Latest / Toadstool Sports / NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Wednesday 10/22/25

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NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Wednesday 10/22/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with bookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my broins hat. Man, I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the Bruins. Arch hate?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore. Man, back with you after the
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: worst day that I can possibly have, Back with you
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: as I always am until I die at least oh
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. To the slump, the
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: towed back with you. This is better off dead. Wednesday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: October twenty second October is almost over. Man, Holy crap,
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: I gotta fix my gain again. Man, this is like,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on here. Hold on, I
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: gotta fix something here. I think it's just the gain
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: on my scarlet. I know some of you guys have
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: complained that my audio is not high enough, but like,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: I'm listening to it right now, and it's like, I
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: think the gain is just way too high. Man, this
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: seems okay. I'm listening. I'm listening to it right now.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I think it's maybe a little bit
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: better right now. I don't know, Like I to me,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: it seems like it was almost like popping. And I
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: don't want to sound like I'm screaming either. I mean,
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: I don't want to like have to push my voice here.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: But this is great content by the way, Jeffrey, what's
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: up man, Thanks for hanging out. I think I need
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, I need better audio in my room obviously.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: I mean this room is kind of empty. It kind
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: of echoes a little bit, so that's not good either. Anyway, Yeah,
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: I think this is probably good enough, hopefully me. I'm
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: just monitoring it right now because I want to make
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: sure that because after I turn up my gain for
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: a Neflin Desk Squad. The other day, by the way,
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: I was on Neflin Desk Squad neft to America talking
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: just random stuff, basically random hangout for a few hours
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: on Monday after and so you guys could check that out.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: All right, I think we're good. Let's just go on
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: with the show here. We were one in one yesterday
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: on the show, which was a losing day because the
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: loser was the Toronto may Beliefs as a favorite. They
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: started out up one nothing. I'm like, all right, we're
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: off to a good start. And then no, I mean
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: they lost the game by multiple goals. I haven't looked
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: at the box square yet. I know, I always say
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: that I got to go look and see. Was it
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: like a legitimate loss? I mean, it probably was. But
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: I think it was just bad man. So that one
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: market Reid was saying Toronto, but it just didn't happen. Unfortunately.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: The other market Reid was one that I just completely skipped,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Penguins, and they had an easy win, so
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: that would have been a winner. We did get the
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: win on the underdog and the Anaheim Ducks. Bad spot
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: for Nashville again. It might be another season where we
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: just can't buy the fact that the professionals are playing
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: Nashville just because it's oh, they're this undervalued team. Okay,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: but they were in a bad spot and they again
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: didn't play well. I mean, that was almost a no
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: doubt winner with Anaheim. They're up multiple goals, like midway
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: into the second period, and then it was just all over.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: I think they won five to two. Maybe it was
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: the final there, something like that, easy win as an underdog.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: We'll move on to today. I'm gonna give out one
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: hockey play and one basketball play today, and I'm gonna
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: skip the college football games, although I'm gonna talk about
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: them obviously. The NBA. I'm not wearing my Celtics at
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's just it's not gonna be a good
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: season for the Celtics. Man, we're gonna talk about that
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: game as this tradition. I mean, I talked about every
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: single Celtics and Bruins game last year, so I guess
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: I will continue to do so. The Bruins, by the way,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you saw how they lost yesterday.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: They were down two to nothing to Florida, and even
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: though they were out shooting Florida, I had it on
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: over here for a little while. It was basically like,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: all right, they're gonna lose whatever. Then they got two
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: quick goals in the third period and they tied the
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: game to two. I'm like, oh my god, they're just
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: teasing me. Now they might actually win this game. It
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: got down to the point where it was a three
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: to three tie in the final minute, I believe it's like,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: all right, this is probably going into overtime. Florida tried
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: to score, the Bruins got a save I believe out
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: of us Swayman, I'm pretty sure was a net in
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: that game, and then the Bruins didn't clear the puck,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: and I forget who it was on the on the Bruins,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: one of their players. I don't even remember which player
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: it was he should be throwing off the team. He
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: basically like the puck ricocheted off his stick and he
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: like didn't do anything to try to get it up
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: the ice at all, and it went into their own net.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: They lost on an own goal. Like, how often do
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: you see that in hockey? I mean it's not very often.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: I mean it'd be something that maybe you'd see out
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: of the San Jose Sharks, who by the way, are
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: still winless, which I was that they were the last
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: remaining winless team, got that one correct. It's unbelievable, dude,
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: I mean an own goal. I mean it's like it's
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: bad enough in soccer to have an own goal in hockey,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: it's like almost impossible, and it happened. It's so ridiculous.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: I mean it's happened before, but that is rare. And
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: to lose like that in the final minute against a
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: team that you really want to beat in Florida, I mean,
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: it's so bad, so bad. I don't know what is
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: going on with the Bruins. I'm gonna burn my Bruins
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: at man, it's still back there, but I'm gonna burn it.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: And the Celtics, I'm just gonna basically consider this to
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: be a season that doesn't exist for the Celtics. We'll
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: talk about hockey first, why not whatever, We have three
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: games here, I'm gonna talk about each one of them.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: I guess briefly. Minnesota at New Jersey. New Jersey, we
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: tried to fade them yesterday. It was a five to
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: two loss for Toronto. Yesterday. New Jersey did outshoot them.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: Toronto won the face off battles slightly and they had
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: one more hit, So the game was, you know, maybe
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: not as lopsided as the final score. Look, there was
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: an empty net goal at the end of that for
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: the Devils. Yeah, I mean, it wasn't completely misleading. But
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: that empty net, by the way, gave Jack Hughes a
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: hat trick, so that's great. Hughes is one of the
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: best players in hockey, though he's insane. But the Devil's
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: coming off of that, the Devils on a back to
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: back now, so I do think it's a pretty bad
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: spot for the Devils just for that reason. Big game yesterday,
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: pretty big win over Toronto, Minnesota coming into their place.
