Latest / Bought Borrowed and Sold / The Calm before the Storm
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to balt Bart and Soul. Thanks so much for
- 0:03Speaker 1: joining us. And uh yeah, man, hey, Brad Smith hanging
- 0:08Speaker 1: out with us in the studio from Cross Country Mortgage.
- 0:12Speaker 1: What's that, Brad?
- 0:13Speaker 2: That's me? I mean, I'm good. How are you? I'm good.
- 0:16Speaker 1: I'm I'm just dandy. We're gonna be talking about we
- 0:18Speaker 1: got a couple of open houses today. We're gonna be,
- 0:23Speaker 1: you know, talking about the real estate market, the mortgage market.
- 0:27Speaker 1: And you know, I think it's gonna be a good
- 0:30Speaker 1: day to day. What do you think?
- 0:31Speaker 2: A great day?
- 0:32Speaker 1: All right? All right, Tony the Tiger of great No,
- 0:39Speaker 1: that wasn't That wasn't. Hey. So I want to give
- 0:43Speaker 1: some shout outs. I don't remember if I did this
- 0:45Speaker 1: last week or not, but I want to give a
- 0:49Speaker 1: shout out to Chasin Heberling first deal under contract. I
- 0:52Speaker 1: may have done it, but it deserves two weeks in
- 0:55Speaker 1: a row.
- 0:55Speaker 3: If I did, yeah, I think we mentioned it, but
- 0:58Speaker 3: I think it was still like not, you know, we
- 0:59Speaker 3: didn't work.
- 1:00Speaker 1: First contract on the real estate team Chasing Heberling. So
- 1:04Speaker 1: I just wanted to send out a special congratulations to
- 1:08Speaker 1: you and uh and then also I want to shout
- 1:10Speaker 1: out Kyle Bedgod, dude's got like eight homes in our contract.
- 1:14Speaker 1: Like he's on a roll the hammer. I'm like, let's go.
- 1:18Speaker 1: Uh So, you know that kind of gives you a
- 1:20Speaker 1: little bit of insights on what we'll talk about in
- 1:22Speaker 1: the next segment, being the real estate market, yeah and
- 1:25Speaker 1: all that fun stuff. But you know it's uh, we're right.
- 1:30Speaker 1: You know, I'm gonna talk about the calm before the storm. Yeah,
- 1:35Speaker 1: later later on. So I'm just gonna tease that good calm,
- 1:38Speaker 1: good before the storm. How about that.
- 1:40Speaker 3: I'm glad you have that because there's not as much
- 1:43Speaker 3: mortgage updates this week it was last week, so I
- 1:46Speaker 3: don't I don't have near as much that I need
- 1:48Speaker 3: to be.
- 1:48Speaker 1: Just calm before the storm.
- 1:50Speaker 2: Let's do it.
- 1:51Speaker 1: And uh so we'll talk about that in our next segment.
- 1:53Speaker 1: But you know, we got some we got some open
- 1:55Speaker 1: houses that we need to talk about. So let's let's
- 1:57Speaker 1: play the game and uh let's give the rules out
- 2:01Speaker 1: to our listeners.
- 2:02Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 2:02Speaker 3: So Gus he's going to go through the properties they've
- 2:04Speaker 3: got today and then he's going to go through some
- 2:06Speaker 3: of the fine details of the property. At the end,
- 2:09Speaker 3: he's gonna give us the list price, and then I
- 2:10Speaker 3: will give a potential down payment that a borrower may
- 2:12Speaker 3: make on that property, and Gusty and John Mounts will
- 2:16Speaker 3: take their best chance at guessing the thirty year fixed
- 2:20Speaker 3: monthly payment Princeville interest only.
- 2:22Speaker 2: I'm trying to factor anyes question.
