Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 12, THANKSGIVING WEEK, Lines with Scooch and Chad

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NFL Week 12, THANKSGIVING WEEK, Lines with Scooch and Chad · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:00
Speaker 1: M H. Welcome to the Favorite podcast. Chad Milman of
0:14
Speaker 1: the Action Network. It is Wednesday, the day before Thanksgiving,
0:21
Speaker 1: two days after the greatest NFL game in the history
0:24
Speaker 1: of Monday Night football, that changed the face of betting forever,
0:29
Speaker 1: that turned bookmakers into crying little children. And today, as
0:38
Speaker 1: I do every Wednesday, I have from the Orleans and
0:44
Speaker 1: all the Boyd gaming books throughout the country, bookmaker to
0:52
Speaker 1: the world, Bob Scucci, Ye, the day after, Scooch. We're
1:14
Speaker 1: recording this on Tuesday night. Are you feeling after the
1:20
Speaker 1: game last night, of which I have many things to say?
1:24
Speaker 1: Are you feeling as triumphant as your intro music? Are
1:29
Speaker 1: you feeling buoyed by your intro music? Are you feeling
1:34
Speaker 1: unworthy of your intro music? This is the game we're playing,
1:38
Speaker 1: A B or C. I always feel try a triumphant.
1:44
Speaker 1: I always feel triumphant. Is it because of the game
1:49
Speaker 1: or is it just because you're Scooch? No, it's because
1:51
Speaker 1: of the music. Yeah, it is pretty good. Let's talk
1:57
Speaker 1: about last night? Can we talk about Last Night? Sure?
2:00
Speaker 1: In a non graphic Jim Belushi, Rob low Way, how
2:06
Speaker 1: dated is that reference? Was that? The movie about Last Night? Yeah, yeah,
2:14
Speaker 1: you went deep for that. It's a movie though, well
2:19
Speaker 1: for me, Like, look, it's a mid eighties movie takes
2:24
Speaker 1: place in Chicago, and um, I lived in Chicago, so like,
2:32
Speaker 1: this was the life I wanted to live. I wanted
2:34
Speaker 1: to go to mother's like on Rush Street and drink
2:37
Speaker 1: my sorrows away and find a way to have to
2:41
Speaker 1: me more, fall in love with me, and play softball
2:44
Speaker 1: on the lake when I grew up. Yeah, yeah, it was,
2:53
Speaker 1: you know, quite the ambition there. Listen, this isn't about
2:58
Speaker 1: mocking me. This is about trolling you because the bookmakers.
3:03
Speaker 1: I mean, look, last night was amazing. It was the
3:06
Speaker 1: Rams Chiefs. It was Monday Night football. The total on
3:08
Speaker 1: the game was sixty three. The Rams and Chiefs combined
3:12
Speaker 1: for sixty nine points in the second half. The first
3:16
Speaker 1: half total was thirty one. They scored thirty six, The
3:19
Speaker 1: second half total thirty five. They scored sixty nine. The
3:22
Speaker 1: total total sixty three. They scored a hundred and five.
3:26
Speaker 1: The total on touchdowns was seven and a half. They
3:30
Speaker 1: scored fourteen. The total on Jared Goff touchdowns was two
3:35
Speaker 1: and a half. He had four. The total on Patrick
3:37
Speaker 1: Mahomes was two and a half he had six um
3:42
Speaker 1: scooch no bueno man, No, No, it was bad. It
3:50
Speaker 1: was it was ugly and the game and the game
3:52
Speaker 1: fell three, which is not good too. So but this
3:57
Speaker 1: it just we've seen higher and higher total throughout the year.
4:02
Speaker 1: We're seeing way more offense. We knew this was gonna
4:04
Speaker 1: be a track meet just setting the total. But when
4:09
Speaker 1: when teams start putting up a hundred points in a game,
4:12
Speaker 1: you know, how high are we supposed to make these totals? Um?
4:15
Speaker 1: I kind of I heard a little bit about it
4:17
Speaker 1: in some of my meetings today. They're like, you know,
4:20
Speaker 1: what were you guys thinking hanging sixty three games should
4:22
Speaker 1: have been eighty three? I mean that those are arena
4:25
Speaker 1: football numbers. Uh. You know, I was watching some tweets
4:29
Speaker 1: come across last night and uh, it looked like, you know,
4:33
Speaker 1: a seven on seven flag football kind of you know,
4:39
Speaker 1: just every play just you know, touchdown. So I don't
4:42
Speaker 1: know how you're supposed to handicap those in terms of
4:44
Speaker 1: the totals. So what are you supposed to do? Like
4:48
Speaker 1: you've got you've got Here's a question I was asked today.
4:52
Speaker 1: As you know, I am the chief content officer for
4:56
Speaker 1: the Action Network. We have an app, a free app
4:59
Speaker 1: anybody can downloaded. You can go download it, get all
5:02
Speaker 1: the content you want, get access to lines, totals, information,
5:06
Speaker 1: everything you need is a better As part of my duties,
5:09
Speaker 1: I go on many many radio shows around the country
5:11
Speaker 1: every week. Today I was on a radio show in Houston,
5:14
Speaker 1: one of my favorite shows, Okay and Um. The host
5:20
Speaker 1: asked me, Uh, what if if there was a Super
5:24
Speaker 1: Bowl between the Chiefs and the Rams, what do you
5:29
Speaker 1: think the total would be? What? I hadn't thought of
5:33
Speaker 1: the question as soon as he asked it. My first
5:36
Speaker 1: instinct was seventy and based on just what the number
5:43
Speaker 1: was for this game and whether or not there would
5:45
Speaker 1: be a repeat performance. Uh, and you only made it
5:49
Speaker 1: some touchdown higher than what it was yesterday. Do you
5:55
Speaker 1: think I should have gone higher? I think so. You
5:58
Speaker 1: want to take me hi? Uh? You would one? So
6:05
Speaker 1: right now you're saying to me, this is crazy. You're
6:07
Speaker 1: saying to me if the Rams and the Chiefs playing
6:10
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, you would set the line at what
6:15
Speaker 1: seventy three? Well, dude, don't don't insult me for saying
6:23
Speaker 1: seventy and then be like seventy three You can insult
6:28
Speaker 1: me if you're like, I'm making it eighty three like
6:31
Speaker 1: Big Tony and everybody else, so I have to work
6:33
Speaker 1: for told me it should be, But you can't say
6:36
Speaker 1: seventy three. I would split it. Not, I would split
6:42
Speaker 1: the difference. I think we have to go eighty on
6:43
Speaker 1: this game. Your face is seventy three. I mean, the
6:51
Speaker 1: only the only thing that the Super Bowls generally, the
6:54
Speaker 1: first halves are lower scoring because there's a lot of
6:58
Speaker 1: a lot of nerves involved, a lot of kind of
7:00
Speaker 1: feeling everything out, and then the second halves usually explode.
7:03
Speaker 1: So that would be the one saving grace for making
7:06
Speaker 1: it lower than eighty. But uh, they would still put
7:10
Speaker 1: up sixty seventy points in the second half alone. Do
7:14
Speaker 1: you feel like you will see a total this year
7:18
Speaker 1: at seventy points? No, No, you know, the reality is
7:23
Speaker 1: we still have to inch it up. You know, it's
7:26
Speaker 1: all joking aside. I'd like to make it that high,
7:28
Speaker 1: but for for these regular season games, we're going to
7:33
Speaker 1: have to just keep you know, sixty sixty six, sixty
7:36
Speaker 1: seven and inch it up. We'll rely on a lot
7:39
Speaker 1: of the professional handicappers to kind of validate our number.
