Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 05/27/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, ball system's going clear the left.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 3: Tibernation YouTube station back Wednesday, Full day of baseball.
- 0:46Speaker 2: We love Wednesdays as a baseball junkie.
- 0:48Speaker 3: You got an early slate, you got a mean slate,
- 0:51Speaker 3: you got all everything going on, right, It's really nice
- 0:55Speaker 3: when the sites don't fuck up the slate like FanDuel
- 0:58Speaker 3: did today where they chomp it up in all ways
- 1:01Speaker 3: and leave some games off and just do all different
- 1:04Speaker 3: kinds of stuff. But hey, DraftKings, Mass Surprise Pools tonight
- 1:08Speaker 3: five p thirty five. Lord's times on start, so it
- 1:13Speaker 3: does start about forty minutes earlier than typical, which is
- 1:16Speaker 3: usually the case on these Wednesdays.
- 1:19Speaker 2: And you're definitely gonna.
- 1:20Speaker 3: Want to make sure you are around because there is,
- 1:24Speaker 3: like I said, four games starting before the normal lock time.
- 1:28Speaker 2: We'll do our best to break it all down.
- 1:30Speaker 3: Here, got my guy g Rising, like I do each
- 1:32Speaker 3: and every Tuesday and Wednesday, g Rising, I'll bring you
- 1:35Speaker 3: in man, Happy Wednesday. Last night we made some damn
- 1:39Speaker 3: good calls. We had a lot of winners in the
- 1:42Speaker 3: discord and overall smashed the slate. I thought it was
- 1:44Speaker 3: pretty pretty easy, right, Brewers didn't necessarily do a ton
- 1:49Speaker 3: but man, the Yankees Dodgers just absolutely went bonkers. And yeah,
- 1:54Speaker 3: like I said, so, a lot of a lot of winners,
- 1:56Speaker 3: a lot of winning screenshots, and probably the highest night
- 2:00Speaker 3: I've ever seen in DFS baseball. I mean, three hundred
- 2:03Speaker 3: plus was taken down fandual tournaments. I was seeing like
- 2:07Speaker 3: two sixty two seventy on DraftKings. It was fucking NBA
- 2:10Speaker 3: scores last night. Do you rising in the MLB streets?
- 2:13Speaker 3: And could be more of the same tonight we got
- 2:16Speaker 3: Dodgers and Yankees again in uh, pretty juicy matchups overall,
- 2:20Speaker 3: but bring you in man, Happy Wednesday.
- 2:23Speaker 2: What's going on? Brother? Yeah?
- 2:24Speaker 4: I mean, hey, yesterday was a lot of fun if
- 2:27Speaker 4: you liked a lot of scoring in baseball. I did
- 2:29Speaker 4: see that one of our members had a screen shot
- 2:31Speaker 4: in the discord and it was like three oh four
- 2:33Speaker 4: some shit. I was just like, holy shit, man, that's
- 2:37Speaker 4: that's like, you know, you don't get those too often,
- 2:40Speaker 4: but hey, good when you do. But I mean I
- 2:42Speaker 4: was in like the two thirties and came like, you know,
- 2:45Speaker 4: twentieth place and shit, and the uh I was in
- 2:48Speaker 4: the Grand Slam on the sixty six dollars one a
- 2:50Speaker 4: couple times. But you know, nay, yeah we did, we did.
- 2:54Speaker 4: We did do pretty good yesterday. But we'll be back
- 2:56Speaker 4: on it today. I mean we kind of got a
- 2:58Speaker 4: similar thing that again today, he said, we got asked.
- 3:01Speaker 4: I mean, we got Dodgers Yankees again in good spots.
- 3:04Speaker 4: We got a couple pitchers that are decent. We got
- 3:07Speaker 4: a couple maybe we could take some shots on like
- 3:09Speaker 4: we did yesterday with with jump. But uh yeah, I mean, hey,
- 3:15Speaker 4: it's baseball. It's a lot of fun. I mean, you know,
- 3:18Speaker 4: it's the good thing is it's like every other day.
- 3:20Speaker 4: It's like every day. It's like repetitious. So that's what
- 3:23Speaker 4: I like. Today we woke up, had a little early slate.
- 3:26Speaker 4: Fucking blue Jays couldn't hit. I knew damn better. Two nads.
- 3:29Speaker 4: I'm like, why am I playing the Blue Jays today?
- 3:31Speaker 4: But you know, on them small slates sometimes it tricks
- 3:34Speaker 4: you us, like what am I doing? But hasn't been
- 3:36Speaker 4: any scoring in today's slate daytime? So hey, maybe we'll
- 3:40Speaker 4: get some runs today. In these nine games, we have
- 3:42Speaker 4: a reminder, six six thirty five starts a little earlier
- 3:46Speaker 4: the normal, so don't miss out on those early games.
- 3:50Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean I still understand, like what's up
- 3:52Speaker 4: with the Tony? We all know he's like a generational
- 3:56Speaker 4: Like this is like a talent that we're probably not
- 3:58Speaker 4: gonna see like the ever again in our life. A
- 4:01Speaker 4: guy who's literally freaking cy young material and literally MVP
- 4:06Speaker 4: type material with the bat, Like, so how can they
- 4:09Speaker 4: keep fucking him up on these slates? Like why is
- 4:12Speaker 4: FanDuel does not have fucking Otani on the slate today?
- 4:16Speaker 4: The Colorado Dodger game. It's like, dude, the Dodger's been
- 4:18Speaker 4: winning the World Series for a couple of why are
- 4:20Speaker 4: you leaving that game off? Like who's the donkey that
- 4:23Speaker 4: didn't see that that game was on? Like what's the difference?
- 4:26Speaker 4: Like I don't understand it, Like it's just it's just stupid.
- 4:29Speaker 4: So but either way, I could rant on and on.
- 4:32Speaker 4: I always fucking rant about them donkeys over there. But yeah,
- 4:36Speaker 4: and it's hey, we got a pretty decent little slate,
- 4:39Speaker 4: even though you know the the Otani isn't on FanDuel.
- 4:42Speaker 4: But it's like, hey, you know, we got to make
- 4:44Speaker 4: a little decisions here, like do we want to run
- 4:46Speaker 4: with some de gram who has been a little vulnerable
- 4:49Speaker 4: with some home runs in his last few starts. I
- 4:51Speaker 4: think he's given up like six or something in his
- 4:53Speaker 4: last recent start, so he could be on the chalkier side.
- 4:57Speaker 4: So it's like, m you know, we got a guy
- 4:59Speaker 4: gives up some liballs a recent time, so have some
- 5:01Speaker 4: strikeout potential. He's gonna be a little chalker. You got
- 5:04Speaker 4: Soriano against the Tigers, who can't hit out of a
- 5:07Speaker 4: fucking paper bag. They're absolutely terrible, naids. They're like top
- 5:11Speaker 4: three in strikeouts in the last two weeks in baseball too.
- 5:14Speaker 4: So if Soriano, I know he's priced up a little
- 5:16Speaker 4: too high, but to me, he feels like the safest
- 5:19Speaker 4: even though Atani is by far the best play on DK.
- 5:22Speaker 4: But my brain works on like the FanDuel side. But nads,
- 5:26Speaker 4: we got some pretty decent We got a decent slate.
- 5:28Speaker 4: I think we still don't really have any weather, so
- 5:30Speaker 4: it's like two days in a row. We don't have
- 5:32Speaker 4: to worry about it. It's been kind of shitty so
- 5:34Speaker 4: far so far this year, but yeah, looking forward to it.
- 5:38Speaker 4: Nice day here in Michigan. I know it's probably I
- 5:40Speaker 4: don't know, hopefully it's nice for you guys out there,
- 5:42Speaker 4: it's like freaking eighty seven out here, sunshine. We on't
- 5:46Speaker 4: to get like it doesn't in these days a year
- 5:47Speaker 4: we just used one up. But h yeah, I mean, hey,
- 5:51Speaker 4: can't get any better?
- 5:53Speaker 3: Yeah no, uh yeah, it should be, uh should be
- 5:55Speaker 3: a pretty fun slate and uh yeah. The only thing
- 5:58Speaker 3: I can think of is FA ANDL said, screw everybody.
- 6:02Speaker 3: I don't want to leave a game that starts over
- 6:04Speaker 3: two hours after the rest of the slate. But DraftKings said, hey,
- 6:07Speaker 3: here you go, let's u let's let's do that instead
- 6:10Speaker 3: of making uh like a bigger showdown contest or something.
- 6:13Speaker 3: And definitely a focal point on DraftKings for sure. Dodgers,
- 6:17Speaker 3: bats and O'tani seemed like the best plays in the
- 6:20Speaker 3: slate overall, So we'll do our best to uh break
- 6:23Speaker 3: it down here. And I thought we were gonna get
- 6:26Speaker 3: a four K pitcher. I thought we were gonna get
- 6:31Speaker 3: a four K pitcher here from the White Sox. Now
- 6:33Speaker 3: I'm seeing Davis Martin hitting projections there, So I'm not sure.
- 6:36Speaker 3: Did did something come out overall there?
- 6:41Speaker 2: Or is something U something messing up here? Did you
- 6:44Speaker 2: see seeing anything?
- 6:46Speaker 4: But let me look at the sports books usually pretty
- 6:48Speaker 4: good about changing it pretty quick.
- 6:50Speaker 3: Yeah, so we'll we'll we'll kind of talk through that.
- 6:52Speaker 3: But in terms of pitching eight K and above, we
- 6:55Speaker 3: got Kennelly, it.
- 6:57Speaker 4: Says Sandlin on on the fanduels.
- 7:00Speaker 3: But yeah, yeah, that's who I thought it was. Is
- 7:03Speaker 3: is Sanlan the four K pitcher? Uh for the White
- 7:06Speaker 3: Sox there against the Twins. So not sure what's going
- 7:10Speaker 3: on here. We'll get this squared away. I'm just gonna
- 7:12Speaker 3: uncheck Davis Martin for now, but yeah, DraftKings headlining with
- 7:17Speaker 3: Shohei Otani up at the top ten to seven. Definitely
- 7:20Speaker 3: a cy young It's between him and Minzerowski right now
- 7:23Speaker 3: as it stands. Schemes maybe a little bit too, but yeah,
- 7:27Speaker 3: definitely h definitely miz and Otani up there ten to seven.
- 7:33Speaker 3: You can easily fit him on a nine game slid here.
- 7:35Speaker 3: There's cheap bats across the board to play. He looks
- 7:38Speaker 3: like the Clearcut sp one for me. You're gonna get
- 7:41Speaker 3: him a little bit as an ownership discount off of
- 7:43Speaker 3: Jacob de Gram because of that thousand dollars price difference there.
- 7:46Speaker 2: Jose Soriano sandwich between those two guys.
- 7:49Speaker 3: So I like him a ton of tournaments because everyone's
- 7:52Speaker 3: gonna be playing Otani and de Gram, So I like
- 7:54Speaker 3: Soriano in the middle.
- 7:56Speaker 2: Of those two guys quite a bit.
- 7:58Speaker 3: And then you got kind of just a bunch bunch
- 8:00Speaker 3: of guys up in this AK range that you could play.
- 8:03Speaker 3: But do you really, I mean you could also just
- 8:07Speaker 3: kind of skip them all completely outside of maybe Casey
- 8:10Speaker 3: Maiz and just go down to some of the cheaper
- 8:12Speaker 3: guys if you want to mess around.
- 8:14Speaker 2: But break down this top tier range, I'll call it.
