Latest / Toadstool Sports / Monday BEST BETS | Monday Morning Misery | MLB & WNBA | 8/24/26

Transcript

Monday BEST BETS | Monday Morning Misery | MLB & WNBA | 8/24/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: Man, a hole in your chicks, the black coffee on
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Man, you look like a mess. Three teen Parlette turned
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 3: Now you stare at the chips.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Like they made you this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Your name still means something on somebody for show. Put
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 4: No, hold on, hold on nothing.
• 0:55
  Speaker 5: Nice not now.
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: Hold on, Hold on me, but it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on and stay.
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: With me now, and Mike does not get unmuted anymore automatically, Streamyard.
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: Just fuck you. I don't know what else to say.
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: Fuck everything, what's up? Everybody? It's towed back with you,
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: toadstool sports whatever. Yesterday you knew it was gonna go
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: horribly right away when we absolutely should have had the
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: undercorrect In Cardinals Phillies. It was a four run game,
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: four nothing, two outs, bottom of the ninth, four nothing,
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis. How does that game not go under eight?
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: Oh yeah, how about Philly scores six runs all with
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: two outs in the bottom of the ninth inning, and
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: of course the first four or the first five would
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: have hit the under So if I limited it to
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: the first five, which I almost did, that would have
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: been a winner. It obviously should have been a winner anyway.
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: And six runs all with two outs in the bottom
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: of the ninth, and it took five for it to
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: actually get over four for the push, none of that
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: should have happened. He's even the worst bullpen in baseball
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: is not gonna do that usually, like the A's or whatever.
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: You have to be fucking kidding me. It's such bullshit.
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: And then yeah, cub Seattle just whatever. Man Bryce Miller
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: could not even get a pitch over the plate. I
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: don't know what to tell you. He walked like seven
• 2:48
  Speaker 3: guys walked everybody. That was a complete disaster the Chicago sky.
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: I mean, what do you want, Like they couldn't shoot
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: in Indiana shot really well. Indiana shot fifty three percent
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: from three point range. They probably had at least I
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: don't know, fifteen more threes that Chicago did. Probably something
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: like that. Like you're never gonna win a game when
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: that happens. It's just I don't know if Chicago deserve
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: to win. I wouldn't say they did. I think they've
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: won the rebound battle, though, But when you have that
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: much of a shooting disparity, there's nothing you could do.
• 3:23
  Speaker 3: I'm so fucking sick of this. Like it's so good
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: that football is about to start because I can't do
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: anything anymore in baseball WNBA. But guess what we're doing today. Yeah,
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: we're gonna have a ton of plays today. Even though
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: it's a short baseball board whatever, I'm gonna give out
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: a bunch of plays because I'm on tilt. I don't
• 3:41
  Speaker 3: care anymore. After a seven zero run, I think we've
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: now lost seven in a row. So just give all
• 3:47
  Speaker 3: give it all back, give it all back to the books. Yeah,
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: that's what we do here. That's great, let's lose some
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: more money here. First game up is a play for
• 3:55
  Speaker 3: me Red Sox Marlins. Why not? Because these games have
• 4:05
  Speaker 3: been working out so well. We're gonna take this game
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: under the seven and a half. Why not? Miami? I
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: believe they're staying at home. They did just sweep Washington.
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: Miami is still trying to make the playoffs here. The
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: Red Sox are in pretty good position to get a
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: wildcard spot at this point, so maybe there's a little
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: bit more motivation on the Miami side the Red Sox
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: to have to travel, but it is the start of
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: a road trip. Red Sox are playing well right now.
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: They swept the Giants. They're on a five game win streak.
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: Started a road trip with momentum is usually not a
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: terrible spot here, but I'm focusing on the pitching being
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: all around the advantage in this game. Plus it is Miami,
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: so it is a picture friendly ballpark. Boston use two
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: relief pitchers yesterday, although it was their two best relievers
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: currently with the injuries that they have, I'm still not
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: too concerned about this bullpen those it's the best in
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: baseball based on the metrics, at least right now. Miami.
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: They did use four guys out of the bullpen, but
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: I'm still okay with using the With backing their bullpen here,
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: some of their better relievers are still available here. Red
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: Sox number one in bullpen, Miami number six based on whip.
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: Although I don't think Miami's that good, but I think
• 5:19
  Speaker 3: they're good enough to back here, especially if the starting
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: pitching can get us deeper into this game. Red Sox
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: the number eighth offensively, and they've been a pretty good
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: road team Miami number nine offensively, but I think the
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: pitching can out can outperform the hitting In this one.
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: Ronyer Suarez is pitching for the Red Sox three point
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: four to one ERA, one point one to eight WHIP.
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: He's better on the road this year two point seventy five.
• 5:44
  Speaker 3: Roadyra didn't pitch that well last time out against Arizona.
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: He's kind of been shaky since he came back from injury.
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: But the rampingest pitch count up again. They're getting him up,
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: getting him back up to a full starter's workload. He
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: is up to that again, so I'm willing to back
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: him here. Like even though his current form is not
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: exactly great. Eight to five strike out walk issue this
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: month is not really good, but he does have a
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: low hit rate on the season, a low walk rate.
• 6:12
  Speaker 3: His strike out rate is still read at one per
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: inning pretty much so strike out walk ratio, strike up
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: per nine, all those numbers are good. He's working his
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: way back. I was a little bit concerned because Miami
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: is gonna be familiar with him because he was in
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: their division when he was on Philly, but Miami has
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: not done anything against him. This current Miami lineup has
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: six hitters to have face him, and they're one for
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: twenty one off him. Xavier Edwards has the only hit,
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: which is a single. Seven strikeouts, one walk, forty eight average,
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: one thirty nine ops. So I'll back Suarez here in
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: his better home road split against a lineup that has
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: done nothing against him, and he just needs to be
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: decent enough here to get this. We're also going to
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: back Sandy Alkontra on the other side here from Miami
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: three point four to six ERA, one point win eight WHIP.
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: He's having a really nice bounce back season here, even
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: though strikeout stuff is kind of gone. He's been better
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: at home, so we're getting the better home roads split
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: on both pitchers here two point six nine ERA. At home,
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: he's in pretty good form right now, except his strikeout
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: rate has kind of gone down again over the last
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: couple of starts. It was up for a while, it's
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: gone back down a little bit, but he's still not
• 7:23
  Speaker 3: aligning many runs. I'm okay with that. His hit rate
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: is fine on the season, his walk rate is okay.
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: His strikeout rate is low, though, as I was alluding to,
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: strike out walk ratio is still not that bad because
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: he doesn't really walk that many guys strike up for nine,
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: is that it's lowest in his career. It's just it
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: is what it is. Man, He's a guy that's post
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: Tommy John surgery or whatever. But he's still pitching effectively.
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: And the Red Sox have not really done a whole
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: lot against him. They have twenty nine at bats against him,
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: a two point seven average, six ZHO, three oh ps
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: nine to two strikeout walk ratio. So we'll take the
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: under here. The money seems to agree with this. Sixty
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: five percent of tickets on the over eighty five percent
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: of the cash on the under. Seven and a half
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: is the number basically across the board here. You might
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: have to pay a little bit of juice for it,
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: but I'd be willing to do that. As far as
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: the side the money is back in Miami, the Red
• 8:19
  Speaker 3: Sox have eighty four percent of the tickets sixty five
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on Miami Red Sox around minus
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: one thirty. I could see the argument for it. I mean,
• 8:29
  Speaker 3: I think if you play Miami, maybe first five makes
• 8:31
  Speaker 3: more sense. Miami might be a little bit more motivated
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: because they're probably the more desperate team. As far as
• 8:37
  Speaker 3: the playoff positioning is concerned and Suarez, I'm not sure
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: that I would fully trust his current form versus all Contras.
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: So I'm trusting it well enough to get the under
• 8:49
  Speaker 3: here though, so but I think all Contras in the
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: better current form. But Under is the play there. No,
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: As I just said, there's no way I would take
• 8:58
  Speaker 3: the Red Sox absolutely not. No. If I was gonna
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: play the side in that game, I would play Miami
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: first five. But Under I think is definitely the better
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: way to play that game, as it is a play
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: for me. So the money is completely disagreeing with the
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: Red Sox in that game. Tampa Bay and Detroit on
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: Fox Sports won. Detroit is returning home from a road
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: trip and they might be dead. Like that was a
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: horrible road trip for them. They got swept by the
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: Royals to finish the road trip. I mean, it doesn't
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: get worse than that. They might be done, dude, Like
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: what else can I say? Like they had to win
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: that series against the Royals to kind of stay in this.
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: They're not technically eliminated, but I think that's it for Detroit.
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: I think it's a dream crusher type of scenario here.
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: Return home, you know, I don't like the return home spot.
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: I think teams get distracted. They have to get back
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: to home life. Maybe they'll get up because they're playing
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: Tampa and Tampa is the team with the best record
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: in the American League still, but things are not looking
• 9:59
  Speaker 3: good for Detroit and they do not have the starting
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: pitching edge in this game either. So there is not
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: a lot to like about Detroit in this game, although
• 10:07
  Speaker 3: the matchup numbers actually suggest that maybe they can kind
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: of hang around with this starting pitching matchup. But on
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: the surface, just looking at who the pitchers are, Tampa
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: has the better pitcher on the mound. Detroit used three
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: relief pitchers yesterday. Tampa used three as well. Tampa is
• 10:25
  Speaker 3: coming off a series against Baltimore. Tampa ended a three
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: game losing streak actually, so they avoided the sweep yesterday
• 10:32
  Speaker 3: with the win over Baltimore. Of course, because I can't
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: get anything right. Of course, I was right about the
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: under in that game yesterday and it didn't make the
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: cut for me. So isn't that just great? Now? Tampa
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: Bay is coming into Detroit here with maybe a little
• 10:44
  Speaker 3: bit of new momentum here. Tampa's ranked fourth and bullpen
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: with the other Ray suggests that they're not quite that good.
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: Detroit is fifteenth, but they have a better bullpen Erray,
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: So I think the bullpens are kind of a toss
• 10:57
  Speaker 3: up here. Tampa Bay's sixth offensively Detroit thirteenth. Although Tampa
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: Bay is not very good on the road, they're much
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: much better at home than on the road. Detroit is
• 11:07
  Speaker 3: better at home, I believe, even still so Detroit is
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: a better home team, But still I do not like
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: the spot for Detroit. Drew rasp has in his pitching
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: for Tampa and he is their best pitch or three
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: point zero one ERA point nine to five whip is
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: really good. He's better on the road as well, two
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: point seventy nine roadra not great in his last start
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: against Toronto, which may be a red flag, I guess,
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: because Toronto is not a good offense. But to me
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: it looks more fluky than anything else.
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: Like.
• 11:35
  Speaker 3: He's still pitching well. His command numbers have been good,
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: his team has won whatever this is six starts in
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: a row for him, starting around the All Star break.
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: He's got a low hit rate, low walk rate, high
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: strikeout rate. All those numbers are good. Strike out walk
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: ratio is really up there, one of the highest that
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: he's posted, the highest that he's posted given the amount
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: of innings pitch that he's pitched this year. Strike Out
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: for none is also kind of in that vicinity as well,
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: one of the highest that he's had with this amount
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: of innings that he's thrown. His numbers gets detroit. However,
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: this is where because I was thinking maybe Tampa's a
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: play here, but his numbers gets Detroit or awful in
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: twenty three at bats. I know it's not a big
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: sample size. Six hitters have faced him, but they've been
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: able to get to him three ninety one average oneenty
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: twenty five ohps five to one. Strikeout walk ratio ratio
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: is good, but everything else doesn't look good here. And well,
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: I don't want to overrate these matchup numbers, and maybe
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: I do overrate them, but this is kind of keeping
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: me off the game a little bit. Even though Rasmussen
• 12:39
  Speaker 3: clearly is a better pitcher over from Rivaldez here and
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: Tampa is in the better spot here, I just don't
• 12:46
  Speaker 3: think I could do it given that the matchup numbers
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: go completely opposite that from Rivaldez has not really had
• 12:51
  Speaker 3: a great season for Detroit four point three to five VRRA,
• 12:54
  Speaker 3: but it's one point four whip is very ugly. Although
• 12:58
  Speaker 3: he is better at home four point three HOMEYRA, better
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: opponent batting average at home, he's in bad current form
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: though he's walking a ton of guys nine guys walked
• 13:08
  Speaker 3: over his last two starts with eight strikeouts. Not good.