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: Minnesota did not play yesterday, so they have rest. Even
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: though I don't think Minnesota is actually that good. They
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: are coming off a pretty decent road win over the Rangers,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: and they're finishing a road trip here. But they did
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: have yesterday off. Like I said, they're playing a fourth
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: game in six days, so that is something where maybe
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: they get a little bit tired. But again, new Jerseys
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: on the back to back, so I think that that
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: kind of balances that out. Minnesota only won one game
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: on the road trip, that last game, and it broke
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: a loss street for them, So actually I think that
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: can like help give them some positive momentum. I think
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: they're gonna try to finish the road trip on the
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: right foot, so I will I'll lean to Minnesota in
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: this one. It looks like Dawes is confirmed as the
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: starting goalie for the Devils here, which I don't think
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: he's played this year for the Devils. The Devils have
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: had Markstrom and Allen in that Markstrom might be hurt,
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but Dawes is confirmed. I don't know
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: what the one hundred percent means here. I still don't
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: know what these fucking ratings are, but it's probably gonna
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: be gust of Sinn for Minnesota, who is their top goaltender,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: so you're gonna get kind of an unknown goalie who
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: hasn't played yet for New Jersey. That's I think that
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: is a downgrade for New Jersey. And Minnesota's got their
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: starting goalie, most likely in net here, so that's another
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: reason to lean in Minnesota. I won't make it a play,
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: but it's a It's not bad. I don't think like
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: out of these three games, I do have an opinion
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: on all three sides. I'm gonna give all one play,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: which is my strongest, and then the second strongest I
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: think is Minnesota. As an underdocument, you're getting kind of
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: a small price on New Jersey. Up for minus one
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: thirty to minus one thirty seven. It almost looks too
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: easy to play New Jersey. On New Jersey, you know
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: this team that's off to a really good record, Minnesota
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: five hundred record, it looks pretty easy to lay like
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: a short money line price on New Jersey. Part of
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: the reason why short is the goaltending situation and the
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: back to back seventy three percent of tickets only sixty
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on New Jersey, so they're
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: public and it looks like some of the bigger money
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: bets are on Minnesota. I agree with it. Again, it's
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: tempting to add that as a play. I'm gonna stay
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: off of it just slightly, but yeah, I would agree
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: with the Minnesota side and that one Houston last night,
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: the under the only reason the Unders didn't hit was
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: because it went into multiple overtimes. Dude, like that is
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: such a bad beat for our man, Fernando, I believe
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: you've had one of those unders. Horrible beat. Like the
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: full game Unders should have been a win, Houston under
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: their team told I think should have been a win.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: It was a low scoring game, and I can't believe
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: that that game went into multiple overtimes like that. It
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: was almost like it was rigged, absolutely ridiculous. Yeah, the
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: Unders should have happened. I didn't really agree with Houston,
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: but Houston was the right side. I mean, they were
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: covering and winning out right, I think pretty much wire
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: to wire, so that was the correct side. One thing
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: I forgot to mention Houston. They have the tallest lineup
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: in the NBA. If that matters at all, I think
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: that means that they probably are lacking in some other aspects.
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: But they I believe they have three three of their
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: starting five or six eleven and their shortest member, their
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: starting five is six seven. It's kind of ridiculous, man,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: Houston going. It's almost old school. It's almost like back
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: in the days when they when Houston had back, like
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: in the nineties or whatever. I think, didn't they have
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: a they had Elijah on On and didn't they have
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: both Elijahan and what was that the tall dude from
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: University of Virginia, Ralph what the fuck was his name? People,
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: the old the old timers know what I'm talking about.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: But they had like it was like the Twin Towers
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: there for Houston in the early nineties, early to mid nineties,
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: somewhere in there, uh for uh yeah, I forget Ralph
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: whatever his name. He got into like some scrum with
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: with the Celtics and and he took a cheap shot
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: against the Celtics. If I remember correctly, he became like, yeah,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: Ralph Sampson, that's correct. Yeah, he was from Houston. What
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: do you mean he was from Houston? He played at
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: the University of Virginia in college. You mean he was
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: originally from Houston? He was he was on the Houston Rockets.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure, but yeah, I'm pretty sure University of
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: Virginia unless he went to multiple colleges, and then uh yeah,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: I think Elijah won. I went to the University of
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: Houston though, and played for the Houston Rockets. Me I
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: was Samson and Elijah one the last game on the
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: hockey slate because I'm gonna have a play on the
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: second game here. The last game on the slate is
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: as I have to go back to the NHL schedule,
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: I didn't bring up a new tab man. Oh my god,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: my mistake. Montreal at Calgary's the later ish game here.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Calgary is not a good team, and I don't even
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: think they're in a good spot here either. They only
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: have one win, but they played a pretty tough game
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: against Winnipeg last time out and they only lost by
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: one goal on Monday, and they have Winnipeg again next.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: I know you. I mean it's Montreal, and Montreal has
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: one of the biggest names in hockey, and they're on
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: the upswing against They're a pretty good team, so it's
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: kind of a game that you do still want to
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: be focused for. It is surrounded by Winnipeg, though, and
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: I think Winnipeg is a little bit bigger of an
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: opponent for Calgary, and I think it's gonna be tough
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: for them to kind of maintain that effort multiple games
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: in a row after a really close call against Winnipeg.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: So I would, personally my opinion would be Montreal in
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: this game. Montreal's on a roll right now, there's coming
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: off an easy win over of Buffalo, and now they're
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, I believe, and again, when you
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: start a road trip, you tend to want to be
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: focused to start the road trip and get off on
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: the right foot. The one issue I might have with
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Montreal is that, well, they haven't faced a ridiculously difficult
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: schedule yet. I mean, a lot of their wins have
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: been pretty easy Chicago, Seattle, Nashville, Buffalo. Four of their
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: five wins are against pretty bad teams. They do have
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: Edmonton tomorrow as well, so it is maybe a little
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: bit of a look ahead from Montreal. So this is
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: my least favorite of all of them. I have a
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: small opinion on Montreal on this one, but the money
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: is not agreeing with that. Eighty five percent of tickets
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: only seventy two percent of the cash on Montreal. I mean,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: I can easily see it going the other way, maybe
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: Calgary will get their second win for Jeffrey here, who
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: likes wolf in net there. Yeah, Sampson definitely a Virginia
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: because I remember those games that they're playing against u
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: NC State back then. I don't remember because I was
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: too young when he was in college, but I know
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: about you know, the whole NC State thing and the run,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: you know, the couple of runs that NC State made.
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: Pretty decent documentary by the way, that I think is
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: on Netflix about the NC State run that they made
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: there as that like lower seed, Yeah, the wolf back there.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: I forget their coaches name. I can't remember anything anymore.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: That coach that NC State had for a while, he
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: was he was really good man, and he was just
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: a hilarious dude, and then he wound up dying of cancer.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: I think, uh, that documentary is is pretty intense, man.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: It's a It's a good one. I recommend it. I mean,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: I like most sports documentaries, but yeah, that one is
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: I think still out there on Netflix. Let's go to
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: the best bets whatever, because I'm gonna try to keep
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: it short with the NBA because I don't have a
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: whole lot to say on the first like the first
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: full ish day of the NBA. But my best bet
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: in hockey is gonna be on Buffalo minus one twelve.
