Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Full Episode - The Iran Ceasefire Has…Ceased + How Will America Remember Football in 200 Years?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you
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- 1:40Speaker 1: and rates may vary. Hello there, I'm Chuck Todd and
- 1:47Speaker 1: welcome to another episode of the Apply named Chuck Podcast.
- 1:52Speaker 1: It is our Thursday edition. This means this will be
- 1:55Speaker 1: the last time I'm here this week until our Monday episode.
- 1:59Speaker 1: And let me give you a quick rundown of what
- 2:01Speaker 1: to expect. I've got a fascinating new report to share
- 2:06Speaker 1: with you. That explains in America is more than red
- 2:09Speaker 1: and blue. It is a tapestry when it comes to
- 2:13Speaker 1: our politics. Red and blue do not describe it accurately,
- 2:17Speaker 1: progressive versus MAGA doesn't describe it accurately. Some stunning results
- 2:23Speaker 1: from what is a report that I look forward to
- 2:26Speaker 1: every four years, brought to you by our friends at
- 2:29Speaker 1: the Pew Chediable Trusts. It's an amazing It's basically the
- 2:32Speaker 1: sensus of political beliefs for America, and it properly puts
- 2:37Speaker 1: us into the categories that we are not the ones
- 2:40Speaker 1: we think we are. And I'll get into that, but
- 2:43Speaker 1: that's the meat and potatoes. The data nerd in me
- 2:47Speaker 1: a little bit. But it also the report will provide
- 2:50Speaker 1: the blueprint of you know, does what does America really want? Right?
- 2:55Speaker 1: And I think what this report does is properly let
- 2:59Speaker 1: you know that the two bases of the two political
- 3:01Speaker 1: parties are the ones that are out of touch. And
- 3:04Speaker 1: I know many of you probably believe that and thought
- 3:06Speaker 1: that for a long time. I have the numerical data
- 3:09Speaker 1: to prove it. So that is an important item that
- 3:13Speaker 1: we're going to live in. We're going to simmer in,
- 3:14Speaker 1: and we're going to understand. It will help you understand
- 3:19Speaker 1: today's American political electorate. My interviews with Chuck Klosterman, I
- 3:26Speaker 1: guess at this point you'd call him just sort of.
- 3:29Speaker 1: He's been the voice of gen X on culture for
- 3:32Speaker 1: a long time. I'm a fan of a lot of
- 3:34Speaker 1: his books. He wrote a We booked him for his
- 3:38Speaker 1: book about football, which he describes, and I think it's
- 3:41Speaker 1: a fair assessment of this would be the obituary for football,
- 3:46Speaker 1: to explain to people one hundred years from now, if
- 3:49Speaker 1: football doesn't exist, why it was an obsession for America.
- 3:54Speaker 1: So in some ways it is. Certainly it is not
- 3:57Speaker 1: an antagonistic book about football. Klosterman loves football. I love football.
- 4:02Speaker 1: We have a nice discussion on that. The conversation is
- 4:05Speaker 1: about a lot more than football. So let's just say,
- 4:08Speaker 1: if you are at gen x er, you're going to
- 4:10Speaker 1: love the conversation. And if you're trying to understand us
- 4:14Speaker 1: gen Xers, then this is also the conversation for you.
- 4:17Speaker 1: If you miss CDs, if you think rock music is
- 4:21Speaker 1: not dead and your wish it was more alive than
- 4:24Speaker 1: it is, this might be the conversation for you. And yes,
- 4:28Speaker 1: we might talk a tiny bit about media, politics, and books.
- 4:34Speaker 1: But I'm going to begin with what we're in the
- 4:37Speaker 1: middle of still, and that is the never ending conflict,
- 4:45Speaker 1: incursion war with Iran. It's now active again, fully active again.
- 4:51Speaker 1: There's I guess we're going to have a debate and
- 4:55Speaker 1: whether the White House is going to claim that the
- 4:57Speaker 1: warp that the sixty day clock begins anew But I
- 5:01Speaker 1: don't believe that anybody believes that that is sort of
- 5:06Speaker 1: in the spirit of the law when it comes to
- 5:08Speaker 1: the War Powers Act. So in theory, we are now,
- 5:12Speaker 1: you know, at a point where he should be asking
- 5:14Speaker 1: Congress for permission to do this. And I think that
- 5:16Speaker 1: it's possible that what's happening at the moment, the decision
- 5:22Speaker 1: to restart the bombing campaign against Iran, could restart the
- 5:27Speaker 1: debate inside of Congress about whether what the president's doing
- 5:32Speaker 1: is even legal. But let's talk about the situation he's in.
- 5:36Speaker 1: He is in some ways nothing has changed on Iran
- 5:40Speaker 1: based on what and it certainly hasn't my take on this,
- 5:45Speaker 1: in the current situation that we're in hasn't changed since
- 5:49Speaker 1: he was begging for a deal thirty nine days ago, right,
- 5:55Speaker 1: And it feels like in the last thirty eight days,
- 5:56Speaker 1: we've been this close to a deal. It's around the corner.
- 6:00Speaker 1: It's coming soon. Don't worry the price of oil, buy
- 6:05Speaker 1: your stocks. You know you can't help but wonder how
- 6:08Speaker 1: much this has been manipulated. Right, The deal is coming,
- 6:11Speaker 1: it's tomorrow, it's going to be here. And lo and behold,
- 6:14Speaker 1: not only are we not closer to your deal, we're
- 6:16Speaker 1: we're so far away from a deal that he now
- 6:19Speaker 1: realizes he actually has no leverage, and he's got to
- 6:22Speaker 1: figure out how to get leverage, which is why the
- 6:24Speaker 1: bombing campaign has restarted. Look, he has mismanaged this war
- 6:30Speaker 1: from beginning to end. Right, what's still unclear is what
- 6:38Speaker 1: what is he trying to achieve? And if the goal
- 6:45Speaker 1: is to make sure they don't have a nuclear weapon,
- 6:51Speaker 1: he was on a path to that, we were on
- 6:53Speaker 1: a path to that, we had a nuclear deal that
- 6:55Speaker 1: could have been used to continue that path. But whether
- 7:00Speaker 1: it's his own stubbornness, his own realization that the deal
- 7:04Speaker 1: he was about to agree to with the Iranians was
- 7:07Speaker 1: basically going to be the nuclear deal two point zero,
- 7:11Speaker 1: and he was embarrassed or he can't you know anything
- 7:15Speaker 1: that looks like what Obama did is going to like
- 7:18Speaker 1: the easiest way you can get him not to do something,
- 7:20Speaker 1: it's by saying, well, if you do that, it's something
- 7:22Speaker 1: Obama did, He'll stop it in his traction. No matter
- 7:26Speaker 1: how rational an idea it is, no matter how good
- 7:28Speaker 1: of an idea it is, he just won't do it.
- 7:30Speaker 1: He's got this is he does have a few things
- 7:34Speaker 1: that trigger him. Obama is one of them. Right. He's
- 7:37Speaker 1: obsessively competitive with Obama. And it's hilarious because I don't
- 7:41Speaker 1: really think Obama gives you know, MoMA's no fan. He's
- 7:44Speaker 1: got a lot of issues with him. In fact, he
- 7:46Speaker 1: feels I think he's got his own sense of guilts
- 7:50Speaker 1: that somehow his presidency delivered the Trump presidency. I don't
- 7:56Speaker 1: think he views himself as this, you know, And I
- 7:58Speaker 1: think that also drives Trump, that Obama doesn't really care
- 8:02Speaker 1: as much of what Trump thinks of him as what
- 8:05Speaker 1: he thinks of Trump. But needless to say, he has
- 8:08Speaker 1: this phobia on anything Obama. And it just so there's
- 8:15Speaker 1: a part of me that's suspicious that the whole reason
- 8:17Speaker 1: why they didn't end up with the deal that was
- 8:20Speaker 1: probably going to be more favorable to the Iranians than
- 8:22Speaker 1: he ever wanted it to be. But it was looking
- 8:24Speaker 1: a little too much like the amand nuclear Deer. But
- 8:28Speaker 1: it goes back to what objective are you trying to get?
- 8:31Speaker 1: And the problem is he started this war in tandem
- 8:35Speaker 1: with Israel, who had their own objectives which were not
- 8:37Speaker 1: our objectives. Their objective was regime change. Our objective supposedly
- 8:43Speaker 1: was not. But Trump got talked into doing this and thought, well,
- 8:50Speaker 1: regime change would be a nice feature. If it all
- 8:53Speaker 1: worked out, then I'd be a hero. I would solve
- 8:56Speaker 1: a problem that other presidents couldn't solve. Well, now he
- 8:59Speaker 1: realized why every other president didn't do what he ended
- 9:02Speaker 1: up doing, because he ended up handing the Iranians more leverage,
- 9:06Speaker 1: not less. Right, we're dealing with a couple of problems here.
- 9:09Speaker 1: Problem number one is that the Iranians care less about
- 9:12Speaker 1: their population than we do ours. That is, that is
- 9:18Speaker 1: a huge and that is you know, it's frankly one
- 9:21Speaker 1: of the problems with the Russia Ukraine war, right, the
- 9:23Speaker 1: Russians don't care about their soldiers. Putin doesn't care about
- 9:26Speaker 1: his people, Ukraine does. And so there's always got there's
- 9:30Speaker 1: that asymmetric aspect of things. That's problem number one. Problem
- 9:35Speaker 1: number two in this case was just a lack of planning.
- 9:42Speaker 1: And I don't know who didn't. You know, it's clear
- 9:47Speaker 1: nobody wants to own the idea that that the that
- 9:51Speaker 1: that he wasn't warned about the strait of hormus. That
- 9:55Speaker 1: be careful here. This is this is their trump card,
- 9:58Speaker 1: so to speak. And I'm using the word trump card
- 10:02Speaker 1: not as a pun but literally as a reference to
- 10:07Speaker 1: the card game bridge. I am old enough to know
- 10:09Speaker 1: how to play bridge. I am one of the weirdos
- 10:12Speaker 1: in gen X that knows how to play bridge. I
- 10:15Speaker 1: actually like bridge. And it's a pretty big trump card.
- 10:23Speaker 1: It's not enough to win the war, but it's enough
- 10:24Speaker 1: to make this war incredibly painful for the globe. By
- 10:29Speaker 1: the way, we got another inflation report that once again
- 10:33Speaker 1: showed third straight month inflation is going up. And now
- 10:36Speaker 1: Donald Trump is trying to say I love inflation in
- 10:39Speaker 1: some convoluted way that somehow it's going to help him
- 10:42Speaker 1: help the country make more money because we're taking Iran's
- 10:45Speaker 1: oil reserves. He's got some convoluted line of thinking that
- 10:49Speaker 1: only his beautiful mind understands. But the bottom line is
- 10:54Speaker 1: this economy is getting more unaffordable, This war is now
- 10:59Speaker 1: further away from being solved, and the energy crisis that
- 11:03Speaker 1: is hitting the globe is we don't have there's no
- 11:11Speaker 1: hope on the horizon that this is going to obey
- 11:13Speaker 1: anytime soon. But Trump didn't have leverage. I mean, this
- 11:18Speaker 1: is the you know, this goes to, don't start a
- 11:20Speaker 1: war that you're not comfortable trying to finish and you're
- 11:24Speaker 1: not comfortable trying to do whatever it takes to win.
- 11:28Speaker 1: And that's the problem with this, with this decision, He's
- 11:32Speaker 1: been trying to have his cake and eat it too.
- 11:33Speaker 1: He wants he wants to try to air strike his
- 11:37Speaker 1: way into victory, which of course we know never works
- 11:40Speaker 1: and never has worked. And he's hoping that somehow that
- 11:48Speaker 1: the Iranians are going to behave like the Venezuelans have
- 11:50Speaker 1: been behaving, right, and that this is just all There's
- 11:53Speaker 1: going to be some transactional Iranian leader that's going to
- 11:58Speaker 1: see the world the way Donald try season and he's
- 12:02Speaker 1: magically going to cut this deal and everybody's going to
- 12:05Speaker 1: live happily ever after. And he's learning the hard way
- 12:09Speaker 1: that this is not how this exists. So in some ways,
- 12:18Speaker 1: And this is where I think when people politicize war
- 12:23Speaker 1: you sometimes overlook sort of, well, look, he never should
- 12:31Speaker 1: have started it, and if he was going to start it,
- 12:34Speaker 1: he should have been more overwhelming with it. Like to me,
- 12:37Speaker 1: if you weren't ready to commit ground troops to at
- 12:39Speaker 1: least securing the straight of horn moves, you shouldn't have
- 12:43Speaker 1: started this war. And I get it. Politically, he had
- 12:45Speaker 1: no interest in committing ground troops because he knew that
- 12:49Speaker 1: is probably where MAGA would leave him and there would
- 12:53Speaker 1: be full abandonment on that. So he was trying to
- 12:57Speaker 1: essentially keep his political coalition together and at the same
- 13:00Speaker 1: time still try to do something about this. And that's
- 13:04Speaker 1: the thing he's and this is in some ways, this
- 13:07Speaker 1: is a metaphor for Trump's entire You know, here's this
- 13:11Speaker 1: guy who's both wildly successful and wildly unsuccessful. Right, Trump's
- 13:15Speaker 1: wildly successful in that. Hey, he's bullshitted his way to
- 13:18Speaker 1: the presidency. So man, congratulations, Right, he has failed his
- 13:24Speaker 1: way up to the ultimate powerful job on this planet. Right,
- 13:29Speaker 1: you hear the phrase failing up? I mean, you know,
- 13:32Speaker 1: he's mismanaged casinos, He mismanaged his own father's business, he
- 13:37Speaker 1: mismanaged the inheritance. Literally, had he done not touched his
- 13:40Speaker 1: inheritance and just let interest payments a crew he would
- 13:44Speaker 1: have made he'd be wealthier today, well at least pre presidency.
- 13:48Speaker 1: Now he's used the taxpayers to to sort of line
- 13:50Speaker 1: his pockets. But this is really an extraordinarily successful failure
- 13:57Speaker 1: of a career, right, it is just failure after failure.
- 14:00Speaker 1: Not what he's good at is marketing. He's a brilliant marketer.
- 14:04Speaker 1: He's a brilliant promoter, and he's a terrific storyteller. Right, which, Look,
- 14:10Speaker 1: he has his gifts. If he didn't have him, he
- 14:12Speaker 1: wouldn't have gotten here. Well, you can get to the
- 14:18Speaker 1: presidency doing this, but eventually and you can half at
- 14:21Speaker 1: and so in his mind, right, he's worked hard for
- 14:23Speaker 1: these things, but he's really sort of half asked his
- 14:25Speaker 1: way through life, and he's trying to half ask. He's
- 14:29Speaker 1: always tried to half ask the presidency, right, he sort
- 14:31Speaker 1: of he thinks if he sits at the desk, it
- 14:33Speaker 1: means he's busy. And so this, this half assery is
- 14:38Speaker 1: how you end up doing sort of half measures and
- 14:41Speaker 1: trying to conduct a war, complicated war with Iran, he
- 14:46Speaker 1: didn't take this as seriously as he should have the
- 14:50Speaker 1: people around him. You know, it is, you know, the
- 14:56Speaker 1: incredible disappearing act that Marco Rubio plays every time Ronson
- 15:00Speaker 1: doesn't go well, and Jade Vance almost in a similar pattern. Right,
- 15:04Speaker 1: Neither one of them have been wanting their fingerprints on this.
- 15:06Speaker 1: Both of them have made this clear that this was
- 15:10Speaker 1: Donald Trump's decision, because my goodness, who would whoever would
- 15:13Speaker 1: ever decide anything outside of Donald Trump and a Donald
- 15:16Speaker 1: Trump presidency. And boyd, the fact that you see, you know,
- 15:22Speaker 1: such light touches on the policy by Rubio and Van
- 15:25Speaker 1: should tell you everything you need to know on this.
- 15:27Speaker 1: But he doesn't have anybody around him that's telling him
- 15:29Speaker 1: this is a mistake. He certainly has people around him
- 15:35Speaker 1: that have told him that, hey, be careful here, that
- 15:38Speaker 1: this is, you know, not popular, and things like that.
- 15:40Speaker 1: I'm not saying it's he's not getting any sort of pushback,
- 15:44Speaker 1: but you know, he's got a defense department that is
- 15:50Speaker 1: staffed with with with with folks that I think are
- 15:56Speaker 1: not just sycophantic, they also have their own weird ideology,
- 16:00Speaker 1: this Christian nationalism business where I mean, I'm not gonna
- 16:04Speaker 1: I don't want to get too sidetracked by that business.
- 16:07Speaker 1: But what they've been doing with church and state and
- 16:10Speaker 1: essentially obliterating the line between church and state in our
- 16:15Speaker 1: military and trying to trying to insert certain religions into
- 16:19Speaker 1: the military, trying to decide in a country that literally
- 16:23Speaker 1: was founded on freedom of religion. Apparently the Pentagon is
- 16:26Speaker 1: going to be a place where there is no freedom
- 16:28Speaker 1: of religion. I mean, it is a what the for
- 16:30Speaker 1: what it's worth, those new protocols that the Pentagon put out,
- 16:34Speaker 1: it's unconstitutional. It's not even like this is it should
- 16:37Speaker 1: be a nine to nothing at the Supreme Court. Completely unconstitutional.
- 16:40Speaker 1: What they've done, every move that he has made on
- 16:44Speaker 1: religion is absolutely massive violations of the First Amendment. I mean,
- 16:49Speaker 1: it's open and shut. We just need some more aggressive
- 16:53Speaker 1: lourying here. But that also means you're getting a certain
- 16:57Speaker 1: type of individual there that really isn't clearly not a
- 17:01Speaker 1: very strategic thinker, and maybe a bit too. You know,
- 17:07Speaker 1: if you're a relig if you're a bit fanatical about
- 17:10Speaker 1: your faith, then you may view the issues with iron
- 17:15Speaker 1: in religious terms, which create these exits, you know, which
- 17:20Speaker 1: which basically mean all common sense goes out the window.
- 17:25Speaker 1: And that's that should be a concern to all of us.
- 17:29Speaker 1: So this is now, I mean, this has been a quagmire,
- 17:33Speaker 1: but now it's back to being a quagmire. Thats exchanging bonds.
- 17:37Speaker 1: We are in a full on this the Q word
- 17:40Speaker 1: it now applies. He is you know, he had boxed
- 17:43Speaker 1: himself in. He created this box. This was a problem
- 17:48Speaker 1: of his own making. All of that is true. And
- 17:50Speaker 1: now he's got his own quagmire. He's got no way
- 17:53Speaker 1: out of it because the Iranians know he wants a
- 17:57Speaker 1: deal worse than they want to deal. Point they need
- 18:00Speaker 1: a deal to But the Israelis are certainly have their
- 18:07Speaker 1: own agenda here that is different than the agenda of
- 18:09Speaker 1: the United States, and now it is certainly gotten in
- 18:13Speaker 1: the way of what Trump wanted. But Trump's the one that,
- 18:19Speaker 1: you know, he opened up this can of worms, right,
- 18:22Speaker 1: He's the one that greenlit the attack in the first place.
- 18:24Speaker 1: He's the one that let BB talk him into I mean,
- 18:27Speaker 1: and that's what he's embarrassed about. And that's why he's
- 18:29Speaker 1: Remember the more the louder Trump screams about things that
- 18:33Speaker 1: he that he's doing, usually it means he's done the opposite.
- 18:39Speaker 1: I tell BB what to do. Translation, he knows BB
- 18:43Speaker 1: talked him into something, and now he's kind of embarrassed,
- 18:45Speaker 1: but he can't admit that BB talked him into this.
- 18:49Speaker 1: And I know that's part of my job here is
- 18:50Speaker 1: to help you understand how Trump thinks. And I'm I'm
- 18:55Speaker 1: not wish casting here. This is who he is. And
- 18:59Speaker 1: you'll just have to you either. You're listening here, so
- 19:02Speaker 1: you trust that that that I'm I'm giving you what
- 19:05Speaker 1: I believe, my honestess. What I believe is an honest
- 19:08Speaker 1: assessment here of him. And so at some point Congress
- 19:14Speaker 1: is going to have to step in because this is,
- 19:16Speaker 1: you know it is, because he's got to do one
- 19:20Speaker 1: of two things. He's either got to truly escalate here
- 19:24Speaker 1: and be willing to put ground troops and maybe take
- 19:27Speaker 1: the straight in order to have the leverage that he
- 19:30Speaker 1: wants to get the outcome that he wants, or he's
- 19:33Speaker 1: going to have to agree to a modified version of
- 19:35Speaker 1: the era of the of the original I Ran nuclear
- 19:37Speaker 1: deal that's probably more favorable to Iran than the Obama
- 19:40Speaker 1: ever was, because the Iranians have more leverage and it's
- 19:46Speaker 1: Donald Trump's fault that the Iranians have more leverage, and
- 19:51Speaker 1: that's why we're here, you know, here's hope. We know
- 19:56Speaker 1: the markets are going to probably pull Trump back at
- 20:02Speaker 1: some point over the weekend. Uh in fact, maybe he
- 20:06Speaker 1: pulls back by Monday. Right, He's going to do this,
- 20:09Speaker 1: let the markets tank on Friday, have sort of this weekend,
- 20:13Speaker 1: and he's going to hope that he can that they
- 20:15Speaker 1: can restart talks, and I'm sure they will happen in
- 20:20Speaker 1: some form or another, and they're going to keep dragging
- 20:24Speaker 1: it along because until he somehow and the only way
- 20:31Speaker 1: this changes is if we could control the straight And
- 20:35Speaker 1: I say this, I'm not advocating this, but the but
- 20:40Speaker 1: he's not you know are they? Is he willing to
- 20:42Speaker 1: escalate enough to try to take control of the state.
- 20:49Speaker 1: And I think we know the answer to that too.
- 20:50Speaker 1: So he's, like I said, once, he's half assing this,
- 20:53Speaker 1: and here's where we are. But I'm not going to
- 20:58Speaker 1: pretend to know how how this other than we know
- 21:01Speaker 1: it's going to be a negotiated settlement. It is still
- 21:03Speaker 1: probably going to look like their Man nuclear deal, but
- 21:05Speaker 1: he's trying desperately to make it clear that it isn't
- 21:07Speaker 1: that and you know, I still think that outcome is
- 21:13Speaker 1: the one that's most likely. But I'll tell you this, politically,
- 21:18Speaker 1: he's already lost the midterms because there is no way
- 21:21Speaker 1: any of this recuver. There's no way this gets better,
- 21:26Speaker 1: that it creates a better situation financially for the country,
- 21:31Speaker 1: or anything like that. By the time we start voting
- 21:33Speaker 1: in November, we are nearly in mid June, and we
- 21:39Speaker 1: are now going to start actually feeling the effects that
- 21:42Speaker 1: everybody said was going to happen when this war began
- 21:46Speaker 1: in early spring. And so that's why it's it's in
- 21:53Speaker 1: some ways, but there's a reason Trump keeps saying I
- 21:58Speaker 1: don't care about the midterms. I don't care about the things.
- 22:00Speaker 1: It's his own coping mechanism, because in that sense, he's
- 22:04Speaker 1: at least speaking truth in that he knows he is.
- 22:10Speaker 1: He has made this impossible for his party to succeed
- 22:14Speaker 1: in the midterms, especially now, and now he's probably divided
- 22:17Speaker 1: his own party. There's going to be more Republicans that
- 22:20Speaker 1: will vote with the Democrats on the War Powers Resolution
- 22:26Speaker 1: the next time it hits the floor, and I promise
- 22:27Speaker 1: you it's about to hit the floor again as soon
- 22:30Speaker 1: as they all come back. This episode of the Chuck
- 22:36Speaker 1: Podcast is brought to you by Quints. So summer always changes,
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- 24:28Speaker 1: quints dot com slash chuck use that code. Well, what
- 24:42Speaker 1: I really hope you simmer in today is I'm going
- 24:45Speaker 1: to do my best to describe this. Essentially, it's the
- 24:49Speaker 1: It's it's where we all sit politically, and I have
- 24:52Speaker 1: good news for you. What you think you know about
- 24:55Speaker 1: the country is actually true. Most of us live in
- 24:59Speaker 1: this mess. Middle there is and I'm going to put
- 25:02Speaker 1: the specific yard lines. Somewhere between the twenty yard lines
- 25:07Speaker 1: is where most of us live. And it is now twenties,
- 25:10Speaker 1: not thirty fives, for what it's worth, but most of
- 25:12Speaker 1: us live inside the twenty yard lines. If we're going
- 25:16Speaker 1: to use the football field as our sort of political
- 25:20Speaker 1: spectrum here, and the base of the democratic part of
- 25:23Speaker 1: the progressive base that gets that it is the defining
- 25:26Speaker 1: feature of the left leaning party in this country is
- 25:30Speaker 1: seven percent of the electorate, and the defining feature of
- 25:34Speaker 1: MAGA is about nine percent of the electorate. And by
- 25:38Speaker 1: the way, both parts of those electorates, the most progressive
- 25:44Speaker 1: left and the most MAGA right are the least diverse
- 25:47Speaker 1: groups in this entire political census. They are the whitest
- 25:53Speaker 1: groups wiwhite white, by the way, not right white. They
- 26:00Speaker 1: are white male on MEGA and they are white women
- 26:03Speaker 1: on progressive left. That is they they talk about punching
- 26:09Speaker 1: above their way. They are the defining features of what
- 26:12Speaker 1: people think are red and blue, and they're not even
- 26:15Speaker 1: a majority within their own coalition. So that's the most
- 26:19Speaker 1: important thing. If you take away one thing from what
- 26:22Speaker 1: I'm about to go through, that's the one thing that
- 26:27Speaker 1: are two loudest, most committed, most quoted bases in American politics. Right,
- 26:35Speaker 1: that mega core on the right and the progressive left
- 26:38Speaker 1: together are not even a majority in this country. And
- 26:41Speaker 1: it's not even closed. Ironically, the super left is seven
- 26:51Speaker 1: percent of the country and the super hardcore right is
- 26:53Speaker 1: actually twenty one percent. And that's important. There There is
- 26:59Speaker 1: a bit I've always said, right, the Republican base is
- 27:01Speaker 1: larger than the Democratic base, which is why Democrats have
- 27:04Speaker 1: to win more moderates in order to win. They got
- 27:07Speaker 1: to win more of the middle to get to fifty
- 27:08Speaker 1: percent than the right does. And that's why you have
- 27:12Speaker 1: this asymmetrical fight in the middle about the two parties.
- 27:16Speaker 1: So remember I've been saying this before, Well, this we
- 27:20Speaker 1: actually have numbers to put to it. And if you
- 27:23Speaker 1: add in the most committed groups on both ends of
- 27:27Speaker 1: the spectrum, the total number of committed partisans is thirty
- 27:33Speaker 1: eight percent. It's about twenty one percent on the right
- 27:35Speaker 1: and about seventeen percent on the left. So what that
- 27:38Speaker 1: means is that the other sixty two percent of us,
- 27:41Speaker 1: and I say us, because I'm somewhere in the middle here,
- 27:43Speaker 1: the actual majority in this country. We sit in this messy,
- 27:47Speaker 1: cross pressured, exhausted middle that does not fit cleanly into
- 27:52Speaker 1: either party, which is being shaped by this out of
- 27:57Speaker 1: touch base of each of both parties. The bases are
- 28:02Speaker 1: not the country. The bases don't even account for a
- 28:06Speaker 1: third of the country according to this Pew survey. So
- 28:09Speaker 1: tonight we're going to use the best baseline we've got
- 28:11Speaker 1: to tell you and who actually lives in this country politically,
- 28:15Speaker 1: and then I'm going to talk about what it means
- 28:16Speaker 1: for twenty six, twenty eight and for any campaign that
- 28:20Speaker 1: thinks yelling at its own base is a strategy. All right,
- 28:24Speaker 1: So let me give you a little bit of history
- 28:26Speaker 1: about what is this Pew Typology report. And I know
- 28:30Speaker 1: it's going to sound academic, yat and a little skill,
- 28:32Speaker 1: and I don't want it. I'm trying to deacademify it
- 28:34Speaker 1: for you. I love my academic friends, but I'm trying
- 28:37Speaker 1: to put this in American, not just English. So let
- 28:40Speaker 1: me just describe what this Pew typology is, because I
- 28:43Speaker 1: think it's the single most useful tool in American political
- 28:49Speaker 1: science right now that measures where where most people live.
