Latest / What Bitcoin Did / Is Bitcoin Losing Its Miners to AI? | Nacho Pauls
Transcript
- 0:00Our vision was one, his vision was different. Why would he stay? It was, you know, of course,
- 0:08it was not a pleasant conversation. It was long, it was arduous. It was painful because as human
- 0:13beings, I love them both. And again, I wish them the best. The bug started growing and the insanity
- 0:19of AI hit us, you know, like a punch in the gut out of nowhere. So when AI came, obviously, every
- 0:26public miner had to pivot.
- 0:28Will not say it enough.
- 0:29Every time somebody asks me, hey, I want to be a miner.
- 0:31It's like, no, buy Bitcoin and forget about it.
- 0:34If you're crazy enough to put in everything you have and more, eat dirt for two years
- 0:40and then get two more years of pain, mistakes and everything on your belt, then you might,
- 0:48might, and this is a big might, make it on the Bitcoin mining industry.
- 0:54Let's go.
- 0:55Cheers.
- 0:55Cheers.
- 0:55In Mexico. This is my first time in Mexico.
- 0:58Yeah, I don't know how many times I've been here, but for a thing like this, it's my first time ever.
- 1:04Let's go.
- 1:04Number one podcast in the world. Come on.
- 1:06There you go.
- 1:08Oh, man, have we got some stuff to get into today.
- 1:11Drama, drama, drama.
- 1:12All the drama.
- 1:14So when I first heard about Ocean, when you guys launched, this would have been end of 23?
- 1:18Yeah.
- 1:19I thought it was awesome.
- 1:21This is exactly what I think Bitcoin needed, Bitcoin mining needed.
- 1:23And then almost immediately, you guys get pulled into this controversy, this civil war, holy war, Iran, Bit.110, all driven mainly from your side, at least, through Luke and through Mechanic.
- 1:36But Ocean is like front and center of this entire debate.
- 1:39As this thing went on, was there any point where you were worried about this ending the company?
- 1:43with the approach that we have since we're the good thing about ocean is a really healthy
- 1:49company uh meaning decisions are made by one single you know leader luke is a founder
- 1:56he was the cto when when all this started developing the good thing is the company was
- 2:02always standing on their on the ethos that we that was built on our focus was to centralize
- 2:09Bitcoin and bringing the power back to the miners. So in the middle of all this war with, you know,
- 2:14our founder and CTO running one of our, being the picture, the image of one of those sites,
- 2:21again, it's his personal belief, not the company's, but regardless, he's part of us. So we cannot
- 2:27like distance ourselves from him. The company stood still firm and we did what we set out to do,
- 2:33give the miners the choice. I want to know what happened at Ocean during this time, because
- 2:37Because like it or not, because of Lucan Mechanic, Ocean was seen as like this Bit.110, this pro-Bit.110 company.
- 2:45Did that have an impact on your business?
- 2:46Yes.
- 2:47To what degree?
- 2:49Let's fast forward to the end and then we go back chronologically.
- 2:54So fast forward to the end.
- 2:56August came.
- 2:58It happened.
- 3:00We were at 46xHash.
- 3:02We lost 20 of them.
- 3:04And it's a simple explanation.
- 3:06We didn't lose everything because we were, from the leadership, calling our miners.
- 3:11We, from the day one, told them, guys, we're going to give you the choice.
- 3:15You can signal it or not.
- 3:16It's your hash.
- 3:18It's your choice.
- 3:18You can do whatever you want with it.
- 3:21Some of the miners started signaling.
- 3:23Then a couple of weeks go by.
- 3:25They say, yeah, we don't want it anymore.
- 3:27We helped them get on and off.
- 3:30Long story short, we were the only pool that gave choice to the miners.
- 3:32That being said, fast forward, we get to this moment and our CTO was very vocal, doing a
- 3:39lot of things, proposing a proof of work change.
- 3:43He was saying a lot of things that were not aligned with the company.
- 3:48So what would you do if you were a miner?
- 3:50Like if you're mining a company and you see the CTO out there on X calling people names,
- 3:55doing all these things, would you stay?
- 3:56Absolutely not.
- 3:57And it's relatively trivial to move.
- 3:59Exactly.
- 4:00It's like, it'll take you literally an hour and a half, too.
- 4:03Of course, you need to deal with a pool and whatever,
- 4:05but it's an easy endeavor.
- 4:08But we didn't lose everything.
- 4:10And that's the point.
- 4:12People trusted us with their hash rate,
- 4:14trusted the team, trusted the pool.
- 4:16And we, since then, haven't lost a single day of work,
- 4:20a single SAT.
- 4:22We're working as day one.
- 4:24We are today sitting at 26 exahash.
- 4:27Our plan is to get to 100 by the end of the year.
- 4:29That's my personal KPI, not the company's.
- 4:31So for the audience to know, that's insane.
- 4:33I am insane, but I will be able to do this.
- 4:37I have a great team behind me, but yes, of course, we took a hit.
- 4:41On the PR side of things, it was not great.
- 4:44On the commercial side of things, it was not great.
- 4:46But the good thing is great sailors are built in rough seas.
- 4:51So here we are a few weeks, almost a month and a half after,
- 4:56sitting idle, doing exactly what we set out to do, adding new clients, growing the pool.
- 5:02And those miners that were of course obviously reacting to what happened and scared are now starting to come back Because you know to be honest and this is not supposed to be a sales pitch but I do two minutes of it We are
- 5:18the better pool. We bring in more revenue and we have the best fees in the industry. So it makes
- 5:24total sense to mine on us. So I want to know what was going on. Let's start off with sort of pre
- 5:29the Bit.10 fork. What was going on in terms of like the internal discussions at the company?
- 5:35Because I know the thing that was public just before that happened was Giacomo stepped down from the board.
- 5:40Is that right?
- 5:41Like, what was happening in those conversations?
- 5:44What forced him to step down?
- 5:46He didn't believe in what Luke was representing or trying to get the company to do.
- 5:50So as he is one of the most loved and known people in the industry,
- 5:56he's always been the one that reacted to what he believed in, not following any trends or anybody.
- 6:02In this case, he was part of the board.
- 6:03The company was doing something he was not in agreement.
- 6:05And again, this is my read on the situation.
- 6:08I don't want to put words in his mouth.
- 6:10He's a great interview, so you might have another one coming down the pipeline.
- 6:13I'll help you.
- 6:15He's a really amazing guy.
- 6:17So he said, hey, this is not representing me.
- 6:19I'm not doing it anymore.
- 6:21Again, we're jumping in and out.
- 6:23But fast forward, we restructured.
- 6:27Luke left the company.
- 6:28Giacomo's back on the board.
- 6:30So at that period before Giacomo stepped down, obviously he's back on the board now.
- 6:33Was there a sort of feeling within the company that Luke and Mechanic had to go at this point?
- 6:41I don't think it was at the company, but picture, let's put ourselves in their shoes.
- 6:46They are striving for this.
- 6:49They're proposing something that's extremely intense or problematic for the whole network, for Bitcoin itself.
- 6:56And they are doing it because they believe in it.
- 6:58So would you stay in a company that's running on the different path and staying on the main chain on Bitcoin?
- 7:03or what we believe is Bitcoin,
- 7:05or will you leave and go do what you want to do?
- 7:08Again, of course, this is the CTO, one of the founders.
- 7:12There were conversations internally that needed to be had.
- 7:14We have them.
- 7:15But out of that, they are doing their thing.
- 7:18They're still running.
- 7:20I wish them the best.
- 7:23Would I follow that?
- 7:24No.
- 7:25Do I believe in that?
- 7:26No.
- 7:27Do I want to stay and work with following that path?
- 7:31100% no.