7:42
Speaker 1: Last night when we hung thirty five in the second
7:45
Speaker 1: half that they pounded the under the Sharp guys, they
7:49
Speaker 1: pounded it, and we we we want more on the
7:51
Speaker 1: second half than uh probably any any Monday Night halftime
7:56
Speaker 1: this year, just on that total. Uh So you know,
8:00
Speaker 1: it's when they start betting the over with the public
8:05
Speaker 1: that we're kind of in trouble. And I saw that
8:07
Speaker 1: a little bit with one of the totals we hung
8:09
Speaker 1: this week with the Falcons and the Saints, and uh
8:12
Speaker 1: we hung fifty nine and not we knew the public
8:16
Speaker 1: is going to be on you know, Saints Falcon's over,
8:19
Speaker 1: but the Sharp guys betted over as well. So that's
8:22
Speaker 1: that's when we start getting in trouble when when they're
8:24
Speaker 1: they're betting the same side as the public. Fifty nine,
8:27
Speaker 1: honest to God, as a total for the Saints Falcons,
8:30
Speaker 1: it feels quaint, do you know what I mean? Well,
8:34
Speaker 1: sixty one now it feels charming, like, oh cute, they're
8:39
Speaker 1: you know, making it sixty one. That game is gonna
8:44
Speaker 1: land at sixty nine or seventy. It's gonna be like
8:48
Speaker 1: one is going to be an absolute shootout on Thursday. Yeah, Hey,
8:55
Speaker 1: I'm afraid you're I'm afraid you're right. How much did
9:00
Speaker 1: you how much did you lose in this game? Did
9:02
Speaker 1: you get killed in this game? Do you get killed
9:03
Speaker 1: in this money night game? We've had worse, We've had
9:07
Speaker 1: worse this year. I think that the fact that, uh, um,
9:11
Speaker 1: we had a you know, a decent Sunday save the
9:14
Speaker 1: fact that there wasn't a lot of liability going into
9:16
Speaker 1: Monday Night. So that's what usually determines how bad our
9:19
Speaker 1: Monday nights ares, how bad Sundays are, And you had
9:24
Speaker 1: a pretty good Sunday. Uh, you know, the Steelers didn't
9:28
Speaker 1: cover the who else didn't cover? Is the Chargers didn't cover? Um,
9:35
Speaker 1: what were some other big favorites. I mean, the Saints
9:37
Speaker 1: covered big, but that money was coming in on Philadelphia,
9:40
Speaker 1: so you got saved there and the Bears covered, but
9:44
Speaker 1: I don't think you were probably getting a huge money
9:46
Speaker 1: on the Bears. So yeah, that that was deceivingly bad.
9:51
Speaker 1: A lot of a lot of late money came in
9:53
Speaker 1: on the Bears, and we lost a little bit more
9:56
Speaker 1: on that game than I thought we'd lose for Sunday
9:58
Speaker 1: Night game. Usually, you know, the Sunday night games favorite
10:02
Speaker 1: and over is usually bad. But because it was the Vikings.
10:06
Speaker 1: We were getting a lot of early money on the
10:07
Speaker 1: Vikings during the week, and but then it just all
10:10
Speaker 1: came in late, and so we we gave a lot
10:13
Speaker 1: back on the Sunday night game. You know what hurt me?
10:15
Speaker 1: I had the Chiefs of the money line. Oh well,
10:22
Speaker 1: you know what they say, what's the right side? Is
10:26
Speaker 1: the winning side? Yeah, I've heard that. So there's no
10:29
Speaker 1: such things a tough feat. You're either right or you're wrong.
10:34
Speaker 1: Last night I was wrong last night you were wrong?
10:41
Speaker 1: Why was I wrong? Because? Yeah, on the total? Yeah,
10:47
Speaker 1: way wrong on the total. Way, But what are you
10:51
Speaker 1: supposed to do? It's like a college basketball game. Let's
10:54
Speaker 1: say we hang you seven on a you know, Duke
10:57
Speaker 1: North Carolina and they two hundred points. Are we supposed
11:01
Speaker 1: to say the next time that that they play, We're
11:04
Speaker 1: supposed to make the toll two hundred? Well? Why not? Though?
11:09
Speaker 1: Like if the if the Rams, seriously, if the Rams
11:12
Speaker 1: and the Chiefs playing the Super Bowl, any line you
11:16
Speaker 1: set under seventy is going to be bed over right,
11:20
Speaker 1: any line you set, you are gonna be lopsided. You're
11:24
Speaker 1: gonna need the under for your lungs. You are gonna
11:28
Speaker 1: be praying for incompletions you that it's gonna be a
11:32
Speaker 1: five hour game. That is going to be a five
11:35
Speaker 1: hour sauna for you. It's gonna be miserable. If you
11:39
Speaker 1: don't hang a rams Chief super Bowl at eighty three,
11:44
Speaker 1: then I I don't even want to know you, scooch.
11:47
Speaker 1: But now you're making my point. Now we've just reversed ourselves.
11:52
Speaker 1: And and and that was the point I made five
11:54
Speaker 1: minutes ago. Well clearly it's sunk, kid, because I'm with you. Yeah,
12:04
Speaker 1: how is Thanksgiving gonna treat you? Are you gonna look
12:07
Speaker 1: what's gonna happen? Is your beautiful bride gonna have sort
12:11
Speaker 1: of the whole family waiting for you at the end
12:14
Speaker 1: of the day when you come home. Are you gonna
12:16
Speaker 1: be tense? I'm miserable every Thanksgiving. Everything's giving. That is
12:21
Speaker 1: not a fun day for me, And it doesn't. It's
12:25
Speaker 1: just it's like Sunday on steroids for me. Like Sundays
12:28
Speaker 1: are not good days now. Even if we have good Sundays,
12:31
Speaker 1: they're not They're not fun days for me. They're just
12:35
Speaker 1: it's just a lot of work and a lot of
12:38
Speaker 1: anxiety and a lot of just tension. So so Thanksgiving
12:42
Speaker 1: is just more of the same. Plus you've got your family,
12:49
Speaker 1: plus I got my family. Yeah. Last night my wife
12:53
Speaker 1: said to me she invited friends of ours over, a
12:57
Speaker 1: couple with four kids. And I said, wow, it sounds great.
13:02
Speaker 1: She goes really, I'm like, yeah, she goes, huh like
13:05
Speaker 1: what I go? She goes, well, I don't know. I
13:07
Speaker 1: was talking to one of our friends and I was
13:10
Speaker 1: telling her how we invited these people over, and I
13:13
Speaker 1: was convinced you just be like irritated, um that, like,
13:17
Speaker 1: I'm invited more people over and you were going to
13:19
Speaker 1: want a deal. I'm like, why do you make me
13:21
Speaker 1: sound like an ogre? Well you must be an ogre,
13:26
Speaker 1: I guess, so it must be really horrible. They you know,
13:32
Speaker 1: they can read body language. You know, she can probably
13:34
Speaker 1: read your expressions, so she's anticipating the next time. By
13:38
Speaker 1: the way, you said, they about women as if they're
13:41
Speaker 1: like I wanted to take that back if it came
13:44
Speaker 1: out of my mouth, as it came out, as if
13:50
Speaker 1: they are a different species with like a different kind
13:53
Speaker 1: of sensory perception that us mere men cannot a man gin.
