Latest / Energy Empire / How to Add 300 Gigawatts to the Grid Without Building a Single Power Plant
Transcript
- 0:00I feel like, Amit, it's like you're kind of like looking in
- 0:03the couch cushions and finding 1,000,000 bucks.
- 0:05That's what it feels. Like $25 million per MW.
- 0:10It's, it's like, it's like the change that you find in your
- 0:12drawer when you open, except that here it's like trillions of
- 0:16dollars. And it is also a natural
- 0:17competitiveness issue, which can literally define the course of
- 0:21humanity for the next 100 years. So the stakes are much bigger.
- 0:28Energy isn't just an industry, it's how the world works.
- 0:32I'm Jigger Shaw, a clean energy entrepreneur.
- 0:34And I'm Jamie Nolan, a clean energy communications executive.
- 0:38Welcome to Energy Empire. Wow.
- 0:40We just like had one of these crazy experiences where, you
- 0:44know, I just dropped my kids off at Legoland and I have one.
- 0:50But then, you know, we have cousins who joined him and then
- 0:53had to like, rush over to the recording studio to like, you
- 0:57know, record the podcast. And so Legoland I think is like
- 1:01pretty decent, I have to say. Oh really?
- 1:03Well, I mean, I appreciate your level of commitment.
- 1:06I see that you are joining us wearing what is on your shirt.
- 1:09Are you? What are those crabs?
- 1:11Americana, look at this, Rosie. Americana, look at you with your
- 1:16patriotism and your commitment to the pod that you are even
- 1:21recording from vacation. How's your?
- 1:24Wife feel about that? I mean, she's not happy, but at
- 1:28the end of the day, you know, I found that like, there was only
- 1:31so many reschedulings we could do.
- 1:34And so I was like, let's get this done all.
- 1:36Right. Well, please make it clear to
- 1:38her that it was not my idea, OK? I hope she knows every time that
- 1:43you're working overtime, it was definitely your idea.
- 1:47I am always happy to be like, oh, it's an off week.
- 1:50No, I know, but it's pretty good.
- 1:51Like my, I have a 10 year old and he he, he's fine, He's doing
- 1:55great. He was excited.
- 1:56He was like, you're giving me the freedom to just roam around
- 1:59the park. I was like, yes, he's like, this
- 2:00is amazing. Great day.
- 2:03So I agree. You.
- 2:05The conversation we're having with Ahmed Narayan from Grid
- 2:08Care is a really interesting one for me.
- 2:11It's, you know, these kinds of topics can be so boring because
- 2:14it's really about this esoteric thing within the grid, right?
- 2:18Which is that we operate a grid in the way in which you would
- 2:23think about worst possible outcomes, right?
- 2:25So you say if these five things occur, we need to make sure that
- 2:29there's extra capacity such that you know, we can continue to
- 2:33ride through even if all five things occur and then everyone
- 2:36keeps having power. But what that means is that
- 2:39there's 100,000 megawatts of extra capacity in the grid that
- 2:43could be unlocked right away with the right software.
- 2:47And it's the craziest things because this stuff sounds so
- 2:50boring. But I think he went to Portland
- 2:53General and found 450 megawatts of capacity they didn't know was
- 2:57there, right? And as a result, rates are going
- 2:59down by 5% for everybody who lives in Portland General,
- 3:02right? He found 650 megawatts of
- 3:04capacity in National Grid New York's territory.
- 3:08And as a result, their rates are going to go down 5% for everyone
- 3:11who lives in that territory. Like it has real world
- 3:13consequences on affordability. I mean, those numbers speak for
- 3:17themselves. If you're seeing that data and
- 3:19you're a utility executive, I don't know how you aren't
- 3:21calling them. I mean, I'm, I'm really excited
- 3:24to talk to him because I swear grid utilization is the topic of
- 3:28the year. Like you cannot turn around
- 3:30without hearing about how we can get more value out of the grid
- 3:33that we've already paid for. And here is a company that
- 3:36actually has a solution and has very, very clear ROI on the
- 3:42investment in their solution to improve the efficiency of what
- 3:46we have already paid for on the grid and get more out of it.
- 3:50Totally. And I think that it really
- 3:52follows on from the fantastic episode we had with Secretary
- 3:56Granholm, which is right, what governors can do, right?
- 3:59A lot in this moment. Governors need to become pH DS
- 4:03and how electric utility systems work and they need to know that
- 4:06solutions like this exist. And if they don't know, well,
- 4:10then it's pretty hard to mandate it on to your utility to force
- 4:13them to get more out of the grid we've already paid for.
- 4:16Absolutely. I mean, they either need to get
- 4:18the PhDs or they need to hire the PhDs or the equivalent of
- 4:22it, right? Because there's a lot of subject
- 4:25matter expertise out there and a lot of these solutions have just
- 4:28been waiting in the wings for their moment to shine.
- 4:31And so I'm excited that we're finally at a moment where
- 4:34they're getting their due and we're we're seeing the real
- 4:37world benefits of them. And so, you know, Amit has like
- 4:41the best example of of what this looks like and how it's applied
- 4:46and what it means for everyday people in terms of money back on
- 4:51their utility bills. Energy Empire is powered by
- 4:58Octopus energy. Natasha, I'll give you a #3
- 5:03Million electric vehicles in American driveways parked 22
- 5:08hours a day. Why does that keep you up at
- 5:11night? Because we paid for it.
- 5:13Billions of dollars on batteries, on wheels, and the
- 5:16grid treats them like they don't exist.
- 5:18That's not a fleet. That's a stranded asset.
- 5:21Plenty of assets sit idle. My lawnmower is stranded too.
- 5:25Yes, but your lawnmower can't power your house.
- 5:28Those cars charge at the worst hours because nobody's
- 5:32coordinating them. Fix the coordination and their
- 5:35capacity. Already built, already connected
- 5:38and already in the garage. No new plants, no new wires,
- 5:42right? The power plants already built,
- 5:45someone just has to turn it on. That's what we do.
- 5:48Thanks Natasha Crowe, vice president of marketing and comms
- 5:52at Octopus Energy North America. Link is in the show notes.
- 6:02Amit, everyone is acting as if the grid is maxed out.
- 6:05Interconnection queues are years long at this point, and we need
- 6:08to build massive new infrastructure.
- 6:10You're arguing something different, which is that a big
- 6:13chunk of the problem is that we just can't see what's already
- 6:16sitting there on the grid. So make that case for us.
- 6:20Well, first of all, just want to say I'm so excited to be here
- 6:24with both of you. And Jagger, you have been such a
- 6:27personal inspiration for me over the years.
- 6:30All the work that you have done across startups and then in the
- 6:35government and public service. A big part of what I'm doing
- 6:39today is just trying to follow your footsteps and inspired by
- 6:44you. So thank.