- 7:32so and was it luke and mechanics decision to step down or were they forced out the company no it was
- 7:38a conversation no no no there's no way of forcing anybody to do this luke's been in the industry
- 7:44forever he was one of the founders like of the second pool ever he he's super well known in the
- 7:50industry he he was one of the guardians of bitcoin back in the day forcing him to do something it's
- 7:56it's beside the point of course our vision was one his vision was different why would he stay it was
- 8:04you know of course it was not a pleasant conversation it was long it was arduous
- 8:08uh it was painful because as human beings i love them both and again i wish them the best
- 8:14in their life with their families with whatever they choose to do but that's not bitcoin and i'm
- 8:19i'm the devout believer of what i've been saying since i joined the industry like bitcoin
- 8:24saved my life. I've seen Bitcoin save many people's lives. I see Bitcoin as a shining
- 8:30Bitcoin in so many ways. Why would I follow something that is not it?
- 8:34It's funny when this was all happening, like I have, I've had Mechanic on the show a couple of
- 8:38times during this whole debate. And at least at first, when I was talking to him, I kind of agreed
- 8:44with a lot of his sort of ideological beliefs about Bitcoin. Like I do think a lot of this
- 8:48stuff was spam. I was very surprised, maybe naively that they have gone as far as they've gone
- 8:53and they have actually fought themselves off the network.
- 8:56Like, I didn't see it going that far.
- 9:00I was on the same boat as you.
- 9:02Again, Mechanic is one of the smartest guys I know,
- 9:05lovely guy, father, husband, super nice.
- 9:10He's always been around the industry.
- 9:12Everybody appreciated him.
- 9:13He's great at communicating.
- 9:15We lost a great communicator.
- 9:17But when you're following something blindly
- 9:19or doing what they are doing
- 9:20and they actually believe that they're doing good,
- 9:23Maybe it's that.
- 9:24I don't know.
- 9:24It happened in the industry.
- 9:25We're talking about this off camera.
- 9:27And that division that happened, and I'll paint a picture for the audience.
- 9:31I was born in Argentina.
- 9:32We were under socialist government for 70 years.
- 9:37And the last decade or the last two decades, it got rough.
- 9:41Families were parted because of political belief, right or left.
- 9:47Friendships gone.
- 9:49Our industry was a safe haven, and this cracked us in half.
- 9:51And we lost a lot of great people, people that have been there forever, people that are great Bitcoiners, people that are really good and nice human beings, because they're following something that they believe is right.
- 10:04Again, the beautiful thing about Bitcoin is we don't get a say.
- 10:08There's consensus, and what consensus says is what we follow.
- 10:12Yeah totally And while I say I ideologically aligned in some ways with Mechanic early on technically I never sort of bought the argument but like you say it completely split Bitcoin Do you think they ever come back I hope I hope
- 10:30I hope because, again, it's not only them.
- 10:32We have a lot of friends.
- 10:34And this year, early this year, we were sharing a conference with a lovely group of Bitcoiners.
- 10:40This is like the creme of the creme, the highest echelon of our industry.
- 10:46And we're having a conversation all together.
- 10:47and we were debating amongst each other
- 10:50because we were having an intellectual conversation,
- 10:53not a passionate conversation.
- 10:55And I think we disagreed then
- 10:56because you were more Bit.10.
- 10:57I was for some of the values
- 11:00that Bit.10 stood for.
- 11:02I do think that it was rushed.
- 11:04I do think it was not the best year to do it.
- 11:06And I do think there was a lot of things
- 11:08that were not great.
- 11:09There were some that I would have said 100%,
- 11:11but that's my personal belief.
- 11:13I was like, should we protect Bitcoin
- 11:16from outside influence
- 11:19in a way that will guarantee
- 11:21the longevity of Bitcoin.
- 11:23I agree with that part.
- 11:25Then they put in there 150,000 things
- 11:28that do not align,
- 11:30had nothing to do with it,
- 11:31and there were petty bunters.
- 11:34And we can go deeper.
- 11:36One other thing that we lost,
- 11:38don't forget about this,
- 11:40we lost knots.
- 11:42Because now nobody's keeping it up.
- 11:45There's nothing.
- 11:46And everybody is running core and there's no options.
- 11:49Again, do I have anything against it?
- 11:51No.
- 11:53Yeah.
- 11:54Should we have a choice?
- 11:56Decentralize even that?
- 11:57We should.
- 11:58Yes.
- 11:59I mean, I'm not that sad we lost NARTS, personally.
- 12:03But I'm not saying that we shouldn't have alternative implementations.
- 12:05And there are other ones out there, but I do understand the point.
- 12:10Do you think, like the thing that never sat right with Ocean for me
- 12:13during this whole debacle,
- 12:14And don't get me wrong, I think Ocean's a cool company.
- 12:16I think what you're doing with data, amazing.
- 12:18We need this in the industry.
- 12:19But the thing that never sat quite right with me was you sort of being situated as a company,
- 12:24as the, you know, you're not tipping your hand on the scale when it comes to what blocks
- 12:29go into, what transactions go into a block.
- 12:31But you were kind of tipping the scale in terms of what Bitcoin should be.
- 12:35And it felt like a bit of a hypocrisy.
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- 15:20Again, why would we do that
- 15:23if we're putting the keys in your hands?
- 15:26We are giving you the autonomy as a miner.
- 15:29And bear in mind,
- 15:30for the audience that not well into how pool works We are the one or one of the few pools in the world today that actually allow the miner to be a miner and not a hasher So we don buy the hashrate from the miner and give them the Bitcoin back
- 15:44We allow them to build their blocks,
- 15:47take them, use them, put any transaction they want in there.
- 15:49They are full autonomous.
- 15:51They are actually mining, not hashing.
- 15:54That being said, on the other side,
- 15:56if there's a potential for coming up,
- 15:59why wouldn't we accommodate to the needs?
- 16:01If there's a miner that won it out of the 5,000 that are mining on Ocean today, we have to deliver for them.
- 16:09And that's what we did.
- 16:10Do I believe that we were closer to the BIP-110 side?
- 16:14100%.
- 16:15I'm not going to hide or claim something that we were in.
- 16:19But I'm not the one investing hundreds of millions of dollars, running ASICs at the highest performance,
- 16:25buying them at a risk, running different type of cooling systems everywhere in the world,
- 16:30or hunting for anything or doing everything that miners do.
- 16:33So I'm not the one that's going to make the choice
- 16:35on what that power of compute is going to point to.
- 16:38So when you say you were definitely more on the Bit.1.10 side,
- 16:42as a business, were you?
- 16:43Because Luke and Mechanic, they're out there,
- 16:46they're talking, they're doing videos,
- 16:47and sure, they'll be wearing their Ocean t-shirt
- 16:49while they're doing it or whatever,
- 16:50but they're not necessarily representing.
- 16:52I don't know today. I don't know about today if they were.
- 16:53Maybe not today, but back then.
- 16:54But they weren't necessarily speaking for the company then.
- 16:58Although, obviously, the company gets dragged into it.
- 17:00Like, did you as a company have a stance?
- 17:03We always have a stance.
- 17:05It's we have to deliver to our clients and to the miner.
- 17:08We have to make them autonomous.
- 17:09That's the ethos.
- 17:11We need to decentralize the network.
- 17:12The only way to do it is giving the power to the miner.
- 17:16What I believe personally, it's my thing.
- 17:18And I always represent the company.
- 17:19So if we were out and about at a conference and I pick a fight or I do something stupid,
- 17:26I still represent the company.
- 17:27So it's Ocean who's also going to get affected.
- 17:29And this is what happened.
- 17:30If I go there and do something stupid,
- 17:32it's not only my reputation that's staying there,
- 17:33it's also the company
- 17:34because I'm their chief commercial officer.
