Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Sleepy Sunday & Action Wrapped | NFL Week 17 Recap

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Sleepy Sunday & Action Wrapped | NFL Week 17 Recap · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Sunday Week seventeen wrapping up, and we have a day
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: to discuss.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: We have a couple of days to discuss. In fact,
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: Welcome to the Favorites presented by DraftKings. I'm your host,
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: Brandon Kravitz. I feel like we have not talked in days.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: I'm joined by my fellow degenerates, Kendra Middleton and Stucky.
• 0:25
  Speaker 3: We've got our goats and wotes queued.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Up, our biggest takeaways from the Christmas slate, the Saturday slate,
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: and we'll spend most of our time on the Sunday
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: card that we just witnessed. Plus we've got a fast
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: pass parlay for you for Rams Falcons.
• 0:40
  Speaker 3: How was everyone's day, Kendra? How is your Christmas?
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: Give me a nice little bow on what maybe we've
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: missed the last couple of days.
• 0:48
  Speaker 4: I am ready for this week to be over. I
• 0:50
  Speaker 4: hate Christmas. It's the worst and I had a bad week,
• 0:54
  Speaker 4: so I'm ready for this week to be over. I'm
• 0:55
  Speaker 4: ready for it to be next year. I have nothing
• 0:57
  Speaker 4: nice to say, so I'm not going to say anything
• 0:59
  Speaker 4: at all.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: You know you and you had yourself a successful season
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: as well, so I don't know if if I were
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: you if I'd be that quick to remove myself from
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: the twenty twenty five season. But we've got one more
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: week of regular season action and then we'll discuss a
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: postseason schedule when we get there.
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: But Stucky, what about you? How is your Christmas? How
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: was your betting week?
• 1:19
  Speaker 5: Good week and good run lately. So hope to keep
• 1:22
  Speaker 5: it going, but it's always on to the next I
• 1:26
  Speaker 5: love this time of the year for figuring out. I
• 1:27
  Speaker 5: love the playoff simulations, and this week coming up, it's
• 1:32
  Speaker 5: all about figuring out who is going to rest their
• 1:37
  Speaker 5: starters and who is not, because most everything is pretty
• 1:40
  Speaker 5: much decided besides the obvious, right like, you're gonna have
• 1:45
  Speaker 5: San Francisco Seattle potentially for the division and for the
• 1:49
  Speaker 5: one seed. Loser then drops to six and then maybe
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: goes to Philly. You have Baltimore Pittsburgh for the division,
• 1:57
  Speaker 5: Carolina Tampa, who might be the two worst team in
• 2:00
  Speaker 5: the division by the way, playing for the division. Maybe
• 2:03
  Speaker 5: if the Falcons win out, Panthers win the division no
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: matter what. I don't know if everyone knows that. So
• 2:08
  Speaker 5: if the Atlanto beats the Rams tomorrow night and the
• 2:13
  Speaker 5: Rams have no shot of winning the Division. If San
• 2:16
  Speaker 5: Francisco wins tonight because Seattle won, just throwing that out there,
• 2:20
  Speaker 5: but it's just trying to figure that out. How much
• 2:22
  Speaker 5: are team's going to value like going up to the five,
• 2:26
  Speaker 5: potentially going up to the five line, or you know,
• 2:29
  Speaker 5: staying at the six or risks dropping to the seven,
• 2:31
  Speaker 5: like a team like the Chargers. Right, they can't win
• 2:33
  Speaker 5: the division? Now, how do they treat next week's game?
• 2:36
  Speaker 5: Because you could go up to the five seed. That
• 2:39
  Speaker 5: could mean hey, we're going to Pittsburgh, but it also
• 2:42
  Speaker 5: could mean you're going to Baltimore. So maybe we just say,
• 2:44
  Speaker 5: let's rest our starters and make sure Herbert and we
• 2:47
  Speaker 5: don't have any more injuries on the offensive line. The Rams,
• 2:50
  Speaker 5: for example, I could ramble about this for days. We'll
• 2:52
  Speaker 5: do that on the podcast this week. But the Rams,
• 2:53
  Speaker 5: for example, McVeigh historically almost always rests his starters no
• 2:57
  Speaker 5: matter what. Like obviously if it's for the division, for
• 3:00
  Speaker 5: a bye, it's different. But like when it just comes
• 3:03
  Speaker 5: to like all right, I can go up a seed
• 3:04
  Speaker 5: or two, he says, No, I always choose health. I
• 3:06
  Speaker 5: don't care where we have to play, But in the
• 3:09
  Speaker 5: NFC that I mean, it's a pretty big difference between
• 3:12
  Speaker 5: the five and the six, because the five means you're
• 3:14
  Speaker 5: going to the you know, the NFC South, you know,
• 3:18
  Speaker 5: the the Ugly prom Queen, or you're going to Philly.
• 3:21
  Speaker 5: So yeah, like that's that's trying to figure all that
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: out Green Bay, for example, you if you're if you're
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: the floor, you rest everybody, you're the seven last. And
• 3:33
  Speaker 5: I think he hinted at this, but last year they
• 3:35
  Speaker 5: played same exact scenario and Watson toward his ACL they
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: have so many injuries, you rest everyone, you put Clayton
• 3:45
  Speaker 5: tune out there, Clayton tune Max Brosmer meaningless Week eighteen,
• 3:48
  Speaker 5: what a game? Uh So Yeah, I can't wait to
• 3:51
  Speaker 5: dig into all that, which we'll get to with the podcast.
• 3:54
  Speaker 5: But it's a decent week and it's on to the next.
