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College Football Bowl Game Betting Tips - BONUS EPISODE · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
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  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
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  Speaker 1: Guy am Chad Milman. I am joined by my bff,
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  Speaker 1: my companion, Michael Padre, professional better Simon Hunter. We're doing
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  Speaker 1: a very special bonus episode, bonus college football bull betting episode.
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  Speaker 1: There is no one in the world, true story, no
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  Speaker 1: one in the world who is better at betting college
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  Speaker 1: football and knows more about betting college football in the
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  Speaker 1: bull season than Action Network expert Colin Wilson, who was
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  Speaker 1: so beloved. I got Colin cowher columb and being like
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  Speaker 1: Colin Wilson. Guy is amazing. He mentions you on the
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  Speaker 1: podcast I do with him, talks about you in the
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  Speaker 1: SEC because he loves talking about college football. Welcome. What
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  Speaker 1: are the five things we need to be thinking about
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  Speaker 1: right now? How college bull betting is different than regular
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  Speaker 1: college football betting. Let's do it. The thing that you
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  Speaker 1: need to know about bull season. If you're an NFL
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  Speaker 1: guy and you just want to you know, you got
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  Speaker 1: I got games on Wednesday and Thursday and Monday. Underdogs
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  Speaker 1: hit a lot in college football bull season more than
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  Speaker 1: the regular season. So for a person like me that
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  Speaker 1: may throw a dime on a college football game, all
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  Speaker 1: slide ten on that underdog on the money line, it
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  Speaker 1: goes up to about for of a unit when I'm
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  Speaker 1: betting in bull season. So for instance, if I like
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  Speaker 1: an underdog this weekend and one of these matchups, I
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  Speaker 1: will always put of what my unit sizes on the
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  Speaker 1: underdog because underdogs win these exhibition games all the time,
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  Speaker 1: So you know, get a little bit more loose with
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  Speaker 1: your with your money line underdogs. Underdogs hit way more
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  Speaker 1: of the time during the postseason they do during the
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  Speaker 1: regular season. So hey, you said, if you're betting a dime,
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  Speaker 1: a diamond betting parliance is a thousand dollars unit size.
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  Speaker 1: That is just your general how much you would normally bet.
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  Speaker 1: I think you'd be transparent with everybody. Like when I
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  Speaker 1: first started betting, like twenty Oh my god, how old
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  Speaker 1: am I now? Over years ago I started betting, I
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  Speaker 1: was betting fifty dollars on college football games, and when
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  Speaker 1: I liked underdogs, I was putting five dollars on the
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  Speaker 1: money line. It was just a thing where you know,
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  Speaker 1: if you like the underdog in bowl season, they win
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  Speaker 1: at a very high rate of high clips. So I
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  Speaker 1: would take that fifty dollars an increase it. So if
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  Speaker 1: you're a thousand dollar better put two or fifty on
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  Speaker 1: the money line. We're gonna talk about this bowl game
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  Speaker 1: like I'm going to the Outback Bowl. I've already got
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  Speaker 1: my number in on the underdog Arkansas, and I've already
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  Speaker 1: got my number in on the on the money line
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  Speaker 1: on them, what I bet on them? Full game? I
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  Speaker 1: cut you off, and you were gonna do a few
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  Speaker 1: of the things that are sort of important. I apologize. Yeah,
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  Speaker 1: motivation with coaches matters more than titles. I think people
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  Speaker 1: get caught up with interim and they say fade interim coaches,
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  Speaker 1: and that's not really true because these guys are still
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  Speaker 1: looking for jobs. Everybody has to put food on the
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  Speaker 1: table for their kids. So it's more about motivation with
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  Speaker 1: the coaches that matters, because that's how it gets trickled
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  Speaker 1: down to the kids and whether they're you know, keeping
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  Speaker 1: their tackling techniques, whether they're learning their assignments on the
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  Speaker 1: offensive line. Players for you, TEP have a chance to
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  Speaker 1: capture their first Bowl since n that's important. Old Dominion
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  Speaker 1: didn't even play in and now they're in a bowl
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  Speaker 1: game and they were one and six at one point
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  Speaker 1: a season. That matters. This entire Western Kentucky staff already
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  Speaker 1: out the door, and almost every single players in the
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  Speaker 1: transfer portal but still playing in this game. That matters.
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  Speaker 1: I don't think their focus is here. So you just
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  Speaker 1: have to know motivation wise and where their heads are
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  Speaker 1: if they're gonna show up to this game, because sometimes
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  Speaker 1: teams don't. And then for injuries and opt outs. I'll
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  Speaker 1: point everybody to Stucky's fabulous piece about who's in the portal,
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  Speaker 1: who's still playing, who's in the portal, who's not playing
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  Speaker 1: an injuries. There's a lot of them out there, you know.
