Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / 49ers vs Rams - NFL DFS Showdown | Week 1 TNF | Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: All systems go.
- 0:05Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff.
- 0:35Speaker 3: What's up, everyone?
- 0:36Speaker 4: Tyler Tamblyn here, a.k.a. ToeTag and Tambo, back for another
- 0:39Speaker 4: edition of the Showdown Show, Showdown Shippers. Here on the
- 0:42Speaker 4: Ship It Nation YouTube station, we got Thursday Night Football
- 0:45Speaker 4: coming off a really fun Monday night.
- 0:47Speaker 3: Not for all.
- 0:47Speaker 4: I know Darnold going out and A.J. Brown getting injured
- 0:50Speaker 4: and so on and so forth, but a fun show. Nonetheless,
- 0:52Speaker 4: yesterday got Hoop and Title here with me again today
- 0:54Speaker 4: as usual, but we had the Eli Raritan touchdown to
- 0:58Speaker 4: kick off the slate. And that was incredible after the
- 1:01Speaker 4: back and forth banter on here yesterday and title.
- 1:03Speaker 3: I know I'll bring you in.
- 1:04Speaker 4: I know you had some action on old Eli yesterday
- 1:07Speaker 4: after you, we described him and who had the funny
- 1:09Speaker 4: line just saying, well, that's titles boy. That's right up
- 1:11Speaker 4: his alley.
- 1:12Speaker 3: How'd that go for you, my friend?
- 1:13Speaker 4: What's going on?
- 1:14Speaker 5: Yeah. I mean, I was like three X to field
- 1:16Speaker 5: him at 2%, but yeah, other than that, I got
- 1:19Speaker 5: dusted yesterday.
- 1:20Speaker 2: One of us didn't get dusted though. And that was you.
- 1:22Speaker 5: So like I told you, pretty sure I didn't say
- 1:24Speaker 5: congrats yet because I, I still look at those pretty
- 1:27Speaker 5: much all or nothing, 75K worth or whatever versus 4K,
- 1:31Speaker 5: which you'd get for seconds.
- 1:32Speaker 2: So good luck to you if you play tonight or
- 1:34Speaker 2: when you do.
- 1:35Speaker 5: I mean, I had like 88% Darnold, so I was
- 1:38Speaker 5: drawing pretty thin after the first drive. Hey, we talk
- 1:41Speaker 5: about that, though. Bankroll management. That's how some slates are
- 1:44Speaker 5: going to go, especially if you play tournaments. You should
- 1:46Speaker 5: expect to lose a lot more than you win. So
- 1:48Speaker 5: nice thing is we can fire right back up tonight.
- 1:50Speaker 4: Yeah, you betcha. That's the best part for sure. Appreciate you.
- 1:52Speaker 4: Like I say, it's definitely, you know, awesome to get
- 1:54Speaker 4: a chance of those that didn't follow. I got the
- 1:57Speaker 4: tiebreaker in the fantasy football world championship for the first
- 1:59Speaker 4: seat of the season. Ending is the opponent's name. We'll
- 2:04Speaker 4: see if we play it tonight or I think it
- 2:05Speaker 4: has to be on a showdown slate. So it's going
- 2:06Speaker 4: to be a head to head. It's supposed to be tonight, but.
- 2:08Speaker 4: We'll see if he responds back, but yeah, it's a,
- 2:11Speaker 4: it's nothing really for second versus if you get in,
- 2:13Speaker 4: you got everything. You got the seat, the guaranteed money,
- 2:15Speaker 4: the trip, the chance of the afternoon contest, the 2.5
- 2:18Speaker 4: million for first. So it's a lot of fun from
- 2:20Speaker 4: that perspective, but it was a good thing. Like you said,
- 2:22Speaker 4: like the Darnold stuff, I was more surprised hoop. I'll
- 2:24Speaker 4: kick it over to you and bring you in, man.
- 2:25Speaker 4: There was some lock lovers out there last night. Like
- 2:28Speaker 4: I had like people, it's not even a crystal ball.
- 2:30Speaker 4: They just think Darnold's weak or he's going to get
- 2:32Speaker 4: injured or somebody. It feels crazy. Like it was, it
- 2:34Speaker 4: felt like there was a lot of lineups out there.
- 2:36Speaker 4: more than usual, you would suspect with lock. We have
- 2:38Speaker 4: people with them in the captain. I thought it was
- 2:40Speaker 4: just crazy, but I guess people don't have the faith
- 2:42Speaker 4: in the quarterback sometimes, which what was your thoughts on
- 2:45Speaker 4: the lock action last night?
- 2:46Speaker 3: Any, any over there for you?
- 2:47Speaker 1: Well, he was the best quarterback in the game last night. Right. So,
- 2:50Speaker 1: I mean, that's, that's, that's one thing. I mean, he
- 2:53Speaker 1: outperformed the, the, the guy on the other side. I mean,
- 2:55Speaker 1: Drake may look awful. I mean, I just don't even
- 2:58Speaker 1: understand how you make that throw at the end of
- 3:00Speaker 1: the game. Like if you're in the NFL, if you're
- 3:02Speaker 1: an NFL quarterback, they had all that success last season. Like,
- 3:06Speaker 1: you'd think you would have learned some lessons. And as
- 3:08Speaker 1: soon as he starts chucking that thing up, like, it's like, no,
- 3:11Speaker 1: like you just never make that throw. And that was terrible.
- 3:14Speaker 1: But yeah, in terms of like DFS, like the backup
- 3:17Speaker 1: quarterback thing is just so, so funny. Like, you know,
- 3:20Speaker 1: minutes into the first game of the season, starting quarterback
- 3:24Speaker 1: gets hurt. And then, you know, the backup is in and,
- 3:27Speaker 1: you know, people are going to play it because it's
- 3:29Speaker 1: one in the past. And, you know, more, if anyone's
- 3:32Speaker 1: doing that, you know, every single time they're, clearly just
- 3:35Speaker 1: donating money long-term because you still have to get everything
- 3:38Speaker 1: else right to go along with it. But yeah, it
- 3:41Speaker 1: was interesting. And then, yeah, of course, I mean, after
- 3:44Speaker 1: our little clip yesterday about the, you know, the, the rare,
- 3:47Speaker 1: raring guy, rare done steak, well done steak, the joke.
- 3:50Speaker 1: And as soon as that happened, I was like, man,
- 3:52Speaker 1: we got the perfect, we got the perfect clip queued
- 3:55Speaker 1: up for this. And our, our team got that out
- 3:57Speaker 1: there right away, which was good to see. It was
- 3:59Speaker 1: a little fun back and forth. And it's probably a
- 4:01Speaker 1: sign of good things to come. I mean, the first,
- 4:04Speaker 1: joke of of the season like the little banter back
- 4:07Speaker 1: and forth we had some fun with it yesterday pays
- 4:09Speaker 1: off right out of the gate and i hope everyone
- 4:12Speaker 1: kind of bumped up their their rared in exposure after
- 4:15Speaker 1: our little uh after our little clip of that so
- 4:17Speaker 1: uh yeah i mean you know in terms of the
- 4:20Speaker 1: game overall we talked about it for sure yesterday we're
- 4:23Speaker 1: kind of had the feeling where it could be a
- 4:25Speaker 1: ugly grinded out sort of game i think would have
- 4:27Speaker 1: been like that either way honestly even if darnold didn't
- 4:30Speaker 1: get hurt i think we would have had a similar
- 4:32Speaker 1: game to that and you know, really just overall talking
- 4:35Speaker 1: about the game, kudos to the Seahawks. I mean, it's
- 4:37Speaker 1: very rare where you see a starting quarterback go down
- 4:41Speaker 1: and the team's still able to rally and get the win.
- 4:44Speaker 1: And they were, you know, their defense is phenomenal. I mean,
- 4:47Speaker 1: just absolutely phenomenal. Just in, I mean, you kind of
- 4:51Speaker 1: dunked on Drake May a little bit, how poorly he played,
- 4:53Speaker 1: but a lot of it has to do with how
- 4:55Speaker 1: good I think that Seahawks defense is like they're in
- 4:58Speaker 1: his face just nonstop. So, Yeah, kudos to the Seahawks.
- 5:01Speaker 1: They're going to be a tough out. I mean, it
- 5:02Speaker 1: sounds like Darnold's injury isn't all that serious. Sounds like
- 5:05Speaker 1: he could be back within a couple weeks. That's going
- 5:08Speaker 1: to be a very, very dangerous team for sure. And
- 5:12Speaker 1: then in terms of the Patriots, you kind of wonder, like,
- 5:15Speaker 1: how much of their success last year was based on
- 5:17Speaker 1: that super, super easy schedule because they didn't look great.
- 5:22Speaker 1: Drake May did not look great. We'll see. But, you know,
- 5:26Speaker 1: another one right back out of here tonight. An absolute banger.
- 5:28Speaker 1: Excited for this one. much different than last night in
- 5:31Speaker 1: terms of the fantasy outlook. I mean, kind of talked
- 5:35Speaker 1: about a little bit before, like so many options in
- 5:39Speaker 1: terms of guys that we think could be the highest scoring.
- 5:41Speaker 1: Last night, you know, if someone put a gun to
- 5:44Speaker 1: your head and said, even money bet, who do you
- 5:46Speaker 1: think is the highest scoring player on the slate? We're
- 5:49Speaker 1: all taking JSN, right? I mean, everyone's going to take JSN.
- 5:52Speaker 1: If someone's literally Even money bet. Boom, boom, boom. Who
- 5:56Speaker 1: do you got? You're taking JSN. It paid off tonight.
- 5:58Speaker 1: That decision would be a little bit harder because there's
- 6:00Speaker 1: like seven or eight guys that I think have a
- 6:02Speaker 1: chance to be up there. Not necessarily the optimal captain,
- 6:05Speaker 1: but the highest scoring guy on the slate. So excited
- 6:07Speaker 1: to go through it with you guys here today.
- 6:09Speaker 4: Yeah, we'll hit all the other stuff really quickly, but
- 6:11Speaker 4: you made some really good points there. And I think
- 6:12Speaker 4: that's funny too. We talked last night about if a
- 6:14Speaker 4: certain style of roster construction won, sometimes you see it
- 6:17Speaker 4: carry over. I wonder if tonight, and not that it
- 6:19Speaker 4: would be shocker because if Puka's Puka, but if, you know,
- 6:22Speaker 4: JSN getting there also leads to people being like, well, Hey,
- 6:24Speaker 4: we got the value. We know Puka's the guy let's
- 6:27Speaker 4: go with him. And then we can talk about how
- 6:28Speaker 4: you can get leverage on that when we go there later.
- 6:31Speaker 4: But By the way, Hoop, there will be some more
- 6:33Speaker 4: steak jokes. I don't know how to say his first name, Dijon,
- 6:36Speaker 4: but you get a little strip loin action over there, stripling.
- 6:39Speaker 3: You got to mix that one in too if you
- 6:40Speaker 3: want to stay on the steak front.
- 6:42Speaker 1: I will say- Wasn't that the name of the guy
- 6:44Speaker 1: that was posing to be a 49ers player? It was Love.
- 6:49Speaker 1: What was it? Dajon? But a similar first name.
- 6:52Speaker 3: Yeah, it's Jordan Love's cousin. Yeah, he'd wear the helmet
- 6:55Speaker 3: everywhere he goes.
- 6:56Speaker 5: That's got to be one of the craziest stories of
- 6:58Speaker 5: all time. That dude had to go to bed just
- 7:00Speaker 5: laughing to himself every night.
- 7:02Speaker 4: Well, now I don't know how much are they going
- 7:04Speaker 4: to get out of him, but man, that was pretty crazy.
- 7:05Speaker 4: I was like prod and all this other stuff, but Um, yeah,
- 7:08Speaker 4: it's going to be fun. This is an awesome slate. Again.
- 7:10Speaker 4: I said it yesterday. It's not just the hype, but
- 7:12Speaker 4: yesterday worked out. We'll talk about it in a second,
- 7:13Speaker 4: but go collect says, let the ship of games begin. You,
- 7:16Speaker 4: there is still time to get into the week one
- 7:18Speaker 4: ship of games. We did post the contest live. Just
- 7:21Speaker 4: so you guys know, if you don't know what you're
- 7:22Speaker 4: talking about, it's right on the site. We're giving away $ 45, 147.
- 7:26Speaker 4: All the promos are still on to get in. You
- 7:29Speaker 4: just have to be all access or you can, or
- 7:31Speaker 4: you can be a, um, NFL only member or But
- 7:35Speaker 4: it's pretty clear. It's listed here. You can go to ShipItGames.com.
- 7:38Speaker 4: You can go to the site, click that link. We
- 7:39Speaker 4: will have our first three winners this week. Ultimately, at
- 7:42Speaker 4: the end of the season, this community contest will be
- 7:45Speaker 4: based– my guy Hoop in there too– will be based
- 7:47Speaker 4: around the community winning. And we will be giving away,
- 7:51Speaker 4: as it stands right now, $ 10, 000, $ 5, 000. This is all
- 7:54Speaker 4: cash plus the big prizes. from our other sponsor with
- 7:57Speaker 4: Saber Sim. So check it out. The Ship It Games
- 7:59Speaker 4: just went live for the first golden shipper. I think
- 8:02Speaker 4: there's almost 200 people in there already. But if you
- 8:05Speaker 4: just join the site now or if you're already an
- 8:06Speaker 4: All Access or NFL member, you can get in for that.
- 8:10Speaker 4: So I just wanted to point that out. Another thing
- 8:11Speaker 4: I want to show last night, we talked about our
- 8:13Speaker 4: sponsor yesterday with DFOS.com.
- 8:15Speaker 3: And if you go to the dashboard... I'm going to speed.
- 8:18Speaker 4: It up because I have it here. This was actually crazy. Like,
- 8:21Speaker 4: I don't think people were getting to these drew lock lineups.
- 8:23Speaker 4: I'm just under perfect lineup here, but you can see
- 8:25Speaker 4: like what all the perfect lineups were. There was a 49,
- 8:28Speaker 4: seven and who cares? Cause drew lock, right? Like I
- 8:30Speaker 4: get it. Not many were probably going to get there.
- 8:32Speaker 4: Drew lock. Raritan was right there coming up next. I mean,
- 8:35Speaker 4: that's pretty crazy, but I think if you look down
- 8:37Speaker 4: outside of the drew lock lineups, I'm pretty sure we
- 8:42Speaker 4: had it get there because if this is under perfect lineup,
- 8:44Speaker 4: it was one Oh 1.02. For people asking about leaving
- 8:47Speaker 4: a bunch of money on the table, that was not
- 8:49Speaker 4: the case for this one. Now, obviously, if you want
- 8:51Speaker 4: something more unique, I think that's going to be helpful,
- 8:53Speaker 4: but you didn't have very high ownership on Matt Collins
- 8:55Speaker 4: who got all those catches late. But then if you
- 8:58Speaker 4: go over to the slate review, um, This is another
- 9:02Speaker 4: thing I wanted to show. This was pretty cool, actually.
