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Inside the Data: What Streak Did Jalen Hurts Break In Win Over Cowboys? · Inside the Birds: A Philadelphia Eagles Podcast

0:09
Speaker 1: Hello, welcome back to Inside the Data. On Inside the Birds,
0:13
I'm Jeff Mosher, and of course we're talking data. We
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bring on our we bring in our analytics expert, Sam Finkel.
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And for those who might be new to the show
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with a new season, Sam has been doing an excellent
0:24
job helping us view the Philadelphia Eagles through a different lens,
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a advanced analytical lens, and he's gonna be with us
0:32
all throughout this Eagles season once a week and then
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we're gonna dissect the game that was maybe preview the
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game that will be all through an analytical lens. So Sam,
0:44
not much changed for the Eagles new season, one to
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zero and the way they won was kind of a
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very Eagles regular season waves, almost unspectacular, but get the
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job done twenty four to twenty over the Cowboys Thursday night.
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And now seems like it's been two weeks, but that
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was the season opener. And are you ready to take
1:02
a nice deep dive into That's what the stats says it.
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The most important stat is not an advanced analytical one.
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It's one The Eagles are one, right, Yes, hey, winds
1:15
are hard. Go ask the Baltimore Ravens. They had a
1:17
pretty big lead in the fourth quarter against the Bills,
1:19
and then lo and behold they fumble right Derrick Henry
1:22
and then all hell breaks loose. It made me think
1:25
of the Eagles, right, and how how unspectaclo They can
1:28
look offensively at times, but they don't turn the ball
1:31
over and they don't allow for comebacks like that because
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of it.
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, the signal caller cares about, you know,
1:39
winning no matter what, and that shows.
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Speaker 1: Awesome good stuff. So like we do remind the viewers
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and the listeners, we will show some For those who
1:49
watch on YouTube, we'll go through all of SAM charts
1:52
and for those who are listening, we'll do our best
1:54
to describe what we are seeing on the charts and
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SAM I like that. The first thing that we always
2:00
do is we don't go way into the data. We
2:03
just take a little bit of a look at the
2:07
raw data, as we call it, right, the stuff that's
2:09
available on ESPN dot House box score. But there are
2:12
things that jump out and we just go through that
2:15
really quickly. So when you looked at the basic stats,
2:18
anything jump out to you. There were a couple of
2:20
things that hit me.
2:21
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, first and foremost, I was doing a
2:25
little bit of tweeting during the game, which is a
2:26
little bit unusual for me. I've never really done that before.
2:29
It's just a little bit new, so appreciate it. You
2:31
have to handle give the handle out. Oh yeah, Sam
2:33
underscore Finkle. But one of the things that jumped out
2:37
to me, especially early and especially so this game really
2:40
was a game of two halves, and the halves were
2:43
not divided by halftime, so I mean, truly they score.
2:47
There was a score every possession until that delay, and
2:52
then it was a very defensive game, which kind of
2:55
makes sense. There was some extra time to make some
2:56
defensive adjustments. But what the game seemed to come down
2:59
to is possessions and time of possession, and so what
3:04
the Eagles did a really good job of was making
3:07
their possessions last long time. So if you look at
3:10
the time of possession, which is the last stat, it's
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thirty four fifty two for the Eagles and twenty five
3:17
oh eight. And I really thought this game was going
3:19
to come down, like just watching it was going to
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come down to who can hold the ball the longest time.
3:23
And I think that is kind of one of the
3:26
contributing factors to why the Eagles won this game.
3:28
Speaker 1: Yeah, for a game that was so close, I feel
3:31
like the possession was fairly lopsided for a game that close,
3:35
with the Eagles holding the ball almost thirty five minutes
3:37
for the Cowboys twenty five minutes. That's a good point.
3:41
One of the things that jumped out to me, Sam
3:43
was that for a game that was only twenty four
3:45
to twenty forty four total points, you had both teams
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over sixty percent in third down efficiency, which you know
3:54
usually if you're going to have that, and both teams
3:56
having high completion percentages over sixty there. Yeah, I mean,
4:00
when when both teams convert third downs that's such a
4:04
high rate, usually you see like a seesaw affair with
4:07
a lot of points, you know, not a sort of
4:10
a defensive battle. So it's almost as if the third
4:12
down efficiency is a little bit of an outlier compared
4:16
to how the game went.
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I really agree with that, and I think it
4:21
shows in the statuet, right, I mean, what you just
4:24
said proves that point for sure.
4:27
Speaker 1: But in the red zone too, I mean, both teams
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were highly efficient in the red zone. The Eagles were
4:30
three or three the Cowboys were two of three. I mean,
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if again, if you're just looking at the raw data here,
4:36
you'd be like, oh, if you didn't even look at
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total yards, you'd be man, there's you know, must have
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been must have been a game where everybody's catching passes
4:43
and no just ceedee lamb. Really yeah.
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Speaker 2: But then if you look at the total yards, I
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mean they're only five yards apart, right, three oh two
4:50
for the Eagles, three oh seven for the Cowboys. So
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I mean, by all metrics, it was a close game.
4:56
It was as close of a game as you saw,
4:59
as the statuet showed.
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Speaker 1: Well, I'll tell you what we talked about. The the
5:02
Derrick Henry turnover, the Miles Sanders turnover really swung the
5:06
game because if that he doesn't fumble there, then who
5:11
knows if they go in and score, they go to
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score the goal ahead touchdown, who knows what kind of
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you know, momentum that takes away. The Eagles obviously got
5:19
a big jolt of it, and then of course a
5:21
lightning delay then they had to withstand that. But that
5:24
would have been that's part of winning and losing those
5:26
turnover battles, and that that was a big part of this.
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Speaker 2: And I'm really glad you mentioned that because we'll talk
5:32
about it a little bit later, but that Sanders fumble
5:35
was really set up by Zach Bond's chase down.
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Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely, absolutely, And I love the fact that you
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have a really interesting stat on that chase down that
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we will get to in a second. So anything else
5:47
in the basic stats that you wanted to go through.
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Speaker 2: Yeah, the only thing that I really want to mention
5:53
is something that fans already know about, and it's the penalties. Mm.
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So if you look at the penalties, the Eagles had
6:01
nine for one hundred and ten yards. Yeah, the Cowboys
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had four for forty two. Something that's got to get
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cleaned up, right, it felt. I mean, look, we didn't
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even say the Carter suspension yet in this video, or
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I guess it's an ejection hopefully not a suspension. But
6:19
there needs to be more discipline by the Eagles unit,
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which is kind of a weird thing to say, because
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I feel like the Eagles have done a pretty good
6:25
job of being disciplined the past couple of years, but
6:28
really got to clean some things up on that front.
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Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely. Coaches will have told me that if you
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have over one hundred yards and penalties. Since that's an
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entire football field, that's like an extra score for the opponent.
