Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 72: Army Navy Game Betting Preview Bowl Look Ahead Lines

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Episode 72: Army Navy Game Betting Preview Bowl Look Ahead Lines · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

0:02
Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen. Boys and girls, it's your favorite time
0:05
Speaker 1: of week. You get to download the Crazy Sheet, talk
0:07
Speaker 1: some college football with Mark and Scotty. I heard the
0:10
Speaker 1: podcasting studio Scotty is out on the road, which means
0:13
Speaker 1: the world is all right as we record Wednesday morning
0:16
Speaker 1: of Army Navy week. Brother, how the hell are you? Man?
0:20
Speaker 2: I'm great.
0:20
Speaker 3: Little snowy Cincinnati this morning. Uh kind of excited. Woke
0:25
Speaker 3: up to a little snow. But the roads are great,
0:28
Speaker 3: so that'll be a nice day. So I like a
0:31
Speaker 3: little little snow. Certainly not gonna see any in Dallas
0:34
Speaker 3: anytime soon, so uh so, kind of excited about it.
0:38
Speaker 2: Looking forward to Army Navy.
0:40
Speaker 3: We're both headed to Washington this week to go watch
0:42
Speaker 3: a little Army Navy. It's gonna be a lot of it,
0:45
Speaker 3: gonna be a lot of fun.
0:47
Speaker 2: Uh man.
0:47
Speaker 3: We've had some coaching shake up this week. Our man
0:52
Speaker 3: Tim Alban is now the head coach at North Carolina Charlotte.
0:55
Speaker 3: A lot of fun, man. It's been a good week.
0:58
Speaker 1: Bitch of interesting coaching moves. Charles Huff leaving Marshall to
1:04
Speaker 1: go to Southern Myss. I thought it was an interesting move.
1:08
Speaker 1: I know most people that's not on their radar, but
1:10
Speaker 1: you're within conference and I don't know that. I mean,
1:13
Speaker 1: Southern miss hasn't been good since they upset you of
1:17
Speaker 1: h years ago in CUSA to knock them out of
1:20
Speaker 1: what possibly could have been a national championship. Did so,
1:24
Speaker 1: I thought that was an interesting Clearly he had.
1:26
Speaker 3: Some sort of issue with the administration because you know
1:28
Speaker 3: he's going into that championship. I mean, you got your
1:30
Speaker 3: team in the conference championship, you win the conference championship.
1:34
Speaker 2: They hadn't given that guy contract.
1:36
Speaker 3: I mean he was he had no contract for twenty
1:39
Speaker 3: twenty five, so I mean, clearly that cussed him off.
1:41
Speaker 3: There was clearly something going on with the administration. Charles
1:44
Speaker 3: Huton used the old running back coach Assissippi State and
1:47
Speaker 3: at Alabama. He's got a lot of experience recruiting that area.
1:50
Speaker 3: I'll be interested to see how that works out. I thought,
1:53
Speaker 3: I think that's Southern job brutal in this experience. So,
1:56
Speaker 3: you know, I don't know know what it takes to
2:01
Speaker 3: be successful at some of these jobs now. I mean
2:03
Speaker 3: it's the portal is a complete and utter disaster for
2:08
Speaker 3: some of these places, and it's just gonna be fascinating
2:13
Speaker 3: to see what route people decide to go, because I
2:15
Speaker 3: think if you don't have money, I think you just
2:18
Speaker 3: got to go find the blue collar guy who's just
2:21
Speaker 3: you know, he's a high school coaches kid and stuff
2:24
Speaker 3: like that. Just find that hard nosed guy who may
2:26
Speaker 3: stick around because he loves the game for four or
2:28
Speaker 3: five years and let him go and just go get it,
2:32
Speaker 3: you know. I mean, you got to find the Ashton
2:34
Speaker 3: genties of the world.
2:35
Speaker 2: I would love to get an.
2:36
Speaker 3: Interview with Genty and find out how much money he
2:38
Speaker 3: turned down last year in the portal. When you hear
2:41
Speaker 3: that he had offers from everybody, he had offers from.
2:44
Speaker 3: Can you imagine how much money that guy turned down.
2:47
Speaker 3: I'm sure boys scrapes some money together to pain, but
2:50
Speaker 3: it ain't nearly what his ass would have gotten in
2:52
Speaker 3: the portal.
2:54
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. It's it's definitely And as you're
2:57
Speaker 1: going into bull season, you really a couple of things
3:00
Speaker 1: look at. And we'll come back to the Army Navy
3:01
Speaker 1: game in the playoffs. You gotta look at who's coaching.
3:04
Speaker 1: I'm not a huge fan of backing teams that are
3:08
Speaker 1: with the interim head coach, especially if they haven't found
3:11
Speaker 1: a new coach or it's not coming from within, because
3:15
Speaker 1: who knows what's going to go on with that roster.
3:18
Speaker 1: I am not again, I am not for backing teams
3:21
Speaker 1: that are playing against service academies. I feel like service
3:24
Speaker 1: academies ultimately have an advantage in these games because they're
3:28
Speaker 1: typically overmatched their practice. I mean, everybody gets to practice,
3:32
Speaker 1: But who gets fired up to play Army? You think
3:35
Speaker 1: You think Marshall with half of their lineup gone, a
3:38
Speaker 1: new head coach and an interim coach is excited to
3:40
Speaker 1: play Army on the twenty eighth in shrie Vegas. Hell no,
3:44
Speaker 1: there's no way. Yeah. And so you've got a lot
3:47
Speaker 1: of that that goes on, and so it's it's interesting.