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: His strikeout walk ratio over the course of August is
• 13:14
  Speaker 3: not really even that much better than that. He's given
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: up too many hits on the season as well, in
• 13:19
  Speaker 3: his walk numbers very hefty. His strikeout rate is kind
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: of down to like. These numbers are not good. He's
• 13:26
  Speaker 3: at one of his lowest strikeout of walk ratios he's
• 13:29
  Speaker 3: ever posted. His strikeout per nine is also at the
• 13:32
  Speaker 3: lowest that it's been. Yeah, not a good season for him.
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: Numbers against Tampa Bay, however, are actually good. In fifty
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: four at bats to twenty two average, six to fifty
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: nine oh ps, thirteen to five strikeout walk ratio. So
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: while initially I was looking at this and thinking Tampa
• 13:51
  Speaker 3: Bay has to be the side here like Detroit's returning
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: home bad spot. They might be dead after that sweep
• 13:56
  Speaker 3: against the Royals, maybe they'll Maybe it's a bounce back
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: spot for them, I guess because that was so embarrassing,
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: and maybe they get up for playing Tampa Rastwissen, though
• 14:06
  Speaker 3: he's overall the better pitcher over Valdez, there's no question
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: about that. The issue I have is the matchup numbers
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: that we just saw. I think i'd still just lean
• 14:14
  Speaker 3: Tampa here, but I'm gonna stay off the game. Tampa
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: is getting the money eighty one percent of tickets, eighty
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: eight percent of the cash on them. They're a public
• 14:21
  Speaker 3: side too, though it looks like maybe public and professionals
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: all on that side. They're minus one thirty or so.
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: I mean, maybe Tampa first five makes sense as well,
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: because he can't really tell which bullpen is really the
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: one that has the advantage. The money's also kind of
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: indicating on the under seven and a half in that game.
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: I don't have a feel for the total really because
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: it seems like they're just factors that go both ways there,
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: all right, Colorado and Washington. But yeah, I think the
• 14:51
  Speaker 3: spot is the way that I would play that still,
• 14:53
  Speaker 3: and I would lean towards Tampa Bay and still lean
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: into Rasmussen being the overall better pitcher, but I don't
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: like the matchup numbers for it. Washington is returning home
• 15:01
  Speaker 3: from a road trip, a bad road trip. They were
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: on the road for a long time. They went to
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: New York to play the Mets, then Texas, then Miami,
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: and now they're returning home. And I always talk about
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: it again, I'm gonna mention it distracted spot possibly in
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: the return home here. I don't feel that the team's
• 15:19
  Speaker 3: usually bounce back from a bad road trip. I think
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: it's more often that they get distracted, especially because they're
• 15:24
  Speaker 3: playing Colorado here. Like, who's gonna get up for Colorado?
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: Basically no one. So I don't think it's a good
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: spot for Washington to try to be focused here. They're
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: pretty much done on the season. I mean, they sold
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: at the trade deadline. So you're looking at two teams
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: that are both kind of done. Here, you're looking at
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: two bad bullpens. Colorado is starting a road trip. They
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: were just at home. They just got swept for the
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: second straight series, so they've lost six games in a row.
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: Both teams are ice cold right now. Just like me,
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: this could be a series or maybe you'll look for
• 15:58
  Speaker 3: some overs. I'm not gonna do it in this though,
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: because one of the starting pitchers is too good for that,
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: but possibly because the bullpens are awful and the teams
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: don't give a shit, probably there might be some overs
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: coming home in this series. Colorado used five relief pitchers yesterday,
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: not good for a bullpen that's already not good. Washington
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: only used two. Both bullpens are bad Colorado twenty seventh
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: Washington twenty sixth, though their ERA is slightly worse. It's
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: debatable which bullpen is worse than the other, but they're
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: both bad. Both offenses are good Washington three, Colorado four.
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: So that again, it looks like the makings for an
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: over type of series, with pretty good hitting and not
• 16:40
  Speaker 3: very good pitching. For the most part, Ryan Feltner was
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: pitching for Colorado. He's not very good five point nine
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: to seven ERA, one point five to three whips. He
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: is better on the road in some ways five point
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: five to four Roady Ray, but his opponent batting average
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: on the road is actually worse three oh seven, so
• 16:58
  Speaker 3: in some ways he's not actually better away from course field.
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: He was bad in his last start at home against
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers, and the Dodgers they hit though. We know that.
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: But Feltner's been walking a ton of guys. He's got
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: a ten to ten strikeout walk ratio this month with
• 17:13
  Speaker 3: too many hits allowed on top of that. None of
• 17:15
  Speaker 3: that is good. He's got a high hit rate, his
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: walk rate isn't too bad on the season. Strike out
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: rate is quite low though, so his strikeout walk ratio
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: is really ugly anyway, strike up for nine is the
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: lowest that it's been in his career. Those numbers are
• 17:29
  Speaker 3: not good. His numbers against Washington, they haven't really seen him.
• 17:34
  Speaker 3: They have two guys so have faced him. Abrams and
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: Ruiz are zero for six combined off him. No strikeouts,
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: no walks, not a lot you can really gauge from that.
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: But I don't think Feltner is gonna pitch particularly well here. However,
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: Kid Cavali is pitching for Washington. He's actually good. A
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: three point two two ERA, one point two to two whip.
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: He's having his breakout season this year. Highs pretty high
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: strike strike out walk ratio here, high strike up for nine.
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: He's in really good form recently, a ton of strikeouts
• 18:07
  Speaker 3: recently double digits. In the last two starts. Washington's won
• 18:10
  Speaker 3: six of his last seven starts. He's not allowing many
• 18:14
  Speaker 3: runs across that span at all, more than two only
• 18:16
  Speaker 3: once going all the way back into early July. Fairly
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: low hit rate here, pretty low walk rate, high strikeout
• 18:23
  Speaker 3: rate as well, So all those numbers are good. Cavali
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: against Colorado, they have twenty three at bats against him,
• 18:31
  Speaker 3: and he has the upper hand against them one seventy
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: four average allowed, four to thirty five ohps five, zero
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: strikeout walk ratio. So while it is a bad spot
• 18:40
  Speaker 3: for Washington, they have the upper hand in the match
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: up here, so I can't really fade Washington here. Cavali
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: is clearly better than Feldner. Washington's about minus one pint
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: eighty though, eighty eight percent of the tickets, ninety percent
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: of the cash on them money. I mean, it's basically
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: just a public side on Washington, and I guess you
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: could argue that money is kind of indicating on the
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: over eight here. I mean, I wouldn't want to take
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: this game under. I think for the majority of pitching
• 19:10
  Speaker 3: is still bad in this game. It's just Cavali is
• 19:14
  Speaker 3: a good pitcher, and everybody else who's probably entering this
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: game is not maybe individual relievers might be, but I
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: don't know, Man. I still think maybe Washington first five
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: would be the only way I'd be able to play this.
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: But there's no way that I could do that in
• 19:29
  Speaker 3: like a return home spot whatever. But you have to
• 19:31
  Speaker 3: lay a half run probably with Washington if you play
• 19:33
  Speaker 3: them in the first five. But maybe that is the
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: right way to play it. Texas at Chicago White Sox.
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: White Sox are staying at home. They just beat the
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: Mets to win that series. Both these teams have something
• 19:45
  Speaker 3: to play for here, Man, Texas is probably playing with
• 19:48
  Speaker 3: more urgency because they're tied atop the Al West right
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: now and in the wildcard race, whereas the White Sox
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: are top their division right now, so they have more
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: ways to get into well. Both teams have kind of
• 20:00
  Speaker 3: a similar amount of ways to make the playoffs, but
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: Chicago has a bigger amount of padding in their division,
• 20:07
  Speaker 3: so Texas might have a more motivation here, more urgency.
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: Texas is starting a road trip, which a lot of
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: times is a focused spot. They're coming off beating the
• 20:17
  Speaker 3: Angels in that last series, so some things that have
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: me looking towards Texas in this game. Texas, I don't
• 20:23
  Speaker 3: love their bullpen, though these four guys yesterday and some
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: of their better relievers came into the game yesterday to
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: close it out. White Sox kind of went with a
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: bullpen ish game yesterday, but they only used three guys,
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: probably because they used I would guess Fetti or something
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: probably came into the I don't know if it was him,
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: but somebody probably came into the game and ate up
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: some innings for them. Bullpen wise, White Sox are number fourteen,
• 20:46
  Speaker 3: Texas is number nineteen. White Sox have had the better
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: bullpen this year, so they do probably have a bullpen
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: edge here. White Sox are tenth offensively tied with Houston.
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: They're definitely the better offense here. Rangers are twenty third. However,
• 21:02
  Speaker 3: Texas I think might have the motivational edge, and I
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: think they have a starting pitching advantage here too, even
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: though that is Kumar Rocker for Texas, who is not
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: that good four point four to sixty RRA one point
• 21:13
  Speaker 3: four whip is really not good. However, he is a
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: little bit better on the road three point nine to
• 21:18
  Speaker 3: seven Roady Ray, which makes no sense because Texas is
• 21:22
  Speaker 3: a better pitching ball parker though his opponent batting average
• 21:25
  Speaker 3: on the road is actually worse, so I guess take
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: that with a little bit of a grain assault. He's
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: walking too many guys recently, although his last start was
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: pretty good against Washington. Maybe he's kind of coming back
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: into form a little bit here. I don't fully trust
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: his strikeout walk ratio in the month of August, plus
• 21:43
  Speaker 3: the fact that his team's lost all four of his
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: starts and his hit rate has been way too high
• 21:49
  Speaker 3: on the course of the season. His hit rate is
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: very mediocre. His walk rate is mediocre as well is
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: strike out raid is also mediocre. So none of that
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: is really that good. Strike Out walk ratio is not great.
• 22:00
  Speaker 3: Strike up for nine is mediocre. Like I said, a
• 22:03
  Speaker 3: lot of mediocre you hear from him all those whip
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: is kind of worse than mediocre. However, Rocker is actually
• 22:12
  Speaker 3: not bad against the White Sox. In fact, he's kind
• 22:14
  Speaker 3: of dominated them. They have thirty at bats against him,
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: They only have two hits, no extra base hits, eight strikeouts,
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: two walks. That's an sixty seven average, one nine two ops.
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: Rocker seems like he might be drawing a pretty good
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: matchup here, a team that just hasn't been able to
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: do anything offensively against him, and the White Sox look
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: like they're going with another bullpen games sort of because
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: they have Jose Orkaty Listen as their starter. Here is
• 22:41
  Speaker 3: a nine ERA at home. By the way, a lot
• 22:44
  Speaker 3: of this I think coming out of the bullpen, five
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: point zero six ERA, one point five whip. None of
• 22:49
  Speaker 3: that is good. The White Sox picked him up from Pittsburgh, though,
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: so he was pitching poorly in Pittsburgh before he came here.
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: He's only made road appearances so far for the White Sox,
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: but the White Sox are kind of using him as
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: a starter's workload type of guy, and he has eleven
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: strikeouts and no walks with them, which isn't really too bad.
• 23:09
  Speaker 3: He pitched really well last time out against the Cubs,
• 23:11
  Speaker 3: like shockingly well. I don't think that's what he's typically
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: gonna do, though, you know, like that looks more like
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: an outlier to me than anything else. Maybe a big
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: game that he got up for. I would not trust him,
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: and I'm not even convinced that White Socks are gonna
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: start him. He didn't actually start in that Cubs game.