14:00
Speaker 1: They are at a higher level. They can they can
14:04
Speaker 1: sense fear, that's what you're saying. What are you doing
14:09
Speaker 1: right now about the Chicago Bears and the Detroit Lines?
14:12
Speaker 1: Do you take that game off the board for Thursday? No?
14:15
Speaker 1: I should have though, so actually that was I was
14:19
Speaker 1: trying to deal with the parlay cards that had already
14:21
Speaker 1: gone to the printers to try and change the line,
14:23
Speaker 1: but I couldn't. Uh went on once it goes to press,
14:27
Speaker 1: I mean that the cards are being printed, so money
14:30
Speaker 1: was just pouring in and it's a little toold. On
14:33
Speaker 1: Hold on, my wife is calling me right now. It's
14:35
Speaker 1: not only can she sense fear and body language, but
14:39
Speaker 1: she knows when I'm talking about her in the best
14:41
Speaker 1: possible way. Oh my god, go ahead and take that.
14:44
Speaker 1: Oh no, no, no, I don't want her on the
14:46
Speaker 1: podcasting's only and for me, her ears must have been
14:50
Speaker 1: burning seriously, right, yeah, Stacy's the best. Um, please continue.
14:56
Speaker 1: I apologize because the reason I'm asking that question is
14:59
Speaker 1: because Mitch Drabinsky did not practice, and there's fears about
15:03
Speaker 1: his availability for the game, and and that was the thing.
15:06
Speaker 1: So we were you know, every Thanksgiving they bet the favorite,
15:09
Speaker 1: so we all automatically hang a lot of these popular
15:12
Speaker 1: favorites high. So the Bears are probably a point higher
15:15
Speaker 1: than what they would normally be, and Cowboys are a
15:17
Speaker 1: little higher and Saints are a lot higher. So we
15:20
Speaker 1: already hung the Bears four and a half. And uh,
15:24
Speaker 1: as predicted, a lot of the public money was coming
15:26
Speaker 1: in on the Bears. But the sharp guys took the
15:28
Speaker 1: four and a half. Now that was before any news
15:30
Speaker 1: on on Mr Drobiski. They had already taken the plus
15:32
Speaker 1: four and a half. They must have gotten they as
15:36
Speaker 1: soon as he didn't practice. They before we even got
15:39
Speaker 1: word of it. Uh, they took plus four, They took
15:42
Speaker 1: three and a half, They took three and a half.
15:45
Speaker 1: Even money I just went down to three on the game.
15:48
Speaker 1: So I went from four and a half to three
15:50
Speaker 1: probably in the last hour or two. And just uh,
15:54
Speaker 1: you know, just a ton of money that uh that
15:58
Speaker 1: came in. That kind of caught us a little flat footed.
16:01
Speaker 1: So uh a little annoyed at that. But who are
16:05
Speaker 1: you who are just in general, no one, no one
16:09
Speaker 1: in particular. Just you know, it's just a lot of
16:12
Speaker 1: times that if somebody gets that information before we did, um,
16:16
Speaker 1: you know, which we can't make the adjustment. So and
16:19
Speaker 1: it's not to say that you know, he still made
16:22
Speaker 1: play and we we don't know, so, but I like
16:25
Speaker 1: to try and be ahead of um those kind of moves.
16:31
Speaker 1: Aren't you the guy? Aren't you the guy who knew
16:34
Speaker 1: Eli Apple was going to be traded and then the
16:35
Speaker 1: Eagles were going after him too, and weeks before, and
16:39
Speaker 1: yet Mitch true Bisky doesn't practice and everybody in Vegas
16:44
Speaker 1: knows before you do. Yeah. Yeah, that's not just flat footed,
16:50
Speaker 1: that's dereliction of duty. Hey, I was in I was
16:54
Speaker 1: in meetings. I was no. Oh no, I cannot accept
17:00
Speaker 1: that as an a certain meeting. Note on a certain meetings,
17:04
Speaker 1: you have to kind of turn off all your devices
17:07
Speaker 1: when you go in. When you go into certain meetings,
17:10
Speaker 1: you just are completely cut off from the outside world.
17:14
Speaker 1: It sounds like you need to start delegating some of
17:15
Speaker 1: your responsibilities. Let people make some decisions. That's true. The
17:21
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys are suddenly resurgent, and between Colt McCoy being
17:25
Speaker 1: injured and the Cowboys winning two in a row, the
17:27
Speaker 1: line opened it nine and a half. It's been bent
17:30
Speaker 1: down to seven and a half, which is clearly more reasonable. Um,
17:34
Speaker 1: the Cowboys shouldn't be nine and a half point favorites
17:36
Speaker 1: over anybody. No, what's your logical? Where are you at?
17:40
Speaker 1: What's happening? Well, well, the whole thing is just you know,
17:42
Speaker 1: the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, especially when they're playing probably the
17:47
Speaker 1: best that they've played all year, or at least you
17:49
Speaker 1: know perception wise that that that's what the betters think.
17:53
Speaker 1: So so we just went as high as we could
17:55
Speaker 1: possibly go, knowing that the public is going to lay
17:57
Speaker 1: these favorites. So, um, I agree with you did get corrected,
18:02
Speaker 1: um who took took some sharp money on the Redskins.
18:05
Speaker 1: But this will probably come right back up before kickoff time,
18:09
Speaker 1: especially once the average uh fan kind of puts in
18:13
Speaker 1: his his parlay's and doesn't really have a whole lot
18:17
Speaker 1: of faith in Colt McCoy. So uh well, we'll see
18:22
Speaker 1: how see how this line comes right back. I think
18:25
Speaker 1: the difference between Colton McCoy and Alex Smith was three
18:27
Speaker 1: points right around. Yeah that's right, Yeah, absolutely absolutely, yeah.
18:34
Speaker 1: I nailed that, Yeah, nailed it. What do you make
18:39
Speaker 1: the difference between Colt McCoy and Mark Sanchez twenty seven point?
18:50
Speaker 1: Is that about right? That's a that's about right. That's
18:52
Speaker 1: what That's what I would make it. Yeah, Mark Sanchez
18:55
Speaker 1: like Jesus Christ, Marks like honest to guy, I think
19:00
Speaker 1: Nathan picks six men and Mark Sanchez have the same
19:04
Speaker 1: point spread value. Yeah, you know, Uh, do you feel
19:12
Speaker 1: comfortable having the Cowboys being nine and a half point favorites?
19:15
Speaker 1: If that line goes back up, I wouldn't I hire you?
19:19
Speaker 1: Eight eight and a half is what I had. I
19:22
Speaker 1: wasn't higher than eight and a half. I know there
19:24
Speaker 1: was some nine min and a half's out there, but
19:26
Speaker 1: I'd be okay with eight and a half. All right,
19:30
Speaker 1: not right, ye, Scooch. We're gonna come back to the
19:34
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21:02
Speaker 1: our picks. I like this next game a lot Atlanta
21:04
Speaker 1: at New Orleans open fourteen and a half. It's currently thirteen.
