Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3998 Iran’s SHOCK Hormuz Offer Reveals Their Catastrophic DEFEAT!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_03]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_03]: Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_03]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_03]: As we speak, stocks are searching and the price of oil is plunging.
- 0:27[SPEAKER_03]: all because President Trump just forced an Iranian concession that no prior president thought possible.
- 0:34[SPEAKER_03]: The regime that held the world hostage for 47 years with a single threat of global catastrophe caved.
- 0:43[SPEAKER_03]: And I'm gonna show you exactly how this new piece agreement was a strategic masterstroke that no one saw coming and how President Trump's 40 chess just check-maded Iran permanently.
- 0:57[SPEAKER_03]: Hey, gang, it's me, Naktor Steve, your patron professor, here to help you make sense of the madness.
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- 1:32[SPEAKER_03]: On his 80th birthday, June 14th flag day, the 250th anniversary year of this great republic,
- 1:40[SPEAKER_03]: President Donald J. Trump made a stunning announcement, posted on true social, that the deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran was in his words, complete.
- 1:51[SPEAKER_03]: He authorized, quote, the toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz,
- 1:56[SPEAKER_03]: And simultaneously, herewith, I authorize the immediate removal of the United States Naval Blockade ships of the world, start your engines, let the oil flow, Pakistani Prime Minister Shabbat Sharif, simultaneously announced,
- 2:13[SPEAKER_03]: that both sides had declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19th at the end of this week in Switzerland.
- 2:29[SPEAKER_03]: Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister confirmed that Tehran would indeed enter a 60-day ceasefire and inauguration period and no longer threaten the straight-of-form moves.
- 2:40[SPEAKER_03]: The global shockways of the agreement are already having their effects.
- 2:44[SPEAKER_03]: Stocks are surging all the way of the price of oil is plummeting, and Trump is loving every second of it, posting on true social quote, ships are starting to move, many loaded up with oil out of the straight-of-war moves.
- 3:00[SPEAKER_03]: They're going along the southern highway, which is totally safe, secure, and pristine.
- 3:04[SPEAKER_03]: there are other areas of travel also and it looks like we're seeing just the very beginning of this double effect of stock surging and gas prices plummeting and that's the key to this agreement with Iran.
- 3:20[SPEAKER_03]: The pattern here is unmistakable.
- 3:22[SPEAKER_03]: This is an America-first president who applies pressure when needed and then secures results that put American interest first reopening that critical
- 3:34[SPEAKER_03]: for global commerce and for lower costs at the pump here at home.
- 3:38[SPEAKER_03]: And it's the kind of practical outcome that rewards firmness over endless ideologically faithful negotiations that the neocons want.
- 3:49[SPEAKER_03]: And what Trump did here is he got Iran to bend.
- 3:54[SPEAKER_03]: where they never conceded before.
- 3:56[SPEAKER_03]: It's a fascinating development and one that so many naysayers out there are simply missing.
- 4:02[SPEAKER_03]: There is a single concession here on the part of Iran that tells us literally everything we need to know about this deal, which as access is reporting, which appears to be quite accurate, the deal is actually rather dull.
- 4:16[SPEAKER_03]: It's surprisingly simple and straightforward and yet it hides
- 4:20[SPEAKER_03]: What is nothing less than a very real massive admission on the part of Iran, an admission of catastrophic defeat.
- 4:30[SPEAKER_03]: We have to understand that for 47 years, the Islamic Republic has held one card, one leverage point above all others over the entire world.
- 4:44[SPEAKER_03]: 20% of the world's daily
- 4:50[SPEAKER_03]: cold, of course, the straight forward moves.
- 4:53[SPEAKER_03]: 20% every energy minister in Europe, every finance minister in Asia, most especially Beijing, which gets 40% of its daily oil imports passing through that straight, every oil executive of the planet has spent decades building their strategic calculus around one unspoken premise that Iran could any time it wanted,
- 5:18[SPEAKER_03]: flows that straight and that the consequences would be so economically catastrophic for global oil markets, for energy prices, for the world economy that no American president would ever push Tehran to the brink.
- 5:37[SPEAKER_03]: Obama certainly did it, and Obama wouldn't even think of militarily threatening Iran.
- 5:41[SPEAKER_03]: Precisely because Iran's own threat was perceived as potentially so globally catastrophic.
- 5:48[SPEAKER_03]: In fact, Iran never even had to make the threat explicitly, it was ambient, it was structural, it hung over every diplomatic negotiation, every sanctions discussion, every nuclear deal.
- 6:08[SPEAKER_03]: Iran is being explicit.
- 6:12[SPEAKER_03]: They are openly conceding the defeat of Hormuz.
- 6:18[SPEAKER_03]: Now you have to understand just how significant this is.
- 6:22[SPEAKER_03]: Hormuz was their ace in the hole.
- 6:25[SPEAKER_03]: Hormuz was Iran's guarantee that the world would bend to their demands.
- 6:30[SPEAKER_03]: That's the key.
- 6:32[SPEAKER_03]: Hormuz was Iran's guarantee that the world would always inevitably bend to their demands.