- 8:17Speaker 3: Otani, Soriano, de Grom definitely headline, and Casey Miz is
- 8:20Speaker 3: kind of the fourth guy that i'd look at up here.
- 8:23Speaker 2: But yeah, go ahead and break down the AK range.
- 8:26Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean we can start with the top guy, Otani.
- 8:29Speaker 4: I mean it's pretty easy.
- 8:30Speaker 2: Dude.
- 8:31Speaker 4: Dude's only giving up like four and runs so far
- 8:34Speaker 4: this year. I mean, he gets a shitty Rockies team.
- 8:37Speaker 4: I mean, we don't have to overthink that one. So
- 8:40Speaker 4: Otani for me, definitely on DK. Obviously he's not on
- 8:43Speaker 4: fan duel Soriano, as you know we were talking about
- 8:46Speaker 4: here at the start. I think he's interesting as a
- 8:49Speaker 4: pivot off Otani. Soriano's been pretty damn good. I mean,
- 8:53Speaker 4: he's never been really a strikeout type guy, but he's
- 8:57Speaker 4: had some strikeout success in recent time set and six
- 9:00Speaker 4: to seven in his last three starts. The Tigers have
- 9:03Speaker 4: been absolutely horrible. Man. They've been absolutely getting steamrolled on
- 9:06Speaker 4: every radio station, every freaking Twitter X channel you want
- 9:11Speaker 4: to see. I mean, they just have been getting Ashley pummeled.
- 9:14Speaker 4: Torklsen's striking out at a high rate. I mean to me,
- 9:19Speaker 4: you know, I think Soriano's in a pretty good spot
- 9:23Speaker 4: against the Tigers, who at the bottom of all I
- 9:25Speaker 4: mean they're getting They're pretty much as bad as the
- 9:27Speaker 4: Mets here in recent times. So Soriano, I think is
- 9:31Speaker 4: a guy that's gonna be forgotten, that's got a great
- 9:33Speaker 4: matchup that I think you definitely could look at. Now.
- 9:36Speaker 4: De Grom, I think is the interesting one. I think
- 9:39Speaker 4: you see him against Texas his strikeout percentages there last
- 9:43Speaker 4: start out, he gave up six ironed runs. The time
- 9:46Speaker 4: before that he gave up four. He's given up six
- 9:48Speaker 4: homers in his last two starts. I mean, the guys,
- 9:52Speaker 4: you know, got a little strikeout of Bill lead them,
- 9:55Speaker 4: But I mean he got beat up by the Angels
- 9:58Speaker 4: in Houston, so it's not like he got beat up
- 10:00Speaker 4: by the Dodgers and you know some of the better teams.
- 10:03Speaker 4: I mean, he he didn't get steamrolled by uh, you know,
- 10:08Speaker 4: any kind of power lineup sets for sure. So to
- 10:10Speaker 4: Grom for me, even though I mean he grades out well, uh,
- 10:14Speaker 4: he's got higher projections. I'm just gonna throw up a
- 10:16Speaker 4: flag on him, a caution flag, like I just, uh,
- 10:19Speaker 4: I'm a little bit concerned for de Grom against uh,
- 10:23Speaker 4: against Houston, especially for some recent recent times that he's had.
- 10:27Speaker 4: I think Elder's interesting. I mean he's just been basically
- 10:30Speaker 4: a you know, average type pitcher, get the job done,
- 10:34Speaker 4: real life pitcher, better so than a DFS type pitcher.
- 10:38Speaker 4: I would probably leave him in my pool if I
- 10:40Speaker 4: had a handful of guys, but I was making a
- 10:41Speaker 4: bunch of teams ages just because, uh, you know, I'm
- 10:45Speaker 4: not too worried about Boston all that much. Boston's just
- 10:47Speaker 4: another team that's been struggling, So I don't I don't
- 10:50Speaker 4: mind him leaving in I just wouldn't. In a short
- 10:53Speaker 4: type group of teams, I probably wouldn't have him. But
- 10:56Speaker 4: mys is the guy though, I think is really interesting.
- 10:59Speaker 4: I like bright He's at have some strikeout capability against
- 11:02Speaker 4: this Angel lineup, So I think you can end up
- 11:05Speaker 4: seeing a low type scoring game today. Mez rise up,
- 11:08Speaker 4: keep up with Soriano, keep a low scoring game. And
- 11:11Speaker 4: I think Mice definitely has the capability of putting up
- 11:15Speaker 4: a pretty decent number against an Angel team who has
- 11:20Speaker 4: a ton of k's. I mean, Mis has been at
- 11:22Speaker 4: twenty five percent k rate and you look over at
- 11:24Speaker 4: some of these Angel lineup, you know, Angel bats here,
- 11:28Speaker 4: and we got all kinds of k's to be had.
- 11:30Speaker 4: I mean Netto's twenty eight percent trout almost thirty percent,
- 11:34Speaker 4: so Layer thirty percent adele. I mean they only got
- 11:37Speaker 4: two bats three bats that are under like thirty percent
- 11:41Speaker 4: strikeout rate. So I think Mis is a guy that
- 11:44Speaker 4: I'm really interested in. He hasn't been walking anybody gives
- 11:48Speaker 4: up more pop and a little bit more fly ball
- 11:51Speaker 4: higher fly ball rate to the left side. But I
- 11:53Speaker 4: think Miz is in a pretty good spot, especially for
- 11:56Speaker 4: his price. I think at eighty five hundred, he's really interesting.
- 12:00Speaker 4: Kind of early. You know, I don't really I don't
- 12:05Speaker 4: really have a strong feeling on him. I mean if
- 12:08Speaker 4: you really like him, you could go that route. I
- 12:10Speaker 4: just don't really want to pick on Atlanta, so I
- 12:13Speaker 4: can't say that I'm overly interested in early Cole. I mean,
- 12:18Speaker 4: when he came back, he didn't just seem like he
- 12:20Speaker 4: had any strikeouts. His last time out did end up
- 12:22Speaker 4: going seventy two pitches. I think he's still going to
- 12:25Speaker 4: be on a little bit of a leash. So until
- 12:27Speaker 4: I see it a starter or two from Cole, which
- 12:29Speaker 4: we know how good he's been in the past, I
- 12:31Speaker 4: think that I just can't pull the trigger on him,
- 12:34Speaker 4: especially on such a big slate that we have today.
- 12:37Speaker 4: But man, for me up top Otani's easily won. I'd
- 12:41Speaker 4: say Soriano two. I'd even have Maes ahead of de Grom,
- 12:45Speaker 4: even though most optos won't agree with me. But I
- 12:50Speaker 4: like Myes a little bit more than I do de Grom.
- 12:52Speaker 4: But I just like caution on de Gram. I think
- 12:56Speaker 4: he's going to be higher on than than what I
- 12:59Speaker 4: would and I would prefer to see him if I was,
- 13:02Speaker 4: you know, projecting what ownership is. But yeah, I just
- 13:06Speaker 4: like caution there. Man, he just doesn't seem to be
- 13:08Speaker 4: right the last few starts.
- 13:10Speaker 3: Yeah, So I mean, obviously to Grom, right he's getting older,
- 13:14Speaker 3: he still seems to want to be the strikeout guy
- 13:17Speaker 3: instead of kind of paint in the corners and stuff
- 13:21Speaker 3: like that.
- 13:21Speaker 2: So with that, right, that's kind of why you're seeing
- 13:24Speaker 2: the home runs.
- 13:25Speaker 3: He's a flyball guy anyways, right, so you're seeing the
- 13:29Speaker 3: hard contact fly balls kind of catch up to him
- 13:31Speaker 3: a little bit. The issue here is the Astros just
- 13:34Speaker 3: don't have a lot of power outside of Jordon maybe
- 13:36Speaker 3: Christian Walker, Isaac Peedi's a little bit, but outside of that,
- 13:39Speaker 3: I mean, I do think it's a pretty clean matchup
- 13:43Speaker 3: for Jacob deGrom, but the ownership is going to be
- 13:45Speaker 3: off the charts because he's ninety seven hundred dollars. He's
- 13:48Speaker 3: gonna be the cash game sp one that people are
- 13:50Speaker 3: gonna want to play. The chalk pairing is likely going
- 13:53Speaker 3: to be de Gram and either Otani or Casey Maiz,
- 13:57Speaker 3: at least in terms of projections. Right when I run
- 13:59Speaker 3: the dryer and I'm getting eighty eight percent to Grom
- 14:02Speaker 3: and then I'm getting fifty one percent Otani thirty two
- 14:05Speaker 3: percent Casey Miz, Right, so it's gonna be two of
- 14:08Speaker 3: those three definitely head headlined by de Gram. So if
- 14:13Speaker 3: you can't spend the ten to seven to pair up
- 14:16Speaker 3: with the Grom for Otani.
- 14:18Speaker 2: It's gonna be Casey Miz.
- 14:20Speaker 3: In terms of what projections are spitting out, I have
- 14:22Speaker 3: it ranked as shoh Otani number one. I have it
- 14:26Speaker 3: actually the same way as you do. I have Otani
- 14:29Speaker 3: number one, Soriano number two. I have Casey Miz three,
- 14:32Speaker 3: Jacob deGrom four. I am a little worried. Do I
- 14:36Speaker 3: think there's a ceiling there for de Gram?
- 14:38Speaker 2: Absolutely?
- 14:39Speaker 3: Am I worried about six home runs in the last
- 14:42Speaker 3: two games. Yes, Jordan just had what two home runs
- 14:45Speaker 3: last night? There's definitely downside here to de Gram, and
- 14:49Speaker 3: as definitely Singuantry stuff. I mean, this dude's gonna be
- 14:51Speaker 3: sixty seventy percent on not saying he's a bad play,
- 14:54Speaker 3: but there's other guys up in this tier, like a
- 14:56Speaker 3: Soriano for three hundred dollars more and a much better
- 14:58Speaker 3: matchup for rikeouts. I mean, this Asters team just doesn't
- 15:01Speaker 3: strike out much anyways. They're basically league average against right
- 15:04Speaker 3: handed pitching all over the last month. I know it's
- 15:07Speaker 3: de Grom, but he's not the same thirty plus percent
- 15:10Speaker 3: strike arm that we've seen when he was younger and
- 15:14Speaker 3: not didn't have all the injuries things like that. He's
- 15:18Speaker 3: sitting right around twenty six percent ks, which is above
- 15:21Speaker 3: league average, But like I said, it's it's not like
- 15:23Speaker 3: the thirty thirty percent guy that that we've seen in
- 15:27Speaker 3: years past. Bryce Elders priced up too much for me.
- 15:29Speaker 3: He's kind of ceiling guy. He's a really good, real
- 15:31Speaker 3: life pitcher. Boston's not been great, but that's the best
- 15:33Speaker 3: hitting environment on the slate as well, So don't really
- 15:36Speaker 3: want to play a ceiling price point for Bryce Elder
- 15:39Speaker 3: So I'm out on him.
- 15:41Speaker 2: Kennelly Early I think has upside for sure.
- 15:46Speaker 3: I just think there's a lot of downside there as
- 15:48Speaker 3: well in that hitting environment against the Braves and at
- 15:51Speaker 3: eight K when I like guys that are cheaper overall,
- 15:54Speaker 3: I think I'd rather just take a shot on some
- 15:56Speaker 3: of the guys cheaper. If there was a guy up
- 15:57Speaker 3: here that I think I'd add in is Garrett Cole,
- 16:00Speaker 3: just because trusting the long term. I mean, he got
- 16:03Speaker 3: some decent, decent, decent leash in his first start back.