- 2:23Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, So our first new listing of the
- 2:27Speaker 1: week happens to be one of my flips. Been working
- 2:30Speaker 1: on this one for a while, Very excited at this
- 2:34Speaker 1: how this home turned out. This is in Hoover to
- 2:38Speaker 1: eighty nine Laredo Drive. This is actually in the country
- 2:42Speaker 1: Club Highlands neighborhood right there, right off of Hoover country Club. Now,
- 2:49Speaker 1: I want you to think about like what you typically
- 2:52Speaker 1: see in a renovation of a home in like Vestavia
- 2:55Speaker 1: or Mountain Brook, and that's really what we brought to
- 2:58Speaker 1: this house on Laredo. We came in, we ripped up
- 3:01Speaker 1: all the flooring. We put in new hardwood floors on
- 3:04Speaker 1: the main level. In the upstairs, we put in new tile,
- 3:09Speaker 1: basically this marble, career marble looking just absolutely gorgeous tile.
- 3:14Speaker 1: In the bathrooms, We've got four bedrooms in three and
- 3:20Speaker 1: a half baths. We've got a two car garage, and
- 3:23Speaker 1: then in one of the bays, like literally you could
- 3:25Speaker 1: probably stack two or three cars. You could stack a
- 3:29Speaker 1: boat in there, you could stack an ATV, your four wheeler,
- 3:33Speaker 1: whatever you want to do. Like the whole like one
- 3:36Speaker 1: bay of the whole house is wide open. That's cool,
- 3:40Speaker 1: ready for you. We've got two brand new hvacs. The
- 3:44Speaker 1: roof is like twenty twenty two. Got a brand new
- 3:47Speaker 1: water heater in here. We completely changed the kitchen and
- 3:50Speaker 1: so we've got custom cabinets, we've got stainless appliances. We've
- 3:54Speaker 1: got this leathered quartz that is gorgeous. We've got a
- 4:01Speaker 1: whole and actual we changed the floor plan on the
- 4:05Speaker 1: main level and made it a an actual primary bath
- 4:10Speaker 1: on the main level with also we added a half bath.
- 4:13Speaker 1: So we've actually got two primary suites on this house.
- 4:16Speaker 1: That's one on the main level, one upstairs. So if
- 4:18Speaker 1: you've got like a teenager, you've got a parent, you
- 4:23Speaker 1: could have them upstairs. But this is really one of
- 4:28Speaker 1: this is actually probably one of my favorite houses we've
- 4:31Speaker 1: ever flipped. And brand new deck as well, new paint
- 4:34Speaker 1: on the interior, the X tier, new new flagstone patio
- 4:39Speaker 1: on the stoop, this beautiful flagstone brand new door, like
- 4:43Speaker 1: I mean, we would we went to the nines on this.
- 4:45Speaker 3: I' about say that's that's that's a lot and that's
- 4:47Speaker 3: that's pretty cool.
- 4:48Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 4:49Speaker 1: Yeah. So anyways, twenty six and seventeen square feet on
- 4:54Speaker 1: the main two levels, another four hundred and thirty nine
- 4:57Speaker 1: square feet in the finished downstairs base meant den daylight
- 5:02Speaker 1: den by the way. Yeah, and Isaac Marvin's got this
- 5:07Speaker 1: one listed for us. So uh and we're priced it
- 5:09Speaker 1: below a praise value.
- 5:11Speaker 3: Nice, Okay, so this is a big win. That's a
- 5:13Speaker 3: big win. Five ninety nine nine, five nine, five percent down,
- 5:18Speaker 3: five percent down, gusty, you get to go.
- 5:22Speaker 1: First, Okay, five percent down on five ninety nine. I
- 5:28Speaker 1: believe that is gonna put us around. Hmmm. I'm gonna
- 5:38Speaker 1: go with I don't know, let me go with thirty
- 5:45Speaker 1: six oh one, just because I wanted to make it
- 5:49Speaker 1: complicated for Brad.
- 5:53Speaker 4: I'll go I'll go a little bit lower. I'm gonna
- 5:57Speaker 4: go thirty two hundred.
- 6:00Speaker 2: Okay, I'd call that a lot lower.
- 6:02Speaker 5: Okay, I'm gonna go a lot longer, a lot lower, more.
- 6:04Speaker 2: More than ten percent. To me, he's a lot lower.
- 6:07Speaker 5: Okay, Okay, I'm going to go thirty four hundred.
- 6:09Speaker 3: It doesn't really matter the actual payment, just three thousand,
- 6:17Speaker 3: six hundred and three dollars. Yeah, holy cow. It was
- 6:21Speaker 3: actually like, is that like thirty six two seventy four
- 6:25Speaker 3: and I rounded up?