3:51
Speaker 1: And the other thing I won't do during Bowls season
3:53
Speaker 1: is I will not bet on the MAC. The MAC
3:56
Speaker 1: is so bad in Bowls. I feel like every year
3:59
Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, no, this is a good back team.
4:01
Speaker 1: They're gonna upset, and then you go look at their
4:04
Speaker 1: pre conference games when they just get their heads kicked in,
4:07
Speaker 1: and then you go look at their bowl record overall
4:09
Speaker 1: and they're awful. So I will either I will either
4:12
Speaker 1: bet against the back, I will pass that game completely.
4:15
Speaker 1: Is my immediate theory going into ball season. As simple
4:19
Speaker 1: as that.
4:19
Speaker 2: Yeah, it is. It's gonna be fascinating.
4:22
Speaker 3: A lot of kids hitting the portal that are important,
4:26
Speaker 3: you know, big good players.
4:28
Speaker 1: Uh.
4:28
Speaker 3: I saw the five star defensive end, number one rushing
4:31
Speaker 3: in the country went to Missouri last year, has hit
4:34
Speaker 3: the portal. Uh, he's got four years left. I mean, man,
4:38
Speaker 3: you're just seeing all kinds of guys hit the portal.
4:42
Speaker 3: You know, my my beloved Bulldogs are bringing bringing back shape,
4:45
Speaker 3: and I wonder what that does to the freshman. The
4:47
Speaker 3: freshman's asking for one point five million. He ain't nearly
4:51
Speaker 3: worth that good kid, talented player, But man, you you
4:56
Speaker 3: just simply can't overpay some of these kids. And these
4:59
Speaker 3: kids think they're wor so much more money than they are.
5:03
Speaker 3: State's best freshman wide receiver Ruvette. I think he had
5:06
Speaker 3: four hundred and fifty yards receiving. He's wanting seven figures.
5:10
Speaker 3: I mean, it's just these kids have lost their damn mind.
5:14
Speaker 3: But more importantly, the boosters paying their ass have lost
5:17
Speaker 3: their mind. I mean, we really do need some changes
5:20
Speaker 3: in college football. And everybody says all the numbers you're
5:23
Speaker 3: hearing aren't true. That's bullshit on my end. I mean,
5:27
Speaker 3: some of the numbers I'm hearing are accurate, and I
5:31
Speaker 3: donate to our nil there is. I am telling you
5:35
Speaker 3: the stuff kids are asking for is insane. They're not
5:39
Speaker 3: worth it. If I was a college football coach, I'd
5:42
Speaker 3: go coach in the NFL. Yeah, the circus is wilder
5:45
Speaker 3: and you may change jobs every two years and move.
5:48
Speaker 2: This has got to be a total disaster for a
5:50
Speaker 2: football coach.
5:51
Speaker 3: And I cannot imagine being Jeff Levy trying to build
5:54
Speaker 3: a program in a tough league like the Southeastern Conference
5:59
Speaker 3: with this going on.
6:00
Speaker 2: I mean, it's just it is.
6:02
Speaker 3: There are changes that need to be made in college sports.
6:05
Speaker 3: And as great as this is for leveling the playing field,
6:10
Speaker 3: we have to get some barriers. We you know, we
6:13
Speaker 3: got to have some guardrails on this thing too. And
6:16
Speaker 3: you know, whether that's salary cats, whether that's limiting transfers,
6:19
Speaker 3: whatever those things are, they got to get some guardrails
6:23
Speaker 3: in place. It's a disaster these guys. I mean, we're
6:27
Speaker 3: gonna look up too and three years and we're gonna
6:28
Speaker 3: have seen guys play at four schools in four years.
6:31
Speaker 3: That's not far from happening already. And here we are
6:35
Speaker 3: with COVID. We got guys. We got dudes about to
6:37
Speaker 3: play their seventh year of college football. We were talking
6:40
Speaker 3: about Zeno before we went on the air.
6:42
Speaker 2: That dude was.
6:43
Speaker 3: He committed in twenty eighteen, signed in the twenty nineteen class.
6:47
Speaker 3: He's going to be playing football in twenty twenty five.
6:50
Speaker 3: That's insane. I mean, it used to be the complete
6:57
Speaker 3: and utter rarity that a guy got a sixth year
6:59
Speaker 3: to play. We got dudes playing six seven year hell.
7:01
Speaker 3: I think that night end at Miami was on his.
7:04
Speaker 2: Eighth or ninth year. Oh man, I.
7:08
Speaker 1: Remember when you were a Remember when you were a
7:10
Speaker 1: freshman and you shut up on campus and you saw
7:12
Speaker 1: like your first dude that was like balding and he
7:16
Speaker 1: was like a fifth year senior, and you were like,
7:18
Speaker 1: holy shit, that dude as old as my dad. I mean,
7:21
Speaker 1: you imagine rolling into a locker room and there's a
7:23
Speaker 1: two twenty five years old He's got hair in places
7:27
Speaker 1: you didn't even know it grew at eighteen years old.
7:30
Speaker 2: Right, exactly, right, gotta.
7:34
Speaker 1: Oh man, Anyway, talking about that, we'll get to the
7:37
Speaker 1: army Navy game. Here in a minute, I'm gonna thought
7:40
Speaker 1: a couple early Bowl picks lines that I like. I
7:44
Speaker 1: kind of liked the College Football Playoff teams that landed there.