- 6:44You for you know, like you can, you can expand that answer
- 6:47further, Amit, like you know, all all kind words are
- 6:50appreciated. No, but no, we, we love what
- 6:53you're doing now. I mean, you obviously had all
- 6:56these success stories in terms of, you know, companies you
- 6:58started auto grid, you sold to Schneider Electric.
- 7:00So we're excited that you're back in the game.
- 7:03Like, I mean, you know, having the best entrepreneurs in the
- 7:05country back in the game is critical.
- 7:07Yeah. And look, I mean, I've been on
- 7:09both sides of this AI infrastructure build out story.
- 7:13First, I was doing software to design these semiconductor chips
- 7:17to drive the demand for compute. And now for the last several
- 7:22years I've been working on the supply side, making sure that
- 7:26the energy supply can keep up with with that demand.
- 7:28So when the two movements collided, I just felt it was too
- 7:33big to sit out, even though when I sold my previous company, the
- 7:37only thing that I'd explicitly ruled out for my career was to
- 7:41become ACEO of another startup. But I think with the with the AI
- 7:46race going on, the next three to five years is going to decide
- 7:51actually the shape of humanity for probably 100 plus years.
- 7:56And right now we have this challenge, I call it the time to
- 7:59energize challenge in the US, which is what we are addressing.
- 8:02And I feel that we have a pretty unique insight into how this can
- 8:06be addressed. So that inspired me to come back
- 8:08into the game. So your case is that a big part
- 8:12of our problem with the grid is that we just can't see what's
- 8:14already there. Make that case for us, and how
- 8:18does Grid Care help to address that?
- 8:21Yeah. I mean, our fundamental thesis
- 8:23is that America doesn't have a power shortage.
- 8:28We have lack of visibility in what already exists.
- 8:32And I think the one thing I want to clarify is that I'm not
- 8:37against infrastructure build out.
- 8:39If our power demand is going to grow and double or triple in the
- 8:44next decade, we absolutely have to build more transmission
- 8:48lines, We absolutely have to build more generation, we have
- 8:50to build more substations, all of that.
- 8:53But here is the challenge, the pace at which infrastructure can
- 8:57be deployed with pouring concrete, getting the permits,
- 9:01new technologies, that pace is simply not keeping up with the
- 9:07speed at which AI needs to get deployed.
- 9:09And so when we started looking at it, we realized that maybe
- 9:13the solution is hiding in plain sight.
- 9:16If we can optimize what we already have in the ground, that
- 9:21is the fastest and the cheapest and the cleanest way in which we
- 9:26can power this AI revolution. And so our team started looking
- 9:30at this in a lot more detail and we published a study to show
- 9:36that if you look at the grid in full granularity, it's only
- 9:41about 1/3 utilized. That doesn't mean it's lying
- 9:46idle all the time. It doesn't mean that the
- 9:48reliability constraints go away, but it also means that if you
- 9:52are able to shine a light on it, we understand it better, We can
- 9:56create more visibility and we are smarter about this
- 9:58infrastructure. We can squeeze a lot more out of
- 10:01it. And if you can do it in code,
- 10:04not copper and concrete, we can do it in 6 to 12 months, not 6
- 10:07to 12 years. And that's really what inspired
- 10:10us to go and address this challenge.
- 10:12Yeah, I think they call it speed to power, right?
- 10:14So I think you guys are right in the middle of it.
- 10:17I mean, and then you just got validation, right?
- 10:19You raised $64,000,000 in your latest round and you know you've
- 10:23had some early wins with Portland General and National
- 10:26Grid New York. So talk about the investment
- 10:29environment and what are these investors really investing into?
- 10:33What is the revenue model that they believe you know actually
- 10:36gets them the returns that they want?
- 10:38First of all, let's talk about the value of a MW right now.
- 10:44If you look at the revenue of what AI is generating, it's
- 10:50somewhere in the range of 10 to $20 million per year per MW of
- 10:56capacity that can be unlocked. And so if you look at 100 MW
- 11:00data centre, that's billions of dollars of value per year.
- 11:05The urgency of the problem is so high that the hyper scalers and
- 11:10AI infrastructure companies are willing to spend money on almost
- 11:16anything that gives them hope, which includes sending chips to
- 11:19space because they think they've run out of all the capacity on
- 11:22Earth. It means they want to invest in
- 11:26all kinds of technologies, from nuclear fission to fusion.
- 11:30And look, I'm a technologist and I believe in all of these things
- 11:33and I do think that many of these things are going to
- 11:36happen. But the timeline in which some
- 11:39of these technologies can be deployed even in the best case,
- 11:42even in the most optimistic scenarios are 510 years out.
- 11:46And as I mentioned earlier, the the AI race is happening right
- 11:49now. We need to find a solution
- 11:51today. And there is simply nothing else
- 11:54that can be done at this speed and the scale than making use of
- 11:58the infrastructure that is already in the ground.
- 12:01So that's really where the business case comes in.
- 12:04A lot of our investors were some of the earliest investors in the
- 12:08AI revolution actually potentially in every wave of
- 12:11technologies. Our lead investor in this round
- 12:14is a firm called Sutter Hill Ventures who incubated NVIDIA
- 12:18way back and then many other companies and John Doerr who was
- 12:22the original investor in Amazon and Google and many other
- 12:26companies. So they really see where AI is
- 12:28going. They have realized power has
- 12:31become the defining constraint for this AI revolution to
- 12:34happen. And we are providing a solution
- 12:37which is not speculative, which is already there.
- 12:41It can be deployed at scale. And if we can capture even a
- 12:45small part of the value that we are creating, it will create
- 12:49tremendous upside for us, our investors and all our
- 12:52stakeholders. So let's dig into the analogy
- 12:56because you had said that the grid is only used about 1/3 of
- 12:59the time and it's, you know, obviously used more than that
- 13:02during peak, but less than that at other times, right?
- 13:05And you know, I saw that Drew Maloney from Madison Electric
- 13:08Institute had used a bus analogy, I think in the podcast
- 13:12recently. I'd love to see how Drew's using
- 13:15grid utilization at EEI and then you know the other rest, the
- 13:19other analogy people use is a restaurant, right?
- 13:22Like you have a kitchen, you have a certain staff, you have
- 13:24the ability to cook food, you have the ability to sell seats.
- 13:27And if those seats aren't sold well, then that's low
- 13:30utilization, right? So paint a picture for how those
- 13:35that utilization is only at 1/3 or 1/2 right, depending on the
- 13:39market that you're in? Yeah, I think the restaurant
- 13:42analogy is actually quite apartment in this scenario.
- 13:45I use the airplanes on a Thanksgiving Day, but it's the
- 13:48same same idea. Look, the grid does get
- 13:51constrained, but the precise scenarios under which the grid
- 13:57gets constrained are fairly rare.