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: Probably you could see that coming. We're gonna fade Detroit.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: Detroit is a public team at this point because they're
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: off to a really hot start. Eighty two percent of
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: the tickets, only seventy three percent of the cash. I mean,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: to the observer here, like the recreational better, it looks
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: pretty weird, right to basically see a pick them price here,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: Basically just pick the winner. You got a two and
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: four Buffalo team against a five and one Detroit team.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: So what gives would be the question I think people
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: would have? Well, Detroit, Yeah, they're good. I'm not sure
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: that they're this good. Yes, they have faced a difficult
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: schedule for sure. Every one of their wins actually against
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: a good team, So yes, they are battle tested to
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: the point where Buffalo is gonna be the worst team
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: that they played so far. But Detroit's only played one
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: game on the road, man, and yes they did win
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: it it was at Toronto, but they basically haven't even
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: like traveled yet. And I know Buffalo is not that
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: far from Detroit, so it's not really that much of
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: a travel spot either, But at some point they got
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: to have a flat spot, and I think it might
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: be here. Yes, they're rested, but I don't think this
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: rest is good. Like when you're on a roll like this,
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: you want to keep playing. So I think it's a
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: little bit bad. And I know this is the first
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: game of a road trip, but it's only a two
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: game road trip to Buffalo into the Islanders. And if
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: you're the Islanders, is their game tomorrow? And if you're
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: gonna focus on one of these two games, I think
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: you're gonna focus on the Islanders. They're the better team
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: than Buffalo, so I could see them overlooking this Buffalo
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: team here, especially because Detroit's coming off so many big
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: games in a row, including beating Edmonton in their last game.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: It looks like a sandwich spot to me. I mean,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: they beat Toronto twice, Florida, Tampa Bay, Edmonton all in
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: a row. Here Again, I think having a little bit
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: of time off might be a momentum Stopper Gibson was
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: in net the last two games, so I don't know
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: what's going on with their goaltending situation. If it's gonna
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: be him again, It looks like Talbot is projected to
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: be their goalie here, so if he comes back, he'll
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: be rested. But he hasn't been in net for a
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: while man, so he might be a little bit rusty too.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: If they bring Talbot back, I don't know if he's
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: been heard or what. I don't know what's going on
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: with Detroit's goaltending situation, but it's a little bit strange.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: Buffalo has only used lie in the whole time so far,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if it's gonna be him again
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: or not. I just don't really care with Buffalo. I
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: just picked my spots with Buffalo, and if they hit,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: they hit. I think did I get I think I
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: gave out. No. Did I give out a play in
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Buffalo this year? If I did, it would have been
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: a loser. I don't think I did. I think this
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: is the first time I'm going I'm giving out a
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: play in Buffalo. But I picked some spots with them
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: where they did pretty well for me last year. But
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: let's go with it again Buffalo. They're coming off a
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: loss to Montreal on the road. I know Buffalo hasn't
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: played that much on the road either, but they're back
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: home here at this one, so I think they're gonna
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: show up focus for this one. It'll be a big
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: game for them. They've been better at home. They're two
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: and four overall, but both of their wins came at
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: home against pretty good teams too, in Autaway in Florida.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: So Buffalo has definitely been better at home so far.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: So another thing to consider. They're two and two, I
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: believe at home, so better than there are two and
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: four overall record. We'll go with Buffalo for all those reasons.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: And again I was saying, I don't even think I care.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: It looks like Lion is scheduled to be their goalie
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: again today. I just don't think it matters that much.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: I don't think either Buffalo goalie is honestly that good.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: So Buffalo will be the play in hockey here. I
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: think mostly it's a bad spot for Detroit. You love it? Hell? Yeah,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: all right, let's do it. Let's get it done. Man,
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: My hockey has been pretty good to start the season.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: I think we're winning in hockey so far. It's been
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: decent at the very least. Let's talk about the NBA, man,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: the NBA. The first game of the season It's very
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: difficult to figure it out. I don't think any of
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: the teams have played yesterday are gonna play today. Houston,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City, Golden State, and La here. Oklahoma City did
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: get out of there with the wins somehow last night,
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: and then I was wrong about the Lakers. I thought
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: the Lakers were undervalued there because I still don't think
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: Lebron should matter that much to the line at this point.
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: Golden State got the win, though, I mean, you got
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: to hand it to them. We do have a couple
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: of ESPN games here. The first one is at seven PM,
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: which is Cleveland and the Knicks. This is a pretty
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: good game, man. The money has come in on Cleveland.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's flipped from a four point dog to a two
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: point favorite. When you see a line like that, you
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: got to kind of think, well, what happened there were
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: their injuries. I think we got to look at their
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: depth shart and kind of figure that out. Sounds like
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: I'm saying depth charge, We're gonna blow up the underwater.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: But the money is coming in on the calves fifty
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, sixty eight percent of the cash
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: on them, and there's enough respect in the market for them,
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: that they're road favored against the Knicks. I think the
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: public perception is going to be more kind of just
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: remembering what happened at the end of last year and
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: the Calves just complete collapse in the playoffs. But remember
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: the Calves, they had a lot of injury issues in
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. Man, I think they're better than what they
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: appeared to be, even though I'm a guy who I
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: thought the Knicks were the better of these two teams
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: last year to some extent, but the odds makers are
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: saying that's not the case. Right now. The odds makers
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: are telling you what you need to know here pretty
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: much at the Calves are the better team because they're
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: favorite on the road. Public doesn't really want them because
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: of their bad playoff performance last year. They remember the
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Knicks beating the Celtics, but you know the Celtics, they
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: blew a couple of massive leads in that series. They
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: lost Jason Tatum, it just became an implosion for the Celtics.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: So I think in the public's I I think the
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: Knicks are the over value team in this one. So
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: I do agree with the market in this one. I
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: would lean to the Calves. In this game. Looking at
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: the box, I mean the depth chart, like, do we
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: have any huge injuries for the Knicks. Mitchell Robinson is
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be out, Josh Hart is gonna be out, So
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: I mean it's a fairly thin roster for the Knicks year. Obviously,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: they have Brunson, who is their star. He's good. They
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: got Bridges, I believe, in a trade last year, so
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: he's still there or actually is he new to the
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Knicks this year? I forget. I forget when they got him.
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: Anonobi and Karl Anthony Towns are both day to day,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: but it's the first game of the season. I'm expecting
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: them to play, so I think you can expect basically
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: everybody except Robinson and Hart will play. So it's a
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: slightly short handed Nick roster, although some of their best
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: players are still there. Obviously Calves. Their main injury is
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: Daris Garland is out. They did pick up Lonzo Ball though,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: so but everybody else, I think it is good to
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: go Hunters day to day. Mitchell will be there. I
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: think Mitchell a couple of these guys were hurting the
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: playoffs last year. So basically their entire team except for Garland,
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: is back. So Cleveland is definitely intact here, and that
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: is the way that I would go. I lean, I
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: lean to the nick Excuse me, I lean to the
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: Calves in that game against the Knicks, have some guys out. Yeah,
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: that's my hesitation is maybe did the line move too
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: far in the direction of the Calves because of the
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: Knicks injuries? Maybe? I mean, that was a pretty big move.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know Towns is out. You think he's actually
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: Is he actually out? I don't know if that matters
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: that much. But I don't think Towns is as good
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: as people think he is. He's yeah, he's he's sass.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: Let's let's put it that way. He's listed his day
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: to day. Yeah, his sexuality is questionable, that's true. Shane
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: Gillis made a joke about that at the SPI's and
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: people people, I don't think, really loved that. I thought
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: he was good at the SPS. I liked it. I
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: think Towns is going to play, but we will see.
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: Miami and Orlando is kind of an interesting one. Just
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, these teams basically perendually make the playoffs. At
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: this point, Orlando's an eight point favorite, and it looks
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: like they're getting a little bit of the cash percentage
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: to seventy four percent of tickets seventy seven percent of
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: the cash on Orlando. Orlando's definitely the better team. I mean,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Miami is well coached, though with Spoelstra still there, he
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: seems to do a lot with very little at this point.