- 9:03Speaker 4: This was for the fantasy football seat that I was
- 9:06Speaker 4: talking about that I got. So me and ending. And
- 9:09Speaker 4: then what I wanted to see, and you can see
- 9:12Speaker 4: like how it all worked out. We had a 49-9 lineup,
- 9:14Speaker 4: what we had. But I clicked on ending and I
- 9:17Speaker 4: pulled this up. And this is actually pretty cool. You
- 9:19Speaker 4: can go in and see, because I'm just trying to
- 9:21Speaker 4: get a feel. I got to play this guy head
- 9:22Speaker 4: to head. I was like, wonder how he played the
- 9:24Speaker 4: cue last night. And you can see down here and
- 9:27Speaker 4: see all of his lineups that he played. Last night title.
- 9:31Speaker 4: I'll kick it to you for a second. We had
- 9:32Speaker 4: a conversation in Vegas. Maybe we don't remember it, but
- 9:35Speaker 4: I think it was at the blackjack table. Other people
- 9:36Speaker 4: have talked about it a bunch though, but the poker tables,
- 9:38Speaker 4: I talk about people in mastermind, like using hand histories
- 9:42Speaker 4: and solvers.
- 9:43Speaker 3: And putting all this stuff together.
- 9:44Speaker 4: Like the more you can know the better, but unfortunately
- 9:46Speaker 4: you ain't getting to see all the hands usually, right?
- 9:48Speaker 4: You'll get to someone shares it or streams it or
- 9:50Speaker 4: whatever DFS. This is sort of the new age and
- 9:53Speaker 4: a different game where all the data is compiled.
- 9:55Speaker 3: Now with these sites that you can just go and
- 9:56Speaker 3: see again, just get a feel. How does this person play?
- 10:00Speaker 3: How they play head to head.
- 10:00Speaker 4: Could be different, but I'd rather have this information than
- 10:04Speaker 4: none at all. And so I'm just looking through it
- 10:05Speaker 4: and thinking about it. But what's your thoughts on being
- 10:07Speaker 4: able to sort of go back and see what others
- 10:09Speaker 4: are doing? I know a lot of people use Contest
- 10:10Speaker 4: Flashback with SaberSim as well. Just any thoughts on this
- 10:13Speaker 4: as a whole?
- 10:14Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure.
- 10:15Speaker 5: I use it all the time. I mean, who do
- 10:16Speaker 5: I think some of the best in the world? Hebrew cheetah, sheets,
- 10:20Speaker 5: shady advice. I'm going back in certain contests. I think
- 10:22Speaker 5: you said something important here. Unfortunately, I don't know how
- 10:25Speaker 5: I would translate a qualifier winner take all to how
- 10:29Speaker 5: he's going to play a head-to-head. It's a completely different
- 10:31Speaker 5: ballgame there. But like college football, I just got into
- 10:33Speaker 5: last year, and it was very new to me. And
- 10:37Speaker 5: there's super flex, so it's different that way.
- 10:39Speaker 2: So I'm going in.
- 10:40Speaker 5: You can deep dive in contests with this or with
- 10:43Speaker 5: the Sabre Sim starter package or above. Oh, okay, Shady's
- 10:46Speaker 5: doing a lot of one quarterback with just one receiver. Okay,
- 10:49Speaker 5: this sharp guy is doing one quarterback, two receivers. These
- 10:52Speaker 5: guys don't run any no quarterback stacks or whatever it is.
- 10:56Speaker 5: So it makes it a lot easier for me to,
- 10:58Speaker 5: a sport that I know nothing about, to just narrow
- 11:00Speaker 5: down a build, a roster construction-wise, and then take it
- 11:04Speaker 5: from there. What do Shady do or Rio do in
- 11:07Speaker 5: a qualifier, winner-take-all versus the lotto versus $ 100 single entry?
- 11:11Speaker 2: All of those....
- 11:13Speaker 5: Are completely different games. How much, what percents to first?
- 11:16Speaker 5: What's the min cash? How many people are in the tournaments?
- 11:19Speaker 5: It's very important. It's something that we haven't all like,
- 11:22Speaker 5: at least I didn't really know sources that did this three,
- 11:25Speaker 5: four or five years ago. And now that it is
- 11:27Speaker 5: available to the public, I definitely recommend taking advantage. There's
- 11:30Speaker 5: always someone out there better than you.
- 11:32Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 11:32Speaker 5: Like you said, for poker, find inefficiencies in human beings.
- 11:35Speaker 5: Do they three bet too much? Do they fold too
- 11:38Speaker 5: much against a check raise? Whatever it may be. And
- 11:40Speaker 5: then you use, and you can, divert your strategy from there.
- 11:43Speaker 5: So definitely something I highly recommend if you take DFS seriously.
- 11:47Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's cool.
- 11:47Speaker 4: Like this is again, it won't translate because it's not
- 11:49Speaker 4: a head to head. But like I said, there's learning
- 11:51Speaker 4: as much as you can from other players. This is
- 11:52Speaker 4: a single entry and how he chose to play the
- 11:54Speaker 4: $ 100 single entry yesterday was a Pats D up top.
- 11:57Speaker 4: So you just get a feel like are they looser,
- 11:59Speaker 4: leaving salary, risking it. But again, different tournament styles. You
- 12:02Speaker 4: can dig in further, though. You can see all the
- 12:04Speaker 4: tournaments that they played in yesterday and then try and
- 12:06Speaker 4: get a feel for that. So you guys can check
- 12:07Speaker 4: that out. And then just from yesterday, some people had asked,
- 12:10Speaker 4: so I'll show it quickly. I know we already overrode
- 12:11Speaker 4: it for members on the site, but we didn't have
- 12:14Speaker 4: the slate station up and ready yet. So just so
- 12:16Speaker 4: people know there's DraftKings and FanDuel. Everything for the cores
- 12:19Speaker 4: will be posted.
- 12:20Speaker 3: Up at the top.
- 12:21Speaker 4: And then the showdown tower by BG little neck, who
- 12:24Speaker 4: many of the members know from in there, the weather's
- 12:25Speaker 4: not updating, right? Cause it's for the upcoming week, but
- 12:28Speaker 4: we're just keeping an old sheet to show you guys,
- 12:30Speaker 4: but you can change it by captain running back, running
- 12:33Speaker 4: or a quarterback running back wide receiver, tight end and
- 12:36Speaker 4: kickers and D's. And then you can see what the
- 12:38Speaker 4: colors mean. So if you sort of build your lineup
- 12:40Speaker 4: out from the starting point by hand or whatever you're doing,
- 12:43Speaker 4: you can say, well, I kind of want to see
- 12:44Speaker 4: who the separators are on this slate. And it will
- 12:46Speaker 4: show you both the captain version and the main version.
- 12:49Speaker 4: And you can sort of put it together, uh, that
- 12:50Speaker 4: way as well so that's up and running and then
- 12:52Speaker 4: of course we've got the stone which we're going to
- 12:54Speaker 4: get to for today here shortly but hoop I'll kick
- 12:56Speaker 4: it over to you man same as usual let's get
- 12:58Speaker 4: to this slate we've got the 49ers we've got the
- 13:02Speaker 4: uh Rams and it's the Australia game it's the battle
- 13:05Speaker 4: of travel right do you go early and stick around
- 13:07Speaker 4: or do you show up 36 hours before what would
- 13:09Speaker 4: you do hoop before you get into the grand scheme
- 13:11Speaker 4: overview how would you travel.
- 13:13Speaker 1: Couldn't do it like the rams are doing it that's
- 13:16Speaker 1: for sure i mean i just can't imagine i get
- 13:18Speaker 1: it i understand why they are doing it but like
- 13:20Speaker 1: i i'd have to have some time to like settle
- 13:23Speaker 1: in um so i don't know if it is it
- 13:25Speaker 1: is definitely interesting i i guess i don't know there's
- 13:28Speaker 1: so many locations in the world like i don't like
- 13:32Speaker 1: why australia is there some reason behind it or just
- 13:34Speaker 1: like you know i just get.
- 13:36Speaker 4: More i mean international money they just try and.
- 13:38Speaker 5: Get probably money yeah yeah he wants to give us
- 13:40Speaker 5: money to go here we'll.
- 13:41Speaker 1: Take it yeah yeah Yeah, I get it. Just maybe
- 13:44Speaker 1: put some bum team. Maybe that Raiders-Dolphins game should have
- 13:48Speaker 1: been there this week.
- 13:49Speaker 5: No one wants to watch that in the second NFL
- 13:51Speaker 5: game in a standalone, though.
- 13:53Speaker 1: That's why.
- 13:53Speaker 5: Because once it gets to the Sunday morning games, those
- 13:56Speaker 5: are bum teams usually. I think this is just too
- 14:00Speaker 5: many eyes on the screen for that.
- 14:02Speaker 1: Yeah, anyhow. I don't know. I guess it's great that
- 14:06Speaker 1: we have this game tonight, I guess, regardless of the situation.
- 14:10Speaker 1: But I would be somewhere in between the two, I guess,
- 14:12Speaker 1: maybe like a day or two earlier or something. I
- 14:15Speaker 1: have no idea. So we'll see. But DFS, I think
- 14:18Speaker 1: it's way different than yesterday in terms of how you
- 14:21Speaker 1: build your teams, the mindset going into it, the captain position,
- 14:26Speaker 1: that sort of thing. Like I kind of said in
- 14:28Speaker 1: the opening, it's like there's a lot of different guys,
- 14:31Speaker 1: I think, that have a chance to be the highest scoring.
- 14:33Speaker 1: And maybe it's not a slate. And I guess when
- 14:35Speaker 1: there's so many guys that I think have the potential
- 14:39Speaker 1: to have big games that brings in to the mix,
- 14:42Speaker 1: potentially some cheaper captains as well, where you get in
- 14:45Speaker 1: that sweet spot where there's, you know, four to five
- 14:47Speaker 1: guys that you get 20 to 25 fantasy point, no,
- 14:50Speaker 1: but 20, 25 fantasy points, nobody goes off. And then
- 14:54Speaker 1: you need a cheap, cheaper captain to make all those
- 14:56Speaker 1: guys fit in your lineup. So I think that sort
- 14:59Speaker 1: of builds in play to today as well. Just looking
- 15:03Speaker 1: at ownership captain wise, you know, the guys that are
- 15:07Speaker 1: going to be up there, McCaffrey, Puka, for sure are
- 15:11Speaker 1: going to be one, two. And then after that, I
- 15:13Speaker 1: think it can be spread out quite a bit. So
- 15:17Speaker 1: I don't know, there's a lot of ways to play
- 15:18Speaker 1: this slate, I think, you know, captains in terms of,
- 15:23Speaker 1: you know, who I think is going to be up top.
- 15:24Speaker 1: There's a lot of different guys. To me, it's probably
- 15:26Speaker 1: a slate where I end up spreading it out a
- 15:28Speaker 1: little bit. You know, sometimes I'll go in and really
- 15:30Speaker 1: narrow it down. Kind of struggled with that today. So
- 15:34Speaker 1: I'll most likely be spreading it out. But, you know,
- 15:37Speaker 1: way different to me. Yesterday I kind of had the
- 15:39Speaker 1: feeling that it would be a nasty, grind it out
- 15:41Speaker 1: sort of game. And that's what happened. I think this
- 15:44Speaker 1: one could be a shootout, to be honest. So we'll
- 15:47Speaker 1: see when we go through it all.
- 15:49Speaker 4: Yeah, I forget already, Title. But do you remember how
- 15:51Speaker 4: it shook out? Like the steam and moonwalk we talked about.
- 15:53Speaker 4: Didn't it come pretty close? I think it was like
- 15:55Speaker 4: 16-17 or something for... remandre and jsn i i can't
- 15:58Speaker 4: i can pull it up on a different screen here
- 16:00Speaker 4: but just while you're going through your side of it
- 16:01Speaker 4: i was just curious if you i.
- 16:03Speaker 5: To be honest i saw someone say 14 in chat
- 16:06Speaker 5: i don't i i didn't really look because at the
- 16:08Speaker 5: end of the.
- 16:09Speaker 4: Down to like maybe yeah like 15 16 somewhere in
- 16:12Speaker 4: that range jsn yeah higher before that but yeah i
- 16:14Speaker 4: just was noting it there, but I'll let you take
- 16:17Speaker 4: over your thoughts on this right now. Our ownership shows again,
- 16:20Speaker 4: this is the initials. We still have multiple updates to come,
- 16:23Speaker 4: but we do have like who talked about pretty spread
- 16:25Speaker 4: out after those four guys, right? And even those four
- 16:27Speaker 4: guys are sort of evenly distributed. I don't know if
- 16:30Speaker 4: it's like, and I, and I do agree with hoop
- 16:32Speaker 4: as well too. Like it's not the same as yesterday.
- 16:35Speaker 4: We had a lot more cheaper guys. It feels like
- 16:37Speaker 4: yesterday that could just make the top score work versus today.
- 16:39Speaker 4: We know, uh, Terrence Ferguson, yeah, he's going to be
- 16:42Speaker 4: popular at 3,200 or whatever in the flex when we
- 16:44Speaker 4: get there. But I think it's just an interesting setup otherwise.
- 16:48Speaker 4: So what's your thoughts on this slate title?
- 16:51Speaker 5: Yeah, I think, like you mentioned, the value on this
- 16:54Speaker 5: slate I think is a lot more difficult or more
- 16:56Speaker 5: concentrated to feel comfortable than we saw yesterday, which kind
- 17:00Speaker 5: of then leads me up to the captain position where
- 17:03Speaker 5: I'm seeing so much concentrated ownership with McCaffrey, Purdy on
- 17:07Speaker 5: the Niner side, and that's it. No one else is
- 17:09Speaker 5: above 5%. And then Stafford and Puka. But man, there
- 17:12Speaker 5: are so many other studs in this game that are
- 17:14Speaker 5: showing such little ownership. I mean, Devontae Adams is staring
- 17:17Speaker 5: me right in the face. He can easily go eight
- 17:19Speaker 5: for 102 touchdowns. We know all of his goal line
- 17:22Speaker 5: work last year. Kyron Williams, 5% at captain. Obviously, with
- 17:26Speaker 5: Blake Corham, who I'll get to shortly, a little concern.
- 17:29Speaker 5: It's not going to be like we saw Stevenson just
- 17:32Speaker 5: get most of the work yesterday. It's not going to
- 17:33Speaker 5: be that situation at all. But he's favored to score
- 17:37Speaker 5: a touchdown. It's a 48 and a half total. He's
- 17:39Speaker 5: a starting running back. 5% at captain just seems crazy
- 17:42Speaker 5: to me. Blake Corum himself at 4,600. Value is tough
- 17:46Speaker 5: on this slate, like we mentioned. I think the two
- 17:47Speaker 5: clear ones, sub 5K, obviously kickers and defenses will be played,
- 17:52Speaker 5: but it's Ferguson and it's Blake Corum. And I am
- 17:55Speaker 5: fine playing either of them at the captain spot. Now,
- 17:57Speaker 5: when you do so, don't just zero out your salary.
