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Cubs/Giants MLB + WNBA Best Bets Tuesday 8/26/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browins hack Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: back to you as I always am until I die
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Oh and five the worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years. Doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump yesterdays, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, It's sowed back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: This is better off dead. I'm better off dead. Probably.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: What day is it? Who knows? Tuesday, August twenty sixth,
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: something like that. Yesterday's slight losing day on the show.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: Terrible Day U two and two. I think, so it
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: was a slight loss. We lost the first two my
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox at least one to go against one
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: of my plays, so Red Sox with a four to
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: three win, I think is what that was. So the
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: Baltimore play did not get there. Minnesota Toronto under man,
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, both starting pitchers in that one, they gave
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: up some runs. I'm really surprised that Joe Ryan gave
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: up that many runs in that game. Both starting pitchers
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: had a good strike a walk Raceio in the game
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: didn't walk a lot of guys. So it's not like
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: they were both really terrible or anything like that. But
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: that under him, it was just doomed almost from the
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: get go, and Toronto scored four runs in the first
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: inning and then it was completely over after that, and
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: the starting pitchers didn't do terribly after that after that
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: out person the first inning. But then we did get
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: the wins in the final two plays to at least
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: salvage the day we had. We're not salvage but make
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: it a almost a break even we had Seattle and
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: the Mariners. They were able to win that game. It
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: was close early on, they broke away late basically a
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: wound up winning the game. Cal Rale hit his fiftieth
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: home run. He's now the record home run hitting catcher
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: in Major League Baseball history. And then we also got
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: the Cincinnati and Dodgers first five undercorrect that was a
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: three nothing Dodgers lead, I believe at the end of five,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: and then the Dodgers did score more towards the end
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: of the game. I'm kind of surprised the Dodgers bullpen
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: didn't give anything up. But uh, Emmett she and really
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: good start for the Dodgers. I think he got them
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: seven innings last night. So if I was gonna guess
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: which one of those starters would have done better in
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: the game. I would have probably gone with Green, but
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: it was she and who did but we had the
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: under so that didn't matter. They both pitched pretty well
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: as far as I could tell. Emily, what's up man?
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: Thank you? Or what's up woman? Should I say? I
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: just say I just say man, like that's just my
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: force of abb But thanks for hanging out. I'm totally
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: out of right now. Andrew, what's up man? Thanks for
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: hanging out? Yeah, it fucking sucks, man. Whenever you have
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: a yeah, dog death, it's like it's almost like a
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: human death. I mean, yeah, this was a dog that
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: was part of the family, and this was not something
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: we expected at all. It was just like really really quick,
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: like totally downhill, like health slide. She was eleven. Huskies
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: don't really live that long, usually like eleven, twelve, thirteen
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: years something in that ballpark. But yeah, this was not
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: what I would have expected at all. Yeah. I was
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: over my parents' house. Yeah, and it was just all
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: of a sudden, It's like, well, what's going on. We
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: thought that it was like seizure medication that was messing
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: with her and making her like lethargic, like she had
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: actually seen the vet like a week prior to that,
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: and nothing seemed wrong other than maybe we needed to
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: like alter the meds a bit. And then all of
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: a sudden, it's like, no, she has like now cancer.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: That is just like all over the place, like what
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: the fuck? Like all of a sudden in the last
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: like four days. What it makes absolutely no sense. We'll
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: talk about We'll talk about sports here so we don't
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: we don't have to talk about that shit to talk
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: about WNBA first, because that's what I do. And I'm
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: not gonna recommend to play in any of this. This
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: is the run down, by the way, Oh my god, yeah, WNBA.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: I haven't had to play for a while, but I
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: mean I'm doing it very sparingly. I am up on
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: the season in the WNBA, so I'll definitely take that.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: The first time I've handicapped WNBA. We got and then
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: I will have three major League Baseball players. Although I
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: really don't like the baseball card very much today or
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: the board, I should say, trying to fix my ring
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: light there a little bit. Vegas and Atlanta. This is
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: actually a pretty good game by WNBA standards. Atlanta is
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: now in first place in the East. Vegas is probably
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: the hottest team in all of the WNBA. Atlanta did
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: just beat Minnesota, who is the best team in the WNBA,
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: and then the Liberty, who were atop the East, so
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: those are two huge wins, so it is possible Atlanta
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: doesn't quite take this game quite as seriously, although these
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: teams are all battling for playoff positioning. Now, Vegas, like
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: I said, has been extremely hot. They were like five
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: hundred basically not that long ago, and they've won how
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: many games in a row I can't count, eleven twelve,
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: They've won a ton of games in a row. Now
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: they are playing a third straight road game, though, but
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: they're coming off an easy game over the sky where
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: it doesn't even look like they really showed up and
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: they barely won the game. So this actually seems like
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: a better spot to Vegas, better spot for Vegas to me.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: But Atlanta in a way does have a little bit
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Wait what am I looking at this tomorrow? Vegas in Atlanta.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: I'm so out of it today, man Seattle and Indiana
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: my mistake. But anyway, yeah, I get a handicap. I'll
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: re handicap that tomorrow. But yeah, Vegas Atlanta, I think
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: Vegas might be the better side there. Seattle Indiana, I mean, yeah,
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: this is a much more boring game because Indiana is
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: falling apart. Caitlin Clark looks like she's not coming back.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: Sophie Cunningham is now out for the year after being
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: injured intentionally in this Connecticut game. Indiana, I mean they're
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: still playing respectably. I mean, those two losses after that
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: were both to Minnesota, best team in the league. They
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: are returning home from Minnesota, Indiana. I mean, at this point,
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: they got to win to even make the playoffs. At
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: this point, they gotta make sure they make the playoffs.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if that's gonna happen. Seattle is
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: in somewhat decent position to make the playoffs at this point.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: Has They been on a nice little run here with
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: three wins in a row, winning four of the last
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: five that they did that against bad teams for the
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: most part, these last three wins Chicago, Dallas, Washington, those
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: are all bad teams. They're playing a fourth straight road game,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: so that's not necessarily the easiest spot to be in
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: for Seattle here. Both teams still kind of fighting like
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: for playoff their playoff lives at this point. Seattle does
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: have a big game against Minnesota up next in two days, though,
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: so Mike, they overlook Indiana because Indiana is massively injured.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: It's possible the line has actually moved up from two
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: to four on Seattle, though don't know if some of
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: that has to do with the fact that Indiana's entire
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: team is injured, because we already knew that, so I
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: don't know if that would cause the line to increase
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: more on Seattle. But I'm not gonna lay the points.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna recommend laying the points with Seattle there
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: and then Phoenix in La La. I mean, they're still
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: technically fighting to try to make the playoffs, but I
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna miss the playoffs at this point. Phoenix
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: has been playing pretty well. Phoenix is obviously the better
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: team here LA. I mean, I guess they'll show up.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: They only won their last game, but one. They do
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: have a pretty good Phoenix team coming into their place here.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: Phoenix just beat Golden State in their last game, winning
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: three of their last four, only losing to that extremely
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: hot Vegas team in those four games there starting a
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: new road trip going to La So Phoenix. I mean,
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: it seems to me like they should be focused, but
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: they're sitting pretty nicely right now. They're pretty much guaranteed
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: that they're gonna make the playoffs at this point at
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: the very least, although I think they would like to
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: improve their seeding. Phoenix is just sitting at a four
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: point favorite though, And I don't know, to me, it
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: almost looks a little bit too easy to take Phoenix
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: with the line that's not really that high like that.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: But there's no way that I can recommend to play
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: on that. I just don't really have a feel for it. Scott,
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. That's pretty gay,
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: but love you too. All right, Major League Baseball, I
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: am gonna rerec I'm gonna recommend three plays here. I
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: have some leans in some of these other games. It's
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: all an evening board today for Major League Baseball. I
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: believe four teams didn't play yesterday, but all the teams
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: are playing today. Red Sox Baltimore. The Red Sox did
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: get the win yesterday, even though I thought they were
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot with short rest coming up that
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: Sunday night game. They still won the game last night,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: and the Red Sox had a bullpen game last night.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: It's still won, so the Orioles have a more rested
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: bullpen coming into this game, although the Red Sox have
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen generally, but again, they had to use
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: Bernardino as an opener and he's pitched the last two days,
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: so he can't pitch today. Whitlock through a decent amount
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: of pitches yesterday, so the Red Sox bullpen a couple
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: of their guys probably unavailable. Chapman only through seven pitches,
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: so he probably is available. But the bullpen scenario doesn't
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: really honestly look that great for the Red Sox. Here
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: kind of evens out the fact that the Red Sox
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: do have the better bullpen over Baltimore. The Red Sox
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: also have the better offense. Starting pitching is interesting to
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: say the least. Here. Giledo is pitching for the Red Sox.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Lucas Giledo three point seven to two ERA, one point
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: two to seven WHIP. On the season, he's been a
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: bit up and down. He has been a little bit
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: better on the road three point six to five yr
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: on the road hasn't been that good recently, two of
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: his last three starts, he's failed to make it five innings.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: In those two starts, he allowed seven earned runs combined
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: across whatever the hell that is? Can I even do
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: the math at this point? Ten and a third innings?
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: I think is what that was? Uh? No, nine a third?
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Whatever the hell it was. Anyway, Yeah, Gielito wasn't a
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: Those weren't great outings from His walk numbers haven't been
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: that good this month. Fourteen to evans strike a walk ratio,
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: so his strikeout rate is fairly low. His walk rate
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: is fairly high here over the past month. That's not good,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: even though his ERA is actually only three point four
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: to two, because he had good starts against Houston and
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Miami in the mix there, so he's it's almost like
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: he's been alternating good and bad starts over the past month,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: which would mean that he's in line for a good
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: start here. He does have good numbers against Baltimore, and
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: they only have twenty at bats against him. Only five
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: of their hitters have seen him before. They're three for
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: twenty with no extra base hits, eight strikeouts, two walks,
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: one to fifty batting average three sixty seven ops so
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: Gilito does have good numbers against them in a small
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: sample size. My guess would be that Gilito does actually
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: come back and pitch well in this particular game. I mean,
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: his bad starts were both on the on the road, though,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: so he is on the road here as well. So
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: he's actually been a little bit worse on the road
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: more recently. Earlier this season his bad starts were in Fenway,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: but his most recent start was against the Yankees. You
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: can kind of give him pass for that. I'm not
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: sure you can give him a pass for walking six
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: guys at San Diego, though, So I do worry a
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: little bit about him. Kyle Bradish or bray Dish, and I
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: don't even know if you pronounced his name is pitching
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: for Baltimore. He is an interesting interesting case here. Man.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: He didn't pitch it all. He has not pitched it
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: all since last season. He got injured rolling the season.
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: He was off to a really good season last year.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Last two seasons he was actually really good, with an
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: ERA below three in both seasons and a whip below
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: one point one in both seasons. Good stuff, good strikeout
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: walk ratio in the threes. So he's pretty good, but
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: he got he had an elbow injury, He's had Tommy
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: John surgery. He's trying to come back from Tommy John.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: He is still kind of a guy that doesn't have
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: a whole lot of major league experience, even though he's
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: a little bit older than you'd expect for a guy
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: who only started pitching in the majors a few years ago.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: He is already twenty eight. But he was showing signs
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: of really becoming something good, and we got to figure
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: out if we think he's gonna bounce back from having
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: these surgeries here man. So I looked at his rehab
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: starts he pitched. He made four starts in Triple A
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: this year, and they were actually not good. Like his
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: era was over six I'm pretty sure, which is not
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: necessarily a very good sign. I mean, looking at what
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: he did the last couple of seasons is a good sign.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: Though you would think that a guy at his age,
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: maybe he should bounce back from Tommy John surgery and
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: pitch well again. But we've seen a lot of cases
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: where guys that are late twenties early thirties start like
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: not being able to come back from this Tommy John
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: surgery and pitch well, so it's definitely a risk if
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: you want to bank on him pitching well today. I mean, basically,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: if his triple A starts looked good, I would be
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: leaning towards an under in this Red Sox Orioles game
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: here like that would actually probably be on my board
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: as on my card as a play today. But I
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: just don't think I could do it because I'm like,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: I'm very, very nervous about bradish Man or bradish against
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox in his career. They're only eight for
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: thirty nine off in lifetime though thirteen k's three walks,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: two h five batting average six forty seven ops, so
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: as matchup numbers do look good against the Red Sox
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: and the money is coming in on the under. In
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: this one, the totals dropped from a key number of nine.
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: It went actually from nine juice to the over threw
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: the key number nine down to eight and a half.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: When I looked earlier, I did not see any nines
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: anymore on the board. Because obviously, if you want to
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: go under, the nine is a lot better. You could
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: think about going under in the first five innings, then
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: you can avoid the Red Sox bullpen not being the
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: greatest rest scenario in Baltimore's bullpen not being good. Red
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: Sox are also public eighty four percent of tickets, only
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of the cash dropped from minus one
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: twenty eight on the money line to minus one oh seven.
