves. I mean, you
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: at least know that there's there are injury concerns with
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: the Calves. So I guess if more players are ruled
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: like if those players are definitively ruled out for the Calves,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: the line might drop even a little bit more. So. Yeah,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, I will say that. But if you can
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: get seven on that game, it's a lot better than
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: six and a half. Seven is like the key number
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: in basketball because it's when teams stop intentionally fouling more
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: faith than you. Yeah, dude, Green Bay is a very
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: balanced team. They're being overlooked in my opinion, they have
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: solid offense. They can throw the ball, they can run
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: the football, they have a dual threat quarterback. Basically, they
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: got Their defense has been solid. They don't really have
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: many weaknesses that Green Bay team, and they just got
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: Christian Watson back. I added him in fantasy as well.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: Off to a bad fantasy a week start for me
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: because I had Loop as my kicker, thinking that Baltimore
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: was at least gonna be there. I was thinking they
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: were gonna stall out in the red zone on occasion
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: in that game. Nope, they only score touchdowns. So isn't
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: that just great? I'm still missed a Thursday night. Well,
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: I'm two to zero in the actual plays when I
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: was eight to oh with my leans Miami. They're in
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: huge trouble the Dolphins. They're gonna fire their coach. They
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: have to, if it hasn't already happened. Pass rush Michael
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: Parkson's maybe having to get an epidural before every game.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: Green Bay issues in the secondary. According to Dave, uh yeah,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I don't know for sure.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: Man Parsons is definitely having an impact. I think maybe
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: the impact is being a little bit overstated, But yeah,
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's definitely playing pretty well for them. All right,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: let's finish this NBA card here, Knicks Bowls is gonna
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: be one of my plays. Lakers Grizzlies is gonna be
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: the other one. What other games do we have here?
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: Am I'm gonna wind up talking about every one of
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: these games? I mean, I guess Utah Phoenix just quickly
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: is Wait, did I skip a game? No? I didn't.
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: This is like a revenge spot technically, because Utah beat Phoenix.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: That was one of my wins I think right. Phoenix
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: lost at Utah in what I thought was a pretty
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: bad spot back on Monday. Utah blew the game and
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: then had to go into overtime to win for us,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: even though they should have won more easily. This Phoenix team,
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, as I've been saying, I don't think they're good.
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: They have Booker and not a whole lot else going on.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: They also lost Bradley Beal over the offseason or whatever
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: whenever they did, but he hasn't been good either for
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: whatever the what the hell team is even on? I
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: don't know they think he's hurt right now, I don't
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: even know, or he's just so bad that the team
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: doesn't want to play him whichever team he's on. Phoenix
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: is coming off a close call against Memphis, though, so
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that I love the spot for Phoenix here.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: Yes it is revenge though that was Wednesday. They're staying
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: at home. That was a return home spot as well
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: for Phoenix. So I talk about how the return home
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: spot isn't really a good spot. Typically can be a
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: little bit distracting. Maybe that came into play, but they
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: did fight against Memphis, so it wasn't exactly a horrible
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: spot a horrible performance, I mean from Phoenix there. I
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: think they still will show up though, because they did
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: just lose to Utah, so I don't really think they're
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Utah. This Utah team, they've been pretty competitive
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: so far. More so the people think. I kind of
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: like this Utah team. They're coming off a close game
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: against Portland as well, which that was a winner for
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: us on the show they covered, so that was all right,
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: they got back into the game and covered. Now they're
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, which I think is usually a
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: positive spot. When you start a road trip, you tend
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: to want to show up focus. So the situation really
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: kind of has been leaning to the Jazz here, even
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: though I know it is a revenge spot for the Suns,
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: but I think the rest of the situation is better
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: for the Jazz. The Suns are down from four and
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: after three, so the money looks like it is coming
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: into the Jazz. That would be my opinion in this game.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: The tickets seventy six percent of the cash on Utah,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with that one. Denver at Portland. Denver, I mean,
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: they're one of the best teams in the league still,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: they kind of they made some additions over the offseason
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: I think, to kind of stack their team too. And
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: they have Jokich, who's still one of the best players.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: So we know this Denver team is good. They're coming
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: off a blowout win of New Orleans. I don't know
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: if Zion Williams that came back in that game or
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: not Denver blew them out. Denver's been really good so far.
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: They are good. Their only loss is an overtime loss.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: They're going out on the road for one game against Portland.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: They don't really have anything surrounding this. It makes you
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: think that they're necessarily not going to be that focused.
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Though I don't know, it's just it's not a terrible
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: spot for Denver. You know Portland will show up for
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: it though, because it is Denver. But of course the
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: problem with Portland is they're returning home from a road trip.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: They went down to la and then they had to
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: go into elevation into Utah, which is why I kind
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: of thought it was a bad spot and maybe a
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: look ahead to this Denver game. It is still return
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: home spot, though it was a short trip duration wise,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: as they only were on the road since Sunday. Return
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: home spot, as I say, you usually get a little
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: bit distracted by having a return back to home life.
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: Although I doubt that they're going to overlook Denver. I
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: mean nobody overlooks Denver. So I think you're still gonna
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: see Portland focused here. It's just a question of like
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: how much focus will they lack because of the return
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: home spot. How much fatigue is there going to be
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: because of the travel. Those are the concerns with Portland here.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: Those are the question marks The money is indicating on Portland.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: The Nuggets are down from five and a half to
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: four and a half, seventy three percent of the tickets
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: on them, only fifty three percent of the cash, so
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: the public laying the points of the Nuggets. It does
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: look too easy to lay the points of the Nuggets here.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Portland is particularly competitive at home over the last couple
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: of years, so I'm not really gonna I'm not gonna
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: disagree with the market there, really, but there's no way
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: that I could give out a play on the Blazers
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: in a return home spot though. I just can't do it.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: It's just against what I do. Really. I mean, I'll
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: slightly lean that way and agree with the market, but
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: it's not a strong opinion. Again, I don't think the
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: Nuggets are in a particularly bad spot. The Blazers are
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: in a worse situational spot, so I worry about that.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: But yeah, it is a public Denver team and it
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: looks too easy to lay the points with them. And
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: then New Orleans at the Clippers again. With New Orleans,
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: you gotta look at their injury situation. It looks like
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: Murray is still out, which I think we already knew that.
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: Zion looks like he is back, so I'm assuming he
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: played in the last game and they still just got crushed,
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, did he play in this game?
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: Oh no, he didn't play against the Celtics. Hang on,
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: I'm at the Denver game. Let me see. I mean
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: they just got erased by Denver. In this game, Williamson
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: did play, although he was a little bit limited to
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: twenty six minutes. So they think that's because all the
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: starters got yanked from the game because it was a blowout,
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: so that's probably why. But that means that New Orleans
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: will be a little bit more rested coming into this
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: one because they got annihilated. So that's another thing in
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: the NBA when a team gets blown out like that,
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they'll be more rested and more
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: focused coming into the next game because you want to
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: bounce back from a blowout because it's embarrassing. But also
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: when you pull your starters like that, you're gonna be
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: uh more rested coming into the next game as well. Uh.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: New Orleans still looking for their first win, so I
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: think you gotta think they're gonna be focused. They haven't
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: had an easy schedule. They played Memphis, San Antonio, Boston, Denver.
