Latest / Toadstool Sports / Tuesday BEST BETS | Ice Cold | NHL Opening Day & WNBA Playoffs & MLB Playoffs | 9/29/26

Transcript

Tuesday BEST BETS | Ice Cold | NHL Opening Day & WNBA Playoffs & MLB Playoffs | 9/29/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: in your chest Black coffee on the felt, man, you
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: look like a mess Three-team parlay turned to dust in
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: your head Now you stare at the chips like they
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: made you this mad But don't you go quiet, don't
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: you fade from the floor Your name still means something
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: to somebody for sure Put the glass down, baby.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: Now Hold on, hold on Not tonight, not now Hold on,
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: hold on Let me pull you out That fella fights
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: hard But it don't get the crown Hold on, hold on,
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: stay with me now.
• 1:28
  Speaker 4: What's up, bro buddy? It's Toad back with you. Toadstool Sports.
• 1:31
  Speaker 4: This is Tuesday, June, what did I say? June, what?
• 1:37
  Speaker 4: September 29th. Dude, I have no sleep. I can't think
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: about anything right now. I was correct about the... Bears
• 1:44
  Speaker 4: and the under last night, but that was, none of
• 1:47
  Speaker 4: that made my card, you know, it was one game, whatever,
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: let me bring up the ticker here, and I don't
• 1:53
  Speaker 4: mean my heart stopped, I mean, there we go, alright,
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: I'm ready for this tonight, I'm not going to like
• 1:59
  Speaker 4: the way this goes, I got my gothic, this is
• 2:02
  Speaker 4: Peyton Tolley, by the way, yeah, there it is, number 70,
• 2:05
  Speaker 4: my gothic Red Sox jersey on, there you go, Boston
• 2:09
  Speaker 4: Red Sox, let's go, I don't know if you can
• 2:11
  Speaker 4: read that in No taxation without representation right there. It's
• 2:16
  Speaker 4: a Boston Tea Party reference there. I don't even think
• 2:19
  Speaker 4: this is an official jersey, but whatever. This is what
• 2:23
  Speaker 4: I'm going with. Peyton Tolley, the founding father. There you go.
• 2:29
  Speaker 4: Also known goth.
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: Oh, man.
• 2:35
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna start out with hockey today I have a
• 2:37
  Speaker 4: hockey play and a WNBA play which you probably already
• 2:40
  Speaker 4: know what it is but the line has definitely moved
• 2:43
  Speaker 4: on that and I don't like that I mean it
• 2:45
  Speaker 4: probably means I'm right about the game but I don't
• 2:47
  Speaker 4: like taking a worse number so we gotta play it
• 2:50
  Speaker 4: a little bit differently and maybe lay a little bit
• 2:52
  Speaker 4: of juice with it but this is playoffs that's what
• 2:55
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna do and then and MLB playoffs I'll tell
• 2:58
  Speaker 4: you what my strongest opinion is but it's it's me
• 3:02
  Speaker 4: man I just don't like the number you know what
• 3:04
  Speaker 4: I mean even though it It probably is still a
• 3:06
  Speaker 4: good number, but all right. Let's get into this. Hockey.
• 3:10
  Speaker 4: This is going to be really quick, but I'm going
• 3:11
  Speaker 4: to have a game in the first game up, which
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: is at 5 p.m. Eastern on ESPN, Florida and Carolina.
• 3:17
  Speaker 4: You know exactly where I'm going with this, if you
• 3:19
  Speaker 4: know what I do. We're going to take Florida here
• 3:26
  Speaker 4: to start off the season. That'll be my first hockey
• 3:28
  Speaker 4: play of the season. We're going to fade the champs, Carolina.
• 3:33
  Speaker 4: I think this could be one of those spots where,
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: you know, it's the banner-raising ceremony, Carolina at home, first
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: game off of winning the Stanley Cup. They finally broke
• 3:42
  Speaker 4: through and won the Stanley Cup. Well, I think that's
• 3:44
  Speaker 4: going to be a distraction, kind of like what I
• 3:46
  Speaker 4: said with the Seahawks in their first game. They didn't
• 3:48
  Speaker 4: cover the Aces. They lost horribly in their game. And
• 3:52
  Speaker 4: the other thing about this that I like is that Florida,
• 3:54
  Speaker 4: I think, is an underrated team right now because they
• 3:56
  Speaker 4: didn't even make the playoffs last year. So you know
• 3:59
  Speaker 4: how recency-biased the public is they're not going to want
• 4:04
  Speaker 4: Florida here. They're going to look at this. It's a
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: cheap price on Carolina. Well, okay. Yeah. But I, if
• 4:10
  Speaker 4: you watch my NHL preview, you know that these are,
• 4:13
  Speaker 4: both of these teams are top teams in the league
• 4:16
  Speaker 4: or they're expected to be this year. So Florida is
• 4:18
  Speaker 4: expected to, you know, like last year was kind of
• 4:22
  Speaker 4: a fluke bad year for them. Florida is expected to
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: be a good team. Carolina is still a good team
• 4:26
  Speaker 4: as well. But, Again, I think this is going to
• 4:29
  Speaker 4: be a distraction for Carolina. I think they're going to
• 4:31
  Speaker 4: be a little bit overvalued here coming into this one.
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: I think Florida will be undervalued based on what they
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: did last year. Carolina performed the best they could have
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: last year, and Florida definitely underperformed what their level actually
• 4:44
  Speaker 4: is last year. So I think there's value here. I
• 4:47
  Speaker 4: think it'll be a distraction spot for Carolina. And the
• 4:50
  Speaker 4: other thing to remember is that One of the main
• 4:54
  Speaker 4: reasons why Carolina could not win the Cup is because
• 4:57
  Speaker 4: Florida kept knocking them out. Carolina could not beat Florida.
• 5:01
  Speaker 4: And then what was the case last year? Oh, yeah,
• 5:03
  Speaker 4: Florida didn't even make the playoffs, so Carolina did not
• 5:05
  Speaker 4: have to get by them. And Carolina won. I believe
• 5:09
  Speaker 4: Florida was 2-1 against Carolina last year, but whatever. We're
• 5:13
  Speaker 4: taking Florida here. Carolina, 60% of tickets on them, 50%
• 5:16
  Speaker 4: of the cash on Florida. Carolina about a minus 120
• 5:20
  Speaker 4: something favorite here. You can find Florida around plus 110.
• 5:23
  Speaker 4: You can get them plus money. That is going to
• 5:25
  Speaker 4: be how I kick off the kickoff. There are no kicks.
• 5:29
  Speaker 4: Maybe during a hockey fight. That is how we're going
• 5:31
  Speaker 4: to face off the hockey season. Tip off? No, that's basketball.
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: I don't fucking know. This is how we're going to
• 5:40
  Speaker 4: start the hockey season with that play. There you go.
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: Dirty Sock, what's up? Thanks for hanging out. The rest
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: of these games, I don't really have much of an
• 5:48
  Speaker 4: opinion on. Montreal and Toronto, this is a rivalry. I mean,
• 5:52
  Speaker 4: these two teams hate each other. They're the two Canadian
• 5:55
  Speaker 4: original six teams. Montreal, you could make the argument they
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: overperformed a little bit last year. They made the playoffs
• 6:01
  Speaker 4: and then they upset the Lightning and probably should not
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: have gotten through that series. But the public's going to
• 6:07
  Speaker 4: be on Montreal on this one because of what they
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: saw last year. And Toronto didn't even make the playoffs,
• 6:12
  Speaker 4: but Toronto was kind of an injured team. Toronto typically
• 6:15
  Speaker 4: is at least a Pretty good regular season team. This
• 6:18
  Speaker 4: will be a big game for them. I think Montreal
• 6:20
  Speaker 4: probably comes into this game as the overvalued team, so
• 6:23
  Speaker 4: I would lean Toronto in this one. Montreal, 50% of tickets,
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: 56% of the cash on them, though. Kind of surprises me.
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: I mean, Toronto's favored, and you would think after last
• 6:32
  Speaker 4: year the public would be grabbing Montreal as the underdog
• 6:35
  Speaker 4: after that, thinking, oh, well, they must be the better
• 6:37
  Speaker 4: team here. And, yeah, I mean, the oddsmakers are basically
• 6:42
  Speaker 4: telling you these teams are about even here. I think
• 6:44
  Speaker 4: you don't get that much home advantage in hockey, probably
• 6:47
  Speaker 4: about 20 cents. So Toronto's basically getting that. So the
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: oddsmakers are kind of telling you these teams are pretty
• 6:55
  Speaker 4: close to even. Yeah, I would leave Toronto there as
• 6:58
  Speaker 4: a team that underperformed last year, and I'm pretty sure
• 7:01
  Speaker 4: didn't make the playoffs, right? Whereas Montreal, I think, if anything,
• 7:04
  Speaker 4: overperformed a little bit, even though Montreal is kind of
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: a young team that is sort of on the rise, though.
• 7:11
  Speaker 4: They are headed in the right direction. Then we have,
• 7:14
  Speaker 4: I don't even know what to say about this. The
• 7:17
  Speaker 4: other original six matchup here between Rangers and Bruins on ESPN.
• 7:23
  Speaker 4: And these are, yeah, these are two teams that are
• 7:27
  Speaker 4: both supposed to be ass this year. This is just
• 7:30
  Speaker 4: going to be great. I mean, these are teams that
• 7:33
  Speaker 4: usually are good. They have a lot of good history.
• 7:35
  Speaker 4: They were in the playoffs pretty much every year up
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: until the last couple of years. And now all of
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: a sudden, Rangers, I think, have missed the playoffs two
• 7:42
  Speaker 4: years in a row. The Bruins somehow have made it
• 7:45
  Speaker 4: the last couple years, but maybe overperformed a little bit
• 7:47
  Speaker 4: in those seasons. Or maybe you could make the argument
• 7:50
  Speaker 4: the Bruins are undervalued. I mean, I said that they
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: were coming into last year. I'm like, how could the
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: Bruins go from, you know, like, we're only like two
• 7:57
  Speaker 4: years removed from the Bruins winning the President's Trophy. And yeah,
• 8:01
  Speaker 4: the team's different, but it's like, I don't know, there's...