6:43
So if it was twenty four to twenty, if you
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theoretically didn't have any penalties, you could consider it a
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twenty four to thirteen win type win. That's how coaches
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view it. So you're right, they have to clean that
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up and we'll see what happens there. Let's get into
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the advance stats, everybody's favorite numbers EPA, QBP, all that
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stuff that we have to remind everybody with what it
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all means before we start. So EPA describe again for
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any of our new listeners what EPA means.
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Speaker 2: Yeah, So it's a metric of like expected points added
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based on you know, down distance, field position. It takes
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these numbers in like every play that you have. Does
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it put you in a position to score? Not every
7:27
play is equal, but if it contributes to to you know,
7:31
moving the chains and contributing, it ends up, you know,
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saying points should be scored in an expected It's an
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algorithm that does it, and it's a pretty widely accepted
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advanced statistic, right, and.
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Speaker 1: Every single play carries a specific numerical quantificare even if
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it's if it's a three yard run, if it's an
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incomplete pay right, every single play is either a plus.
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Speaker 2: Or minus of a number correct, correct, And it's all
7:57
about keeping your drive on track and putting you in
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a position score. Which is interesting because like, not all
8:03
touchdowns are worth the same either, right, So like a
8:06
long touchdown is worth a lot more than a short
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touchdown because you're not expected to score long touchdowns very often.
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So putting that in perspective, that's kind of a good
8:15
way to understand EPA.
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Speaker 1: Got it. So I guess what jumps out to me
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as we look at the first three EPA per play,
8:21
per pass, and per rush is that the Eagles are
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all in the green plus point one four per play,
8:28
plus point zero five per pass, and plus point one
8:31
nine per rush. As to the post of the Cowboys,
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well go minus zero point three, minus zero point two,
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minus zero point four. And I think that surprises me
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a little bit, and I'll have you explain why, but
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only because this is sort of a measure of efficiency
8:46
of offense. I thought Dallas moved the ball fairly efficiently
8:49
with the run, and obviously the turnover probably waits some
8:52
of this. It does on the rush, especially heavily because
8:55
it was a fumble. But Ceedee Lamb alone is efficiency
9:00
moving the ball, although he did have drops two makes
9:03
this very interesting. I would not have thought that the
9:05
Eagles were the more highly efficient offense, except when you
9:09
take into account they didn't turn the ball over.
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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I mean drops do impact it. And there
9:15
are some things that I just while we're talking, I'm
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gonna pull up CD Lambs EPA.
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Speaker 1: That's interesting because he had so many yards, so many catches,
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but he had three at least three maybe four drops
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that were critical.
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Speaker 2: So his EPA per target was plus zero point one
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five despite the target. So the rest of the team
9:35
was kind of laying it, letting them down. And just
9:37
because they moved the ball efficiently, which again you'd think
9:41
that that would reflect in the EPA. To me, that's
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a product. It's to me, it's indicative of play design
9:47
to some extent because you know, or really execution. It
9:51
could be either one or both. That they were taking
9:55
a lot of short options, and I do think when
9:58
I was watching the game that that's I saw as well.
10:01
You know, Dak was doing a lot of short plays
10:03
that you know, kept kept the drive going, but it
10:05
wasn't anything crazy. And when you do short you know options,
10:11
you know, you hit your receivers really not that deep,
10:14
you're not necessarily keeping the drive on track.
10:17
Speaker 1: And again you wouldn't you. Also, I would have said
10:19
that that was the Eagles approach as well. They were.
10:22
There was only one pass thrown by Jillen Hurts more
10:25
than nine yards and that was Yeah, I know, that
10:28
was the only one that traveled more than nine yards
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in the air. So they they were similarly very short,
10:33
very quick, and just sort of deliberate and methodical.
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Speaker 2: But what I think is the game changer is Hurts
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to Scrambles. I think that Hurts to Scrambles probably had
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the highest EPA per play of any play that the
10:46
Eagles offensive, besides that Johan Dotson right deep shot, and
10:50
besides touchdowns obviously, but I think that was the biggest
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game changer in terms like if you look at that
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EPA per rush, it's plus zero point one nine, and
10:59
I think which is very high. I think most of
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it can be attributed to hurt to scrambles.
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Speaker 1: Sure, because I would think that if you took Saquon
11:08
Barkley's EPA per rush, it's not nearly as good because
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he did not have statistically, on average, a good game.
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I think he averaged less than three and a half per.
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Speaker 2: Carry, right, And I can pull that up for us
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while we're talking, if you want to take the lead
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really quick.
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Speaker 1: Yeah. Sure, So the EPA per rush is the highest
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of all the six numbers, you know, between the two
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teams that we're dealing with. And I'm going to assume again,
11:34
and you know more about this stuff than me, that
11:35
the fact that two of hurts his Russia is turned
11:39
into actual points on the play two rushing touchdowns, I
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would imagine, makes that the way you know, the weight
11:46
even bigger and brings that number up because they are
11:48
directly This is an expected points added number and those
11:54
led to direct.
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Speaker 2: Points absolutely, And I think you're absolutely right on that.
11:59
And I think that Hurts is scrambling ability and running
12:03
ability was the big difference maker in the game in general,
12:07
And it's kind of nice when you can see that
12:08
on the stat sheet.
12:10
Speaker 1: Yeah.
12:11
Speaker 2: But Saquan's EPA per attempt was minus point one two
12:15
minus point one two, wow, so not a great game.
12:20
But Hertz's was plus zero point five to seven, just
12:24
for context, so you can kind of see where some
12:26
of these numbers come from.
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Speaker 1: Definitely, let's move on to the TTT.
12:31
Speaker 2: I hate the stat and love it you do, but
12:34
I have to include it because I think it's important.
12:37
But it just doesn't tell you much. Right, so your
12:39
time to throw is quite literally that your time to
12:42
throw right, but it doesn't factor in you know, offenses
12:45
that like to get the ball out quickly. It doesn't
12:48
like it. There's so many different things, like the offensive
12:50
line could give you more time, you could be buying time,
12:52
or you could just be holding onto the ball too long.
12:55
There's so many things. It just it's a in a vacuum.
12:57
It's a terrible stat. Hopefully we do a good job
13:00
here contextualizing it and saying like, here's what it was.
13:04
Here's kind of why you know, three point one seven
13:08
for Hurts and two point nine to five for Dak,
13:11
And I think a lot of it was Dak was
13:13
getting the ball out pretty quickly. I think that was
13:15
pretty like that. You saw that pretty evidently throughout the game.
13:20
And I don't think there's that much of a difference
13:22
between three point one seven to two point nine to five.