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: They do have Okay, see up next again, I think
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: New Orleans is probably better than an zero to four
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: record makes them look uh I think they're gonna be
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: focused again. Because you're a no win team, you gotta
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: be focused on everything pretty much. I don't know why
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: it looked like that web page just accidentally downloaded for
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: me Firefox doing some weird shit. Clippers. Yeah, they're coming
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: off an ugly loss to Golden State, so I think
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: they're gonna want to bounce back as well. They've had
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: an extra day off compared to New Orleans. They're returning home,
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: but it's only from a one game road trip in
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: the same time zone, in the same state, so I
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: don't think that really matters that much. So I think
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: both teams are actually going to show a focus here.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: So then what you're probably looking at is the Clippers
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: are probably laying too many points here. They're laying eleven points,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: up from ten and a half to eleven. They are
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: pretty good at home since they've been playing in that
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: new arena, even though I know they did not cover
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: for us in that game that I gave out they
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: missed by one point against Utah. I think it was
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the tickets ninety two percent of
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Clippers. It looks think the money's
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Clippers. I'd slightly disagree with that.
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: I think if you're looking for value in this game,
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: I think it could only be found on the Pelicans,
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: just because I don't think they're as bad as a
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: no loss record makes them are. No win excuse a
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: record makes them look. So that's I would slightly lean
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: that way, but that's really not a strong opinion. Yeah,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: so yeah, oh that's all right. Yeah. I like interacting
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: with the chat man. Gotta, you know, give the listeners
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: us some some quality, give them some interaction. You know,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna just sit here and talk to myself.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: I like the interaction, even though sometimes I sometimes I
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: disagree and I get to I become a dick. If
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: the Suns lose, they'll hand the Spurs their first loss
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: on Sunday Night. Interesting you go to Buffalo Wild Wings
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: a lot, Jeffrey, it seems like just because I keep
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: talking about the Blaze and Wings, is that what you
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: eat every time? Basically every time I go, I like
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: I have to at least get the Blazing Wings. I
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: don't do the challenge every time, but like, I feel
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: like I have to at least get the wings because
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: I'm like, if I don't get their hottest wings. I'm
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: just a bitch. But then it ruins the meal too, Like,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: not only does it you know numb all like numb
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: your face, numb your hands, numb your dick if you
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: take a pay whatever, But then like you can, like
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: I eat the wings first obviously, because you want to
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: do that first. You gotta take care of the spiciness first,
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: and then kind of like cool down a little bit
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: with the rest of the food, you know, stuff your
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: face with starches after that and whatever and carbs and whatever.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: I'll usually get like a burger or a sandwich or something,
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: some fries to cool down after the after the blazon wings,
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: maybe another wing that's not as hot as well, like
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: a different flavor. I usually go with one of my
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: friends shout out to Chris, which people tend to think
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: that we're brothers because we're both bald, bearded, forty year
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: old men. Yeah. I haven't been there for a while though,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: but yeah, but we usually we both we split some
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: of the wings. Usually we both get some of those
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: insane wings. We both get some other flavor wings and
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: a meal on top of it. Usually watch whatever the
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: hell the games are that are going on usually hit
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: a movie after that, because the one that we go
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: to is close to a theater. It's a gay it's
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: a gay old time man one time a waitress, which
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: is actually it ooo you The Buffalo Wild Wings that
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: we go to used to be an Uno and UNO
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: has not been doing that well. Uh so it's it
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: the Uno closed and that location turned into a Buffalo
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: Wild Wings, So we just still go there for like
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: tradition's each basically, but at the Uno, uh, just because
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: it was I don't know, the two of us are.
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: Waitress comes over like like you guys celebrating something tonight,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: and we always bring that up every time, like because
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: we were both we're both like, yeah, we're celebrating our
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: anniversary as a as a gay cup bowl. Oh man, yeah,
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I forget what else I was gonna
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: say about Buffalo Wild Wings, but yeah, I don't know
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: it's but yeah, well I was gonna say, like, you
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: can't really taste your meal after you have like those
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: insane spicy wings. That's kind of the problem. So I'm like,
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if their burgers are actually any
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: good because I've never actually tasted it. So I don't know.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: I've eaten a bunch of them, but I've never actually
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: been able to taste it, So I don't know. You
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: like Denver in that game with Denver, Yeah, I mean
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: the market is against it. The situation is kind of
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: in favor of Denver to some extent. The booker, he's
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: in consistent and they don't have a good team there,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: so like, what can you do? You don't getting wings
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: or you're drinking the beer can kind of help with
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: the spiciness of the wing too, because the beer is
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: carbs and it's cold, so I think it does help
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: a little bit as well. Blazing desensitize you. I think
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: they made it hotter because like I did the challenge
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: back in the day, and it seemed like it was
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: way easier back in the day. I think because they
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: started adding all these new levels of heat, I think
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: they had to make the blazon hotter. I think that's
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: what happened Asian zing and hot garlic. Yeah, I like
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: pineapple hobbin air is it pineapple habanera or mango hobbin era,
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: which everyone that is the hobbin earra one. It actually
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: is a cool down from the blaze, and so I
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: like that when I like the sweet and spicy combo.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: That's kind of my go to actually, besides the really
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: hot stuff. Yeah, I don't know. I kind of like
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: some of the sweeter ones too, Honey barbecue and stuff
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: like that. A classic gay football dates, Yeah, these are
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: gay movie dates really. The blaze in effect, Yeah, I
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: took I washed my hands, Dave, I don't think was
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: here for that story and that one time that I
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: did it, I washed my hands, took a piss and
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: washing my hands to get the rest of the blaze
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: off because I'd already used a napkin and like you know,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: wet wipes and whatever. I'm like, I'm gonna wash my
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: hands still to get rid of the blaze and take
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: a pee. I'm going to wash my hands again after
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: I piss, and I'm like, my dick is numb right now,
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: Like this is ridiculous, Like you can't get rid of
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: the blaze. And it's like the Seinfeld smelly car. It's
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: the blazing skin Buffalo wil Wings. Yeah they should suponse this. Yeah,
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: mango hobin arrow. Yeah, it's a nice sweet and spicy car.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: You gotta go get some wings man, Not that I
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: think Buffalo Wild Wings. Wings are really really that good.
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: But yeah, that's how hot the Blaze and Wings are. Man,
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: And that was when we were going to see a
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: sausage party that night, which, you know, say what you
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: want about Seth Rogan all those guys, you know, the
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: leftist comedians that are in that movie or whatever. I
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: still think it's a funny movie. I mean, I had
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: fun seeing that, except for the fact that my crotch
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: was numb for like a large portion of the movie.
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: It was definitely a sausage party in many ways. That
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: night I was I was hanging out with dudes. I
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: had a sausage party in my pants. You know, it
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: was all going on. All right, I'm gonna make this
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: the best Bets segment, even though I do have to
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: talk about college football, and then I was gonna talk
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: about this Trump thing briefly just because it is ridiculous.
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: Let's go to these NBA Best bets here, and then
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: I have one in college football too that hopefully is
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: gonna be a winner. Bubbalo wil Wings. Yeah, they have
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: a ton of TVs. So they have like every game on. Yeah,
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: the whole wall is just TVs. So yeah, they basically
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: have every game on, So that's that is a good thing. Yeah,
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: they might have it automated. I don't know Seth Rogan
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: acts indistinguishable from Seth Dylan. Well, they're both woke and
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: they call everybody bigots. So yeah, like I've been making
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: the argument that Seth Dylan is a leftists. I mean
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: Seth actually, yeah, you're probably right. Seth Rogan is probably
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: pro Israel as well. So yeah, I mean, I don't
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: want to get this channel nuked. I'm not saying anything,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: all right, best bets first one up. I know we
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: lost a little bit of the on the number on this,
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna go with the Knicks minus five. Uh,
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: they're up from three to five here. Maybe you can
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: find a better number on this. I mean, I'm not
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: too concerned about two points in basketball. It's not really
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: that huge, but you know, I mean, you'd rather have
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: the best number that you can. I didn't see this
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: until this morning. So the money looks like it is
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: agreeing with this one. Sixty three percent of the tickets
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: or sixty four now eighty nine percent of the cash
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: on the Knicks as well. First of all, I like
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: this because you're gonna see this. This is at Chicago.
