Latest / The Financial Exchange Show / Will the government force Airlines to reign in junk fees?
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- 1:09Speaker 1: Chuck Zada and Mike Armstrong.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Kicking off hour two on the Financial Exchange.
- 1:15Speaker 3: Chuck, Mike and Tucker with you in stocks taking a
- 1:17Speaker 3: little bit of a pause here after rallying for the
- 1:20Speaker 3: last I don't know a week or so, almost two
- 1:23Speaker 3: weeks that we've seen some positive movement for equities and
- 1:28Speaker 3: not not a huge pause, but the dows off one
- 1:30Speaker 3: hundred points today. SMP's down about eight, nasdac's down fourteen,
- 1:34Speaker 3: so anywhere from you know, a tenth to a quarter
- 1:36Speaker 3: of a percent, it's nothing huge for the major indices.
- 1:39Speaker 3: Tenure US Treasury is up two basis points back to
- 1:41Speaker 3: four point two percent. We've got Oil West Text Intermedia
- 1:45Speaker 3: up thirty seven cents per barrel on news that OPEC
- 1:50Speaker 3: plus is going to be delaying their production increases until
- 1:54Speaker 3: at least April. And we've got Gold today down eleven
- 1:59Speaker 3: dollars in eighty centsnouns to twenty six sixty four and
- 2:04Speaker 3: forty cents.
- 2:04Speaker 2: So again pretty quiet.
- 2:06Speaker 3: And this is all an expectation of a jobs report
- 2:08Speaker 3: tomorrow that does have the potential to move markets. Expectations
- 2:12Speaker 3: looking like about two hundred thousand jobs added, unemployment rate
- 2:15Speaker 3: expected to tick up slightly to four point two percent,
- 2:18Speaker 3: and we'll have a whole bunch of discussion of that
- 2:21Speaker 3: and the underlying data when it is released tomorrow. Mike,
- 2:27Speaker 3: let's talk a little bit about this piece from the
- 2:30Speaker 3: New York Times. I think it could best be that
- 2:34Speaker 3: the headline can best be rephrased one man's junk fees
- 2:38Speaker 3: are another man's unbundling.
- 2:41Speaker 4: So we've had airline executive testifying in front of Congress
- 2:46Speaker 4: on was it just Wednesday or do they have a
- 2:48Speaker 4: multiple multiple days of testimony.
- 2:51Speaker 3: I think it's been two days. It's usually one in
- 2:52Speaker 3: front of the House and then one in front of
- 2:54Speaker 3: the Senate.
- 2:54Speaker 4: So here is I've concluded that I think this is
- 3:00Speaker 4: one of the more ridiculous areas of Is this part
- 3:03Speaker 4: of the CFP beat Now it's it's part of the center.
- 3:06Speaker 4: Transportation is the one that's been enforced.
- 3:10Speaker 2: Looking to enforce this.
- 3:11Speaker 4: Stuff and looking at junk fees has been a key
- 3:15Speaker 4: push from the Biden administration across different areas of the economy.
- 3:18Speaker 4: It's kind of been their response to higher inflation. And
- 3:23Speaker 4: we can talk about industry by industry here. But I
- 3:26Speaker 4: think this is the most ridiculous thing to look at
- 3:29Speaker 4: enforcing or regulating in the airline industry.
- 3:33Speaker 5: I think it's absolutely silly.
- 3:36Speaker 4: I think that air travel is cheaper today on an
- 3:40Speaker 4: inflation adjusted basis than it has ever been. There is
- 3:43Speaker 4: still competition, and if airlines want to offer, which many
- 3:49Speaker 4: of them do, like many airlines offer a completely unbundled
- 3:53Speaker 4: option where you get nothing and have to pay for
- 3:56Speaker 4: every little item.
- 3:58Speaker 2: And then they offer ones where you all so can.
- 4:01Speaker 4: If I go look at Delta or Jet Blue or American,
- 4:04Speaker 4: there's a basic economy fair that's going to be cheaper
- 4:07Speaker 4: than all the rest where I don't even get to
- 4:08Speaker 4: pick my seat, and then there's going to be a
- 4:11Speaker 4: bunch of higher options where I do get to pick
- 4:13Speaker 4: my seat, and I get a check bag, and I
- 4:15Speaker 4: get a carry on bag, and I get a twinkie
- 4:18Speaker 4: during the flight. Like it's just preposterous that we would
- 4:22Speaker 4: go and look at this and say, yeah, these junk
- 4:23Speaker 4: fees are the cause of inflation or are unfair to consumers.
- 4:28Speaker 5: They're adequately disclosed.
- 4:30Speaker 4: Some airlines don't charge them, some of them do, and
- 4:33Speaker 4: let the market figure this out.
- 4:37Speaker 3: And here is the one issue that I think gets
- 4:41Speaker 3: us to this point. And the problem, in my opinion
- 4:46Speaker 3: is that basically, I mean it really is, the executive
- 4:50Speaker 3: branch over time has abdicated its responsibility and the legislature
- 4:55Speaker 3: too as an enforcer of antitrust. And as such, you
- 4:59Speaker 3: have a whole bunch of routes where there is no
- 5:01Speaker 3: competition or maybe one competitor, and so it's pretty easy
- 5:06Speaker 3: to effectively collude even if you're not you know, calling
- 5:10Speaker 3: up the other CEO and being like, Hey, here's what
- 5:12Speaker 3: we're gonna do on this route. If there's no competition
- 5:15Speaker 3: on routes, then you don't have the ability to find
- 5:19Speaker 3: other alternatives. And I think we've gotten to this point
- 5:21Speaker 3: because in the decade after nine to eleven, when airlines
- 5:27Speaker 3: were you know, really struggling, after you know, a whole
- 5:30Speaker 3: bunch of them went through bankruptcies and things like that,
- 5:32Speaker 3: we allow these giant mergers to happen between Delta Northwest,
- 5:37Speaker 3: between United and Continental, between American and US, and so
- 5:41Speaker 3: you don't have enough competition in the airline space now
- 5:45Speaker 3: to allow for customers who might be unhappy with an
- 5:49Speaker 3: airline to be like, you know what, I am going
- 5:52Speaker 3: to choose someone else because either A there is no
- 5:55Speaker 3: one else who's flying that same route, or B the
- 5:58Speaker 3: only other company that is has the exact same pricing
- 6:01Speaker 3: because they're all huge and they don't need to actually
- 6:03Speaker 3: compete with each other.
