Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | March 22, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:02Ball systems, going clear the left of what is going on? To the
- 0:36Mayo Media Network, We're back Friday edition of the NBA Breakdown here. Eight
- 0:43games on the DOCA tonight on DraftKings. Happy Friday, midst of March madness.
- 0:48I know Ham was talking. They aren't a little jaz right at Marquette,
- 0:52Right, Marquet's getting run down. Kentucky got rundown yesterday. A lot
- 0:56offsets obviously, b y U, It's just March. That's just what happened.
- 1:00Bought how much man? Happy Friday? What's going on? Brother?
- 1:03Yeah? No, happy Friday. Good tournament so far. Got a good
- 1:07slate tonight, eight game slate in the Association this evening, so it should
- 1:11be good. And yeah, looking forward to breaking it down with you and
- 1:14all the people in chat. Yeah, looking forward to break it down.
- 1:19If you guys are new, right, hit that like button, hit that
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- 1:49So no better time to join then. Now MLB right around the corner,
- 1:53we got you covered there. How much I'll kick it to you broad
- 1:56Slate overview. Obviously we got eight games on the docket, some pretty big
- 1:59toe right, Okay, see you up over two thirty, Indy, Golden
- 2:02State up over to forty. Got a couple to twenty totals in there too,
- 2:07mixed in and then obviously a couple of low totals there. But any
- 2:10broad Slate overview for you off the top here for the people. Yeah,
- 2:15Now, I think this slate's gonna be an interesting slate, right. You
- 2:17got some big names that are out that have been out and remain out.
- 2:22Embiid, Donovan, Mitchell, Brandon, Ingram is gonna miss a few games,
- 2:27Memphis is not playing anybody. I feel like they got a lot of
- 2:30people missing. Detroit has a lot of people missing. Toronto has a lot
- 2:35of people missing. We're in the dog days of this NBA season, but
- 2:38there's gonna be some value there where, and I think there's gonna be value
- 2:40there where you can gym in two, possibly three studs to get there.
- 2:45So looking forward to to talking about that and seeing where we can get some
- 2:49value. Yeah, no, absolutely, a lot of this value seems to
- 2:53be coming from the Toronto side, which is the first game we're going to
- 2:55talk about here. In terms of this game, obviously massive in this one,
- 3:00right, two thirty two total, but also a big spread, right,
- 3:02okay, see fifteen point spread, fifteen point favorites here even on the
- 3:07road. In terms of injury news in this one, okay, see Toronto.
- 3:10RJ. Barrett remains out right, Carton remains out for Toronto, which
- 3:15isn't big news. Johntay Porter does return, which is an interesting talking point
- 3:19right for to one expected to start at center here, expect him to get
- 3:23a heavy ownership at his price point here, Emmanuel Quickly is out and then
- 3:27Gary Trent is also questionable in this game. So if Gary Trent were also
- 3:30the miss in this one, I mean I don't see questionable take on him
- 3:35right now on the solver, but looking at basketball Monster, he is questionable
- 3:38here. Talk about this one because obviously big total, big spread got Chet
- 3:43Holgrem at seventy four hundred looking like a pretty good value. Got obviously Johntay
- 3:46Porter here at four to one, expected to uh to get a not start,
- 3:52but expected to get a lot of run here in terms of his minutes.
- 3:55And then obviously Jordan Laura is another nice value play too. Talk about
- 4:00this one. Yeah, game should be an interesting, interesting matchup for sure.
- 4:04Let's talk a little bit about the ok C side. My favorite,
- 4:09my favorite thunder just based thunder piece based off price, is gonna be Chet
- 4:14homegrin seventy four hundred dollars center position going up against this Raptors team that has
- 4:18been bad all season, protecting the rim bottom ten in the NBA. On
- 4:23top of the fact that their main center is gonna miss again Scott No Scottie
- 4:29Barnes down there as well. So I really think Chet can get going in
- 4:31this matchup. He would be my favorite thunder piece. I mean, Sga
- 4:36is always in play, you know, going, you know, going back
- 4:40to Canada. I don't know if he's from Toronto or somewhere in Canada,
- 4:43but he's a great play every single night. And I think this I think
- 4:46he's got much more reason to play good tonight as well at ten to five.
- 4:49I don't hate that price on him. No really value in my opinion.
- 4:54On the ok C side, it's it's gonna be Chet, It's gonna
- 4:57be sg A potentially Jayalen Williams for me. And then let's i'll talk a
- 5:00little bit about these Toronto pieces that you alluded to. I have interest in
- 5:04Nowara at forty two hundred power forward eligible. I also have interested Kelly Olynic
- 5:09power forward and center eligible. But my favorite piece is gonna be Grady Dick.