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: So the market signals are saying Baltimore in this game
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: as well, which is interesting, Which means that seems like
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: the professional betters have faith in Braydish Bradish, but should
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: we're gonna throw him on a salad man. But I'm
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: just not so sure. Again I would still I would
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: agree with the market read more like more so than
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't, especially on the under. Like I do think
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: the under is still the best way to look at
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: this game. Seventy eight percent of tickets on the over,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the cash on the under, and
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: again first five innings might might make more sense if
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: you can get full game under nine. Of course that's
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: a key number, so that makes sense too. But again,
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: I think he really got to worry about whether Bradish
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: is gonna be able to return from his surgeries because
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: triple his triple A starts not looking good man over
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: that span. Yet a four start sample size, and it
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: doesn't look that good. So and he allowed I believe,
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: like a two ninety batting average over that span two
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: so we'll see. I mean, it wouldn't shock me if
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: he came out of pitch well though, because we know
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: what he can do at the major league level. So,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: but it's a pass for me on that one. Atlanta
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: and Miami. Miami won game yesterday two to one, very
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: low scoring, close game yesterday. We're looking at two mediocre
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: offenses and two mediocre bullpens here. I would say I
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: don't even know which team actually has the edge in
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: either at this point, because they're pretty close, to be honest. Yeah,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: Marlins and Braves are eighteen and nineteen in pitching in
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: a bullpen y Ra and Marlin's are seventeenth in offensive ops,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: Braves are sixteenth, So they're back to back in both
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: of those, which is why it's difficult to figure out
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: which one you even think is better. It's basically a
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: wash both offensively and in the bullpen. Braves only use
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: one relief pitcher yesterday, so they have a pretty good
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: bullpen rest scenario right now. Miami not too bad either,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: use two guys yesterday. Interesting pitching matchup here. We have
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: two guys that could potentially pitch well in this game.
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: One who is really off to a hot start, Hurston Waldrup,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: pitching for Atlanta. He's a twenty three year old rookie,
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: I believe, and he's been really really ex on it
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: so far with a point seven to three ERA and
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: point seven to seven whip. Obviously, he can't continue doing
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: that well, but he's been really really good both home
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: and away. He's ramped up kind of in every outing
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: as well, like almost pitch better every single outing. Now
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: we do have to dial it back a little bit
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: because he's faced some bad offenses for the most part,
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: Miami Cleveland White Sox the best offense he faced with Cincinnati,
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: but he's only given up one or zero in runs
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: in every outing, has a twenty four to six strike
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio. Yeah, I mean, he's doing everything and
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: more than what was expected. But he's been pitching against
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: offenses that I've never seen him before, so that gives
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: him an upper hand. When you have a talented young
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: rookie like this the first time an offense season, sometimes
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: they really struggle the problem with this outing is that
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: Miami is gonna be facing him for the second time,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: and maybe he's good enough that he's just gonna pitch
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: well again. Definitely possible. He beat Miami pretty easily the
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: last time. He's actually picked up a win in every
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: one of his outings, held Miami to one ear and
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: run in six in that start, six strikeouts, one walk,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: So yeah, his numbers against Miami are really good. Seventeen
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: at bats, only one extra RaSE hit, four hits, five strikeouts,
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: no walks against their current lineup, so whoever the walk
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: was must not even be currently on Miami's roster or whatever.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: Two thirty five batting average five point twenty nine ops. Yeah,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: it's definitely possible that Waldrop does well again here. But
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: I worry a little bit that second time facing a
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: lineup and you're almost facing them like right away again,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: that lineup will have like kind of been able to
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: adjust to you a little bit. Potentially he might be
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: able to hit you a little bit better. So I
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: worry about that slightly. And then Sandy al Contra pitching
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: from Miami. He has not had a good season. He's
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: a guy that had Tommy John surgery in his late
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: twenties and he's never bounced back from it six point
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: zero four ERA one point three eight whip not good,
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: but he has been better on better at home four
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: point seven six e RA at home, and this month
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: he's been showing signs man his last two starts at
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: Boston and against St. Louis. I know Saint Louis's offense
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: hasn't been good recently, but he pitched really well in
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: both of those starts. The one at Boston pretty impressive.
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: I give up one earned run in each of those starts,
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: went thirteen combined innings, only gave up seven hits combined
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: sixteen to two strikeout walk ratio of those last two
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: starts after he was kind of roughed up in his
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: first two starts of the month. So what are we
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of al Contra here? It's interesting, man,
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: because he is actually in good form right now based
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: on those last two starts. But the start before that
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: was actually against Atlanta and he didn't do well. Give
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: up five earned runs and walked four guys in five
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: innings in addition to giving up seven hits. His numbers
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: against the Braves are not good in his career. In
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: a huge one hundred and eighty three at bat sample
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: size forty one strikeouts twenty one walks, so not really
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: a good ratio there two ninety five batting average eight
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: seventy one ohps. So the Braves have been able to
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: hit a contra pretty well. So I think if you're
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: looking at this game, I think you do have to
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: lean to the Braves. But you're laying a road favorite
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: price with a team like the Braves, although it almost
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: looks bizarre to be doing that, right, because I know
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: the Braves get all this name recognition, but you got
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: a team with the worst record here and they are
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: really bad on the road too, so you do have
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: to worry about that. But the team with the worst
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: record laying a road favorite price just kind of seems bizarre, right.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: But I do think that Atlanta does have the edge here,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: and if you think everything else is a wash, the
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: bullpens are a wash. I think Atlanta does make sense
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: in this game. They're up from minus one twelve to
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty six, seventy four percent of tickets eighty
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash coming in on them. I
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: wouldn't necessarily disagree with an under though, because Alcantra has
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: been in good form the last couple of games. But
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: I do worry that he doesn't d well against Atlanta
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: and they just saw him, and I worry that Miami
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: just saw Waldrop as well, so he might not do
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: as well. Waldrop, by the way, is when you have paint,
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: you know, when you overcoat, you're all overcoat. You put
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: too many coats of paint on your wall there and
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: it starts dripping. That's the Walldrope. You're watching paint dry
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: when you watch that guy pitch. No, I like good pitching. Uh.
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: The total did flip from eight juice to the over,
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: to eight juice to the under, sixty three tickets on
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: the over, seventy the cash on the over. But I
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: do see more arguments for an under than an over, though,
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: because I think it is possible both pitchers actually continue
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: their recent ways. But again, I think probably the best
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: way to look at this game is still the Atlanta
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: money line, because I do the Waldrope probably should be
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: able to outpitch al Condre here. He's just the pitcher's
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: been better man. I mean, even though it's a very
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: small sample size for Waldrop. Tampa Bay at Cleveland Cleveland
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: return over from a road trip and yesterday and lost again,
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: and they haven't scored a run in three straight games. Now.
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: Cleveland playing awful right now. Their offense is awful. Tampa
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: Bay obviously has the better of these two offenses. Cleveland
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: actually probably has the better bullpen, though it's just crazy
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: to crazy to say all those Tampa's. Isn't that bad?
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Sometimes when a team returns home from a road trip
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: and they get really embarrassed, they actually tend to bounce
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: back and do better in the next outing, which might happen.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: But man, Cleveland is sliding. Neither of these teams are
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: going anywhere, which I forgot to mention. That is the
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: case with Atlanta and Miami as well. And of course
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: Boston is fighting to make the playoffs and for positioning,
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: and of course Baltimore is out of it. But Baltimore
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: will be playing, you know, for a divisional matchup. They'll
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: show up as well, probably you know, Atlanta, Miami will
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: show up for divisional matchup as well. Tampa Bay Cleveland,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, these two teams don't really have a whole
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: lot to play for here. As far as the bullpen
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: usage is concerned, Tampa Bay used three relief pitchers yesterday,
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: not a ton of usage. Cleveland has used more than
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: leaders the last couple of days, but they only use
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: two yesterday, although both of those guys actually pitched two
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: days in a row. So bullpen usage wise, maybe Tampa
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: gets a slight edge there. I think Cleveland actually shockingly
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: has the better of the two bullpens. Cleveland is actually
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: up here in fifth in bullpenny ra on the season,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: which seems just absurd to me, given the fact that
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: they lost a couple of their best relievers to gambling.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Starting pitching magic in this game is
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit hard to predict as well. Shane Boz
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: is pitching for Tampa. He hasn't been good this season
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: five point two two ERA, one point three to seven whip,
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: although he's been way better on the road three point
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: five two ERA, So taking him out of that Steinbrenner Field,
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: the Tampa best to play in this year, that three
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: training stadium, he's been a lot better Boz. I mean,
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: he hasn't been good this month, though he's been bad
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: this month. Twenty seven to eight strike a walk race
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: is pretty solid, but at nine ERA that's not gonna
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: cut it. Obviously, two of his last three outings, he
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: failed to make it past the four inning mark. He's
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: given up four or more and runs every game this month.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: That's not a good sign at all. Yes, he did
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: face the Dodgers and the Yankees and the a is
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: on the road, which is actually his best start of
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: the month. Just insane. That's a very hitter friendly park
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: as well. But yeah, he's getting lit up this month.
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: It's not good. But Cleveland has actually never faced him before,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: so if Boz is gonna be able to bounce back Bach,
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: maybe he will actually pitch better in this game because
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: Cleveland at least hasn't seen him before, so he does
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: have an unfamiliarity edge. And I do think Boz he's
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: a good strikeout pitcher, so he does have a ceiling
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: that's much higher than what he's been doing so far.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: But I don't know that he's necessarily gonna do well here.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: Although he's getting a really really bad Cleveland offense as
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: an opponent here too, so he's stepping way down in
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: class to face them, so he may pitch better here.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: He's up against Parker Messic for Cleveland, who I believe
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: has only made one start in his major league career. Yeah,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: he pitched at Arizona. I mean, that's not an easy
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: to ask. And he went six to two thirds and
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: he's gave him one ear and run, six strikeouts, one walk,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: seven hits. Very impressive for a guy to come out
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: and that being his debut game in a very hitter
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: from park against a good offense. So good side that
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: Messik might actually be a decent starter here. I looked
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: at his scouting report back before he made his first start,
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: but don't have it fresh in my mind right now.
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: Don't exactly remember exactly what like his arsenal looks like.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: But I'm just kind of looking at what his stats
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: are now and say, oh, he can do this at
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: a major league level. Well, that should mean that he
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: could pitch well again here against an offense it's actually
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: weaker than the first offense that he faced Tampa. They
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: have not seen Messick before, so we have an unfamiliarity
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: edge on both sides here. Yeah, this is a weird,
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: weird one man money coming in on Cleveland fifty ticket
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the cash on them. They are on
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: the bounce back spot. If I was gonna do that, yeah,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: I mean you could maybe even do that and go
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: still go full game, just going with the fact their
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: bullpen is actually better, but you're gonna need to actually
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: get some offense for once. But I don't really disagree
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: with that side. You could also go first five if
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: you just think Messic will outpitch bas but I think
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: maybe full game Cleveland make more sense on the side there.
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: They're sitting at minus one thirteen on the money line
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: total to drop to seven and a half juice to
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: the over, sixty eight percent ticket seventy four percent of
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over. I could definitely see an
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: argument for an under in this game, just based on
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: the fact that bull starting pitchers are unfamiliar to the
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: opposing lineups, and we know neither offense is really that
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: prolific the bullpens are both alright, So an under kind
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: of seems to make sense in this game as well.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: But you gotta worry about Bob's returning to form to
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: get you You're under in that one, but it's certainly possible.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: I think I would prefer that over playing the over
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: in that one, at least for sure. I think the
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: lean would be the under Washington at the Yankees. Yankees
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: got the win yesterday the first game of the series.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: On the short turnaround time off the Sunday night game.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: Washington's bullpen is so bad that the Yankees actually have
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: the better of the two bullpens. Yankees only used one
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: relief pitcher yesterday, Mark Lighter Macklita, for only seven pitches,
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: so their bullpen's actually more rested as well, Washington using
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: a few guys yesterday, So the Yankees have a bullpen edge,
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: which doesn't usually happen. They have a huge offensive edge
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: as well. Obviously they're the highest ops and all of
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: baseball still, I believe, and they should probably have a
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: starting pitching edge too, So pretty much every edge is
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: on the side of the Yankees here. But obviously you
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: have to pay a price for them, although it's not
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: as heavy a price as he had to pay yesterday
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: for them. Mackenzie Gore pitching for Washington. And of course
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: the Yankees have something to play for as they're trying
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: to make sure they make the playoffs, potentially trying to
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: win the division, whereas Washington doesn't really have a whole
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: lot left to play for it. But of course playing
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: the Yankees are probably gonna get up when you play
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: the Yankees, especially at Yankee Stadium. Gore is pitching for
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: the Nats four point one to one, pretty atrocious one
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: point three to five with though this year his walk
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: numbers have been bad, but he is actually pretty good
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: on the road three point five to nine RA on
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: the road this month, pretty decent twenty two to eight
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio, but pretty bad six point zero
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: five ERA, and mostly because he got totally lit up
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: by the A's. But his last start wasn't good either.
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: Didn't make it past four and a third against the Mets,
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: gave up two of them runs, four walks, six hits
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: as well, and somehow limited them to three or in
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: runs even though he put all those guys on base.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Had five strikeouts as well. Gore is definitely a strikeout guy.