7:48
Speaker 1: I got no problem with how that got slated. Bama
7:51
Speaker 1: getting left out does not bother me. Beat Oklahoma, you
7:54
Speaker 1: get in, Miami, beat Syracuse, you get in. You didn't
7:58
Speaker 1: do it, You're not in. And so I laughed that
8:03
Speaker 1: it's still an imperfect system that we're talking about how
8:05
Speaker 1: it needs to be better. I mean, I'm just kind
8:07
Speaker 1: of the point now. It's like, if you win your conference,
8:09
Speaker 1: you get in, and then let's have seven or you know,
8:12
Speaker 1: have the many at large bids and let's have a
8:14
Speaker 1: big old tournament and have some fun with it. But
8:16
Speaker 1: I'm excited about the College Football Playoff. I like the format.
8:19
Speaker 1: I love the fact that we have meaningful of football
8:23
Speaker 1: next weekend and we're not having to wait till January
8:27
Speaker 1: the first to see another meaningful football game. Not that
8:30
Speaker 1: I just credit the bowl games because they do mean
8:32
Speaker 1: things for different programs, but this is the big deal
8:37
Speaker 1: I'm excited about. And I even like some of the
8:39
Speaker 1: bowl games that I don't know if I have a
8:40
Speaker 1: play on yet. But I like some of the matchups,
8:43
Speaker 1: like I love the Boston College Nebraska game. Even though
8:46
Speaker 1: Nebraska's quarterbacks left, so has Boston Colleges. But these are
8:50
Speaker 1: again two teams that fought hard to get here, and
8:54
Speaker 1: this is a good building block for both of these
8:56
Speaker 1: teams with these coaches to move on. I think that's
8:59
Speaker 1: a you know, and there's several games that I think
9:02
Speaker 1: are like that. And then you've got other games like
9:04
Speaker 1: Baylor LSU. I don't know how much LSU cares to
9:07
Speaker 1: be here, but you know, NUSS is coming back. Kelly's
9:10
Speaker 1: been terrible in bowl games. You know Baylor's been hot.
9:14
Speaker 1: Are they gonna Are they gonna overcome the deficit and
9:17
Speaker 1: the roster that they've got, I don't know. But there's
9:20
Speaker 1: just some interesting storylines. You've got the matchup between Indiana
9:24
Speaker 1: and Notre Dame. I love the fact that you've got
9:27
Speaker 1: two Indiana teams play in that first games. So there's
9:31
Speaker 1: it's a lot of fun. I'm excited for where we
9:33
Speaker 1: are is college football going forward for the next eight weeks.
9:36
Speaker 1: I think it's a better space than we've been in
9:39
Speaker 1: the last couple of years.
9:42
Speaker 3: Talking about the playoff games, that Indiana Notre Dame game
9:46
Speaker 3: is fascinating to me. I think anybody's listening to us knows.
9:49
Speaker 3: I'm a Marcus Freeman fan, but I also think Kirk
9:52
Speaker 3: Signetty is a better X and O football coach, but
9:54
Speaker 3: Notre Dame is significantly more talented. That's gonna be. That's
9:59
Speaker 3: a fascinating game. I think they probably drill Indiana, but uh,
10:04
Speaker 3: that's a that's a fascinating game to me. Penn State
10:08
Speaker 3: and SMU I have kind of bounced around on.
10:12
Speaker 2: The weather.
10:13
Speaker 3: Does not look like it's going to be as cold
10:16
Speaker 3: as I thought it might have been, so I think.
10:18
Speaker 2: That actually hurts Penn State a little bit.
10:22
Speaker 3: But SMU, you were talking about teams getting in and
10:25
Speaker 3: getting left out, and like U, zero problem with how
10:28
Speaker 3: that shook out. The two SEC team actually all three
10:31
Speaker 3: SEC teams. I mean, I'm sorry, but but South Carolina
10:35
Speaker 3: you were the third SEC team left out.
10:37
Speaker 2: Don't care, you're hot.
10:38
Speaker 3: You lost both the teams ahead of you, who've got
10:40
Speaker 3: three losses too. Don't talk to me. You lost to
10:43
Speaker 3: both of them, one of them at home and got
10:44
Speaker 3: boat raced. Oh miss, sorry, don't lose to Kentucky at home.
10:48
Speaker 3: You lost to the second worst team in the Southeastern
10:50
Speaker 3: Conference at home. Sorry, don't deserve to play off Alabama,
10:55
Speaker 3: same thing. Two bad losses. Those are two bad losses.
10:58
Speaker 3: Vandy and Oklahoma are both bad losses. That can happen.
11:02
Speaker 3: You have got they didn't deserve to be in. I
11:04
Speaker 3: also kind of like that. And now I will say,
11:07
Speaker 3: if SMU had lost by three touchdowns, I think they'd
11:10
Speaker 3: been out, and I think Bama would have gotten in.
11:12
Speaker 3: That would have been their excuse. They battled back almost
11:15
Speaker 3: won that football game. And I'm glad they didn't lose
11:18
Speaker 3: a chance leave a championship team out. I really am,
11:22
Speaker 3: because you could have easily found if Georgia had lost,
11:24
Speaker 3: where they're gonna bump them out. You know, that would
11:28
Speaker 3: have been a tough that'd have been a tough deal.
11:31
Speaker 3: That would have negated playing in a champion You're penalizing
11:34
Speaker 3: a guy for playing in a championship game. So I'm
11:36
Speaker 3: glad they didn't do that. I think that sets up
11:39
Speaker 3: a slippery slope. Everybody is talking about the SEC taking
11:43
Speaker 3: out the big conference games like non conference games. They
11:47
Speaker 3: didn't lose non conference games.