13:24
I mean there there is, but Hurts did have a
13:27
decent amount of time. I think, as we'll talk about,
13:30
the offensive line play was okay. Yeah, there were a
13:34
lot of issues. I know you did a little bit
13:36
of tweets on the offensive line and some of the
13:38
issues if you wanted to talk about that for a second.
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Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know we did inside the tape with
13:42
Greg co Sell little. We don't know if it's been
13:46
out yet on this platform. I forget on days that
13:49
we run everything. But it wasn't the greatest offensive line
13:52
performance in past Pro even Lane Johnson struggled a little bit.
13:56
Cam Jurgens Landon Dickerson, who you know, came out of
13:59
the game game with a backflare up again had to
14:02
be replaced by Brett Toath. So nothing like overly concerning.
14:05
I remember a couple of years ago they played the
14:07
Patriots in the season opener and barely won that game
14:09
over a Patriots team that won three games that year,
14:13
and that the offensive line really struggled in that game.
14:16
I think Josh Uche was still playing for the Patriots
14:18
that year. So every once in a while you see
14:20
it and it's the first game of the year. So
14:23
not putting too much into it, but yeah, it was not.
14:25
It was not your vintage Eagles offensive line game.
14:28
Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess, good thing Micah wasn't there.
14:30
Speaker 1: No, that's true. Although I will tell you this from
14:34
that angle, and this goes back to the Hurts rushing
14:37
touchdowns and something we discussed on other shows. I thought
14:40
the Cowboys did a poor job of rushing the quarterback
14:44
with discipline, meaning they would turn their one time Eziaku
14:50
did on the ten yard touchdown and on the four
14:52
yard touchdown run by Hurtz. It was who's the veteran
14:55
pass rusher they have. I can't remember his name. He's
14:58
like the only guy on the team who's been around
14:59
for a while. Well, oh, I can't remember his name.
15:02
I'll remember it while we're talking about it. But either way,
15:05
they would have their rushers go inside the tackle instead
15:09
of and when you go inside the tackle, you leave
15:11
the outside open, and that's where Hurts both times broke
15:14
for his touchdown. So I thought they stopped doing that
15:18
in the second half, and then well you saw more
15:21
sacks and the Eagles offense kind of hit the skids
15:24
there because I thought Dante Feller is the guy who
15:27
I was thinking that's what.
15:27
Speaker 2: I thought you were talking about, but I was yeah, sure.
15:30
Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought you know, for a veteran to go
15:32
inside lane Johnson instead of staying outside and keeping Hurts,
15:35
Hurts has to see that color on the outside right.
15:38
If you see, if he sees you coming at you
15:40
through his his left shoulder, he's going to run to
15:42
the right. And that's exactly what he did. And on
15:43
the ten yard he ran to the left when Ezraku
15:46
came inside. So that was bad rush disciplined by the Cowboys.
15:50
Speaker 2: One thing I'm pretty sure you were the person that
15:52
tweeted this during the game is one of the adjustments
15:55
you noted was the fact that the rushing lanes became
15:57
a lot tighter.
15:58
Speaker 1: They did they stopped trying, They did more twisting and
16:01
something in the middle, which kind of creates that traffic
16:04
for Hurts to not be able to step up as
16:07
much or run through the middle, and then didn't get
16:10
as wide with their edge rushing lanes, and then they
16:13
sent a little bit more pressure in the second half
16:15
sort of speed up the clock. So if Hurts wanted
16:18
a run because of the pressure, he didn't see those big,
16:20
wide open lanes, and that's where he tends to sometimes
16:23
get stuck in the pocket and take the sacks, which
16:25
he did a lot of last year.
16:27
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I just thought that was an excellent insight
16:30
without even having the ALL twenty two available to you yet,
16:33
so definitely.
16:34
Speaker 1: Why I was at the game, so I did have
16:35
the ALL. I was there, you can see the whole thing.
16:38
Speaker 2: Yeah, But I mean, like doing that live versus like
16:42
sitting at your computer is a big difference. And I
16:46
think that was a cool thing, that an insight that
16:48
you found, and I think it's worth sharing that that
16:50
was a big part of the adjustment.
16:52
Speaker 1: Yeah, thank you, And then it's actually happened quite a
16:54
bit over the last I feel like sometimes teams forget
16:59
that they have to be really disciplined against Hurts with
17:01
their rush lanes, and then he reminds them and then
17:04
they make the adjustments. Yeah, the Packers. It reminded me
17:08
a little bit about the Packers Wild Card game, where
17:10
if you remember, the Eagles moved the ball really well
17:13
in the first quarter. I think the first two drives
17:16
they did, Hurts was getting outside the pocket, and then
17:18
they completely changed after that. They started they threw a
17:22
couple of cover zeros at Hurts, I don't know if
17:24
you remember that, and the offense got stagnant until he
17:27
popped that swing pass to Goddar, who you know had
17:30
that long touchdown stiff arming the guy times on the
17:33
way down. But they definitely got their offense out of
17:36
sync by doing that.
17:37
Speaker 2: Yeah, and deaf Cowboys definitely tried. It's kind of interesting.
17:42
The Cowboys ran like entirely zone that game, which we'll
17:46
talk about, but it's it's it's an interesting concept. I mean,
17:50
they married it up with some interesting pressures, but it
17:52
was an interesting way to attack the Eagles. And we'll
17:56
talk about the efficiency of that soon.
18:00
Speaker 1: Lie a lot on a front flour rush if you're
18:01
gonna do that, but by play almost exclusively zone, and
18:05
that's usually tough against the Eagles because they're five does
18:07
a pretty good job a blocking four. But it is
18:11
a good approach because you know, you make Hurts have
18:13
to try to throw into certain windows that he's not
18:15
always comfortable throwing into.
18:17
Speaker 2: Sure, and that definitely was part of the game. Quickly
18:22
with the pressures obviously fourteen to twelve, you know, forty
18:28
two point six percent of pressure on Hurts and thirty
18:33
four point three percent on DOK. That needs to get better.
18:35
Obviously on both ends, you'd I mean, a third of
18:40
pressure is pretty good. Uh, but you don't want to
18:43
be pressured forty two percent of the time. You know
18:46
that's not ideal. And one of them led to a sack. Obviously.
18:50
You know something that's a little bit interesting I would
18:53
say is if I told you the average separation for
18:56
the receivers the Eagles won that, I think you'd call
18:59
me crazy.
19:01
Speaker 1: I was shocked to given what we saw from Ceedee
19:04
Lamb and only one big play from the Eagles offense. Yeah,
19:08
I was surprised to see this.
19:09
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I mean four point four to three, I
19:12
mean that's pretty telling there. And then let's talk a
19:17
little bit about the run. Run success is just how
19:22
so like there's a bunch of different ways to calculate success.
19:26
When I was at Penn State, I was an assistant
19:29
coach there, we used like we use fixed numbers. We
19:34
use like you had to get forty percent, then fifty percent,
19:37
then one hundred percent or one hundred percent. That was
19:39
like the metric we use for efficiency.