• 8:04
  Speaker 4: the team still has some similarities to that team. And
• 8:07
  Speaker 4: all of a sudden you're going to have the Bruins
• 8:09
  Speaker 4: like list, like you're going to give them odds that
• 8:11
  Speaker 4: make them like look like they're one of the worst
• 8:13
  Speaker 4: teams in their entire conference. I don't know. Like, I
• 8:17
  Speaker 4: don't know, man. I mean, I don't really think these
• 8:19
  Speaker 4: teams are going to be good this year, either of
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: these teams, but yeah, this is a difficult game to
• 8:24
  Speaker 4: figure out.
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 8:25
  Speaker 4: I mean, the Bruins at 86% of tickets on them,
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: 90% of the cash on them. They already dropped from
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: minus 129 down to minus 115. Public is on the
• 8:34
  Speaker 4: Bruins because, again, they made the playoffs last year, and
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: they've made the playoffs every year recently, I'm pretty sure.
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: Did they miss it one year maybe?
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 8:41
  Speaker 4: I forget. But, yeah, well, the Rangers have had two
• 8:44
  Speaker 4: bad seasons in a row, so public being recency biased
• 8:48
  Speaker 4: probably will be on the Bruins for that reason. I'll
• 8:51
  Speaker 4: probably slightly lean Rangers here. I don't like it. I mean, yeah,
• 8:56
  Speaker 4: this is an ugly game. I don't like it at all.
• 9:00
  Speaker 4: a lot of money coming in on the over in
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: this one over five and a half. And I mean,
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: maybe when you have two shitty teams, the public tends
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: to think that means it's going to be low scoring,
• 9:09
  Speaker 4: but not really. Cause it can mean the defenses aren't
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: going to really be that good or whatever. Um, although
• 9:14
  Speaker 4: I don't know, I would hesitate to play overs this
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: early in the season in a lot of cases because
• 9:19
  Speaker 4: the offenses might not be totally up to speed yet.
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: Like it's, it's easier to come out and play deep
• 9:24
  Speaker 4: vents right away than it is, uh, to play offense,
• 9:28
  Speaker 4: although these teams did play in the preseason, whatever. In fact,
• 9:30
  Speaker 4: I think the Bruins played against the Rangers during the preseason.
• 9:34
  Speaker 4: It doesn't matter at all, but I have no idea
• 9:35
  Speaker 4: what the result of that game was. No, I guess
• 9:38
  Speaker 4: I'm wrong. They didn't. I thought they did.
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 9:41
  Speaker 4: That's weird. All right, never mind. And no, I'm not
• 9:44
  Speaker 4: going to this game tonight. It's going to be a
• 9:47
  Speaker 4: shitty hockey game, but I assume the crowd will be
• 9:51
  Speaker 4: there for it, though, and drunk. It's Boston-New York, original
• 9:55
  Speaker 4: six rivalry, so you've got to show up for it,
• 9:58
  Speaker 4: although I will not be perfect. Vancouver at Edmonton I
• 10:02
  Speaker 4: mean this is obviously a lopsided matchup here Vancouver is
• 10:05
  Speaker 4: one of the worst teams in the league probably will
• 10:07
  Speaker 4: remain that way Edmonton is one of the top teams
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: Edmonton is very public though 90% of tickets 77% of
• 10:15
  Speaker 4: the cash from Vancouver Edmonton is laying minus 300 here
• 10:18
  Speaker 4: which is I mean, that's one of the highest money
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: lines you'll see in a hockey game because, again, this
• 10:24
  Speaker 4: is one of the widest disparities between two teams you're
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: going to have in the NHL this year. Edmonton, probably
• 10:30
  Speaker 4: like a top five team. Vancouver, one of the absolute worst.
• 10:34
  Speaker 4: Edmonton should win this game. I mean, there's not a
• 10:38
  Speaker 4: whole lot else to say about this. I would not
• 10:39
  Speaker 4: lay minus 300. I would not lay a puck line
• 10:43
  Speaker 4: on Edmonton or anything like that, even though Edmonton is
• 10:45
  Speaker 4: a scoring team, so... If any team is going to
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: cover a puck line, it's more likely going to be
• 10:50
  Speaker 4: a team like Edmonton than many other teams because they're
• 10:53
  Speaker 4: pretty much all offense. I guess one of the ways
• 10:57
  Speaker 4: you could play this, even though I don't like overs early,
• 11:00
  Speaker 4: the money is coming in on the over here. You
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: could take Edmonton's team total over, and that might get
• 11:05
  Speaker 4: there if you expect them to win the game. But
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: then again, the money is coming in on Vancouver in
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: that game, so I don't know. But Edmonton... Typically, they're
• 11:14
  Speaker 4: going to score a lot, but we'll see how good
• 11:16
  Speaker 4: their scoring is in the first game of the season.
• 11:19
  Speaker 4: And then the other game is also lopsided between Chicago
• 11:22
  Speaker 4: and Vegas on ESPN, 10.30 p.m. Eastern. You know, I
• 11:27
  Speaker 4: don't love these more Eastern teams going out West because
• 11:30
  Speaker 4: they can mess with their biological clocks, although at least
• 11:33
  Speaker 4: first game of the season, you kind of have more
• 11:35
  Speaker 4: time to prepare for it. But yeah, Chicago will have
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: to adjust their bio clocks for this. However, Vegas... they're
• 11:42
  Speaker 4: the runner-up from last year, you know what I mean,
• 11:44
  Speaker 4: a lot of times that team does fall flat, not
• 11:47
  Speaker 4: only in the first game, but in the season in general,
• 11:50
  Speaker 4: so I would not want to play Vegas here, and
• 11:52
  Speaker 4: they're a really heavy price at minus 260, something like that,
• 11:55
  Speaker 4: 84% of tickets on them, coming off losing the Stanley
• 11:59
  Speaker 4: Cup Finals, and remember, going all that way just to
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: fall short, you spent all that extra energy too, which
• 12:04
  Speaker 4: we should apply that to Carolina too, right, like Florida
• 12:07
  Speaker 4: has had so much more time off than Carolina here, which, yeah,
• 12:11
  Speaker 4: that could make you go cold. But still, Carolina had
• 12:14
  Speaker 4: to spend all those extra, you know, it was like
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: an extra what, like almost two months basically playing hockey
• 12:20
  Speaker 4: and putting all that effort in to win the championship.
• 12:24
  Speaker 4: That could take its toll on you, man. So that's
• 12:26
  Speaker 4: the state that Carolina's in and Vegas. And for Vegas,
• 12:29
  Speaker 4: they did all that just to fall short. So I
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: would fade Vegas if I was going to play this game. Yeah,
• 12:35
  Speaker 4: money is agreeing with that. 84% of tickets on Vegas,
• 12:38
  Speaker 4: 52% of the cash on Chicago. You could take the
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: puck line with Chicago plus one and a half probably
• 12:45
  Speaker 4: and get a decent price on that. I think that
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: is the right way to play this game. Even though
• 12:49
  Speaker 4: the money is slightly indicating on the over, it's not
• 12:52
  Speaker 4: really that high of a total. It's five and a
• 12:54
  Speaker 4: half or six. I mean, the hockey totals don't vary
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: that much. They range basically between five and six and
• 13:00
  Speaker 4: a half usually. So, yeah, I mean... Those are my
• 13:04
  Speaker 4: thoughts on that. I think the value lies with Chicago
• 13:06
  Speaker 4: on that one. I don't think the spot is that
• 13:08
  Speaker 4: good for Vegas. So that is what I think about that. WNBA,
• 13:13
  Speaker 4: we have two games today. These are three-game series, remember.
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: So we have teams that are down 1-0 that are
• 13:19
  Speaker 4: facing elimination. Indiana is one of those teams against Vegas.
• 13:23
  Speaker 4: This is on Amazon Prime. One going out on a
• 13:27
  Speaker 4: limb pick in my bracket was Indiana to win this
• 13:30
  Speaker 4: series because Indiana has been really good against Vegas this season,
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: but that was not the case in game one. Vegas
• 13:37
  Speaker 4: basically steamrolled them and put up over 102 points, but
• 13:40
  Speaker 4: I think that's going to overvalue Vegas. After you see
• 13:42
  Speaker 4: a team win in a blowout like that and they
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: put up over 100 points, I think the only way
• 13:47
  Speaker 4: to look at this game is to zigzag this and
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: to fade Vegas. If you look at this game, maybe Vegas...
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: real outlier shooting here. They shot 59% from the field
• 13:56
  Speaker 4: and 47% from three, even though Indiana hit more threes
• 14:00
  Speaker 4: because they take more threes. Still, Indiana didn't shoot as well,
• 14:04
  Speaker 4: and Indiana is a pretty good offensive team. They're not
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: that good defensively, but I still don't see Vegas being
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: able to replicate that type of shooting. I mean, that's
• 14:12
  Speaker 4: pretty much an outlier, although Vegas did win the rebound battle,
• 14:16
  Speaker 4: so they were the better team there, which makes sense.
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: I mean, they got Asia Wilson, so That's more often
• 14:22
  Speaker 4: than not. They're going to beat most teams in that
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: department just because she's in there, but I'm going to
• 14:28
  Speaker 4: lean Indiana here. I mean, yeah, it, These teams do
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: both have to travel to Indiana, but Indiana's going to
• 14:32
  Speaker 4: be at home. They've done well against Vegas this year,
• 14:35
  Speaker 4: even though the one time they played here at home,
• 14:37
  Speaker 4: they did lose to Vegas, but it was an overtime loss,
• 14:40
  Speaker 4: and that was their only regular season loss to Vegas.