- 16:08Speaker 2: Now he's got the Royals, who.
- 16:11Speaker 3: Yeah, you're not too scared of this offense in general,
- 16:15Speaker 3: it's not a very strikeout happy offense, so it's probably
- 16:17Speaker 3: best to just take away and see approach. But if
- 16:19Speaker 3: you wanted to add another guy in who has upside
- 16:22Speaker 3: and definitely long term wise, he's a big strikeout arm,
- 16:27Speaker 3: eighty three hundred dollars is a pretty cheap price point
- 16:30Speaker 3: for a guy like Garrett Cole, he'd be kind of
- 16:33Speaker 3: the other guy. So for me up top, like I
- 16:34Speaker 3: said at Sotani Soriano, far and away, the two favorite
- 16:37Speaker 3: for me, Casey myies would be third, then it'd be
- 16:40Speaker 3: de Grom, then Garrett Cole. Kennelly early is kind of
- 16:42Speaker 3: how i'd rank it him out on on Bryce Elder
- 16:45Speaker 3: down below a K. I think there is some arms
- 16:47Speaker 3: you can go to kind of Prelip stands out to me.
- 16:50Speaker 3: White Sox a much worse team against left handed pitching
- 16:53Speaker 3: than they are against right handed pitching overall. Pre Lip
- 16:58Speaker 3: got roughed up in his last start, but I'd think
- 17:00Speaker 3: this guy is still a pretty solid arm in general.
- 17:04Speaker 3: Seventy five hundred, I think he's I think he's a
- 17:07Speaker 3: pretty decent play at four and a half k. Prop
- 17:08Speaker 3: heavy juice to be over there, so I like that
- 17:11Speaker 3: I am in on Sandlin down at four k flat.
- 17:15Speaker 2: That's kind of why I'm also kind of skipping.
- 17:17Speaker 3: This eight k range Gee Risen here outside of Casey
- 17:21Speaker 3: myies is because I think there's guys down here you
- 17:23Speaker 3: can play. I don't mind going to and Andrew Rabbit,
- 17:25Speaker 3: who I think has some upside still at sixty three
- 17:28Speaker 3: hundred against the Mets. The Mets offense has just been
- 17:30Speaker 3: absolutely atrocious. It's a good place to pitch out there
- 17:33Speaker 3: in city Field, so I don't mind him. We know
- 17:36Speaker 3: he's got the ninety plus pitch leash that he can go,
- 17:39Speaker 3: so I don't mind a guy like Andrew Rabbot at
- 17:41Speaker 3: sixty three hundred. Pubba Chandler is definitely gonna be quality
- 17:47Speaker 3: arm long term. He's got a lot of stuff. We
- 17:49Speaker 3: saw his upside in his last start. The issue for
- 17:52Speaker 3: him so far has just been his control. I know
- 17:56Speaker 3: the Cubs do have a heavy implied run total there,
- 17:58Speaker 3: but if he can still honing his control and just
- 18:02Speaker 3: I mean, this dude just throws hard and has no
- 18:03Speaker 3: idea where the pitch is going. If he can somehow
- 18:06Speaker 3: kind of build off his last start where maybe he
- 18:08Speaker 3: figured something out, I think he definitely has a ceiling
- 18:11Speaker 3: at six k flat. So for me down down below ak,
- 18:14Speaker 3: like I said, it's pre Lip, Abbott, the four K
- 18:18Speaker 3: guy in Sandlin, and then Bubba Chandler a kind of
- 18:20Speaker 3: the main four that I'm looking at. But none of
- 18:23Speaker 3: these guys really feel super safe overall. You are gonna
- 18:27Speaker 3: need the salary savings though, to get up to those
- 18:30Speaker 3: Yankees bats and the Dodgers' bats, which I definitely want
- 18:33Speaker 3: on the offensive side.
- 18:34Speaker 2: So what do you see down here below a K?
- 18:38Speaker 4: Yeah, it does get kind of ugly, but I think
- 18:40Speaker 4: there's some guys you could definitely play. I was just
- 18:44Speaker 4: looking at pre Lip here. I think he's He's a
- 18:47Speaker 4: guy that I do like. I think, you know, against
- 18:50Speaker 4: a White Sox team that's been pretty good, but I
- 18:52Speaker 4: think pre Lip, especially with the high K prop, is
- 18:55Speaker 4: a guy that I think is interesting. It's seventy five hundred.
- 18:59Speaker 4: Not interested in Cameron Burrows, I will say too for
- 19:03Speaker 4: the Yankee side. That Kansas City bullpen got beat up
- 19:06Speaker 4: yesterday too, so they use They used quite a bit
- 19:09Speaker 4: of quite a bit of ammunition out of that bullpen yesterday.
- 19:13Speaker 4: Not interested in Burrows, tie on, I can't do Abbott
- 19:17Speaker 4: I think is interesting, even though, dude, you just kind
- 19:19Speaker 4: of peel back his numbers. I mean, his k percentage
- 19:21Speaker 4: to Righty's has been absolutely shit. He's been like almost
- 19:25Speaker 4: twelve percent, which is bad. He's not really been getting
- 19:28Speaker 4: barreled up. His fly ball percentage is low. He's been
- 19:31Speaker 4: getting some ground balls. Woba's not really the greatest. He's
- 19:35Speaker 4: been walking a lot, alrighty, So if he can keep
- 19:37Speaker 4: the ball over the plate. You know, we're not too
- 19:40Speaker 4: worried about this Mets lineup at all. They've just been
- 19:42Speaker 4: absolutely trash. So I think Abbot's interesting just because they're
- 19:47Speaker 4: playing the Mets. I mean, how can you not Mets Tigers.
- 19:50Speaker 4: Both of them are just trash. You look at Soriano
- 19:52Speaker 4: and Abbot. You've got two pitchers going up against the
- 19:55Speaker 4: two stinking worst offenses in baseball the last few weeks.
- 19:59Speaker 4: I think his def finally an interesting way to be
- 20:02Speaker 4: a little bit different today. Bubba Chandler, I mean, finally,
- 20:06Speaker 4: the dude. You know we heard about Bubba. I remember
- 20:08Speaker 4: when he came up. We were talking about Bubba me
- 20:10Speaker 4: and this guy's got a rocket arm and blah blah blah.
- 20:13Speaker 4: Finally the dude had what is eleven k's last time out,
- 20:16Speaker 4: and in surprisingly he did against a Toronto team who
- 20:19Speaker 4: normally we don't even like to chase for ks. So
- 20:23Speaker 4: but I think I would rather play the Cubs in
- 20:26Speaker 4: this one. Yeah, I mean, that's that's one that I
- 20:29Speaker 4: think you could use them and then you could stack
- 20:31Speaker 4: against him if he really wanted to salmon. For me,
- 20:34Speaker 4: I think is definitely worth the play at four thousand.
- 20:37Speaker 4: Anybody who's got a heartbeat at four thousand, I think
- 20:40Speaker 4: is somebody you got to consider playing, especially when you
- 20:43Speaker 4: got some bats you might want to pay up for
- 20:45Speaker 4: aka Dodgers, Matt Yankees tonight, you know, stuff like that.
- 20:49Speaker 4: So I think he's definitely in play. I think he's
- 20:52Speaker 4: the guy we should look at tonight for sure. Over
- 20:56Speaker 4: on DK, I don't like him on fan Duel, though,
- 20:58Speaker 4: I'll mention that he's a little priced up with to
- 21:00Speaker 4: hire step being Sandling over on FanDuel than he is.
- 21:03Speaker 4: Then he is here on DK at mint price. So yeah,
- 21:06Speaker 4: I mean, anytime you got a four K guy, you
- 21:08Speaker 4: gotta think about it. Nate's I mean, you always should
- 21:11Speaker 4: think about it. But I think Abbott for me is
- 21:13Speaker 4: my whiskey whiskey play of the day, Like, you know,
- 21:17Speaker 4: like he could get blown up, and you'll be so
- 21:19Speaker 4: frustrating too, because it's the fucking Mets. You're gonna want
- 21:22Speaker 4: You'll just be pissed off, Like dude, it's the Mets, Like,
- 21:24Speaker 4: oh the hell can they hit you? You know you're
- 21:26Speaker 4: gonna be all pissed off. But he definitely could get
- 21:29Speaker 4: the job done for sure. But yeah, pre Lip I
- 21:32Speaker 4: think is interesting. Uh you know, you got abbot down there,
- 21:36Speaker 4: like I said, the Whiskey play. But I really like Sandlan.
- 21:39Speaker 4: I mean, how can you not for four K I
- 21:41Speaker 4: think he's definitely a guy. I mean, if I'm running
- 21:44Speaker 4: out like three or four teams or you know, I
- 21:46Speaker 4: probably have Sandlin on probably good almost all of them,
- 21:51Speaker 4: I'm guessing, just because if he gets me fifteen and
- 21:53Speaker 4: I can make it up with some heavy bats. I
- 21:55Speaker 4: mean we saw fifteen runs. We saw thirty runs yesterday
- 21:59Speaker 4: out of the Yankees and Dodgers, And funny thing is
- 22:01Speaker 4: needs I looked at it. The nine hitter got six
- 22:04Speaker 4: at bats on the Yankees, Grisham got seven, and Judge
- 22:08Speaker 4: and Otani had one RBI between the two of them
- 22:11Speaker 4: in thirty runs scored like it was like kind of funny, like,
- 22:15Speaker 4: you know, looking at the box score, you're like, oh,
- 22:17Speaker 4: what the hell. But yeah, I was kind of excited
- 22:20Speaker 4: when my man Kiki Do you Love Me? Hit a
- 22:22Speaker 4: homer last night. That was a good time. I got
- 22:25Speaker 4: buzzed up all in the discord whenever Kiki does well.
- 22:28Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean today, pitching, you know, is kind
- 22:31Speaker 4: of thin for me, Like I think for real, I mean,
- 22:34Speaker 4: I think I'd only have a handful of guy aids
- 22:36Speaker 4: when it all boils down to it Otani Soriano. I
- 22:40Speaker 4: think I would have Mize pre lip abbot Is on
- 22:45Speaker 4: the fence and Sandling. I think that's about as far
- 22:47Speaker 4: as I'd go. You know, Tani Malin for me is
- 22:50Speaker 4: like the pairing I think I'd use.
- 22:52Speaker 3: Yeah, there is a risk right with the pitch count
- 22:55Speaker 3: on Sandling, But I mean, the dude is four thousand
- 22:57Speaker 3: dollars against the Twins. I get it right. The Twins
- 23:01Speaker 3: isn't a great strikeout matchup. But he's got a three
- 23:03Speaker 3: and a half k prop. This guy has strikeout stuff.
- 23:05Speaker 3: He's got wonky control issues, which is typically what we
- 23:08Speaker 3: see right with these minor leaguers with strike on ability.
- 23:11Speaker 3: He's not a great prospect by any means. But I'm again,
- 23:14Speaker 3: he's four thousand dollars on a slate with the Yankees
- 23:17Speaker 3: and Dodgers who are in amazing matchups again and just
- 23:21Speaker 3: score thirty runs last night, right, So not to say
- 23:23Speaker 3: that both of them are going to score fifteen runs
- 23:25Speaker 3: again or whatever it was fourteen in seventeen or whatever
- 23:29Speaker 3: the hell it was, and I know it was a lot. Right,
- 23:32Speaker 3: He's four thousand dollars three and a half K prop.
