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NFL Week 2 - Takedown Breakdown | Winning DFS DraftKings Lineups & Strategy Review · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems go.
• 0:05
  Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: What's up, everyone? Tyler Tamblyn here, a.k.a. ToeTag and Tambo,
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: back for another edition of the Takedown Breakdown here on
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: the Shiba Nation YouTube station. Gonna be talking all things
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: from the previous week. We've got my guy Nades here
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: with me, as always. The classic slate from yesterday. Nice
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: week for the Shiba Nation crew. Shout out to our
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: guy Rio Hebrew Cheetah. We'll have a look at his lineup.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Second place in the MillieMaker, so we'll have a look
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: at that one. We'll use DFSOS.com. If you guys want
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: to check it out, you can use promo code SHIPIT.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: We'll go through that in a bit here as well
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: with you to look at the perfect lineup. We'll look
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: at the winning lineups for the MillieMakers, both the $ 20
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: and the $ 555. We'll look at some of the strategies
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that we can bring forward going into this week up ahead,
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: and then we can chat a little bit more at
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: the end, Nades, about whatever else comes up throughout the
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: way in the chat. If you guys are just joining
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: us for the first time, hit the thumbs up. Make
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: sure to subscribe to the channel. And, Nades, I'll bring
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: you in. What's going on, my friend? It's not over yet.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: If you didn't have a good week yet, you still
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: got time. We always say that.
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah, still $ 500, 000 and up top in the main event
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: here tonight and many other contests, too, for lower buy-ins.
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, even $ 3, right? You have the potential to
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: win $ 20, 000. outright for a $ 60 total investment, assuming you
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: max out that $ 3. 20 max, things like that. So tons
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: of money to be made. Week's not over yet. And, hey,
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: even if tonight doesn't go your way, take two days
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: off and come back Thursday, and there's more football on
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: the screen. So amazing time of the year. NHL is
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: right around the corner. MLB playoffs is right around the corner.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: PGA obviously is in the kind of fall swing here,
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: but that's still going on. MMA, absolutely crazy weekend with
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: MMA over the weekend. the biggest upsets in all of
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: sports history there and to do it like that. So
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: overall fun Sunday had some, had some shots myself, but didn't,
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: didn't end up getting all the way home, but I
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: know title had a great day. Rio had a great day.
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: Some other members in the discord had a great day,
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: not just in NFL, but I saw our guys shipped
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: the one 21 again and MLB over the weekend. So
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: just incredible weekend overall of sports and it's the best
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: time of the year. So, Nations going full speed, full
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: swing ahead. And if you're not a member yet, there's
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: still time to get in. And there's a massive free
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: roll if you have been living under a rock and
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: haven't heard yet that we're doing over here.
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's a big factor for sure. We'll
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: get to, you know, a couple of things here in
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: a minute. But it was it was close to blowing
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: the lid off this weekend. Like you say, title and
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: a couple other members made a run in the big
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: five dollar over on FanDuel. And then Rio, like we
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: talked about in the $ 20, some other, I saw, I
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: think it was Racer 1A had like a third or
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: a fourth for 10K plus in another spot. So a
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: lot of members had a pretty good weekend. If you
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: guys haven't checked it out yet, go to shipitnation.com. But
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: the big one, Ship It Games, like Nate said, if
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: you've been living under a rock, you can get in
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: this anytime, right? It's once you're in, you gotta be in.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: But every all access and NFL only member is eligible.
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: We're the only community giving away More than $ 5 to
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: my knowledge, but we're giving away $ 45, 000 plus in cash
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: and prizes. Shout out to our partner over at SaberSim.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: This is not just the Winner's Circle program, which they
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: allow us to participate in as well, but that's just
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: another member perk. If you join the community, get involved.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: We have the three winners from week one, and then
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: this past week, three more winners that we'll announce later today.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: They'll be up on the site ready to go, but
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: we're giving away. It's almost like an online final. It's
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: like a live final, but online. And the top 50
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: that win the golden shipping tickets will get in. The
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: final 10 of that will play off for $ 10, 000, $ 5, 000, $ 2, 500.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: It goes down from $ 10, 000, could be higher if we
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: get there, or as little as $ 1, 000, but still a
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: four-figure prize is required. for the top 10 in ship
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: it games mentioned it earlier days. We're going to be
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: looking at DFSOS.com today. If you guys want to check
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: that out, it is the operating system for daily fantasy
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: fantasy players. I've got a ton of good stuff on there,
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: but the biggest thing you can actually check it out
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: for free. But if you want to get in there,
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: there is an exclusive code code, ship it S H
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: I P I T. You can get the all access
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: with everything that you see here and all the coverage.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: You can take the demo to check it all out
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: and we'll go through some of it today. but you
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: can get it down for the entire football season for
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: just $ 29 a month with code SHIPIT. So it drops
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: it down to the standard pro pricing, but you get
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: all of the additional features, which will start to show
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: off here now, starting with the Perfect Lineup Nades. And
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: before I get to the Perfect Lineup, I do want
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: to say one thing because you brought it up, but...
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: It is only week two and we usually get a
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: little bit of a topic going and just go back
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: and forth on it. I saw a lot of people
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: amongst multiple discords talking about like two losing weeks probably
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: should just take a break or probably get out. It's like,
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: I think you've got to remember the bankroll management needs
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: to be calculated from day one and you need to
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: decide what type of player you are or classic or
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: showdown or both. Because if you are looking at it
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: from that perspective, it's twofold for me, Nades, and I'll
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: let you go back and forth on this. But if
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: you're playing... All 18 weeks and the playoffs and all
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: of this, let's say it's 25 weeks, just roughly give
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: or take. And then you want to factor in that
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: there's four slates a week. Well, now you're factoring for
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: a hundred slates. So you got to take your money
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: and divide it up by that just to get a baseline.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: I'm not suggesting you play the exact same amount on
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: every slate either. That's the secondary piece to it. But
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: you should have that kind of idea. If you're in it,
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: you got to be in it for the long game.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: We saw it last night and it's no shot at anybody.
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  Speaker 1: I don't know who won. I didn't, it wasn't me.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: I can tell you that. But like when a showdown
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: slate is chopped up 60 ways or 50 ways, it's
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: very unlikely. You're going to see me be in the mix,
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: but I want to continue playing showdown because it's been
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: successful for me all along in the past. So I
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: want to be there when my three-way chop hits for
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: 300 K or something like that, or 250 K or
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: depending on what the top prize is up there on
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: any given, given evening. So, I can afford to lose
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: what I'm playing because I'm playing the long game. And
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: when it goes my way, hopefully it'll be for 50
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  Speaker 1: K plus on, you know, a pretty small chop up
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: to 200 K 300 K, whatever it looks like, depending on,
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: like I said, how much is up top. So if
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: you're feeling like you're out of money already, probably wasn't
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: devised with a pretty good, with a solid, a sound strategy.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: That's something you'd want to think about for the NFL
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: season because, and it goes for all sports really, but
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: specifically for NFL, it's a long season ahead and, And
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: you get more data as the season goes on. There's
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: tons of big tournaments and fun ones coming up that
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: we own mid season main event. You can win tickets
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: for and allocate for and all that, but anything on
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: the bankroll management side of thing needs, I just think
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: it's something that I'm seeing it way too early this year.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: Like people have literally blown their load on their, their
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: bankroll load on, you know, two weeks in on these contests.
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, that's the biggest thing, right? Like the,
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: the perfect, the perfect example, right. Is the, the last week, right. If, if,
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: you haven't had a chance to watch the take on
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: breakdown with you and Bellman last week. You guys walked
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: through it, right? I mean, these pros as some of
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: the best of the best, right? Best players in the
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: world go on a year downswing, right? And get it
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: all back and then some in one night, right? So
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: in order to do that, you have to be in
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: the game, right? I know it's very easy, right? You
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: got afternoon only, you got early only, you got the
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: main slate, you got showdown Sunday night. Sunday can get
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: expensive very fast, right? If you don't, manage bankroll management.
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: Everyone touts it. Everyone talks about it, but it's just
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: not followed enough, right? As much as people talk about
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: it and say, yeah, yeah, yeah, I pay attention, right?
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: That's why you're seeing the tilting in the discords. You're
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: seeing the tilting on social media. Oh, the chalk, this,
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: the chalk, that, this is terrible. If it only went
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: this way, I'd still be able to play, right? So,
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: I mean, the most common result going into any slate,
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: any sport, any whatever in DFS is you're going to lose.