- 6:04Speaker 5: Yeah, I guess that's fair.
- 6:05Speaker 4: But you know, when I think about monopolistic type businesses,
- 6:09Speaker 4: I think about big, massive, profitable entities. And you're right,
- 6:14Speaker 4: the airlines are profitable these days, some of them are,
- 6:18Speaker 4: but it's not the big ones are. Like this is
- 6:21Speaker 4: my point is when you look at the big airlines
- 6:24Speaker 4: these days, and I'm just gonna I'll pull Delta just
- 6:27Speaker 4: as an example, because they're commonly thought of as like
- 6:30Speaker 4: the gold standard for airlines.
- 6:32Speaker 2: And look, I've often said that.
- 6:34Speaker 3: I absolutely would despise owning and operating an airline because
- 6:39Speaker 3: it's generally like a horrible business decade. Delta, aside from
- 6:44Speaker 3: the pandemic year, has not posted a loss since twenty ten,
- 6:52Speaker 3: twenty ten. Yeah, they have not had a trailing twelve
- 6:55Speaker 3: month loss since the first quarter of twenty ten.
- 6:58Speaker 2: Now, I'm not saying that you should consistently have losses
- 7:01Speaker 2: like that.
- 7:01Speaker 3: That's a bad business, but in an industry that has
- 7:06Speaker 3: high capital expenses, you know, unionized workforce, you know, huge
- 7:11Speaker 3: upfront costs that you have to pay in things like that.
- 7:13Speaker 3: The idea that hey, we can go fifteen years without
- 7:18Speaker 3: having any losses in a hugely cyclical you know, sector two,
- 7:25Speaker 3: that's kind of insane to me. And oh, by the way,
- 7:28Speaker 3: when we do actually have a loss, hey, we're gonna
- 7:32Speaker 3: go to the government cry for a bunch of money.
- 7:34Speaker 3: And then on the back end, when we were supposed
- 7:36Speaker 3: to use that money to keep our people say oh gee,
- 7:38Speaker 3: we couldn't keep enough people.
- 7:40Speaker 5: Got fire them. Yeah.
- 7:42Speaker 4: I don't love the way that this all went down
- 7:45Speaker 4: during COVID. I don't think many people do.
- 7:47Speaker 2: But even let's let's look at United.
- 7:49Speaker 3: Does anyone look at United and is like, hey, like
- 7:51Speaker 3: that's the paragon of you know, airlines and how they
- 7:54Speaker 3: should be run. No, Like, they're kind of middle of
- 7:57Speaker 3: the road, right, They're just there. They haven't had any
- 8:00Speaker 3: losses since twenty thirteen. And you look at the history
- 8:04Speaker 3: of them going back through you know, the data that
- 8:07Speaker 3: I have is a publicly traded companies going back to
- 8:08Speaker 3: ninety two, and they would you know, kind of consistently
- 8:11Speaker 3: have like five or six years where they'd make money
- 8:13Speaker 3: five or six where they'd lose five or six where
- 8:15Speaker 3: Like you just kind of pingpong back and forth. Because
- 8:17Speaker 3: that's what being an airline was. It was a tough business,
- 8:21Speaker 3: but it was one that, hey, like, sometimes it would
- 8:24Speaker 3: work for and sometimes it wouldn't, and ultimately you'd go
- 8:27Speaker 3: through these reorganizations, you know, on a fairly frequent basis,
- 8:31Speaker 3: and that would be kind of what they do. Not Hey,
- 8:35Speaker 3: you just have a license to print money and not
- 8:37Speaker 3: have any losses because you're so big that no one
- 8:41Speaker 3: can compete with you, right.
- 8:44Speaker 2: I guess where I get to is, Yeah, I.
- 8:48Speaker 3: Think it's dumb that we're having conversations about, like should
- 8:53Speaker 3: a baggage fee be included in the flight of a plane?
- 8:57Speaker 2: What's the real problem that we're causing there?
- 9:01Speaker 3: But what's the because look, if you want it to
- 9:04Speaker 3: be included in the price of the ticket, ticket prices
- 9:06Speaker 3: are going to go up, right Like, you're not going
- 9:09Speaker 3: to get the same price ticket if you want more stuff.
- 9:13Speaker 3: We like, that's just how it's going to work, because
- 9:16Speaker 3: that there are two costs that airlines have that are
- 9:19Speaker 3: higher than any others, labor and fuel. When you have
- 9:22Speaker 3: more heavy bags on planes, you need more fuel to
- 9:26Speaker 3: get the plane where it's going, which also raises the weight,
- 9:29Speaker 3: which means you need more fuel. So ultimately, if you
- 9:34Speaker 3: want to have baggage included in every ticket, then you're
- 9:38Speaker 3: two hundred dollars ticket. It's probably gonna be two fifty
- 9:40Speaker 3: every time, and that's fine, but like that's what it's
- 9:44Speaker 3: going to be.
- 9:44Speaker 4: So I how about how about we waive baggage fees,
- 9:47Speaker 4: but we charge by total total price per pound?
- 9:51Speaker 5: Why do you got to stand with your on the scale.