- 28:54Speaker 1: And it's an incredible too that most of you have
- 28:56Speaker 1: never heard of because every few years Pew does this.
- 29:00Speaker 1: It's not a normal horse race poll, and they don't
- 29:03Speaker 1: ask who you're voting for. They start they ask you
- 29:07Speaker 1: a series of questions about what you believe thirty questions government, economy, immigration, race, religion,
- 29:15Speaker 1: foreign policy, and then they run what they call a
- 29:17Speaker 1: cluster analysis. They let the answers sort people into groups.
- 29:23Speaker 1: They don't ask people what group they think they belong to.
- 29:27Speaker 1: They let the actual answers, and then they sort people
- 29:31Speaker 1: into these groups. So it's not done by party registration
- 29:33Speaker 1: or by yard sign or whatever. And the result is
- 29:37Speaker 1: a map of American politics that guess what has more
- 29:39Speaker 1: than two colors in it. This is the ninth time
- 29:42Speaker 1: that Pew has done this survey. The first time they
- 29:45Speaker 1: did it was back in nineteen eighty seven. The methods
- 29:48Speaker 1: have evolved over the years. Nineteen eighty seven was done
- 29:51Speaker 1: face to face, literally in people's homes. From nineteen ninety
- 29:55Speaker 1: four through twenty seventeen, it was done by telephone, and
- 29:58Speaker 1: since twenty twenty one they've been doing it online with
- 30:01Speaker 1: a standing panel. It's how the Pew now does all
- 30:04Speaker 1: of its survey work is through this panel. This year's
- 30:08Speaker 1: edition over ten thousand adults. We survey and they were
- 30:12Speaker 1: surveyed late November last year, so before the Iran war,
- 30:15Speaker 1: there's no so it's there's a little bit of space here, right,
- 30:19Speaker 1: So this was done as of November. Okay, it's a
- 30:24Speaker 1: massive sample, much bigger than any national poll that's normally
- 30:27Speaker 1: one thousand people, maybe two thousand people. This is basically
- 30:30Speaker 1: ten times the size of that. So when we use
- 30:34Speaker 1: numbers like telling you the progressive base in this country
- 30:38Speaker 1: is seven percent or the core MAGA is twenty one percent,
- 30:42Speaker 1: we're not round We're not giving a rounding era based
- 30:45Speaker 1: on a small sample of one thousand people. This is
- 30:47Speaker 1: a baseline number based on this massive sample of over
- 30:50Speaker 1: ten thousand people. So that's why I want to refer
- 30:54Speaker 1: to it's the closest thing we have to a census
- 30:56Speaker 1: of political voters in this country. So now here's the
- 31:01Speaker 1: part that many of you, if you've read the top
- 31:04Speaker 1: lines of this, you probably missed this part of the story.
- 31:08Speaker 1: Because every it's approximately four years that Pugh does this,
- 31:12Speaker 1: they change the categories a little bit because maybe there's
- 31:16Speaker 1: certain people just disappear, certain groups disappear. So these typology
- 31:21Speaker 1: categories change every cycle. As the country changes and the
- 31:25Speaker 1: disappearances are actually the story that tell So you go
- 31:29Speaker 1: back to the very first ones. In nineteen eighty seven
- 31:31Speaker 1: and nineteen ninety four, Pugh had a category called New Dealers.
- 31:36Speaker 1: This was literally the last living echo of the old
- 31:39Speaker 1: Roosevelt Coalition. It was still measurable in American politics through
- 31:44Speaker 1: the early nineties. They're gone now, they're long gone now.
- 31:49Speaker 1: And for thirty years nineteen eighty seven all the way
- 31:51Speaker 1: through twenty seventeen, there was a group that they called bystanders.
- 31:57Speaker 1: These were the totally checked out. They were unregistered and uninterested.
- 32:02Speaker 1: Pugh stopped breaking them out as their own bucket. In
- 32:05Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, they've sort of dispersed them, and there's
- 32:08Speaker 1: some similar groups here that I'm going to get to.
- 32:11Speaker 1: But here's the disappearance that really, I think explains why
- 32:16Speaker 1: our politics have gotten so weird in the last ten years.
- 32:21Speaker 1: From twenty twenty one, Pew had a group that they
- 32:25Speaker 1: called the committed Conservatives. It was seven percent of the
- 32:28Speaker 1: country in twenty twenty one. These were pro business, pro traded,
- 32:31Speaker 1: small government, hawkish internationalists. Essentially, it's your chamber of commerce, Republican.
- 32:37Speaker 1: It's the true the Reagan Republican met Romney, Paul Ryan,
- 32:42Speaker 1: the Wall Street Journal editorial page, right, like this is
- 32:45Speaker 1: that's who the committed Conservatives were, and this year's report
- 32:48Speaker 1: they don't have a group. That group doesn't exist. It's
- 32:51Speaker 1: not a group that is shrunk. It has not been
- 32:54Speaker 1: renamed with an asterisk. It's just gone. As a measurable cluster,
- 32:59Speaker 1: Reagan Republican is no longer big enough or a coherent
- 33:03Speaker 1: enough group for a cluster analysis like this one to
- 33:07Speaker 1: even find it. So the Reagan Republican Coalition is dead.
- 33:12Speaker 1: We knew it was. We've been a lot of people
- 33:15Speaker 1: have been saying it. My friend Bill Crystal over the
- 33:17Speaker 1: Bulwark has been saying it in a while, and here
- 33:19Speaker 1: it is. It's now measurably gone. Okay, the model Republican
- 33:24Speaker 1: president for forty years doesn't have a constituency anymore in America.
- 33:29Speaker 1: That's astonishing. But as we saw right FDR's coalition it
- 33:34Speaker 1: basically died. It took you know, it lasted almost fifty years,
- 33:38Speaker 1: and you could say this Reagan coalition lasted about forty years, right,
- 33:42Speaker 1: So maybe that's what we take away from this, right,
- 33:46Speaker 1: and that means this Maga coalition you know, as another
- 33:50Speaker 1: thirty years minimum. That doesn't mean it will be as
- 33:54Speaker 1: large as it is today, but it will exist. The
- 33:59Speaker 1: party didn't not reorganize around a philosophy. A reorganized around
- 34:03Speaker 1: a mand right. I'm going to get back to that now.
- 34:07Speaker 1: Let's meet this year's nine archetypes. Americans fall under nine
- 34:14Speaker 1: categories politically, so I'm going to quickly go through the
- 34:19Speaker 1: archetypes and I put them into these nine archetypes are
- 34:23Speaker 1: in three buckets, left, middle, and right, because there are
- 34:27Speaker 1: three that are firmly on the left, three that are
- 34:29Speaker 1: firmly on the right, and three that are essentially the
- 34:32Speaker 1: deciders of which side gets power, the left or the right.
- 34:38Speaker 1: The three on the left are about thirty percent of
- 34:40Speaker 1: the country. One is what I've been talking about at top.
- 34:42Speaker 1: The leftward progressives is what Peugh calls them. They account
- 34:46Speaker 1: for seven percent. Here's what you need to know about them.
- 34:49Speaker 1: They're socialists curious. Two thirds of them say they like
- 34:53Speaker 1: politicians who call themselves quote democratic socialists. So these are
- 34:57Speaker 1: not self described socialists, but they're socialist curious. This is
- 35:02Speaker 1: the youngest group of the nine typology groups. They're the
- 35:05Speaker 1: furthest to the left on the political spectrum. And oh,
- 35:07Speaker 1: by the way, they're the most skeptical of the institution
- 35:11Speaker 1: that is called the Democratic Party itself. So you could
- 35:15Speaker 1: argue that this progressive wing of the electorate is the
- 35:19Speaker 1: party's both conscience and its biggest headache. The second group
- 35:24Speaker 1: on the left is what Peugh calls the loyal liberals.
- 35:29Speaker 1: It accounts for about eleven percent of the overall electorate.
- 35:33Speaker 1: The best weight to call the these are Obama Democrats
- 35:36Speaker 1: is probably the best way to come it. In fact,
- 35:37Speaker 1: they're age group wise, they're sort of in the millennial
- 35:40Speaker 1: age group. They're institutionalists. They believe the system can work
- 35:44Speaker 1: and should work. Highly educated. Sixty one percent in this
- 35:47Speaker 1: group have a college degree. It's the highest of any
- 35:50Speaker 1: group of these nine archetypes. And these are the Democrats
- 35:55Speaker 1: that think about electability, right. They're the ones that look
- 35:59Speaker 1: at Tallerico and Crocket and said, well, Tella Reco has
- 36:01Speaker 1: a better chance of winning type of mindset. They're the
- 36:04Speaker 1: ones in a primary who do think about, well can
- 36:06Speaker 1: this person win? And so they can be decisive in primaries, right,
- 36:12Speaker 1: And this is why they don't always they will side
- 36:15Speaker 1: with a progressive if they think the progressive can win,
- 36:18Speaker 1: but they will go against the progressive if they think
- 36:21Speaker 1: someone else has a better chance of winning. The third
- 36:23Speaker 1: group on the left is what they literally call the
- 36:26Speaker 1: left out left. It's twelve percent. They're overwhelmingly Democratic, but
- 36:30Speaker 1: they're financially stressed, they're feeling ignored. They're deeply pessimistic about
- 36:37Speaker 1: the country, and they just they feel left behind by
- 36:43Speaker 1: the Democrats. They're sort of culturally not as focused on
- 36:47Speaker 1: cultural issues. They're a little more economically focused. They do
- 36:51Speaker 1: vote blue when they vote, but they're not that motivated
- 36:54Speaker 1: to vote, and they're They have the lowest turnout among
- 36:59Speaker 1: the left leaning groups. Now, let me tell you about
- 37:02Speaker 1: the three on the right. Collectively, they you know, so
- 37:05Speaker 1: the left is at thirty percent. Collectively, these three groups
- 37:07Speaker 1: on the right are thirty three percent of the electorate.
- 37:10Speaker 1: So the no apologies right is what they call maga.
- 37:14Speaker 1: In this case, this is nine percent. But this is
- 37:16Speaker 1: the purest maga. This is the own the Libs vote.
- 37:20Speaker 1: In fact, a majority, a majority enjoy it when their
- 37:25Speaker 1: side humiliates the other guy. Literally, they asked the Pole
- 37:28Speaker 1: question on that. This is the only group where a
- 37:30Speaker 1: majority said they loved it when somebody they support humiliates
- 37:34Speaker 1: somebody on the other side politically, and more importantly, highest
- 37:39Speaker 1: voter turnout group there is. They're the single most likely
- 37:43Speaker 1: group in America to vote. I would probably say this
- 37:48Speaker 1: is the Elon musk Avatar seventy four percent or male.
- 37:51Speaker 1: No other group is that lopsided on gender. And like
- 37:55Speaker 1: I said, and seventy percent say it's not important to
- 37:57Speaker 1: avoid offensive language. So this is pure MAGA. This is
- 38:01Speaker 1: again nine percent core MAGA. Now the other part of
- 38:05Speaker 1: this hardcore sort of MAGA coalition, this other twelve percent,
- 38:10Speaker 1: is what Pugh calls faith first conservatives. They're the pew
- 38:14Speaker 1: and pulpit right, the Christian nationalists, if you will, the
- 38:18Speaker 1: most religious group by far, and it's the most rural,
- 38:21Speaker 1: so geographically they live in rural America. They backed Trump
- 38:24Speaker 1: universally on policy. But the one distinction between them and
- 38:30Speaker 1: and what and essentially the MAGA group, the no Apologies right,
- 38:34Speaker 1: is that they actually get uncomfortable with his conduct. Now
- 38:38Speaker 1: it's not enough for them to ever make them vote.
- 38:40Speaker 1: In fact, they say they will never vote for a Democrat.
- 38:43Speaker 1: So they're committed partisans. But the only difference between them
- 38:47Speaker 1: and the MAGA right is they don't love his behavior.
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- 40:25Speaker 1: code podcast for thirty percent off. And yes, I too,
- 40:28Speaker 1: am a customer. The next group here, that's twelve percent
- 40:35Speaker 1: of the electorate is what Pugh calls the unconventional right,
- 40:40Speaker 1: basically soft backup. They're younger, much less religious, but they're
- 40:45Speaker 1: also a bit checked out. They voted for Trump in
- 40:48Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, but they don't always show up in midterms.
- 40:52Speaker 1: His approval with them has already fallen. It was at
- 40:55Speaker 1: seventy eight percent when the presidency started. This group is
- 41:00Speaker 1: sitting at fifty three percent. When Pugh looks at him
- 41:02Speaker 1: as a demographic group, and it is the group that's
- 41:06Speaker 1: cracking first, right, This is the group that has dropped
- 41:10Speaker 1: his approval rating from low forties to high thirties. They're
- 41:15Speaker 1: the biggest risk of peel off. They're more likely to
- 41:18Speaker 1: sit home than they are to actually vote per Democrat,
- 41:23Speaker 1: but they're not that committed to the movement at the moment.
- 41:27Speaker 1: Now let's talk about the other thirty eight percent. So
- 41:29Speaker 1: you have thirty percent represents these left leaning groups, thirty
- 41:32Speaker 1: three percent represents these right leaning groups. So that's at
- 41:36Speaker 1: sixty three and because of rounding, we add up to
- 41:39Speaker 1: one hundred and one thirty eight. These three in the
- 41:41Speaker 1: middle are thirty eight percent of the elector. This is
- 41:45Speaker 1: obviously where elections get decided. So who are these people? Well,
- 41:48Speaker 1: let me tell you about this first group, the Order
- 41:52Speaker 1: and Opportunity Left is what Pugh calls them, because they
- 41:55Speaker 1: are left leaning. But i'll explain, eighteen percent of the electorate.
- 42:00Speaker 1: The single biggest group in the country, so this is
- 42:02Speaker 1: the largest political group in the country. Is this sort
- 42:05Speaker 1: of center left group. They're worried about crime, they believe
- 42:11Speaker 1: in strong borders, and are even open to immigration restrictions
- 42:18Speaker 1: in a way, it's what makes them different than the
- 42:20Speaker 1: rest of the left. It's why it's hard to put
- 42:22Speaker 1: them with the Left coalition because on law and order
- 42:25Speaker 1: issues and even on some cultural issues, they're much they're
- 42:28Speaker 1: a bit more right of center. What keeps them in
- 42:31Speaker 1: the left column is economics, and I get to that
- 42:34Speaker 1: in a little bit. The point is is that they're gettable,
- 42:39Speaker 1: and in fact it was these voters that peeled off
- 42:42Speaker 1: and voted for Trump which flipped those swing states. The
- 42:48Speaker 1: next group is what they deem This is sort of
- 42:51Speaker 1: where the Reagan Republicans used to be, I guess, or
- 42:54Speaker 1: where they live now. Pugh calls it the pragmatic and
- 42:57Speaker 1: polite right. It accounts for eleven This is the remnants
- 43:03Speaker 1: of the Reagan coalition. This is where my friend Jonah
- 43:05Speaker 1: Goldberg lives, Stephen Hayes, Paul Ryan, It's the It's it's
- 43:11Speaker 1: probably the closest thing left to that vanished committed conservative
- 43:16Speaker 1: typology that Hugh had the last couple of cycles. This
- 43:21Speaker 1: is the oldest group age group wise. They're civility obsessed,
- 43:27Speaker 1: so think Mett Romney, pro NATO, pro Ukraine. In fact
- 43:32Speaker 1: of the they are much there. Of all the groups
- 43:35Speaker 1: on the right are much less pro Ukraine than this group,
- 43:40Speaker 1: and they actually view their own party more negatively than positively.
- 43:45Speaker 1: So this is why they're kind of the mirror image
- 43:48Speaker 1: of that of the order and opportunity left right. This
- 43:51Speaker 1: is literally the center right what I described to you before,
- 43:54Speaker 1: the center left, and it is I think that the
- 44:00Speaker 1: center left would say they were Bill Clinton Democrats, and
- 44:02Speaker 1: this center right would say they were Ronald Reagan Republicans. Right.
- 44:05Speaker 1: Where did Reagan and Clinton overlap, Well, they were overlapped
- 44:10Speaker 1: arguably on law and order, they overlapped on unfeigned policy.
- 44:15Speaker 1: They and they arguably over overlapped on business right on
- 44:20Speaker 1: free trade. That's that's where you would see that. And
- 44:24Speaker 1: then the last group in the middle here, this is
- 44:29Speaker 1: by the way, that previous group, the pragmatic and polite right.
- 44:32Speaker 1: It is I mean, this is bulwark. Is that this
- 44:35Speaker 1: is the homeless establishment republican lives here. And then the
- 44:39Speaker 1: ninth group here in the middle is nine percent of
- 44:42Speaker 1: the electorate, and it's the tuned out middle. And this
- 44:45Speaker 1: is the this is the one that they used to
- 44:46Speaker 1: say was just like the disaffected, that they didn't pay attention.
- 44:50Speaker 1: They're generally checked out. Just thirty two percent of them
- 44:53Speaker 1: voted in twenty twenty four. Sixty eight percent of this
- 44:56Speaker 1: group say most people can't be trusted. So they don't
- 45:00Speaker 1: don't just don't. They don't trust parties, they don't trust
- 45:02Speaker 1: the system, and guess what, they don't trust each other.
- 45:05Speaker 1: All right, they're nobody's voters and they're probably not worth
- 45:09Speaker 1: trying to get, all right. So of all the so
- 45:13Speaker 1: you really have here the two swing groups in America.
- 45:18Speaker 1: This sort of center left is eighteen percent of the country.
- 45:20Speaker 1: The center right is eleven percent of the country. So
- 45:23Speaker 1: there's your twenty nine percent. Right, that extra nine percent
- 45:26Speaker 1: that gives you the thirty eight they're probably not voting
- 45:29Speaker 1: or if they're voting, they're voting libertarian, they're voting Green Party,
- 45:31Speaker 1: they're voting anything other than the two major parties because
- 45:34Speaker 1: they just borderline nihilistic. But that's your So there's your
- 45:41Speaker 1: swing votes twenty nine percent of the country. So let's
- 45:44Speaker 1: you similar with that a minute. Now, what does this
- 45:47Speaker 1: mean for twenty six and twenty eight. Let's start on
- 45:50Speaker 1: the left. So if you look at those three groups,
- 45:52Speaker 1: those thirty percent, the civil war inside that thirty percent
- 45:55Speaker 1: has already begun, right, and it's going to be the
- 45:58Speaker 1: entire democratic story. Eight is going to be this fight
- 46:01Speaker 1: essentially between the progressives who want to remake the Democratic
- 46:05Speaker 1: Party into their own image, very similar to how essentially
- 46:07Speaker 1: Donald Trump did with the Republican Party versus the instant.
- 46:11Speaker 1: The loyal Democrats who want to, they won't say they
- 46:14Speaker 1: want to restore things back to the Obama way, but
- 46:16Speaker 1: they essentially they want to. They want to reanimate the
- 46:19Speaker 1: Obama Democratic Party, and that's going to be the fight.
- 46:23Speaker 1: Think of it as Pete Boutage's versus AOSI right, Bernie
- 46:28Speaker 1: Sanders versus Pete Buotages right, or frankly, Bernie Sanders versus
- 46:31Speaker 1: Barack Obama. But here's the thing that jumped out of
- 46:35Speaker 1: me in this right, the biggest difference between leftwood progressives
- 46:37Speaker 1: and loyal liberals is just is not policy. It's just
- 46:40Speaker 1: simply loyalty to party. The progressives are skeptical of the
- 46:44Speaker 1: Democratic Party. Hence Bernie Sanders still has never become a
- 46:48Speaker 1: member of the Democratic Party, despite making that promise multiple
- 46:52Speaker 1: times when he ran for president. That is something that
- 46:54Speaker 1: he is renigged on. Multiple times. He claimed he would
- 46:59Speaker 1: become a member of the already, and he refused to.
- 47:01Speaker 1: But I know why he won't. He believes not conforming
- 47:06Speaker 1: to that is what gives him his superpower a little bit.
- 47:10Speaker 1: Loyal Liberals are devoted to their party, and that's going
- 47:14Speaker 1: to be your twenty twenty eighth primary. Right, it's not
- 47:16Speaker 1: going to be left versus center and the issues. It's
- 47:19Speaker 1: going to be rebel versus institution. Right, burn it down
- 47:22Speaker 1: and rebuild versus The system can deliver if you'll let
- 47:25Speaker 1: it in. And guess what. Neither faction is big enough
- 47:29Speaker 1: to get what it wants. The party can't be the
- 47:32Speaker 1: rebel in the institution. At the same time, somebody's going
- 47:34Speaker 1: to have to break the tie. And you've got this
- 47:36Speaker 1: third group, the left out left right, who feel just
- 47:40Speaker 1: pinched right now, economically pinched by the system, and really
- 47:45Speaker 1: they don't have the luxury to argue about ideology, which
- 47:50Speaker 1: is why they when they vote, they'll vote for the
- 47:52Speaker 1: pragmatic Democrat if the pragmatic Democrat knows how to make
- 47:55Speaker 1: that case to them. Because these voters are overwhelmingly Democratic.
- 47:59Speaker 1: They just are not interested in the ridiculous fights between
- 48:05Speaker 1: left versus far left. But the reason they just don't
- 48:09Speaker 1: have the luxuries are financially stressed, they're pessimistic, and they
- 48:11Speaker 1: feel alienated. The good news for Democrats is these folks
- 48:15Speaker 1: are never going to vote Republican, but they might not vote.
- 48:21Speaker 1: And then we have an engagement gap with this group
- 48:23Speaker 1: that the right progressives seventy percent of them voted, loyal
- 48:27Speaker 1: liberals seventy nine percent of them voted. The left out
- 48:30Speaker 1: left was, you know, in the forties much shakier. So
- 48:34Speaker 1: that and that's you know, this is going to be
- 48:36Speaker 1: a real challenge for them in the midterms. And yes,
- 48:40Speaker 1: it's a bigger challenge than the right. But if Democrats
- 48:43Speaker 1: want to win control the House in the Senate, they're
- 48:44Speaker 1: going to have to get those left out liberals off
- 48:47Speaker 1: the couch. They have to figure out how to mobilize
- 48:52Speaker 1: that part of their coalition. Even in some ways it
- 48:55Speaker 1: might be a better use of their money than trying
- 48:59Speaker 1: to persuade. But we'll say, but of course it creates
- 49:03Speaker 1: a messaging trap. Because the things that fire up the
- 49:06Speaker 1: progressives fighter disruptor democratic socialist energy. It's the exact thing
- 49:12Speaker 1: that costs Democrats the group that we're going to get
- 49:14Speaker 1: to here in a minute. So stick with that. Now,
- 49:17Speaker 1: let's go to the right side of the aisle. The
- 49:20Speaker 1: thirty three percent that make up the right wing in
- 49:24Speaker 1: this country. Two of them are a fortress right, the
- 49:27Speaker 1: faith based right and the MAGA right, but one of
- 49:30Speaker 1: them has a leak right. That's sort of the other
- 49:34Speaker 1: Republican group here, the unconventional right. The fortress here is
- 49:37Speaker 1: the no apologies right plus the faith first. It's twenty
- 49:40Speaker 1: one percent. It's the core MAGA vote, totally loyal to Trump.
- 49:45Speaker 1: Highest engagement in the country, by the way, in voting.
- 49:47Speaker 1: They are more committed to voting, this group than anything
- 49:51Speaker 1: on the left, believe it or not. And they're not moving.
- 49:54Speaker 1: They're impossible to peel away, to persuade or shame them,
- 49:58Speaker 1: give up, stop trying. It ain't happened. But the third
- 50:03Speaker 1: leg of the Republican coalition is that unconventional right. That's
- 50:08Speaker 1: where there's vulnerability. Because this group of Republicans is younger,
- 50:13Speaker 1: they're a bit less attached to the party, they're not
- 50:15Speaker 1: very religious. They voted for Trump, but they never were
- 50:21Speaker 1: bought right. And the proof is simply in that collapse
- 50:24Speaker 1: of his approval. Right. They started out hopeful, seventy eight
- 50:27Speaker 1: percent approve. It's down down to fifty three percent earlier
- 50:30Speaker 1: a year. And the more this economy sours, the more
- 50:34Speaker 1: the war doesn't go well. This wears on this group
- 50:38Speaker 1: of Republicans the most, and this makes this is the
- 50:41Speaker 1: group of voters that he will lose and that he
- 50:43Speaker 1: has been losing. This is the group of voters that
- 50:45Speaker 1: moved his job of berivalating from forty five down to
- 50:48Speaker 1: thirty eight. Now circle back to the group of Republicans
- 50:57Speaker 1: that has completely disappeared, right, the Reagan Republican, the Committicanservative.
- 51:02Speaker 1: They never got replaced, they just got exiled. And the
- 51:05Speaker 1: closest survivor is this pragmatic and polite right, the center
- 51:09Speaker 1: right that I was describing. But they have a net
- 51:11Speaker 1: negative on the Republican Party. Not all of them thinks
- 51:14Speaker 1: the Republican Party should hold power because they're pro ukra
- 51:18Speaker 1: in a party that's gone isolationists and their pro civility
- 51:20Speaker 1: in a party that rewards cruelty. So the establishment right
- 51:25Speaker 1: is actually politically homeless at the moment, and homeless voters
- 51:29Speaker 1: are available voters. So the GOP's job in twenty six
- 51:33Speaker 1: and twenty eight is to somehow hold the SOFTMAGA vote
- 51:38Speaker 1: and at the same time convinced the old Reagan coalition
- 51:43Speaker 1: that is not happy with Trump that somehow the Democrats
- 51:47Speaker 1: are worse it's sort of been the right. You sort
- 51:52Speaker 1: of see that. That's how the how they've gotten that
- 51:55Speaker 1: Republican back right, that Nicki Haley voter, that's probably the
- 51:59Speaker 1: best person is right, the pragmatic and polite right is
- 52:02Speaker 1: the Nicky Haley voter. Nicky Haley ended up supporting Trump,
- 52:04Speaker 1: but she hated that she had to do it in
- 52:06Speaker 1: her mind. All right, now, we're going to talk about
- 52:11Speaker 1: the group of voters that nobody campaigns to anymore because
- 52:15Speaker 1: it's not on TV, and it doesn't tweet right, and
- 52:18Speaker 1: it doesn't ride an algorithm. It's this thirty eight percent
- 52:20Speaker 1: in the middle, the order and opportunity left. The eighteen
- 52:24Speaker 1: percent the biggest group in America. They want the economic
- 52:28Speaker 1: stuff that the left wants, but they're a lot more
- 52:31Speaker 1: worried about law and order issues. Crime is a big one.
- 52:34Speaker 1: They want to secure the border, and they want to
- 52:37Speaker 1: secure it in ways that will make progressives wins. It's uncomfortable.
- 52:41Speaker 1: So yes, they lean blue, mostly on economics, but they
- 52:45Speaker 1: are the most winnable big group on the board. And
- 52:47Speaker 1: this is also a very diverse group, for what it's worth,
- 52:52Speaker 1: is much less white than some of the other democratic
- 52:56Speaker 1: leaning groups. Well, who did Trump pick off in twenty
- 52:59Speaker 1: four A lot of nine non white Democrats, particularly in
- 53:04Speaker 1: the Sun Belt, and he sounds like he espouses economic
- 53:12Speaker 1: populism that sounds leftish, So you can see why he
- 53:16Speaker 1: was able to make inroads with this specific group of people.
- 53:22Speaker 1: So there's your twenty eight fight, right, Can Democrats hold
- 53:25Speaker 1: this economic message without scaring this group away on crime
- 53:29Speaker 1: and immigration? And can Republicans build an economic pitch that
- 53:34Speaker 1: isn't wrapped in mega cruelty and somehow pull them across.
- 53:40Speaker 1: So that's that's how you that's how you're going to
- 53:43Speaker 1: see campaigns try to talk to that eighteen percent. Then
- 53:48Speaker 1: you've got the pragmatic and polite white the eleven percent.
- 53:51Speaker 1: And you know, one interesting thing about this group, while
- 53:53Speaker 1: they are old, the oldest group demographically, they're the one
- 53:56Speaker 1: that looks the most like America. Thing like sixty five
- 54:00Speaker 1: percent white, it's like thirteen percent la teen oh ten
- 54:04Speaker 1: percent Black, nine percent Asian. That's kind of the census
- 54:08Speaker 1: of the country. So it's it actually in some ways
- 54:12Speaker 1: on demographics, you know, outside of age, it is the
- 54:17Speaker 1: most the closest thing to sort of the American average.