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: That is the guarantee you just hope that that guarantee
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: is proven false for one two if you're lucky three
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: times a year and hopefully it's in a way and
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: you're playing in the right way where as a gpp
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: player you can make it all up and then some
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: right kind of like last night i talked on the
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: showdown uh the showdown show the new show we have
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: here on this channel I'm just not playing 5-1 Chiefs.
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: I'm not playing the way the field is going to do.
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: I'm not going to play this guy and this guy
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: because it just leads you in the same kind of build,
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: and that's why you saw a 60-whatever-weight shot. If it's
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: slates like that, that's fine. I'm okay losing my entire
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: entry and getting pennies back, basically, on what I have
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: in because I know not every slate's going to go
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: that way, and the more it does go that way
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: and people continue to conform to that, Now that just
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: gives us a better edge as tournament players to play
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: against that, right? And that's kind of the evergreen content
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: that we're trying to get to and why we spend
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: our time doing these shows every Monday, right? This isn't
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: our most viewed show. This doesn't drive a ton of
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: revenue and signups and things like that for us as
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: a business, but we don't care. We do it because
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: we'd like to help our community and think this is
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: a very important process. And we talk about a lot
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: of evergreen content here that you can apply to all
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: sports and just your overall DFS play as a whole.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we talk about it all the time. Like, I
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: literally devised a project off of this, as many know
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: that are here. But if you haven't checked out dfsmastermind.com,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: you can see it, even if you did nothing else
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: and just went and got the modules for $ 47. I mean,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: that's me talking to 1,000-plus players, like the people that
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: watch the show. This gets, you know, 1,000 to 2,000
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: views on any given week. So it's not like it's
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: a 10K view show or something like that. But people...
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: that recognize that in all games of life, whether you
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: want to get better at chess or at golf or at,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: you know, whatever it might be, you probably got to
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: go figure it out and you can get there faster
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: by learning from others and digging in and looking at
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: results and some of the best players and all of that,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: which we'll get to in a second when we get
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: into the data that we use on this show. But
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: I asked a thousand plus DFS players. and then took
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: my 10,000 plus hours of experience and just put it
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: all into these modules. You can take it in a
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: nine to five shift. If you listen to me, if
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: you can go with the fast talking that I do
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: and get through 2X, you can do that too and
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: get through it in four hours instead of eight. But
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: the idea would be that you can put your time in,
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: figure this out. And then if you want to join
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: the entire community, there's over 500 members in there. It
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: is a one-time cost 497, or you can do a
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: two payment plan of 249, but that's where you can
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: get all the videos and the modules and the strategy
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: and the over the shoulder stuff that we talk about
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: on this show. But you nailed it. Nate's like, you
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: got to go back and dig in. You want to
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: get ahead. You want to be able to find these
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: little things and they're good topics of discussion. That's why
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: I like it. You know, the run of a week,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Alex and I had a conversation on Saturday about Single
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: entry versus large field and about stacking and over stacking
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: and all that and run backs and all those. And
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: lo and behold, the exact example that we talked about
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: when we get to it here, we're going to look
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: at the perfect lineup first. When we get to the
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: winner of the $ 20 Millie maker, it was Purdy, CMC
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: and Kittle. no Miami run back. And it's because you
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: had a guy like Trey Tucker, wide receiver one, you
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: need to be perfect. Well, he was in a spot,
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: no Bowers, still that sort of thing that you could
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: just go back to and see. And I love this
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: one too, from Delbert McFly speaking to the big guy,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: you know, RIP, the big guy in the sky, always
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: looking down, says flesh wound, flesh wound, flesh wound banger, right? Just,
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: just go through those things, but you can't sustain the
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: flesh wounds if you don't have the bankroll sitting there.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: So that's the kind of key that you got to remember.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: Definitely that, you know, there's always a way to, to
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: think about it from that perspective. Now we'll get to it.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Nate's here. Um, it's, uh, Eli D cats, you know,
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: who won the Millie, the $ 20 million, we'll get to
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: it in a second with two 32.38. But before we
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: look at that, just want to note the perfect lineup,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: just to see like what you could have got to yesterday.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: We always know this is results oriented for those new
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: to the show. We're not again, not a ton to glean,
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: but obviously what you want to look at is to
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: see like what was out there, what hit, and it
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: can give you ideas and shapes for what you could
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: have done differently or look at on the slate. Nobody
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: was really getting, um, to Jonah Coleman, obviously. Right. You
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: got some, some injury stuff there. Harvey, uh, was out,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: so people were on Dobbins, for sure. But then when
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: Dobbins got injured as well, it's like then Coleman comes in. Yeah,
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: that's a little bit unique. But the main thing was
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: the chalk running backs just did not come through like
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: people expected yesterday. Bijan got dusted. There's the Panthers D.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: By the way, people think the Panthers D just mean
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Bijan you know, doesn't get anything. It's, it's not always
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: that it's also that there's the, there's a ton of
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: Bijan lineups that won't have Panthers D in it. So
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: you got the D against the popular lineup construction, which
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: is Bijan in 40% plus alignments or whatever it was. So,
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: There's that. And then the, you know, wide receiver in
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: the flex, there was two tight end lineups bounce back
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: when nobody wanted them anymore. So that's another thing. But
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: it was like, you know, look at this item. It
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: was like, you know, Coleman Hampton in jig, but you'll
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: see in some of the other lamps, like Jones still
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: made it in with just 13 points or Henry got
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: in there with 17. Cause it was still good enough.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: So this was the perfect lineup. I'll let you run
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: through it quickly, but nothing that out of the ordinary
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: here for me. I just think it's like a, you know,
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: look at like Schultz got there, not on Bijan. You
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: played Panthers. not on the expense of running back. So
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: you went to the expense of wide receiver. Nobody was
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: really on, which is JSN. He went off. What's your
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: thoughts here, Nades? Anything you want to add?
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so obviously coming into the slate yesterday, we knew
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: three running back builds looked very strong. That was a
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: starting point in cash. And that was including Bijan, CMC,
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: Derrick Henry. And there was like three or four other
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: kind of ancillary guys too that of the group of
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: five to six running backs, right? Three of those were,
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: kind of coming built based in majority of people's teams, right?
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: Which is fine. And this goes back to your portfolio
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: and bankroll management, right? It is fine to play that
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: way because it did look very strong on paper. But
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: who's to say you can't divert some of your portfolio
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: to getting overweight in three wide receivers? But not only
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: three wide receivers, three spend up receivers when most teams
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: were spending up at at least two running back spots
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: and then putting Aaron Jones in as a value and
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: then punting off tight end and typically punting one wide
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: receiver spot.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: So they were getting their value from Aaron Jones from
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: the tight end position where there was three good tight
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: end value plays. Right. One of them on the on
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: the Raiders. Right. And then people were punting off with
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: like a Douglas from the afternoon spot at the wide
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: receiver position right in that 4K range. So how do
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: you kind of flip that script of going in? OK,
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: what if it doesn't go that way? How do I
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: set myself up for success? Why can't I? see what
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: a spend up wide receiver build looks like, use four
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: wide receivers instead of three and see what that looks like.
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: And then kind of fill in the pieces around that.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: So it's not getting caught up on the picks and
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: plays the Dax, the Coleman's the Hamptons of the world.
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: That's just a process of the result. But overall the
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: lineup structure here is what you should try and take
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: away from this and see, okay, we knew going in,
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: spend up wider running backs and three running backs were
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: coming in 60% of teams. Why can't I play the
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: other side? Right. And and make 60 people walk out
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: of the room and I'm left with 40 people now.
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: And then of those 40, 38 of them have either
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: Bijan or Derrick Henry on them. Right. Something like that.
