Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 303 - 6/20/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 303 - 6/20/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 3 O three of the All Systems Go
0:24
sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:36
Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
0:39
end. The month of June is almost
0:41
finished here, guys. Only about a week left before we
0:43
turn the page. And then it's the Nathan's hot
0:45
Dog eating contest, which I told you guys a few days ago.
0:48
The guy, the goat, the the man himself, the man, the myth, the
0:51
legend. Joey Chestnut Back into the the
0:55
fight here, which again, if you weren't paying attention, the
0:57
guy who's won it, what was it like 16 mustard belts in a row
1:00
or something crazy like that. He was banned from last year's
1:03
tournament because he did the had the cardinal sin of not
1:07
betting on the hot dog eating contest like Pete Rose, who
1:10
actually Pete Rose post thought was it post Thalmusly.
1:13
How do you say that after you die and something good happens?
1:17
But anyway, he he did the cardinal sin of not betting on
1:21
himself on the hot dog eating contest or betting against
1:23
himself, but inking A endorsement deal with a beyond
1:28
meat company. So Nathan's, you know, you want
1:31
that juicy hot dog, which again, I don't know how they make them,
1:33
but they taste great. If you if you link up with the
1:36
Beyond meat fake meat, they don't take that lightly.
1:39
But apparently that's all in the past and Joey Chestnut will be
1:43
be eating hot dogs left and right in the hot dog eating
1:46
contest. But anyway, guys, it is a
1:48
Friday, of course, so last part of the week and we're going to
1:51
get right back to what we love doing, which is betting on Major
1:54
League Baseball. Just grinding MLB and a lot of
1:57
betters I talked to, they'll say, Oh yeah, like MLB is the,
2:00
you know, sports betters. Holiday or vacation and just get
2:05
ready for football. Wake me up when football is
2:07
back. I'm one of those crazy people.
2:08
If you haven't known by now or discovered that I love grinding
2:11
baseball every single day. Yeah, there's highs and lows.
2:14
Yeah, you're going to have, you know, some bad days here and you
2:17
know, get walk offs against, you know, bullpens blow it.
2:19
But overall to me, if you just stick with it and grind with it,
2:22
it can be one of the best sports to bet on.
2:24
So we're going to see if we can keep the good vibes going here
2:26
for today. I do have a three pack of sweats
2:29
overall. They're all very short, modest
2:31
favorites. They're all like less than -150
2:33
so if we could eke out A2 in one day, that would be a pretty
2:36
decent buyback or pay out here to us as bettress, not bet to
2:40
win flat betters. Also want to mention, because
2:44
it's a Friday, no podcasts on Saturday or Sunday, but you can
2:48
always read my sharp reports for the write UPS, visen.com.
2:52
You can always check them out. I tweet them out from my Twitter
2:54
account at Josh under score Insights.
2:57
And then of course, if you don't want the write UPS, you just
2:59
want the plays. I know your lives are busy.
3:01
If you want a tail or fade or do whatever, remember you can
3:04
always support the pod by signing up to get the best bets
3:07
directly from the Juice Reel app.
3:09
So I tweet out the link each day.
3:11
You can just go right from there.
3:13
But if you want to sign up to get those best bet picks, it's
3:16
$4.99 a week. Again, I don't consider the
3:19
selling plays selling picks because I'm not a big proponent
3:22
of selling plays. I would look at this more as a
3:25
tip jar, which means hey, this pod is free.
3:28
It cost you nothing. If you want to support the pod
3:30
and also maybe get maybe get some better numbers as I bet
3:33
these games earlier in the day, you can put them in earlier,
3:35
hopefully get some closing line value.
3:37
You can always go to the juice Reel app, click buy, sell,
3:40
bottom right click and search. I think it's search sellers or
3:44
search juice users and just search ASG under score podcast.
3:48
Boom, you're locked and loaded and you're supporting the pod.
3:51
And again, pass in the hat tip jar.
3:53
If you think this pod is worth $1.00 a day of insights, that's
3:57
really what you're getting here are actually less than that
3:59
because it's plays all seven days.
4:02
But anyway, guys, looking back toward yesterday, we kept it
4:04
rolling. Third straight winning day.