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: He came in after probably an opener, so I would say,
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: if you're gonna play this game, I would lean to Texas. Year.
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: I would pick Rocker must start, but I would not
• 23:36
  Speaker 3: pick a starter for the White Sox year. That's how
• 23:39
  Speaker 3: I would play this if I was gonna play this game. Orkidi, Yeah,
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: I mean, his strikeout walker issue is good, but he's
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: been hittable. He hasn't pitched that much this year, but
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: I think he was probably hurt for months here because
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: I don't think he was Maybe he was in the
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: minors or something. I'm not sure, but I don't really
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: trust him. He's been around for a while. His numbers
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: against Texas are not good either. They have twenty six
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: at bats against them, three to zero, eight average one
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: thousand ops. So yeah, I think Texas is the way
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: to look in this game. As far as the situation
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: is concerned, not much to see there. White Sox are
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: staying at home, but like I said, I think more
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: urgency maybe from the Texas side here. I think Rocker
• 24:22
  Speaker 3: is preferable to whatever the hell the White Sox are doing,
• 24:26
  Speaker 3: so I would take Texas. Maybe I would take them
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: first five though, although if it's a bullpen game for
• 24:32
  Speaker 3: the White Sox, I guess you could argue for the
• 24:34
  Speaker 3: full game here as well. I just don't. I really
• 24:37
  Speaker 3: don't like Texas bullpen though. Yeah, so maybe Texas first
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: five the White Sox are favored around minus one thirty,
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: so I think if you take Texas first five, you're
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: probably still gonna get them as a little bit of
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: an underdog there. So maybe that's the way to play it.
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: Is Texas money lined in the first five, and probably
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: you get a little bit of plus money on that.
• 24:56
  Speaker 3: Seventy four percent of tickets seventy two percent of the
• 24:58
  Speaker 3: cash on the White Sox. Public is on the White Sox.
• 25:01
  Speaker 3: I mean they like the team with the better record
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: and the better offense, so that's where they're at. But
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: Texas is the is the team that has the actual
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: starter in the game, and more urgent say, although I
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: don't know if I fully trust Rocker though, I mean
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: you saw as recent numbers not great, but his numbers
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: against the White Sox are very good. The money's also
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: indicating on the over eight and a half to some
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: extent here, but I mean I could see the argument
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: for it. I mean, you have pitchers that are pretty
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: questionable there, so I wouldn't want to be on and
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: under in that game. I'll tell you that maybe a
• 25:33
  Speaker 3: slight lean for me to the over, but I like
• 25:35
  Speaker 3: Texas as the way to play that game. Cleveland and
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: Anaheim too bad offenses. That's kind of where we start
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: with this series. This might be an under type of
• 25:45
  Speaker 3: series here. Anaheims are turning over from a road trip.
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: They're having to go from the Central time zone back
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: to the Pacific time zone. No I talk about that
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: when teams have to go back out west, adjusting to
• 25:56
  Speaker 3: that time zone difference can be a little bit of
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: an issue because then you're gonna be playing later on
• 26:01
  Speaker 3: your biological clock, so that's not great. Cleveland was just
• 26:04
  Speaker 3: in the Mountain time zone, so their adjustment is gonna
• 26:07
  Speaker 3: be a little bit less. They're playing well right now,
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: and Cleveland has reason to play because they're trying to
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: still make the playoffs. All Anaheim has is playing spoiler
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: at this point. And you know, I don't like return
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: home spots Again. A bad team like Anaheim returning home
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: from two divisional series on the road, big series where
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: they had a chance to play spoiler and they did
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: beat the Astros on that road trip, I think it's
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: not a good spot. For Anaheim, I don't know if
• 26:32
  Speaker 3: they're really gonna be that focused to play Cleveland here
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: after coming up those divisional series. I think it's a
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: negative spot for Anaheim for all those reasons I just listed.
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: Could be a distracted spot. Plus you're gonna get the
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: better pitcher for Cleveland. So I think probably the way
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: to look at this game is to play Cleveland, but
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: you have to pay a price for it, because basically,
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: if the oddsmakers know that everybody knows that Cleveland needs
• 26:53
  Speaker 3: to win the game. Cleveland us four relief pitchers yesterday.
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: They do have the better bullpen than Anaheim used three.
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: Cleveland is ranked seventeenth in bull beenber They do have
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: a sub four era. Anaheim is twentieth, although they're no
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: their ERA is worse. Yeah, the ERA is above four.
• 27:11
  Speaker 3: I'm like, wait a minute, what Cleveland's been awful offensively?
• 27:15
  Speaker 3: They're twenty ninth tied and last actually with the Mariners.
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: Angels are really not much better though they're twenty seventh
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: tied with the Blue Jays, and the Angels do not
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: hit well at home, so I think the Angels hitting
• 27:29
  Speaker 3: might be very limited in this game because they have
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: to go up against Parker Messek, who's had a really
• 27:34
  Speaker 3: good season two point five four ERA, one point zero
• 27:37
  Speaker 3: three whip. He's actually better on the road to two
• 27:40
  Speaker 3: point three to one Roady Ram. He's still pitching well.
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: He had ten strikeouts last time out against the Giants,
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: allowed one run in sixty two thirds innings. He doesn't
• 27:50
  Speaker 3: seem to be done yet, man, even though he's approaching
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: that one hundred and fifty inning mark there where I
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: get worried because a lot of these young guys, when
• 27:57
  Speaker 3: they throw more innings than they usually do or then
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: they ever have, it gets a little bit concerning. But
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: I'm not sure there's reason to be concerned with him
• 28:04
  Speaker 3: right now because he does not seem to be fading.
• 28:06
  Speaker 3: He's got a thirty to four strikeout walk ratio this month,
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: which is really excellent. Good hit rate on the season,
• 28:14
  Speaker 3: pretty good walk rate, good strikeout rate as well. Those
• 28:16
  Speaker 3: numbers are all good. Good strike out walk number, good
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: strike up for nine and all those numbers are good.
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: And against Anaheim he's had the upper hand here. They
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: have five guys who have faced him fifteen at bats
• 28:31
  Speaker 3: two hundred average, six to ninety four ohps. Nido has
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: done some damage and does have a home run off him,
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: but like nobody else in this lineup has really done
• 28:39
  Speaker 3: anything five to two strikeout walk ratio there, so I
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: think Messik does set up to pitch well here. George
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: Klassan is pitching for Anaheim. I think this is a
• 28:49
  Speaker 3: real wild card here that Anaheim has going. He has
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: a three point seven to four ERA. I believe he's
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: a rookie this year, and he's been kind of all
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: over the place. His whip is horrible one point, so
• 29:00
  Speaker 3: that indicates his erration should be way worse than it is. However,
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: if you look at what he's been doing, he was
• 29:05
  Speaker 3: really shaky. He's only made five starts in his career,
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: and Anaheim has actually won four of those five games.
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: He was shaky the first two times, then the last
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: three times out he's only had three runs over combined
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: seventeen innings, and he just had a one hit, seven
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: inning shutout against Houston last time out. His last two
• 29:26
  Speaker 3: starts have both been excellent. All those walk rates a
• 29:29
  Speaker 3: little bit concerning here, but he's starting to pitch well.
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: Klausen might not be that bad man. He's seeming like
• 29:37
  Speaker 3: he's improving and he's in good form right now, has
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: a reasonable hit rate here so far. Strike out rate
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: is okay too. It's just his walk rate is way
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: too high, so that's one thing he's got to fix that.
• 29:47
  Speaker 3: If he fixes his walk issue, I think he'd be
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: pretty good, but that's keeping his strike out walk number
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: in a very bad place. His strike up for nine
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: is pretty good though, so he's able to strike guys out.
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: His numbers against Cleveland. I don't think they've seen him.
• 30:03
  Speaker 3: Nathaniel Lowe has faced him and he's one for two
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: with a double three RBIs, but no strikeouts and no walks.
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: But that's a small sample. So you're looking at a
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: Cleveland offense that's really bad, like bottom of the league offense,
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: and they haven't faced Classing and he's pitching well right now,
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: so he might have an advantage here given that they
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: haven't seen him. They might have to figure him out
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: on the fly. I think the under might be the
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: best way to play this game. Maybe under in the
• 30:30
  Speaker 3: first five. I guess the total is low at seven
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: and a half, and it's low for a reason, man,
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: I mean, you're looking at two very bad offenses here.
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: I don't know if I trust the bullpens, but I
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: think this starting pitching might be able to get this done.
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: If you do full game, you're getting under the seven
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: and a half. Of course, if it's a first five,
• 30:48
  Speaker 3: you're getting a little bit. You know, you're having to
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: probably look at a three and a half there in
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: the first five, which you know, I hate that. Maybe
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: you'll find a four on it. As far as Cleveland,
• 30:58
  Speaker 3: I don't really think they're playable at this price. Minus
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: won sixty something ninety percent of tickets, ninety two percent
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: of the cash on them. They're very public. Although Cleveland
• 31:06
  Speaker 3: would be the only side that I would look at
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: here though, I think the situation sets up way better
• 31:11
  Speaker 3: for them, and mess is a more proven pitcher. Plus
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: they have the bullpen edge. So I would still need
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: Cleveland like making like a minus one run line or something,
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: but asking a Cleveland offense to do that on the road,
• 31:23
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean, they were able to do
• 31:25
  Speaker 3: it against the Rockies, so but that's a more hit
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: or friendly environment too. But yeah, I think the under
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: in the first five might actually be the better way
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: to play this game. Sixty eight percent of tickets on
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: the under, eighty two percent of the cash on the
• 31:38
  Speaker 3: over though, so the money's playing the over in the
• 31:40
  Speaker 3: full game. I don't trust the bullpens quite enough. It
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: was really Anaheims worries me. Well, you know what, I
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: don't know. I mean, Anaheims isn't really that bad. I
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: don't know. I'm torn. I like the under here, but
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: I could see going full game or first five on it.
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: And I think offenses tend to struggle a little bit
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: more in turn home spots as well, so I think
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: that actually does help the case of the under a
• 32:04
  Speaker 3: little bit as well there. So that's what I got
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: with that game. Cubs in Arizona, Arizona is staying at home.
• 32:12
  Speaker 3: They just beat the Reds. Arizona has something to play
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: for because they're fighting for a wildcard spot. Cubs are
• 32:18
  Speaker 3: technically also fighting for a wildcard spot or potentially their division.
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: But the Cubs have a better record here, So the
• 32:25
  Speaker 3: Cubs are sitting pretty well here right now. So I
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: think Arizona is gonna have a bigger sense of urgency here.
• 32:31
  Speaker 3: The Cubs just be the Mariners. Don't remind me they
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: salvage in the last game of that series. The Cubs are
• 32:38
  Speaker 3: only having to travel in from Seattle, so that's not
• 32:40
  Speaker 3: too bad. The Cubs are the better of these two
• 32:43
  Speaker 3: teams here. They do have the better bullpen in my opinion.
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: Cubs use three relief pitchers yesterday Arizona used a ton.
• 32:50
  Speaker 3: Arizona used six and it was not an extra inning game,
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: so the Cubs do have a bullpen edge. They're the
• 32:56
  Speaker 3: better bullpen and they're rested. Even though Arizona's ranked ninth,
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: Cubs are ranked eleventh. Arizona's got a worse ERA to
• 33:03
  Speaker 3: point three runs, so yeah, I would favor the Cubs bullpen.
• 33:07
  Speaker 3: Cubs offense is also better. They're number one in offense
• 33:10
  Speaker 3: right now by the way arranged by ops after that
• 33:14
  Speaker 3: explosion yesterday, they're one of the top offenses. Maybe they're
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: still not as good as LA, but they're up there.
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: Arizona has been hitting better since the All Star break.
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: They're fifteenth right now in the course of the season.