- 18:00Speaker 5: We talk about it a lot. Just because you're playing
- 18:02Speaker 5: a 3% on Blake Corum at captain doesn't mean that's
- 18:05Speaker 5: the only thing you got to get different because all
- 18:08Speaker 5: of those other 3% teams are going to have very
- 18:10Speaker 5: similar roster construction.
- 18:12Speaker 2: But I could see Blake.
- 18:13Speaker 5: Horn 60 yards on the ground in the touchdown or something.
- 18:16Speaker 5: And if he is close enough to these top-end guys
- 18:19Speaker 5: or the top-end guys smash and you need value at
- 18:23Speaker 5: captain to then spend up elsewhere instead of punt in
- 18:26Speaker 5: the flex, I think it is viable. And then going
- 18:28Speaker 5: to the Niners side, I'm just looking at the wide
- 18:31Speaker 5: receiver room. It's a clear three in Evans, Debo, and Stribling.
- 18:35Speaker 1: 4% Mike, 1% Debo.
- 18:38Speaker 2: Less than 1% Stribling.
- 18:39Speaker 5: Like I find taking a chance on all of those
- 18:42Speaker 5: guys in a vacuum, it does feel they are a
- 18:44Speaker 5: little overpriced when you're looking at projection and how close
- 18:47Speaker 5: they are to the quarterbacks to McCaffrey. Obviously Puka's in
- 18:51Speaker 5: a little own tier, but all I'm seeing is Evans
- 18:54Speaker 5: is a stud.
- 18:54Speaker 2: Devante's a stud. Stribling, who knows? Debo, who knows?
- 18:58Speaker 5: Kyron, Corum, all of these guys have potential to score
- 19:01Speaker 5: or to get over a hundred yards on the ground
- 19:03Speaker 5: or through the air.
- 19:04Speaker 2: And two touchdowns and no one's playing them. So.
- 19:06Speaker 5: Because I struggle to get different a little below, that's
- 19:08Speaker 5: kind of what I'm looking at. Am I going to
- 19:10Speaker 5: X McCaffrey, Puka, and all that?
- 19:12Speaker 2: No.
- 19:12Speaker 5: Of course, I'll have some, but I do think the ownership.
- 19:15Speaker 5: My thought right now is the quarterbacks I like the least.
- 19:18Speaker 5: McCaffrey and Puka, it's really hard for me not to
- 19:20Speaker 5: get much of them, but I think where I'm going
- 19:22Speaker 5: to get ownership to those secondary guys is going to
- 19:24Speaker 5: come mainly from the quarterbacks.
- 19:26Speaker 4: I think that's how I'm thinking about it too. Hoop,
- 19:28Speaker 4: I'll come to you in a second on just other
- 19:30Speaker 4: captain thoughts because you kind of gave the grand scheme,
- 19:32Speaker 4: but we'll let you chime in. on your favorites and thoughts,
- 19:34Speaker 4: but I'm going to echo a couple of things that
- 19:36Speaker 4: title said. One would be just looking at it, um,
- 19:38Speaker 4: you know, to hoop's point earlier saying he could spread
- 19:40Speaker 4: it out. I agree. Um, to more so because of
- 19:43Speaker 4: what title just said for me of like, yeah, when
- 19:45Speaker 4: you got Adams and Evans and all these other dudes
- 19:48Speaker 4: at five, 6%, even if they do steam a little bit,
- 19:51Speaker 4: it's like, you can have 12 to 15 of them.
- 19:53Speaker 4: And where is it coming from? Of course it's coming
- 19:55Speaker 4: from Puka and CMC and whatever else might be. But
- 19:57Speaker 4: for me, um, I'm not too worried about that because
- 19:59Speaker 4: I'll have those lineups in their own way and build
- 20:02Speaker 4: them accordingly. That JSN lineup I had earlier, we talked
- 20:04Speaker 4: pre-show about Hoop and I were talking pre-show. I didn't
- 20:08Speaker 4: have Darnold in it, but it was, I was playing
- 20:10Speaker 4: to the game script that Hoop and I talked about
- 20:12Speaker 4: on the show and Title chimed in as well. But
- 20:13Speaker 4: we're like, what if it just plays Darnold lower scoring slugs,
- 20:17Speaker 4: slug fest back and forth.
- 20:18Speaker 3: I couldn't get Darnold in there if I wanted him.
- 20:19Speaker 4: There's no way I can predict the injury, but I
- 20:21Speaker 4: had JSN just highest score out of everybody. Still got
- 20:24Speaker 4: my guy, Judarian price in there, got the guys on
- 20:26Speaker 4: the other side with may and Ram and all those
- 20:29Speaker 4: guys were Mondray was in there. So it's like, I
- 20:30Speaker 4: kind of got what I wanted, but it had the
- 20:33Speaker 4: Patriots D and no Darnold. It worked out.
- 20:35Speaker 3: Like it made sense on paper too.
- 20:37Speaker 4: So you got to go with your game script, but
- 20:38Speaker 4: because of that title, that's kind of my thoughts to
- 20:41Speaker 4: yours of like how I'd have, I'd have to be
- 20:43Speaker 4: under on McCaffrey and Nakua. to make that work, and
- 20:46Speaker 4: I'm probably okay with that. Hoop, I'll kick it to you, though.
- 20:48Speaker 4: What are you thinking with these captains up top, and
- 20:50Speaker 4: then specifically the quarterback, because both of us really aren't
- 20:53Speaker 4: too high on it. What do you think about the
- 20:55Speaker 4: quarterbacks and then the rest of these captain positions?
- 20:57Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of now immediately reversed my thoughts at
- 21:01Speaker 1: captain because I don't think I'll be as spread out
- 21:03Speaker 1: as I initially thought. I just think there is some
- 21:06Speaker 1: holes in some of these guys. I mean, Puka and McCaffrey, yeah, absolutely,
- 21:10Speaker 1: for sure. And one thing I will say, I think
- 21:12Speaker 1: some of these guys– There'll be adjustments. They're going to
- 21:15Speaker 1: be higher. I just can't imagine Kyron Williams is going
- 21:17Speaker 1: to be 5%. I can't imagine Devontae is going to
- 21:20Speaker 1: be 5%. I think they come up a little bit
- 21:23Speaker 1: and maybe the quarterbacks come down a little bit and
- 21:26Speaker 1: that gap closes between the two. Maybe not, but that's
- 21:30Speaker 1: just my initial thought. I just don't think Kyron and
- 21:33Speaker 1: Devontae will be that low. Going back to Christian and Puka,
- 21:38Speaker 1: definitely in on them. I don't really like Matthew Stafford
- 21:41Speaker 1: at captain. I think he's better on maybe like FanDuel
- 21:44Speaker 1: or something. I do think he has a good game here.
- 21:46Speaker 1: I think he's great. But the problem with Stafford, especially
- 21:50Speaker 1: on the full PPR sites such as DraftKings, if he
- 21:53Speaker 1: has a big game, to me, either Puka or Devante
- 21:57Speaker 1: are going to be needed over him. It's usually one
- 22:00Speaker 1: of those two go off. It's hard for him to
- 22:03Speaker 1: fully spread it out without really a wide receiver three.
- 22:06Speaker 1: He does have these tight ends, which we'll get to later.
- 22:09Speaker 1: But to me, I don't love him on DK in
- 22:11Speaker 1: that captain spot. I like Purdy more than him. I'm
- 22:14Speaker 1: fine playing Purdy just because I do think there's a
- 22:18Speaker 1: path for him to really spread it out. I mean,
- 22:20Speaker 1: he throws it to McCaffrey a lot. You got Mike Evans,
- 22:22Speaker 1: you have Kittle, you have Debo, you have Stripling. There's
- 22:25Speaker 1: so many guys where I think he does have the
- 22:27Speaker 1: chance to potentially spread it out a little bit. Don't
- 22:31Speaker 1: really love like the Mike Evans stuff. I don't really
- 22:33Speaker 1: love Kittle. I mean, I know he's playing tonight off
- 22:36Speaker 1: the injury. I just don't necessarily think those guys are
- 22:39Speaker 1: going to have their full compliment of plays right out
- 22:41Speaker 1: of the gate. So it's going to make it hard
- 22:43Speaker 1: for me to envision them being necessarily needed up top.
- 22:48Speaker 1: I do, I'm fine taking chances on a guy like,
- 22:52Speaker 1: you know, Debo at very, what we have him at
- 22:56Speaker 1: the ownership on Debo. Pull that up.
- 23:00Speaker 4: Are you talking about a captain?
- 23:01Speaker 1: Captain? Yeah.
- 23:02Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 23:04Speaker 1: So it's like, you play a little bit, you're right
- 23:06Speaker 1: there with the field. I thought like, if you did
- 23:09Speaker 1: best ball and a title did a lot of it,
- 23:11Speaker 1: like scribbling was like the best ball sweetheart this year.
- 23:14Speaker 1: Like people were loving this guy taking them super high.
- 23:18Speaker 1: I thought for sure, like you'd have some ownership at
- 23:21Speaker 1: captain tonight for that reason. Cause a lot of the
- 23:23Speaker 1: best ball bros are also in these showdown streets as well.
- 23:29Speaker 2: Or are they?
- 23:30Speaker 4: Huh?
- 23:31Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe not. Well, yeah, yeah. Maybe that, maybe it's,
- 23:33Speaker 1: maybe it is very telling that they're not in these
- 23:36Speaker 1: streets because no ownership on him. And I think he's
- 23:40Speaker 1: a great play if he's going to be like 1%.
- 23:41Speaker 1: I mean, this guy was legit in the preseason. I
- 23:46Speaker 1: don't know. I'd take a chance there. So just to
- 23:49Speaker 1: kind of summarize everything, I guess, you know, it's CMC
- 23:52Speaker 1: and Puka for sure. I'm good with Purdy. I like Kyron.
- 23:55Speaker 1: I like Devante. And then like Debo and Stribling. And
- 23:59Speaker 1: that's probably my pool at the captain position. Not a
- 24:02Speaker 1: ton of interest in Stafford. Like I'm better on FanDuel
- 24:05Speaker 1: up top opposed to DK. not a ton of interest
- 24:09Speaker 1: in Mike Evans, Kittle, Blake Corham. I think Blake Corham
- 24:13Speaker 1: is an elite flex play today, which we'll talk about
- 24:16Speaker 1: when we get there. I just don't know the ceiling
- 24:18Speaker 1: on him. It's like, he's got to score two touchdowns
- 24:20Speaker 1: and I just don't really necessarily want to bank on
- 24:22Speaker 1: that right out of the gate. And then like some
- 24:25Speaker 1: deep flyers, you know, Ferguson, Parkinson, I think two touchdown upside,
- 24:30Speaker 1: and you're probably going to need the two touchdowns. They're
- 24:32Speaker 1: not volume guys. So you're going to need two out
- 24:34Speaker 1: of them. I think it's somewhat possible. So, Yeah, that's
- 24:37Speaker 1: kind of where I'm at, Captain Wise. Yeah.
- 24:39Speaker 4: And we'll see what happens here with this. Like a
- 24:41Speaker 4: go collect says the mass is going to go to Puka.
- 24:43Speaker 4: I think one thing I can just say from who
- 24:44Speaker 4: broke it down really well there to me, I just
- 24:46Speaker 4: see it. I don't see McCaffrey going anywhere, but potentially
- 24:50Speaker 4: maybe even a little higher. I see Puka crossing 20.
- 24:53Speaker 4: I see both quarterbacks coming down some, I see Williams
- 24:58Speaker 4: and Devante going up some. And then after that, I
- 25:01Speaker 4: think it kind of is correct. So that's the one.
- 25:03Speaker 1: Thing too, that is it's definitely for sure. And we've
- 25:06Speaker 1: seen it with a lot of people using, sims and
- 25:09Speaker 1: stuff like that when you when you use sims it
- 25:12Speaker 1: tends to spread things out quite a bit gets you
- 25:15Speaker 1: a portfolio get you some exposure and i think we're
- 25:18Speaker 1: seeing captain ownership get spread out more than we have
- 25:22Speaker 1: in the past and i think we really saw that
- 25:24Speaker 1: last year where it just gets spread out it's almost
- 25:26Speaker 1: to me like quarterbacks on the main slate we always
- 25:29Speaker 1: talk about a quarterback ownership on the main slate it
- 25:32Speaker 1: always gets spread out it's very rare for somebody to
- 25:35Speaker 1: be super highly owned at quarterbacks that's where Well, for
- 25:38Speaker 1: the most part, you know, I'll always say this and
- 25:41Speaker 1: you guys do as well, like play who you like
- 25:43Speaker 1: at the quarterback position. Don't let ownership really come in
- 25:47Speaker 1: to factor all that much for you because it typically
- 25:50Speaker 1: gets spread out. Starting to see that more at the
- 25:52Speaker 1: captain position on the showdown slates where things just get
- 25:54Speaker 1: spread out because so many people are using the sims.
- 25:57Speaker 4: Yeah, our guy Hamhawk says, guessing people are thinking Strib's
- 26:01Speaker 4: usage will be lower since Kittle wasn't expected for week one.
- 26:04Speaker 4: So yeah, we'll see when we get there too and
- 26:07Speaker 4: just see how everybody thinks about it. I don't have
- 26:08Speaker 4: anything else to add at the captain position and title.
- 26:11Speaker 3: I saw Hoops probably a resident bathroom break over there.
- 26:14Speaker 3: So we're good.
- 26:14Speaker 4: We're back. The season is in full swing. So I'll
- 26:16Speaker 4: kick it to you first. on elaborating on these quarterbacks.
- 26:20Speaker 4: Before I do, just want to click back real quick,
- 26:22Speaker 4: just so people know somebody asked in the chat, but
- 26:24Speaker 4: the DFSOS, the sponsorship, just so you guys know, if
- 26:27Speaker 4: you go there, I'll try and bring it up on
- 26:29Speaker 4: the site and the pricing down below. The $ 99 all
- 26:33Speaker 4: access rate is on for 59 for the early adopter rate.
- 26:37Speaker 4: Anybody who uses code SHIPIT gets it for $ 29. So
- 26:40Speaker 4: the same price as the pro. You can't get the
- 26:42Speaker 4: pro half price, but you can get all access for
- 26:44Speaker 4: basically a dollar a day. So if you check that out,
- 26:46Speaker 4: By all means, use code SHIPIT for that. All right, Ty,
- 26:49Speaker 4: I'll go back to you. We're talking about these quarterbacks,
- 26:51Speaker 4: Purdy and Stafford. Hoop broke it down a little bit.