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: He will gore you, but he walks way too many guys.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: He's actually been too hitable as well recently, so I'm
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: not expecting a whole lot out of Gore here, but
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, well, it's possible that at some point he
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: does better because he does have a higher ceiling. But
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: his numbers against the Yankees are bad. In fifty three
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: at bats, three zero two batting average, allowed nine to
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: twenty eight ohps fourteen to five strikeout walk ratio. His
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: numbers are just not great against the Yankees, so I'm
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: not expecting a whole lot out of him. Louis Heel
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: pitching for the Yankees actually kind of similar to Gore
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: in a way that in that Heel gets a lot
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: of strikeouts and walks away too many guys, which you
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: can kind of tell based on his season numbers so far.
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: He's had a limited season so far because he came
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: back from injury not that long ago. Four point two
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: six ERA one point six' eight. Whip his whip is
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: way too, high but he's actually been way better at
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: home two point six point ONE. Era at, home he
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: got really really rocked in his first. Start he's been
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: a little bit better since, then along two or fewer
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: earned runs in the most recent three, starts but he
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: hasn't made it past five and a third in any
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: of his outings so. Far he's walked thirteen guys so
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: far in nineteen, innings so, again his walk number very very.
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: High seventeen strikeouts is actually lower than you expect to
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: see From, heels so his strikeout walk ratio is actually really,
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: Bad so some of his numbers are not a good.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Sign washington has almost never seen him. Before the Only
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: DeJong has ever seen him, before and he's zero for
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: two with a walk and two, Strikeouts so he'll does
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: have an unfamiliarity edge. Here SO i still think the
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: edge pretty much goes to The yankees across the board
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: here where are they? At they're up for minus one
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: sixty five to minus one seventy. Four they got ninety
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets and cash on, Them SO
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: i would worry a little bit about. THAT i, MEAN
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: i could see some arguments for an over as, well
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: because the bullpens just aren't very good, here both starting.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: Pitchers you could make the argument that they that they
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: won't do well here Because heal's not a good. Form,
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: Really gore doesn't have good numbers against The yankees and
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: also is in a good. Form eighty five percent of,
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: tickets only eighty four percent of the cash on the,
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: over although the total action went up from eight and
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: a half juice to the over all the way through
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: nine key number to nine juice to the. Over so my,
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: Mistake i've moved my mic around a whole bunch, man
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i don't like having it off to the side as,
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: much but having it this, LOW i keep like hitting.
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: It SO i don't love this, either BUT i want
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: to keep it not too close to my face BECAUSE
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: i don't want to kill anybody with my. Voice my
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: voice is already bad, enough and it seems LIKE i
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: strain it. Anyway over there are some arguments for an
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: over in this, game which might actually be the better
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: way to lean in this, game BECAUSE i don't think
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: there's really a way to play The yankee. Side you
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: could play The yankees over their team. TOTAL i don't
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: really hate that, either because they Hit gore well and
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: you got a Bad washington bullpen in the mix. TOO
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: i recommended that yesterday, actually and that was an easy
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: winner if you did. That The yankees scored ten runs,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: yesterday so it doesn't seem too bad to. Me Minnesota,
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: Toronto i'm gonna give out a, play So i'll skip
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: that for. Now what else DO i? Have, Yeah i'm
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: just making sure a couple of my plays are late night.
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: GAMES i have a couple Of Pacific coast, plays so
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: we're gonna get through most of the Board prior to,
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: That philadelphia and The mets big, series obviously big divisional
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: series between the top two teams and THE Nl. East
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: they're both fighting for playoff positioning and. Whatever The mets
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: won yesterday thirteen to. Three very embarrassing result For. Philly
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: so DO i Think philly will bounce back? Here, potentially
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i, mean no team wants to get embarrassed like.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: That has been good at bouncing back for the most
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: part after getting embarrassed and really just after a. Loss
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: philly tends to do fairly well the. Bullpens philly has
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: the worst of the two bullpens, though just not a great,
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: bullpen but they didn't have a ton of usage there
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: in the. Bullpen Yesterday mets had a little bit. More
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: So mets still get the bullpen, edge but it's maybe
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit less, significant but they got an alright.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Bullpen philly has the better of these two. Offenses and
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: then as far as the starting, PITCHING i actually leaned
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: To philadelphia with the starting pitching, man so maybe a
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: first five makes sense Of. Philadelphia Jesus lozardo's pitching for The.
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: Phillies he's basically been a tale of three seasons at this,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: point where he was really good at the early part
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: of the, season really bad in the middle of the,
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: season and now he's really good. Again where it seemed
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: like when he was, bad people were saying he was
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: tipping his, pitches so maybe he figured out how to
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: disguise his pitch is better. AGAIN i don't really, know
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: but his numbers kind of reflect all, that as they're
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: fairly mediocre or four point. One one point three whip
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: is definitely higher THAN i would like to, see but
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: he is better on the road three point three r
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: in the. Road he's been in good form this month
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: with a THREE era and a ridiculous thirty to four
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: strike a walk, ratio and he Finished july with a
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: shutout of The White sox for seven innings as. Well
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: he's gone six innings in every outing this. Month his
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: team has won four of his last five. Starts he
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: hasn't a lot more than three on runs in any
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: outing this. Month he's coming off striking out twelve and
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: walking nobody in a six, inning one, run three hit
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: performance Against, seattle not even At seattle's ballpark, either so
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: good signs That lozardo is definitely in good form right,
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: now and his numbers against The mets are pretty good
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: and one hundred and thirty nine at. Bats even though
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: they've seen him a, lot they haven't done well against.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: Him thirty seven, strikeouts twelve. Walks pretty that's a decent
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: strike at walk. Ratio it's over three two fifty two
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: bantning average allot in six to seventy eight, ohps so
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: good numbers pretty much across the board From luzardo. Here
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: he's in good form right, now SO i like how
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: it shapes up for. Him he's up Against Sean mania
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: for The, mets who does not have a GOOD era
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: five point one, five although his whip is actually pretty
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: good one point one, two which all that kind of
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: surprises me because With manaiah usually you get the. Opposite
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: usually you get a GOOD era and a bad. Whip
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: he usually walks too many guys his. ERA i, mean
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit better at home five point zero.
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: Three but he hasn't been in good form for a while.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: Now he came back from. Injury he started the season In,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: july and he actually had a few pretty good starts
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: in a. Row you gave a one eared run each
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: in his first four, starts even though his team only
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: won one of those starts this. Month his team has
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: lost all four of his, starts and he's given up
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: four more in runs every single time, out and he's
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: gone fewer than five innings and two of the four
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: he stalls a twenty three to four strikeout walk. Ratios
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: his command numbers are, good but he's been getting lit up.
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Man he's a lot of four home runs this. Month
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: he's allowed seventeen and runs twenty two hits in nineteen
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: to third. Innings something seems wrong with, him even though
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: it's not the. Walk so he has given up just
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: a lot of runs and a lot of hard. CONTACT
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: i GUESS i don't know what's going on with. Him
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: usually the opposite is the case with, him LIKE i,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: said but he's got a really bad looking seven point
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: nine to ONE era this. Month didn't do well Against
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: washington Or cleveland, either and those are not really good.
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: Offenses Milwaukee. Seattle you can give him a little bit
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: more of a pass for those, games but he's not
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: in good form right. Now In philadelphia does hit him fairly,
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: well and one hundred and ten at bats twenty seven
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: to nine strike a walk ratium is alright for, him
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: but two eighty two batting average allowed nine to forty
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: TWO ops not, good and he's allowed THAT ops is really.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: High he's allowed ten home runs to The phillies, bats
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: three of them From, castellanos but a lot of guys
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: have homered off, him the majority of their active roster
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: as at least one home run off. Him SO i
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: think the way to look at this game is probably
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: The phillies' first five innings the money's fading that, though
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in Against philly slight road favorite
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: ish up from minus one oh six to minus one oh,
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: seven seventy one percent tickets on, them only sixty five
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: percent of the. Cash So philly is a public road
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: almost favorite. Here it's the. Line probably the line's almost
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: like it's almost even between the two, teams basically with
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit of juice on each. Side But philly
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: is a very public road team. Here BUT i still
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: think based on WHAT i just showed, you it seems
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: Like louzardo should have the upper hand in the starting pitching.
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: Matchup don't love The phillies. Bullpen so, AGAIN i think
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: first five Innings philadelphia money line is actually the way
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: to look at this. Game money seems to be coming
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: into the over a little, bit sixty two percent, tickets
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash on the over totals
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: up to eight and a half from. EIGHT i could
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: see the argument for that being that maybe some runs
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: will be scored later in the game off of these,
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: bullpens But i'm not sure THAT i quite love. THAT
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: i Think philly first five innings for me would be
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: the way THAT i would look at that. Game arizona
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: and The brewers man this. Game it's an interesting starting pitching.
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: Matchup The brewers got the win yesterday to break a lost,
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: streak so maybe some newfound momentum for The brewers. Here
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: The brewers have the better of the two bullpens. Here
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: arizona actually has the better offense and The brewers offense
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: is a little bit worse at. Home But brewers do
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: have a significant bullpen edge. Here although The brewers did
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: use three relief pitchers yesterday And arizona only Used jarvis
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: out of the, bullpen so they have a very rested bullpend,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: here which kind of Negates milwaukee's bullpen edge a little.
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: BIT i wouldn't say, entirely but a little. Bit starting
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup, again pretty Interesting Brandon fott pitching For. Arizona
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of conflicting like handicapping factors with him.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Here he's finally got HIS era below five this. Year
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: he's been a much better pitcher than this in other
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: seasons prior to, this but this season has not been
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: good for. Him four point nine to five. V one
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: point three to four. Whip he's way worse on the
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: road x point FIVE. Era so for whatever, reason he
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: pitches way better At Chase field or, whatever even though
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: it's a hit or friendly. Ballpark he has been better
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: this month, though the four point one to EIGHTY rm
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: and it's not, great but it's. Better fifteen to six
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: strike a. Walk racio is still not that. Good it's
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: a low strikeout rate for, him but he's gotten his
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: walk numbers. Down he's been a little bit better this.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: Month this team has won three of his four. Starts
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: he's given up four viewer own runs in every. Outing
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: did Face colorado twice though In cleveland, once so he
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: faced bad. Offenses although, yes he did pitch a course field,
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: once which is still not really an easy place to.
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: Pitch but he's at least doing better than he. Was
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: his numbers Against, Milwaukee you're actually surprisingly, good although it's
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: not a huge sample size of thirty, one but he's
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: only allowed one extra base hit a double To, vaughan
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: sixteen to three strike a walk. Ratios he has a
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: really high strikeout rate against, them two twenty six batting,
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: average five point fifty two ops, allowed so specifically actually
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: does well Against. Milwaukee he's going up against the young
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: Phen Jacob. Mizierowski HIS era has gone up a bit
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: though four point one. Nine his whip is still good
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: at one point one one because he's still pretty much.
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: Unhittable but he's been kind of all over the. Place,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: Man he's been a little bit. Shaky he has been
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: better at home one point three to five yar at,
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: home so he's better at, home but he's been kind
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: of all over the. Place LIKE i, said his start
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: to his career was really, good and he had four
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: starts in a row where he allowed very few. Hits
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: he allowed two or fewer runs in all, four went
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: five or more innings in all of. Them then he
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: pitched in The All Star, game WHICH i said they
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: shouldn't do. That, like even if he was nominated to
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: The All Star game or named to The All star,
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: team WHICH i think he shouldn't have. Been milwaukee should
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: have been, like you're not gonna pitch in The All Star,
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: game like like he should have actually declined the, invitation,
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: man because you don't want your rookie pitcher to do.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: That and since then he's actually been totally messed. UP
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: i know he got injured as, well but he. Didn't
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: he hasn't gone five innings since. Then he's allowed multiple
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: runs in every outing except the first one Against, seattle
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: and this month he's been really bad and five and
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: a third innings across two. Starts, yes both on the
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: road Against cincinnati where that's a tough place to pitch
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: and The cubs good, offense but he's allowed eight ron.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: Runs eight strikeouts is, good but six, walks so his
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: walk number has gone up not good over these last two.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: Starts man really bounce, back, YEAH i mean at some
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: point he. Will he's a really good, pitcher so he
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: will be. Back and for him at some, POINT i,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: mean he's the hardest thrower in all Of Major League
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: baseball and he does not have any history against the
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: time In. Backs, yeah so the D backs are gonna
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: be unfamiliar with, him they're gonna have to adjust and
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: try to figure him. Out but the form that he's
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: in right, NOW i don't love, it. MAN i mean
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: it's gonna sound, really really, ugly BUT i actually probably
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: would lean To arizona maybe on the run line in
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: the first five innings, here just Play arizona plus whatever
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: the run line, is plus a half run or something
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: to be. Tied at the end of five innings here
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety three percent of the Casual, milwaukee they're sitting
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: at minus one. Fifty, AGAIN i think that maybe you
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: lean To arizona in that, one just because miz is
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: just not a good form right. Now. Man but, yes
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: it's not SOMETHING i would actually do because he does
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: have the potential to just Blow arizona away and they
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: haven't seen him. Before it's an interesting one. Man Kansas
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: city At chicago at The White, Sox, man this is.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: Ugly The White sox have actually won three games in a,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: row two shutouts in a, row including shutting Out Kansas city,
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: yesterday seven and. Nothing White sox still have the worst
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: of these two, bullpens Though White socks actually have the
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: worst offense as. Well The White sox have a rested,
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: bullpen though they only use one guy. Yesterday Kansas city
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: only used two relief pictures. Yesterday one of them Was
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: lynch long relief. Man So Kansas city's bullpen is in
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: decent shape, Too so they do have a bullpen edge.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: Here Kansas city does have a hitting. Edge starting, Pitching
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: we're not getting the greatest stuff starting pitchers in this.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: One Michael lorenz and pitching For Kansas. City he came
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: back from being injured not too long. Ago he's got
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: really mediocre numbers four point FIVE, era one point three
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: to four, whip not very. Good he's he is worse
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: on the, road which makes sense Because Kansas city's ballpark
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: is pitcher friendly five point oh SIX. Cr on the,
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: roads he has not been good on the. Road he's
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: made two starts this returning from being injured for over
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: a month And Kansas city actually one both, starts but
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: he didn't even go five innings in either of. Them
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: last outing was a little bit. Shaky he gave up
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: nine hits to a pretty weak Hitting texas. Lineup still
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: held them to three ear in, runs six, strikeouts one.