- 9:53Speaker 3: Let's let's weigh every passenger. Because here's the thing. By
- 9:56Speaker 3: the way, if you've ever flown down a little puddle
- 9:58Speaker 3: jump or like anya, they do they actually weigh you
- 10:01Speaker 3: so that they know that the plane's gonna fly. Yeah,
- 10:05Speaker 3: so yeah, So I think this is some of the
- 10:09Speaker 3: other stuff where it's like, hey, airlines refusing to pay
- 10:12Speaker 3: you if you've been delayed for a day. Yeah, okay,
- 10:15Speaker 3: Like I could see that as being something where it's
- 10:18Speaker 3: worthy because you like, there's a real problem there this,
- 10:21Speaker 3: Like I don't care how air My only complaint with
- 10:25Speaker 3: how airlines do some of this stuff is that they
- 10:29Speaker 3: they won't show you the full cost of what you've
- 10:31Speaker 3: done until you're done, Like, no, show let me like
- 10:34Speaker 3: add the stuff I want and show me the cost
- 10:36Speaker 3: in real time so I don't have to go back
- 10:38Speaker 3: to another page. But even there, like do I need
- 10:39Speaker 3: to legislate that out? No, I don't know, Like what
- 10:42Speaker 3: did it cost me five minutes a time? Even though
- 10:45Speaker 3: it'll be fair. A lot of airlines booking systems slow.
- 10:51Speaker 5: But sure don't need to legislate it.
- 10:52Speaker 3: Though we don't need to legislate how slow the systems
- 10:54Speaker 3: are either, So uh yeah, this to me, minor is
- 11:00Speaker 3: that doesn't warrant this level of scrutiny. And ultimately, if
- 11:06Speaker 3: you're gonna say, hey, like all this stuff should be
- 11:10Speaker 3: included in a plane ticket, by the price of the
- 11:12Speaker 3: ticket's gonna be higher, right, plain and simple, take a
- 11:16Speaker 3: quick break here, or if you think you can do
- 11:21Speaker 3: a better job, go start an airline.
- 11:26Speaker 2: You're gonna get to the same place.
- 11:27Speaker 3: And we know this because the airlines that tried to
- 11:29Speaker 3: do a better job by not doing this Jet Blue Southwest,
- 11:34Speaker 3: they're moving to this model because they're getting they're having
- 11:36Speaker 3: their lunch eaten by bigger competitors who have market power.
- 11:39Speaker 3: Because they were allowed to merge. Right, let's take a
- 11:43Speaker 3: quick break here. When we come back, we've got uh
- 11:46Speaker 3: Sarah Foster from bank Rate joining us talking about workers
- 11:49Speaker 3: getting raises in twenty twenty four.
- 11:53Speaker 1: Tankst us six one, seven, three, six, two, thirteen eighty
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- 12:59Speaker 4: Joining us now is Sarah Foster from bank Rate talking
- 13:02Speaker 4: to us about a survey they did of workers who
- 13:04Speaker 4: may or may not have gotten raises in twenty twenty four. Sarah,
- 13:07Speaker 4: thanks for joining us.
- 13:08Speaker 7: Thanks for having me. It's always great to be here.
- 13:10Speaker 4: So we're heading into annual review season. I think a
- 13:13Speaker 4: lot of people will be sitting down with their employer
- 13:15Speaker 4: and talking about, you know, what comes next in twenty
- 13:17Speaker 4: twenty five. What did you find in terms of your survey?
- 13:21Speaker 4: How many what portion of people you surveyed did get
- 13:24Speaker 4: raises in twenty twenty four.
- 13:26Speaker 7: Yeah, you're right. It's a good time to really be
- 13:28Speaker 7: thinking about your compensation at this time of year. And
- 13:31Speaker 7: we found that fifty three percent of workers are actually
- 13:33Speaker 7: confident that they'll get a pay increase of some kind
- 13:36Speaker 7: over the next twelve months. We saw that over the
- 13:40Speaker 7: past twelve months, though, you know, even though the labor
- 13:42Speaker 7: market has been showing signs of slowing, it still looks
- 13:46Speaker 7: like it's pretty healthy because sixty one percent of workers
- 13:49Speaker 7: got a pay increase over the past twelve months. It's
- 13:52Speaker 7: roughly consistent with levels from last year and then twenty
- 13:56Speaker 7: twenty two, and of course we were in the middle
- 13:58Speaker 7: of that great resignation era. There is a slowdown though
- 14:01Speaker 7: in how many Americans are finding better paying positions somewhere else.
- 14:05Speaker 4: And to be clear, I mean, everyone recognizes that the
- 14:08Speaker 4: pace of inflation has slowed considerably, but the confidence being
- 14:13Speaker 4: that it's a coin toss as to whether or not
- 14:15Speaker 4: people are going to get a get a raise this year,
- 14:18Speaker 4: it doesn't lead to a lot of confidence. That means,
- 14:21Speaker 4: you know, if you're not getting a raise, you are
- 14:23Speaker 4: losing about two to three percent in purchasing power as
- 14:26Speaker 4: we head into twenty twenty or five. Did you find
- 14:29Speaker 4: any trends in who's getting the raises who isn't that
- 14:33Speaker 4: might kind of indicate how people can push for them more.
- 14:38Speaker 7: Yeah. Yeah, And we you know, we've historically always seen
- 14:42Speaker 7: job hopping as the best way of getting biggest pay bump,
- 14:46Speaker 7: and right now that might not really be the case
- 14:49Speaker 7: of you know, we're comparing data from the Atlanta Federal
- 14:52Speaker 7: Reserve Bank, and they are showing that job switchers and
- 14:56Speaker 7: job stayers are roughly earning about a four percent increase
- 15:00Speaker 7: at this point, which is roughly identical to each other.