- 26:53Speaker 4: Somebody in the chat said, like this was last night,
- 26:56Speaker 4: we were talking about Drake May for MVP. Now tonight
- 26:58Speaker 4: it's Brock is coming for that MVP this year, but
- 27:00Speaker 4: he does have weapons. He's got options. It's how healthy
- 27:03Speaker 4: are they, how strong, how capable, but what's your thoughts
- 27:05Speaker 4: over there, Ty? I'll let you take the reins on quarterback.
- 27:08Speaker 2: I totally in agreement with what Hoop said.
- 27:10Speaker 5: I like Purdy more than Stafford, and it really comes
- 27:12Speaker 5: down to I just think that He has a lot
- 27:14Speaker 5: more weapons to throw it to. Mike could catch one.
- 27:17Speaker 5: Stripling could catch one. McCaffrey could catch one. Right there,
- 27:20Speaker 5: that's three different people. It's a little harder for me
- 27:23Speaker 5: to see. I mean, especially because we're going to get
- 27:25Speaker 5: to when we talk tight ends and even receivers, you're
- 27:28Speaker 5: going to see more 13 personnel from the Rams than
- 27:30Speaker 5: pretty much any team in the NFL, which means.
- 27:33Speaker 2: You're going to see some Higby, some Parkinson.
- 27:35Speaker 5: These guys aren't necessarily sure they can catch the ball
- 27:38Speaker 5: and stuff, but the reason they're doing that is to
- 27:40Speaker 5: run the football heavy and then set up play action
- 27:42Speaker 5: to their two main guys, and Puka and Devontae. Their
- 27:45Speaker 5: target share is going to be a ton. So it
- 27:47Speaker 5: just feels harder for Stafford to get there at captain
- 27:50Speaker 5: because a lot of that's going to be Puka or
- 27:52Speaker 5: Devontae having just a superior game. And I do agree
- 27:55Speaker 5: with what Hoop said too. Fan duel, it's a little easier.
- 27:58Speaker 5: Half point versus full point PPR is a big difference.
- 28:01Speaker 5: So Purdy's my preferred play. But yeah, I think we see,
- 28:05Speaker 5: I think like Stafford and the Rams, I think their
- 28:07Speaker 5: offense is going to click early. We thought it was
- 28:10Speaker 5: the under, we thought that the offenses, and I still
- 28:13Speaker 5: do think week one, even week two, a little bit
- 28:15Speaker 5: offenses can lag a bit, but the elites of the
- 28:17Speaker 5: lead Stafford's been here forever. Pook is one of the
- 28:20Speaker 5: best in the game. I think they click a great coach.
- 28:23Speaker 5: And I think the Niners put some points on the
- 28:25Speaker 5: board as well. So I'm taking a different approach to
- 28:28Speaker 5: yesterday's game. I prefer Purdy though, because he has more options.
- 28:32Speaker 3: Hoops said no, no P yeah.
- 28:33Speaker 4: Just the temp adjustment, temp adjustment over there. Are you
- 28:36Speaker 4: looking for a little hotter, a little more well done,
- 28:38Speaker 4: or are you looking for a little rare?
- 28:39Speaker 3: Are you cooling it down a little bit?
- 28:40Speaker 2: What do you got?
- 28:41Speaker 1: We're cooling the temp down a little bit. We're back
- 28:43Speaker 1: on the rare side of things. A little bit too hot.
- 28:46Speaker 4: Okay. I'll kick it to you on the quarterbacks. If
- 28:48Speaker 4: you want to elaborate, you did talk about them already.
- 28:50Speaker 4: I don't have too much to add. I think what
- 28:51Speaker 4: you said, especially about the Brock Purdy side was correct.
- 28:54Speaker 4: I think from, you know, the we're flipping to flex
- 28:56Speaker 4: now looking at ownership that looks more accurate of like,
- 28:58Speaker 4: you're adding in kind of the Darnold situation last night.
- 29:01Speaker 3: Don't want to scare anybody or, you know, salt.
- 29:03Speaker 4: In the wound, but it's like, you're looking 50, 60%
- 29:04Speaker 4: for combined ownership for these quarterbacks. They're going to be played,
- 29:09Speaker 4: but to title's point hoop, it's like with Stafford, it's
- 29:12Speaker 4: probably going to be the way it usually works, at least.
- 29:15Speaker 4: It's not probably, but it can be where it's all
- 29:17Speaker 4: Puka or it's all Devontae or it is the running
- 29:19Speaker 4: backs getting in the mix. So then it's like, how
- 29:21Speaker 4: would he end up up there? But we're on flex now,
- 29:23Speaker 4: so give me your thoughts there with Purdy and Stafford.
- 29:26Speaker 1: Yeah, for the flex, I mean, two, to me, pass-first offenses.
- 29:31Speaker 1: I mean, sometimes the Rams will get in that mode
- 29:33Speaker 1: where they just go super run-heavy. But at the end
- 29:36Speaker 1: of the day, if these offenses need to make a play,
- 29:40Speaker 1: the ball's going to be in Stafford's hands, the ball's
- 29:42Speaker 1: going to be in Purdy's hands. And, you know, yes,
- 29:45Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey gets a ton of work, but a lot
- 29:48Speaker 1: of it comes through the air. And if a lot
- 29:51Speaker 1: of his damage is done through the air, Purdy participates
- 29:54Speaker 1: in that as well. So I think in terms of flux, yeah,
- 29:57Speaker 1: on a lot of these guys as much as possible
- 30:01Speaker 1: and as much as makes sense within roster construction to
- 30:05Speaker 1: elite plays. I do think, you know, Purdy MVP, that
- 30:10Speaker 1: might be a little bit of a stretch, but I
- 30:12Speaker 1: think he has a phenomenal season. I think he really
- 30:14Speaker 1: has a big season this year. I mean, with all
- 30:17Speaker 1: the weapons there and I love them getting Debo back.
- 30:20Speaker 1: So I'm very high on Purdy for this game. I
- 30:24Speaker 1: think they're both elite flex option.
- 30:27Speaker 4: What is the backup situation going to say? You think
- 30:29Speaker 4: we need any backups tonight in there or no?
- 30:33Speaker 2: No.
- 30:35Speaker 3: You just didn't want nothing to do with that. All right.
- 30:37Speaker 3: I'm going to let you stay on it. You had
- 30:39Speaker 3: some thoughts earlier with Coram.
- 30:41Speaker 4: I know you said, well, wait till we get there,
- 30:42Speaker 4: but it seemed like you were pretty excited to talk
- 30:44Speaker 4: about that. Obviously he's priced very affordable. I changed a
- 30:46Speaker 4: little toggle up top here for those following along on
- 30:49Speaker 4: the stone 2.0 at ship at nation.com. If you guys
- 30:51Speaker 4: get in over there, you can check this out for yourself.
- 30:53Speaker 4: We can build right here in the hand builder as
- 30:55Speaker 4: we go. But Corum obviously makes a lot of things happen. Yes,
- 30:59Speaker 4: he's not projected nearly as well as Williams, but he's
- 31:03Speaker 4: also $ 4, 000 cheaper. So give me your thoughts there. We
- 31:06Speaker 4: saw Holani last night get a bunch of steam and
- 31:09Speaker 4: work there. Price looked good too, but you could see
- 31:11Speaker 4: that type of situation again here tonight. What's your thoughts
- 31:13Speaker 4: on Blake Corum and the rest of these guys?
- 31:16Speaker 1: I mean, nothing to really be said about McCaffrey. I mean,
- 31:20Speaker 1: just absolute stud high, super high floor, probably the highest
- 31:24Speaker 1: floor in the NFL, obviously you make the case for,
- 31:28Speaker 1: you know, Gibbs and Bijan and all these elite running backs.
- 31:31Speaker 1: But to me, like, if you're talking just strictly floor
- 31:35Speaker 1: at the running back position, there's nobody higher in the
- 31:38Speaker 1: NFL than Christian McCaffrey, just because he can go out
- 31:40Speaker 1: there and catch 10 or 11 balls. And that's, you know,
- 31:44Speaker 1: he can get you two touchdowns by just catching passes
- 31:48Speaker 1: in terms of the number of fantasy points, you know, 10,
- 31:52Speaker 1: 11 catches, that's two touchdowns. So super high floor, get
- 31:56Speaker 1: as much as you can. Kyron Williams, I like him.
- 32:02Speaker 1: I think he's great in the captain spot, especially if
- 32:06Speaker 1: our ownership is true, like the 5%. I think it's
- 32:08Speaker 1: going to probably be a little bit higher, but if
- 32:10Speaker 1: it's true, he's a great captain play. Probably like him
- 32:14Speaker 1: less in the flex just because, you know, 8,600. And
- 32:18Speaker 1: the other thing that scares me a little bit with
- 32:20Speaker 1: him is they're going to give, I mean, it's not
- 32:23Speaker 1: like Blake Corham comes in just to give Kyron a
- 32:26Speaker 1: little break, like a couple of snaps. They give Blake
- 32:29Speaker 1: Corham full on drives where he's out there the whole time.
- 32:33Speaker 1: And there is no Kyron Williams isn't coming in no
- 32:37Speaker 1: matter what, I guess is the point I'm trying to make.
- 32:39Speaker 1: So that's huge for a backup running back. I do
- 32:42Speaker 1: think the ownership comes up a little bit just because
- 32:45Speaker 1: he's the first value on the slate.
- 32:47Speaker 5: Yes.
- 32:47Speaker 1: We got some kickers. Yes. We have the tight ends for, for,
- 32:51Speaker 1: the Rams, but I mean, he has legitimate touchdown upside.
- 32:54Speaker 1: He's definitely got, you know, titles good with this stuff
- 32:57Speaker 1: and I don't need it right away, but the touchdown
- 32:59Speaker 1: prop is probably pretty solid for a backup running back.
- 33:02Speaker 1: Probably one of the higher touchdown props you're going to
- 33:04Speaker 1: see from backup running backs in the, in the NFL,
- 33:07Speaker 1: because this team is going to be very successful. They're
- 33:10Speaker 1: going to move the ball. And like I said, a
- 33:13Speaker 1: little bit ago, like he gets the entire drive. So
- 33:15Speaker 1: if they get down to the three yard line, he's
- 33:17Speaker 1: going to get those carries. So, I think he's a
- 33:20Speaker 1: little– I think he's an elite play. I prefer him
- 33:24Speaker 1: over Kyron in the flex. And then I do think
- 33:27Speaker 1: this Kalon Black guy is interesting, another guy that apparently
- 33:34Speaker 1: looked pretty good in the preseason. I didn't watch a
- 33:35Speaker 1: ton of preseason football. Earned the backup job. If there's
- 33:40Speaker 1: ever a time for him to maybe get some work,
- 33:42Speaker 1: it's in an Australia game, potentially 3K. Okay. So I'll
- 33:46Speaker 1: include him in my player pool as well. But just
- 33:49Speaker 1: ranking these guys to me, it would be like CMC,
- 33:52Speaker 1: Blake Corum, Kyron, and then some dark throws on this
- 33:56Speaker 1: black guy.
- 33:58Speaker 4: Yeah, I was going to say the Kalen comments there,
- 34:01Speaker 4: you see listed as the RB2. I know people were
- 34:03Speaker 4: hyping that up just recently, like how he got that
- 34:05Speaker 4: on the depth chart, talking about splitting it, and then
- 34:07Speaker 4: it was like Kubiak. It says where he was impressive
- 34:10Speaker 4: in the preseason debut and goes through it all, so
- 34:12Speaker 4: you can kind of see those notes when you look
- 34:14Speaker 4: it up there. Another thing that Kyle said was– Blake
- 34:18Speaker 4: core him, you know, get that guy in the core.
- 34:20Speaker 3: Maybe you throw him in there.
- 34:22Speaker 4: But I think, like you said, one key point too,
- 34:24Speaker 4: is the ownership probably comes up closer to Williams or
- 34:27Speaker 4: like Williams comes back a little and he eats up
- 34:29Speaker 4: some of it. Cause he just, he makes everything else work.
- 34:31Speaker 4: And then when you think about those falling along for
- 34:33Speaker 4: the PGA shows, we always talk about it conditionally with like,
- 34:35Speaker 4: if Scott, he's going to be more popular, you'll get
- 34:38Speaker 4: the value plays just have to come up some. And
- 34:40Speaker 4: if you get that wrong, you're probably way off on
- 34:42Speaker 4: your ownership. If Puka and CMC, like we said, are
- 34:45Speaker 4: steaming up and even more than we already know they're
- 34:47Speaker 4: going to be owned, you have to see guys like Corum.
- 34:51Speaker 4: And then you have to see guys like Ferguson when
- 34:53Speaker 4: we get their title come along. And then you start
- 34:55Speaker 4: to see, oh, I can see how these builds are
- 34:58Speaker 4: starting to look. So if the game doesn't go this way,
- 35:01Speaker 4: like where are the San Francisco guys in that build?
- 35:03Speaker 4: cmc maybe fits on the other side maybe doesn't so
- 35:06Speaker 4: he's in his own captain lineups maybe purdy but people
- 35:10Speaker 4: don't really love evans and debone we'll get to those
- 35:12Speaker 4: guys so you got to start to see that the
- 35:14Speaker 4: builds are looking like it's going to be rams heavy
- 35:17Speaker 4: when you see that now before you you can go
- 35:19Speaker 4: in on that one but i also want to ask
- 35:20Speaker 4: you quickly just any extra or additional thoughts to cmc
- 35:24Speaker 4: specifically regarding to the fact of you know kiddle back
- 35:29Speaker 4: but how banged up snap count whatever it might be
- 35:32Speaker 4: like we know from the past how this has kind
- 35:34Speaker 4: of worked out could we just see like mass checkdowns
- 35:37Speaker 4: to cmc and just rack those ppr points tonight or
- 35:39Speaker 4: what's your thoughts on cmc and then the rest of
- 35:41Speaker 4: this stuff that we just talked.
- 35:42Speaker 5: About definitely i mean miles garrett a big addition for
- 35:46Speaker 5: the rams i who no one can block him and
- 35:48Speaker 5: christian mckeffrey's just always there the ultimate security blanket especially
- 35:52Speaker 5: when mike evans is making his debut with purdy and
- 35:54Speaker 5: hasn't practiced much and all that like the rapport or
- 35:57Speaker 5: When push comes to shove and you really need to
- 36:00Speaker 5: make a split-second decision, just look at Christian McCaffrey. I'm
- 36:03Speaker 5: expecting plenty of checkdowns. Let me see his reception prop.
- 36:09Speaker 5: And by the way, it was plus 165 for Corham
- 36:11Speaker 5: to score, which is fifth on the slate. So that
- 36:13Speaker 5: goes to your point. Four and a half minus 134
- 36:17Speaker 5: receptions for McCaffrey, second, only behind Puka. So he's supposed
- 36:21Speaker 5: to catch more balls than Devontae, Mike Evans, Kittle.
- 36:24Speaker 2: You name it.
- 36:25Speaker 5: Just shows how safe he is, like Coop's been saying. Yeah,
- 36:28Speaker 5: I agree with almost everything you guys say. I think
- 36:30Speaker 5: the ownership on Corum has to come up in the flex.