- 14:01And even when these scenarios happen, they happen for only
- 14:05very few hours. Historically, the challenge was
- 14:08that to get the full visibility and granularity on when these
- 14:14rare events are happening was just not feasible using the
- 14:18technologies that existed. So if you look go back 20-30
- 14:22years, you just had limited compute power.
- 14:26So that led to planning assumptions and planning
- 14:29methodologies that kept the system reliable and safe.
- 14:33But it also meant that we had designed very conservative
- 14:36practices and we were leaving a lot of room on the table.
- 14:41So, So what we are able to do now with modern AI technologies
- 14:44is look across time and look across multiple locations
- 14:49instead of 1 location at a time. And we are able to find precise
- 14:54conditions under which the grid get can get constrained.
- 14:57And just just to do some quick math, if you let's say, have
- 15:0010,000 things on your grid, the NARC standard requires that you
- 15:05study all possibilities of two simultaneous outages, which
- 15:09means that one thing can blow up in 10,000 ways and the second
- 15:11thing can blow up in another 10,000 ways.
- 15:13So you right off the bat half 100 million scenarios that you
- 15:16have to calculate. That's shocking.
- 15:19Like, I mean, honestly crazy. And people used to do that
- 15:22analysis by hand with General Electric or Siemens engineers,
- 15:27right? Yeah, it's brute force.
- 15:29I mean, of course there's a lot of technology, but they will run
- 15:32these simulations and you cannot run 100 million simulation.
- 15:36So you will make some worst case assumptions and you will say,
- 15:39well, my load might be one in 10 year maximum.
- 15:44And if the two worst outages happen at the same time, what is
- 15:47the capacity of the grid? But they would not look at the
- 15:50probability, they would not look at all the hours across all the
- 15:5310 years that they are analyzing because that computation didn't
- 15:57exist. Now the other thing which is
- 15:58very interesting that has happened over the last 10-15
- 16:01years, thanks in large part to the work that you have done
- 16:04Jaguar, is that there is a lot of new technology that has been
- 16:07deployed on the grid. I mean, you funded batteries,
- 16:10you funded virtual power plants. We have a lot more dynamism on
- 16:14the grid, on the operation side. And these are not unproven
- 16:18technologies. These are getting deployed at
- 16:19scale. The utilities are used to
- 16:22dispatching these things, but these technologies are not
- 16:26properly accounted for in the part of the utility which is
- 16:30calculating how much capacity is available in the in the future.
- 16:34And so this is a big part of what we are trying to do, create
- 16:38a visibility across the utilities and the customers
- 16:41because the planning processes are worst case they're looking
- 16:4410 years ahead, operators are looking seconds, minutes, day
- 16:47ahead, but they don't look across ten 10s of years.
- 16:51And now because of the computation, we can do that
- 16:54granular second by second analysis, but look at
- 16:58quadrillions of scenarios that might happen over the next 10
- 17:00years and figure out exactly what can go wrong.
- 17:04And then once we know that, we can also figure out what are the
- 17:06best ways in which we can mitigate these rare events and
- 17:09rare scenarios. And that would mean maybe making
- 17:12the load a little bit flexible, maybe adding a battery
- 17:15somewhere, using the virtual power plants that are already in
- 17:17place and dispatching them more intelligent.
- 17:20So this is not rocket science, but it was also not possible
- 17:23with the tools that the utilities had at their disposal
- 17:27until very recently. So Amit, like, let's dig in
- 17:30further because I think part of what you're saying is, is that
- 17:33there are these multiple silos within the utility that each one
- 17:36of them has different data. But I think also what you're
- 17:40saying is that they have different responsibilities,
- 17:43right? And so like none of the three of
- 17:47them actually truly understands how to fit a data center into
- 17:53their grid, right? And so like, so why don't you
- 17:56take a step by step as to why you guys need to exist?
- 17:59Why do folks need to use you? Yeah.
- 18:02So I mean, as Jigar was mentioning earlier, this is
- 18:06something which is not just planning, it is not just
- 18:09operations. You have to bring many different
- 18:14parts of the utilities who have historically existed in silos
- 18:19and they don't have the same view and visibility together.
- 18:23But it is actually a lot more than just the internals of the
- 18:28utilities themselves. The way we unlock capacity is
- 18:32not by saying utilities need to become more efficient.
- 18:35We also expect the customers to behave in different ways and
- 18:41become better citizens of the grid.
- 18:44And one of the challenges that we see is the communication gap
- 18:49that exists between the customers of the utilities and
- 18:52how the utilities work across all the different functions.
- 18:56And so part of our value proposition is that we come in
- 18:59with a fresh pair of eyes and we act as a a neutral third party.
- 19:06And we are trying to figure out how we can build the bridges
- 19:10between the utilities and their customers.
- 19:12And we can provide visibility to all the stakeholders which
- 19:15includes the regulators, which includes the ISO's of course
- 19:18different silos within the utility.
- 19:20And then once we are able to create that common picture, we
- 19:25can overcome the objections that each one of these stakeholders
- 19:28might have and give them the visibility and what it means for
- 19:32them. So for example, for the
- 19:33planners, they want to make sure that the reliability of the
- 19:36system is not going to be compromised if they added a
- 19:39particular new load into the system.
- 19:42And we quantify that for them. We go to the operators, they
- 19:46want to know this new type of flexibility, is it qualified?
- 19:50Is it going to show up? What happens if it doesn't show
- 19:52up? Who's going to take the risk
- 19:54from an operations perspective? And we are able to quantify that
- 19:57precisely in terms of how that works.
- 19:59The customers want to know what kind of flexibility do they have
- 20:02to bring? Are they going to get curtailed?
- 20:04How many times are they going to get curtailed?
- 20:06Is their compute going to get impacted?
- 20:08And we can provide that visibility to the customer so
- 20:11that they can figure out what is the impact on their business
- 20:14operations. The regulators want to know what
- 20:16is the impact to rates. Affordability is a big issue
- 20:20right now. And the current narrative in the
- 20:22market is that data centers are coming in and they're taking
- 20:24away all the power and it's driving up rates for everybody
- 20:28else. And so that is 1 big part of our
- 20:30value proposition is that by using the infrastructure that we
- 20:34already have more effectively, we can help with the
- 20:38affordability question. We can actually help reduce the
- 20:40rates for everybody. So when you're talking about
- 20:43customers, are you talking about hyperscalers?
- 20:46Are you talking about all like other types of large load?
- 20:49Are you talking about home owners?
- 20:51Yeah. When I talk about rates and
- 20:53customers, that is anybody who is getting electricity from the
- 20:57network, because this network is a fixed cost that we all pay for
- 21:03as consumers of electricity based on the usage.