4:06
Do not let the boys get hot. 2 and 1 + 0.48 units.
4:11
I will take a half unit every single time.
4:14
But the Cardinals came through for the team, which was nice.
4:16
They were up, then they were down, came back and won that
4:19
game, which was nice. The Braves coming through late
4:21
night. Remember, that was a bit of a
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gambler's fallacy play where, hey, you know, Braves have
4:26
already won two. They can't get the sweep.
4:28
The Mets are a good team. But no, we trusted the market
4:31
line move toward the Braves. Braves came through.
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Only loser was the Cubs. It looked pretty bad there.
4:36
At one point, I think they were down 8 to 2 or they're down big
4:40
because some guy never heard of Collins hit a three run bomb for
4:43
the Brewers. I'm like, oh, we ain't getting
4:45
this one. But the Cubs made it
4:47
interesting. They scored a bunch of runs
4:49
late. They ended up losing 8:00 to
4:51
7:00. So that was one that was, you
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know, I was thinking maybe we could flip that one.
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But either way, guys 2 and 1 + 0.48 units, another winning day,
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which is always our goal. So that being said, without
5:03
further ado, let's dive into our place for today because there is
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an early game that I wanted to hit on and it's right back to
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the Windy City. Chicago Cubbies.
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Let's go to the North Side. By the way, if you've never been
5:15
to Chicago, you got to get out there.
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I went to Chicago. I've only been one time, but I
5:20
went with all my buddies back in the year 2011 or 2012 was the
5:24
Bobby Valentine year when the Red Sox were kind of a dumpster
5:28
fire. But I think we're all like 2324
5:31
years old. Me and four of my best friends
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flew out there, had a blast, went to all three Wrigley games
5:36
against their socks. And I love Murphy's Bleachers
5:39
bar out in center field. That was our spot.
5:42
But anyway, guys, no more nostalgia, no more good old days
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for me. Let's see if we can get a
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baseball game winner here today. So that being said, 2:20 PM
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Eastern Time, Seattle Mariners at the Chicago Cubs.
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Let's set the stage talk line movement system matches and I'll
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give you my play for this one. So going into it, we have the
6:00
Mariners 37 and 36 on the year. Just dropped two or three though
6:04
against the Red Sox. They lost that series finale 3
6:07
to 1 as a + 100 home dog. Good for the Sox over win total
6:11
I must say. And then also you'll get the
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Cubs 45 and 29. Just split A2 game series of the
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Brewers. One game was rained out.
6:18
They'd won the first one, but then again, lost eight to seven
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yesterday as a -130 home favorite.
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So pitching match up for this interleague series opener, the
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Mariners are going to go with the ready George Kirby.
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He's one and three with a 5.96 ERA.
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Cubs, meanwhile, are sending out the southpaw Matthew Boyd, who's
6:36
six and three with a 2.79 ERA. Now, what do we see across the
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market for this one? Well, nothing but movement on
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the Cubbies. Give me the Cubs here, guys.
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Cubs open this game as well as a -120 -. 125 home favorite
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Seattle around a + 100 plus one O 5 Rd. dog.
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And really, when the wise guys saw the shorts chalk on the Cubs
6:56
at Wrigley, they hammered. It tells me that they had the
6:59
Cubs, you know, favorite a little bit more when this line
7:01
came out. You've not seen Chicago.
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It's steamed up to -140 some shops even now -145 even some a
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couple I saw inching maybe toward -150 So pretty good one
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way movement in favor of the Cubs here.
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Now the Cubs have a pretty good bet split at both DraftKings and
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Circa. Always start with DraftKings.
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Tell me where kind of the public is.
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National Book. A lot of recreational betters.
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78% of bets, but nearly 90% of money line dollars on the Cubs.
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So Publix probably just saying, hey, ride the Cubs, short number
7:33
at home, good team. Whereas if you'll get circa 75%
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of bets, 95% of money line dollars on the Cubs, that tells
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me out in Vegas at circa, which again prides themselves on
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taking in smart money and not rejecting or limiting it.
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Pretty heavy amount of respected wagers going Cubs as well.
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Chicago is lighting up six systems for me.
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Most basic one here would be interleague favorite.