- 17:36I'm the guy that's, you know, the face of the thing.
- 17:39So we did a bad job about, like,
- 17:44separating personal belief from the company, probably.
- 17:47But it was pretty obvious.
- 17:48It was done in their accounts.
- 17:50It was done by them.
- 17:51It was them on stage.
- 17:52It was them on podcast.
- 17:54It was them on everything.
- 17:56The company stood pretty firm on what we lived in.
- 17:59And we're still standing here, I believe, because of that.
- 18:02Because, again, we gave the choice.
- 18:05Most other pools could have signaled to B110,
- 18:08and that would have forced the fork to work,
- 18:10and we would be talking in a different chain completely
- 18:13if they were to signal, because miners have no choice.
- 18:17If Foundry signals, every miner who's sending it to Foundry
- 18:20is on B110.
- 18:22If Antpool does it, it's BIA, Luxor, any of them,
- 18:26which they didn't, by the way, would have done it,
- 18:29The miners have no choice.
- 18:31They can change pools, but that's about that.
- 18:35Like you say, it gets messy because especially,
- 18:37I don't know exactly, I can't remember what mechanics role was,
- 18:39but Luke is the chief technical officer.
- 18:42He's in the C-suite.
- 18:43If he's talking about this,
- 18:44even if he's trying to make this a personal opinion,
- 18:47it becomes a business, like the business opinion.
- 18:50So what does this mean now for Ocean going forward?
- 18:54What are you as a company now?
- 18:55If this has been your thing for the last two years.
- 18:57it's not been our things.
- 19:00Again, the Holy Word's been there for a bit.
- 19:02It picked up pace end of the year.
- 19:04Last year, died on the sword in August.
- 19:09And again, we were there before.
- 19:11We're still here.
- 19:12We're still growing.
- 19:14We're still solid.
- 19:15What we did as a company is we took everything to a different level.
- 19:18So Jason Hughes became the CTO.
- 19:21Giacomo came back.
- 19:22Bob Brunette became the chairman of the company.
- 19:24One of the most loved and knowledgeable guys in the industry.
- 19:27I like Bob. And I thought Bob actually had one of the better, like he was obviously per Bitpontem for a long time. But I thought he handled that situation far better than the vast, vast majority of people on that side of the argument.
- 19:38And he was transparent about it. Again, truth always prevails. And on our side, it was the same. We also got Rafa Seguri to join our board. Our team is very, very, I always like this approach. What we have as a team is we have the Navy SEAL approach. We have very, very high executives that run at an insane pace and are delivering consistently a lot of results because of the way we work. And we're really healthy as a company.
- 20:04So when you turn around and say, hey, where's Ocean going?
- 20:07I just hinted it to you when we started, but I'm going to say it strongly.
- 20:11We are going to end up there at 100xHash.
- 20:13That's my personal KPI.
- 20:15We are onboarding miners as we speak.
- 20:18We're not going to stop.
- 20:19And our mission of decentralizing the network, which is the flag that we fly by, is going to be,
- 20:25today we're one of the biggest, if not the biggest or the only one standing at the gate helping to do this.
- 20:32And you see the growth of Antpool and Antpool Proxies. A lot of miners in distress because we're just coming out of a couple of years of very, very hard business and the barrier was the longest and the coldest.
- 20:50we've had since inception.
- 20:53So there's a lot of deals
- 20:54that have been done with manufacturers.
- 20:56Those manufacturers choose the pools of their choice
- 20:58because, you know, they're giving you the equipment
- 21:00and a deal and joint venturing with you
- 21:02and so on and so forth.
- 21:03So that it's allowing the Chinese pools
- 21:06to reign a network,
- 21:09which is very, very dangerous.
- 21:11I was painting a picture to one of my friends the other day
- 21:14as if today Ocean would be 100% of the network,
- 21:18which we don't want to, and that's not the point,
- 21:21we'll still be decentralized.
- 21:23Because every miner is being their own block,
- 21:26is running their own node, and doing it as it was intended.
- 21:29So if, which is really dangerous, by the way,
- 21:32we were the only pool standing,
- 21:34it would be even better than the situation it is today for Bitcoin.
- 21:37Do I want to be the only one? No.
- 21:40Do we need more pools like Ocean and pools that are in the market
- 21:43and have been forever to come on our turf and try to do what we did?
- 21:46100%.
- 21:47Yeah.
- 21:47For now?
- 21:48One of the, I think it was almost like the worst marketing moment and the best marketing moment for you when the actual fork happened.
- 21:55I think the last block was mined by Ocean.
- 21:58And then before the fork happened, and then the very first block after the fork on both sides of the chain.
- 22:03So on the Luke side of things and on the, or the B110 side of things on the main chain, we hit the first block.
- 22:14And this is, again, you know math and you know how hard that would be.
- 22:18even at 40xhash as we were back then.
- 22:21Oh, the chances are absolutely tiny.
- 22:23And for anyone listening that doesn't understand
- 22:24the sort of relevance to that,
- 22:25is basically whoever is actually running the mining machines
- 22:28can pick the transactions, pick what they signal for.
- 22:30And so because this is like a more decentralized version
- 22:32than the typical big pools you might talk about,
- 22:36it hit on both sides.
- 22:37And I remember watching the live stream
- 22:38and mechanics face when that first ocean block
- 22:41not signaling for Bit.110.
- 22:43Beautiful moment.
- 22:45I was supposed to be on holiday, by the way,
- 22:47so the audience knows.
- 22:48not happy holidays. It was very, very, very intense and very complex. But that's the beauty
- 22:55of it. We stood by something and that specific serendipitous act showed everybody, the clients,
- 23:03the industry, everybody, that we stood by what we said. Yeah. It's probably worth getting into
- 23:09why ocean is different. And in fact, let's actually take a step back further than that.
- 23:13Let's talk about the problem with minor centralization as we know it today.
- 23:17So let's paint a picture. It's dangerous on many layers. And let's start from the ground,
- 23:22which is the cornerstone of mining, power. Where's most of the industry located right now,
- 23:27or a lot of it? Texas. Yeah. And the US in general. You have some in the motherland,
- 23:34so we don't name the R word. You have some in China that's not supposed to be mining,
- 23:40but it is. And then there's nooks and crannies around the world. South and Central America.
- 23:44Paraguay has a gigawatt.
- 23:46Brazil is picking up pace.
- 23:48There's spaces.
- 23:49Then you have Canada that had a lot of mining.
- 23:52And then, of course, for obvious reasons, governments and socialism started to decrease.
- 23:59But there's an opportunity in places like Alberta now.
- 24:02There's the CBC there that's helping miners move there.
- 24:05Biddeer just announced they're going to do a 200 megawatt site over there.
- 24:09So on the power side of things, we're centralized, which is very dangerous.
- 24:14then you get the software side of things like pools you have massive pools running in today
- 24:20most of the network you have foundry which is one of the biggest and then unpool but there's also
- 24:25unpool proxies there's pools that are running unpool behind their system for the audience to
- 24:30understand this you have the chinese boogeyman behind you and then the chinese boogeyman is
- 24:34giving you the money to pay to customers on the other end and that's happening with a lot of pools
- 24:39and most people don't know who they are i'm not not gonna not getting into that kind of worms but
- 24:43But just to give some context there, so Ampool and its proxies, how much of the...
- 24:47In my opinion, we're close to 50% of the network.
- 24:50Okay.
- 24:52Maybe more.
- 24:52And we breached 50% before way, way earlier in Bitcoin's history.
- 24:57I can't exactly remember what happened then.
- 24:59Did the mining pool actually forcibly move hash rate off their pool?
- 25:05In the past, you mean?
- 25:06Yeah.
- 25:06Yeah.
- 25:06So if AMP pool plus proxies is at close to 50%, how much of an issue is that?