11:49
Speaker 2: Everything we're talking about. I got their ass kicked in
11:51
Speaker 2: conference by something.
11:52
Speaker 1: I heard this argument the other day and I thought
11:56
Speaker 1: it was interesting. Said, well, the SEC is just not
11:57
Speaker 1: going to play anybody in pre conference. I'm like, well,
12:00
Speaker 1: it's hold punked the break. It's like, it's not a
12:02
Speaker 1: whole lot of times they do it. Go. They didn't
12:04
Speaker 1: lose non con games, they lost conference games. They built
12:08
Speaker 1: they built a machine that was it was good, it
12:11
Speaker 1: was perfect. And I think they kind of scratched their
12:15
Speaker 1: head a little bit that we didn't get all our
12:16
Speaker 1: teams in the dance, but you got a lot of
12:19
Speaker 1: good teams in the SEC, and they they built a
12:21
Speaker 1: good product, and that's that's what's going to happen.
12:24
Speaker 2: Yep, that's exactly and that's that is exactly right.
12:27
Speaker 3: And you know it's Look, I think these teams, like
12:31
Speaker 3: do I think Old miss would have been prime and A.
12:35
Speaker 2: In a playoff?
12:36
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I think they'd have been dangerous because they
12:38
Speaker 3: played to their competition level. Well guess what that makes
12:41
Speaker 3: you not a good football team? You know, as Nick standard.
12:44
Speaker 3: Nick Saban used to say, you set standard, and you
12:48
Speaker 3: know there has to be a minimum level of play. Look,
12:51
Speaker 3: they played awful against Mississippi State too. If State's decent.
12:54
Speaker 3: I mean, they get decent quarterback playing that game they
12:56
Speaker 3: beat Ole Miss. I mean that's the truth. That couple
12:59
Speaker 3: of great play from Levy. One being a pick that
13:02
Speaker 3: was an easy touchdown with a good throw. Just freshman
13:05
Speaker 3: quarterback makes poor throw gets picked off, But I mean
13:07
Speaker 3: that's a touchdown. He's way behind the defense that is.
13:11
Speaker 3: I mean they gave up an eighty nine yard touchdown
13:13
Speaker 3: run with their best defender right in the gap and
13:16
Speaker 3: he slips. You know, there were just some quirky things. Oh,
13:19
Speaker 3: Miss didn't play well in that game at all. That's
13:21
Speaker 3: a rivalry game that tells you they were down, Yes,
13:24
Speaker 3: states down. They knew they were the better team, but
13:26
Speaker 3: at the end of the day, stopped playing to your competition.
13:29
Speaker 3: If you're gonna complain to me about missing the playoffs,
13:33
Speaker 3: that's a bottom line. Kirk Signaty's team didn't do it.
13:36
Speaker 3: Oh they hadn't played anybody well and lose to those
13:39
Speaker 3: shitty teams either.
13:39
Speaker 1: You did, Yeah, I mean I get it. It's been
13:43
Speaker 1: an imperfect sport for a long time. How we get
13:46
Speaker 1: to decide to get a champion still an imperfect process,
13:49
Speaker 1: but it's better than it's ever been. No of course,
13:51
Speaker 1: I think the product is as far as the entertainment
13:54
Speaker 1: value of college football, I think the product is peaking
13:58
Speaker 1: right now, and so I've all for it, Scot. That
14:01
Speaker 1: being said, we got a game this Saturday. We got
14:03
Speaker 1: some bowl games this Saturday too, and we can throw
14:06
Speaker 1: some early ones in there. But Saturday, the game I
14:08
Speaker 1: want to talk about. We'll start at two pm Central time,
14:11
Speaker 1: three pm East Coast time. We'll be playing in Washington,
14:15
Speaker 1: d C. And what used to be FedEx Field now
14:17
Speaker 1: I think it's Northwest Field or something like that. Coming
14:21
Speaker 1: to call the new RFK, even though I don't think
14:23
Speaker 1: they like that.
14:23
Speaker 3: But anyway, as you can call it, go ahead, babe,
14:28
Speaker 3: like it.
14:29
Speaker 1: Army and Navy matchup in this game. This will decide
14:31
Speaker 1: who wins the Commander in Chiefs Trophy. If you're not
14:34
Speaker 1: familiar with how that works, it's the and they play
14:37
Speaker 1: a round robin between Air Force, Army and Navy. The
14:40
Speaker 1: team that has the best records in that wins the
14:43
Speaker 1: Commander in Chiefs Trophy. Both of these teams handled Air
14:47
Speaker 1: Force pretty well earlier on in the season. They come
14:50
Speaker 1: into this game. You've seen this light open up around
14:53
Speaker 1: four It been sped up all the way to Army
14:56
Speaker 1: minus six and a half total opened up at forty one,
15:00
Speaker 1: it's crashed down to thirty eight and a half. If
15:03
Speaker 1: you go look at the numbers, you're going to have
15:05
Speaker 1: every public person on the planet is going to be
15:08
Speaker 1: betting on the under because I think it's hit thirteen
15:11
Speaker 1: out of fifteen times. But you need to go back
15:13
Speaker 1: and looks at some of those games too. There were
15:15
Speaker 1: some really bad Army Navy games as far as what
15:19
Speaker 1: products being put on the field by these teams, and
15:21
Speaker 1: the number was set too high. I don't think we
15:24
Speaker 1: were adjusting to copy. You know, when Service academies played
15:27
Speaker 1: the totals, we bet some scary unders with Service academies.