7:58
So lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the
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better team. But if you dig a little deeper,
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when both teams missed the playoffs the previous year, take
8:06
the interleague home favorite. That system is 48 and 2565% with
8:11
a 6% ROI. And in particular, the Cubs have
8:15
been really good in the spot as a favorite.
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They are 36 and 15 this year, 71 percent, 14% ROI.
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That's the number one, the best chalk team in baseball.
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And then, don't you know it, this is a Cubs off a loss
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system. You guys love this one.
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I know I do too. The Cubs are 21 and five off a
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loss this year. That's an 81% win rate with a
8:36
nearly 45% ROI. The best quote UN quote bounce
8:41
back team in baseball. If it think of it this way, if
8:44
the Cubs have a line move and they're off a loss, this is an
8:46
automatic play. They've just been super
8:48
resilient, bouncing back and limiting 2.
8:50
You know, two straight losses. Anyway, Cubs aside from those
8:54
system matches, bet splits, line movement, they have the better
8:57
bats. Let's hope they get to Kirby
8:58
here today. They're hitting 254 on the year,
9:01
107 or sorry, 102 homers, 397 runs scored.
9:06
Mariners hitting 24291 homers, 317 runs scored.
9:11
And in particular, I want to back Boyd.
9:13
He was a really good pick up knock on wood for the Cubbies,
9:16
but he has a 1.86 ERA in three June starts.
9:21
He's only given up four runs this month in 19.1 innings
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pitched. And in particular at home.
9:26
Listen to this. Boyd is 6 and O with a 2.25 ERA.
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So it's an early game here. It'll be always great to start
9:34
your day off with an early winter, but I got to go.
9:36
Cubbies guys line move in their favor.
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Really good bat splits at DraftKings and Circa Tons of
9:41
system matches. Better bats, and again, Boyd has
9:44
been really good at home this year, so let's hope that
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continues. First play of the day for me.
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I got the Cubs at -140 and that was available at Bet MGM again.
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Shop around. Some books closer to -145 -. 150
9:57
Next up and ain't broke. Don't fix it.
10:00
Play 7:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, the Atlanta Braves
10:04
visiting the Miami Marlins now going into this one, the Braves
10:08
34 and 39. They did just sweep the Mets
10:10
though, had a big one for us yesterday, 7 to 1 as a -140 home
10:14
favorite. Meanwhile, the Marlins 29 and
10:17
44, having another tough year, just dropped three of four
10:20
against the Phillies. They lost 2 to one yesterday as
10:23
a + 120 home dog. So pitching match up here
10:26
tonight. This is interesting.
10:27
Miami is going to go with great, great name for this guy, the
10:31
righty Jansen junk one and O 2.78 ERA.
10:35
He's a 29 year old guy, kind of a journeyman.
10:38
The Atlanta Braves are going to go with the guy.
10:39
I never heard of Didier Fuentes. I did a little research on this
10:43
guy. He's making his Major League
10:45
debut, which scares me a bit, but he's 20 years old and he's
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one of the top pitching prospects from Atlanta.
10:52
What's notable to me is that this line open Atlanta around a
10:55
-, 135 Rd. favorite in Miami, a + 115 home dog.
10:58
And we were kind of talking yesterday or anytime you see
11:02
this take place when a game opens at a round of pick em and
11:05
then hey, which direction does it get steamed?
11:08
Cuz that's notable. You know, hey, you know, maybe
11:10
the sharps, the respected betters have it as a pick em as
11:13
well, which means don't get down, no movement.
11:16
But maybe they have one team favor over the other and you see
11:18
a line move. Well, to me, anytime I see a
11:21
pitcher making his Major League debut, I always kind of pay
11:24
attention to which direction the line moves because I, I feel
11:27
like it can go one of two ways. One way would be, hey, this
11:30
guy's in over his head, really bright lights.
11:33
He's not used to this level of competition Fade this kid making
11:37
his debut because he doesn't know what he's in for.
11:40
However, sometimes a person's making their debut and the line
11:43
goes in their favor, which tells me maybe he's ready for his
11:47
debut. Or the other way to look at it
11:49
is, is he great or not? Who knows, But it's the first
11:53
time the opposing team has ever seen him.