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: So I think that's the biggest thing that I kind
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: of take away from this is just building differently, still
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: using the popular plays that everybody wanted to play.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah. One thing I'll add to just, you know, like,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: you know, Ross is always here supporting, appreciate that. So
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: you'll love the Panthers defense, you know, Devonta. And then
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: that was one piece he said, which is, again, I
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: think that one's obvious. Like people wonder how you get
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: to that. It's if you're not on Bijan and you're again,
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: I always talk about this and you can be on anybody.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: That just is the one that worked out. It's obviously
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: insane how sometimes these defense runouts are. And you're like,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: holy shit. And the guy gets to stumble all the
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: way into the box. It's not just like fall on
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: the ground. The big guy that kind of like gets it,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: scoops it. ends up rolling into the end zone like
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: it could have been less sure but the point being
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: um you know it does happen if you're not on
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: something and you land i know a lot of people
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: played tennessee yesterday who weren't on philly guys and it
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: was like you still could have got what nine points
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: out of them for stone minimum or whatever so it's
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: again not going to compete when there's 26 out there
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: but it was it was up there still and could
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: have made the difference for some um devonta sucked in
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: week one no way he could do it in week
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: two but like this is the one i know people
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: struggle with when we do this perfect lineup review Um,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: because you know, Ross is being nice and try to say, Hey,
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: it kind of made sense in retrospect. You just wouldn't
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: get to it though. Right? Like 0.1%, you're not going
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: to get there. So don't, don't harp on that. But
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: like you said, you know, if you're thinking like that
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: and you build a lineup, it's, it's not really that
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: that doesn't make sense. What you just said, it makes
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: a ton of sense. You, you worded it perfectly, but
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: the key being okay. When you get that right. Uh,
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: the Sean Tucker week, when people like, uh, you remember
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: last season or whatever it was when Bucky was chalk
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: and it was like, Oh, I could have went to
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: Sean Tucker and got even more and built this way.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: It's like, you're probably not getting to the rest of
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: the lineup. If you get that part, right. You might've
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: been on a Dak triple with, you know, certain guys that,
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: that busted another spot. So it's like, you probably weren't
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: going to get enough to make it work, but I
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: will note AIDS. And this is just quick back of
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: the napkin math here. but like Jonah Coleman put them
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: up to 5,100, which was Aaron Jones. Okay. And I
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: think he got 13 then put, um, Hampton up to
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: 72 or whatever to 17.7 or whatever Derek Henry got,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: and then drop Smith down to digs or whatever at
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: 53 or 51. Like, I think that's close enough to
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: the money that you need. And there was 200 bucks
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: left over anyway. But my point being, if you had
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: a went Dak, With Derek Henry chalk, because you're not
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: on Andrews and with Jones chalk and whatever. And then
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: you get digs, right? With just CD digs and deck. Well,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Trey Tucker still could have been a one-off that you
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: landed on. Schultz was good chalk. You end up with
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: JSN and the Panthers. I'm just throwing it out there
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: that that still would have been enough to win the
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: Millie maker and would have probably been a lineup that
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: you would have built something like, or could have seen
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: yourself building in a single entry or whatever. It is
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: results oriented. It's more just to explain the pattern of like,
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: you don't need all these low own plays. That's what
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: the optimal was, but you could have made a couple
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: of moves and played a bunch of chalk together and
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: still had enough separators because that's what I'm trying to prove.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: Dak lamb digs with Derek Henry and Jones and Schultz.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: Most people would be like, well, that's way too much chalk,
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: but it's really not when you have Trey Tucker, but
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: you're not playing mayor. And you're also knowing that Bowers
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: is still out. You're not on genti. You're not playing
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: a third running back and you're using a guy that's
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: coming in that people know is a guy that can smash,
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: but he's coming in at sub 10% because of the
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: slate dynamics.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: And then you're not on Bijan. So why not just
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: play the D against them? Six, eight, like these are not,
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: you know, 1% own plays or 0.1 percenters. I'm just
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: showing that you can get to a lot more chalk
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: and still get away with it that most don't know. Um,
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: that's kind of the way that you can set it up, right?
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: They look for too many of these 3% owned plays
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: or 2% owned plays and then wonder why it's all
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: going to crap. It's like, because you probably didn't get
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: the other stuff right around it. A lot of people
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: were in on a lot of these other options here,
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: but we can move on. Real quick, if you guys
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: haven't checked it out, what I'm on right now. So
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: if you go to DFSOS, like we showed you earlier, dfsos.com,
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: use code SHIPIT if you want half price or just
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: get started for free. There's a seven day free trial.
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: So we're not selling you on as much as until
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: you want the deal, but you can go check it
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: out for free. But when you're on there and you
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: go to the dashboard, It is a personalized dashboard for yourself.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: So you could set it up, everything that you want here,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: the perfect lineup. You can backtest your projections and ownership.
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: You can check out the contest lobby if you want
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: to see what tournaments are plus EV and you know
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: all the different fill rates and everything for all different
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: sports across the board you can check out um the
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: news i use this like let's use uh this for
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: a second i use it to like look up and
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: i don't know what the latest is on puka and
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: what it'll be but from one hour ago um nfl
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: monday night preview without miles garrett and perhaps puka as
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: well This is from two hours ago, Joseph Zucker on
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: Bleacher Report talking about stuff with Puga. Like all the
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: latest news is uploading automatically as you want to get
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: it and be able to find stuff out on there.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: And then we just went to the perfect lineup to
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: show you that. And then we picked the slate that
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: we were on. But now we're going to go to
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: the top and go to Slate Review.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: Go to Yesterday.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: Yesterday. And then we're going to go, there's the 555
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: and the 20, and we're going to start with the 20,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: our man Hebrew Cheetah. Again, shout out to him. We
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: were all sweating with him in the Discord. I love
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: Rio because you never know how people are. And so
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: I'm following it way before. And I mean, it kind
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: of just happened as Ferguson went off late, but I'm
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: saying like, once I get up there, I'm definitely still
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: following it to try and find out who's going to
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: be in the mix. And, you know, you don't want
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: to just text somebody and be like right away. Cause
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: some people don't like that, but he posted the chat
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: with the screenshot and said one for one touchdown to
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: Ferguson from lamb here. And we can ship the Millie
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: and right away. I'm like, LFG, let's go. Like, this
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: is the spot. I'm glad he's interested in sweating it
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: with us. Cause that's what we love as a community. It's,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: it's a lot of fun to be able to be
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: behind that. And then of course it goes to lamb,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: but man, when you get that pass and it just
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: could be Ferguson, it's like, even my heart was in
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: my throat. Like Oh, and then the game kind of
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: shut down because he still did have digs on the
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: other side, but Washington waved the white flag. So it
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: was unfortunate, but either way, still, still nice to get
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: six figures. I know it's brutal when it's like a
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: 900 K swing from what could have been, but could
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: have been a lot worse too. That's the thing about
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: these types of tournaments. It's like, yeah, you want the
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: Millie a hundred percent, not just for the money, but
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: for the achievement. I'm in the same boat for that one.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: Want that, want it bad, but the a hundred K
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: is still nice. But damn, you don't want to go
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: down like, man, like anything doesn't go your way there.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: And it's 12.5 instead or 10 or 7. It's such
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: a big difference between 100K and 7. It's the same thing.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: It's worse, actually, because it's like 70,000 versus a million, 7,000
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: versus 100. But the 900K swing is a lot. I
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: get it. But it's more the achievement factor. You want
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: to hit that and unlock the million-dollar score. But congrats
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: to Rio. Incredible lineup. We'll go through it in a second. Nades,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: anything you want to add on any of that stuff?
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: Yeah, no, it's always fun to sweat it out, right?
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: And obviously, right, you don't love a 900K. It wasn't
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: like he dropped, right? He needed stuff to go his way, right?
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: He was obviously, same thing, McCaffrey they had, JSN they
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: had him together, Lamb. So it didn't really, but he
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: was up against Purdy versus Dak. And the other side, right,
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: with Jaden Daniels getting hurt, kind of hurt Dak as well, right? Because,
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, we would have had like four or five
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: minutes in that game to come back on the other
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: side with So that obviously played into it as well.
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: But yeah, incredible week for him. I do see $ 400
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: left over and $ 300 up to the Panthers defense. And
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: why could that make sense? It's not just a results oriented, right?
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: Because you're fading Bijan in this roster as well, right?
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: And the Jets were the popular kind of cheap D. Obviously,
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: this is part of his portfolio, right? So he didn't
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: handpick this team and stuff like that. But that's a
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: little thing too, if you were landing on something like this.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: And you have the $ 400 instead of just eating that
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: chalk with the cheap D. And you're already not on Bijan, right?