- 21:06And if you can get more usage out of this asset, if you can
- 21:09increase the utilization from 30% to 40%, that helps bring the
- 21:14cost down for all the consumers of the electricity.
- 21:18In fact, we published a white paper recently which shows that
- 21:21every new GW of capacity added on an existing network using the
- 21:27approach of grid care brings the rates down by roughly 5% for a
- 21:32typical mid size utility, which is very substantial.
- 21:35Wow, that's really impressive. If utilities run the airline
- 21:38business, they get paid for having enough planes on the
- 21:41busiest travel day of the year and charging everyone more all
- 21:44year to keep that capacity. Of course, that's just how the
- 21:47business works. The incentive is to build more
- 21:49infrastructure and not to get more out of what they already
- 21:52have. So how do you sell a product
- 21:54that helps utilities use their grid better when their business
- 21:57model rewards them for building new grid infrastructure?
- 22:02Yeah, I think that is another one of these myths are legacy
- 22:06assumptions that are due for a challenge.
- 22:11So you're absolutely right that in an economy where there is no
- 22:15growth happening for the utilities, the only way they
- 22:18could make money historically was by building more
- 22:21infrastructure. And the only justification that
- 22:25often existed was to build this infrastructure in the name of
- 22:29reliability. And that by definition means
- 22:32that we end up over building. But what has changed in the last
- 22:36one to two years is that we are seeing this unprecedented growth
- 22:41in demand for AI and now the utilities are realizing that
- 22:45they are in a competitive environment even though they
- 22:49still want to deploy capital and they want to build more things.
- 22:53The timelines of deploying capital is several years out.
- 22:59The earliest that they can build a new transmission line might be
- 23:025 years out. If they can get more revenue on
- 23:05their existing infrastructure then their earnings can go up
- 23:09higher today. So that's one big change which
- 23:12is happening especially for investor owned utilities.
- 23:14They realize that they are in a competitive environment and if
- 23:17they don't attract this growth now some other utility might
- 23:21attract the data centers, but the we're going to call.
- 23:23That your hot take of the episode I think.
- 23:27That's great. But I think that the the second
- 23:29big driver, which I think is maybe even more important and
- 23:34that is more universal, it's not just for investor owned
- 23:36utilities, it works for Public Utilities as well, is the crisis
- 23:41of affordability in electricity rates which has become a
- 23:44bipartisan issue. So even if the utilities want to
- 23:48deploy more capital, they are not getting these rates approved
- 23:53because the historical way of deploying capital was but to
- 23:57rate base it, which increases the rates for everybody.
- 24:00And the theory is that eventually the benefits will
- 24:02outweigh and the rates will come down.
- 24:04But I mean that that doesn't happen most of the times.
- 24:08So now the legitimate upgrades that the utilities have are
- 24:12getting pushed out because there is just a lot of community
- 24:16backlash around affordability. We are making it possible to not
- 24:21be not have data centers be viewed as a trade off between
- 24:24growth and affordability. We are saying that if we can use
- 24:28the asset more effectively and we can bring these large loads
- 24:31sooner, that is beneficial for everyone.
- 24:35The of course the data centers benefit, the utilities get their
- 24:39earnings sooner. But because we are now
- 24:41amortizing the cost of a fixed infrastructure or more
- 24:44electrons, we are able to reduce the rates for everybody.
- 24:48And this is where our white paper shows that every new GW of
- 24:53data centers that come online or for that matter any new critical
- 24:57infrastructure doesn't have to be data centered.
- 24:59But if they come online on the existing infrastructure, that
- 25:03can reduce rates by about 5% for all consumers, all ratepayers,
- 25:09all residential as well as commercial customers of the
- 25:12utility. One thing I thought about, Amit,
- 25:14was it sounds like you're in some ways a mediator, right?
- 25:18Like the value of a mediator is that the data centre trusts that
- 25:22you'll do a better job speaking utility, and that the utility
- 25:25trusts that you'll do a better job speaking data centre.
- 25:29Is that right? Yeah, I think mediator is a
- 25:31pretty good analogy, except that I don't like the assumption that
- 25:35the two sides are necessarily fighting each other.
- 25:38That might be the case. Sometimes I think we are in a
- 25:41moment of time where actually both sides are trying to work
- 25:45with each other. They just don't know how to work
- 25:47with each other. So I like to think of ourselves
- 25:50more as a bridge where we say we'll create the bridge.
- 25:53Both sides will have to do a few things differently and if they
- 25:56both are willing to make those changes then they can meet in
- 26:00the middle, which is good for utilities as well as the
- 26:03datacenters. OK.
- 26:05So there's definitely a major irony here that we're sitting
- 26:09with AI is creating the biggest surge in electricity demands in
- 26:12a generation. We talk about that all the time
- 26:14on the show. And the solution to finding the
- 26:17power for AI, it turns out might actually be AI.
- 26:21And you're using generative AI to solve AI is own
- 26:24infrastructure bottleneck. So is that as circular as it
- 26:28sounds like? Do you personally believe that
- 26:31AI is going to save us from some of these very problems that it
- 26:35has created? Yeah, absolutely.
- 26:37I mean, we can call it irony. I like to think of it as a
- 26:39virtuous cycle. That is really the promise of
- 26:42AI. The more we become intelligent
- 26:46and the more we can squeeze out from the existing
- 26:49infrastructure, the more abundance it creates.
- 26:51And that's true for I think many areas.
- 26:54But I do think that the solution of getting out of the current
- 26:59situation is to just become smarter about what we have and
- 27:03get more out of the system that we have already deployed.
- 27:07And then of course, as we grow, it will also make possible to
- 27:11deploy more and more things because it will allow us to
- 27:14deploy that capital in in this more efficient manner.
- 27:18And where does this end up going, Ahmed?
- 27:20Like, so when you think about what you're doing for one
- 27:23client, right, let's call it a data center, are you in the end
- 27:26mapping out the utility grid for your clients?
- 27:32And then are you giving them a map in the end saying, well, you
- 27:35can put A5 MW EV charging system here and you could probably fit
- 27:39another 185 kilowatts worth of manufacturing load growth here.
- 27:44And you know, all this other stuff.
- 27:45I mean does this become like a real time map for them on load
- 27:49growth? Yeah.
- 27:50And not just load group, by the way.
- 27:52I think you have the other side of the equation as well where
- 27:55you have, I don't know what is the current number, but 2.6
- 27:58terawatts of generation, which is also stuck waiting to get
- 28:01connected to the grid. And like right now all these
- 28:04processes are run in a very siloed manner.
- 28:08When you study generation, you don't look at the load and vice
- 28:10versa. So this is really an MRI for the
- 28:13grid in many ways. If you know where the
- 28:16constraints are and when they're happening, you have
- 28:19opportunities to add load in conjunction with the data
- 28:22centers, you can have power that can be used for other critical
- 28:26infrastructure, for your hospitals, for your
- 28:28manufacturing plants, for electrification of
- 28:31transportation and other things. So really we need to look at the
- 28:35grid as a system that it was designed to be.