- 54:27Speaker 1: The point is this group as civility voters. They're the
- 54:32Speaker 1: ones who will vote against whoever offends them last. So
- 54:37Speaker 1: a normal, non threatening Democrat, I think Josh Shapiro, Andy
- 54:41Speaker 1: Basheer can win these people. James tollerco is betting that
- 54:45Speaker 1: he can win these people in the suburbs of Dallas,
- 54:48Speaker 1: suburbs of Houston, et cetera. Allowed democrat is not going
- 54:53Speaker 1: to win these people over right, That's why Jasmine Crockett
- 54:56Speaker 1: may actually have been ideologically to the right of Tall Rico,
- 54:59Speaker 1: but temperament she was sounded more like one of the
- 55:03Speaker 1: louder people on the left, which is not what this
- 55:05Speaker 1: voter would support. And then you have the tune out middle,
- 55:09Speaker 1: that nine percent. And let's be honest here, they're not persuadable.
- 55:14Speaker 1: They're barely reachable. Sixty eight percent of them trust nobody,
- 55:19Speaker 1: a third of them vote. They're not a target. They
- 55:22Speaker 1: are a reservoir of people who've quit on all of us.
- 55:27Speaker 1: Now here's what I guess, here's some broad conclusions here. Right,
- 55:33Speaker 1: the voices that dominate our politics, the only Libs right,
- 55:37Speaker 1: the Democratic Socialists left. These are the exact voices that
- 55:41Speaker 1: repel the middle that decides these elections. And yet the
- 55:46Speaker 1: middle is essentially got a gun to it, said to say,
- 55:48Speaker 1: you've got to pick a side. We're not going to
- 55:50Speaker 1: cater to the middle anymore. And arguably American politics used
- 55:54Speaker 1: to be middle out. Now it's out to the middle,
- 55:58Speaker 1: and they feel like in all of the voters feel
- 56:00Speaker 1: like they have a gun to their head deciding well,
- 56:02Speaker 1: which is the least bad option for them? And the
- 56:08Speaker 1: problem for the Republican Party with these voters it's that
- 56:11Speaker 1: the Mega brand is poison to these pragmatic Republicans. They
- 56:15Speaker 1: hate it. The progressive socialism is poisoned to that center
- 56:19Speaker 1: left wing of the middle. There the order and opportunity left.
- 56:25Speaker 1: So the base isn't just not the country right. And
- 56:29Speaker 1: this is on say the base, the base of the
- 56:30Speaker 1: left and the base of the right. The base is
- 56:32Speaker 1: actively costing its own party, the country right. The base
- 56:36Speaker 1: is the right of the left is the reason why
- 56:38Speaker 1: Democrats are struggling, and it's the base of the right
- 56:41Speaker 1: is why Trump is struggling. So look, I wanted to
- 56:48Speaker 1: go through this in sometimes excruciating detail, I'll confess. But
- 56:53Speaker 1: the next time you watch a ridiculous Twitter feed twitter feud,
- 56:57Speaker 1: you know you see some algorithmic driven streaming rant by
- 57:02Speaker 1: you know somebody used to see on cable TV, or
- 57:07Speaker 1: if you watch What's Left of Legacy TV and you
- 57:10Speaker 1: see two giant armies, one red and one blue, locked
- 57:14Speaker 1: at fifty to fifty, screaming across a trench, right, the
- 57:18Speaker 1: idea that that, you know how sometimes the CNN panel
- 57:21Speaker 1: can look like that. Somehow it's Van Jones and Scott
- 57:24Speaker 1: Jennings and they represent it all right, Remember this typology report.
- 57:29Speaker 1: Remember that there is a trench, sure, but the armies
- 57:32Speaker 1: that are insighted are actually super small. The most committed
- 57:37Speaker 1: minorities are the whitest, loudest, and most online people there are.
- 57:45Speaker 1: That's who makes up the progressive left, and that's what
- 57:47Speaker 1: makes up this cormaga, right according to Pew. And in
- 57:50Speaker 1: between them is the rest of us, a giant, diverse, tired, broke,
- 57:55Speaker 1: skeptical middle that doesn't trust either side and mostly wishes
- 58:01Speaker 1: everybody would just knock it off. So here you go.
- 58:07Speaker 1: That's the American political census right now. Look when you
- 58:11Speaker 1: look at this, you know, if I look at it
- 58:14Speaker 1: through the prism of running as an independent, it has
- 58:17Speaker 1: never looked more opportunistic. There are all these abandoned folks
- 58:24Speaker 1: there are all. There's an entire sort of common sense
- 58:27Speaker 1: middle platform that you can run on that I'm convinced
- 58:33Speaker 1: if you don't have a party label, you might have
- 58:35Speaker 1: you might have a bigger potential constituency, but I don't.
- 58:41Speaker 1: The problem is what breaks through is the loud and
- 58:46Speaker 1: the performative, and that's what the committed left and the
- 58:48Speaker 1: committed right are really good at. And they are defining
- 58:52Speaker 1: their parties. They are creating a perception of the two
- 58:57Speaker 1: parties that is turns out not the it's not what
- 59:00Speaker 1: the country wants, and it's not what's what's real. Right,
- 59:04Speaker 1: there's an entire like this, this two base, this this
- 59:07Speaker 1: seven percent base on the left, and this twenty one
- 59:10Speaker 1: percent based on the right. This is one in four
- 59:14Speaker 1: Americans total, right, twenty eight percent. They are force feeding
- 59:19Speaker 1: us a political system that literally seventy two percent of
- 59:23Speaker 1: the country wishes weren't the case. So what I hope
- 59:29Speaker 1: people will do with this information is realize, hey, all
- 59:33Speaker 1: is not hopeless. What happens online is online, and yes
- 59:38Speaker 1: it matters to a point, but it is not representative
- 59:42Speaker 1: of real people. The rest of us do live in
- 59:45Speaker 1: this messy middle and a politician that can both capture
- 59:49Speaker 1: the imagination with a little bit of showmanship or show womanship,
- 59:55Speaker 1: but has a common sense just you know, don't do
- 59:59Speaker 1: dumb sh shit platform, has has constituencies begging to be
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: talked to by this entity. The question is whether our
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: political system can allow someone like that to actually exist, right,
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: whether our media ecosystem can make room for something like this.
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: I mean, that's what's so both reassuring about this report
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: for me and frustrating at the same time. It confirmed
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: everything I already knew and believed about what the country
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: actually is versus the perverted ways the basis of the
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: two parties have painted our politics, and so I get
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: hope and frustration at the same time. But hey, I'm
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: here to offer a little hopium and I will tell
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: you take a look it is. We know we have
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: the electorate that this country needs to keep this republic
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: on the right track. We now just need the political
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: leaders to actually talk to the electorate that exists, not
- 1:01:10Speaker 1: one that is manufactured through grievance online. And with that,
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: I'm gonna sneak in a break and when we come back,
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: one of the one of my favorite people to just
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: have them have a great conversation with Chuck close to
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you
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- 1:02:09Speaker 1: those that tunes in for the World Cups, either the
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- 1:03:46Speaker 1: slash bonus, hyphen offer hyphen terms. Well, joining me now
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: is somebody who I'd like to think I've consumed just
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: about everything. He's ram I'm not going to sit here
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: and say I know his days from his magazine era.
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: But it's Chuck Clusterman and he's got a new book out.
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: I know there's a new new book out. We'll talk
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: about that at the end. But a book out that
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: many of you may have seen some and probably are
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: thinking about buying for dad, or some of you may
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: think you want to buy it for me. I already
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: have two copies. It's football, and I'm going to hesitate
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: to describe it. It really is more of a I think,
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: trying to explain football's popularity to aliens. I don't know
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: if Chuck will like that description or not, or to
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: people who unearth the United States of America in twenty
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: three twenty four year. I'm talking about the year twenty
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: three hundred and go what were some of the cultural
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: events that united the country? And they may find his book,
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: So he joins me now, and Chuck fair description of
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: the book itself.
- 1:05:00Speaker 2: Oh it's fair enough. That doesn't bother me. I It
- 1:05:03Speaker 2: is a hard thing to describe, I realized, because you
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: know it's there's like.
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: Not a history of football, right, That's right.
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: Aren't there. It's partially memoir, it's partially criticism. I mean,
- 1:05:15Speaker 2: it's a little bit in some ways similar to the
- 1:05:18Speaker 2: very first book I wrote, when I wrote this book
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: about heavy metal and growing up in North Dakota, and
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: it was like these things I thought about for years,
- 1:05:26Speaker 2: like I'm just going to all put this into one thing,
- 1:05:29Speaker 2: and then the next twelve books or whatever are about
- 1:05:31Speaker 2: different ideas. You know, I would own it on. But
- 1:05:33Speaker 2: this again was something where you know, I've been thinking
- 1:05:36Speaker 2: about football unconsciously for like forty five years and maybe
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: consciously journalistically for twenty years, and this is just kind
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: of the culmination of that. You know, I just had
- 1:05:49Speaker 2: wanted to do a book that was where sports wasn't
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: just part of it, where it was about the sport,
- 1:05:55Speaker 2: about the game, and you know, it was just as
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: a once. It was incredibly enjoyable. Rite. I mean, it
- 1:06:02Speaker 2: was very fun to do in a way that book
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: writing usually is not.
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: Why is that because I'm look, I've done a few books,
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: not like you, and I have viewed them all as
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: chores by the end, like fully chores, and you know,
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: I'm proud of them, but I remember I didn't get
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: out of it when I thought I was going to
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: get out of it. Now you've done eight x of
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: the amount of books. What are you up to or fourteen? Yeah,
- 1:06:31Speaker 1: so seven x of what I've done, and so you
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: must I'm guessing of a different experience. Some books have
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: been healthier for you and others haven't been.
- 1:06:40Speaker 2: I'm guessing, well, yeah. I mean I say this a
- 1:06:45Speaker 2: lot when people ask me like the process of this,
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: if they do, I always kind of think of it
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: like in your mind, you have a ball of yarn,
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: which is in the case of football, like everything I
- 1:06:56Speaker 2: know about football, everything I've thought about football, stat I
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: remember from third grade the experience of having played in
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: all of these things, and that's sort of in this
- 1:07:05Speaker 2: ball of information, and then writing is just straightening it out.
- 1:07:10Speaker 2: And that's what kind of what the writing process is now.
- 1:07:11Speaker 2: For a lot of times with the book, it's like
- 1:07:13Speaker 2: first you have to build the arn ball, like you
- 1:07:15Speaker 2: know you're going into something and you're like, well, I
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: have to do all this research, I have to learn
- 1:07:19Speaker 2: all this I have alo I have to become put
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: myself in this position where I can sort of write
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: a book about this idea kind of theoretically for like
- 1:07:29Speaker 2: a version of me that existed five years ago or whatever,
- 1:07:31Speaker 2: like you know. But this is different in the sense
- 1:07:34Speaker 2: that I wasn't trying to acquire information about football over
- 1:07:38Speaker 2: my life. I mean I was, but not because I
- 1:07:41Speaker 2: thought I'd write a book that's just what I loved
- 1:07:43Speaker 2: and just what I liked. And what was easy about
- 1:07:46Speaker 2: it was like it was just there were almost too
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: many ideas, Like I almost had too many ideas. I
- 1:07:51Speaker 2: guess I could have even made the book longer, but
- 1:07:54Speaker 2: I did fear, you know, it could bleed into being
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: repetitive or whatever. I just felt. Really, I mean, I
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: wrote this book fast, Like it was written fast. You
- 1:08:05Speaker 2: do something with your writing style. I find fascinating in that.
- 1:08:09Speaker 2: The only other times I feel this are when I
- 1:08:11Speaker 2: actually read oral histories, and that is I feel like
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: you're having a conversation with the reader.
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: You're not informing the reader. I mean, is that your
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: you know what I mean, I don't know how's to
- 1:08:21Speaker 1: put it, meaning I feel like I'm reading conversational Chuck Closterman,
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: not some edited version of him, you know, because sometimes
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: you'll repeat a point and just like you would in
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: a conversation, Like when I'm reading the book, I feel
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: like it's in conversation with you, not necessarily you presenting
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: this formalized, edited a piece of work.
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: A long time yeah, a long time ago, someone was
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: criticizing me and they said, it seems like he's trying
- 1:08:53Speaker 2: to build a brain in public, like build his own
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: brain public. But you know there's some truth in that, Like, yeah,
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: a lot of people have said this. I'm not the
- 1:09:02Speaker 2: first person. You don't really know how you feel about
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: something and tell you create like a piece of art
- 1:09:07Speaker 2: or a book about it.
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: Right.
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: Yeah, My goal, I guess is to make it. I
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: want the reader to feel as though they are writing
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: the book with their mind, like they're always like like
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: the books and this is the conversation and they read
- 1:09:24Speaker 2: a sentence and then like somehow they build the next
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: sentence and there it is or whatever. Yeah, you know,
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: I do. I do a lot of arguing with myself
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: when I'm not writing a book. I probably do even
- 1:09:34Speaker 2: more when I am. It's just I don't know, I
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: think it in this again might sound like it's a
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: bad thing to say it. But I think because I
- 1:09:45Speaker 2: was educated so differently than the fast majority of people
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: who write books, that it was it's so autodidactic, and
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: donald was just bizarre that I don't sometimes know the
- 1:09:58Speaker 2: things you're not supposed to to do. So when some
- 1:10:00Speaker 2: people read these books, I think they're saying, well, this
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: seems novel. It seems like another writer wouldn't do that.
- 1:10:06Speaker 2: And it might be because I don't know any better.
- 1:10:08Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not.
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: No I get exactly.
- 1:10:11Speaker 2: It's like I just kind of do it like if
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: I was a musician. It's not somebody who never said
- 1:10:17Speaker 2: a lesson. I just played by how.
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: I got you?
- 1:10:19Speaker 2: Yeah, I got you.
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: This is just how you communicate and it has always
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: been how you communicate it. Yeah, your mind is fascinating
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: to me. I can't tell you to this day. I'm
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: obsessed with something you said in an interview once with
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: Simmons about how and it's about and it feels like
- 1:10:36Speaker 1: this you were. You entered this book with the same mindset,
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: trying to trying to look at what how football would
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: be explained or used two hundred years from now. And
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: in fact, I remember you went through this exercise with
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: Bill once about rock and roll, and you were saying,
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: three hundred years from now, there's only going to be
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: one song or one artist that will be representative rock
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: and roll. And and I just remember, I can't tell
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: you how often I've gone back to that conversation in
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: my head that I heard you have and sort of
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: almost like retest the premise, well, what would it be
- 1:11:11Speaker 1: for pop culture? What would it be for this? What
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: would it be for that? And you know this reminder
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: that when Mozart and Beethoven, why did they get elevated
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: but nobody else around them did? Right? And it's sort
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: of like, you know, you went through this. I don't
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: really have a great question about it, but you your
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: mind seems to be you're you seem to be obsessed
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: with what sticks, what's lasting, and what isn't.
- 1:11:34Speaker 2: Is that it I appreciate you saying that first of all,
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: but also it is that what you're describing is something
- 1:11:40Speaker 2: that from my view, this seems to be the way
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: culture works over like the long term, you know, using
- 1:11:47Speaker 2: just rock and roll as the example or whatever, you
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: start with all these different possibilities. If the Beatles, the
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: Stones and the Zeppelin, the kings. You have all of
- 1:11:54Speaker 2: these things, and as it moves through time, you know,
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: some stick and some fade away and by the wayside,
- 1:12:01Speaker 2: and it gets smaller and smaller and smaller than the
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: people who first consume the original art they die, and
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: then the second class of generations data, and it gets
- 1:12:08Speaker 2: smaller and smaller and smaller. Intel there's just one thing left,
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: and then that becomes hyper amplified, you know, where it's
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: like it all wheels down to one and then that
- 1:12:18Speaker 2: one thing becomes massive. I mean, like you can see this.
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: I think is gonna happen with like reggae music, that
- 1:12:23Speaker 2: it's going to eventually get to the point where it's
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: like it's really only Bob Marley. Bob Marley will be
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: what you're saying with that, you know, John Philips SUSA
- 1:12:30Speaker 2: represents all marching music, like that will happen with reggae.
- 1:12:34Speaker 2: So I do think about that a lot because I
- 1:12:37Speaker 2: think what happens is people you know, want to understand something.
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: Uh it's it's easier to understand like a singular narrative
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: and have that sort of be the stand in for
- 1:12:49Speaker 2: every other experience.
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: I guess spoiler alert, you're you. You you believe Chuck
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: Berry will be the lone person, and right, you're actually
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: with you did this whole exercise. I didn't want to
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: leave the listener handing it.
- 1:13:04Speaker 2: Well. My argument with that was, like, it should be
- 1:13:07Speaker 2: the Beatles, really, like everything about modernity tells us it
- 1:13:10Speaker 2: will be the Beatles. The Beatles are really the only
- 1:13:12Speaker 2: thing now that I can think of.
- 1:13:13Speaker 1: How they made a movie about what would happen if
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: the Beatles didn't exist, like, you know, like they were
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: not making movies about Chuck Berry the same.
- 1:13:20Speaker 2: Warns has often talked about this. So it's sort of like,
- 1:13:23Speaker 2: you know, something exists, you know, it's twenty years old,
- 1:13:25Speaker 2: and people still know what it is, and when you
- 1:13:27Speaker 2: get to thirty years old, there's you know, an it
- 1:13:29Speaker 2: goes and then sixty seems to be the cutof that.
- 1:13:31Speaker 2: When something's sixty years old, it typically means that every
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: person who consume the original thing is gone now, and
- 1:13:37Speaker 2: the Beatles kind of contradict this. The Beatles are arguably
- 1:13:41Speaker 2: more popular now in a weird way than they were
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: in the late sixties or were, so like, it's is
- 1:13:50Speaker 2: it is. It's an interesting thing. I guess, I guess
- 1:13:52Speaker 2: I am interested well, what will last, because that's you know, well, I.
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: You know, to translate it to what I do most
- 1:13:58Speaker 1: of the time in politics, I think about the following
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: fact all the time, and nobody talks about it, which is,
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: we're about twenty years away from where we We'll no
- 1:14:07Speaker 1: longer have a single American who grew up in segregated America.
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: And that's going to mean something that's going to matter.
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: But I'm not sure how yet. I think it's going
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: to matter, you know, I'm not saying and it's going
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: to be a good thing, but that is going just
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: we're going to change. Our politics will change, the what
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: moves people to vote will change, simply because people with
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: certain memories will no longer be around to remind you
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: of the importance of set events well or.
- 1:14:36Speaker 2: To sort of have an understanding of a before and
- 1:14:38Speaker 2: after period that once once all those people are gone.
- 1:14:42Speaker 2: It's almost as though the state that, you know, the
- 1:14:45Speaker 2: way the world is now we just almost feel like, well,
- 1:14:47Speaker 2: its existed that way in perpetuna. I mean, it's going
- 1:14:50Speaker 2: to be very we were already seeing like an accelerated
- 1:14:53Speaker 2: version of this, like with the internet, you now have
- 1:14:57Speaker 2: the only people who are kind of consumed with what
- 1:15:02Speaker 2: life was like before the internet and what life is
- 1:15:04Speaker 2: like after. Our people like our age, like I really
- 1:15:07Speaker 2: experienced both realities fully. There's an increasing number of people
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: who have no memory of a world without that. So
- 1:15:13Speaker 2: therefore this idea, it's almost if like it'd be like, well, yeah,
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: I have an argument about why, you know, before we
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: had you know, combustion engines or whatever. It doesn't seem
- 1:15:22Speaker 2: in any way.
- 1:15:23Speaker 1: I wonder are there books about the pre electricity days
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: and the post you know that people wrote around then,
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: or we just didn't have books written like that.
- 1:15:31Speaker 2: I see that with television that there was a lot
- 1:15:34Speaker 2: of sort of discussion about what is television going to
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: do and how is it going to affect the culture?
- 1:15:39Speaker 2: You know, there was a book I remember from like,
- 1:15:41Speaker 2: you know, the late seventies called Four Arguments for the
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: Elimination of Television.
- 1:15:45Speaker 3: Are you familiar with this but unfamiliar with the the
- 1:15:49Speaker 3: It was a guy who came out of advertising, I mean,
- 1:15:51Speaker 3: and it was like, this is not a metaphor, we
- 1:15:54Speaker 3: should eliminate television for all of these reasons.
- 1:15:56Speaker 2: And you read the book now, it seems crazy that
- 1:15:58Speaker 2: the book could have even existed. And yet in many
- 1:16:01Speaker 2: ways the arguments he makes in that did come to fruition.
- 1:16:05Speaker 2: I mean, when MTV was new, everybody was like, oh,
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: it's going to shorten attention spans people are going to
- 1:16:11Speaker 2: you know, and people are like, well, that's a reactionary thing.
- 1:16:13Speaker 2: The world always changed, it did happen. I mean that
- 1:16:16Speaker 2: that did happen from nineteen eight and nineteen ninety. It
- 1:16:20Speaker 2: was a different kind of consumer because of that experience.
- 1:16:23Speaker 2: So I mean, I do I think a lot of
- 1:16:26Speaker 2: times that that there is a kind of a natural
- 1:16:29Speaker 2: inclination to sort of disagree with people who say like, oh, well,
- 1:16:33Speaker 2: you know the world's getting worse. You like, well, everybody
- 1:16:35Speaker 2: always said that, But there is some truth in it.
- 1:16:37Speaker 2: In some ways, the worst is just maybe the wrong word.
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: I mean, it's going to be different, and difference feels
- 1:16:43Speaker 2: bad to people.
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: Right well, it all depends on what metrics you're using,
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: right you know. I mean, in some ways, right were
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: there's we're so dumer, we're so doom and gloom. Yet
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: if you look at the last fifty years, more people
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: have been pulled out of poverty, more people, you know,
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: fewer people die of certain diseases like the world has
- 1:16:59Speaker 1: never been safer, right Like, you know, there's these things
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: that the world has never.
- 1:17:03Speaker 2: Been as safe as it is right now, and yet
- 1:17:04Speaker 2: it does. No one feels feels It's also you know,
- 1:17:09Speaker 2: everything is relative, you know, It's like once something exists,
- 1:17:14Speaker 2: it becomes normal. Like a crowbar was only an amazing
- 1:17:17Speaker 2: tool to the first generation of people who had a
- 1:17:20Speaker 2: crowbar for the first time, They're like, this is incredible.
- 1:17:22Speaker 2: I can't believe this. Nobody else would look at that
- 1:17:24Speaker 2: and think like, oh, technology, you.
- 1:17:26Speaker 1: Know, so are you. If somebody if you have to
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: do the eleven second describe what you do for a living,
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: what do you tell people?
- 1:17:35Speaker 2: Well, now, I mean I'm just a writer.
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: I just what's your beat? You know, here's a guy
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: that used to be, you know, music critic, used to
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: be this. What what is your beat in your head?
- 1:17:45Speaker 1: Forget what other people think? What's what do you feel
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: like your beat is? In the American psychist, my beat
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: is reality.
- 1:17:54Speaker 2: It just seems like a lot of times in a
- 1:17:56Speaker 2: lot it doesn't matter what I'm writing about. Somehow, almost annoyingly,
- 1:18:02Speaker 2: the question of like is this real though? Comes up?
- 1:18:06Speaker 2: Like what is the authentic experience? I mean, I'm just
- 1:18:10Speaker 2: like one of these guys who's obsessed with you know,
- 1:18:14Speaker 2: you know what what what is real? What is a construction?
- 1:18:17Speaker 2: All of the things that in some ways I feel
- 1:18:21Speaker 2: like I have lost a little bit of traction in
- 1:18:26Speaker 2: the American discourse. It was more of a nineties early
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: two thousand sort of thing to question this. Now I
- 1:18:32Speaker 2: think there is more this idea that, oh, that's kind
- 1:18:35Speaker 2: of a stonery thing to waste your time on. Don't
- 1:18:37Speaker 2: worry about what is real?
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: What is not real?
- 1:18:39Speaker 2: Nothing is real? So like in this in this completely.
- 1:18:44Speaker 1: A what's going to be? Yeah, I mean and that
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but I'm on social Anything
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: on social media I assume is fake until proven real
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: to me instead of the other way around.
- 1:18:54Speaker 2: Well it is. But it's a really difficult way to
- 1:18:57Speaker 2: go through life and through consumption with that idea, you know,
- 1:19:01Speaker 2: because then there's this, you know, there's a second question.
- 1:19:04Speaker 2: It's like, Okay, so you're seeing something on social media
- 1:19:06Speaker 2: and you suspect it is unreal and you drew maybe
- 1:19:12Speaker 2: do like like a little check of it, and you
- 1:19:13Speaker 2: can't really tell yet, but there's part of your mind
- 1:19:16Speaker 2: that saying, like, well, most people are consuming this passively.
- 1:19:20Speaker 2: Most people just assume that this is real if they
- 1:19:22Speaker 2: see this, you know. So therefore, if if a majority
- 1:19:26Speaker 2: of people believe something, does that then make it a
- 1:19:29Speaker 2: reality even if it's just a cognitive thing. You know,
- 1:19:32Speaker 2: it's like you can fight.
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: Over the whole The whole expression is when does perception
- 1:19:36Speaker 1: become reality?
- 1:19:37Speaker 2: Yeah? Well when does? I mean? I think it's when
- 1:19:41Speaker 2: the consumer is unable to think that equation is in play,
- 1:19:46Speaker 2: that they're they're preceding something, and that question is not
- 1:19:49Speaker 2: being asked.
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: You know, I've gone seventeen minutes and I don't think
- 1:19:54Speaker 1: I've asked you a question about the book. So my
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: apologies for that, but that's the sometimes the podcast experience.
- 1:20:02Speaker 1: So I sort of best understood the book description better
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: now when looking back that it's a living obituary for
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: a sport that you assumed, like every sport in culture,
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: will eventually go away. We just don't know when.
- 1:20:17Speaker 2: Well, I just I think that it will stop being
- 1:20:19Speaker 2: the center of the culture, which it is right now.
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: They begin with Monday night football. Like if you were
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: to say, what's the starting point? Is it the nineteen
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: fifty eight game? As you point out, we all have
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: to answer by rote that it's the greatest game ever played,
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: when you're like, it's not remotely close to being the
- 1:20:44Speaker 1: greatest game ever played, but it was something that it
- 1:20:46Speaker 1: was the first time millions of Americans experienced a football
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: game the same way.
- 1:20:50Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, in a sense it was because of
- 1:20:54Speaker 2: the modern understanding of football kind of begins with that
- 1:20:58Speaker 2: experience of that game, in the sense that there was
- 1:21:01Speaker 2: like you know, you say, like, did it begin with
- 1:21:03Speaker 2: me nine football or whatever. So by the nineteen seventies,
- 1:21:06Speaker 2: football was already the most popular sport in the United
- 1:21:08Speaker 2: States by a pretty strong margin. The perception was still
- 1:21:12Speaker 2: somehow baseball was the national pastime. Now we don't really
- 1:21:17Speaker 2: think of it in that way. We would like it
- 1:21:21Speaker 2: would be people think I'm a contrarian. I'd like to
- 1:21:24Speaker 2: see someone make the argument that football is not the
- 1:21:26Speaker 2: most popularly sport in America. I'd be very fascinated by
- 1:21:29Speaker 2: how they would argue that. So it, like like a
- 1:21:34Speaker 2: lot of things like it kind of happened kind of
- 1:21:36Speaker 2: gradually and persistently until a point when it was kind
- 1:21:39Speaker 2: of you couldn't remove it. There is no like that
- 1:21:44Speaker 2: fifty eight game is a hinge point in this it
- 1:21:47Speaker 2: really is. And maybe the dawn of Monday night football
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: simply because it made football prime time experience is maybe
- 1:21:53Speaker 2: another hinge point. It's I just I really just think
- 1:21:58Speaker 2: that you know, in this if you ask me like
- 1:22:01Speaker 2: to give you like the you know, the elevator picture
- 1:22:03Speaker 2: of this book. I I think if you're trying to
- 1:22:06Speaker 2: understand the last half of the twentieth century, and you
- 1:22:11Speaker 2: can't use everything, right, you can't talk about politics, you
- 1:22:14Speaker 2: can't talk about movies, you can't talk you have to
- 1:22:15Speaker 2: talk about one thing. I think football probably is the
- 1:22:20Speaker 2: best sort of material to understand.