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: With Miami. Of course, Miami doesn't have a butler anymore.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: They have a pretty questionable roster they still have. Out
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: of Bio, they picked up Andrew Wiggins, so that was
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: kind of their big get. I think that was an
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: offseason move. I'm pretty sure. So they're one of those teams,
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: though I don't know, like you need to wait for
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: them to gel a little bit because Wiggins is gonna
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: be like a new star that they have on their team.
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: I believe he was on Golden State last year. You
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: can correct me if I'm wrong, But they're gonna have
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: to kind of get used to this new like roster
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: rotation that they have there, so they might not have
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: total chemistry right away. So that's kind of the issue
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: I would have with looking towards Miami in this game.
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: If if that's what you were thinking, Orlando, they're pretty good, man.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: I think Orlando. I mean, remember how many injuries they
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: had last year, Like Wagner was hurt, they have do
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: they only have him now? They used to have both Wagners,
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: They had Franz and Moor. They do still have Mo.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: Mo was still out, but Franz is the better of
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: the Wagners. Only second recard Wagner is that his name,
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: the composer, He's the top Wagner. But Franz is right
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: up there. So Franz is back. Suggs was hurt in
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: the playoffs too, and he's listed as day to day.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: So any day to day here, double D titties here,
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: I'm expecting that means they're probably gonna play ben Caro
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: is gonna play in this game, Bancheiro. So basically Orlando's
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: pretty much back to full strength here. For the most part,
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Orlando laying the points in that one.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: I think they have more continuity there. They're getting their
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: guys back. They might be a little bit undervalued because
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: they just fell out of the playoffs last year with
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: all those injuries, and because they were facing the Celtics,
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: who were a better team than Orlando and had way
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: more experience. The line moves because of injury, or I
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: think it was both injury and smart money on the Cavs.
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: Looking at the market read there. I mean, a six
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: point move is kind of crazy, So maybe that does
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: indicate that maybe Towns is out too, But I think
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: it was both, Like I think the books had to
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: just adjust the line because of the injuries, but I
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: think i'd have to look and see what the line
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: moves actually world. Like if you see a sudden like
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: move of three points or something, that would be like
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: that was the injury adjustment. But then you see like
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: a slow creep of the line continuing to move, that's
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: like the money moving it all right. I mean, if
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: you want me to talk about any of these other games,
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: I will. My one play is going to be on
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: the seventy six ers in Celtics game, so I'll hold
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: off of that right now. Detroit Chicago kind of interesting.
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: The money's actually indicating on Chicago pretty strongly here. Sixty
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets on Detroit six Yeah, sixty nine
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Bulls here, which I
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: don't know if that is Bowler, If it is the
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: I mean the Pistons, maybe they're a little bit overvalued.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Right now because they made a nice They looked pretty
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: good in the playoffs last year. Man, they made a
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: nice little uh not really run, but they had a
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: chance to knock Nicks out of the playoffs. Side, I
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: think the Knicks, right, Detroit had a chance to knock
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: him out of the playoffs last year. Detroit's definitely an
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: up in the up and coming team again right now. Man.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: Of course, they have a Cade Cunningham really really ridiculous.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: He's really good. They got him. They got Tobias Harris.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, they picked up Duncan Robinson, who came over
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: from Miami, one of the weirdest looking guys in the
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: NBA seen. I've seen him play live too, but he
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: is a three point shooter for sure. He can do
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: some other damage as well. Detroit's gonna be good again, man. Chicago,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think Chicago kind of made their name
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: as like a defensive team the last couple of years.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: But they lost Caruso because he's on Oklahoma City, which
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: I think might have been in the Giddy trade. Giddy,
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know how he's still in the league after
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: the stuff that was going on with him, and I
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: don't know sexual contact with mine ors, so whatever, I
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with him, but yeah, whatever,
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: I mean Chicago, I mean, I think they're kind of
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: a team that people don't really pay attention to you
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: right now, Like they're better than people think they are.
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be missing Kobe White in this game and
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: Zach Collins, I guess, but the rest of their guys
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: are there. People just don't know the names that Chicago has,
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: that they are kind of under the radar. Because of that,
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: is it worth, you know, firing on the Bulls plus
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: the points here? I don't know. I mean, I'm not
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: gonna give out a play on it, but I mean maybe.
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: But the Pistons, they do have all their guys back,
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: like coming back again, and they're on the upswing. So
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know if i'd really want to fade this
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: Piston seem right now. But as far as like the
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: public perception, yeah, I think the perception might be a
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: little bit too skewed towards the Pistons. There was a
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: jump in the line. What was the move to and
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: when was it? Yeah, so I think there was an
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: injury move on that one Pelicans Grizzlies. I also I
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: would lean to the Pelicans in this one, which is
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: what the money is saying as well. Sixty nine percent
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: of tickets around the Grizzlies through up from three and
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: a half to four and a half, sixty percent of
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: the cash coming back on New Orleans, though, I think
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: New Orleans is under the radar right now because of
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: what they did last year or didn't do last year.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: New Orleans, Yeah, they were awful last year, but remember
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: they made the playoffs of the year before that. New
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: Orleans was probably the most injured team all in the
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: entire league last year. Man, So if they are at like,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: if they're in a healthier spot here, they're gonna be
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: way better. Like Zion Williamson was hurt last year for
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: the majority of the season. Trey Murphy the third was
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: also hurt. I think they've had some roster shuffling as well,
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: because I forget it whilse they had last year. But
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: I think those are the two main guys who were
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: on the roster last year who are still back. But
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: they're both healthyer right now. So this is a pretty
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: healthy New Orleans team, and I do think they're a
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: bit under the radar here. This is my second favorite
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: play other than the one that I'm gonna give out
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: as an actual play, but this would be my second
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: strongest lean in the NBA would be to New Orleans Memphis.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, everybody kind of saw what they did last year.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: They made the playoffs, they lost to the Thunder. Nobody's
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: really gonna knock them for losing to the Thunder obviously
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: in a one versus eight matchup. They still got John Morant,
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: and everybody knows about that. I mean Morant, he's a star,
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: we all know this. And Caldwell Pope. I mean, those
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: are pretty big names, decent roster for them, and they
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: do have Wells back. They have a lot of their
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: guys back. Zach Edy is hurt though, so they might
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: kind of suffer in the interior there with their with
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: their big man out, with the Edy out, so just
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: somebody to keep in mind there. And Scotty Pippin Junior
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: is out too, man, which I don't know if that
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: really matters. He's kind of a role player. He's he's
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: not his father. But yeah, Memphis, I mean they could
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: suffer on the interior a little bit and New Orleans
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: might be able to actually take advantage of that. Because
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: they got Zion Man, so Zion might be able to
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: clean up a little bit on the inside, could wind
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: up being kind of a matchup issue for Memphis there
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: as well on the interior. So yeah, I would lean
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: to New Orleans in that one. What else we got
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: San Antonio and Dallas. San Antonio maybe a bit under
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: the radar as well here because they just people didn't
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: really see what they're capable of last year because when
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Binyana got hurt and he had like a well he
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: didn't get hurt, he had like a serious like what
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: was it, like a blood vessel issue of some kind
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: of something something like that, Like I don't know, I
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: don't remember if it was a like a deep vein
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: thrombosis or like an embolism, What the hell was I
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: forget what it was. It was something that it's like
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: you think that a guy that would have that would
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: never play again, but that's not gonna be the case
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: with him. I think san Antonio is under the radar
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: here too. In Dallas, even though people were making fun
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: of them last year for the Luca trade. I think
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: the hype is kind of back on the Dallas train
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit here because they drafted Cooper Flag, so
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: everybody kind of wants Dallas again here. But remember Flag
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: is he's a rookie man, so it's gonna take him
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: some time to adjust. He might be overvalued a little
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: bit here. He's got to adjust to the NBA. He's
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: got to adjust to a new team here. So I
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: don't know if Dallas. I think they're gonna be good,
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: but I don't know if they're gonna be like crazy
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: good out of the gate. The money is actually coming
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: in on Dallas, and I kind of disagree with that.
