Latest / Best of Business / Shane Solly: Harbour Asset Management spokesperson on capital markets stabilising
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from News Talks'd be follow
- 0:12Speaker 1: this and our wide range of podcasts now on iHeartRadio.
- 0:16Speaker 2: Shane solely harbor Asset Management is with us right now. Hey, Shane,
- 0:20Speaker 2: get out there now, Shane. Why have the capital markets
- 0:23Speaker 2: started to chill out?
- 0:24Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, we've actually seen a bit of a recovery.
- 0:26Speaker 3: Excuse me, you were shares back up a pretty solid week.
- 0:30Speaker 3: Last week actually saw the US, the U S and
- 0:32Speaker 3: P five hundred. That's the main one. People talk about.
- 0:35Speaker 3: Four point six percent tech market Tech the NAIs deck
- 0:38Speaker 3: up six points in in big balance, even mister musk
- 0:42Speaker 3: Tessler upper eighteen percent. So it's all about some of
- 0:46Speaker 3: this stepping away in tariff. So this moderation of tariffs
- 0:50Speaker 3: is stepping off the heat from both the US and China.
- 0:53Speaker 3: Although mister Trump he keeps on saying, hey, look we're
- 0:55Speaker 3: going to drop tariffs to China, but with something substantial
- 0:59Speaker 3: in return. So the markets like that. Markets also like
- 1:02Speaker 3: the fact we've had some pretty good profit results out
- 1:05Speaker 3: of the US companies, so they've been better and the
- 1:08Speaker 3: out better. But it's really about this tariff news being quieter.
- 1:11Speaker 3: They're stepping away the US market the biggest, and P
- 1:15Speaker 3: five hundred only down one and a half percent month
- 1:17Speaker 3: to day, the naisday, the tech market up on the
- 1:20Speaker 3: on the month. Not many people to pick that. And
- 1:22Speaker 3: our market here today was up point seventy percent, so
- 1:25Speaker 3: we're only down one point four percent. So yeah, markets
- 1:28Speaker 3: are seeing things. We might have seen the worst.
- 1:30Speaker 2: But were there a couple of share price moves here
- 1:33Speaker 2: in New Zealand that that reflected what's going on with tariffs?
- 1:36Speaker 3: Yeah, we're not immune. And you've knowed that the healthcare
- 1:40Speaker 3: stock Fish and Pike with health Care actually was up today.
- 1:43Speaker 3: Is a bit of a delayed reaction to one of
- 1:45Speaker 3: its comparable businesses, Rismid, which is a US business. They
- 1:49Speaker 3: had a better result last Thusday and they specifically talked
- 1:53Speaker 3: about some of their products being exempt from some of
- 1:56Speaker 3: the potential US government tariffs and they're had pretty good demands.
- 1:59Speaker 3: So the market's been a bit delayed and picking that up.
- 2:01Speaker 3: But it has seen Hey maybe fishing bikell can be
- 2:04Speaker 3: exempt on tariffs as well. Particularly it's mixing in production
- 2:07Speaker 3: and demand state good in contrast with main freight. This
- 2:10Speaker 3: is the freight whouse logistics some the great business. But
- 2:14Speaker 3: week today and the ship price fell. There was definitely
- 2:17Speaker 3: one of its US comparator companies was a bit weak,
- 2:20Speaker 3: just highlighting this slow down and the US economy as
- 2:23Speaker 3: trade tariffs is started the hit, so not surprising to
- 2:26Speaker 3: see a bit of weakness there. And then Delegates, the
- 2:28Speaker 3: producer of some of the New Zealand's the Servinyon Blanc,
- 2:31Speaker 3: came out with a downgrade, just saying, hey, look this
- 2:34Speaker 3: we're uncertain about four past growth given this ten percent
- 2:37Speaker 3: increase in tariffs. Good news there, of course, a really
- 2:40Speaker 3: good harvest, good quality, good volume, so plenty of Sevin
- 2:43Speaker 3: your bloc to go around.
- 2:44Speaker 2: What's coming up this week that we should be watching
- 2:46Speaker 2: out for.
- 2:47Speaker 3: Yeah, pretty busy week here. We've got the aims at
- 2:50Speaker 3: business confidence and activity outlook here in New Zealand And
- 2:53Speaker 3: on Wednesday, and that's about are these green shoots that
- 2:55Speaker 3: we've been talking about continuing? Are they growing? And Izzie
- 2:59Speaker 3: On Wednesday, we've also got the inflation data and that
- 3:02Speaker 3: may support more cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia
- 3:04Speaker 3: to their official rates. Busy week predominantly on Wednesday for
- 3:08Speaker 3: the US their PCEE implation, that's the one that the
- 3:11Speaker 3: US Central Bank mainly watches the GDP growth that's all
- 3:14Speaker 3: out on Wednesday, and then they've got their unemployment numbers
- 3:18Speaker 3: and their manufacturing forecast lead indicators coming out. It's all
- 3:22Speaker 3: about what does that matter given the liberation data. Liberation
- 3:27Speaker 3: Day has come out subsequent to the data, so the
- 3:30Speaker 3: data maybe old, so it's going to be really hard
- 3:32Speaker 3: for central banks and invest is to read through that.
- 3:36Speaker 3: We've got a bunch of US companies reporting this week
- 3:38Speaker 3: as well. It's almost thirty percent of the US market
- 3:41Speaker 3: by market capitalization. The Chinese have got their purchasing manager
- 3:45Speaker 3: and disease out on Wednesday. Is there a resign of recovery?
- 3:49Speaker 3: The Japanese have got a Bank of Japan rate decision
- 3:52Speaker 3: on Thursday. They have been increasing rates where they keep
- 3:55Speaker 3: increasing rates given what's happening globally. And then finally, there's
- 3:58Speaker 3: just three elections going on to Canadian and Singapore and
- 4:03Speaker 3: on Saturday we've got the Australian federal election going on.
- 4:05Speaker 3: So there's a lot to think about.
- 4:07Speaker 2: Yeah, totally a lot of moving parts. Hey, Shane, Thanks
- 4:09Speaker 2: very much. Shane solely Harbor Asset Management.
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