- 15:03Speaker 7: You know, all groups actually saw less success this year
- 15:07Speaker 7: than in last year getting better paying jobs. But you know,
- 15:11Speaker 7: some of those other people who did have better luck
- 15:13Speaker 7: than others were those younger generations, probably because you know,
- 15:17Speaker 7: gen zers and millennials are still early in their careers
- 15:20Speaker 7: and not having hit their peak salary band, it's probably
- 15:24Speaker 7: a little bit easier for them to find something new
- 15:26Speaker 7: out there. Lower income workers also, and I think you
- 15:29Speaker 7: could directly trace that back to just where the demand
- 15:33Speaker 7: remains in this labor market, and it seems that companies
- 15:36Speaker 7: are still looking for those in person service jobs, including
- 15:40Speaker 7: food services and then leisure and hospitality.
- 15:43Speaker 4: Did you find it somewhat surprising that baby boomers are
- 15:47Speaker 4: the least likely group to be experiencing pay increases accoring
- 15:52Speaker 4: to your survey. I think of that as you know, hey,
- 15:54Speaker 4: if I'm going to incentivize somebody that's on the verge
- 15:56Speaker 4: of retirement, I might need to keep paying them more.
- 15:59Speaker 5: Survey doesn't seem to indicate.
- 16:00Speaker 7: That it's it's interesting. It's actually something you know, we've
- 16:04Speaker 7: been looking at this data for years now at this point,
- 16:07Speaker 7: since twenty nineteen, we've been tracking who's been getting pay
- 16:10Speaker 7: increases who hasn't, And back then, you know, when I
- 16:13Speaker 7: first looked at that data was something that I noticed too,
- 16:16Speaker 7: that older generations were the ones least likely to be
- 16:19Speaker 7: getting pay increases. So, you know, you could infer that
- 16:22Speaker 7: this is a longer run trend. I kind of speculate
- 16:25Speaker 7: that it's just because they're older in their careers, they've
- 16:29Speaker 7: probably already maxed out their compensation, or at least the
- 16:32Speaker 7: growth rate that they're going to face throughout the rest
- 16:34Speaker 7: of their career is probably a little bit slower than
- 16:37Speaker 7: it was for younger generations and even for them when
- 16:40Speaker 7: they were that age. Even talking with older general or
- 16:44Speaker 7: at least talking with older workers themselves, though, you know,
- 16:48Speaker 7: we learn that there are some consequences here where a
- 16:51Speaker 7: lot of their budgets are stretched. Their budgets have absolutely
- 16:55Speaker 7: changed over the course of their lifetimes. When they were
- 16:57Speaker 7: maybe first in the early twenties, now they're caring for
- 17:01Speaker 7: aging parents and even children. We also saw that those
- 17:04Speaker 7: older generations were more likely to say that inflation has
- 17:07Speaker 7: taken a bite out of their wages. So I think
- 17:09Speaker 7: all of this is kind of related.
- 17:11Speaker 4: Sarah, I've heard a lot of dissatisfaction with this labor market.
- 17:14Speaker 4: I think a lot of that comes from just not
- 17:16Speaker 4: a lot of movement. Job hopping, as you mentioned, has
- 17:19Speaker 4: been less common according to the Jolt Service. How would
- 17:22Speaker 4: you describe this labor market? Because yeah, I'm seeing some stagnation,
- 17:25Speaker 4: but it does still seem like a relatively robust labor market.
- 17:29Speaker 7: It's a very valid question, and I think when I
- 17:32Speaker 7: catch myself describing that this job market is healthy, I
- 17:35Speaker 7: always think I need to add an asterisk there because
- 17:37Speaker 7: it's healthy. But for whom, you know, that's the most
- 17:40Speaker 7: important question. The people who are employed, they're roughly still
- 17:45Speaker 7: benefiting from a strong job market because as we see,
- 17:48Speaker 7: layoffs are low, the unemployment rate is still historically low.
- 17:52Speaker 7: They're still continuing to get pay increases at their position. However,
- 17:56Speaker 7: if you're someone who's unemployed, or maybe you're looking for
- 17:59Speaker 7: an new change to leave your current company, that's where
- 18:04Speaker 7: you might start to feel like this job market isn't
- 18:06Speaker 7: so hot. Because we're saying that the share of workers
- 18:09Speaker 7: who've been unemployed for six months are longer is now
- 18:12Speaker 7: the highest since twenty seventeen. The hiring rate is even
- 18:16Speaker 7: lower today than it was pre pandemic. You know, all
- 18:19Speaker 7: of these signs are kind of pointing to the fact
- 18:21Speaker 7: that this job market might be in stasis or at
- 18:24Speaker 7: least kind of approaching a holding pattern. So the message
- 18:28Speaker 7: for job seekers right now really is that, you know,
- 18:30Speaker 7: if you're looking for something new, it's probably going to
- 18:33Speaker 7: require a little bit of patience.
- 18:35Speaker 4: That's Sarah Foster from bank Rade join us today to
- 18:37Speaker 4: talk about their survey on workers who did or did
- 18:40Speaker 4: not get raises in twenty twenty three and twenty twenty four,
- 18:43Speaker 4: and what's to come for twenty twenty five. Sarah, thanks
- 18:45Speaker 4: so much for joining us, appreciate it, Thanks for having
- 18:47Speaker 4: me taking a look here at markets. We've got the
- 18:50Speaker 4: Dow off about ninety one points, one fifth of one percent,
- 18:53Speaker 4: the S ANDP basically flat for the day, down one point,
- 18:56Speaker 4: the NASDAK currently leading the way upwards, but only up
- 19:00Speaker 4: about fourteen points or one tenth of one percent, and
- 19:04Speaker 4: price of a barrel of oil now sitting at sixty
- 19:07Speaker 4: eight dollars and sixty cents yield on the tenure Treasury
- 19:11Speaker 4: coming in at four point one nine to five percent.