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: They did drop from two and a half with juice
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: down to two and a half, so the oddsmakers are
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: basically giving Dallas like almost just home court and nothing else.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: I think home court in the NBA is like two
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: points though maybe uh sixty five percent ticket seventy eight
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the MAVs, so the money's
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: kind of coming into the MAVs. Of course, I want
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: to fade the MAVs anyway, because they're owned by Miriam
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: Addaleson Adols, and that's that's reason enough to hate the
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: Dallas MAVs, man, I would. I'm more of a fan
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: of their previous owner, Mark Cuban and I'm not a
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: Mark Cuban fan. And now they got Yeah, he sold
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: off the team to the Adols and the Adolson's. I mean,
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: it's just so ridiculous, dude. I mean, we know what's
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: going on there, the largest contributors to Israel. I don't
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: want to I don't want to get this channel nuked. But yeah,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, maybe it's my bias that wants to fade Dallas,
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: but I do think the Spurs are under the radar here. Man.
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be without de Aaron Fox though he was
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: a guy they traded for. They got him from Sacramento
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: last year. He's definitely a good scorer, he's kind of
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: a defensive liability. He's gonna be out, But I think
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: the rest of the team could kind of just overcome that.
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: They got Castle, he's good. Wembin Yama is back. They
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: got my man, Luke Cornett, who's not on the Celtics anymore,
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: and Kelly o'lynnik although he's hurt, not on the Celtics anymore.
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: They got all the Celtics big white guys. Man. So
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be a fan of the Spurs for that reason.
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: I have a Wemba jersey back in my room. Maybe
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: I should put it on. But yeah, I mean Wemba
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: is a matchup problem for a lot of teams. Man,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: he's like he's a freak, Like he's over seven feet
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: tall or whatever. He can shoot from the outside too,
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: he can do like everything. But this this is a team,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a bit under the radar. Man, to
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: the point where sham Champagne, he shot. Pigne is actually
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: a backup on the seam, Like he's gonna be like
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: kind of a six nand type of guy. But I
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: thought he was in the starting lineup. So San Antonio.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: A little bit of depth there, Dallas, as far as
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: they're a depth chart here, I think I just brought
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: that up in a new window. What did I do?
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: Did I screw that up? What did I do? Uh?
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I did there? Hang on, Oh no,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: I brought it up in a new to I don't
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: know what that was my mistake. Yeah, So Dallas, I mean,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: we know they got Anthony Davis last year. That was
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: the trade for that was when they traded Luca. So
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: he's he got hurt almost immediately, remember, So he's back,
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: but he hasn't played that much with Dallas. I think
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: he came back maybe right towards the end of the season,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: so maybe he needs to get a little bit more
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: chemistry as well. I mean, Dallas, they kind of pieced
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: this team together late last year, so these guys aren't
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: totally used to playing with each other. They got D'Angelo
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: Russell now as well. They got Klay Thompson last year
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: from Golden State, I believe as well, or he might
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: have been there prior to last year. Actually like to
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: start the season last year. But it's a bunch of
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: new pieces. Man Cooper Flag's gonna be in the starting rotation.
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: PJ Washington very good defender, he's coming off the bench.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: Gafford is day to day. He's also really good coming
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: off the bench. Derek Live he looks like he's gonna
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: start that trio of Washington, Gafford and Lively. They came
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: up huge in the playoffs a couple of years ago.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: This Dallas team is pretty deep too, man, So I
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: don't know if I really want to fade them, but
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: I think Dallas is gonna be really good this year,
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: to be honest. But and there, they're deep team. They're
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: very talented team. They got to stay healthy, but out
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: of the gate, I think they might have a few
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: chemistry concerns there, so that would be my concern there.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: Scotti Pittman Junior had a back yard of me. I'm
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: not really sure what that means, but all right, he
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: had his entire back replaced. Zach Randolph. I don't know.
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: Is he a commentator somewhere a coach? I don't know.
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Tanking injury, no, I mean, I mean the WEHMB. The
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: thing was real, man, like the he wasn't allowed to play,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: Like the doctor said that he couldn't play them. I'm
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: actually shocked that he's able to play now though, Like,
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: I don't think they made that up, because san Antonio
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: could have potentially made the playoffs last year if they
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: were healthy. Let's go to the best bet here that
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: I have, and that's gonna be I'm gonna fade my
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: boss in Celtics. I'm gonna take the Philadelphia seventy six
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: ers here, who were I think maybe one of the
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: most undervalued teams last year, just because they didn't stay
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: healthy and they didn't stay intact as a unit. Man.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Part of it was that embiid is a complete head case.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: I get that, but Embiid is here right now, and
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: the Sixers the last two years, they're way better with
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: Embiid playing than when he's not playing. Like, when he's
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: not playing, they win like thirty something percent of their games,
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: and when he is playing, they win like seventy percent
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: of them. So Embiid makes a huge difference as long
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: as he's actually trying to win. Him playing focus and
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: at least in the first game, I think you're gonna focus.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: You're playing against the Celtics, who everybody knows won the
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: championship two years ago. They were one of the favorites
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: to win again last year, and then injuries just destroyed them.
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: And now the Celtics have pretty much blown apart the team,
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: like this is a rebuilding season almost for the Celtics here, man.
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: So I don't know why the Celtics are a three
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. I don't know why it
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: seems like the money is coming in on them. I
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: don't get it. If they win, I'll be happy because
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: it's the Celtics and I don't like the Sixers. But
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: I don't see it, man, And they can win and
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: not cover too. They're up from two and a half
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: to three and a half. Here seventy four percent of
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty three percent of the cash on the Celtics.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: At first, to me, I thought I saw the line
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: move down to like two and the cash was coming
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: in on the Sixers earlier. Now it's like completely flipped
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: where now the cash looks like it's coming in on
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. But again I don't agree with it. Man. Yes,
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: it's the home opener for the Celtics. Yes, they're coming
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: up an extremely disappointing result getting knocked out by the
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: Knicks last year. So yeah, the Celtics, they're gonna want
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: to you know, atone for that. But by the way,
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: were they playing on Friday? Oh yeah, They're playing the
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: New York Knicks on Friday. That is a huge revenge
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: spot for the Celtics. You know, they have that game circle, dude,
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: And I believe we did the Celtics lose in New
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: York in six games too, Am I right about that?