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: It makes sense to kind of go up a little
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: bit there. But that's 100% results-oriented there. Great run out. And, yeah,
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: we can take a look at the lineup that slightly
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: edged him out. Yeah.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: You know, you're building a good lineup when, cause like
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: I said, that's a portfolio play. So it's not going
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: to just be able to slide it in there. But
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: the note being that it could have found that like
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: the way that portfolio works, it could have said, it
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: just didn't, it's just unfortunate, but it's like, it could
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: have said, Hey, no B John in this lineup, let
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: us throw the Panthers in it. It just didn't. So
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: that's part of it. Um, Where did I see? Um,
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: this one said the second part of it said the
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: Panthers D was a very big key. I was not
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: looking on it, but looking back, I should have been.
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: That's why I said, that's more of a realistic opportunity
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: than of like thinking about the game and game theory
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: than it is. Uh, Jonah, whatever is it? What was
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: his name? Jonah Coleman, like the, the backup for, for
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: the backup. You know what I mean? Like, that's fine.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I know that RJ Harvey was out before the game
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: even started, but my point being, uh, it's that's just
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: a product of a bunch of different factors. Does it
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: take luck with a DST to get that many points
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: of them? Absolutely. It does. But it's saying like, when
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: you look here, we have optimal rates. they weren't that
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: much less optimal than like the $ 3, 700 Eagles. And again,
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: I'm all, I was all over Bijan. I don't care
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: when you're getting an almost 28% optimal Bijan at slightly
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: negative leverage. But if you did see this and see
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: this on the stone over at Shippenation.com and wanted to
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: use that as a way to, again, it's all part
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: of the puzzle. If you ended up getting there, it
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: is very possible. And I talk about it all the time.
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: with these spots. Again, the Titans, it's only 3%. I
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: get it. But it's like, if you're not going to
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: be on any of these Eagles, you could play a $ 21, $ 200, sorry,
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Titans defense as well. So And yeah, Dobbins getting hurt
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: did help Coleman, but it's also like, again, just if
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: you were getting, I would, I mean, I don't know
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: who got to Coleman yesterday before everything started, but if
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: you did, it's like really tricky. I hope whoever did
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: get to Coleman before the tournament started got to a
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: lot of him because if you're going to play a 0.1% guy,
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: you need combinations to be able to get there and
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: not just hope that he's your one guy in the
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: certain lineup that you have that brings you there. But
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: that's something where the stone can come into play. That's
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: why I brought that back up. We'll go back here. Um,
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: you know, we'll do Rios first and then we'll go
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: to the winner just because, but, uh, yo Rios, our boy,
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: let's check it out. It was Dak with CD. And
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: then he went with the double tight end with Schultz chalk,
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: but Jake Ferguson to go into the Dak stack. Right. Then,
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: then it had Stefan digs on the run back. So
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: it was a three, one there. it had CMC and
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: JSN as two afternoon guys that can just go off. No, um,
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: Derek Henry or Ravens, no Bijan or anything to do
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: with that game. Really no chase, um, Jamar chase early
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: on or anything like that to go across from Schultz.
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: It didn't, you know, wasn't needed, went with JSN. And
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: then you look at that, had Aaron Jones chalk and
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: the jets D was whatever, but in a lineup with
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: 400 bucks left on the table and this kind of
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: set up with two tight end, all that again, doesn't
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: matter at all. It's a, It's a great lineup. So
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: I don't have too much to add to it, Nades,
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: but obviously the most interesting part to me is like
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: the too tight end factor coming back around. You see
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Schultz Kittle, you see Schultz Ferguson, you see Schultz Andrews,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: Schultz Andrews, again, product of the slate, but everybody went
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: off it. We talked about it from week one where
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: it was like, Um, you know, everyone went to tight
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: end and the running back smashed. Well, what happened yesterday?
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Tons of people played running backs, three of them. And
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: now here you go getting tight ends, you know, zig
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: when they zag type of thing. Well, this is a
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: way you could get back to it. And that's how
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: you get Dak lamb CMC, uh, and you get JSN
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: on the same lineup. And then you just eat the
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: values with Jones Schultz, get a run back with digs
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: and plug in whatever defense fits. Again, he obviously wishes
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: he had a different defense, but who knows if it
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: even would have been that other one. So that's the point.
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: So I think it's a great way to think about
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: it when you're looking at these builds and what could
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: have been, it's more about slate dynamics.
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I think the biggest thing too, is why two
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: tight end was, was sharp, not just because it won,
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: but yesterday going in what, We knew the value was
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: weak in general outside of tight end, right? And people
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: were trying to say why tight end value isn't good, right? Obviously,
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: Andrews didn't do anything, but he was 4,400. Dalton Schultz
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: was really, I mean, 3,200. It's Vele was 4,200. He
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: was another value. Bateman was another value. But I say
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: all that to say value in that 4K range was
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: pretty thin, right? And we knew going in that the field,
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, 54% of the field ran three running backs.
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: Going in, Blickle talked about it, right? You can run
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: a formulation and kind of calculate that for yourself going
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: into any slate based on projected ownership. You can use
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: AI to help you do that as well. You can
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: listen to content across the industry. Because what happened? Week one,
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: three running backs was needed. Week two, naturally, three running
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: backs are going to be heavier on, right? Everyone's like, Oh,
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: the tight end plays are great, but we just saw
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: three running backs win. I can't play two tight ends.
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: And when I am playing two tight ends, most people
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: were clicking in Mark Andrews or Michael Mayer, right? So
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: how can I play two tight ends differently as well?
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: That's one of the biggest things that I saw is
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: 17% of the field used two tight ends in the flex, uh,
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: or two tight ends, uh, in terms of roster, the
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: winners and the top 20% had a 50% clip. Obviously that's,
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: that's more of a result. Um, but it's because it
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: allowed you to open up value. And those value plays
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: at wide receiver were being forced as bringbacks in that
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: in terms of game stacks, instead of taking the value
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: for what it is and using two tight ends in
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: a way to not use one of those value wide
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: receivers that were fringe in that range, but to attach
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: it to your game environment, your stack, right. As a
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: way that people aren't going to that game, right. Everybody
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: wanted Javante. Everybody wanted Pickens. Everybody wanted Lamp. Nobody wanted Ferguson,
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: but they expected Dak, right? Or Jaden Daniels, that game
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: to be the highest scoring game, right? So if you're
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: on that game, but the wrong pieces, it's not to
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: say that you're off as a process wise, but just
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: don't get blinded by the ownership and the projections and
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: the optimal rates and all the kind of industry speak
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: when Ferguson's done it before, right? It's not being results
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: oriented there. So that's one of the biggest takeaways that
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: I see is a lot of the top pros and
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: that based on my lineup study here were okay using
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: two tight ends in the flex and I think that
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: was actually a pretty good strategy going in because we
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: knew so many rosters were anchored with three running backs.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this is my tagline always. I talk
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: about DFS is how, not who. It's not who you play.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: It's how you play them, et cetera, et cetera. I think, again,
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: people do get caught up very often in a situation
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: like this being like, of course it was this play
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: or that play got there. This is really a product
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: of the slate dynamics. Like these all are sharp players.
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: Eli is super sharp. You see his logo everywhere. He's
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: got a Saberson logo. He's been... I think he's won
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: the Millie multiple times. And now we'd have to look
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: it up Hebrew. I think he's going to win a Millie.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: He almost did yesterday. He's at every live. Finally crushes
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: all sports. Bobby five, we know is one of the
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: better players out there to a lot of the, I
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: keysers up here, driver seat. I Mr. Good seats, Hishboo,
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: mock loving, like all the top players are up here
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: and playing strongly. And, and almost all of them. And
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: I said, well, of course you're going to see two
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: dental items. That's a, that's a product of the slate. Okay.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: But it, you can think about this too. That's my point.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: So many people focus on Monday mornings about JSN got
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: the best score and CMC, and you needed those two together.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: And of course, Schultz got there with eight catches on
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: the last drive and chalk, blah, blah, all this other stuff. Yes.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: But if you were to start, go back now, you're
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: not allowed to rewind. That's the benefit of why we
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: do this show and learn from it and move on.