19:42
Speaker 1: Right towards first down.
19:43
Speaker 2: Is that yeah, Yeah, And obviously it would be different
19:47
if you were on the goal line. So like the
19:48
way you division it is like do you get four
19:50
yards in the first play, then it's the second play.
19:54
Do you get half of what you need to get
19:55
on second down? On the third place, do you pick
19:57
it up? Fourth down? Do you pick it up? That's
19:59
kind of where that comes from, right. I use next
20:01
gen stats run success Metric, and all that is is
20:05
anytime you generate a positive EPA. Okay, which is kind
20:10
of similar, but like even a plus zero point one
20:14
would constitute success. So like success just means like do
20:18
you keep your drive on track? Are you like directly
20:21
contributing to potential points? Right, So that's where that comes from.
20:26
The Eagles had fifty percent, Cowboys had fifty nine point one.
20:30
Speaker 1: That is means I'm sorry, does that mean only on
20:33
half of the Eagles runs they generated a positive EPA.
20:38
Speaker 2: Yes? Interesting, Yeah, And honestly, when you look at those
20:42
EPA per play, it's a little bit shocking how the
20:46
margin for the Cowboys was. But when you look at
20:49
the actual game film or if you were watching the game,
20:51
it's not surprising that they had those runs. So it
20:54
just it goes to show you that like a lot
20:56
of the negative runs for the Cowboys were a lot worse.
21:00
Mm hmmm, yeah, I mean that's to me, that's what
21:03
that is, right, So like the Eagles had not great runs,
21:05
but they were able to recover. The Cowboys' negative runs
21:09
really hurt their drives.
21:11
Speaker 1: M yeah. And then plus they busted open the big one,
21:15
so I'm sure that that helped too, right, absolutely, yeah, absolutely,
21:19
And then the run stuff percentage is how many of
21:21
their runs generated what a negative EPA?
21:23
Speaker 2: Negative EPA yeah.
21:25
Speaker 1: Wow, he goals did not run the bowl? Well, I mean,
21:27
I mean, listen, they lost their full back on the
21:30
opening kickoff, right, they've already I wrote about this on
21:33
Philly Voice. They're already down Johnny Wilson, who is a
21:35
huge part of their eleven personnel. We talked about this
21:39
you and I off the air. They like to run
21:41
out of eleven personnel with Johnny Wilson as the third
21:44
receiver because the teams come out and nickel and he's
21:47
bigger than their nickel corner and it's just like having
21:49
an extra either tight end or fullback on the field.
21:52
And then when they're in twelve personnel, grit Kalkata doesn't
21:55
get the job done as a blocker. So I feel
21:57
like the losses of Van Sumer and Johnny Wilson and
22:00
are going to hurt the team more than you would
22:02
think those two guys would ordinarily like the roles that
22:06
they play.
22:07
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think so. It's a unique blend of player
22:10
that they lost.
22:11
Speaker 1: Yeah, and if Goddard gets hurt Sam, if Goddard gets hurt,
22:14
they are in a world of trouble in the run game.
22:16
I'll tell you that.
22:17
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't disagree with you. I mean, Grandson ken block,
22:21
which hopefully but you hopefully don't have to rely on
22:23
that too much.
22:24
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I watched every snap. I'm glad you brother.
22:27
I watched every snap that he played. I think it
22:29
was about eleven and they ran on seven of them.
22:31
And it's weird because they use them as a full
22:35
back or an h back, Yeah, full back, h back,
22:38
tight end, all three type of roles. As they were
22:40
trying to like figure it out without Van sumerin and
22:43
a lot of times he was on the field, it's
22:45
almost like he wasn't a part of the block blocking
22:49
scheme for that run. You know what I'm saying. I
22:50
don't think they were trying to avoid him. I just
22:52
think it just naturally wasn't you know, sometimes you would
22:54
come out, go in motion and run to the left eye.
22:57
It just was there wasn't enough of a sample size
22:59
for me to say was he doing a good job
23:01
locking or not?
23:02
Speaker 2: Sure? I think that's fair. I just mean, like historically
23:05
throughout his career, I feel like he's done a pretty
23:07
good job. Maybe maybe it's more average than good, but
23:10
it's better little undersized.
23:12
Speaker 1: I mean, he's really going to catch the.
23:13
Speaker 2: Ball, yeah, but it's better than Calcatara. I guess the
23:17
which is not it's not a hard bar to cross
23:20
and correct correct. And then a big interesting stat which
23:24
I kind of like is the stacked boxes, and that's
23:28
just eight more or more people in the box. The
23:32
Eagles had that fifty four point five. They faced it
23:35
fifty four five point Yeah, fifty four point five percent
23:38
of the time. Uh, And they only presented it against
23:42
the Cowboys forty four point seven.
23:43
Speaker 1: Percent of the time.
23:44
Speaker 2: H light box is six or less. And that's twenty
23:49
six point three percent for the Eagles and twenty two
23:52
point seven percent for the Cowboys. So I mean, you
23:55
can glean for what you want from that. It'll come
23:57
up more as we go through this now, but that's
24:00
as a general stat that's what you got.
24:03
Speaker 1: All right, cool, let us move on to what you
24:06
call star of the stat sheet and a nice picture
24:09
of Jialen h a smiling Jalen Hurts in this picture.
24:12
He almost never must be an old picture. Yeah, So
24:17
let's go through some of the events data on him.
24:20
Speaker 2: Yeah, So Hurts was nineteen for twenty three, a completion
24:24
percentage of eighty two point sixty one percent for one
24:27
hundred and fifty two yards six point sixty one yards
24:30
per attempt. His QBR was ninety four point two his
24:35
completion percentage over expectation. And let's just talk about that
24:38
for a second. So basically, they have an algorithm for
24:43
what completion percentage should be based on the throw, the
24:47
difficulty of the throw, you know, the depth of the throw.
24:50
There's a bunch of things that go into it. And
24:53
they said, based on what Hurts did, he should have
24:57
completed fifteen point two percent less.
25:00
Speaker 1: M hmm.
25:00
Speaker 2: That is an incredible statistic that he did fifteen point
25:03
two percent over expected like that is that is something
25:07
that is very much worth talking about. He was a
25:09
big difference maker and that can be seen in his
25:12
EPA per dropback, which was plus zero point twenty five,
25:16
and that does factor in his scrambles, and I think
25:18
a lot of it comes from his scrambles.
25:21
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think that the dots in play
25:24
is a perfect example. I'm sure that was a very
25:26
hot That's a very low percentage, especially on third and six.
25:30
By the way, not a lot of quarterbacks are gonna
25:32
throw that pass on third and six, but that I
25:36
have to I don't know what the algorithm is or
25:37
with the data. I'm sure it's considered a very low
25:40
percentage pass. So to complete that probably really can pick
25:44
up your CPOE.