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: I do think that we should get you the Floor
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: again before we wrap, to just see if we can
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: go through a couple of these scenarios and see if
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: there's any value that we should be mopping up. You
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: don't spend a lot of time on the Sunday episode
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: looking ahead to the next week, but this will be
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: a really good week to do that. Before all of
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: the games are even wrapped up for exactly those reasons.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: So we'll get back to that in just a moment.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: Second week in a row where I have cooked our
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: parlay might have to sit out for Week eighteen. Those
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: damn Panthers, I'll start with. My vote is Carolina who
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: has won me a lot of money this year. I
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: did the Action Network twenty twenty five wrapped thing. The
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: team in sports baseball, basketball, football that made me the
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: most money this year was the Carolina Panthers. However, we
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: needed them today to come through and they It's not
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: like it was just a bad read. I got closing
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: line value. The game closed at six and a half,
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: got it at seven and a half. They it had
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: opportunity after opportunity in the first half, and then had
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: a chance to cover through the back door at the
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: end of the game and was just not able to
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: get it done. A horrible game from Bryce Young and
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: neither of these teams. The Bucks who lost to the
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: Dolphins got the cover there. But neither of these teams
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: deserve to win the NFC South. Neither of these teams
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: deserve to be in the playoffs. Very salty about the
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: Sad Cats today, So I'll you know.
• 5:28
  Speaker 5: Bryce Young had a bad game, fourteen to twenty four
• 5:30
  Speaker 5: for fifty four yards.
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it was pretty It was pretty pretty awful, pretty
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: pretty abysmal opportunities to.
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: Drive down the field.
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: With Sam Darnold looking like he was seeing ghosts in
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: the first half. I thought the defense played great and
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: Bryce Young was just a bag of shit today. It
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: was awful, Kendra, what about you?
• 5:51
  Speaker 4: My woe is myself. I chased some incentives that came
• 5:55
  Speaker 4: out for players and it did not work out in
• 5:57
  Speaker 4: my favor, and it caused my day to go to shit.
• 6:00
  Speaker 4: So it's me for chasing incentives. My goat is gonna.
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: Can we stop there? Who was the number one incentive
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: chase that you regret the most?
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: Hunter Henry Hunter?
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: Henry for sure, he needed he needed eight. He needs eight.
• 6:15
  Speaker 4: Catches before the end of the year to hit like
• 6:18
  Speaker 4: a five hundred thousand dollars incentive in his total for
• 6:20
  Speaker 4: today I think was four and a half. And I
• 6:22
  Speaker 4: hit the over because I figured that with their injuries
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: on the offensive line and all of their injuries at receiver,
• 6:29
  Speaker 4: that it would have been a Hunter Henry day. And
• 6:31
  Speaker 4: for some fucking reason, they put up nine thousand points
• 6:35
  Speaker 4: and my man had like two catches. And then I
• 6:38
  Speaker 4: also had Sam Darnold for two touchdowns passing. I think
• 6:41
  Speaker 4: he needs four total to hit an incentive. So yeah,
• 6:48
  Speaker 4: super fun I've it's funny because last year for me
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: was Matt like, I could not hit a spread to
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: save my life, and I was all player props and
• 6:56
  Speaker 4: I won all of my money on player props. And
• 6:57
  Speaker 4: this year has been the exact opposite. I've been hit
• 7:00
  Speaker 4: on spreads and dying with player props. I also last
• 7:04
  Speaker 4: minute got in on the bills and so that sucked.
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: But yeah, that's that's how my week has gone.
• 7:13
  Speaker 5: Bills, by the way, eight drives into Philly territory twelve points,
• 7:17
  Speaker 5: they lose because they got an extra point block. The
• 7:20
  Speaker 5: Eagles win another game that they shouldn't have won. I mean,
• 7:22
  Speaker 5: they did seventeen plays for seventeen yards, Hurtz didn't complete
• 7:25
  Speaker 5: a pass in the second half, oh for seven, and
• 7:27
  Speaker 5: they win I think a third game of the year
• 7:29
  Speaker 5: because of a blocked extra pointer field goal.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: Well, he also had a Josh Allen passed to year
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: that yeah, he was wide open. That was just Even
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: with all of that, still had an opportunity on the
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: last play of the game to win.
• 7:41
  Speaker 5: Yeah, but another thing worth mentioning in that game, the
• 7:46
  Speaker 5: Bills probably win easily if Allen could move his foot.
• 7:50
  Speaker 5: Injury was definitely a thing and he just didn't have
• 7:53
  Speaker 5: the same burst. So Buffalo week eighteen day, who they
• 8:00
  Speaker 5: the Jets? I think, Jesus Christ, that team is an abomination. Yeah,
• 8:05
  Speaker 5: they host the Jets. I mean, could you could go
• 8:10
  Speaker 5: out there and play quarterback and beat the Jets? Maybe,
• 8:11
  Speaker 5: but I assume you rest out here. I mean you're
• 8:13
  Speaker 5: the I think there's the seventh seed right now, the difference,
• 8:17
  Speaker 5: and they don't have the tiebreaker over the Texans or
• 8:19
  Speaker 5: the Chargers. Like, maybe they could jump up if the
• 8:21
  Speaker 5: Texans love the Texans play at home against the Colts
• 8:24
  Speaker 5: and there Riley Leonard is going to start, so maybe
• 8:27
  Speaker 5: you can jump up to the sixth. But honestly, finally,
• 8:31
  Speaker 5: Buffalo is afraid of going into England or Denver right now,
• 8:36
  Speaker 5: So I think you rest everyone up, your Buffalo up. Yeah?
• 8:38
  Speaker 4: I agree?
• 8:41
  Speaker 3: What about you, Stucky As far as the wote goes
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: for today.
• 8:44
  Speaker 5: Uh, whatte is? Well? My goat is you mentioned the
• 8:50
  Speaker 5: Action rat my most profitable team in back to back
• 8:54
  Speaker 5: years the Cleveland Browns. So my goat is the Cleveland Browns.
• 8:59
  Speaker 5: My guy howd and did enough. He was in there
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: for only a quarter for to do this.
• 9:03
  Speaker 4: What are you guys talking?
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: I have fomo?
• 9:05
  Speaker 4: What the fuck is going on for?
• 9:07
  Speaker 5: What?
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: Wait? Yeah, it's that? Is that? Uh? When action rapped?
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: Am I old?
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: What the fuck? Do you know what Spotify wrapped is?
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: Are you familiar with?
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: You?
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: Just pull pull up your ass the same thing.
• 9:18
  Speaker 5: On the wh say my action. You'll see it at
• 9:21
  Speaker 5: the top. It says how you bet in twenty twenty?