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: Walk BUT i don't know If i'm ready to say
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: he's actually in really good form right. Now he's given
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: up way too many hits more than one per inning
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: against The White sox And, texas and he's facing with
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: The White sox again. Here and The White sox did
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: just see, him but he did shut them out for four.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: Innings but still they're recently familiar with, them so they
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: might do a little bit better against him this time.
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: Outs even though he has a three point two to
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: FOUR era this, month nine to three strike a walk
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: ratio doesn't look that. Bad he's been too hittable. Again,
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: man he hasn't gone deep into these. Starts he's been
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: inefficient with his, pitches SO i don't like. That he's
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: been good in his career against The White sox, though
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: so maybe they still won't hit him. Well they're only
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: seven for fifty four off. Him fifteen to seven strike
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: a walk race shows a little bit dicey though it's
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: too many, walks but he's still held a one thirty
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: average of four to thirty three, ohps So lorenzo may
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: very well do well in this. Game he's going up
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: Against Martine perez for The White, sox who did pitch
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: well in his first. Outing he's got a two point
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: five ONE dra and one point one to FIVE. WHIP
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: i think that's all from one outing this, season, Though oh,
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: no my. Mistake he pitched early in the, Season my.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: Mistake and he's actually pitched twice since being on The
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: actually he's been on The White sox all, SEASON i,
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: guess but he's pitched twice since DAY i brought him,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: BACK i. Guess so he was the. GUY i don't
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: know if he was in The myers. What but he's
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: an old well not even really that, old but he's
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: a veteran pitcher who just he seems like he's older
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: than he is to me, man because he's a guy
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: that just comes out and blow guys. Away is a command,
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: pitcher doesn't really do that. Well since he's come back
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: from injury or, whatever he's gone more than five innings.
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: Once he's allowed one ear run combined Against detroit And
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: atlanta across eight and two thirds, innings nine, strikeouts two,
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: Walks so he has been. Effective but is he gonna stay?
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: Effective i'm not so. Sure he does have a one
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: point nine THREE era at home so, far but, again
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: he's a guy usually doesn't do that. Well he usually
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: has like a whip that's definitely too high above one point.
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: Four in his, career HIS zra is usually in like
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: the mid, Fours so expecting regression out Of, PEREZ im
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: not sure it'll come. Here against The royals and sixty
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: six career at bats he has a fourteen to one
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio against them two point fifty eight
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed in six seventy four, ohps So perez
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: has done pretty well against The. Royals so this game
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: kind of looks like an under to. ME i, mean
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: you have two weak, offenses two pitchers that NORMALLY i
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: would not love at, all but in this, matchup it
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: looks okay to maybe maybe take a shot with. That
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent of tickets on the, over fifty percent
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the. Under the bullpens are at least.
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: Rested so even though The White sox bullpen isn't that,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: Good Kansas city's is good enough that maybe it'll get
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: you there money coming in on the. Under LIKE i,
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: said still really going an eight and a half total
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: there first five innings under it would make enough sense as,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: Well so either one of those makes. Sense Kansas city
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: is a public road. FAVORITE i don't know Where zach
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: our resident case fan is not to be found right
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: now in the. Chat but sixty nine percent tickets only
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the cash case down for minus
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: one fifteen to minus one oh nine on the money.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: Line So Kansas, city they're looking like a public road favorite.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: Here that is A it looks like they're being faded
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: by the money, here so keep all that in. Mind
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh And Saint. Louis Saint louis won seven to six.
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Yesterday despite being in a return home spot, yesterday they
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: were able to. Win Saint louis does have the better
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: batting and the better bullpen here Over, pittsburgh which isn't
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: really saying a whole. Lot Saint louis offense has been
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: not that good recently. Though bullpen usage not a whole
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: lot For Saint louis, recently more For pittsburgh, recently So
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh definitely had a bullpend disadvantage. Here started. Pitching Mitch
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: keller pitching For pittsburgh mediocre. Numbers his numbers were better
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: earlier in the. Season he's been pretty bad. Recently maybe
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: he's kind of wearing down a little, bit even though
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: he is a veteran at this, point but four point
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: three FOUR, era one point three to one whip not very,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: good a little bit worse on the, road four point
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: four to five r in the road this. Month LIKE i,
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: said he's been really bad. Though in four starts a
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: NINE era hasn't made a five innings in either of
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: his last two outings sixteen to nine strike a walk
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: ratio over that, span he's alloted five or more in
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: runs and three of the four outings not. GOOD i
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: did face some good lineups Though, Toronto, Milwaukee cincinnati is,
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: okay did okay against, them pitched in course, field so
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: it has a like the easiest slate of. Opponents but
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: he's just not pitching well right, now and his numbers
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: aren't good versus The cardinals. Either they've seen a lot
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: of them because they're in The. Division hundred and fifty
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: two at, bats forty to thirteen strike a walk ratio
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: is not bad for, him but two eighty three batting
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: average allowed in eight to twenty four ops. Allowed So
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: keller does not do well Against Saint. Louis he's up
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Against Andre, polante who doesn't have good numbers this year
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: For Saint. Louis five point one SEVENTY ra one point
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: four to one. Whip he's actually a little bit worse
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: at home five point three seventy r at. Home he's
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: been really bad this month as, well very similar numbers To. Keller,
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: actually he's taken a loss in all four outings this.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: Month one was against The, cubs one was against The.
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: Yankees SO i mean those are good. Offenses but he
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: has not done. Well he hasn't gone more than five
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: and a third innings in any of these. Outings he's
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: given up four more in runs in the last three
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: sixteen to tend strike a walk ratier this month three
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: walks and three of the four. Outings he's not pitching
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: well right. Now man Against, pittsburgh he actually has pretty
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: good numbers that Will, ACTUALLY i mean it's not, surprising it.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: Is it's just surprising BECAUSE i don't think a lot
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: of day is. Good pittsburgh's offense isn't good thub and
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: in seventy two at bats he has a sixteen to
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: nine strike a walk, ratio which is not very. Good
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: but McCutcheon has five of those. Walks he's sell him
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: to a one to eighty one batting average at six
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: h five. Ops so he has Held pittsburgh's offense, down
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: but he's in such bad form right. NOW i think
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: this game is probably an. OVER i don't. KNOW i
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: mean THE startny pitcher might be bad enough that it
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: will kind of cascade into the bullpens. Here that would
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: probably be the way THAT i would look at this.
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: Game not a whole lot of over leans for me
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: recently were just overs in. General but sixty six percent take,
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: it seventy six percent of the cash on the over
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: total sitting at, eight and it's actually the juice on
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: the over has actually dropped to just a straight. Eight
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: BUT i think the over is the way to look
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: in this. Game AND i think you have Two thartny
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: pitchers that are just in terrible form right. Now probably
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: you do have to worry About pittsburgh getting you enough
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: offense to help. Out Though Saint louis up for minus
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: one twenty, minutes one twenty, six sixty two percent of,
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: tickets sixty seven percent of the cash on, them so
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: the money seamsly coming in On Saint. Louis that also makes.
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: Sense I'm. Polante even those numbers are worse Than kellers
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: on the, season he has the better matchup. Numbers Saint
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: louis is really the better team across the board that,
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: means so that does make sense as. Well slightly Into
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: Saint louis, There Anaheim texas will be one of my, Plays,
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: ANDREW i will have a play in Your Anaheim angels.
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: Game Here colorado At, houston we finally get some teams
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: that didn't play. Yesterday houston's returning home from a road.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: Trip so AGAIN i always talk about when you were
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: turned on from a road. Trip it's not really the
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: greatest spot necessarily because you can tend to be a
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: little bit, distracted especially you might not take a historically
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: Bad colorado team very seriously here. Either houston did lose
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: a win streak to end their road trip as, well
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: AND i gave out plays in three of the four
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: games in That baltimore series and got all three right
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: on the, Show so there you. Go i've been a
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: little bit hot in baseball, recently even though yesterday wasn't
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: particularly great for. Me but this is not a great
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: spot For houston because they are turning home from that road.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: Trip they're still fighting to hold on to the, division
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: though they're fighting for playoff, positioning so they have motivation
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: in that, respect, which by the, way Obviously Kansas city
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: and The White sox do. Not. Well Kansas, CITY i,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: guess technically is still in the, race so you could
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: argue they have more motivation for that. Reason but and
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: Then milwaukee obviously is making sure they make the. Playoffs
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: arizona's out of, it but playing a really good team
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: will probably pump you up For arizona. There pittsburgh And
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Saint louis are both out of, It so just throwing
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: out the motivational component of this really quick. Here But houston,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: again even though they do have something to play for,
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: it they just might not Take colorado totally. Seriously. Here
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: colorado is already on the road and they've already lost
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: every game on the road, trip embarrassingly getting swept By,
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh and they're flying down To houston with one day,
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: off getting shut out in two of those three it's
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: scoring one run in that entire. Series we Know colorado's
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: offense is terrible on the road and it's probably not
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: gonna get much easier. Here who given the pitcher they
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: have to face here For. Houston so there is a
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: reason Why houston is a massive, Favorite like. THIS i, mean,
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: Obviously houston is better across the, Board they have the better,
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: bullpend they have the better, offense even though their offense
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: has struggled quite a bit of the time. Recently but
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: the situation is not that good For. Houston Would colorado
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: actually be able to get it done as far as
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: like making this game close and covering like some sort
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: of run. Line maybe they Got Tanner gordon. Pitching his
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: numbers aren't great seven point one ONE, era one point
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: six to seven. WHIP i, mean just say the, least
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: that's not. Great usually you See colorado's pitchers not du
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: well in course, field but he's been way worse on the.
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: Road thirteen point one FOUR era on the road doesn't
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: make a whole lot of sense to. Me he's had
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: a shortened. Season he pitched In may and then he got,
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: hurt so he had a delayed start to the. Season
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: it seems like he got hurt again or maybe got
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: sent to the, miners came back, up and hasn't been
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: particularly good really throughout any of. It this, month he
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: does have a pretty good looking twelve to two strikeout walk,
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: ratio though the strikeout rates not that. High hasn't walked
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: a lot of, guys but he's he's got a ten
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: point three to ONE era this, month which of course
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: is not, good although his last two outings were actually fairly,
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: good even though he didn't strike out a lot of
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: guys five to two strike at walk, ratio but he
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: only gave up four runs across eleven innings nine hits
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: all out Against arizona and The, dodgers both at Corps,
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: field so for some, reason and he got wins in both,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: starts so he actually is in better form right, now
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: which is interesting because he's now facing worse offense than
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: The dodgers and The diamondbacks, here but he's having to
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: go out on the road where he hasn't been good at.
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: All so a lot of things to keep in mind
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: here With Gordon, man so it's very difficult to predict
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: what he's gonna do. Here there are reasons why he
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: might do, well there are reasons why he might not do.
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: Well And houston has never faced him, before so maybe
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: he does have a little bit of an extra advantage
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: here in That houston is totally unfamiliar with him and
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: might have to adjust to what he's gonna come out and.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: Throw at. Them Hunter brown pitching For, HOUSTON i, mean
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: he's pretty much their. Ace he's having a great season
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: two point three SIX, era one point zero one. Whip
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: he's been even better at, home slightly two point two
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: to seven E ra at. Home after a little bit
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: of a rough patch there In july around The All
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: Star game because he got named to The All star,
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: TEAM i think that was a bit of a. Distraction
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: he's bounced back really, nicely and he's allowed no more
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: than two hour runs in any of his last five,
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: starts allowed one or fewer in all but one of,
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: them which was at The, yankees so obviously that's still
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: not a bad start from. Him this, month he's actually
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: faced pretty much a gauntlet Of Boston, Yankees boston And,
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: detroit so he's faced some pretty difficult. Offenses his walk
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: number has gone up a little bit his last couple
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: outings three each in his last couple, outings which is,
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: concerning but still has a twenty one to eight strike
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: at walker this, month which is. Alright his strike gout
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: rate is a little bit lower than you'd want out of.