• 33:26
  Speaker 3: So we do have offenses that are in decent form here,
• 33:28
  Speaker 3: and I do think we have some kind of questionable
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: starters here, so possibly an over would be worth consideration
• 33:35
  Speaker 3: in this game. Kevin Goussman is getting the start for
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: the Cubs. He has not had a good season four
• 33:40
  Speaker 3: point five eighty RRA one point three whip. He was
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: starting to pitch poorly for Toronto, which is kind of
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: surprising because he's been a pretty good pitcher throughout his career.
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: But he's been bad on the road this year five
• 33:51
  Speaker 3: point four to eight roadier ray. That's not good. He's
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: made four starts with the Cubs and the first two
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: of them were good and then the last two of
• 33:59
  Speaker 3: them were not good. So he's not really a good
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: form right now. Strike out walk ratio does remain pretty good,
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: so it's just he's been way too hittable over his
• 34:09
  Speaker 3: last two starts. I don't know what's really three of
• 34:11
  Speaker 3: the last four. So even though Gaussman is not really
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: walking guys, Yeah, he's just getting hit too hard, which
• 34:19
  Speaker 3: is kind of a problem, and it's kind of been
• 34:21
  Speaker 3: there all season. His hit rate is too high on
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: the season, His walk rate's not too bad. His strike
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: up rate is pretty good as well, so his strike
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: out walk ratio is not going to be bad here,
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: but yeah, it's fine, but his strike up rate, well,
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: his strike up rate is also pretty good. The problem
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: is he's getting hit too hard, So I don't know, man,
• 34:40
  Speaker 3: maybe at his old age, he's just becoming hittable all
• 34:43
  Speaker 3: of a sudden. I don't like that. I don't like
• 34:45
  Speaker 3: his current form. Although he's generally good against Arizona, they
• 34:48
  Speaker 3: have eighty one at bats against him, so this is
• 34:50
  Speaker 3: a big sample here. Two ten average, five to sixty
• 34:53
  Speaker 3: one ohps, thirteen to six strikeout walk ratio though, so
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: not a great ratio there, but three of the walks
• 34:59
  Speaker 3: are NAO. He kind of pitches around him, so Gaussman
• 35:03
  Speaker 3: does match up well here. I don't know if I
• 35:05
  Speaker 3: trust him, though, because he's been really bad on the
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: road this year and he's not pitching well right now.
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: And then on the other side we have Merrill Kelly.
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: If you want to talk about bad home road splits
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: in bad current form, those apply to him in this
• 35:18
  Speaker 3: game too. He's got a five point three to seven ERA,
• 35:20
  Speaker 3: one point five to two whip is really bad. He's
• 35:24
  Speaker 3: been really bad at home six point twenty four homy ra,
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: which I was just alluding to. He's not pitching well either.
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: This month. He has more walks than strikeouts. He's getting
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: hit too hard. He's allowed six runs a piece in
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: his last two starts against Colorado and Boston, although the
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: Red Sox offense has been good recently, but yeah, this
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: is not good stuff here. Kelly looks like he's kind
• 35:45
  Speaker 3: of falling apart. To see two aging pitchers here who
• 35:48
  Speaker 3: almost kind of look like they're kind of falling off
• 35:51
  Speaker 3: a cliff here man, especially Kelly. So I don't know.
• 35:54
  Speaker 3: His hit rate is too high, his walk rates too high,
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: strikeout rates really low. These are some really bad. His
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: strikeout walk ratio is horrendously bad. And it's been pretty
• 36:04
  Speaker 3: good throughout his career, like he's had a good career
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: and just all of a sudden this year he's been horrible. Yeah,
• 36:11
  Speaker 3: not good. And his strikeout rate is way down this year,
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: way lower than it ever has been. I think he's
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: gonna retire, man. I mean, this is just bad stuff.
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: And he's going up against a very good Cub offense.
• 36:22
  Speaker 3: Although he's actually been good against them in his career,
• 36:25
  Speaker 3: but that's because he's had a good career. But do
• 36:27
  Speaker 3: you trust Kelly in the current form against them? I
• 36:31
  Speaker 3: don't think I do. He's got one hundred twelve at
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: bats against him, two forty one average, allowed, six to
• 36:35
  Speaker 3: seventy five ops twenty three to eleven strike out walk
• 36:38
  Speaker 3: ratio is not very good. I think the over is
• 36:42
  Speaker 3: the way to play this game. I even though both
• 36:45
  Speaker 3: pitchers have good matchup numbers, I don't want to over
• 36:48
  Speaker 3: rate those where sometimes they do have a tendency to
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: do that. But yeah, I just think the over makes
• 36:56
  Speaker 3: the most sense to me in this game. And the
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: total is pretty high. It's at nine. It's a hit
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: or park. Arizona's bullpen's used up. I don't trust either
• 37:04
  Speaker 3: of these pitchers. They're in They're bad home road splits here,
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: both of them. They're in bad current form, both of them.
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: We have fifty seven percent of tickets on the under.
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: For some reason, eighty four percent of the cash on
• 37:14
  Speaker 3: the over. Seems like the actual money is playing the over.
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: I think that's what I would do. The money seems
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: to be kind of backing the Cubs, although they're also
• 37:23
  Speaker 3: public eighty seven percent of tickets, ninety percent of the
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: cash on them. They're up to a bout of minus
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: one forty favorite here. I would lean towards the Cubs here.
• 37:33
  Speaker 3: I think Goussmid is still more trustworthy than Kelly. Cubs
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: generally are the better team, have the better bullpen, better offense,
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: although Arizona does Like I said, Arizona does have more motivation.
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: I would say here though, but yeah, I think the
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: best way to play that game is the over, and
• 37:49
  Speaker 3: I think it's I would not try to figure out
• 37:51
  Speaker 3: the side really in that one. Minnesota and the A's
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: this game, the a is just one of the last
• 37:58
  Speaker 3: two games against the ass So the A's after they
• 38:02
  Speaker 3: were not being able to win anything, they just had
• 38:04
  Speaker 3: two big divisional wins, both by one run. Now they're
• 38:08
  Speaker 3: returning home. I think this is a bad spot for
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: the A's. It could be a letdown spot off of
• 38:12
  Speaker 3: those two wins. Plus it's a return home spot plus
• 38:15
  Speaker 3: Central time zone back to the Western Pacific time zone.
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: I mean, having to travel across multiple time zones and
• 38:22
  Speaker 3: readjust to a later time zone could mess with their
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: biological clock. The A's are still a bad team. They
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: basically have no home advantage because they playing Sacramento. So
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: right away, I'm like thinking, Yeah, the A's look like
• 38:35
  Speaker 3: they're definitely very fadable in a spot like this, and
• 38:38
  Speaker 3: I think that's true. So I am going to be
• 38:40
  Speaker 3: leaning towards Minnesota on this one. Minnesota is not changing
• 38:44
  Speaker 3: time zones They're already in California. They just got swept
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: by San Diego, and they're I don't think Minnesota's making it,
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: as I already said. I said that before Minnesota looked good.
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: Recently it looked like they're making a run. I was
• 38:56
  Speaker 3: still saying they're not going to make the playoffs. I
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: don't think they're good enough. But this is a spot
• 39:01
  Speaker 3: where Minnesota I think should win this game. They just
• 39:05
  Speaker 3: got swept by San Diego. They're staying in the Pacific
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: time zone here, which should help them have another edge
• 39:10
  Speaker 3: over the A's here. The situational edge definitely goes to Minnesota. Here. Minnesota,
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: I don't like their bullpen. These four guys out of
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: the bullpen, but the A's have the worst bullpen in baseball.
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: They also use four, but I don't want to trust
• 39:24
  Speaker 3: either bullpen. Here. Minnesota's twenty eighth. The A's are twenty ninth,
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: though the A's have the worst bullpen era. Still, both
• 39:31
  Speaker 3: offenses are okay in Minnesota twelfth, the A's sixteenth, tied
• 39:34
  Speaker 3: with the Phillies, though the A's kind of have dropped
• 39:37
  Speaker 3: off offensively recently. The question is can you trust Zebi
• 39:42
  Speaker 3: Matthews if you want to back in Minnesota here, I'm
• 39:44
  Speaker 3: not so sure he's better. I think he's better than
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: his ERA looks five point one two ERA one point
• 39:51
  Speaker 3: three to three whip is not that bad, but he's
• 39:55
  Speaker 3: really questionable on the road. I mean that's putting it
• 39:57
  Speaker 3: mildly seven point one to three road. I don't know
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: if I can come in and back him in a
• 40:03
  Speaker 3: road start. You know, he is pitching okay recently. He
• 40:06
  Speaker 3: had a good start last time out against the Braves.
• 40:08
  Speaker 3: Minnesota's won his last four starts and he's not allowing
• 40:11
  Speaker 3: that many runs here, although he's only going about five
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: innings here. So I think if we're gonna play this game,
• 40:16
  Speaker 3: I would say take Minnesota first five because Matthews will
• 40:20
  Speaker 3: probably get you through that amount and I would not
• 40:23
  Speaker 3: want to deal with the bullpens. But yeah, Matthews is
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: pitching okay recently. His hit rate is still too high
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: on the season, his walk rate is okay, his strike
• 40:31
  Speaker 3: out rate is low kind of although again I thought
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: he was a better strike up pitcher than this. He's
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: not a huge fly ball pitcher, but he still has
• 40:39
  Speaker 3: kind of allowed a lot of home runs here. So
• 40:41
  Speaker 3: like his amount of fly balls is not high really,
• 40:44
  Speaker 3: which should be a good indicator for pitching in a
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: stadium like this. It's a very hitter friendly ballpark. But
• 40:49
  Speaker 3: he allows too many home runs despite that, so I
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: don't know that has to be a little bit worried
• 40:54
  Speaker 3: as well. His strikeout walk ratio is worse than it
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: was last year, although he's overall been a little bit
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: better than he was last year, but his strike out
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: rates come way down, so I don't know what the
• 41:04
  Speaker 3: deal is with that. I mean, he's still a young pitcher.
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: His numbers against San Diego, oh no, wait, not san Diego,
• 41:11
  Speaker 3: the A's. I was gonna say he's not good against
• 41:12
  Speaker 3: San Diego. Against the A's, he's okay. They have fifteen
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: at bats against. I'm not a huge sample here, seven
• 41:18
  Speaker 3: hitters of face him, two sixty seven average, six eighty
• 41:21
  Speaker 3: six ops, two to two strike out walk ratio. Those
• 41:25
  Speaker 3: numbers lean a little bit towards Matthews here. I think
• 41:29
  Speaker 3: I still prefer him over Jeffrey Springs, though even those Springs,
• 41:34
  Speaker 3: I don't think he's as bad as his the RA
• 41:36
  Speaker 3: makes him look either. Six point oh two era. He
• 41:38
  Speaker 3: was better than this last year, and whatever one point
• 41:41
  Speaker 3: four to eight whip is still not good though. He
• 41:44
  Speaker 3: doesn't pitch well in this stadium six point six y
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: three homey ra. He's struggled in this stadium last year too.
• 41:50
  Speaker 3: Springs is a flyball pitcher, balls spring off of bats
• 41:56
  Speaker 3: that face him, and he's allowed a ton of home
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: runs twenty nine home runs one hundred and thirteen to
• 42:00
  Speaker 3: two thirds innings. He's allowed too many hits. His walk
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: rates not very good, his strikeout rates not very good.
• 42:05
  Speaker 3: These numbers are bad this year for him men, and
• 42:08
  Speaker 3: he doesn't pitch well in the stadium. He lows a
• 42:10
  Speaker 3: lot of home runs in general, a lot of fly balls.
• 42:13
  Speaker 3: Do you want to talk about not being well suited
• 42:16
  Speaker 3: for a stadium, Yeah, I would say Springs is not.
