Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 236 - 3/13/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 236 - 3/13/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 236 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:26
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:29
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Thirsty Thursday. Our work week rolls on pretty
• 0:41
  soon. We're going to have the weekend
• 0:43
  here and a massive college basketball slate once again
• 0:46
  today, tomorrow, throughout the weekend as conference
• 0:49
  tournaments continue to heat up, we're going to get right back to
• 0:52
  college basketball again. One of my favorite times of the
• 0:54
  year, conference tournaments with the excitement of the
• 0:57
  bracket and all the madness here upon us.
• 1:00
  But I do have a three pack of sweats for you guys.
• 1:02
  I want to get this pot out a little bit earlier than usual
• 1:04
  because as you know, we got day sweats left and right.
• 1:07
  So we want to make sure we have some time here to to get these
• 1:10
  plays in if you want to want to sweat them with me.
• 1:12
  So a three pack overall. I got a 2:30 PM Eastern Time
• 1:15
  game, a 530 game and a 930 game. So nicely spaced out.
• 1:19
  We can devote all of our attention and our our full
• 1:22
  concentration and sweat to each matchup 1 by 1 by 1.
• 1:27
  Now before we dive into our sweats here for today, guys want
• 1:29
  to mention real quick I will be on Patrick Maher and Dustin
• 1:32
  Swedelson show Visen live tonight 8:00 Eastern Time.
• 1:36
  So if you haven't noticed yet, Beeson is back on SiriusXM.
• 1:41
  So if you have SiriusXM, you can listen to Vison throughout the
• 1:43
  day. And of course, I am a Vison
• 1:45
  sports betting analyst, so I highly recommend taking
• 1:47
  advantage of a great offer right now.
• 1:49
  I mentioned it yesterday, but if you ever wanted to give Vison a
• 1:51
  shot, read the articles that I write each day, get those bet
• 1:55
  splits, you can just go to visen.com/champ Week and you'll
• 1:59
  have a full week of access here to to give Visen a try.
• 2:03
  And I I think it's a great resource to add to your sports
• 2:06
  betting tool case or tool kit, whatever you want to call it.
• 2:10
  But aside from 8:00 tonight on SiriusXM, I also want to mention
• 2:14
  one thing real quick Odds logic. I've been trying to introduce
• 2:17
  you guys quite a bit recently to the Odds Logic live odds
• 2:20
  platform, which I partnered up with and become an affiliate.
• 2:24
  And I believe in this product, it's one of the cheaper live
• 2:27
  odds pages, around 99 bucks a month if you want to continue
• 2:30
  it. But it's really one of the best
• 2:32
  and most just overall clearest and cleanest interfaces.
• 2:37
  You know, it doesn't have a lot of bells and whistles.
• 2:39
  A lot of you know, things to, you know, distract you.
• 2:42
  It's just got the games, the numbers they highlight, they
• 2:44
  move. It's very easy to identify line
• 2:47
  movement and shop for the best line and, and pick off good
• 2:49
  numbers before they before they get away from you.
• 2:52
  And I, as I mentioned before, you can always sign up and do a
• 2:56
  free trial with odds logic. Just go to oddslogic.com/josh
• 3:01
  123. But I actually reached out to
• 3:03
  Rick Alec who runs Odds Logic because I wanted to just check
• 3:07
  in with him, see how things are going.
• 3:09
  Hopefully I'm doing my part bringing some more users to Odds
• 3:11
  Logic. But he also hooked me up with a
• 3:14
  50% off your first month promo code.
• 3:17
  So if you give Odds Logic a shot, you're going to get the
• 3:20
  free trial, then you'll get 50% off the first month.
• 3:23
  So instead of the first month being 99 bucks, it's going to
• 3:26
  be, you know, basically 50 bucks, 4999, whatever that is,
• 3:30
  half of of 99 bucks. So with that being said, great
• 3:35
  opportunity here to test it out. If you want to give it a shot,
• 3:38
  all you got to do is go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 3:42
  And then when you get to the sign up page, they'll be a
• 3:43
  little, it says like coupon code or promo code you just put in
• 3:47
  again Josh 123. So go to oddslogic.com/josh 123
• 3:53
  sign up page promo code you're going to put in Josh 123.