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: So that might be a return to the scene of
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: the crime too. Either way, that is a huge game, man,
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: Like the team that knocked you out of the playoffs,
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: that's like the only revenge that matters, you're gonna be
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: focused on that. I think the Celtics, even though it
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: is their home opener, it's possible they even take the
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: Sixers lightly. Here. The Sixers seem to always play the
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: Celtics really tough though, so maybe the Celtics won't play
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: the Sixers lightly. But that also plays into our hand here,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: because again it seems like the Celtics always struggle against
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: the seventy six Ers. And I know the Celtics knocked
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: the seventy six Ers out of the playoffs a couple
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: of years. I think during the Celtics championship run they
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: did right, I believe so. But and Tatum at a
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: huge game against them. But we know Tatum is not
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: gonna be here. Tatum broke his leg against the Knicks
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: last year. He's gonna miss He was supposed to miss
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: this entire season, although he's saying I guess his recovery
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: is going really well, and he's saying he's gonna come
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: back before the season ends. We'll see about that, man.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: So if the Celtics can somehow make the playoffs and
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: Tatum comes back, they will actually be a threat in
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. But right now, I don't see it. I
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: don't see it at all, to be honest, I think
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: it's a look ahead for the Celtics because that Nick game,
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: I think means more than this game, even though this
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: is the home opener. Yeah, the Celtics would like to
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: get get off on the right foot. Sixers are gonna
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: be without Paul George, but whatever I mean, they're used
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: to it. They have everybody else. They have Maxie. Maxie
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: is one of their key contributors. Oobray also, even though
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: I think he's a dick. They're gonna be missing McCain,
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: but I don't really care about that. I don't care
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: about anybody whose name is McCain. And Embiid is going
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: to be there for this one, and that's a huge
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: He's the biggest difference maker on the Sixers. Obviously, he
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: just has to stop being ahead case and they're gonna
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: have to work in Edgecomb, who was their I believe
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: their top draft pick that they made this year, Edgecomb
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: out of Baylor. He's a really good player, but he's
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: gonna have to take a little bit of time to gel.
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: But I still think this Sixers lineup is more intact
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: than the Celtics lineup. When you look at the Celtics
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: depth chart, you're gonna be like, what the fuck is this?
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: So I just don't see why the Celtics can be
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: favored here. And I think the Celtics are kind of
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: relying on that name recognition, man, Like I think that's
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: why the Celtics are favored like this. Like, I don't
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: think they're the better team right now with the Sixers,
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: So giving the Celtics more than home court advantage here
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense to me. Yeah, I just don't
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: I don't see it. I think when the Sixers are healthy,
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: even without Paul George, I think they're better than what
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: the Celtics lineup is putting out there. And people were
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: just remembering last year and the Sixers were just a
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: terrible team last year, but again it was because everybody
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: was out, like their star players are just injured constantly.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: George was injured, and Beid was injured, and Beid was suspended.
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: They were never intact, and everybody remembers the Celtics being good.
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: But the Celtics they only have two returning starters. Jalen
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: Brown he's day to day but he'll play, and Derek
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: White Sam Houser is gonna be in the starting lineup,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. He was part of the Celtics really
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: deep bench the last few years. He's gonna be in
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: the starting lineup. They're gonna have Anthrony Simons, who was
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: one of the guys they traded for. They traded that
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: was the Porzingis trade. I think they got Simons from Portland?
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: Is that right? I believe that that was that trade. Right?
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: I forget, I forget which fucking trade was. Which Simons
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: he could score? He's a good shooter, He's a total
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: defensive liability. So that is not something that the Celtics
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: are used to. Derek White is also not used to
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: being the point guard because you remember, the Celtics had
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: drew holiday, so they have no more holiday. Actually, I
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: think that was the holiday trade that they got Simons.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: I think Holiday went to Portland, Is that right? I
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: don't even remember. I don't even remember, man, but they yeah,
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: they don't have Celtics don't have holiday. Horford or Porzingis anymore,
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: or Tatum anymore. So like that's four of their top
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: six guys are gone from last year. As far as
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: to start the season, Tatum is still there, but he's
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: heard obviously, and that means their starting center is gonna
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: be Cada, who I mean, I kind of like Cada.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: I think he puts in a lot of effort, but
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know how good he really is. Man, So
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: this this is a total mash unit here, Man and
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: I love Derek White. He's awesome. He's a very good defender,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: but he's not used to being in the point guard
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: role and being like the distributor and at the distributor
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: necessarily either, because that was mostly holiday last year. So
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: I don't like it. Man, I really don't this Celtics team.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, they might still have some depth. I mean
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: Pritchard is still there. Shireman was one of their draft
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: picks the previous year. He's gonna work his way in.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: He's a three point shooter. I don't think he's a
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: good defender. They grabbed Luca Garza, who looked good in preseason,
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: the unibrow guy from the University of Iowa that people
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: might remember. I think he was on the dallass and
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: he didn't really work out that well. I just don't
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: know him. Man, and Hugo Gonzalez was the first draft
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: pick the Celtics grabbed who he looked good in preseason two.
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: We don't really know what he is exactly because they
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: drafted him out of Spain, So I don't know, man.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: We'll see. Maybe the Celtics will coalesce into some okay
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: team this year, but right now I don't think so.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: Out of the gate, with this many moving parts, this
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: many new pieces year, I think they have like the
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: the most turnover out of any team in the NBA
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: right now, and in the negative directions. So take the
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: Sixers plus the points in that game. That's gonna be
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: the way that I start off the NBA. There. You're
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: a Sixers fan, man, well, I guess for your sake,
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: hopefully it happens. But I'm gonna still root for the Celtics.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: But the Celtics are just fucked in my opinion. Celtics.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: They do have Max Schulga. I love Shulga. Dude. Bracket
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: entry last year is called pour some Shulga on me.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Shulgo was at VCU. He's a He's a really good player, man,
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if it's gonna translate to the
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: NBA necessarily, but he can do a lot. He's physically
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: he hits threes. I like that guy, so I like
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: that the Celtics have him, But I don't know. We'll
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: see Sixers are gonna be more up tempo. We'll so
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: are the Celtics. Which that's another problem. The Celtics are
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: going up tempo. Now, that's a complete that's a drastic
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: change to what the Celtics were doing the previous couple
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: of years under Joe Mazzula. The Celtics were a half
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: court offense. Man, That's what they were doing. Distribute the ball,
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: look for good shots, slow the game down. The Celtics
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: are gonna be completely flipping that on its head and
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: running a high tempo offense. Now that's not gonna work
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: out right away either, man, even though they look pretty
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: good in preseason, but come on, man, I mean that's preseason,
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: so I think that's that's bad as well. I'm not
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: gonna bet you, man, because I said the Sixers are
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: gonna probably win this game. So I'm not gonna I'm
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: not gonna do that A thousand bucks. No, no, no,
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: I would bet on the Sixers in that game. Like
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: I said, maybe I should just start actually betting again.