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: And that's why even looking at winning lineups and perfect line.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: When we're looking at winning lineups, And some people say
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. Well, when you're looking at winning lineups
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: and a bunch of Cactus Jack, by the way, all
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: these guys, X Maliki, Brent, all these people have been
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: up here before. It's not their first time or their
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: first rodeo. So there is something to learn now. It's
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: better when you can actually look in to their entire portfolio.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Spoiler alert, you can, but we're not doing all that
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: here right now. Maybe on a future episode, we do
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: dissect it and reverse engineer it that way too, Nades.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: We've done that in the past, but just noting it,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: it's like my takeaway is not, JSN three touchdowns. We,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: if anyone out there thinks JSN couldn't score three touchdowns,
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: then that's on you. But the reason we didn't build
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: that way, majority of us for the majority of our portfolios,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: et cetera, might've only had 15% of them or 10%
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: or 18, whatever you had of him. Most people didn't
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: because of the way they were building. If you were
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: to rewind back and you knew everyone was building with
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: three running backs and You could have built your entire
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: portfolio for what if that fails? Not what if certain
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: running back named X, Y, or Z fail. What if
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: how people are building on this slate fails? Then you're
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: just going to get Picks and plays as a product
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: of your process. Yes, they will end up becoming important.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: You did, as we review on Monday morning and on
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: Sunday night, you did need JSN and CMC and some
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: of these guys. Yes, you needed that. Right. And Schultz.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: And you pretty much weren't getting to the top of
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: anything without these guys. But... it's a product of the process, right?
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: Those are just the names that ended up. If you
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: had went in saying, Hey, if two running backs going
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: to fail, what does that look like? Well, man, I
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: really like Purdy. I know I did, but I didn't
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: think about too many hand builds on my own where
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: it was like, I'm still going to keep that Schultz value,
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: but I want to make sure I get some Schultz
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: Kittle builds because of this. Well, that could easily happen.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: And it did right. It's literally in the top lineup yesterday.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: So going to Eli's lineup needs quickly. Um, 232.38, we
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: saw is about 20 off the optimal.
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: Use the 50K.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: That's not like people trying to leave all this money
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: on the table and stuff. No one's leaving money in
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: the entire tournament, nor do you need to. There's just
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: so many ways to get different. But Purdy with CMC
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: and George Kittle. We also talked about this early in
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: the season, Blickle and I, about the pair in the
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: running back with your quarterback more often. So again, here
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: it is again. But Brock Purdy, CMC, Kittle. Then you
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: had J.K. Dobbins. So we talked about Jonah Coleman showing
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: up at the winner. Well, J.K. Dobbins was still in
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: this lineup. So there you go. No R.J. Harvey, though.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: Kind of makes sense from that perspective, obviously.
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: JSN.
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: With CD lamb. So you're just loading up on these
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: other spots, Trey Tucker, not on mayor or on gentee.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: You're not on the running backs, et cetera, et cetera.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: You got Kittle. And then it rounds out with the
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: Patriots defense, which were kind of in between, right? People
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: were paying down or they were paying up. So really
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: interesting build here, Nades, but this is the, the winner.
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: What do you want to add to this one? I
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: know you had some notes pre-show coming in. I'm just
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: going to load up while you're doing that. Cause you
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: can just click on his name. And this is what
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: I was saying earlier. You could see like, okay, he
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: had 164 unique players, uh, across 150 lineups, only 30.
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: I say only like it only takes one, by the way,
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: but 30 out of 150 cashed, right? So it's about, um,
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: it's that 20% that we always talk about. So, um,
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: 25% in this case, but just going through it and
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: then that was right. The first time just going back
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: through trying to find it here on DFSOS. There's a way.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, here it is. Scroll down. I found it now. So,
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: you know, here's the one lineup that got the million bucks.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: The next closest lineup was 202. So this was the
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: one that found its way to the top of Purdy, McCaffrey, Dobbins.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: You're starting to see it now. So you see the
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: stack there, right? You got JSN, you got lamb, you
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: got Dobbins, but give us your takes on this, this lineup. Nades,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: I know you had some notes there. Yeah.
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: So, um, I like this lineup a ton. Um, the
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: two tight end thing we already hit on, um, there,
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: but people were capping out at lamb, right? Lamb was
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: the highest priced receiver people wanted to go to. And
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: when they were doing that, they were also more times
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: than not playing Dak Prescott for $ 200 more than, than
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: Purdy here. Right. So I think again, the spend up
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: wide receivers and how'd you unlock that spend up wide receiver.
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: You played the same value that everybody wanted to play,
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: but everybody wanted to play Dalton Schultz to get onto that,
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: Dallas and Washington, right? Game stack. So you're playing the
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: popular plays here, and I'm sure in the portfolio, right?
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: I'm sure he was heavily invested in Bijan and Henry
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: and that, and J.K. Dobbins, $ 100 less. Obviously, it didn't
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: work out, but had J.K. Dobbins, I mean, he would
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: have boat raced the field here, right? $ 100 less than
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: Aaron Jones, right? So this is how you set up
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: a portfolio to hopefully find one, right? That, that tail
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: far to the right, one lineup, one bullet, because these guys,
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: their entire portfolio doesn't win, right? They're just hoping one
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: of their lineups has enough to get there. And they've
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: spent enough time to allow for two tight end builds
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: and maybe a rule coded in when I'm going to
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: tight ends. I don't want that the combination to be
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: Schultz Andrews and mayor, two of those. I want to
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: use two tight ends in a way that other people aren't,
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: that can allow my portfolio to get to a $ 4, 600
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: kiddo instead of a $ 4, 600 punt wide receiver that people
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: wanted to go to, right? In terms of, I mean,
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: Matthew Golden, right? $ 4, 700, right? In the flex, you can
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: play him there. Obviously this lineup is capped out at 50,000,
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: but that's kind of how you can think through this
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: and extrapolate it out into your set, right? Ville, $ 4, 200 receiver, right?
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: Why not Kittle in this offense? Something like that, right?
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: That's just a product of the game and going off.
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: And people were on Purdy, but they were on Purdy
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: with either McLaurin or Stephon Diggs. Obviously, Diggs still did good,
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: but most Purdy teams had one of those guys, right?
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: They weren't going through McCaffrey and Kittle, right? So you're
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: not completely off the wall. You're on the same plays
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: that everybody wanted to play it. You constructed it in
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: a way that most people weren't finding and didn't find,
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: and now that's why this lineup got to the top.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah, if you see here, I just was pulling it
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: up some, but I just sort of by ownership so
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: you guys can see sort of what Eli did with
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: the top owned guy. So way underweight on Bijan versus
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: expected probably. I guess the other thing is you could
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: have thought he was coming in closer to like 35
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: to 40. So may have been trying to play like
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: just under the field, kind of like the Aaron Jones situation. Like, look,
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: he's going to be around 20. If I end up
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: with 19, he comes in at 18 or 21. I'm
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: not going to care either way, but definitely look to
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: get overweight on Schultz. I think it was pretty clear.
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: He was going to be around 20 to 25%. So
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: he got that one McCaffrey about the field, probably thought
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: closer to 20, maybe a little over Henry was about again, similar.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: You didn't know exactly what these guys were going to
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: get to, but he ended up underweight on them. He was,
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: I guess the other way to do it here is
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: the Delta just do it this way. So way overweight
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: on DK Metcalf didn't work out, but just an example.
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: And you can see the points scored over here. uh,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: way overweight on Jamar chase. That was pretty clear cut.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: And I liked that one. What I'd want to see.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: I'm just curious. Cause I saw Schultz and chase, and
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's just user error, but I
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: wish I could see by position just so I could
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: see like by quarterback. So if, uh, if my man
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: Josh is out there washing, watching, maybe that's another thing,
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: but I could just be missing it. But what I
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: wanted to see actually is how much of, That's the
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: best way to do this. I wanted to see if
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: he got Stroud. Yeah, a little bit. Again, not like
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: Stroud was getting a bunch of ownership. I just wanted
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: to see that and like X Hutchinson and Booty. I
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: was just curious to see if he maybe stacked that
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: side up, but I can't. I don't see too much.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'll go by exposures now just to see. So
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: Bijan's still there. Dalton Schultz. We talked about Henry Chase.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: So you can see how much of like the guys
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: that busted they still have in their portfolio, but then
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: it's all how you put it together. Javante, Garrett Wilson.
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: george pickens uh just trying to see here now bucky
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: irving right parker washington over barkley over that was brutal
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: the injury just to start and then came back for
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: a little bit not much but that was one thing
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: trying to see what other quarterbacks so that's what i
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: wanted to see so purdy about the field who else
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: is here dac prescott under the field ended up getting
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: to 13 could have been some late swaps as well
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: too that got people there but just to see JSN
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: he was actually under the field on but still at
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: about 7%. So just goes to show, got to get
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: those pieces in the right places. Can't really see too
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: much else that I'm concerned with or anything crazy there, Nade.