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: More common than music, even because music has so many
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: different tastes, right, it's all you.
- 1:22:26Speaker 2: Know, and it's so paradoxical, like there's so many things
- 1:22:30Speaker 2: about football that if you describe it to someone and
- 1:22:33Speaker 2: that you don't know what they're they don't know what
- 1:22:35Speaker 2: you're talking about. You're saying like, Okay, this is what
- 1:22:37Speaker 2: it's going to be, this is how it's going to operate,
- 1:22:39Speaker 2: this is what the television experience is going to be.
- 1:22:41Speaker 2: Like all of those things will sound like like a disaster,
- 1:22:45Speaker 2: like you would never get out of a focus group.
- 1:22:47Speaker 2: So I think that's also was part of makes it
- 1:22:49Speaker 2: interesting to see how it's sort of many ways mirrors
- 1:22:52Speaker 2: the way culture move of the last half of the
- 1:22:54Speaker 2: twentieth century, because there's a lot of that as well,
- 1:22:56Speaker 2: like these paradoxical things that happened that like it shouldn't
- 1:22:59Speaker 2: have happened, but it did, and now we understand the
- 1:23:01Speaker 2: world do that going forward. I don't know if this
- 1:23:05Speaker 2: will be the case. I believe sometime in you know,
- 1:23:10Speaker 2: twenty sixty, twenty seventy, I do think that football is
- 1:23:13Speaker 2: going to no longer be the center of sort of
- 1:23:17Speaker 2: our society in terms of like how like like the
- 1:23:19Speaker 2: shared experience. What I find really interesting is how troubling
- 1:23:25Speaker 2: people seem to find that idea. Like I've given a predict.
- 1:23:30Speaker 1: I mean, I guess the equivalent of you predicting the
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: end of boxing as a relevant sport in the United
- 1:23:35Speaker 1: States or the world, would it have gotten you the
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: same level of criticism?
- 1:23:43Speaker 2: I can't imagine it. I mean, like, you know, if
- 1:23:46Speaker 2: you to me, if somebody was like trying to sort
- 1:23:49Speaker 2: of criticize this and be like, oh, basically, you know,
- 1:23:51Speaker 2: you have a section of the book where you're saying,
- 1:23:53Speaker 2: in fifty years, the world will not be the same
- 1:23:56Speaker 2: as it is now, like, of course it'll be. But
- 1:23:58Speaker 2: yet when you give this specific it really I always
- 1:24:02Speaker 2: use this like like if I said to you, it's like,
- 1:24:04Speaker 2: is there a likelihood that in fifty years somebody we
- 1:24:07Speaker 2: currently consider a great canonical US president will no longer
- 1:24:11Speaker 2: be seen in that way? I think you would probably
- 1:24:14Speaker 2: say probably, that could easily happen. But then you say, okay,
- 1:24:17Speaker 2: it's going to be Lincoln, and then people.
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: Are like, no, no, we have a real world example
- 1:24:22Speaker 1: of this. I'll give you a real world example of
- 1:24:24Speaker 1: a president who's completely been changed in death the perception
- 1:24:29Speaker 1: of it. Woodrow Wilson. Yes, that's where I thought you
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: were going to say. I mean, it is astonishing to
- 1:24:35Speaker 1: me how quickly he got erased from certain campuses, how
- 1:24:38Speaker 1: quickly his name got taken off of buildings right.
- 1:24:40Speaker 2: Well, the school right next to us, it used to
- 1:24:42Speaker 2: be Woodrow Wilson High School. Now it's Yeah High School.
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: The public high school closest to NBC's DC headquarters. Woodrow
- 1:24:49Speaker 1: Wilson High School is now Jackson. Reed. It is no
- 1:24:51Speaker 1: longer Woodrow Wilson High There's no way anybody predicts that
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: thirty years ago I mean, you know the president we're
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: going to erase. It's gonna be Woodrow Wilson, what Legal
- 1:25:03Speaker 1: Nations guy exactly?
- 1:25:04Speaker 2: Now, now the League of Nations have seems like a
- 1:25:06Speaker 2: negative associate.
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: And then you know the guy have any good ideas.
- 1:25:11Speaker 2: You know, when I was in college, he was common
- 1:25:14Speaker 2: for people to say, well, the two worst presidents are
- 1:25:16Speaker 2: either Granted Buchanan. You know, Grant has definitely moved.
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: Oh my god, Grant. Well, I mean, we all we
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: all need uhh ron we all, we all am drawing
- 1:25:27Speaker 1: a blanket his last name. Turnout. We all want Turnout
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: to do our biography because apparently once she does your graphy,
- 1:25:34Speaker 1: you rock it up in relevance, right. I mean, Hamilton's
- 1:25:38Speaker 1: never had a p R better.
- 1:25:39Speaker 2: People than exactly people think now he's not even president,
- 1:25:42Speaker 2: but he's you know, he's talking about now.
- 1:25:46Speaker 1: I do think you can't, you know, I do think
- 1:25:48Speaker 1: you can't. It still, you know, gets to occupy you
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: lose the union.
- 1:25:51Speaker 2: Still down there, Richard, are still down there like it's not.
- 1:25:54Speaker 2: But I would not you know, I wouldn't have thought
- 1:25:57Speaker 2: Grant would have moved up that much, you know, but regardless,
- 1:26:00Speaker 2: this is yeah.
- 1:26:01Speaker 1: No, and Look, it's interesting to watch LBJ over the years.
- 1:26:05Speaker 1: Suddenly Vietnam doesn't matter to some people as much as
- 1:26:08Speaker 1: you know, there was a time all he was was
- 1:26:10Speaker 1: defined by Vietnam. And I don't think if you told me,
- 1:26:12Speaker 1: you know, by the time we hit the fiftieth anniversary
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: of a bunch of stuff having to do with what
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: what Lyndon Johnson, He's going to be revered by Democrats
- 1:26:20Speaker 1: as the second greatest Democratic president after FDR. And I'm like,
- 1:26:23Speaker 1: no way, And you're like, now there's the you know,
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: he's another one that we've changed a little bit.
- 1:26:29Speaker 2: Yeah, And that used to be this sort of the
- 1:26:31Speaker 2: assumption that as soon as the president leaves office that
- 1:26:36Speaker 2: it proceeded more positive, right, And now that that's not
- 1:26:39Speaker 2: how it is now. Like now now it's that that
- 1:26:42Speaker 2: hasn't happened with Clinton, that hasn't happen with a bomber.
- 1:26:45Speaker 1: When I've asked this of people that write history books,
- 1:26:49Speaker 1: when do you think is the soonest you should write
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: about a historical event?
- 1:26:54Speaker 2: Well, there was some question that when I did that
- 1:26:56Speaker 2: book the nineties that came out in twenty.
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, now I wondered about that.
- 1:27:01Speaker 2: Yeah, we helpish her the fifties and it comes out
- 1:27:05Speaker 2: in the nineties, right, and that seems about the right time.
- 1:27:09Speaker 2: I guess I was sort of.
- 1:27:13Speaker 1: Ten years too early.
- 1:27:14Speaker 2: Well, I think with what had happened with the acceleration
- 1:27:20Speaker 2: of culture over the end of the twentieth centuries, the
- 1:27:23Speaker 2: past seems their relationship to it is different. And it
- 1:27:27Speaker 2: didn't It did not seem as though putting out a
- 1:27:30Speaker 2: book about the nineties in twenty twenty one did not
- 1:27:34Speaker 2: seem I mean, I was conscious about it. Putting practice
- 1:27:39Speaker 2: that was never a criticism, for example, like I didn't
- 1:27:42Speaker 2: hear people saying too soon on that. But I feel
- 1:27:45Speaker 2: like that's about about as close as you want to get.
- 1:27:49Speaker 2: Although I mean, also it depends if you specify something
- 1:27:53Speaker 2: like okay, so you know, just speaking of sports or whatever,
- 1:27:56Speaker 2: like you know, Michael Jordan was still playing for the
- 1:28:00Speaker 2: Wizards at the turn of the century. When The Last
- 1:28:02Speaker 2: Dance came out, it felt as if we were talking
- 1:28:04Speaker 2: about something that was farther back than it actually was.
- 1:28:08Speaker 2: I do think that, I mean, I think this is
- 1:28:12Speaker 2: something that you know, it's a much bigger idea, But
- 1:28:15Speaker 2: I think that that one thing the Internet has really
- 1:28:18Speaker 2: done dramatically as kind of underrated is how it has
- 1:28:21Speaker 2: changed our relationship to time. And I think that in
- 1:28:25Speaker 2: some ways that might be that might be the deepest
- 1:28:28Speaker 2: impact it has, because it.
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: Is I've been chalking it up to COVID. You think
- 1:28:32Speaker 1: it's bigger than this COVID because everything you know there's well,
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: you and I are about the same age. There's two
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: events where there feels like there's a before and after.
- 1:28:41Speaker 1: And I'll give you one example. Recently. It was talking
- 1:28:45Speaker 1: about the world of pre nine eleven versus post nine
- 1:28:48Speaker 1: eleven with somebody and then I tried to remember what
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: security lines were like at the airport pre nine eleven,
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: and I actually couldn't. I remembered vaguely, Well, we still
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: went through something, there was still a security check, there
- 1:29:02Speaker 1: was still sort of some you know, it was more
- 1:29:06Speaker 1: similar than different, but I could tell, but it was.
- 1:29:10Speaker 1: But I you know, all I could say was, well,
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: you used to be able to meet your family or
- 1:29:14Speaker 1: friend at the gate right and anybody could go through security,
- 1:29:17Speaker 1: regardless of whether you were ticketed or not. But that
- 1:29:20Speaker 1: is something that if you're if you've never experienced at
- 1:29:22Speaker 1: pre nine eleven, you know, So we have two big things.
- 1:29:25Speaker 1: I think arguably, and maybe the older you get you
- 1:29:28Speaker 1: have more of them. There's a real distinction between life
- 1:29:31Speaker 1: pre nine eleven and post nine to eleven. And I
- 1:29:33Speaker 1: think there's a distinction between life pre COVID and post COVID.
- 1:29:36Speaker 1: But I'm curious you think about this stuff more. You're
- 1:29:39Speaker 1: more consumed by these things than anybody I've come across.
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: Where do you fall on that?
- 1:29:46Speaker 2: I mean, nine eleven was because it happened so suddenly,
- 1:29:49Speaker 2: and it was a dramatic event, you know, this kind
- 1:29:53Speaker 2: of break, you know, is a day, it's in a
- 1:29:55Speaker 2: morning or whatever, this has happened. There was this one
- 1:29:57Speaker 2: reality and then there's this different reality, and there was
- 1:29:59Speaker 2: also sort of the added edition to you know. Again,
- 1:30:03Speaker 2: it's really hard to get back into how we thought
- 1:30:06Speaker 2: in the past. You just can't do that in a way.
- 1:30:08Speaker 2: But there is now, I think, a belief and probably
- 1:30:11Speaker 2: somewhat justified that there was an idea that something like
- 1:30:14Speaker 2: nine to eleven could not happen, like there would never
- 1:30:17Speaker 2: be sort of a terrorist attack that successful that large
- 1:30:21Speaker 2: in the United States. It was like something that didn't
- 1:30:23Speaker 2: even seem.
- 1:30:24Speaker 1: Like even in America, where you know, we saw they
- 1:30:26Speaker 1: tried this in ninety three and we stopped them like that.
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: Nobody can pull that off.
- 1:30:30Speaker 2: So so it was sort of like a this this
- 1:30:32Speaker 2: unknown or kind of unimagined thing happening really suddenly COVID
- 1:30:37Speaker 2: there was you know, I remember interviewing Jonathan Franzen in
- 1:30:41Speaker 2: like twenty twelve or something, and he was like, I
- 1:30:45Speaker 2: worry about global pandemics, Like there was this idea that
- 1:30:48Speaker 2: this band like a bird flu pandemic, everything could happen.
- 1:30:51Speaker 2: And then, you know, the COVID experience was slow. It
- 1:30:57Speaker 2: was like, you know, it's like, well, what is going
- 1:31:00Speaker 2: to be like this for two weeks? Oh, no, it's
- 1:31:02Speaker 2: going to be like this way two months? Oh what
- 1:31:03Speaker 2: could be two years? So maybe it's just going to
- 1:31:05Speaker 2: be this way for it?
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: Is it a ridiculous that we thought when the shutdown,
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: we all thought, well, this is just going to be
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: a couple of weeks. And you know, in hindsight, that
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: was like among the dumbest things we could have thought.
- 1:31:15Speaker 1: And yet look, I grew up in hurricane country, meaning
- 1:31:18Speaker 1: in Florida, So I the only time I ever was
- 1:31:21Speaker 1: you ever were at home for something, it was because
- 1:31:25Speaker 1: oh a storm knocked everything out, Oh the power is
- 1:31:27Speaker 1: going to come back on or this is you know,
- 1:31:29Speaker 1: you're like, what are we waiting on? You know, in
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: hindsight now it seems ridiculous that we because I think
- 1:31:34Speaker 1: everybody went into the attitude during the shutdown with like, oh,
- 1:31:38Speaker 1: we're just going to go a couple of weeks, and
- 1:31:40Speaker 1: you're like, how are we doing that? And looking back
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: that seemed like a ridiculous idea, But at the moment,
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: we all, I think, thought it right.
- 1:31:47Speaker 2: I mean, and again it's like we I think in
- 1:31:49Speaker 2: the same way for those two weeks after nine to eleven,
- 1:31:53Speaker 2: we've kind of forgotten how weird it was and how
- 1:31:56Speaker 2: like there'd be people you'd talk.
- 1:31:58Speaker 1: My living in a city that was attacked. It was.
- 1:32:00Speaker 1: I think it was super weird here in DC. Like
- 1:32:02Speaker 1: I worked. I worked at the Watergate right across the
- 1:32:05Speaker 1: street from the Saudi Embassy. You think I wanted to
- 1:32:07Speaker 1: go into the office any day of the week. I
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: thought for sure they were a target, you know, that
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: sort of thing, and people were convinced to this. I
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: remember I had created a go bag. You're like, oh,
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: Washington is one hundred percent of target. You know. It
- 1:32:19Speaker 1: was just this mindset of yeah, you better know how
- 1:32:22Speaker 1: you're leaving when the when the when stuff comes.
- 1:32:26Speaker 2: You know, it is it is, I mean, it was,
- 1:32:29Speaker 2: it was. It was so strange. In fact, maybe it's
- 1:32:31Speaker 2: not support I mean just the idea of how common
- 1:32:33Speaker 2: it was for people to say during that period, maybe
- 1:32:36Speaker 2: they just won't be popular culture anymore, like maybe we'll
- 1:32:39Speaker 2: never again be interested in Frivola, we'll only think about Syria,
- 1:32:42Speaker 2: we'll only think about these things. And then in truth,
- 1:32:45Speaker 2: and it went further the other way, like when the swing,
- 1:32:48Speaker 2: when the pendulum swung back, culture was actually almost more
- 1:32:51Speaker 2: superficial than prior to that, you know, in the first
- 1:32:54Speaker 2: couple of weeks of COVID, you know, and we're doing
- 1:32:56Speaker 2: all these weird things, like all of a sudden, people
- 1:32:58Speaker 2: are like, we need to have zoom conversationations to connect
- 1:33:01Speaker 2: with friends. And you're having zoom conversations with people who
- 1:33:03Speaker 2: normally you would never talk to, you might go two
- 1:33:06Speaker 2: years without talking to. But now it's like we need
- 1:33:07Speaker 2: to do this right, And and it was it was
- 1:33:11Speaker 2: just I mean, it's embarrassed. I'm almost embarrassed when I
- 1:33:14Speaker 2: think about it. There was one time when like I
- 1:33:16Speaker 2: went into a grocery store. Everyone's masking or whatever, you know,
- 1:33:21Speaker 2: And I got home and I felt really good. I
- 1:33:25Speaker 2: felt really good, and I was like, does this mean
- 1:33:28Speaker 2: I have COVID? The fact that I feel good like
- 1:33:30Speaker 2: I was just like anything made like it was so
- 1:33:33Speaker 2: weird you were so thinking about I mean, and it was.
- 1:33:36Speaker 2: It was also sort of a bizarre time when for
- 1:33:39Speaker 2: the only this is the only time this has happened
- 1:33:42Speaker 2: to me in my life, which is that what I
- 1:33:45Speaker 2: was thinking about was what everyone in the world was
- 1:33:47Speaker 2: thinking about, and that's so rare, even nine to eleven.
- 1:33:51Speaker 2: I remember going to Australia after like or New Zealand,
- 1:33:54Speaker 2: I guess it was like six months after nine to
- 1:33:57Speaker 2: eleven or something and talking to someone there and they're like, oh, yeah,
- 1:33:59Speaker 2: that was interesting that happened. I was like, you know,
- 1:34:01Speaker 2: but it was COVID was every.
- 1:34:04Speaker 1: Let me drill down on that, because I, you know,
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: there was a part of me that wondered, was this
- 1:34:07Speaker 1: going to be the ultimate global event? Meaning it was
- 1:34:11Speaker 1: really the first time with the communications that we have
- 1:34:13Speaker 1: where we we're somebody in Senegal and somebody in Portland
- 1:34:18Speaker 1: and somebody in d C were all experiencing the same
- 1:34:21Speaker 1: exact disruption in their life. The disruptions were different, right,
- 1:34:25Speaker 1: you know, because we all live different lives, but all
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: of our lives were being disrupted by the same thing.
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: And I know what I I think I'm sure I
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: went't alone and thinking this is like, this is going
- 1:34:37Speaker 1: to have to mean, This will mean something going forward.
- 1:34:40Speaker 1: The fact that we now have a shared experience for
- 1:34:43Speaker 1: the globe in a way that we had that yes,
- 1:34:46Speaker 1: we've all had in some ways. You know, the more
- 1:34:48Speaker 1: you travel, the more you realize everybody, everybody's lives are
- 1:34:51Speaker 1: more similar than different, YadA YadA YadA, but that you know,
- 1:34:54Speaker 1: that comes with everybody's personal experience. But I always I
- 1:34:57Speaker 1: thought that was going to mean more than it turned
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: out to me.
- 1:35:00Speaker 2: Well, I don't know if we really know yet, because
- 1:35:02Speaker 2: I think that meaning that you're talking about is going
- 1:35:07Speaker 2: to be seen in the manifestation for the most part,
- 1:35:10Speaker 2: with like people who experienced this when they were in
- 1:35:12Speaker 2: like eighth, nine, tenth, eleventh, twelfth grade.
- 1:35:14Speaker 1: Oh that's my son and daughter. I mean I am
- 1:35:17Speaker 1: fastinary by them.
- 1:35:18Speaker 2: My kids were really young when it happened, and I
- 1:35:21Speaker 2: can absolutely see a situation where I later look back nostalgically,
- 1:35:25Speaker 2: almost because it was like we were all in the
- 1:35:27Speaker 2: house together. They were actually at an age where it
- 1:35:30Speaker 2: wasn't that terror. It wasn't like they.
- 1:35:33Speaker 1: Didn't love me, Chuck, I take about it's the best
- 1:35:36Speaker 1: two years of my family's life. Yeah, I became my
- 1:35:39Speaker 1: kids and us we are we're I've had other relatives
- 1:35:42Speaker 1: say to me, you guys are too close or you know,
- 1:35:44Speaker 1: but COVID I had no. I thought we were a
- 1:35:48Speaker 1: pretty normal close family. No, no, no, no, this and they were.
- 1:35:52Speaker 1: My kids are probably a little bit older than years.
- 1:35:54Speaker 1: I got one to just graduated college and one in college,
- 1:35:58Speaker 1: and so we were basically is seventh grade and tenth
- 1:36:02Speaker 1: grade is with I mean we we We We created TV,
- 1:36:06Speaker 1: we introduced each other to TV shows, we taught watch
- 1:36:09Speaker 1: certain movies together. We created new eating habits. In fact,
- 1:36:12Speaker 1: we ate we now we have we now religiously eat
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: together at the same time, all thanks to COVID. So
- 1:36:18Speaker 1: I look at COVID as an tremendous positive in my
- 1:36:23Speaker 1: personal family connections in life. And I would never utter
- 1:36:27Speaker 1: that and assume that everybody else had I know, and
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: I always felt, I, in fact feel a little bit
- 1:36:31Speaker 1: guilty about how how important that that period. Now I
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: think has turned out to be for.
- 1:36:38Speaker 2: Me, Well, I mean that sort of then kind of
- 1:36:41Speaker 2: just kind of demands the question and how important though
- 1:36:44Speaker 2: do you view the I guess what would have traditionally
- 1:36:48Speaker 2: been considered the normal experience of the seventh grader and
- 1:36:51Speaker 2: a tenth grader who they did not have those things,
- 1:36:54Speaker 2: you know, And I uh, I just I wonder if, like,
- 1:37:00Speaker 2: you know, because it was we were moving in this
- 1:37:03Speaker 2: direction where it was like it was totally possible for
- 1:37:06Speaker 2: every member of the family to really be isolated even
- 1:37:09Speaker 2: in their own house. You know, everyone's on different screens
- 1:37:12Speaker 2: or whatever. It seemed like everything about the culture would
- 1:37:14Speaker 2: indicate that people were becoming more kind of animized or
- 1:37:17Speaker 2: whatever it like, split up, and then we suddenly had
- 1:37:19Speaker 2: this like little house on the prairie reality where everyone
- 1:37:22Speaker 2: was in the house all the time or whatever. Now,
- 1:37:26Speaker 2: it will be fascinating if it turns out that in
- 1:37:29Speaker 2: the future there is sort of a consensus that well,
- 1:37:32Speaker 2: this was actually really good for families that like and
- 1:37:35Speaker 2: that maybe like the divorce rate will be lower, so
- 1:37:38Speaker 2: something will happen that will like this will change their way.
- 1:37:43Speaker 2: It will almost have moved back the familial experience of
- 1:37:46Speaker 2: experience being family to like the way it might have
- 1:37:48Speaker 2: been in the forties or whatever. I don't know.
- 1:37:51Speaker 1: Well, I remember reading about life pre nineteen seventeen eighteen pandemic,
- 1:37:56Speaker 1: things like bringing your own silver where to a restaurant
- 1:38:01Speaker 1: was a normal thing to do and sharing a cup.
- 1:38:03Speaker 1: After that, everybody watched everything and there was like a
- 1:38:07Speaker 1: little weird like and I didn't realize that that was
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: you brought your own silverware, if you ate at a house,
- 1:38:12Speaker 1: you know, at a restaurant, that what we call today
- 1:38:15Speaker 1: a restaurant wasn't quite there, oh at the inn or
- 1:38:17Speaker 1: wherever you were going. So there will be things that
- 1:38:20Speaker 1: massively change that we don't fully appreciate, probably until someone
- 1:38:25Speaker 1: like you looks back on it and says, don't you
- 1:38:26Speaker 1: remember this and now that's totally changed to this?
- 1:38:30Speaker 2: Yeah, well, but then it's also was complicated by the
- 1:38:33Speaker 2: fact that then does the person looking back actually have
- 1:38:36Speaker 2: the better understanding that we do experiencing it. I don't know.
- 1:38:39Speaker 2: I think sometimes, yes, I mean I sometimes think about this,
- 1:38:42Speaker 2: like how you know, you know, when when like the
- 1:38:46Speaker 2: Tailorscrift Ariostro was happening and you had you saw these
- 1:38:49Speaker 2: situations where tickets were this insane price. But it was like,
- 1:38:52Speaker 2: you know, it's like moms and their daughters going or
- 1:38:54Speaker 2: dads and their kids going, you know.
- 1:38:56Speaker 1: And they also had a deadhead vibe to it too,
- 1:38:59Speaker 1: right where there was like you had to be there,
- 1:39:01Speaker 1: you had to experience Taylor Swift, but concert you couldn't
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: to really experience her.
- 1:39:07Speaker 2: But the but the thing is, this was an experience
- 1:39:10Speaker 2: that seemed to be of interest to both the kid
- 1:39:12Speaker 2: and the parent. Where it's like, you know, in the
- 1:39:15Speaker 2: nineteen eighties or whatever, the idea that like, oh, yeah,
- 1:39:17Speaker 2: your dad wanted to go to Motley Crue with you,
- 1:39:19Speaker 2: or that didn't really.
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: Happen, or it I've had a broken promise. Randy Rhodes died,
- 1:39:24Speaker 1: My dad was going to take me to for and
- 1:39:26Speaker 1: Randy Rhads died before and the tickets got avoided, right
- 1:39:30Speaker 1: Like that was the one time I convinced Sad to do.
- 1:39:32Speaker 2: Buy Trucker song addresses this almost directly. But then I
- 1:39:35Speaker 2: was thinking about this though. If you go all the
- 1:39:37Speaker 2: way back, so you go to like to the late
- 1:39:39Speaker 2: eighteen hundreds, the early nineteen hundreds, like what would be entertainment,
- 1:39:43Speaker 2: entertainment and culture would be something the whole family would
- 1:39:46Speaker 2: experience the circus is here or whatever. It's like, there's
- 1:39:49Speaker 2: a So it might be that it's just the fifties, sixties, seventies, eighties, nineties,
- 1:39:56Speaker 2: twenty tens. That might be the only, like fifty years
- 1:40:00Speaker 2: sixty year period where the idea of what the parents
- 1:40:03Speaker 2: experienced and what their kids experienced were these two completely
- 1:40:07Speaker 2: bifurcated things that had no relationship. Because I see more
- 1:40:10Speaker 2: and more that parents watch movies with their kids and
- 1:40:14Speaker 2: they both and they're almost made for both people. They're
- 1:40:16Speaker 2: only all these you know that, like all these like
- 1:40:19Speaker 2: Marvel movies and all these things, they seem to be
- 1:40:22Speaker 2: created so that there's like, well there's material for kids,
- 1:40:25Speaker 2: and there's material for adults, and they can bolt it.
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: So like I look at Phineas and Ferb and I
- 1:40:30Speaker 1: always thought, sure, you know, my kids loved it, and
- 1:40:33Speaker 1: it clearly every once in a while there were a
- 1:40:35Speaker 1: few jokes for.
- 1:40:35Speaker 2: The parents, and yeah, and I guess you know, The
- 1:40:38Speaker 2: Muppet Show was a little bit like that, but for
- 1:40:40Speaker 2: the most part of your kid was watching Sesame Street,
- 1:40:43Speaker 2: like there was the idea that somehow you would both
- 1:40:46Speaker 2: have this shared experience. So I sometimes think it would
- 1:40:48Speaker 2: be really interesting if it turns out in a great
- 1:40:51Speaker 2: expanse of history that it was only one window of
- 1:40:55Speaker 2: time when there was this generation gap in terms of
- 1:40:59Speaker 2: culture consumption, that it will be that that maybe we
- 1:41:02Speaker 2: just happened to live through this period, which it almost
- 1:41:04Speaker 2: seems like it must exist. It feels to me like
- 1:41:08Speaker 2: somehow the way that what a teenager wants and what
- 1:41:11Speaker 2: a forty year old wants or whatever, it should just
- 1:41:14Speaker 2: inherently be different. And maybe we're just the one section
- 1:41:16Speaker 2: like the sixties made that happen in a lot of ways.
- 1:41:28Speaker 1: So back to football book, and I sit there and
- 1:41:31Speaker 1: I think this originally was a question I was asking about.
- 1:41:34Speaker 1: You know, what is what is? What is history? You know?
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: When is it a When is the perfect time to
- 1:41:38Speaker 1: do this? So to go? Is there a is is football?
- 1:41:47Speaker 1: And as a cultural sort of glue for us? When
- 1:41:53Speaker 1: television itself ends as a cultural glue? Or is the
- 1:41:57Speaker 1: visual medium so powerful that you know what? What? You
- 1:42:02Speaker 1: and I? When I'm saying television, you and I might
- 1:42:05Speaker 1: be thinking one thing. My son, you know, he just
- 1:42:08Speaker 1: views all TV is on your screen. It's stuff that
- 1:42:10Speaker 1: you either visualize or stuff you read. I mean, so
- 1:42:14Speaker 1: he had television is just a big monitor as far
- 1:42:17Speaker 1: as he's concerned. So I'm just curious, is it when
- 1:42:19Speaker 1: that goes away, that football goes away. Is it so
- 1:42:21Speaker 1: tied to the visual medium?