- 36:33Speaker 5: I think Kyron's probably comes down. Like you mentioned, when
- 36:36Speaker 5: people play Puka and McCaffrey, you need value. Value's tough
- 36:39Speaker 5: on this slate. Corum fits that mold very well. Yeah,
- 36:44Speaker 5: I think I prefer Kyron at captain and Corum at flex,
- 36:47Speaker 5: kind of like Coop's saying. I just want Kyron to
- 36:49Speaker 5: fully get his two touchdowns or break off a long
- 36:52Speaker 5: run and just really take advantage of that low ownership
- 36:54Speaker 5: at captain.
- 36:55Speaker 1: It's a little scary by the way, because I mean,
- 36:57Speaker 1: we've been doing these shows for a few years and
- 36:58Speaker 1: you and I are about 95% opposite when it comes
- 37:01Speaker 1: to our takes on showdown.
- 37:04Speaker 2: Hey, I got dusted yesterday. So maybe today's, maybe that's
- 37:07Speaker 2: a good, that's good for us.
- 37:09Speaker 5: So, but yeah, I think the 56 and a half
- 37:13Speaker 5: rushing prop for Kyron, 44 and a half for Corum.
- 37:16Speaker 5: That just shows like it's, some drives is going to
- 37:18Speaker 5: be Coram. Some's going to be Kyron. They look at
- 37:21Speaker 5: it like one, a one B and the pricing does
- 37:24Speaker 5: not reflect that. So I do think the ownership steam
- 37:27Speaker 5: is Coram moonwalks back is Kyron prefer Coram at the flex,
- 37:31Speaker 5: even though I'll still play some of my captain and
- 37:33Speaker 5: Kyron at captain.
- 37:34Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 37:34Speaker 2: The Keelan black.
- 37:36Speaker 5: I mean, he was anyone that watched any college football
- 37:38Speaker 5: last year, Indiana ran everyone over black was a big
- 37:41Speaker 5: piece of that on their team, but he was banged
- 37:44Speaker 5: up in the, preseason a little bit in the start
- 37:47Speaker 5: of training camp, came back near the end, still beat
- 37:49Speaker 5: out James. It seems like for the job, I don't know.
- 37:53Speaker 5: I mean, value is so tough and he's so low owned.
- 37:56Speaker 5: I think you can do worse, but if you're only
- 37:58Speaker 5: playing like 10 teams or 15 teams, you're more than
- 38:01Speaker 5: likely probably going to get two points and that's not
- 38:04Speaker 5: going to be enough.
- 38:05Speaker 2: He's not 1500 or 1000.
- 38:06Speaker 5: Like he still has somewhat of a real price tag,
- 38:10Speaker 5: but I don't love it. Don't hate it. I'd probably
- 38:12Speaker 5: prefer a use check. just because he will be on
- 38:15Speaker 5: the field. Kittle, if you think Kittle is limited, I
- 38:18Speaker 5: do think he's going to be limited. I think he'll
- 38:19Speaker 5: play more in like 60% of snaps maybe. But when
- 38:23Speaker 5: they need to throw, I think he'll be out there more.
- 38:25Speaker 5: But if you think Kittle's only going to play like 40%,
- 38:28Speaker 5: I think Juszczyk's one of the biggest beneficiaries outside of Tongs, Tongis, whatever.
- 38:33Speaker 5: But he's going to be out there. He can catch
- 38:35Speaker 5: the ball a little bit. Sometimes he'll get a fullback dive.
- 38:38Speaker 5: If he randomly gets a touchdown, whatever. Otherwise, I think
- 38:41Speaker 5: it's pretty condensed with McCaffery. quorum and uh kyron you.
- 38:44Speaker 4: Just reminded me of something though maybe i'm wrong maybe
- 38:47Speaker 4: chat correct me if i'm wrong or anything you can
- 38:48Speaker 4: remember about it too we love engaging and sort of
- 38:50Speaker 4: interacting with it again make sure to hit that thumbs
- 38:52Speaker 4: up subscribe to the channel while you're there but Didn't
- 38:55Speaker 4: when they do keep Kittle down, some doesn't, don't they
- 38:59Speaker 4: just put juice in there to block and he just
- 39:01Speaker 4: kind of does the Kittle roll. And then Tonjes just
- 39:03Speaker 4: gets the catches. And funny enough, because Kittle's back tonight,
- 39:07Speaker 4: Tonjes won't be owned like a Kittle game, like a
- 39:10Speaker 4: Meyer situation coming up this weekend with the surprise Brock
- 39:12Speaker 4: Bowers news and coaches lying about it and everything that's
- 39:15Speaker 4: going on. So you might see that and we might
- 39:17Speaker 4: get there in a minute, but I will say that's
- 39:19Speaker 4: kind of interesting because.
- 39:20Speaker 3: When you look at quorum, 4,600.
- 39:23Speaker 4: I'm jumping ahead, of course, but when you look at Ferguson, 3,200,
- 39:26Speaker 4: this is not steaming up at all, but there is
- 39:29Speaker 4: a chance that there's some of those situations where Tondras
- 39:31Speaker 4: could be the guy tonight in that spot as well.
- 39:34Speaker 4: So I think that's at least somewhat interesting there. The
- 39:36Speaker 4: other thing I was going to say to, I think
- 39:38Speaker 4: Hoop said it earlier, it's so annoying. I remember classic
- 39:40Speaker 4: slates last year. You're needing Williams and you're like, oh yeah,
- 39:44Speaker 4: the Rams just got to the 20 yard line.
- 39:46Speaker 3: Let's go. You look and who's jogging out there?
- 39:49Speaker 4: Corum.
- 39:50Speaker 3: Like, come on. This guy's been carrying the ball. Kyron's
- 39:52Speaker 3: been carrying it out.
- 39:53Speaker 1: It really doesn't go like the opposite way though it's
- 39:56Speaker 1: like kind of crazy because like there are times where
- 39:59Speaker 1: kyron's in there for majority of drive and then quorum
- 40:02Speaker 1: marches out but it's like quorum's out there like he's
- 40:05Speaker 1: staying out there.
- 40:06Speaker 4: He doesn't do like one drive he doesn't do what
- 40:08Speaker 4: yeah it's what you said he's not just like one
- 40:10Speaker 4: carry like oh williams must just be getting a breath
- 40:12Speaker 4: nope they're just jamming this guy all day now and
- 40:15Speaker 4: williams just standing on the sideline i.
- 40:17Speaker 5: Think it's even though when he was there, if it
- 40:19Speaker 5: was a two yard line, it's either a slant fade
- 40:21Speaker 5: to Devante.
- 40:22Speaker 2: Like, and I don't see them getting away from it.
- 40:24Speaker 2: All they do is throw.
- 40:25Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah.
- 40:27Speaker 3: 13 personnel is their thing now. So yeah, we'll, we'll
- 40:29Speaker 3: get there.
- 40:29Speaker 4: I mean, there's definitely, again, it's, it's leaning that way title.
- 40:32Speaker 4: I'm going to go back to you. Now we, we
- 40:34Speaker 4: talked earlier about Puka. You just mentioned Devante on those slants.
- 40:37Speaker 4: They definitely happen, right? Those are, those are definitely a thing.
- 40:40Speaker 4: So the more interesting side, again, I just, I know
- 40:43Speaker 4: there's showing ownership on them. And of course everybody gets
- 40:45Speaker 4: ownership at some point, but, for having Evans and D
- 40:49Speaker 4: I think somebody said earlier, I wonder if I wonder
- 40:52Speaker 4: how Debo is going to play in the Debo role
- 40:54Speaker 4: this year. It's him and it's his role, but how
- 40:56Speaker 4: is he going to play? And then stripling who we
- 40:59Speaker 4: talked about. And then I don't think there's much after
- 41:00Speaker 4: that of people actually considering these guys, but in portfolios,
- 41:03Speaker 4: you'll definitely see a bunch of these Rams and other
- 41:05Speaker 4: guys down below, but give me your thoughts at wide
- 41:07Speaker 4: receiver here. Yeah.
- 41:09Speaker 5: I mean, I guess I'm a best ball bro. And
- 41:11Speaker 5: I'm going to be on stripling is my favorite. He's
- 41:14Speaker 5: the cheapest of the main, or I'm going to, I'm
- 41:16Speaker 5: talking 49ers first and then I'll get to the Rams.
- 41:18Speaker 5: Cause I think the Niners is a lot easier. Cause
- 41:20Speaker 5: I like someone asked him about to Marcus Robinson earlier.
- 41:23Speaker 5: I'll never say no to 1% playing showdown. It's not
- 41:26Speaker 5: for me though. I think it's stripling Mike Evans and
- 41:29Speaker 5: Debo and their three receiver stuff. Debo, I feel like
- 41:32Speaker 5: his loss is that we will find out, but striplings, they're,
- 41:36Speaker 5: their new young toy. And I'm not worried about Mike
- 41:38Speaker 5: Evans injury at all. Like they've already came out pretty
- 41:40Speaker 5: much saying it was they're just being cautious. He's what?
- 41:44Speaker 5: 33 or something. Many of years in the NFL, you
- 41:46Speaker 5: don't need to injure them in the preseason. So I
- 41:49Speaker 5: think he's full go, but just looking at the pricing
- 41:51Speaker 5: and the ownership, he's the lowest price of the three
- 41:54Speaker 5: at 6,600. And he's the cheap or the lowest own
- 41:58Speaker 5: at 14%, 14% for this guy that absolutely flew up
- 42:02Speaker 5: every draft board. Seems to have a solid rapport and,
- 42:05Speaker 5: He's a good player. I'm going to take a chance
- 42:07Speaker 5: at him. I'm fine with Debo. I'm fine with Mike Evans.
- 42:09Speaker 5: I would rank him Stribling, Mike Evans, and then Debo.
- 42:13Speaker 5: I need to see some explosiveness from Debo first before
- 42:16Speaker 5: I'm jumping all the way on. But at ownership, like
- 42:18Speaker 5: if you're eating Puka chalk and then you're playing Quorum
- 42:21Speaker 5: and then you're playing Ferguson, you got to get different somewhere.
- 42:24Speaker 5: And if you're not going to like a crazy punt value,
- 42:27Speaker 5: I'm going to find myself, I think, playing some of
- 42:29Speaker 5: these Niner receivers as a way to get difference. And
- 42:33Speaker 5: if you're playing Purdy Captain– I think they're a great
- 42:35Speaker 5: way to play in the flex. A little harder on
- 42:38Speaker 5: the Ram side. And again, a lot of that is
- 42:41Speaker 5: because a lot of the times they're going to play
- 42:43Speaker 5: 13 personnel and it's just going to be Puka and Devontae.
- 42:46Speaker 5: So you're worrying about these Mumfield, Xavier Smith, Tutu Atwell.
- 42:51Speaker 5: Mumfield's the wide receiver three and he's $ 1, 200. So I'll
- 42:54Speaker 5: rank him number three. He's going to be low on,
- 42:57Speaker 5: he's going to be on the field a bit. But again,
- 42:59Speaker 5: even when he is on the field and clear passing downs,
- 43:02Speaker 5: he's going to be like the fifth option that's being
- 43:04Speaker 5: looked at. So I feel like he's drawing pretty thin
- 43:06Speaker 5: to get there. Xavier Smith is a stone cold punt
- 43:09Speaker 5: at 200. I think there is a chance that you
- 43:12Speaker 5: could see a zero on the winner today. If all
- 43:15Speaker 5: of those studs up top, get it. The value is
- 43:17Speaker 5: really tough. Coram doesn't get, Coram scores four, Ferguson scores three. Well,
- 43:21Speaker 5: maybe you just want a zero from a $ 200 guy
- 43:24Speaker 5: and not spend anything and then spend all your money
- 43:26Speaker 5: for the studs. So For that reason, maybe I'll play
- 43:29Speaker 5: some Xavier Smith, but it's just really concentrated for the
- 43:32Speaker 5: Rams when they don't play many receivers.
- 43:34Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 43:34Speaker 4: I'm going to look up some of these cheap guys
- 43:36Speaker 4: in a second in the newsfeed, but who, a couple
- 43:39Speaker 4: of things title said at wide receiver or like earlier.
- 43:41Speaker 4: And then this guy asked about it as well. It said,
- 43:44Speaker 4: how much does the miles Garrett affect the miles Garrett
- 43:47Speaker 4: effect affect this game is kind of what he's saying.
- 43:48Speaker 4: I think from that perspective, but just interesting. maybe thinking
- 43:52Speaker 4: about it from this perspective, you go back, this is
- 43:53Speaker 4: only from seven days ago. I like this Mike nuggets NFL.
- 43:56Speaker 4: So this is on the DFSOS newsfeed says Brock Purdy says,
- 43:59Speaker 4: dribbling will be a big part of the 49ers offense.
- 44:01Speaker 4: He's done an amazing job with coming in, obviously learning
- 44:04Speaker 4: the playbook, keeping his head down and working. He doesn't
- 44:06Speaker 4: just talk, talk, talk. I like that type of comment
- 44:09Speaker 4: about somebody because it's like, look, everybody comes in and
- 44:11Speaker 4: talk something up. Let's see what they really do. I
- 44:13Speaker 4: think you called that about price last night. So sort
- 44:16Speaker 4: of hearing some of the same stuff and then price
- 44:18Speaker 4: came out and he wasn't, He certainly wasn't talking 13
- 44:20Speaker 4: yards out of the gate. He was strapping up seven
- 44:22Speaker 4: of 10 on a few different drives, but then stribling
- 44:24Speaker 4: to play slot. This is also from just a week
- 44:26Speaker 4: ago to be Evans understudy at the X. You got
- 44:30Speaker 4: miles Garrett coming at you. You might be looking at
- 44:32Speaker 4: that guy in the slot pretty quickly too. So there
- 44:34Speaker 4: is something to be said there for like those checkdowns
- 44:36Speaker 4: with those guys. And if Purdy's on a bit of,
- 44:38Speaker 4: or sorry, if I'm Kittle's on a bit of that
- 44:40Speaker 4: count as well and everything that we see there, I
- 44:42Speaker 4: think title, you know, nailed it there. Look, people, speaking
- 44:45Speaker 4: of talk, talk, talk, people talking about this guy a lot.
- 44:48Speaker 4: It's currently anywhere you look across the industry. It doesn't
- 44:51Speaker 4: look like there's people doing much walk, walk, walking when
- 44:53Speaker 4: it comes to putting this guy into their lineups and
- 44:54Speaker 4: clicking the button. So, uh, give me your thoughts further.
- 44:58Speaker 3: And then anything else you want to add at this position?
- 45:00Speaker 4: Some of those low guys I'll look up while you're
- 45:01Speaker 4: going through it, but I'm just curious what it says,
- 45:03Speaker 4: but give me your thoughts here on that.