- 28:37And once we understand it, we can double the the capacity of
- 28:42this grid. And and even even if we double
- 28:45the capacity of the grid, we are only talking about going from
- 28:4830% utilization to 60% utilization.
- 28:50So it's not like climbing Mount Everest in terms of efficiency
- 28:54of the system. But that would mean more than
- 28:57300 gigawatts of capacity unlocked on the existing
- 29:00infrastructure, which we can do in the next three to five years.
- 29:03Literally there is no new technology that needs to be
- 29:05deployed or developed for that basically.
- 29:08Oh, it's completely massive. No, I totally agree with you.
- 29:10I mean, but I guess what I'm trying to understand though, is
- 29:14this this really a software problem, right, right.
- 29:17Or is it, you know, sort of a contract and risk question,
- 29:21right? Like is it really just that the
- 29:24utility companies sort of need to change their posture, right,
- 29:30to how they unlock this 300 gigawatts in your mind?
- 29:32I am conservative and I say 100 gigawatts, but I'll take your
- 29:36number. You know, like, but is it really
- 29:39a risk posture that there's a bunch of people in the bowels of
- 29:42the utility in the building who are like, oh, we could never run
- 29:45the grid that way? Like the grid would break if we
- 29:48did that. You know, we need all this stuff
- 29:50that my grandfather taught me how to do.
- 29:53Well, it's, it's definitely a technology issue in the sense
- 29:57that technology is what enables the unlock and we did not have
- 30:02this compute power in the past to analyze the great in this
- 30:07detail. But it's not necessarily stops
- 30:11at technology. Ultimately it's a trust
- 30:14challenge and all the different stakeholders who are part of
- 30:18this great ecosystem need to feel comfortable that what we
- 30:22are doing is fair for them. And I think technology allows us
- 30:27to create that trust and the contracts that are needed
- 30:31between all the different parties so that if a data center
- 30:34is getting power, they are not unfairly taking that power away
- 30:41from some other customer. In return, they are bringing in
- 30:44the flexibility that is needed to keep the system running
- 30:48reliably and potentially reducing the rates for everybody
- 30:51else. So I think technology enables
- 30:54the contracts and the trust, but we do need to make sure all the
- 30:59different pieces of this ecosystem is brought together
- 31:04and that includes the various silos within the utilities.
- 31:07But it goes beyond utilities. The data centers themselves have
- 31:11to trust that this is something that is going to work for them
- 31:15and they are able to get the capacity if they were flexible.
- 31:19The ratepayers and their advocates have to believe that
- 31:22this is going to bring the rates down and we are not allocating
- 31:27willingly the capacity to one particular part of the society.
- 31:31And then regulators have to feel confident that this is done in a
- 31:35transparent, neutral manner. So I think this is the journey
- 31:39that we have been going through and every part of US and every
- 31:43part of the world, they have differences in how the energy
- 31:47markets are structured, how they're regulated and so on.
- 31:51And, and that's why I think we have to just go and prove it one
- 31:55at a time in every, every specific situation.
- 32:00But the thing which gives me hope is that at the end of the
- 32:03day, most of these utilities, if not all, are facing the same
- 32:07challenge. They want to solve
- 32:08affordability, they want to continue to grow.
- 32:11They want to enable economic growth in their regions.
- 32:14The physics of the grid, thankfully it works the same
- 32:17way. I've deployed grid technologies
- 32:19in 20 plus countries and it's the same physics.
- 32:23So if it works in Portland, it works everywhere else and at
- 32:26least in the North America, the the reliability rules like Nurk
- 32:31rules are pretty much consistent.
- 32:32So everything that we do are under the current federal Nurk
- 32:36fork regulation. So that is very transferable in
- 32:39various jurisdictions, but some of the other stakeholders have
- 32:42to be brought along to to make it truly scalable.
- 32:46Yeah. So Amit, VPPS are not new.
- 32:50We have been talking about Jigger and I have been banging
- 32:52the drum on VPPS for years now. So it seems like this is the
- 32:57moment and we're really starting to feel the scale and momentum.
- 33:00Why do you think that that this is the time and it's it's
- 33:03finally VPPS moment to shine? Just like both of you, I've been
- 33:07in the VPP business for the last 10 plus years.
- 33:11So I'm, I think over this time VPPS were a solution that we're
- 33:18looking for a problem. And we had always promoted VPPS
- 33:22as a mechanism for adding more renewable to the grid when the
- 33:28renewable is intermittent or as a mechanism for hedging prices
- 33:33for the participants because we didn't want to create a scenario
- 33:38where supply is constrained and the demand is not flexible.
- 33:42Now these were good use cases and we got quite far with this.
- 33:46But the economic value that you can get out of these VPPS was
- 33:52never high enough for these data centers to really care about it
- 33:59or to take the operational burden or perceived risk that
- 34:03comes with it. So as we deployed, I don't know,
- 34:06we had about 8 giga watts of VPPS in 20 countries.
- 34:10The only times you were able to get data centers to participate
- 34:13in these VPPS were with Bitcoin mines when the Bitcoin prices
- 34:20were in the toilet because that was the way for them to make
- 34:23money. But now.
- 34:23It all comes down to Bitcoin, Amit.
- 34:26I mean, didn't Criso start off as like a Bitcoin miner and
- 34:29then, you know, now they're a big data center company?
- 34:32Right. And which is great by the way, I
- 34:34love that because these Bitcoin companies are already very
- 34:38forward thinking about energy and flexibility and they were
- 34:42doing it. So they are like some of the
- 34:43most innovative companies out there who are realizing that by
- 34:47being flexible, they can get another leg up.
- 34:49And the the real value now is that every MW that you bring
- 34:52online creates 25 to 30 million of new economic outcomes for
- 34:58these data centers. So that price is big and is
- 35:01worthwhile. And every data centre when they
- 35:04are given a choice of waiting for eight years and spending
- 35:07hundreds of millions of upgrade cost versus getting connected
- 35:12right now, but they just need to add some more flexibility on
- 35:15their data centers are choosing the latter option because it's
- 35:20just a no brainer. Like in Portland, we offered a
- 35:23flexible way of getting connected to six data centers.
- 35:26All six took that, took it. They are all energized now and
- 35:29they all want to get more. So I don't think there's any
- 35:32debate, in my mind at least, whether data centers want to be
- 35:35flexible or not. No, I think that's right.
- 35:38I mean, the one thing that you talked about earlier, though is
- 35:41about trust. And I'm curious whether you're
- 35:45seeing and all the engagements that you have that the broader
- 35:49population views your work as a way for the data center
- 35:52companies to cut the line and get capacity faster or whether
- 35:57they view this as a way to, you know, reduce rates and and, you
- 36:02know, ultimately make the grid more affordable.