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: Although he pitched well last time out. He I believe
• 42:22
  Speaker 3: he made a spot starter or maybe he came in
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: after an opener against the Royals. He pitched fairly well
• 42:29
  Speaker 3: in that one, although he didn't strike anybody out. But
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: his walk rates just been way too high recently, like
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: more strikeouts than walks over the last month. None of
• 42:39
  Speaker 3: this looks good to may rally. Even though he was
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: okay last time out, Minnesota is going to be a
• 42:45
  Speaker 3: better offense that he's having to face here than Kansas
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: City is. He does do well against Minnesota though generally
• 42:51
  Speaker 3: forty six at bats, one seventy four average, four, forty
• 42:54
  Speaker 3: two oh ps, fourteen to three strikeout walk ratio, So
• 42:57
  Speaker 3: those numbers do look actually pretty good. So if you
• 43:02
  Speaker 3: go purely based on matchup, Springs would actually have a
• 43:05
  Speaker 3: little bit of an edge against these hitters. But Springs
• 43:07
  Speaker 3: is awful in the stadium. I think it's a terrible
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: spot for the A's. Minnesota has the younger pitcher on
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: the model that has more upside, and you know, and
• 43:19
  Speaker 3: Matthews I think is better suited to pitch in the
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: stadium than Springs is. At least I would say Minnesota
• 43:24
  Speaker 3: first five. But you're gonna definitely have to pay for it.
• 43:27
  Speaker 3: Their minus one fifty something for the money line on
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: the game, seventy nine percent of tickets, eighty eight percent
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: of the cash on Minnesota, so the money seems to
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: be leaning towards Minnesota. You're gonna have to lay half
• 43:37
  Speaker 3: a run with them in the first five. I think
• 43:39
  Speaker 3: that's the only really way to real way to look
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: at that. I still worry about Matthews on the road, though.
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: I suppose the other way that you could look at
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: this is to just take the over. I mean, I
• 43:48
  Speaker 3: think pitching is pretty questionable in every phase of this game.
• 43:52
  Speaker 3: Pretty much money's indicating on the ender though, But ten
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: and a half you're below that key number of eleven.
• 43:59
  Speaker 3: It's not that bad of a total. I mean, it's
• 44:01
  Speaker 3: a total that makes sense in this stadium. So the
• 44:03
  Speaker 3: over might be worth considering there. But I prefer Minnesota
• 44:07
  Speaker 3: first five in that one. All right, Philadelphia and Seattle.
• 44:11
  Speaker 3: I looked at this game and I was like, Yeah,
• 44:13
  Speaker 3: this game looks totally like an under to me, pun intended,
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: even though it's Seattle coming off a miserable game yesterday
• 44:22
  Speaker 3: nineteen to two. So yeah, bryceon Miller, by the way,
• 44:24
  Speaker 3: his last two outings his team lost twenty two and
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: nothing in nineteen to two. He didn't pitch well and
• 44:30
  Speaker 3: either start. It wasn't all his fault, but he was bad.
• 44:33
  Speaker 3: The bullpens were bad, the hitting was bad. I don't
• 44:36
  Speaker 3: know what's going on here, man. Seattle did win that
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: series though, against the Cubs, and they're staying at home
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: while Philadelphia has to travel all the way to the
• 44:43
  Speaker 3: Pacific time zone for this. So even though it is
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: the start of a road trip, Philly's hot right now.
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: They've won eight or nine games in a row. I
• 44:50
  Speaker 3: don't even want to be reminded of losing the under
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: in that fashion yesterday with six ninth inning two out
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: runs for Philly. Give me a fucking break, dude. Now
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: they're starting a road trip, which usually is a positive.
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: You're starting a road trip with momentum. However, traveling across
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: country like this, like I said, to go to the
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: Pacific time zone and have to adjust your biological clock,
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: I don't really like Philly in a spot like this, man,
• 45:17
  Speaker 3: so I'd be maybe leaning towards Seattle a little bit here.
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: But obviously my thought in this game was the under,
• 45:25
  Speaker 3: and I think the hidden can also be negatively affected,
• 45:27
  Speaker 3: of course, by flipping time zones like that. Philadelphia only
• 45:32
  Speaker 3: these two relief pitchers yesterday, so their bullpen, while it
• 45:34
  Speaker 3: isn't good, it's kind of rested here Seattle because I
• 45:38
  Speaker 3: don't think they had a save situation because they won
• 45:40
  Speaker 3: in the bottom of the ninth, So Seattle, I used
• 45:43
  Speaker 3: three relief pitchers. Their bullpen's not pitching well recently, but
• 45:46
  Speaker 3: they do have some of their better relievers still available
• 45:48
  Speaker 3: for today. I don't know if I would trust these bullpens, though.
• 45:52
  Speaker 3: You got Philadelphia eighteenth in bullpen Seattle twenty first, so
• 45:58
  Speaker 3: maybe a first five undermake more sense here. Philadelphia offensively,
• 46:03
  Speaker 3: they've been better recently, sixteenth, but they're not that good
• 46:06
  Speaker 3: on the road. They're tied with the A's offensively right now,
• 46:09
  Speaker 3: the old Philly team in the current Philly team. There
• 46:13
  Speaker 3: you go, because the Athletics used to be Philadelphia and
• 46:15
  Speaker 3: now they're homeless. But Philly, Yeah, their offense might take
• 46:19
  Speaker 3: a little bit of a drop on the road. In
• 46:21
  Speaker 3: a pitcher friendly park like Seattle, them in better recently,
• 46:25
  Speaker 3: and they're better at home, but in a Seattle ballpark
• 46:27
  Speaker 3: like this, they might not do as well offensively, and
• 46:29
  Speaker 3: Seattle has been putrid offensively. They're tied in last place
• 46:33
  Speaker 3: with Cleveland. Like I said, not good. Zach Wheeler is
• 46:37
  Speaker 3: getting the start for Philly. Really good season for him.
• 46:41
  Speaker 3: Two point nine two ERA, one point h one whip.
• 46:43
  Speaker 3: He's good on the road two point sixty seven road era. However,
• 46:47
  Speaker 3: he's not pitching as well recently like this month is
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: walk rate's gone up. He's still striking guys out, but
• 46:53
  Speaker 3: he's allowing some runs here. His walk rate's gone up.
• 46:56
  Speaker 3: He's not in his best form right now. He still
• 46:59
  Speaker 3: has a really low hit rate on the season, low
• 47:02
  Speaker 3: walk rate, high strikeout rate. Those numbers are all still
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: really good. But maybe at his age, you know, maybe
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: the season's kind of taking its toll. He hasn't really
• 47:09
  Speaker 3: thrown them many innings this year though he was hurt
• 47:12
  Speaker 3: for a while. He's only thrown one hundred and twenty
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: in a third, so he wouldn't think that he was
• 47:15
  Speaker 3: wearing down yet, although he's getting up there in age.
• 47:18
  Speaker 3: But of course he's thrown way more innings than this
• 47:20
  Speaker 3: in many seasons throughout his career. But his strikeout walk
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: race just still good. His strike up for nine is
• 47:26
  Speaker 3: still good. He's still a good pitcher generally, and I'm
• 47:29
  Speaker 3: still gonna lean towards him pitching well here. He's got
• 47:32
  Speaker 3: good numbers against Seattle. They have fifty eight at bats
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: against them. I think only yeah seven guys have faced
• 47:38
  Speaker 3: some robblists as a lot of at bats against them.
• 47:41
  Speaker 3: More than half of these at bats, they have nineteen strikeouts,
• 47:45
  Speaker 3: three walks against them on one seventy two average and
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: four thirty three ops. Wheelers definitely had the upper hand
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: against them. Logan Gilbert is pitching for Seattle. I think
• 47:55
  Speaker 3: he's better than like Bryce, probably than Bryce Miller, better
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: than like a lot of the pitchers Seattle has in
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: their rotation. I think Gilbert and Wu are still their
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: best two starters here. Gilbert three point three five RA
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: one point oh one. Whit pretty good? Is he Ray
• 48:11
  Speaker 3: at Holmes not as good? Four point oh one? It's
• 48:14
  Speaker 3: because of the home runs eighteen of the twenty one
• 48:16
  Speaker 3: runs he's allowed to come at home this year, But
• 48:18
  Speaker 3: it makes no sense because this is a picture friendly park,
• 48:21
  Speaker 3: and he's been better at home for like over a
• 48:23
  Speaker 3: month now, so his home numbers have gotten better. Like,
• 48:27
  Speaker 3: his last few home starts have all been pretty good,
• 48:30
  Speaker 3: so I don't think he's actually that bad at home,
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: which usually Seattle's pitchers are better at home. Gilbert's in
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: alright for hero Those walk rate kind of like Wheelers is.
• 48:40
  Speaker 3: Walk rate has gone up a little bit over his
• 48:42
  Speaker 3: last few starts, so some of those were against some
• 48:44
  Speaker 3: pretty good offenses here. Phillies is kind of a mediocre offense.
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: He's got a low hit rate, pretty low walk rate here,
• 48:52
  Speaker 3: a high strikeout rate as well. All those numbers are good.
• 48:54
  Speaker 3: Strike out walk ratio, strike up for nine, those all
• 48:57
  Speaker 3: look good, even though they're actually a little bit down
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: from the way he pitched the last couple of years.
• 49:02
  Speaker 3: Gilbert against the Phillies, they have ninety three at bats
• 49:06
  Speaker 3: against him, and Gilbert has done pretty well two thirty
• 49:08
  Speaker 3: seven average, six to sixty one oh ps, twenty eight
• 49:11
  Speaker 3: to two strike out walk ratio. So I still think
• 49:15
  Speaker 3: the under is the better way to play this. The
• 49:17
  Speaker 3: money is indicating on the under. It's just it's one
• 49:20
  Speaker 3: of those dreaded six and a half totals, and I
• 49:22
  Speaker 3: really don't like the bullpens, so I don't think you'll
• 49:24
  Speaker 3: be able to find the key number of seven. The
• 49:27
  Speaker 3: f book that's the bad Merchandise store does have a
• 49:32
  Speaker 3: seven at heavy juice to the under. I don't really
• 49:35
  Speaker 3: want to do the six and a half, although it
• 49:37
  Speaker 3: feels like whenever I say that, the game still goes under,
• 49:41
  Speaker 3: which is kind of the way that it is. The
• 49:43
  Speaker 3: adds makers they're pretty much telling you this is going
• 49:46
  Speaker 3: to be a pitching duel. Eighty five percent of the
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: tickets on the over, seventy one percent of the cash
• 49:50
  Speaker 3: on the unders. The money is heavily indicating towards the under.
• 49:55
  Speaker 3: I agree with it. I mean you could look at
• 49:57
  Speaker 3: the first five. I guess, because I really don't like
• 49:58
  Speaker 3: these bultpens, you're probably gonna be looking at like a
• 50:01
  Speaker 3: three and a half or maybe even a three in
• 50:04
  Speaker 3: the first five, which I don't really want to do it,
• 50:07
  Speaker 3: but I think that is the way I would play
• 50:08
  Speaker 3: this game, is some sort of under here. Maybe first
• 50:12
  Speaker 3: five is the best way to play it, especially because
• 50:14
  Speaker 3: you're not even getting the key number seven in the
• 50:16
  Speaker 3: full game. Maybe just look to the first five and
• 50:19
  Speaker 3: take it under three and a half if you can
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: find it. Eighty one percent of tickets ninety percent of
• 50:24
  Speaker 3: the cash on Philly, I would slightly lean towards Seattle.
• 50:29
  Speaker 3: And you know I gave out Seattle as a play
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: after that twenty two and to nothing loss, and they
• 50:34
  Speaker 3: won the next game, So Seattle possible bounce back spot
• 50:38
  Speaker 3: for them. They're also in desperation mode, like they're still
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: trying to make the playoffs. Philly is sitting a lot
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: better in their playoff positioning. Plus I already told you
• 50:45
  Speaker 3: it's a bad biological clock spot for Philly. Here Philly
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: might look a little bit too good right now, based
• 50:51
  Speaker 3: on the way that they've been playing. I still like
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: they're a bit overrated. Wheeler is one of the pitchers
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: that they usually win behind, though, but again, something seems
• 51:00
  Speaker 3: off with Wheeler recently though, although Gilbert you know, hasn't
• 51:03
  Speaker 3: been at his best recently either. Yea, I would still
• 51:05
  Speaker 3: lean to Seattle slightly here, probably full game, Like I don't,
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: I think Seattle's bullpen is probably still better than Phillies,
• 51:12
  Speaker 3: So maybe full game Seattle is a little bit of
• 51:14
  Speaker 3: an underdog price might be worth a look as well.