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: So not too much else to add. I think that's
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: just a good way to do it, though, if you
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: are looking at the slate review and want to be
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: able to go in and see it. We can look
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: at the 555. I want to give my boy LaVertical, DFS,
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: him and BP both up there. That was awesome to see.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: Squirrel Patrol. I mean, this was insane. We talked about Gibbons.
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, he won the Millie last year to week one,
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: the Mega. Last week, he gets second to kick off
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: the year in the Mega. for week uh week one
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: instead of first the previous year but then this week
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: he gets sixth in the 555 but he also won
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: uh one of the big tournaments on fanduel for 200k
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: as well obviously you don't get the fanduel csv so
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: you won't see those here at dfsos.com or you can
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: look into all this stuff that we're checking out but
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: la vertical got the job done and we'll bring him
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: up because i want to see here a couple things
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: before we look at his lineups he played 150 133
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: unique players, overweight, heavy on Mark Andrews. Like that's not
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: an accident. JSN, look at that. You know, 35% JSN
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: in the portfolio. Just amazing stands. That's how you get
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: to the top. Garrett Wilson, decent. I'm about even on
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: Aaron Jones. The expected ownership there would have been more known.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: I feel like, you know, solid on this up way
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: over on McBride as well. And then way over on lock.
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: So talk about a way to get different and lock
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: JSN McBride and just fill in the pieces around that.
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: You're going to get Schultz. You're going to get, you know,
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: as a second tight end, you're going to get some
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: other stuff. I wonder how much Derek Henry. Here it is. Just, yeah,
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: 28% still. So you're not playing that spot still. And
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: then Deltas, let me look, Nades, just to see. Talked
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: about Andrews, already talked about these guys. So really in
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: on that trio, which I don't even know if it
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: hit the winning lineup. I can't remember if McBride was
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: in there or not, but I don't think. Just one second.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Over on Lawrence, Drake London. Where is it now? Let's
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: do it by ownership. Boutfield probably thought Bijan was going
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: to be close to 50. So about the field there.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: Ended up probably being a bit surprised by 36, but
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: 40 made sure he was good either way. You know,
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: not much deltas on these besides Javante being under and
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: Michael Mayer being under, Dak being under, Pickens. So the
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: stand here was definitely, you know, not really being in
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: on that game, right? On that Washington-Dallas game, really from
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: any aspect. But let's look at the winning lineup here
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: when we go back to slate review. It was, or
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: actually I'm going to pull back up this way so
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: we can see it, Nades. I'll let you run through it, though.
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: It was Drew Locke with JSN, Schultz. It ended up
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: getting Chuba Hubbard with the Panthers defense. It got a
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: secondary stack with Watson and Garrett Wilson. The one-off in
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: this one was Lamb from that Dallas-Washington game. And then
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: the chalk, Aaron Jones. What a build, man. Just a
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: beautiful build.
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: 49-3.
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure if there would have been late swaps
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: involved or whatever might have changed up here. But in general,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: just trying to think of the money. What would have
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: been left in the afternoon, Nades? Just Drew Locke, JSN,
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: and CD.
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah. Um, yeah, so this could have been a late swap,
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: but probably not based on that portfolio. Who knows? I mean,
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: could have late swapped because of Aaron Jones, 13 points, right. As,
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: as chalk running back there, Watson didn't really smash. Um,
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: but he did not do out to, I mean, overall, I,
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, I can kind of talk through this cause
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: I just pulled it up. So I mean, Levert did
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: 44% tight end in the flex across his 150 lineups.
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: That's the biggest thing that stands out to me on
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: how he unlocked this. And he also flipped the build.
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: Everybody was spending up at quarterback to get Dak or
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: Jaden Daniels a part of that game. If you look
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: at the Deltas, he said, this entire set, I'm not
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: going to play that way because most people, when they're
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: going there, or a lot of people, especially in this
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: kind of field, right, with this high stakes MME, People
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: were going to have those angles covered, and he didn't
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: want to devote that much of a portfolio, I would assume,
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: to that game. Hence, he was way underweight on CeeDee Lamb,
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: way underweight on Pickens, way underweight on Javante, way underweight
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: on Terry McLaurin, way underweight on Dak Prescott, right? So
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: that game. But what did he do? He went to
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: another game in the afternoon that has also leveraged what
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: everybody wanted to do if they were going cheap at quarterback.
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: They were playing Carson Wentz, skinny stacking him with Justin Jefferson, right?
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: So he went to $ 300 more Drew Locke and had
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: 17% of his portfolio. He matched the field with Wentz.
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: So when he's matching the field with Wentz, he's saying, okay, Wentz,
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: I have, and I'm just going to take my shot
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: at my field lineups are better than the other field lineups,
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: but I'm going to then double down and, over and
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: divert a lot of my bankroll or my entries to
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: the other cheap quarterback, which then allows me to spend
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: up at wide receiver, which nobody was doing. And that's
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: the biggest thing that I kind of took. I mean,
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: 30% usage of three running backs. That was half the field, basically.
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: I mean, 29%, the field was at 55, 60%, probably
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: even higher in this contest because it's more projection driven.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: contest and it's a lot sharper field in general compared
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: to the $ 20 and it's a smaller field, right? So
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: ownership condenses more. So that's one of the big things
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: that I take away here is just not getting, right?
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: Drew Locke is a product of what he knew going
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: into the slate that the competition was going to do, right?
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: To unlock that. So if I had to assume his
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: Delta here, he was under on Justin Jefferson as well,
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: because he was flipping. Yeah. So he was under on
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: the whole Minnesota side because yeah, Justin Jefferson, he, he
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: matched field Jefferson, but then who'd he get overweight on
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: JSN in that range along with drew lock.
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of the big thing that I, I
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: stand out and then just not having any pieces, but
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: a one-off who can do that.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: CD lamb doesn't need to bring Dak with him because
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: he can be that PPR guy. Whereas Pickens, if he
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: would have played Pickens here, not being results-oriented. Pickens, I think,
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: is more of the pull the quarterback along just because
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: it's not as much PPR. Obviously, he could do it,
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: but CeeDee Lamb's more the 12 for 115 or 130
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: type guy, doesn't need the touchdowns to hit his ceiling, right?
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: So he's fine as more of a one-off in this build. Obviously,
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: it's 150 max set, so you're not hand-picking this team.
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: But it goes back to setting up your inputs equal
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: your outputs and looking at his overall portfolio and where
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: he took his stands. He was taking a stand to
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: be underweight on the Dallas game. Then getting overweight on
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: the other games that have a potential to match that
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: or outdo it, which came to fruition.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: The other thing I'll say that's a big, big time
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: move is like you got to, you know, applaud him
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: also for just standing his ground on what his take
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: was because when you have a morning lineup that looks
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: like chuba panthers you got your secondary stack there schultz
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: went off aaron jones beat the beat like bijan and
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: like he was right there with derrick henry like you
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: got to feel pretty good about your start i'm pretty
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: sure it could have been like dac cd and then
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: drop it down to either Pickens or a Washington guy
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: in this spot instead. There was a ton of ways
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: you could have flipped this and said, hey, since my
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: lineup went so well in the morning, I'm just going
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: to move it to that big boy total game that
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: everyone says is the nuts, and instead just say, nah,
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: I'm going to keep it as is. And he was
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: comfortable leaving money. If you look here and go down further,
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: I saw a 49.5, 49.1, 49.6. Where was the other one? 48, five, right?
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: Like all these could have been moved around. And again,
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: depending on how some of them do, but this is
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: what's crazy. Sort of when you stick to your guns
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: on this type of stuff, 42 out of 50 caches. So,
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: you know, almost 33% for him versus the other. And
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: you look at it from that perspective. I am curious
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: to like, just some of the other stuff I saw, like,
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: I want to see what some of the other players
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: in the, like, what did mock do for his portfolio?
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: Let's look. So he had 150 lineups like that. That's
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: what I wanted to see. So he actually cashed a
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: big boy number, 55 of his lineups. He was on
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: 111 lineups. And what were some of his, look at
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: these Delta. Yeah.
