Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Ethereum $4,000 Incoming?🚨Crypto Market Update
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: My name is Paul Barron. Welcome back in the tech path.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Let's get into it today. I do want to thank
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- 0:52Speaker 1: hit tangum dot com use the code. All right, let's
- 0:54Speaker 1: get into a couple of points here. I want to
- 0:56Speaker 1: hit on the US government now has moved almost one
- 0:59Speaker 1: point nine billion worth of bitcoin over to a new address.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Don't know what that means, but there's some movement. Does
- 1:06Speaker 1: that mean that the Biden administration wants to sell before
- 1:09Speaker 1: the Trump administration takes over? They just move it over
- 1:12Speaker 1: here just for you know, some housekeepsing keeping alignment security.
- 1:16Speaker 1: Who knows, but just something to be aware of. Another thing.
- 1:19Speaker 1: Total cryptocurrency market cap increased by one trillion in the
- 1:24Speaker 1: month of November. One trillion in the month of November.
- 1:28Speaker 1: Absolutely on fire. Remember the beginning of November, we thought
- 1:31Speaker 1: we were going to have a very bad month. There
- 1:33Speaker 1: was a lot of situations where Bitcoin was struggling, and
- 1:36Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, all these tokens, including Salona,
- 1:39Speaker 1: Avalanche XRP, all started getting life in them and boom
- 1:43Speaker 1: off we were to the races. Bitcoin. Of course, price
- 1:47Speaker 1: dropped as profit taking is now a significant cell wall.
- 1:51Speaker 1: Many people looking at this and saying, is it over
- 1:53Speaker 1: for bitcoin? And I'll show you some things here in
- 1:55Speaker 1: a second. One thing is around one hundred thousand dollars
- 1:58Speaker 1: mark one of the points that they hit on in
- 1:59Speaker 1: the art destruct. Despite strong market catalysts and growing investor confidence,
- 2:04Speaker 1: bitcoin continues to struggle with one hundred thousand dollars psychological
- 2:08Speaker 1: bearer barrier. And remember this was a psychological barrier all
- 2:11Speaker 1: the way back into the twenty twenty one cycle. If
- 2:14Speaker 1: you guys weren't around in that many people thought when
- 2:17Speaker 1: it was running into the seventies that the one hundred
- 2:20Speaker 1: k was within reach. And I think that's the difference
- 2:24Speaker 1: that we're playing out right now. But there is some
- 2:26Speaker 1: profit taking that has started to occur in that likelihood
- 2:30Speaker 1: of a twenty five basis point cut. This will come
- 2:33Speaker 1: on December eighteenth with the Fed. That could help a
- 2:36Speaker 1: little bit. But also anticipation over the declaration of the
- 2:39Speaker 1: Fed's rate cut cycle supports the dollar's recent upward trajectory,
- 2:43Speaker 1: and I think we're going to continue to see more
- 2:44Speaker 1: pressure on that. Remember Trump is now putting some pressure
- 2:47Speaker 1: on the bricks nations to stay with the dollar as
- 2:51Speaker 1: the reserve currency. This could get interesting, especially around tariff.
- 2:54Speaker 1: So all of this playing into even the risk markets
- 2:58Speaker 1: going forward. I want to go to a slip real quick,
- 3:00Speaker 1: because Tom Lee is still very bullish on where bitcoin
- 3:04Speaker 1: could be by year end. Take a look the S
- 3:07Speaker 1: and P to continue to rally in December and maybe
- 3:10Speaker 1: to sixty three hundred by year in What are the
- 3:13Speaker 1: four reasons?
- 3:14Speaker 2: Well, one is seasonality. December historically is a strong month.
- 3:19Speaker 2: But when you're up more than ten percent in the
- 3:21Speaker 2: first half and it's an election year, December has been
- 3:24Speaker 2: up one hundred percent of the time.
- 3:26Speaker 3: We always get a bitcoin comment from you before we
- 3:30Speaker 3: let you go.
- 3:30Speaker 2: Normally it got stuck under one hundred.
- 3:34Speaker 1: That's a pretty it's a psychological level, I would imagine.
- 3:38Speaker 2: Yeah, I think some of this could be there's a
- 3:42Speaker 2: lot of folks who don't want bitcoin over one hundred thousand,
- 3:45Speaker 2: and some of it maybe the exchanges themselves are concerned
- 3:49Speaker 2: because there is a pretty low supply of bitcoin available
- 3:53Speaker 2: over the counter, so you have a supply shortage, and
- 3:56Speaker 2: if bitcoin makes a move above one hundred thousand, I
- 3:58Speaker 2: think there'd be a big chase. I'm still confident bitcoin's
- 4:02Speaker 2: going to close much higher before you're in, before you're in,
- 4:05Speaker 2: before year end.