• 51:19
  Speaker 3: Dirty sock, what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right,
• 51:23
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna be right back. And then the last two
• 51:25
  Speaker 3: games you probably already know what I'm gonna do. But
• 51:27
  Speaker 3: I've a play on both of these last two games here,
• 51:31
  Speaker 3: So a lot of plays for me today. I have
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: a WNBA play as well, because I just I'm on tilt.
• 51:36
  Speaker 3: I don't give a shit anymore. Man. We're gonna have
• 51:38
  Speaker 3: a losing WNBA season now because I'm just continuously getting fucked.
• 51:43
  Speaker 3: I mean, what do you want? I can't get anything
• 51:45
  Speaker 3: right at all. So had a winning WNBA season last year,
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: I'm still up in the WNBA since started to do
• 51:53
  Speaker 3: it last year. I don't know we could try to
• 51:57
  Speaker 3: inch back towards being up in the WNB this year.
• 52:00
  Speaker 3: It's not gonna be easy. I have to make more
• 52:03
  Speaker 3: plays to make it happen. So I am gonna give
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: out a play and nobody's gonna like it either, but
• 52:08
  Speaker 3: I'll be right back. Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself.
• 52:20
  Speaker 3: We are on OWN seven run over the last two
• 52:23
  Speaker 3: days after tonight it was just complete bullshit. So that's
• 52:27
  Speaker 3: that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible Sunday one
• 52:30
  Speaker 3: and five. I don't even know what to tell you
• 52:32
  Speaker 3: about that. I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 52:35
  Speaker 3: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 52:39
  Speaker 3: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 52:43
  Speaker 3: OWN four that have not had a good season. Man
• 52:47
  Speaker 3: with wickends slump that I'm on and the slump continues,
• 52:53
  Speaker 3: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my
• 52:57
  Speaker 3: growing tack.
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 52:58
  Speaker 3: I don't know what is going on with the Ruins
• 53:01
  Speaker 3: arch Epe is that what it is? I don't even
• 53:03
  Speaker 3: know it's It's March ninth. I think who even knows. Man,
• 53:07
  Speaker 3: I don't know what day is anymore. I don't even
• 53:09
  Speaker 3: know what day this anymore. Man, Back with you after
• 53:13
  Speaker 3: the worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 53:16
  Speaker 3: you as I always am until I die, at least
• 53:20
  Speaker 3: oh and two yesterday and yesterday it did not go
• 53:23
  Speaker 3: well for me. Own five, the worst month that I've
• 53:27
  Speaker 3: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 53:29
  Speaker 3: know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump,
• 53:32
  Speaker 3: the slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 53:39
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 53:41
  Speaker 3: other than potentially end it all all right, this next game,
• 53:55
  Speaker 3: we're gonna take another under here in Pittsburgh, San Diego.
• 53:59
  Speaker 3: We get a pitcher friendly park here. Under seven and
• 54:02
  Speaker 3: a half is out there, a little bit of juice.
• 54:05
  Speaker 3: And while one of these starting pitchers I really like
• 54:07
  Speaker 3: and the other one I really don't, but I still
• 54:09
  Speaker 3: think this is an under in this game here Pittsburgh,
• 54:14
  Speaker 3: they're pretty much done for the season, but they have
• 54:17
  Speaker 3: If Schemes is shut down, then the picture they have
• 54:19
  Speaker 3: pitching tonight is their best pitcher. Pittsburgh is staying in
• 54:23
  Speaker 3: the Pacific time zone here they're coming in from LA.
• 54:25
  Speaker 3: They just got swept by LA. I don't know if
• 54:28
  Speaker 3: they're gonna get up for this game or not, but
• 54:30
  Speaker 3: I just don't really care. I just want this game
• 54:32
  Speaker 3: to go on to the total. Here. San Diego is
• 54:34
  Speaker 3: coming off a good series, or they swept the twins
• 54:37
  Speaker 3: and they're staying at home. San Diego does have more
• 54:40
  Speaker 3: to play for at this point because they're trying to
• 54:41
  Speaker 3: maintain their wildcard positioning here, but I think this is
• 54:44
  Speaker 3: gonna be a low scoring game, and I am okay
• 54:48
  Speaker 3: with back in the bullpens. We do have one really
• 54:50
  Speaker 3: good bullpen with San Diego, and they're pretty rested after
• 54:53
  Speaker 3: you yes to Sday. Pittsburgh's bullpen is not as good obviously,
• 54:56
  Speaker 3: but they kind of just use innings eating pictures. Yes,
• 55:00
  Speaker 3: so their better relievers are at least available here, and
• 55:04
  Speaker 3: their era is not that bad out of the bullpen,
• 55:06
  Speaker 3: even though they're twenty third. I'm willing to make this
• 55:08
  Speaker 3: a full game play. San Diego is number seven in bullpen,
• 55:13
  Speaker 3: their era is good. I think they're a little bit
• 55:15
  Speaker 3: better than seventh. Of course, when you have Mason Miller,
• 55:18
  Speaker 3: I mean you're gonna be a top five bullpen, and
• 55:20
  Speaker 3: he'll be available in this game today. So if it's
• 55:23
  Speaker 3: a close San Diego lead late, which maybe it could be,
• 55:27
  Speaker 3: that might help us out here. But we're gonna back
• 55:29
  Speaker 3: Braxton Ashcraft here and backed him in the first five
• 55:32
  Speaker 3: the last couple of times, and he's gone deep into
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: those games. Man. So I think the last time out,
• 55:37
  Speaker 3: I had an under that I gave out and I
• 55:40
  Speaker 3: believe it was a winner, but Ashcraft went like the
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: full game almost. So Ashcraft is pitching deep into games,
• 55:47
  Speaker 3: and he's pitching efficiently as well. He's got a three
• 55:50
  Speaker 3: point six to eighty array one point oh eight whip.
• 55:53
  Speaker 3: He's been fine on the road, three point seven to
• 55:55
  Speaker 3: six ROADI ray a little bit higher ere aray on
• 55:57
  Speaker 3: the road, but lower opponent batting average doesn't really mad.
• 56:00
  Speaker 3: He doesn't have insane splits or anything. He's pitching really
• 56:04
  Speaker 3: well recently twenty four to three strike out walk ratio.
• 56:07
  Speaker 3: This month, He's gone at least eight innings in his
• 56:09
  Speaker 3: last two starts, allowing one run in each of them.
• 56:11
  Speaker 3: So that's keeping the bullpen from having to get used
• 56:14
  Speaker 3: in his starts, and he's not even throwing that many pitches.
• 56:18
  Speaker 3: He didn't even get to ninety pitches in either of
• 56:20
  Speaker 3: those outings, So that's pretty crazy. He's not walking really
• 56:23
  Speaker 3: anybody right now. He's not along a lot of hits either.
• 56:27
  Speaker 3: I mean, this is all really good stuff. Low hit rate,
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: pretty low walk rate, high strike out rate. The only
• 56:33
  Speaker 3: number he has it's kind of bad as the home runs,
• 56:35
  Speaker 3: but other than that, he's good. He's pitching in a
• 56:38
  Speaker 3: pitcher friendly park here. One thing you do you do
• 56:41
  Speaker 3: have to worry about is the innings. He's up to
• 56:43
  Speaker 3: almost one fifty here. But he doesn't appear to be
• 56:46
  Speaker 3: slowing down right now. Man. So even though he did
• 56:48
  Speaker 3: throw a lot of innings his last two outings, he
• 56:50
  Speaker 3: didn't throw that many pitches like it was not like
• 56:54
  Speaker 3: it wasn't like he was laboring in those games, really,
• 56:56
  Speaker 3: you know. So I think he's still okay. He's not
• 56:58
  Speaker 3: showing signs that he's a fading yet. He's got a
• 57:01
  Speaker 3: three point six to eighty RA one point oh eight
• 57:03
  Speaker 3: whip on the season. I think I already said that
• 57:05
  Speaker 3: strike out walk ratio is quite high. That's good. Strake
• 57:08
  Speaker 3: up for nine also good. I'm liking what he's thrown down, man,
• 57:12
  Speaker 3: I'm liking all of this. And against San Diego. I
• 57:16
  Speaker 3: know their numbers look all right, but it's because they
• 57:18
  Speaker 3: only have two guys to have faced him two at
• 57:21
  Speaker 3: bats and they have one hit a double from Furman
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: for mean whatever. Yeah, they have a five hundred average
• 57:27
  Speaker 3: fifteen hundred ohps. I don't care. Like basically most of
• 57:30
  Speaker 3: their lineup hasn't seen him, so Ashcraft is pretty unfamiliar
• 57:34
  Speaker 3: to them. One strikeout in there from cronam Worth, no walks,
• 57:37
  Speaker 3: but I think Ashcraft should be able to pitch well
• 57:39
  Speaker 3: again here. And I'm actually gonna back Robbie Ray on
• 57:42
  Speaker 3: the other side as well, even though I don't think
• 57:44
  Speaker 3: he's that good. Three point two era is pretty good,
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: one point three to one whip is not very good,
• 57:49
  Speaker 3: indicates his CRA should be higher. However, what we do
• 57:53
  Speaker 3: know about him is he pitches well at home, although
• 57:55
  Speaker 3: I know this is mostly with San Francisco, but San
• 57:58
  Speaker 3: Diego and San Francisco are both pitcher friendly ballpark, so
• 58:01
  Speaker 3: I think he should be able to pitch well in
• 58:03
  Speaker 3: this park as well. He has a two point six
• 58:05
  Speaker 3: to eight Homie Ray this year with a low opponent
• 58:08
  Speaker 3: of batting average two oh two. Since San Diego got him,
• 58:13
  Speaker 3: he was kind of bad in his first start. He
• 58:15
  Speaker 3: walked a ton of guys against Houston. He's been walking
• 58:18
  Speaker 3: too many guys, there's no doubt about that. But he's
• 58:20
  Speaker 3: gotten better, and he started at least. He pitched okay
• 58:23
  Speaker 3: here at home sort of against Milwaukee, and then he
• 58:26
  Speaker 3: was pretty good against the Mets last time out, although
• 58:28
  Speaker 3: he still walked too many guys, and yes, that worries me.
• 58:31
  Speaker 3: He has more walks than strikeouts since joining San Diego.
• 58:34
  Speaker 3: But and I know Pittsburgh is a good offense, but
• 58:37
  Speaker 3: this is a Pittsburgh team that I think might come
• 58:39
  Speaker 3: out come in here a little bit deflated. Ray does
• 58:42
  Speaker 3: still have a really low hit rate. His problem is
• 58:44
  Speaker 3: the walks. He walks way too many guys. His strike
• 58:47
  Speaker 3: out rate is also not very good. So obviously strike
• 58:49
  Speaker 3: out walk ratio is ugly here, and it is strike
• 58:54
  Speaker 3: up for nine is also pretty ugly. But I think
• 58:57
  Speaker 3: this is a decent matchup for him. It's at home
• 59:01
  Speaker 3: where he tends to a bitch better at least when
• 59:03
  Speaker 3: he was on San Francisco he did, and Pittsburgh has
• 59:05
  Speaker 3: not been able to hit him well. They have thirty
• 59:07
  Speaker 3: nine at bats against him, fourteen strikeouts, three walks two
• 59:11
  Speaker 3: h five average four ninety three ohps and that's most
• 59:14
  Speaker 3: of Pittsburgh's lineup having faced him, So Ray actually does
• 59:18
  Speaker 3: have good numbers against him here. So I say we
• 59:20
  Speaker 3: do it. Let's play the under here in this one,
• 59:23
  Speaker 3: and the bullpen could come in and kind of rescue
• 59:25
  Speaker 3: this thing for San Diego if y is starting to
• 59:27
  Speaker 3: struggle a little bit, I think the bullpen could come
• 59:30
  Speaker 3: in and kind of save that side of the game
• 59:31
  Speaker 3: a little bit. Maybe pun intended. Sixty one percent of
• 59:34
  Speaker 3: tickets on the over fifty nine percent of the cash
• 59:36
  Speaker 3: on the under money is agreeing with me on this.