- 23:34Speaker 2: I get it. He's probably gonna go seventy pitches.
- 23:37Speaker 3: But at seventy pitches at four K when I mean
- 23:40Speaker 3: you have expensive bats that you want to pay for,
- 23:43Speaker 3: I mean I'll take twelve.
- 23:45Speaker 2: I'll take ten to twelve out of four K. So
- 23:48Speaker 2: give me ten to twelve.
- 23:49Speaker 3: And that'll be enough if the bats do their thing,
- 23:52Speaker 3: which have a pretty damn good chance, especially with how
- 23:56Speaker 3: bad that case he bullpen is and how many arms
- 23:58Speaker 3: they used last night in that game, and same thing
- 24:01Speaker 3: with the Dodgers right against that Rockies bullpen. So yeah,
- 24:05Speaker 3: I think he's interesting. He again, he's probably should be
- 24:08Speaker 3: in that kind of mid six K range, I would
- 24:10Speaker 3: think long term in terms of his price. So We're
- 24:13Speaker 3: getting about a two thousand dollars twenty dollars discount on that,
- 24:16Speaker 3: and I'm not looking for a four K pitcher to
- 24:18Speaker 3: go out there and throw ninety pitches, right, So if
- 24:22Speaker 3: he gets your four innings with four strikeouts, five strikeouts,
- 24:26Speaker 3: and maybe one or two earn runs, that's probably enough
- 24:28Speaker 3: on a slate like this, if the bats really do
- 24:30Speaker 3: their thing, when we got expensive offenses that we do
- 24:34Speaker 3: want to play, as well as two spind up arms
- 24:37Speaker 3: for sure in Otani and Soriano that I'm interested in,
- 24:40Speaker 3: and obviously de Gram as well. Right, So I do
- 24:42Speaker 3: think it's definitely a pretty interesting play. And yeah, Bubba Chandler,
- 24:46Speaker 3: I'm gonna I'm definitely gonna stack against him, just because
- 24:49Speaker 3: if his control returns to what we've seen outside of
- 24:52Speaker 3: his last start, from his the beginning of the year
- 24:55Speaker 3: and the games before that, then the Cubs definitely have
- 24:59Speaker 3: a path.
- 24:59Speaker 2: To being a GPP winning stack.
- 25:03Speaker 3: If he looks like he did last start, right, and
- 25:06Speaker 3: he has his control, we know this guy has strike
- 25:09Speaker 3: on ability, and at six K I'll take a shot there.
- 25:12Speaker 3: So for me, it's a pre lip Abbot Chandler and
- 25:15Speaker 3: Sandlin I probably ranked the lower tier pre Lips, Sandlin,
- 25:18Speaker 3: Abbot Chandler is kind of how I ranked the lower tier,
- 25:21Speaker 3: and then up top, like I said, it's it's Otani, Soriano,
- 25:24Speaker 3: Casey Mais are.
- 25:25Speaker 2: Kind of three main guys I'm looking at up there.
- 25:27Speaker 3: A de Gram is obviously good, but I'm probably gonna
- 25:30Speaker 3: take an underway to approach on Jacob de Gram here tonight.
- 25:33Speaker 2: Is kind of how I'm seeing the slate any.
- 25:38Speaker 4: Like, when you look at the pitching what we got today,
- 25:41Speaker 4: Like I think the pitching ownership pool is going to
- 25:43Speaker 4: be pretty small, Like I think a lot of the
- 25:46Speaker 4: ownership is gonna be garnered between a handful of guys.
- 25:49Speaker 4: So if you decide to play Sandlin, sure all those
- 25:53Speaker 4: guys could bust the nut right and fucking have great games,
- 25:55Speaker 4: right like that, That's definitely possibility. But I mean if
- 25:59Speaker 4: a couple all of them don't succeed and you get
- 26:03Speaker 4: twelve or ten out of Sandlin, I mean, it just
- 26:06Speaker 4: makes it even better that you went down to a
- 26:08Speaker 4: four K guy and got those bats. It's not I
- 26:11Speaker 4: guess my point is you don't have that many wide
- 26:13Speaker 4: range of guys the fade, Like if a couple of
- 26:16Speaker 4: them shit the bed the night aides like a du
- 26:19Speaker 4: gram or even if Otani does shit like dude, that
- 26:23Speaker 4: four K pitcher is now like, I mean, he's definitely
- 26:26Speaker 4: way more valuable than than before. So if it's more
- 26:30Speaker 4: stretched out and there's like nine or ten guys, you know,
- 26:33Speaker 4: and then ownership is gonna be spread out, then I'm
- 26:35Speaker 4: a little bit more concerned about playing four K guys.
- 26:38Speaker 4: But I always kind of look at like how much
- 26:40Speaker 4: am I fading here? Like how many things do I
- 26:43Speaker 4: need to happen for me to be in a good position?
- 26:45Speaker 4: And I just feel like there isn't that many guys
- 26:47Speaker 4: that need to fail, you know, that need to fail that,
- 26:50Speaker 4: you know, so for me to be in a good
- 26:51Speaker 4: spot with Sandland. So I think that's why on DK
- 26:54Speaker 4: I play him a little bit more then probably the
- 26:57Speaker 4: field will.
- 26:59Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm definitely gonna play a pretty good good amount
- 27:01Speaker 3: of him. I mean, you look at the props, right,
- 27:03Speaker 3: the dude is four thousand dollars. You look at guy
- 27:06Speaker 3: like Stephen Match, who's seventy eight hundred dollars four and
- 27:08Speaker 3: a half k prop juice to the under. You look
- 27:10Speaker 3: at freaking Bryce Elder eighty seven hundred dollars four and
- 27:14Speaker 3: a half k PROP plus one fourteen. This dude is
- 27:17Speaker 3: four thousand dollars cheaper than those guys, and he's got
- 27:20Speaker 3: a three and a half k PROP minus one fifty
- 27:21Speaker 3: two in the over right, So you're getting I mean,
- 27:25Speaker 3: you're saving four thousand dollars for equal props.
- 27:27Speaker 2: I get it.
- 27:28Speaker 3: The pitch count it isn't there, And we probably talked
- 27:30Speaker 3: way too much about a four K pitcher, but I
- 27:33Speaker 3: mean it's a four K pitcher with the Dodgers and
- 27:35Speaker 3: the Yankees with almost a six implied run total each. Right,
- 27:38Speaker 3: So the game theory and the and the roster construction wise,
- 27:43Speaker 3: it makes sense, right crops would back it up for
- 27:46Speaker 3: the price point. Right when you when you take an
- 27:48Speaker 3: account the props in the price, it's pretty damn good
- 27:51Speaker 3: play in the slate. When we have expensive it'd be
- 27:53Speaker 3: different as well too, Gee, Rosen, if, like you said, right,
- 27:56Speaker 3: ownership wasn't just so focused on to gram Otani casey eyes.
- 28:00Speaker 3: Outside of that, it's kind of a crap shoot in
- 28:02Speaker 3: terms of what people are gonna do.
- 28:04Speaker 2: And if we didn't have the.
- 28:05Speaker 3: Expensive offenses to pay play like the Yankees and the
- 28:09Speaker 3: Dodgers in such good spots in good matchups, it's probably
- 28:13Speaker 3: not a slate that you'd need the four k guy, right,
- 28:15Speaker 3: But on this slate he definitely has has a reasonable
- 28:19Speaker 3: path to winning lineups overall, especially if he if he
- 28:22Speaker 3: only gets you ten to twelve DraftKings points, that's probably
- 28:24Speaker 3: enough at four thousand dollars. Right, So again, we probably
- 28:28Speaker 3: talked way too much about him. Let's go over and
- 28:30Speaker 3: talk hitting. Gonna refresh the stone here. First game on
- 28:36Speaker 3: the slates again is the early early start time, right,
- 28:41Speaker 3: so six thirty five Eastern, five thirty five Central. It's
- 28:44Speaker 3: the Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles up in Camden Yards.
- 28:48Speaker 3: One of the bigger totals on the slate, Stephen Matt's
- 28:51Speaker 3: kind of a blow average lefty Orioles should get Kobe mayoback,
- 28:55Speaker 3: which does help this tea. This lineup, as in general,
- 28:58Speaker 3: against left handed pitching, has been kind of kind of
- 29:04Speaker 3: not the best as of late. The Rays look like
- 29:07Speaker 3: a pretty popular stack on the slate because of their
- 29:09Speaker 3: salaries and the price points. It's gonna be more of
- 29:11Speaker 3: a bullpen game against the Orioles. Trey Gibson's not gonna
- 29:14Speaker 3: he's probably gonna throw three or four innings, and then
- 29:16Speaker 3: you're probably looking at that Baltimore bullpen, which is one
- 29:19Speaker 3: of the better bullpens in baseball. Rays do have a
- 29:23Speaker 3: spot on the slate though, at their salaries. When hey,
- 29:26Speaker 3: if you're double spending that pitcher and playing the Yankees
- 29:28Speaker 3: of the Dodgers, the Rays definitely fail to build there
- 29:31Speaker 3: in terms of value stack, They're gonna be owned as such.
- 29:33Speaker 2: I think they're in a solid spot.
- 29:35Speaker 3: I am a little worried though about that Orioles bullpen,
- 29:38Speaker 3: but Trey Gibson not any good. What do you see
- 29:42Speaker 3: here in terms of offense, I think a pretty solid
- 29:44Speaker 3: spot on both sides to start us off.
- 29:46Speaker 4: Here, yeah, I think you know, Tampa is in a
- 29:50Speaker 4: pretty decent spot, like you mentioned. I mean, the bullpen
- 29:53Speaker 4: does make it a little bit scarier. But what I
- 29:56Speaker 4: really do prefer in this game are the rities for
- 29:59Speaker 4: the Orioles. I think Alonzo's in a good spot, Kobe
- 30:02Speaker 4: Mao Ward, all those guys in a good spot.
- 30:05Speaker 2: Matts has got a pretty high five.
- 30:06Speaker 4: Ball percentage to the right side at thirty three percent.
- 30:10Speaker 4: He's been getting barreled up at almost fourteen percent, so
- 30:15Speaker 4: that's not good. His walk rates pretty high to the
- 30:17Speaker 4: right side, so I think the righty's here for the
- 30:21Speaker 4: Orioles definitely could get could get the job done. So
- 30:25Speaker 4: but yeah, I think Alonzo stands out. I think he
- 30:27Speaker 4: would be a guy that if I was putting together
- 30:29Speaker 4: a home run partly, I think Alonzo would be a
- 30:31Speaker 4: guy that I'd probably consider throwing it in for somebody
- 30:34Speaker 4: I think can can can get the job done. But yeah,
- 30:38Speaker 4: I mean decent game. I wouldn't say I have them
- 30:40Speaker 4: any of these up at like in my top stacks today,
- 30:43Speaker 4: but I mean if I'm building twenty lineups, I definitely
- 30:46Speaker 4: probably have a piece of two both teams.
- 30:49Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, in terms of the weather in this one,
- 30:52Speaker 3: it's gonna be pretty pretty nice for hitting overall. Obviously
- 30:57Speaker 3: it's not the best ballpark for hitting, but temperatures are
- 31:00Speaker 3: to be in the upper seventies, low eighties. Wins kind
- 31:02Speaker 3: of not really a big factor, so it's more of matchups.