- 19:15Speaker 4: Right now, we are going to take a quick break
- 19:18Speaker 4: coming up here, and when we come back, we'll have
- 19:20Speaker 4: a little bit of trivia for you. And then I
- 19:22Speaker 4: do want to get into this big story that I
- 19:25Speaker 4: continue to hear boomerang children and what parents can do
- 19:28Speaker 4: about it.
- 19:29Speaker 8: That's next year on the Financial Exchange.
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- 20:05Speaker 2: Let's do a.
- 20:05Speaker 6: Little bit of trivia here on the Financial Exchange on
- 20:08Speaker 6: this day. In twenty nineteen, Saudi Aramco raised twenty five
- 20:12Speaker 6: point six billion dollars in its first public share offering,
- 20:16Speaker 6: which pushed the company's valuation over one point seven trillion dollars. Today,
- 20:22Speaker 6: there are a few companies that are valued at over
- 20:25Speaker 6: one trillion dollars. So trivia question today, how many companies,
- 20:29Speaker 6: not including Saudi Aramco have a market cap over one
- 20:33Speaker 6: trillion dollars? Once again, how many companies not including Saudi
- 20:37Speaker 6: Aramco have a market cap of over one trillion dollars.
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- 21:00Speaker 6: dot com.
- 21:02Speaker 3: Mike, I want to talk about this piece from the
- 21:04Speaker 3: Boston Globe here today. It's titled the Challenges and Joys
- 21:08Speaker 3: of Hiring gen Z Workers. It then also has a
- 21:12Speaker 3: colon and a quote their right hand is their phone,
- 21:16Speaker 3: so there's a lot here. Like honestly, I want to
- 21:20Speaker 3: really dig into this because I think this is a
- 21:23Speaker 3: fascinating piece. The first thing that it talks about is
- 21:28Speaker 3: that one of the things that employers are noting from,
- 21:31Speaker 3: you know, when they interview and try to hire younger workers,
- 21:34Speaker 3: they get ghosted a lot. And if you're not familiar
- 21:36Speaker 3: with the term ghosted, it's the idea that hey, like
- 21:40Speaker 3: you are going through like the process of interviewing someone
- 21:43Speaker 3: and you try to follow up with them and they
- 21:46Speaker 3: just stop responding, not like no, thank you, like I
- 21:49Speaker 3: don't you just never hear from them again.
- 21:52Speaker 2: And this is.
- 21:54Speaker 3: Something where I'm curious in your opinion. Do you think
- 21:58Speaker 3: that this is more prevalent with younger workers now again
- 22:03Speaker 3: gen Z at this point, I think would be like
- 22:04Speaker 3: twenty seven or twenty eight and younger. Do you think
- 22:07Speaker 3: it's more prevalent in that demo than in previous generations?
- 22:11Speaker 4: I think perhaps, But I have a very difficult time
- 22:14Speaker 4: determining if this is a result of a generation and
- 22:19Speaker 4: differences in how they behave or a generational difference in.
- 22:23Speaker 5: The state of the labor market.
- 22:25Speaker 4: Like sure, part of it has to be both, because
- 22:27Speaker 4: I bet that if you go take a look at
- 22:29Speaker 4: news stories from nineteen ninety nine to two thousand and
- 22:33Speaker 4: talk to me about how many people were ghosting. You know,
- 22:36Speaker 4: they didn't use the word the term ghosting back then,
- 22:39Speaker 4: but you know how many people were applying to jobs
- 22:42Speaker 4: and not showing up. How many hiring managers were getting
- 22:45Speaker 4: frustrated by how long it took to fill roles. I
- 22:48Speaker 4: think this is at least in part due to the
- 22:51Speaker 4: fact that we are very near all time highs in
- 22:56Speaker 4: terms of the portion of the population that is currently working.
- 22:59Speaker 4: And so I know a lot's been said and written
- 23:01Speaker 4: about the state of the labor market. But when you
- 23:04Speaker 4: have a tight labor market, yeah, you have a longer
- 23:06Speaker 4: time time hiring, You have a tougher time hiring. And
- 23:09Speaker 4: part of it's probably behavioral, part of it's probably just
- 23:12Speaker 4: the state of things.
- 23:13Speaker 3: So yeah, and I think it's interesting in look, there
- 23:17Speaker 3: might be something where social skills may have developed differently,
- 23:22Speaker 3: and so there's something there. But again, I just think
- 23:24Speaker 3: this is something that's interesting to look at. There's more
- 23:27Speaker 3: in here that I think we really want to dig
- 23:30Speaker 3: into on this, and some of this is not unique
- 23:35Speaker 3: to gen Z. One thing, it says employees note gen
- 23:38Speaker 3: zs bring many positive elopments to the workforce, a firm
- 23:42Speaker 3: grasp on technology and a thirst for learning. Mike, is
- 23:44Speaker 3: that unique to gen Z or is that.
- 23:46Speaker 4: Just every new generation has a new take on technology
- 23:52Speaker 4: and just able to manage things differently than the previous generation.
- 23:55Speaker 2: I guarantee you.
- 23:56Speaker 3: That when Baby Boomers were getting into the workforce in
- 23:59Speaker 3: the sixties seventies, guarantee you that you know, the silent generation,
- 24:05Speaker 3: you know, managers were sitting there going look at these
- 24:07Speaker 3: typing skills. These kids are so right exactly like, Loo,
- 24:11Speaker 3: get out of these kids? Are you know able to
- 24:12Speaker 3: use the punch cards?
- 24:13Speaker 2: And wow?
- 24:14Speaker 3: Like this is amazing, Like I guarantee you that that's
- 24:17Speaker 3: what was being talked about. It's not the poo poo
- 24:19Speaker 3: gen Zers, but it's more to say, I come back
- 24:22Speaker 3: to the fact that there's rarely anything that's really new.