15:31
Speaker 1: I mean low thirties type stuff that's here and so.
15:35
Speaker 1: And these are different teams, very different teams as we
15:37
Speaker 1: dive into it, but I.
15:38
Speaker 2: Think had wins between them. Mark I know, I.
15:42
Speaker 1: Know, And I love the Navy new coach Newbery. I
15:47
Speaker 1: think he's done a really good job taking over for
15:50
Speaker 1: Ken after being there. Obviously, Munkin's done fantastic. I think
15:54
Speaker 1: the quarterback at Navy's healthy from everything that I can
15:57
Speaker 1: see from reading through the he leaves and everything that's
16:01
Speaker 1: out there, and so I think Eli Horvat, the quarterback
16:04
Speaker 1: at Navy, is healthy. And that's who we're gonna see
16:06
Speaker 1: on Saturday. Bryson Daily, the quarterback at Army, is back.
16:10
Speaker 1: But more importantly than Bryson Daily, as you got, kenyan
16:13
Speaker 1: Udo will be lining up behind him. He's an explosive back.
16:17
Speaker 1: He's only a softmore. I'll be interested to see if
16:19
Speaker 1: he hits the portal because I definitely think he could
16:23
Speaker 1: possibly be going somewhere. But Scott, as we line up
16:26
Speaker 1: for Army Navy this weekend, I here's how I'm gonna
16:30
Speaker 1: play this. I've got two units and I'm gonna cut
16:32
Speaker 1: him up four ways. I am gonna take Army a
16:36
Speaker 1: little money line cover there. It's like minus two fifty,
16:39
Speaker 1: not my favorite bet, and I'm gonna play Army minus
16:42
Speaker 1: six and a half. I think Army can cover the
16:43
Speaker 1: number at this one. Where are you out on this spot?
16:46
Speaker 3: Well, I love what you said about the teaser we
16:52
Speaker 3: were talking about for this ball game. I certainly think
16:56
Speaker 3: that's a fun bet. I am simply gonna take Army
16:59
Speaker 3: and the number because I think they're better. I also
17:03
Speaker 3: like the over in this ball game. Those are the
17:08
Speaker 3: Those are the two plays that I'm gonna make. I
17:10
Speaker 3: think they're both going to score more points than people
17:13
Speaker 3: are thinking like. I think this number is going to
17:15
Speaker 3: be in the forties, is my personal opinion. This Army
17:18
Speaker 3: offense is good when they actually both offenses are pretty
17:21
Speaker 3: pretty good when both quarterbacks play, but this Army offense
17:24
Speaker 3: is really good when they play. These teams are going
17:27
Speaker 3: to fight it out. We're gonna get max effort, and
17:31
Speaker 3: I just think that these teams are better than they've
17:34
Speaker 3: been in the past and we're going to get more
17:36
Speaker 3: points as a result. Great stat from that I saw
17:41
Speaker 3: this morning for Army last week against Tulane, and this
17:46
Speaker 3: is the mark of a not a good football team,
17:48
Speaker 3: a really good football team. Last week they had no
17:51
Speaker 3: penalties and no turnovers and no points. First team to
17:56
Speaker 3: do that in the ballgame in over twenty years. That's
18:00
Speaker 3: a YO stat right there. That impressive. That's a damn
18:04
Speaker 3: good football team right there, extremely impressive to do that.
18:08
Speaker 3: I think this Army team is extremely efficient. I think
18:12
Speaker 3: Navy is gonna do what they always do, pull out
18:14
Speaker 3: some big plays, make some plays, but I think I
18:19
Speaker 3: think at the end of the day, Army is a
18:20
Speaker 3: touchdown better than these guys, and I think it's going
18:23
Speaker 3: over the total.
18:24
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's gonna go over the total as well.
18:27
Speaker 1: Navy's been. Navy's put up two fifty burgers this season.
18:31
Speaker 1: One was on Memphis, I believe when they smoked those guys,
18:34
Speaker 1: and then they beat my boy Biff Pope at Charlotte
18:37
Speaker 1: and put a fifty burger up there. Their offense is
18:40
Speaker 1: not as uptight run through the a gap is what
18:43
Speaker 1: it used to be. They've definitely spread this thing out more.
18:46
Speaker 1: They've also had two weeks to get ready for this game,
18:48
Speaker 1: which Army normally has, but last week Army was playing
18:51
Speaker 1: in the conference championship game, and so who knows what
18:55
Speaker 1: kind of new wrinkles they may be able to put
18:57
Speaker 1: in this. But where Navy's offense is really this season
19:00
Speaker 1: is on explosive plays. Uh. They they they are a
19:04
Speaker 1: more explosive offense in that front, and so I think
19:08
Speaker 1: that you could see some big chunk plays that could
19:11
Speaker 1: turn into points. From a special team's perspective, neither one
19:15
Speaker 1: of these teams is very good. Armies kicker may have
19:18
Speaker 1: only kicked once or twice all season. Uh, and so
19:21
Speaker 1: you're gonna get more Indian zone. I think it's gonna
19:24
Speaker 1: be a lot of four down territory for both these teams.