• 3:56
  That'll give you your free trial and 50% off your first month.
• 4:00
  So with March Madness, you'll bet in each game we got to look
• 4:04
  at lines, but as they're moving, pick off good numbers and make
• 4:07
  sure that we're getting the best prices, which odds logic will
• 4:09
  help us with. But you've heard me say it
• 4:11
  before, 99 bucks a month after your, you know, first month is
• 4:15
  50% off. That might seem like a lot, but
• 4:18
  as I've told you guys before, there's a lot of live odds pages
• 4:20
  out there. I ain't naming names, but you
• 4:22
  might know who I'm talking about, $249 a month, $399 a
• 4:27
  month, $699 a month. There is one that cost that
• 4:31
  much, believe me. So odds logic to me is the best
• 4:34
  product at the cheapest price and it is really your Bible,
• 4:37
  your most important page. That and I was actually I was
• 4:40
  actually D Ming, one of my one of my wise guy pals who I
• 4:43
  introduced to odds Logic. I don't know if he's listening
• 4:46
  right now, but he is my guy. That one at INDFATAL in fatal.
• 4:52
  I love his, his his his handle here, but I got him hooked up
• 4:55
  with and he said, damn, this has this has movement on the player.
• 4:59
  Props to this is a plus. So yes, they're adding player
• 5:01
  props. It's beautiful.
• 5:02
  I could look at this page all day.
• 5:05
  So just take it from at that one at Ind FATAL because he's hooked
• 5:09
  and I think you will be too. It'll just change the way you'll
• 5:12
  get sports. You're going to love this page.
• 5:13
  You're going to stare at it all day and it's going to help you
• 5:15
  win bets. So again, take advantage.
• 5:18
  oddlogic.com/josh 123 you get to the sign up page once you click
• 5:23
  that link, then you're going to put in Josh 123 and get 50% off
• 5:27
  your first month. So that being said, before we
• 5:30
  dive into our sweats here for today, guys, quick recap
• 5:32
  yesterday, bit of a frustrating day one and 2 -, 1.13 units.
• 5:37
  We had a great, incredible sweat of a lifetime with USC as they
• 5:41
  won in double overtime. And boy, was that a sweat of a
• 5:44
  lifetime. But again, we're being some
• 5:46
  closing lines, not getting breaks because Vandy money lined
• 5:49
  them around -2 1/2 they were juiced up even close three they
• 5:52
  got. They're actually kind of out of
• 5:55
  it the entire game and you know, furiously had a comeback and
• 5:57
  came up short. But then also Georgia had some
• 6:00
  CLV there. They we money line them around 3
• 6:02
  1/2. They close at 4:00 at some shops
• 6:05
  and Georgia had a lead late like I don't know, 3 or 4 minutes
• 6:07
  left and then just completely imploded.
• 6:09
  I think they went like 4 minutes without scoring.
• 6:11
  So the dogs let us down unfortunately.
• 6:13
  But either way, guys, we're going to see if we can bounce
• 6:15
  back today. Post a winning day, reading the
• 6:18
  market correctly, getting CLV. But CLV can be a frustrating
• 6:21
  thing because it tells you that you are anticipating reading the
• 6:24
  market right, but it doesn't guarantee that you're winning.
• 6:27
  But what it can tell you is that if you continually bet better
• 6:30
  numbers than what they close at long term, over hundreds and
• 6:33
  thousands of bets, you're going to basically be on the the right
• 6:36
  side more often than not. And again, the right side isn't
• 6:39
  based upon the outcome. I've, I've gotten into several
• 6:42
  sports betting debates with people where you know the right
• 6:45
  side is the winning side. OK, that, that's like a catchy
• 6:47
  little phrase. I get it.
• 6:49
  But no, if you bet the Chiefs at -7 and they close at -6 and they
• 6:54
  win by 10, did you make a good bet?