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: Uh wait, the Sixers got Jeni broom To. I didn't
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: even know. I didn't even know they had him. He
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: so he might get into the mix as well. He
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: was the star player on Auburn the last couple of years.
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: I called him Johnny because Jeni is just such a
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: stupid name. All right, let's go to college football and
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: that'll be the end of the show here. Uh So
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: we got two plays today college football. We have more
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: Conference USA action. I don't know when the midweek action
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: is starting. We're gonna have sun Belt tomorrow. Tomorrow's game
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: is horrific. The sun Belt, dude, that is just an
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: awful game. Uh these two games today, I don't know.
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: ESPN two seven thirty pm. We got Middle Tennessee at Delaware. Delaware,
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: even though they're new to FBS this year, they were
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: pretty good at FC and they're getting a lot of
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: respect in the market, man, And part of it is
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: because Middle Tennessee is awful. Middle Tennessee is really bad.
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: Like they're one of the like, probably one of the
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: worst FBS teams this year, to be honest, they suck.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: Delaware not too bad. They're down from ten to nine
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: and a half on the line here, though, I think
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: the one issue with Delaware maybe is a Delaware well,
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: they're one dimensional on offense. They throw the ball a lot,
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: and they've been pretty good at that, but they can't
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: really run the ball. The money's coming in on the
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee side. I think part of it may just
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: be because Delaware new to FBS and maybe not used
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: to being in the role of being a huge favorite
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: like this, fifty four percent of tickets around Delaware, sixty
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on Middle Tennessee. Though, looking
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: at the schedule, there are some scheduling dynamics that kind
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: of have have me leaning towards Middle Tennessee a little bit,
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: mostly that they're coming out of a buy and they
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: went into the buy in a bad note. So they
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: haven't played since October eighth, and that was a home
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: game and they got a home primetime game for their
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: first Their first midweek game was a home primetime game
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: against another FBS newcomer, Missouri State. I believe Missouri State
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: was a small road favorite in that game because Middle
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is that bad and Middle Tennessee they played competitively
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: in the game, but they lost the game. They only
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: have one win this year and it was an underdog
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: win on the road at Nevada, and I think if
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: you look into that, it was a misleading result. So
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee is pretty bad, including getting blown out by
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: FCS Austin p they have not played a difficult schedule
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: really at all, and they still have been atrocious. And
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: they lost for me in that game against Wisconsin to
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: where I think they had chances to cover that big
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: number in that one and they still failed to do so.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: But in this particular spot they might get up for
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: it because it is a primetime game. They went into
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: the buy on a three game losing streak, and I
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: talk about this every time we see a bye. I
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: talk about it when a team goes into a buye
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: and a bad note, they tend to use that buy
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: to fix problems and fix what's wrong. So I think
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: the bye came in a decent time for them, So
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: that may be one of the main reasons why the
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: money is coming in. On the Middle Tennessee side, Delaware
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: off to a deces start at three and three. They
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: played a little bit more of a difficult schedule, I
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: would say, the middle except the Middle Tennessee did play Wisconsin,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: but Delaware they've played some of the better teams in
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: this conference already, though I would say Western Kentucky Jacksonville
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: State somehow was still near the top of the conference
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: even though they lost rich Rod. Delaware has had some
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: better performances though, pulling off the upset or excuse me,
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: not pulling off the upset beating Yukon, excuse me? Or
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: really was that an upset? I think it was. Yeah,
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: that was an upset. Delaware upset Yukon at home. That
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: was a good win for Delaware. They blew out FIU.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: I know FIU sucks, but pretty good to blow a
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: team out like that on the road. And Delaware played
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: pretty competitively against Western Kentucky last week. They played on Wednesday.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: They did lose to Jacksonville State. If you dig into
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: this box score a little bit, they did lose the
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: turnover battle. They actually outgained Jacksonville State by close to
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: one hundred yards in the game, so Delaware and they
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: had like a seventy whatever or almost a seventy yard
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: yard a jedge in the game, but they were minus
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: two in turnovers and lost the penalty battle as well,
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: which was part of the reason why Delaware lost that game.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: Delaware was actually a road favorite in the game. I
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: thought the game set set up a little bit better
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: for Delaware there, and they lost that one in kind
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: of misleading fashion. So I think it does kind of
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: set up for Delaware to be focused on this game too.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: Delaware gets to host another primetime game here. They already
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: did that once and they played pretty well against Western Kentucky,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: even though I thought they were gonna win that game
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: and they lost. But Minnikoochie has been good as they're
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: a quarterback. They're rushing attack obviously has not been good.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: As you see last week They're leading rusher got fifteen
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: yards on the ground against Jacksonville State. That's not a
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: good sign. So it is a one dimensional offense. But
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee, I mean they're almost a zero dimensional offense,
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: even though they have Vatiyada, who they had last year. Uh,
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: their offense has just been pretty mediocre. But I actually
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: think their defense is also pretty bad. So I mean,
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: obviously this is not a game I want anything to
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: do with, but I think because of the by situation
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: for Middle Tennessee, that would be the way I would
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: lean to taking the points with them. Obviously, if you
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: can get a ten out there. If you want Middle Tennessee,
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: the ten is obviously better than the nine and a
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: half because ten is a key number. It might be
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: gone now though, but yeah, those are my thoughts on that.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: And then we have Missouri State the other FBS newcomer
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: at New Mexico State in the later game at nine
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern CBS sports. Missouri State down from a one
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite to a one point favorite here,
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: so basically just pick the winner. But it was like
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: some of the money kind of is coming in on
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: that side. Fifty nine per ticket, sixty four percent of
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: the cash on Missouri State, so the money kind of
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: coming into Missouri State here. Missouri State, I mean they've
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: been somewhat ten. I mean they played USC SMU. They
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: got blown out by USC. That covered for me on
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: the show that one of my plays against SMU. I
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: had Missouri State as one of my plays in that
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: one against SMU, and they played pretty well. It was
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for SMU, but Missouri States stepped up
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: in class a little bit. They played pretty competitively against
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky a couple of weeks ago. Two they're now
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: coming out of a bye and they went into the
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: buy on a win against Middle Tennessee, but beating Middle
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: Tennessee by two not exactly that impressive, So I'm not
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: gonna say that they went into the buy and or
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: on a good note. Really, they went into the by
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: on a Yeah, this is a game that we probably
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: should have won, and maybe we should have won it
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: more easily. Note. One thing to keep in mind is
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: they did lose their quarterback, Clark, So Bailey came in
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: and played in that game against Middle Tennessee and he
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: did well. But Middle Tennessee is a pretty bad team.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: Like I said, I would pay attention to see if
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Clark is coming back, because they've had plenty of time
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: to try to get him back. I mean, they had
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: the buys, so they haven't played since October eighth, so
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: they might have Clark back in this game. And if
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: he does, I think that'll be a big deal. I
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: think he is probably still better than bayle Al, though
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know too much about these quarterbacks here. New
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: Mexico State not exactly a good team though, and I
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: think New Mexico State doesn't do that well at defending
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: the pass and Missouri State does mostly throw the ball.