- 1:42:23Speaker 2: Well, you know, I suppose it comes down to that.
- 1:42:27Speaker 2: At some point, I think, you know that the cost
- 1:42:33Speaker 2: of television advertising and the effectiveness of television advertising is
- 1:42:38Speaker 2: going to reach a point where there is a realization
- 1:42:40Speaker 2: that what you know, a company has to put into
- 1:42:43Speaker 2: this is not going to equate what they're getting back.
- 1:42:46Speaker 2: And they will. It's not that it's like it won't
- 1:42:48Speaker 2: work at all, but they're just like, what we're paying
- 1:42:49Speaker 2: for these Super Bowl ads or whatever. It's like, there's
- 1:42:52Speaker 2: no way that the cost of making this is effective
- 1:42:56Speaker 2: enough to justify it.
- 1:42:57Speaker 1: It's still seen as a lost leader by many of
- 1:42:59Speaker 1: these at companies. They just want the eyeballs they do
- 1:43:02Speaker 1: yes and other stuff yes, or just to build to
- 1:43:06Speaker 1: validate what their.
- 1:43:08Speaker 2: Company is that we're a company that ever, we're a
- 1:43:11Speaker 2: household name, even if you're not buying our household products
- 1:43:14Speaker 2: or whatever we need. I just I think that there
- 1:43:17Speaker 2: is a limit to that as a successful thing. And
- 1:43:20Speaker 2: so when that goes away, and even it doesn't have
- 1:43:23Speaker 2: to disappear, like it doesn't have to go away entirely,
- 1:43:24Speaker 2: it has to go down five percent because the NFL,
- 1:43:27Speaker 2: particularly and now I would say probably college football as well,
- 1:43:31Speaker 2: is of the mindset that it can only expand. I mean,
- 1:43:35Speaker 2: the NFL is not comfortable simply being the most popular
- 1:43:39Speaker 2: thing in the United States or I think all these
- 1:43:41Speaker 2: games in Rio and Australians and it's like it's just there.
- 1:43:46Speaker 2: It's a a. I mean, it's ultimately, I think with anything,
- 1:43:52Speaker 2: it's like it could be a huge mistake, but it's
- 1:43:54Speaker 2: hard to stop. It's hard to stop doing it when
- 1:43:55Speaker 2: you can. But when this happens is idea. Let's say
- 1:43:58Speaker 2: that I'm right about this, and that's some It's one point,
- 1:44:01Speaker 2: you know, advertising is no longer worth the cost to
- 1:44:05Speaker 2: continually have CBS and Fox and you know, Prime or
- 1:44:10Speaker 2: all these places, you know, to pay for these games.
- 1:44:12Speaker 2: Then it will become is football valuable enough to people
- 1:44:16Speaker 2: that they will buy these things all accrd that they
- 1:44:19Speaker 2: will just say, like I will pay whatever, you know,
- 1:44:21Speaker 2: the twenty fifty five equivalent of twenty five bucks or
- 1:44:24Speaker 2: whatever to watch this game. Now, if that would have
- 1:44:26Speaker 2: happen now, it absolutely would be enough. Like like if
- 1:44:31Speaker 2: football suddenly was something you had to buy per game
- 1:44:33Speaker 2: or per day or per week or whatever you know,
- 1:44:36Speaker 2: there would be it would have ablutely no problem doing
- 1:44:38Speaker 2: that and survivor.
- 1:44:38Speaker 1: Yeah, but what about try another sport? I mean, you
- 1:44:41Speaker 1: have a real we have a real world example. Boxing.
- 1:44:44Speaker 1: The minute boxing became pay per view, I didn't get
- 1:44:47Speaker 1: to watch a boxing match as a kid anymore, and
- 1:44:50Speaker 1: they just have.
- 1:44:50Speaker 2: To kind of inflate the price of those, like what
- 1:44:53Speaker 2: the pay per view is, you know, the boxes especial.
- 1:44:56Speaker 1: Story boxing, in my opinion, more than anything else, was
- 1:44:59Speaker 1: taking it off.
- 1:45:00Speaker 2: Of pro totally. Yes, I mean when it was because
- 1:45:02Speaker 2: it was a good television sport in a way too.
- 1:45:04Speaker 2: I mean, you know, because you could you can really see.
- 1:45:07Speaker 1: I'm a Hagler Leonard. I'm a huge I love the
- 1:45:09Speaker 1: Hagler Leonard fight. I've seen replays of it. I didn't
- 1:45:12Speaker 1: get to see it a love I heard you, I
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: heard the you know, I remember being glued to the
- 1:45:18Speaker 1: radio that gave the after round summaries in between rounds.
- 1:45:23Speaker 1: It was the strangest radio experience, and I wonder if
- 1:45:27Speaker 1: you remember exper It was such a vivid memory for me,
- 1:45:30Speaker 1: I was we were a Hagler family. Yes, we were
- 1:45:33Speaker 1: all rooting for Hagler.
- 1:45:34Speaker 2: I mean I was, you know, I was, I was young.
- 1:45:36Speaker 2: I was still in high school. So I was like
- 1:45:38Speaker 2: I woke up and found out what happened, you know,
- 1:45:40Speaker 2: and then he steals from the fight the Today Show
- 1:45:42Speaker 2: for whatever.
- 1:45:43Speaker 1: I was an only child. My dad let me stay
- 1:45:45Speaker 1: up late with him and listen.
- 1:45:48Speaker 2: But just kind of we're saying though this idea of like,
- 1:45:50Speaker 2: you know, uh uh, will will people? Could football be
- 1:45:56Speaker 2: a product that people will just pay for it out
- 1:45:57Speaker 2: of pocket? I'm just paying for the thing, you know.
- 1:45:59Speaker 2: And and as I say, like, if that happened now,
- 1:46:01Speaker 2: it would not be a problem. I do suspect though,
- 1:46:04Speaker 2: that in a future that will be less likely as
- 1:46:09Speaker 2: fewer and fewer people have an interpersonal relationship to football,
- 1:46:15Speaker 2: Like not just that it's not just that like they
- 1:46:17Speaker 2: didn't play or whatever. Lots of you know, the majority
- 1:46:19Speaker 2: of people love football didn't play. But it's I can
- 1:46:23Speaker 2: see this moving where it's like not only that they
- 1:46:25Speaker 2: didn't play, but none of their friends played, their dad
- 1:46:28Speaker 2: didn't play, and you know, and it wasn't like something
- 1:46:31Speaker 2: that they cared that much about they were in a
- 1:46:32Speaker 2: fancy football league, so they followed it. Then you know,
- 1:46:35Speaker 2: it's like it's just a kind of distraction. We watched
- 1:46:38Speaker 2: football on Sunday or Thursday night or Monday, cause's is
- 1:46:42Speaker 2: kind of what you do or whatever. It doesn't mean
- 1:46:44Speaker 2: that much. And if there was a dramatic work stoppage
- 1:46:49Speaker 2: in say twenty sixty five or twenty seventy five or something,
- 1:46:52Speaker 2: I don't know if people would even care that much,
- 1:46:55Speaker 2: and all of a sud And I just like I again,
- 1:46:58Speaker 2: I always I've said this another podcast, like I'm not
- 1:47:00Speaker 2: one of these like anti capitalist people or whatever, but
- 1:47:03Speaker 2: I mean supports are I think, in some ways like
- 1:47:06Speaker 2: a simulation of how capitalists operate, how capful is it
- 1:47:10Speaker 2: operates in a way that's kind of exceedingly dangerous, like
- 1:47:14Speaker 2: you know, like the exponential growth of things like like
- 1:47:17Speaker 2: what you know, uh just I mean just looking at
- 1:47:21Speaker 2: players salaries or whatever, you know, starting from nineteen sixty
- 1:47:26Speaker 2: and kind of going through like it's it doesn't like
- 1:47:29Speaker 2: if you you say to yourself, like, well, this is
- 1:47:32Speaker 2: obviously can't continue this way, like like there's like there's
- 1:47:34Speaker 2: no way it can.
- 1:47:35Speaker 1: And and I can say that about the stock market,
- 1:47:38Speaker 1: I say that about housing prices. This is what a
- 1:47:41Speaker 1: million dollar house looks like, now are you kidding me?
- 1:47:43Speaker 1: You know, and it's a brownstone and like you know,
- 1:47:47Speaker 1: a mid level neighborhood in DC, right.
- 1:47:49Speaker 2: Yeah, I know. And like this, I mean, like the
- 1:47:51Speaker 2: stock market is an interesting one because it's like like
- 1:47:55Speaker 2: so much is dependent, so much of the world has
- 1:47:58Speaker 2: depended on this that like if they're if we really
- 1:48:00Speaker 2: got to that point, people would step in. But I
- 1:48:02Speaker 2: don't know if that's going to happen with something kind
- 1:48:04Speaker 2: of a small siloed thing like football, like I mean,
- 1:48:07Speaker 2: maybe it would, maybe there would be government intervention of
- 1:48:10Speaker 2: this happened, like we need to have this sort of
- 1:48:13Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, I just I again, by
- 1:48:17Speaker 2: talking about this, it kind of makes it seem like
- 1:48:19Speaker 2: this is what the book is and this.
- 1:48:20Speaker 1: Is like one and I know, no, no, no, and
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: I know, but.
- 1:48:24Speaker 2: Because it really it's really hard for people to sort
- 1:48:27Speaker 2: of get around this, like just there there. It almost
- 1:48:31Speaker 2: kind of I think that I saw what one person
- 1:48:34Speaker 2: I said, like the fact that I sort of bring
- 1:48:37Speaker 2: this idea up is disqualifying. Like it's like like I'm
- 1:48:40Speaker 2: just because like the I just don't.
- 1:48:42Speaker 1: Agree with that, Like I don't think now life's not
- 1:48:44Speaker 1: interesting if you can't think, you're just trying to think,
- 1:48:47Speaker 1: you know, they could project. I mean, my goodness, if
- 1:48:50Speaker 1: you took that away from people, we'd have no reasons
- 1:48:52Speaker 1: for podcasts. The NFL, why is football? And I I
- 1:48:59Speaker 1: will I'm going to preface this question by saying, maybe
- 1:49:03Speaker 1: I'm wrong, and maybe but you brought up earlier about
- 1:49:07Speaker 1: how the NFL is trying to you know, play as
- 1:49:11Speaker 1: many games now internationally as they can, and you know,
- 1:49:16Speaker 1: and I think they're right to be thinking about this
- 1:49:18Speaker 1: because the question is is America going to continue to
- 1:49:20Speaker 1: be an exporter or culture? Are we going to be
- 1:49:22Speaker 1: an importer of culture? And you know, I think there's
- 1:49:26Speaker 1: an American and you know, sort of centric view that, oh,
- 1:49:30Speaker 1: our culture is always exporting, We're never importing. Please, we're
- 1:49:34Speaker 1: always importing and exporting all the time. At this point
- 1:49:38Speaker 1: in time, in our and and where we are in
- 1:49:40Speaker 1: the timeline of of of world history, American football has
- 1:49:44Speaker 1: been hard to export.
- 1:49:46Speaker 2: What's your why? Well, many reasons. One is just the
- 1:49:52Speaker 2: complexity of the game. Uh, you know, like if you
- 1:49:56Speaker 2: if you're watching a football game with a kid. They
- 1:49:59Speaker 2: can literally really ask you a question about every single play,
- 1:50:02Speaker 2: like what is that? Like what you know? Like it
- 1:50:03Speaker 2: is it is overstructured in a way.
- 1:50:08Speaker 1: I mean just the fact that like, no, I mean,
- 1:50:09Speaker 1: eleven people have to do this, have to all do
- 1:50:12Speaker 1: I mean, this is why I do think it's a
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: great teacher of teamwork. Like it's there's no other sport
- 1:50:17Speaker 1: like it in that sense.
- 1:50:18Speaker 2: It's eleven guys are having to do all these things
- 1:50:21Speaker 2: based on the instruction given to them by the quarterback
- 1:50:24Speaker 2: who read off a wristband a code which was given
- 1:50:28Speaker 2: to him through a radio from the sideline that came
- 1:50:32Speaker 2: from a landline phone up into the press box where
- 1:50:35Speaker 2: an offensive cordner made that go like there is no
- 1:50:38Speaker 2: ex temporaneous nature of football except occasionally, within the context
- 1:50:42Speaker 2: of a five second play there will be a moment
- 1:50:44Speaker 2: of ex temporaneous action and people that's kind of what
- 1:50:47Speaker 2: is the thrilling part. But you know, we have sort
- 1:50:49Speaker 2: of conditioned to believe and you see this with like
- 1:50:51Speaker 2: you know, the player empowerment error, but lots of things.
- 1:50:54Speaker 2: The idea that what we want is we want freedom
- 1:50:57Speaker 2: for those guys. We want freedom for the players. We
- 1:50:59Speaker 2: watch an NBA game, we want freedom of movement. Uh
- 1:51:02Speaker 2: you know, we watch a baseball game. We like the
- 1:51:04Speaker 2: idea that's sort of that the manager is basically just
- 1:51:06Speaker 2: putting the pieces in onto the chessboard, and those guys
- 1:51:09Speaker 2: are doing it are we're you know, Soccer is the
- 1:51:11Speaker 2: same way. We've been told that what we want because
- 1:51:15Speaker 2: just the way society operates is a free, democratic extension
- 1:51:20Speaker 2: of something and football is the opposite of that. Football
- 1:51:23Speaker 2: is not that way, and that is why it succeeds
- 1:51:26Speaker 2: because unconsciously, what we actually want is other people being controlled.
- 1:51:33Speaker 2: We want freedom for ourselves, but what we what we experience,
- 1:51:36Speaker 2: We want to see their obstructions, like we you know,
- 1:51:39Speaker 2: it's so now you try to transfer that to you know,
- 1:51:43Speaker 2: Germany or Spain or England or whatever. It's like it's
- 1:51:48Speaker 2: pretty easy for someone to watch a soccer game or
- 1:51:51Speaker 2: a basketball game or golf or whatever and deduce what
- 1:51:54Speaker 2: is happening. It doesn't really work that way. For football
- 1:51:56Speaker 2: is almost like a life experience.
- 1:51:58Speaker 1: Okay, but what but take rugby, I mean to do
- 1:52:02Speaker 1: things on rugby. Hey, why hasn't rugby become more popular
- 1:52:05Speaker 1: in the United States? And b how come, American football
- 1:52:08Speaker 1: hasn't done as well in rugby centric countries.
- 1:52:15Speaker 2: Well, it's doll a little bitter rugby centric countries in
- 1:52:17Speaker 2: the center like pro football more than most of the countries,
- 1:52:22Speaker 2: you know what I mean. I guess like this seems
- 1:52:25Speaker 2: kind of self serving, but part of what this book
- 1:52:28Speaker 2: is about is the reason American football means so much
- 1:52:32Speaker 2: to America. Are these specific things that inadvertently, it was
- 1:52:37Speaker 2: not anyone's conscious of them, but it kind of inadvertently
- 1:52:40Speaker 2: reflects the kind of in many ways, like we call
- 1:52:43Speaker 2: it American exceptionalism, murder or the exception of America, this
- 1:52:46Speaker 2: idea that it's like things are different here, so the
- 1:52:50Speaker 2: rules are different here, and because you know, we why
- 1:52:55Speaker 2: is it? You know? You know in some ways, yes,
- 1:52:57Speaker 2: you watch your rugby game, or you're watching Australian rules
- 1:52:59Speaker 2: for fotball game, it's like this is the end of
- 1:53:01Speaker 2: cal Stanford, but it's the whole game.
- 1:53:03Speaker 1: I got thet but I got fought sort of. I
- 1:53:06Speaker 1: remember in Johannesburg one time on an extra day and
- 1:53:09Speaker 1: I was bored, and I started watching some rugby seven's
- 1:53:13Speaker 1: and I got really into it, and I was like, boy,
- 1:53:15Speaker 1: if they could just watch a little bit of NFL
- 1:53:17Speaker 1: film here, but they have a couple of better sweet
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: plays they could do here.
- 1:53:21Speaker 2: Is like I guess here's like one of kind of
- 1:53:23Speaker 2: the principal arguments I make in this book, which is
- 1:53:25Speaker 2: that the things about football that seem as though they
- 1:53:30Speaker 2: should be problems are the reason it matters so much
- 1:53:35Speaker 2: to us. In particular, Like I referenced this, and I'm
- 1:53:38Speaker 2: sure you know I'm talking about this famous Wall Street
- 1:53:40Speaker 2: Journal articles the eleven seconds where a guy eleven minutes
- 1:53:43Speaker 2: where a guy. They studied all these NFL games and
- 1:53:46Speaker 2: they came to the conclusion, I mean, the justifiable actual.
- 1:53:50Speaker 2: The conclusion was it's for eleven minutes of football in
- 1:53:53Speaker 2: a three hour broadcast. Now you hear that, and you're like,
- 1:53:57Speaker 2: that is idiotic.
- 1:54:00Speaker 1: By the way, I want to put this in time,
- 1:54:01Speaker 1: you note this was twenty twelve. This is a This
- 1:54:05Speaker 1: was I would argue, the beginning of what I would
- 1:54:07Speaker 1: call peak anti football, meaning that was we were right,
- 1:54:11Speaker 1: we were yet that that was that concussions right, Yet
- 1:54:14Speaker 1: all of this was coming. Trust me, I had to
- 1:54:16Speaker 1: run in with NBC Sports during a Super Bowl year
- 1:54:20Speaker 1: over CTE story that I did unmeet the press that
- 1:54:23Speaker 1: the NFL objected to, and there was all sorts of
- 1:54:25Speaker 1: consternation and and but the point is is that there
- 1:54:29Speaker 1: were a lot of pretty smart people going, oh boy,
- 1:54:32Speaker 1: football is going the way of boxing. It's just a
- 1:54:34Speaker 1: matter of time.
- 1:54:34Speaker 2: And there was an active attempt to look for those things.
- 1:54:37Speaker 2: And this big examples like it's like, so this sport
- 1:54:41Speaker 2: which we to violence ruin these guys' lives. They don't
- 1:54:45Speaker 2: really understand it. And there's a racial component to this.
- 1:54:48Speaker 2: And also you're watching three hours to see eleven minutes
- 1:54:50Speaker 2: of action. But what is the incredible thing is that
- 1:54:56Speaker 2: eleven minutes of action in a three hour window is
- 1:55:00Speaker 2: the perfect amount because it provides an experience other sports
- 1:55:04Speaker 2: do not, Like you have.
- 1:55:05Speaker 1: A terrific job of explaining movies and how you would
- 1:55:10Speaker 1: actually you sort of zone out if you had too
- 1:55:12Speaker 1: much action.
- 1:55:13Speaker 2: You know it actually do as somebody who loves action movies,
- 1:55:16Speaker 2: what do you want from movies? They want more actions?
- 1:55:18Speaker 2: We all the whole action, you know, like you know,
- 1:55:20Speaker 2: and for one movie that can work, like like the
- 1:55:24Speaker 2: movie furyor Oad or whatever, that's kind of what that
- 1:55:25Speaker 2: is and people love, but it can't be this thing
- 1:55:28Speaker 2: if you're going to be experiencing something every weekend, all fall,
- 1:55:34Speaker 2: much of winter, and then every year for your life.
- 1:55:38Speaker 2: What it is is like like there's you know, there's
- 1:55:40Speaker 2: hypnotic sports, you know, like basketball and soccer. They're constantly
- 1:55:44Speaker 2: in motion, but there's low stakes within every small moment.
- 1:55:48Speaker 2: There's totally cerebral sports like golf, baseball, and stuff, where
- 1:55:52Speaker 2: most of the action is waiting for something to happen
- 1:55:54Speaker 2: and thinking about it, and football combines these things. Football
- 1:55:58Speaker 2: is a mostly cerebral sport, but the moments of action
- 1:56:02Speaker 2: are so in kinetic and intense. It creates the illusion
- 1:56:05Speaker 2: almost of NonStop action, and that is actually what we crave.
- 1:56:09Speaker 2: I mean, I'm just one of these people who really
- 1:56:11Speaker 2: believes most of what people want is unknown to us.
- 1:56:17Speaker 2: That what is on the front of our mind, what
- 1:56:18Speaker 2: we describe as our desire, what we describe as like
- 1:56:21Speaker 2: what we want from things, is mostly the projection of
- 1:56:25Speaker 2: what we think will is a way, like it's almost
- 1:56:29Speaker 2: us telling people this is what I'm like, or this
- 1:56:31Speaker 2: is what I'm supposed to be like, or this is
- 1:56:32Speaker 2: what I've learned. Most of what we desire is unconscious,
- 1:56:38Speaker 2: and football is perfectly suited a specialize, especially the televised
- 1:56:43Speaker 2: version of it, kind of feeds that unconscious desire for
- 1:56:47Speaker 2: an ability to step away and disengage and then heavily
- 1:56:51Speaker 2: engage for five seconds and then step away again.
- 1:56:54Speaker 1: You know, how important is it that football is in
- 1:56:57Speaker 1: the fall and winter and not in the spring and summer.
- 1:57:00Speaker 2: That's a very interesting question. You know, one essay in
- 1:57:03Speaker 2: this book I didn't write that I wished was. I
- 1:57:05Speaker 2: wanted to really write about weather because I feel one
- 1:57:08Speaker 2: thing that is.
- 1:57:08Speaker 1: Very important, so important, yes.
- 1:57:11Speaker 2: Because you know, you know, baseball will stop the game,
- 1:57:14Speaker 2: Basketball is indoors, hockey is on ice. You know, it's
- 1:57:17Speaker 2: like but football, you know, the weather is a variable
- 1:57:22Speaker 2: and it is also you know, one of those sort
- 1:57:26Speaker 2: of like kind of last vestiges of the old reality
- 1:57:29Speaker 2: of you know, living in America where the weather really
- 1:57:33Speaker 2: impacted you in this direct way. Like we can easily
- 1:57:37Speaker 2: escape weather now it's very easy for most people.
- 1:57:40Speaker 1: But it used to define football culture. Right. Why were
- 1:57:43Speaker 1: the Midwestern Big ten teams three yards and a cloud
- 1:57:45Speaker 1: of dust? Well it was because it was cold.
- 1:57:47Speaker 2: And when we're in right November and there's still this
- 1:57:50Speaker 2: in the NFL and then in the Florida Great did
- 1:57:54Speaker 2: not seem as good at the beginning of the year
- 1:57:55Speaker 2: as they did at the end because they were building
- 1:57:57Speaker 2: their team for that. The fact that foot ball is
- 1:58:00Speaker 2: in autumn and winter, I mean, now it's it's like
- 1:58:03Speaker 2: almost hard to you know, distance yourself from this, right,
- 1:58:05Speaker 2: Like how it would be sort of like what if
- 1:58:07Speaker 2: baseball was in winter? It's like, how do you sort
- 1:58:10Speaker 2: of imagine it? I think that, uh, I mean, that's
- 1:58:14Speaker 2: certainly the obvious thing is that certainly probably helps the
- 1:58:20Speaker 2: the centrality of the TV experience that when you get
- 1:58:23Speaker 2: into November and December and Thanksgiving want to be outside, yeah,
- 1:58:27Speaker 2: or if you want to be outside, you got to
- 1:58:29Speaker 2: still come in there's something that's on or whatever. Right,
- 1:58:32Speaker 2: But I just think that it's like I am I
- 1:58:35Speaker 2: like the idea a football's relationship to the natural world.
- 1:58:40Speaker 2: In this book, at one point, I have a section
- 1:58:42Speaker 2: about coaching, and but the idea the kind of the
- 1:58:44Speaker 2: caricature of a football coach and how the football coach,
- 1:58:48Speaker 2: outside of like a used car salesman, is like the
- 1:58:50Speaker 2: most defined sort of personality type.
- 1:58:53Speaker 1: No, you think about how they like, you know, it's
- 1:58:55Speaker 1: like even how they're portrayed on, Yes, positively or negatively,
- 1:58:59Speaker 1: it's the same got the same coach.
- 1:59:01Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's but it's this idea that sort of
- 1:59:04Speaker 2: they still like in every other, uh profession or part
- 1:59:09Speaker 2: of life, the idea of someone screaming at you that
- 1:59:11Speaker 2: would be completely off the table, but we expect the
- 1:59:14Speaker 2: football coach to do that.
- 1:59:15Speaker 1: And the reason, well, I would argue that newspaper, the
- 1:59:17Speaker 1: newspaper editor also because of Perry White and super newspaper
- 1:59:21Speaker 1: editors no longer a job and not trust me, I
- 1:59:25Speaker 1: used to be. I used to participate in a newsroom
- 1:59:27Speaker 1: that was loud, and I'll just leave it at that.
- 1:59:29Speaker 1: And then culture change, You're not allowed to be loud
- 1:59:32Speaker 1: in a new Well.
- 1:59:34Speaker 2: Just you know. When I got into journalism, when I
- 1:59:37Speaker 2: graduated from University of North Dakota in nineteen ninety four,
- 1:59:41Speaker 2: we talked about how the fact that like, you'll never
- 1:59:43Speaker 2: get rich being a journalist. None of us would have
- 1:59:47Speaker 2: felt like it won't be a job at all unless
- 1:59:49Speaker 2: you work for the New York Times. That's the only player.
- 1:59:53Speaker 2: But I'm stid the coaching thing. I think that like
- 1:59:56Speaker 2: part of that has to do with the assumption that
- 1:59:59Speaker 2: football and the people driving football the coaches and stuff.
- 2:00:02Speaker 2: They still sort of realize these truths that we have
- 2:00:05Speaker 2: been able, for the most part, to completely remove from
- 2:00:08Speaker 2: our life, the idea of violent like like I don't
- 2:00:11Speaker 2: know it's it will be I assume, you know, like
- 2:00:14Speaker 2: I'll probably go the rest of my life and I'm
- 2:00:17Speaker 2: never going to be in a fight, like it's gonna
- 2:00:19Speaker 2: punch me or whatever.
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: You know, it's like.
- 2:00:22Speaker 2: And I don't know if that would have been.
- 2:00:24Speaker 1: You never know, right, you know, but like it's.
- 2:00:27Speaker 2: It's like you can go your whole life. It's very
- 2:00:28Speaker 2: easy now to go your whole life without sort of
- 2:00:32Speaker 2: the reality of physicality and you know, like power speeding,
- 2:00:36Speaker 2: these things that can be avoided in football. It can't be.
- 2:00:49Speaker 1: Well, the reason I asked this season thing because you know,
- 2:00:51Speaker 1: we've had multiple attempts at spring football, and there is
- 2:00:58Speaker 1: one thing that hasn't been tried, which is the NFL
- 2:01:01Speaker 1: quality in the spring. And it's the only question I
- 2:01:06Speaker 1: would have about It's the only thing we haven't tested
- 2:01:08Speaker 1: and given Well wait a second, this it has well,
- 2:01:11Speaker 1: I guess what the first two years of the USFL,
- 2:01:13Speaker 1: I mean the us because the US like, I mean
- 2:01:16Speaker 1: it was I got into it because of Jim Kelly
- 2:01:19Speaker 1: be in Miami.
- 2:01:19Speaker 2: Yes, game, I mean it was, Yes, it wasn't the
- 2:01:23Speaker 2: same level.
- 2:01:24Speaker 1: But like, but I guess if you brought the power
- 2:01:26Speaker 1: of the NFL marketing right, you know, could you you know,
- 2:01:30Speaker 1: before football ends, could you imagine it over expanding, meaning
- 2:01:34Speaker 1: you had almost two seasons and you might have the
- 2:01:37Speaker 1: spring season champ will play the fall season champ, and
- 2:01:40Speaker 1: we'll have a European league and we'll have an Asian
- 2:01:43Speaker 1: like if Roger Goodell's dream world. What do you think
- 2:01:47Speaker 1: does football become a twelve month experience globally? You think,
- 2:01:52Speaker 1: is it?
- 2:01:52Speaker 2: I don't possibly, but not on purpose. And what I
- 2:01:59Speaker 2: mean by that is that I don't know if it
- 2:02:01Speaker 2: can be inorganically constructed. For example, eighty thousand people will
- 2:02:06Speaker 2: go to the Tennessee Volunteer spring game. Okay, I don't
- 2:02:09Speaker 2: think that you could have done that though. I don't
- 2:02:11Speaker 2: think that at.