• 6:56
  You would. OK, you won the bet, but you
• 6:58
  late A7 when they close six. The market was against.
• 7:00
  You played the worst of the number.
• 7:02
  You just take your win and be happy, but you don't brag about
• 7:05
  it. But if you bet a dog at +7 and
• 7:08
  they close six and they don't cover, did you make a bad bet?
• 7:11
  No, you beat the closing line. You read the market, you just
• 7:13
  didn't have the outcome go your way.
• 7:15
  So Long story short, CLV doesn't guarantee a win, but it is a
• 7:19
  good sign that we are again anticipating and analyzing the
• 7:23
  market correctly. So that being said, no more
• 7:26
  recaps. Let's get to it today, see if we
• 7:29
  can post a winning date with a three pack of plays that I
• 7:31
  cannot wait to sweat with you guys.
• 7:33
  So first one on the board, early game, 2:30 PM Eastern Time.
• 7:37
  Let's go to the Big East Tournament quarterfinals.
• 7:40
  We got Marquette against Xavier. Let's set the stage, talk some
• 7:43
  line movement system matches and then I'll give you my play for
• 7:46
  this one. So going into it, we have
• 7:48
  Marquette 22 and 9 on the year. They are ranked 25th in the
• 7:51
  country. They're the five seed in the Big
• 7:53
  East tournament, but they have dropped two straight.
• 7:55
  They just lost the Saint John's 86 to 84 in overtime.
• 7:58
  Remember that was the buzzer beater.
• 8:00
  It was tied and I think it was edge of four for Saint John's.
• 8:03
  I remember because I played Marquette in that one, they let
• 8:05
  me down but lost at the buzzer as a four and a half point home
• 8:09
  favorite. Meanwhile, Xavier got to admit
• 8:11
  they're red hot. They're 21 and 10 on the year.
• 8:13
  They're the four seed. They've won seven straight.
• 8:15
  Just beat Providence 76 to 68 in the regular season finale.
• 8:19
  Didn't cover though, as a 12 1/2 point home favorite.
• 8:22
  So what are you seeing across the market here?
• 8:25
  Well, quiet, quiet, wise guy movement and liability buying
• 8:29
  low on Marquette. Give me Marquette here, guys.
• 8:31
  Let's go. Shaka Smart this line open with
• 8:34
  the tape with Marquette listed as low as a 2 point neutral site
• 8:39
  favorite and basically the public does not know what to do
• 8:43
  with this one. They see both teams with pretty
• 8:44
  good records. Marquette is ranked, Xavier is
• 8:47
  not, but Marquette's lost two in a row.
• 8:49
  Xavier is 1 seven in a row. So public doesn't know whether
• 8:52
  to take the points or lay the points.
• 8:54
  However, even though we have a 5050 bet split, this is where we
• 8:57
  get to that line. Movement tickets are even.
• 9:00
  Theoretically in a vacuum, line shouldn't move at all.
• 9:02
  Yet we are seeing movement and that is toward Marquette.
• 9:05
  Marquette -2 up to 2 1/2. And also a lot of these juice
• 9:08
  prices are juiced up toward Marquette -2 1/2 at -115 I see
• 9:13
  one book even going to three. So it's not like a massive move,
• 9:17
  but 1/2 point move and then some juice all on the side of
• 9:20
  Marquette here, which is an early game.
• 9:23
  Again, tells us kind of late movement is continuing to break
• 9:25
  Marquette's way. Now if you look at Circa, really
• 9:29
  good bet splits on Marquette, they're only getting 56% of
• 9:32
  spread bets, but 83% of spread dollars tells us the bigger
• 9:36
  sharper wages they're out in Vegas at Circa, which prides
• 9:40
  itself on taking in smart money and not denying or limiting
• 9:43
  smart money. They're pretty bullish here on
• 9:45
  Marquette. And then you also look at a
• 9:48
  money line opportunity. So Ken Palm does have Marquette
• 9:52
  winning by 4. So that's a pretty good edge.
• 9:54
  You know, if you get a 2 1/2, he's got them by 4.