- 31:06Speaker 3: I prefer probably looking at it, I prefer the Oriole
- 31:10Speaker 3: side just at ownership discount, And again I don't love
- 31:15Speaker 3: attacking bullpen games, especially into ownership. But again, both sides
- 31:19Speaker 3: definitely in play. I prefer the Oriole side, Adley Pete Alonzo,
- 31:24Speaker 3: Kobe Mayo or kind of three main guys. Jeremi Jackson
- 31:26Speaker 3: has power against lefties, Taylor Ward, Tyler O'Neal. These guys
- 31:30Speaker 3: do have power against lefties. And you look at Steven
- 31:33Speaker 3: Matts over the last month or so, he's not been
- 31:35Speaker 3: very good. I know they always haven't been very good either,
- 31:37Speaker 3: but thirteen percent k rate guys get getting hit hard.
- 31:41Speaker 3: He does keep the ball on the ground to lefties mainly,
- 31:45Speaker 3: but again, he's gonna probably see everyone outside of Gunner
- 31:49Speaker 3: hit from the right side here. So yeah, I think
- 31:52Speaker 3: the O's are a pretty decent stack overall, and I'm
- 31:55Speaker 3: definitely gonna have more O's interest than the Ray's side here.
- 31:58Speaker 3: I will say Victor masa twenty three hundred dirt cheap
- 32:01Speaker 3: for him, then he's a solid play there. You got
- 32:05Speaker 3: a cheap catcher in twenty four four one hundred there.
- 32:08Speaker 3: So yeah, the Rays as a salary saver, I'd be curious.
- 32:13Speaker 3: We're a little bit cautious of how I play the Rays, though.
- 32:16Speaker 3: If you're stacking the Yankees probably wouldn't play the Rays,
- 32:20Speaker 3: and I'd probably pivot to a team like the Texas
- 32:22Speaker 3: Rangers right at similar price points, just because projections.
- 32:27Speaker 2: The dry run spit out.
- 32:29Speaker 3: Tons of Yankee stacks with the Rays and two of
- 32:32Speaker 3: those spin up arms in de grom Otani and Casey Maiz.
- 32:36Speaker 3: So if you're doing that, or play maybe a Soriano
- 32:40Speaker 3: right over over a de Gram something like that to
- 32:43Speaker 3: get a little different when you're playing the Rays. Not
- 32:46Speaker 3: to say that they can't get there the same way there,
- 32:48Speaker 3: but I don't love playing baseball the same way as
- 32:50Speaker 3: everybody else in a game that is so volatile like
- 32:53Speaker 3: it is already. Next spot Tigers, Angels, Jose Soriano ground
- 32:59Speaker 3: baller good In general, Tiger's been brutal, No Tiger's interest
- 33:03Speaker 3: for me, Angels don't really love it against Casey MYI
- 33:06Speaker 3: is sure you can always play Mike Trout, He's fine,
- 33:09Speaker 3: but I mean this game seems like definitely pitching over
- 33:13Speaker 3: offense for me here, Mike Trout be the best play
- 33:17Speaker 3: overall from this game. Dylan Dingler, if you wanted to McGonagall,
- 33:20Speaker 3: Riley Green, a couple of those guys up at the
- 33:23Speaker 3: top I think are fine.
- 33:24Speaker 2: But outside of that, don't love this game for offense.
- 33:26Speaker 2: What do you see here.
- 33:28Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with you. I don't really like it
- 33:30Speaker 4: for offense. I'd rather have both pitchers. I think this
- 33:32Speaker 4: one's going to be a pretty low scoring game anyway.
- 33:35Speaker 4: But yeah, Tigers, like I said, can't hit their way
- 33:37Speaker 4: out of a paper bag. Trout's been pretty good. But
- 33:41Speaker 4: if that Wade Meckler's in the lineup, I think he's
- 33:44Speaker 4: a pretty cheap bet to throw out in the outfield
- 33:46Speaker 4: if you want to go against myes. But yeah, I
- 33:50Speaker 4: don't really want any piece of this piece of this game.
- 33:53Speaker 4: I think, like I said, I mean, I actually like
- 33:55Speaker 4: the first five under because I don't see the Tigers
- 33:58Speaker 4: getting the Soriano at all.
- 34:01Speaker 3: Yeah, I like that a little first five hunder from
- 34:03Speaker 3: g Rizen there. Nick Butt and Slate Pirates in the Cubs.
- 34:07Speaker 3: We talked about the Cubs against Bubba Chandler. I think
- 34:10Speaker 3: that's a clear you can play both sides, because if
- 34:12Speaker 3: Bubba Chandler has the walks and the control issues he's had,
- 34:16Speaker 3: the Cubs definitely have a viable chance to winning Slate here. However,
- 34:21Speaker 3: I love the Pirates in this one. I love lefties
- 34:25Speaker 3: against Jameson Tai On. You got a cheap catcher in
- 34:28Speaker 3: Indie Rodriguez as well, to add to the stack.
- 34:31Speaker 2: Horwitz has been good.
- 34:32Speaker 3: Brandon Lowe has been good, Reynolds O'Neil Cruz has a
- 34:35Speaker 3: ton of upside. Connor Griffin can can steal, he has upside.
- 34:38Speaker 3: I think the Pirates are one of my top stacks
- 34:41Speaker 3: overall on the slate here, and they're gonna be really
- 34:44Speaker 3: low owned as well, definitely lower owned than the Cub
- 34:47Speaker 3: side even but I do like both sides. Definitely lean
- 34:50Speaker 3: the Pirates a little bit more on the Cubs. It's
- 34:53Speaker 3: just a full stack or bus for me, don't really
- 34:55Speaker 3: love picking out individual bats are here because it's probably
- 34:58Speaker 3: a strikeout or a walk. And again, if he starts
- 35:02Speaker 3: walking guys, he has to come over and that's where
- 35:04Speaker 3: all the runs pile up. So Cubs for me, as
- 35:06Speaker 3: a full stack, are kind of nothing overall. But what
- 35:10Speaker 3: do you see in this one?
- 35:12Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 35:12Speaker 4: I like this game a lot. Actually, I think there's
- 35:15Speaker 4: this could turn into a softball game really quick because
- 35:17Speaker 4: you got two pitchers who are definitely vulnerable to give
- 35:20Speaker 4: up rons. Tie On has not been good to lefties
- 35:23Speaker 4: at all. His walk percentages high, his ground ball percentage
- 35:28Speaker 4: really low. Flyball percentage at like forty six percent barrel
- 35:31Speaker 4: percentage sixteen point seven percent to the left side. They
- 35:35Speaker 4: ain't gonna get the job done against the Pirates, who
- 35:38Speaker 4: are the fourth highest ops in all of baseball for
- 35:41Speaker 4: the season against right handed pitching needs. You wouldn't think
- 35:45Speaker 4: that you could ask anybody give me the top five
- 35:48Speaker 4: OPS teams and even a fantasy nerd, and I highly
- 35:51Speaker 4: doubt they would have gave you the Pirates as an answer.
- 35:54Speaker 4: But Pirates definitely have been smashing righties in ty On
- 35:58Speaker 4: has definitely been vulnerable, So it looks pretty good to me.
- 36:03Speaker 4: Definitely think the Pirates are somebody a team that I
- 36:06Speaker 4: could rely on. I mean, some of them are kind
- 36:08Speaker 4: of expensive, I get it, but they're still They're still
- 36:11Speaker 4: in play for me. I think the Cubs too, are
- 36:13Speaker 4: definitely in play. Bubba Chandler has been getting beat up
- 36:16Speaker 4: by the left side as well. Walking. His walks are
- 36:20Speaker 4: really an issue, thirteen percent of the left side, eighteen
- 36:22Speaker 4: percent to the right side. He's been getting buriled up
- 36:25Speaker 4: by lefties at fourteen percent his fly ball percentages or
- 36:29Speaker 4: thirty percent to the left side, thirty three percent to
- 36:32Speaker 4: the right side. So some of these lefties PCA Bush.
- 36:37Speaker 4: We like some Bush. He's definitely in play, So yeah,
- 36:42Speaker 4: I mean, I definitely like the Pirates more. We did
- 36:45Speaker 4: just have the Orioles, and you know, I think they'd
- 36:47Speaker 4: be all around in the top five. But I think
- 36:49Speaker 4: I like the Pirates more. And I actually like the
- 36:51Speaker 4: Orioles in the last game because I mean, hey, like
- 36:55Speaker 4: I said, top four in baseball and all of ops,
- 36:57Speaker 4: and you got a picture that's just been getting atterbsolutely
- 37:00Speaker 4: smashed from the left side, which the Pirates are definitely
- 37:04Speaker 4: uh stronger from. So yeah, give me some Pirates. I
- 37:07Speaker 4: think I'll call them. I like, I'll call them my
- 37:10Speaker 4: sneakier stack because I think everybody's gonna go to Dodgers Yankees,
- 37:13Speaker 4: but I think a full stack of Pirates could get
- 37:15Speaker 4: the job done tonight.
- 37:17Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the Pirates a lot here. Cubs bullpen
- 37:19Speaker 3: kind of middle of the road. They used three arms
- 37:21Speaker 3: last night as well, So I do like the Pirates
- 37:26Speaker 3: quite a bit here.
- 37:26Speaker 2: And then the Cubs.
- 37:27Speaker 3: You want the lefties mainly Pca bush Ian hap ballisteros
- 37:32Speaker 3: that one, three, five, seven, and then pick if your
- 37:35Speaker 3: five stack and pick one of those righties.
- 37:37Speaker 2: Bregman has been good this year.
- 37:38Speaker 3: Don't love him, but four K third base is a
- 37:41Speaker 3: pretty tough position to fill, especially when guys like Jay
- 37:45Speaker 3: ram And and Max Munsey things like that aren't aren't
- 37:49Speaker 3: there to UH to play. If Max Montsey's back, obviously
- 37:52Speaker 3: that UH is gonna be who everyone goes to there.
- 37:56Speaker 3: So I like, I don't think Alex Bregman is the
- 37:59Speaker 3: worst in U in cub stacks in general.
- 38:03Speaker 2: Next spot here.
- 38:05Speaker 3: Some of the best hitting environments on the slates comes
- 38:07Speaker 3: from this game up in Fenway. We know this is
- 38:10Speaker 3: a good place to hit in general. It's going to
- 38:12Speaker 3: be upper eighties to start the game here, with some
- 38:14Speaker 3: wind blown out to kind of right center field, kind
- 38:17Speaker 3: of shift in mid game more out towards like the
- 38:19Speaker 3: right foul pole. Bryce Elder again susceptible to lefties. The
- 38:24Speaker 3: Red Sox have been absolutely atrocious. You do have some
- 38:28Speaker 3: cheap guys in here, though that nobody's gonna play. I
- 38:30Speaker 3: know the Braves bullpen's really good as well. Elder's been
- 38:32Speaker 3: a really good real life arm, not a great DFS arm.
- 38:35Speaker 3: But I think Vegas also sees this. I mean, the
- 38:38Speaker 3: dude's got a four and a half k prop heavy
- 38:40Speaker 3: juice to the under at minus one six in terms
- 38:44Speaker 3: of Bryce Elder, so balls are going to be in
- 38:45Speaker 3: play here during bray, you would be the top two
- 38:50Speaker 3: bats I look at for the Red Sox, and then
- 38:52Speaker 3: you got.
- 38:52Speaker 2: Yoshida who's dirt cheap.
- 38:54Speaker 3: Mickey Gasper at thirty two catcher, he's shown some power,
- 38:57Speaker 3: Marcelo Mayer at second base, which is a weak position.