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: Him one point four to forty this month is obviously,
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: good and he's coming off a six inning shutout At
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: detroit to spite all those. Walks so, Yeah i'm gonna
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: say he's still in good form, here and he's stepping
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: way down in class to face this Bad rocky. Lineup
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: thirty nine at bats against, them they have eight hits against,
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: them eleven, strikeouts three, walks two point five batting average,
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: allowed and uh six seventy two. Ops So brown has
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: done well against The. Rockies it's an interesting, one, man
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: WHERE i mean, WEIRDLY i think That i'm kind of
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: thinking that maybe an under actually kind of makes sense
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: in this. Game but maybe you do it in the
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: first five, innings but you do have rested bullpens, here
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: because neither team played yesterday At colorado's bullpend's still pretty untrustworthy,
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: though so maybe you limit it to first. Five BUT
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: i see some reasons Why gordon might actually not pitched
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: particularly terribly. Here eighty two percent of tickets on the,
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: over ninety two percent of the cash on the. Over
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: cash looks like it's on the, over but the total
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: is still kind of just sitting at eight juice to the.
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: Under it's a pretty low, total and you know that
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: that does make it look like it is a public
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: over in this, game SO i think maybe an under
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings actually might make. Sense THE
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: i don't think there's any way you can lay up
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: to minus three twenty eight With houston and they have
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: eighty nine, percent it takes ninety three percent of the
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: cash on. THEM i, mean if you wanted to go
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: With colorado under their team total and go with them
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: to just not do well as their offense stinks on the,
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: road they're facing a really good starting pitcher here And
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: houston's bullpend gonna be rested and they're not a bad,
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: bullpen so maybe you could look at it that way as.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: Well on The Boston toad's THE, wnba it's gonna be
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: The Connecticut, sun the team that intentionally injured. Them Sophie
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: cunningham is gonna be probably moving To, boston which gets
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: even more interesting because The Connecticut sun they're Like New
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: ENGLAND'S wnba, team and they played In boston Against Caitlin
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Clark's indiana fet a couple months. AGO i was going
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: Into boston that night to see weird al and even
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: Though Caitlin clark wasn't even, PLAYING i Saw Indiana. Fever
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: Caitlin Clark jersey's everywhere on the. Subway it was mostly,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: women lesbians mostly going to, that but it was All
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: indiana fever. Stuff. Man so if If connecticut moves To
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: boston and they're the team that potentially Injured, indiana like,
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: is are they even gonna get much fans support In,
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: boston especially when they're the worst team in THE wnba right.
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: NOW i doubt, It and they'd have to change their
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: name because the reason that The Connecticut sun is because
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: they play At Mohegan. Sun they actually play at The
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: Native American. Casino Their Mohegan suns like a huge event
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: center though they have comedy events, there but they have
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: a basketball arena, there which is gonna be hilarious if
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: they if The sun move out of, there BECAUSE i
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: don't think any other team really plays. There but, yeah
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: it would be. Ridiculous if they wind up playing at
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: THE Td garden, instead they'd have to change their name
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: because the boss's son won't make any sense when he
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: gets sons not. There maybe they'll be the The Boston
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: encore and they'll be sponsored by The Encore casino. Instead
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: that's on the harbor. There the habit, KID i DON'T i,
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: DUDE i don't even know what their their name would.
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: Be but a lot of times the W nba tries
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: to give a team like if they're if it's a
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: team that's in a city that has AN nba, team
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: that try to give them a similar like, color scheme
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: and logo to THE nba. Team so they'll be the,
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: uh The boston Female leprechauns or. SOMETHING i don't fucking,
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: know The Boston, gingers The Boston Irish, women The Boston.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: LASSES i have no, idea, Man but, LIKE i don't
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: even know they'll get any fans support. Though it was
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: just hilarious seeing everybody going to that game was rooting For. Indiana,
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: man The Caitlin clark hype is, real and she might
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: not even ever come, Back LIKE i, said she's. NOT
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: i don't think she's coming back this. Season, Uh san
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: diego At. SEATTLE i gave you guys a winner on
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: this last night With. Seattle they were able to hang
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: on for the win nine to. Six. Yesterday they had
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: a bigger lead than that late in the game as.
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: Well you got Cal raley there at The. Trident The
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: mariners are, crazy. Man they they got The. Tridents they're
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: like the gods of the sea basically their neptune or. Whatever,
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: yeah The boston Gay chinese. Mayors she's gonna be out of. There,
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: man she has absolutely zero. Support LIKE i don't even
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: think she got legitimately elected because throughout my entire, life,
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: dude Every boston mayor has been a man and has
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: been like from The boston area until, now every other
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: one was a guy From, boston and like WHEN i
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: was growing, up it was, like, yeah these were, democrats
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: there were bad, dudes but it was like Like Tom
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: menino was the probably the best of The boston mayors
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: during my, lifespan and it was just because he was
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: hilarious and he was legitimately Retireded like go watch go
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: watch videos Of Tom. Menino, dude you'll love. It you'll.
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: Laugh it's. Awesome like he was like he was absolutely
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: From boston and Obvious bostonians sounded even more retired than
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: Most bostonians. Do and he would just say ridiculous, shit
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: and he would talk about like the local sports teams
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: and not get any of their names, right like most
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: famously when he Called Rajon Rondo. Hondo that was that
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: was a good. One, yeah, mumblesman you know that is. Correct,
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: yeah but like he was so like idiotic that he
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: just like didn't really even get anything, done which is
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: basically what you want out of a. Mayor and of
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: course back, then we didn't have this huge homeless and
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: immigration problem back in like the nineties and early two
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: thousands or, whatever so it was more just like. Whatever,
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: REALLY i, mean we did have a little bit of the,
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: nineties you, know there was kind of like that cocaine
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: thing that was going, on but that was more of the.
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: Eighties it was more In New York city Than. Boston
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: boston's a lot. Smaller mariners did win, Yesterday LIKE i,
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: said they won two games in a. Row mariners are
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: much better at, home, man they have a really good home.
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: Record San diego is very bad on the. Road they're
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: like five games below five hundred on the, road which
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: was part of the handicap Yesterday. SEATTLE i, mean both
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: these teams have something to play. For they're both in
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: the mix to win their, divisions their Respective west divisions
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: that they're. In so both teams have motivation. Here they're
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: both playing for. Something bullpen usage, Wise seattle used four
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers, yesterday SO i think they do have a
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: bullpen disadvantage. Here San diego used. Three San diego has
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: the most stacked bullpen in all baseball, though even though
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: they didn't do well in last night's, Game seattle does
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpend. Here seattle has the better offense,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: Though so you gotta find a way to try to
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: handicap all that starting. Pitching, interesting, man because you have
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: two starting pitchers that on the surface should be, good
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: but they're like. Not Dylan ceas has not been good
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: For San diego this year four point seven to one
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: point three to two. Whip last year he was much much. Better.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: Man he's just very inefficient with his. Pitches sometimes he
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: gets a lot of, stress but he walks too many
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: guys and he's been particularly bound on the road five
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: point six y Five Roady, ira so he's not good
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: on the. Road, however he may do better here because
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: this is a very picture friendly park In. Seattle that's
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: the most similar park To San diego's. STADIUM i would
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: say they're both deep, outfields so they're both very picture friendly.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: Ballparks so he might actually do okay in this. Ballpark,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: specifically over the last, month he hasn't really been that good,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: again way too many, walks a high strikeout, rate though
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: twenty five to eleven strike a walk ratio in nineteen
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: or third innings four point one to NINETY ra not that.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: Bad he's at least allowed four or fewer runs in
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: all these, outings but he's still not going deep into these.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: Outings did face The Red sox and The dodgers this past,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: month so those are not easy offenses to, face but
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: overall he's been very mediocre here Man Against, seattle his
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: numbers are not terrific and seventy one at bats nineteen
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: to nine strike a walk ratio to sixty eight average
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: not really that, high but in eight forty three oh
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: ps he's allowed four home runs and fifteen RBIs to,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: them so some Of seattle sitters have really hit for
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: power against, Him so it doesn't look that great For
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: seas to be honest, here but he's going up Against
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: Luis castillo does obviously have the better numbers this. Season
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: he is the more consistent pitcher at least three point
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: five to seven E ra one point two to SEVEN
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: whip For. Seattle he's way better at home two point
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: four to ONE era at, home so that's, good but
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: his last two starts were awful though they were both
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: on the, road but he only went four innings in.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: Each he allowed nineteen hits niner in, runs did have
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: a seven to three strikeout walk right, yere which is
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: still not really that. Impressive it's too many. Walks so
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: his last two starts he got absolutely lit. Up but
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: he might do better now that he's back at. Home
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: so definitely you could say he's in bad form right,
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: now but maybe that was a bit of a blip
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: because it was The Matts. Philly those are decent offenses
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: or good, offenses and on the road that's not an easy.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: Task does still have a sixteen to four strike out
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: on ratio this month despite the six point zero five,
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: era so his command has still been. Okay so maybe
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: he will actually do better. Here but his numbers Against
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: San diego aren't that. Great in seventy five at, bats
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: he's allowed mostly like singles to them, though so not
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: a lot of. Power hitting twenty to six strike out
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: walk raceio to eighty batting average is somewhat, high but
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: a seven h seven ops not really that. High so
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: his numbers were a bit all over the. PLACE i,
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: MEAN i would probably lean To seattle still because just
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: the home road splits are very much a favor Of seattle. Here,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: Yes San diego does have the better, bullpen so if
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: you want to Go seattle first five innings in this,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: one that also would make. Sense seattle dropped for minus
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: one twenty to minus one oh, nine but it looks
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: like they have the cash coming in on them sixty
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets eighty four percent of the cash
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: coming in on, Them so the money does seem to
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: Back seattle, here SO i would agree with. That and
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: then the total is low at seven and a, half
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: but it's getting so much juice on the over now
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: looks like it's headed towards even though we have seventy
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: nine percent tickets on the, over sixty eight percent of
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: the cash on the, Over so the cash percentage looks
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: like it's on the. Under but you're gonna get a
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: low total more often than not At, seattle especially when
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: you have two pictures that are considered to be pretty
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: good pictures. Here BUT i actually think the total is
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: probably too low in this. One you're, like there's really
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: no room For era, there and Again, seattle they're bulping
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit worked right, now could could get worked
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: in this game to some extent Here, potentially both starting
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: pictures don't have the greatest matchup numbers here and they're
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: not really in the greatest, form SO i could definitely
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: see an argument for an over more so than for
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: an under in this. One seattle is aside maybe the
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: better way to look at, it, though because of how
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: the in the first five. INNINGS i would say on
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: the money, line because of the way the matchups work
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: out and the cash percentage is On seattle in that.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: One The Patriots Super, bowls, yeah mumbles medi you. Know.
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah the one THAT i remember the most, though was
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: The rondo one after The. CELTICS i think it was
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: after The celtics won in two thousand and. Eight it
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: was right around that. Time he might not have been
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: the mayor, anymore but he was still out there talking.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: WHATEVER i don't even, remember but, yeah he. Was he
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: might have still been the mayor, then, actually because we've
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: only had two mayors since. Then we Had Mahdi, walsh
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: who is a terrible uh like workers union, guy like A,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: democrat but he is at least From, boston and then
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: we've Had Mayor wu The chinese communists From. Chicago so
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: she's a total, outsider. Man she's the first outsider That
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: i'm aware of ever being mayor In boston at least
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: definitely in my. Lifetime very very very, strange and she
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: might get ousted by more of a local. Though Here
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: in the upcoming, election she's gonna be opposed By Josh,
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: kraft who is going to try to prime her. Her
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: there are no REPORT i don't think there are Any
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: republicans running in that, race or if, THERE i think
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: maybe there is actually and he, announced but it's Like
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: i've never even heard of. Whoever this guy is the
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: biggest threat To wu Is Josh craft because obviously He's Robert,
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: kraft The pots owner's, son so he has all That craft.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: Money it's The kraft mac and cheese. Money. MAN i
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: think it's a Different craft. FAMILY i don't even, know,
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: man but it's the, uh it's all that you, know
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: it's the money from The jays coming in, there you,
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: Know jay Meaning josh. Obviously but, YEAH i MEAN i
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: think he'll probably win actually Because Mayor wu has absolutely no, support,
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: Dude Michelle. Wo she has no real organic, support And
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: craft can play up the fact that he's a local
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: dude and play up the fact that he's involved in
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: The patriots, organization although, uh he could get slammed or
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: because of course his father was known for getting getting
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: massages and happy. Endings but it's, like come, on, man
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: what do you? Want you're a rich Old yuh you
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: think you're not gonna be getting rub and? Tugs, like
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: what's wrong with? You what do you think they're all
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: gonna do? That it's it's an interesting scenario. Though craft
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: would be better THAN, wu even though he is. Bad
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: but he's kind of trying to OPPOSE wu by taking
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: the like less crazy approach to all the like bike,
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: lane homeless, immigration all that, Bullshit like he's at least
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: acknowledging that there's a, problem bearing That wu's solutions are
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: not a. Solution so at least there's that Because wu's
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: solution is give them all sanctuary and give them all.