19:26
Speaker 1: But I also think, you know, maybe you know, if
19:30
Speaker 1: you look at this team from an Army standpoint, they
19:32
Speaker 1: run a three three five, and I think Navy's gonna
19:36
Speaker 1: be able to, you know, exploit the Army's defense a
19:38
Speaker 1: little bit. And I also think that because these teams
19:41
Speaker 1: are so familiar with each other, you're I think Navy's
19:44
Speaker 1: gonna get some chunk plays. So I'm going over. I
19:46
Speaker 1: am gonna tease it, uh, and I'm gonna tease it
19:49
Speaker 1: down to I don't I haven't got a college teaser
19:51
Speaker 1: in one hundred years. I've got a couple of guys
19:53
Speaker 1: that when they hear this, I'm gonna get notes from
19:55
Speaker 1: them because they're gonna laugh. But the I'm gonna tease
19:58
Speaker 1: the total down to what third one and a half
20:01
Speaker 1: thirty two and a half, And I'm gonna tease Army
20:03
Speaker 1: down to basically a pick them it minus a half
20:07
Speaker 1: point and I think that's probably where I'm gonna put
20:09
Speaker 1: the biggest chunk in my bat.
20:11
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like I said, I like that number. I think
20:13
Speaker 3: because I do think Army is gonna win this ball game.
20:16
Speaker 3: Six and a half is a big number. These games
20:19
Speaker 3: have been hard faught. But I agree with you. I
20:21
Speaker 3: think I do think this number is going in the forties.
20:24
Speaker 3: Anything you do to lower that. Army is the better
20:28
Speaker 3: football team. I think there's very little doubt about that.
20:32
Speaker 2: But the better.
20:33
Speaker 3: Team has lost this game numerous times because this they
20:37
Speaker 3: go at it and it is This is such a
20:41
Speaker 3: fun game. Everybody's served me talk about it, excited for
20:43
Speaker 3: you to watch it. Just the sportsmanship, the effort, just
20:47
Speaker 3: everything that goes into this game is outstanding. I encourage
20:51
Speaker 3: anybody that listens to us to go to this game
20:53
Speaker 3: at some point. It is if you are a college
20:56
Speaker 3: football fan. This game is awesome once you attend it
21:00
Speaker 3: and you love it forever. Once you go, like you
21:03
Speaker 3: want to watch it every year. It becomes much more
21:05
Speaker 3: meaningful when you go and just see the sportsmanship and
21:08
Speaker 3: just how how important it is to all these kids.
21:12
Speaker 3: So I love this game. I love our bets, like
21:15
Speaker 3: the like the numbers. I am going with a Navy grad,
21:19
Speaker 3: so he's probably not going to be very happy that
21:21
Speaker 3: I am betting on Army, but.
21:25
Speaker 1: I'm going to give you a couple of others to
21:26
Speaker 1: have some fun with here. If you've got a Draft
21:29
Speaker 1: Kings account, you can get Kenya Kanye Udo running back
21:34
Speaker 1: for Armies. You can get any time touchdown plus one
21:39
Speaker 1: first time you gotta score is plus five fifty for
21:42
Speaker 1: udoback and also plus five fifty as well for Navy.
21:46
Speaker 1: That might be two really good bets.
21:48
Speaker 3: I mean you talk about you know, he talked about
21:51
Speaker 3: winning some cheese, you know, on a fifty dollars bet,
21:54
Speaker 3: one hundred dollars bet. That's a good way I can
21:55
Speaker 3: make it. That can make a good day. I don't
21:57
Speaker 3: think of either one of those bad bets.
21:59
Speaker 1: Well, and you you can get on udo is you
22:02
Speaker 1: can get plus eighty you know, over eighty yards plus
22:04
Speaker 1: one thirty, over one hundred yards plus two seventy and
22:08
Speaker 1: over one hundred and twenty yards plus five fifty or
22:11
Speaker 1: plus five hundred and so I don't have those tickets
22:14
Speaker 1: in play yet, but I definitely plan on putting a
22:17
Speaker 1: little bit of a play together on the prop side,
22:20
Speaker 1: just because we've got a single game, all right, Scott.
22:22
Speaker 1: We've got we do have a couple of bowl games
22:24
Speaker 1: this Saturday. The first one we're going to talk about
22:26
Speaker 1: is Western Michigan and South Alabama. This is an interesting game.
22:31
Speaker 1: To me, I am not understanding what the love is
22:34
Speaker 1: with Western Michigan in this spot South Alabama. From what
22:38
Speaker 1: I can tell, Goo Lopez, the quarterback there is not
22:41
Speaker 1: in the portal and he is the dynamic. He's the
22:43
Speaker 1: star of the stars, the drink in this one. Is
22:45
Speaker 1: there any reason to back Western Michigan in this game
22:48
Speaker 1: against the Sun Belt team?
22:51
Speaker 2: No, not at all.
22:53
Speaker 3: Like you said, cannot imagine. Western has underperformed every time
22:58
Speaker 3: they've played somebody decent. I kept thinking this team was
23:01
Speaker 3: gonna be better with everybody they had back.
23:03
Speaker 2: They even went through stretches where they didn't.
23:05
Speaker 3: Turn the football over during the year, and they still
23:09
Speaker 3: didn't be good teams when they played them. So I
23:10
Speaker 3: don't think that this being a pretty good Sun Belt
23:13
Speaker 3: team that they're they're gonna beat South Alabama.
23:16
Speaker 2: I like, I like the Jaguars in this ball game.
23:20
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't understand the love for this. I'm gonna
23:23
Speaker 1: unless Dio Lopez is not playing a six and six
23:26
Speaker 1: South Alabama team. To me, it's much better place to
23:29
Speaker 1: put your money in than a six and sixth Western
23:32
Speaker 1: Michigan team, So I would lean South Alabama here. A
23:35
Speaker 1: couple of other early week plays you got Tuesday, which
23:38
Speaker 1: will this game will be played before we record again.