- 6:25Speaker 1: Holy But that's.
- 6:27Speaker 5: How I was sitting over going like it's like gust
- 6:29Speaker 5: he works in this business.
- 6:30Speaker 2: I was like, I was like, he didn't make that
- 6:31Speaker 2: more difficult for me at all. Two dollars.
- 6:34Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Well there you go. I'm I'm your guy.
- 6:38Speaker 1: I'm your guy. You know, I'm just making up.
- 6:40Speaker 2: For like I think it's his flip. He's run every scenario.
- 6:42Speaker 5: I was going to say, I think he's probably number kidd.
- 6:45Speaker 2: I'm really having I'm kidding.
- 6:48Speaker 1: I'm really just making up for a couple of weeks
- 6:49Speaker 1: ago when John beat me two weeks in a row.
- 6:51Speaker 2: He did. I've got a sheet right here, it's official.
- 6:53Speaker 1: All right, we've got open this afternoon. By the way,
- 6:56Speaker 1: that one is open two to four, so go see
- 6:59Speaker 1: Isaac two eighty nine Larraed Drive. We also have a
- 7:03Speaker 1: couple more open houses we've got in Homewood sixteen oh
- 7:06Speaker 1: four forest Ridge Road. This one is a three bedroom,
- 7:11Speaker 1: two bath. This one is a split level rancher. It
- 7:17Speaker 1: also has a pool, two car garage. It's fifteen hundred
- 7:21Speaker 1: and thirty five square feet on the main levels, another
- 7:23Speaker 1: three hundred and twenty six square feet finished in the basement.
- 7:27Speaker 1: It's over in the Forest Brook community and we're only
- 7:29Speaker 1: asking four hundred and thirty five thousand for this house.
- 7:31Speaker 1: I think being in Homewood with a pool, I mean,
- 7:36Speaker 1: that's pretty sweet. Go see TJ. Cunningham this afternoon from
- 7:39Speaker 1: two to four.
- 7:40Speaker 2: Two to four, four to thirty five.
- 7:42Speaker 3: Ten percent down, ten percent down, ten percent down, ten
- 7:45Speaker 3: percent down to mister Mounts.
- 7:48Speaker 5: Okay, I'm gonna go with how about uh, I don't
- 7:54Speaker 5: know twenty eight hundred.
- 7:56Speaker 1: You said ten percent down.
- 7:58Speaker 6: H I'm gonna go with.
- 8:12Speaker 1: Twenty six oh one.
- 8:14Speaker 3: Twenty six oh one. It was actually two thousand, four
- 8:17Speaker 3: hundred and seventy.
- 8:18Speaker 1: There we go.
- 8:18Speaker 5: Man, we were off, but I was off by more.
- 8:23Speaker 1: But you define off by more, all right. And also
- 8:28Speaker 1: open this afternoon from two to four to see Carlo
- 8:31Speaker 1: Dilaberto at three thousand and five Overlook Lane. This is
- 8:35Speaker 1: the mansion in Fulton Dell, sitting on three point three
- 8:39Speaker 1: acres eight thousand, eight hundred and sixty four square feet.
- 8:43Speaker 1: Yeah cool, I said, eight thousand, eight hundred and sixty
- 8:47Speaker 1: four square feet, five bedrooms, six and a half bass.
- 8:51Speaker 1: This was built in two thousand and eight. It is
- 8:53Speaker 1: in the Chapel Hills neighborhood. It sits on three lots.
- 8:56Speaker 1: It's got an incredible pool, it's got an uh eight
- 9:01Speaker 1: car garage.
- 9:02Speaker 5: I mean, who's counting this?
- 9:04Speaker 2: Listen. You can make this a compound.
- 9:06Speaker 1: I mean you really could.
- 9:08Speaker 3: I mean, I mean you've got all kinds of options
- 9:10Speaker 3: where families can live there.