• 59:39
  Speaker 3: Seven and a half is out there across the board here.
• 59:42
  Speaker 3: Money's also back in San Diego. I don't really love
• 59:46
  Speaker 3: that sixty percent of tickets eighty percent of the cash
• 59:49
  Speaker 3: on them third amount minus one oh four or so. Here.
• 59:52
  Speaker 3: I think Pittsburgh looks too ugly right now after that's
• 59:56
  Speaker 3: that loss where they just got swept. It was against
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers, so you know, I mean, what can you do?
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 3: San Diego looks pretty good right now, winning a lot
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 3: of games right now. Ashcraft is clearly better than Ray,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 3: So I think I would lean Pittsburgh first. Five here
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 3: and go with the better starting pitchro al, though they'll
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 3: probably be a favorite in the first five. But obviously,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 3: the way that I'm playing this game is the under.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 3: I'm not really gonna try to go with a side
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 3: in this one. Under I think is a pretty strong
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 3: play there. I do have a side in the last game, though,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 3: I told you I'm firing a lot of plays out
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 3: there here Fox Sports Ones. You get a TV game here, Cincinnati,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 3: San Francisco. You know what I'm doing in this game,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 3: and you do have to pay for this. We're gonna
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 3: take Cincinnati in the first five with Chase Burns on
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 3: the mound. You have to lay the minus half a
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 3: run though I found it a minus one oh five
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 3: at the bat Jim book, although a lot of the
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 3: books are minus one fifteen minus one twenty on this,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 3: I would still do it that way. I think this
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 3: is the way to play this game. I think we
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 3: have a huge starting pitching mismatch here in favor of
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 3: the Reds, So that's where I'm gonna go with this.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 3: Plus it's even better than that. San Francisco's returning on
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 3: from a road trip. They went to Cleveland and Boston.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 3: They had a bad road trip. But you know, I mean,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 3: San Francisco sucks, like they're not going anywhere now they're
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 3: returning home. Are they really gonna get excited for playing
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 3: another shitty team in the Reds and San Francisco having
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 3: to travel back home, which is a negative spot, as
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 3: I always say, you have to get back to home life.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 3: They might not get up for a game against a
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 3: bad team and they have to travel across time zones here,
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 3: Whereas the Reds have a much better travel spot here
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 3: because they're coming in from Arizona, so it's a much
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 3: easier travel spot for Cincinnati where they're only having to
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 3: move over one time zone, whereas San Francisco is having
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 3: to travel across three and go west and play a
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 3: late night game when they're adjusted to the East Coast
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 3: time now they have to readjust the Pacific time. Yeah,
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 3: good luck with that. You know they're gonna be playing
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 3: their biological clock is basically gonna be like they're playing
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 3: until midnight here, So it's not good. It's a very
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 3: negative spot. So this combination a lot negative spot for
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 3: a bad team going up against a much stronger starting pitcher.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 3: On the other side, I'm gonna avoid the bullpens though,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 3: because Cincinnati's bullpen is very bad, so I don't want
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 3: to deal with it. They only use two guys out
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 3: of the bullpen yesterday, though San Francisco did use four
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 3: because it was a tug boat game, so they did
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 3: use a bunch of guys behind him. San Francisco's bullpen's
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 3: not very good. They're twenty fourth, but Cincinnati's even worse
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 3: at twenty fifth. In their eerra's point three runs worse,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 3: so I can't really back their bullpen. Both offenses suck.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 3: San Francisco twenty first, Cincinnati twenty fourth. I think Cincinnati
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 3: can get something going a little bit in this game,
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 3: at least enough that Chase Burns can get us there.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 3: Burns has obviously been their best pitcher two point five
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 3: to one, ERA, one point one to one whip his
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 3: innings pitch, we do maybe have to worry a little bit.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 3: He's up to one hundred and thirty six, so I
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 3: am backing two pitchers today that are throwing more innings
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 3: than they have before. But he's still pitching well. He's
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 3: got a pretty good strikeout walk ratio here, good strike
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 3: up for nine here. He's still pitching pretty well here.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 3: Looking at his recent form. Yeah, he's still been in
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 3: good form recently, so I'm not too worried about that
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 3: really good strike out walk numbers here over his last
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 3: couple of starts as well. Cincinnati's winning a lot of
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 3: his recent games. They've won six of his last eight,
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 3: and actually they've won ten of his last twelve, I
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 3: think is what that is. So they're winning when he's
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 3: out on the mound. He's won a lot of first
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 3: five plays. We've won a couple of first five plays
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 3: with him. He's got a low hit rate, his walk
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 3: rate is okay enough, strike out rate is high, so
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 3: that's all good. His numbers against San Francisco are fine.
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 3: I mean they only have four hitters who have faced
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 3: him seven at bats, two strikeouts, one walk, no extra
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 3: base hits, two eighty six average six sixty one ohps.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 3: So I think that's fine. And Burns is gonna be
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 3: unfamiliar to like half of their lineup too, so I
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 3: think Burns has the upper hand yard. I mean, he's
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 3: going up against Carson wizen Hunt, who has a seven
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 3: point three ERA one point eight to four whip. I mean,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 3: this is not good, even though Wizenon has been better
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 3: at home three point eighty six. Homy Ray, I just
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 3: don't care. He's still walking a ton of guys. He's
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 3: had more walks than strikeouts in the month of August.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 3: He got obliterated last time out against Cleveland and they're
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 3: not a good offense at all. Uh and against Texas
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 3: two starts before that, one of his last two or
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 3: really two of his last three home starts haven't even
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 3: been good either. So I'm not really putting that much
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 3: weight into his home era because he's still putting a
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 3: lot of guys on base here. He's got a high
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 3: hit rate of really high walk rate like terrible, and
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 3: his strike up rate is not even high either, So
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 3: his strike up walk ratio is awful. It's like basically
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 3: around one, which is terrible. Strike up for nine not
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 3: good either. Yeah, he's not a good pitcher. Cincinnati hasn't
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 3: really faced him before, so he does have an unfamiliarity edge.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 3: But when you're this bad of a picture, do you
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 3: really have that much of an edge. Only Hayes has
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 3: ever faced, not Willie Mays, Hayes, Cabrian Hayes, that's the
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 3: other Ohio team. Hayes is over two often with no strikeouts,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 3: no walks, whatever, it's a public play. But we'll take
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 3: Cincinnati in the first five. They have eighty eight percent
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 3: of the tickets and cash on them. They're about minus
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 3: one fifty something on the full game, but we're doing
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 3: run line first five, and the money line has gone
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 3: up on them. They were minus one thirty something, so
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 3: I think some real money has driven the lineup on Cincinnati.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 3: So I think there probably is some actual money on
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 3: them here. And I just gave you the reasons why
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 3: I think it's a situation will play plus the way
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 3: better starter, So let's do it. Lay the half run
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 3: Cincinnati verse five. Money's also back in the over seven
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 3: and a half here, I kind of get it. I mean,
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 3: seven and a half seems way too low for a
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 3: game that wizen Hunt is pitching in, and with these
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 3: two bullpends, you know, like the only good pitching here
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 3: is Burns All. The rest of the pitching is terrible
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 3: in this game. So I guess there are probably more
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 3: indicators towards an over than an under, but I'm focusing
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 3: on the side. Of course, Let's do that, and then
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 3: we're gonna have a WNBA play as well, three plays
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 3: in a row. Let's go. I should have just gone
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 3: with it. But this is the best best bet segment.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 3: Nobody's gonna like this. We're gonna take Golden State plus
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 3: six and a half in WNBA against Minnesota on USA Network.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 3: Minnesota is the best team in the league. I know that,
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 3: but I think this is a spot play where we
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 3: can get some value here. We got a low total
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 3: in this one too, And you know what, I always say,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 3: the total is really low at one's sixty some numbers.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 3: Some books have it lower than one sixty. You know what,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 3: I always say, the when it's a low total to
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 3: the points are worth more. So taking a big underdog
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 3: like this, it looks like you have to take a
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 3: five and a half. Now, I think it's still worth it.
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 3: I mean not a huge difference between five and a
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 3: half and six and a half. Seven is kind of
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 3: the key number where teams stop potentially following. But unfortunately,
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 3: sometimes I think the real money is agreeing with me.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 3: So I think sometimes these lines just move, you know,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 3: like really quickly, and by the time I get to it,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 3: even on my show, the line will have moved from
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 3: where it was like an hour ago. You know what
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 3: I mean. But yeah, Golden State, I think is the
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 3: right move to make here. I think we're getting value
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 3: because the total is so low. Golden State plays good
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 3: deep mens and you know, I like a good depfensive
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 3: team getting points. Minnesota is also good on deepfense, and
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 3: they're a better offensive team probably than Golden State. But
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 3: Golden State's good, dude. I think Golden State's the third
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 3: best team in the WNBA behind Minnesota in Las Vegas.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 3: The Western Conference is stacked this year. Golden State could
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 3: definitely hang around in this game, and Minnesota is in
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 3: a bad spot. They're returning home from a road trip.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 3: They've been on since August twelfth, so they've been on
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 3: the road for almost two weeks and now they're returning home.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 3: I don't think that's a good spot, you know. And
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 3: they've been all over the place. They went to the
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 3: West coast, and they had to go all the way
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 3: to the East coast. And by the way, when they
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 3: were on the West coast, they won at Golden State
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 3: by eleven. So this is a quick road revenging go
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 3: here where Golden State lost at home, and now they
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 3: have a chance to exact revenge. On the road. I
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 3: like a spot like that too, because the avenging team,
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 3: it's not like they're angry, but they can make adjustments
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 3: to what went wrong in the first game, and the
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 3: team that won has nothing to do adjust, you know
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 3: what I mean. Plus, Minnesota went over to Washington and
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 3: they beat Washington without Callier in the lineup. They rested
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 3: Collier in that game. Now they're coming back home, and
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 3: you know, I always talk about this, when a team
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 3: comes back home, a lot of times they get distracted.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 3: They have to get back to home life. Whatever. I
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 3: know it's a TV game, but I could be a
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 3: distracted spot. They do have to go back out on
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 3: the road right after this and play Atlanta. And while
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 3: Golden State's a good team, Atlanta has beaten Minnesota one
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 3: out of two times this year, So maybe they do
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 3: have one eye looking ahead to Atlanta, possibly because I
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 3: believe Golden State has not beating them at all this year. Yeah,
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 3: Minnesota's three and zero against Golden State this year, but
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 3: they won at home against them only by three, and
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 3: then they won here in go Or They won sorry
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 3: at Golden State by six, and then at Golden State
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 3: by eleven last time. But if you look at that game,
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 3: it was kind of misleading. So this is another reason
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 3: why I liked this like it was just the shooting
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 3: was a complete like outlier here, Minnesota show fifty percent
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 3: from the field, while Golden State was thirty two percent
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 3: and it was thirty seven percent to nineteen percent from
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 3: three point range. Golden State was just firing up a
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 3: bunch of three. So there were some mega outliers in
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 3: this game. And Minnesota also was plus five from the
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 3: from the free throw line. Golden State actually won the
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 3: rebound battle, believe it or not. They did win the
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 3: turnover battle as well, which I don't know if that's
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 3: gonna happen again here, probably not. But the fact that
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 3: Golden State won the turnover won the rebound battle, excuse me,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 3: tells me that they actually played pretty well in this game.