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: People are gonna look at this and see these records.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: Oh my god. The Knicks are two and two. They
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: haven't won on the road yet. The Bulls are undefeated
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: at home, and they're four and oh. So it's like
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: it looks like there's a lot of value on taking
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: the Bulls, right, Like, why would you not want to
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: get the Bulls? They haven't even lost at home and
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: they're an underdog here. What gives man, Well, the oddsmakers
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: are telling you exactly what you need to know in
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: this game, man, And this is one of these things
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: that I look for. Is like early in the season
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: is really where you can find things like this in
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: most sports where the records don't really tell you the
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: whole story. Like, based on this alone and seeing what
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: the number is, it's pretty obvious that this must mean
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: that the Knicks have faced a way tougher schedule than
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: Chicago has. I don't think Chicago's bad. I think they're
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: on the way up. I think they're a pretty solid
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: young team. But the Knicks are still definitely the better team,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: and I think it's gonna show in this game. There's
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: a reason why the oddsmakers are putting that number out
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: at that number, Why the Knicks are favored by that
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: much osmakers are telling you the better team. I agree
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: that is the case. The Knicks have fased a pretty
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule. Man, they faced Cleveland, Boston, Miami, and Milwaukee.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: And Miami's running this new up tempo offense. They're unlike Orlando,
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: Miami's is actually scoring a ton and the Knicks actually
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: held Miami down. If you look at what Miami's doing,
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: I think Miami is is averaging like one hundred and
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: thirty points a game. They've scored over one hundred and
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: forty multiple times, and the Knicks were one of the
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: defenses that actually held them to below one hundred and twenty,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: which has only happened twice. So the Knicks that loss
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: is actually not that bad. The Knicks at Miami, and
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: then I thought the Knicks were a good play against Milwaukee.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: The Knicks played really well in the first half of
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: that game and they just fell apart late in the
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: game unfortunately. But now they've had two days off, they've
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: lost both games on the road trip. You know they're
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: gonna show up focus here. They're gonna try to salvage
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: a game on the road trip. You can't go winless
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: on the road trip, right, So I think that's good.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: I think the fact they've had an extra day off
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: is gonna help as well. They've been Austin's Tuesday, so
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: they have an extra day of rest over what the
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: Bulls have, although the Bulls are staying at home. But
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: look at the Bulls schedule in comparison, like, what's their
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: best win? Their best win was against Detroit, which remember
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: I leans to the Bulls in that game, and the
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: Bulls were an underdog and they got the outright win.
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: And if the Bulls are an underdog against Detroit, they
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: were like a three point underdog. The Knicks are obviously
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: better than Detroit. So you know that this number of
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: five makes sense. I mean maybe it shouldn't even be
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: higher if Detroit, you know, being three was an accurate
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: number in that one. But yeah, so they beat Detroit,
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: the Claubert Orlando on the road, but we know, like
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: I said, Orlando's been really struggling, so I don't know
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: how much we can take away from that. And then
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: they beat Atlanta, who's an okay team, and then Sacramento.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: I think there's Sacramento is a struggling team right now.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: Their offense hasn't been good. I don't know what else
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: to say about that, so have definitely faced some more
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule. I think it's significant as well, so we
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: got a lot going first. It's not really a situational play.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: It's more of a market versus market versus records play,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: if you want to call it that, where like the
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: osbreakers are telling you something different than what the records
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: are telling you. So that's what I'm going with in
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: this one. I don't think it's really a bad spot
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: for either team, but I think it's a spot where
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: you're gonna see the better team show up and win
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: with the misleading number there. To me, it looks way
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: too easy to take Chicago plus the points, So lay
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: the points with the Knicks. That's the first play that
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: I have there. If they lose, you like them on Sunday.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: I haven't even looked that far ahead yet, So dirty sock,
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: what's up man? I hope you had utsa with me yesterday.
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: That was the keystone of my card yesterday. Hell yeah,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: all right, the other play is gonna be and this
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a little bit tented of depending on
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: the injury situation, and this is gonna be counter to
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: unless well, I mean, you know, it's kind of but
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: if you if you listen to me, you're gonna know
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: exactly what I'm talking about. But it's gonna seem counterintuitive.
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Memphis Grizzlies minus to one
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: and a half. Now this line is dropped from five
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: to two. I think you can get a one and
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: a half out there. The money is indicating on the
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: Grizzlies though, sixty percent of the tickets ninety one percent
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. So why did the line drop? Well,
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: I think it's pretty much because it looks like Luca
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: is coming back in this game, and that is the
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: main part of this. So I think if you want
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: to wait to make sure that that is gonna be
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: the case, you could do that because obviously, if Luca
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: is confirmed to be in, the line's not gonna go
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: up on the Grizzlies, you know what I mean, Like,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: it's only gonna go down further, So you're only gonna
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: get a better number on the Grizzlies if you wait.
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: So I mean, I recommend I probably do recommend that
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: just wait around a little bit, make sure that Luca
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: is playing, because that's also part of the handicap here,
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: so reverse injured player theory. I talk about this all
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: the time. When a team has their star player go
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: down like Luca, the team will like step it up
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: big time for that first game without him, like they'll
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: put in a big effort. And that is what the
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: Lakers did. That was the game against That was a
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: game against Sacramento which they did win, and covering that
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: one on the road. Then after that, I actually still
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: liked the Lakers. In the next game, and that one,
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: I think I gave out the Lakers because it was
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: a revenge spot. Oh no, no, no, my mistake. Minnesota
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: was the game before that, So yeah, I think. Yeah,
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: the reason why I didn't want to play the Lakers
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: in the injured player spot was because they were coming
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: off that big revenge win over in Minnesota, which was
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: one of my wins on the show. So I just
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: stayed away from the Luca injury game here. But the
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: Lakers did do that. They stepped up really big, and
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: then I came in and I faded the Lakers in
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: the next game, which is a back to back as well,
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: because what happens with the injured player spot is when
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: that team puts in that huge effort in that first game,
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: they tend to think, Okay, hell yeah, we can win
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: without him, and then they take a little bit of
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: a step back in that next game, and they did.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: They lost to Portland. So that was an another winner
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: for me on the show. Now after that, LA without
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: Luca again, they played a pretty good game last time
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: out and they beat Minnesota again, so getting some revenge
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: against the team that eliminated them last year in Minnesota.
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: That was another big win for LA. That was on Wednesday.
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: Now they're going to Memphis. They do up Miami, yep. Next.
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they're really gonna look ahead to Miami,
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: but I think it is a letdown spot for the
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: Lakers because that's a big win. Again. You just went
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: into Minnesota and now you've beaten them both home and
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: away to kind of get a little bit of revenge
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: for the playoff series last year. Big win, and out
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: on top of that, Luca looks like he's coming back here.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: And I talk about this when that happens, when the
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: injured player comes back that first game and he comes back, like, yes,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: obviously it's gonna make the team better in the long run.
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: But the first game and he comes back, sometimes the
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: team brings them back too soon. He's got to get
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: used to being out there again. The team has a
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: chemistry shift again, and they have to you know, they
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: have to, like they have to build up that chemistry
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: again to get used to playing with him again. And
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get value going against that team because the
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: line's gonna overreact to him coming back and move too
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: much in the other direction, which is also what happens
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: when the guy first gets injured. The line overreacts against
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: that team, but when he comes back, it's gonna overreact
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: towards that team. And I think that's what's going on here.
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: So a lot of things that play here. I think
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: it's a letdown plus a reverse injured player spot here,
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: if all of that makes sense. And again, the team
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: was winning without Luca. They won two out of three,
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna think, hell, yeah, now we
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: get him back, we can definitely win this game against Memphis.