- 9:14Speaker 1: One point four million, one point four million, and uh,
- 9:18Speaker 1: I mean you could not build this house for that
- 9:20Speaker 1: for this price, which is which is wild. So, and
- 9:24Speaker 1: it's got this like this, it's got let's see one
- 9:26Speaker 1: two three, it's got six columns in the front. So
- 9:30Speaker 1: it's got this like old it's like brick rancher meets
- 9:34Speaker 1: colonial style. It's freaking gorgeous.
- 9:38Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 9:38Speaker 3: I've gone a lot a couple of times and looked
- 9:39Speaker 3: at that one. Just look at the pictures again, and
- 9:41Speaker 3: it is really cool. Yeah, cool property.
- 9:44Speaker 1: All right, So one point four million.
- 9:46Speaker 3: One point four million, Yeah, putting twenty percent down, Okay,
- 9:51Speaker 3: twenty percent down on one point four million dollars.
- 9:57Speaker 1: One million dollars.
- 9:59Speaker 5: Where's doctor Eve when you need them?
- 10:00Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 10:01Speaker 1: Ummm, you said twenty percent down, twenty percent down.
- 10:06Speaker 3: Okay, I'm gonna go with bite my lip on my joke,
- 10:09Speaker 3: coming back to mister evil doctor Evils. I'm gonna go
- 10:19Speaker 3: seven thousand, seven thousand dollars for Gusty.
- 10:26Speaker 4: Let's see, so, even twenty percent down, you're still financing
- 10:29Speaker 4: over a million dollars.
- 10:30Speaker 2: You're financing over a million dollars.
- 10:33Speaker 4: Uh, I don't know seventy five hundred.
- 10:37Speaker 5: I have nothing to base.
- 10:38Speaker 3: That on seventy five hundred. Let's do some quick computing,
- 10:43Speaker 3: all right. The actual payment was seven thousand, two hundred
- 10:45Speaker 3: and sixty four dollars. John keeps it from a.
- 10:50Speaker 1: Barely barely How did I do that?
- 10:53Speaker 5: About fifteen dollars?
- 10:54Speaker 1: Man? Look out, well, at.
- 10:57Speaker 3: Least all got the guy that had like dead in
- 10:59Speaker 3: the middle where it was pretty easy.
- 11:00Speaker 4: What I did was I based it on like a
- 11:02Speaker 4: house that was like one hundred thousand dollars and then
- 11:04Speaker 4: slid the place over by one.
- 11:06Speaker 1: That's pretty smart, actually, you know, very good, very good,
- 11:09Speaker 1: solid solid. All right, Hey, we've got some VIP buyer needs.
- 11:13Speaker 1: We've been talking about a couple of these folks for
- 11:15Speaker 1: a little bit, so that means you need to listen
- 11:18Speaker 1: extra carefully. Right here, we are looking for a home
- 11:22Speaker 1: in Bluff Park that needs a little bit of work.
- 11:24Speaker 1: They want a nice lot and they are willing to
- 11:28Speaker 1: do renovations on it, and they are willing to pay
- 11:30Speaker 1: up to four hundred and twenty five thousand and then
- 11:32Speaker 1: spend money on a renovation.
- 11:34Speaker 2: So nice.
- 11:36Speaker 1: That is one that we're looking for pretty heavily. If
- 11:40Speaker 1: you've got somebody, if you've got a house that matches that,
- 11:43Speaker 1: or know of somebody that might be interested in selling,
- 11:46Speaker 1: gustygoulesgroup dot com, or you can call or text two
- 11:49Speaker 1: oh five five four to two nineteen ninety six. We've
- 11:52Speaker 1: also got somebody that's looking for a single story home
- 11:55Speaker 1: with a pool in Shelby County. They have increased their
- 11:58Speaker 1: price range up to five hundred that so it was
- 12:01Speaker 1: four twenty five, went to four fifty. Now we're at
- 12:04Speaker 1: five hundred. So we are looking for a single story
- 12:08Speaker 1: with a pool in Shelby County. We've also got somebody
- 12:12Speaker 1: that's looking in Hoover. They are looking in the Lakeview
- 12:17Speaker 1: or Oakwood neighborhood Lakeview, is that one that's across from
- 12:21Speaker 1: uh like that that Walmart over there, that's and that
- 12:26Speaker 1: there's a couple of the car places and so they're
- 12:30Speaker 1: looking for something with main level living in up to
- 12:32Speaker 1: four hundred thousand. So those are some of our the
- 12:36Speaker 1: hottest fires. I do have a couple of folks that
- 12:37Speaker 1: are coming in town. We've got folks that are looking
- 12:40Speaker 1: in Edgewood. But I mean, ultimately, what I would tell
- 12:44Speaker 1: you is, if you're listening and you're considering selling, just
- 12:47Speaker 1: call our team two five five four two nineteen ninety
- 12:49Speaker 1: six or go to Gustygulisgroup dot com. We may be
- 12:52Speaker 1: able to help put a deal together, you know, off
- 12:56Speaker 1: market or even on market. I mean, you know, you
- 12:58Speaker 1: never know in a role. So anyways, that's our vip by,
- 13:02Speaker 1: our news buy our needs. But hey, guess what time
- 13:05Speaker 1: it is. That's right, it's testimonial time.