- 36:04I mean I get your white paper, but are people believing it on
- 36:07the ground? I think there is definitely more
- 36:09work that needs to be done in terms of educating the public
- 36:14and you know, data centres can be done in the right way and
- 36:18they can be done in the wrong way.
- 36:19I think we have a lot more examples of situations where
- 36:23data centres have come online and they have increased the
- 36:25rates for everybody. There are far fewer examples of
- 36:29the kind of things that we are trying to do and this is clearly
- 36:32an education and awareness issue, but the science is on our
- 36:36side and it's not even that difficult.
- 36:38It's like a numerator versus denominator.
- 36:41If you increase the denominator and you keep the numerator the
- 36:44same, then no. I think that's exactly right.
- 36:49I mean you want to limit investment in the numerator and
- 36:51you want to sell more kilowatt hours than a denominator.
- 36:54You know, we, we've spent a lot of time in the last few months
- 36:57talking about grid utilization. And so it's, and I know that
- 37:00there's this, there's this data disconnect and the utilities
- 37:05claim to not have the distribution level data that
- 37:08they need to optimize grid utilization.
- 37:10So it's so refreshing to speak to someone who's like, hi, we're
- 37:14over here and we've got that for you.
- 37:16But feel free to give us a call, you know, because we keep
- 37:19hearing like the grid is so, so poorly utilized in so many
- 37:23places in this country. So I'm, I'm excited to see what
- 37:26happens with the growth of your company.
- 37:29I mean, I know that you, you won one of the most innovative
- 37:32companies of 2026 from Fast Company magazine.
- 37:34Amazing, amazing, congratulations.
- 37:37But innovation and energy so often means piloting something
- 37:41for years and never scaling it, which is like Jiggers personal
- 37:44mission in life to fix. And we talk about this all the
- 37:47time. So what makes grid Care
- 37:49different from every other promising grid tech company that
- 37:53got stuck in pilot mode? Because you guys are just up,
- 37:56up, up and away. Well, so we don't do pilots and
- 38:00my challenge to the utilities is that bring your toughest, most
- 38:05visible, most valuable problem and we will find you an answer
- 38:10in less than 90 days. And we have done more than a GW
- 38:15in the last six months. These were places which were
- 38:19considered hopeless when we walked in and we found more
- 38:23capacity than even we thought would be possible.
- 38:27And even in these locations we are finding more.
- 38:29At this point we are in more than a dozen markets.
- 38:32We have more than 10 gigawatts of projects that we are actively
- 38:36analysing. And part of the reason why we
- 38:39have been being received so well is that we do offer a fairly
- 38:45risk free value proposition to everybody who is engaging with
- 38:48us. Our message to the utility is
- 38:51that, look, give us a chance. All we need is some data that
- 38:55you already have because you have to run these studies
- 38:57anyway. And in 90 days we are going to
- 39:00find an answer for you. And if we find more power, then
- 39:04you all are going to be heroes. You will increase your revenue
- 39:08internally, you will reduce the rates.
- 39:11Your governors will love you, and if we can't find the power,
- 39:15then you will have the satisfaction that you tried
- 39:17everything and your stakeholders will know that you tried
- 39:21everything. So what do you have to lose?
- 39:23And our bet is that because the grid is being used for 30% of
- 39:27its capacity, we are almost always going to find power.
- 39:30And so far that has been true. And the same thing with data
- 39:33centers. They can stay in the queue that
- 39:36they have and wait for space data centers to happen, or they
- 39:40can give us a chance and it's a net new voluntary option that
- 39:45they have, which if they get the power, they figure out how to
- 39:49pay us for the value that we have created.
- 39:51But otherwise, nobody is worse off.
- 39:53I feel like Amit, they want to go to space for other reasons.
- 39:58I feel like, Amit, it's like you're kind of like looking in
- 40:01the couch cushions and finding 1,000,000 bucks.
- 40:03That's what it feels. Like $25 million per MW.
- 40:08It's, it's like, it's like the change that you find in your
- 40:10drawer when you open, except that here it's like trillions of
- 40:14dollars. And it is also a natural
- 40:16competitiveness issue which can literally define the course of
- 40:19humanity for the next 100 years. The coins are made of rare
- 40:22metals. So, you know, we talk a lot
- 40:27about the United States, which I love.
- 40:28But you know, is this really a Western grid opportunity, right?
- 40:33Like Europe and the United States and things like that?
- 40:36Or you know, like even if you went to China where it seems
- 40:39like you could just build, you know, grids easily, would they
- 40:43find a similar grid utilization and find a similar opportunity?
- 40:49Yeah. Look, I think the fact that grid
- 40:51is getting suboptimally used, that is a fairly universal
- 40:55problem. Now places where building is
- 40:58easier, you can live with that inefficiency for a long period
- 41:02of time and just continue to build.
- 41:04But places in US, even a big part of Asia, I mean we are
- 41:08getting a lot of inbound from Southeast Asia, India, Japan,
- 41:13Australia, most of Europe, Eastern and Western Europe.
- 41:16These are places where the grid is constrained and building new
- 41:20stuff is not that easy and it takes time, whether it's supply
- 41:24chain, whether it's permits, whether it's some other
- 41:27regulation that is out there. In those places, what you can do
- 41:31with the existing grid becomes extremely valuable, because that
- 41:35is something which is already there and all you need to do is
- 41:38become intelligent and unlock it.
- 41:40So my final question slash statement here is to get you to
- 41:45explain to us if you're a governor, right, you're one of
- 41:49the 36 governors races across the country, right?
- 41:52They just listened to this podcast because they obviously
- 41:55all listen to this podcast and they just realized that you can
- 41:59unlock 300,000 megawatts of capacity, right?
- 42:03Why should they continue to work on expanding the grid broadly,
- 42:09right? Why should they continue to like
- 42:11figure out a way to put more generation and like, I mean, you
- 42:14know, like, I'm curious, like, why you think that they should
- 42:18continue to like do all of the measures at the same time when
- 42:22they've got such a silver bullet in great care?
- 42:25Yeah, my message to them is that it's not one or the other.
- 42:29I think you want to optimize. What you have kind of is one or
- 42:32the other, right? They want like affordability.