• 14:42
  Speaker 4: They won both games in Vegas. I think Indiana wins,
• 14:46
  Speaker 4: and they send it to a deciding game three in Vegas. Yeah,
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: I'm going to lean Indiana here. I think the money's
• 14:54
  Speaker 4: agreeing with this. Yeah, 78% of tickets, 94% of the
• 14:57
  Speaker 4: cash on them. You got to lean one and a
• 14:58
  Speaker 4: half with them. I think that's the side that I
• 15:02
  Speaker 4: would lean to there. I don't have a whole lot
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: else there. But Indiana, you know, I mean, Kaitlin Clark,
• 15:08
  Speaker 4: it's like her third. I almost said his. That's some
• 15:11
  Speaker 4: other WNBA players. It's her third year, I think, in
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: the WNBA now. So, you know, she's got some experience now.
• 15:20
  Speaker 4: I think Indiana won a playoff series last year, too.
• 15:22
  Speaker 4: So they're at least in the playoffs. I think both
• 15:25
  Speaker 4: years with her they were in the playoffs. So, yeah.
• 15:30
  Speaker 4: They got some experience now, at least, even though Vegas
• 15:32
  Speaker 4: is a very experienced team. That is true. But, yeah,
• 15:35
  Speaker 4: I think Indiana is able to get that one. They
• 15:37
  Speaker 4: seem to have a matchup edge against Vegas, even though
• 15:39
  Speaker 4: it didn't show in that first game. And that leads
• 15:42
  Speaker 4: me to my other play, which is you know I'm
• 15:44
  Speaker 4: going to do this. I'm Minnesota-New York, but this line
• 15:46
  Speaker 4: has already moved a lot in the direction that I like.
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: In the direction of the side that I like, but
• 15:55
  Speaker 4: I don't like that the line moved like that because
• 15:57
  Speaker 4: we get less value. But it does confirm my thoughts
• 16:01
  Speaker 4: on this game. USA Network, CNBC has this game. New
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: York went into Minnesota and beat Minnesota in game one.
• 16:09
  Speaker 4: How they did that, I don't know. They won by
• 16:12
  Speaker 4: 16 as about seven-point underdogs here. Liberty shot ridiculously in
• 16:17
  Speaker 4: the game. They shot 51% from the field, 52% from three.
• 16:21
  Speaker 4: They made four more threes. They somehow went to the
• 16:23
  Speaker 4: free throw line more, which, by the way, Vegas also
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: went to the free throw line more. more than Indiana,
• 16:28
  Speaker 4: although that might be replicated again for Vegas, because again,
• 16:31
  Speaker 4: Asia Wilson in there, she's just going to go to
• 16:33
  Speaker 4: the line a lot, because Indiana doesn't exactly have a
• 16:37
  Speaker 4: paint presence that can match up with her, even though
• 16:40
  Speaker 4: Indiana has still been able to match up well against Vegas,
• 16:43
  Speaker 4: just because they do all this perimeter shooting, and I
• 16:46
  Speaker 4: don't know, they've been able to beat Vegas that way,
• 16:48
  Speaker 4: but anyway, New York, Yeah, I think this could be
• 16:52
  Speaker 4: a bit of an outlier here. I don't think New
• 16:54
  Speaker 4: York is going to be getting to the line that
• 16:56
  Speaker 4: much more than Minnesota. If anything, Minnesota has the better
• 16:58
  Speaker 4: paint presence than the Liberty do, as Minnesota does at
• 17:02
  Speaker 4: least have Collier in there and whatever. The one weird thing, though,
• 17:06
  Speaker 4: is New York won this rebound battle dramatically. That does
• 17:09
  Speaker 4: worry me a little bit here. 38 rebounds to 23,
• 17:12
  Speaker 4: and New York had a ton of turnovers. 21, and
• 17:15
  Speaker 4: they still won this game by 16. So, yeah, that is...
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: That does worry me coming into this game, but I
• 17:21
  Speaker 4: still think we have to do this. Even though I
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: wish this box score was a little bit more misleading.
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: We're going to take Minnesota, man. I mean, this is it.
• 17:33
  Speaker 4: The number one team in the league. They're facing elimination here. Yeah,
• 17:37
  Speaker 4: I think they're going to get it done. We have
• 17:39
  Speaker 4: to take them on the money line, though, and it
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: is kind of juicy at minus 155. This line has
• 17:43
  Speaker 4: moved up from one and a half. One and a
• 17:45
  Speaker 4: half would have been awesome. I waited, and it's three
• 17:48
  Speaker 4: and a half now. So some real money has come
• 17:50
  Speaker 4: in on the Minnesota side here. And yes, this game
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: is in New York, but I don't care. But I'm
• 17:57
  Speaker 4: pretty sure Minnesota has won. Or no, wait, Minnesota's lost
• 18:01
  Speaker 4: three out of four, I think, to the Liberty this year, right?
• 18:04
  Speaker 4: I think they have. Let me see. Yeah, so the
• 18:07
  Speaker 4: Liberty have been able to beat Minnesota this year. But
• 18:11
  Speaker 4: all that being said, and Minnesota hasn't won a game
• 18:13
  Speaker 4: by more than five against them. I still don't care.
• 18:16
  Speaker 4: We just need them to win this game. We're talking
• 18:18
  Speaker 4: about the best team in the league in a zigzag
• 18:20
  Speaker 4: spot here. I did tell you it wasn't going to
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: be that easy facing New York, and I did lean.
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure I leaned to New York in Game
• 18:26
  Speaker 4: 1 here. Yeah, I mean, I did not think this
• 18:30
  Speaker 4: series was going to be easy for Minnesota. I still
• 18:32
  Speaker 4: did pick them to win the championship. I don't think
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: they're going to get swept out of the playoffs, although
• 18:36
  Speaker 4: it's going to be a lot more likely after they
• 18:38
  Speaker 4: lost Game 1. Now they have to play this game
• 18:40
  Speaker 4: in New York. But there's a reason why the money's
• 18:43
  Speaker 4: coming in on Minnesota. 59% of tickets, 67% of the
• 18:46
  Speaker 4: cash on them, and real money enough to drive this
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: line up two points.
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 18:52
  Speaker 4: I think it's the right side. It looks like the
• 18:53
  Speaker 4: money agrees with me on that. You can lay the
• 18:56
  Speaker 4: three and a half, I guess, if you want to,
• 18:58
  Speaker 4: but that worries me a little bit more. I just
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: want to take them to win the game, so it's playoffs,
• 19:03
  Speaker 4: so I'm a little bit more likely to do something
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: with the money line like this in the playoffs. I
• 19:08
  Speaker 4: say we do it. Playoffs, you know... Minnesota, better team,
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: zigzag spot, let's do it. They just lost at home
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: as a big favorite. Usually teams bounce back in a
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: scenario like that, whereas usually teams off a big upset
• 19:20
  Speaker 4: don't do as well. And I know this is the playoffs,
• 19:23
  Speaker 4: so neither team's going to lack in motivation. Yes, I
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: am concerned that Minnesota won the turnover battle by a
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: lot in that game and still lost badly. That is
• 19:31
  Speaker 4: a red flag, usually. New York won the rebound battle.
• 19:34
  Speaker 4: That worries me as well. But, yeah, I don't know, man.
• 19:38
  Speaker 4: I just don't see it. Minnesota, and both of these
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: teams have a ton of experience, even though I know
• 19:42
  Speaker 4: one of Minnesota's best players is a rookie, but they
• 19:45
  Speaker 4: still surround her with a lot of experienced players, so
• 19:49
  Speaker 4: I think they should be able to get... this done.
• 19:51
  Speaker 4: This is a Minnesota team that you got to think
• 19:52
  Speaker 4: they're really hungry to get this thing after the way
• 19:55
  Speaker 4: the last two seasons went. Like last year, they were
• 19:57
  Speaker 4: the best team in the league. And Collier went down
• 20:01
  Speaker 4: in the playoffs and they lost. The year before that,
• 20:04
  Speaker 4: they were in the final against New York, by the way,
• 20:07
  Speaker 4: and Minnesota got screwed. out of that series. They lost
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: on a bad call, pretty much, in the finals two
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: years ago. So I think that should motivate Minnesota in
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: this series more, too, because they have a lot of
• 20:19
  Speaker 4: the same players as that year. They remember that. These
• 20:23
  Speaker 4: two teams do not like each other. I think Minnesota
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: has more reason to not like New York because of
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: what happened two years ago in the finals. I'm pretty
• 20:31
  Speaker 4: sure that, if I'm remembering correctly, I'm pretty sure I am. Anyway, yeah,
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: Minnesota will be a play for me, Moneyline. All right,
• 20:40
  Speaker 4: Major League Baseball playoffs here. I don't have the statistics
• 20:45
  Speaker 4: up here for hitting and bullpens and whatever. We know
• 20:50
  Speaker 4: at this point who these teams are. We've seen a
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: full season, whatever. It is what it is. All right,
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: the first game up is in the afternoon, 2 p.m.
• 20:58
  Speaker 4: Eastern on NBC, Philadelphia, Atlanta. You know, my biggest kind
• 21:02
  Speaker 4: of outlier pick in my bracket was Philadelphia to win
• 21:06
  Speaker 4: the series against Atlanta. Clint did not like that at all.
• 21:09
  Speaker 4: By the way, go watch Bald. I'll plug it again
• 21:12
  Speaker 4: at the end of the show, but I had Clint
• 21:13
  Speaker 4: on to talk about baseball as well because both of
• 21:16
  Speaker 4: our teams are in this thing. I stick by Philly
• 21:20
  Speaker 4: winning this series, but like I said, Atlanta with Chris
• 21:24
  Speaker 4: Sale on the mound, that's who they have today. Basically,
• 21:28
  Speaker 4: Philly needs to counter him with a good pitcher, and
• 21:30
  Speaker 4: they only are sort of here, which I'll explain in
• 21:33
  Speaker 4: a minute. But I do think Philadelphia will have a
• 21:36
  Speaker 4: pitching edge today. in every game that is not Chris
• 21:39
  Speaker 4: Sale starting. You know what I mean? That's the thing.