- 45:05Speaker 1: So what's the mindset with mild Garrett? Like he's going
- 45:08Speaker 1: to be in the backfield. So they're going to have
- 45:10Speaker 1: to get rid of the ball quicker. And, you know,
- 45:11Speaker 1: so some of these guys run shorter routes could get
- 45:14Speaker 1: a boost.
- 45:14Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 45:14Speaker 1: I mean, I could see it, but it's, it's hard.
- 45:17Speaker 1: I mean, it's really hard to quantify that when it's
- 45:20Speaker 1: a one game slate and, you know, we just don't
- 45:23Speaker 1: have any other options to go to. So I don't know.
- 45:27Speaker 4: If someone goes that route, I think they're just telling you.
- 45:31Speaker 1: I see it. I mean, I could see it, but
- 45:32Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think it's really going to, affect
- 45:35Speaker 1: how I build teams or anything. I guess if you
- 45:39Speaker 1: do think Stribling's the guy that gets the boost, I
- 45:41Speaker 1: absolutely love it because I was kind of prepared to
- 45:44Speaker 1: come on here before I looked at anything and say, oh,
- 45:46Speaker 1: I can't play the Stribling guy because he's going to
- 45:48Speaker 1: be so popular. I'm kind of shocked that there's no
- 45:51Speaker 1: ownership and maybe it is kind of what Title kind
- 45:55Speaker 1: of alluded to where the best ball people are in
- 45:57Speaker 1: a separate bubble than the DFS people because this guy
- 46:01Speaker 1: I would say shot up the boards quicker than just
- 46:04Speaker 1: about anyone else in the best ball streets. I mean,
- 46:06Speaker 1: people were taking him in like the fifth round, right?
- 46:11Speaker 2: He was at the end of the draft. He got to.
- 46:14Speaker 1: 80th ADP, yeah. 80 ADP. So what is that? Is
- 46:16Speaker 1: that sixth round maybe or something?
- 46:17Speaker 2: Yeah, right about there.
- 46:18Speaker 1: Sixth round? Sixth, seventh round, like he shot. Wait, like
- 46:22Speaker 1: early on he was going like at the end of
- 46:25Speaker 1: drafts as just some random guy to pick up. Towards
- 46:28Speaker 1: the end, he was 80 ADP.
- 46:31Speaker 2: I think it's the price mainly. I think people are
- 46:33Speaker 2: just going to try.
- 46:34Speaker 5: Once you go Puka and McCamp, I think that's just
- 46:36Speaker 5: the dead zone, at least ownership showing that.
- 46:39Speaker 1: Yeah, and a lot of times it is that 6K-ish range.
- 46:41Speaker 1: It's a little above the kickers. It's below the studs.
- 46:44Speaker 1: It's kind of in that awkward point. So maybe that's why. But, man,
- 46:47Speaker 1: if that's the case, if this ownership holds, I think
- 46:50Speaker 1: he's got to be one of the best plays on
- 46:52Speaker 1: the slate in flex and, I mean, everything. I mean,
- 46:56Speaker 1: I shit on, like, the preseason talk yesterday about training
- 46:59Speaker 1: camp and everyone looking good, but. This guy kind of
- 47:01Speaker 1: backed it up, though, like when they played actual games
- 47:04Speaker 1: and like the clips looked phenomenal. So, yeah, I'm in
- 47:07Speaker 1: on him for sure. I hope the ownership stays low. Obviously,
- 47:12Speaker 1: Puka is a great play. Obviously, Devante is a great play.
- 47:15Speaker 1: But for the 49ers pass catchers factoring everything in, I
- 47:19Speaker 1: think he's probably probably my favorite. Good with Mike Evans.
- 47:25Speaker 1: Good with Deboe. You know, more flex plays, though, like
- 47:28Speaker 1: I talked about. I don't necessarily love Mike Evans up top,
- 47:31Speaker 1: but I love him in, like, Brock Purdy captain teams.
- 47:33Speaker 1: I think he's a great fit. The cheap wide receivers
- 47:36Speaker 1: on this slate, just, I don't know, just not all
- 47:40Speaker 1: that interested. I guess, yeah, if you're going to take
- 47:42Speaker 1: a shot, just go with the cheapest guy and hope
- 47:44Speaker 1: maybe a goose egg is, you know, needed or something
- 47:47Speaker 1: here today. I'd be fine with that. I just don't
- 47:48Speaker 1: see Demarcus Robinson. I don't see Whittington. I don't see Mumpfield.
- 47:54Speaker 1: I just, I don't know. I don't see it. So
- 47:55Speaker 1: I'm just going to focus on the other guys and
- 47:57Speaker 1: you're getting a legit guy at not that far off
- 48:01Speaker 1: ownership from those shitty dudes. Like we're showing scribbling at 15%.
- 48:07Speaker 1: Some of those other random guys, seven, 8%. So I
- 48:09Speaker 1: don't know. I'll just stick with scribbling. I think he's
- 48:12Speaker 1: a phenomenal play. If he stays around 15% ownership. So
- 48:18Speaker 1: I do think, I do think Devontae, has a chance
- 48:22Speaker 1: to maybe get squeezed a little bit. People are going
- 48:24Speaker 1: to want to, you know, if they're playing a Rams
- 48:26Speaker 1: pass catcher, it's definitely going to be Puka over him.
- 48:30Speaker 1: I do really like Devante Adams, you know, those little
- 48:33Speaker 1: short slants in the, you know, at the two yard line,
- 48:36Speaker 1: there's not many wide receivers that have the ability to
- 48:39Speaker 1: execute in those positions. So I think he's a really
- 48:43Speaker 1: good option, but yeah, Scribbling definitely stands out to me.
- 48:47Speaker 4: Yeah. The chat, I mean, I'm, I've been, Telling you, like,
- 48:50Speaker 4: I don't bet too much.
- 48:51Speaker 1: Yeah, that's– are those numbers legit?
- 48:53Speaker 4: Like, I'm not– I just think it's going to be
- 48:56Speaker 4: for sure. Yardage, how he gets it, like, he'll be
- 48:58Speaker 4: eight yards, eight yards.
- 48:59Speaker 3: We could see that.
- 48:59Speaker 4: But I could see where he tries them, like, a
- 49:01Speaker 4: couple times just in the first quarter out there. And
- 49:03Speaker 4: then you've got two catches and you're looking for the
- 49:05Speaker 4: third grab. But, yeah, you've got to get the yardage
- 49:07Speaker 4: to go with it. But, yeah, I think that's very
- 49:10Speaker 4: interesting from that perspective.
- 49:11Speaker 1: Those are very appealing numbers.
- 49:13Speaker 4: Yeah, a lot of people– I think Dobbs is still
- 49:14Speaker 4: tilted about Dobbs last night.
- 49:16Speaker 1: That's one of the that's be one of the worst
- 49:20Speaker 1: like from a wide receiver like uh you know opening
- 49:24Speaker 1: performance with a new team that was horrible that.
- 49:26Speaker 2: Changed the whole game is drop that was terrible.
- 49:29Speaker 1: Yeah the drop and he just couldn't even get open
- 49:31Speaker 1: like it was oh that was bad And the one
- 49:34Speaker 1: time he does get open, I mean, that drop was.
- 49:36Speaker 3: He always got the big ass helmet on too.
- 49:39Speaker 1: And it's like, it just makes it worse.
- 49:41Speaker 2: Hey, Nate, he was good for green Bay. Don't sit
- 49:44Speaker 2: on too much. He did good for us. And then
- 49:46Speaker 2: he got paid, and now, yeah, it might not be good.
- 49:49Speaker 3: But it does make a good point.
- 49:51Speaker 4: When you mess up that bad, and you know the
- 49:53Speaker 4: camera's just staring at you the whole time, it sucks
- 49:55Speaker 4: to be sitting there in a guardian cap. I know
- 49:58Speaker 4: it's safe to be all this, making fun of it,
- 50:01Speaker 4: but it is kind of bad. You're just sitting there,
- 50:02Speaker 4: and you just know he hates his life.
- 50:04Speaker 3: So we'll see.
- 50:06Speaker 4: Um again bad game for him but it's not like
- 50:08Speaker 4: it was a great game for anybody for for that
- 50:10Speaker 4: case you know douglas nothing really holland's few big catches
- 50:13Speaker 4: down the stretch to help them get into that opportunity
- 50:16Speaker 4: where then may threw it away but aj brown unfortunately
- 50:18Speaker 4: getting injured just so many different things we're still waiting
- 50:21Speaker 4: for that matthew golden breakout though nades in there talking
- 50:25Speaker 4: about their.
- 50:26Speaker 1: Own hands they lost a couple wide receivers maybe this
- 50:29Speaker 1: is the year big nades maybe this is the year
- 50:31Speaker 1: golden gets it going baby week one get them right
- 50:34Speaker 1: out of the gate they got the vikings Vikings.
- 50:36Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 50:37Speaker 1: No, no, Josh Jacobs. Damn. This is the time right here.
- 50:40Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 50:40Speaker 4: I think when is Jacob's going to be back now
- 50:43Speaker 4: or how's it going to play out?
- 50:44Speaker 3: Cause I think everything just got cleared today.
- 50:45Speaker 5: He's going to be up to the NFL. I mean,
- 50:47Speaker 5: the courts aren't really, it seems like a slap on,
- 50:50Speaker 5: on the wrist there. It seems like it's all up
- 50:52Speaker 5: to the NFL and the NFL has got to at
- 50:54Speaker 5: least give them four.
- 50:55Speaker 2: You would think.
- 50:56Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 50:56Speaker 4: This was a big thing. The, the word of the
- 50:58Speaker 4: year proprioception, his proprioception was off because he thought he
- 51:01Speaker 4: had it, but it was swinging and he wasn't quite ready.
- 51:03Speaker 3: So the big drop for Romeo, but, The.
- 51:07Speaker 1: The, the scribbling play is a little less appealing when you,
- 51:10Speaker 1: when you look at the juice over the prop on
- 51:12Speaker 1: D on DK is a minus one 60. So over
- 51:17Speaker 1: two and a half minus one 60 kind of take
- 51:20Speaker 1: some of the appeal.
- 51:21Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 51:22Speaker 4: Like bet three, six, five has alts. I would take all,
- 51:25Speaker 4: because if you really think like I do, that he
- 51:27Speaker 4: could have like two check downs or two quick slot
- 51:29Speaker 4: catches or something like that at some point early, you
- 51:32Speaker 4: can get to three or four catches.
- 51:35Speaker 1: Let's see if we go to three, what sort of
- 51:37Speaker 1: number we're looking at. So even DK's, some of their
- 51:41Speaker 1: stuff's just horrible. So three plus is still minus 160.
- 51:44Speaker 1: How's that even possible?
- 51:47Speaker 4: That's what I'm saying.
- 51:48Speaker 3: I was just going to try and pull it up
- 51:49Speaker 3: right now.
- 51:49Speaker 5: Three plus, that's because it's the same as over two
- 51:52Speaker 5: and a half. Three plus, they're going to count it
- 51:54Speaker 5: at three.
- 51:55Speaker 1: So it's the same. Okay, so yeah.
- 51:58Speaker 2: Three and a half.
- 52:01Speaker 4: So receiving receptions. Let me see what the max I
- 52:03Speaker 4: can get. So I can get up to seven catches,
- 52:07Speaker 4: 12 to one.
- 52:09Speaker 1: There it is, man. He's going to have the JSN
- 52:11Speaker 1: line tonight.
- 52:14Speaker 3: I think you get like five catches, like plus 400.
- 52:16Speaker 4: I don't know, like not my favorite thing to do,
- 52:20Speaker 4: but just to note it, I think that's... I mean.
- 52:21Speaker 1: I think, honestly, I think without saying anything crazy, I
- 52:26Speaker 1: think like five for 60 is very in the realm
- 52:31Speaker 1: of possibility. So like what's four and a half, over
- 52:33Speaker 1: four and a half?
- 52:35Speaker 4: Let's just do the five for, what'd you say?
- 52:36Speaker 2: Five for how many?
- 52:37Speaker 1: Five for 60 yards or something. I think is 550.
- 52:41Speaker 4: We like to keep it easy here. Five, five, zero.
- 52:43Speaker 3: Let's go five for 50.
- 52:44Speaker 4: Cause they'll give the even block and that's going to
- 52:47Speaker 4: give you plus six 25. Yeah.
- 52:51Speaker 1: I don't hate that play. There's our bet of the
- 52:54Speaker 1: day right there.
- 52:55Speaker 4: Done.
- 52:55Speaker 3: Bet it just now.
- 52:56Speaker 4: I got a few bucks after the Raritan touchdown last night,
- 52:59Speaker 4: so throwing that in right now.
- 53:01Speaker 3: We're starting the season strong here. By the way, got
- 53:04Speaker 3: it live.
- 53:05Speaker 4: Appreciate all the support, but you're going to need it
- 53:07Speaker 4: tonight because I don't play these head-to-heads, but we just
- 53:09Speaker 4: got it. We're going.
- 53:10Speaker 1: Oh, nice.
- 53:10Speaker 3: It's an ending tonight.
- 53:12Speaker 1: Oh, tonight it is? Okay, very good. There you go.
- 53:14Speaker 1: That makes sense. That definitely makes sense to do it
- 53:17Speaker 1: that way.
- 53:18Speaker 3: I'm good.
- 53:18Speaker 4: We'll, we'll run it back right away tonight. Battle it up,
- 53:21Speaker 4: see what happens and good luck to ending, but it
- 53:22Speaker 4: should be a lot of fun.
- 53:24Speaker 1: You don't mean that, you know, I saw two, I
- 53:26Speaker 1: saw two footballs in the ad that definitely didn't get caught.
- 53:29Speaker 1: So he's going to need to find a couple more.
- 53:32Speaker 1: Those ads are quality. All right. Yeah.
- 53:36Speaker 3: I know what you're talking about now.
- 53:38Speaker 1: All right.
- 53:39Speaker 4: So keep it moving. We'll go to tight end hoop.
- 53:42Speaker 4: So speaking of that, there you go. By the way,
- 53:47Speaker 4: everyone who doesn't know and didn't get to congratulate him
- 53:50Speaker 4: last year, Tidal is also a dad now. So the
- 53:52Speaker 4: dad jokes went up going into this season.
- 53:55Speaker 1: Now he's binded to laugh at our dad jokes.
- 53:59Speaker 5: Not quite. I'm still keeping mine alive over here. He
- 54:04Speaker 5: can't even say a word, so he can't have those
- 54:06Speaker 5: jokes yet.
- 54:08Speaker 1: When are you heading back to Wisconsin? That's the true test.
- 54:10Speaker 2: I was literally just there last week. I was just
- 54:13Speaker 2: there like three.
- 54:13Speaker 1: We got to get a show. We got to get
- 54:14Speaker 1: a show in the room with the fan and then
- 54:16Speaker 1: we can get.
- 54:17Speaker 2: The trust me out. There's seven weddings in Wisconsin this year.