- 5:15He's shooting guard and small forward eligibility forty eight hundred dollars. I like
- 5:19this price tag. I like the dual eligibility. I like the fact that
- 5:23he's gonna play thirty plus minutes. It's really been him and a Baja that
- 5:27have been getting thirty plus minutes the last couple of games. A young player,
- 5:30I think he can do a lot of different things. It's gonna be
- 5:32Dick for me. It's gonna be a Baj as well to pair with,
- 5:36you know, at Chet Holmern and or an SGA. Yeah. No,
- 5:41excellent breakdown here. I'm a little bit under on olynic Here. I don't
- 5:46really like the spot a tongue for olynic I mean centers have had pretty good
- 5:50games against okac Here, but I mean olynic Man gonna be Chalky sixty six
- 5:56hundred. I just don't like it. To be honest, I'm gonna be
- 5:59under on him. I think I like Gary Trent a little bit more catch
- 6:01and shoot. Guys do pretty good against this OKAYC team. Gary Trent sixty
- 6:04two hundred should be able to to get his right. He's been playing pretty
- 6:11good basketball right now. Seems to be pretty low owned. It's gonna be
- 6:15tough for Toronto to keep this game close. But one thing I know is
- 6:18Gary Trent's gonna chuck the basketball. Take fifteen to twenty shots, double digit
- 6:23a three point attempts, and if by any means this game does stay close,
- 6:27it's got to be on the back of you would think Gary Trent hitting
- 6:30his shots. Don't mind the Grady Dick call. I think that's an all
- 6:33right call there. And then my favorite, one of my favorite players on
- 6:36the slate is chat holmgrin here. I mean, this guy should absolutely murder
- 6:42this Toronto team in the inside right. I think chat Way two hundred priced
- 6:46here seventy four hundred. I mean, coming off a massive game against Utah
- 6:50now gets another pretty cake match up here seventy four hundred, and I'm seeing
- 6:55pretty low ownership. I mean, his ownership at least held in check,
- 6:58likely due to the spread in this but I mean, I think this is
- 7:00a smash spot for chet Holgrid love him, and then I think Nora is
- 7:04also a fine value play. But man, I want to if I'm playing
- 7:09these these Toronto pieces, I think I want to play the guys that are
- 7:14pretty safe in terms of a blowout and if this game does go to what
- 7:18the spread indicates, right, what Vegas indicates here fifteen point spread in this
- 7:23one, I still think carry Trent's fine as a starter there as one of
- 7:28the main pieces. But outside of that, I mean, I really don't
- 7:30want to mess with any of these guys. I don't think I'm gonna get
- 7:31to a Joon day Porter, But again, he's fine, I think as
- 7:35a pivot off of Kelly Olynyk there for cheaper. So overall, my top
- 7:42play in this game, one of my favorite plays on the entire slate.
- 7:45Chat Holme gred in this one. Let's jump to the next game here,
- 7:49Boston and Detroit. In terms of this one, another big spread here two
- 7:54twenty three total. Boston again thirteen point favorites on the road, another road
- 7:59favorite here into Detroit. Injury news in this one, Drew Holliday remains out
- 8:03for Boston. Porzingis, Horford and Haytum are all questionable, along with Jalen
- 8:07Brown. At least That's what I'm seeing on Basketball Monster here. In terms
- 8:15of out on the Detroit side, Fontechio is out. Derek White's back for
- 8:20Boston as well. Outside of that, really not a ton of injury news
- 8:24in this one. Outside of that, I mean, pretty girls game here.
- 8:28It's hard to hard you uh to see Detroit keeping this game close.
- 8:31But if they do, maybe it's on the back of Kate Cunningham here.
- 8:35Not the greatest matchup, but Gade always has a ceiling talk about this one
- 8:39in terms of dfs Boston Detroit. Yeah, this one, this one's gross.
- 8:46As you alluded to, I don't I don't see how Detroit is gonna
- 8:48keep it closed. You know that they've got Fontechio out, they got Isaiah
- 8:52Stewart out there, and they're they're not a very good basketball team. To
- 8:54begin with a two for Kate Cunningham's an easy pass for me, just based
- 8:58on the match up that we have. I know there's no Drew Holiday tonight
- 9:03for the Celtics, but I still think they can limit him. My favorite,
- 9:07my favorite Piston, if I was gonna go, there would be Jade
- 9:11and Ivy point guard, shooting guard eligible sixty six hundred dollars and that's still
- 9:16a decent little price tag you got there. But you know, he's coming
- 9:20off a thirty six point performance Draft Kings points performances last time out against this
- 9:24Boston team, shot at nineteen times, can get some peripherals as well,
- 9:28you know, rebounds, assist blocks, So don't mind, I don't mind.
- 9:33Jade and Ivy would probably be the one and only Piston that I would
- 9:35play. And then for me on the other side, it's gonna be Jason
- 9:39Tatum. Jason Tatum ninety nine hundred dollars. He is expensive tonight, but
- 9:43as long as this game stays close, he's gonna you know, he's gonna
- 9:46put up you know, fifty sixty DraftKings points, I think is his floor,
- 9:52plus a great ceiling as well. So I don't mind Tatum, and
- 9:54then it's tough to tough to pick those other Celtics. Interested to hear your
- 9:56take on that, but it's gonna be Tatum for me and then Avy on
- 10:00Ivy on the other side. Yeah, I don't want to mess with any
- 10:03of these Pistons's just a a brutal matchup for these Pistons. Spread everything.
- 10:07Pretty much everyone on the Celtics has a good matchup here. The starting five
- 10:11is gonna have a really good match up here against this Detroit team here.
- 10:15But again, I mean from a DFS perspective, I just don't have a
- 10:18ton of interest obviously, unless one of these some of these guys sit.
- 10:22I'm not seeing any questionable takes right now on the Solver. I'm not sure
- 10:24if Solver hasn't been updated or what, but on Basketball Monster, I am
- 10:28seeing a couple of these guys questionable. If one of these guys sit,
- 10:33it makes it a little different to play some of these guys against Detroit.