21:08
Speaker 1: What are you at? Is the wise guy money moving
21:10
Speaker 1: this down from more than two touchdowns? It is? Yeah,
21:16
Speaker 1: we were looking at this game before the Saints just
21:19
Speaker 1: rolled on Sunday. Uh. We were kind of anticipating these
21:23
Speaker 1: three Thanksgiving Day games because they're so volatile and so
21:27
Speaker 1: much money is being bet on them, that we were saying, kind,
21:30
Speaker 1: we've got to make the New Orleans at least eleven
21:32
Speaker 1: on this game. And then and then after after watching
21:37
Speaker 1: New Orleans on Sunday, we're like, let's just go as
21:39
Speaker 1: high as we could possibly go and and see if
21:42
Speaker 1: the uh if the wise guys will take it. And uh,
21:47
Speaker 1: first bets out of the gate, we're on the Saints.
21:50
Speaker 1: I mean, we we hung thirteen and went right up
21:54
Speaker 1: to thirteen and a half, took took another ten thousand
21:58
Speaker 1: at minus thirteen and a half, uh, and then went
22:01
Speaker 1: to fourteen. And that's when the wise guys started coming
22:04
Speaker 1: coming in heavy on the Falcons. This line is so inflated.
22:08
Speaker 1: I can't tell you. I mean this line really when
22:11
Speaker 1: I say it should be a ten, I mean that's
22:13
Speaker 1: what you know, the numbers say it should be. It's
22:16
Speaker 1: just a bias on a high profile game on Thanksgiving
22:21
Speaker 1: with the public is just writing the Saints every week.
22:24
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter what number we put up there, they're
22:26
Speaker 1: going to bet the Saints in this one. If we
22:28
Speaker 1: hung this team, they would bet the Saints. They owned sixteen,
22:31
Speaker 1: and so it's just a matter of what number is
22:34
Speaker 1: going to draw some some big sharp action. And uh,
22:38
Speaker 1: you know, if we don't have to go to fifteen
22:40
Speaker 1: to get the sharp action, then then we won't. So
22:43
Speaker 1: it looks like it looks like the sharp guys don't
22:46
Speaker 1: want any more of plus thirteen. So I'm actually going
22:50
Speaker 1: to go back to thirteen and a half as we speak.
22:53
Speaker 1: Oh and there it is thirteen and a half like that,
23:04
Speaker 1: do you I do? I think you changed it just
23:08
Speaker 1: for the sound effect. Now you know we're gonna need. Actually,
23:15
Speaker 1: I I am taking some some pretty big bets on
23:19
Speaker 1: the Saints, just you know, in the two thousand, three
23:22
Speaker 1: thousand dollar range here as we're as we're speaking, so
23:25
Speaker 1: I was watching it creep up anyway. Um, you know.
23:29
Speaker 1: So it's this is like I said, this is gonna
23:31
Speaker 1: be like a Monday night game, like a Sunday night game.
23:35
Speaker 1: It's all the favorites. If all the favorites come in
23:40
Speaker 1: on early on Thanksgiving, then this this line goes right
23:43
Speaker 1: back up to four team. I'm gonna hold off. Then
23:45
Speaker 1: I want to bet the Falcons in this game. And
23:47
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna wait to get the best of number. Yep.
23:51
Speaker 1: I'm not saying the Saints can't just roll again, but
23:54
Speaker 1: you you have to take the value in these games,
23:57
Speaker 1: and and there's just tremendous amount of value in the
24:00
Speaker 1: Falcons here. Again, this total is at open. New England
24:05
Speaker 1: Patriots are nine and a half point favorites on the
24:08
Speaker 1: road at the New York Jets. They, my friend, are
24:13
Speaker 1: a train wreck, dumpster fire, trash of epic proportions, prime
24:21
Speaker 1: spot for the Jets to cover. I agree with you there,
24:27
Speaker 1: We're just so we're waiting. Uh. I mean there's a chance.
24:31
Speaker 1: Uh Sam Donald plays here watching the quarterback situations in
24:38
Speaker 1: a few of these games. But either way, either way,
24:40
Speaker 1: you take ten points with the Jets at home. So
24:45
Speaker 1: another game where probably the line should have been seven
24:49
Speaker 1: and a a half, eight and a half. But these Thanksgiving
24:53
Speaker 1: Day weekends, we know the town is just packed with tourists.
24:58
Speaker 1: The tourists are gonna bet five six teams that they've
25:02
Speaker 1: been following all year that they love to bet on,
25:04
Speaker 1: and the Patriots are one of them. So we want
25:08
Speaker 1: to be as you know, as high as we can.
25:11
Speaker 1: We're not getting a whole lot of bets on the
25:14
Speaker 1: Jets though, from the from the sharp guys, which is
25:17
Speaker 1: a little little concerning. Um, you can't really go much
25:21
Speaker 1: higher than or I don't want to go much higher
25:24
Speaker 1: than ten when there's nine and a half's out there.
25:26
Speaker 1: But well, we'll inch this game up too if we
25:29
Speaker 1: have to. You know, you can sew it up to
25:31
Speaker 1: eleven if you need to. Probably don't have to. I
25:35
Speaker 1: think I think ten and a half is just such
25:37
Speaker 1: a dude. It was another eighties movie reference. Oh I
25:42
Speaker 1: missed it? What was what was that movie? This one
25:45
Speaker 1: goes up to eleven? Spinal tap? Uh damn. It should
25:52
Speaker 1: have got that one. That's like in your wheel house? Yeah,
25:56
Speaker 1: what happened to you? Here's another shitty game. Baltimore is
26:04
Speaker 1: tighter and a half playing favorites over the Raiders. What
26:06
Speaker 1: the hell you do with that? It's one shitty team
26:09
Speaker 1: against another. It's like, these lines are too high. I
26:13
Speaker 1: can't do it anymore. You gotta take the Raiders here.
26:18
Speaker 1: I don't want I'm not even gonna look at this game.
26:20
Speaker 1: I hate this game. Put this game on in the
26:22
Speaker 1: corner and let's just pretend it doesn't exist. Come on,
26:27
Speaker 1: the Raiders coming off of that big win. That was
26:30
Speaker 1: a big game for us, by the way, against the
26:33
Speaker 1: That was a massive game against the Cardinals. I looked
26:35
Speaker 1: on Sunday morning and like, I thought, that was gonna
26:37
Speaker 1: be a a corner TV game and that had a
26:42
Speaker 1: huge volume of bets, like one of the top three
26:44
Speaker 1: or four most back games of the day. Yeah. Really
26:47
Speaker 1: really another game that they came in late, and there
26:50
Speaker 1: was just the three afternoon games and we were already
26:53
Speaker 1: out of the Saints game. We were losers on that
26:55
Speaker 1: one right out of the gate. So it was really
26:57
Speaker 1: between uh you know, the Raider game and what was
27:01
Speaker 1: the other afternoon game. We we were on the right
27:04
Speaker 1: side of late there Chargers Broncos. Yeah. Yeah, yeah, that
27:09
Speaker 1: was a huge one too, so so money line bets.