- 54:20Speaker 2: You'll see me back in that room. Beautiful.
- 54:23Speaker 1: All right.
- 54:23Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 54:23Speaker 1: Tight end. Uh, kid will find play. I think, you know,
- 54:28Speaker 1: pretty captain teams for sure. Uh, I just, there's no
- 54:33Speaker 1: way to me, at least that he's going to get
- 54:34Speaker 1: full compliment of plays. Um, fine if he gets into
- 54:39Speaker 1: some lineups not thrilled but I mean the the Rams
- 54:41Speaker 1: guys are very interesting Ferguson and Parkinson like to me
- 54:45Speaker 1: these are their wide receiver threes big play upside from
- 54:50Speaker 1: from Ferguson I mean they got Matthew Stafford's trust and
- 54:53Speaker 1: that's the key thing with some of these veteran quarterbacks
- 54:56Speaker 1: like do they trust you as a pass catcher and
- 54:59Speaker 1: Stafford trust both these guys I think they're both phenomenal plays.
- 55:03Speaker 1: They're going to be, I'd say, somewhat popular. A lot
- 55:06Speaker 1: of times these cheaper plays aren't as popular, but we
- 55:10Speaker 1: saw it all last year. They didn't sign another tight
- 55:13Speaker 1: end or anything. I know Higby will be out there too,
- 55:15Speaker 1: but to me it's Ferguson, Parkinson. I think they're both
- 55:18Speaker 1: good plays in their own mind. Tonjes, 4,400, not as appealing,
- 55:23Speaker 1: but if you are assuming that Kittle isn't going to
- 55:27Speaker 1: get his full compliment at work, you need to include
- 55:29Speaker 1: him in your player pool, but I don't care about
- 55:32Speaker 1: the ownership with Ferguson, Parkinson. I like them to me.
- 55:35Speaker 1: They're the wide receiver three on this, on this football team.
- 55:38Speaker 1: And instead of playing those other cheap guys, which yes,
- 55:40Speaker 1: they're going to be much lower owned. I just, to me,
- 55:42Speaker 1: there's a legit chance for these guys to do something.
- 55:45Speaker 1: So yeah, that's where I'm at tight end wise.
- 55:48Speaker 4: What about you title? Any additional dots? Did you, what did,
- 55:51Speaker 4: by the way, what did you think about my Tom
- 55:53Speaker 4: just take earlier? You can, can you get there? You think?
- 55:55Speaker 2: Man, he's 4,400. That's the thing. I would make a rule,
- 55:58Speaker 2: which I rarely do, max one Kittle Tonjes. It feels tough.
- 56:04Speaker 2: I don't think I'm really going to get there much myself.
- 56:07Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean, he's super, super low on when
- 56:09Speaker 5: he plays and Kittle hasn't played.
- 56:11Speaker 2: He's done well.
- 56:12Speaker 5: I think most of the time when Kittle is out there,
- 56:16Speaker 5: whether it's 60% or whatever, they're throwing the ball or
- 56:19Speaker 5: more high leverage situations. Whereas when he's off the field,
- 56:22Speaker 5: maybe they run a little bit more so. Don't see
- 56:25Speaker 5: myself really getting there too much. I don't, I guess
- 56:28Speaker 5: I talk about best ball guy. Like everyone loves Terrence
- 56:31Speaker 5: Ferguson and rightfully so. We saw it last year. The
- 56:34Speaker 5: dude actually makes plays. I don't believe the ownership probably
- 56:37Speaker 5: anywhere in the industry, but I think he gets steamed
- 56:40Speaker 5: for sure. And then the Parkinson is more held in
- 56:43Speaker 5: check and Higby's already showing to be in check. Like
- 56:47Speaker 5: right now, if the ownership is true and I knew that,
- 56:49Speaker 5: I might have 45% Terrence Ferguson. I just think that 18%,
- 56:53Speaker 5: could be 25%, could be 26%, 7% when it's all
- 56:57Speaker 5: said and done. And then Parkinson's is almost half the ownership.
- 57:00Speaker 5: And when that's the case, then it gets a little
- 57:03Speaker 5: more appealing when you're talking the pivot for Parkinson's, 400 more.
- 57:07Speaker 5: And it's just really clear. Ferguson seems to be the
- 57:10Speaker 5: guy this year at tight end when it comes to
- 57:13Speaker 5: catching the football. So I don't know why, A, Parkinson's
- 57:16Speaker 5: 400 more, and then how ownership is going to be
- 57:18Speaker 5: too close this Again, that's why your inputs are your outputs.
- 57:22Speaker 5: If you put in the 18% for Ferguson, I'm getting 45%.
- 57:26Speaker 5: If I'm putting in 27% Ferguson, it's a whole different ballgame.
- 57:30Speaker 5: I'm definitely going to be playing, though, all three of them.
- 57:33Speaker 5: I think Tyler Higby is also a very solid play.
- 57:35Speaker 5: $ 600 Davis Allen.
- 57:37Speaker 2: I don't even think he's the worst play.
- 57:39Speaker 5: I mean, if I think 2.6 points might be enough
- 57:41Speaker 5: at 600, or it's a slate where I could see that,
- 57:44Speaker 5: if McCaffrey, the quarterbacks, Puka, Devontae all do what they
- 57:48Speaker 5: need to. I'm going to play them. They're going to
- 57:50Speaker 5: play a bunch of tight ends. And McVay is very,
- 57:53Speaker 5: very savvy with his play calling. He can find guys
- 57:56Speaker 5: wide open. Doesn't matter who you are. So I like
- 57:59Speaker 5: the tight ends for sure on the Rams.
- 58:01Speaker 4: Little nugget, too, actually, that I just looked up and saw.
- 58:04Speaker 4: You guys always say stuff, and then I just think
- 58:06Speaker 4: about random shit. My brain works weird. But when you
- 58:09Speaker 4: said stuff about those two, I agree 100% on the
- 58:11Speaker 4: Ferguson team. The touchdown prop is already better for Parkinson.
- 58:16Speaker 4: And also, I remember last year, like McVay does this.
- 58:18Speaker 3: He rewards him.
- 58:19Speaker 4: Remember, he does all the blocking for him, and then
- 58:21Speaker 4: they get down there, and then he feeds the touchdown
- 58:23Speaker 4: to Parkinson.
- 58:25Speaker 3: I like that one, too.
- 58:26Speaker 2: You said it was better on Parkinson. What book are
- 58:28Speaker 2: you looking at?
- 58:29Speaker 4: Bet365.
- 58:30Speaker 2: What do they have for both?
- 58:31Speaker 4: Sorry, I'm saying he's plus 425 and Ferguson is plus 450. Oh, wow.
- 58:37Speaker 5: Ferguson's plus 370 on DK and Park's plus 425, which
- 58:41Speaker 5: just shows if anyone's betting any sport, you have to.
- 58:45Speaker 5: It's hard enough. You have to price shop. And now
- 58:48Speaker 5: you can if you really want to get in the
- 58:49Speaker 5: prediction markets. But just that alone, like plus 375 versus
- 58:52Speaker 5: plus 450 is night and day.
- 58:53Speaker 2: So always price shop. Yep.
- 58:59Speaker 3: And we saw this last year, too, actually.
- 59:00Speaker 4: Good shout-out by Marquee Sports. Always supporting. We appreciate you
- 59:03Speaker 4: said Parkinson. We saw those games, too, where it was
- 59:06Speaker 4: like it was the Adams and and Parkinson getting the
- 59:09Speaker 4: touchdowns down there after Puka's getting all these crazy grabs
- 59:11Speaker 4: and 75 yards in the first quarter and stuff. And
- 59:14Speaker 4: all the touchdowns are just going to those guys once
- 59:16Speaker 4: they get up there. So I think that could definitely be.
- 59:18Speaker 4: thing as well hoop I'll go back to you man
- 59:21Speaker 4: anything on kickers and D's that you want to talk
- 59:23Speaker 4: about here specifically I will say it looks like Mivas
- 59:28Speaker 4: not just look like ownership looks very close but just
- 59:30Speaker 4: the way the lineup build goes it reminds you like
- 59:33Speaker 4: kind of like people see a a 4-1 and they
- 59:35Speaker 4: just close it out with a 5-1 because like it's
- 59:37Speaker 4: like in golf if somebody has all AM guys and
- 59:40Speaker 4: like I may as well just get another AM guy
- 59:42Speaker 4: in there just because it looks pretty I get a
- 59:43Speaker 4: 6 it's what I think people do with these roster
- 59:46Speaker 4: constructions or look to tell a story that way so
- 59:48Speaker 4: i think it's going to be mevis that gets a
- 59:50Speaker 4: little bit more love here but what's your thoughts hoop
- 59:52Speaker 4: at the kickers defenses anything else you want to add there.
- 59:56Speaker 1: Back to the the normal like where i like the
- 59:58Speaker 1: kickers and don't necessarily love the defenses uh the ownership.
- 1:00:03Speaker 4: By the way last night the you know the guy
- 1:00:05Speaker 4: that never likes d said it's defense night and they
- 1:00:07Speaker 4: were damn good both sides there yeah.
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: That d man that just overall just real football. That defense,
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: that's impressive when you know you got the backup quarterback
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: in there and they go in there and dominate like that.
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: Very impressive. I do think Rams are probably higher owned.
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: We're showing that by a little. I think the gap
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: could widen a little bit just because people are going
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: to be excited that the Rams have Miles Garrett. So
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: I think that will increase their ownership a little bit
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: in the gap. We're showing like 3%. I think the
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: gap could be a little wider between the two. Not
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: a huge point, but But yeah, I love the kickers
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: too cheap. And then defenses, you know, not a ton.
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: If I get some, I get some.
- 1:00:48Speaker 4: All right. Title, do you got anything else you want
- 1:00:50Speaker 4: to add there?
- 1:00:51Speaker 5: I'm kickers over defenses today as well. But if the 49ers,
- 1:00:57Speaker 5: which they are going to be, they're going to be
- 1:00:58Speaker 5: really low on when we need value. What do we
- 1:01:00Speaker 5: have when we have 12% when we need value? Because
- 1:01:03Speaker 5: Slate's has no value and everyone's going Ferguson in that
- 1:01:06Speaker 5: range or Parkinson or Corum for a little more or
- 1:01:08Speaker 5: the kickers.
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: It just feels like the ultimate pivot.
- 1:01:12Speaker 5: And we know random play one play a count return
- 1:01:15Speaker 5: or kick return a pick six like rant defense is
- 1:01:17Speaker 5: so random you have 48 minutes to get random points
- 1:01:20Speaker 5: so because they're 12% and I don't like value pivots
- 1:01:24Speaker 5: much I think I prefer them but in a vacuum
- 1:01:26Speaker 5: kickers look way better than defenses I think offenses move
- 1:01:29Speaker 5: the football today.
- 1:01:30Speaker 4: Yeah. And I think people, yeah, too, like the one
- 1:01:32Speaker 4: thing is interesting and this is not that game certainly
- 1:01:35Speaker 4: at all, but like, and that's, it's not about being the,
- 1:01:37Speaker 4: I was going to say about the Mexico game. It's
- 1:01:38Speaker 4: nothing to do with that at all. Not because it's international,
- 1:01:41Speaker 4: different altitudes, all that just pointing out though. Um, I
- 1:01:44Speaker 4: remember that game and remember it was like 101 or
- 1:01:46Speaker 4: 103 points or something. people just naturally think defenses and
- 1:01:50Speaker 4: kickers mean like low scoring games. Like, Oh, it's going
- 1:01:53Speaker 4: to be all this firepower. This offense is like, there's
- 1:01:55Speaker 4: no way a D could be involved. It's like, Oh,
- 1:01:56Speaker 4: that's when the D can also be involved. Cause there's
- 1:01:59Speaker 4: a lot of passing and a lot of things going on.
- 1:02:00Speaker 4: So you could definitely see all of these guys be
- 1:02:03Speaker 4: in the mix. So I think no one's shying away
- 1:02:05Speaker 4: from playing them anyway. We're not saying anything revolutionary here.
- 1:02:07Speaker 4: I'm just noting it because there's other ways that you
- 1:02:10Speaker 4: can go with your build. And these are also, some
- 1:02:12Speaker 4: of the values on the slate tonight. So just thinking
- 1:02:14Speaker 4: about it from that perspective, the way I look at
- 1:02:15Speaker 4: it working backwards is that's four values there. You got
- 1:02:18Speaker 4: Terrence Ferguson here, not much at ride receiver that people
- 1:02:22Speaker 4: are considering. And then you've got quorum and all of
- 1:02:25Speaker 4: that makes the rest of the stuff fit both quarterbacks,
- 1:02:28Speaker 4: hookah Adams. And then of course, um, cmc so it's
- 1:02:32Speaker 4: like that's where it kind of plays out you probably
- 1:02:34Speaker 4: get williams like we said comes back a little because
- 1:02:37Speaker 4: of the quorum and cmc effect and the other guys
- 1:02:39Speaker 4: around williams like nikua and adams but there's you know
- 1:02:42Speaker 4: most of those guys like evans deboe stribling kittle they're
- 1:02:45Speaker 4: not going to get played much they're going to get
- 1:02:47Speaker 4: played but it's it's spread out on them and it's
- 1:02:49Speaker 4: not overall so um one last thing i have for
- 1:02:52Speaker 4: you title just before we you know let hoop look
- 1:02:53Speaker 4: at fan duel a little bit Any thoughts on– are
- 1:02:57Speaker 4: you in agreeance, I guess I would ask it this way,
- 1:02:59Speaker 4: of like a 4-2-5-1 Rams build being super heavy tonight?
- 1:03:02Speaker 4: Does it look that way to you as well?
- 1:03:04Speaker 5: Yeah, very much so, like even more than I initially expected.
- 1:03:07Speaker 5: I think it really comes down to the value for
- 1:03:10Speaker 5: the Niners, even the mid-tier, like it's nonexistent. Every value
- 1:03:14Speaker 5: we've talked about, it's Corum, it's Ferguson, it's Parkinson. Like
- 1:03:17Speaker 5: you just don't have the options. If you're looking at
- 1:03:20Speaker 5: sub-5K plays on the Niners that you might get– that
- 1:03:24Speaker 5: we've talked about. Black, a backup running back behind McCaffrey
- 1:03:28Speaker 5: that might not even for sure be RB2. That's not comfortable.
- 1:03:30Speaker 5: 3K is a real price. Juszczyk, $ 1, 400, like not great.
- 1:03:35Speaker 5: Demarcus Robinson, $ 3, 800, probably not going to see the field much.
- 1:03:39Speaker 5: The backup tight end in Tonges is $ 4, 400. So then
- 1:03:42Speaker 5: it leaves you with Pinero and the Niners defense. It's
- 1:03:46Speaker 5: going to be, yeah, I 100% see that. I think
- 1:03:48Speaker 5: 4-2 Rams will be more popular than even 3-3. And
- 1:03:51Speaker 5: I think 5-1 Rams will be relatively close to 3-3,
- 1:03:54Speaker 5: probably not as popular, but I really think it comes
- 1:03:57Speaker 5: down to when people play the Niners, it's Purdy, it's McCaffrey,
- 1:04:01Speaker 5: and then you're going to get to those receivers.