- 10:35But with them all fully healthy, with the spread, with the other games
- 10:39on the slate, I don't love a lot in this game, to be
- 10:41honest. You can't play every game. I get it. It's still two
- 10:45twenty three total. Majority of that obviously on the Boston side, But it's
- 10:50hard for me. I mean, I think Jalen Brown would be fine.
- 10:52Jason Tatum has a really good matchup. He's likely going to go matchup against
- 10:56toss On, however, you pronounced his last name, and I mean that
- 11:01should be a pretty brutal, brutal match up here for Tosn to guard Tatum
- 11:07there. But outside of that, I mean, just not a ton of
- 11:11interest in this one. Jalen Brown probably my favorite play in this game.
- 11:15And then if any of these guys sit, obviously a lot of these guys
- 11:18become much better plays. Some of the next game here we have Memphis San
- 11:24Antonio. Those are the first two games locking at six pm. These next
- 11:28three games we're gonna talk about all lock an hour after that. Obviously,
- 11:31there is late swap today. They're not doing the no late swap thing like
- 11:35they did the last two Fridays, So that's one thing that has changed today.
- 11:39But in this one, Memphis San Antonio to seventeen total, San Antonio
- 11:45six point favorites. Here injury news in this one, let me pull it
- 11:52up. Desmond Bane doubtful in this one, Clark remains out for Memphis.
- 11:54Luke Canard remains out for Memphis. Jared Jackson Junior is back from Memphis,
- 11:58so they get him back. Conchard, La Ravia, and Pippin are all
- 12:03questionable for Memphis. Obviously, Smart remains out as well for Memphis. Vince
- 12:07Williams also doubtful here on the Spurs side, basically fully healthy here. I
- 12:13think this game gets a decent amount of ownership from DFS perspectives, right,
- 12:16Guys like Victor Wambayama, Gregor Gigi Jackson gonna get some ownership. It does
- 12:22look like Trey Jones, Devin mcel break this doing down? San Antonio Memphis.
- 12:26Where are you going? Obviously Memphis getting a little bit healthier, but
- 12:30still pretty shorthanded overall. Memphis, San Antonio. Where you're going here?
- 12:35Yeah? I think it really is going to depend on what they end up
- 12:37doing with those guys that you alluded to that are questionable. Let's just talk
- 12:41about if they're in. Scottie Pippen Junior, who's been out for quite a
- 12:43while. He's listed as questionable. Don't mind him at the point guard position.
- 12:48Eligibility fifty two dollars. This first team really struggles against the point guards.
- 12:54So don't mind Scottie Pippen. If Scottie Pipper were to miss Jiro for
- 13:00Memphis, the Houston, the former Houston Cougar, I don't mind him at
- 13:03thirty eight hundred, should see some more run. He got twenty minutes of
- 13:05the night against the Warriors, so I don't I don't mind that. And
- 13:09then John Conchar as well, forty six hundred dollars thirty three minutes the other
- 13:13night. They just don't have anybody needs and you know Conchart's going to be
- 13:18out there. He was getting a lot of cardio in which obviously we don't
- 13:20like to see. I do think he can do a little bit more than
- 13:22he was doing the other night. I was watching that game as it was
- 13:24on TV, So give me some Conchar. And then probably my favorite play
- 13:28of the whole slate, it's going to be Victor wibbin Yama ten to six
- 13:33against this Memphis team who cannot guard cannot guard the rim. And we obviously
- 13:37have seen what Wimby did or as it has done all season long. He's
- 13:41not on the minutes restriction. Should be a should be a somewhat competitive game,
- 13:46just based off based off the spread, So give me some Victor wimbm
- 13:48Yama. I think he goes off tonight at ten six. He's my favorite
- 13:52spend up on this slate against this beat up, beat up Memphis team,
- 13:56and Jaren Jackson and Santy won't be able to guard him tonight. Yeah,
- 14:01No, excellent breakdown there. I like Devm to sell a little bit at
- 14:05seven to three. I think this is a pretty good matchup for him if
- 14:07you can't get all the way up to Wemby. I do love Wemby here,
- 14:11obviously a great play here, but I also really like chat Hungrim obviously
- 14:16for basically three thousand dollars cheaper at the same thirty two hundred dollars cheaper to
- 14:20be exact, at the same position. But Wemby obviously great stud great spend
- 14:26up here, gets a good matchup. The contraart thing. I'm off Conchar.
- 14:30I mean, I'll let you have Conchar give me give me Lo Ravia
- 14:33for one hundred dollars more at the same position. Small forward La Ravia is
- 14:37gonna play his thirty plus minutes here. He's gonna chuck the basketball. I
- 14:41mean, I like the La Ravia quite a bit here. I mean you're
- 14:46gonna get ten plus shot attempts from him, You're gonna get five plus three
- 14:48point attempts from him. He's forty seven hundred matchups above average here. We
- 14:54got him projected for twenty eight minutes right now. I think that's a little
- 14:56light. I think he plays more than that seven. I'm easy going to
- 15:01La Ravia over Conchar here. Just prefer La Ravia in this spot. I
- 15:07get right. I see people talking about Conchard's birthday. I mean, he's
- 15:11not blown out any candles tonight against San Antonio here on his birthday. So
- 15:16if you want to play him for a little at his birthday narrative, sure
- 15:20you can play him forty six hundred. Don't think it's the craziest play,
- 15:22but I just like La Ravia more at the same position, So I like
- 15:24that. I think Gigi Jackson is a pretty solid play here at sixty two
- 15:28hundred as well. He is going to get quite a bit of ownership here,
- 15:31but I do think he's still fine, still slid. My favorite plays
- 15:35in this game Wassel La Ravia and then Victor and then Gigi. Is kind
- 15:41of how I'm looking at that game from a DFS perspective. That's my guy,
- 15:46Sean v Man. Don't be don't be ritting on Sean VIA's parade.