- 6:42[SPEAKER_03]: What just happened with this agreement with this P steel is the exact opposite.
- 6:50[SPEAKER_03]: Iran is the one making the concession.
- 6:55[SPEAKER_03]: Iran is conceding the defeat of their Hormuz blockade by offering to reopen the straight themselves precisely because of the American counter blockade, which they never expected and which has been draining them of an estimated $500 million in oil revenue per day lost oil revenue per day, leaving them with no economic leverage to sustain it any further.
- 7:24[SPEAKER_03]: Now, we talked about this on our livestream Friday broadcast last week.
- 7:29[SPEAKER_03]: The genius of the way this American counterblockade worked.
- 7:33[SPEAKER_03]: is that it forced more nations than ever to have to buy American oil to rely on WTI and the like with American exports going through the roof.
- 7:45[SPEAKER_03]: All the while at the same time keeping global oil prices relatively stable.
- 7:52[SPEAKER_03]: They never passed the $200 a barrel catastrophe at so many in the legacy media we're predicting and frankly hoping for.
- 8:01[SPEAKER_03]: And by doing that, Trump crushed Iran's one single point of leverage.
- 8:09[SPEAKER_03]: So yes, we were paying higher prices at the pump, which sucked for sure, no question.
- 8:14[SPEAKER_03]: But Iran was losing a half a billion dollars a day and lost oil revenue because of the counter-blockade.
- 8:21[SPEAKER_03]: And that was simply unsustainable, especially given the fact that the price of oil
- 8:27[SPEAKER_03]: uh... per barrel did not skyrocket like the catastrophic projections thought it would and so they had no choice they caved bottom line the math told them they had to concede or moves they had to offer
- 8:42[SPEAKER_03]: to open the street in order to protect the one thing they can't survive without that, of course, is oil revenue and that calculation is the most revealing thing Iran's leadership has communicated in decades.
- 8:57[SPEAKER_03]: We're about to see the real admission here in this deal that nobody's talking about.
- 9:04[SPEAKER_03]: While Trump unleashes a political reckoning, there is another crisis poisoning every American in some way, shape, or form even in the comfort of our own homes.
- 9:14[SPEAKER_03]: I'm talking about the microplastic epidemic.
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- 9:24[SPEAKER_02]: tons of microplastics, wash ashore all over the world every day.
- 9:29[SPEAKER_02]: And now for the first time, scientists in the Netherlands have detected microplastic pollution in human blood.
- 9:35[SPEAKER_01]: All the microplastics in our class, we are exposed to, we inhale and be ingest.
- 9:42[SPEAKER_01]: That actually, you know, they did
- 9:47[SPEAKER_01]: and our bloodstream.
- 9:48[SPEAKER_02]: The Dutch study on blood samples from healthy adults detected tiny plastic particles in 80% of people.
- 9:54[SPEAKER_03]: That's right.
- 9:55[SPEAKER_03]: There's a microplastic crisis poisoning every American in some way shape or form.
- 10:01[SPEAKER_03]: They're in our food, our water, our meats, our proteins.
- 10:05[SPEAKER_03]: In fact, according to a recent study, we now ingest six times more microplastics than in 1990.
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- 12:15[SPEAKER_03]: We have to remember how much has changed over the last three months.
- 12:20[SPEAKER_03]: Operation Epic Fury wiped out 95% of the Iranian Navy.
- 12:26[SPEAKER_03]: Their ballistic missile stockpile, the arsenal that Iran had spent two generations 40 years, and hundreds of billions of dollars building up was degraded to the point where by some estimates, it lost 90% of its capacity within the first week of the war alone.
- 12:43[SPEAKER_03]: Their Air Force was decimated.
- 12:46[SPEAKER_03]: Their generals were being picked off one by one in surgical strikes inside Tehran itself.
- 12:52[SPEAKER_03]: Over 5,000 Iranian targets were struck across the course of the operation.
- 12:57[SPEAKER_03]: Iran has lost by conservative estimates.
- 13:01[SPEAKER_03]: A half a trillion dollars worth of nuclear, industrial, and military investment investment built up painstakingly over 47 years.
- 13:12[SPEAKER_03]: In a matter of days, go on, their bank accounts frozen, their overseas assets seized.
- 13:23[SPEAKER_03]: The regime that once fancied itself, the regional hegemon, the self-declared bully of the Middle East, was rendered militarily inert within approximately 14 days.
- 13:35[SPEAKER_03]: And the IRGC, sitting in its bunkers and looking at the smoloring ruins of its once formidable conventional military, drew a very specific lesson from all of this, it will never again have conventional forces capable of matching what was deployed against it, not in 10 years, not in 20.
- 13:56[SPEAKER_03]: Again, the math simply doesn't work.
- 13:59[SPEAKER_03]: And so they literally had no choice, but to
- 14:04[SPEAKER_03]: that the Trump administration would use that concession as a window for negotiations going forward, centered on the enriched uranium and Iran's nuclear future, which Trump being the eternal pragmatist that he is most certainly did again.
- 14:20[SPEAKER_03]: Iran is completely lost the capacity to project power.
- 14:23[SPEAKER_03]: They've been fully defined.