23:41
Speaker 1: Memphis against West Virginia. West Virginia's fired Neil Brown. You've
23:45
Speaker 1: got coaches that are running for the hills. You're starting
23:47
Speaker 1: to see a lot of money come in on West
23:49
Speaker 1: Virginia at plus three. If Memphis is quarterbacks playing from
23:53
Speaker 1: what all purpose I can tell I lean Memphis here
23:55
Speaker 1: minus three in the spot. I think Memphis might be
23:58
Speaker 1: excited to give a chance to put much up a
24:00
Speaker 1: little bit, But I can't see any motivation for Western
24:03
Speaker 1: Michigan in this game.
24:05
Speaker 2: West Virginia doesn't feel like they've got any momentum.
24:07
Speaker 1: Uh.
24:08
Speaker 3: But we've seen coaches step up. Biggball loss I've ever
24:11
Speaker 3: had was a was a coach less team. Hell, they
24:14
Speaker 3: had one, only had like two coaches out of the
24:16
Speaker 3: entire staff's day, and they figured out a way to
24:20
Speaker 3: beat Lamar Jackson when he won the Heisman. So remember
24:24
Speaker 3: that you know that is, you know that is. You
24:28
Speaker 3: just don't know what you're gonna get in these games.
24:30
Speaker 3: At the end of the day. I do think this
24:32
Speaker 3: Memphis program feels like it's got more going in the
24:35
Speaker 3: right direction, and I feel like that they probably outperform
24:39
Speaker 3: in Frisco and and and get it done on what
24:43
Speaker 3: should be a good turf. I think the weather looks
24:45
Speaker 3: like it's gonna be fine on Saturdays, I mean on Tuesday,
24:48
Speaker 3: So so anyway, it should be uh should should be
24:53
Speaker 3: a pretty good ball game. But I like I would
24:55
Speaker 3: I would lean Memphis here. It is so hard to
24:58
Speaker 3: call these games early because candidly, you literally got to
25:01
Speaker 3: study it the day before, you know, And really, I
25:05
Speaker 3: mean we have talked about games and I've loved the game,
25:07
Speaker 3: and then got into it and four guys hit the
25:10
Speaker 3: portal and you're like, hell, they're not going to win
25:12
Speaker 3: with those guys without those guys, and then boom, change
25:15
Speaker 3: your You know, you gotta change your bet when you
25:17
Speaker 3: get ready to place it. So it's just a different time, man.
25:21
Speaker 3: Betting on ball games is hard. Betting on college football
25:25
Speaker 3: is hard. Betting on ball games is brutally hard. You
25:27
Speaker 3: have to know who's playing, and you really have to
25:30
Speaker 3: look at who's got momentum and who doesn't. But the
25:33
Speaker 3: main thing is who's going to be playing in that
25:36
Speaker 3: ball game? Who's going to play in the ball game
25:38
Speaker 3: is to me a huge part of the game. I
25:41
Speaker 3: think Memphis is gonna have a little bit more momentum
25:44
Speaker 3: in this.
25:45
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the only games. I've got a couple
25:47
Speaker 1: of early plays. I'll go ahead and give those out.
25:48
Speaker 1: I would take Army on the twenty eighth of December.
25:52
Speaker 1: I would bet that now you can find some thirteen
25:54
Speaker 1: and a halfs. They're still fluting around, but mainly fourteen.
25:57
Speaker 1: They're playing a Marshall team that does not have a
25:59
Speaker 1: quarterback cam the roster that I know of, they don't
26:02
Speaker 1: have a coach. They had thirteen starters that have hit
26:04
Speaker 1: the portal. I cannot see them being fired up to
26:06
Speaker 1: play in Shreeport. So I like Army minus fourteen in
26:11
Speaker 1: that one that you've got there. I kind of like
26:14
Speaker 1: Ull getting thirteen against TCU. I think this Ull team
26:18
Speaker 1: could be much overlooked. They laid a complete egg last
26:22
Speaker 1: week or in the conference championship game against Marshall, but
26:26
Speaker 1: I kind of think they bounced back. I haven't laid
26:27
Speaker 1: that one yet, but I just have a hard time
26:29
Speaker 1: believing TCU is gonna be excited to be in Albuquerque
26:33
Speaker 1: on the twenty eighth. I mean, this is a team
26:35
Speaker 1: that's two years away removed from playing the national championship.
26:38
Speaker 1: But then Texas Tech plus one and a half Taylor
26:41
Speaker 1: Green from Arkansas is not going to play. From what
26:43
Speaker 1: I can tell, Texas Tech will be motivated playing this one.
26:47
Speaker 1: They're gonna get most of their kids back. And then
26:49
Speaker 1: when you get into the conference, you know, we can
26:52
Speaker 1: talk about these next week two as well. But when
26:54
Speaker 1: I look at those first four games starting next Friday
26:57
Speaker 1: and then the three games on Saturday, I kind of
27:01
Speaker 1: like Clemson plus ten and a half, Uh, Texas to me,
27:06
Speaker 1: quinn EWRS is not.
27:07
Speaker 2: That good right now.