- 42:34They'd like to put all of the weight of the world on your
- 42:37shoulders on it. Then you've got nice broad
- 42:39shoulders. You can handle the weight, but
- 42:41I'm just saying like, you know, in some ways, like I think the
- 42:45big pressure that I see is that people are constantly arguing
- 42:48with us about unlocking gradualization because they're
- 42:51like, oh, but you're not keeping the pressure up on new
- 42:53transmission lines. And we're going to regret it one
- 42:56day. Well, I don't think that is the
- 42:59question. I think the question that people
- 43:01should ask is utilization. I think if there is a demand
- 43:06that you are seeing and it's a real demand and building a
- 43:09transmission line brings that demand sooner, but in a way
- 43:14where the utilization of the system is going up, then I'm
- 43:18fine with that. And I think that's the right
- 43:19decision. But if you're building something
- 43:22and the utilization goes from 30% to 25%, then by definition
- 43:26all the other ratepayers are paying for it in some form or
- 43:28the other, like no matter how it comes back to the numerator
- 43:31versus denominator question. So I think the right question to
- 43:34ask is that any project, whether it's a new data center that is
- 43:37coming in, a new transmission line that you're trying to
- 43:40build, is that effective utilization of the grid?
- 43:43Is it going up or is it going down?
- 43:45If it's going up, then it's good.
- 43:47If it is going down, then it's some cross subsidy that is being
- 43:52afforded to some people in the system.
- 43:56A man after my own heart. Well, you are the inspiration,
- 43:59so I hope we can make this the default.
- 44:04Well, it's so wonderful to have you on it and thank you for
- 44:08jumping back into the CEO fray. You know, you have such an
- 44:13excellent track record of delivery.
- 44:17You know, I think your previous companies were so successful and
- 44:20you figured out how to get electric utilities to sign big
- 44:24contracts, which I think is what we need today.
- 44:26This trust gap that you talk about is so real.
- 44:28And so thanks for getting back in the fray.
- 44:31Well, thank you so much for all the support and good wishes and
- 44:34all your vision and inspiration. It's been a privilege to be on
- 44:39this show with you. Energy Empire is supported by
- 44:46S2G Investments. If you haven't checked out their
- 44:49podcast, I highly recommend it. They have a great recent episode
- 44:53on the long term effects of the Iran war and the blockade of the
- 44:57Strait of Hormuz. In the episode, Sanjeev Krishna
- 45:00and Frank O'Sullivan and Bala Nagarajan make a compelling case
- 45:05that this disruption could be the most powerful accelerant for
- 45:09renewable energy in a generation.
- 45:11And in future episodes they'll be exploring how those forces
- 45:14are reshaping our food systems and ocean intelligence.
- 45:18Sound interesting? Go find the S2G podcast and
- 45:21start with the global energy order has changed now what?
- 45:30Wow, he has so many numbers. Like it is crazy.
- 45:34I mean, I always thought we were sort of managing the 50%
- 45:38utilization of the grid. I think he used 30%.
- 45:41Like, I mean, he was basically glass half empty in terms of how
- 45:44much of our existing grid that we're already using.
- 45:47But in some ways it's even better because it means there's
- 45:50so much more capacity to unlock. You know, one thing that I've
- 45:54learned in working on grid utilization this year is that a
- 45:57lot of these utilities and the system operators and like the
- 46:01utility service areas that we have across the United States,
- 46:05they don't know how much of their grid they're using.
- 46:07Like they truly do not have the data and they don't have the
- 46:10tools internally to actually understand how much of their
- 46:14system they're using. It's crazy when you actually
- 46:17they think about it. And so here we have a company
- 46:20that has a solution that can come in and basically map that
- 46:23local grid and is literally, it's like finding, as I was
- 46:27saying in the episode, finding $1,000,000 in your couch
- 46:29cushions. It's just wild.
- 46:31Like it's there the whole time and it's just being
- 46:33underutilized. Oh, yeah, at 650 megawatts, I
- 46:36think that's a billion or, or even more.
- 46:38I think it's $50 billion now to build a 1000 MW data center.
- 46:43So if you like reduce that to 650 megawatts, I think that's,
- 46:48you know, something in the order of like $35 billion of value.
- 46:51I mean, it's crazy. It's wild.
- 46:55I mean, I, I'm so happy that finally these technologies are
- 46:59getting their due and we're and they're getting these big
- 47:01contracts and you know, they're finally getting these, you know,
- 47:05relationships with utility companies where they can
- 47:08actually provide value to both utility, the customer, the end
- 47:12customer, whether that be a data center and manufacturing plants,
- 47:16etcetera, as well as the benefits flowing directly to
- 47:19everyday people in terms of reductions in their utility
- 47:23rates or downward pressure. So those utility rates are going
- 47:26to rate are going to increase more slowly as a result of
- 47:30increased and improved grid utilization.
- 47:33So the thing I don't understand is why it's not just mandatory
- 47:37for all 160 plus investor owned utilities to hire somebody like
- 47:41this by the end of the year? I mean, maybe because their
- 47:44regulators just don't know that solutions like this are out
- 47:47there, but there are so many. I mean, I think about the work
- 47:50that the utilized coalition is doing and they're kind of a
- 47:52group of service providers that also have different solutions
- 47:56that can help to meet this moment in terms of like better
- 48:00utilizing the grid that we already have.
- 48:02We're seeing some states take action.
- 48:04Virginia recently passed a law that they are going to actually
- 48:09even just try and analyze how much capacity is available on
- 48:14their grid. As I was mentioning, like a lot
- 48:16of these utilities, they don't even know they they don't know
- 48:18what their current grid utilization is.
- 48:20So putting them into a posture where they have to prove that
- 48:24they need the poles and the wires before they actually
- 48:28construct them. It seems like common sense to
- 48:30me. Oh, totally, totally.
- 48:32I mean, it does feel like a big unlock and I'm glad to see folks
- 48:36starting to use it. Absolutely.
- 48:37Well, it was absolutely wonderful talking to Amit and
- 48:41learning about his solution and all the hard data he has about
- 48:44the value. So yeah, let's hope that more
- 48:48utilities get wise to this. Welcome to Ask Jigger, our
- 48:57weekly segment where Jigger answers your questions about
- 48:59energy and honestly anything else you're wondering about.
- 49:02Huge thanks to our sponsor, Octopus Energy for making this
- 49:05segment possible. And a quick reminder, anyone who
- 49:09sends in a question that Jigger answers on the show gets an
- 49:11Energy Empire hat from our brand new merch store.
- 49:15So send them in. OK, let's get into it.
- 49:18Our first question comes from Tommy Burbis.
- 49:21And he asks Jigger, what's your read on Freedom Forever's recent
- 49:25bankruptcy? They were one of the largest
- 49:27residential installers in the country.
- 49:29So what does it signal for the retrofit residential market,
- 49:33which you may need to define for people, Jigger?
- 49:35And why is it so hard for retrofit residential companies
- 49:38to survive in the first place? Yeah, it's a great question and
- 49:42one that I think is, you know, come to the fore in the last
- 49:45year just because we've had so many bankruptcies, not just
- 49:48Freedom Forever, but also Synova and Sun Power and I think over
- 49:52100 installers. Basically the market that they
- 49:55serve is existing residential homes, right?