- 2:02:12Speaker 1: The ends, you can't ever get eighty thousand people to
- 2:02:14Speaker 1: go to the University of Miami spring game. You will
- 2:02:17Speaker 1: for their actual championship games or something big, but you
- 2:02:20Speaker 1: never have it for something like that. So not every
- 2:02:23Speaker 1: football team.
- 2:02:23Speaker 2: Well yeah, but also it's like and Miami can't do
- 2:02:25Speaker 2: anything to make that happen. Like it happens. It happens.
- 2:02:30Speaker 2: When I was saying like, some of these things can
- 2:02:32Speaker 2: just happen, I think that if the NFL has their
- 2:02:35Speaker 2: thumb on the scale and they're like, how let's try
- 2:02:38Speaker 2: to create a way for there to be, uh, you know,
- 2:02:42Speaker 2: some sort of like an international component to pro football
- 2:02:45Speaker 2: that's at the level of the NFL that the season
- 2:02:48Speaker 2: begins in March and it ends, and you know, I
- 2:02:51Speaker 2: don't think you can make that happen. If if somehow
- 2:02:54Speaker 2: it did happen and people sort of found it, maybe
- 2:02:57Speaker 2: that could possibly happen. But I think there's some like
- 2:03:00Speaker 2: the association. I think that was like with the USFL.
- 2:03:04Speaker 2: One of these problems is is you know, there was
- 2:03:07Speaker 2: just there was something psychologically odd about your watching a
- 2:03:13Speaker 2: football game and they're mentioning that it's ninety eight degrees
- 2:03:17Speaker 2: on the field and you look out the window and
- 2:03:19Speaker 2: it's ninety two degrees where you're at and it's real,
- 2:03:23Speaker 2: and you know it's it's it's maybe it's four thirty
- 2:03:26Speaker 2: and you typically at four thirty PM when you're watching
- 2:03:29Speaker 2: the NFL, like it's getting dark in your house, it's
- 2:03:31Speaker 2: getting dark on the screen still's totally bright.
- 2:03:33Speaker 1: But don't you think at six, I think we're probably
- 2:03:38Speaker 1: only two decades away from every single stadium having a roof.
- 2:03:43Speaker 2: That's a and I wonder again, like what and.
- 2:03:47Speaker 1: We know what the motivation is for NFL stadiums because
- 2:03:50Speaker 1: if you do a roof, yes you get a Super Bowl.
- 2:03:51Speaker 1: I mean, and ultimately that's what these owners care about.
- 2:03:54Speaker 2: You know, they want to they want to have a
- 2:03:55Speaker 2: dome in Philadelphia, they want to have a dome in Chicago.
- 2:03:58Speaker 1: And he's or of a dome in DC. I mean,
- 2:04:00Speaker 1: I think that's you know, I'm bummed about it. But
- 2:04:04Speaker 1: you and I are of a generation when we knew life.
- 2:04:06Speaker 1: You know, I remember being my son wanted to go
- 2:04:09Speaker 1: experience cold weather and lamebowfield, so we went to a
- 2:04:11Speaker 1: game in January.
- 2:04:13Speaker 2: I guess in some ways this is all This all
- 2:04:16Speaker 2: kind of feeds into this idea of mine. That's like,
- 2:04:18Speaker 2: in fifty or sixty years, the relationship in your personal
- 2:04:23Speaker 2: relationship people of the football is to be very different
- 2:04:25Speaker 2: because so many things happening at both the pro and
- 2:04:28Speaker 2: collegiate and the youth levels. You can't find somebody who's
- 2:04:32Speaker 2: happy about it. You can't find you can't find many
- 2:04:35Speaker 2: people who are happy about putting a dome stadium in Chicago.
- 2:04:39Speaker 2: I mean there are, if they're not going to financially
- 2:04:43Speaker 2: benefit from it. Personally, no one wants that idea. Nobody
- 2:04:46Speaker 2: likes the idea of what's happening to conferences in college football.
- 2:04:49Speaker 2: Like there's nobody who's like, I'm glad SMU's in the
- 2:04:51Speaker 2: ACC like that. No one wants that, right, And we
- 2:04:54Speaker 2: keep doing these things, expanding the college Playoff in twenty
- 2:04:57Speaker 2: four games nowt they're probably gonna know.
- 2:04:59Speaker 1: Now which they stop it. Say I've decided I'm comfortable
- 2:05:02Speaker 1: with sixteen, but don't go any higher them.
- 2:05:05Speaker 2: I mean, but nobody wants I mean, I even if
- 2:05:08Speaker 2: sixteen was the number, we'd probably still be like, I
- 2:05:12Speaker 2: don't know, maybe twelve. But like they're just going to
- 2:05:13Speaker 2: keep going and keep going and going, and no one
- 2:05:16Speaker 2: likes it. No one thinks it makes sense for organ
- 2:05:21Speaker 2: to be playing Rutgers in a Big DAN football game.
- 2:05:24Speaker 2: It's just like, you know, all these things that at
- 2:05:27Speaker 2: one point because because it.
- 2:05:29Speaker 1: Moves, but eventually you and I aren't going to remember
- 2:05:31Speaker 1: when Rutgers was a Big East team exactly right.
- 2:05:34Speaker 2: Okay, but so then the people coming after us, Okay,
- 2:05:38Speaker 2: what are they going to remember these things that we
- 2:05:41Speaker 2: were remembering? In some ways, it is almost the perfect
- 2:05:44Speaker 2: definition of nostalgia. We're actually injecting our personal feeling back
- 2:05:48Speaker 2: into the experience. But that's important, right if you if
- 2:05:53Speaker 2: you can, if they continue to make football purely an
- 2:05:58Speaker 2: entertaining distraction, it will still have success, but it will
- 2:06:03Speaker 2: not have the meaning to people that you need for
- 2:06:06Speaker 2: the longest term of of sort of you know, of depth,
- 2:06:10Speaker 2: Like it's you some of these things like these these
- 2:06:15Speaker 2: things that seem like problems, you know, like they're the
- 2:06:18Speaker 2: things that kind of create meaning because they're they're natural.
- 2:06:20Speaker 2: They're not things that like it's just sort of uh,
- 2:06:24Speaker 2: the who's in what conference or whatever. I can understand
- 2:06:28Speaker 2: why somebody from the outside looks at that and goes.
- 2:06:30Speaker 1: Like, well, this is what what are you fighting over?
- 2:06:32Speaker 2: Who can can all fly planes? Why don't you just
- 2:06:34Speaker 2: have the want you have them all together? You know,
- 2:06:36Speaker 2: And it's like, well, sure you can do that, but
- 2:06:39Speaker 2: these like this is not a math problem we're trying
- 2:06:42Speaker 2: to solve. We're trying to sort of I mean, it's
- 2:06:45Speaker 2: already insane if you think about pro sports and college
- 2:06:49Speaker 2: sports on the surface, it's insane. How this is.
- 2:06:51Speaker 1: By the way, doesn't I tell you how rich our
- 2:06:53Speaker 1: country really is? Like if you just rub like like
- 2:06:56Speaker 1: how much time and energy we spend on.
- 2:06:58Speaker 2: This well and you know and we it's going to
- 2:07:01Speaker 2: be spent on something, but whatever that thing is almost
- 2:07:04Speaker 2: I mean, it is hard to think about many mass
- 2:07:08Speaker 2: culture American things that don't seem crazy when you think
- 2:07:12Speaker 2: about it, like it it's just like it's like like
- 2:07:14Speaker 2: you mentioned Taylor Swift or whatever, it's actually playing Sofi Stadium.
- 2:07:19Speaker 2: I saw it was She's played five nights or something
- 2:07:21Speaker 2: and the fifth night, the last cheapest seat was eighteen
- 2:07:26Speaker 2: hundred dollars. Okay, so that was the cheap. Now, then
- 2:07:29Speaker 2: you go to the New York Times, you go to
- 2:07:31Speaker 2: the Washington Post or whatever, and it's like the economy,
- 2:07:33Speaker 2: it's like people can't get by the candle, like how
- 2:07:36Speaker 2: are people? How is this working? Like like there almost
- 2:07:39Speaker 2: there is this this split where it's like the the
- 2:07:44Speaker 2: the amount that people are paying for things and the
- 2:07:47Speaker 2: degree to which people say they have no money at all.
- 2:07:49Speaker 2: It almost seems like it can't exist in the same place.
- 2:07:52Speaker 1: I apologize, I've gone over an hour, let me go
- 2:07:55Speaker 1: another five or so. Sure, okay, And that is because
- 2:07:59Speaker 1: the other thing I'm want to get to is the
- 2:08:02Speaker 1: best thing to happen when the NFL decided that needed
- 2:08:06Speaker 1: to address the perception of safety, and I say perception
- 2:08:10Speaker 1: of safety because there's all sorts of ways they could
- 2:08:12Speaker 1: really address certain safety issues if they chose to, but
- 2:08:15Speaker 1: they've got they want to. They're walking a fine lot
- 2:08:17Speaker 1: in their heads. But one of the things they've pulled
- 2:08:22Speaker 1: off is that, in an attempt to make the game
- 2:08:26Speaker 1: less hard hitting, they've increased scoring. Right. It is. It
- 2:08:29Speaker 1: has sort of made the game. You know, University of
- 2:08:33Speaker 1: Miami's got this wide receiver who's like five to ten
- 2:08:35Speaker 1: and it's just amazing. Its Malachai Tony, and I think
- 2:08:38Speaker 1: he's going to become a perhaps a household name. He
- 2:08:42Speaker 1: never would have survived ten minutes on the football field
- 2:08:46Speaker 1: in the seventies, right because of the way a receiver
- 2:08:48Speaker 1: that's small. He'd had to play a different position or whatever.
- 2:08:53Speaker 1: And it really is, you know, the safety changes over
- 2:08:55Speaker 1: the last twenty years have just changed the nature of
- 2:08:58Speaker 1: slot receivers. Right. It's had a huge impact, and it's
- 2:09:02Speaker 1: giving a lot more smaller guys opportunities and things like this.
- 2:09:08Speaker 1: Can you imagine a scenario where not that the NFL
- 2:09:11Speaker 1: goes full flag, but it's most hits are accidental?
- 2:09:16Speaker 2: Well, I mean I think in some ways you know,
- 2:09:20Speaker 2: that is the dream in a sense, like can they
- 2:09:23Speaker 2: slowly move this game?
- 2:09:25Speaker 1: I think they want to be arena football, don't you.
- 2:09:27Speaker 1: Well yeah, I hate to say most terms, but do
- 2:09:29Speaker 1: you remember there'd be a time when you watch arena
- 2:09:31Speaker 1: football and it was it was tackle, but the field
- 2:09:34Speaker 1: was so small and the scoring was so quick, nobody
- 2:09:36Speaker 1: had a chance to get hit.
- 2:09:40Speaker 2: I mean, okay, I am of the belief that nobody
- 2:09:43Speaker 2: is watching or very few people watch football as a
- 2:09:46Speaker 2: blood sport. Okay, they don't want to see someone get
- 2:09:50Speaker 2: hurt badly or kill.
- 2:09:51Speaker 1: No, we turn away. Now. I think when you and
- 2:09:54Speaker 1: I were growing up, they used to market it. Oh
- 2:09:56Speaker 1: they know they did. But remember the sports illustrated videotapes, right,
- 2:10:00Speaker 1: or like the jam would be like a Lambert after whatever.
- 2:10:04Speaker 2: That was an ESPN thing or whatever got chack. But
- 2:10:07Speaker 2: even in that case, it was sort of like you
- 2:10:10Speaker 2: love the hitting, then you want to see the guy
- 2:10:12Speaker 2: get up. You want that to be right. See, I
- 2:10:16Speaker 2: think that like what it is is that, like, people
- 2:10:18Speaker 2: don't want to see guys get hurt in football, but
- 2:10:21Speaker 2: the fact that the possibility of that is so great
- 2:10:25Speaker 2: it does increase the meaning of the things that we obstensibly,
- 2:10:28Speaker 2: like the guy running patterns, the accuracy of the quarterback,
- 2:10:31Speaker 2: the blocking schemes, all these things, they matter more because
- 2:10:35Speaker 2: of the kind of their risk inherent there is risk.
- 2:10:37Speaker 2: The example I often use, it's sort of like, so
- 2:10:41Speaker 2: a guy climbing K two does not want to die
- 2:10:45Speaker 2: on that mountain. He does not want to die, and
- 2:10:47Speaker 2: yet if there's no chance of that happening, the accomplishment
- 2:10:52Speaker 2: means less. It has to be there. So football needs violence,
- 2:10:56Speaker 2: not because we want to see violent acts, but it
- 2:11:00Speaker 2: makes the rest of the game different, you know, Like
- 2:11:03Speaker 2: they changed the kickoff role, right, so now we kick,
- 2:11:04Speaker 2: the guy kicks off, and the guys are only running
- 2:11:07Speaker 2: ten yards toward each other. In some ways it has
- 2:11:09Speaker 2: been fine, right, there's been more interesting returns out of it.
- 2:11:11Speaker 1: There was interesting, but here's like the new strategy of it.
- 2:11:15Speaker 2: But people generally when that rule was introduced, their immediate
- 2:11:19Speaker 2: reaction was, I don't like this, and they would say
- 2:11:21Speaker 2: it looks weird, it looks dumb, or whatever, but the
- 2:11:24Speaker 2: reality was it was the understanding of why this was
- 2:11:27Speaker 2: being done. They know, this is being done to attempt
- 2:11:31Speaker 2: to mitigate injury and mitigate hitting and mitigate violence. And
- 2:11:35Speaker 2: even though in a practical application it doesn't change the
- 2:11:39Speaker 2: experience of watching football that much, it's the understanding that
- 2:11:42Speaker 2: this was done to make the thing less physical than
- 2:11:46Speaker 2: you remember or that you understood, or that it always was.
- 2:11:50Speaker 2: And that's what kind of people push back against. I mean, like,
- 2:11:53Speaker 2: you know, part of the reason. You know, you see
- 2:11:55Speaker 2: if in the CFL they play with three downs and
- 2:11:57Speaker 2: so it's all passed, there's a yard between of guys
- 2:12:00Speaker 2: on the line of scrimmage and that kind of uh,
- 2:12:02Speaker 2: you know, the linemen are smaller, the game is more
- 2:12:05Speaker 2: based around finesse, and it's less popular, and I think
- 2:12:09Speaker 2: that that's part of the reason even less popular. Even again,
- 2:12:12Speaker 2: well it's it's it's like it's softer. It's still a
- 2:12:16Speaker 2: physical collision sport. It's just somehow that you they're they're
- 2:12:22Speaker 2: always trying to find the line between how physical can
- 2:12:26Speaker 2: we make this and not have it become something that
- 2:12:30Speaker 2: is disturbing to people or or or or you know,
- 2:12:34Speaker 2: like you.
- 2:12:35Speaker 1: Know early look, I think that's a challenge for UFC.
- 2:12:38Speaker 1: I'm surprised at how popular it is and at some
- 2:12:41Speaker 1: point I think people will WinCE. But I don't know,
- 2:12:43Speaker 1: I've been wrong about UFC.
- 2:12:44Speaker 2: I've totally missed that timon.
- 2:12:47Speaker 1: But what is.
- 2:12:49Speaker 2: Interesting about the UFC is I don't know, like I
- 2:12:52Speaker 2: can't get more. You can't get more.
- 2:12:55Speaker 1: I mean like like they're not going to Yeah, But
- 2:12:57Speaker 1: I think the violence is the point, Like I think
- 2:12:59Speaker 1: it's the featured might I mean where in football, I
- 2:13:02Speaker 1: think violence is still the bug. The risk is the
- 2:13:04Speaker 1: feature it is, but the actual violence is a bug.
- 2:13:07Speaker 2: I think one factor we often you know, overlook in
- 2:13:11Speaker 2: this is that the population keeps getting larger. Right, So
- 2:13:15Speaker 2: if there was only one when I graduated high school,
- 2:13:18Speaker 2: I believe the number we always used for the population
- 2:13:21Speaker 2: of the US was two hundred and twenty million. I
- 2:13:23Speaker 2: feel like that was the number. So you go like, well,
- 2:13:25Speaker 2: let's say one percent of that group of that two
- 2:13:28Speaker 2: hundred and twenty million craves a violent activity to watch
- 2:13:32Speaker 2: the most violent thing possible. Well, if that number is
- 2:13:35Speaker 2: still one percent, but now.
- 2:13:37Speaker 1: It's three hundred numbers bigger.
- 2:13:39Speaker 2: We added a lot of audience. I mean, that's one
- 2:13:42Speaker 2: of my more kind of radical ideas as sometimes I
- 2:13:45Speaker 2: think that that democracy has a like a ceiling of
- 2:13:49Speaker 2: how many people can be involved.
- 2:13:52Speaker 1: India's testing the price. It's interesting you say that's.
- 2:13:56Speaker 2: That's the largest demoryer and now when we look at that,
- 2:13:58Speaker 2: it feels unruly and it's not real democracy to us.
- 2:14:01Speaker 2: In a whey there's something that does it seem like
- 2:14:03Speaker 2: they are faking things or whatever, you know, And I
- 2:14:05Speaker 2: do suspect that, you know.
- 2:14:08Speaker 1: So I'm obsessed. One of my hobby horses is that
- 2:14:11Speaker 1: I think would should be the better response to the
- 2:14:13Speaker 1: Building Rights Act decision is we need to uncap the House.
- 2:14:17Speaker 1: The House of Representatives, as far as the founders were concerned,
- 2:14:19Speaker 1: was supposed to expand with the size and population. And
- 2:14:22Speaker 1: yet try to make the case that, you know, America's
- 2:14:26Speaker 1: political problems and why we're polarizes because we don't have
- 2:14:28Speaker 1: enough politicians, and you're going to just get people looking
- 2:14:31Speaker 1: at you. That's crazy. I don't want Congress is four
- 2:14:34Speaker 1: than thirty five people. You're saying it should be seven hundred,
- 2:14:36Speaker 1: and I'm like, well, if we grew at the same
- 2:14:38Speaker 1: rate that we grew Congress, Yes, it actually should be
- 2:14:40Speaker 1: about eight hundred and ninety if you were to be
- 2:14:43Speaker 1: at the same ratio when we shut it down. And
- 2:14:45Speaker 1: yet that scares people. It feels unruly. And I'll admit
- 2:14:49Speaker 1: when I look at India, I think, oh, man, I
- 2:14:51Speaker 1: don't know how they do a billion people and count
- 2:14:53Speaker 1: all the votes.
- 2:14:54Speaker 2: Well, yes, I mean this is a go another hour
- 2:14:57Speaker 2: for all this. But I know what you're saying, Yeah.
- 2:15:00Speaker 1: Well, look, I know you have another book out, and
- 2:15:04Speaker 1: I know timing. You know what what what is what
- 2:15:07Speaker 1: is the next What is the next book?
- 2:15:08Speaker 2: Well, this book was actually written prior to the Football Book,
- 2:15:12Speaker 2: and for a variety of reasons, the publisher elected not
- 2:15:16Speaker 2: to put up and you just kind of thought it
- 2:15:17Speaker 2: was too weird. I will just kind of give the premise,
- 2:15:21Speaker 2: and that's what I'll say. Basically, it's a fictional history
- 2:15:25Speaker 2: of rock music, and it starts from the premise that
- 2:15:28Speaker 2: the Velvet Underground's first record comes out and is substantially
- 2:15:33Speaker 2: and immediately far more popular than the Beatles and the
- 2:15:37Speaker 2: Stones combined, and the entire monoculture becomes based off sort
- 2:15:43Speaker 2: of the aesthetics and the attitude and the perception of
- 2:15:46Speaker 2: the velvet underground and everything about culture reverses. And it
- 2:15:53Speaker 2: also in this book rock music becomes taken much more seriously.
- 2:15:57Speaker 2: It kind of becomes the defining art form of the
- 2:16:00Speaker 2: United States and of the world. And it ends in
- 2:16:03Speaker 2: two thousand and one with nine to eleven being blamed
- 2:16:06Speaker 2: on the strokes.
- 2:16:09Speaker 1: I see where you're going because this scratches an itch
- 2:16:12Speaker 1: of mine, and it just is proof that, you know, essentially,
- 2:16:16Speaker 1: culturally we're practically the same age, We're culturally very similar.
- 2:16:19Speaker 1: This is the gen x. It bugs me to all
- 2:16:22Speaker 1: get out that the electric guitar has basically been confined
- 2:16:25Speaker 1: to countrybuse Well, I am, I am I being too
- 2:16:29Speaker 1: snarky about that.
- 2:16:30Speaker 2: No, I mean well, I mean fine, I guess it's
- 2:16:33Speaker 2: I mean, it's still in right.
- 2:16:34Speaker 1: It's just fine. It just feels like I don't hear it.
- 2:16:36Speaker 1: And what is rock now?
- 2:16:37Speaker 2: Is there?
- 2:16:38Speaker 1: Does rock still exist?
- 2:16:40Speaker 2: Well, it's still I mean, it exists in the way
- 2:16:43Speaker 2: that bluegrass exists. It exists in the way.
- 2:16:46Speaker 1: That you know, is it just a nostalgic era of
- 2:16:49Speaker 1: genre or is there new innovative things happening?
- 2:16:53Speaker 2: Rock has one sort of inherent limitation, which is that
- 2:16:59Speaker 2: a decision was made in the fifties, not I mean
- 2:17:02Speaker 2: that a decision like a group of people voted on this.
- 2:17:04Speaker 2: It just sort of worked out this way that there
- 2:17:06Speaker 2: were going to be sort of formal like formal limitations
- 2:17:08Speaker 2: to rock. It's going to be guitar, bass, drums, maybe keyboards,
- 2:17:12Speaker 2: maybe one extra instrument, and vocals. The songs are going
- 2:17:16Speaker 2: to be between two and a half and five minutes long.
- 2:17:19Speaker 2: There's it's going to be the only art form that's
- 2:17:21Speaker 2: specifically geared toward young people. That the whole idea is
- 2:17:24Speaker 2: that this is art for young people. And I do
- 2:17:28Speaker 2: think that probably by you know, once we probably really
- 2:17:32Speaker 2: moved into the nineteen eighties, I think a lot of
- 2:17:36Speaker 2: the of of like the potentiality of what rock would
- 2:17:40Speaker 2: be was already kind of set in stone, and when
- 2:17:42Speaker 2: it reached the nineties, it became a self aware art
- 2:17:45Speaker 2: for them that the musicians like Nirvana.
- 2:17:48Speaker 1: And Pearl Jen No I know, you go from the
- 2:17:50Speaker 1: glam rock of the eighties to the super realist realists
- 2:17:53Speaker 1: of the nineties.
- 2:17:54Speaker 2: Also not just super realist, but like an understanding of
- 2:17:57Speaker 2: like the idea that like there's something kind of idiotic
- 2:17:59Speaker 2: about the d of a rock star and all these things. Now,
- 2:18:01Speaker 2: rock kind of kept going. Nobody thought this rock in
- 2:18:05Speaker 2: a way kind of ends as a meaningful thing in
- 2:18:08Speaker 2: the nineties.
- 2:18:09Speaker 1: I believe that. I mean, that's why your faked ending
- 2:18:12Speaker 1: of this of yes, now it feels about right. I
- 2:18:14Speaker 1: mean I joke that The Killers is the last rock band.
- 2:18:18Speaker 1: Well as far as for me like that, yeah.
- 2:18:21Speaker 2: I think that, like you know, there was you know,
- 2:18:23Speaker 2: I after this period, I still loved Radiohead, I still
- 2:18:27Speaker 2: look Steady, I still loved all the you know, and
- 2:18:30Speaker 2: there are there is no shortage of bands making rock
- 2:18:34Speaker 2: music now. In fact, there's probably the number of new
- 2:18:40Speaker 2: songs being created by rock artists now it's probably never
- 2:18:43Speaker 2: been never been happening more.
- 2:18:45Speaker 1: Than ever, right, because the buriered entry is lower.
- 2:18:47Speaker 2: But the meaning is different. There was a period when
- 2:18:50Speaker 2: it was sort of seen as a way to understand
- 2:18:53Speaker 2: what a young person was like and the values of
- 2:18:55Speaker 2: all those things and that, and then that that got
- 2:18:58Speaker 2: kind of used to so hip hop took that. Hip
- 2:19:00Speaker 2: hop Now hip hop is Oh you look at the
- 2:19:02Speaker 2: Billboard Top one hundred, you will not find a rap
- 2:19:04Speaker 2: song like It's like that.
- 2:19:06Speaker 1: What what what is the genre that's winning?
- 2:19:09Speaker 2: Wow?
- 2:19:09Speaker 1: Pop music, Latino pop too, right, That's just like.
- 2:19:13Speaker 2: I mean, because if we just say, you know, in
- 2:19:16Speaker 2: some ways pop music always wins because.
- 2:19:19Speaker 1: Because it's by definition what's popular, Banks Nodras pop sure,
- 2:19:23Speaker 1: and Olivia Orrigo is pop.
- 2:19:25Speaker 2: So but but that but in a sense, because it
- 2:19:28Speaker 2: always wins, we don't really kind of look at it.
- 2:19:30Speaker 2: It's like it's just sort of sure, it's just always
- 2:19:33Speaker 2: going to be something.
- 2:19:33Speaker 1: I guess the question is is there a pop genre
- 2:19:36Speaker 1: today that will Is there a pop when you become
- 2:19:39Speaker 1: a genre that isn't pop? Right, when you have a
- 2:19:41Speaker 1: specific defined sound.
- 2:19:44Speaker 2: Something like like you look, there was like reggaetne was
- 2:19:46Speaker 2: that sort of briefly I think people thought that this
- 2:19:48Speaker 2: is what, Yeah, you know, these little kind of micro
- 2:19:52Speaker 2: genres will come up. It's just like I think it's
- 2:19:58Speaker 2: possibly the idea idea of something of any kind of
- 2:20:02Speaker 2: art form like that occupying the space that rock music
- 2:20:06Speaker 2: once held, or like the film held in the seventies,
- 2:20:09Speaker 2: or at least that just might not be how it
- 2:20:11Speaker 2: is anymore. I mean, we've we we have succeeded at
- 2:20:15Speaker 2: the thing that we said we always wanted right, We
- 2:20:18Speaker 2: wanted to have as much choice as possible. We want
- 2:20:20Speaker 2: everybody to be able to have their own.
- 2:20:22Speaker 1: Always thought, wouldn't it be great if I could get
- 2:20:23Speaker 1: any song at any moment in time. I know, and
- 2:20:26Speaker 1: I remember thinking how cool that would be. When we
- 2:20:28Speaker 1: got those first jukeboxes that were digital, You're like, wow,
- 2:20:31Speaker 1: the opportunity here, and then all of a sudden we
- 2:20:33Speaker 1: got it in our hand. And I listened to the
- 2:20:36Speaker 1: same six hundred songs.
- 2:20:37Speaker 2: I mean, for me when when I was in fifth
- 2:20:40Speaker 2: grade or eighth grade. It was in eighth grade. For
- 2:20:42Speaker 2: a long time, I had five cassettes. I played those five.
- 2:20:46Speaker 2: That's all I could afford. And I played those cassettes
- 2:20:48Speaker 2: over and over and over again. Now, if you'd have
- 2:20:50Speaker 2: told me that, if you want, I can also give
- 2:20:53Speaker 2: you a machine that will have every song possible, every
- 2:20:56Speaker 2: song that's there is, you know, I would be like, yes,
- 2:20:58Speaker 2: there's no one to let me up. And yet, as
- 2:21:02Speaker 2: a like almost a predictable consequence, it made music individual artists,
- 2:21:07Speaker 2: individual songs, and less important. I mean, those five cassettes
- 2:21:11Speaker 2: I had, I was getting I was pulling things out
- 2:21:15Speaker 2: of that that weren't even there. To the artist because
- 2:21:18Speaker 2: I was so you know, it was just like I.
- 2:21:19Speaker 4: Got consumed by it and just repetition, just the repetition
- 2:21:25Speaker 4: of hearing the thing over and over again in your
- 2:21:27Speaker 4: own And now it's sort of like it has to
- 2:21:31Speaker 4: be ephemeral, because it would be very it's it's it
- 2:21:34Speaker 4: listen to the same six hundred songs.