27:10
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'll take eleven with this Clemson team. I
27:14
Speaker 1: do think Clemson has peaked and they're starting down the
27:17
Speaker 1: mountain as far as the program goes. But I kind
27:20
Speaker 1: of like Clemson getting ten and a half. There would
27:23
Speaker 1: be my first play. The other game I really like
27:26
Speaker 1: as far as total goes. I like the over in
27:28
Speaker 1: the Indiana Notre Dame game. I think there's gonna be
27:31
Speaker 1: a lot of points in this game. You're gonna give
27:33
Speaker 1: Signetti a couple of weeks to get ready for this one.
27:37
Speaker 1: I think we'll see some new wrinkles there. And then
27:39
Speaker 1: the one thing about Notre Dame, man is I think
27:41
Speaker 1: that offense is a lot more explosive than what people
27:45
Speaker 1: do realize. And so I think you're gonna see I
27:47
Speaker 1: think I see a lot of offense in the Indiana
27:49
Speaker 1: Notre Dame game next Friday night.
27:51
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Tennessee Ohost State's gonna go under. I
27:54
Speaker 3: don't know that I love that. I don't know that
27:56
Speaker 3: I love that line Tennessee.
27:59
Speaker 2: Honestly.
27:59
Speaker 3: I mean, looking that Georgia game, I thought take cover
28:01
Speaker 3: seven and a half. They didn't, you know, so they're
28:04
Speaker 3: overmatched in this game. If Ohio State has a pulse,
28:07
Speaker 3: they're way overmatched. Man, that Ohio State offense is so underwhelming,
28:11
Speaker 3: and that Tennessee defense is pretty good. But when Tennessee's
28:15
Speaker 3: played good teams, they haven't scored no, But that Tennessee
28:19
Speaker 3: defense is pretty good. I think the under is probably
28:22
Speaker 3: the play in that ball game. I would I would
28:24
Speaker 3: lean to Texas and that I mean to Clemson and
28:27
Speaker 3: that big number Penn State's either gonna lose or gas can.
28:31
Speaker 2: I really believe that. I just am fascinated to see how.
28:35
Speaker 3: They keep up athletically with that defense with a running quarterback.
28:39
Speaker 2: I mean, that kid's good.
28:40
Speaker 3: Man, He's explosive, and it is really hard to get
28:44
Speaker 3: a bead on whether that guy is running or throwing.
28:46
Speaker 3: He will pull up and throw at the last second.
28:49
Speaker 3: I mean, it's pretty hard to defend. So fascinated by that,
28:53
Speaker 3: it feels like Penn State may drill those guys. But
28:56
Speaker 3: you know, I have undersold SMU a good bit year.
29:00
Speaker 3: Not gonna not gonna do it again. I'm probably gonna
29:02
Speaker 3: stay away from that game. I will tell you this.
29:06
Speaker 2: We're gonna get an upset that weekend. It's just a
29:10
Speaker 2: question of.
29:10
Speaker 1: Who which game do you think most likely you see
29:13
Speaker 1: an upset into those four.
29:16
Speaker 3: I think it's that's immut because Penn State can man
29:20
Speaker 3: that offense can it ain't scared to be blind. And
29:25
Speaker 3: if this turns into a score fest, man if if that,
29:29
Speaker 3: because I'm concerned the Penn State defense may not be
29:32
Speaker 3: able to stop these guys, that that the running athletic
29:36
Speaker 3: quarterback may give them fits. And if they do that,
29:42
Speaker 3: that could be it. But there's there's an upset coming.
29:46
Speaker 3: You just there's too much parody in college football, and
29:50
Speaker 3: I mean we're talking you know, you're talking Tennessee Ohio State,
29:54
Speaker 3: because candidly, I think Ohio State is I still believe
29:57
Speaker 3: that's probably the most talented roster.
30:01
Speaker 2: In college football.
30:02
Speaker 3: But they just have not put it together and there's
30:05
Speaker 3: no reason for me to think they're going through this week.
30:08
Speaker 3: But you know, I don't think Tennessee.
30:10
Speaker 2: I don't. I think Tennessee's a year away. I will.
30:12
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna be really, really good next year,
30:15
Speaker 3: but I think they're a year away.
30:18
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's gonna be interesting. I will dig more into
30:19
Speaker 1: those games. We'll put those good for the conference, excuse me,
30:23
Speaker 1: the first bowl games, and we'll also have some extensive
30:26
Speaker 1: coverage of those first four games once you've got a
30:27
Speaker 1: chance to dig in over this week. So a couple
30:29
Speaker 1: of bets we've got let's finalize this week. And you're
30:31
Speaker 1: a for army Navy taking an army, taking the land,
30:34
Speaker 1: the points, going over, taking some udo props. That's kind
30:38
Speaker 1: of where I'm going with this one. You got anything
30:39
Speaker 1: else now, man, that's it.
30:42
Speaker 3: I'm excited about the I'm excited about the game, just
30:45
Speaker 3: excited to get there. It's gonna be a lot of fun.
30:47
Speaker 1: Man.
30:47
Speaker 3: I'm extremely excited taking my son should be a lot,
30:51
Speaker 3: a lot of fun.
30:54
Speaker 1: Folks. Enjoy the Army Navy game. You've got some FCS games,
30:58
Speaker 1: You've got some bowl games. Your Saturday should be full.
31:01
Speaker 1: If you want to watch some college football. We'll be
31:03
Speaker 1: back at you next week as we'll do a bowl preview.
31:07
Speaker 1: Get you all the way up to the new year
31:09
Speaker 1: and all the games are there. Give us some love,
31:11
Speaker 1: give us some reviews, give us some love on some twitters,
31:14
Speaker 1: and we'll talk to you next week.