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: So I think it's a bad spot for La Memphis.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: You know they're gonna get up for a game against
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: La and Memphis just played fairly poorly. As I mentioned
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: against Phoenix two days ago. They are returning home from
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: a road trip, so maybe a little bit of a
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: concern there, but it was only a road trip that
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: started on Monday. It was only a two game road trip.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: They did go to the Pacific Coast. But still, I
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: don't think it's gonna be a spot where they're gonna,
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: like get totally distracted by the return home spot. I mean,
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: they're playing the Lakers, like this is gonna be the
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: game they're gonna get up for. So I like Memphis
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: in this one. That's gonna be the play wait around,
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: I guess it's it is sort of dependent. Like I
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: I like it more of Luca is definitely coming back,
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: and right now he's listed as questionable, and people didn't
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: think he was gonna be back yet, So it is
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: something to watch because there is still the possibility that
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: he might not come back, and if he doesn't, I
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: still like Memphis in the game, but I don't like
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: them as much. And if he doesn't come back, you're
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: gonna have to lay more points with Memphis. So I
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: probably only elevate this to a play if Luca is
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: is indeed coming back and then you get that better
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: number on Memphis, so that that's what I'm gonna do
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: with that one. So it's a it's a play that's
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: dependent on that situation. Hell yeah, utsa money line. Like
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: I say, I always take the points though in a
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: game like that, but when I do that, I put
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: like ten it was a six point spread. I put
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: like ten percent on the money line in that one.
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: You get a little bit of extra on that one.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Lakers to repeat as the Emirates. NBA. Oh this isn't wait,
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: this is an NBA Cup game, isn't dude? I ignore
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: that completely. It is. You're right, it's an NBA Cup game.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: That doesn't change my opinion on it, though, Like I
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: literally ignore it completely until it gets to like the
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: like final four in the Cup. The Cup is so
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: fucking stupid, dude, Like the teams, the teams themselves don't
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: even really give a shit about it because it's just
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: so fucking stupid. It's pointless. It doesn't mean anything. It
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: might mean a little bit of something once you get
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: that far, and it means more to teams that know
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: that they're not gonna win a championship. And I think
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: the Lakers they think they can contend for a championship.
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Memphis probably doesn't really think so, So I think the
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: Cup actually makes it mean more to Memphis as well.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: So actually that kind of makes me like the game
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: even more because these like these teams that are like
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: low tier playoff teams tend to do way better in
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: the Cup than the like upper rational on NBA teams
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: just because those rash on teams they just don't give
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: a shit about it. So the regular season dynamics still
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: come into play here. Yeah, there's probably money involved, there's
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: some rigging. I don't really try to figure that out though.
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: All Right, college football, and then I'm gonna do the
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: poly market stuff at the end of the show. Here
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a play here in college football,
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: and again it might not be the one that you think,
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: because you probably think it's gonna be Rice plus the points,
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: if you know what I do. And for those keen
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: observers who might tell you that, they might tell me
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: that Memphis is in a sandwich spot here, and I agree.
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with Rice in this game. I just
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: don't love it strongly enough. This is on ESPN two
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: at seven pm. It is Memphis against Rice. Memphis is
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: ranked twenty fifth in the country, which I don't think
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: they're actually a top twenty five team. I mean, they're
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: in a bad conference. They face a pretty easy schedule
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: so far. They're one big wins against Arkansas. Arkansas is
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: a low tier SEC team, so yeah, they faced an
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: easy schedule. But look at the Memphis spot here. Man,
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: They're on a short week, although so is Rice. They
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: both played on Saturday. Memphis just beat South Florida. That
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: was a big ranked matchup between Memphis and South Florida.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: I told you I liked Memphis in that game because
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: Memphis fell to UAB in the game prior to that.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: I think they were totally looking ahead to this. UAB
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: had just fired Trent Dilfer or whatever, so they were
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: in the fire coach spot. Probably should have given that
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: out as a play. I gave it out as a lead,
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: and so I thought Memphis was in a good spot
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: to bounce back there and play well against South Florida.
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: They did. They got the win, They pulled off the
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: upset at home. Huge win for them. Now they have
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: to go and play Rice, and after this they got Tulane,
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: who we saw Tulane last night, and I think Tulane
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: was actually probably somewhat looking ahead to this game against
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: Memphis as well. That's still gonna be a big game.
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: Tulane still got only one loss in the conference I
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: think now after last night, and sodas Memphis, so those
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: two teams are fighting, you know, to try to get
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: into the Conference chainchampionship. So that's a big game. So yes,
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: it's a sandwich spot. It's definitely a bad spot for Memphis,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: no doubt about it. I think they might overlook Rice.
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: Rice they run a triple option attack, so Rice they
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: have to stay in the game. That's the one thing
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: like they could do it. They can run the football,
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: try to slow the game down, and teams that don't,
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: teams that aren't used to defending against the triple option,
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: could struggle a bit. I mean, Memphis does pretty much
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: see the triple option every year because they usually face
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: either Army or Navy in this conference. They haven't faced
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: any of them this year though, so this will be
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: the first time Memphis is facing a triple option this year.
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: But then again they are used to it again because
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: they face Navy, Army or whatever, usually at least once
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: every year. Still makes it a little bit difficult. Although
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: Rice is new to running the triple options, so they're
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: definitely not as good as Navy, let's put it that way.
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: But Rice, they do have the ability to run the football,
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: slow the game down, and that's what you want as
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: an underdog like Rice. You want them to try to
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: do that. Slow the game down, keep the game close,
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: keep it within reach, because if they fall behind by
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: too much, they don't really have the ability to come back.
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: So that's kind of the issue with Rice. They can't
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: really throw the football. They've been decent this year though,
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: running the triple option at four and four, that's not
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: too bad. The problem that I have with Rice is
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: they're also on that short week and they're coming off
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: an upset that took them into double overtime. So I
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: just don't think I can get there with Rice. Man,
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: I almost always want to avoid teams that wanted to
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: double overtime. I know I did play one a little
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: while ago with I think it was what Missouri against?
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: What was it for? Everget it was Missouri last week
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: right against Vandy. I think is what it was. Missouri
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: probably should have gotten us that win and that one
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: by the way, But I did that because Missouri third
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: double overtime game was like a close call against a
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: lesser team in Auburn of the way. Again, I think
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: Auburn's underrated. But Rice, they pulled off an upset against Yukon.
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: And this is a lean I gave out on the
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: show last se today. If you remember, I thought you
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: come is in a bad spot, just a weird spot.
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: Having to go down to Houston, Texas face this oddball
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: Rice offense and Rice not only covered but they won outright,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: is like ten point underdogs in double overtime. So I
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: just can't get there with Rice, man, I'll lean that way.
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: I do think it's a worse spot for Memphis Rice
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: getting a host of game primetime like this. It's a
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: big deal for Rice as well to do that. So
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: that is a little bit of an added motivational factor
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: for Rice. The money is indicating on Rice seventy one
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on Memphis, fifty percent of the
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: cash on Rice. The number did drop a little bit
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: from fourteen and a half to thirteen and a half.
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: I would try to get fourteen if you like Rice.
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: Fourteen is a key number, of course, because it's the
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: uh the two touchdown mark. Obviously all lean to Rice.
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: I can't quite get there with it for the reasons
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: that I just stated, though, But that's a lean for me.