- 25:13The problem is what they can do with it.
- 25:16Or let's say tomorrow the government decides to regulate them or anything.
- 25:20Bitcoin is exposed.
- 25:22It's the same thing.
- 25:22If 50% of the hash rate or 50% was run by Foundry, I use pool, yes?
- 25:30If they have 55, 60% of the network running on Foundry,
- 25:32and then tomorrow somebody in government wakes up and starts regulating it everything we fight for
- 25:38is done regulating it by saying you cannot facilitate transactions to these addresses
- 25:44they're very very creative so they can regulate it in any way shape or form that's why again we've
- 25:49been fighting for the centralization and fighting for independence and sovereignty and autonomy on
- 25:55how we do and what we do with our bitcoin whatever you know that the beauty of it that how we probably fell into it I know your origin story I tell you mine in a bit But we all fell into Bitcoin because something happened to us And we were looking for that freedom for that autonomy for that way out of the system that been pushing the boot in our throat forever
- 26:16So what would be the top of the list of your fears in that scenario, though, where government comes in and tries to regulate one of these pools that might have over 50% of hash rate?
- 26:23And it will immediately change everything that we know and love about Bitcoin.
- 26:28Because, you know, if we are regulated, you hold it.
- 26:31Where do you get it from?
- 26:32Which pool is it getting?
- 26:33Do we need to trace it?
- 26:35Who's going?
- 26:36Where's the custody of it?
- 26:37How do you get your hands on it?
- 26:39Like everything we run from.
- 26:41And again, for people to understand, because most people believe that your audience is pretty knowledgeable about Bitcoin.
- 26:47But when we go out there, I just came back from Finland on stage and I was speaking to people that are barely getting into Bitcoin.
- 26:55Their first thing in their head is what Netflix is putting there, all the different platforms are putting there.
- 27:03It's like Bitcoin is bad, it's used for foul things, it's used for whatever foul endeavors.
- 27:08And it's not the point.
- 27:10We know where the transaction is.
- 27:11We can trace it point to point exactly from where it came from.
- 27:15The beauty about Bitcoin is if you want to follow it and understand where it comes from, you can follow it from inception to the other end.
- 27:25But if we don't want to, you can't.
- 27:28And there's no government, nobody in the world that can do that.
- 27:31Now, fast forward, let's say 80% of the industry is now mining in the U.S.
- 27:3760% is mining in a U.S.-based pool.
- 27:39how does
- 27:41that look
- 27:43as a business? We're a trillion dollar industry
- 27:46or several, but
- 27:48now we will be much more in the
- 27:50near future and we will
- 27:52start to get interesting. So people
- 27:54are going to come after us,
- 27:56come after our industry,
- 27:58Bitcoin, Bitcoin mining.
- 28:00It's kind of happening right now and you
- 28:02see it, what happened in Quebec with miners that are
- 28:04getting kicked out because, you know, we
- 28:06warm the oceans and
- 28:08all these
- 28:09you know, bullshit that they're claiming that we're doing
- 28:11and affecting, instead of looking at it as a safe haven,
- 28:15something that's great.
- 28:16What happened in Paraguay, we started mining there.
- 28:18The price was amazing.
- 28:20Fast forward three years, four times,
- 28:23they raised the price of energy,
- 28:24which is making Bitcoin mining really hard.
- 28:27Miners, when they're invested millions of dollars,
- 28:30there's a gigawatt of mining.
- 28:32For the audience to understand energy,
- 28:33a gigawatt of mining, it can energize three cities.
- 28:38Huge.
- 28:39half a million or more people living in them.
- 28:43It's massive.
- 28:45So if we keep that path going on the software side,
- 28:51on the hardware side, on the energy side,
- 28:52there's a problem.
- 28:54You know how the ASICs industry works.
- 28:56Today, Bitmain is still one of the most powerful
- 28:58because they sell most of the ASICs in the industry.
- 29:01That's a problem because they control it.
- 29:04What happened right now?
- 29:05A year ago, we were buying ASICs at 32 a T.
- 29:10That's the way of measuring ASICs for the people that do not know it.
- 29:15Two months ago, we could buy them for six, six and a half dollars a T.
- 29:19Same equipment, same machine.
- 29:21S21 XP, one of the best performance in the industry.
- 29:24So what's the reaction of a manufacturer?
- 29:27I'm not going to launch the new model because if I launch it, I'm going to cannibalize my own business.
- 29:32So I'm seeking on it.
- 29:33That's the power that a guy that has 70, 80% of the markets is running.
- 29:37So it's beyond just government.
- 29:40It's the industry itself.
- 29:42And I don't know if this is still happening, but I remember stories from, you know, way
- 29:46back where Bitmain were making these machines and then plugging them in themselves, having
- 29:49a huge advantage over the rest of the market before they would even sell them to the public.
- 29:54That's, I believe in the same thing.
- 29:57I cannot prove it, but let's paint a picture.
- 30:00If you were a businessman, ruthless, like our friends from the big country are, would you do it or not?
- 30:06Of course.
- 30:07Makes total sense.
- 30:08Would you buy, would you sell new equipment that outperforms by 25 to 50% the equipment that you have right now on the market?
- 30:16Will you come out with it right now, cannibalizing everything, making your own equipment useless instead of like keep the business going?
- 30:24Again, Bitcoin mining is a lovely business, but it's hard and cruel.
- 30:30Is the state of mining centralization getting better or worse?
- 30:33Like if you take, say, the last, I don't know, five years, have we improved in any way outside
- 30:38of things like, we'll come to Datum and, you know, Stratum V2 and that stuff later, but
- 30:43in terms of the power, the machines, the location of the miners, are we getting any better? And the
- 30:48pools? I think we're getting better now. And we got a lovely nudge from AI coming into the world
- 30:57and building data centers.
- 30:59And I'll explain to the audience why.
- 31:02So Bitcoin mining started being industrial,
- 31:06heavily industrial around 2020.
- 31:09And then it started taking off We were able to raise money The pubcoes started popping up The Maras of the World the Clean Sparks the Core
- 31:22all the miners that were iron,
- 31:24all the miners started picking up and building something that was done.
- 31:28Let's say informally or on the cowboy side of things.
- 31:31You know, we were going out there, throwing containers, mining.
- 31:35Then it started ramping up into an industrial build, like 100 megawatts.
- 31:3950 megawatts, 200 megawatts, massive sites that started going up.
- 31:44So obviously the hashrates started to condensate into those big vehicles,
- 31:50the Bob Cosen Air.
- 31:51So all the miners that were small to mid-size couldn't have access to anything,
- 31:57infrastructure, ASICs, because they cannot compete.
- 31:59Why? Because the prices, of course, are different.
- 32:01If you're buying 200 megawatts worth of S21s or M66s or A2s
- 32:07from any of the different manufacturers,
- 32:10you have an edge.
- 32:11You're negotiating.
- 32:12Again, this is a business.
- 32:13You're negotiating with different terms.
- 32:14So if I come in and say,
- 32:16hey, by the way, I want $2,000.
- 32:19I was like, oh, honey, thank you very much.
- 32:22Wait in line.
- 32:22You're going to pay 3x the price
- 32:25that these big guys are saying.
- 32:26And these guys were buying ahead of time,
- 32:29buying before they even came to market with ASICs,
- 32:33which was in my head, I was like,
- 32:34I'm a math guy.
- 32:35I'm a technical guy.
- 32:37I know what I'm doing.
- 32:38Why would I buy something I have never tested?
- 32:40It's, in my head, was insane.
- 32:42I couldn't even fathom the idea of doing it.
- 32:45These miners were doing it because they have public money behind it.
- 32:48They need to be, you know, the bell of the bell.