25:45
Speaker 2: Yeah, But the thing is that didn't single handedly do it, right,
25:49
because right, that's only one throw out of the twenty
25:51
three true. So it just means of those twenty three,
25:55
like a couple of them he probably shouldn't an average
25:59
quarterback probably wouldn't have completed, right.
26:01
Speaker 1: I'm trying to think of some other throws that I
26:03
really stuck out that maybe I don't, you know, I
26:07
can't think. I mean a couple to DeVonta and God,
26:11
I mean he threw the ball three or four times
26:13
to Saquon Barkley, Barkley made a nice little one hander grab,
26:16
so that might have helped the CPOE a little bit
26:18
because that really would have probably been incomplete pass. But
26:20
I will say this nineteen of twenty three is sort
26:24
of low the eighty two percent for what it really was,
26:27
because I think three of those balls were throwaways, Like
26:30
he got to the sideline and just threw the ball away,
26:33
so the ball, yes, and one was dropped, so I
26:36
think the ball only hit the ground on a true
26:39
pass once that wasn't a dropp or wasn't a throwaway.
26:44
Speaker 2: Yep, I think you're right about that.
26:47
Speaker 1: So all right, some other notes here. By the way,
26:50
it wasn't Hurts the leader last year among all NFL
26:54
quarterbacks and CPOE.
26:56
Speaker 2: I believe, so, yeah, I believe that is correct.
26:59
Speaker 1: I think we did that in a prior show.
27:01
Speaker 2: We did, and it's not surprising. I mean, yeah, so
27:08
if we look at CPO, I'm just gonna pull it
27:10
up really quick. Yeah, Hurtz led the league with plus
27:13
six point six percent, right, and by the way, that's
27:16
six percent, not fifteen. So that's that's part of the
27:20
reason I think he was the star of the statute,
27:22
at least for the offense.
27:23
Speaker 3: Hey, you know that one guy in the group chat
27:25
who hit a five leg parlay a week one and
27:28
he wouldn't shut up about it for the rest of
27:30
the season.
27:31
Speaker 1: Sounds like kaplan, right, Yeah, Yeah, it could be him.
27:34
Speaker 3: It could be you, and we would all want to
27:37
be you. My bookie makes it stupid easy to get
27:41
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27:49
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Speaker 1: What more could you want than that?
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Speaker 3: If you're new to my bookie, you use our code
28:01
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28:04
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28:10
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you get it right back when you opt in using
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your bet back bonus token.
28:19
Speaker 1: There is no.
28:20
Speaker 3: Better time to jump in right now, No better place
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to play football is back.
28:26
Speaker 1: Let's make some money with my bookie. You have a
28:29
stat here that is almost mind bottling to me. Herts
28:33
had not recorded a single scrambling touchdown rushing touchdown since
28:37
Week fifteen of the twenty twenty three season, so he
28:42
went all of that. Now you're saying a scramble, so
28:44
this takes away the steve fromush pushes the design. You
28:48
just mean a just a running, like freelance running touchdown.
28:51
That was his first one since twenty twenty three.
28:54
Speaker 2: For Yeah, you had two of them this game and wow.
28:57
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, like I said, if you're the Cowboys, you're
28:59
really like, why did we let this guy get outside
29:01
the pile?
29:02
Speaker 2: Like?
29:02
Speaker 1: What? What? What was going through our minds when we
29:06
did that? But he also looks really explosive. Sam. I
29:08
thought there have been times last year where he'd run
29:11
but did not look explosive. But I thought he looked
29:13
pretty pretty sharp with that juke.
29:15
Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought so too. And his scramble rate actually
29:17
it was thirty nine point four percent of the dropbacks,
29:20
which is the highest since twenty twenty three as well.
29:22
Speaker 1: Ah, well that would make sense then, Yeah, all right,
29:25
definitely something to keep in mind as the Chiefs come
29:28
up and they've seen him quite a bit too, and
29:30
they're going to see that tape and probably get reminded
29:32
of what you cannot do when you face Jalen Hurts. Sure,
29:37
all right, let's take a look at the offensive line
29:38
and what jumps out to you here?
29:40
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean listen, you look at it and you
29:44
see pressures, especially from the interior, which you don't want
29:48
to see, and you see one thing that I I'm
29:52
so sad this happened in the first game. But one
29:54
of the big things I was talking about with Tyler
29:56
Steen is he had not allowed to sack in his
29:58
entire career. Well, guess what game one happens. Guess what?
30:03
Speaker 1: He allowed A sack That must have been the inside
30:06
stunt sack, right because both sacks came from edges. Yep. Yeah,
30:12
I think he got caught looking if I recall correctly,
30:15
his head was turned away from where the stunt side
30:19
was and by the time he looked back it was
30:22
too late. Yep.
30:23
Speaker 2: And unfortunate that that happened. But listen, it was going
30:27
to happen, right, I mean, there's no way an offensive
30:30
I mean, hopefully that would be really cool if an
30:33
offensive lineman never allowed the sack. But it happens like that.
30:35
That is part of the growing process. So you look
30:39
at it. I mean, Dickerson had the most pressures allowed,
30:43
right with four. I mean they were hurries for most
30:46
of the part, which you know, you kind of are
30:49
okay with but I mean having four pressures allowed it
30:54
not ideal. And then we have the I have the
30:57
stats snaps for pressure. I know most people doures per snap,
31:01
but I think that this one helps people understand, like,
31:05
out of like, how many snaps does it take to
31:07
allow a pressure, So a lower number is worse.
31:10
Speaker 1: Right, So Dickerson allowed a pressure every thirteen snaps, Yes,
31:15
in a game of sixty two snaps is well, he
31:18
only played fifty one, which makes it actually a little
31:20
worse because it means he allowed it, you know, a
31:23
decent number of pressures compared to how he normally does.
31:26
And he didn't even play the full game.
31:28
Speaker 2: I mean he was hurt. So I think you can
31:29
excuse it to some extent, but at the same time,
31:34
it's not ideal.
31:35
Speaker 1: Yeah. I was gonna say excuse it, but the reality
31:37
is it's not going away. I mean, he went from
31:39
a knee injury to a back injury. He's a big guy,
31:42
He's got a lot of mileage on the body. It's
31:44
certainly a concern for me.
31:46
Speaker 2: Yeah, but especially for the interior offensive lineman. You typically
31:50
want to see less pressure. I mean you typically are
31:52
going to see less pressure, so it's particularly difficult if
31:55
you are allowing a bunch of pressures, no.
31:57
Speaker 1: Doubt about it. All right, let's take a look at
31:59
your run block note here.
32:01
Speaker 2: Yeah, go ahead, No, please go ahead, No, you do it.