- 24:24Speaker 3: It's just kind of a different iteration of what we've
- 24:26Speaker 3: seen before. And that's my take on this is, Yeah,
- 24:29Speaker 3: gen Z is great at whatever the new technologies are today,
- 24:33Speaker 3: just like previous generations were at whatever the new technologies
- 24:36Speaker 3: were then. Now there's some other stuff that that that
- 24:39Speaker 3: I want to get into. There's there's so much here
- 24:42Speaker 3: that I think is is really interesting to me. Uh,
- 24:46Speaker 3: you've got a piece here, and this is talking about
- 24:49Speaker 3: a sign company. One new hire at the Norwood Signage
- 24:52Speaker 3: Company Steel Art Company didn't bother showing up on their
- 24:55Speaker 3: first day, even after going through multiple rounds of interviews
- 24:57Speaker 3: and testing the company's equipment for some and not even
- 25:00Speaker 3: pick up the phone and say hey, I accepted another position,
- 25:02Speaker 3: Sorry about that, or even to answer an email.
- 25:04Speaker 2: We're like, where'd you go? Dude?
- 25:06Speaker 3: So yes, that might be something that's unique in this case.
- 25:10Speaker 3: But I I'll tell you just a story about something
- 25:13Speaker 3: that I saw over the last decade or so. It
- 25:17Speaker 3: was someone who I had hired and on the second
- 25:21Speaker 3: day they didn't show up and emailed out to them
- 25:26Speaker 3: like hey, called out like hey, what's going on? And
- 25:29Speaker 3: took like a few times to get you know, someone
- 25:31Speaker 3: actually on the phone, and finally didn't. They're like, oh,
- 25:33Speaker 3: like I'm sick, And it's like, okay, would I rather
- 25:37Speaker 3: have like someone pretty? And clearly they weren't sick, by
- 25:40Speaker 3: the way, like it was one of their situations, and
- 25:43Speaker 3: like clearly they had no intention of coming back the
- 25:45Speaker 3: next day because they didn't come back the next day
- 25:48Speaker 3: and didn't return any phone calls then. So it was
- 25:51Speaker 3: kind of like, Okay, would I rather have like someone
- 25:53Speaker 3: who pretends to be sick when they don't like a
- 25:56Speaker 3: job and this was someone who's like in their forties
- 25:58Speaker 3: at the time, or would I have someone just doesn't
- 26:00Speaker 3: pick up the phone? Like again, I think this is
- 26:02Speaker 3: just a different iteration of something the other thing that
- 26:05Speaker 3: we've seen before. It's it's different, but the fundamental human
- 26:09Speaker 3: nature is not different.
- 26:11Speaker 2: It's just the way it's being.
- 26:13Speaker 4: Expressed, I think you can convince me that being a
- 26:19Speaker 4: Let's see, if you're entering the labor force right now,
- 26:22Speaker 4: you were somewhere around seventeen to nineteen years old during COVID.
- 26:29Speaker 3: And that probably had a huge impact on your social
- 26:31Speaker 3: skills development did then as well?
- 26:33Speaker 4: Like you were seeing this in grade school kids, how
- 26:37Speaker 4: their math and science and reading skills suck. We're seeing it,
- 26:40Speaker 4: and I think we're seeing it in young twenty year
- 26:42Speaker 4: olds where they did not have the opportunities to socialize
- 26:47Speaker 4: with their peers in the way that even kids just
- 26:50Speaker 4: five years older.
- 26:51Speaker 5: Than them did.
- 26:52Speaker 4: And I won't be surprised if, yeah, there's an anxiety
- 26:56Speaker 4: that comes to responding to emails or responding to phone
- 26:58Speaker 4: calls from people that did not exist prior to that.
- 27:01Speaker 4: I think it genuinely screwed some people up pretty badly,
- 27:05Speaker 4: and employers will probably have some annoyances in dealing with that.
- 27:11Speaker 2: Another thing in here that I want to look at.
- 27:14Speaker 3: Similarly, for many twenty somethings, the workday doesn't bleed into
- 27:17Speaker 3: the night when it's five o'clock. They're done at five o'clock,
- 27:19Speaker 3: regardless of whether the work is done or not, says
- 27:21Speaker 3: Pamela Conway, chief Learning Officer and tell Ze and Woburn,
- 27:24Speaker 3: which creates learning and training videos for someone like me,
- 27:27Speaker 3: I'm gen X.
- 27:28Speaker 2: That just boggles the mind.
- 27:30Speaker 3: So this is a place where, quite honestly, I'm on
- 27:33Speaker 3: team gen Z here. Yeah, and I'm on Team gen.
- 27:36Speaker 2: Z because I feel like.
- 27:41Speaker 7: It.
- 27:41Speaker 3: As long as you're not driving, raise your hand. If
- 27:44Speaker 3: you ever feel like you've done work for a company
- 27:47Speaker 3: that then hasn't you know, properly paid you for that work,
- 27:51Speaker 3: or shortly afterwards you got laid off or had something
- 27:55Speaker 3: happened to you where the loyalty that you showed the
- 27:57Speaker 3: company wasn't reciprocated.
- 28:00Speaker 2: It happens all the time.
- 28:01Speaker 3: I think it's one of the main reasons why a
- 28:02Speaker 3: lot of Americans are kind of fed up with you know,
- 28:05Speaker 3: what the labor force is these days. It's like, oh,
- 28:07Speaker 3: I do so much for my company and I'm being
- 28:09Speaker 3: asked to work all these long hours and there's no
- 28:12Speaker 3: loyalty for me when things go badly on their end,
- 28:14Speaker 3: but they want all of my time and all of
- 28:16Speaker 3: my effort no matter what. I'm on Team gen Z here,
- 28:20Speaker 3: where your job is your job and granted, Look, if
- 28:23Speaker 3: you want to try to get ahead, and if you
- 28:26Speaker 3: want to you know, have you know, some kind of
- 28:29Speaker 3: supersize role or whatever. Sure like putting an extra effort.