- 13:11Speaker 2: Man.
- 13:12Speaker 1: That's that was like loud. That was real loud, and
- 13:15Speaker 1: I liked it. He wait, hey enthusiastic early on in
- 13:21Speaker 1: the morning. Hey, you gotta you gotta be like the
- 13:23Speaker 1: coffee's kicking, You're ready to rock.
- 13:25Speaker 2: Got that little little extra.
- 13:28Speaker 1: All right? So this one, Uh says working with Alita
- 13:32Speaker 1: has been a fantastic experience. She is incredibly knowledgeable, a tentative,
- 13:36Speaker 1: and dedicated to finding the perfect property. Alita's professionalism and
- 13:40Speaker 1: commitment made the entire process smooth and stress free, and
- 13:43Speaker 1: I continue to work with her today for our real
- 13:45Speaker 1: estate needs. I highly recommend Alita to anyone looking to
- 13:49Speaker 1: buy or sell with confidence and ease. So UH, thank
- 13:53Speaker 1: you so much for the opportunity to help you find
- 13:56Speaker 1: your perfect place. And congratulations to Alita on another five
- 14:01Speaker 1: star review. And last, but not least today is this
- 14:07Speaker 1: one goes out to Riley. Going through my home buying process,
- 14:10Speaker 1: I used a number of real estate agents. However, Riley
- 14:14Speaker 1: would stood out above all of the others due to
- 14:16Speaker 1: his high level of responsiveness, updates and check ins. He
- 14:21Speaker 1: had great advice and counsel along the way, and if
- 14:23Speaker 1: I had to purchase another home or sell my current one,
- 14:26Speaker 1: I would use him again. So congratulations on your new
- 14:31Speaker 1: home and congratulations to Riley.
- 14:33Speaker 3: On another five star reviews.
- 14:38Speaker 1: There it is the reviews this week. Man. If you
- 14:44Speaker 1: would like to be the next five star review, you
- 14:47Speaker 1: know where to go. Gusigilisgroup dot com, but Hey, stay tuned.
- 14:52Speaker 1: We're going to talk about what we're seeing in the
- 14:53Speaker 1: mortgage market, the real estate market, the calm before the
- 14:56Speaker 1: storm right here on Barred and Sold, all right, welcome
- 15:01Speaker 1: back to Bob Bard and Sold. And you know I'm
- 15:05Speaker 1: calling I'm calling the next six months the calm before
- 15:10Speaker 1: the storm. Okay, Brad, I see it, calm before the storm.
- 15:14Speaker 1: And here's why. You know, we've we've talked about for
- 15:18Speaker 1: for months trying to get these interest rates down, and
- 15:23Speaker 1: finally they've been kind of moving down. We've got the
- 15:27Speaker 1: federal funds rate, which doesn't directly impact the mortgage rates,
- 15:31Speaker 1: but I would say it indirectly impacts the mortgage rates well.
- 15:34Speaker 3: And again we know it's indirect because you know, again
- 15:37Speaker 3: we get the benefits for it before it's announced once
- 15:39Speaker 3: once the kind of the that's where the odds are going.