- 4:05Speaker 3: Yeah, so break one hundred thousand dollars before the end
- 4:07Speaker 3: the day.
- 4:08Speaker 2: Yeah, well above one hundred thousand before your end.
- 4:10Speaker 1: So that was an interesting analysis I think from Tom
- 4:12Speaker 1: Lee in the reference of being over one hundred k
- 4:14Speaker 1: and the availability of supply that could be a real
- 4:17Speaker 1: scenario that could play out that would really cause some
- 4:20Speaker 1: pressure I think on the exchanges. And he is right now.
- 4:23Speaker 1: One of the things though, is Polymarket, Are they right?
- 4:26Speaker 1: Polymarket is still looking at this on a sixty nine
- 4:29Speaker 1: percent chance as of time recording right now of bitcoin
- 4:32Speaker 1: hitting one hundred k this year in twenty twenty four.
- 4:36Speaker 1: Let me know what you guys think. Do you think
- 4:37Speaker 1: bitcoin hits the one hundred k mark before December thirty
- 4:40Speaker 1: first drop some comments down below. We always love to
- 4:43Speaker 1: get your feedback because it is one of the things
- 4:44Speaker 1: that does help the show. And for those of you
- 4:47Speaker 1: who are brand new to this show, first of all,
- 4:50Speaker 1: welcome in. Hit the subscribe button right now. Just do that,
- 4:54Speaker 1: and that way you're ahead of the game. You'll be
- 4:56Speaker 1: able to catch a lot of these all coins before
- 4:58Speaker 1: they start moving. We do a ton of analysis here,
- 5:01Speaker 1: really get you guys out on the edge, and of
- 5:03Speaker 1: course this is no different on our topic today. One thing,
- 5:06Speaker 1: and we'll talk about some of the tokens that have
- 5:08Speaker 1: been moving in the ecosystem, So stick around for that.
- 5:10Speaker 1: Well off with some charts at the end of the episode.
- 5:13Speaker 1: One thing that is happening right now of course micro
- 5:16Speaker 1: strategy still buying more bitcoin seems like it's old news
- 5:19Speaker 1: every time that Michael Saylor pretty much puts out another
- 5:22Speaker 1: billion dollars, in this case a billion and a half,
- 5:25Speaker 1: buying another fifteen thousand. Before long, this is going to
- 5:29Speaker 1: be the number one bitcoin holder worldwide. Now, whether you
- 5:34Speaker 1: like centralization, you don't like it. One controlling interest gets
- 5:38Speaker 1: very interesting in a market with what we're dealing with,
- 5:42Speaker 1: like in bitcoin. So just something to be given some
- 5:45Speaker 1: consideration to other points I want to hit on is
- 5:48Speaker 1: the exchange hell Bitcoin continues to hold supply reaches its
- 5:51Speaker 1: lowest level in five years. What does this mean? Very simple,
- 5:54Speaker 1: people are not selling, they're pulling it off of exchanges,
- 5:57Speaker 1: they're cold storreting, and they're looking here there at long term.
- 6:00Speaker 1: They're looking for twenty twenty five as being the cycle
- 6:03Speaker 1: of bitcoin going over the one hundred k mark and
- 6:06Speaker 1: possibly going into some pretty astronomical numbers which many people
- 6:09Speaker 1: are still believing could take place. Now, where does that
- 6:13Speaker 1: leave with ethereum Because ethereum is one of the key factors,
- 6:16Speaker 1: and I think when you look at ethereum, you have
- 6:18Speaker 1: to look at the rest of the market. And here's
- 6:21Speaker 1: a good example, fifty six percent of Americans still think
- 6:24Speaker 1: stocks are going to be higher over the next twelve months,
- 6:26Speaker 1: so that's a very bullish statement. Additionally, right now between
- 6:30Speaker 1: consumers expected hire versus lower stocks over the next it
- 6:34Speaker 1: also had already jumped another thirty five percent in November,
- 6:37Speaker 1: so it continues to outperform. And this also comes as
- 6:41Speaker 1: the S and P could post its first thirty percent
- 6:44Speaker 1: plus annual gain since nineteen ninety seven. So all of
- 6:49Speaker 1: this very very bullish. So what does that usually mean
- 6:53Speaker 1: when you have these bullish markets. It usually means that
- 6:55Speaker 1: you're going to start seeing some of these tokens like
- 6:58Speaker 1: ethereum starting to make their move. And one of the
- 7:00Speaker 1: things that has to happen for that to occur is
- 7:03Speaker 1: bitcoin dominance. And of course that right there is the
- 7:05Speaker 1: bitcoin dominance chart as you can see, coming off that
- 7:08Speaker 1: high right there around sixty one percent now dipping down
- 7:12Speaker 1: if you look at that wick to fifty five point
- 7:14Speaker 1: eight percent negative sentiment right now on this Now, what
- 7:18Speaker 1: is dominance? It just simply means that how it performs
- 7:20Speaker 1: versus other tokens, but also in general, where is the
- 7:24Speaker 1: momentum going in the market and the momentum could be
- 7:27Speaker 1: easing over to a handful of other tokens. We've talked
- 7:30Speaker 1: about XRP, We just dropped a video on that. Check
- 7:33Speaker 1: it out if you have not and ethereum. That's a
- 7:36Speaker 1: big question mark right now. The other thing is just
- 7:38Speaker 1: the all coins themselves. So the season has always been
- 7:42Speaker 1: in question as to whether or not it's actually in play.