- 28:33Speaker 3: I'm not saying don't do that. But if you are
- 28:35Speaker 3: in a salary job where you're supposed to work hours
- 28:38Speaker 3: nine to five and that's what you're being paid for,
- 28:41Speaker 3: and your boss is emailing you, you know, late at night,
- 28:43Speaker 3: hey can you do this?
- 28:44Speaker 2: Can you do that? Honestly?
- 28:46Speaker 4: In the words of Henry Hill from Goodfellas, screw You
- 28:51Speaker 4: pay Me?
- 28:52Speaker 5: Yeah, they but different words.
- 28:54Speaker 3: So I am on team gen Z here because all
- 28:58Speaker 3: of it's not fair for to be like, well, I
- 29:00Speaker 3: had to go through all that, So you want all
- 29:02Speaker 3: of these kids to have to go through that suck? Also,
- 29:05Speaker 3: no want I want the workforce to be better so
- 29:08Speaker 3: that they're able to again produce good things, but have
- 29:11Speaker 3: themselves be properly compensated and taken care of, and they
- 29:15Speaker 3: don't get so resentful about employment that they're looking for
- 29:18Speaker 3: the quickest possible exit from it.
- 29:21Speaker 4: So, yeah, there are generational differences. These same articles were
- 29:24Speaker 4: written in a different way about millennials. They'll be written
- 29:27Speaker 4: about whatever generation. My kids are I don't what's the
- 29:30Speaker 4: one after Z generation alpha because we're just we're just lazy. Now,
- 29:35Speaker 4: we're just, yeah, we need a.
- 29:37Speaker 3: Better So if you're trying to figure it out, like
- 29:42Speaker 3: what it should be.
- 29:43Speaker 5: It should be a gen COVID. We should have a
- 29:45Speaker 5: gen covid. No, No, absolutely, absolutely we should absolutely.
- 29:48Speaker 3: First of all, the first ones were born seven years
- 29:50Speaker 3: before it happened, because because gen Z goes from kids
- 29:54Speaker 3: born twenty nineteen ninety seven to twenty twelve, so the
- 29:58Speaker 3: next one is gonna be from like D thirteen through
- 30:02Speaker 3: call it twenty twenty seven.
- 30:04Speaker 4: Now, I was thinking we named gen z jen covid.
- 30:07Speaker 4: They're the ones that had truly coming of age during
- 30:09Speaker 4: the pandemic and one hundred years so what I would
- 30:11Speaker 4: give it to them?
- 30:12Speaker 3: The alternative name for them that actually do think is
- 30:14Speaker 3: a good one because it ties a couple things together
- 30:16Speaker 3: and just we don't need like a constant COVID reminder
- 30:19Speaker 3: like forever, like we don't zoomers. Good name riffs on
- 30:25Speaker 3: boomers a little bit.
- 30:26Speaker 2: Yeah, But also they came.
- 30:28Speaker 3: Of age during the time of zoom and it's got
- 30:30Speaker 3: Z in it, so we call it triple on TAM
- 30:35Speaker 3: so I think we really need something better for Generation Alpha,
- 30:39Speaker 3: which I mean the first problem is okay, so like
- 30:43Speaker 3: Jen Alpha, is this one? You really want to be
- 30:46Speaker 3: Generation Beta?
- 30:47Speaker 2: After that?
- 30:49Speaker 5: That's worse?
- 30:49Speaker 3: Yeah, why do we Finally we're gonna get to the end.
- 30:53Speaker 2: We're like, okay, Generation Omega, Well what do we do now?
- 30:56Speaker 3: We've done all of the English letters, We've done the
- 30:58Speaker 3: Greek ones, the characters.
- 31:01Speaker 2: What's next? I don't know?
- 31:03Speaker 3: So yeah, I think we need something better for Generation
- 31:07Speaker 3: Alpha zoomers. I can I can get behind, you know,
- 31:10Speaker 3: going from boomer to zoomer.
- 31:12Speaker 2: I think there's something there, Mike. It's kind of catchy.
- 31:15Speaker 5: Okay, I'll think about it.
- 31:16Speaker 2: Let's take a quick break here. When we come back,
- 31:18Speaker 2: we got stack Roulette.
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- 31:41Speaker 6: Trivia question today was how many companies not including Saudi
- 31:45Speaker 6: Ramco have a market cap of over one trillion dollars?
- 31:48Speaker 6: That will be nine and that includes Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, TSM,
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- 32:04Speaker 6: here on the Financial Exchange. See complete contest rules at
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- 33:30Speaker 4: Chuck, there's a story I wanted to get to earlier,
- 33:32Speaker 4: how parents can help their boomerang child without derailing their
- 33:35Speaker 4: own retirement. We're seeing a lot more of this today
- 33:39Speaker 4: than we did just a few years ago. According to
- 33:42Speaker 4: Thrivence twenty twenty four Boomerang Kids Survey, which who knew
- 33:47Speaker 4: they did that, forty six percent of parents have had
- 33:50Speaker 4: their adult children's age eighteen to thirty five back home
- 33:52Speaker 4: to live with them at some point. That's up from
- 33:55Speaker 4: thirty five percent last year.
- 33:56Speaker 3: That doesn't make sense to me, Yeah, it didn't right,
- 34:00Speaker 3: He's by eleven percent in a single year.
- 34:02Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 34:02Speaker 4: I don't think there's great data on this, quite honestly,
- 34:05Speaker 4: but I do think it occurs pretty frequently, and I'd
- 34:07Speaker 4: be willing to bet that it's occurring more now than
- 34:10Speaker 4: it did pre COVID for a number of reasons. One
- 34:13Speaker 4: kid's got used to moving back home with their folks,
- 34:16Speaker 4: and two, housing prices have gone insane, and so I
- 34:19Speaker 4: think we are seeing more of this. And I also
- 34:21Speaker 4: think we are seeing a lot of parents that are
- 34:25Speaker 4: probably putting their own personal financial scenario at risk in
- 34:30Speaker 4: the way that they're handling some of this.