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: Rice plus the points in that one. Every team gets
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: fire hundred fourteen thousand each that that doesn't five hundred
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: and fourteen thousand is nothing for an NBA team a
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: North Carolina. Syracuse is where I'm gonna come in and
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: make a play here and the market is indicating against
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: it right now, and whatever my play is gonna be
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: on Syracuse minus two and a half. The number did
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: go up from two to two and a half. Although
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: we see seventy one percent of tickets only sixty nine
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Syracuse. That does worry me
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Syracuse is a little bit public. This
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: is on ESPN at seven thirty, and that's gonna be
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: one factor here is that Syracuse. They have not hosted
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: one of these midweek games this year, I don't believe,
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: and they get to do it on ESPN tonight, so
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: I think that's gonna be a motivational factor for them.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: So when you have a team like Syracuse, that's a
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: one win team in the conference, they're a three win
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: team overall. You got to figure out, like, where's the
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: motivation gonna come from? And I think it could come
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: from multiple things. It could come from they're playing a
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: ranked team or a really good team. Maybe they think
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: they could still become Bowl eligible because they need three
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: more wins. So if that's the case, they got to
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: win this game because they're gonna have to win this
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: home game against UNC And obviously they can win against
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: Boston College at home in their last game, so that
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: would get them the five wins if they win those,
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: but they would have to somehow upset Miami or Notre
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Dame on the road, which is not gonna happen. But
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: maybe they have hope, maybe they think that, maybe they
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: think it's possible. So are they still gonna be focused
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: on trying to become Bowl eligible? Maybe? But the reason
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: I think they will still actually show up for this
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: game is because it's an ESPN primetime game. And that's
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: the other situation where a team will show up when
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: it's an isolated game like this and they know the
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: focus is gonna be on them that night. That's another
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: reason they'll get up for this game, and this is
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: the only big conference game tonight, so I do think
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: they'll be motivated for that reason. Otherwise you might look
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: at say you think this might be a sandwich spot
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: for them because they just lost to Georgia Tech. They're
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: on a short week, a though all the teams I'm
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: talking about are on short weeks right now. They all
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: played on Saturday, and they do have Miami up next.
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: Ye generally I would say, yeah, I mean that makes
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: it look like a sandwich spot, But I think the
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: spot is worse for North Carolina, which I'm gonna talk
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: about in a minute. And Syracuse. They got blown out
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: by Georgia Tech. Man, it wasn't even close, So like,
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's really gonna be like a hangover
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: effect or anything like that from that game. Like, they
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: just got blown out by a team they weren't expected
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: to be close to beatings. So there's nothing to really
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: see about that other than the fact that Syracuse actually
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: played better in the game than the score looked. So
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: that's another part of this handicap Syracuse. Yeah, they got
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: out gained by over one hundred yards. But I think
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: if you look at this game, it actually wasn't. It
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: wasn't as bad as the final score looked, is what
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: I should say. And we know that Syracuse actually played
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: fairly well against Pitt the week before that, and that
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: was a very misleading final. I'm still bitter about it
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: as well, because that was one of my plays Syracuse
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: plus the ten or whatever in that game. But yeah, Syracuse,
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: the yardage was like basically even in that game, they
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: probably should have covered. Pitt did not put up a
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: lot offense. And that's another thing I'm looking at here.
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. I mean, they're one thing, they're not the
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: seventh best team in the country, but they're way better
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: than North Carolina. And they're way better than Pitt too.
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: So this is a step down in class for Syracuse
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: now to face this North Carolina team. This is North
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: Carolina's offense has been really, really bad. Their defense is
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: starting to play better, but their offense has been terrible
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: under Bill Belichick or Bill Belichick's girlfriend. And yes, people
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: are gonna point out North Carolina has improved. They played
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: well against Cal but they they had a setup that
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: wasn't that bad. Even though I did lean against them
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: in that game. Didn't give it out as a play
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: of course, but they were coming off getting blown out
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: by Clemson and then going into a bye, so they
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: did go into a buye and a good note that
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: was a bye with you know, a coach like Belichick
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: that could help them fix some things. So they went
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: out to cal They had to go out to the
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: Pacific Coast on the seventeenth, and they almost won as
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: an eight point underdog. They had a chance to win
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: that game at the end and they fell short. So
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: that's kind of brutal. Then they had to fly back
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: to the East Eastern time zone. What did they do
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: last week on Saturday? As double digit underdogs at home?
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: They took Virginia, number sixteen in the country to the
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: absolute limit and lost them in overtime by one point.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: That's a brutal, brutal loss, dude, for this North Carolina team,
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: I think they know they're not going to win four
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: out of their last five and become bowel, which way,
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: maybe you could argue they still have hope for that
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: because the remaining schedule is not as difficult as Syracuses is.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: But still I think North Carolina that was a big
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: game for them. That was one of the few games
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: remaining they were gonna get up for against Virginia. I
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: know those games on ESPN, but the home team usually
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: has more reason to get up for it. This is
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: a weird spot in North Carolina having to go up
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: to the Carrier Dome. It's always kind of a weird
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: spot for road opponents to go up there. And I
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: know Syracuse hasn't been very good at home this year,
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: but still North Carolina is still not that good, and
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for them coming off that
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: close call, you know, overtime, too close call in a row,
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: seems a bit brutal to me. They don't have a
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: huge game up next against Syrah. Excuse just use it
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: against Stanford, But I think that's still a bigger game
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: than Syracuse right now because Syracuse, even though they have
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: the same record as Stanford, I just think teams aren't
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: taking Syracuse very seriously. So I think the spot sets
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: up a lot better. Syracuse is coming off an embarrassing
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: blowout loss, even though it was to a good team,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: and you excuse the UNC. I almost keep saying Yukon
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: un C is coming off back to back close calls
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: where they had to travel cross country between them a
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: lot of travel here because now they are having to
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: go up to New York as well. So Syracuse is
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: gonna be my play in that one. Man. I know
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: they haven't looked good recently. They haven't looked very good
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: at home, haven't looked that good against good opponents. North
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: Carolina is not a good opponent though, and they don't
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: have an offense. It's really capable of blowing anybody out either,
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: So I think it's a it could be a close
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: ish game. It is a low total in this one
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: as well. The money has come in towards the under significantly.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: Forty seven and a half is a key number, so
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: you kind of missed that the forty seven being key.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: It's all the way down to forty four and a half.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: Money is coming in on the under. It's coming in
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: in the under in the Memphis Rice game too, by
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: the way, which is pretty helpful. If you want to
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: take the points with Rice, you get two touchdowns in
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: a game or the totals down below fifty now, so
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: that looks pretty conducive to taking points in that Rice game.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: You know me, I like to take points in a
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: game where the total is low and then the game
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: that I have the least of an opinion on is
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston against Louisiana Attack. This is an ugly game,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: a Conference USA game. Louisiana Techs is seventeen point favorite.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: They're definitely the significantly better team. Fifty one percent of
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: the tickets on them, sixty four percent of the cash
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: coming in on Sam Houston. Though this is a low
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: to total all three games low totals to my forty
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: eight and a half is the total in this one,
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: so it might make more sense to take the points
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: with Sam Houston in this one. Sam Houston hasn't won
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: a game yet, so that's that is a motivating factor. Man.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: A team does not want to go winless on an
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: entire season, so you know you're gonna continue to get
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: effort out of a team like that. And Sam Houston
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: did have a bye, so they haven't played since Wednesday
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: the fifteenth. They obviously went into that buy in a
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: bad node, which was losing every game this season so far,
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: so you gotta think that they're gonna use that buy
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: to try to fix some things. Although I know they
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: had another buy. They got absolutely annihilated coming out of
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: that buy, but it was by Texas I mean, Texas
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: is just way better than Sam Houston. This is an
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: easier opponent at least Louisian attack. Even though they're one
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in Conference USA. I still think
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston is in a decent spot to bounce back
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: coming out of that bye. Louisiana Tech has had some
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: extra time off too, they didn't have a buy but
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: they haven't played since last Tuesday, so they have kind
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: of this weird shifted schedule, and they did play Western
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: Kentucky to overtime in that one, which was kind of
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: a big game. Western Kentucky is still one of the
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: name teams in Conference USA and they're a little bit
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: down this year, but they're still having a decent season.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: So I think the spot does set up better for
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: sam Houston. They have extra rest here. LA Tech is
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: coming up of a pretty big game, and they do
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: have Delaware up next to Delaware has been playing pretty
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: well as well, and then Washington State, Liberty, Missouri State.