• 21:40
  Speaker 4: I know this is a three-game series, and if you
• 21:43
  Speaker 4: lose game one, yeah, that puts you in a big-time
• 21:46
  Speaker 4: hole because you need to win two in a row.
• 21:48
  Speaker 4: You absolutely have to win two in a row after
• 21:50
  Speaker 4: you lose the first game. Philly might be in a
• 21:53
  Speaker 4: position to do that, but I'm still not going to
• 21:57
  Speaker 4: count them out in this game either, even though Atlanta
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: is a big favorite here. We know Chris Sale is
• 22:02
  Speaker 4: on the mound, but Jesus Lizardo is starting for Philly,
• 22:04
  Speaker 4: so why is Atlanta this big of a favorite? Well,
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: the problem is Luzardo's coming off the injured list, and
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: I think he's only going to pitch like a couple
• 22:14
  Speaker 4: innings maybe at most at the beginning of this game,
• 22:16
  Speaker 4: and then Philly's going to their bullpen, and that's kind
• 22:19
  Speaker 4: of a problem because we know Philly's bullpen is not
• 22:21
  Speaker 4: that good, and Atlanta's bullpen is good, but also Chris
• 22:25
  Speaker 4: Sale is good. So I don't really love Philly in
• 22:28
  Speaker 4: this game, but, you know, I mean, if you want
• 22:31
  Speaker 4: Philly here, you've got to hope that Luzardo's going to
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: get you more innings than... what you think he is
• 22:37
  Speaker 4: because I don't know I don't exactly know what they're
• 22:39
  Speaker 4: going to do with him because he just came off
• 22:42
  Speaker 4: the injured list he pitched one inning the other day
• 22:44
  Speaker 4: in one of their games to kind of get him
• 22:47
  Speaker 4: a little bit ready for this but it seems like
• 22:48
  Speaker 4: they're not going to be using him as a full
• 22:49
  Speaker 4: starter which sucks because they need him to do that
• 22:53
  Speaker 4: like Luzardo was one of the main he was one
• 22:55
  Speaker 4: of the key guys that they needed here he had
• 22:57
  Speaker 4: a good season 2.86 ERA 1.07 whip. He's been excellent
• 23:02
  Speaker 4: on the road. 1.76 road ERA. And he was really
• 23:07
  Speaker 4: good before he got hurt, too. He had a complete
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: game shutout against this Atlanta team, by the way. And
• 23:12
  Speaker 4: he's been really good against Atlanta in his career in
• 23:15
  Speaker 4: a huge sample size of 179 at-bats, 190 average allowed,
• 23:19
  Speaker 4: 503 OPS, 56-12 strikeout walk ratio. Luzardo is a guy
• 23:24
  Speaker 4: they absolutely need here, man.
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: So.
• 23:28
  Speaker 4: If you want Philly, you've got to hope that they're
• 23:30
  Speaker 4: going to use him for maybe two to three innings here.
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: Maybe they will. I don't know. But they need to
• 23:35
  Speaker 4: counter Chris Sale some way. And if Luzardo was fully healthy,
• 23:39
  Speaker 4: I think he'd be able to. And this game would
• 23:41
  Speaker 4: definitely look like an under if that was the case.
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: And maybe it still does. Chris Sale, we know he
• 23:46
  Speaker 4: had an elite season, 2.16 ERA,. 98 whip. He just
• 23:52
  Speaker 4: pitched twice against Philly recently. He was good in both
• 23:54
  Speaker 4: of those starts. I mean, we know. He's good, whatever.
• 23:58
  Speaker 4: Sale against Philly, 209 batting average allowed, 571 OPS allowed,
• 24:02
  Speaker 4: 177 at bat, so a really big sample here as well.
• 24:05
  Speaker 4: 56-8 strikeout walk ratio. Sale has done really well against
• 24:09
  Speaker 4: Philly as well. I still think this is an under.
• 24:14
  Speaker 4: The money seems to agree with this. 64% of tickets
• 24:16
  Speaker 4: on the over, 53% of the cash on the over.
• 24:18
  Speaker 4: The total is 6.5, though. It's teetering on 7. I
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: don't know if you're going to find a 7 out there.
• 24:25
  Speaker 4: The bullpens are at least rested here, although Philly's bullpen
• 24:28
  Speaker 4: is a little bit untrustworthy, but also Luzardo. Again, you
• 24:31
  Speaker 4: don't know how many innings he's going to throw. So
• 24:34
  Speaker 4: first five under, I think maybe the best way to
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: play this. I don't really want to do it because
• 24:38
  Speaker 4: it'll be a three or whatever, but you'll get Luzardo
• 24:41
  Speaker 4: for at least a couple of those innings and you'll
• 24:43
  Speaker 4: get sale for probably all of them. So yeah, I mean,
• 24:48
  Speaker 4: some sort of under is probably the best way to
• 24:50
  Speaker 4: play this game. First five under probably is what I
• 24:52
  Speaker 4: would say, but I hate that three. And you know
• 24:55
  Speaker 4: that full game, six and a half, as I always say,
• 24:58
  Speaker 4: playing those under actually does result in profit long-term, a
• 25:02
  Speaker 4: little bit of it, in Major League Baseball, even though
• 25:04
  Speaker 4: I hate not having that key number. I'm going to
• 25:07
  Speaker 4: talk about that again in the Red Sox-Yankees matchup, which
• 25:10
  Speaker 4: is like an obvious under game, I think. You know,
• 25:14
  Speaker 4: 83% of tickets, 74% of the cash on Atlanta. So
• 25:18
  Speaker 4: the money is fading Atlanta. I mean, they're minus 200 here.
• 25:22
  Speaker 4: And yet, even with Atlanta being minus 200 in this game,
• 25:25
  Speaker 4: they're only minus 120 or something to win the series. So,
• 25:28
  Speaker 4: the odds are telling you, with Philly having Wheeler and
• 25:32
  Speaker 4: Sanchez most likely in the next two games, if it
• 25:35
  Speaker 4: gets to that, against shitty pitchers for Atlanta. By the way,
• 25:39
  Speaker 4: Martin Perez is hurt, apparently. So, Atlanta, and I forgot
• 25:41
  Speaker 4: about Molly, but I don't think he's really that good anyway.
• 25:44
  Speaker 4: It's probably going to be Molly tomorrow for Atlanta, and
• 25:47
  Speaker 4: then it's going to be Grant Holmes, I guess, or something.
• 25:51
  Speaker 4: I don't know, man. So, like, Atlanta's going to be
• 25:53
  Speaker 4: at a starting pitching disadvantage in all the other games
• 25:55
  Speaker 4: besides this one. Maybe Luzardo will go longer than we think.
• 25:58
  Speaker 4: Maybe he can counter sale. I mean, the money is
• 26:00
  Speaker 4: at least coming in against Atlanta here. So, you know,
• 26:05
  Speaker 4: I mean, there might be an argument to take Philly
• 26:07
  Speaker 4: in the first five to just stay close in this game,
• 26:10
  Speaker 4: take them like plus the half run in the first
• 26:12
  Speaker 4: five or whatever. But, yeah, I still think the under
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: makes the most sense in that game in whatever capacity.
• 26:18
  Speaker 4: Still first five probably better because Luzardo– you know, I
• 26:23
  Speaker 4: wish it wasn't the case, but he's just a question mark.
• 26:25
  Speaker 4: If he was, if he was fully healthy, the full
• 26:28
  Speaker 4: game under would definitely make sense in this game. And
• 26:30
  Speaker 4: maybe it still does. And maybe, maybe we're misreading this
• 26:33
  Speaker 4: thing and maybe Luzardo is going to pitch more than
• 26:35
  Speaker 4: we think, but we'll see. I mean, Philly kind of
• 26:38
  Speaker 4: needs him too, because he is an excellent road pitcher
• 26:41
  Speaker 4: and he's excellent against Atlanta. Um, you're going to watch bald.
• 26:45
  Speaker 4: Hell yeah. Um, Yeah, it was a fun show, as usual, yeah.
• 26:51
  Speaker 4: Clint and I agreed to a large extent, I will say.
• 26:56
  Speaker 4: Let me see. Except for this series, Philadelphia and Atlanta.
• 27:00
  Speaker 4: The next series up, I don't know what the fuck
• 27:02
  Speaker 4: these teams are doing with this. This is going to
• 27:06
  Speaker 4: be a series with bad pitching, I think. The White
• 27:08
  Speaker 4: Sox and the Astros. Peacock, NBC Sports, 5 p.m.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: Eastern.
• 27:15
  Speaker 4: I already mentioned I do like Houston to win this series.