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  Speaker 1: I Mean, the best advice I can give anybody is,
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  Speaker 1: let's take that Peach Bowl with Michigan State and Pitt
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  Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker the third Kinney pick at both Heisman contenders.
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  Speaker 1: We don't know their status for this game. I don't
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  Speaker 1: know how anybody is laying a bet. Nobody has any information,
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  Speaker 1: you know, even Patton our doozies come out and said, listen,
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  Speaker 1: we're not going to talk to you about Kenny Pickett
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  Speaker 1: until the night before, So I don't know how anybody
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  Speaker 1: has any information on a guy that's worth at least
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  Speaker 1: seven points to the spread. What you have to do,
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  Speaker 1: and I do this with regular season games, ninety minutes
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  Speaker 1: before college football players hit the field for warmups, get
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  Speaker 1: the Twitter search going, get the phone calls out, get
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  Speaker 1: the text going. If you see players around the field
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  Speaker 1: they're playing, you can beat the market. You got just
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  Speaker 1: a little bit of time. I love that. I know.
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  Speaker 1: I know guys from Vegas who before the internet was
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  Speaker 1: a thing, they would call the courtside tables to get
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  Speaker 1: information and pretend they were reporters from you know, if
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  Speaker 1: it was Too College, it was Boston College playing Villanova,
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  Speaker 1: they would say that the Villanova reporter if the game
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  Speaker 1: is being played in Boston College, and say, can you
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  Speaker 1: tell me who's warming up so they can get the information.
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  Speaker 1: Because you're right, that stuff is so key and coaches lie.
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  Speaker 1: I've learned something from our new partner at Action Network,
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  Speaker 1: Brett McMurphy that the coaches will say one thing on
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  Speaker 1: Monday and Wednesday, and then there's something different on the
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  Speaker 1: field on Saturday. So don't pay attention to what the
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  Speaker 1: coaches say. Uh just you know, make sure and get
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  Speaker 1: the whole ninety minutes before game kick off, see who
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  Speaker 1: was on the field, Simon, Do you have some thoughts? Yes,
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  Speaker 1: I do. I just want to quickly read a satur
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  Speaker 1: I saw that. I was just found really fascinating for
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  Speaker 1: college football. This is from correct me. If I'm pronouncing
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  Speaker 1: his name wrong, I don't know who he is, Chris
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  Speaker 1: Felicia FeliCa. I'm not on social media, guy, but I
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  Speaker 1: just found this really interesting because it's just what you said.
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  Speaker 1: It popped in my head. I just remember it hearing
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  Speaker 1: that stat. Since two thousand eight, single digit dogs have
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  Speaker 1: covered at a fifty clip in the Bull season. However,
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  Speaker 1: of the two six that covered a hundred and fifty
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  Speaker 1: nine or seventy seven point one the game outright, that
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  Speaker 1: is really fascinating. That means if you're getting any dog
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  Speaker 1: nine and a half or below, fuck the points, take
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  Speaker 1: the money line. It just works out mathematically. That is alarming.
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  Speaker 1: Seventy seven went out right. If you just on lunge,
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  Speaker 1: if you just roll that out on your bank roll,
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  Speaker 1: Holy ship, people here, you've made a lot of money.
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  Speaker 1: Full season betting these money lines. So I I want
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  Speaker 1: to give credit to him because I think that's a
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  Speaker 1: really ingenious stat kind of what you're touching on. And
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  Speaker 1: I'm wondering, now you're looking at these these bowl games,
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  Speaker 1: what to you right now stands out your three favorite
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  Speaker 1: bowl game bets? Yeah, that's that really underlines taking underdogs,
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  Speaker 1: motivated underdogs and having them went out right. And I
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  Speaker 1: think the first game that we talk about is one
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  Speaker 1: of those teams, and it's Old Dominion plus nine. That's
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  Speaker 1: gonna be on Monday at the Myrtle Beach Bowl, first
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  Speaker 1: time they've had this bowl on what they call the
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  Speaker 1: Surf Turf Coastal Carolina's field. Listen, the number is justified
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  Speaker 1: from a power rating perspective. But these two teams are
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  Speaker 1: kind of going in different directions. Tulsa's head coach Philip Montgomery,
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  Speaker 1: he was gonna get fired a couple of years ago.
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  Speaker 1: If you don't know who that is, he was r
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  Speaker 1: G three's quarterback coach at Baylor and then got the
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  Speaker 1: job at Tulsa, and and he was really struggling to
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  Speaker 1: get a winning season, and then he hired defensive coordinator
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  Speaker 1: Joseph Gillespie Joseph Gillespie is left. He's now the TCU
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  Speaker 1: defensive coordinator and he's not going to be in this game.
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  Speaker 1: But you go back to old dominion. Like I said,
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  Speaker 1: they started off one and six on the season. They
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  Speaker 1: finished the season five straight up wins, five against the spread,
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  Speaker 1: winds hot. They switched to a quarterback named Hayden Wolf.