• 9:56
  Even if they win by three, you win and cover.
• 9:59
  But we've all seen how crazy these games can be.
• 10:01
  You know, maybe you're down and hit a winning bucket to win by
• 10:04
  one or two. Maybe you're up five, they hit a
• 10:06
  meaningless 3. This is not a very expensive
• 10:08
  money line price. So if you look at Marquette, I
• 10:11
  want to say I got Marquette. I think around like -138 -, 140
• 10:16
  some books around -145 now. So of course, shop around, but
• 10:19
  that gives me just a little more confidence to play Marquette.
• 10:22
  The fact that Ken Palm is a little more bullish on them than
• 10:24
  the market. But the Golden Eagles, if you
• 10:27
  look at the circus splits look really good.
• 10:29
  Straight up to win. Hopefully 40% of money line
• 10:32
  bets, 85% of money line dollars. So really good smart money
• 10:36
  split. Now, Marquette has a lot of
• 10:38
  advantages here. A lot of them are offensively,
• 10:41
  some defensive ones as well, but they have the better offensive
• 10:44
  efficiency, 32nd in the country versus 61st for Xavier, better
• 10:49
  defensive efficiency, 21st in the country versus 39th for
• 10:53
  Xavier and better offensive rebound percentage.
• 10:55
  Pretty big gap here. Hopefully you can get some
• 10:57
  second chance opportunities, some extra possessions, 31%
• 11:01
  versus 25%. And Marquette also does a good
• 11:04
  job in the turnover department. They give up fewer turnovers,
• 11:08
  8th in the country versus one O 4th for Xavier, and then they
• 11:12
  force more turnovers, 12th in the country versus 122nd for
• 11:16
  Xavier. Lastly, it's a classic buy low
• 11:19
  sell high play because Marquette, open as a short
• 11:21
  favorite, has become more of a favorite even though they've
• 11:25
  lost two straight while Xavier has won seventh straight.
• 11:28
  So it's a bit of a buy low sell high.
• 11:30
  Now our friends at Rhythm pretty bullish on Marquette as well.
• 11:33
  Rhythm has the Golden Eagles -3.7 so pretty clear movement
• 11:38
  here in favor of Marquette -2 up to 2 1/2 even now, three at some
• 11:42
  shops. 5050 split yet a move which we love to see because
• 11:46
  again, in a vacuum, line shouldn't move at all.
• 11:48
  Tells us smart money's going Marquette.
• 11:50
  Ken Palms got him by 4. Rhythms got him by about four as
• 11:53
  well. We can buy low on a team that's
• 11:55
  lost two straight, which should be hungry versus Xavier, who
• 11:57
  maybe we can sell high on at this point.
• 12:00
  So Long story short, 2:30 PM Eastern Time, afternoon matchup.
• 12:04
  See if we can start our day off with a win.
• 12:06
  I'm going Shaka Smart in the Golden Eagles money line around
• 12:09
  -140 another game for you. We call this late afternoon,
• 12:14
  early evening maybe. This is a 5:30 PM Eastern Time
• 12:17
  game, the Mountain West tournament quarterfinals, Boise
• 12:20
  State against San Diego State. So let's set the stage in this
• 12:24
  one and I'll give you my play for a big match up here in the
• 12:26
  Mountain West. Now Boise State comes in 22 and
• 12:30
  9 on the year. They're the five seed.
• 12:32
  They, however, just saw their five game win streak come to an
• 12:34
  end. They lost to Colorado State 83
• 12:37
  to 73 in their final regular season game.
• 12:39
  They're actually a 5 1/2 point home favorite.
• 12:41
  Lost out right. And that one.
• 12:43
  Conversely, we got San Diego State, the Aztecs 21 and 8 on
• 12:46
  the year, the four seed. They've won three of their last
• 12:49
  four. They just beat Nevada 80 to 61
• 12:52
  pretty easily in their final regular season game covered as a
• 12:54
  6 1/2 point home favorite. So what are we seeing across the
• 12:57
  market here? Well, this game open Boise
• 13:00
  listed as a very short one point neutral site favorite and the
• 13:04
  public says get ready for it. The wrong team is favored.