27:14
Speaker 1: Uh Chargers let that one slip away and that that
27:16
Speaker 1: ended up being good for us, But the Raiders turned
27:19
Speaker 1: into it. And that just goes to show the volume
27:22
Speaker 1: of the NFL when there's just the three games, even
27:24
Speaker 1: a even a shitty game draws a ton of action.
27:27
Speaker 1: Watch your mouth? Why swearing? What the fund is the
27:33
Speaker 1: matter with you? Wow? One the way you got the
27:42
Speaker 1: kids scared? What is some kind of you know sailor
27:47
Speaker 1: fucking convention. They don't get to come in here and
27:50
Speaker 1: start crissening up a storm just because you're Bob Scucci
27:53
Speaker 1: and you think you host the podcast. Man, don't make
27:59
Speaker 1: me get Scorsese in here. You sounded a little Scorsese,
28:06
Speaker 1: Papa cap in you. Uh, please continue talk about this
28:13
Speaker 1: crantastic game. Ravens Ravens min minus eleven got you don't
28:22
Speaker 1: even have anything to say about it. I got nothing
28:24
Speaker 1: to say about this game. Zero move on. No one's
28:28
Speaker 1: bet in this game. Literally, I think there's seventy bets.
28:32
Speaker 1: Seventy bets so far in this game. Uh. The New
28:36
Speaker 1: York Giants plus six and a half at Philadelphia. Um,
28:44
Speaker 1: let me tell you something. Before the season began, I
28:46
Speaker 1: did one thing that sounded really smart. I said I
28:49
Speaker 1: did not believe the Philadelphia Eagles would make the playoffs. Um,
28:54
Speaker 1: obviously I didn't think they would win their division. Less
28:58
Speaker 1: smart in the very high stakes pool I did with
29:02
Speaker 1: my buddies in which we each pick eight teams to
29:05
Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl and put in a sizeable chunk
29:09
Speaker 1: of money to do so, I traded down in the
29:12
Speaker 1: draft away from the Chiefs, thinking, well, I'll get the Giants,
29:17
Speaker 1: and I feel like they're gamers. Nice move there, But
29:24
Speaker 1: I was high on the Giants too at the beginning
29:26
Speaker 1: of the year. I think everybody was. It was almost
29:28
Speaker 1: a clue that we should just jump off on that.
29:31
Speaker 1: Every pundit felt that this was the year the Giants
29:34
Speaker 1: just make leaps and strides improvements. Uh, you know, new
29:39
Speaker 1: new coaching staff, new offensive lines, defensive acquisitions. You know,
29:45
Speaker 1: it's just and of course, uh, they're horrible. I think
29:52
Speaker 1: it's not so much my mistake because I was only
29:54
Speaker 1: on the Giants after you said to me otherwise, guys
29:56
Speaker 1: are in the Giants. Yep. Yeah, well they were too.
30:02
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, betting the season win total. But
30:06
Speaker 1: this is a weird line. Six points. Two teams that
30:09
Speaker 1: are relaying the line moved down. It opened at seven,
30:13
Speaker 1: we're down to five and a half. Now you're getting
30:15
Speaker 1: hit with some wise guy money on this. Yeah. So
30:18
Speaker 1: in the you know, two equally bad teams that you're getting,
30:25
Speaker 1: you're getting six points um the rivalry and uh, I
30:29
Speaker 1: guess a little more value on that. Which team seems
30:32
Speaker 1: to be playing better? Even though the Giants let Tampa
30:36
Speaker 1: Bay almost come back and win that game last week
30:39
Speaker 1: when the Giants were a big uh, just when I
30:42
Speaker 1: was about to say the Giants are looking pretty decent,
30:44
Speaker 1: and then that second half they Tampa Bay brings in
30:48
Speaker 1: Jameis Winston, they pulled Fitzpatrick and Giants almost let another
30:53
Speaker 1: one slip away. So not a whole lot of action
30:57
Speaker 1: on this game. I mean, this would have been a
30:59
Speaker 1: game early in season when you look on the schedule
31:01
Speaker 1: and you think it's going to be one of the
31:02
Speaker 1: good ones, and the way it turns out with these
31:05
Speaker 1: two teams, it's, uh, one of the ones that you
31:08
Speaker 1: know they're not really gonna pay too much attention to. Well,
31:10
Speaker 1: you know what, Odell Beckham said, they could still win
31:12
Speaker 1: eight in a row, and they can't. They've won two
31:14
Speaker 1: in a row, only six more. Yep, what are the
31:19
Speaker 1: odds on that? She said A line on that that
31:22
Speaker 1: would have been a good line for you that you
31:24
Speaker 1: know seems ago to said. Whether or not that they
31:25
Speaker 1: would go eat no Yah finished the season would have
31:30
Speaker 1: been five thousand to one. Think about the action you
31:34
Speaker 1: could have taken. Just like for fun, you would have
31:36
Speaker 1: been the only book in Vegas putting up those lines.
31:38
Speaker 1: You would have gotten some you know, commercial appeal. Someone
31:41
Speaker 1: like the Action Network would have written about you, Yeah,
31:45
Speaker 1: that you're too busy and meetings, turning off your phone
31:46
Speaker 1: to really think about how to market your book. Yeah,
31:52
Speaker 1: San Francisco, speaking of, they are on the road at
31:55
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. God only knows who's gonna play
31:58
Speaker 1: quarterback for them. God only knows who's gonna watch this game.
32:02
Speaker 1: The Buccaneers are three and a half playing favorites. We
32:06
Speaker 1: opened four on this one, and the wise guys love
32:09
Speaker 1: the forty. Niners bet the plus four. They bet the
32:13
Speaker 1: plus three and a half, went down the three minus
32:16
Speaker 1: twenty and slowed everything down. But the public is still
32:22
Speaker 1: on the Buccaneers on this one, probably at about a
32:25
Speaker 1: three to one clip so, um, just because they're the favorites,
32:30
Speaker 1: where we'll get some public money on them, but we've
32:32
Speaker 1: already taken some significant money from from the sharp guys
32:37
Speaker 1: on the Niners. You have yep, Nick Mullins fans huh huge, Yeah,
32:44
Speaker 1: what's the showing? I don't know, Listen the next game.
32:49
Speaker 1: We gotta run a really bad games here, but let's
32:50
Speaker 1: pretend that they're interesting. So Cleveland at Cincinnati, this is
32:54
Speaker 1: the huge Jackson ball. Um, I'm surprised this line knowing
32:59
Speaker 1: that Hugh Jackson as the Browns playbook. Uh, and it's
33:02
Speaker 1: gonna be whispering sweet nothings in Marvin Lewis's ear. I'm
33:05
Speaker 1: surprised you haven't like moved this line of way up
33:08
Speaker 1: because it sounds like that is just a a death
33:13
Speaker 1: defying feat for the Browns to come in and beat
33:18
Speaker 1: the Bengals on the road, knowing they have to go
33:20
Speaker 1: against their old coach like that is going to be
33:22
Speaker 1: the storyline that is going to be the lazy storyline
33:25
Speaker 1: for the week. It will be the only storyline of
33:28
Speaker 1: this game because, uh, nobody, nobody cares about this game
33:33
Speaker 1: other than probably the folks in Cincinnati or Cleveland. We
33:38
Speaker 1: have no no action on this game at all, no
33:41
Speaker 1: sizeable bed Yeah, I mean ticket ticket count. It's probably
33:47
Speaker 1: five to one Bengals. We're at three minus twenty. But
33:50
Speaker 1: maybe the twenty cents is discouraging some of the sharp
33:54
Speaker 1: guys from laying the price. But um, I could kind
33:57
Speaker 1: of get though how the game will go to three
34:01
Speaker 1: and a half from the I think the sharp guys
34:03
Speaker 1: are probably gonna lay the three on this one more.