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: If they're gonna overlook any of these opponents, it's gonna
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: be Sam Houston because this team hasn't won yet. So
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: I would actually lean to taking the points with Sam
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: Houston in this one a lot of tech. I mean,
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: they don't have a very prolific offense and you're asking
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: them to cover a huge number in this one. I
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: know it's against a bad Sam Houston team that also
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: hasn't really done much offensively, which I don't know why
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: they changed their offense. They still have the same quarterback
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: from last year, Hunter Watson, and last year they're running
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: like kind of an option thing. They're running the football
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: a lot. This year they're like trying to throw the
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: ball more with a new coach there, I think, and
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: it just makes zero sense, Like they actually made a
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: bowl last year. They won ten games last year. I'm
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: pretty sure they think they won a bowl game. So
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: it's like, what the fuck are they doing this year?
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, But yeah, all that being said, yeah,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: I agree with the market and that when I lean
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: to Sam Houston. So of course, the one game I'm
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: giving out in college football is the game where the
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: market is disagree with me. But I think that's the
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: best spot. So that's what I'm doing. And let's talk
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: about poly market real quick here, because I was asked
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: by Mad Dog shout out to mad Dog a Halloween
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: party in person. Yeah, it's gonna be like a it's
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit of a thing. Some family
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: at this one. Nothing huge, but yeah, I'm gonna post
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: pictures of my I'm gonna be a It's yeah, I'm
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: gonna be at my parents' house for this, So I'm
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: gonna I'll post the pictures of my costume, which I
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: should be in the office today, right. You know, if
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: I slid that job, they're gonna make you know, they're
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: gonna be They're gonna be thinking about me on Halloween. Man,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: because I won the costume contest three times in the
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: last several years that I was there, and that includes
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: skipping twenty twenty one because of COVID shit, I would
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: have won in twenty twenty two. I posted my costume
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: that year. I was Joe Exotic Tiger King. Joe Exotic
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: himself loves my costume. He's seeing it. He follows me
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: on Twitter. He's called me his twin. Yeah, free Joe Exotic.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: By the way, he did not He did not do
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: what he's been accused of. He may have done some
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: other things, but he's in prison because he supposedly orchestrated
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: a hit and attempted hit on Carol Baskin and that
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: didn't happen, and Carol Baskin, by the way, got away
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: with murdering her husband. So yeah, Joe Exotic, free him, Nate,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out again. So Polly
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: market here. People wanted me to talk about this. I mean,
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: it is just kind of hilarious. So Mad Dog shout
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: out to Mad Dog. He's got his what's his show
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: called the Golden Shower Power Hour, which he claims is
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: not a reference to the old Tower Power Hour, which
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: was the former name of Tower Gang. I don't believe him.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: I think I think he's I think he's making an
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: homage to to the old Tower Gang name he claims
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: he's not. I don't believe him. I've been on his show,
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: by the way. He does it on Spaces. I did
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: it with Perry A Bossi, who is a hilarious guy.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: We had an interesting dynamic on that one. Perry isn't
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: as like like I'm more of like skit so funny,
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: I guess or I just have a random thought and
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: I just say it, and it's usually I'm just over
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: the line, just ridiculous. Perry was talking way more than
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: I was, and he was like it kind of helped him,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: Like he said some funny shit, but then he would
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: like cause me to think about something that was like
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: over the top, and I just throw that out there.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: So he was kind of setting me up. It was
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: a good dynamic. You can go back and find that
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: on their spaces anyway, what what word will Trump say
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: in November? You can bet on this on poly market.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: Not that I want to promote, you know, a oh
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: my god, an alternate market, a market site and not
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: a betting site, Oh my god, but this is just hilarious.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: You can get Trump whether or not he'll say all
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: these different words. And by the way, the market here
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: that has the most volume by far based on you know,
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: the just the amount of money that's been bet on
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: it is will Trump say the N word in November? Now,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: the problem I have with this is that they're not
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: stipulations on this, because if Trump says literally N word, like,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: does that count and does that mean you win the bet?
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: If you said that He would say that, because he
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: said that before. We have that clip of him going like,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: oh yes, Benjamin Nett and yeah, I forget what the
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: context was. He talks about the N word all the time.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: We know what that N word is nuclear. Uh So,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: like if he says that, will that count I don't know,
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: or does he actually have to say the N word?
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: But this, this is just such a hilarious thing. You
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: can actually put money on this. And it was up
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: to twenty eight percent this morning saying yes, and now
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: it's twenty six percent. So this is this is These
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: are not the odds like that it'll happen, although these
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: like are kind of predictive. This is what the market
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: thinks is going to happen, and yes, it is the
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: whole market, so it is sort of like it does.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: It is sort of a way that you can predict it.
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: But like, is it really a twenty six percent chance
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: that he's gonna say that in the month of November?
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: If him saying literally N word counts that, I would say, yes,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: probably it's much more likely, and maybe that's what's gonna happen.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I just think it's hilarious. You
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: can bet on that. And then the other one, the
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: other one that's getting a lot of action is steroid.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: So well, will Trump saying the ND word? I would
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: say He's not gonna say the N word, but he
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: I would still say, he's probably not even gonna say
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: quote nword. I don't think he's gonna say either. I would.
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: I would actually still bet no on that. Like the
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: you know that the public is, like, is saying yes
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: to too much of an extent on that one, it's
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: that's the public yes on Ndward is the public side,
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: and this one I'm pretty sure, like you know, that's
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: got to be the case. So yeah, I mean that one.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Steroid is getting the second most amount
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: of money thirteen thousand dollars waging on steroid, twenty eight
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: thousand on N word. By the way, steroid sixty seven
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: percent saying yes that he will say the words steroid.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: I don't exactly know what context it would be in,
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: but it seems like the money is saying yes on
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: this one. I don't really have a thought on that one.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know, like, what what is the context that
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: he would say steroid here, Well, if he's talking about
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: someone named N word, yeah instead of Edward Nward, or
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: what if he says Inward and people think that he
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: says it. I don't know. Yeah, I mean, Pope seems
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: like it's not getting enough. By the way, only five
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: dollars of volume? Does that mean there's only been total?
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: Is that the total amount of volume? I guess maybe
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: it is only five dollars. I've been wagered on Pope
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: and only forty three percent of saying yes. I think
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: it's pretty likely he's gonna say Pope. I don't know,
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: like it is he gonna visit him at some point.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know, like it's it's you gotta kind of
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: figure out, like what what's Trump's schedule for November? Like
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: it seems like there could be definitely a situation where
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: it comes up and he talks about the Pope. Uh,
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: and the Pope is American now, so Trump might be
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: more like going to say something about the Pope. The Pope.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: We like him, he's a good man. He's swimed Chicago.
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: We like the new pope. Pope. What's his name? Pope? Leo?
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: Is that his name? I don't even Leo the twelve.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: I I don't even know whatever his name is. I
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: have no idea. I don't even remember what his actual
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: name is. He's some Italian dude. I'm not necessarily huge
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: fan of him, though, I mean I'm never really a
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: fan of the pope. He's probably an improvement off of
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: the last pope, but still handicapped that on the fly.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: Thank you Jeffrey for reminding me. He'll talk about, Oh,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: the Enhanced Games coming up in May. What do you
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: mean the Enhanced Games? Oh? Yeah, yeah, the the Olympics. Right,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: there's there's gonna be some Olympic in twenty twenty six. Right, wait,
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: is it a summer Olympic year? I lose track. It's
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: not because we had the Olympics were last year because
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: it was the stupid Paris thing and it was just
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: a disaster. So we're gonna have a winter Olympics though, Right,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: it's a weird I don't know what we're talking about.