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah, oh wait, you're doing this? This is still available? Yeah,
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: I guess the years ago.
• 9:31
  Speaker 5: The end of the year.
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna need.
• 9:34
  Speaker 5: He came out. He helped develop that years ago. But
• 9:37
  Speaker 5: the Browns been my most probityham mainly I just faded
• 9:39
  Speaker 5: him on the road and bet him at home. Not nothing,
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: uh no, nothing earth shattering but that game. And my
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: woade is the Raiders. I mean I love the Raiders
• 9:49
  Speaker 5: this week and then they decide to fully outwardly tank.
• 9:51
  Speaker 5: I bet them before all this happened, they shut down Crosby.
• 9:55
  Speaker 5: What are we becoming the NBA like this? This is
• 9:58
  Speaker 5: the week seventeen. It's not even week eighteen, and.
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: I can't figure out which is the bigger tank of
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: benching Crosby or still deciding to play Genos Smith.
• 10:06
  Speaker 5: We shut down bowers Chin like that was. That was embarrassing.
• 10:10
  Speaker 5: And then the NFL is that of one of as
• 10:12
  Speaker 5: one of the two games in the four o'clock slate,
• 10:14
  Speaker 5: and when the other is the Eagles the most boring
• 10:16
  Speaker 5: team in the NFL.
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: This was not a long time.
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: For all the bad four o'clocks that we've had, all
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: the bad late windows that we've had this season. This
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: has been a theme on this podcast. I was bitching
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: about this. This was this the worst one.
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: I felt.
• 10:32
  Speaker 5: I'd never I never sleep, I never fall asleep. I
• 10:34
  Speaker 5: don't think I've ever missed an NFL window in my
• 10:36
  Speaker 5: life or since I, you know, was in middle school.
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: Watched every primetime game, every every single I'd never fall
• 10:43
  Speaker 5: I don't think I've fallen asleep. I woke up like
• 10:47
  Speaker 5: in the miss like eight minutes in the third quarter
• 10:50
  Speaker 5: because it was just it's the only game. I turned
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: red zone off and then just had one screen so
• 10:55
  Speaker 5: it was going to commercials. I'm not used to watching
• 10:56
  Speaker 5: commercials and do off. So yeah, that was a brutal slight.
• 11:04
  Speaker 5: But yeah, my goat is the Browns. That there's I've
• 11:07
  Speaker 5: wrote about this for ten years. I've talked about it
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: on Twitter for fifteen teams that need to win for
• 11:13
  Speaker 5: their playfofs playing eliminated teams. Those eliminated teams now are
• 11:16
  Speaker 5: one twelve over the final two weeks. I guess he's
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: a one twelve, sixty nine and one against the spread,
• 11:22
  Speaker 5: sixty one and a half percent somewhere around there. So yeah,
• 11:28
  Speaker 5: this week, Vikings at home against the Lions, Dolphins against
• 11:35
  Speaker 5: the Bucks, and the Browns against the Steelers went three
• 11:38
  Speaker 5: and zero. And yeah, I mean the Steelers, it was embarrassing.
• 11:43
  Speaker 5: What might get the Ravens into the playoffs is the fan,
• 11:50
  Speaker 5: the Detroit fan who baited Metcalf into because the Steelers
• 11:59
  Speaker 5: offense without Metcalf. Because he you could just watch, like
• 12:04
  Speaker 5: when teams are at the goal line, right, you'll have
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: a corner and then a safety over top. He draws attention.
• 12:09
  Speaker 5: They have nobody who can get open, who can beat
• 12:13
  Speaker 5: man covers. Nobody. I mean, you're Adam Feelnd and Scottie
• 12:16
  Speaker 5: Miller and mar and mvs no one can get open.
• 12:21
  Speaker 5: That was just an abysmal game plan from the Steelers.
• 12:24
  Speaker 5: They were so worried about Miles Garrett getting his record
• 12:27
  Speaker 5: that they might have cost themselves a playoff Berth. But
• 12:30
  Speaker 5: I guess Tom and got his nine wins and that's
• 12:31
  Speaker 5: all that matters. But that was in that like, that's
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: that's all they were worried about. And then you let
• 12:36
  Speaker 5: the Browns meet you and hold you at six points.
• 12:39
  Speaker 5: So yeah, Cleveland gets it done at home again despite
• 12:44
  Speaker 5: just their offense. They have nothing on offense without Fanning,
• 12:47
  Speaker 5: and Fanning got hurt. If he's out next week, they
• 12:49
  Speaker 5: probably get their doors bone Offen Sincy. So yeah, my
• 12:53
  Speaker 5: goat is the Cleveland Browns, and my wote my goat.
• 12:58
  Speaker 5: I joined you on that. I ended up joining you on
• 12:59
  Speaker 5: the Today right now, Mayfield. I mean that team is
• 13:06
  Speaker 5: like a bottom five team.
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: Right now, we're gonna We're gonna have to spend a
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: moment deciding I might end up betting the Panthers before
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: the end of this podcast, Kendra, before we move off
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: of this, I see the excitement on your face.
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: I want the update on the action.
• 13:21
  Speaker 4: I want you guys to guess my top team and
• 13:24
  Speaker 4: my bottom team.
• 13:25
  Speaker 3: Your top team would be anyone playing the Patriots.
• 13:29
  Speaker 5: I would have got the Patriots probably.
• 13:32
  Speaker 3: Your top team would be the No, you don't bet
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: the Jags that much. I'm gonna have.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: You bet the Bengals today. I'm just gonna I know,
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: you gotta win under your belt there.
• 13:42
  Speaker 5: I believe it doesn't count. This is it's like based on.
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: Seahawks correct, Cravince, Yes it was. Who do you think
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: My worst team was not the Patriots? And I am
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: shocked it was the Cowboys.
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we've all gotten drunk on the Cowboys.
• 13:59
  Speaker 4: Yeah. I just like it with Dak Prescott was having
• 14:02
  Speaker 4: like an MVP first half and then I got got
• 14:05
  Speaker 4: you know.