32:04
The Eagles rushed for eighteen yards on twelve carries between
32:08
the tackles in Week one, averaging one point five yards
32:11
per carry on the night. So these are inside runs
32:14
in particular. And then if you look at before contact,
32:18
the Eagles average negative zero point nine yards per carry,
32:22
their lowest average in any game since twenty seventeen.
32:25
Speaker 1: Wow. Wow, So this is a big, big sort of
32:30
red flag going forward. I know people can roll the rose,
32:33
but listen, it's true. Like the Eagles identity is inside
32:38
zone and duo, which are inside runs. They run between
32:42
the tackles. They are not a Shanahan style like outside
32:46
the tackles wide zone. This what they do is run
32:49
between the tackles, usually better than any team in the league.
32:53
And they were as unsuccessful as they've been in quite
32:56
a long time based on this data.
32:58
Speaker 2: Well, just to give you contact, last year, their offense
33:01
had one point six yards before contact on inside runs
33:04
in particular, which was eighth best in the NFL, and
33:07
so like, going from one point six to negative zero
33:09
point nine not good.
33:11
Speaker 1: No, not good at all, not good Toquon. And I
33:14
thought there were times Saquon was just making yards on
33:17
his own, you know, spinning and trying to get out
33:19
of things he did.
33:20
Speaker 2: And and the thing is he faced the stack box
33:22
on two thirds of his attempts HM. So I mean
33:25
like they were making it really tough. They were containing
33:29
Saquon pretty well. And I do think some of it
33:31
is the interior offensive line is just not there yet
33:35
for the US.
33:36
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I agree. Then no, listen, they can
33:39
prove and and that's why week one is a little
33:42
bit of a con job. They could come out Sunday
33:43
and run the ball really well against Kansas City and
33:46
then you know, we say it's just one game. It happens.
33:49
But I then the stats were so staggering, Sam, when
33:52
I looked at it, because this is like an identity,
33:54
this is a who you are stat and that's the
33:57
numbers were a lot worse than what they normally are.
34:00
Speaker 2: And guess what if teams keep playing it that way
34:02
and that they might have to adjust and this could
34:05
be a who you were stat right, And they're gonna
34:07
have to figure out other ways to win. And I'm
34:10
pretty confident that they can do that. But it's gonna
34:13
be a process, right, I mean, that is their identity.
34:16
Speaker 1: Right. So now the next thing we'll talk about is
34:20
one where I say I'm not as concerned about where
34:22
I do think it can be an outlier because we
34:24
see this kind of happen throughout the course of the
34:26
season where AJ Brown goes without a target. What does
34:30
this say on his first twenty two routes. Yes, oh
34:34
my god, his only look go ahead, you can go
34:37
with the.
34:38
Speaker 2: His only look game with one twenty seven left in
34:41
the fourth quarter, and he ultimately finished with one reception
34:44
for eight yards on that out route.
34:46
Speaker 1: Right right, That's crazy and that that to me, We've
34:50
seen that with DeVante at times, seen with AJ and
34:52
then the next game one of the you know, if
34:55
they had a bad game, they could come out and
34:56
get targeted ten, eleven, twelve times and have a monster game.
34:59
So I'm not really that concerned about it. I know
35:01
Ajs probably is, but I think it'll be all right.
35:04
Speaker 2: Yeah, I Mean the Cowboys pretty much used Man almost
35:08
entirely last year, not entirely, but at a higher rate
35:12
than zone last year, and they did zone and all
35:15
of Hurtz' dropbacks, and if you look at Brown, he's
35:19
historically been far more effective against man rather than zone.
35:23
And it's not I guess far more. It may not
35:26
be the right word, because he still produced pretty well.
35:29
And I had to if I just did last year,
35:31
it was I think he actually his yards per reception
35:34
was better if I did last year and twenty three,
35:36
I think his yards per reception were better in zone two.
35:39
So I had to do his entire career. And I'm
35:41
not saying that because they chose to do that to
35:43
prove the stat I just think it gives the full
35:45
picture of how he's done. His touchdowns have always been
35:48
higher in man. I think that's a product of just
35:51
like that's when they are gonna give him opportunities.
35:54
Speaker 1: That's when Hurts throws him the deep go route and
35:57
he flourishes on it.
35:58
Speaker 2: Also very true also so but you look at it,
36:02
you know, fifteen point four yards per reception and man
36:05
and fourteen point eighty six yards per reception in zone.
36:08
It's not a negligible difference, but it's not like a
36:12
crazy difference either.
36:13
Speaker 1: Right, this will be really interesting data to go back
36:16
to when the Eagles and Cowboys play again, And it's
36:19
just it's gonna be in a few weeks, like six
36:21
or seven weeks, to see if Ibra fluse the defensivecordate
36:25
for the Cowboys thinks. Man, my I might have taken
36:30
a weird route playing all zone, but it kind of worked,
36:35
and if we had just contained Hurts in the pocket
36:36
a little better like we did in the second half,
36:39
It'll be interesting to see if he feels like he
36:41
has to switch it up because it's the second time
36:42
and can't show the same thing team the same thing twice,
36:46
or if he just says, I'm gonna stick with this
36:47
and just try to have better, better rush discipline from
36:50
my edges. Sure, all right, we let's go on to
36:53
defense and here and talk about Zach Baughn.
36:55
Speaker 2: Yeah, the other so I actually was torn to star
36:58
the stat sheet. The other person I would have put
37:01
here was Cooper Degene. Oh really, okay, just based on
37:06
the stats. I mean, he was leading in a lot
37:07
of stats, and honestly, you didn't hear his name much
37:11
during the live broadcast, and there's a reason you didn't
37:14
hear his name much, so just a little shout out
37:17
to Cooper Degene here. But I think ultimately Bond was
37:21
the difference maker in the game, and so basically that's
37:26
why I made that determination. He had nine tackles, he
37:30
led the team, four defensive stops second on the team,
37:34
one pressure on three pass rushers thirty three point three
37:38
percent obviously which led the team, and minus one point
37:42
four coverage EPA, which is third on the team.
37:45
Speaker 1: Right now, explain a coverage EPA.
37:47
Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's just basically, when you go into coverage
37:51
and you're targeted, are you allowed? So EPA is always
37:56
in the context of offense, right, so it's all a pause.
38:00
They've always reflects that offense is putting themselves in better
38:03
position to score. A negative means an offense is not
38:06
putting themselves in a better position, which means that the
38:09
defense is doing their job.
38:10
Speaker 1: Right, So if you're a defender like Zach Bown, you
38:12
want to have a negative coverage EPA because that's really
38:16
a reflection of the offense being negative.
38:18
Speaker 2: Exactly nice.
38:20
Speaker 1: I thought Zach did amazing, Both him and John Campbell.