34:07
Speaker 1: I don't see them taking the Browns in this one.
34:10
Speaker 1: So you're probably right in that it's probably gonna get
34:13
Speaker 1: a little higher. So we'll keep an eye on this one.
34:16
Speaker 1: Trying to move this quick. I'm kind of annoyed with
34:19
Speaker 1: the NFL schedulers that they made like every game after
34:22
Speaker 1: Thanksgiving bad. Well look and look at these huge point spreads.
34:27
Speaker 1: I mean, you've got double digit, double digit point spreads
34:31
Speaker 1: in like five games this week, and it's it's ridiculous,
34:35
Speaker 1: horrible teams make It's gonna it's gonna make the Thanksgiving
34:43
Speaker 1: Day games that much bigger because people are just gonna
34:45
Speaker 1: focus on those, you know, three or four big, real
34:49
Speaker 1: good games and then the rest of the schedule is
34:51
Speaker 1: not gonna mean much. They're betting their cash on Thursday. Yep,
34:57
Speaker 1: what runs? What? What? What is a good word for
35:00
Speaker 1: a movie? Do I miss another one? Now you just
35:08
Speaker 1: sound like my father in law. I got it, I
35:13
Speaker 1: got it. I know what that is. I got it.
35:19
Speaker 1: This line has moved and this was interesting to me. Uh,
35:22
Speaker 1: Carolina opened at three, it's now at three and a half,
35:26
Speaker 1: and the majority of the bets are coming in on Seattle.
35:31
Speaker 1: So what I'm seeing is that the wise guys liked
35:34
Speaker 1: Carolina as a short home favorite. That's what we're seeing
35:38
Speaker 1: two and I I thought that they would like the Seahawks.
35:43
Speaker 1: I was. I was a little surprised by the by
35:45
Speaker 1: the move here. I don't know what they're they're seeing.
35:48
Speaker 1: I'm not surprised. I'm not surprised, uh, because I think
35:53
Speaker 1: there's there's a lot of um public sentiment for the
35:59
Speaker 1: Seahawk right now, and especially coming off that win against
36:05
Speaker 1: the Packers, and obviously the Panthers just lost to the Lions.
36:10
Speaker 1: Um so people are less inclined to think this is
36:12
Speaker 1: a good team. I don't think they're very good team either,
36:15
Speaker 1: but but I think the line should have been closer
36:17
Speaker 1: to four when it opened. And so to me, there
36:20
Speaker 1: was about a point of value for the wise guys.
36:23
Speaker 1: Good argument. Jacksonville minus These games are like enigmas and
36:29
Speaker 1: puzzles to me, Jacksonville minus three against Buffalo? Is it
36:33
Speaker 1: possible I could have betting fatigue right now? In this moment?
36:37
Speaker 1: Can I have betting fatigue? The idea of having to
36:40
Speaker 1: think about whether or not I like Jacksonville or Buffalo
36:43
Speaker 1: is actually dragging me down, just just to have to
36:50
Speaker 1: try and greet into this game is just it's kind
36:53
Speaker 1: of discouraging. I'm going with Jacksonville. No, I'm going with Buffalo.
37:00
Speaker 1: I can't picture many people going with Buffalo and this one,
37:03
Speaker 1: especially with the Jags looking a lot better last week
37:09
Speaker 1: than they have previously. So um, there's really nothing to
37:13
Speaker 1: be too encouraged about betting on the Bills here other
37:17
Speaker 1: than the factor at home. So um, I'm gonna move
37:21
Speaker 1: the Jags pretty quick if we get any kind of
37:25
Speaker 1: sizeable bet on the Jags. But right now I'm not
37:28
Speaker 1: seeing much of anything. A lot of public money just
37:31
Speaker 1: all on the Jags, but nothing big, no substantial bets
37:35
Speaker 1: either way. Nothing from the sharp guys on this one.
37:38
Speaker 1: You're not gonna get anything. I might move it right now.
37:44
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to Yeah, I'm gonna go to four. Now.
37:51
Speaker 1: You're just doing it for the sound effect, you know,
37:56
Speaker 1: like that's an easy one to do. No one's gonna
37:58
Speaker 1: bet on this game. I can move the line of four.
38:01
Speaker 1: It's open. It's not gonna It's like the risk analysis
38:04
Speaker 1: here is I get to hear the horn. Yeah, that's it.
38:09
Speaker 1: It's a good trade off. Yeah, I get to do
38:11
Speaker 1: the horn and have a little fun and nobody's gonna
38:14
Speaker 1: bet in this game, so it doesn't matter. Um here's
38:16
Speaker 1: another massive number on a team that broke my heart.
38:20
Speaker 1: I finally decide last week, I'm going in on the Chargers.
38:25
Speaker 1: I liked them as touchdown favorites against the Broncos. I've
38:28
Speaker 1: seen them playing so well, I'm all in. Uh, and
38:34
Speaker 1: they had that game. They should have won that game
38:36
Speaker 1: by three touchdowns. It was that one turnover Philip Rivers
38:40
Speaker 1: von Miller late in the third quarter, I think, and
38:43
Speaker 1: it just changed everything. It really did, and that that
38:48
Speaker 1: was a game the Chargers just dominated offensively. They just
38:51
Speaker 1: drove down the field pretty much at will. There's another
38:55
Speaker 1: point in that game that I thought was pivotal and
38:58
Speaker 1: that uh, Philip Rivers just trying to run out the clock.
39:02
Speaker 1: He threw the ball at a receiver's feet that that
39:05
Speaker 1: stopped the clock as Denver, gave Denver another time out
39:09
Speaker 1: and as it turned out, just enough time to to
39:11
Speaker 1: come back down and kick a field goal. So uh,
39:14
Speaker 1: there was just a lot of uh mental mistakes in
39:18
Speaker 1: that game for a team that just I'm I was
39:20
Speaker 1: high on the Chargers myself, and uh, just again, they
39:25
Speaker 1: really should have won much should have won that game easy,
39:29
Speaker 1: and uh, they just they just gave it away. And
39:32
Speaker 1: yet they're twelve and a half place favorites right now
39:34
Speaker 1: and they're gonna lay it and this line is gonna
39:36
Speaker 1: go up. You think so? Yeah, the Cardinals are that bad? Yeah? Absolutely?
39:44
Speaker 1: Who did they lose to last week? Peace? Wow? Yeah,
39:50
Speaker 1: this is another line that's going to close their team.
39:54
Speaker 1: I would say i'd move it now, but I want
39:55
Speaker 1: to hear that. Damn horn. Now you're just doing it
39:59
Speaker 1: because you're there. I called you out. You're a little embarrassed.