- 32:50They need to announce it so they could keep raising money,
- 32:52keep building the company, keep getting to those numbers.
- 32:55So this happened.
- 32:57And then last year, we got, the bug started growing
- 33:02and the insanity of AI hit us, you know, like a punch in the gut.
- 33:07like out of nowhere, like something that we were seeing, you know, two, three years ahead of time,
- 33:11all of a sudden, you know, strap on jets and start going. So when AI came, obviously, every public
- 33:20miner had to pivot. And I'll explain why. So Bitcoin mining is really complex. And the core
- 33:25of everything is price of power. When you sign a PPA or a contract with an energy company, it's
- 33:33usually five years or 10 years or 15 years back in the day you could mine at a high price of power
- 33:38yeah because with the performance of the equipment the size of the network and everything you were
- 33:42still profitable when you're saying a high price what are you talking is this like anything over
- 33:46five cents okay anything over five cents five and a half cents made sense we were making money
- 33:52we were in the green depending on which equipment you were running what uptime you were running at
- 33:58or for the audience to know, we need to run 365, 24-7,
- 34:02or as close to that as possible,
- 34:04meaning 95% to 98% uptime will get you in the green.
- 34:08Anything under, you're in trouble.
- 34:10Even with curtailment in Texas,
- 34:12even with anything that can change that number.
- 34:15And then after that, you need to have performing equipment
- 34:17and then a team that can operate it and keep it running.
- 34:22So it's extremely hard.
- 34:23Don't do it.
- 34:24Buy Bitcoin.
- 34:25So if you're crazy enough to mine,
- 34:27Now, again, we were on that cowboy route.
- 34:30Then we started getting industrialized.
- 34:32And now we're coming to a point where when you had a PPA signed at over five cents with the halving coming up in 28,
- 34:42anybody who's over four and a half, five as a ceiling sent power.
- 34:46It's not going to be profitable, no matter what you're running, no matter what you're running.
- 34:51So this insanity of AI came in and this is an opportunity.
- 34:56So I have a PPA for the next 10 years.
- 34:57I have to pay a high price of power.
- 34:59My data center, it's similar.
- 35:02For the audience to know, to build a Bitcoin mining facility,
- 35:06you invest around $1.5 million per megawatt.
- 35:09To do the same thing on AI, you need to invest $15 million,
- 35:13which is insane.
- 35:15Every Bitcoiner eventually has to answer one question.
- 35:18If something happened to me, could my family access my Bitcoin?
- 35:21Would my children inherit what I've spent years stacking?
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- 36:49Just to dig into that, the reason being, because like,
- 36:51To mine Bitcoin, you can essentially throw a shed up in a field with a massive fan and stick machines in there and it'll work.
- 36:56I know it's not going to be the most.
- 36:57I hate your guts for saying that, but yeah.
- 36:59It's really hard. It's not that simple.
- 37:01But for the sake of the metaphor, let's say it is that.
- 37:05And then for an AI data center, it needs to be the most high-tech data center you've ever seen.
- 37:10Not the most high, but you need triple everything.
- 37:14Everything needs to be redundant.
- 37:15Why? Because you need to run at 100% or 99.99999.
- 37:19So the bug eats and eats and eats and never stops.
- 37:22Bitcoin mining can curtail or shut off, shut down.
- 37:26You know, we can withstand a little bit of a wave.
- 37:31Yeah.
- 37:31So these high prices of power, this hype behind it, the network got this like massive spike.
- 37:41So of course, the bigger the network is, the harder it is to get blocks because the competition is heavier.
- 37:48heavier. So fast forward, AI comes along, money is behind it. Our knowledge of building data
- 37:55centers, it's pretty similar. For people to understand this, like building a data center
- 38:02for Bitcoin mining, it's like running a simple Ford V8. It's complex, it's hard, but if you tune
- 38:13it right, runs like a dream. Now we go to a HPC. This is like the highest tech Tesla running with
- 38:19a B12 behind it and, you know, getting to 15,000 horsepower. This is like a whole different ballgame,
- 38:28but it's still a car, still has an engine, still has four wheels. You still have to do aerodynamics
- 38:34and you can work on it. So our knowledge is pretty similar. So there was an opportunity with people
- 38:40that have the background and have built this
- 38:43to scale that to a different level
- 38:46and start complementing.
- 38:48So the PopCo's did what they did.
- 38:50They started diversifying into AI HPC.
- 38:53Can I ask one question there?
- 38:54Is part of this as well that they had these 5, 10,
- 38:5715-year power contracts with the grids
- 39:00and they had these at like pretty good prices,
- 39:03so therefore they were just sat in the perfect position
- 39:05to capitalize on AI?
- 39:07Yes, that's my personal belief.
- 39:09And again, you have a team that knows what they're doing because they already did it several times.
- 39:13And we are really fast and really intense on doing it in our industry because we are chasing that 21, beautiful 21.
- 39:20And the faster we grow, the faster we get to it.
- 39:23And the more we mine, the more we can get of it.
- 39:26So team that knows what they're doing, relationship with energy companies, and the context of what's going to happen after 28.
- 39:36So all that being said, the strategy was smart.
- 39:40The ones that were first are now reaping what they are doing
- 39:43because, again, to build a Bitcoin mining site,
- 39:46it takes, if you have mid-voltage energy, four to six months.
- 39:50If you're not amazing at it, we can do it in four months.
- 39:54Then if you want to build an AI HPC data center
- 39:57with constraints now on infrastructure,
- 40:00with everything that's going on in the world today,
- 40:02if you are the best of the best in the world today,
- 40:04it'll take you two and a half years.
- 40:06crazy so the people need to do the math like you're going to pay for power not energy but
- 40:10you're going to pay for power that that contract you need to sign for it and then you build for
- 40:14two years they're not going to let you move in their backyard eat their barbecue and you're not
- 40:18paying anything yeah so it's much more complex than most people know that being said we're
- 40:26complimentary there's a lot of investment coming in and it's the new hot thing in the market so
- 40:31So funds are throwing money at it.
- 40:34And so smart CEOs of our pubcos, which we know most of them, and they're really, really smart, took the chance to start right in the way.
- 40:41So we went from 1.3 Zeta hash to 9.8.
- 40:48Then we have it in this context that, you know, we shrunk and there was a little bit of breathing air.
- 40:55We went down to 60.
- 40:57And then we saw the real bottom when it comes to infrastructure.
- 41:01We lost 10% of the network in that.
- 41:05And we actually saw how expensive it is to generate the asset, Bitcoin.
- 41:09And for context, again, like Bitcoin price goes up and down.
- 41:13Hash rate never really goes down before this.
- 41:16Like there's obviously very quick spikes.
- 41:18Like when the China Bank came out, the hash rate dropped for a minute.
- 41:20But to see like actual bear market hash rate, this is probably, is this the first one really?
- 41:26That I've been a part of?
- 41:27Yes.
- 41:27To my knowledge, I think it's yes,
- 41:29because at the size that we are right now,
- 41:31it makes a difference back then,
- 41:34when probably it happened. We didn't even care.
- 41:36And so give me some more context around
- 41:39So you have, let's say you have a, you know, gigawatt mining site, huge mining site, and AI comes along.
- 41:46How much more money are you going to pivot, assuming you can relatively easily change the data center?
- 41:51How much more money are you going to make doing high power compute for AI rather than mining Bitcoin?
- 41:55So I'll use your metaphor, which is, I don't know a place in the world that can do that.
- 41:59There's no place that can turn upside down fast or have the infrastructure.
- 42:03But let's paint a picture for the sake of the conversation.
- 42:05If you had a site of a gigawatt, let's go smaller because a gigawatt is insane.
- 42:10But let's say you have 100 megawatts, which is extremely expensive and complex, but it's doable.