- 15:48We're going Consart birthday narrative. You're shitting on Conchard news must be it must
- 15:54be a Wisconsin thing. I thought he's from Wisconsin. I thought he's one
- 15:58of your sons. Is he not? No, I don't I don't know.
- 16:03I don't know where these guys go to school. I don't follow it
- 16:06all that close. Man, I'm not in the weeds like like like some
- 16:08of these people. I just look at numbers and I just watched some of
- 16:11the games and just see it. But I mean, if you want to
- 16:15Wisconsin, good for him. I'll still take La Ravia straight up for conchar
- 16:18I mean, we can throw a lunch bet on it if you want.
- 16:21Give me l Ravia over Contart tonight Fantasy points. If you want to throw
- 16:25a little lunch bet. It'll be a fun little banter for a Monday show
- 16:29there. So give me La Ravio over conchar Let's. Let's address our guy
- 16:33Newans here, my fellow Wisconsin I buddy here. Any love for three point
- 16:38seven? Me too? In that last game that we talked about for Boston
- 16:41Detroit. Obviously he'd get the blowout run two likely at three seven. Did
- 16:47get up to twenty two minutes last game. Personally, I don't love it,
- 16:52but I mean, big spread, he could get extra run here in
- 16:56the fourth quarter. What's your take on him? You can play him at
- 16:59power four, so adjust that. Yeah, I was thinking about that.
- 17:04I don't think so for me. When they picked this guy up off the
- 17:07street last week, they inserted him obviously, like I said earlier, Stewart's
- 17:11out for the season. They got tons of injuries. They're not very good.
- 17:15They may give him a look, but not for me tonight. I'm
- 17:18just not going to med too some now. They picked up off the streets
- 17:21last week, more of a wait and see approach for me. Yeah,
- 17:26I kind of agree. I think in m me he's fine, but one
- 17:29of three teams, five max whatever, single entry stuff, I don't think
- 17:33I can get to me too. But hey, if you have a lean
- 17:36on me too, new One's obviously your sharp player. Go ahead. I
- 17:41mean, he's going to get the blow out run. I would assume if
- 17:45the spread goes to what Vegas is indicating here, so could see him get
- 17:48mid twenties minutes again, and potentially more obviously depending on what the game looks
- 17:55like. But if the game stays close, I don't think he gets a
- 17:56ton of minutes, to be honest with you. If for some reason the
- 18:00game does stay close, all right, let's jump into the next game here,
- 18:04another game locking at eight pm Eastern time. So the New Orleans Pelicans
- 18:10here Miami heat two ten total, second lowest total on the entire slate,
- 18:15but a close spread here. Pelicans are Miami three point favorites here in this
- 18:19one. From an injury standpoint, looking at the injury news here in this
- 18:25one, Bam is back, Tyler Herro remains out, Kevin Love remains out
- 18:30for Miami. Jolvit's back. Bam is back for Miami, Kelb Martin's also
- 18:33probable likely to play as well. Duncan Robinson remains out on Miami and then
- 18:40fully healthy on the New Orleans side. Here, Zion's playing out of his
- 18:44mind right now. I'm seeing Trey Murphy get a little ownership right now at
- 18:48that combo guard shooting guard small forward position. From a DFS perspective, I
- 18:52don't love a ton in this game, but maybe you see something I'm not
- 18:55looking at here where you're going New Orleans Miami. Yeah. The one thing
- 19:00that I would say is is Brandon Ingram is out for the Pelicans. That's
- 19:03that's a late addition because he got injured last night. I think he's gonna
- 19:07miss two weeks, so he will be out, which that's why we're seeing
- 19:10all that trade Murphy ownership sky rocket. But for me, it's it's gonna
- 19:15be Zion. I think Zion picks up the slack that that Ingram leaves behind.
- 19:21Only played twenty nine minutes last night, second out of a back to
- 19:25back, but at eighty eight hundred. I like Zion. I like this
- 19:27matchup that he has against this team. And then on the other side,
- 19:32I don't really like anybody on this Heat Heat team. I don't feel like
- 19:34I ever like anybody on the Heat unless unless you know they have a bunch
- 19:37of injuries. They just play so slow. But give me some Zion and
- 19:41that that would do it. Maybe some Trey Murphy just because he should see
- 19:45some elevated minutes. Obviously more shots going around. But it's Zion or Bus
- 19:48for me really in this game. Yeah, I don't love this game.
- 19:52I think Jimmy Butler is a contrarian spend at that in that AK range,
- 19:56a small forward. I think he's a solid option you can play. Jimmy
- 20:00Slate coming off a good game right where he took it to Cleveland a little
- 20:03bit. Not the greatest matchup, still did good right score thirty in real
- 20:06life fifty DraftKings points. I think he's fine. Zion, I think he's
- 20:11fine. Zion's just playing out of his mind right now. Did have a
- 20:12letdown last game against Orlando, but again, that's a tough, tough matchup
- 20:17here. Still not the greatest matchup inside going up against BAM in the interior.