• 27:17
  Speaker 4: I mean, Chicago is massively inexperienced. I mean, you have
• 27:20
  Speaker 4: a team that went from a really, really bad season,
• 27:24
  Speaker 4: like the last two seasons in a row, they go
• 27:26
  Speaker 4: from one of the worst teams in all of baseball
• 27:28
  Speaker 4: to making the playoffs. That type of jump is just
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: a little bit insane, and I think it's a little
• 27:32
  Speaker 4: bit too much for these guys who are not going
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: to be experienced. So I do think Houston gets through
• 27:37
  Speaker 4: this series. This game, though, the pitching setup in this
• 27:42
  Speaker 4: game looks ridiculous. It's like Both of these teams are
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: going with a bullpen game here, pretty much, which is
• 27:48
  Speaker 4: kind of insane. Overall, though, Houston's got the better team, though,
• 27:54
  Speaker 4: in general. By the way, I will mention Atlanta is
• 27:56
  Speaker 4: the better offense against Philly as well. In this series,
• 28:00
  Speaker 4: Houston's the better offense. I think the bullpens are pretty
• 28:03
  Speaker 4: closely matched. White Sox may be a little better in
• 28:06
  Speaker 4: that department. And then the starting pitching here again, it's like,
• 28:09
  Speaker 4: what the fuck? What are these teams doing? Will Houston's
• 28:13
  Speaker 4: experience get them through this? They might. I mean, Houston,
• 28:16
  Speaker 4: they do use bullpen games to some extent, so they
• 28:19
  Speaker 4: are kind of familiar with it, although I guess the
• 28:20
  Speaker 4: White Sox have done that too, but Houston's done it
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: in the playoffs before, and we're not really that far
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: removed from Houston's last World Series win, so... I think
• 28:29
  Speaker 4: this Houston team might be able to get it done,
• 28:31
  Speaker 4: and Houston does have one of the best hitters in
• 28:33
  Speaker 4: all of baseball, who I rarely talk about on the show,
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: which is Alvarez is his name, right? Yeah, Jordan Alvarez,
• 28:43
  Speaker 4: although he's a DH pretty much, but he's one of
• 28:45
  Speaker 4: the best hitters in baseball, and I think he's going
• 28:47
  Speaker 4: to be the MVP. Hagan Smith is getting the start
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: for the White Sox. He'll be an opener, but he
• 28:53
  Speaker 4: looks good. I mean, he's a young guy. I mean,
• 28:55
  Speaker 4: I'm not saying he's handsome, because I don't think he is.
• 28:58
  Speaker 4: What do I know? I'm not gay. He's got really
• 29:00
  Speaker 4: good numbers, though. 1.29 ERA,. 96 whip. He's only a 23-year-old, but...
• 29:06
  Speaker 4: He's only gone max like two or three innings in
• 29:09
  Speaker 4: every outing, so he's probably only going to go a
• 29:10
  Speaker 4: couple innings here. He's been good against Houston, I think,
• 29:15
  Speaker 4: or Houston's never seen him. I forget which. Yeah, Houston's
• 29:17
  Speaker 4: never faced him before. So he might be good while
• 29:20
  Speaker 4: he's out there, but I think Chicago is actually going
• 29:23
  Speaker 4: to use Eric Fetty in this game. That's pretty questionable,
• 29:27
  Speaker 4: although I looked, and Fetty actually does have good numbers
• 29:29
  Speaker 4: against Houston, like a below 200 batting average allowed to them,
• 29:33
  Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure. And a 600-something OPS. So if Chicago
• 29:38
  Speaker 4: is using Fetty here, which I looked five games ago,
• 29:40
  Speaker 4: they did use him. They might be using him in
• 29:43
  Speaker 4: this game. I don't actually think that's going to kill
• 29:45
  Speaker 4: Chicago in this game with Fetty in there. And Houston's
• 29:49
  Speaker 4: going with A.J. Blue Balls, who has not been as good.
• 29:55
  Speaker 4: He's a relief pitcher as well, though. 3.66 ERA, 1.23 whip. Um,
• 30:01
  Speaker 4: you know, he's better at home. The White Sox, I
• 30:02
  Speaker 4: don't think have too much experience against them. I don't know.
• 30:05
  Speaker 4: They do act well. They have 17 at bats against them.
• 30:07
  Speaker 4: Most of the hitters to face them. They've actually hit
• 30:09
  Speaker 4: them hard. Three 53 average eight 92 OPS. Yeah. I mean,
• 30:15
  Speaker 4: this is a tough game to predict, but honestly, this
• 30:17
  Speaker 4: pitching setup actually doesn't look that good for use. And
• 30:20
  Speaker 4: I think Houston, if you go back five games ago,
• 30:23
  Speaker 4: it looks like Houston would be going with Ethan Petco, uh,
• 30:27
  Speaker 4: coming into this game for some period of time here
• 30:29
  Speaker 4: where he's a rookie uh you know he's been in
• 30:32
  Speaker 4: their starting rotation he's been somewhat okay but that to
• 30:37
  Speaker 4: me that doesn't look good for Houston and I don't
• 30:40
  Speaker 4: know it sounds insane but I think maybe the Fedde
• 30:42
  Speaker 4: setup is actually better here like I think if you're
• 30:44
  Speaker 4: looking at the side here I think maybe the White
• 30:47
  Speaker 4: Sox actually makes sense in this game I don't really
• 30:49
  Speaker 4: want to do it because of the experience disadvantage but
• 30:52
  Speaker 4: 55% of the tickets on Houston, 54% of the cash
• 30:55
  Speaker 4: on the White Sox. Money coming in on the White Sox.
• 30:58
  Speaker 4: I just don't like how Houston's setting up this pitching here.
• 31:02
  Speaker 4: And the money's kind of backing the under. 61% of tickets,
• 31:05
  Speaker 4: 58% of the cash on the under. Total's at eight,
• 31:08
  Speaker 4: so this is the highest total out of any of
• 31:09
  Speaker 4: these games. I think the over might actually be the
• 31:13
  Speaker 4: best way to play this game, though. I mean, maybe
• 31:14
  Speaker 4: it's just my hatred of bullpen games kind of misleading
• 31:18
  Speaker 4: me here, but I do not like... pitching in this
• 31:23
  Speaker 4: game so I don't know this this game looks like
• 31:25
  Speaker 4: an over to me when I think about it but
• 31:28
  Speaker 4: yeah and maybe a little bit of value on the
• 31:30
  Speaker 4: White Sox but uh yeah I mean I think over
• 31:34
  Speaker 4: might be the better way to play that and I
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: think Houston's experience somehow winds up getting them that series
• 31:39
  Speaker 4: but we will say you don't agree nobody agrees that's
• 31:43
  Speaker 4: why I like it It's a contrarian play on Philly.
• 31:46
  Speaker 4: Philly's going to have the pitch. Dude, Atlanta's starting pitching
• 31:49
  Speaker 4: rotation is a fucking disaster, except for Chris Sale. Like,
• 31:53
  Speaker 4: they have nobody else. Their pitching rotation depth is terrible.
• 31:57
  Speaker 4: And Philly's is really good. So, like, Philly is going
• 32:01
  Speaker 4: to have the pitching edge in all the other games
• 32:02
  Speaker 4: in the series besides this one. And, you know, Luzardo,
• 32:06
  Speaker 4: while he's out there, he can at least kind of
• 32:08
  Speaker 4: duel Chris Sale. Although, if the game is close, I
• 32:11
  Speaker 4: don't expect Philly's bullpen to be able to win them it,
• 32:13
  Speaker 4: you know? So I don't really think Philly's going to
• 32:15
  Speaker 4: win this game today, but yeah. And then we have
• 32:19
  Speaker 4: Red Sox-Yankees at 8 p.m. on NBC. The Red Sox
• 32:24
  Speaker 4: already getting screwed by Major League Baseball. As you probably
• 32:29
  Speaker 4: are well aware, because I keep complaining about it, the
• 32:32
  Speaker 4: Red Sox and the Yankees both had meaningless series at
• 32:35
  Speaker 4: the end of the season here. They both had rain
• 32:40
  Speaker 4: outs on Saturday because of the Nor'easter. Both teams played
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: a doubleheader on Friday. But the Red Sox and Cubs
• 32:46
  Speaker 4: were forced to go down to Tampa and play that
• 32:49
  Speaker 4: game in Tampa, and it was meaningless. People were trying
• 32:52
  Speaker 4: to argue that it wasn't meaningless for the NL. It was. Chicago,
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: the only thing that could have happened was Chicago could
• 32:59
  Speaker 4: have lost, which they didn't, and Philly could have won,
• 33:01
  Speaker 4: which they did, and those teams would have wound up tied,
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: but Chicago still had the tiebreaker. So nothing would have changed.
• 33:07
  Speaker 4: So I don't understand what we're talking about here. And
• 33:09
  Speaker 4: Chicago was two games behind San Diego, and they won
• 33:12
  Speaker 4: as well. But it didn't even matter, like, whether the
• 33:17
  Speaker 4: teams had won or lost. Chicago was locked into this
• 33:20
  Speaker 4: five seed or whatever they are. So that was ridiculous.
• 33:23
  Speaker 4: The Major League Baseball made the Red Sox and Chicago
• 33:26
  Speaker 4: go down to Tampa, play that game, whereas Yankees were
• 33:29
  Speaker 4: supposed to play Baltimore in the— Major League Baseball is
• 33:32
  Speaker 4: just like, nope, we're canceling the game. Season's over. So
• 33:35
  Speaker 4: the Yankees got to stay in New York. They got
• 33:37
  Speaker 4: an extra day of rest while the Red Sox had
• 33:39
  Speaker 4: to travel, although the Red Sox kind of just threw
• 33:42
  Speaker 4: that game away because they didn't give a shit. But still,
• 33:44
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox had to travel to Tampa for a
• 33:47
  Speaker 4: meaningless game and waste another day, and now they have
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: to go back up and play this game in New York.
• 33:52
  Speaker 4: It's such fucking bullshit, dude. So that puts the Red
• 33:54
  Speaker 4: Sox at a disadvantage right away. We know the Yankees
• 33:57
  Speaker 4: have the better hitting against the Red Sox generally, although...
• 34:01
  Speaker 4: Red Sox did go on that stretch where they were
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: hitting pretty well, but, you know, I mean... Red Sox
• 34:06
  Speaker 4: got some injuries here, man. They got Raffaella back just
• 34:10
  Speaker 4: in time, and then he injured himself again. So he's
• 34:12
  Speaker 4: playing on a bad hamstring, even though I think he is,
• 34:15
  Speaker 4: I guess, playing. Contreras did come back, so they do
• 34:18
  Speaker 4: have that, but they're going to be without Yoshida. Red
• 34:21
  Speaker 4: Sox and Yankees both have really good bullpens, but the
• 34:23
  Speaker 4: Red Sox are going to be without Guerrero because he
• 34:26
  Speaker 4: came back and he got hurt again. He's one of
• 34:28
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox better relievers, and Slayton wasn't able to
• 34:32
  Speaker 4: come back either. So the Red Sox are down two
• 34:34
  Speaker 4: of their better relief pitchers here. as well this is
• 34:37
  Speaker 4: not good the injuries are piling up for the Red
• 34:40
  Speaker 4: Sox and yes the Yankees are without Aaron Judge I
• 34:42
  Speaker 4: understand that he's a key piece to their offense I
• 34:46
  Speaker 4: know but the Red Sox their injuries are like a
• 34:49
  Speaker 4: cluster situation that really adds up which is uh not
• 34:53
  Speaker 4: good um yes Garrett Garrett is a Braves fan yes
• 34:59
  Speaker 4: screwed with the starting time why why does it matter
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: uh It's an afternoon game. They're staying at home, right?