- 42:16You have 100 megawatts of, and the data center is compatible with AI HPC.
- 42:22Right now, ready to go, you will get $280 a megawatt, which is insane.
- 42:29Insane.
- 42:31That's right now ready to go power.
- 42:32If you had to build it and then withstand the wave, take those two years, the number is not going to be the same.
- 42:38But for power right now, ready to go, it's that high, which is crazy.
- 42:43It's 280 versus what with Bitcoin?
- 42:4560.
- 42:46Okay, so it's not even close.
- 42:47No, I wouldn't even flinch.
- 42:50And so is this a threat to Bitcoin mining in any way?
- 42:53Or is this actually a really good opportunity which will allow Bitcoin mining to decentralize to different parts of the world?
- 42:58you got me at hello. But yeah, that's exactly what I believe in. Everybody was complaining and
- 43:05freaking out. Every time I go on stage or I sit down with anybody to have this conversation like
- 43:10with you, they're all freaking out. Bicomine is dying. Bicomine is shrinking. We're going to lose
- 43:15the miners. We're going to lose everything. For me, it's completely the opposite. The big guys are
- 43:20interested in AI because there's money and there's good returns and they have the knowledge. Yes.
- 43:24Are they going to diversify and do both?
- 43:26Yes.
- 43:28Are there some that are going to go 100% into HPC?
- 43:30Probably.
- 43:32Are there some that are going straight into infrastructure,
- 43:35like Bitfarms that became Kiel now?
- 43:38They're doing only infrastructure.
- 43:40Ben is one of the smartest guys.
- 43:42I know a Bitcoiner at heart.
- 43:44He saw an opportunity for the company to flourish.
- 43:45He took it.
- 43:46They're doing amazing.
- 43:48And then what happens with everybody else?
- 43:51So now the big guys are not growing at an insane pace.
- 43:55So they're not buying as many ACs as they bought.
- 43:58They're not chasing as much infrastructure as they were chasing.
- 44:03So now there's an opportunity.
- 44:05And where the opportunity lies is twofold.
- 44:10One, the small and mid-sized miners now have enough breathing room to pick up the pace and grow and become bigger and bigger and bigger.
- 44:17That's the one thing.
- 44:17decentralizing that power, that hash power in many, many companies that have the opportunity to grow
- 44:24because the big guys are looking elsewhere. And then the second thing is Bitcoin mining.
- 44:29From now on, we were industrial up to now. Now we have to be not only industrial, but also
- 44:35exceptional and understand financial markets. Because after 28, if you're not mining at a
- 44:41great price of power, meaning you have to find a place in the world where like Waha in Texas,
- 44:46Minus six cents an MBTU.
- 44:48That's how you actually measure.
- 44:50Say that again.
- 44:50What does that mean?
- 44:51The MBTU is how you measure the price of gas.
- 44:53Okay.
- 44:54Yes.
- 44:55Negative six cents, it's unheard of.
- 44:58The price of gas in most of the places in the world is one and a half, two cents an MBTU or more.
- 45:03What do you mean minus though?
- 45:04You're getting paid to take it.
- 45:06Yes.
- 45:07And I explain why.
- 45:08To take oil out of the dirt, you need to, obviously, when you're drilling, you get gas.
- 45:14That gas for the oil companies that if there's no pipeline or anywhere to sell it to or to whom, there's nothing to do with it.
- 45:23But you cannot keep digging for oil if you don't do anything with that gas because you're not allowed for obvious reasons.
- 45:31You know, regulation, environment, so on and so forth.
- 45:34So they can't just burn it?
- 45:36You can, but it's expensive.
- 45:38Okay.
- 45:38So that's where we come in as a savior, a knight in shining armor, and say, hey, we'll take that gas out of your hand.
- 45:44Demi announced a beautiful contract.
- 45:46We might, again, remember, there's no pipeline.
- 45:49This is the middle of nowhere.
- 45:51You cannot put an AI HPC data center.
- 45:53There's no fiber.
- 45:54There's no grid.
- 45:55There's nothing to overcompensate for the moments
- 45:58when that goes up and down or there's any issues.
- 46:01So Bitcoin miners have to find these places like Waha,
- 46:05Calgary, and Alberta.
- 46:07These places, gas is 1.5, almost 2 cents Canadian
- 46:11and MBTU, which is an opportunity to get cheap power.
- 46:15How will that convert into actual power for a miner?
- 46:18It will get you into the mid three cents a kilowatt hour,
- 46:21which is a perfect price of power for Bitcoin mining
- 46:23for the next 10, 12 years.
- 46:26Then there's places like we were discussing, Brazil.
- 46:30Brazil has a massive, it's a massive country.
- 46:33It's six countries in a country
- 46:35because they have their states
- 46:36and each state is run specifically in a way
- 46:38with different leadership.
- 46:39But the whole generation in Brazil, it's outgrowing the demand.
- 46:44So every other country is growing and they have not enough energy Brazil is still growing because there are a lot but the grid is overcompensating There going to be more energy So the price of power is going down in the next years
- 46:58That being said,
- 46:59you have to navigate Latin America
- 47:00and all the beautiful colors
- 47:02and benefits of being there.
- 47:05Importation tax,
- 47:05and there's a lot of things
- 47:06that are constrained.
- 47:08And then I'll talk about a bad one,
- 47:11a bad experience, Ethiopia.
- 47:12Three years ago,
- 47:13everybody came to me,
- 47:14Nacho, we're going to Ethiopia.
- 47:15They're giving you two cent power.
- 47:16It's crazy.
- 47:17It's like, guys, don't do it.
- 47:19No, no, you don't know anything.
- 47:20You're jealous.
- 47:21Like, you don't know enough.
- 47:22It's like, guys, don't do it.
- 47:23You're going into a country that's destabilized,
- 47:26that has a government that's greedy.
- 47:28So long story short, fast forward three years,
- 47:31there's a lot of hydropower in Ethiopia,
- 47:34but there's a shitty greed.
- 47:35So people there don't get, you know,
- 47:37they have half of the time they don't have the lights on
- 47:40or AC or heat or whatever.
- 47:43So the government allowed miners to move in,
- 47:46massive investments were made, substations, infrastructure, and everything. And now they
- 47:50raise the price of power for the fourth time. They're raising the price of importation to 100%.
- 47:55So we went from 0% for importation, so they move in. Now anything you need from a fund to a chip
- 48:01to a board at 100%, we're losing money. Crazy. So we have to be creative. We're going to have
- 48:08opportunities like Oaxaca, Calgary, Peru is the only other market that I know of in America.
- 48:15that's decentralized like Texas.
- 48:18Is it the same?
- 48:19No, it's Latin America.
- 48:20It's rough.
- 48:21It's really raw.
- 48:22It's green.
- 48:23But there's a lot of hydro.
- 48:24There's a lot of, there's thermal.
- 48:27There's a lot of generation
- 48:28that's lying there dormant and doing nothing
- 48:31because there's no grid that will withstand it.
- 48:35As someone who's been to Africa,
- 48:37I've not been to Ethiopia.
- 48:38I've been to the Ethiopian border,
- 48:39but I've been to Kenya a couple of times,
- 48:41see Eric from Gridless.
- 48:43I love Eric.
- 48:43Shout out to Eric.
- 48:44He's awesome.
- 48:45but I am very well aware from those trips
- 48:48that if you're not from that place,
- 48:49you probably shouldn't go and try
- 48:50and do business in that place.
- 48:51Like when I travel around with him,
- 48:54he's the only reason I'm still alive today, probably.
- 48:57I wouldn't take it that far.
- 48:58No, no, no.
- 48:58These are beautiful countries, but yeah.
- 49:00No, no, seriously.