• 13:08
  Yeah, because San Diego State is the higher seeded team, the
• 13:12
  better record. Obviously San Diego State has
• 13:14
  made a lot of noise in March Madness over the last few years,
• 13:17
  so public is saying wrong team is favored.
• 13:19
  Grab San Diego State in the points as as fast as you can.
• 13:23
  However, despite nearly 2/3 of spread bets at DraftKings going
• 13:27
  with the Aztecs, this line is actually move further toward
• 13:30
  Boise State. Boise State -1 only 1/3 of
• 13:34
  tickets now up to -2 and now -2 1/2 at quite a few shops.
• 13:38
  So let's take a step back. Why is this line moving toward
• 13:41
  Boise if the public is all over San Diego State?
• 13:44
  Classic fade the trendy dog reverse line move.
• 13:47
  And that tells us that again, even though the public is all
• 13:50
  over San Diego State, the wise guys are hitting Boise, causing
• 13:53
  that line to move toward the Broncos.
• 13:55
  Now it's a short number here -2 - 2 1/2.
• 13:58
  So there's a money line play for me.
• 13:59
  I got Boise a little bit earlier today around -135 like the bet
• 14:04
  split at DraftKings on Boise, 46% of money line bets, nearly
• 14:08
  2/3 of money line dollars. And Boise has a a few distinct
• 14:12
  advantages here. We all always know San Diego
• 14:14
  State plays good defense, but Boise has a lot of offensive
• 14:18
  advantages. Hopefully their offense comes to
• 14:20
  play today because they have the better offensive efficiency.
• 14:23
  44th in the country versus 103rd for San Diego State.
• 14:27
  Better effective field goal percentage, 53% versus 51%.
• 14:31
  Better offensive rebound percentage, 33% versus 30%.
• 14:36
  Better free throw shooting. A big, big discrepancy here
• 14:39
  could be huge in a tight game. Boise shoots 78% from the
• 14:43
  charity stripe, only 67% for for San Diego State.
• 14:48
  And the Broncos also do a better job of limiting offensive
• 14:50
  rebounds to their opponents. They're actually third best in
• 14:53
  the country at not giving up offensive boards.
• 14:56
  Basically they they lock it down on their defensive end.
• 14:59
  San Diego State on the on the other hand ranks 200 and 31st.
• 15:03
  Now small factor here. Boise does have a one day rest
• 15:05
  advantage. They last played on March 7th
• 15:08
  versus San Diego State playing March 8th.
• 15:10
  And it's a classic buy low sell high play as well because the
• 15:12
  Broncos are a buy low contrarian favorite off a loss against the
• 15:16
  sell high trendy dog off a win. And also there could be
• 15:19
  motivation on the side of Boise because San Diego State is 2 and
• 15:23
  O against Boise this year. They beat them both games.
• 15:26
  So on the one hand you could say, hey, if it ain't broke,
• 15:28
  don't fix it, just play San Diego State.
• 15:30
  The other hand is hopefully that's a really big motivational
• 15:32
  edge for Boise to beat a team that has beaten you twice this
• 15:36
  year. Lastly, our friends at Rhythm
• 15:38
  have Boise -2.3, so kind of right on the number here, around
• 15:42
  2 1/2. And I did notice at Juice Reel
• 15:45
  there was a 23% sharp mush edge in favor of Boise State.
• 15:49
  So 23% more of the sharper vet winning betters versus the
• 15:53
  losing betters are playing Boise State here.
• 15:56
  So it seems like obvious take San Diego State.
• 15:58
  That's what the public's thinking.
• 16:00
  This kind of gives me Deja vu, hopefully in a good way in terms
• 16:04
  of that USC, Rutgers play where the public was all over Rutgers,
• 16:07
  yet USC open as a favorite became more of a favorite.
• 16:11
  Same thing here, public San Diego State, but Boise Open as a
• 16:13
  favorite became more of a favorite.