• 14:06
  Speaker 3: How much fun was that? To look through that? It
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: was cutie.
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: I liked her. I liked it. We should do that
• 14:11
  Speaker 4: again next year. I like it.
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: We should definite. I think all three we should do it.
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: We should do it on the podcast to get.
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we should agree.
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: That would be fun. I didn't know that it was
• 14:19
  Speaker 4: a thing and you guys were talking about it, and
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: I was like, wait, a mite old, what is going on?
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: So I my goat would be Drake May.
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: I was thinking as I'm watching him light up the
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: Jets and didn't even play the fourth quarter. By the way,
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: he had two incompletions, five touchdown passes, didn't play a
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: whole quarter, and I'm thinking, Okay, this guy's locked up
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: the MVP, and Matt Stafford's still a heavy favorite to
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: win the MVP. So I guess blasting the Jets doesn't
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: exactly do it for the the odds makers out there.
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: But I talked about this yesterday on a show that
• 14:48
  Speaker 4: I did, and everyone seems to be under the impression
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: that if it's even close, they're going to get it.
• 14:53
  Speaker 4: Give it to Stafford because he's old and it's like
• 14:56
  Speaker 4: a career award.
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean May.
• 15:00
  Speaker 5: I mean that May has also played the easiest schedule
• 15:03
  Speaker 5: of any team over the past thirty years. I don't
• 15:05
  Speaker 5: know the Patriots to manage to play thirteen backup quarterbacks
• 15:08
  Speaker 5: in a seventeen game schedule, but they did.
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: I feel like the argument is pretty even though obviously
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: that's the knock against May is his schedule. He doesn't
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: have Puka Nakua and Devonte Adams and Sean McVeigh calling plays.
• 15:22
  Speaker 5: Yeah no, they don't. There's a running game not as
• 15:24
  Speaker 5: good of an offensive line. But I mean, these things
• 15:26
  Speaker 5: are sometimes just career awards, their narrative awards. So this guy'sn'
• 15:32
  Speaker 5: god in a while. I actually think that it probably
• 15:37
  Speaker 5: is May who's been the I mean, you think about it.
• 15:40
  Speaker 5: The offensive line is not great, the wide receiver room
• 15:44
  Speaker 5: it's not anywhere close to the Rams. The running game
• 15:47
  Speaker 5: is not overly efficient. The defense isn't outstanding by any stretch. Yes,
• 15:52
  Speaker 5: they've had a very easy schedule, but he's been tremendous.
• 15:55
  Speaker 5: I think, like in a vacuum, May deserves it. But
• 15:59
  Speaker 5: I can why Stafford is the favorite. Maybe that's a reason.
• 16:05
  Speaker 5: I don't know. I mean, maybe that plays into what
• 16:08
  Speaker 5: the Rams do over the final two weeks because the Rams,
• 16:11
  Speaker 5: legitimately mcday always opts for Rest and then and if
• 16:15
  Speaker 5: if the forty nine ers win tonight, like there is
• 16:19
  Speaker 5: I mean, like, how much do you value going from
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: the six to the five? That's the only decision for
• 16:22
  Speaker 5: the Rams left this season.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean May is plus one eighty. Maybe
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: there's some value there if Stafford. Let's say Stafford plays
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: poorly on Monday night and then doesn't even play next week,
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: and May has another good game.
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: Wars aren't aren't my specially, so I don't know what's
• 16:43
  Speaker 5: fair there.
• 16:45
  Speaker 4: Who is the primetime Who's primetime this week? Because that
• 16:48
  Speaker 4: might let us know ahead of time if they need
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: to win. Oh, everything's flexed, so we don't know what.
• 16:53
  Speaker 5: We don't know the schedule. We have no you know
• 16:55
  Speaker 5: the schedule.
• 16:56
  Speaker 4: Tomorrow night during Yeah, I was gonna say once we
• 16:59
  Speaker 4: know the schedule, like we can figure out if the
• 17:01
  Speaker 4: Patriots will have the opportunity to rest people or not.
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: There's two lines that I want to talk about before
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: we get to Sunday Night Football and our Monday Night
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: Football Fast Pass parlay. The Bucks opened as three and
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: a half point favorites at home against the Carolina Panthers.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: The Ravens are three point favorites in Pittsburgh. Lamar is
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: supposed to be back for this game, so that's definitely.
• 17:27
  Speaker 5: The new came rising, this Lamar Jackson thing every week
• 17:31
  Speaker 5: if you follow college football. But now Kendrick I will say,
• 17:38
  Speaker 5: there are obvious primetime flexes because we have Panthers, Yeah,
• 17:44
  Speaker 5: two raven Steelers and then Seahawks forty nine ers.
• 17:49
  Speaker 4: But Chargers it's Chargers Broncos.
• 17:53
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that game is not that intriguing because
• 17:55
  Speaker 5: the Bronco has already won the division. But the the
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: NFL will make sure that the other games. It's the
• 18:03
  Speaker 5: first priorty is like, hey, let's flex, We'll sacrifice competitive
• 18:07
  Speaker 5: advantage because we want the best game in primetime because
• 18:09
  Speaker 5: at the end of the day, it's about ratings. But
• 18:11
  Speaker 5: so those are the three nominees. The rest of the games,
• 18:13
  Speaker 5: they'll all be at the same time, so like they
• 18:16
  Speaker 5: will force the Broncos and Patriots both the yea, I just.
• 18:20
  Speaker 4: Wonder because that kind of answers like two of the three,
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: but I don't know what the third will be for primetime.
• 18:27
  Speaker 5: No, that's that's that's gonna be all three Seattle sand
• 18:29
  Speaker 5: Fran even.
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: Though Seattle sand Fran might not matter.
• 18:33
  Speaker 5: No, it's gonna matter no matter what. But it might
• 18:37
  Speaker 5: if if if San Francisco wins tonight and then the
• 18:40
  Speaker 5: Rams have nothing to play for next week except seeding,
• 18:43
  Speaker 5: but that game will matter for the division and and
• 18:49
  Speaker 5: one seed, I think. But like the Patriots and the Broncos,
• 18:54
  Speaker 5: games are not going to go into primetime, so they'll
• 18:57
  Speaker 5: play at the same time because they want, don't They don't.