- 49:01The trip we did,
- 49:01like I'm not sure we would have survived it.
- 49:03So me and Eric Yakes went out
- 49:04to see Eric and Philip from Gridless
- 49:05and we took a road trip from Nairobi
- 49:0930 hours over a few days
- 49:10up to the Ethiopian border
- 49:12and they were looking at building
- 49:13a solar grid out there.
- 49:15Like I think it was a megawatt,
- 49:16quite relatively small,
- 49:17but this place has zero power.
- 49:20And one interesting thing
- 49:22that maybe we should talk about
- 49:22is how the price of solar
- 49:23has come down dramatically.
- 49:25And in Eric's belief,
- 49:26makes Bitcoin mining with solar
- 49:28like actually very viable out there.
- 49:30But we went to this place
- 49:31and so it's a village
- 49:32in the middle of nowhere.
- 49:33It's not even on a map.
- 49:34You can't find it on Google Maps
- 49:35or whatever.
- 49:36They have no power
- 49:37and he wants to build
- 49:38a megawatt solar plant
- 49:39and supply power
- 49:41both to the village
- 49:43as long as they're willing to pay more than the Bitcoin mining network will pay and then also
- 49:46mine Bitcoin. And this is, I think, back to the beauty of Bitcoin mining, which AI compute cannot
- 49:51contend with. Like you're saying with the gas site in the middle of nowhere in America,
- 49:55is that latency doesn't matter. Fiber doesn't matter. You throw up a Starlink, you could do it.
- 50:01Not even that. Eric in that site is mining with an LTE chip, like an old chip with a cell phone
- 50:07network on Ocean because he's running Datum, so he doesn't need to have a massive connection.
- 50:11and we tested it for fun in that specific place.
- 50:15And you're talking about a beautiful, soulful story.
- 50:19Let's bring it up a notch.
- 50:21What Biddeer and Riot did for Roxdale,
- 50:24a town that was dying in Texas,
- 50:26people were leaving,
- 50:28the young people were not going to stay in the town.
- 50:31There was a massive coal company
- 50:33that was commissioned,
- 50:36obviously because it was polluting everything.
- 50:39and then bitcoin miners came in took that substation started building you know two things
- 50:48first infrastructure then started bringing in business because you know employees and everything
- 50:52hiring people there's a beautiful story at the big deer facility there's a retired teacher
- 50:5975 year old that's fixing chips in their lap which for me was like wow like a community that
- 51:07dying, a town that was disappearing in the middle of nowhere, Texas, suddenly flourished because we
- 51:11moved in at an insane pace. I'm talking about months. This came from nothing to existence in
- 51:18months. And then two of the biggest miners in the world moved in there. And now a town is flourishing.
- 51:23People are staying. There's jobs. There's restaurants. There's hotels. There's everything
- 51:27because you need to accommodate the people that are there. Schools started working again.
- 51:32hospital picked up, you know, everything. So we did it on a smaller scale with Eric.
- 51:40The same thing happened in Paraguay. Paraguay has a shitty, shitty grid. But now with Bitcoin
- 51:46miners in there, for you to do the math, 100 megawatts of Bitcoin mining in Paraguay, it's
- 51:51$4.5 million of electricity a month. And there's a gigawatt. So there's 10 of those.
- 51:59Crazy And those we pay real good on first day of the month because we kind of live with you know hey by the way we going to shut off your electricity because
- 52:11No.
- 52:12So the first thing we pay is our electricity bill.
- 52:15And don't get me started on what you can do with that amount of money
- 52:17in countries like Paraguay, Kenya.
- 52:21Even rural towns in America.
- 52:24So I remember the first time Troy Cross came on the podcast,
- 52:28which would have been 2021 maybe um and he said something that i've never sort of forgotten i think
- 52:35he's completely right in that he always said that bitcoin is like the dung beetle of energy
- 52:39like the place that it the places it will go will outperform everyone else because it's willing to
- 52:42go to the most remote the most it's like the worst form of energy as long as it's the right price it
- 52:47doesn't matter if it's grid connected or if it has huge latency it's not near a town it doesn't have
- 52:51like it doesn't need any of that like that's bitcoin's speciality do you think that's the
- 52:56future we're moving to? And do you think sort of the public Bitcoin mining story might be over?
- 53:02I believe that mining at a small scale, and Tyler will kill me for saying this,
- 53:09but I think we're far from the retail side of things. I think there's a future with retail,
- 53:15and we'll get into it in a minute. But let me get back to your question. So
- 53:18what I believe is, and I'll use two examples of right now happening situations. Finland,
- 53:24I was just there. They're running 30 megawatts of infrastructure at a very high price of power,
- 53:31but they're selling the heat that's generated by the miners.
- 53:34Is this the one that's going back to the municipality to start heating the water?
- 53:39Exactly. Exactly that. So it's a country where it's four months of the year, it's dark,
- 53:44it's extremely cold. So the heat is an asset. So the municipalities are buying,
- 53:50by the way 30 megawatts of of heat it's massive yeah so the municipalities are buying the heat
- 53:56out of the miners they're charging of course the price of power because again these countries are
- 54:00not known for having spare energy but they do need the heat so they pay the high price of power
- 54:06they sell the heat they balance to a number that makes sense for bitcoin mining and they can expand
- 54:11as much as they want because they're bringing in for the community something that's really scarce
- 54:15over there, that is the heat to withstand that harsh winter. And then let me go on the other side.
- 54:23Odessa, Texas, the middle of nowhere. There's only like windmills, solar plants, and gas plants.
- 54:30There's a client there that's called Sanga. They managed to, with the combination of wind, solar,
- 54:37and a little bit of the greed, Bitcoin mine at a price that's unheard of. And this is without
- 54:44batteries. This is without being creative. This is like
- 54:46basic things. And this is a today thing. This is not
- 54:48like in two years or where we're
- 54:50going. So that
- 54:51definition that you called us
- 54:53before, it's perfect because that's where we are.
- 54:56And we are extremely fast to move.
- 54:58Fast to build. Fast to deploy.
- 55:00And then also fast to
- 55:01pick up and go. Like, let's paint a picture.
- 55:04Let's go back to the AI HPC thing.
- 55:06We build a site. It'll take
- 55:08us two and a half years to build that
- 55:10beautiful data center, Elon Musk
- 55:12with all the bells and whistles and all that stuff.
- 55:15Gorgeous.
- 55:16Give me a plot of land next to it.
- 55:18I'll mine the hell out of it for two and a half years.
- 55:21And the moment you're done and want to energize,
- 55:23I'll pick up and go to the next site
- 55:25that I already have, foundation built, everything done.
- 55:28So I go in with trucks and within 24 to 48 hours,
- 55:32depending on the distance, I'm mining again.
- 55:35So this allows you to monetize those sites
- 55:36before the AI would ever be able to.
- 55:38What about the public companies
- 55:40that are integrated in the Texas grid, as an example,
- 55:43where they're doing demand response as well?
- 55:44Because that's something that the AI compute can't do.
- 55:47They can do.
- 55:48But there's companies now developing software
- 55:51that can allow you to do that.
- 55:52And there's one that's already doing it.
- 55:53With AI compute?
- 55:54Yeah.
- 55:54Okay, so it's not going to be like
- 55:56these huge data centers in Texas
- 55:57are going to be running both AI compute
- 55:59and Bitcoin mining with the Bitcoin mining there
- 56:01to allow them to do the demand response.
- 56:03So some of them are going to do that.
- 56:05That will depend on the strategies
- 56:06and there's plenty of them actually doing it.
- 56:08There's an example right now, this company called Data Factory.
- 56:12They just merged with Polycloud and Andy Matter.
- 56:15Their chairman is the guy that invented Teams, David,
- 56:18back in the day when he was at Microsoft.