- 20:22So I think I'd prefer Trey Murphy or CJ. McCollum, to be
- 20:26honest here at the price points in this matchup if I'm playing any of these
- 20:29Pelicans. Trey Murphy my favorite play by far in this game, but he's
- 20:33also the everyone's favorite play from this game. I think you can just fade
- 20:37this game in general, to be honest, but you can play some of
- 20:41these guys in your MMM sets. Trey Murphy definitely my favorite play from this
- 20:45game. Just his usage increases with no brandon ingram in there, gonna definitely
- 20:52be be in that starting line up there, and at six K I think
- 20:55his minutes are pretty secure as well. Jump into the last game that's seven
- 21:00PM here, it's Cleveland and it's Minnesota. In terms of a total in
- 21:06this one two O seven lowest total in the slate, Minnesota seven point favorites
- 21:10here. In terms of injury news, let me pull it up here.
- 21:17So Mobile's out, stresses out, Dean wades out for Cleveland. On the
- 21:21Minnesota side, Ant is questionable. Gobert and Nasried are also questionable as well,
- 21:26and Edwards at ninety seven hundred. I see some people talking about favorite
- 21:30stud on the slate. He's playing out of his mind right now, hasn't
- 21:33scored under fifty DraftKings points and since back early early March. Talk about Aunt,
- 21:41talk about Gobert Anderson, any of these guys that you're interested in.
- 21:45Caris Laverda on the other side right, obviously with no Donovan Mitchell. But
- 21:48I do think these Cleveland pieces and prices have adjusted correctly. Obviously, it's
- 21:53a brutal matchup against Minnesota, going into Minnesota to the slower paced, good
- 21:59defensive teams here from a DF's perspective, not a great game overall, but
- 22:04maybe you see something here that you can pull. Yeah, just just look
- 22:11at it. I mean, this is one of those games. It's gonna
- 22:12be tough. And uh yeah, I agree with the chat in the sense
- 22:17that it's Anthony Edwards ninety seven hundred dollars. I mean obviously that's uh it
- 22:21doesn't take too much. But yeah, I think he's a great play.
- 22:23I think that's a great price on him. Uh, they don't really have
- 22:26anybody in my opinion that's gonna stick with him. The problem would be if
- 22:30this game, you know, blows out, then he won't get that fourth
- 22:34quarter run. I mean we're missing a ton of pieces, a ton of
- 22:37offense from this Cavaliers team. All those prices are just so elevated. I
- 22:41mean, seven to four for Kearris, no thank you, eight to four
- 22:45for Jared Allen, no thank you. So it's it's outside of ant in
- 22:51this game. It's gonna be tough to get to any of these guys just
- 22:52break based off of those elevated price tags that we're seeing. I mean,
- 22:57if you wanted to to get crazy, Marcus Morris Senior seeing twenty you know,
- 23:04twenty minutes that's a one fifty type thing. That's not a not a
- 23:08you know, a three team type player or anything like that, but that's
- 23:11a more of a one fifty set. But that's I don't see much of
- 23:15this game outside of Ann. Yeah, and it does have a pretty tough
- 23:18matchup if anyone were to contain him here a Coral, pretty solid defender likely
- 23:23going to be glued to and Edwards here, maybe he slows him down a
- 23:26little bit and at nine to seven, you do you need a ceiling out
- 23:30of him here on a on a big slate like this, Kris Lavert doesn't
- 23:34have a great matchup, but the role is just incredible right now for Karris
- 23:37Lavert. So if you want to pull someone here, I think Kris Lavert
- 23:41would be my favorite guy on Cleveland or then jumping into guy like me Yang
- 23:47right, whose minutes are pretty safe right now. It's pretty gross saying that,
- 23:48but I mean he's pretty sent stone for thirty plus minutes here for to
- 23:52six, he's gonna take his I mean he's been shooting the ball, he's
- 23:56been firing up threes. If he's making him, he's gonna keep. So
- 24:00don't hate on kneeing or or a guy like a Coral just because of CLA
- 24:04Core is going to be thrust it into a bunch of minutes to contain,
- 24:10and Edward's the best he can. So either of those guys in that mid
- 24:12tier I think are fine. Caris Lavert. I'm a little under on An
- 24:17Edwards here, but I get the reasoning. I mean, he's playing great
- 24:18basketball right now. It's just I like other spins on the slate more that
- 24:22I already talked about, So not for me. But that's the last game
- 24:29at the seven pm a pm Eastern time window. These next game, these
- 24:33next two games, we could talk about Locke combined two hours after that,
- 24:38those first five games. The next one here LAC Portland. In terms of
- 24:45the total here two seventeen total, another big spread, Clippers thirteen point favorites
- 24:48here on the road. Injury news in this one for Clippers and Portland.