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  Speaker 1: He had eighteen big time throws only nine turnover worth.
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  Speaker 1: He plays, he's making great decisions in the pocket. But
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  Speaker 1: you know the Monarchs are hot, and those are teams
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  Speaker 1: that are motivated and't even play last year. This is
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  Speaker 1: exactly what you want in an underdog. Who else you're
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  Speaker 1: thinking about, Well, in December twenty nine, I'm going to
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  Speaker 1: the cheese At Bowl. Now, most people are afraid to
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  Speaker 1: bet the cheese At Bowl. There's been some wackiness going on,
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  Speaker 1: but Clemson and Iowa State, and I think there's gonna
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  Speaker 1: be some really heavy public sentiment on Iowa State. This
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  Speaker 1: is Brock Parties last game. Bruce Halls there, Matt Campbell
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  Speaker 1: somehow is still the coach. I'm not sure how he's
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  Speaker 1: still uh in ames Iowa, but there is public sentiment
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  Speaker 1: for Iowa State, and there are people who just don't
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  Speaker 1: like Clemson, don't like what they've done in their body
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  Speaker 1: of work this season, and they've lost Brett Venables to
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  Speaker 1: Ou as the new head coach. So people are gonna
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  Speaker 1: be writing Iowa State in the cyclones. And I think
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  Speaker 1: it's unjustified where the number is right now, this thing
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  Speaker 1: should be about Clemson minus two, and right now we're
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  Speaker 1: headed about Iowa State minus two. And every time a
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  Speaker 1: sharp book gets two and a half, it gets snapped
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  Speaker 1: up by sharps immediately. And there's a reason for that.
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  Speaker 1: This is a Iowa State team full of three star
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  Speaker 1: kids and they're going up against a Clemson defense who
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  Speaker 1: every single kid on that team is going to be
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  Speaker 1: playing in the NFL. There is a massive discrepancy in
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  Speaker 1: talent here. I don't care the Bret Venables is not
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  Speaker 1: on the sideline for the Clemson defense. Uh, this is
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  Speaker 1: gonna be bad for Iowa State and just for people
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  Speaker 1: who don't pay attention to college football. When Iowa State
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  Speaker 1: gets into a big game, Oh you Iowa, they cough
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  Speaker 1: up the ball and fumble all the time. Rock Party,
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  Speaker 1: so many interceptions, so many fumbles down his own goal line.
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  Speaker 1: Clemson is one of the biggest havoc makers on defense
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  Speaker 1: and college football. It's a bad situation. I will wait
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  Speaker 1: for the public to get really deep into Iowa State
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  Speaker 1: and if I can get some sort of juice, three
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  Speaker 1: or two and a half a Clemson is going to
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  Speaker 1: be a bet that I'm gonna be on Clemson Iowa State.
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  Speaker 1: This was a top five matchup in September. Yeah, and
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  Speaker 1: and so I think I think what's happened also is
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  Speaker 1: at oddsmakers and myself at Action. Every you wake up
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  Speaker 1: every Sunday morning, where's the Clemson power rating? Right? They
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  Speaker 1: can't score any points the first, you know, the first
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  Speaker 1: I don't know, eight games of the season. I mean,
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  Speaker 1: just you know, just showing up lifeless to these games
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  Speaker 1: I can't cover. I mean, Dabbo went a month and
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  Speaker 1: a half without covering a game, and then all of
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  Speaker 1: a sudden, they've scored thirty points in their last five games.
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  Speaker 1: They figured it out offensively. The defensive talent has always
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  Speaker 1: been there. I think there's still this big hate for
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  Speaker 1: Clemson in the public, and that makes a really good
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  Speaker 1: opportunity for us betters. Alright, Colin, I feel like you've
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  Speaker 1: primed us for the UH, for the bull games that
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  Speaker 1: are happening between now, which is December and the end
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  Speaker 1: of the year. And I think people are gonna need
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: to keep up with you. They're gonna need to keep
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: up with Stucky, They're gonna need to keep up with
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Bret McMurphy. And if you're dying to hear more bull
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: betting content and who wouldn't be, check out the Big
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Bets on Campus podcast with Colin Wilson and Stucky, the
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: BBO C Live Show, which we will be doing a
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: few episodes of on Twitter at Action Network HQ over
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  Speaker 1: the next few Saturdays, so we can be previewing games
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  Speaker 1: sort of in advance of you know, the National plaoff.
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  Speaker 1: Colin Wilson, thank you so much, Brother Simon Hunter. For
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  Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, I am Chad Millman. This has been the
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  Speaker 1: special Bowl Betting episode of Favorites from the Volume podcast
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: networked Down, Love Us and Spotify, Apple Podcast wherever you
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: get your podcast. Until next time, I love you.