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: Look at the Delta on Bijan. This is, this is
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: the results oriented tilting discords rejoice right here. Oh my gosh.
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: I played Bijan. He was such a terrible play as chalk.
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: One of the best players in the world had 86%
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: of them across 150 lineups at $ 555 a piece. and
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: still made money on the slate and was right there
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: to win a million dollars.
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: Got away with it. Yeah. It's crazy, right? You got 11.1
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: points in it and only 14% of your lineups are
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: without him. But again, then you get the deltas on
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: lamb and on Dak and on Dalton Schultz and on
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: Wilson and, you know, a bunch of different other ones.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: You could see how it goes, but that's kind of the,
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: the other thing you got to think about when you're
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: setting it up, right? What else are you in on? It's,
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: it's just matters as a whole, but his lineup was, uh, Dak, CD,
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: Ferguson double tight end had Henry had Chuba with the
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: Panthers had Jamar chase, you know, had Garrett Wilson. So
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: a lot of just good plays that you can put
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: together and, you know, still have that stack. And that's
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: what I talked about earlier. Like I wonder the DAC
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: stack pretty much would have been similar and might even
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: have been able to have like Pickens in it for Lavertical,
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: but that was just the way it played out.
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: For example, the biggest thing on Moak, look at his
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: flex usage. 60% tight end in the flex. Why? Because
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: value was starved. That allowed him to spend that by Bijan,
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: but most people spending up to get Bijan at 86%
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: of your lineups, were using Aaron Jones or one of
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: those other punt value receivers in the flex along with,
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: like I said, Aaron Jones, right? So they were using
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: either three running backs, two of those guys being one
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: for sure being Aaron Jones. He allowed and unlocked the
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: ceiling of the JSNs, the CD Lambs, the DACs of
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: the world by using the value at no end positions
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: that are down injury situations, right, with the tight end.
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: Dalton Schultz, presumed to be the Nico Collins role, right?
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: So that's why he's 65% of his portfolio because that
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: allowed him in the portfolio here to get overweight on
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: the high ceiling upside guys overall. And just you hope
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: that one of the lineups puts everything together, right?
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: I like, yeah, and I like BP here as well.
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: This is another interesting one. And this is why I
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: like digging into these things. And again, like I said,
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: if you guys aren't doing this, you know, some people
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: don't believe in it or whatever. I don't know any,
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: like I always talk about it. A quarterback goes immediately
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: off the sideline and looks in at an iPad or
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: whatever the Microsoft one they call it is. And they're
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: looking at a tablet to try and learn from what
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: they just did. If, you know, poker players could see
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: every hand that every other poker player played, they would
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: try and dig into it. They try and get as
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: much information as possible. When you can dig in and
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: see some of these things, you can apply them to
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: your own portfolio. That's why this is so powerful. Check
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: this one out. I think this is pretty interesting. If
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: you go... by ownership and on Bijan, it's definitely an
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: underweight stance, right? Like it's minus 12.3. He just capped
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: him at 40 and called it a day. But if
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: you go back to, you know, points, let's go, or
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: actually let's go by exposure. Here's a, here's a better
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: way to show you. Panthers D 23. I mean, that's
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: on purpose, right? You got to click that in. It's
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: the first game of the day. There's not like anything
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: you're doing. You're your first game of the slate, part
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: of the start of the slate. And you're just saying,
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: I'm going to go light on Bijan, heavier on Panthers.
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: And also look at the Delta on Chuba. So just
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: like flip the build. You're already going to be in
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: a unique spot, regardless of anything else that's going on.
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: But willing to do that going in is just such
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: a huge move to just flip it before you even
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: get started. Right. You're already saying I'm going to do something.
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: that's a bit unique that flips this slate up. And then,
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: you know, Quentin Johnston ended up having a bit of
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: a Delta there, but I like, I like looking at
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: it from that perspective because you'll see it. Like Michael
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: Mayer was way up there. Panthers D Quentin Johnston, Jamar chase,
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: Javante Williams, you know, overweight didn't work. That one didn't
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: work out, but just to see like some of these
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: stances that these guys take is, is pretty interesting. So,
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: and what did you say to, when you said you
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: go on.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: Mock, uh, Yeah. Yeah. Click on mock and look at,
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: so his flex usage, BP's flex usage was 60% running
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: back in the flex, but 40% tight end. He used
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: three lineups of his a hundred, a hundred lineups in
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: this contest with wide receiver because he built in, he
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: wants to be underweight on those value, those value wide receivers,
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: the V lays of the world, the burdens of the world.
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: Those guys, obviously those guys aren't big chalk pieces, but
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: But how did he do that? Look at his delta
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: on Michael Mayer, who didn't work out. But he had
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: 60% Michael Mayer because he knew he was playing Mayer
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: in the flex, right? To unlock the spend up guys
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: at the receiver position when most people were spending up
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: at running back again. He hard capped Bijan. That's why
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: he got more, like you said, right? More Chuba and
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: that to then allow him to get A huge delta
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: on Jamar Chase. A huge delta on the other guys, right,
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: as well. So Saquon Barkley, he had a huge delta
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: on him. Matched the field at the other running backs
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: around that range. So he was picking high upside leverage
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: plays that the field were glancing over him because everyone
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: was getting hung up on the projection of the points
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: per dollar projected guys of their median range of outcomes. Again,
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: we're playing tournaments. We're not playing for median range of outcomes.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: We're playing for ceilings. And I think that gets forgotten
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: way too much when people are trying to build lineups
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: and understand the projection is just a guiding point. Those
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: are not the guardrails that you have to follow to
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: get to the end of the, the end of the lane, right?
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: That's just what, you know, the guardrails are what the
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: field is doing, right? Everyone's playing for medium projection optimizers,
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: everything like that. How do you give yourself ceiling without
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: cap without kind of catapulted or cannibalizing your, your upside, right?
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: and your overall potential with it without being crazy.
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah. This is a hundred dollars single entry here. This
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: one's interesting too. It's like a Jaden Daniels to digs
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: with the lamb run back. You got Derek Henry. You again,
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: the chalk Jones Schultz just ended up working out Patriots
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: defense sort of in the middle, mid range. You get
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: JSN as the, you know, get JSN and lamb. You
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: talked about it before. Most of you were capped as
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: lamb as their highest own guy. when there was like
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: JSN and you have Jamar chase up there as well.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: And some of these winning lineups too, where it's like, again,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: look at this one. Um, you know, Jamar CD lamb,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: JSN and CMC. And the way you get to it
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: is with like a Deshaun Casey Concepcion with the Titans
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: D and then, you know, looking at it from a
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: different angle. So that's interesting as well, but yeah, just
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: going back to that winning lineup. It's like, you know,
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: Dontavian wicks. If you're not going to be on, um,
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: Devonta Smith, cause you can't afford them or you're not
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: going to be on Barkley and you're going to be
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: on a wide receiver flex as opposed to, um, flipping
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: it around. I mean, really this should have been flipped
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: like JSN and that, I think it was the, was
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: that the morning or the afternoon, the Barkley?
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: I was the morning.
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: So they should have, they should have flipped. This is
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: obviously it's a single entry, so it's probably a hand
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: hand plug team from wherever the shitter who knows built
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: the earlier. And that's another thing, too, people forget about. But, yeah,
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, overall, I think this is this is Bill big.
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: And again, don't be results aren't you from the week before.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: Just because I had an inclination of Sunday Night Football,
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: I'm not playing 5-1 because I think it's over owned
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: for the potential 5-1 ended up winning. That's fine.
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: So don't take what happened yesterday or this week or
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: last week as concrete. Use it as a piece of
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: your fold. and fold it in and just kind of
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: keep tabs on it and then dive into these portfolios
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: using sites like DFS OS to help improve the baseline
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: of your, your, your foundation, right. And your process and
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: test it out, try it, add things here or there, add, add,
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: don't go in and add everything. And I'm going to
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: change this, this, and this because Tambo Nate said it
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: on the review, take one piece at a time, look
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: at it, fold it in, then you can start getting
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: actionable items off of that before you just go in.
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: Because if you add a bunch of stuff or change
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: a bunch of stuff and you have a really good day,
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: what helped cause that? You don't know, right? So the
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: more you kind of look and take it in bite-sized
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: chunks here, I think it can improve your process a
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: lot more than just kind of going full steam ahead.