- 15:41Speaker 3: So so so we're kind of we're we're getting the effects,
- 15:44Speaker 3: but it's not a direct Hey, we're dropping this rate
- 15:47Speaker 3: of quarter, so everything drops a quarter like so so
- 15:49Speaker 3: that's the part I think is the confusing part for
- 15:51Speaker 3: some people, Like, yeah, it affects it, but it's not
- 15:53Speaker 3: like you don't hear the announcement and start calling saying
- 15:56Speaker 3: a mortgage ate a quarter percent lower.
- 15:58Speaker 1: No, not exactly, so the big thing in my opinion.
- 16:02Speaker 1: So I was talking to a commercial real estate agent
- 16:06Speaker 1: buddy of mine and he's like, dude, he goes, man,
- 16:10Speaker 1: my phone has been ringing off the hook. People are like,
- 16:14Speaker 1: they're they're looking at making deals. He's like, I'm going
- 16:17Speaker 1: out of town to do some site selections. He's like,
- 16:20Speaker 1: he's amped up, and I'm like, so that that gets
- 16:22Speaker 1: me amped up. I'm like, let's go.
- 16:24Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 16:24Speaker 1: And then I'm talking to another friend of mine that
- 16:27Speaker 1: is basically the head credit risk officer for a bank,
- 16:32Speaker 1: and he's predicting one more rate cut this year and
- 16:38Speaker 1: four rate cuts next year. And you know, if we're looking,
- 16:44Speaker 1: so let's say hypothetically that's accurate. M hm okay, So
- 16:49Speaker 1: I'm gonna guess that's five rate cuts. I'm gonna guess
- 16:52Speaker 1: each rate cut is probably a quarter percent, so that's
- 16:56Speaker 1: probably one point two five on a rate cut over
- 17:00Speaker 1: the next We'll say, you know year and you know,
- 17:05Speaker 1: five quarters. And so what that will do is it
- 17:11Speaker 1: should take our interest rates down to mid to low fives.
- 17:17Speaker 1: Should So all right, we're talking hypothetically, and i'd love
- 17:21Speaker 1: your feedback when we get you know, in a minute.
- 17:24Speaker 1: So the call before the storm. So imagine like right
- 17:28Speaker 1: now is typically the time that you know, the people
- 17:31Speaker 1: that are buying, there's got to be a pretty big
- 17:33Speaker 1: need for them to buy. This is not our typical
- 17:36Speaker 1: selling season. We still I mean, like we're all, I mean,
- 17:39Speaker 1: we're selling.
- 17:40Speaker 2: You know, the.
- 17:41Speaker 1: Market's always moving, thirty homes a month, We're we're always moving.
- 17:45Speaker 1: But right now, like selling season to me in our
- 17:50Speaker 1: market is March through July.
- 17:52Speaker 2: Correct.
- 17:52Speaker 1: Okay, So what I think the next six months is
- 17:57Speaker 1: this is the perfect opportunity if you are a home
- 17:59Speaker 1: buyer to get into a house with probably no multiple offers.
- 18:06Speaker 1: There might be some houses that have multiple offers, but
- 18:09Speaker 1: probably less multiple offer competition, just less competition period. But
- 18:17Speaker 1: if you're a buyer, you've got a little bit more
- 18:18Speaker 1: negotiating room. You've got the ability to maybe negotiate some concessions,
- 18:23Speaker 1: whether that's the closing cost assistance, maybe that's a buy
- 18:27Speaker 1: down for a rate, maybe that's to negotiate price, who
- 18:32Speaker 1: knows what. But I think in the next six months
- 18:35Speaker 1: is going to be the great opportunity to do that.
- 18:38Speaker 1: But when it in that six months when when March
- 18:41Speaker 1: rolls around, I'm thinking multiple offer situations, less negotiation. I mean,
- 18:47Speaker 1: you're gonna have to figure out how to get a
- 18:50Speaker 1: deal done because rates I think will be in we'll
- 18:55Speaker 1: say six low and probably high fives at that point. Well,
- 19:01Speaker 1: I mean that's gonna get people in the market. And
- 19:03Speaker 1: I really do think this is my opinion. I think
- 19:07Speaker 1: a mid five is a perfect market from an interest
- 19:10Speaker 1: rate standpoint one hundred percent.