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: I think there're gonna be Winter Olympics at some point
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: this year, though in twenty twenty six. Whatever that is.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: It might be winter twenty twenty six. I guess it's
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: at the end of twenty twenty six. Oh, Peter Teal,
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: he knows about the Anti Christ. Uh. Yeah, By the way,
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: that was actually the best Self Park episode of the season.
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: Has been a bad season. They can't make Trump funny, dude.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: They're they basically have TDS, which means that they can't
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: make Trump funny. Like literally, this entire season has been
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: a Trump penis joke. Trump Trump's penis is tiny, guys,
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: his penis is tiny, and he's fucking the devil. Oh
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: my god. That's been the entire season. But this past
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: episode it was almost kind of like a Halloween themed
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: episode that involved Cartman being possessed by a demonic entity
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: because of everybody saying six seven and Peter Teal was
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: like the Exorcist because he because he knows about the
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: anti Christ, but he was like this like like evil
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: Exorcist figure where they made him look like this, like
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: old and totally evil. You know that South Park's writers
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: they do not like Peter tele and for good reason,
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: not to be trusted. H That episode I actually thought
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: was pretty good. It was a funny episode. The reason
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: why the Dodgers sucked all years because it is because
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: they were not paying attention, like they just they just slept.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: They sleep walk through a huge chunk of the season
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: because they didn't care. So I don't agree with that.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: And multiple of their best starters were injured all year
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: Snell Glass Noo, So I still do not agree with
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: you on that at all. The oddsmakers are telling you
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: you're wrong about that because the oddsmakers have lied them
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: as a favorite heavily in like every game in the series.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: So yeah, no, I don't agree with that. The Dodgers,
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: they knew they were gonna make the playoffs, so they
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: just didn't give a shit. And again, they a bunch
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: of their starters are out. O Tani wasn't a starting
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: pitcher either until late in the season, so their entire
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: starting pitching rotation basically in the playoffs is different than
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: it was in like July and August, so it's it's
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: completely different. Nope, I completely disagree with that. I think
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: it was. I think it was probably the best strategy
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: ever because that's exactly what you want. You want elite
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: experienced pittures that I know it's not working out with
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: Snell right now, but that is what you want. You
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: want elite experienced pitchers and you want them to not
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: be totally burned out like these guys have pitched in
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: the playoffs before. No, I think their strategy has been
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: really really good actually, and it if it doesn't work out,
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be very very bad luck on their part.
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: In my opinion, you don't need the experience one hundred
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: and sixty two game season. Dude, you don't need. Do
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: you think fucking Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow, who were
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: both in their early thirties and have played like a
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: decade in baseball, do you think they need like whatever,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: two months more of experienced. No, they don't, as long
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: as they're not as long as they're not coming in cold.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: They they at least they played for like two months
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: this season anyway, so they're certainly not coming in cold.
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know what other Trump things that I even
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: want to talk about, unt Aer. The end word was
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: obviously the one that was the ridiculous, and then we
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: had fucking, fuck, fuck, fucking and fucked thirty percent saying
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: that he might say that. I mean, he's definitely said
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: shit before, so I don't know. I mean, I could
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: see that happening. If you you think he'll let it,
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: He'll let an F bomb slip this entire month on camera.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: He might. Uh So maybe there's a thirty percent saying
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: yes on that one basically, so maybe maybe there's a
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: chance that he will say that. I think Crooked Joe
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: is being overvalued here thirty seven percent. I don't think
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: he'll say that, because why would he. Joe Biden might
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: not even still be alive. Biden's irrelevant at this point.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: So he's moved on. You know that he's moved on.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: He's he's starting to like call other people sleepy and
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: then crooked, like he's starting to make fun of like
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: his like the current Democrat opponents. I don't think he's
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: gonna really talk about Joe Biden much at all. So
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's gonna say that Thanksgiving ninety eight
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: percent or saying he will say that. I mean, obviously,
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, you're not gonna get a lot of value
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: in saying that. Yes, he will say that, but of
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: course he's gonna say Thanksgiving at some point and then
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: uh yeah, I don't know, I don't know what else.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: What's what's the lowest percentage out of all of these mustache?
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: I think it's the lowest, twenty twenty three percent. The
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: N word is actually the second lowest mustache. Why why
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: would he say mustache at all? I mean, it seems
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: so random, and why is that? Why is that at
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: the why is that at the absolute top of the thing.
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: I don't get it. Man mustache. Yeah, I don't get it. No,
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: I disagree with that as well. Otani uh Otani pitched
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: multiple years with the Angels. Dude like he's he's he's
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: got enough experience. I don't agree with you on this.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: I think I think the Dodgers. I was wrong about
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: that Dodgers game, that last one. I don't think I
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: was really wrong about the previous one. The oddsmakers are
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: telling you exactly what you need to know about this series.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: If the Blue Jays pulled this off, it's gonna be
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: one of the biggest upsets in World Series history. Based
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: on the line it's it's completely ridiculous. So I don't
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: agree with you. I think the way that they the
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: Dodgers have set up their starting pitching rotation, and you
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: can tell that the way they set up their pitching
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: rotation has been good because these guys have been great
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: throughout the playoffs until this series. So you think it
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: hasn't worked out for them? No, And they faced the
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: most difficult offenses out of any team throughout the playoffs.
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: They had to face the Phillies, the Brewers, and the
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: Blue Jays. That is a gauntlet of offenses and their
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: pitchers were really really good up until this series. So no,
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: it's it's not like it hasn't been good for them.
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: Snell has been awesome, Yeah, I mean Snell, and except
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: for this series, Snell has been awesome. Otani has been
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: really awesome as well. It's just they're having it's been
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: bad in this series. Vlad is one guy. He only
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: gets like four at bats in a game, so one
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: guy doesn't like make that much of a difference, as
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: you can see, because the Blue Jays are winning without
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: George Springer so and they were winning throughout some of
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: the earlier series without without Boba Schett as well. Anyway,
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: let's talk about the World Series as while I'm angry
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: as fuck. Uh, somebody just wanted me to hit that
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: polling market shit, So I did. Am I gonna play
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers in this game? I don't know the money's
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Dodgers yet again, they're up from
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty five to minus one thirty nine on
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: the money line. Of course, Toronto leads three to two.
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: This game is back in Toronto. Uh, sixty four percent
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, seventy nine percent of the cash coming
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: in on the Dodgers. Yeah, but that's a small small
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: sample size. Don't care sixty four percent of the tickets
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of the cash coming in on the Dodgers. Uh,
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: the total is down to seven and a half. And
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: this one with seventy nine percent of tickets and eighty
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on the over, I don't
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: think I agree with an over in this one. The
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: total is a little bit lower for a reason. And
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: I know these teams both can hit. The bullpens are
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: a bit questionable, but you got two pretty solid pitchers
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: here still, and and the bullpens are rested. I mean,
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: these teams didn't play yesterday and the travel actually might
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: affect the offense a little bit. So uh yeah, I
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: can't believe I forgot there was a World Series game tonight.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't even want to remember it because
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: I hate being fucking wrong, which is why I'm angry,
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: even though I don't like the Dodgers, not that I
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: necessarily want Canada to win either, So the bullpens are
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: at least rested. Yamamoto is pitching for the Dodgers here.
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: Really good season obviously, two point four nine ERA point
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: nine to nine whip. He actually was better on the
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: road two point one three eras even though yes, Toronto
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: is much better at home, the Dodgers were not as
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: good on the road. Yamamoto was really good on the road.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: Yamamoto has been really, really excellent in the playoffs. So
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: the one point five to seven ERA twenty six to
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: four strike at walk ratio coming off back to back
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: complete games in which he allowed one run in each
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: of them and had a fifteen to one strike a
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, maybe I'll have a little bit of a regression.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: But do you want to go against this? Does this
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: look does this look like he's bad? Does it look
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: like the pressures get into him? No, he had their
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: best start this series. Yes, it does mean the Blue
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: Jays are a little bit more familiar with him. I
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: guess they have thirty three at bats against him and
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: they only have five hits against him, ten strikeouts, one walk.