- 39:00Speaker 3: You want the lefties if anything, against Bryce Elder, and
- 39:02Speaker 3: then the Braves. Nobody's gonna play the Braves here, and yeah,
- 39:06Speaker 3: you don't love the Braves as much against a left
- 39:08Speaker 3: handed pitcher. But Ronald Lacunya back in this lineup at
- 39:11Speaker 3: five percent ownership as a direct pivot off of guys
- 39:14Speaker 3: like Aaron Judge, Kyle Tucker, Paz, some of those expensive
- 39:19Speaker 3: outfielders from the Yankees and the Dodgers.
- 39:23Speaker 2: Ronald Lecunia against lefty in full.
- 39:25Speaker 3: Nine and at bats in Fenway with hot, hot, hot weather,
- 39:30Speaker 3: I think that seems like a pretty good play. Matt
- 39:32Speaker 3: Elson can hit lefties as well. Ozzie Albi's historically as
- 39:34Speaker 3: a lefty masher. Austin Riiley hasn't been great this year,
- 39:37Speaker 3: but again he's gonna be a pivot off of guys like.
- 39:42Speaker 2: Max Munsey. I think the Braves are interesting here as well.
- 39:47Speaker 3: In terms of who I probably prefer, it's probably slightly
- 39:50Speaker 3: the Braves, just because the Red Sox been absolutely abrismo
- 39:52Speaker 3: and second lowest home runs in baseball behind the Brewers
- 39:56Speaker 3: as a team. But I do like this game for offense,
- 39:59Speaker 3: best hitting environment, the slate overall.
- 40:02Speaker 4: Yeah, Early two has been getting beat up a little bit,
- 40:05Speaker 4: both sides of the plate, been barreling this dude up
- 40:07Speaker 4: so far this year fourteen to the right side percent
- 40:10Speaker 4: and then ten percent to the left side. You know,
- 40:13Speaker 4: I mean getting a koonya back, making that lineup a
- 40:15Speaker 4: little bit longer. Braves obviously, you know on paper one
- 40:20Speaker 4: of the better offenses. I mean in early he is
- 40:23Speaker 4: more of a flyball type Leane thirty two percent to
- 40:25Speaker 4: both sides of the plate, so we got good hitting conditions.
- 40:29Speaker 4: I just think there's some offenses that I do prefer
- 40:32Speaker 4: a little bit more than both of these teams here today.
- 40:35Speaker 4: I don't really want to pick on Elder with the
- 40:37Speaker 4: White Sox, I Red Red Sox, not even really anybody
- 40:42Speaker 4: that stands out to me that I'd really want to
- 40:44Speaker 4: use as a one off either. But I guess I
- 40:46Speaker 4: would prefer the brave side against Early a little bit
- 40:50Speaker 4: just because of some of his his fly ball struggles
- 40:53Speaker 4: and then his barrel percentages. So yeah, give me some braves,
- 40:57Speaker 4: but I got him outside my top five.
- 41:00Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely not kind of top stacks.
- 41:02Speaker 3: But I do think because all the ownership is going
- 41:05Speaker 3: to the Dodgers and the Yankees and then the Rays,
- 41:07Speaker 3: is a value stack. I do think these teams, and
- 41:10Speaker 3: definitely in larger field tournaments, have a viable chance to
- 41:15Speaker 3: be the team you need. And it's a good place
- 41:17Speaker 3: to hit in general with good weather, and I mean,
- 41:21Speaker 3: I think it's pretty interesting in general overall. Probably prefer
- 41:25Speaker 3: the Pirates more than both of them for sure, Probably
- 41:27Speaker 3: the Cubs as well, but I do think they're fairly
- 41:31Speaker 3: interesting overall. Next one on the slate Mets in the
- 41:35Speaker 3: Reds Andrew Abbott on the Mound. We said we had
- 41:38Speaker 3: some interest in him as a cheaper arm with some upside.
- 41:41Speaker 3: The Mets have not been great. Juan Soto is obviously
- 41:44Speaker 3: really good lefty. Lefty doesn't matter too much. He can
- 41:47Speaker 3: hit any handedness. Mark Fiente's historically hits left. He's really
- 41:52Speaker 3: well well thirty two hundred is a nice price point
- 41:54Speaker 3: for him. I just don't love this game or this
- 41:57Speaker 3: ballpark for offense. Reds could do it. Jonah Toong has
- 42:02Speaker 3: definitely shown the It's obviously there's gonna be an opener
- 42:06Speaker 3: there and then he's gonna come in projected kind of
- 42:08Speaker 3: in the long relief and we've seen him get blown
- 42:11Speaker 3: up before.
- 42:11Speaker 2: But I don't know.
- 42:13Speaker 3: I don't love playing this Reds offense either. I don't
- 42:15Speaker 3: love this game from an offensive perspective. Can't play all
- 42:17Speaker 3: the spots. This is kind of one that I'm gonna
- 42:19Speaker 3: be lower on overall.
- 42:22Speaker 4: Yeah Tong from you know, what they're saying is he's
- 42:25Speaker 4: got some control issues too, So I mean that game
- 42:28Speaker 4: could spire a real quick out of control. I mean
- 42:30Speaker 4: I'd rather, you know, use the Reds against the righty
- 42:34Speaker 4: than then I would have lefty. So I mean, I
- 42:37Speaker 4: don't I just don't know. I think it's gonna be
- 42:39Speaker 4: more of a bullpen type game. So for me, I mean,
- 42:43Speaker 4: I just don't love it. We don't like the park
- 42:45Speaker 4: over there in New York. It's just not the greatest
- 42:48Speaker 4: hitting conditions. I mean, i'd have Cincinnati down a little
- 42:52Speaker 4: bit further, but I wouldn't be afraid of playing like
- 42:55Speaker 4: an Ellie d la Cruz a bullet day, you know,
- 42:58Speaker 4: type like mini stack, maybe throwing Eugeno or Low or
- 43:01Speaker 4: somebody like that. But yeah, I mean it's just like
- 43:05Speaker 4: I said, Nate, it's just not up at the top
- 43:07Speaker 4: of my list.
- 43:08Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Blade would be the favorite bat from
- 43:11Speaker 3: this game in general, to pick off him and Soto,
- 43:13Speaker 3: because again, Soto's a pivot off of a guy like
- 43:16Speaker 3: Aaron Judge. Blade's a pivot off of guys like Cody Bellinger, Pajez,
- 43:20Speaker 3: some of those other Dodger outfielders like I talked about,
- 43:22Speaker 3: So those two guys in particular, same position, pretty similar
- 43:27Speaker 3: upside Overall, Blade has been really good, Wan Sodo's obviously
- 43:30Speaker 3: really good, So some of those guys I think make
- 43:32Speaker 3: some sense. But as a stack, don't love it overall.
- 43:35Speaker 3: On either side of that game, here takes us two
- 43:40Speaker 3: Chicago here twins kind of pre lit David Sandlin on
- 43:43Speaker 3: the mound.
- 43:44Speaker 2: We have interest in both of these starting pitchers here.
- 43:47Speaker 3: You can definitely play Miguel Vargas, Murakami and Montgomery. You
- 43:51Speaker 3: can always play either way, but I don't love lefty.
- 43:53Speaker 3: Lefty if you're picking one of them. Murk Commy definitely
- 43:56Speaker 3: seems to have more power lefty lefty, but that's a
- 44:00Speaker 3: pretty expensive price point to pay. He's gonna be unowned
- 44:03Speaker 3: and definitely has upside, but don't love I think kind
- 44:07Speaker 3: of pre lips A decent arm in general. Obviously got
- 44:10Speaker 3: roughed up in his last start. Don't expect that to
- 44:12Speaker 3: happen again. Here Vargas random Greechik hits left. He's really good,
- 44:16Speaker 3: but he's probably only going to see two at bats
- 44:19Speaker 3: once prelips out of Here goes his five innings, six innings,
- 44:22Speaker 3: you grea, Chuck's gonna be gone, gonna get pinch hit four,
- 44:26Speaker 3: so that does hurt him. Mark Vargas is definitely my
- 44:29Speaker 3: favorite bat from the White Sox Twins side. I think
- 44:32Speaker 3: has upside against this guy because he has shown control
- 44:35Speaker 3: issues in the minors, and it's not like he's a
- 44:38Speaker 3: cy young by any means. He's kind of a just
- 44:40Speaker 3: an average arm at best, probably gonna be in that
- 44:42Speaker 3: six to seven K range.
- 44:44Speaker 2: Long term twins have a upside. I just I don't
- 44:47Speaker 2: love it.
- 44:47Speaker 3: Buxton would be my favorite guy, Cody Clemens, brooks Lee,
- 44:50Speaker 3: some of those guys, but I don't love this game
- 44:52Speaker 3: from an offensive perspective on either side compared to some
- 44:56Speaker 3: of the other spots on the slate.
- 44:59Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, White Socks are one of the best
- 45:01Speaker 4: hitting teams against left handed pitching so far this year too.
- 45:04Speaker 4: They're top five a MLB against lefties. I mean, Mura
- 45:07Speaker 4: Kami even hits lefties pretty good up there in at
- 45:10Speaker 4: three and he's very patient. He's got like almost a
- 45:13Speaker 4: twenty three percent walk percentage. So I mean, as we mentioned,
- 45:16Speaker 4: Prelifs got some control issues, so that could be something
- 45:19Speaker 4: that we watch out for. Prelims got a mid ground
- 45:22Speaker 4: balling to the to the right side at forty forty
- 45:25Speaker 4: one percent. His fly ball has been really high, even
- 45:28Speaker 4: the left side. In the thirty at bats he's seen
- 45:31Speaker 4: so far this year, he's got like a forty three
- 45:33Speaker 4: percent fly ball rate. But he's been getting barreled up
- 45:36Speaker 4: by both sides too. You mentioned Vargas. I mean, Vargas
- 45:39Speaker 4: has been smashing the shit out of lefties in the
- 45:42Speaker 4: last thirty days and he's got five to seventy six
- 45:44Speaker 4: WHOBA five hundred iso. You mentioned Gritchick. You may only
- 45:49Speaker 4: get one or two at bats out of him, but
- 45:51Speaker 4: he's been pretty good as well. Even medrith Off the
- 45:54Speaker 4: second basement up at the top has been decent. So
- 45:58Speaker 4: I prefer the White Sox the twin side against Sandland.
- 46:02Speaker 4: I mean, if he's got some control issues, Buckston's been
- 46:05Speaker 4: on fire, like he's the guy you basically got to
- 46:08Speaker 4: consider on any kind of day one off. He's been
- 46:10Speaker 4: one of the better bats so far of the year.
- 46:13Speaker 4: Cody Clemens would be in play, Larnick a little bit too,
- 46:16Speaker 4: but I just don't love the twin side. I guess
- 46:18Speaker 4: I'd prefer the White Sox side if I was gonna
- 46:20Speaker 4: use anybody, just because, like I said, they're one of
- 46:22Speaker 4: the top four teams in all baseball and ops against lefty,
- 46:26Speaker 4: So pre Lip isn't anybody. I'm too worried about guy
- 46:28Speaker 4: with control issues. I mean, give a couple guys on base,
- 46:31Speaker 4: could be giving up some three run homers. We could
- 46:33Speaker 4: see some crooked innings real quick.
- 46:36Speaker 2: Yeah, no, definitely, I get that.