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: If this is something new for you and you're out
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: there trying to get better at DFS, there's a lot
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: of content that we do that helps with that. But
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: folding in little pieces at a time, I think is
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: a big takeaway as well.
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I like to take thoughts from this. And even
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: when I was learning, coming up myself, it's like you're
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: taking thoughts from this and then going to watch the
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: free shows that we do and make sure you subscribe
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: because all of our shows are free. And you can
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: take the slate thoughts and use these little nuggets that
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: you remember along the way. Pittsburgh Payment Plan has been
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: around forever. Incredible player as well. This lineup is really interesting. Again,
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: didn't win. That's why you don't just want to look
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: at the winning lineups. I like to look at them,
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: especially when I can look into the portfolios of them
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: and I know who the people are and how good
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: they are, et cetera, et cetera. You had Derrick Henry
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: chalk and you had Andrews chalk. You also had Schultz chalk.
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: Sure.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: But if you're looking at a way to play it together,
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: this is pretty sick. Lamar Henry chalk. Bateman and Andrews.
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: You keep Schultz. You obviously are, you know, flipping the
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: build a little bit. So if you're, if you're not
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: getting to be John, why not play Chuba and the
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: Panthers D? And if you're not getting to be John,
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: it's because you're going with, you still want a piece
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: of that Dallas Washington game, the PPR guy, and then
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: you get Jamar chase. So you get like the Ravens
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: score a bunch of points is what you're hoping for.
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: jamar and cd lamb crush you get the value play
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: that you would expect and then you just flip the
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: running back and the d against the one that most
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: people are on which is bijan and atlanta on fan
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: duel or just bijan in general on draft kings so
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: that's like a pretty pretty sharp way to do it.
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah i think the schultz chase mini stack not just
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: being results oriented because that's that's got there but schultz
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: isn't looked at as a tight end with the situation
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: that was happening in houston right Chase can push the
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: game the other way. Schultz was looked at as a $ 3, 400
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: or $ 3, 200 Nico Collins, right? You had to assume he
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: was the most likely outcome. The only consistent, right? I mean,
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: people were Xavier Hutchinson, Jalen, no, these other guys that
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: don't get playing time. Even in normal Schultz has always been,
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: he's been the one consistent. So you look at him
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: as a wide receiver here for $ 3, 200 to unlock the
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: ceiling of of, okay, if Schultz is getting their PPR,
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: which he did, right? He didn't score a touchdown. He
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: went 12 for whatever, 150 yards or whatever, kind of
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: a Nico Collins-esque stat line that unlocks you to play
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: a Jamar Chase, right? As a one-off and things like that.
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: So I thought that was a sharp. Everyone's like, oh,
• 59:11
  Speaker 2: wide receiver one in a tight end? That doesn't speed
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: up the game. But you have to assume not all
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: tight ends are equal. Not every spot is equal. There's
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: injuries that play into it. Obviously, everyone knew Dalton Schultz
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: was a great play. But how could Dalton Schultz hit
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: his ceiling? Well, if Jamar Chase is gritting in the
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: end zone because he's making toe tapas, Toe tap touchdowns
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: at the pylon mean, well, that gives you your Nico
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: Collins PPR guy for a value on the other side
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: that unlocks the rest of the lineup.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah, a lot of good things out there yesterday, man.
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: I think that's probably going to do it for this one.
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: We can check out a bunch more. Knowlesman won the
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: the 3180 for 200 K. So he crushes just got to,
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: you know, look at all these things and check it out.
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: But I think for this one, that's probably enough to
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: go through it. Like I said, if you guys want
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: to check it out, go to DFSOS.com. You can get
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: a free trial or you can use code SHIPIT to
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: get half price on the founder rate. So you can
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: take the $ 59, lock in 29. It's basically a dollar
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: a day. There is full player profiles. I was just
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: on that randomly. You could see just basically the leaderboard
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: right now. And it shows you from yesterday, it's the
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: million dollar winners and who's been winning the most money
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: and whatnot. But you can go in and see pretty
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: much anything you want with his, his history and background.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: You can go see all the different sports that he plays,
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: the money that he's won across those sports for the
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: data that's here, right? It's not fully, not every contest
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: is covered. So don't take this for a grain of salt.
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: It's more like a, you know, like a poker database
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: of winnings. It's, you know, he's won a lot more
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: money than this, guaranteed. But it's just what's available to
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: be able to dig into and find that out. I
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: think that's really critical when you're looking at something like this,
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: being able to find it out. I use it a
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: ton just to have it up on my screen for
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: the news when we're going through the shows and that
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: sort of stuff. But check that out. If you guys
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: want to get access to the stone for ship at nation,
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: you can go to ship at nation.com and check it
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: out there. The early bird promo is still on for
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: three 49. Click join the nation. You can go to
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: single sport for NFL and get either with or without
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: saber Sam. And then for tonight, we'll of course have
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: all the showdown content as usual with the slate station,
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: the stone 2.0 with the hand builder. Uh, if you
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: haven't used the stone 2.0, that's, we didn't show it earlier,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: but this is a way you can go in and
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: see too. Like you could have built it out and
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: looked at optimal rates and said, okay, Brock Purdy, yesterday.
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: And then you just, you know, start going through it
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: of what you want to get with Brock Purdy and
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: put in there and you could see, okay, I wanted
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: to get a, a high upside separator, right? Maybe that's
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: where George Kittle went into it. And then you knew that,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: you know, Schultz was just the bang on value for 3,200.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: His optimal rate was 13%. And you start building out
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: from there. And yet, you know, I like Mike Evans,
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: so that didn't work out, but maybe that's where you
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: get different there and you could start building, but you'll be,
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: you'll be able to see it all here and save
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: it in your save lineup. So you guys want to
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: check it out, go to shipment nation.com. All the sports
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: that we cover are there. And then showdown will be
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: up later. Uh, just an hour from now, it'll be
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: hoop title. And myself back here for the showdown shipper
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: show for Monday night football. We've got, what is it?
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: The Rams and the giants tonight waiting on the Puka news.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: I think it go from there, but nays, any final
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: thoughts from you before we get out of here?
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: No, fun to break it down. Again, I always say it,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: bankroll management is key. You got to be in the
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: game to have a shot to get all your losses
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: back or at least some and hopefully then set you
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: up for continued success going forward from that. So it's
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: okay to downscale too. I've started to use AI to
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: kind of analyze my process where I have resulted in
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: things like that. So there's tons of tools out there
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: to help you kind of hone into what is good at.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: But if you've always played the same way and you're losing,
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: maybe switch it up. Maybe switch to a single entry.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: Maybe switch to a five max. Maybe switch to a
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: 20 max. There's 150 max contests out there that you
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: can get 75 cents with a shot to win whatever,
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: 20 grand, 70 grand, whatever the mini max is on DraftKings. Obviously,
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: it's a massive field, but all of the contests, if
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: you're winning that contest, there's a good chance you're going
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: to win any other MME contest on the site as well.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: So you can at least scale then your process across
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: and do that. So it's okay to scale it back.
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: It's okay to take slates off. It's okay to do that.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: But what it's not okay is to not review your process,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: not look over things and just doing the same thing
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: over and over again and wondering why you're not winning
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: because this show told me to do that. That show
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: told me to do that. You tried to blend everything together.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: Have your own thoughts at the end of the day.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: Use the shows and content as a guide rail to
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: create your own repeatable process week in and week out. Yeah.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: And actually DFSOS has that as well. Usually you pay
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: for that 30 bucks or more alone, just for that
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: at certain sites. You have a bankroll management, bankroll tracker.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: There's a quick four minute tutorial. We'll teach you exactly
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: how to do it. But the main thing is you
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: can track your DFS profitability, ROI and behavioral patterns. You
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: can upload because it's coming from your own files, both sites.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: You could see your own P & L, your ROI,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: your in the money rates, All different sports parsed out
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: or sparsed out. Sorry, you can do it that way.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: And then you got category breakdowns. You can see what
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: your monthly performance looks like, your profit heat map, all
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: of your biggest wins, all of that and more on
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: this site that you can go check out. So check
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: it out. ShipItNation.com for us. DFSOS.com for that. Use code
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: SHIPIT over there. That's going to do it for this one, guys.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: For Nades and for myself, Totag and Tambo, good luck
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: in your contest this week. Let's ship it!
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: Thank you.