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: That's a ridiculous strikeout rate. Basically a third of Toronto's
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: hitters are striking out against him. One of those five hits,
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: the only extra base hit is a double from George Springer,
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: who might not even play. I guess it says there's
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: a strong chance he is actually gonna play in this game,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: which means it's kind of a reversed injured player spot.
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: But I just don't think it matters that much in
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: this case because it's just one guy in a baseball lineup. Whatever. Yamamoto,
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's got the good matchup numbers. He's in
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: very good form right now. He was very good on
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: the road this season. He's going up against Gossman. Kevin Gosman.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: Good season for him as well, three point five ninety RA,
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: one point zero six fifth. He hasn't been as good
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: at home though, three point eight six e R at home.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: He's been decent in the playoffs, with a two point
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: five to five playoff e RA. But here's the problem.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: Nine walks eighteen to nine strike out walk ratio. That
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: doesn't exactly inspire confidence in me. He's walking too many guys. Yes,
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: he didn't walk anybody in the last game against LA
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: although they lost that game. I think that was the
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: same pitching matchup. I think that was at home too,
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: So this is a repeat of Gossman against Yamamodo. And
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure I gave up the Dodgers as a
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: play in that game and got the five to one win. Gossman,
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: he wasn't bad in the game. Six and two thirds innings,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: give up three on runs, six strikeouts, no walks, four hits.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: He did well. He got a little bit unlucky because
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: he gave two home runs. But against the Dodgers, I mean,
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: his numbers, they're not great and they're not horrible, one
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: hundred and eighty at bats. They have a lot of
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: experience against him. Fifty one to six teams strike a
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. Yeah, that's a pretty good ratio. Two twenty
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: eight average is low. Seven to forty one ops is
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: getting a little bit on the higher side. He's giving
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: up ten home runs. The Max Muncy absolutely destroys him
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: with four home runs, bets three home runs off him.
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: So a couple of these guys do a lot of
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: damage against him. The Dodgers needed this game more because
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: they're down three to two. Blue Jays basically have two
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: shots at it, so Dodgers have more need. There's a
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: reason why they're favored, by the way in this matchup.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: When I gave up the Dodgers, what was the price
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: when I gave them out in this game? In Game two,
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: I think it was probably close to like minus one
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: fifty right. So now because of the recent see you're
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: actually getting more value on the Dodgers this time. Either're
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: down to minus one thirty nine on this. You know what,
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do it again. I'm six two and one
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: in baseball playoffs here. My only loss was that last
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: game against the Dodgers. I don't care. This is Jeffrey's fault,
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: by the way he's making me do this. Do we
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: worry about the bullpens a little bit here? I don't
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: know because I can't really tell you which bullpen is
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: the better one. I mean, Toronto's bullpen has been the
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: slightly worst one throughout the playoffs. During the regular season
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: they were pretty even. They're both somewhat bad bullpens. Yeah,
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: I don't care, Dodgers. We're gonna go with it. We're
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: gonna go with the Dodgers the best money you can
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: get to minus one forty. Sorry, Jeffrey, I don't agree
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: with you. I'm gonna go right back to the well
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: same handicap basically that I had in Game two. We're
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: gonna go with the Dodgers to bounce back in this one.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: It's a return home spot for Toronto. Man. Obviously that
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: does not matter when it's a World Series, but this
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: is this is kind of a zigzag spot. Though, with
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: the way playoff dynamics work, a team loses two games
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: in a row, you could argue that the Dodgers probably
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: shouldn't have lost the game two games ago because it
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: basically all came on a Vlagerreo home run. Yeah. I
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: like the Dodgers in this one. Yamamoto's been there, bet
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: best pitcher. It's on the line. Uh yeah, it seems
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: like the pressure is not getting to him. We're going
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: with the Dodgers here, sob, what's up man? You took Rice?
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: I agree with Rice, but I gave out Syracuse as
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: a play pacers. I do not agree with the pacers.
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: I disagree with that. Yamamotos Ya Mamoto is not the
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: one crying. That was Roki Sasaki. Dude, what are you racist?
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: Get your Japanese pitchers right? That was Sasaki, dude, yam
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: yamamotos pitched multiple seasons in the majors. Now Sasaki was
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: the one who was crying. Yeah, okay, fine, think think
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: what you want to. We're going. We're going with the
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: Dodgers in this one. And I also would not be
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: opposed to playing the Dodgers at plus two hundred whatever
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: to win the entire series either, SOB, I'll root for
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: you to win your thirty K I think I think
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: you should force or not for that force you think
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: Dodgers will force games down. I think you should hedge
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: a little bit of it on the Dodgers, I would say,
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: because I think the Dodgers are gonna win Game six,
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: so I think you should hedge a little bit of
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: a back maybe, although I guess you do get two
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: shots at it, so I guess you could only hedge
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: in game seven. But I think the matchup is a
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: little bit better for the Dodgers here. But by the way,
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: who's pitching. Let me just see who's pitching in game seven.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: I just want to know. We don't know yet. If
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: Max sure, if this goes to a game seven and
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be Max Scherzer for Toronto, do you really
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: trust Toronto to win that game with that ancient entity
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: on the mound who he wasn't even good when when
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: he looked good in his last game, he walked too
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: many guys. I would have no faith in Max sus
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: or being able to win a game seven here, I
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: just wouldn't. So, Yeah, there's still a chance the Dodgers
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: win this thing, even though I've been saying they don't
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: have a chance to do it. Yeah, there's a chance.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: That's that's all I'll say. That's gonna do it. Those
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: are the today. The plays one more time are the
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: Knicks minus five and NBA Memphis minus one and a half.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: But that's dependent on Luca returning for the Lakers. I
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: know that's counterintuitive. It's the reverse injured player theory. You
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: get better value in Memphis if that's the case. College football,
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: we're going Syracuse minus two and a half baseball Dodgers
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: minus one forty. That's gonna do it. Yeah, I'm trying
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: to get all the get through all the comments. I'm
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: a dick. I'm mad. I apologize. This show is longer
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: than I wanted it to be. I gotta eat some lunch.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: I gotta get ready for Halloween as well. That's gonna
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: do it. Hopefully we get some wins today. Peace guys.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: Oh no, wait, learn it Town on Twitter, learn it
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: Tone on Instagram. I might be changing the name of
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: the show to Jeffrey's suggestion Toadstools sports, we will see.
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: I have a chat GBT generated a logo that actually likes,
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: so I showed it to Jeffrey because he's the one
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: that came up with the names. So I'm go with that.
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: Learn it to one on Twitter, Learn it tone on Instagram.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: I hear police outside against There's obviously something good going
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: on out there, like subscribe to the channel here. I
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: appreciate it, man, thanks for hanging out, even though I
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: get really really angry at people covering in you because
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: my yuke channel to check that out too. We got
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: some new Halloween stuff up there. Learn the tone on
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: patroon patron dot com, slash and learn the tone and
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: you get a Spotify yuke feed and uh prioritize yuke
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: requests And what was the other thing I was gonna say,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: I'm missing one thing. Oh yeah. Better Off Dead is
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: on audio as well, so Spotify iTunes. I reduced the
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: number of ads, so I'm gonna get less money on it,
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: but I had I had the ads maxed out, so
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: for you guys that want the audio, there should be
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: somewhat fewer ads on those now, so go check that out.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: It is monetized, and give me a review Spotify app
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: what helps me out. Happy Halloween, everybody, and hopefully we don't,
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: you know, get hopeful way we don't get killed on
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: Halloween by these bets here we've been running, well, let's
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: keep it up. Hopefully I'm trying to do it man Peace,