- 19:12Speaker 3: I mean, that's that's really the goal. And that's what
- 19:14Speaker 3: I've been saying this whole time, Like mid fives. You know,
- 19:17Speaker 3: if it teeters a little bit of a blow five
- 19:19Speaker 3: and a half or a little bit above five and
- 19:20Speaker 3: a half, like that's a pretty balanced market. And so
- 19:23Speaker 3: that means and for that to happen, that means employment steady.
- 19:27Speaker 3: Not it's not we're not having big issues there, but
- 19:29Speaker 3: there's you know, we're gonna have We're getting a little
- 19:31Speaker 3: bit on that, but not anything crazy. Still unemployments still
- 19:34Speaker 3: low historically, but it's creeping up and then starting to
- 19:39Speaker 3: see the inflation numbers really coming down where they want
- 19:41Speaker 3: them to and kind of slowing at the pace that
- 19:43Speaker 3: they're they're wanting it slow down to and I think
- 19:46Speaker 3: we're gonna get that, and so it's a lot with them.
- 19:49Speaker 3: Continue to lower rates if that's what they do, because
- 19:51Speaker 3: these other things are cooperating. To your point, I'm with you,
- 19:54Speaker 3: like it's already gonna be atle bit slow. It's we're
- 19:57Speaker 3: kind of getting that slower down season and rates coming down.
- 20:00Speaker 3: You know, what we're seeing is from year over year,
- 20:03Speaker 3: we'll be up from where were last year, but it's
- 20:05Speaker 3: not that big, you know, ready to roll and so on.
- 20:08Speaker 3: If we can get at the end of the year
- 20:10Speaker 3: be right at five you know, five point nine nine
- 20:12Speaker 3: or right you know, teetering there, and in January we
- 20:15Speaker 3: start seeing five point seventy five or five point six
- 20:17Speaker 3: two five or whatever. We're lucky to get there, and
- 20:20Speaker 3: then the buyer season hits in March. Like you were
- 20:21Speaker 3: talking in a rate sort of that's sitting there in
- 20:23Speaker 3: the upper fives, mid fives. Hold onto your hats, here
- 20:28Speaker 3: we go.
- 20:29Speaker 1: I mean, we'll see some price appreciation, you know, so
- 20:33Speaker 1: the negotiations is going to be, you know, come few
- 20:36Speaker 1: and far between.
- 20:37Speaker 3: Well, I'd also say, if that's something that you've like
- 20:39Speaker 3: you've been thinking about for a year, year two years
- 20:42Speaker 3: and kind of waiting to see like you didn't have
- 20:44Speaker 3: to do anything, but you know you kind of need
- 20:46Speaker 3: to do something like and you're in a house now
- 20:48Speaker 3: or night in the house. But if you are in
- 20:49Speaker 3: a house now, like going to be thinking about like
- 20:51Speaker 3: go in and start talking to the ghost of Google's group,
- 20:53Speaker 3: start getting a plan of what you're going to need
- 20:55Speaker 3: to do to get your house listed and ready for
- 20:57Speaker 3: that season, so that when we get the rates there
- 20:59Speaker 3: and you're ready, you see something you want and you
- 21:01Speaker 3: want to jump on.
- 21:02Speaker 2: You need to sell your house.
- 21:03Speaker 3: You need to go have that plan going, so like
- 21:05Speaker 3: there's you need to be reaching out and start setting
- 21:07Speaker 3: that plan up because it's gonna happen. It's gonna happen fast,
- 21:09Speaker 3: it will. And I was, I say, I think it's
- 21:13Speaker 3: gonna happen.
- 21:14Speaker 1: Yeah, I was at the gym this week and uh
- 21:17Speaker 1: there somebody was talking about, you know, potentially getting into
- 21:19Speaker 1: a vacation home, but they want to wait till the
- 21:21Speaker 1: rates go down. And I was like, dude, why are
- 21:24Speaker 1: you waiting? Like you've got less competition right now, Like
- 21:28Speaker 1: go ahead and jump in, go ahead and get that
- 21:31Speaker 1: get the house while you've got the negotiating ability, and
- 21:34Speaker 1: then next year when it's a point less on the
- 21:37Speaker 1: interest rate, then you will be financed.