- 46:38Speaker 3: I mean Buckston's fine, but I mean he's he's obviously
- 46:42Speaker 3: been good and strikes out a lot. He's at least
- 46:46Speaker 3: projected for a decent chunk ownership, and I'd rather play
- 46:49Speaker 3: a guy like Monsto, or play a guy in the
- 46:51Speaker 3: next game, or in two games that we're gonna talk
- 46:54Speaker 3: about in like yourn Alvrez, something like that at very
- 46:57Speaker 3: similar price points at no ownership. Especially Jordon right to
- 47:02Speaker 3: de Grom's showing home run issues, He's gonna be the
- 47:04Speaker 3: highest one pitcher on the slate. So things like that
- 47:06Speaker 3: is kind of what I look at if I'm looking
- 47:08Speaker 3: for a spend up. I like to be spend up,
- 47:10Speaker 3: to be contrarian, and I do think as we had
- 47:14Speaker 3: head into Lock, the Twins are gonna pick up some uh,
- 47:17Speaker 3: pick up some steam because they're very affordable outside of Buckston.
- 47:21Speaker 3: And you see a four K starting pitcher on the
- 47:23Speaker 3: other side, not many people take take a look and
- 47:27Speaker 3: dig in and see this dude does have strikeout ability.
- 47:30Speaker 3: So yeah, Buckston obviously fine play. But if I was
- 47:33Speaker 3: picking a side, I'm with you. I prefer the White Sox.
- 47:36Speaker 3: But again, not a game that I love from an
- 47:38Speaker 3: offensive perspective in general, takes us to the next game.
- 47:42Speaker 2: Yankees look like one of the top stacks on the board.
- 47:45Speaker 3: I'm at Rosario double dong last night at now he's
- 47:48Speaker 3: four K for I'm ed Rosario, which I don't know.
- 47:52Speaker 3: He's probably not gonna stay in the game against alrighty
- 47:54Speaker 3: unless the game's like twelve to one like it was
- 47:57Speaker 3: last night or something. Four K seems they haven't expensive
- 48:00Speaker 3: for him. But Yankees look on paper like one of
- 48:04Speaker 3: the top offenses, if not the top offense. I do
- 48:07Speaker 3: prefer the Dodgers a little bit, I think here, but
- 48:10Speaker 3: it's really.
- 48:10Speaker 2: Hard to argue.
- 48:11Speaker 3: Noah Cameron not been the best, Yankees been great. It's
- 48:16Speaker 3: gonna be hot in Kansas City as well, which does
- 48:19Speaker 3: help the case for the Yankees.
- 48:21Speaker 2: Here.
- 48:22Speaker 3: There is some wind blown in but again I don't
- 48:25Speaker 3: think that matters too much When it's almost ninety degrees
- 48:28Speaker 3: in Kaufman Stadium and that Roy's bullpen got beat up
- 48:31Speaker 3: last night, It's already not a good bullpen. Yankees definitely
- 48:34Speaker 3: could see a position player by the end of this game,
- 48:37Speaker 3: again like last night.
- 48:38Speaker 2: What do you see here in this one? New York
- 48:40Speaker 2: and Kansas City.
- 48:43Speaker 4: Yeah, I think Camera could be in trouble. They might
- 48:46Speaker 4: leave him out to dry needs. I mean, they used
- 48:48Speaker 4: quite a bit of that bullpen yesterday, so they're gonna
- 48:51Speaker 4: need some innings out of camera today. That's for sure.
- 48:54Speaker 4: I mean, so the Yankees for me are definitely a
- 48:57Speaker 4: strong stack obviously, Judd old Schmid, I think it's in
- 49:01Speaker 4: a good spot. Like you mentioned, Missario, you know, definitely
- 49:04Speaker 4: a pinchhick concern, but uh, I mean, yeah, I think
- 49:08Speaker 4: the Yankees are top sack again today, I have the
- 49:11Speaker 4: Dodgers ranked higher actually, but I'd have the Yankees coming
- 49:15Speaker 4: in at number two. And then there's quite a gap
- 49:18Speaker 4: between those two teams, and then you know the other
- 49:20Speaker 4: teams that we are talking about, like the Pirates, the Orioles.
- 49:24Speaker 4: I mean, these two teams are definitely, uh, top of it.
- 49:27Speaker 4: I mean, and yesterday they both flexed their muscles as
- 49:30Speaker 4: we said, and the two premier hitters didn't even get
- 49:33Speaker 4: really do any damage either. But yeah, Yankees for me
- 49:36Speaker 4: stand out. I mean that's uh, it doesn't take a
- 49:39Speaker 4: genius to figure that one out here today against Oils.
- 49:44Speaker 4: But I mean, Cameron, you look at us, you know,
- 49:46Speaker 4: like game log. I mean the last seven starts Todays
- 49:49Speaker 4: give up zero in runs last start, but every start
- 49:52Speaker 4: after prior to that it was three or run four
- 49:55Speaker 4: and runs five and runs. So I mean he's been
- 49:58Speaker 4: definitely getting beat up a little bit.
- 49:59Speaker 2: Here.
- 50:00Speaker 4: Yankees aren't a team you uh you know you you
- 50:03Speaker 4: want to have a bad day against because they'll make
- 50:04Speaker 4: you pay for it real quick. But uh yeah, give
- 50:07Speaker 4: me some Yankees. I mean, if you can figure out
- 50:09Speaker 4: a way. That's why I think Sandlan's so kind of
- 50:11Speaker 4: important today, Nate's because you can play around with it
- 50:14Speaker 4: and throw in some Yankees, throw in some Dodgers, mix
- 50:17Speaker 4: up your stacks a little bit. Maybe you go down
- 50:19Speaker 4: to a guy like maz in Sandland, if you wanted
- 50:21Speaker 4: to do something like that to really be able to
- 50:23Speaker 4: get you some bats. But uh, I mean, and in
- 50:26Speaker 4: that case, I think you're only fading like an old Tani.
- 50:29Speaker 4: Maybe the ground one of them does bad. I think
- 50:31Speaker 4: you're still being a good spot of Sandlon only got
- 50:33Speaker 4: you twelve points. So I think it's an interesting slate
- 50:36Speaker 4: from you know what we see to where I think
- 50:38Speaker 4: we got like a small pitching pool, condensed pool, and
- 50:42Speaker 4: then you got two really good, you know, the two
- 50:44Speaker 4: best hitting teams, like kind of like yesterday. But then
- 50:47Speaker 4: you got some of these offenses like the Pirates. You know,
- 50:49Speaker 4: we'll get to the Rangers, who I think are interesting too,
- 50:52Speaker 4: the Orioles. You know, so I think we got like
- 50:55Speaker 4: four or five teams all in a bucket that could
- 50:57Speaker 4: get the job done today, but these two definitely stand out.
- 51:00Speaker 4: Yankees Dodgers. It's uh, it's pretty cut and dry.
- 51:05Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you're probably looking at Daniel Lynn Schreiber
- 51:09Speaker 3: laying Nick Mears the back half of that casey bullpen,
- 51:13Speaker 3: which is gonna be available, and none of those guys
- 51:15Speaker 3: are really good. Obviously, Lynch is a lefty, so if
- 51:18Speaker 3: he comes in your Rosario's obviously got a longer, longer leash.
- 51:23Speaker 3: But I'm assuming they're probably gonna bring I don't know.
- 51:26Speaker 3: I don't know what they actually do though, because then
- 51:29Speaker 3: if you bring in a rity, you got obviously Grisham, Bellinger, Rice,
- 51:34Speaker 3: jazz Wells, all all of those lefties there, so they're
- 51:37Speaker 3: probably gonna bring in a riety, which definitely probably means
- 51:40Speaker 3: I'm in. Rosario gets the hook there, so there is
- 51:44Speaker 3: definitely he's definitely the biggest pinch hit. Paul Golchman a
- 51:48Speaker 3: little bit as well, but they they've been leaving him
- 51:50Speaker 3: in there for the most part, and he obviously murders
- 51:53Speaker 3: left handed pitching. So at four three, I think it's
- 51:57Speaker 3: pretty interesting on what you do between him and Ben Rice,
- 52:00Speaker 3: you could definitely play the same same lineup and just
- 52:04Speaker 3: swap those two guys around and maybe move move a
- 52:07Speaker 3: starting pitcher round or something to get the extra salary
- 52:10Speaker 3: that you need, the extra fifteen hundred dollars. But that
- 52:12Speaker 3: is definitely a decision making that is a little tricky
- 52:16Speaker 3: there with those two. And like I said, I'm at
- 52:19Speaker 3: Rosario with the pinch hit a little scared there. But
- 52:23Speaker 3: on paper, yeah, Yankees checking number two for me in general,
- 52:27Speaker 3: behind the Dodgers overall on this slate, two games left
- 52:33Speaker 3: to talk about. Astros Rangers. Jacob mcgraham high Stone pitcher
- 52:36Speaker 3: on the slate. He doesn't rank that great in our
- 52:39Speaker 3: pitcher rankings fourteenth, which is kind of an eye opening.
- 52:41Speaker 2: A little bit talked about it. Jordon Elviz six K.
- 52:45Speaker 3: I mean, this dude's gonna be three percent owned the
- 52:48Speaker 3: ground's giving up six home runs in the last two days.
- 52:50Speaker 2: Jordon hit two home runs last night.
- 52:53Speaker 3: You want to get different, Play Jordon instead of Judge,
- 52:55Speaker 3: Play Jordon instead of either of those. Spend up Kyle Tucker,
- 52:59Speaker 3: Andy has Freddie Freeman, something like that, right, Buckston, Play
- 53:04Speaker 3: play Jord on over those guys and you're just instantly different,
- 53:08Speaker 3: and he has just as much upside, if not more,
- 53:11Speaker 3: and you leverage the highest on pitcher on the slate
- 53:14Speaker 3: as a as a stack. I don't love stacking the
- 53:16Speaker 3: Astros here, probably more just picking off home runs. Jordon
- 53:20Speaker 3: would be far and away my favorite bat here. Christian Walker,
- 53:23Speaker 3: I think is the interesting Parids, just because third base
- 53:26Speaker 3: is a weak position and he's thirty two hundred dollars
- 53:28Speaker 3: with some power, So I don't mind that you got
- 53:32Speaker 3: a cheap second baseman that hits from the left side
- 53:34Speaker 3: there that has shown some power in Shoemake. So I
- 53:37Speaker 3: think the Astros have a spot here for kind of
- 53:40Speaker 3: a leverage and in that type of build, right, maybe
- 53:42Speaker 3: you go the three hundred dollars and play Jose Soriano
- 53:45Speaker 3: instead of playing the Gram and you pick take an
- 53:47Speaker 3: Astro or two against him. In terms of the roster construction.
- 53:50Speaker 3: On the other side, Mike Burrow is nothing special by
- 53:53Speaker 3: any means. Rangers not a great offense, but they got
- 53:55Speaker 3: hitting last night. I think they fit the build here.
- 53:58Speaker 3: I prefer them much more I think overall than the
- 54:01Speaker 3: Rays at very similar price points. The ownership's not going
- 54:04Speaker 3: to be there. We know how bad that Ash's bullpen is.
- 54:07Speaker 3: Burrow's is nothing special by any means. I think that
- 54:11Speaker 3: I think Texas is really interesting here tonight, and nobody's
- 54:14Speaker 3: playing them. I know it's not the best place to pit,
- 54:18Speaker 3: not the best place to hit in terms of ballpark,
- 54:20Speaker 3: but I like the matchup and I don't like the
- 54:24Speaker 3: bullpen behind Burrows either, So I think the Rangers are
- 54:27Speaker 3: pretty interesting overall on the slate.