• 16:15
  So whether it takes 2 overtimes or 10 overtimes, let's just get
• 16:18
  a win. Let's go, Boise, come on,
• 16:20
  Broncos. Got the Broncos on the money
• 16:22
  line at around. What did I say?
• 16:25
  I think it was -135 last night of the night, late night sweat,
• 16:31
  9:30 PM Eastern Time. Let's go to the Big 12
• 16:34
  tournament quarterfinals. Kansas and Arizona now setting
• 16:38
  the stage for this one. We have Kansas, 21 and 11 on the
• 16:41
  year. They're the sixth seed in this
• 16:42
  tournament. They just beat up or beat down,
• 16:45
  Not beat down. They just outlasted, I guess you
• 16:47
  could say UCF 98 to 94 in yesterday's it was an overtime
• 16:52
  game and yesterday's second round matchup didn't cover,
• 16:54
  though they were favored by 10 1/2.
• 16:56
  You know, Arizona 20 and 11, the three seed.
• 16:58
  They're coming off a by the Wildcats, ironically enough,
• 17:02
  just lost to Kansas 83 to 76 and their final regular season game,
• 17:06
  their 4 1/2 point Rd. dog lost outright did not cover.
• 17:09
  So what have we seen across the market?
• 17:11
  Well, pretty sharp movement in favor of the Wildcats.
• 17:15
  Arizona open this game as a very short 1 1/2 point neutral site
• 17:18
  favorite and wise guys have laid the chalk push Zona up to -2
• 17:22
  1/2. Some shops even juice like they
• 17:25
  may go to three. So pretty clear one way movement
• 17:27
  in favor of Arizona. Now DraftKings pretty good
• 17:30
  splits here, 68% of spread bets, but nearly 80% of spread dollars
• 17:34
  are on Arizona. So kind of a pro and Joe split
• 17:37
  both modest public support, but heavy smart money here in favor
• 17:41
  of Arizona with that line move in favor of the Wildcats.
• 17:44
  Now Ken Palm is Arizona winning by just one point.
• 17:47
  So there's a money line play for me.
• 17:49
  I can find the Wildcats around -140 I think -138 at FanDuel
• 17:54
  right now. But I like the splits on the
• 17:56
  money line at, at DraftKings, 55% of money line bets, 62% of
• 18:01
  money line dollars on Arizona, circa 75% of money line bets,
• 18:05
  over 90% of money line dollars. So both the national DraftKings
• 18:10
  and the the Desert Wise Guy book circa with some good bet splits,
• 18:14
  low bets, higher dollars in favor of Arizona winning this
• 18:17
  game. Now Arizona, we're going to bank
• 18:19
  on their offensive efficiency, their 14th best in the country
• 18:22
  versus 47th for Kansas. Better offensive rebound
• 18:25
  percentage, big gap here, actually 37% versus 30% and free
• 18:30
  throw percentage. Can you make your free throws?
• 18:33
  Hope, hope, hope that Kansas misses theirs and Zona makes
• 18:36
  there's 78% versus 71%. Also rest versus tired.
• 18:40
  We have Kansas on the second leg of a back-to-back went to
• 18:43
  overtime yesterday. Now they got to play again
• 18:45
  tonight versus the Wildcats, who have not played since March 8th.
• 18:50
  So they're rested and ready to go.
• 18:51
  So it's a again a fade, fade, fade, tired legs kind of play
• 18:55
  here against Kansas. Also Arizona revenge play.
• 18:58
  Their last game they played Kansas and lost at at Kansas.
• 19:02
  Now look at our friends at Rhythm.
• 19:04
  They have Arizona -1.5 SA little bit shorter here, but I did like
• 19:09
  the fact that at least they had them to win by about, you know,
• 19:11
  point, point, point and a half, two points.
• 19:14
  And also a very good sharp mush indicator on Juice Reel, 30%
• 19:18
  sharp mush edge on Arizona. That means a 30% more of the
• 19:22
  sharper winning betters around the Wildcats as opposed to the
• 19:25
  losing betters leaning more toward Kansas.