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: Drugs i'm not even, joking like that's what's going. On
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: the taxpayers are actually giving drug paraphernalia to. Druggies that's
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: absolutely going. On it's. Insane and of course they've taken
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: over the entire international terminal At Logan, airport TERMINAL e
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: At Logan. Airport have fun if you're flying internationally into
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: or out Of, boston because it's a homeless encampment. There
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: so isn't that? Great and, yeah the best part of
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: The Patriots Super, bowls by the, way was The giants
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: beating them both, times but especially the first time in
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: the sixteen to zero. SEASON i loved, that, dude not
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: just BECAUSE i actually bet The giants in that, one
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: even THOUGH i guess when you listen to professional handicappers
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i was really new to betting back. THEN i
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: was mostly actually playing poker back then WHEN i was in.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: College this WAS i THINK i was out of college
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: for one year when that, happened SO i was transitioning
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: over to the sports betting. Then that WAS i think
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: the probably the that Was maybe it wasn't the First
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: Super BOWL i bet, on BECAUSE i did bet on,
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: SOME i, think and MAYBE i bet on a couple
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: of the Other Super, bowls but, YEAH i THINK i.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: Did but that was the one THAT i remember the
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: most because, well NOW i know the public, ACTUALLY i
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: guess was taking The giants plus the points because they
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: were like a twelve and a half point. UNDERDOG i
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: think something like. That but it seems weird to me
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: that the public was on The giants in that, one
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: because you think the public would only be on the
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: Undefeated patriots With Brady moss put up unbelievable offensive numbers
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: that year and even when they played The. Giants they
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: played The giants in the last week of the regular
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: season that year and The giants almost beat. Them it
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: was In New, york but it was a ridiculously high scoring,
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: game WHICH i WAS i REMEMBER i had a poker
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: night that night with some of my friends from high.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: School we were they were all over my parents'. House
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: we had we had poker going on while we were
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: watching that. GAME i remember, that, man fun. Night, ACTUALLY
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: i don't remember IF i want to lost a poker
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: that night. Though we would play cash, style not tournament,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: style because tournament, STYLE i mean you could buy back
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: IN i, guess BUT i don't. Know, well we're going
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: on a lot of toad rants, here, man more toad history.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: Here we gotta get done with all this bullshit Here
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: Club San. Francisco as you can see in the, Title
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna give out a play on that. One detroit
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: And A'S i told you last night, MAN i, SAID
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: i thought the over might be worth a look in
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: the game Despite schoolball pitching last night at School ball
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: didn't do that. Well his numbers against The a's are
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: not that. Good this was in that as, stadium which
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: rex a lot of. Pitchers, Man it's just it's so
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: easy to hit home runs in This TRIPLE a stadium
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: here From Major league. Bats The a's wound up winning
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: the game eight to. Three. DETROIT i, mean, yeah they
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: have more to play. For they're, fighting you, know to
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: make sure they make the. Playoffs they have their division
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: almost pretty much wrapped up already, though but The a's
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: are just kind of playing out the. Stretch The a's
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: have a good, offense though The a's actually have the better.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: Offense they're actually fifth in ops. Offensively of, Course detroit
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: does have the better bullpend here The. A's their bullpen
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: hasn't better more, recently but they still are not. Good
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: detroit has a lot of bullpen rest because School ball
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: did pitch deep into the game, yesterday so the bullpen
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: edge certainly is on the side Of detroit, here even
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: though The a's actually only used one relief, pitcher so
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: we have rested bullpens, Here this starting pitching matchup is
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: a bit ridiculous to try to handicap, MAN i, Mean
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: Charlie morton For. Detroit his season has been, really, really
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: kind of. Crazy he's forty one years. Old he's never
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: really been a guy that comes in and JUST i
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: don't think he's really been a guy that comes in
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: and just totally blows people. Away but you got to
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: respect what he's. Doing, Man after it looked like maybe
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: his career was over at the beginning of the, season
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: he's actually pitched really well Since atlanta demoted him to the,
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: bullpend since they brought him back to the starting, rotation
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: and now he's On, detroit he's actually pitching, well shocking
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: for almost the for most of the season, now even
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: though he was so bad early in the, season his
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: numbers still. Suck five point zero NINETY rra one point
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: four to SEVEN. Whip obviously those numbers are not, good
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: slightly worse than the road five point one SEVENTY r
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: on the. Road of, course he is having to pitch
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: at this, horrible horrible as stadium, here so he's a
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: flyball pitcher for to like a decent, Extent so maybe
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: that won't work out that, Well, uh you gotta worry
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: about those fly, balls. Man but, again LIKE i, said
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: since he rejoined the starting rotation when he was back
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: On atlanta in Late, may he's allowed more than at
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: four earned runs only twice since, then and once was
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: at The Tampa Bay Steinberner. Field, however that's the closest
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: comparison to this, stadium, though a temporary home field for
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: a team that tends to be very home run. Conducive
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: so he didn't pitch well in that, game give seven
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: runs in five and, thirty and he's a couple of home,
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: runs so there's certainly a chance he doesn't bitch well
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: in this game for those. Reasons he had one bad
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: outing since Joining detroit in three good. Outings he gave
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: up six ornred runs at home Against. Anaheim still had
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: ten strikeouts in that, outing, though but he's given up
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: two or fewer runs and got six innings in all
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: three other outings Against, Philadelphia, minnesota And. Houston philadelphia on the,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: Road houston at, Home minnesota on the, road so the
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: only weak offense there that he face Was. Minnesota so
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: he's actually still pitching pretty, impressively maybe a pretty sneaky
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: good pickup For detroit at the trade deadline man to
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: kind of finish off the rotation. There twenty nine to
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: eight strike out walk ratio this month is pretty decent,
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: actually and high strikeout rate man crazy and three point
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: six THREE. Era So morton is still in pretty good
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: form right, now, man believe it or. Not but his
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: numbers are not good against The a's and he may
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: struggle in this. Ballpark they only have seventeen of bats against,
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: him but they do have five strikeouts seven, walks so
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: way too many, walks although five of them are the
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: day two ninety four batting average allowed eight fifty three oh.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: Ps so, Overall morton's numbers are not very good against
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: The a's, though but The a's Have Asvaldo beido making
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: the start, here and he's probably gonna be an opener
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: because it looked like it was gonna BE Jt GIN
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: i believe was lined up for the start. TODAY i
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: think so you might Get beato for like a couple
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: of innings of terrible. Name by the, way Anal, beido
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: do you think he's like do you think he's very
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: like nitpicky about how he? Pitches so he's anal about,
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: It oh my, god probably not because his numbers are.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: Terrible his numbers are Ass But, BEIDO i think you're
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: probably gonna get about two winnings out of, him would
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: be my, guess and then MAYBE. Jt gin is gonna
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: come in for a few innings behind him BEHIND i don't, know,
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: man But beido doesn't have good numbers this year five
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: point three SEVEN r one point five to eight whip
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: actually slightly better at, home but his era is basically
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: the same both. Ways but again you could see here
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: his outings like he's made a couple of. Starts he's
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: only really he's gotten past five innings a few. Times,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: actually earlier in the season he was actually making like start.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: Starts but since then he's been like coming out of the.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: Bullpen he's made some lesser. APPEARANCES i don't think they're
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: gonna have him go out there and throw five five
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: plus innings again, HERE i would guess that they're. Not
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: so he's been coming out of the. Bullpen he is
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: on kind of normal starters rest here now, Though but
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: my guess is he's gonna come out and'll probably give
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: him two or three innings maybe in this, one and
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: then maybe they actually won't Use gin after, that but either,
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: way you're basically gonna get a lot of The a's
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: bullpen in this, game which is not good for the.
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: Pitching bedo has good numbers Against. Detroit it's only in
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: thirteen at bats, though on one fifty four batting average
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: allowed in five ninety nine ops four to one strike
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: a walk. Ratio but he's not very good, man So
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: i'm not expecting him to actually do well in this.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: Outing so this one to, ME i, mean it looks
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: like an over to. Me on the, surface the total
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: is just sitting at, eleven a little bit less juice
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: on the. Under now fifty percent of tickets on the,
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: over sixty percent of the cash on the. Over you
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: could definitely See morton potentially struggle against a lineup that
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: does hit him well in a stadium like, This so
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: that's probably WHAT i WOULD i would, lean, UH i
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: would lean towards the over in this. Game the money
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: is coming in Fading detroit as. Well they're down for
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: minus one forty one eighteen sixty three percent of tickets on,
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: them seventy eight percent of the cash coming in on
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: The A's so the actual professional money is strongly indicating
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: on the a's. HERE i just don't know that you
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: could really put your trust in an a's like almost
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: bullpen bullpen esque game, here. Man BUT i can definitely
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: see the argument From morton not pitching particularly well. Here
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: SO i still think the over is the better, way
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: uh for me to look at that. Game but do
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: with all that, information but you will the market read
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: seems to be saying the a's as. Well and Then
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: reds And dodgers finish this off BEFORE i get to
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: the three best. Bets got the win last night on
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: the under in the first five. Innings we got three
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: runs there in the first five. Innings dot picked up
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: a seven nothing win. Yesterday great outing From sheen last.
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: NIGHT i told you he's, good. Man he is definitely
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: Good Hunter. GREEN i didn't even look at the box
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: score to see How Hunter green. DID i did See
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: sheen's line was quite. Good she and actually had ten.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: Strikeouts green actually didn't do that. WELL i don't know
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: how many walks because for some, reason when you shrink the,
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: screen they don't show you how many. Walks but he
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: gave up all three runs in the five inning, span
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: WHICH i did tell, you so he wasn't as. Good
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: sheen actually was really really good last. Night ten strikeouts
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: and a seven inning. Shoutout he's something man pitching matchup
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: not quite as good in the game. Today bullpend, Wise
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: cincinnati generally has the better bullpen over The, dodgers but
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: they've had more bullpen usage. Recently these three guys. Yesterday of,
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: course she and kind of saved their bullpen. Yesterday dodgers
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: pretty limited bullpen usage over the last couple of, Days
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: So dodgers' bullpen usage is. Better even though they don't
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: really have the better, bullpen they certainly have the better.
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: Offense runs per game, wise The dodgers are the best
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: in all of base's scoring at, home AND i think
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: just in, GENERAL i think they actually are even though
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: they don't have the highest ops you, know all of baseball.
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: HERE i think their, second, yeah behind The yankees The.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: Yankees yankees are just, very very erratic as far as
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: where their runs come and. Win cincinnati Has Nick martinez
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: making the start. Here he's been okay this. Season four
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: point five to Ninety, ray one point two, whip a
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: little bit better on the, road four point two Eighty
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: ray away from that reds hitter friendly. Stadium he's been
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: decent this, month with a four point FIVE era across
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: the four starts twelve to three strike out Walkersh he
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: actually was three starts and a bull been appearance against The.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: Cubs my my mistake there the bull been, appearance he
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: didn't do that. Well he came in in, relief gave
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: up two or runs. AFTER i think he wasn't expected,
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: to like come into that game that early. THOUGH i
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: think it was an issue Where Nick LODOLO i think
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: had a blister in that. Game AND i don't even
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: think he's pitched since. That, Actually i'm not even. Sure
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: Maybe i'm wrong about. That but the twelve to three
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: strike a walk race is pretty good For martinez this.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: Month he's not walking a lot of guys at, least
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: strikeout rate not really that. High had a really bad
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: starting Against, milwaukee give up five and runs and two
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: and two thirds, Innings but besides that he's been. Good
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: he had two good starts on the road Against pittsburgh And,
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: anaheim Although pittsburgh very very bad, Offense anaheim not too.
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: Bad so his recent form is difficult to. Gauge his
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: numbers are good against The dodgers in eighty four at
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: bats sixteen to seven strike a walk ratio is not that,
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: good but he's telling him to a two fourteen batting
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: average and five eighty four. Ops martinez actually has done
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: well against The, dodgers and he might be pumped up
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: because he gets to face the Future hall Of fame
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: Or Clayton, kershaw who's still pitching and getting it. Done,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: man even though he's thirty. Seven his strikeout stuff is
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: not really there, anymore but he's still not giving up
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: a lot of. Runs. Man he's got a three point
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: one to THREE era and one point two, whips so
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: he's using his off speed stuff his command to still
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: get the job. Done he's a little bit worse at home,
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: though three point five SIX cra at. Home this, month
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: he's been good with a one point NINETY ra thirteen
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: to three strike out walk. Ratio his team has won
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: all four. Starts he's picked up a win in all,
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: four although he really only faced one really good offense In.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: Toronto but he did go, uh he did have. Pitched
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: he did Have he did have to pitch At tampa
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: and At, colorado and those are hitter friendly. Ballparks he
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: did pretty well in all of these, starts he went
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: six innings in three of the, four just all of
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: them except for The colorado one where you give three on.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: Runs besides, that he gave up one or fewer and
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: run in the other three. Starts, again his strikeout rate is,
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: low but his command is. Good he's not giving up
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: a lot of, hits not giving up a lot of hard,
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: hits not giving up a lot of, walks so he
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: is keeping runners off the base Pass he's pitching. Well
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: his numbers against The reds are not, good but it's
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: a very small sample. Size fifteen at, bats he's a
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: lot of four hundred average and eight sixty seven. Ops
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: but it's a very small sample, size and it's only
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: one extra base hit in, there a double From, hayes
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: and no, walks five, strikeouts no walks From. Kershop but
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: it's such a small sample, SIZE i don't think there's
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: a whole lot you can take away from. That. Uh to,
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: ME i think this game is more of an under
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: type of game as. Well man totals up from eight
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: and a half to. Nine here we see sixty percent
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the, over seventy six percent of the
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: cash on the, under, though So i'm thinking probably an
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: under in the first five makes sense again in this.