- 21:40Speaker 3: That that that is that is the like the little
- 21:42Speaker 3: thing that just kind of like it always gets me.
- 21:45Speaker 3: And I'm not saying it's always a one for one there,
- 21:47Speaker 3: but like let's just use like let's just say it's
- 21:49Speaker 3: a I'm not using this.
- 21:50Speaker 2: Person, but let's just use random numbers.
- 21:52Speaker 3: You know, let's say right now, you can get the
- 21:53Speaker 3: lake house you want for nine hundred thousand dollars in
- 21:55Speaker 3: the rate six six point three seventy five. And I'm
- 21:58Speaker 3: just making up something on the writ. Okay, we get
- 22:01Speaker 3: to March next year and it's getting the late season
- 22:03Speaker 3: and the rates aret five and a half. That house
- 22:05Speaker 3: is not gonna be nine hundred thousand anymore. That house
- 22:08Speaker 3: is going to be one point one, one point two
- 22:10Speaker 3: one point twenty five. So you were worried about half
- 22:14Speaker 3: percent rate, but we're okay paying three hundred thousand dollars more.
- 22:16Speaker 2: For a house.
- 22:17Speaker 1: It's a heck of a difference.
- 22:18Speaker 3: I mean, like that's that's that's the thing to me,
- 22:20Speaker 3: Like we're so worried about that number that we can
- 22:23Speaker 3: put on our pillow at night and we're missing we
- 22:25Speaker 3: can't see the forest of the trees.
- 22:27Speaker 1: I mean we're like my three point six two five.
- 22:29Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I like it.
- 22:31Speaker 5: Listen, it's awesome.
- 22:33Speaker 1: But having the right houses, yeah.
- 22:36Speaker 3: Yeah, and and and over the long term, orre you
- 22:39Speaker 3: getting the best deal for it? Because again, let's just
- 22:41Speaker 3: make up. Let's say you have to pay another seven
- 22:43Speaker 3: thousand dollars and closing cost of refi if you got
- 22:45Speaker 3: the house cheaper and you were gonna get it by waiting.
- 22:48Speaker 1: What's the matter when people refinance? What is is there
- 22:52Speaker 1: any kind of rule of thumb, like they need to
- 22:55Speaker 1: have the uh interest rate a certain level lesson.
- 22:59Speaker 3: All case by case. And a lot of that goes
- 23:01Speaker 3: back to like what kind of loan are you in currently?
- 23:04Speaker 3: How long do you plan on being in there? You know,
- 23:07Speaker 3: is are you gonna are you thinking like you're gonna
- 23:09Speaker 3: be out of it in five years? Okay, then we
- 23:10Speaker 3: probably need to make sure. I mean again, like we'll
- 23:12Speaker 3: say it needs to be one percent reduction if you're
- 23:15Speaker 3: gonna be there for the next ten or fifteen years.
- 23:16Speaker 3: Like if it's a half percent, I mean it's worth
- 23:18Speaker 3: doing it. So I mean, so it's everybody's case by case,
- 23:20Speaker 3: and people have different needs to peel.
- 23:22Speaker 2: Houses are worth.
- 23:23Speaker 3: More than ever when anybody bottom right now, so people
- 23:25Speaker 3: can get cash out and pay off higher revolving debts.
- 23:28Speaker 3: So anyways, there's all kinds of options, but it's it's
- 23:31Speaker 3: it's gonna be interesting to see how it all unfolds.
- 23:32Speaker 1: We're there though, case by case, and if you're trying
- 23:36Speaker 1: to figure it out for yourself, call it a Gustygulis
- 23:39Speaker 1: Group Gustygoulisgroup dot com two of five five four two
- 23:42Speaker 1: nineteen ninety six called text that number and we can
- 23:46Speaker 1: build that planning for you with you and then also
- 23:49Speaker 1: get pre qualified for a mortgage. Go to Bradsmith Loans
- 23:52Speaker 1: dot com. That's me and uh get that process started too.
- 23:57Speaker 1: So well, thank you so much for joining us. The
- 24:00Speaker 1: calm before the storm. There we go, all right, catch
- 24:04Speaker 1: you next time