11:55
So maybe they surprise him a little bit or he surprises them,
11:59
I should say. And it looks like it's kind of
12:01
the latter here because we're seeing this line go toward
12:04
Didier Fuentes in Atlanta. Braves again, open -135 now
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they're up to -145 some shops even as high as -150 I took
12:14
Atlanta -144 at FanDuel. So it looks like the best price
12:18
as of now. But aside from the line move
12:20
toward the Braves, really good bet splits at DraftKings,
12:23
they're getting 74% of money line bets, nearly 80% of money
12:27
line dollars. And then over at Circa, they're
12:30
getting 86% of money line bets, 96% of money line dollars.
12:35
So we have low bets, higher dollars at DraftKings and Circa
12:38
and a line move in favor of Atlanta, again with a guy that
12:41
we don't know about on the bump. So this is a little bit of blind
12:44
faith in the sharps who seem to like Atlanta, which is why I
12:46
like Atlanta. One system match I really like
12:49
here, favorites who made the playoffs the previous year
12:52
getting at least $0.05 of line movement in their direction.
12:55
Those teams are two O 2 and 160 this season, 66%, three percent
13:01
ROI. So it's not a massively winning
13:03
system, but it tells you you made the post season, you're
13:05
expected to win, the lines will be in your favor.
13:08
Those teams are winning basically two out of three times
13:10
this year. Hopefully the bats of Atlanta
13:14
can get the junk here today because Atlanta has the more
13:17
explosive bats. They've hit 78 home runs.
13:20
They've scored 307 runs overall. Miami's only hit 64 homers and
13:24
scored 295 runs. And the Braves, maybe they're
13:28
putting it together. It's crazy how they're still
13:30
five games below 500, but they have.
13:33
They did get Acuna back. The pitching's done pretty good
13:35
here over the last little bit. They are 7 and three over their
13:39
last ten with a team ERA of 2.83.
13:42
The Marlins are five and five over the last 10 team ERA of 4.4
13:46
O. Lastly, if we have to sweat this
13:48
one, hey, whatever it takes to get a win.
13:50
But hopefully the Atlanta bullpen is a little bit better
13:53
than Miami because the Atlanta pen has a 3.8 O ERA.
13:57
Miami has a 4.52 bullpen ERA that is eighth worst in
14:02
baseball. And oh, by the way, I popped
14:04
open the Juice Reel app noticed a 10% sharp mush edge on
14:08
Atlanta. That tells me that everyone who
14:10
has downloaded Juice Reel, which I know you guys have, two, eight
14:14
or sorry, 10% more of the sharper winning betters are
14:17
going Atlanta as opposed to the profit division betters leaning
14:21
more toward Miami. So you had it all up.
14:24
We got a question mark on the bump.
14:25
Diddy Air Fuentes, I never heard of you until today.
14:28
Hope you pitch well tonight, buddy.
14:30
But I'm riding this line move system match play.
14:33
I'm on the Braves -144 at FanDuel and again, shop around.
14:37
Some looks closer to -150 Last bit of the night, 7:15 PM
14:43
Eastern Time, first pitch, let's go to Saint Louis.
14:46
Cincinnati Reds visiting the Saint Louis Cardinals now.
14:50
The Reds, 39 and 36 on the year, just took two or three against
14:54
the Twinkies but did not complete the sweep.
14:56
They lost 12 to 5 yesterday as a -115 home favorite.
15:01
Meanwhile, the Card Cardinals, 40 and 35 on the year, just
15:04
swept the White Sox. They won that doubleheader,
15:07
swept it 5 to 4 as a -145 Rd. favorite, and then they won
15:10
again, 8 to 6 an extra innings as a -175 Rd. favorite.
15:15
So pitching match up here for tonight at Busch Stadium.
15:18
We have the Reds going with the ready Brady singer.
15:21
He's seven and four with a 4.34 ERA.
15:24
Cardinals, meanwhile, are going to go with the fellow ready
15:26
Andre Palante or Palante, I don't know how to pronounce that
15:30
four and three 4.83 ERA. Now, what are we seeing across
15:34
the market here? Well, you might have jumped on
15:36
this one earlier because this is a pretty nice steam move on the
15:40
Cardinals. Let's go Kards guys.