- 34:33Speaker 5: Where do you.
- 34:33Speaker 2: See kind of the biggest issues on that side?
- 34:37Speaker 4: I just don't think that there are honest conversations about
- 34:39Speaker 4: what mom and dad can and can't afford, and so
- 34:44Speaker 4: things like the food budget, things like the cost of
- 34:48Speaker 4: insurance on cars and cell phone bills are getting increasingly
- 34:52Speaker 4: absorbed by parents well into adulthood, and a lot of
- 34:56Speaker 4: it I'm going to not lay on the feet. I'm
- 34:58Speaker 4: not really gonna put this on the children in this case.
- 35:01Speaker 4: I'm gonna put this on the parents for just avoiding
- 35:03Speaker 4: difficult conversations. And look, I think we all have this
- 35:07Speaker 4: as parents because ultimately, you know, if you have a
- 35:11Speaker 4: kid with a problem, oftentimes we blame ourselves.
- 35:14Speaker 5: Right, like did I do the right thing? Did I
- 35:16Speaker 5: raise my kid properly? Uh?
- 35:18Speaker 4: And so we avoid these tough conversations. But oftentimes the
- 35:21Speaker 4: kids are doing just fine, and if they're if they're
- 35:23Speaker 4: given some budget to work with, can figure out, yeah
- 35:26Speaker 4: I can. I can chip in for the cell phone
- 35:28Speaker 4: in the car, insurance and all these other items that
- 35:31Speaker 4: parents are covering for their kids. Like I said, further
- 35:33Speaker 4: into adulthood, I believe.
- 35:35Speaker 3: I think it all distills back to the age old
- 35:38Speaker 3: saying raising kids is hard.
- 35:39Speaker 2: Yo.
- 35:41Speaker 5: Yes, yeah they do say that.
- 35:43Speaker 3: Look, it's they're not easy conversations to have, but failing
- 35:46Speaker 3: to have them is still a decision that you end
- 35:48Speaker 3: up making. That it's just you're you're not actually going
- 35:52Speaker 3: through like the conversation of it. So yeah, it's Look
- 35:56Speaker 3: that we all go through this balance of trying to
- 36:00Speaker 3: be supportive of our kids while also wanting them to
- 36:03Speaker 3: develop on their own. And there's no right or perfect
- 36:07Speaker 3: way to do it. Like I'm never going to sit
- 36:11Speaker 3: there and like scold a parent for whatever their decisions
- 36:14Speaker 3: are because it's freaking hard, and you've got your own
- 36:18Speaker 3: relationship with your kids, but it is something where if
- 36:23Speaker 3: you don't there's a reason why when you get on
- 36:26Speaker 3: an airplane, as part of the safety briefingly they say,
- 36:29Speaker 3: if you're traveling with you know, a young child, and
- 36:32Speaker 3: the oxygen mask deploy, please put on your mask first
- 36:34Speaker 3: and then your your child. It's because if you don't
- 36:37Speaker 3: take care of yourself, then you can't take care of
- 36:39Speaker 3: your child. And this is kind of the issue that
- 36:41Speaker 3: you run into with financially supporting a child too long
- 36:45Speaker 3: into you know, their their adulthood, which is, hey, if
- 36:49Speaker 3: it's if it's coming at the expense of your nest egg,
- 36:54Speaker 3: it becomes something where if they haven't been able to
- 36:56Speaker 3: kind of spread their wings and go on their own,
- 36:59Speaker 3: then you run the risk of, hey, now I've exhausted
- 37:02Speaker 3: my money and they don't live on their own. How
- 37:04Speaker 3: what what do I do when I'm reaching retirement age
- 37:08Speaker 3: or if I need you no care and retirement and
- 37:10Speaker 3: things like that.
- 37:10Speaker 2: So it's there's no easy answer.
- 37:13Speaker 3: On this, and don't beat yourself up if you're struggling
- 37:17Speaker 3: with it, because it's hard, like it's it's it's something
- 37:21Speaker 3: that takes some time to work through. But find ways
- 37:26Speaker 3: to have those conversations with your kids when when you can,
- 37:30Speaker 3: And even if it's little things like, hey, you're living
- 37:33Speaker 3: at home and next year we're gonna move you off
- 37:35Speaker 3: the cell phone plan, so you're gonna have to figure
- 37:37Speaker 3: out you know that you know, thirty bucks a month
- 37:39Speaker 3: or forty bucks a month, and the year after, we're
- 37:42Speaker 3: gonna figure out, you know how to do you know
- 37:44Speaker 3: you can chip in for utilities. Even if you do
- 37:46Speaker 3: it just gradually. I'm not saying you have to like
- 37:48Speaker 3: do this all at once. Find ways to make progress,
- 37:52Speaker 3: and yeah, you might not make all the progress you
- 37:53Speaker 3: need in one year, but maybe over seven to ten
- 37:56Speaker 3: you're like, hey, I've gotten to where we need to
- 37:58Speaker 3: be and that can be big for you. Taking a
- 38:01Speaker 3: look at markets, still not much movement as we head
- 38:03Speaker 3: towards midday. The DA was off about a quarter percent,
- 38:05Speaker 3: SMP's flat, Nasdaq flat as well, so pretty quiet heading
- 38:10Speaker 3: into a job's Friday tomorrow.
- 38:14Speaker 2: We're done for the day. We will see you tomorrow.
- 38:16Speaker 3: We're gonna have all the detail on the jobs reporting,
- 38:19Speaker 3: a whole lot more to wrap up the week