- 7:45Speaker 1: Well right now it is at the very precipice of
- 7:49Speaker 1: beginning an all coin season, so we may be in
- 7:52Speaker 1: the very early stages. So if you're brand new to crypto,
- 7:55Speaker 1: this might be the perfect timing to get in on
- 7:59Speaker 1: a lot of these projects. So we're going to be
- 8:01Speaker 1: watching all that. So we'll continue to watch you and
- 8:03Speaker 1: kind of see just some of the performers over the
- 8:05Speaker 1: last thirty days ninety days. Right there, of course is
- 8:08Speaker 1: in the meme token Peanut, but number two hbar holding
- 8:12Speaker 1: out right now a most five hundred percent, XLM, XRP,
- 8:15Speaker 1: algorand do sui om eight to many of these. Interestingly enough,
- 8:22Speaker 1: let me kind of zoom in on those for you guys.
- 8:24Speaker 1: Many of these, if you'll notice, are all American tokens.
- 8:29Speaker 1: So that is a narrative that has been thrown out
- 8:32Speaker 1: there that there may be some benefits to holding those
- 8:35Speaker 1: kind of tokens, especially under the Trump administration. That'll be
- 8:39Speaker 1: interesting to see how crypto is responding to that kind
- 8:44Speaker 1: of scenario. Other things that are happening right now, and
- 8:46Speaker 1: that is spot ETF on Ethereum continues to rotate and
- 8:51Speaker 1: we're starting to see another daily inflow high. If you
- 8:55Speaker 1: look at the chart here, this is surpassing the previous
- 8:58Speaker 1: daily inflow record. The asset managers now are responsible for
- 9:01Speaker 1: almost two hundred and fifty million of the total inflows
- 9:04Speaker 1: on the twenty nineteen kind of see the numbers right
- 9:06Speaker 1: there starting to explode. So again, Blackrock is continuing to
- 9:11Speaker 1: push this, and I still believe that in general, Blackrock
- 9:15Speaker 1: is going to be the one that leads Ethereum over
- 9:17Speaker 1: the four K mark overall other points. This, of course
- 9:21Speaker 1: is the bankless guys are talking about the Ethereum ETF
- 9:23Speaker 1: daily inflows, same thing that we were just hitting on.
- 9:26Speaker 1: But the other point he hits at is that Tradfi
- 9:28Speaker 1: woke up and realize eth is under four k. So
- 9:31Speaker 1: it's still a bye. I don't know if I would
- 9:33Speaker 1: call it a bye, but it's definitely an interesting token
- 9:36Speaker 1: when you look at where the market is right now,
- 9:39Speaker 1: the current situation with bitcoin and its dominance, and then
- 9:43Speaker 1: the opportunity from a bullish nature of the overall macro scenario,
- 9:48Speaker 1: Eth is in a good position finally to maybe start
- 9:51Speaker 1: moving again. Other things that are happening right here. Bitcoin
- 9:54Speaker 1: Ethereum dominated November return, so that's another good sign that
- 9:57Speaker 1: bitcoin and eth are still in a position and to
- 10:00Speaker 1: outperform stocks, which is another factor that gets into these
- 10:03Speaker 1: risk markets. What's the hottest performance in these next few months.
- 10:07Speaker 1: Other things I want to hit on right here that
- 10:09Speaker 1: might be interesting for not only Eth, but just in
- 10:11Speaker 1: crypto in general. Coinbase now has a fiat to crypto
- 10:15Speaker 1: on ramp that's integrated Apple Pay. Perfect timing, I think
- 10:19Speaker 1: it is because now you're dealing with a lot more
- 10:21Speaker 1: people coming in from retail. This most likely will be
- 10:24Speaker 1: one of the ways that they onboard into an ecosystem.
- 10:28Speaker 1: There's only a handful of tokens that are probably going
- 10:30Speaker 1: to be coming up to the top of the opportunity
- 10:32Speaker 1: to list there in Ethereum is going to be one
- 10:34Speaker 1: of them, all right, So I want to cut to
- 10:36Speaker 1: a clip real quick. This is justin Drake. He's a
- 10:39Speaker 1: researcher over at the eth Foundation, and it's a good
- 10:42Speaker 1: analysis of how to look at some of these investments.