15:42
Cardinals open this game around a -, 130 home favorite Atlanta
15:46
around a + 110 row dog, and we've now seen the Cardinals get
15:49
steamed up to around -140 -, 145 some shops even closing in on
15:54
-150 so that's pretty good one way movement in favor of Saint
15:58
Louis. Now, what makes me like the
16:00
Cardinals even more is that this is a 5050 bets, but 5050 line
16:04
move. Because if you look at
16:06
DraftKings right now, the public is right down the middle 50% of
16:10
money line tickets taking the plus money with the Reds, 50% of
16:13
money line tickets laying the minus number with Saint Louis.
16:17
And again, what do we always talk about?
16:19
That's what's so important if you kind of combine them with
16:21
the line move because they can tell you a lot of the story of
16:24
basically where's the public, where the sharps and how is how
16:27
are the odds makers reacting? 5050 tickets split.
16:30
Theoretically, in a vacuum, a line shouldn't move at all.
16:33
You would assume action is balanced.
16:35
No need to adjust the price up or down.
16:37
However, you see a 5050 split, yet you see a 15 cent steam
16:41
move. I'm going to go with that steam
16:43
move because that tells me that even though the public doesn't
16:45
know what to do, wise guys have taken a position and it looks
16:48
like it again is here on Saint Louis as they've gone from -130
16:52
up to around -145. If you also look at DraftKings,
16:57
only 50% of tickets, but 67% of dollars are on Saint Louis.
17:02
So further evidence of those bigger, sharper wagers.
17:05
Again, going with the Cardinals now home favorites -130 or more
17:09
in the opening game of a new series.
17:12
They're pretty good this year, 114 and 5966 percent, 3% ROI.
17:18
Then in particular, Saint Louis in the spot when they're at home
17:21
and they're getting at least $0.05 of line movement in their
17:24
direction. They're 13 and five this year,
17:26
72 percent, 37% ROI. Cardinals, by the way, they are
17:32
third best overall hitting at home, hitting 275, and they are
17:37
third overall against righty's hitting 261.
17:41
So they're #3 third best batting average at home, third best
17:44
batting average against righty's.
17:46
What's the deal tonight? They're at home and they're
17:48
facing a righty. So that's a good sign in favor
17:50
of Saint Louis. And oh, by the way, little
17:53
cherry on top of this Cardinals ice cream cone, 22% sharp mush
17:58
edge in favor of Saint Louis on the juicer lap.
18:01
So that's a pretty good one. That's pretty big.
18:02
If you can get into the, you know, 20% or more, that's a
18:05
sizable edge. Tells me a lot of wise guys with
18:08
the juice real app are are going Cardinals here as well.
18:11
So you got it all up here, guys. Good sharp mush edge, pretty
18:14
obvious steam move sharp 5050 split low bets, higher dollars
18:18
system matches, better bats. I'm on the Cardinals tonight.
18:22
Let's let's shotgun a couple Bush beers.
18:25
A Bush the banquet beer. What is that?
18:28
What's the banquet beer? It is Bush layers, of course.
18:32
What is it? Hold on a second here.
18:34
I got to make sure I used to know this by heart.
18:36
Yeah, it is course. So it's not it's not a Bush
18:39
light. But anyway, with that being
18:42
said, guys, Cubs, Braves cards, let's see if we can keep this
18:44
winning streak going get find a way to get 2 out of 3.
18:48
So that about does it for episode 3 O3 on a big Friday
18:51
edition here of the all systems go sports betting pod powered by
18:54
rhythm. This is the part of the pod
18:56
where we wrap things up and always I start first by saying
19:00
thank you. Thank you for taking the time
19:01
out of your day, out of your busy lives.
19:03
I know you guys got a lot going on, but I see the stats, I see
19:07
the the downloads of streams. We're continuing to grow.
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So it means a lot to me that we created this community and you
19:12
guys again, find a find a way to get 20 to 30 minutes to tune in
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to each episode, which again, I really, really appreciate
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because I would probably do this on my own because I just love
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betting. But the fact that I'm lucky
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enough to host this and we all gather around the virtual bar
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and sweat some games together and look for sharp plays, it
19:29
really does mean a lot to me. So so thank you for that.