40:01
Speaker 1: I'm sorry about that. It is going to go up. God,
40:07
Speaker 1: that's a game I don't want to have to make
40:08
Speaker 1: a decision on. Problem is, I'm doing this pick him
40:10
Speaker 1: contest with my buddy, and we got to choose every
40:13
Speaker 1: game against the spread. It's the one where the loser
40:16
Speaker 1: gets sent like all these second place trophies, no money,
40:19
Speaker 1: just pride. And I've killed him for the past five years,
40:23
Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, it's like tight and he's
40:28
Speaker 1: just calling me and taunting me about all the trophies
40:31
Speaker 1: he's gonna buy. And I'm looking at these games and
40:34
Speaker 1: I'm not thinking about any money. I'm only thinking about
40:38
Speaker 1: I don't want to pick this because he's going to
40:40
Speaker 1: pick on your side and I'm gonna like lose this season.
40:43
Speaker 1: And I'm feelingly at the Cubs like he's just in
40:45
Speaker 1: my head right now, right exactly. Betting is the worst.
40:53
Speaker 1: I do you know why I hate Sundays. I don't
40:57
Speaker 1: like Mondays with name Matt Tune. This is an interesting
41:09
Speaker 1: line to me. Miami opened as a ten point underdog.
41:14
Speaker 1: The line has moved to eight. Ten felt really really high.
41:18
Speaker 1: Ten felt like irrational exuberance for the Colts. Well, this
41:23
Speaker 1: is all on. Ryan Tanneh helped the line moved down
41:28
Speaker 1: to eight on on the news that he was upgraded. Okay,
41:33
Speaker 1: so yeah, that that was and I agree with you
41:36
Speaker 1: the line. The line was probably on the high side,
41:39
Speaker 1: even even with os Weiler, and I mean it was
41:44
Speaker 1: we we we try to go on the high side,
41:47
Speaker 1: especially with these big favorites again because of the Thanksgiving
41:51
Speaker 1: Day weekend and UH and the the amount of people
41:54
Speaker 1: that are going to be in town betting all these
41:56
Speaker 1: public teams, um, so it was it was a little inflation.
42:00
Speaker 1: But when the news came out with Tannehill, then the
42:02
Speaker 1: sharp guys just kind of jumped on it. So we're down.
42:05
Speaker 1: We're down to eight and a half, and slow down,
42:09
Speaker 1: don't We don't have much on either side of minus
42:11
Speaker 1: eight and a half. So just off the news, you
42:13
Speaker 1: didn't adjust the number, you would have left the number
42:15
Speaker 1: the same, meaning Tannehill to brock Oss Wilder. Isn't that
42:19
Speaker 1: much of a change in points, per right, But obviously
42:22
Speaker 1: the Bettors felt differently, so they took the ten. They
42:26
Speaker 1: took the nine and a half and some of the nine.
42:31
Speaker 1: This is a good one. Finally, Pittsburgh at Denver. Denver
42:37
Speaker 1: is a three point underdog at home. Tell you what, man,
42:44
Speaker 1: not a very good football team, but they know how
42:46
Speaker 1: to cover. They've they've won some. They've covered some big
42:50
Speaker 1: games for us, a couple of back doors, especially at home.
42:54
Speaker 1: Uh they're on my favorites list now and uh, this
42:58
Speaker 1: is gonna be another one. We're gonna we're to need
43:00
Speaker 1: them in terms of parlays, but in terms of straight bets,
43:04
Speaker 1: we've actually taken more on the Broncos than any other
43:08
Speaker 1: team except the Lions, and the Lions was all on
43:11
Speaker 1: that Trabinsky news, but we just got pounded on the
43:16
Speaker 1: on the Broncos from the sharp guys. We opened four,
43:19
Speaker 1: so it was probably a half a point higher than
43:22
Speaker 1: what we would normally make it, but just trying to
43:25
Speaker 1: anticipate with some of the public money, we went on
43:27
Speaker 1: the high side. So I kind of expected them taking
43:30
Speaker 1: the plus four, but I didn't really expect them taking
43:33
Speaker 1: plus three and a half and driving it down to three.
43:35
Speaker 1: I feel like, you know, the public will come in
43:40
Speaker 1: on the weekend and they'll see the Steelers only laying three,
43:43
Speaker 1: and they're gonna just be all over this. So it's
43:46
Speaker 1: gonna be one of those games where the sharp guys
43:48
Speaker 1: in the public are just on complete opposite ends. If
43:52
Speaker 1: I want to be a sharp guy, I missed the
43:53
Speaker 1: best of the number, you would probably recommend waiting until
43:57
Speaker 1: Sunday so I can get in the good graces of
44:01
Speaker 1: the number. Yeah, particularly because there's you know, there's only
44:05
Speaker 1: it's an afternoon game. It's it's one of the late games.
44:08
Speaker 1: So again, depending on how the morning goes, if a
44:11
Speaker 1: lot of the favorites cover in the morning, you're gonna
44:13
Speaker 1: see a lot of the afternoon favorites get driven up
44:16
Speaker 1: even higher. So, um, you've got a chance to get
44:19
Speaker 1: that three and a half or even four later later
44:23
Speaker 1: in the week. I mean guarantee the public is going
44:25
Speaker 1: to be betting the Steelers in this one, and there's
44:28
Speaker 1: gonna be some big public money in town, so this
44:31
Speaker 1: line will go back up. I feel like this past
44:33
Speaker 1: weekend for the Steelers was a seminal moment in their season.
44:37
Speaker 1: They have been through so much and between the Levy
44:41
Speaker 1: on Bell stuff early season losses a tie, they have
44:46
Speaker 1: come around. Their defense is getting significantly better. You saw
44:49
Speaker 1: it this past weekend against the Jags. They can unload
44:53
Speaker 1: when they have to offensively, like they found a way
44:56
Speaker 1: to win that game. Pure grit, pure talent, pure want.
45:00
Speaker 1: That was just want. It really was. Yeah that was
45:04
Speaker 1: I am. I am both to bet a road favorite. Um,
45:10
Speaker 1: but if I were going to pick one this week,
45:11
Speaker 1: it would be the Steelers. M M yeah, I can
45:15
Speaker 1: see it. I mean I was trying to be high
45:18
Speaker 1: on the Steelers last week too and ended up falling
45:21
Speaker 1: on a bad number, which you know, turn turn from
45:25
Speaker 1: being one of the best games on the board to
45:26
Speaker 1: being an okay game in terms of the sports book
45:30
Speaker 1: win win loss statement. Um, so I'm gonna I'm gonna
45:33
Speaker 1: be high on them most most every game. I mean,
45:36
Speaker 1: Steelers just draw so much betting support is just incredible,
45:40
Speaker 1: the number of people that just even non Steeler fans
45:43
Speaker 1: will throw the Steelers in Parley's So, um, we're always
45:47
Speaker 1: going to be on the high side with the Steelers.
45:49
Speaker 1: Speaking of highside, you got Sunday nights, second week in
45:52
Speaker 1: a row. You've got the Minnesota Vikings on the TV.
45:56
Speaker 1: There are three and a half point favorites against a reeling,
46:00
Speaker 1: not very good, not very well coached, a little bit
46:06
Speaker 1: disorganized Packers team that is probably going to need a
46:11
Speaker 1: new head coach next year. Yeah. I don't disagree with
46:17
Speaker 1: with anything you said, and we were on the high
46:21
Speaker 1: side here too. We took a little bit of Packer money.