• 19:28
  So add it all up here, guys. Looks like we got a pretty clear
• 19:31
  move in favor of Zona. Big rest, first tired play.
• 19:34
  I'm going Arizona hopefully to win this game.
• 19:36
  I got Arizona on the money line around -140 I guess they're
• 19:41
  around -145 at some shops, but we have Arizona, Marquette, and
• 19:45
  Boise. Can we go 2 out of three or go
• 19:47
  2IN1 eke out a winning day. That is the goal.
• 19:51
  So with that being said, another pod here in the books, guys.
• 19:55
  As always, I want to get these ones out a little bit earlier.
• 19:57
  Maybe you're hopefully pleasantly surprised these pods
• 20:00
  are dropping earlier because we got these afternoon sweats to
• 20:02
  talk about. But as always, wrapping things
• 20:04
  up, I want to start first by saying thank you.
• 20:07
  Thank you to you guys for taking the time out of your day, out of
• 20:09
  your busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and
• 20:12
  sweat some sharp betting breakdowns with me.
• 20:14
  If you do, enjoy the pod. Win, loser draw.
• 20:16
  You value the insights hopefully, and maybe you picked
• 20:19
  up a few winning tips along the way.
• 20:21
  But if you want to give this podcast a five star review on
• 20:24
  Spotify or iTunes, I would very much appreciate that.
• 20:27
  If you want to leave a nice little short review, that's
• 20:30
  great as well. If you want to click the follow
• 20:32
  button, if that's an option, hit that.
• 20:34
  Then it'll pop up for you on a notification on your phone once
• 20:38
  it drops each day so you don't have to go searching for it.
• 20:41
  You can always find a tweeted out for my Twitter account at
• 20:44
  Josh under score insights. If you want to recommend it to a
• 20:47
  friend that's awesome as well. Next, if you enjoy this style of
• 20:52
  betting breakdown sharp data-driven contrarian betting
• 20:55
  reading the market, analyzing the market, trying to figure out
• 20:58
  what the smartest bets of the day are.
• 21:00
  If this style of betting has appealed to you and you want to
• 21:02
  let me know you appreciate the pod or you want to learn more
• 21:05
  about data-driven betting or you know someone in your life who
• 21:08
  could use a few you know a few tips to bet on sports.
• 21:12
  Well, if that's the case, I would highly recommend buying a
• 21:15
  couple books. Yes, books are real.
• 21:17
  I know people don't read books anymore, but I think they're
• 21:20
  they're still very valuable. Maybe they'll become kind of
• 21:23
  like, I don't know, kind of like retro, like they'll, they'll
• 21:27
  kind of become cool again. But anyway, if you haven't done
• 21:30
  it yet and you want to learn more about data-driven betting,
• 21:31
  you got to go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to
• 21:35
  sports betting. That's my baby.
• 21:37
  First book I ever wrote. Very proud of it.
• 21:39
  But it's really geared toward brand new betters, new betters,
• 21:42
  intermediate betters. It's got all the strategies we
• 21:44
  talked about each day on the pod.
• 21:46
  How to identify value, how to go contrarian, how to find smart
• 21:49
  money, how to read line movement, how to set up a
• 21:51
  bankroll management plan. But I'd also love for you guys
• 21:54
  to pre-order my new book, which comes out on August 12th, the
• 21:58
  NFL Sharp Betting Playbook. Just go to Amazon.com, type in
• 22:02
  the NFL Sharp Betting playbook, pick up a copy for you or
• 22:05
  pre-order copy for you or a friend.
• 22:07
  And it's all had about the NFL, which is is something I've been
• 22:11
  working on for a few years and I cannot wait to to put it in your
• 22:14
  hands and you can hopefully learn a few things or maybe
• 22:17
  someone in your life who's new to betting wants to get into an
• 22:20
  NFL betting. And now you got a a little bit
• 22:22
  of a blueprint you can provide. But both the NFL sharp betting
• 22:25
  Playbook and the everything guide to sports betting
• 22:29
  available on Amazon.com. Pick one up or both.