• 35:06
  Speaker 4: I don't see why that's a big deal. Yeah, the
• 35:11
  Speaker 4: Red Sox, right. However, I still see this game as
• 35:14
  Speaker 4: a pitching duel, though. You know, the Yankees' offense is
• 35:17
  Speaker 4: a little bit worse without Aaron Judge. In fact, it
• 35:19
  Speaker 4: was noticeably worse without him. The Red Sox' offense has
• 35:22
  Speaker 4: been in the fucking tank the last month or so.
• 35:26
  Speaker 4: Their offense has been bad, and we have two really
• 35:28
  Speaker 4: good pitchers in this game. Peyton Tolley is getting the
• 35:31
  Speaker 4: start for the Red Sox. We have the two young
• 35:33
  Speaker 4: guys against each other. And I've said, this is really
• 35:36
  Speaker 4: like blue collar, you know, middle America type of guy.
• 35:41
  Speaker 4: Peyton Tolley, mustachioed, you know, machismo, blue collar guy from Oklahoma,
• 35:47
  Speaker 4: you know, guy that eats a 90 ounce steak or
• 35:49
  Speaker 4: whatever the fuck it was. up against Cam Schlittler in
• 35:53
  Speaker 4: this game, who is the coastal wealth guy, snob, basically,
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: from Weymouth, Mass. So this is like, I think it's
• 36:03
  Speaker 4: a perfect representation of Red Sox versus Yankees. I'm sorry,
• 36:07
  Speaker 4: fuck the Yankees, but that is what this is. Everybody
• 36:10
  Speaker 4: knows that this is true, that that's what these teams represent.
• 36:13
  Speaker 4: The Red Sox are the blue-collar, workhorse type of team,
• 36:17
  Speaker 4: dirt dogs, they get fucking dirty. They all have beards
• 36:21
  Speaker 4: and shit. They drink. They look like men. You know,
• 36:24
  Speaker 4: the idiots from Kevin Millar's days, whatever. Johnny Damon. Whereas,
• 36:29
  Speaker 4: you know, the Yankees who obviously made Johnny Damon cut
• 36:31
  Speaker 4: all of his hair or whatever. The Yankees wear the
• 36:33
  Speaker 4: fucking pinstripes and they want to look clean. And they
• 36:37
  Speaker 4: only started allowing beards because of Devin Williams last year.
• 36:40
  Speaker 4: And he sucked ass and they got rid of him anyway.
• 36:43
  Speaker 4: It's so fucking stupid, dude. So, yeah, this pitching matchup
• 36:46
  Speaker 4: is a perfect representation of this. And Cam Schlittler, by
• 36:49
  Speaker 4: the way, is still making shit up about Red Sox
• 36:52
  Speaker 4: fans harassing him online. It's not even fucking true. I
• 36:56
  Speaker 4: don't know what this dude is doing. He's a crybaby, dude.
• 36:59
  Speaker 4: Whereas at least Peyton Tully is just, you know, having
• 37:01
  Speaker 4: fun with this whole thing. And if you see his interviews, he's,
• 37:04
  Speaker 4: you know, he doesn't exactly know what to say. He's
• 37:07
  Speaker 4: just kind of laughing at it. I don't even know
• 37:09
  Speaker 4: what he was talking about in that last interview. I
• 37:11
  Speaker 4: forget what the question was they even asked him. He, like,
• 37:14
  Speaker 4: tried to explain it in a way that didn't make sense.
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: He was like, all right. um, you know, just, um,
• 37:18
  Speaker 4: you know, um, stick, stick with me here on this
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: or whatever. I don't know, whatever. Go watch the interview.
• 37:25
  Speaker 4: It was funny. Peyton Tolley though, 3.03 ERA this year, 1.1 whip.
• 37:30
  Speaker 4: He's been good. And in fact, if you look at
• 37:32
  Speaker 4: his like underlying metrics, he is like up there, like
• 37:36
  Speaker 4: top 10 pitcher in major league baseball, like that type
• 37:38
  Speaker 4: of shit. He's good. Uh, They have a 125 average
• 37:46
  Speaker 4: and 370 OPS off, and 32 at-bats with one extra
• 37:49
  Speaker 4: base hit, which is a home run from Jazz Chisholm.
• 37:52
  Speaker 4: That's his only hit against them. They have 10 strikeouts
• 37:54
  Speaker 4: and one walk against them. So, yeah, Toley has been
• 37:58
  Speaker 4: good against the Yankees. He's young. He is inexperienced, and
• 38:02
  Speaker 4: he's actually even less experienced than Cam Schlittler. Schlittler, I believe,
• 38:06
  Speaker 4: did pitch in this series last year, so Schlittler does
• 38:09
  Speaker 4: have a little bit more experience. Schlittler is still also young.
• 38:14
  Speaker 4: Of course, this is a repeat of last year's series.
• 38:17
  Speaker 4: You could argue it's revenge for the Red Sox, but
• 38:19
  Speaker 4: both these teams are going to be motivated. I mean,
• 38:21
  Speaker 4: this is one of the biggest rivalries in sports. We
• 38:24
  Speaker 4: know motivation is going to be there on both sides,
• 38:27
  Speaker 4: so that's not going to really give one team much
• 38:30
  Speaker 4: of an edge over the other. The Red Sox won
• 38:33
  Speaker 4: game one here last year and lost the other two,
• 38:36
  Speaker 4: if I remember correctly. I don't remember which of those games.
• 38:39
  Speaker 4: Schlittler pitched in one of those games, I think. I
• 38:40
  Speaker 4: don't remember which. Schlittler, we know, he's going to win
• 38:43
  Speaker 4: the AL Cy Young. He's got a 1.95 ERA. I
• 38:46
  Speaker 4: believe that's the best ERA in the AL. And second
• 38:49
  Speaker 4: in Major League Baseball, just to Mizurowski, I'm pretty sure.
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: He's got a. 92 whip. He's been really good as well.
• 38:58
  Speaker 4: I'm not looking at the home road splits that much,
• 39:00
  Speaker 4: although Schlittler is actually slightly worse at home. We can't
• 39:04
  Speaker 4: see this. I don't know why ESPN is fucking up
• 39:06
  Speaker 4: like this, but I can tell you that the Red
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: Sox have bad numbers against Schlittler. The Red Sox hit,
• 39:11
  Speaker 4: I think, below 200 against him with a 500-something OPS.
• 39:15
  Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure it's somewhere around about 30 at-bats, if
• 39:19
  Speaker 4: I remember correctly. But yeah, I can tell you the
• 39:20
  Speaker 4: Red Sox do not hit him well. So the only
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: guy who hits him well is Rafaela, and he's got
• 39:26
  Speaker 4: a bad hamstring right now, so yeah, you know what
• 39:29
  Speaker 4: I'm thinking, this game looks like it's almost certainly an under, like,
• 39:33
  Speaker 4: I think this is the strongest baseball play on the
• 39:35
  Speaker 4: board here, is to take this game under, the problem is,
• 39:39
  Speaker 4: you know what, you know what my problem with it is,
• 39:41
  Speaker 4: it's six, six and a half here, although again, when
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: you take Games like that under the total in baseball,
• 39:47
  Speaker 4: you do win long-term slightly, and the money's agreeing with it.
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: 55% of tickets, 70% of the cash on the under. Yeah,
• 39:54
  Speaker 4: I mean, this game looks like a really low-scoring game.
• 39:57
  Speaker 4: I think both offenses have their questions, even though it
• 40:00
  Speaker 4: is a hitter-friendly ballpark here. It's also cold in the Northeast,
• 40:03
  Speaker 4: which can knock some of these balls down here. Well,
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: it's probably going to be, I guess, I'm going to
• 40:09
  Speaker 4: guess it's going to be in the 50s here in
• 40:10
  Speaker 4: a night game, let me see. A true fall game, man. Actually,
• 40:15
  Speaker 4: it says 67. That kind of surprises me. It was
• 40:17
  Speaker 4: kind of cool here yesterday, but all right, 67, whatever.
• 40:22
  Speaker 4: But you have two really good starting pitchers here, and
• 40:23
  Speaker 4: you have two really good bullpens. So it looks like
• 40:26
  Speaker 4: the pitching has an advantage throughout this entire game on
• 40:28
  Speaker 4: both sides. So, yeah, the under seems obvious, but I
• 40:32
  Speaker 4: think it makes a lot of sense in this game.
• 40:35
  Speaker 4: If I was going to play any of the baseball
• 40:36
  Speaker 4: games today, it would be that one, under in Red Sox-Yankees.
• 40:40
  Speaker 4: 65% of tickets, 78% of the cash on the Red Sox.
• 40:44
  Speaker 4: Yankees are around minus 130-something. It's a tough call on
• 40:49
  Speaker 4: the side, man. I don't like the Red Sox travel spot,
• 40:52
  Speaker 4: the fact they had to go down to Tampa. Schlittler
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: does have a little bit more experience here. I don't
• 40:59
  Speaker 4: like it, man. I don't know. I'm wearing my totally
• 41:03
  Speaker 4: gothic jersey here, but I do think the Red Sox lose.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 41:08
  Speaker 4: I think the Yankees win this game, and I think
• 41:10
  Speaker 4: they win the series. I don't know. It's a really
• 41:14
  Speaker 4: close call, though, but the under is the way better
• 41:16
  Speaker 4: way to play this game. Midday games are trash. No. Incorrect.