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 3: Golden State played better than it looks like on the scoreboard.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 3: And these are just outliers shooting percentages, man, Like, I
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 3: don't think Minnesota's gonna shoot this well in a game
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 3: where they're having to return home from a long road trip.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 3: They might be a bit fatigued, they might be a
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 3: bit distracted. So I think Minnesota's shooting will take a
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 3: little bit of a step back here. Golden State probably
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 3: will will improve on the shooting performance last time. And
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 3: you couldn't really shoot much worse than this, and they're
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 3: not really that bad of an offensive team, So I
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 3: think Golden State could shoot better here as well. Minnesota
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 3: might not pay attention to them because they were just
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 3: They won this game easily. They had a huge lead
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 3: throughout the game. Golden State did get back to within
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 3: single digits though late in the game. Collier did play
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 3: in this game. She is back here, But that's another
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 3: thing here. Collier was out against Washington, and if you
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 3: remember me handicapping that game, I leaned Washington, but I
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 3: had some issues with it because the line had dropped
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 3: like four points because Collier was out of the lineup,
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 3: and you know, Minnesota, it might have been like a
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 3: sort of an injured player theory type of game, right,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 3: where Minnesota figured, we have to play harder with our
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 3: best player out of the lineup. Right, a lot of
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 3: times that happens. Well, then what happens the next game
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 3: if they play well and they win, Yeah, well the
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 3: next game Collier is coming back. That's gonna be another
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 3: lineup shift and maybe Minnesota will be thinking, well, we
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 3: just won without her, so of course we can win
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 3: with her. Right. It's like that reverse injured player mindset
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 3: where when your star players coming back you have to
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 3: kind of make the lineup adjustments again, and you might
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 3: be thinking, well, of course it is gonna be easy
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 3: with her back. So I think they might take this
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 3: game a little bit too lightly. And meanwhile, Golden State,
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 3: I liked the spot that they're in because they just
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 3: had an ugly loss to Chicago, who is on my
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 3: really bad side right now after yesterday, although it was
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 3: mostly that Indiana just couldn't miss in the game, but
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 3: Golden State has they're on a two game losing streak,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 3: which started with that lost to Minnesota. But you got
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 3: to think they were hungover going to Chicago after that.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 3: I don't think it was a good spot for Golden State,
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 3: right because they lost a six game win streak, and
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 3: a lot of times when that happens, you get hung
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 3: over in the next game, and I think maybe they were.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 3: They were in a Minnesota sandwich too, like I said,
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 3: a juicy lucy. So not only did they lose to
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 3: Minnesota and lose a win streak, they had this Minnesota
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 3: game next too, so I think it was a bad spot.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 3: They went into Chicago, they got caught. I think the
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 3: only reason I didn't play Chicago in that game. I
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 3: think it was because Chicago was coming off a big
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 3: upset themselves. I want to say over New York or
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 3: something like that, but whatever, I think Golden State's in
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 3: a bounce back spot. Here minute, you can explain why
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 3: they lost to Chicago. It was a sandwich spot. I
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 3: think they're gonna flip it back around and play well
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 3: in this game. I say we do it. We take
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 3: Golden State plus the points. Here. The money is very
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 3: strongly agreeing with this. Eighty two percent of tickets on Minnesota,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 3: ninety percent of the couch on Golden State. I know
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 3: my WNBA is bad right now. It's basically been bad
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 3: since I was hot at the beginning of the season.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 3: We've had some real bullshit losses in there, though, Man,
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 3: and the market is more often right than it's wrong.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 3: This is a strong market rate here. It's a total
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 3: pros versus Joe scenario here. Yeah, Golden State plus the points. Man,
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 3: at least find the five and a half on this.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 3: I don't think you're gonna get six and a half anymore,
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 3: but hopefully there's not much of a difference there, and
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 3: put a little bit on the money line as well.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 3: But it's a low total, like I said, so I
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 3: like taking these defensive dogs in low total games, you
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 3: know what I mean, because they have more of a
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 3: chance to hang around in the game. The other game
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 3: I got not a whole lot on Atlanta in LA
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 3: on Peacock and NBC Sports, LA is playing some real
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 3: bad basketball. They did win their last game against Connecticut,
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 3: so there is that Connecticut bad team though. But the
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 3: good thing for LA is they ended up a six
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 3: game losing streak, so a lot of times when you
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 3: end a losing streak, you're gonna play better in the
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 3: next game. And by the way, the last time they
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 3: lost before that was an embarrassing loss to this exact
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 3: Atlanta team also in LA. Although I think that I'm
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 3: not I don't. Maybe I don't remember, correct. Oh, No,
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 3: the neutral site game was this one against Phoenix. I
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 3: was gonna say there was a neutral site game in here,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 3: but no, I think this was on LA's home floor.
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 3: They lost to Atlanta. So now they're returning right back
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 3: to the scene in the crime and LA is just
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 3: staying at home here and they just ended a losing
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 3: streak and the last time they played Atlanta they lost
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 3: one twenty four to eighty eight here in this same stadium.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 3: But look at what happened in this game, dude, Atlanta
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 3: shot sixty four percent from the field and sixty two
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 3: percent from three point range. Come on, like that is
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 3: completely unsustainable. That's not going to happen again. Uh So yeah,
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 3: I mean, Atlanta's a little bit more of a defensive
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 3: team too, but those are massive outliers. If any team
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 3: shoots like that in the WNBA, it's you can't repeat that.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 3: Even if LA's defense is really bad, and it is,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 3: there's no way that that can be repeated. So this
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 3: game is just a massive outlier. Atlanta had, you know,
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 3: six more threes than LA did. Although Atlanta was still
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 3: the better team, like they won the rebound battle, they
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 3: kind of dominated the game as well. Uh they had
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 3: more field goal attempts by eleven. So yeah, I mean,
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 3: I'm not ready to actually say I want to actually
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 3: make a play on LA in the game today, but
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 3: that is the way that I've been lean. If I
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 3: was going to play this because this is not repeatable, Like,
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 3: there's gonna be some regression here. Is it gonna be
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 3: enough regression that LA can actually cover today? I don't know.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 3: This number was eight and a half on the spread here.
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 3: I think it's higher than that in the game today.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 3: I think it's like nine to nine and a half.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 3: So it might be a little bit of value in LA.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 3: But LA is still not a good team. They're not
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 3: good at home. Atlanta is good on the road. However,
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 3: after a game like this, again, there's gotta be some
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 3: regression here, back to a sort of mean. LA had
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 3: a ton of turnovers too. They had twenty one turnovers.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 3: And even a team that's a bad team like LA
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 3: at home, you're probably not gonna have a repeat performance
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 3: at that. They're probably not gonna turn it over that
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 3: many times again. Now Atlanta they're coming off a win
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 3: over Phoenix, which I believe the Green dol Doos are back,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 3: by the way it was, you know, the Green doldo
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 3: might have come back in the LA game. I forget
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 3: Green Doldos are back, though man one got thrown out
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 3: unto the court and Angel Reese was like pointing out
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 3: somebody of the crowd that was potentially the thrower of it.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 3: I was like, let's get the Green Doldo betting back man,
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 3: the Green Dodos are the only reason to watch this league.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 3: That and maybe if men start playing it and the
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 3: league just totally collapses because of it, that would be hilarious. Anyway, Atlanta,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 3: they're finishing a road trip. They're already three and oh
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 3: on the road trip. They beat Vegas, huge win. They
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 3: crushed this LA team, Like I said, so they might
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 3: not care about this LA game here. They just beat
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 3: Phoenix in the last game, which was not a great
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 3: win but a fine win. Yeah. I mean, they don't
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 3: have a big game next against Portland. But I still
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 3: think the only way I would play this is to
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 3: look towards LA in a little bit of a revenge spot,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 3: bounce back spot. The money is completely disagreeing with Men.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 3: I don't understand it at all. Nine and a half
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 3: ten is sort of where the number is now, and
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 3: it was eight and a half in that game two
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 3: games ago with the same teams in the same location.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 3: So I think you're getting a little bit of extra
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 3: value if you look towards LA too. It's a bit
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 3: of a zig zag LA sixty percent of tickets on them.
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 3: There's no way, there's no way the public is playing
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 3: LA here. I'm sorry, it's just not possible. And eighty
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 3: eight percent of the cash on Atlanta. I don't get it.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 3: I don't see any real reason to look towards Atlanta here.
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 3: Nine and a half, like I said, or ten is
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 3: the number. The total is high, though money is sort
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 3: of driving it down a little bit, but it's still
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 3: in the one eighties. I'm not totally interested in doing
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 3: it because it's still a mismatch. I mean, Atlanta's still
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 3: won that game, even though on the score board they
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 3: won the game by like thirty points or almost forty
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 3: points or whatever it was, and they probably should have
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 3: won the game by like fifteen or something like that
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 3: if you look at the stats, but that's would have
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 3: covered this number, you know, So that still has me worried.
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 3: As much of an outlier as it was and as
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 3: much of a blowout as it was, Atlanta is still
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 3: definitely the better team by quite a bit. Here. I
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 3: lean towards LA, but I don't like it that much.
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 3: I like Golden State a lot better. So that is
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 3: what I'm doing in the WNBA but I like both underdogs.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 3: That's gonna do it. The plays today are under in
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 3: Red Sox, Marlins under seven and a half, under in Pirates,
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 3: Padres under seven and a half, Cincinnati Red's first five
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 3: minus the half run on the run line, and then
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 3: we're gonna take Golden State plus six and have This
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 3: is a bigger Monday card than I've had in quite
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 3: a while. Monday's usually a slow day. But I see
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 3: a lot of angles here that I like well enough,
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 3: so maybe I'm on tilt. Let's go three and one today. Man,
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 3: Let's at least try to do that. That's the goal.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 3: At least, let's get it done. Learn a tone on Twitter,
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 3: and learn it tone on Instagram, Like subscribe to the
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 3: channel here and you'll get notified when I go live.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 3: College football preview is coming up next. I keep saying
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna do it. I have to do it at
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 3: some point this week. I mean, maybe I'll do it
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 3: today because Monday's just slow, So maybe I'll just do it.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 3: I gotta get prepared for it, though. I got to
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 3: bring up all the you know, the numbers about the
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 3: returning players, and it's a total it's total chaos. But
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna give out any plays on that show.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 3: It's just a preview to try to get the you know,
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 3: understand the college landscape we're gonna be dealing with this year.
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 3: And we'll have to talk about the conference realignments as well,
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 3: because those are pretty major this year as well. What
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 3: else we're on audio Apple, Spotify speaker. Those numbers are
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 3: going up, so you can help me out listening over there.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 3: I want to get the YouTube numbers up too though. Man,
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 3: people don't like listening to my long form bullshit here.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 3: But if I'm giving out winners, I mean, I know
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 3: we're on a really bad run right now. It does
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 3: happen sometimes. This overall run that I have up here
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 3: is still profitable, you know what I mean above profitable,
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 3: it's better than that. So what else do we have here?
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 3: Loser cast every Tuesday night, so that'll be back tomorrow night.
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 3: I have no idea who my loser is going to
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 3: be this week. New York Giants g Spot podcast should
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 3: be getting going once the football season is actually starting.
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 3: I know we're in preseason right now, but we'll see.
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 3: I will have an NFL preview again at some point,
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 3: and probably in an episode with Clint at some point
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 3: from Bald, so be on the lookout for that. If
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 3: you subscribe, you get notified for that. Covered in Yuke
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 3: is my Yuke channel on YouTube ukulele covers and originals.
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 3: You can check that out and patreon dot com. Slash
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 3: learned a tone. If you want to support me that way,
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 3: that's gonna do it. Let's start off the week right,
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 3: Let's turn this fucking thing around. We were good last
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 3: week and then we had a horrible weekend, so we
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 3: gotta turn it around. That's gonna do it.
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: Pete, if the doc starts talking, hand me the phone,
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: that's somebody, and so let somebody know you do not have.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 5: To lose this round lone. Hold on, hold on nothing
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 5: n not now, hold on, hold on.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: Let me pull you.
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 4: Oh that bad luck by time, but it don't.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: Get the crown. Hold on, hold on, stay with me, now,
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: hold on, hold on, You're
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 5: Still here now