• 22:32
  I'll buy you a beer or two drinks or two ginger Aales when
• 22:35
  I see at the book next, If you haven't done it yet, go download
• 22:38
  Juice Reel and Rhythm, my two favorite sports betting apps.
• 22:41
  Rhythm does a great job of powering this pod, giving us AI
• 22:44
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 22:47
  Obviously huge for March Madness right now, but NBA in full
• 22:51
  swing. MLB is right around the corner.
• 22:53
  If you haven't done it yet, go request your AI generated
• 22:56
  bracket. Put it in now that way that once
• 22:58
  the bracket comes out on selection Sunday, you'll get a
• 23:00
  an alert giving you your AI generated bracket.
• 23:04
  And then of course, Juice Reel. If you want to follow the all
• 23:06
  systems go best bet picks for $4.99 a week.
• 23:10
  A cup of coffee. Again, this, this, this pod is
• 23:13
  free. So consider it a tip jar.
• 23:15
  If you like the pod, I'd love for you guys to sign up and get
• 23:18
  those plays. You can hopefully get them a
• 23:19
  little bit earlier in the day when I post them and hopefully
• 23:22
  beat some closing numbers, get better prices.
• 23:24
  But you can always click the link.
• 23:26
  I tweet out in the afternoon at Josh under score insights or go
• 23:29
  to the social tab. Click find juicers and you can
• 23:32
  search ASG under score podcast. You're also gonna get the robo
• 23:36
  Jackson best bet picks. The sharp mush plays the
• 23:38
  arbitrage indicators. Shop for the best line futures.
• 23:41
  Sync up your sports books to all the apps, your sports betting
• 23:45
  apps all located in the juice rail app.
• 23:47
  So download rhythm, download juice rail.
• 23:49
  Give them a five star review on the App Store while you're at
• 23:52
  it. Lastly, of course, I mentioned
• 23:54
  today got the promo for Odds Logic.
• 23:56
  So if you're looking for a live odds page, go to
• 23:58
  oddslogic.com/josh 123 and then the promo code field or coupon
• 24:04
  code field. Put in Josh 123.
• 24:06
  You'll get 50% off your first month and I think you're going
• 24:09
  to enjoy it because it is, I think, a great value play.
• 24:13
  I got to have a live odds page. This one's on the cheaper end
• 24:15
  and it's a great product as well.
• 24:17
  So again, Odds logic.com/josh 123 and then plug in Josh 123 in
• 24:22
  the promo code. So that about does it for
• 24:25
  episode 236 of the ASG Pod Powered by Rhythm.
• 24:29
  As always, I'm leave you with a couple things.
• 24:30
  Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 24:34
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 24:37
  Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
• 24:40
  Park Casino or MGM Springfield. In my neck of the woods in
• 24:43
  Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true grinders
• 24:46
  get down or Billy Walters sends his number runners where the
• 24:48
  lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
• 24:51
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 24:53
  swimming pool when you catch a big ticket at circle wherever.
• 24:56
  Maybe you're going to show me the sweat of a lifetime.
• 24:59
  USC double OT. Guess what?
• 25:03
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 25:04
  Will post about the book Sweat sharp contrarian plays all night
• 25:07
  long. So wish you the best of luck
• 25:09
  everyone. As always.
• 25:10
  Two and one, one and 2-3 and OO and three.
• 25:13
  The previous day does not change the way we approach the current
• 25:16
  day and all the sweats in front of us.
• 25:18
  We're going to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint,
• 25:20
  make bets with our head and not our heart, against the public,
• 25:23
  with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays.
• 25:26
  Get that COV couple. COV plays with Vandy in Georgia.
• 25:29
  They let us down. Sometimes that happens.
• 25:32
  But if we continue to make sharp bets consistently long term,
• 25:35
  we're going to come out on the winning side more often than
• 25:37
  not. So have a great Thirsty
• 25:39
  Thursday, everybody. We'll be right back at it for a
• 25:42
  big Friday tomorrow, which will then be Episode 237 of the All
• 25:46
  Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 25:50
  Good luck everybody and enjoy the conference tournaments.