- 54:31Speaker 4: Yeah, definitely like the Rangers. Burrow has not been good
- 54:34Speaker 4: low k rate fifteen point eight percent to the left side,
- 54:38Speaker 4: Wolba's four to twenty nine to the left side been
- 54:40Speaker 4: getting hard hit at almost twelve percent. I mean Jack
- 54:44Speaker 4: Peterson sitting up a top of that lineup, Hams man there,
- 54:47Speaker 4: mister Jock, I think's in a really good spot and
- 54:49Speaker 4: Nemo's in a pretty good spot that I think you
- 54:52Speaker 4: could get the job done. So I do like the
- 54:55Speaker 4: left East. I say, I don't like him as much
- 54:57Speaker 4: as I do the Pirates. I'd probably put him in
- 54:59Speaker 4: a similar spot like the Orioles today. So I mean
- 55:03Speaker 4: yesterday I got excited. I did have a Ranger stack
- 55:06Speaker 4: with some Dodgers, and I had Chase Burns on FanDuel.
- 55:09Speaker 4: They come out and score eight runs, and I was like,
- 55:11Speaker 4: oh man, we're gonna get in that bullpen. This could
- 55:13Speaker 4: be funny, Like we could have a you know, a
- 55:16Speaker 4: freaking field player pitching here soon. I was thinking they
- 55:19Speaker 4: end up staying in the game, end up being a
- 55:21Speaker 4: softball game. But Yeah, for me, I think the Rangers
- 55:24Speaker 4: are in a really good spot. Like you said, that
- 55:26Speaker 4: bullpen just sucks. I love picking on that Astros bullpen.
- 55:29Speaker 4: And when I can pick on like the worst bullpen
- 55:31Speaker 4: in baseball needs with a guy that I don't think
- 55:34Speaker 4: is very good starting out the game like and nobody's
- 55:38Speaker 4: playing them, like, I really think you should always consider that.
- 55:41Speaker 4: I mean, it's kind of like the reverse of playing
- 55:42Speaker 4: the Dodgers and Yankees every day, Like we all know
- 55:45Speaker 4: they're the best hitting teams, but like, if we going
- 55:47Speaker 4: to go against the worst pitching teams, the Astro overall,
- 55:50Speaker 4: has this been bad? So I mean, anytime to me
- 55:53Speaker 4: that I can get a team against the worst pitching
- 55:56Speaker 4: staff in baseball, I think I'm in.
- 55:59Speaker 2: Yeah. And the nice thing too about the Rangers.
- 56:01Speaker 3: You look at the last month against right handed pitching
- 56:04Speaker 3: nineteen percent k rate, so the balls are going to
- 56:06Speaker 3: be in play team isol center around one to fifty,
- 56:08Speaker 3: which is nothing crazy. But Duran has been good, Burger's
- 56:11Speaker 3: been good, and Burrows against lefties has just been absolutely horrible.
- 56:15Speaker 3: I mean thirteen percent Barrel Ray, Nimo, Evan Carter who
- 56:19Speaker 3: hit a bomb last night.
- 56:20Speaker 2: Jock Peterson, who's been really good. Yeah.
- 56:24Speaker 3: I like the Rangers a ton, probably a lot more
- 56:26Speaker 3: than I should, because they're probably gonna score two runs
- 56:29Speaker 3: like they do most games, but on a slate where
- 56:32Speaker 3: nobody's playing them, and there are similar prices to the
- 56:36Speaker 3: Tampa Bay Rays.
- 56:36Speaker 2: Against one of the best bullpens in baseball. I'll take
- 56:40Speaker 2: my shots here.
- 56:41Speaker 3: Overall with the Rangers, I like them a ton, And
- 56:44Speaker 3: like I said, on the Astra side, Jordan Shoemak Walker
- 56:48Speaker 3: are kind of the three main guys I'd look at
- 56:50Speaker 3: their in non d GRAM lineups last game on the
- 56:54Speaker 3: slate my top overall offense here. Obviously you don't get
- 56:57Speaker 3: to play shoe hal Tani is a hitter but makes
- 56:59Speaker 3: the stack more affordable. This game is not on Fando,
- 57:01Speaker 3: it is on DraftKings. Rocky is an easy cross off
- 57:04Speaker 3: for me, but Dodgers, I mean Sigano is the worst
- 57:07Speaker 3: starting pitcher on the slate by far. This dude is
- 57:09Speaker 3: just absolutely trosis might be the worst starting pitcher in
- 57:13Speaker 3: the major leagues. Dodgers broke off for crooked number last night.
- 57:19Speaker 3: Probably expect more of the same here, Monsie. I mean,
- 57:23Speaker 3: just it's one through eight or two through eight or
- 57:26Speaker 3: two through nine, excuse me, load them up any which way,
- 57:30Speaker 3: don't really matter. I mean, Rockies bullpen has been better
- 57:34Speaker 3: than they were last year, but nothing crazy by any means.
- 57:37Speaker 3: And I mean you could definitely see a position player
- 57:40Speaker 3: pitching here. Again, Dodgers massive implied run total on this slate.
- 57:44Speaker 3: What do you see to run south?
- 57:46Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean you do lose Otani, They're still the
- 57:49Speaker 4: top stack even without Otani. I mean, Mookie finally did
- 57:53Speaker 4: something yesterday. Maybe he'll get back on Pie. He's just
- 57:56Speaker 4: been so good, especially driving runs in. But the lefties standout.
- 58:01Speaker 4: They should be getting monthly back. So Tucker Munsey free money.
- 58:04Speaker 4: Freddie is also on play. Dalton rushing, I think you
- 58:09Speaker 4: could play and that a spot flipping around that lineup,
- 58:12Speaker 4: so I think they're definitely playing. Sogano has just been
- 58:15Speaker 4: fucking horrible. Dude's got like at nineteen percent barrel rate
- 58:18Speaker 4: the lefties like that's that's that's like softball pitcher numbers.
- 58:22Speaker 4: And then fourteen percent to the right side. I mean
- 58:25Speaker 4: just not very good. Uh So, I mean Sigano's distant troubles.
- 58:29Speaker 4: You mentioned one of the worst pitchers in all of
- 58:30Speaker 4: baseball low k rate has been walking lefties the left side.
- 58:35Speaker 4: Whoeba's pretty high to the left side. I mean, everything
- 58:39Speaker 4: just points here, pure trouble for Segano in these Rockies
- 58:43Speaker 4: here tonight. Dodgers for me stand out. I mean, once
- 58:46Speaker 4: the Dodgers get steamrolling, man, they did. They are like
- 58:48Speaker 4: the both Yankees. They get going, man, they'll just score
- 58:51Speaker 4: runs in a hurry. So, uh yeah, Dodgers for me
- 58:54Speaker 4: stand out. And then like I said, I got some Yankees,
- 58:57Speaker 4: and then I'd probably go Pirates right after that, and
- 59:00Speaker 4: then between the Orioles and Rangers I think would be
- 59:03Speaker 4: right behind that.
- 59:05Speaker 3: Yeah, we definitely definitely see it pretty pretty close. So
- 59:08Speaker 3: that takes us to the end of the show. Here
- 59:10Speaker 3: your favorite pitching combination, your top three stacks, and then
- 59:13Speaker 3: a home run call to round us out. I forgot
- 59:16Speaker 3: who yours was. I know mine was Jake Bauers. He
- 59:18Speaker 3: he hit one. I don't know who yours was, but Nimo,
- 59:24Speaker 3: yeah you Evan Carter. Evan Carter got it done. Nemo
- 59:27Speaker 3: did not. But you were on the right team. Wrong guy.
- 59:30Speaker 3: Let's see if we can't double up here tonight. Go
- 59:32Speaker 3: ahead and give your give your summary.
- 59:36Speaker 4: All right, we will go my favorite pitching combination. I mean,
- 59:40Speaker 4: if we want to leave Otani out on, I'll go
- 59:43Speaker 4: with the d k Otani and then sand Lola would
- 59:45Speaker 4: probably be but actually myz in Sandline I think is interesting,
- 59:49Speaker 4: uh to, So so we could get some bats as
- 59:52Speaker 4: far as favorite stacks, like I said, Dodgers, the Yankees, Pirates,
- 59:57Speaker 4: then I'd probably go Oriole and then Rangers. I think
- 1:00:02Speaker 4: it's pretty much where i'd go in my home run call.
- 1:00:06Speaker 4: I am going to say Brandon Lao on the Pirates,
- 1:00:11Speaker 4: I think is going to is gonna go deep.
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: I like that one for me.
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: My favorite pitching combination is going to be I'll go
- 1:00:20Speaker 3: Jose Soriano up at the top, and then I will
- 1:00:23Speaker 3: go I'll go Sandlin as well. Casey Maiz would kind
- 1:00:29Speaker 3: of be the other guy. Obviously, Otani is the best
- 1:00:30Speaker 3: play as well. But for anyone who's playing over there.
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: I'm fan doing that. I think Soriano is a really
- 1:00:36Speaker 3: good tournament play on this slate. Sandwich between de Gram
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: and Otani up the top, top overall stack for me
- 1:00:42Speaker 3: is going to be the Dodgers Yankees number two. I'll
- 1:00:45Speaker 3: put Texas three, Pirates four, and then the Orioles is
- 1:00:49Speaker 3: kind of that fifth team there. My home run call,
- 1:00:52Speaker 3: I'm going to the White Sox. I'm going to Miguel
- 1:00:54Speaker 3: Vargas hitting third third base forty nine to pay up
- 1:00:57Speaker 3: for him.
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: Third base is not a great position.
- 1:01:00Speaker 3: Obviously, we're likely to get mix monthly back here tonight,
- 1:01:03Speaker 3: which is a really good play on the slate. But
- 1:01:05Speaker 3: I think Miguel Vargas, who has been smashing lefties, is
- 1:01:09Speaker 3: a pretty good play on the slate at no ownership
- 1:01:13Speaker 3: that's gonna do it. Appreciate it. E'er tuning in. Hit
- 1:01:15Speaker 3: that like button, hit that subscribe button. Helps us out
- 1:01:17Speaker 3: a ton slate starts in about an hour and a half.
- 1:01:19Speaker 3: Make sure you do get your lineups in and adjusted.
- 1:01:23Speaker 3: Don't don't wait around until six to ten Central time
- 1:01:27Speaker 3: seven ten Eastern, like a typical slate does.
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: Lock.
- 1:01:30Speaker 3: You are gonna miss those four early games, and there's
- 1:01:32Speaker 3: some good offense in those games for sure, and some
- 1:01:34Speaker 3: good starting pitching as well, so definitely need to pay attention,
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: get your lineups in. We got all the content up
- 1:01:41Speaker 3: over at ship a Nation. If you're not a membership
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- 1:01:52Speaker 3: No better rate in the industry. You can't even get
- 1:01:55Speaker 3: Saber sim alone for cheaper than that. Gee, Risen, appreciate you, Tune,
- 1:02:00Speaker 3: appreciate you jumping on here. We will be back gem
- 1:02:03Speaker 3: Rising and I on Tuesday, but the team gem Risen
- 1:02:08Speaker 3: and I think Bellman or one of them will have
- 1:02:11Speaker 3: you covered if there's a show tomorrow. Otherwise Friday will
- 1:02:14Speaker 3: be the next show on this channel. Good luck tonight.
- 1:02:18Speaker 3: Like I said for g Risen, I'm n aids. We'll
- 1:02:20Speaker 3: catch you guys next time. R out of here, peace,