46:23
Speaker 1: I wouldn't say a tremendous amount of sharp play, but
46:29
Speaker 1: we took some decent sized bets on the Packers at
46:33
Speaker 1: plus three and a half and we went to three
46:36
Speaker 1: and a half minus twenty on the Packers. And the
46:40
Speaker 1: public seems to be honest at about a two to
46:42
Speaker 1: one ratio, so they haven't jumped off, and I think
46:45
Speaker 1: we'll get pretty good two way, two way action on
46:47
Speaker 1: this one. We saw some a lot of Viking support
46:50
Speaker 1: against the Bears last week, and um, Vikings will still
46:54
Speaker 1: draw a lot of betting action. You saw some size
46:57
Speaker 1: Johnny on the Packers, Yes, we did. I'm trying to
47:02
Speaker 1: make that a thing. Is it hasn't working out well,
47:07
Speaker 1: you're hesitated, So no, not that great. It's like, uh,
47:13
Speaker 1: if I may refer to another movie, this one from
47:17
Speaker 1: a little bit more recent, Mean Girls, one of the
47:22
Speaker 1: characters continue to try to make fetch a thing like
47:25
Speaker 1: that's so fetch. So yeah, okay, yeah, you lost me
47:32
Speaker 1: on the Mean Girls. Alright, alright, father in law. Um,
47:37
Speaker 1: let's just say you've got some size Johnny coming in
47:39
Speaker 1: in the pack and the money is coming back in
47:42
Speaker 1: on the Vikes, and we're moving on to Houston. Is
47:45
Speaker 1: four point favorites against the Tennessee Titans, the kind of
47:49
Speaker 1: fraudulent seven games in a row winning Texans versus the
47:54
Speaker 1: inconsistent don't know who you're going to get? Uh, look
47:59
Speaker 1: like they play hard then have a couple of stinkers
48:01
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans. Yeah, we have no line on this game yet.
48:07
Speaker 1: Because of no line, Houston is going to be somewhere
48:15
Speaker 1: around up touch almost a touchdown favorite. Um, but it's
48:21
Speaker 1: gonna it's gonna depend on whose quarterback. And I mean
48:25
Speaker 1: there's just injuries Tennessee on Mariota, so we gotta just wait.
48:31
Speaker 1: He's quite listening as questionable right now, but we need
48:34
Speaker 1: a little bit more information before we hang a hang
48:37
Speaker 1: a line on this one. But we're not real high
48:40
Speaker 1: on the on this Houston team either, even though they're
48:43
Speaker 1: in the middle of that winning streak and said last
48:45
Speaker 1: week that they shouldn't really be uh laying points on
48:48
Speaker 1: the road like they were in that Redskins game, and
48:51
Speaker 1: I think they still almost lost it. So they didn't cover.
48:54
Speaker 1: They definitely didn't cover second week in row where they
48:58
Speaker 1: second week in a row where they eat how to
49:00
Speaker 1: win on the road in a situation where they got
49:03
Speaker 1: very lucky. Yeah. Absolutely, there was a defensive touchdown in there,
49:09
Speaker 1: and of course, uh Alex Smith got got hurt, and
49:13
Speaker 1: so I mean, yeah, there was there was a lot
49:15
Speaker 1: of things going their way there. The public loves this
49:18
Speaker 1: team a lot more than sort of sharps like you
49:20
Speaker 1: and I. Yeah they do, but they weren't really it
49:24
Speaker 1: wasn't a real big game last week. They weren't overwhelmingly
49:28
Speaker 1: on h We had pretty good two way action on
49:30
Speaker 1: that game last week. What was our Scoot Rowlett, what
49:36
Speaker 1: were our Scoot Roulett picks last week? You had the
49:40
Speaker 1: Rams at what the ran number? I had him at
49:44
Speaker 1: two and a half. But that that was That was
49:46
Speaker 1: before they moved the game to l A. A win
49:51
Speaker 1: is a win a right the right side of the
49:53
Speaker 1: winning side. Someone genius once said that, and uh, Chad
49:58
Speaker 1: Millman in his head had the redskins. But I think
50:01
Speaker 1: out loud he said the Falcons. You did love the
50:05
Speaker 1: Falcons last week? That was stupid, wasn't it. I now
50:09
Speaker 1: you like him again this week. Lack of options and
50:14
Speaker 1: imagination for for a guy that hated the Falcons all year,
50:19
Speaker 1: now suddenly you like all year eight years eight years. Yeah,
50:26
Speaker 1: pretty much. I have had the same tired take on
50:32
Speaker 1: the Falcons since you and I were doing this ed ESPN. Yeah,
50:37
Speaker 1: I remember we have been together for a long time,
50:43
Speaker 1: size Johnny, We have absolutely all right, So who do
50:49
Speaker 1: you want to go with? I don't like hold on,
50:52
Speaker 1: hold on, scars, I gotta scars. It's so fucking hot
50:58
Speaker 1: in this studio that like, I'm honestly delirious. I can't
51:04
Speaker 1: even see. It's like foggy, and um my head is
51:10
Speaker 1: spinning a little bit. I might be dehydrated. I can
51:13
Speaker 1: see like a big bottle of water all the way
51:16
Speaker 1: across the table from me, and I wish, I wish
51:20
Speaker 1: I could have it. But it's kind of like an oasis.
51:23
Speaker 1: What's going on there? What aren't you in the aren't
51:26
Speaker 1: you in the studio? Isn't what is it? The heat
51:29
Speaker 1: up too high? What's going on? It's like a cocoon
51:32
Speaker 1: of heat. So I'm missing my cues. We're supposed to
51:40
Speaker 1: play the music. That's what I was gonna say. Here
51:42
Speaker 1: we go, talk to me, goose from there you go.
51:57
Speaker 1: I'm back. I'm back in Shank, tell me what you got.
52:01
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't like it, but I have to
52:03
Speaker 1: take Atlanta. Do you have to? It's thirteen and a
52:12
Speaker 1: half points. Now. You leave me literally with nothing. There
52:19
Speaker 1: was nothing out there. I kind of like the Steelers.
52:24
Speaker 1: What a horrible, horrible, horrible I'm gonna take the Steelers. Yeah?
52:33
Speaker 1: Nice three? I mean you could, I mean you couldn't
52:35
Speaker 1: take the bills, you know, plus plus three and a half.
52:40
Speaker 1: It's not funny. I don't even have the energy to
52:43
Speaker 1: fake laugh because it's so oppressive in here. You need
52:46
Speaker 1: to just get outside. What what's the temperature outside there
52:51
Speaker 1: yet about forty scooch. Listen, everyone in the studio was
52:56
Speaker 1: suffering because they just gave me like the wrap up sign.
52:59
Speaker 1: All right, there you go. This has been the favorites
53:03
Speaker 1: from the Action Network. I am Chad Moman. He is
53:06
Speaker 1: Bob Scucci. Listen to us on Apple podcast Radio dot com.
53:12
Speaker 1: Don't forget subscribe rate review. One day we'll go back
53:16
Speaker 1: to reading reviews. I don't know why we don't do
53:18
Speaker 1: that anymore. Until next time, I'll see a litt