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: They can't have one of those teams get the rest
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: of their starters because of the one seed, and then
• 19:06
  Speaker 5: like the rest of the games will all be at
• 19:07
  Speaker 5: the same time. But Ravens minus three three and a half,
• 19:10
  Speaker 5: I think, I mean the Metcalf injury is huge. I mean,
• 19:14
  Speaker 5: if he might be worth a couple of points to
• 19:17
  Speaker 5: the spread, but we don't. We don't know in Lamar Jackson.
• 19:19
  Speaker 5: And if Lamar Jackson does play, who which version is he?
• 19:23
  Speaker 5: I mean, like the Honty that we saw yesterday, it's
• 19:27
  Speaker 5: better than the hobbled version of Lamar that we've seen.
• 19:30
  Speaker 5: So tough game to crack. But I don't trust. I
• 19:34
  Speaker 5: don't trust that Steelers offense without Metcalf. It is brutal.
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: Is But I would file this under I did not
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: play into this the last time these two teams played.
• 19:47
  Speaker 3: But you have.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: Hardball and Tomlin head to head with a spread that's
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: at least three. You take the dog. Then you have
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: the Steelers at home. Here conventional wisdom would say bet
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: the Steelers. No conventional I'm not saying it's the play.
• 20:08
  Speaker 5: I don't think there's anything to do Earli here. I mean,
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: we don't know in Lamar. I think three is about right,
• 20:14
  Speaker 5: So I mean, if you wanted to take the hook, fine,
• 20:19
  Speaker 5: but that's that's a huge that's going to decide so
• 20:21
  Speaker 5: many Like in the AFC, the difference between going think
• 20:23
  Speaker 5: about it, like right now we don't even know the
• 20:25
  Speaker 5: quarterback and the Ravens aren't. That's spread US three and
• 20:27
  Speaker 5: a half in Pittsburgh, that five seed. Like, the difference
• 20:32
  Speaker 5: between going to Baltimore and Pittsburgh is massive. But Evan
• 20:37
  Speaker 5: and then Tampa, I mean, who wants to I who
• 20:40
  Speaker 5: wants to beat Tampa hasn't covered in two months, they
• 20:45
  Speaker 5: haven't covered eight straight games.
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: They're giving you the hook on this one. This one's
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: available in DraftKings right now. Plus three and a half
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: on the Carolina Panthers. I'm just gonna go ahead and
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: plant my flag on that now, Yeah.
• 20:58
  Speaker 4: No kidding. The meltdown of Bucks Twitter over Liam Cohen.
• 21:03
  Speaker 5: Has been I mean, take a look at Liam Cohen leading,
• 21:10
  Speaker 5: look at Baker this year, look at Trevor Lawrence this year.
• 21:15
  Speaker 5: That and then look at the Lions and what has
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: happened to the Lion's office on those other things the
• 21:21
  Speaker 5: offensive line. But look at what's happened to the Bears
• 21:24
  Speaker 5: after Ben Johnson left and the Lions. Those were two
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: of the two of the best offensive minds in the NFL,
• 21:32
  Speaker 5: leading jobs in the offseason, and their teams that they
• 21:37
  Speaker 5: left have cratered.
• 21:38
  Speaker 4: And the teams that I mean, yeah, you can expect
• 21:41
  Speaker 4: that more with the Lions though, losing both of them.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and that team still can't stay healthy. They weren't
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: able to stay healthy last year and it cost them.
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: They weren't able to stay healthy this year and it
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: cost Yeah, there's other factors.
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: Their offensive line isn't as good, but you can just
• 21:57
  Speaker 5: tell it's just not. The offense isn't the same without Johnson,
• 22:00
  Speaker 5: and the Bears offense obviously has gone through the roof.
• 22:03
  Speaker 5: So but the Liam Cohen effect, you can go back years.
• 22:06
  Speaker 5: You can go back to Cohen coming to Kentucky one
• 22:09
  Speaker 5: year leading coming back whenever he goes the offense and
• 22:13
  Speaker 5: perus when he leaves, it goes down the drain. But yeah,
• 22:19
  Speaker 5: I mean, I think numbers wise, three, I think three
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: makes sense on both games. But I would not that
• 22:25
  Speaker 5: the Bucks with your money, I'll tell you that.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: A cool stat I saw from the Jaggs pr Twitter
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: about Liam Cullen. He's the only first year head coach
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: in NFL history to win twelve plus games after taking
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: over a team that won four or fewer the year prior.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: That is impressive stuff. And he's probably not even gonna
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: win Coach of the Year. Also, Evan Abrams shares in
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: our chat here that the Buffalo Bills line against the
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: Jets has already moved three points, went nine and a
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: half to twelve and a half as we are talking. So,
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: I don't you advise getting a lot down on Sunday night,
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: but if you have a good read on how some
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: of these teams are going to play these situations out,
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: this might be the day to do it. Because these
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: this is going to be stuck. You would you at
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: least agree with the general idea that this will be
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: the wildest line movement week of the entire NFL season
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: across the board from now until next Sunday. Yeah, So
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: if you feel like you have a good beat on that,
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: then this is the week to take advantage of it. Usually,
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, these lines move, but they don't move drastically
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: outside of injury.
• 23:30
  Speaker 3: We're going to see some wild stuff.
• 23:32
  Speaker 5: Yeah, that's it's It's gonna be based off of availability
• 23:37
  Speaker 5: reports and what coaches say, you're going to see a
• 23:41
  Speaker 5: lot a lot of line movement obviously is if you
• 23:44
  Speaker 5: have quarterbacks who don't end up starting, you'll see massive swings.
• 23:48
  Speaker 5: Going back to Evan to bring you in here. I'm
• 23:51
  Speaker 5: glad to the schedule real quick, so I'm doing this
• 23:53
  Speaker 5: on the fly. We sadly we don't have any games
• 23:57
  Speaker 5: next week where teams that are eliminated, ying teams that
• 24:00
  Speaker 5: need to win right don't think so often that's sad.