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If you want to let me know you appreciate the pod, you can do
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one very simple, easy thing when you're listening on Spotify or
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Leave a nice comment under the review section if you feel so
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pod to a friend, word of mouth always carries a lot more weight
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if you get something recommended from some someone you trust or
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someone you respect. But next, if you enjoy the style
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of betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian
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betting. Making bets not based on what we
20:07
think will happen and what our biases tell us will happen,
20:10
because usually that's wrong, but making bets based on what
20:12
the betting market is telling us.
20:13
Learning how to read the betting market.
20:15
Taking a contrarian approach. Looking for smart money bet
20:19
split system matches. If this style of betting has
20:21
appealed to you, you've seen some of the the fruits of the
20:24
labor here and you want to learn more about data-driven betting,
20:27
or you have a friend of yours who could use a few data-driven
20:29
tips or someone who's trying to get into betting and doesn't
20:32
know how to start. I'd love for you guys to go to
20:34
Amazon.com and then type in the Everything Guide to Sports
20:38
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I'm very proud of it. It's really great for brand new
20:42
betters, but even kind of intermediate betters as well.
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Let's get everything I've learned in the industry, how
20:47
lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line movement,
20:50
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It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
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picking up the Everything Guide, stay on Amazon.com and then type
21:03
in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
21:06
That's my new book. It comes out August 12th.
21:08
Cannot wait. We're almost just about a month
21:11
away, a little bit more than a month away, which is crazy, but
21:14
I'm very much looking forward to that dropping because I put a
21:16
lot of a lot of time and effort into that.
21:18
It's a long time coming here. I started writing it like almost
21:21
four years ago at this point, but it's about to drop.
21:24
I'm very proud of it. If you want to make me happy,
21:26
would you consider pre ordering a copy for yourself or someone
21:30
you know? And guess what?
21:31
If you bring the Everything Guide and the pre-order NFL
21:34
Sharp Betting playbook to the sports book, I'll sign them for
21:37
you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
21:39
ale or truly we'll sweat some games together.
21:41
We'll crack open a couple Bush lights.
21:43
How about that and get some nachos because I'll I'll
21:45
probably be a little bit hungry. But anyway, Next up, have you
21:49
downloaded Rhythm and Juice real yet?
21:51
Well, if you haven't, go do it right now.
21:53
Go to your App Store or Google Play, however you guys do it,
21:57
and type in rhythm. RITHMM, not like RYTHM, but
22:02
rhythm. They do a great job of powering
22:04
this pod. They give us fantastic AI backed
22:06
models and predictions for game bets and player props.
22:09
You got WNBA, you have MLBNBA finals.
22:12
We get another game here. By the way, did you guys see
22:15
that line starting to fall back toward toward the Pacers last
22:19
night? I don't know if anyone saw that.
22:20
They got 6 1/2 down to like 5 1/2 late.
22:23
That late movement came through. I was actually on with my buddy
22:26
Patrick Maher last night on Beeson Live on SiriusXM.
22:29
We were talking about the game. They're both like, hey, a good
22:32
move here toward the Pacers. So again, the importance of that
22:35
late smart money. But anyway, also aside from
22:39
rhythm, you got to download Juice Reel.
22:41
Juice Reel I mentioned earlier, great sports betting app.
22:44
But if you want to support the pod, if you want to sign up to
22:46
get those $4.99 a week best bets from the official all systems go
22:52
best bets on Juice Reel. That would really, really mean a
22:54
lot to me. And as I shamelessly plugged
22:57
before this pod is free. It cost you nothing to listen,
22:59
so if you want to just do it for a week and just say throw in a
23:02
$5.00 bill, that would mean a lot to me.
23:05
Also, you're going to get the Robo Jackson best bet picks.
23:08
The sharp mush indicators. Whenever I say, hey, 22% sharp
23:11
mush edge on the cards, that's another box that I like to check
23:15
off. And you'll get all those
23:16
breakdowns when you download Juice Reel as well as the
23:19
arbitrage plays. The shop for the best line
23:21
futures sync up your sports books to the app, get a running
23:25
report card of your action all available when you download
23:28
juice reel. So download rhythm, download
23:31
juice reel, give them a five star review in the App Store.