• 41:23
  Speaker 4: I've been to midday. I've been to midday playoff games.
• 41:27
  Speaker 4: You've got to understand what happens. Dude, literally, this is
• 41:31
  Speaker 4: not the company that fired me, but the company before that.
• 41:33
  Speaker 4: I went to the first game of the... uh playoffs
• 41:38
  Speaker 4: in 2013 when the red sox won the world series
• 41:40
  Speaker 4: it was red sox raise it was the alds i
• 41:43
  Speaker 4: believe it was an afternoon game i just you know
• 41:46
  Speaker 4: i just went to my you know bosses and whatever
• 41:50
  Speaker 4: and you know we were all that company was fun
• 41:52
  Speaker 4: it was like a hangout i was just like i
• 41:54
  Speaker 4: got a ticket to the red sox game i was
• 41:56
  Speaker 4: like can i go they're like hell yeah man go
• 41:58
  Speaker 4: i'm like all right That was it. The stadium was packed,
• 42:03
  Speaker 4: so I disagree with you completely. This is a fucking
• 42:06
  Speaker 4: playoff game. It's going to be sold out, almost certainly.
• 42:10
  Speaker 4: Can we tell if it's sold out? I don't know.
• 42:13
  Speaker 4: I know the Red Sox stadium is a little bit
• 42:15
  Speaker 4: smaller than most, but it was a sold-out crowd for
• 42:19
  Speaker 4: sure in that afternoon game. I remember it well. John
• 42:22
  Speaker 4: Lester pitched that game, and he wasn't good in the game.
• 42:25
  Speaker 4: Red Sox were in an early hole, and then I
• 42:27
  Speaker 4: believe Rocco Baldelli lost the ball in the outfield in
• 42:30
  Speaker 4: the sun, and the Red Sox made a big comeback
• 42:33
  Speaker 4: and wound up winning the game by a decent margin. But, yeah,
• 42:36
  Speaker 4: and then won the World Series. But, yeah, no, yeah,
• 42:40
  Speaker 4: I disagree with you. I don't think the midday game
• 42:43
  Speaker 4: is a problem at all. But I still like Philly
• 42:46
  Speaker 4: to somehow win that series, even though I don't think
• 42:48
  Speaker 4: they're going to win in that game today. But I
• 42:51
  Speaker 4: think they could make it close. Okay, and then we
• 42:53
  Speaker 4: have my other sort of anti-public play. It was San
• 42:56
  Speaker 4: Diego to beat Chicago. Chicago's travel spot is really kind
• 43:01
  Speaker 4: of weird, man, because they had to go to Tampa
• 43:03
  Speaker 4: for that one game after they were playing in Boston,
• 43:06
  Speaker 4: I think, right? Yeah, of course. That's why they moved it.
• 43:09
  Speaker 4: They had to go to Tampa. Now they're having to
• 43:10
  Speaker 4: go all the way to the West Coast for a
• 43:12
  Speaker 4: late-night game. You know what I'm going to say again?
• 43:15
  Speaker 4: Late-night game out West. I don't like that, especially for
• 43:19
  Speaker 4: a team that had just adjusted to the eastern time zone.
• 43:23
  Speaker 4: Now you're going all the way out west, 10 p.m. game.
• 43:25
  Speaker 4: It's bad for your biological clock, so I do not
• 43:28
  Speaker 4: like the spot for the Cubs. I do like San
• 43:31
  Speaker 4: Diego to win the series. This game, I was thinking
• 43:34
  Speaker 4: I might have a play in San Diego in this one.
• 43:36
  Speaker 4: The problem is both starting pitchers have bad matchup numbers here,
• 43:40
  Speaker 4: and that's the problem. I do like San Diego's bullpen
• 43:43
  Speaker 4: over Chicago's. We know this. Chicago has the better offense.
• 43:46
  Speaker 4: We also know this. Although San Diego has hit pretty
• 43:48
  Speaker 4: well in the second half. Matthew Boyd is pitching for
• 43:53
  Speaker 4: the Cubs here. He's going to be their starter in
• 43:55
  Speaker 4: game one here. He's been their best pitcher. I think
• 43:59
  Speaker 4: Imanaga is clearly their best pitcher, though. Boyd, I know
• 44:02
  Speaker 4: he had a decent season here. It was a little
• 44:04
  Speaker 4: bit of a shortened season. 3.91 ERA, 1.21 whip. And
• 44:06
  Speaker 4: he is good on the road. 2.86 road ERA. So
• 44:08
  Speaker 4: he does pitch better on the road. You'd think he
• 44:14
  Speaker 4: would pitch well in a stadium like this in San Diego,
• 44:17
  Speaker 4: which is a pitcher-friendly stadium. And Boyd did finish the
• 44:20
  Speaker 4: season in pretty good form here. Problem is, Boyd against
• 44:23
  Speaker 4: San Diego has not been good. In 108 at-bats, 315
• 44:27
  Speaker 4: average allowed, 839 OPS, 18-4 strikeout walk ratio. That's good,
• 44:32
  Speaker 4: but the rest of these numbers, not good. So because
• 44:34
  Speaker 4: of the travel spot and Boyd not doing well against
• 44:37
  Speaker 4: San Diego, you would think that might be enough to
• 44:39
  Speaker 4: put me on San Diego here. even though I do
• 44:42
  Speaker 4: worry about the fact that Boyd is good on the road.
• 44:44
  Speaker 4: But the problem is I actually worry about Michael King
• 44:47
  Speaker 4: in this game, even though he's been San Diego's best pitcher. 3.21 ERA, 1.18 whip.
• 44:52
  Speaker 4: He's been good at home, 2.74 home ERA. Wasn't good
• 44:56
  Speaker 4: in his last start, but it was against L.A. I mean,
• 44:58
  Speaker 4: I'm going to give him a little bit of a
• 44:59
  Speaker 4: pass for that on the road. However, against this Cubs lineup,
• 45:04
  Speaker 4: King has also not been good. In 33 at-bats, 333
• 45:06
  Speaker 4: average allowed, 906 OPS. 9-5 strikeout walk ratio, so that's
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: not great. Well, I do slightly lean San Diego here,
• 45:17
  Speaker 4: and that is where the money's coming in. 51% of tickets,
• 45:19
  Speaker 4: 59% of the cash on them. They're around minus 130.
• 45:22
  Speaker 4: I think the travel spot does help them, and I
• 45:25
  Speaker 4: think King is generally better than Boyd. Both pitchers are
• 45:31
  Speaker 4: in the better home road split here, and I think
• 45:34
  Speaker 4: if it's close, the San Diego bullpen should have the
• 45:36
  Speaker 4: edge here, so I'm leaning San Diego in this one,
• 45:39
  Speaker 4: but I kind of like the over, although the total
• 45:43
  Speaker 4: is 7, 7.5. You try to get 7 if you're
• 45:46
  Speaker 4: going to play the over, which, you know, it's a
• 45:48
  Speaker 4: low total. The odds makers think it's going to be
• 45:50
  Speaker 4: a low-scoring game. And again, it's because both pitchers have
• 45:52
  Speaker 4: put up good numbers this year. But it might be
• 45:55
  Speaker 4: a sneaky overplay because, like I just showed you, neither
• 45:58
  Speaker 4: pitcher has done well against these opposing offenses here. So,
• 46:02
  Speaker 4: I don't know. I'm slightly leaning over, and there's not
• 46:04
  Speaker 4: a lot of leeway there with a 7 total. and
• 46:08
  Speaker 4: I would lead San Diego slightly there as well, but
• 46:11
  Speaker 4: I thought it was going to be a play on
• 46:12
  Speaker 4: San Diego, and if King had good matchup numbers, I
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: might be convinced to do it, but out of these
• 46:18
  Speaker 4: baseball games, I think the best play is almost certainly
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: Red Sox-Yankees under 6.5. You're going to have to pay
• 46:26
  Speaker 4: some juice for that, by the way. The under 6.5
• 46:29
  Speaker 4: is like minus 115 at best, so I'm staying off
• 46:33
  Speaker 4: it just because I really don't like the number, but yeah,
• 46:35
  Speaker 4: that's the baseball breakdown. And that's it for today. There's
• 46:38
  Speaker 4: no football today, but we have hockey returning. We have
• 46:41
  Speaker 4: playoffs in WNBA and baseball. I'm giving you two plays today.
• 46:46
  Speaker 4: We got Florida Panthers to start off the NHL season,
• 46:50
  Speaker 4: hopefully right with what I think is an undervalued, very
• 46:53
  Speaker 4: strong team against a team that I think is going
• 46:55
  Speaker 4: to be overrated and distracted in Carolina's banner-raising ceremony there.
• 47:02
  Speaker 4: And then we're zigzagging. In the WNBA, man, it's going
• 47:06
  Speaker 4: to be insane if the team that's clearly the best
• 47:09
  Speaker 4: team in the league is going to get bounced in
• 47:11
  Speaker 4: the first years. And I know I already said it
• 47:13
  Speaker 4: was not a good matchup for them. It was probably
• 47:17
  Speaker 4: the most difficult one versus eight matchup that I've seen
• 47:20
  Speaker 4: maybe ever in the WNBA. I haven't paid attention to
• 47:23
  Speaker 4: it for that long. But I still think Minnesota's going
• 47:26
  Speaker 4: to do it. They're still the better team. They had
• 47:28
  Speaker 4: a bad game. I still think it was a shooting outlier,
• 47:31
  Speaker 4: at least on the side of the Liberty. So at
• 47:34
  Speaker 4: the very least, Minnesota is going to correct things. That's
• 47:36
  Speaker 4: the other reason why the zigzag works is because the
• 47:38
  Speaker 4: team that had the bad game, they work on correcting things.