• 24:04
  Speaker 5: That's my favorite part of week seventeen and eighteen. We
• 24:07
  Speaker 5: got it out of the way with a three game sweep.
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: Those will take it, yes, But I mean next week
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: you get to add three wins to the Ledger.
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: There on that trend, there are.
• 24:17
  Speaker 5: Just next week do you have like a couple, you know,
• 24:20
  Speaker 5: three really high profile, high leverage games. And then the
• 24:23
  Speaker 5: rest of the card is for example, like if you're
• 24:26
  Speaker 5: the Eagles playing the Commanders, the Eagles right now are
• 24:35
  Speaker 5: the three seed. If the Bears lose tonight, the Eagles
• 24:40
  Speaker 5: are still the three seed, And if the Bears win
• 24:43
  Speaker 5: the night, the Eagles are locked into the three seed.
• 24:45
  Speaker 5: But let's say the Bears, who are underdogs, lose tonight,
• 24:48
  Speaker 5: then Philly has to make a decision do we play
• 24:53
  Speaker 5: our starters next week with the hope, you know, risking injury,
• 24:58
  Speaker 5: with the hope that the Bears lose to the Lions
• 25:02
  Speaker 5: at home because the Bears have the tiebreaker of the Eagles.
• 25:07
  Speaker 5: So yeah, I could see Philly resting starters next week.
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: That line up right now as we speak, probably for
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: that reason if.
• 25:17
  Speaker 5: They if the Eagles rest starters, their offense will probably
• 25:20
  Speaker 5: look better. So take that for what it's worth.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: Let's get to get our Sunday Night football preview and
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: a Monday Night Football fast pass parlay to get to.
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: But first let's call toss it over to Kendrim Middleton
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: for a word about DraftKings.
• 25:34
  Speaker 4: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by Draft Kings sports book
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: and in partnership with DraftKings, our listeners get a great
• 25:40
  Speaker 4: offer right now. New customers can bet five dollars and
• 25:43
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• 26:06
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• 26:08
  Speaker 5: All right, thanks Kendri. But Brandon, how you wanted to
• 26:10
  Speaker 5: talk about the high profile games? Let's I want to
• 26:15
  Speaker 5: talk about these two spreads. Ola Duken six point road
• 26:20
  Speaker 5: favorite in Vegas? What number do you need to play
• 26:23
  Speaker 5: to play Vegas? Who was obviously trying to lose and
• 26:27
  Speaker 5: sitting out players? And I mean, Ola Duken is a
• 26:30
  Speaker 5: six point road favorite?
• 26:32
  Speaker 3: Did they not wait? Did they not already lock up
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: the number one pick? Though?
• 26:36
  Speaker 5: I think the Giants get it. If the Giants lose,
• 26:39
  Speaker 5: the Raiders win. Haven't you checked that?
• 26:41
  Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure that's correct, even though the Giants.
• 26:45
  Speaker 5: I think with the loss today, the Raiders get it.
• 26:48
  Speaker 5: But maybe I'm.
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I believed so it wouldn't wouldn't the first Tipe
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: Raker be head to head and the Giants beat the Raiders,
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: so the Giants wouldn't then jump the Raiders.
• 26:57
  Speaker 4: I thought the Giants had to lose today. I hate
• 26:59
  Speaker 4: the crap at the end of the season and you're like,
• 27:01
  Speaker 4: what is going on? Who is going where? So stressful?
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: I kind of like getting a Kenny Pickett led Raiders team.
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: I don't think it's sad ahead for that though, Tuck,
• 27:11
  Speaker 5: He's right. With the loss today. With the loss today
• 27:13
  Speaker 5: to the Giants, the Raiders now have an eighty percent
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: chance to scare the number one pick. So yeah, the
• 27:17
  Speaker 5: Raiders have to lose next week to guarantee it, so
• 27:21
  Speaker 5: they'll be in full time Like who wants to bet
• 27:23
  Speaker 5: the Raiders next week? But who wants to?
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: Let?
• 27:24
  Speaker 5: You want to lay six with a little duke? And
• 27:25
  Speaker 5: I don't that game that that'll go in the late slate,
• 27:29
  Speaker 5: that that's the four o'clock the Raiders. Get the Raiders
• 27:31
  Speaker 5: out of my life with these three two to three
• 27:33
  Speaker 5: game late slates and it's the Raiders. We just completely awful.
• 27:37
  Speaker 3: Game should be canceled.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: The last time the Raiders had the number one pick,
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: by the way, anybody want to take a gander at
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: who they took to Marcus, that would be the one
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: last time they had done it was. In fact, it
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: was the only time the Raiders have ever had the
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: number one pick.
• 27:51
  Speaker 3: They Marcus Russell My.
• 27:53
  Speaker 5: Other favorite game is uh, I know that uh uh
• 27:59
  Speaker 5: the Viking Uh O'Connell came out and said he wants
• 28:03
  Speaker 5: JJ to play in the finale. For like another data point,
• 28:05
  Speaker 5: But there is a chance that right now Clayton Tune
• 28:09
  Speaker 5: is a six point favorite over the Packers, who are
• 28:14
  Speaker 5: obviously going to rest everybody that their team next week
• 28:17
  Speaker 5: will look like a practice squad team. Uh with uh,
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: who's who? Who's to who came in again for them? No,
• 28:26
  Speaker 5: it's Brosmer is a sixsmer against like Clayton Tune. Brosmer's
• 28:31
  Speaker 5: a six point favorite over over Clayton Tune. Could be JJ,
• 28:35
  Speaker 5: but think about Brosmer. They just had three net passing
• 28:40
  Speaker 5: yards listed as a potential six point favorite. But yeah,
• 28:43
  Speaker 5: I mean, how do you play the Packers? But there's
• 28:44
  Speaker 5: a number that's a price for everything. I'll say that
• 28:47
  Speaker 5: I gotta figure out this week.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: Like Evan, Evan, I have a suggestion for the primer.
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: I would love to know if there's a way trend
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: wise to bet into these totals with teams that are
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: benching players, because you would think that things are going
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: to look a lot more like the preseason, and if
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: these numbers are still sitting around the fifties. I feel
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: like there's gonna be some value on unders going into
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: week eighteen, but I don't know that.