- 24:56Terrence Man questionable, Powell questionable, Jeremy Grant doubtful here in this one,
- 25:00Anthony Simons is probable here, decent amount ownership looks like going to our guy
- 25:06Scoot Henderson at five to four here and the Clippers Paul George James Harden talk
- 25:11about this one. I don't love this game a ton here, big spread
- 25:15talk about Scoot Henderson because I do expect him to get quite a bit of
- 25:18ownership. He's been playing decent as of late. He's gonna play thirty plus
- 25:22minutes and he's just five to four here, So touch on Scoot Henderson for
- 25:26sure. Yeah, yes, Scoot would be the play like you alluded to.
- 25:30I mean, you have you have Simons, who's probable then and then
- 25:37Grant who is I think you said doubtful and that that would be the reason
- 25:41to play Scoot. So it's kind of kind of depend on what those two
- 25:44do. Uh. This is a rematch of the game two nights ago where
- 25:47Scoot played thirty five minutes. So definitely at five four he's gonna be popular,
- 25:52and for good reason. This may be some of that good chalk that
- 25:55we sometimes talk about, assuming that a couple of those pieces are out,
- 25:57So I would stay stay glued to that to see what you're gonna do,
- 26:00and then I talk about it all the time on this show. To me,
- 26:03it's uh. On the other side, with the Clippers, it's just
- 26:07so tough to pick which one of the big three are going to have that,
- 26:10you know, that blowout game for me tonight, if I'm picking a
- 26:12Clipper, it's gonna be the point guard position eighty five hundred dollars James Harden.
- 26:18But even then, I like other studs like you just alluded to a
- 26:21minute ago, is there's other studs in my opinion, that I want to
- 26:23pay eighty five hundred plus for. Uh So it's tough to fit in these
- 26:26these Clippers guys, and there's no real value popping off the page night on
- 26:30the Clippers. So it's Scoot. I think the the the Banton experience is
- 26:36over for me, just based off the fact that his price is so elevated
- 26:41and his minutes are going down, uh, you know with the with the
- 26:44return of Scoot. So it's gonna be Scoot in this game for me.
- 26:47And that's about it. Yeah, I agree with you, just scoop for
- 26:51me, maybe as Zubac, but I just don't love it, love it
- 26:53for Zubac. I just don't think he's gonna need the minutes. I don't
- 26:56think they're gonna need to run them out there. But maybe again eighten right,
- 27:00they run Zubac out there, So I don't hate Zoo at five to
- 27:03four as a contrarian play obviously just crushes Portland team last matchup two nights ago,
- 27:10scored almost forty and if he gets forty almost forty again at five four,
- 27:14I think he's definitely good play for GPPs here, So don't hate Zubach.
- 27:18Scoot Henderson by far my favorite play outside of that. Pretty much a
- 27:21fade game for me, jumping in the second game at the eight ten pm
- 27:27Eastern time window. One of two games. Right, we just talked about
- 27:30the Clips and the Trailblazers. In terms of this one, Indy and Golden
- 27:36State believe this is the highest total on the entire slate at two forty one.
- 27:41Just a four point spread here. Golden State favorite by four at home.
- 27:44Very very good game, I think from a DFS perspective. In terms
- 27:48of injury news in this one, Draymond Green is probable for Golden State.
- 27:52Outside of that, really no no important injury news. So two pretty fully
- 27:59healthy squad here. In terms of this one, Jalen Smith kind of popping
- 28:03off the page in terms of value right now and ownership. You got Curry
- 28:08at sub nine k, which is crazy to see. You got tj D
- 28:11at five k. Right, that's the center position for Golden State. Big
- 28:15spread but pretty much fully healthy. Squads here are not a big spread,
- 28:21but a big total. Excuse me, two forty one, where you're going,
- 28:25Indy Golden State. Yeah, I think you're gonna need some pieces in
- 28:30this game. Just like you said, I mean it's it's the highest highest
- 28:33total points total of the evening. And for me, it's gonna start with
- 28:37Aaron Smith based on price fifty one dollars. I like his dual eligibility at
- 28:44a shooting guard and small forward. Warriors struggle struggle against combo guards and and
- 28:52and forwards this season, so don't mind, don't mind him. Like I
- 28:56said at fifty one, he would be my favorite pacer, another pacer I
- 29:02have some interest in. We'll kind of see how it shakes out. It's
- 29:04going to be Tyrese Halliburton. I think this is the type of game that
- 29:07Tyreese thrives in, up tempo game, you know, playing against you know,
- 29:11Steph Curry. I think Tyree's comes out pays off that tag at nine
- 29:15thousand. We'll see how much of him I get tonight, But certainly don't
- 29:18mind Tyrese Haliburton in this game. And then on the flip side of it,
- 29:22I mean, you can play a variety of these of these guys.
- 29:26But for me, Tracy Jackson Davis five thousand dollars center eligible, he just
- 29:30does so many things very efficient around the rim. Most of his shots are
- 29:36going to be around the ram layups, duns type of thing. And if
- 29:38we can get some you know, a double double out of him, or
- 29:41you know double double with some assists, I think he can pay that off
- 29:45easily. And he does have a pretty good matchup to night. So give
- 29:47me some some trace Jackson Davis tonight at at five thousand dollars at the center
- 29:52position. No great breakdown here. I like Anie Smith a lot here.