- 49:58So you have a home that already exists, someone knocks on your
- 50:02door and says would you like to put solar panels on the roof and
- 50:06a battery in the garage? And if you say yes, then they
- 50:09put it in motion, file permits, do all the things.
- 50:13And a lot of them get financed right from people like Synova or
- 50:16Sun Power in the past. And today it'd be Sunrun or
- 50:18Palmetto. And what you find is, is that
- 50:22over time, what happened is we had low interest rates and you
- 50:26had a lot of competition between, you know, Good Leap and
- 50:29Sunrun and Sonova and others. And so they would give people
- 50:33credit. For instance, they would say,
- 50:34hey, you know, we'll give you milestone payments while you're
- 50:38installing the solar project. And so every time you hit a
- 50:41milestone, we'll wire more money into your account.
- 50:44And so folks started being a lot leaner with how much money they
- 50:47had in the bank account. And then as things got worse for
- 50:52folks like Synova, they started paying people late.
- 50:54They started paying that 30 days.
- 50:56They started paying that 60 days, they started paying that
- 50:5890 days. And for people like Freedom
- 51:00Forever, they're like, wait, you know, I'm running pretty tight
- 51:03here. I don't have all this extra
- 51:05money to pay salaries and do all this stuff while you're paying
- 51:09me late, right? And my balance sheet isn't
- 51:11strong enough to be able to go get $100 million loan from the
- 51:14local credit union to be able to cover these losses, right?
- 51:18And so one of the big problems is, is that we've basically run
- 51:22everything too hot. And when things, you know, went
- 51:26S like in this case, higher interest rates, weaker solar
- 51:30financing companies, then, you know, there was this domino
- 51:33effect that, you know, really took down freedom forever.
- 51:35All right. Our next question comes from
- 51:37Nikhil Vinod. And Nikhil says Jigger.
- 51:40Here's a What if, say, AI infrastructure turns out to be
- 51:44overbuilt and the energy it actually needs comes in well
- 51:47below the predictions, which is certainly something that people
- 51:50are speculating about. In that world, what becomes the
- 51:53main use for all of the extra generation that we have built?
- 51:57Yeah, it's a good question and one that I think we're not quite
- 52:01at that stage yet. So there's, you know, let's call
- 52:03it 35 one plus GW data centers that have announced that they're
- 52:08under construction. When you look at the actual
- 52:10data, most of them are way delayed, right?
- 52:13They were supposed to start construction in 2026.
- 52:16Now most of them have been delayed into 20272028.
- 52:19I think the bigger risk is not that the load doesn't show up
- 52:23from AI data centers. My sense is that lots of people
- 52:26are using AI, and I think there's going to be a lot of AI
- 52:29load. I think the real disruption is
- 52:31going to be local versus central, right?
- 52:34So there's training for data centers, right?
- 52:37So that's training a new model. And right now that's maybe 500
- 52:40megawatts of load to train a new model.
- 52:43That number is predicted to go to 4000 megawatts by the end of
- 52:46the decade to train a new model. And then there's inference,
- 52:50right, which is you playing with the cloud app or the ChatGPT app
- 52:53or creating an agent or doing whatever it is that you do with
- 52:56AI. And a lot of those tasks can be
- 52:59A5 MW data center near your home or a 500 kilowatt data center
- 53:04that's in an abandoned office building or 100 kilowatt data
- 53:08center that's in the back of a telecom tower or even A50
- 53:11kilowatt data center like our friend Archer was experimenting
- 53:15with with Span IO and his partnership with NVIDIA and
- 53:19Pulte Homes. And so if that happens and we
- 53:22move to inference closer to the edge and we don't need these one
- 53:26GW data centers, then that capacity could be excess
- 53:30capacity. Right now we're not there
- 53:32because we're so far behind and building a lot of that capacity
- 53:36that we haven't built a lot of excess capacity.
- 53:38And I would suggest to you that we're going to figure out
- 53:41whether we can move data centers to the edge by the end of this
- 53:44year. And I think, I think we are
- 53:46going to successfully do that. And I think a lot of these one
- 53:48GW data centers are going away. Next Uluche Smith, says Jigger.
- 53:53I work in hydropower, and I've always wondered why it never
- 53:56gets the attention that wind, solar, nuclear and storage do.
- 54:00Is it the price? The assumption that the good
- 54:02hydro resources are already tapped, which Canadian advocates
- 54:06say isn't true? Why doesn't hydro generate the
- 54:09same excitement as its peers? And is it doomed to follow coal
- 54:13towards obsolescence? Oh, well, I know that when we
- 54:17worked at LPO, we maybe heard from the hydro industry that we
- 54:23weren't like investing a lot in the development of that
- 54:26technology. So I think that that relates to
- 54:29this question. What do you think about this
- 54:30jigger? Yeah.
- 54:31So I spent a lot of time on hydro while we were serving and
- 54:34there's a couple of big problems with hydro.
- 54:36One is, is that most of the best sites in the United States have
- 54:40been used. I mean, that's not true for
- 54:41Canada, but it is true for the US.
- 54:44The sites that are available now are much smaller sites and
- 54:47they're largely owned by the Army Corps of Engineers.
- 54:50And so you need permission from them to use some of their non
- 54:53power dams. They're called to add power
- 54:56infrastructure to the dams. And then if you remember, we
- 55:00couldn't actually finance those other loan programs office
- 55:02because of the federal Nexus, like we couldn't lend money to
- 55:05something that the Army Corps of Engineers was a part of.
- 55:09And so there's some of that. The other problem that you have
- 55:12is that we have a lot of old hydro dams.
- 55:14And if you just upgraded them with new software and new
- 55:17equipment, etcetera, you could double, triple the amount of
- 55:20energy that they produce. But it takes like 5 years to get
- 55:23through the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to get
- 55:25approval to do that. And so I know that the Trump
- 55:28administration is trying to make all of that more streamlined,
- 55:30but I think they're working more on nuclear than they are in
- 55:32hydro. And then the last piece of it is
- 55:35it the people who own hydro assets are sticks in the mud.
- 55:38So they're like electric utilities or they're like old
- 55:41people who are 80 years old and love the money that comes off of
- 55:45them. So when you go to them to try to
- 55:47buy the hydro assets off of them and say you're not doing
- 55:49anything with these, we'd love to buy them and upgrade them.
- 55:52They make your life a living hell to try to buy these assets
- 55:55from them. And so you're just like, screw
- 55:57it, I'm going to work on geothermal and nuclear because
- 55:59like, I'd rather do that than, you know, like work on hydro.
- 56:02And so hydro needs a refresh. And we never did a hydro liftoff
- 56:05report, but we need to. And that's all for Ask Jigger
- 56:09this week. Remember, you can send in your
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- 56:35Thanks so much.