38:24
They were very active, very athletic, had some pass breakups
38:28
goodn't covered. There was a great corner route to your
38:31
point here on cover GPA that Bond successfully defended I
38:35
think in the second half where he just knew where
38:38
to be with taking his drop and then angling towards
38:43
the sideline to make sure a pass was not complete.
38:45
So it was yes, yeah, he almost That was a
38:49
great catch by freaking seedy lamb right because Zach bowm
38:53
was right there and see the kind of I feel
38:55
like he stole it from Zach.
38:57
Speaker 2: But listen that they're not every goes into you know,
39:01
the stars.
39:02
Speaker 1: The statueets so right, and apparently Zach Bond can run
39:04
pretty fast.
39:05
Speaker 2: Yeah, so this was a next gen stat that I
39:08
picked up. A lot of these are, but Zach Bond
39:11
reached a top speed of twenty point sixty eight miles power,
39:14
which was the fastest of his career to make that
39:17
touchdown saving play on Miles Sanders, who hit nineteen point
39:21
two nine miles power.
39:23
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I listen, we're Penn State. At Miles Sanders
39:27
was great at Penn State. I cannot believe that we're
39:29
at the stage of his career where a linebacker outran him.
39:32
But that's amazing to me. Yeah, time for Dallas to
39:36
get Jaydaen Blue on the field. If that's if A
39:38
if you're gonna get outrun by a linebacker and b
39:41
if you're gonna fumble, Uh, that's a good way to
39:43
get yourself put on the bench.
39:45
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean the fantasy community would be very happy.
39:47
I know they were very high on mister Blue.
39:50
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah. So that was the fastest speed from scrimmage
39:53
of Bond's career. So that's just a little urgency in
39:55
the moment. Zach knew how important it was to keep
39:58
that guy from getting in the end zone with the
39:59
score being what it.
40:00
Speaker 2: Was, which is why he was the star of the
40:02
stat sheet.
40:03
Speaker 1: There you go, all right, let's go to people who
40:06
are not stars of the statu sheet. Dori Jackson.
40:09
Speaker 2: Yeah, I felt like I needed to put this here.
40:11
Of course, I always hate talking negatively about players and
40:18
their ability, but also in you know, the pursuit of
40:23
candor and truth and just to be objective, we have
40:27
to highlight when players don't. It's more fun when we
40:30
can highlight the great things that players do do. I
40:33
think it's all adri Jackson's fault for how he did no,
40:38
I think that he was not always in the best position.
40:41
I also think that there were a couple occasions where
40:45
there was just like a really good play that was
40:47
made against him.
40:48
Speaker 1: Yes, that is true. That is true. The two that
40:52
really stand out the third down like the deep over
40:55
and the one that went for thirty four into the
40:58
down to like the five or whatever it was set up.
41:01
Those were just situations where our Dory was flat beat
41:05
and could not get his hips around.
41:06
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's unfortunate. I mean, he allowed five catches
41:09
on seven targets for one hundred and three yards as
41:13
the nearest defender, the most he's allowed since twenty twenty three.
41:17
He had a plus eight point six coverage GPA.
41:20
Speaker 1: Wow, so you see the offense and the positive there
41:23
by quite a bit.
41:24
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's really not good. I mean, Ceedee Lamb
41:28
went five for eight against Jackson fifty two point five
41:33
percent target rate, resulting in three catches for seventy two yards. Basically,
41:41
those three of the five catches that Adorri Jackson allowed
41:45
were from Cede Lamb. He actually, this is this is
41:48
the stat Like I said, I'm trying to look for
41:51
objective objectivity here and he actually allowed less separation than
41:58
Quinjon Mitchell two point three and two point six respectively.
42:02
Speaker 1: Right, so yep, try it again.
42:07
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know why it didn't give me the
42:09
there you go, there you.
42:10
Speaker 1: Go two point three and two plus, so it's relatively close.
42:14
But the thing is Mitchell wasn't. So is this measured
42:17
every time you're thrown at or just on every route
42:20
you defend?
42:21
Speaker 2: I believe it is every it's I believe it's only
42:25
when it's thrown Yeah, because it's I should check on
42:29
that really quick. But would you take the reins for
42:33
a second.
42:34
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm just that surprises me because you know, Queena
42:38
Mitchell was generally put on George Pickens in shadow coverage
42:43
for the first time. I don't recall too many times
42:48
where Pickens had more than a step up on Mitchell.
42:51
I think there was one time I can remember Mitchell
42:53
giving up a pass, So it surprises me. And then
42:57
again targeted when targeted. Okay, all right, so then he
43:01
wasn't targeted very much compared to a DORI. So I
43:04
don't know. I guess one one pass can kind of
43:06
skew that.
43:07
Speaker 2: It definitely do, and these numbers will become clear. Unfortunately
43:11
for Dori Jackson, I'm not sure he's going to see
43:13
the field so much. I mean, I'm sure he still
43:15
will get snaps, right, But we'll see what happens, all.
43:19
Speaker 1: Right, the D line, you know, the edge rushing unit.
43:23
As we take a look at here, Uh, I did
43:25
just to naked out. I thought I had a nice game,
43:27
and obviously the win rate shows that, and I just
43:30
thought for everybody else it was sort of pedestrian, including
43:32
j lox On.
43:33
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that win rate is ridiculous. Yeah, I
43:36
mean it's probably not sustained. I mean, it's definitely not sustainable.
43:40
Speaker 1: But that's the thing with Tyler Geyton. I believe he
43:42
was lined up a lot against Geyiton's got a long
43:43
way to go as far as pass protection.
43:45
Speaker 2: Sure, but yeah, I mean, look, it's that we did
43:49
this mare this the offensive line and defensive line kind
43:52
of mirror each other a little bit. So you know
43:56
how we were talking about snaps pressure, Well that's pass rushes,
43:59
pressure press snaps for pressure, right, And how we said
44:03
that a low number was really good for an offensive lineman,
44:06
Well it's it's actually the opposite. Now, a like a
44:09
high number is better because Yeah, I'm sorry, it's it's
44:14
the opposite. It's basically a low number is also better
44:17
because you're you're saying it takes this many snaps to
44:20
get a pressure. Yeah, sorry about that.
44:21
Speaker 1: No, No, I knew I was gonna walk you there, but.
44:24
Speaker 2: I had it inverted in my head.
44:27
Speaker 1: Chas you know, forty three point almost winning at a
44:29
forty four percent clip is what he did, a pressure
44:32
every four and a half pass rushers, right, So that's
44:35
that's good, you want that. Absolutely not as great for
44:39
some of the others who took a little longer to
44:41
get there there, especially against the Dallas offensive line. That's
44:43
good on the interior, but not so great on the exterior.
44:47
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you'd hope the edge would do a little
44:49
bit better. I mean, we have the get off speeds.