- 29:57Five to one, Like you said, shooting guard, small forward eligibility is
- 30:00nice. Think he bounces back here. Price is nice. Matchup is decent
- 30:04for him, His minutes are going to be there. We have him projected
- 30:07for thirty five minutes right now at a five to one in UH in this
- 30:11total in this game. I think that's solid. I also really like Siakam
- 30:15here small forward, power forward position seventy eight hundred. I think this is
- 30:19a good spot for him. Pretty low ownership here. I think this is
- 30:22a pretty big Siakam game here, so I like him. I agree trace
- 30:27Deck Jackson Davis I think is a good play here as well. Jalen Smith
- 30:33the chalkiest one, but again, I mean, I think he's been playing
- 30:37well limited minutes. You really need him to be productive. But he's just
- 30:42three to seven, and I mean he scored twenty five, twenty three,
- 30:45twenty three, twenty five. I mean even in his nineteen to twenty minutes
- 30:51three to seven. I don't think he's the craziest value play here. It
- 30:53is a big total, so I don't hate that, but uh, it
- 30:57is kind of a fringy value play just due to the nature his minutes are
- 31:03pretty much captain about twenty. But do you think this is a very good
- 31:07game? I mean, can I interest you in a little Klay Thompson here?
- 31:11How much I know you hate Klay Thompson, but man, he's playing
- 31:12pretty good right now. It's not the not the worst matchup for him.
- 31:18I mean, he's gonna get his right around thirty minutes. I don't think
- 31:21he's crazy at five to eight here. I just don't think I can do
- 31:26it. I just don't think he does enough for the other things. I
- 31:30mean, you know, every time you look up, you're right. I
- 31:33mean he's shooting it. I mean literally every time he touches it, you
- 31:37know, averaging right around fifteen shots a game. I mean, good price
- 31:42tag. I don't know, Nage, you might, you might, you
- 31:45might talk me into it fifty eight hundred dollars. We'll see what it comes
- 31:48down to. I mean, I would take Nie Smith over him, same
- 31:52position and seven hundred dollars cheaper. But uh, you know, doing one
- 31:56fifty. Don't think it's the worst call. Yeah, I just I mean
- 32:00it's it's a tough matchup for him, but I mean he's chucking it.
- 32:04I mean, Pacers are pretty good at catching shoot, which is obviously what
- 32:07Klay Thompson does. Sits on the wing, catch and shoot three pointers.
- 32:09But at five eight, I mean, I don't think it's the craziest play,
- 32:14not the best matchup by far, but I just thought i'd give it
- 32:16a shout. Curry. I'm gonna get memhar defense. So really don't love
- 32:22it. From the Golden State side, I think my main interest here it's
- 32:24definitely on the Pacers. Siakam Nie Smith. My two favorite plays in this
- 32:29game. For sure. Jumping the last game of the slate. Here we
- 32:32have Philly, we have the Lakers thirty minutes after those last two games.
- 32:37Lock in terms of this one in a total perspective, two twenty five total
- 32:42here Lakers seven point favorites at home. Injury news, Anthony Davis is probably.
- 32:47Lebron James is questionable, Prince remains out for the Lakers, Reddish is
- 32:52back for the Lakers. Vanderbilt and Vincent also out for the Lakers. On
- 32:57the Philly side, Tobias Harris is questionable. Melton, it means out here
- 33:00for Philly, got an ad popping off the page here for me, I
- 33:07like ad quite a bit. Here in this spot is a late night Hammer.
- 33:09He's uh, he's crushing right now as well, coming off a nice
- 33:14game against Atlanta, obviously much a great matchup for center bigs against Atlanta.
- 33:20Do you have interest in a D here late night Hammer in this one?
- 33:24Any Lebron for you? Tyrese MAXI, where are you going in this one?
- 33:30Yeah? This would be a good game. Like you said, late
- 33:31night Hammer, I mean, I mean, of course you got to have
- 33:35a little bit of interest in a D and Lebron I mean it's gonna come
- 33:38down if you know, winby versus a D for me once ten six one's
- 33:43ten to three, you know, same position. I think both in great
- 33:46matchups. I think Wemby's got a little bit better matchup, a little bit
- 33:51higher ceiling as well, just based on the fact that his team's not as
- 33:54strong and doesn't have as many options. But you know, two of the
- 33:58lower round guys that I want to touch on with the Lakers that I have
- 34:00interest in are gonna be these guards d Lo, Dan Agelo, Russell Austin
- 34:06Reeves seventy three hundred seventy one hundred dollars respectively. I certainly want a piece
- 34:10of this game, and I think this is a way to get a piece
- 34:13of that game and not going into the ten k range with Lebron or a
- 34:16D. So I'm certainly fine with either one of those. I would do
- 34:21Max one of those with d Low or Austin Reeves really like that. On
- 34:25the other side, on the seventy six er side, they've struggled all season
- 34:30long with point guards and combo guards. So what does that mean? So
- 34:36that means give me some tyrese MAXI who you know, eighty seven hundred dollars
- 34:40elevated price tag. You know, should see right around thirty five plus minutes.
- 34:45He's gonna shoot it. He's a big, big piece of their action.
- 34:47And then the other one that I like, forty nine hundred dollars,
- 34:51buddy Healed should see, should see a lot of catch and shoot opportunities.
- 34:54Hasn't been playing a who whole lot, but I think that could change tonight,
- 34:59just based on how this game is gonna get played out. So it
- 35:00would be the guards for me, d Lo and Reeves and then Healed and
- 35:05Max on the other side. Yeah, no, I like Maxy a little
- 35:09bit here too, a d I prefer ad to Wemby. I see that
- 35:14question in the chat, Richie. It's it's an ad spot for me.