- 2:21:36Speaker 2: I mean that in some ways, even that I think
- 2:21:39Speaker 2: might be like a vestige of the past, because maybe
- 2:21:43Speaker 2: in your mind, in truth, the CD or record collection
- 2:21:48Speaker 2: in your mind should be you know, you know, fifty
- 2:21:53Speaker 2: eight records or something. Well.
- 2:21:55Speaker 1: I remember I was real proud I had the four
- 2:21:57Speaker 1: hundred disc CD play those suckers for that brief period,
- 2:22:02Speaker 1: and a friend of mine talked me into it. He says,
- 2:22:04Speaker 1: it's like building your own personal radio station. And I
- 2:22:07Speaker 1: did it on shuffle, and you know, back then with
- 2:22:09Speaker 1: the little thing it would take. It had about a
- 2:22:13Speaker 1: it felt like ten minute lag, but it was probably
- 2:22:15Speaker 1: about a fifteen second lag between as it circulated around
- 2:22:19Speaker 1: looking for a song, and I thought that was Nirvana,
- 2:22:22Speaker 1: you know that ability, And then I already got a
- 2:22:26Speaker 1: second one because I decided I'm gonna store all my
- 2:22:28Speaker 1: CDs this way. And then it's like and then and
- 2:22:31Speaker 1: then iTunes came out and you're like, oh, well, there there,
- 2:22:35Speaker 1: this is a waste. It is literally sat in my
- 2:22:37Speaker 1: attic for a while until I finally gave it up.
- 2:22:39Speaker 2: But although, yeah, you know, I got rid of all
- 2:22:42Speaker 2: my CDs during that period, because if you regret it,
- 2:22:45Speaker 2: I do. I do, beau too, what I now, you know?
- 2:22:50Speaker 2: At first, yeah, my wife was really like, we cannot now.
- 2:22:52Speaker 1: We sound like our parents. I remember my father going
- 2:22:55Speaker 1: around to with some some we'd be at some antique
- 2:22:57Speaker 1: show and he goes, those toy soldiers are worth how much?
- 2:22:59Speaker 1: I had a million of those? I should have thrown
- 2:23:01Speaker 1: them away? And I almost feel that way about CDs.
- 2:23:03Speaker 2: I think more from a practical thing, like okay, so
- 2:23:06Speaker 2: like when I got rid of all of those CDs,
- 2:23:08Speaker 2: there was only I had, you know, just like you know,
- 2:23:11Speaker 2: a few imports or whatever. It's like I can't find
- 2:23:13Speaker 2: this song anywhere, so I'm keeping this one or whatever.
- 2:23:16Speaker 2: But I is. I don't think anyone out there would
- 2:23:19Speaker 2: be surprised if there is some era in the future
- 2:23:22Speaker 2: where there are multiple, you know, broken up streaming services
- 2:23:26Speaker 2: and none of them have everything, so that either you
- 2:23:28Speaker 2: have to have, you know.
- 2:23:29Speaker 1: And right, and we're gonna wish we had that and
- 2:23:32Speaker 1: some some like.
- 2:23:34Speaker 2: You know, CDs were supposed to last forever. Turns out
- 2:23:37Speaker 2: they did not. It was but you know, as a consequence,
- 2:23:41Speaker 2: if something, you know, some minor act that we don't
- 2:23:44Speaker 2: even know should be meaningful, came out in like nineteen
- 2:23:48Speaker 2: ninety three, and that CD is one point just not
- 2:23:51Speaker 2: going to work anymore. If that isn't somewhere accessible, if
- 2:23:54Speaker 2: it's not on YouTube or whatever, it's going to be gone.
- 2:23:57Speaker 2: I mean, it's like I think that that.
- 2:24:00Speaker 1: Well, imagine dying in the late eighties before the Internet. Yeah,
- 2:24:04Speaker 1: well my father died in eighty eight. You can't find
- 2:24:07Speaker 1: anything about him on the internet. Oh yeah, nineteen eighty eight. Yeah,
- 2:24:11Speaker 1: you know, so it's sort of like what you just described,
- 2:24:13Speaker 1: like if you don't survive into the cloud world, you know,
- 2:24:16Speaker 1: you might as well have not existed.
- 2:24:19Speaker 2: And I think it was in nineteen ninety seven or
- 2:24:22Speaker 2: ninety eight that was actually the peak of fax machine sales.
- 2:24:28Speaker 2: But we don't think, we don't think of that right
- 2:24:30Speaker 2: because we think that's when the Internet was taking over.
- 2:24:32Speaker 2: Because the Internet can write it's own history. The fax
- 2:24:34Speaker 2: machine can't like in nineteen ninety eighty or whatever, a
- 2:24:37Speaker 2: business still needed a fax machine more than Wi Fi.
- 2:24:40Speaker 2: With WiFi, I wasn't even there yet, I don't think.
- 2:24:43Speaker 2: But it's like, if there's nobody there to write the history,
- 2:24:46Speaker 2: it just goes. And if like if there is some
- 2:24:49Speaker 2: record on like touch and Go or whatever that's not
- 2:24:51Speaker 2: on the Internet, it's just going to be gone.
- 2:24:55Speaker 1: I got to stop asking you questions because we end
- 2:24:57Speaker 1: up down new rabbit holes. But I understand, And.
- 2:25:00Speaker 2: What thanksting me on.
- 2:25:00Speaker 1: I appreciate a favorite guest of so many podcast hosts
- 2:25:03Speaker 1: because you you've You've got a terrific mind. I always
- 2:25:08Speaker 1: enjoy my conversation. I appreciate it much. And go buy
- 2:25:11Speaker 1: the book. It is I I enjoyed all parts of it.
- 2:25:13Speaker 1: It's both a cultural experience and a sports fan experience.
- 2:25:16Speaker 1: And I'm in the middle of doing my own sports
- 2:25:18Speaker 1: history stuff and I just read this Dan Rooney autobiography
- 2:25:22Speaker 1: right before I read your book, and it just sort
- 2:25:24Speaker 1: of Dan Rooney did it. I don't know how many
- 2:25:26Speaker 1: books you read to prepare for writing your football book.
- 2:25:29Speaker 1: It it really is a pretty good history of the
- 2:25:31Speaker 1: NFL book.
- 2:25:32Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I mean I've been family is Yeah, tomorrows
- 2:25:36Speaker 2: are as important as you're gonna get kind of, but.
- 2:25:38Speaker 1: Yeah, no, it was, and it just it's a very
- 2:25:40Speaker 1: it's a it was. It's a very rich experience reading
- 2:25:42Speaker 1: a book, so please read it.
- 2:25:44Speaker 2: Okay, Well, thanks.
- 2:25:45Speaker 1: All, my friend talk to me. Well, I hope you
- 2:25:55Speaker 1: enjoyed that conversation. If you made it through that conversation,
- 2:25:57Speaker 1: then I know you enjoyed that conversation, because yes, I
- 2:25:59Speaker 1: went a little longer than I normally go with those interviews,
- 2:26:03Speaker 1: but you know, nobody gets me more interested in jumping
- 2:26:08Speaker 1: down a rabbit hole than having a conversation with Chuck Closterman.
- 2:26:13Speaker 1: I do highly recommend the book too, By the way,
- 2:26:14Speaker 1: I think he did a terrific job of doing what
- 2:26:18Speaker 1: he painstakingly laid out in the book, which is he
- 2:26:21Speaker 1: was trying to you know, he figured two hundred years
- 2:26:24Speaker 1: from now football wouldn't exist, but there'd be these archives
- 2:26:27Speaker 1: of what was this phenomenon called football, and you would
- 2:26:31Speaker 1: need a book from its era to explain what made
- 2:26:35Speaker 1: it so great and why we were just so in
- 2:26:37Speaker 1: love with it. And I think when you realize that's,
- 2:26:42Speaker 1: I mean, how hard he tried to do that I
- 2:26:47Speaker 1: think he came awfully close. You know, here's the thing,
- 2:26:51Speaker 1: none of us, either he or I will be around
- 2:26:53Speaker 1: to find out if he got it right. And with that,
- 2:26:56Speaker 1: let's do some questions ask Chuck. First question comes from Lucas,
- 2:27:02Speaker 1: and I'm very excited about this question Lucas because he says,
- 2:27:05Speaker 1: greetings from Bloomington, Illanoya. And here's why I'm excited about Bloomington, Illinoy.
- 2:27:10Speaker 1: I'm going to tell you about that after I answer
- 2:27:12Speaker 1: the question. But greetings from Bloomington, Illinois. It's a very important,
- 2:27:17Speaker 1: very important town in mine, in Chuck Todd's history, But
- 2:27:20Speaker 1: I will tell you after the question. He goes curious
- 2:27:23Speaker 1: your take on private equity getting involved in college sports,
- 2:27:25Speaker 1: like at the University of Utah with nil transferportal, growing
- 2:27:28Speaker 1: money in the system, it feels like the line between
- 2:27:30Speaker 1: college and pro sports is disappearing. Do you think college sports,
- 2:27:33Speaker 1: especially outside the SEC in the Big Ten, are an
- 2:27:35Speaker 1: on an unsustainable path? Thanks Lucas. So the answer is yes,
- 2:27:40Speaker 1: this is unsustainable, but I don't want to rule out
- 2:27:46Speaker 1: that private equity might actually be more of a help
- 2:27:50Speaker 1: than a hurt. Right. Private equity might be the way
- 2:27:56Speaker 1: that we can keep more sports alive inside the university system. Right.
- 2:28:03Speaker 1: The concern if we if we let's look, look what
- 2:28:10Speaker 1: the SEC and the Big ten want is to create
- 2:28:13Speaker 1: the English Premier League. They want to create they want
- 2:28:16Speaker 1: to put a velvet rope around a smaller league, if
- 2:28:22Speaker 1: you will, an elite college league. They haven't quite said
- 2:28:26Speaker 1: it yet, but it's you know, Greg Sanke has all
- 2:28:29Speaker 1: but telegraphed this, you know, down to the I believe
- 2:28:32Speaker 1: there was at one SEC meeting he was talking about
- 2:28:35Speaker 1: reading the history of the e p L and how
- 2:28:39Speaker 1: how fascinated he was with it, and you know how
- 2:28:41Speaker 1: it just made the e p L bigger. You know,
- 2:28:45Speaker 1: everybody said, the smaller they make it, it was going
- 2:28:47Speaker 1: to drive fans away, and it did just the opposite,
- 2:28:50Speaker 1: et cetera. The problem is the Big ten in the
- 2:28:58Speaker 1: SEC are not interested in having a national major sport.
- 2:29:03Speaker 1: I think what they want is something that they control,
- 2:29:08Speaker 1: They keep ninety percent of the pie, and then they'll
- 2:29:12Speaker 1: let everybody else share the other ten percent. The irony
- 2:29:17Speaker 1: to this is that I think they limit the long
- 2:29:20Speaker 1: term viability of the sport. They limit the long term
- 2:29:22Speaker 1: viability of making money off of the sport. You know,
- 2:29:25Speaker 1: I think the beauty of college football is unlike the NFL.
- 2:29:29Speaker 1: You can get a sellout in Pullman, Washington, and you
- 2:29:31Speaker 1: can get a sellout in Auburn, Alabama. And you can
- 2:29:33Speaker 1: get a sellout in Knoxville, Tennessee. And you can get
- 2:29:36Speaker 1: one hundred thousand people show up in Happy Valley, Pennsylvania.
- 2:29:39Speaker 1: And you get my drift. You know, the NFL is
- 2:29:44Speaker 1: not in near the number of markets the college football
- 2:29:46Speaker 1: is in. And so the opportunity college football has to
- 2:29:51Speaker 1: basically be you know, the NFL is getting harder and
- 2:29:56Speaker 1: harder to access. Right, games are more expensive than ever
- 2:30:00Speaker 1: they're you know, the red zone is expensive, all this stuff.
- 2:30:03Speaker 1: College football has an opportunity to be the people's football
- 2:30:08Speaker 1: league essentially, right, Look, and I think that's something we
- 2:30:11Speaker 1: got to stop. Look, this is it's it's two pro leagues.
- 2:30:14Speaker 1: You have the you know, the big pro league, the NFL,
- 2:30:16Speaker 1: and then you have this essentially younger professional league that
- 2:30:22Speaker 1: is college football. And I think ultimately we probably have
- 2:30:27Speaker 1: to separate out college football from everything else. You know,
- 2:30:32Speaker 1: it's funny if you separated out college football from everything else,
- 2:30:35Speaker 1: if you went if you went to seventy you know,
- 2:30:39Speaker 1: sort of the Super League model, but it was an
- 2:30:41Speaker 1: expansive version of it, seventy teams, maybe maybe with relegation,
- 2:30:46Speaker 1: and you know, I think there's some there's a lot
- 2:30:49Speaker 1: of interesting ways you could do that. One of the
- 2:30:52Speaker 1: private equity firms running around there with money has has
- 2:30:55Speaker 1: has a few plans on this. But I think if
- 2:30:58Speaker 1: you did the super League on football all and had
- 2:31:00Speaker 1: divisions and made them geographically aligned, then you could almost
- 2:31:03Speaker 1: go back to the traditional conference format for all other
- 2:31:06Speaker 1: sports basketball, baseball, volleyball.
- 2:31:08Speaker 2: Et cetera.
- 2:31:10Speaker 1: Uh, And it's probably one of those things where everybody
- 2:31:13Speaker 1: would be happy and you could, you know, still generate
- 2:31:16Speaker 1: revenue across the board in different ways. If this continues
- 2:31:22Speaker 1: to be conference driven, where all sports are essentially are
- 2:31:27Speaker 1: at the mercy of how this football decision goes down,
- 2:31:30Speaker 1: then yes, all college sports are at risk. So I'd
- 2:31:34Speaker 1: like to see a de risking of of the non
- 2:31:37Speaker 1: football sports here by figuring out a way to separate
- 2:31:40Speaker 1: it out. So but look, you know, it's probably too
- 2:31:47Speaker 1: late for the powers that be to create a system
- 2:31:50Speaker 1: that they get to have their fingerprints on. I think
- 2:31:52Speaker 1: I think they what I think collective bargaining is coming,
- 2:31:56Speaker 1: and what and and once collective bargaining happens, we're going
- 2:31:58Speaker 1: into a whole other area. And then I you know,
- 2:32:02Speaker 1: look this is where I think, Like I said, I
- 2:32:04Speaker 1: think private equity can be a net positive if depending
- 2:32:10Speaker 1: on like, not every private equity deals the same, Right,
- 2:32:14Speaker 1: what does what does the cash out look like? You know,
- 2:32:17Speaker 1: a private equity deal that gives you some front end money,
- 2:32:21Speaker 1: you know, based on potential revenues down the road, sort
- 2:32:24Speaker 1: of similar to how the pension funds were investing. You know,
- 2:32:27Speaker 1: had had that idea to invest in the Big ten.
- 2:32:30Speaker 1: That feels like a more righteous way to do it
- 2:32:33Speaker 1: than if you just have sort of a more you know,
- 2:32:37Speaker 1: you know, sort of the negative perceus, and the private
- 2:32:40Speaker 1: equity comes in, extracts the value and then leaves everything
- 2:32:43Speaker 1: in tatters. Right Like, you don't want that version of
- 2:32:45Speaker 1: private equity nest around college sports. But look a lot
- 2:32:49Speaker 1: of universities operate dollar in, dollar out, and you need
- 2:32:53Speaker 1: you might need a little excess cash in order to
- 2:32:55Speaker 1: build out what you need to create long to create
- 2:32:59Speaker 1: revenue down the road. So I'll give you an example
- 2:33:01Speaker 1: where private equity could be that positive. So say you're
- 2:33:05Speaker 1: Florida State football and you want to build a not
- 2:33:09Speaker 1: just a stadium, because what you're seeing is the major
- 2:33:11Speaker 1: college programs are actually wanting to do what some NFL
- 2:33:16Speaker 1: teams have done and create an entire sort of of
- 2:33:21Speaker 1: like a a an area, a gathering space that includes
- 2:33:26Speaker 1: the football stadium, maybe a premier hotel, maybe restaurants, maybe shopping,
- 2:33:31Speaker 1: you know, almost like an entire sort of ecosystem that
- 2:33:35Speaker 1: you know, people might spend an entire weekend, you know
- 2:33:38Speaker 1: at it's almost like a college football resort in Tallahassee
- 2:33:42Speaker 1: and one in Tuscaloosa when you can see where this is.
- 2:33:45Speaker 1: And that's a case where you need you need the
- 2:33:47Speaker 1: private equity to fund the build out of that, to
- 2:33:51Speaker 1: get the infrastructure in to build this incredible sort of
- 2:33:55Speaker 1: mecca to the Florida State football and what I'm describing
- 2:33:58Speaker 1: or you might see. You do see that similar things
- 2:34:01Speaker 1: being done at Clemson and Happy Valley, et cetera. And
- 2:34:04Speaker 1: I think that's the case we're private equity because that's
- 2:34:07Speaker 1: a that's an investment now that you hope would pay
- 2:34:09Speaker 1: dividends down the road. Right. So that's that's just an
- 2:34:12Speaker 1: example where it could be in that positive. So that's
- 2:34:15Speaker 1: why I don't want to be. I don't want to
- 2:34:17Speaker 1: be knee jerk negative on it. Again. I go back
- 2:34:21Speaker 1: to just the the economics of college sports is there's
- 2:34:24Speaker 1: just not a lot of available cash, and that's why
- 2:34:27Speaker 1: it's it's where essentially private equity is a bank in
- 2:34:31Speaker 1: that sense, and so it isn't, but it's a I
- 2:34:39Speaker 1: do think the biggest impediment to any of this, though,
- 2:34:42Speaker 1: is is Greg sank and the SEC and the Big
- 2:34:45Speaker 1: Ten and whoever the hell's in charge there. I'll admit
- 2:34:49Speaker 1: Sankie is. I don't know mister Sankee. I actually like
- 2:34:52Speaker 1: to meet mister Sankeye because I use him as a
- 2:34:54Speaker 1: punching bag sometimes. On this look he's looking out what's
- 2:34:57Speaker 1: in the best interest of the SEC, but what's in
- 2:34:59Speaker 1: the best rest and so SEC is not in the
- 2:35:01Speaker 1: best interest of college football as a whole. And I'd
- 2:35:04Speaker 1: be happy to debate him on this forever doubt he cares.
- 2:35:12Speaker 1: But Lucas Bloomington, Illinois is where my mother was born,
- 2:35:17Speaker 1: and ironically today my grandmother was returned to Bloomington, Illinois
- 2:35:24Speaker 1: to lay next to my grandfather in a cemetery of Bloomington, Illinois.
- 2:35:28Speaker 1: So my producer Nasa doesn't realize what she did by
- 2:35:34Speaker 1: ordering this up top there, but she she gave me
- 2:35:37Speaker 1: a little way to make that acknowledgment. So thank you NASA.
- 2:35:42Speaker 1: I don't think you realized that, but I appreciate it.
- 2:35:44Speaker 1: And Lucas, thank you for writing, and thank you for
- 2:35:47Speaker 1: saying you were from Bloomington. By the way, my uh
- 2:35:51Speaker 1: my grandfather started a clothing store that was once a
- 2:35:54Speaker 1: big part in Bloomington. It was called Marvin's. For any
- 2:35:57Speaker 1: of you that will do we be asking O. Next
- 2:36:01Speaker 1: question comes from Brian Dee and he writes, Hey, I
- 2:36:03Speaker 1: followed you for years and appreciate your perspective. I've noticed
- 2:36:06Speaker 1: that ballot counting often gets overcovered by the media, even
- 2:36:09Speaker 1: when the process seems to be moving smoothly. Why do
- 2:36:11Speaker 1: you think news outlet's focus so heavily on this? Does
- 2:36:13Speaker 1: it reflect reality or is it more about the media environment? Yeah,
- 2:36:18Speaker 1: you know, I certainly don't spend a lot of time
- 2:36:20Speaker 1: on the process itself. I do think you have a
- 2:36:22Speaker 1: lot of new media that spends time in the process.
- 2:36:25Speaker 1: I think Donald Trump has certainly made the process seem nefarious.
- 2:36:30Speaker 1: So then you know if you're the right thing to do,
- 2:36:33Speaker 1: if you're in the press is to just bring sunshine
- 2:36:36Speaker 1: to the situation. And so look, I think you know,
- 2:36:41Speaker 1: you know, two things can be true at the same time.
- 2:36:42Speaker 1: California is doing everything by the book and is making
- 2:36:46Speaker 1: sure access to the polls and everybody's vote that should
- 2:36:49Speaker 1: be counted as counted, and they can do a better
- 2:36:52Speaker 1: job at figuring out how to do it faster in
- 2:36:53Speaker 1: a more efficient system, right like, and I think unfortunately
- 2:36:56Speaker 1: now in our politics, right if you somehow a agree
- 2:37:00Speaker 1: with a criticism that the president has, then you know,
- 2:37:04Speaker 1: f you and your family, right, that's what the left
- 2:37:06Speaker 1: would say, and if you at all acknowledge that, no,
- 2:37:10Speaker 1: what they're doing, there's no nefarious here. Spencer Pratt did
- 2:37:13Speaker 1: as did as well as any Republican can do in
- 2:37:16Speaker 1: a county that's seventy thirty democratic. And you know, then
- 2:37:19Speaker 1: you're not towing the line. Then you're you're some sort
- 2:37:22Speaker 1: of rhino or you know, you've you're captive, captive of
- 2:37:27Speaker 1: the of the crazy left or something like that. But look,
- 2:37:32Speaker 1: I think the instinct of the media coverage of it
- 2:37:34Speaker 1: is to make is to is to make it clear
- 2:37:37Speaker 1: if there was something nefarious, we'dn't see it. And it
- 2:37:39Speaker 1: would be plainly obvious. There's a lot of really people
- 2:37:44Speaker 1: that I used to say, we're responsible actors on the
- 2:37:46Speaker 1: right who are exploiting the current, you know, sort of
- 2:37:50Speaker 1: frustration with California, and I say to these guys, come on,
- 2:37:54Speaker 1: you know, everybody, Spencer Pratt was not screwed. If Spencer
- 2:37:58Speaker 1: Pratt wanted to make the run off, he'd have run
- 2:38:00Speaker 1: a campaign that wasn't megacentric and AI fueled. He'd have
- 2:38:05Speaker 1: actually tried to be a bit more centrist. There was
- 2:38:08Speaker 1: a path to victory, there was a path to second place.
- 2:38:11Speaker 1: He chose a performative path. That was a choice. He
- 2:38:16Speaker 1: could have gone in another direction that would have gotten
- 2:38:19Speaker 1: him in. You know, you know, if the electorate rejected you,
- 2:38:23Speaker 1: then you didn't do a good job, meaning the electorate
- 2:38:26Speaker 1: where it's at. So you either had to persuade them
- 2:38:28Speaker 1: to come to where you are or you need to
- 2:38:30Speaker 1: meet the elector at where it was at. But I
- 2:38:34Speaker 1: do think that both things can be true here about California.
- 2:38:37Speaker 1: They're doing everything by the book, and there's got to
- 2:38:42Speaker 1: be a faster way to do this. Matt from Upstate
- 2:38:47Speaker 1: New York rights, Hey, big fan of the pod, Keep
- 2:38:49Speaker 1: up the great work. With social security shortfalls now projected sooner.
- 2:38:52Speaker 1: How do you see this shaping the twenty twenty eight election.
- 2:38:54Speaker 1: Do you think candidates will offer real solutions or default
- 2:38:56Speaker 1: to blame the other side. Let's say you think's Matt
- 2:38:58Speaker 1: from upstate New York, Well they really you know, first
- 2:39:02Speaker 1: of all, all the solutions are there, and this is
- 2:39:04Speaker 1: what frustrates me, both about our debt and about funding
- 2:39:07Speaker 1: social security? You know, And how do you improve the
- 2:39:10Speaker 1: trust fund? The donut hole folks?
- 2:39:14Speaker 3: Right?
- 2:39:15Speaker 1: The cap on social security taxes? Right, if you make
- 2:39:18Speaker 1: a million dollars, you only pay social Security taxes up
- 2:39:22Speaker 1: to the first I think it's one hundred and eighty thousand, right,
- 2:39:25Speaker 1: There's a simple solution to improving you know. And I
- 2:39:31Speaker 1: promise you when you say, would you like to see
- 2:39:36Speaker 1: social security benefits cut? Or do you want to see
- 2:39:41Speaker 1: social security benefits fulfilled? Even if it means raising taxes
- 2:39:47Speaker 1: on people that make more than one hundred and eighty
- 2:39:50Speaker 1: thousand dollars a year up to you know, whatever it is.
- 2:39:54Speaker 1: Or you can create a donut hole and make it
- 2:39:56Speaker 1: where you know, nobody that makes you know, whoever makes
- 2:40:00Speaker 1: five hundred thousand dollars or less only pays solid security
- 2:40:03Speaker 1: taxes on the first one hundred and eighty and if
- 2:40:05Speaker 1: you make more than five hundred thousand dollars a year,
- 2:40:07Speaker 1: you pay those security taxes. Maybe you get a carve
- 2:40:10Speaker 1: out between one eighty and five hundred, and then you
- 2:40:13Speaker 1: pay it all the way to whatever you make. The
- 2:40:15Speaker 1: point is, the solution is simple. It's sitting there. It's
- 2:40:18Speaker 1: the cap. It's the social Security tax cap. Right, It's
- 2:40:22Speaker 1: the simplest solution to this problem because the only other
- 2:40:30Speaker 1: solution is to start. You know, you get eighty percent
- 2:40:33Speaker 1: of benefits, you get seventy five percent of benefits, et cetera.
- 2:40:38Speaker 1: But nobody's going to be the party that institutes that.
- 2:40:41Speaker 1: So it is the one. This will be the most
- 2:40:44Speaker 1: fascinating issue in this look. I think you're going to
- 2:40:47Speaker 1: see nothing, but as far as twenty twenty eight, twenty
- 2:40:50Speaker 1: twenty six are concerned, it's going to be a lot
- 2:40:52Speaker 1: of sky is falling type of rhetoric. And you know this,
- 2:40:56Speaker 1: you know, the solution isn't e isn't hard. You know,
- 2:40:59Speaker 1: the right, it's probably going to just default to saying, well,
- 2:41:02Speaker 1: if we just purge the social security roles of people
- 2:41:04Speaker 1: who shouldn't be there. There would be plenty of social
- 2:41:06Speaker 1: security for you. So they'll probably do a little bit
- 2:41:08Speaker 1: of of sort of of sort of manufactured scapegoating on immigrants,
- 2:41:13Speaker 1: of which the numbers actually don't add up to back
- 2:41:16Speaker 1: that accusation up. It's like I said, it's a you
- 2:41:20Speaker 1: know there, you could means test, right, we could means
- 2:41:23Speaker 1: test and or race, you know, race taxes. So it
- 2:41:27Speaker 1: is going to be one of the others. So actually,
- 2:41:29Speaker 1: the solutions to this aren't very difficult, and they're kind
- 2:41:32Speaker 1: of they're not painless, but they're not they're not catastrophic.
- 2:41:43Speaker 1: But you know, here's the other problem. We have a
- 2:41:47Speaker 1: we have a declining birth rate, and we're deporting people constantly.
- 2:41:53Speaker 1: We're shrinking our population. So if we continue to shrink
- 2:41:56Speaker 1: our population, we're gonna have to jack up taxes. If
- 2:41:58Speaker 1: you don't want to hire taxes, we're going to need
- 2:42:00Speaker 1: more people. Next question comes from Denise, a Boston public
- 2:42:11Speaker 1: radio listener, which means I see around Jim and Marjorie,
- 2:42:15Speaker 1: resident of Marlboro, mass and a Bostonian at heart. God
- 2:42:19Speaker 1: bless you, Denise. I'm usually just a listener, but the
- 2:42:23Speaker 1: conversation surrounding Platner raised a question for me, how do
- 2:42:25Speaker 1: you reconcile supporting a candidate who seems well suited for
- 2:42:27Speaker 1: the job with concerns about their personal conduct. It often
- 2:42:30Speaker 1: feels like the most polished candidates don't always translate into
- 2:42:32Speaker 1: effective leaders. Something has to give. Look sometimes at the
- 2:42:38Speaker 1: end of the day, it's your own gut check. I
- 2:42:40Speaker 1: can't you know, I think everybody wants a definitive answer
- 2:42:43Speaker 1: here on Platner. A plenty of us look at Platner
- 2:42:48Speaker 1: through the prism of Trump. Whether that's fair or unfair,
- 2:42:51Speaker 1: it just is. I think we both know that in
- 2:42:55Speaker 1: the pre Trump era, Platner never would have gotten off
- 2:42:58Speaker 1: the ground, right, the decratic left wouldn't have supported that
- 2:43:03Speaker 1: the permission slip that voters have given Trump. And that's
- 2:43:07Speaker 1: what I always say, it's the voters that give the
- 2:43:09Speaker 1: permission slip. Right. The voters tell us what's acceptable and
- 2:43:11Speaker 1: what's not. You know, it isn't me in the press,
- 2:43:14Speaker 1: it isn't our political leaders, right. The voters decide what's acceptable.