• 47:41
  Speaker 4: And for Minnesota, it's going to be their defense. You
• 47:43
  Speaker 4: know what I mean? And they do have a good defense,
• 47:46
  Speaker 4: so they should be able to correct some of those things.
• 47:48
  Speaker 4: You got to think the Liberty are not going to
• 47:50
  Speaker 4: shoot as hot this time. I like Minnesota, but unfortunately,
• 47:54
  Speaker 4: because the professional money seems like it agrees with me
• 47:57
  Speaker 4: as well. You've lost the number on it. It's gone
• 47:59
  Speaker 4: from 1.5 to 3.5, so I'm recommending laying some juice
• 48:03
  Speaker 4: to play the money line on this one. If you
• 48:05
  Speaker 4: wanted to lay the 3.5, I would not disagree with
• 48:07
  Speaker 4: you either, though. I just prefer this a little bit because, again,
• 48:11
  Speaker 4: Minnesota has had trouble beating the Liberty this year, and
• 48:15
  Speaker 4: the largest margin of victory they had against them was 5,
• 48:18
  Speaker 4: which I know that is a problem. It looks like
• 48:21
  Speaker 4: the Liberty do match up pretty well against Minnesota, but
• 48:24
  Speaker 4: this is a zigzag spot that, you know, puts you
• 48:28
  Speaker 4: on the best team in the league. So that's what
• 48:30
  Speaker 4: I'm doing there, even though that game's in New York.
• 48:32
  Speaker 4: That's going to do it. Learn to Tote on Twitter.
• 48:35
  Speaker 4: Learn to Tote on Instagram. Like, subscribe to the channel here.
• 48:38
  Speaker 4: Hype it, comment, all those good things. Listen on audio.
• 48:41
  Speaker 4: We had that big spike, although the numbers have gone
• 48:43
  Speaker 4: down again. I want more spikes, man. Let's keep it up.
• 48:47
  Speaker 4: Let's keep going. Not the My Little Pony character, though.
• 48:50
  Speaker 4: which I only even know of that character's existence because
• 48:52
  Speaker 4: Spike Cohen apparently is named after that character. I don't
• 48:57
  Speaker 4: know what that says about him, but all right. Yeah,
• 49:01
  Speaker 4: listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker. My Uke stuff is
• 49:05
  Speaker 4: covered in Uke on YouTube and on Patreon, patreon.com slash
• 49:10
  Speaker 4: learn to toad if you want to support me there.
• 49:13
  Speaker 4: You get a Spotify Uke feed and you get requests,
• 49:15
  Speaker 4: which I am not very prompt in doing. Well, I'll
• 49:18
  Speaker 4: be really prompt in doing it if I know the
• 49:20
  Speaker 4: song and I know that I can do it right
• 49:21
  Speaker 4: away sometimes it's difficult I can learn songs pretty quickly
• 49:26
  Speaker 4: too sometimes but it just depends man it depends on
• 49:29
  Speaker 4: the song sometimes my voice just isn't ready for it
• 49:32
  Speaker 4: so there's that then we have loser cast will be
• 49:37
  Speaker 4: back tonight so you can check that out I need
• 49:39
  Speaker 4: to I think I have my idea for who my
• 49:41
  Speaker 4: loser is going to be tonight. I think there are
• 49:43
  Speaker 4: maybe a couple of good options here, but I think
• 49:45
  Speaker 4: I know what I'm going to do. And hopefully nobody
• 49:47
  Speaker 4: else takes it because it's something that happened earlier in
• 49:51
  Speaker 4: the week, like right after last show happened. So maybe
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: people already forgot about it, but I think it's a
• 49:56
  Speaker 4: good pick. Hopefully nobody takes it. And then the New
• 49:59
  Speaker 4: York Giants G-Spot podcast, I don't know what to say
• 50:01
  Speaker 4: about that. They're 2-1, though, and they are playing a
• 50:04
  Speaker 4: bad opponent this week, so they have a chance to
• 50:07
  Speaker 4: go 3-1. What I will tell you is I've already
• 50:09
  Speaker 4: looked at the NFL board this week, and I hate it.
• 50:12
  Speaker 4: I fucking hate it. And this week, I loved the
• 50:15
  Speaker 4: NFL board this week. I loved it. And in pigskin
• 50:19
  Speaker 4: pick-em on ESPN, picking every game, I went 11-5. I
• 50:22
  Speaker 4: dominated 11-5. And in my pick-five money entry, I went 1-4.
• 50:28
  Speaker 4: And out of my bets that I gave out, I
• 50:31
  Speaker 4: went 1-2. It's unbelievable, dude. I was right about every
• 50:35
  Speaker 4: single other bet I was right about. or every single
• 50:38
  Speaker 4: other game against the spread. I mean, although caveat Ravens,
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: because ESPN gave us a two and a half on
• 50:43
  Speaker 4: that one, but, uh, they won by three. I think
• 50:46
  Speaker 4: the line might've been three. So maybe you could debate
• 50:48
  Speaker 4: that one was a push, but yeah, whatever. Um, you
• 50:51
  Speaker 4: could debate it was three and a half and it
• 50:52
  Speaker 4: was a loss. If you tried to do that in
• 50:55
  Speaker 4: any other game, but yeah, whatever. Um, I still had
• 50:57
  Speaker 4: a great week. I, my read on, on NFL was
• 51:01
  Speaker 4: really good this week and my best plays both lost. Um,
• 51:05
  Speaker 4: And three out of my top four lost and four
• 51:07
  Speaker 4: out of my top five lost, which is ridiculous. Now
• 51:10
  Speaker 4: we go into this week and I hate it. I'm
• 51:12
  Speaker 4: warning you, I hate the NFL board this week. I
• 51:14
  Speaker 4: don't even have a single game that I have that
• 51:17
  Speaker 4: strong of an opinion on. It's really, really bad. Really bad.
• 51:21
  Speaker 4: I'm going to have to do some more research. I
• 51:24
  Speaker 4: haven't looked at the look ahead spots yet and whatever.
• 51:26
  Speaker 4: Because my first thing is I think about So I
• 51:31
  Speaker 4: watch this show, you know, it's, what is it, Drew
• 51:34
  Speaker 4: and Stu or whatever. You know, they do a weekly
• 51:36
  Speaker 4: show where they make picks. You know, I think Stu
• 51:39
  Speaker 4: is better than Drew, even though he lost to Drew
• 51:41
  Speaker 4: last year. Stu's line of thinking is more along the
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: lines that mine is. Drew, yeah, seems to just fall
• 51:47
  Speaker 4: into the trap a lot of, you know, just falling
• 51:51
  Speaker 4: into what you saw last and going with it instead
• 51:53
  Speaker 4: of going against it. But what I like about their
• 51:55
  Speaker 4: show is, the way that they set it up and
• 51:58
  Speaker 4: they analyze every game chronologically game by game. And I
• 52:01
  Speaker 4: use that to just think about it myself. Like that's
• 52:03
  Speaker 4: the first thing I do, um, you know, for the
• 52:06
  Speaker 4: week on like Monday, I listened to that show. I
• 52:08
  Speaker 4: watched that show. And I think, what do I think
• 52:10
  Speaker 4: about this game and think about it like that? Like,
• 52:13
  Speaker 4: what are these two teams coming off of? And if that,
• 52:15
  Speaker 4: that helps my thinking process. Um, and I started doing
• 52:18
  Speaker 4: that last year for whatever reason, it helps me like
• 52:22
  Speaker 4: see the, like, see the board, um, and think about
• 52:26
  Speaker 4: it in a way that I like. I don't know
• 52:28
  Speaker 4: how else to describe it, but I don't know. A
• 52:30
  Speaker 4: lot of this is kind of, it's almost like kind
• 52:32
  Speaker 4: of an art in a way. I don't know what
• 52:34
  Speaker 4: to tell you, man. It might be something that's not
• 52:36
  Speaker 4: fully learnable, although I don't know. I think I did
• 52:39
  Speaker 4: learn a lot, though, from mostly Marco D'Angelo, a situational
• 52:43
  Speaker 4: handicapper extraordinaire. Him, I still will watch and listen to
• 52:47
  Speaker 4: all of his content as well that I can find, so.
• 52:52
  Speaker 4: Anyway, I'm ranting. What else do I have? I'm rambling. Whatever.
• 52:55
  Speaker 4: I think that's it. I'm just warning you, I hate
• 52:59
  Speaker 4: the NFL board this week. I absolutely fucking hate it.
• 53:02
  Speaker 4: And I think there might be some buys already because
• 53:04
  Speaker 4: it's week four, so there might be two teams on buy.
• 53:07
  Speaker 4: There is a London game already, which I think is
• 53:09
  Speaker 4: my Indianapolis Colts. And I forget who they're playing. I
• 53:14
  Speaker 4: don't know. I hate the board, though. Like, I've got
• 53:17
  Speaker 4: to find something, but it's likely I'm going to have
• 53:20
  Speaker 4: one or two plays maybe in the NFL at most.
• 53:23
  Speaker 4: It's a board I really do not like, so just
• 53:26
  Speaker 4: be aware of that. That's going to do it. Thanks, everybody. Garrett,
• 53:30
  Speaker 4: Dirty Sock. Yeah, it was just you two today. Hopefully
• 53:33
  Speaker 4: I'm not missing anybody. I appreciate it. Thanks, everybody. I
• 53:38
  Speaker 4: know I'm going to be sad tonight, but I can
• 53:39
  Speaker 4: wear this for now and, you know, just temporarily while
• 53:44
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox are not dead yet, but that's going
• 53:46
  Speaker 4: to do it. Peace.
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: Hold on, not tonight.
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: Not now Hold on, hold on Let me pull you
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: out That bad luck fights hard But it don't get
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: the crown Hold on, hold on Stay with me now.
• 54:41
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: On You're still here now guitar solo