- 35:16Ad been off since Monday coming here. I mean, Lakers got to start
- 35:21winning games down the stretch. I think this is I mean, all the
- 35:24talk is on Lebron for a good reason, right. Lebron's been absolutely crushing,
- 35:28taking a lot of the ball handling duties, a lot of the shots,
- 35:30so that hurts guys like d Russ and Reeves a little bit. I
- 35:34don't think d Russ is a terrible play, but with Lebron doing so much
- 35:37of the ball handling, taking so many of the touches, it's just hard
- 35:43for me to get to these other shooters. Ad my favorite play by far
- 35:46in this game. I love AD, one of my favorite studs on my
- 35:50favorite stud actually on the on the host slate here. I really like going
- 35:53AD and chat tonight kind of starting my team's there. I like that.
- 36:00I think my other favorite, my other play in this game would be in
- 36:04the mid tier Ruy Hachimura here at par forward center. He's got coach speak
- 36:07on his side here. They need Rui to be more aggressive here. He's
- 36:13going to get his minutes, his thirty plus minutes here, he's taking double
- 36:15digit shot attempts and the coach speak here they want him to be more aggressive.
- 36:21This could be a good spot for Ruey hot Chima here to be a
- 36:22little aggressive, and he should be unhowned as a differentiation piece in your lineup,
- 36:28so I don't hate him. But by far my two favorite plays eighty
- 36:30in this game and Tyrese Maxi on the other side. That's all eight games.
- 36:36We broke it down pretty good. Any final final thoughts for the people,
- 36:38any questions you want to address in the chat here. Yeah, the
- 36:43anybra love, I didn't mention Ubray. I don't think you did either,
- 36:46So no uber love for me. I don't know if you want to touch
- 36:49on that or if you already diet shaking your head no. And then yeah,
- 36:52we talked about the Memphis guys earlier, pimpin if he plays, I
- 36:55think it's a viable option based on that price. Also, like Jero,
- 37:00just depending on who plays. And I hope, I hope no Ones isn't
- 37:02listening anymore because I do have some uh some conc our love as well,
- 37:07just depending on who's who's in, who's out, So yeah, that would
- 37:09be it for me. But yeah, good luck in your contest tonight.
- 37:13Winding down this NBA season, really enjoyed everybody tuning in, enjoyed, appreciate
- 37:17you needs and thanks to the Ship and Nation family out there. We appreciate
- 37:21you. So I do want to just go back to the Portland game because
- 37:25we just got news DeAndre Ayton just got ruled as a midday downgrade, so
- 37:34you want to hit on that. In terms of usage, Banton obviously gets
- 37:38a lot of usage. Scoop gets some usage there at Camara is gonna get
- 37:44some usage boost there at the small forward position. Wainwright a little bit as
- 37:49well, talk about that that eight news. Yeah, if if eight and
- 37:53were to miss that elevators I'm sorry, Yeah, I mean du up Wreath
- 38:01obviously as well. We'd have to pay attention to to who would start there.
- 38:07Yeah, I feel yeah, to your point exactly, we'd want to
- 38:08see who starts. I think it would be Jabbari. But if duop Reath
- 38:13started, you know, he had a he had a couple of good games,
- 38:15you know, two or three weeks ago. Uh so, so yeah,
- 38:17so either one of those guys, uh, I mean, that would
- 38:20be some open up, some great value. I think the one issue you'd
- 38:23run into there is that we may not get that news until the slate has,
- 38:29as you know, well into the slate, right. I think we've
- 38:30got four or five games before that game starts, so that's a that's a
- 38:35ten pm Eastern game start time, so we may not know. But yeah,
- 38:38I don't mind Jabari. I would prefer Jabari over Wreath. Uh.
- 38:43Just on the record of staying that he is eight hundred, eight hundred dollars
- 38:45more I should should eight and miss. Yeah, I think my favorite player
- 38:50would actually be uh too many Kamara to be honest, at the small for
- 38:54Ard power forward position thirty nine hundred, his minutes would solidify a little bit.
- 39:00Matchup still isn't great. I'm approaching like Ayton does miss this game midday
- 39:05down grade, especially this late in the day usually doesn't go too well here.
- 39:08So maybe Aidon didn't want to go up and bang down low with with
- 39:10Zubac here and the Kawhi Leonards of the world. So Ayton's probably like saying,
- 39:17hey, Friday night, I'm gonna just kick back. I'll throw my
- 39:20feet up on the bench and uh, you know, just get on with
- 39:23my night. So I doubt eight and plays here. So we're definitely gonna
- 39:28get some value from from the Portland side. But it is still a pretty
- 39:31tough matchup, is kind of how I would look at it. But I
- 39:35think it definitely helps Kamara a little bit there Scoot a little bit as well,
- 39:38which we already like Scoot in that game. So overall, pretty good
- 39:45spot there. That's all eight games. Again. I see our guy try
- 39:50in the chat here talking about three core plays. Man, if you want
- 39:52the core plays, we do throw up the core every single night. Over
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- 40:20percent off, but appreciate everyone watching. Hit that like button, hit that
- 40:23subscribe button on the way out. Good luck tonight in your contest. Hope
- 40:28to see those Shipping Nation logos at the top. Four hand much. I'm
- 40:30nate to five ship it