- 2:43:18Speaker 1: And so the voters have made and have made this
- 2:43:20Speaker 1: character exception for Trump. That is something I don't think
- 2:43:24Speaker 1: any of us saw coming. And so the voters have
- 2:43:29Speaker 1: changed this, and the voters are likely to change it again.
- 2:43:31Speaker 1: You know, I think I shared this earlier. I happen
- 2:43:34Speaker 1: to believe it'll eventually come, but we're probably it's probably
- 2:43:38Speaker 1: going to be take about ten or fifteen years post
- 2:43:41Speaker 1: Trump for us to sort of return to a time
- 2:43:45Speaker 1: when when character will matter. Like, you know, I think
- 2:43:48Speaker 1: character is destinying all this stuff. I think I think
- 2:43:54Speaker 1: everybody looks at Platiner through a lens of their own
- 2:43:59Speaker 1: experience with people that they may know that have a
- 2:44:02Speaker 1: similar background to him. If you're if you have a
- 2:44:06Speaker 1: military veteran in your family who's served multiple tours, you know,
- 2:44:10Speaker 1: maybe you look at that behavior and you're like, I
- 2:44:12Speaker 1: get that, I know that, I know that's work, you know,
- 2:44:17Speaker 1: And you may decide is that experience that should make
- 2:44:20Speaker 1: him a better US senator or does that experience make
- 2:44:25Speaker 1: mean he's still got more work to do before he
- 2:44:27Speaker 1: should go into public service. But that's I can't I
- 2:44:35Speaker 1: can't reconcile it for you, and you can't reconcile it
- 2:44:37Speaker 1: for me. Right, I think it's it really is a
- 2:44:40Speaker 1: judgment call, right, And look, in Virginia, we face something
- 2:44:44Speaker 1: like this in twenty twenty five with J. Jones the
- 2:44:47Speaker 1: attorney general. Now he's the attorney general. He won, but
- 2:44:50Speaker 1: he was running against a sitting attorney general Republican named
- 2:44:53Speaker 1: Jason Miras and J. Jones use some awful language, sort
- 2:44:57Speaker 1: of wishing, you know, sort of dreaming about the idea
- 2:45:00Speaker 1: that a political opponent might die be a random gun violence,
- 2:45:05Speaker 1: so that his family would understand the pain of gun violence.
- 2:45:09Speaker 1: I you know, something that felt disqualifying. You're like, really,
- 2:45:14Speaker 1: you're you want to be the attorney general? And this
- 2:45:16Speaker 1: is the way, you know, it's it wasn't just any
- 2:45:19Speaker 1: position he was running for, right. So the point is
- 2:45:22Speaker 1: is that I I'm not going to sit here and
- 2:45:25Speaker 1: say that my morals are your morals and my and
- 2:45:28Speaker 1: I think that that's what makes Platiner very subjective. What
- 2:45:32Speaker 1: is more offensive to you? Right? Is it Platner's character?
- 2:45:37Speaker 1: Is it Susan Collins votes right? You know? And and
- 2:45:41Speaker 1: I you can make I'm sure there are voters that
- 2:45:44Speaker 1: will make both cases ultimately, you know, I do. I've
- 2:45:52Speaker 1: look I'm looking at the data, and the data tells me.
- 2:45:55Speaker 1: And we're seeing now that a majority of voters in
- 2:45:58Speaker 1: both parties are willing to overlook character problems if it
- 2:46:02Speaker 1: prevents the other side from winning something. That's where our
- 2:46:05Speaker 1: politics are. That's the world Donald Trump was trying to create,
- 2:46:11Speaker 1: and he did it. He has bent the character of
- 2:46:14Speaker 1: the country to him. He's bent the character of politics
- 2:46:16Speaker 1: to him. I'd like to fight that. It is hard
- 2:46:24Speaker 1: to fight it, you know. And this is the dilemma,
- 2:46:26Speaker 1: right If you want to fight that politics, you've got
- 2:46:30Speaker 1: to defeat that politics. Now, you know. That's Susan Collins. Certainly.
- 2:46:37Speaker 1: I think there are some things. You know, I think
- 2:46:40Speaker 1: she carries herself with grace, but if you don't like
- 2:46:45Speaker 1: her votes, you may not think she does, you know,
- 2:46:48Speaker 1: And you may think that what she did with Kavanaugh
- 2:46:50Speaker 1: was a bridge too far. And I'm not going to
- 2:46:54Speaker 1: judge you on that, and I'm not going to say
- 2:46:55Speaker 1: you're wrong for that. I understand that. So the point
- 2:47:03Speaker 1: is is that and I think that's where you get
- 2:47:07Speaker 1: to that. And then there's the hardcore political conversation where
- 2:47:11Speaker 1: I don't know whether Platner is going to be a
- 2:47:13Speaker 1: good or bad public servant if he wins. There's a
- 2:47:16Speaker 1: lot of yellow flags, and will the yellow flags be
- 2:47:21Speaker 1: red flags at some point? I don't know, and that's
- 2:47:27Speaker 1: you know, it's sort of like risk, just not the game,
- 2:47:30Speaker 1: but sort of risk management. Some people have a higher
- 2:47:33Speaker 1: tolerance for risk than others. Some people will gamble, some
- 2:47:36Speaker 1: people won't. There is some risk with voting for Platner.
- 2:47:42Speaker 1: The question is whether you think it's high risk or
- 2:47:44Speaker 1: low risk. There was real I think there's real risk
- 2:47:47Speaker 1: with voting for Trump, and it all depends on your
- 2:47:50Speaker 1: risk tolerance, right, So I know character is a bigger
- 2:47:58Speaker 1: deal for me in a vote, but I will confess
- 2:48:01Speaker 1: that I have the luxury that character counts, and I
- 2:48:06Speaker 1: have a luxury to worry about those things because I'm
- 2:48:08Speaker 1: not feeling economically squeezed at the moment. And that's why
- 2:48:13Speaker 1: I want to be careful here, not to presume how
- 2:48:16Speaker 1: you should feel or other is real. But I get
- 2:48:19Speaker 1: the dilemma. I understand the dilemma, and I think it
- 2:48:22Speaker 1: would be cleaner if the Democrats had a generic candidate here.
- 2:48:27Speaker 1: But life isn't Life isn't easy, is it? And generic?
- 2:48:31Speaker 1: You know, if we could find generic politician, generic politician
- 2:48:35Speaker 1: would have would be winning in a landslide every cycle,
- 2:48:40Speaker 1: in every race. That's not a lot of how life works.
- 2:48:55Speaker 1: Next question, comes from Mattam. He says, Hey, what's your
- 2:48:56Speaker 1: take on concerns about the potential bias and coverage of Platinum,
- 2:48:59Speaker 1: particularly around who is reporting the story? How should audiences
- 2:49:01Speaker 1: think about evaluating reporting versus possible underlying perspectives or conflicts?
- 2:49:05Speaker 1: Do you see any of that as worth considering when
- 2:49:07Speaker 1: assessing the broader narratives? Sincerely, Matt Amm. Look, you know,
- 2:49:12Speaker 1: whenever I've been asked about questions of bias in the
- 2:49:15Speaker 1: reporting itself, I always do this check my pulse. Okay,
- 2:49:20Speaker 1: still a human being. Everybody's born with original bias. Okay,
- 2:49:26Speaker 1: where you're from, who you're born to? All right, what
- 2:49:29Speaker 1: ethnicity are you? Right? Some of this stuff you're just born. Right,
- 2:49:33Speaker 1: you're born with a bias. You learn about them as
- 2:49:38Speaker 1: you grow. Which you're born with a bias. So that's
- 2:49:42Speaker 1: always the I always want to get that out of
- 2:49:43Speaker 1: the way whenever I get a question about bias. Look,
- 2:49:50Speaker 1: I am a obviously, I've been doing this a long time.
- 2:49:53Speaker 1: So I think of myself as a sophisticated news consumer
- 2:49:56Speaker 1: and I feel like I know how to I know
- 2:49:59Speaker 1: how to find the information I need, no matter if
- 2:50:02Speaker 1: it's packaged in something that is pro platiner or antiplatiner.
- 2:50:06Speaker 1: I know how to find the stuff that's factually correct,
- 2:50:09Speaker 1: and whether I trust the reporter to report facts. You know,
- 2:50:12Speaker 1: I'm fine if a reporter has a left bias or
- 2:50:14Speaker 1: a right bias, but they're always they always care about
- 2:50:17Speaker 1: the facts, right, you know that that that so there's
- 2:50:21Speaker 1: there's all sorts of ways that you can evaluate this.
- 2:50:29Speaker 1: So you know, I I'm gonna be honest with you, Matt.
- 2:50:34Speaker 1: I have a feeling that you that there might be
- 2:50:37Speaker 1: something else you're trying to ask with this question. But
- 2:50:40Speaker 1: I also don't want to try to read into something
- 2:50:43Speaker 1: that maybe you didn't intend. But I do think that
- 2:50:52Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of online commentary that takes somebody's
- 2:50:57Speaker 1: presumed faith and assume there's a bias towards what they're
- 2:51:01Speaker 1: reporting and how they're reporting it. Be careful treading in
- 2:51:06Speaker 1: that territory. I just you know, it is there is
- 2:51:13Speaker 1: no monoculture like that, it doesn't exist. And a reporter's
- 2:51:19Speaker 1: personal faith it is, it is, it is. I would
- 2:51:25Speaker 1: just I hope that's you know, I hope that's not
- 2:51:28Speaker 1: where you're going. I'm going to presume you're not going there.
- 2:51:32Speaker 1: But the reason I was wondering if you were is
- 2:51:34Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of this lately. I've seen somebody
- 2:51:38Speaker 1: try to dismiss a report about Platiner simply because the
- 2:51:42Speaker 1: person once worked for an organization that was supportive of
- 2:51:47Speaker 1: an organization that is a critic of Platners, and that
- 2:51:52Speaker 1: just like, where are we going here? That that type
- 2:51:55Speaker 1: of you know, that's sort of guilt by association, and
- 2:51:58Speaker 1: guilt by association. It's pretty un American, you know it
- 2:52:01Speaker 1: should be. I say, it's an American. It's practiced all
- 2:52:04Speaker 1: the time, but it's essentially a form of McCarthyism. So
- 2:52:07Speaker 1: let's be careful on that. Evaluate what you're reading based
- 2:52:12Speaker 1: on the words that are there, not presuming based on
- 2:52:17Speaker 1: what you think folks are running. Now that said, I'll
- 2:52:21Speaker 1: tell you a place that I'm always wanting to know
- 2:52:24Speaker 1: someone's bias. But the bias, again, it isn't about a
- 2:52:28Speaker 1: political bias. It is about a It is about an
- 2:52:32Speaker 1: academic bias or an ideological bias. It is when when
- 2:52:34Speaker 1: I read history, did you come at this from a
- 2:52:37Speaker 1: left perspective or a right perspective? Because how you interpret
- 2:52:41Speaker 1: older stuff, are you interpreted it through today's prism of
- 2:52:44Speaker 1: left and right? Are you doing your best to ground
- 2:52:47Speaker 1: yourself in what left and right looked like back in
- 2:52:49Speaker 1: that day. So I'm not saying somebody's bias isn't isn't
- 2:52:54Speaker 1: helpful to understanding why or how they're covering a certain story.
- 2:52:59Speaker 1: But you know, I think that in mainstream news organizations,
- 2:53:06Speaker 1: you know, it's it is. There's usually the story itself
- 2:53:09Speaker 1: is not. Usually the bias is. And how frequently a
- 2:53:12Speaker 1: story gets covered is almost more of a bias sometimes,
- 2:53:16Speaker 1: and the topic that gets covered about a certain person
- 2:53:19Speaker 1: can can be influenced by the bias of a reporter,
- 2:53:22Speaker 1: meaning they keep wanting to cover the same angle to
- 2:53:24Speaker 1: the same story, but the angle is factually correct at
- 2:53:27Speaker 1: these news you know. So that's what I mean when
- 2:53:29Speaker 1: you just this is a I don't think it's a
- 2:53:34Speaker 1: fulfilling road to go down other than you know, just
- 2:53:39Speaker 1: just learn how to discern how you read a story
- 2:53:42Speaker 1: knowing that look, there's plenty you know, there's plenty of
- 2:53:45Speaker 1: facts to pull out from this, And I know what
- 2:53:48Speaker 1: I do. I try to look at this and say, Okay,
- 2:53:50Speaker 1: what's the best version of the story based on the
- 2:53:52Speaker 1: facts that are available, and what's the politically worst version
- 2:53:56Speaker 1: of this and looks and just as your own exercise,
- 2:53:59Speaker 1: read your next platinum story and then say, Okay, how
- 2:54:03Speaker 1: would somebody have written this if they really didn't like them?
- 2:54:05Speaker 1: What would what more would they do it? And vice versa.
- 2:54:10Speaker 1: Julie from Portland organ RTEs Is it right that eggs
- 2:54:12Speaker 1: and poles used to help call racist quickly even though
- 2:54:14Speaker 1: vote counting always looked took longer with more mail in voting.
- 2:54:17Speaker 1: Now dogs and poles still play the same role. Do
- 2:54:18Speaker 1: you think the shift and how results come in is
- 2:54:20Speaker 1: contributing to public confusion? And could the media do a
- 2:54:22Speaker 1: better job of explaining it? What do you think? Yes,
- 2:54:26Speaker 1: the media can do a better job explaining it. I
- 2:54:27Speaker 1: think the media is trying to do a better job
- 2:54:29Speaker 1: explaining it. I know I focus on this. I always
- 2:54:33Speaker 1: constantly want to let people know, Okay, how is the vote?
- 2:54:36Speaker 1: How is how is the vote being reported? How does
- 2:54:39Speaker 1: it get counted? What's being counted? First? I want people
- 2:54:42Speaker 1: to understand when they see blue mirages and red mirages
- 2:54:46Speaker 1: early on in a vote count, why it happens that way? Right? Look,
- 2:54:51Speaker 1: it's one hundred percent of the vote. When a one
- 2:54:53Speaker 1: hundred percent of the vote is in. That's your total.
- 2:54:55Speaker 1: What happened with fifty percent of the vote in depends
- 2:54:58Speaker 1: on which fifty percent I counted first, right, Like, So
- 2:55:01Speaker 1: it's just a it's a reporting bias, which is something
- 2:55:06Speaker 1: to be Warrey of. Look as to exit poles, So, yes,
- 2:55:12Speaker 1: an exit pole is a tool. But I'll explain to
- 2:55:16Speaker 1: you how how we used to use the exit pole
- 2:55:18Speaker 1: as a projection tool. So it is a piece of
- 2:55:21Speaker 1: the tool. So you'll get your exit pole, and then
- 2:55:24Speaker 1: what you'll do is we'll we'll have people at the
- 2:55:27Speaker 1: precincts that we know are the most you know, a
- 2:55:32Speaker 1: representative sample of the precincts of that state, and then
- 2:55:35Speaker 1: we actually a physical people on the ground to get
- 2:55:38Speaker 1: the first returns reported from those precincts, and then you
- 2:55:43Speaker 1: match it up and if it if it matches with
- 2:55:45Speaker 1: the exit pole, then the exit pole becomes a confidence
- 2:55:48Speaker 1: builder and helps you in the projection. But I want
- 2:55:53Speaker 1: to mystify the exit pole itself was never used to
- 2:55:56Speaker 1: call It was never the instrument that called the race.
- 2:56:00Speaker 1: You were still getting real data in and the exit
- 2:56:04Speaker 1: pole was essentially like is it how far off or
- 2:56:08Speaker 1: on is it? You know? It was sort of like one.
- 2:56:11Speaker 1: It was just like one more extra tool. I My
- 2:56:16Speaker 1: frustration is I think exipoles are very important to understanding
- 2:56:19Speaker 1: why people voted, and they're not accurate when we report them.
- 2:56:24Speaker 1: We always report them at the start of an election night,
- 2:56:26Speaker 1: when they actually you need to wait until you see
- 2:56:28Speaker 1: the votes come in and the exit pol needs to
- 2:56:30Speaker 1: be rewaited, rewaited to the actual electorate and then you
- 2:56:33Speaker 1: have a more accurate exipole. You ever notice that you'll
- 2:56:36Speaker 1: see exitpole reporting and it gets quote updated, well, it's
- 2:56:39Speaker 1: because it gets reweighted based on actual votes. So what
- 2:56:44Speaker 1: I hate is it is it the first wave of
- 2:56:46Speaker 1: exit poles. They'll report data out of it and they're
- 2:56:49Speaker 1: just misleading everybody on this, So it really should never
- 2:56:52Speaker 1: be reported. Ideally, an exit pole should be conducted solely
- 2:56:56Speaker 1: to find out why people voted the way they voted,
- 2:56:59Speaker 1: and it isn't ready for consumption for at least forty
- 2:57:02Speaker 1: eight hours. But that is not the way we've operated
- 2:57:04Speaker 1: with exit poles. Now, we don't really have any out there.
- 2:57:08Speaker 1: The exit pol Consortium is defunct and all the networks
- 2:57:12Speaker 1: are now just going to AP, which is why an
- 2:57:14Speaker 1: AP's vote counting operation is okay, But there's a reason
- 2:57:18Speaker 1: all the networks wanted their own and this is why
- 2:57:21Speaker 1: I'm doing work with Decision to SHQ. They're their own
- 2:57:24Speaker 1: entity and they've been building their own vote counting system
- 2:57:28Speaker 1: now for about a decade now, and it's outstanding and
- 2:57:32Speaker 1: it's better than APS, it's faster than APS, it's more
- 2:57:35Speaker 1: nimble than APS, and I think there's more to be
- 2:57:40Speaker 1: done there. As for your specific question, I'm mail in voting.
- 2:57:44Speaker 1: So for states that are predominantly mail ballots, we would
- 2:57:49Speaker 1: do a telephone pole in lieu of an exit pole.
- 2:57:52Speaker 1: Exit polls are conducted with literally people after they walk
- 2:57:54Speaker 1: out of voting physical voting place. We would have exit
- 2:57:59Speaker 1: pole takers during early vote and you know, the actual
- 2:58:03Speaker 1: polling places, there's basically, you know, you basically survey every
- 2:58:07Speaker 1: eight voters or every five voters, whatever, whatever the number
- 2:58:10Speaker 1: you decide to use on a given day. But for
- 2:58:13Speaker 1: the majority of those states that are predominantly done by mail,
- 2:58:18Speaker 1: Oregon is the biggest one. Is is U. You've pointed out.
- 2:58:26Speaker 5: Is UH.
- 2:58:28Speaker 1: Is just a more substantive telephone pole, but you have
- 2:58:33Speaker 1: a higher margin of error. I mean, you know, we
- 2:58:35Speaker 1: we do our best to then wait the that poll
- 2:58:38Speaker 1: to the actual vote when you get the when you
- 2:58:40Speaker 1: get the returns in. So that's how we've been doing
- 2:58:43Speaker 1: exit polls in states. When I say we the collective
- 2:58:45Speaker 1: political community, but it's a little less accurate these days.
- 2:58:50Speaker 1: But look not to give away too much, but I'm
- 2:58:53Speaker 1: in the middle of of of helping to figure out
- 2:58:56Speaker 1: how to build a new exit pole, one that won't
- 2:59:01Speaker 1: may not cost an arm and a leg, but it
- 2:59:02Speaker 1: might actually be be able to make a dollar or
- 2:59:05Speaker 1: two and also improve the entire ability of the political
- 2:59:13Speaker 1: community to actually understand why people vote the way they vote.
- 2:59:17Speaker 1: Last question comes from Scott from Pennsylvania ten. I like
- 2:59:21Speaker 1: that more people. I want you to identify your congressional
- 2:59:25Speaker 1: district with the questions. I like this. Let's make this
- 2:59:28Speaker 1: a trend. Scott from Pa ten. Today's polarized environment, even
- 2:59:32Speaker 1: a president attending a sporting event can become a political flashpoint.
- 2:59:35Speaker 1: How do you think president should approach these appearances and
- 2:59:37Speaker 1: what's a reasonable way for fans and players to react?
- 2:59:39Speaker 1: Thanks for you continued great content. Man, I don't know,
- 2:59:44Speaker 1: I you know. I think our presidents, if they want
- 2:59:50Speaker 1: to go to these big events, should go to these
- 2:59:52Speaker 1: big events. I don't know why we have to make
- 2:59:56Speaker 1: a big deal that they're there. Let them make the
- 2:59:58Speaker 1: big deal. I don't think the event itself should make
- 3:00:00Speaker 1: the big deal, right, Why should the event? You know,
- 3:00:04Speaker 1: let people know all the famous people that have decided
- 3:00:07Speaker 1: to go, because it does. You know, look, mayors get booed,
- 3:00:13Speaker 1: Governors get booed, Presidents get booed. Right, It's it's not
- 3:00:16Speaker 1: always the best politics in the moment. You're always gonna
- 3:00:19Speaker 1: get booed because we all everybody just doesn't want politicians
- 3:00:22Speaker 1: in the way of sports. I mean, everybody else wants
- 3:00:24Speaker 1: to read more into it than sometimes that it is.
- 3:00:27Speaker 1: But I will say this, Man, if the Knicks don't
- 3:00:30Speaker 1: win this championship, Trump is Knicks fans are gonna hate.
- 3:00:33Speaker 1: They're gonna blame Trump for decades, For decades.
- 3:00:36Speaker 5: They were on their way to a four game sleep
- 3:00:38Speaker 5: and then Trump came to the garden and took away
- 3:00:42Speaker 5: all the mojo. Right, Like you could just picture how
- 3:00:44Speaker 5: that's never Knicks fans are never going to get over.
- 3:00:47Speaker 5: It's gonna be like, it's gonna be like the oj
- 3:00:49Speaker 5: you know, I read a recent I didn't realize this
- 3:00:52Speaker 5: at the time, but I read a recent that apparently
- 3:00:55Speaker 5: there was conspiracy theories back during.
- 3:00:57Speaker 1: The OJ era. Right famously, the Knicks were in the
- 3:01:01Speaker 1: finals during the OJ Bronco Chase, and it's the famous
- 3:01:04Speaker 1: split screen wasn't even a split screen. It's like three
- 3:01:07Speaker 1: quarters of the screen was on OJ and a tiny
- 3:01:10Speaker 1: little box with the basketball game, and the Knicks were
- 3:01:14Speaker 1: up to to one, and then OJ happened and then
- 3:01:17Speaker 1: they lose it. And I guess the theory is because
- 3:01:20Speaker 1: Akeim Elijahan was a foreign national, he didn't really know
- 3:01:23Speaker 1: or care about OJ Simpson. But because the Knicks were
- 3:01:26Speaker 1: made up of more American players, they were more obsessed
- 3:01:28Speaker 1: about OJ and it got into their heads more than
- 3:01:30Speaker 1: it did the I don't know if I buy it,
- 3:01:33Speaker 1: but it's like the Welcome to the Snake Bit Nicks,
- 3:01:36Speaker 1: right where these outside events and these giant personalities steal
- 3:01:41Speaker 1: their championships from them. Anyway, Look, I want I like
- 3:01:48Speaker 1: the idea that our championship teams get to be honored
- 3:01:51Speaker 1: at the White House. That should be seen as a thing,
- 3:01:54Speaker 1: whether you're left to right. I've shared the story before.
- 3:01:57Speaker 1: You know, Donald Trump politicizes everything worse than any other president.
- 3:02:01Speaker 1: Why do I know this, Barack Obama honored the eighty
- 3:02:03Speaker 1: five Bears, and you know who showed up and was invited,
- 3:02:06Speaker 1: Mike Ditka. And Mike Ditka was being recruited to run
- 3:02:09Speaker 1: against Barack Obama in two thousand and four during that
- 3:02:11Speaker 1: Senate race and Mike Dick cave and brought up. He goes, hey, man,
- 3:02:14Speaker 1: I didn't vote for him, but I'm here, and he
- 3:02:17Speaker 1: said it. Then he goes, I'm here because I respect
- 3:02:19Speaker 1: the presidency. I respect the president, and I love the
- 3:02:22Speaker 1: Chicago Bears and he loves the Chicago Bears. You know,
- 3:02:27Speaker 1: why can't we all behave like Ditka?
- 3:02:29Speaker 5: You know.
- 3:02:32Speaker 1: It's it is. Look, there's a fine line obviously, and
- 3:02:38Speaker 1: we know that. Look, why are politicians open sporting events
- 3:02:41Speaker 1: because they want the reflected glory? And no, we've never
- 3:02:44Speaker 1: had a president in some need of reflected glory more
- 3:02:47Speaker 1: than this one, right, So I it's it's it's going
- 3:02:51Speaker 1: to happen. All I would say is, you know, the
- 3:02:58Speaker 1: to me where presidents mess up is when they try
- 3:03:01Speaker 1: to get involved in sports they know nothing about. And
- 3:03:07Speaker 1: that's all that would be. That would be the one
- 3:03:10Speaker 1: thing I would say on that is sort of make
- 3:03:12Speaker 1: sure you know your you know your sport, or make
- 3:03:15Speaker 1: sure or lean into what you don't know about it,
- 3:03:18Speaker 1: and lean into the fact that, hey, I'm here because
- 3:03:20Speaker 1: everybody's loving them and I grew up and I loved it,
- 3:03:23Speaker 1: and that's it right. Don't try to make it a
- 3:03:26Speaker 1: political event. Act and behave like a fan, and nine
- 3:03:31Speaker 1: times out of ten you might get more respect for it.
- 3:03:36Speaker 1: Scott from PA ten, We'll talk to little Penn State
- 3:03:38Speaker 1: Football the next time you write. By the way, I
- 3:03:43Speaker 1: used my soapbox last episode to say that the Big
- 3:03:47Speaker 1: twelve needed to step up and what Texas Tech was
- 3:03:50Speaker 1: doing was just wrong. I saw that the Big twelve
- 3:03:53Speaker 1: did step up. They haven't made a decision yet, but
- 3:03:56Speaker 1: I'm glad to see that there is public outcry about this.
- 3:04:00Speaker 1: But let's be let you know, I would like to
- 3:04:02Speaker 1: see and you know, ESPN needs to get off its
- 3:04:05Speaker 1: ass on this because they're controlling entity of the CFP.
- 3:04:08Speaker 1: But the College Football Playoff entity can end this tomorrow.
- 3:04:13Speaker 1: We know the NCAA has no teeth, but the CFP
- 3:04:15Speaker 1: can decide who's eligible and ineligible for the College Football Playoff.
- 3:04:19Speaker 1: And if you've admitted to gambling on your own team,
- 3:04:21Speaker 1: you're ineligible to play in the CFP. And how that
- 3:04:25Speaker 1: is not just a standard by law for participating in
- 3:04:31Speaker 1: the CFP is beyond me. If it's not, it should be,
- 3:04:35Speaker 1: and it should be done yesterday. Do I think Brendan
- 3:04:39Speaker 1: Sorosby should have access to college education? I do? Should he?
- 3:04:42Speaker 1: You know, if the judge decides that he should be
- 3:04:44Speaker 1: able to be on the team, if he wants to
- 3:04:45Speaker 1: be on the team, that's fine, and that's up to
- 3:04:47Speaker 1: Texas Tech. But other teams can decide not to play him,
- 3:04:51Speaker 1: and other tournaments can decide he's not eligible, and that's
- 3:04:56Speaker 1: okay too. With that at enjoy the weekend. I'll see
- 3:05:02Speaker 1: in seventy two hours until we meet them, Let's hope.
- 3:05:08Speaker 1: Let's hope we're somewhere closer to a resolution with a run,
- 3:05:14Speaker 1: but I fear by Monday we won't meet