44:51
A little disappointed in Nolan, you know, Yeah, but that's look,
44:57
we'll see what happens.
44:58
Speaker 1: All right. It's just a so yeah, you will say,
45:01
but I mean it was pretty clear watching it that
45:02
they weren't getting a ton of pressure from the edge.
45:05
Let's go the interior line, which is skewed a little
45:07
bit in that Jille and Carter didn't play, so that
45:10
for Spyron Young have to play the most snaps of
45:13
his career, I think, yeah, yeah, clearly the most snaps
45:17
of his career. And also Jordan Davis. Jordan Davis played
45:20
really I thought played really well. We talked about it
45:22
inside the tape, and obviously his win rate shows that
45:25
pretty good too. Yeah.
45:27
Speaker 2: I mean, listen, you look at this and Gabe Hall
45:31
had the fastest get off in his two past rush attempts.
45:35
But still, you know, a little hustle from Hall. I
45:38
was a little bit surprised that Hall played less than Young.
45:42
Speaker 1: Well, Young is built more like a more like the nose, sure,
45:48
and they needed that. Yeah, they needed the nose, even
45:51
though that's really Jordan Davis. I shouldn't say John Carter
45:54
is not the nose, but they needed that, that kind
45:56
of same frame that they wanted for their five man front.
45:59
So I think they wanted just the the longer framed
46:03
Byron Young to play that spot.
46:05
Speaker 2: Well, I guess by what I was saying, by need
46:07
of that is if you look at those pass rushes, Yeah,
46:11
Jordan Davis at thirty four and Ojomo at thirty six,
46:14
so he kind of makes up for that other where
46:16
Davis was out yeah, if that makes sense.
46:18
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So I mean Jordan Davis was basically asked
46:21
to be the three technique in a four man front
46:23
and a pass rusher, and he responded by I'm gonna
46:26
guess the three pressures is among the most of his career,
46:30
if not the most of his career.
46:31
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wouldn't be shocked if that's true.
46:33
Speaker 1: Yeah, And to have the best get off for all
46:37
four for a guy who struggled to wait and has
46:40
played high doesn't always have the best get off, I
46:43
thought it was really encouraging.
46:44
Speaker 2: Although those win percentages are kind of like, eh.
46:48
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think all around, but again, they didn't generate.
46:51
They didn't get a whole lot of pressure. You had
46:53
that earlier. Dak got rid of the ball quickly, which
46:55
the gates being able to get pressure. And the interior
46:59
of Dallas offensive line has two guys who are well
47:02
one's an All Pro and Tyler Smith and the other
47:04
is a rookie who was drafted in the first round
47:07
and pretty good in Booker. So sure that's gonna be
47:09
the strength of the Dallas offensive line all year. Yep.
47:15
Speaker 2: Well, with that being said, another next gen stat here
47:17
is without Jalen Carter Moro Jomo and Jordan Davis played
47:21
fifty defensive snaps each eighty nine percent playtime. This was
47:25
the first time in Next Gen Stats era since twenty
47:28
sixteen that the Eagles had two interior defensive linemen played
47:31
over eighty five percent of their snaps. They like to rotate,
47:34
they were not able to rotate this time.
47:36
Speaker 1: Well, I'll tell you what, I don't think Vic likes
47:38
rotating as much as other like Jim Schwartz loves to rotate.
47:42
Just look at the edges, right, he's really playing just three.
47:46
He did it last year too. He really only has
47:48
a three man edge rotation. And this time, excuse me,
47:51
this time it was Jaelex Hunt, Nolan Smith, and josh
47:54
Uce asisos Lauri was inactive. I know you that, and
47:59
Patrick Johnson some snaps only because you know he was
48:02
active for special teams so you have n't there to
48:03
use him. But almost all of the snaps went to
48:06
the starters.
48:07
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's also a really good point. But just
48:10
for context, Jordan Davis's previous career high was sixty eight
48:14
percent in Week six, twenty twenty three. Do you remember
48:17
what game that was?
48:18
Speaker 1: Was that the Buffalo Bills game.
48:20
Speaker 2: It was the game I believe, right before the Buffalo
48:22
Bills game. Oh okay, Miami.
48:24
Speaker 1: Miami, Wow, interesting, interesting, all right, cool, cool, good stuff there.
48:31
That was your next s and real quick look at
48:33
the rookies before we get out of here.
48:34
Speaker 2: Yeah, So both mccuba and Campbell, you know, forty six
48:40
and fifty one snaps respectively, played on eighty percent plus
48:44
I guess his eighty two plus defensive snaps. So Campbell
48:49
had ninety one point one, mccuba had eighty two point one.
48:53
And then if I just did a quick comparison with them,
48:56
mccuba was targeted once for five yards and thirty one snaps,
48:59
and that his you know that that was a ferguson
49:04
second and six. Yeah, that he allowed mm hmm plus
49:09
zero point three cover gpa, So not necessarily great, but
49:14
almost zero zero point three yards average separation is insane.
49:20
He had a very tight window on that. And then
49:23
that catch rate over expectation was plus seventy five point
49:26
one percent because it was such a tough catch, right right,
49:30
Campbell targeted twice zero allowed negative one point one cover
49:34
gpa just because he didn't allow a reception.
49:37
Speaker 1: He did a great job a couple of times defending
49:39
the whole on you know, on that ship. Dak loves
49:43
to throw that seam shot to the tight end a
49:45
cover two. Did a great job, yes, yes, and he
49:48
did a great job defending him.
49:50
Speaker 2: Yeah. Then one point five yards average separation also really good,
49:55
negative fifty six point one percent completion. So what there's
49:59
What that means is that of his two passes, they
50:02
were expected, you know, one at least one was supposed
50:05
to be caught. So and then he had that key
50:08
fumble on Sanders in the third quarter.
50:10
Speaker 1: All right, all right, great stuff, awesome, that is a
50:16
great first look. On the next episode, Sam, maybe we'll
50:19
get into some of the new editions. It's it's been
50:21
a show here and we've got to wrap it up.
50:23
But as as always, next next week we'll get into
50:27
the data from the Eagles the Chiefs game, and then
50:29
we'll go over a little bit some of the new
50:30
editions and see how, you know, if they play, what
50:33
they do and if not, we'll go into some of
50:34
their history.
50:35
Speaker 2: Sound good, sounds good?
50:37
Speaker 1: All right, my friend, Thank you so much for the
50:40
in depth look, advanced analytic look at the Eagles game
50:44
against the Dallas Cowboys one to oh, and we'll see
50:47
what they are next week after the Kansas City Chiefs game.
50:50
That's gonna do it. For this episode of Inside the
50:53
Data for Sam Finkel, I'm Jeff Mosher. Catch you on
50:56
the next one.
51:00
Speaker 2: O