- 10:45Speaker 1: Take a look.
- 10:47Speaker 3: The only way to win the money game is to
- 10:50Speaker 3: also win the utility game. And the only way to
- 10:53Speaker 3: win the utility game is to also win the money game.
- 10:57Speaker 3: These two things are fundamentally intertwined. People who are really
- 11:01Speaker 3: serious about software should make their own hardware. Right, And
- 11:05Speaker 3: this is you know, an explanation in my mind as
- 11:07Speaker 3: to why Apple is so successful. Right, It is because
- 11:10Speaker 3: they are able to make use of the synergies of
- 11:14Speaker 3: simultaneously optimizing for software and the hardware, and that what
- 11:18Speaker 3: makes them special. And I think Ethereum has an amazing
- 11:23Speaker 3: opportunity in front of itself. And the reason is that
- 11:27Speaker 3: Bitcoin is not even trying to compete with utility, and
- 11:32Speaker 3: Solana is not even trying to compete for money. Right,
- 11:36Speaker 3: Ethereum is the only system out there that has the guts,
- 11:40Speaker 3: the ambition division to compete for both money and utility.
- 11:46Speaker 3: And it turns out that there are these synergies and
- 11:49Speaker 3: network effects that may be worth flashing out.
- 11:52Speaker 1: All right, So again, granted talking the book, but the
- 11:56Speaker 1: point is is that that he is exactly right, is
- 11:59Speaker 1: that it is in a very unique position. And if
- 12:02Speaker 1: you look at the ecosystem in general, and what else
- 12:04Speaker 1: would be running with ethereum as it starts to maybe
- 12:08Speaker 1: get close to that four K mark, well, UNISWAP is
- 12:11Speaker 1: one bulls are setting their sites right now in about
- 12:13Speaker 1: a seventeen dollars resistance as the uptrend extends. Many people
- 12:17Speaker 1: have been looking at uniswap. There's many others out there.
- 12:20Speaker 1: I mean you kind of look at the chart it
- 12:22Speaker 1: along with others that have started to move. Curve is
- 12:25Speaker 1: another one that moved a course in the news with
- 12:28Speaker 1: the Blackrock News of course, and that is giving some
- 12:31Speaker 1: bridge to the DeFi ecosystem. And if you don't know
- 12:34Speaker 1: what Curve is, go to some research because it's one
- 12:37Speaker 1: of the unique platforms out there, especially in defied decentralized finance.
- 12:41Speaker 1: That makes you kind of take a double look. And
- 12:44Speaker 1: the interesting point, I was looking at the chart on
- 12:47Speaker 1: Curve and I'll jump to that real quick, and I'll
- 12:49Speaker 1: go down to the Curve chart. So this is on
- 12:51Speaker 1: the daily it's running around seventy six cents right now.
- 12:54Speaker 1: But just look where this token has come from over time,
- 12:58Speaker 1: So it's one of those that has around for quite
- 13:00Speaker 1: some time in the DeFi ecosystem. You go to see
- 13:03Speaker 1: right there is way early or is it just starting
- 13:08Speaker 1: to trail along with the eth ecosystem. A lot of
- 13:10Speaker 1: these tokens right now highly highly speculative, So just be
- 13:15Speaker 1: cautious as you're looking at some of the eth ecosystem
- 13:17Speaker 1: out there. Understand what you're getting into and take a
- 13:21Speaker 1: look at some of them. All right. If you guys
- 13:22Speaker 1: are not in the Diamond Circle, make sure and jump
- 13:24Speaker 1: into that right now. It's a great place to get
- 13:25Speaker 1: additional content from us. We do more podcasts over there
- 13:28Speaker 1: that's only available to our list our group. And by
- 13:31Speaker 1: the way, we're doing a giveaway for some Tangum rings
- 13:35Speaker 1: and we're going to be announcing that, I think tomorrow
- 13:38Speaker 1: we'll be announcing the winners will come from the Diamond Circle.
- 13:42Speaker 1: So if you haven't joined, do it today, you'll still
- 13:45Speaker 1: be in the pool of being able to be selected.
- 13:48Speaker 1: We'll be selecting that tonight. Then we're going to give
- 13:50Speaker 1: two rings away tomorrow on one of the shows, So
- 13:54Speaker 1: tune into the shows. If you're not in it, make
- 13:56Speaker 1: sure and jump into the circle. It's the best place to,
- 14:00Speaker 1: of course, get more giveaways just like this. We're doing
- 14:02Speaker 1: a lot of stuff through the month of December, so
- 14:05Speaker 1: check it all out. Make sure and follow me on AX.
- 14:07Speaker 1: It's just at Paul Baron. We'll catch you next time
- 14:09Speaker 1: right here on Techpath than