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: So if Clark is back. That will help them out
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: in this spot as well. New Mexico State sitting at
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: three and three. I believe they had a bye last
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: week or no, they did not have a by excuse
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: and they played last Tuesday. They had a close game, man,
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: So New Mexico State actually isn't in a very good
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: spot because they were eleven and a half point underdogs
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: against Liberty and they almost won the game against Liberty.
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: So New Mexico State was hanging in this game against Liberty.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: They actually took the lead in the fourth quarter and
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: they still had the lead until a touchdown in the
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: final minute. Is how Liberty wound up beating New Mexico State.
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: Liberty big favorite in that game, and the Liberty is
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: down this year. That was a big game for New
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: Mexico State. Man, they almost pulled off the huge upset
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State. I mean, I think they're definitely the
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: worst of these two teams. They have not played a
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule so far. They're like the toughest opponents they
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: face were Louisiana Tech and Liberty. They haven't faced any
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: Power Conference teams, so Missouri State is more battle tested
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: as well. In New Mexico State's coming off a difficult
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: game again where they almost pulled off an upset, so
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: they might be a little bit hung over here. Even
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: though they are getting to host a midweek game here,
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: they do have Western Kentucky up next to and Western
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: Kentucky is still near the top of the Conference USA.
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: It's six and two, four and one in the conference.
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State also hasn't really been able to run
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: the ball that well. Even though I almost thought that
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: was kind of what they were trying to do, was
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: run the football, They're just not doing it well. So yeah,
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: I would agree with Missouri State in this one for sure.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: On Missouri State with the week off, New Mexico State
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: coming off a game where they almost pulled off an upset,
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: I'm tempted to give it out as a play. I
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: don't think I can quite get there with it. It's close.
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is the closest that I've seen this
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: week so far to a play. I like Missouri State
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: in this one. I'm tempted. I'm gonna stay off of it.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: I'll stay off of it, but I think it is
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: tempting to play Missouri State there. I think they're the
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: right side in that game. That's gonna do it. Yeah,
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: Delaware inspired by Flacco resurgence. Yeah, I'm not so sure
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: about that. It's been a long time loser of Celtics
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: sixers treats of Buffalo Wild Wings. I still don't. I
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: don't want to have any anything on the Celtics. Man,
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: I'm too much of a I will only have a
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: bet where I feel like I have an edge for
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: the most part, Buffalo Wild Wings I will if I
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: go to Buffalo Wild Wings, I also have to get
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: the Blaze and Wings and I'm gonna be, you know,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: probably having a numb dick again because of it. Yeah,
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: I saw that the I want to watch that. The
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: Mob documentary. I forget what it's called, but yeah, the
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: Philly Mob documentary. I like the Mob documentaries. Man, I'm
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: gonna watch it at some point for sure. All Right,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it, Jeffrey, thanks for hanging out, man,
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: the only one here. We'll have a you know, we
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: just have a friendly disagreement on the game here, will
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: I will root for the Celtics, even though I also
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: want to be correct about my play. My play is
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: today once again, Buffalo Sabers money Line Philadelphia seventy six
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: ers plus the points. That's gonna do it? Learn a
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: tone on Twitter, and learn a tone on Instagram. Better
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: off dead, Like, subscribe to the show here. Everything helps
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: me out here, man, let's boost the channel. Still got
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: to get to at least the next threshold is five
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: hundred subscribers. I want to get to that. Man. I
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: want to blow this thing up somehow. But maybe people
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: just don't like to listen to my ranting, or not
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: even ranting, but just being too autistic about everything. I
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: didn't miss anything today, right, I don't think I did.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: We'll be back tomorrow with NFL. We've got the end
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: of NFL Thursday game, and I think, yeah, there's that
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: one really ugly college basketball game tomorrow and I'm assuming.
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: But now we're NBA NHL season, so we're gonna have
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: NBA and NHL every single day now too for the
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: most part. And oh, actually Major League Baseball doesn't start.
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: Did I totally forget about the World Series? The World
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: Series doesn't start until Friday, Okay, So I was like,
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: oh shit, that that would have been a huge misstep
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: of mine. I think the Dodgers is gonna win the
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: World Series though, I'll just put that out there right now.
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers are over minus two hundred favorites to win
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: the World Series, and they were gonna be a smaller
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: favorite slightly against Seattle, so they're actually a heavier favorite
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: against Toronto than they would have been against Seattle. Toronto
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: is probably the only team that was left in the
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: playoffs that have a bullpen that might be worse than
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers' bullpen. Both bullpens are not that good, but
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: that Dodgers' rotation is almost insurmountable and their favorite on
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: the road in Game one and they're rested. Doesn't look
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: good to me for Toronto and that in that series. Man,
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: I'll be honest with you. I think the Dodgers are
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: gonna win that thing and go back to back. But
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: that'll do it. Yeah again, better off dead leg Subscribe here,
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: give me a review, Listen on Apple and Spotify that
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: all of that helps me out as well. Want to
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: get to five hundred and then one thousand subscribers here
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: on YouTube to get this thing monetized. Everything's gonna help.
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: Learn to toad on Patreon, Patreon, dot com, Slash, learn
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: to Toad, Spotify, feed, and I know I've been a
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: little bit slow with it. I did one of my
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: requests though, even though my gain was too high on
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: my MIC, I did a one of the subscriber requests.
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if he's actually at the level
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: or not, but he messaged me and it was Charles.
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: You guys know Charles. He's hanging out in the chat
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: a lot here. So I did monster Mash for him.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: It's only on Twitter right now, but I gotta get
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: it up on YouTube on covered in Yuke on YouTube,
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: that's my yuke channel on YouTube. I gotta get it
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: up there. And Patreon dot com, slash learn to toad
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: on the Spotify feed that's up there, and then yeah,
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: you get prioritize requests. Got it. The get some more
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: content to do for that. I know I've been talking
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: about ukulele request streams. I got to start that at
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: some point when I first, I mean, I'm just i
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: feel like I'm so busy analyzing sports, it's ridiculous. When
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: I first start doing it. I will probably not have
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: it behind a paywall though, because I want people to
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: get into it first and then maybe start paywalk some
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: of it. That's gonna do it. They don't like money.
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: That's right, Thank you, sir. I've been doing well over
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: the last month or so on this show, like since
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: football started football. I know if you had a little
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: bit of a lull, but let's let's turn it around.
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: Let's get some wins in football this week. I hate
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: the NFL board this week, though it's a small ish
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: board this week because there are a lot of teams
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: on buy this week. We're into the NFL weeks now
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: that have a ton of buys. College football I like
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: more than the NFL this week. There's some plays that
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: I definitely think I'm gonna have in college football NFL.
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: I really only have like one right now that I
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: even think is worthy of a play. But we'll see
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: if I wind up having more than that, but just
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: let you know. And it's not in the Thursday game.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: I have a slight opinion on the Thursday game. But
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Jeffrey, Again, I appreciate it. Thanks
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: for hanging out, Thanks for continuing to come back. I
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: don't know why you want to listen to me, but
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: thank you, man, Sabers and sixers of the place. Today,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: let's get some wins, even though I wish the Celtics
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: were not in the current state that they're in. That's
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, man, Peace