23:34
Lastly, do you have a live odds page?
23:37
If you don't, you need one. Or maybe you have 1:00 and it's
23:39
free, but it's slow, it's way behind, doesn't have a lot of
23:43
sports books, doesn't give you a live odds in terms of, you know,
23:46
in game wagering odds or live scoring.
23:49
Or maybe you have one and it's it's pretty good, but it's
23:51
really expensive and you're looking to save some money.
23:54
Whatever the case may be, you need a live odds page if you're
23:57
betting on sports every day because you got to know the
23:59
basic things. What games are being played
24:01
today? What are the times of the games
24:03
once the game gets going, live scoring, live in game wagering
24:07
odds. But most importantly, it allows
24:09
you to track the market. It gives you the opening column.
24:12
The opening line never changes. You can see to the right all the
24:15
current prices for all the different sports books.
24:17
You can pull up the line history.
24:18
You can identify steam. As soon as the line changes, it
24:21
gets lit up in red. When you see pretty much every
24:24
book in that row lit up in red, it tells you that there's a lot
24:27
of big steam across the market and overload of sharp action.
24:30
And you can hop on a book that's slow and hasn't adjusted yet.
24:33
But these these advantages are all available to you when you
24:37
give Odds Logic a shot. So go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
24:43
You'll get a 7 day free trial and then 50% off your first
24:46
month. So that about does it for the
24:49
last part of the week. Guys, as always, I'll leave you
24:51
with two final thoughts. One, whether I see you at the
24:54
Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
24:57
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in
25:00
Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
25:03
Casino, MGM Springfield or the Nash in my neck of the woods
25:07
outside of Boston near the New Hampshire border.
25:10
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
25:12
down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners, where the
25:15
lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
25:18
Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
25:20
swimming pool. When you cash a big ticket at
25:22
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
25:26
Show me a nice Cardinals ticket, a nice Braves ticket.
25:29
First one's on me. Next one's on you will post
25:31
about the book and sweat some games on the diamond on a big
25:34
Friday night. So as always, guys two and one,
25:37
one and two, three and OO and three.
25:39
Great day, bad day, somewhere in the middle, hot, cold grinding
25:43
whenever as good as we think when we're hot, whenever as bad
25:46
as we think when we're cold. We just got to stick to the long
25:48
term approach that games that fit our model.
25:51
The beauty of baseball. One reason why I like it, just
25:53
to reiterate the fact is that there's basically 15 games every
25:57
day and we only got to look for like the three that really match
26:01
and check off all the boxes. A lot of people look at a board
26:05
and want to bet every game or they look at who they want to
26:08
bet in terms of the team first, which is a negative really.
26:11
You want to cover up the names of the teams and, and really
26:14
don't eat like what I look at. You know, I look at the
26:16
overnight lines, of course, but when I wake up and I try to
26:19
figure out who I'm going to play that day, I don't even try to
26:22
look at the team names. I just scan to the right opening
26:25
number, current number, look at line movement, look at bat
26:27
splits, where my system matches. You know what does Juice Reel
26:30
and Rhythm say? I think it's very important to
26:33
again, try to bet numbers, not teams and try to trust the
26:36
market. Will the market be right every
26:37
single time? No, but it's going to be right a
26:40
majority of the time, which is why we want to be with the smart
26:42
money. So if we can find those games
26:44
that fit our model with our head and not our heart against the
26:47
public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays,
26:51
get that closing line value. If we can do that, we're going
26:53
to be successful sports betters. So hope everyone has a great
26:56
Friday. Hope you have an even better
26:58
weekend, guys. Again, you can check out the
27:00
weekend and they'll be best bets for my Twitter page.
27:03
The articles on beeson.com will come out both Saturday and
27:06
Sunday morning. And of course, you can sign up
27:08
and get those best bets on the Juice Reel app and just tail
27:11
them if you want to or fade them, whatever you want to do.
27:14
But I hope you have a great Friday.
27:15
I hope you have an even better weekend.
27:16
I'll see you guys back on Monday.
27:18
That'll be episode 3 O four of the All Systems Go sports
27:22
betting podcast powered by rhythm.
27:25
Good luck everybody and hope you have a great weekend.