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: But yeah, they're not low on.
- 1:04:04Speaker 5: So I think the roster constructions, people are going to
- 1:04:07Speaker 5: go down the same path. So you at least know
- 1:04:09Speaker 5: that coming in.
- 1:04:11Speaker 4: I wonder, Hoop, do you have anything, and we'll get
- 1:04:12Speaker 4: to Fanville in a second, but just now that, again,
- 1:04:14Speaker 4: hear more titles saying and agree with all of it,
- 1:04:16Speaker 4: it's also then I'm thinking about like these, how does
- 1:04:18Speaker 4: a McCaffrey captain lineup go? So you put McCaffrey in
- 1:04:22Speaker 4: the cap. I'm just talking through it here for a second.
- 1:04:25Speaker 4: So that seems like it's going to be somewhat popular,
- 1:04:28Speaker 4: but then what do they do with the rest.
- 1:04:29Speaker 3: Of the lineup?
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: Yeah, you go probably one of the cheap tight ends
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: for sure. Ferguson output for now.
- 1:04:38Speaker 5: The 1-5 McCaffrey will probably be as– I'm not saying
- 1:04:45Speaker 5: it's going to be popular, but of all 1-5 teams
- 1:04:48Speaker 5: that we see this year, it'll probably be the highest
- 1:04:51Speaker 5: owned with that being the one up top, I think.
- 1:04:53Speaker 4: Yep. That'll happen. Typically just doing reviews on that type
- 1:04:57Speaker 4: of stuff. Uh, I know, I think you either, you
- 1:04:59Speaker 4: got really close. I think like third before with that
- 1:05:01Speaker 4: right title or something, you had, you had a one
- 1:05:03Speaker 4: five that got up there. I we've seen it enough times.
- 1:05:05Speaker 4: I'm not saying don't do it in that. I'm just
- 1:05:07Speaker 4: from my back testing and looking at stuff. It's typically
- 1:05:11Speaker 4: really good in like a 200 or less field.
- 1:05:13Speaker 2: You don't have to be perfect.
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: Once you get up it's crazy though it is i
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: mean it is still easy it's like man you play
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: uh ferguson one of the kickers and then you're immediately
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: back to 8600 for your last three spots so it's
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: like really easy to to play legit looking christian mccaffrey
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: teams let me see.
- 1:05:33Speaker 4: Here i'm not going to fill it all the way
- 1:05:34Speaker 4: out but you guys can do it yourself yeah you're
- 1:05:37Speaker 4: right It's something like this. It's like Purdy with him.
- 1:05:40Speaker 4: So I would just say I'm looking at like combos.
- 1:05:42Speaker 4: I think, again, as much as people may or may
- 1:05:44Speaker 4: not love certain ways of doing things, it's like he
- 1:05:47Speaker 4: is a check down option. It looks like you can
- 1:05:49Speaker 4: even take these two out for a second and have
- 1:05:51Speaker 4: almost 7K left. But it looks like it would probably
- 1:05:54Speaker 4: be people are comfortable with at least Purdy in there
- 1:05:56Speaker 4: and then they'll figure out what the rest looks like.
- 1:05:58Speaker 4: So probably more. three, three, or even two, four.
- 1:06:02Speaker 3: Than anything else.
- 1:06:03Speaker 4: But that's kind of what the, the McCaffrey builds are
- 1:06:05Speaker 4: looking like going into the lotteries and such that people
- 1:06:08Speaker 4: are playing.
- 1:06:08Speaker 3: I think that makes sense.
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely.
- 1:06:15Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: I talked about it a little bit with like Stafford.
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: I just think he's a better MVP play over there
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: than captain on DK, I actually like him, and he's
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: a little cheaper. What is he, 11-4? He's a little
- 1:06:28Speaker 1: cheaper than McCaffrey and Puka. Less value on FanDuel. We
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: talked about Blake Corum on DK. On FanDuel, he's 7,600,
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: so he's all the way up there. The one guy
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: that is cheap is going to be very popular. Terrence
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: Ferguson is 2,600 on FanDuel, where Parkinson is 5,800. 5,800.
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: So that's just like a beautiful tournament sort of flip
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: right there. Like, especially if you're playing like a Stafford
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: captain team and you just want to flip that because
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: if someone's playing one of these tight ends with Stafford,
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: it's going to be Ferguson. $ 3, 200 more for Parkinson. Like
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: people aren't going to make that click. That's a perfect
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: tournament pivot situation before. Not much on the cheap end,
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: like at all. You know, Higby's $ 3, 800. It's tough down there.
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: Even where Debo is 7K, I believe, on DK, he's 8,600
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: on FanDuel. Just not many cheap plays on FanDuel, so
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: Ferguson's going to be very popular over there. But yeah,
- 1:07:43Speaker 1: I think that's pretty much it. Kyron Williams, he's right
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: up there with Purdy. Purdy's 10-6, Kyron Williams 10-2. quarterbacks
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: definitely have an advantage over on, on FanDuel. So, you know,
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: Kyron Williams is a guy that the ownership could come
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: down a little bit on because of that, that price tag.
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: I still like him up top on, on FanDuel. Devante
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: Adams has a good price tag on FanDuel 9k. You know,
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: he's got a lot of touchdown upside, so that's very appealing.
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: But the main thing for sure is that the Ferguson 2600,
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: I'd say mispriced really.
- 1:08:17Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you also made a good call there, too.
- 1:08:19Speaker 4: The MVP ownership gets so... We talked about this yesterday,
- 1:08:22Speaker 4: for those who missed yesterday's Showdown Shippers show, but the
- 1:08:27Speaker 4: Adams touchdown equity and the Williams touchdown, that type of thing,
- 1:08:30Speaker 4: where they just... Again, I think these ownerships come up
- 1:08:32Speaker 4: a little bit at MVP, but I'm just saying you
- 1:08:34Speaker 4: do see it over there where it's very heavily focused
- 1:08:37Speaker 4: on those big dogs. And remember, what we talked about
- 1:08:40Speaker 4: earlier with conditional and the combinatorial ownership is when you
- 1:08:44Speaker 4: see Christian McCaffrey and Puka... expensive but easy to get
- 1:08:48Speaker 4: in it's be it's very easy to get them in
- 1:08:50Speaker 4: because we flip over to flex like hoop said earlier,
- 1:08:53Speaker 4: and you go down to 2600. You've got Ferguson with
- 1:08:57Speaker 4: like the same projected points almost as everybody. you know
- 1:09:00Speaker 4: 7600 or below he's projected for a similar number just
- 1:09:03Speaker 4: a point and a half less give or take of
- 1:09:05Speaker 4: quorum and you can play both together so you'll see
- 1:09:07Speaker 4: those lineups over there be a lot more popular because
- 1:09:10Speaker 4: of that and make it up top but you can
- 1:09:12Speaker 4: get like Adams in instead of Puka and get them
- 1:09:14Speaker 4: at like nothing and just fill it out with a
- 1:09:17Speaker 4: more balanced approach or something Yeah.
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: It's that Kyron we have, it's going to be higher
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: than that, but we had it like between one and 2%.
- 1:09:24Speaker 1: And you know, if that is accurate, like he's a phenomenal,
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: phenomenal MVP play on a fan. What do we have?
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: We got to like get 2%. Like it's going to
- 1:09:35Speaker 1: be higher than that. But if it is low, like, man,
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: he's got to be one of the best plays up
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: there on fan duel. And I like, I like Stafford,
- 1:09:43Speaker 1: you know, we're showing 13% Stafford. I love that. Um,
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: if he's going to be like the fourth highest zone
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: guy up top, I think he's a phenomenal play up
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: there on, on fan duel, but the kind of thing
- 1:09:54Speaker 1: definitely stands out.
- 1:09:55Speaker 4: We got them a little light right now for sure,
- 1:09:56Speaker 4: because our initial, but I agree with you. And that's
- 1:09:59Speaker 4: exactly what it is. Even if this goes to five, six, seven, eight,
- 1:10:02Speaker 4: it's a, five to ten it's like he's still not
- 1:10:05Speaker 4: really owned on that site because everything else and then
- 1:10:07Speaker 4: it the other thing that i think people don't always
- 1:10:10Speaker 4: realize is like it's takes one to do another if
- 1:10:12Speaker 4: you go with puka up top let's just say who
- 1:10:15Speaker 4: we would expect to be popular and have 8200 left
- 1:10:18Speaker 4: you can get it back quick with a guy like
- 1:10:20Speaker 4: ferguson but also if you go with williams and then
- 1:10:23Speaker 4: start building like a more balanced build or another example
- 1:10:26Speaker 4: because you talked about it but just with davante Let's
- 1:10:29Speaker 4: say he kind of says he, you got 9,300. You
- 1:10:31Speaker 4: could get a bit more of a balanced building, but
- 1:10:33Speaker 4: you don't even have to put Puka in there if
- 1:10:34Speaker 4: you don't want to. Cause now you could be saying, look, yeah,
- 1:10:36Speaker 4: Puka is going to get some yardage, but it's mostly
- 1:10:38Speaker 4: going to be Devante that gets the touchdowns in this build.
- 1:10:42Speaker 3: And you might not even have to go to.
- 1:10:44Speaker 4: A Ferguson down low, for example.
- 1:10:46Speaker 3: So just, just pointing that out.
- 1:10:47Speaker 4: I want to, I want to say that that's another
- 1:10:48Speaker 4: thing to look at when you're doing this stuff, especially
- 1:10:50Speaker 4: on these smaller showdown slates like this. So title, anything
- 1:10:53Speaker 4: you saw that you want to add?
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: No, it really comes down to the Ferguson.
- 1:10:57Speaker 5: Terrence Ferguson might be 38% in the flex on FanDuel
- 1:11:01Speaker 5: or something. I mean, just if you X him out
- 1:11:03Speaker 5: or if I X him out in my flex, I'm
- 1:11:05Speaker 5: already dropping two and a half points off the optimal,
- 1:11:08Speaker 5: just Ferguson alone. And that just comes down to there's
- 1:11:10Speaker 5: no other value really down there. So I do think
- 1:11:13Speaker 5: overspending for Parkinson or Higby is pretty interesting just because
- 1:11:17Speaker 5: they're going to play a lot of tight ends. It's
- 1:11:19Speaker 5: almost direct leverage. If he's not doing anything you're hoping
- 1:11:22Speaker 5: they do. Obviously, all three of them combust, so you
- 1:11:25Speaker 5: can fade all tight ends and stuff. But if I
- 1:11:27Speaker 5: am playing Ferguson in the flex, I'd probably look to
- 1:11:29Speaker 5: get a little more different at MVP or at least
- 1:11:31Speaker 5: do something to differentiate your lineups.
- 1:11:34Speaker 4: Yep, I agree. I'm going to check quickly while we
- 1:11:36Speaker 4: wait here just the Shibbit games. How many people got
- 1:11:40Speaker 4: into it so far? We put the link out earlier
- 1:11:42Speaker 4: for members. If you guys aren't a member, you can
- 1:11:44Speaker 4: go to shibbitnation.com and get in. Looks like we're pushing
- 1:11:47Speaker 4: 250 now. So almost half full. But if you guys
- 1:11:50Speaker 4: don't know anybody who is an all-access member or who
- 1:11:54Speaker 4: is a NFL-only member, you can go to the site, ShipItNation.com.
- 1:11:57Speaker 4: Just click this logo at the top that says ShipIt
- 1:12:00Speaker 4: Games with the prizes that we're giving away this season.
- 1:12:02Speaker 4: A guaranteed $ 45, 147 in cash and prizes. Any all access
- 1:12:08Speaker 4: or NFL only member is eligible. The first golden shipper
- 1:12:12Speaker 4: was posted today. The top three this week on Sunday,
- 1:12:16Speaker 4: a part of the community that finished top three in
- 1:12:17Speaker 4: this tournament, private members only will get the first three
- 1:12:22Speaker 4: golden ship at tickets of the 50 available this season.
- 1:12:25Speaker 4: They will also be into the event next week where
- 1:12:28Speaker 4: we play the sheriff ship and and try and boost
- 1:12:30Speaker 4: the pool up 50% and then give away 10% to
- 1:12:33Speaker 4: those three winners as well. Ultimately, at the end of
- 1:12:35Speaker 4: the season, week one of the playoffs, the top 10
- 1:12:38Speaker 4: will play off of those 50 Golden Shippet winners for $ 10, 000, $ 5, 000, $ 2, 500, $ 1, 250,
- 1:12:45Speaker 4: or $ 1, 000 across the board and down below, including prizes
- 1:12:48Speaker 4: from our sponsor at SaberSim. So ShippetNation.com if you guys
- 1:12:51Speaker 4: want to check that out.
- 1:12:52Speaker 3: Title, hoop, or any final thoughts from either of you
- 1:12:55Speaker 3: guys before we get out of here?
- 1:12:56Speaker 2: Let's just avoid the injuries.
- 1:12:58Speaker 4: Yep.
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: Agreed.
- 1:13:00Speaker 4: That'd be a great idea for tonight. After how last
- 1:13:02Speaker 4: night went, hopefully we can make it happen. I'll be
- 1:13:05Speaker 4: in the street sweating. You guys will know pretty quickly
- 1:13:07Speaker 4: how it goes. I'll keep you updated on the head-to-head.
- 1:13:09Speaker 4: It looks like we're just getting it loaded here now.
- 1:13:11Speaker 4: They're trying to send the link, but they're trying to
- 1:13:13Speaker 4: charge us $ 37, 000 to enter. It says free, but they're
- 1:13:18Speaker 4: asking for $ 37, 500 to enter. So we're getting that solved
- 1:13:20Speaker 4: as we speak.
- 1:13:21Speaker 3: That's going to do it for this one, guys. Appreciate
- 1:13:23Speaker 3: everybody for watching.
- 1:13:24Speaker 4: Make sure to hit that like on the way out,
- 1:13:25Speaker 4: or if you just tuned in for the live, we
- 1:13:27Speaker 4: appreciate you.
- 1:13:28Speaker 3: Make sure to subscribe.
- 1:13:30Speaker 4: Title will be back tomorrow with the cash game countdown.
- 1:13:33Speaker 4: We'll be back Saturday with the Leverage Lane, Blickle, and myself.
- 1:13:37Speaker 4: Sunday morning, though, this crew will be back at 9 a.m.
- 1:13:39Speaker 4: Eastern for Sunday shippers, and we'll break down the entire
- 1:13:42Speaker 4: main slate. So appreciate you guys. Thanks for watching. For Title,
- 1:13:45Speaker 4: for Hoop, and for myself, Totag, and Tambo, good luck
- 1:13:47Speaker 4: in your contest tonight. Let's ship it!