• 29:09
  Speaker 5: Are most of the games that are garbage that don't
• 29:11
  Speaker 5: matter though. We're sitting at thirty nine, thirty seven, thirty five,
• 29:15
  Speaker 5: so they're very much priced in. But for you, Brandon.
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: Anything, Wow, you're too kind. All right?
• 29:22
  Speaker 5: What's the Raiders total? Thirty three indoors thirty five and
• 29:26
  Speaker 5: a half right now? I mean that game is that
• 29:31
  Speaker 5: game is something because the Chiefs want to lose too,
• 29:35
  Speaker 5: like they wanted to beat the Broncos on Christmas Night,
• 29:37
  Speaker 5: but they want the best that we have, the Raiders
• 29:39
  Speaker 5: finishing back to back games against teams that don't want
• 29:42
  Speaker 5: to lose, although the Giants are too stupid of an
• 29:44
  Speaker 5: organization to lose.
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: Back to the great anytime touchdown with Travis Kelcey sitting goodbye.
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: I mean we got Giants, the Giants, Cowboys. Half those
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: teams have nothing.
• 29:54
  Speaker 5: I actually respect the Giants for trying and playing. This
• 29:57
  Speaker 5: isn't the NBA. There's only eighteen weeks, but back to
• 30:01
  Speaker 5: back years, almost one year to the day of Art,
• 30:05
  Speaker 5: Giants win a game and lose the number one pick potentially,
• 30:08
  Speaker 5: but I'm assuming they rold On.
• 30:10
  Speaker 4: To be fair, I don't even think it really matters
• 30:12
  Speaker 4: because it's not like the Giants need a quarterback and
• 30:14
  Speaker 4: that's what the Raiders are going to want, so like
• 30:16
  Speaker 4: it doesn't even matter.
• 30:18
  Speaker 5: But I mean it does for like leverage, like if
• 30:20
  Speaker 5: you think of like you could trade it and you
• 30:23
  Speaker 5: could trade back and like, because what does this win
• 30:26
  Speaker 5: really mean? But you know, I respect teams for playing,
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: but from an organization perspective, it probably didn't make the
• 30:33
  Speaker 5: most sense, Like you should have just put Russ out
• 30:37
  Speaker 5: there or.
• 30:38
  Speaker 4: Pete Carroll done.
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, he's done.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: And they're going to draft a new quarterback too, so
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: they're going to want to get him a new shiny
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: offensive coach too as well.
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: I just don't like where this is. I don't like
• 30:49
  Speaker 5: this NFL teams outwardly tanking. This doesn't happen usually. Sometimes
• 30:55
  Speaker 5: it happens to organizational decisions in like the last week,
• 30:57
  Speaker 5: but with two weeks to go, Max Crosby, who wanted
• 31:01
  Speaker 5: to play, and you're just saying no, we're shutting you down.
• 31:05
  Speaker 5: I don't like that.
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: But the Raiders are a clown organization.
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: Let's talk Bears forty nine Ers the Niners, favored by
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: three and a half total, sitting at fifty one and
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: a half. Both teams have locked up a playoff spot,
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: but both are still fighting for seating in the NFC.
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: As we have discussed on tonight's episode, San Francisco has
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: been significantly better than anybody who is giving them credit
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: for this season. Defense is obviously an issue, and it
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: could be a problem tonight going up against a really
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: potent Chicago Bears offense. But apparently Chicago folks are reporting
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: that there are illnesses that are spreading around the locker room.
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: So I don't know how bad or how many players
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: this has impacted, but still this is a more you
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: know situation.
• 31:46
  Speaker 5: I like nch division, itis, like the I like.
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: The forty nine Ers. Tonight, Kendra, are you on anything
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: for the Sunday Night Action?
• 31:56
  Speaker 4: I honestly think outside of our responsibilities, I'm probably done
• 31:59
  Speaker 4: gambling into the postseason.
• 32:00
  Speaker 3: Then it was that ugly today.
• 32:03
  Speaker 4: Ken No, I just said this hard no no, I
• 32:08
  Speaker 4: said this the other day, like, I just don't love
• 32:11
  Speaker 4: these last couple of weeks, this one, particularly because of
• 32:14
  Speaker 4: Christmas and everything going on. I just there's too many
• 32:18
  Speaker 4: variables about people who need to win and need to lose,
• 32:20
  Speaker 4: and I hate betting on games like that. I just
• 32:24
  Speaker 4: I'm ready to move on to the postseason.
• 32:25
  Speaker 3: I've had enough.
• 32:27
  Speaker 5: Evan's gonna fill in for Kendra. Evan likes, You'll.
• 32:32
  Speaker 3: Just be over here cheering. Yeah, you're doing great.
• 32:37
  Speaker 5: First touchdown eight to one. That's a horrible price. That's
• 32:43
  Speaker 5: one Evan has already started drinking for the new year.
• 32:47
  Speaker 5: Luke Farrell eighty to one, first touchdown. I have nothing
• 32:50
  Speaker 5: to night. I mean with the illness, is Kittle being
• 32:53
  Speaker 5: I think Kittle got ruled out right, he is out.
• 32:56
  Speaker 5: That's a big loss, Like that's not obviously not just
• 32:58
  Speaker 5: because of what he can do in the passing game,
• 33:02
  Speaker 5: but his blocking always just takes the forty nine ers
• 33:06
  Speaker 5: offense to another level. The Bears have a bunch of
• 33:10
  Speaker 5: injuries too that they're dealing with an illnesses, and I
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: have nothing. I think the line is close to about fair.
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: So Tan just by the way back upside end for
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: the forty nine ers plus two fifty five to get
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: into the end zone.
• 33:26
  Speaker 3: McCaffrey is a wild minus two fifty.
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: I think a good way to bet McCaffrey though, if
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: you want to go anytime touchdown, you can bet him
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: first half at plus one thirty and then if you're
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: just that desperate to bet them live, you'll probably get
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: plus money after halftime.