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: ONE i think the starting pitching matchup is the strongest
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: part of the under BECAUSE i don't really trust either bullpen,
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: Here SO i think that's that's the way to that's
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: the way to go. There, wilson what's up, Man? Wilson f?
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: Ball you're a college football? Analyst? Yes is it a
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: college football? Question dodgers are up for minus one seventy
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: three or minus one seventy, seven eighty seven percent of,
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: tickets only eighty two percent of the, Cash so money's
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: coming in against The dodgers, Here so it does seem
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: like professional. Money kind of thinking, That, martinez maybe we'll
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: at least be able to Duel Clayton kershaw, here which
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: kind of lends itself towards maybe the under making sense.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: Again are you you're? Uh is? This? Uh is? This? Uh?
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: Andy is that What i'm talking to you? Here do
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: you have like that many different? ALTS i bet that's
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: who you, are? RIGHT i was san, dusky. INNOCENT i
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: GET i get a lot of crap for, this, uh because,
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: DUDE i, mean there's there's a complete difference between defending
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: somebody that you know is guilty of all this crap
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: or saying that you think somebody didn't do all that. Crap,
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: NO i don't think that he did. It, like if
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: you dig into, it you gotta follow. Up Follow Pete
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: kenonas on, This Follow john Oder matt on, This Follow John.
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: Ziegler even Though ziegler is A Zionist zionis with A.
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: Z he does some of the best stuff on this.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: Though these are the guys that actually really dig into
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: this and figure out what's going on in that. Case
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: like pretty much all of the supposed, VICTIMS i, mean
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: they're all they're college aged men talking about an old.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: Man none of them really described any, details and they
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: basically they all kind of want to like either their
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: stories made no sense or they want up kind of,
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: recanting and they all kind of joined like the parade
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: late and it was all like kind of a money.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: Grab so if you if you look into, it that's
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: what it, was, Man and, like they're just details that
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: you would think one of, them some of them would
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: have mentioned that none of them, did especially the fact
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: That sandusky basically does not have functional genitalia or, balls
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: which is why even though he and his wife have
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: adopted a lot of. Children they do not have any
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: biological children because he basically is physically incapable of. That
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: BUT i think he's basically physically incapable of committing many
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: of the acts that he's accused. Of so it's just completely.
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: Insane but look into, it, man Don't I'm i'm a messager, here. Don't.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: Don't don't shoot me on, this. MAN i, Mean I'm
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: i'm not defending any of that type of behavior at.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: ALL i just think if you look into the, case,
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: DUDE i, mean we're we're here to challenge mainstream, narratives,
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: right and challenge bullshit, narratives AND i think that is
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: one of. Them And i'm not like A Penn state
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: fan or anything like, that even THOUGH i Know john
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: Oder matt is A Penn state. Alumni but he started
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: digging into. THIS i Think pete cagnonas went on a
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: show to tell them about it, first IF i remember,
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: correctly maybe it was the other way. AROUND i think
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: maybe actually it Was ziegler when on Oder matt's, Show
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: Older matt had like a series with. HIM i think
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: that's what it. Was and Then Older matt went On
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: pete's show and told him about, IT i think is
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: what it, is and they all kind of like all
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: of them have looked into it and. Whatever but if
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: you can find those podcasts and if you go listen to, it,
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: YOU'LL i think you'll start thinking about it in a different. Way.
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: Man it's. Crazy, Yeah zion is a fuck. That let's
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: get to the best, bets, man. Hopefully, Uh i'm not
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: gonna get my channel nuked for saying What i'm saying,
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: here all, Right so the best bets. HERE i don't
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: even remember what my best bets. Are oh, yeah first one.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: UP i think you guys are probably not gonna like
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: many of, these. Man the last one you'll probably be fine.
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: With this first one is as ugly as it. Gets.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: Man it's The Minnesota twins' run. Line in the first five.
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: Innings you can find it a plus a half run
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: at minus one oh. Two so if it's tied through five,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: innings this will be a. Winner if you want to
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: go money line, underdog you can do that. Too if
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: you go run, line maybe you could sprinkle a little
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: bit on the money line. Here i'm going with The twins, here, Man,
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: uh first five innings only because The twins bullpen obviously. Stinks,
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: okay so we don't want to deal with The twins bullpen.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: Here their bullpend did use a couple of guys. YESTERDAY i,
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: mean the bullpen scenario didn't work out well for us,
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: yesterday so we'll leave that. Alone toronto does have the
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: better of the. Bullpens they didn't use their best relievers,
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: yesterday so leave the bullpens out of. It we're gonna
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: look at the starting pitching, here and this is a
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: very misleading starting pitching matchup. Here toronto won yesterday ten to.
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: Four we know that. Too that was the first game
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: back from a road. Trip so you think that their
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: offense might struggle a little. Bit it. Didn't they might
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: be feeling pretty high on themselves right. Now they still
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: have a five game lead here in their. Division they're
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: facing a bad. Team, Yes toronto does still have to
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: keep winning to maintain their divisional lead, here but they
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: may they're gonna Have you, know you're not gonna be
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent every game out, Man you're just. Not
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: And minnesota still at least might want to show up
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: and play, well especially after being kind of embarrassed last.
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: Night toronto may have a tendency to take their foot
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: off the gas a little bit in this, one but
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: first five, innings we're looking at the starting pitching, here,
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: Man and, YES i Know toronto has a better offense
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: Than minnesota, obviously but looking at the starting pitching, matchup you,
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: think why the hell would you want to take a
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: guy that has a FIVE ra against the guy that
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: has a THREE. Era Bailey, Ober who's a guy That
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: i've defended for a while because his, numbers like at
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: least strikeout walk ratio, wise his numbers have been good
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: across multiple. Seasons he's a six', nine guy so he
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: throws at that like really high, arm angle you KNOW what.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: I MEAN just i mean he's a dominant, physical presence
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: at least physical, Specimen Man. Bailey ober but he had
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: some struggles. This. Year man there's no question. About that
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: he was pitching well early in. The, season actually he
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: had a, really bad like initial start to. The season
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: he always does bad in his first start of. The
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: season then he was doing. Really well then he started doing.
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: Really terribly BUT now i think he's in, form, again
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: man because he came back from having an injury and
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: he was on the injured list for. A while maybe
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: they helped fix what was wrong, with him get. THINGS
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: right i know his numbers don't look good on the
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: season five point ZERO, five era one point three TO.
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: TWO whip i understand he's even worse on the road
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: five point eight TO. Nine rodra so we're fading the
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: home road splits in, this one which. SEEMS dangerous i
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: know his team has lost eleven straight outings OF his i.
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: GET it i. Understand it they had one seven in
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: a row prior. To that so it's been a tale
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: of just completely different seasons, from, HIM man i. Get
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: it but since he's come back, from injury which is
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: the Month, of august he has a nineteen to three
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio and he's a lot fewer than
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: one hipper inning and as a four point ZERO nine
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: era and has an alum with a four and Runs in.
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: Indy outing and that was in his first. Game back
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: it was the only road, start Though. Against cleveland but
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: since then he did have a decent Start. Against detroit
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: deces started Against the a's last. Time out his strike
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: cut rate has, gone up so he's actually in better.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: Form again now he's pitching well ENOUGH that i think
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: he could do okay in, this game and then looking
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: at the, Matchup numbers toronto has a ton of at bats.
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: Against him this is a huge, sample size one hundred
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: and sixteen at bats and you will usually not see,
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: a picture especially a picture is not really a dominant Pitcher.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: Like ober you'll never really see a sample size that
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: big with numbers that are this ridiculous from. A Pitcher
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: but ober has a thirty three to six strike a
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: walk Ratio against toronto's hitters one eighty, one average a
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: lot of five fourteen ops a lot and that big
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: of a, sample Size so ober has definitely had. Their,
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: Number man so looking at, This matchup i'm thinking. That's
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: INTERESTING so i actually think that this is a lot
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: closer between these two starting pitchers than it looks on. The.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: Surface Man, chris bassett Pitcher. For TORONTO his era is
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: actually up above. Four now it was in the threes for,
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: a while so he's not pitching as Well as ober. As,
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: Recently man so recent form. Does, MATTER bassett i know
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: he's having a decent season four point ONE. Eighty ra
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: his one point three to four whip is too, high,
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: THOUGH yes i know he's really good. At home two
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: point seven, Three ERAS so i know we're fading some
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: extreme home road, splits here and we're even worse. Than
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: that i'm pretty sure that, we're fading, or no we're.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: NOT anymore i was, GONNA say i think we're fading
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: like this long run where he has taken a loss.
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: At home actually we still are because that was an extra.
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: Innings game but his team lost one of his recent
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: starts at home Against, the royals although he pitched well in.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: That game but It's. The royals they. Suck offensively, BUT
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: yes I, know bassett he's done alright, the season but
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: he's kind of an. Older dude he's not really as
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: good as his numbers make. Him look. All though his
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: width doesn't really even make him look. That good but
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: he doesn't throw. That hard he comes out he fools
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: people with like different. MOVING fastballs i think the league
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: does have the ability to figure. Him out and this
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: month three POINT eighty ra, looks good but he has
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: a twenty one to eleven strikeout walk ratio with multiple
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: walks in. Every outing aside from the fact that he
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: struck out Ten against pittsburgh last, time out they were.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: Bad offense his numbers don't look that good. This month
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: man five and two thirds or fewer innings in his last.
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: Three starts didn't do particularly Well, against texas who's not a.
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: Good offense that was in this stadium and they won,
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: the game but he didn't. Do well he walked, four
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: guys four hits a loud somehow limited them to three.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: On runs texas is not a, good OFFENSE although I
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: know minnesota is. In either it didn't do well Against the,
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: Dodgers either but his last Start against baltimore in the
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: late In late july wasn't. Good Either so bassett not
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: really a good form. Right now and that was THE
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: game I believe i Gave out baltimore maybe in the
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: first five innings or something in. THAT one i forget
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: if it was full game, or not but that was
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: a winner for me in. That one so we Faded
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: bass and in, that ONE and i think we burned
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: on one of his streaks in that. One Too BASST
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: and i know he doesn't have a big sample Size,
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: against minnesota so they're not that familiar with them sixteen,
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: at bats but the guys that have faced him have
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: a four point thirty eight average in one thousand and
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: two fifty ops against some, five strikeouts. Two Walks so
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: bassett has, pitched well has not pitched Well against minnesota
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: in that. Limited sample toronto is a very public side
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: man ninety to take his ninety three percent of. The,
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: cash now that looks like the cash was coming in
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: against them a little but earlier they're down for minus
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: one seventy seven to minus one seventy, two HERE so
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: i think some of the actual money might be coming
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: in and. Fading them the money is also coming into the,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: over here maybe expecting some runs to be. Scored here
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: But again i'm FOCUSED on i just think we're getting
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit of value Here with toronto being favored by,
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: this much with this starting pitching, matchup especially just focused
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: on the, pitching matchup the specific matchup numbers in the,
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: First Five, SO toronto, i mean, Excuse me minnesota run, Line,
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: there oh thank, You sir thanks for. Hanging. Out man, Next,
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: up uh you're gonna probably tolerate these other plays a little.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: BIT more i would guess we're Gonna go anaheim and
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: WE'RE gonna i know we're fading a home road splits
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: in this, one, Too MAN but i think this one's
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: easier to stomach with the given. Pitching matchup we're Gonna
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: go anaheim money line first five innings here BECAUSE obviously
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: i don't want anything to Do with. Anaheim's bullpen they're
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: not a. Good bullpen texas's bullpen is one of the
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: better ones. In baseball anaheim used four or five relievers
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: Yesterday whatever texas used a little, Bit fewer so we'll
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: discount the bullpends here not, include them, even, Though yes
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: anaheim does have the better Offense over. Texas here anaeim
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: got the win yesterday four. To nothing texas had Shut
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: out cleveland the prior. To, GAMES yes I know texas
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: does have. Motivation here they're below five hundred now they
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: want to get back to. FIVE hundred i think they're
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: still technically trying to battle to trying to make, the
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: playoffs so they might be starting to feel that maybe
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: we're out of. It though And, THE angels i Know
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: the angels are. Really bad they're run differentials. Really bad
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: they're not as good as their, record looks which is
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: not even a. Good record but they might still show
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: up for a divisional game. Like, This man texas does
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: not score a lot at home. At all so they
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: really struggle offensively. At, HOME yeah i know they lost four,
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: nothing yesterday so maybe they want to bounce back. From
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: THAT but i think this pitching matchup is really it's
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: what we're focused, on here and it's really where you
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: get the Edge on. Anaheim here and, the money by,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: the way has come In. On anaheim it's flipped them
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: from plus one to twelve to minus one. Oh SEVEN
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: so i think the actual money he is coming In,
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: on anaheim even though you see seventy three percent of
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety one percent of the Cash on, TEXAS here
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: I think anaheim might be kind of an anti public road,
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: favorite here even though they, won yesterday and it looks
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: like some of the cash percentage Is, On texas i'm
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: Not sure i'm. Buying it money is coming on the over,
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: as well flipping it to eight and a half juice to,
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: the over seventy three percent, of tickets eighty four percent
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: of the cash on, The over but we're not focused
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: on the. TOTAL here i, mean again an Over in
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: Texas with texas' offense doesn't seem like the greatest idea.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: To me but we're looking At you sekakuchi For the
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: angels three point four Two era goodie r ran. THE
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: season i know his whip is bad one point four.