- 14:25[SPEAKER_03]: They've been rendered completely inert.
- 14:28[SPEAKER_03]: So now it's simply a matter of getting them to fully comply with Trump's consistent, non-negotiable demands, right?
- 14:36[SPEAKER_03]: So no enrichment, the surrendering of existing uranium stock pile, no more proxy subsidies,
- 14:42[SPEAKER_03]: and open up the straightive for moves fully and completely.
- 14:45[SPEAKER_03]: Iran has now officially conceded for moves, and the next 60 days will involve negotiations for comparable concessions with everything else.
- 14:54[SPEAKER_03]: Again, precisely because Iran has been so militarily and economically devastated.
- 15:03[SPEAKER_03]: Moreover, there is another dimension to the story that almost nobody in the legacy media is covering adequately, but the Trump administration is fully well aware of it and allowing it to play itself out over the next 60 days, and that's the internal civil war happening inside the Iranian regime right now because without an understanding that you simply can't make sense of why the horror moves off or was even made or why it's so revealing of a hidden defeat.
- 15:30[SPEAKER_03]: The Iranian government in 2026 is not a unified actor.
- 15:33[SPEAKER_03]: They're actually government, not a single regime.
- 15:38[SPEAKER_03]: So what you're seeing in Sainte Iran right now looks far less like a government-making strategic decisions and more like an institutional civil war between two increasingly irreconcilable factions.
- 15:51[SPEAKER_03]: So on one side, you've got the civilian government of President Pizeshkin who understands
- 15:58[SPEAKER_03]: The economic arithmetic with complete clarity, the central bank governor is repeatedly told and directly how catastrophic this situation is rebuilding the war damaged Iranian economy without sanctions relief could take more than a decade.
- 16:14[SPEAKER_03]: That's how far back they've been set.
- 16:17[SPEAKER_03]: So the civilian faction trapped as it were in economic reality, they wanted a deal.
- 16:24[SPEAKER_03]: They understood that the alternative is continue economic collapse that eventually becomes ungovernable.
- 16:30[SPEAKER_03]: But on the other side, you've got the IRGC command structure, which has responded to this crisis, not by considering compromise, but by consolidating control, so they've been blocking the civilian government's ability to make independent diplomatic commitments, they've been monitoring the foreign ministers' contacts,
- 16:47[SPEAKER_03]: blocking cabinet appointments and declaring wartime administrative authority over critical positions.
- 16:54[SPEAKER_03]: So this is not a regime in a position of strength, negotiating from leverage.
- 16:59[SPEAKER_03]: This is a regime in the late stages of an institutional stress fracture desperately trying to hold together while the economic walls close in from literally every direction.
- 17:11[SPEAKER_03]: And again, this is all happening at the same time.
- 17:14[SPEAKER_03]: The American stock market is rallying and oil prices collapsing.
- 17:19[SPEAKER_03]: I mean, the contrast of outcomes here simply could not possibly be more stark.
- 17:23[SPEAKER_03]: So here's what the United States has demonstrably achieved as of this weekend.
- 17:30[SPEAKER_03]: The Strait of Hormuz is reopening toll-free, which is a single-biggest economic event of 2026, for global oil market that's been bleeding since February.
- 17:41[SPEAKER_03]: The Iranian military has been devastated with the near total inability to project power.
- 17:48[SPEAKER_03]: Kameini, the ideological architect of Death to America is dead, along with all his senior officials.
- 17:56[SPEAKER_03]: Iran has committed at least on paper to never building a nuclear weapon and now Trump and Iran are going to negotiate the dismantling of its nuclear enrichment program along with the fate of the centrifuges, the stockpile of enriched uranium sitting at 60% purity just a short technical step from weapons grade.
- 18:17[SPEAKER_03]: Those go to these 60 day talks.
- 18:21[SPEAKER_03]: Iran's missile program.
- 18:22[SPEAKER_03]: It's not on the table because it's more or less been decimated.
- 18:26[SPEAKER_03]: Iran's regional proxy network, the funding of Houthis, Hamas, Hezbollah.
- 18:31[SPEAKER_03]: That's not really in the table because they've been relatively decimated.
- 18:35[SPEAKER_03]: The proposed deal includes the release of somewhere between $12, $25 billion.
- 18:42[SPEAKER_03]: in frozen Iranian assets with Iran pushing for a substantial portion before the formal talks even begin.
- 18:49[SPEAKER_03]: That's a condition that President Trump has so far rejected.
- 18:52[SPEAKER_03]: But regardless, critically, the deal as structured is not a, it's not a final piece agreement per se.
- 19:02[SPEAKER_03]: It's a memorandum of understanding.
- 19:04[SPEAKER_03]: It's a deal to try to reach a deal.
- 19:07[SPEAKER_03]: with 60 days to finalize terms as Iran licks its wounds all the while America stock market soars and its gas prices plunge.
- 19:17[SPEAKER_03]: That's America first foreign policy.
- 19:19[SPEAKER_03]: Something no previous president believed possible these past 47 years.
- 19:26[SPEAKER_03]: But realizing the impossible is what the golden age is truly all about.
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