• 33:42
  Speaker 3: That'd be my wife my way.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: If you if you just have to get McCaffrey on
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: your card, you would not do that.
• 33:47
  Speaker 5: I mean, I would not recommend just betting them first half.
• 33:49
  Speaker 5: And you you get desperate bet them live, people.
• 33:51
  Speaker 3: Well never, I mean you should not. You shouldn't chase.
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: But you know, I just understand the betting habits of
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: people that are listening to this, and that's the way
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: that I would go about it.
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: But yes, you should not get that sprit. That's a
• 34:05
  Speaker 3: bad idea.
• 34:06
  Speaker 5: So Bears win and UH Bears win tonight, Bears beat
• 34:13
  Speaker 5: the Lions. Next week, San Francisco beat Seattle Bears one
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: seed Nuts Bears win tonight, beat the Lions, and San
• 34:28
  Speaker 5: Francisco beats the Seahawks. Bears are the one seed and
• 34:35
  Speaker 5: additionally Chargers UH beat the Broncos next week, and UH
• 34:46
  Speaker 5: Jags beat the Titans and the Dolphins beat the Patriots.
• 34:54
  Speaker 5: That's how your Jags get to the one seed.
• 34:56
  Speaker 3: I know it's ugly. It's so ugly. Also kind of
• 35:00
  Speaker 3: doable with those especially.
• 35:04
  Speaker 4: The Dolphins playing in January at Foxborough. Are you insane?
• 35:10
  Speaker 5: I mean, I think the Patriots have to play. Is
• 35:11
  Speaker 5: there a line off of that game yet?
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: I have not for the Patriots Dolphins game.
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, ten and a half on draft.
• 35:23
  Speaker 5: They they're going to schedule them at the same time
• 35:26
  Speaker 5: as the Broncos, and then there's a chance that the
• 35:29
  Speaker 5: Chargers sit guys, So the Patriots I don't know, so
• 35:35
  Speaker 5: like the Patriots could just say, like, based on what
• 35:38
  Speaker 5: the Broncos are doing, they could end up eventually sitting us.
• 35:40
  Speaker 5: I don't know. We'll get to that during the week.
• 35:42
  Speaker 5: By the way, Miles get Monday My Football. Miles Garrett
• 35:45
  Speaker 5: on today's game versus Pittsburgh. To an extent, they were
• 35:48
  Speaker 5: more worried about keeping me this is the quote. To
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: an extent, they were more worried about keeping me away
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: from Aaron Rodgers and getting the win. That's what came
• 35:56
  Speaker 5: back to bite them. I was screaming that the entire game. Uh,
• 36:00
  Speaker 5: imagine sacrificing your playoff chances so that you weren't on
• 36:03
  Speaker 5: a highlight hub. Miles Garrett getting the record unbelievable.
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: That's why they say throw out the record books when
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: these teams play each other for that exact reason.
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: Monday Night Football.
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: Rams at Falcons Falcons seven point dogs total at forty
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: nine and a half. Let's get to our DraftKings. Monday
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: Night Football fast pass parlay before we settle in for
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: the night game.
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: Number has been.
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: Beaten up a little bit, but at a touchdown and
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: an extra point. I still like the hard charging Atlanta Falcons.
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: I don't think they quite qualify for the stucky trend
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: of team that needs to win against a team that's eliminated.
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: They don't qualify.
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: However, I do like the way the Falcons have looked
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: the last couple of weeks. Plucky and the Rams are
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: still without DeVante Adams that impacts them offensively. Pooka Nakua
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: seems like at least once a game he has to
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: be checked out by somebody. If there's even a question
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: in this game. As we inch closer to the postseason,
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: they will remove him from the football game. I like
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: the Falcons here catching seven. Kendra, what about you?
• 37:18
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Pooka for an any time. He
• 37:21
  Speaker 4: just it seems like a guarantee every single week, So
• 37:25
  Speaker 4: in a parlay, I'm going to chase it at the
• 37:26
  Speaker 4: price minus one fifty I think it is on draftings.
• 37:29
  Speaker 4: I think I just checked that it has changed since
• 37:31
  Speaker 4: our podcast started, So I want to make sure you.
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: Are correct, Stucky round out the fast pass.
• 37:38
  Speaker 5: I like the Falcons too, I think to offensive line
• 37:41
  Speaker 5: injuries to DeVante Adams, I will let's go with I mean,
• 37:49
  Speaker 5: I'm going to check these prices, but uh should we
• 37:53
  Speaker 5: go because I was going to go with the Falcons.
• 37:54
  Speaker 5: I'm doing this on the fly.
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: You still want Kolbe Parkinson. We would have two rams touchdowns.
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: This would be a very non related parlay.
• 38:05
  Speaker 5: Let's go Bijon forty plus uh receiving yards.
• 38:11
  Speaker 4: All right, okay, wow, okay, okay, that's so we have.
• 38:16
  Speaker 5: That would be what's that pay plus four.
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: Fifty boom Falcons plus seven Pukakua anytime touchdown score Bjeon
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: Robinson at least forty receiving yards at plus four fifty
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: over on DraftKings where the crown is yours the favorites.
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: We'll return on Tuesday, back to a normal schedule next week.
• 38:39
  Speaker 3: I believe we are going to be right here.
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: On the Action Network YouTube page talking week eighteen in
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: the NFL, and we are gonna give Stocky the fed.
• 38:48
  Speaker 5: I don't think we would be regular.
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: Okay, well let's well, let's then let's check.
• 38:54
  Speaker 5: We might do everything on Tuesday.
• 38:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, oh, we'll talk about that after the sea. We're
• 38:59
  Speaker 3: gonna have a side bar about this.
• 39:01
  Speaker 5: But sometime. We'll definitely be back Tuesday, and.
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: We're definitely going to give Stucky the floor for at
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: least fifteen minutes to break down all the machinations of
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: what teams need to do and don't need to do
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: so that we can.
• 39:13
  Speaker 3: We look forward to it. Good luck with all of
• 39:14
  Speaker 3: your bets tonight.
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: by Draft.
• 39:27
  Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.
• 39:31
  Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,
• 39:34
  Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight
• 39:37
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