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: To two he's not normally a GUY that i want,
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: to play especially on, the road because his road home
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: road splits are. Really extreme he's bad on. The road
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: four point seven to sixty ran. The ROAD but i
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: think this is a good matchup. For, him man he
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: hasn't been that great, this month but he's. Been okay,
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: he said two, good starts too, bad starts and his
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: team has won four of his last five outings, at
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: least and he's allowed four or fewer earned runs in
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: every one of these outings least four point ZERO ninety ra.
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: This month not. That bad twenty one to seven strike
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: at walk ratios, All right so his walk rate has
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: been a little bit less bad. This month the strikeout
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: rate's been a little, bit higher so that's a. Good,
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: SIGN yes i know he's better. At home his two
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: really good starts, this month we're both. AT home i.
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: Get that but his road starts Are against detroit And
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: the a's and those are not. Easy, Tasks man good
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: offenses In the a's very hitter friendly stadium should be
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: an easier time for him against A weak Texas, lineup
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: Man and texas doesn't do that well against him in
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: one hundred and four at bats twenty seven, to nine
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: strike out, walk ratio two fifty batting, average allowed six
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: point eighty. Five ohps so he's telling them to some
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: pretty low. Numbers HERE so i Do, Like kakuchi, and
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: yes you have to pay a little bit more of
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: a price for the first five because the oddsmakers also
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: Know that anaheim's bigger advantage is in the first five
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: because their bullpen. Is AWFUL but i think it's still.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: Worth it if you want to go minus a half
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: run on the run line and get the, price down that's.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: Okay too but he's going Up Against, Patrick korman Man.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: AND coorman i think we're finally Seeing the corban that.
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: We expected he is definitely the worst of these. Two
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: pitchers four point SIX, one era one point four to
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: one with. Bad, NUMBERS yes i know he's better at
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: home three point six five yarra. At HOME so i
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: know we're fading some really significant splits here in both
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: of these Games that i'm giving. You Here but corban
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: has been in really bad for him. This, MONTH man
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: i think he's so fatable. Right now eleven point four
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: to eighty ra, this month multiple walks in, every outing
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: even going back into his last start, last month which by,
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: the way Was against Anaheim, at anaheim although he did go,
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: five innings only allowed, two runs and that one, wasn't
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: terrible but he allowed three or three walks in. That
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: one but his starts this month have. Been awful he
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: has an eleven point FOUR, eighty r, eight strikeouts ten
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: walks this month that he's alloted almost two hits per
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: inning and way more than one run. Per inning he's
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: just getting lit. Up man and you, might, say well
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: he did bad Against, The Yankees. Philadelphia, toronto yeah those are, good,
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: offenses sure but he also didn't, bounce back and he
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: did Bad Against. Kansas city he had a pretty Pitcher
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: Friendly Kansas city ballpark last, time out he only lasted
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: three and. Two thirds hasn't gone more than four and
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: a third in any outing this. Entire month he's falling
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: off The rails Man. And KORbin his numbers have been
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: really bad in the last couple of seasons leading up to,
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: this season And somehow texas seems like they found something
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: with him where they were able to fix pitchers and
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: get the most out. Of Pitchers, but, CORBIN again i
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: think he's just come off the. Rails, here man he's kind.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: Of old it's late in. THE season i think he's.
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: LOSING it, I mean i thought his career was done like,
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: years ago but he's still kind of. Hanging on but
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: he also does really Badly against anaheim in his career
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: in eighty five at baths twenty two to six strike
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio is, pretty good but three point fifty three,
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: average allowed eight sixty, Six Ohps so anaheim has been
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: able to hit him. Pretty well so we're gonna focus
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: just on that starting pitching. Matchup there we'll Go with
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: anaheim in the first five and then to finish it
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: off the GAME that i listed in, the title because
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: we don't really have any great, matchups here but we're
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: gonna go this is probably the easiest one for the
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: public to a, Stomach Here. Chicago. Cubs here the money
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: is coming in On, the Cubs so i'm gonna recommend
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: either playing a minus one run line instead to get the,
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: price down or split the bet half on a minus
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: one and a half run line at plus money and
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: the other half on the money line at minus. ONE forty,
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: i mean if you want to go upwards a minus
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: one forty and just go, money line you could do that.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: As well there are multiple ways to play this one
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: man For the, cubs HERE but i Like the cubs in.
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: This one where are? They at Where's The? National league
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: what are? WE doing i hear. They Are the cubs
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: are up for minus one twenty eight to minus one thirty.
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: Five year it does look like the cash is kind
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: of fading, them NOW but i don't agree. With that
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: ninety one percent of tickets only eighty seven percent of
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: the cash On the. Cubs Now so i'm a little
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: bit worried. About That the cubs are a road favorite
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: and now the money seems to be disagreeing. With IT
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: but i think we're gonna get it, done. HERE man
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: i think it's a situational edge For, the CUBS and
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: i think they have the edge in most aspects of.
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: This Game. SAN francisco, i mean the total is sitting
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: at seven and. A, half yeah it's a picture. Friendly
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: ballpark sixty eight percent, of tickets only sixty six percent
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: of the Cash On. San, FRANCISCO yeah, i KNOW and
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: i know we're playing all road, teams here which is
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit dangerous but you'll see why we're. Doing
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: here the total is, low here so it is expected
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: to be a low. Scoring game so do with that
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: information what. YOU will i guess it's a picture. Friendly
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: Park But, san francisco they're coming home from a. Road.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: Trip man but they Went To san Diego, and milwaukee big,
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: games there and They beat milwaukee in. A series they
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: might be feeling fairly high. On. THEMSELVES man, I Mean,
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: san francisco they don't have a whole lot left to,
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: play for So the cubs do have something to. Play
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: For the cubs are still fighting for playoff. Positioning Here
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: san francisco is playing out. The, STRETCH yes i know
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: it's a big deal When the cubs are a good
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: team and they're coming into. Your HOUSE but i think
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: it was a bigger Deal For san francisco To beat
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: milwaukee on the road and beat them in. A series
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: that was a good series. For them and, YOU know i,
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: Say whatever you return home from a road trip and
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: you're having a cross time zones, like this it's not, that.
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: Great man you have to readjust to the. Time zone
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: you have to get back, to family, life here so
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: you can be a litle little bit. Distracted Here the
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: cubs are already out On the pacific coast because they
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: were Just, in anaheim and they're just they got momentum.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: Right now They. Swept anaheim they actually didn't play particularly
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: well in. The series they won two games at one,
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: Run each So, THE cubs, i mean they were also
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: coming off of a big series themselves Against. The brewers So,
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: THE cubs i think they got momentum. Right now they
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: actually don't have to adjust, time zones which. Is good
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: they're just going Up The pacific coast There to northern,
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: cal here so the travel spot actually is better For,
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: the cubs even though the road, team HERE and i
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: think they have edges in a lot of aspects of. This,
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: Game Yes sar francisco is one of the best bullpens.
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: In baseball both teams are, off, yesterday though so the
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: bullpen's arrested for, both SIDES so, i think given the,
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: situation whatever we'll still go full game. On this, even,
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: though Yes the giants have the second best bullpen he ran.
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: All baseball cubs. ARE eleventh, i mean there's not a huge.
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: Disparity There, the, CUBS well i mean it's like a,
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: half RUN so i guess that's. Huge ish but Still
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: the cubs have. Arrested bullpend their bullpen's, not BAD so
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: i think that kind of balances out the bullpen Edge
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: Of san francisco would. NORMALLY have i think the starting
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: pitching also balances it out Of the if you want
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: to go first five innings With, the cubs you could do,
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: That too but when you go with a run line,
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: like THIS usually i think you want to look to
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: go full game because then you get all the h
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: you got all the, at bats especially on, the road
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: you get all the, at bats you get all nine
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: innings From the cubs, offense here which is good if
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: you're trying to do That. The cubs boyd is pitching For.
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: The Cubs matthew boyd having a really. Good season two
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: point SIX, one era one POINT. Four whip he's definitely.
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: Been good he's a little bit worse on the, road
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: though three point ZERO, ninety ra but not expecting him
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: to do that badly. This month he's still been good
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: in nineteen to four strike a walk ratio three point
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: three TO. Three era he struggled last time out a Bit,
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: against milwaukee gave it, fourign runs but it's a. Good.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: Offense milwaukee he Struggled against milwaukee specifically the last two
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: times he, faced them and every team Who's not milwaukee
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: he's given up two or fewer runs and every other
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: outing we're gonna, go back, Is, that yeah the entire,
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: season actually Except. For Cincinnati sorry cincinnati on the road
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: he allowed four and, runs once but Other than cincinnati
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: and then those two Starts, against milwaukee he's allowed three
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: or four runs in every other start on the. Entire
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: season so he's been really good basically against Everybody. Except
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: milwaukee his numbers Against the giants are. Basically dominant in
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: forty nine, at bats he's only allowed, nine hits seventeen
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: to two strike. A, walker yeah he's allowed two on,
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: the runs but the overall numbers is still. Really good
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: one to, eighty four batting average allowed five twenty two
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: oh ps allows some really good Stuff. From boyd his numbers,
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: are very very Good Against. San, francisco Obviously the cubs
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: have a huge offensive edge in. This game cubs are
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: one of the best offenses in Baseball And san francisco
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: is one of, the worst so there's a huge, disparity there,
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: and yes we're gonna Fade. JUSTIN verlander I. MEAN verlander
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: i know he's he's a good pitcher throughout. His career
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: maybe you're getting a little bit of even a discount
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 1: Of the cubs just because The name verlander is, out
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: there looks like a. Pitching Duel, but lander his numbers
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: are not great, this year, AND man i mean it's
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be his. Last season four point SIX, four
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: era one point four to four whip. NOT great i
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: mean that whip is way. Too high he's been a
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: little bit better. At home it's a picture friendly, park
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: though so both teams do have. That advantage four point
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: ONE four era at home hasn't been good. This month
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: five point zero six e r rail those twenty two
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: to three strike a walk ratio. Is good but two
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: of his starts this month he's gone five or. Fewer
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: innings actually three of them he's gone five or, fewer
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: innings and then two of them he allowed five or
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: more in Runs against Washington And. San diego so not
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: exactly the. Greatest Offenses the cubs are definitely a step up,
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: offensively here and he did Face the cubs earlier. This
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: Year at wrigley and went five innings to give up three.
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: On runs he was serviceable in, that start but. Not
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: great his numbers Against the, cubs overall they're good in
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: his career just Because He's. Justin verlander fifty one. At,
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: bats yes he does have good numbers, against them only
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: two extra, base hits fifteen, to five strike a walk
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: ratio one, seventy six average allot four to sixty six.
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: OH ps i. Get it we're gonna fade him as
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: far as what he's done in his career Against, the
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: cubs but he's not The verl. Andervold man some of
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: those numbers are from back when he was a. BETTER
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: pitcher i think recent form does. Matter more we're gonna
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: go with. The situation everything factors into, this man especially
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: the situation. As well, and yeah both teams are, off
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: yesterday which sometimes when a team is returning home they
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: have the. Day off it actually kind of exacerbates the
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: return home situation. As well so we're gonna go With the.
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: CUBS here i know it's a public play. AS well
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: i don't like the fact that it looks like the
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: money is not joining us now in, that one but
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: that's the way that, it is so the three players,
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: To say i'm a little bit worried MAN because i
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: don't love this, board today but hopefully we can get something.
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: Done Here the twins that's definitely. The ugliest one run
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: line first, Five innings anaheim money line first, five Innings
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: the angels there And then cubs full game split bet
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: half on the, run line half on the money line
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: where you can go minus one. Run line whatever you
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: want to do on. That one that's gonna. Do it long, show,
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: today man give you some more toad. Lore here thanks for.
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: Hanging out everybody learned it Tone on twitter And. ON
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: instagram i post shortened Content. On instagram better off dead,
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: of course like subscribe to. The channel give me a boost.
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: On YouTube i'm, On audio Spotify, and apple so you
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: can give me a good review on there that would
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: help me out. As well and then Covered in yuke
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: is my ukulele project that's on YouTube. As well i'm
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: still Posting the Yuke on twitter. AS well i just
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: gotta get my voice better and my finger better. As
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: well patroon dot com slash learned your tone and there
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: is some bonus uke content there as well available that's gonna.
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: DO it i almost Did The. Devil, horns man it's a.
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: Metal show peace. Out everybody i'm just so out of. It,
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: today man have a good. One, today man let's get
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: some Wins today peace