- 56:22So that guy is running the company.
- 56:25They build a software that can actually curtail compute.
- 56:29So they have several sites.
- 56:30If one of them needs to be curtailed because they are in the grid in Texas,
- 56:35And for the audience to know, curtailment means you shut off your mining equipment or you shut off the light and they pay you for not using it.
- 56:43That's it. That's curtailment, basically speaking.
- 56:45And this is when the city is demanding power. So it might be in a heat wave or a storm or whatever.
- 56:48What happened early this year in Texas, that cold wave that came and nobody was prepared for it, it hit the whole US.
- 56:55People were out, back in 21, it happened and they lost a lot of people because of the cold and there was no way to reach them because there was ice.
- 57:04And these cities are not ready for that kind of cold.
- 57:06In Texas, there's 300...
- 57:07In Austin, there's 300 days of sun.
- 57:09They don't even have jackets, basically.
- 57:12And they got four inches of ice on the streets I was there Nobody told me this I was there when it was happening It was after Nashville this year after the conference I was in Nashville while it happened Yeah So I escaped to Austin figuring hey Austin is super hot
- 57:26There's nothing going to happen.
- 57:26And I was stuck there.
- 57:28Couldn't even fly.
- 57:30When I got off the plane, the airport was empty.
- 57:33It was like, oh, shit, this is The Walking Dead.
- 57:35I'm actually leaving a TV show.
- 57:37So going back to the thing that we care about is when this happened, the only ones that could favor the greed in order for what happened in 21 to not happen again were Bitcoin miners because we have the ability to shut down.
- 57:52AI cannot do that.
- 57:54Are there companies on the edge that are starting to figure out how to do it like this company I just mentioned?
- 57:58Yes.
- 57:59They're really good at it and they're doing it.
- 58:01Can it be done at a high scale like with a gigawatt plan?
- 58:05I don't know.
- 58:06I don't have enough knowledge to tell you that.
- 58:09It's probably feasible and probably AI will code it to do it.
- 58:13Probably, but again, I think that that big gap of they need to run 100% all the time, no matter what.
- 58:23And we can come in and let's use another example where I'm taking everybody on a trip around the world.
- 58:28I'm a world-traveled guy and I really enjoy it.
- 58:31But it's Spain.
- 58:32What happened in Spain this year?
- 58:34They got 12 hours of blackout.
- 58:35the whole country done out boom why they kicked out all the companies that were favoring this
- 58:41curtailment because they say oh we're going to full green you know we have sun we have wind we
- 58:45have this we're the hippies of europe yay and then the grid went down down 12 hours of complete
- 58:53darkness no energy pico summer people were dying of heat stroke and then that compounded into
- 59:01within weeks into three days of that happening.
- 59:04That's a lot of hours.
- 59:05That's a lot for a whole grid to fall down.
- 59:08And it's just totally unacceptable.
- 59:10That's unacceptable.
- 59:11In this day and age, it's unacceptable.
- 59:12So what happened now?
- 59:14They're begging us to come back.
- 59:17Going back to the, do you mind with solar?
- 59:19That's the case with Spain.
- 59:21And let's take another crazy trip and go to Chile.
- 59:25Atacama Desert is the highest radiation in the world
- 59:27where you can actually have solar panels.
- 59:30It's full with it.
- 59:31There's 12 gigawatts of solar panels up there.
- 59:34No transmission.
- 59:35It's not connected anywhere.
- 59:37And again, who's built them?
- 59:39What's the point?
- 59:40They were building them because they were giving away, you know, all this money for solar when it was the hype of solar early days.
- 59:46You know, there's a lot of money to be done.
- 59:48Transmission will come.
- 59:49If we build it, they will come.
- 59:51It's a scam.
- 59:51The movie.
- 59:52I don't want to be that guy, but yeah.
- 59:54I mean, that one particularly is a scam.
- 59:56If they're doing it for government subsidies and they're not even connected to any power lines.
- 59:59They pay them to not do anything.
- 1:00:00It's a scam.
- 1:00:01yeah it's funny back to that story where i was saying i was in um saru that village way up in
- 1:00:07northern kenya um they have a load of ngos obviously go out and build stuff out there
- 1:00:11and this was another example of a very clear scam there's no power in this town they have a couple
- 1:00:17of solar panels on the roof for school which can power it during the day they have no batteries and
- 1:00:21it can only power like half the school the other solar panel they have on a well so they can get
- 1:00:25clean drinking water seems great donated by an ngo they'd never plugged it in so there was a
- 1:00:30solar panel sat there above a well that was built and it just they just couldn't use it because it
- 1:00:34never been actually connected like this stuff is insane that's but that's truth that's the truth
- 1:00:38and again if you go there up there at the camera desert it's a 38 uptime meaning we have energy for
- 1:00:4538 of the day which is not enough for bitcoin mining unless they give it to us for nothing
- 1:00:51like cheap change yeah which is what i went there and proposed to the solar companies the government
- 1:00:56And you know what the response was?
- 1:00:58No, no, no, no.
- 1:00:59We want four times that.
- 1:01:01I was like, guys, don't be stupid.
- 1:01:02Like, this is a stranded asset.
- 1:01:04We can come in here, build up a treasury for you
- 1:01:08because now it's doing nothing.
- 1:01:09I'm willing and happy to pay you.
- 1:01:10You know why they said no?
- 1:01:12Because if they energize anything,
- 1:01:14the government stops paying.
- 1:01:15It's nonsense.
- 1:01:16So it goes against the scam that we were talking about.
- 1:01:20So again, I'm giving all these examples
- 1:01:22and flying around the world.
- 1:01:23So the audience understands that we as an industry
- 1:01:26have something that's extremely valuable.
- 1:01:29We can go anywhere.
- 1:01:30We can mine anywhere.
- 1:01:31As long as the price is good,
- 1:01:32as long as there's land.
- 1:01:34And again, not plenty of land.
- 1:01:35We don't need massive places like AIHPC.
- 1:01:39I was part of a company that ran 160 megawatts,
- 1:01:43105 megawatts of mining with five acres.
- 1:01:49So I want to actually really hone in on the question
- 1:01:51you asked at the start of that,
- 1:01:52because this all sounds great.
- 1:01:54In terms of decentralizing hash rate around the world
- 1:01:56to these stranded places, awesome.
- 1:01:58But will we have public Bitcoin miners
- 1:02:01that are specifically mining Bitcoin?
- 1:02:03Or is that era kind of over it?
- 1:02:05Because the incentive to go and do AI compute
- 1:02:08is just too high now.
- 1:02:09I will ask you the same question I asked you before.
- 1:02:11You're a smart guy.
- 1:02:12You're a business-driven guy.
- 1:02:13If there's a new hot thing that's paying you a ton of money,
- 1:02:17would you follow it or not?
- 1:02:18But would you let go of the asset that got you here
- 1:02:21and you know very well it's growing
- 1:02:23and it's going to be massive?
- 1:02:24So you think at the best it's going to be like a hybrid type model.
- 1:02:29I think most of the pop codes are going to go hybrid or full on on the other side, but then you have the exceptions.
- 1:02:38Electron. Full private miner. They're running a massive amount of hash rate and they're not going anywhere close to AI for now.
- 1:02:49They're focusing on mining. And I say for now, because I don't know, I'm not the CEO, I'm not making those decisions.
- 1:02:55But again, they're focused on that.
- 1:02:57And there's plenty of the guys that we know
- 1:02:59that most of the audience do not know
- 1:03:01or never heard of that are private miners
- 1:03:02that are going their hash rate massively
- 1:03:05because there's opportunity now.
- 1:03:08So, and this is my read on the situation.
- 1:03:11And this is what I,
- 1:03:12maybe in a year we sit down again,
- 1:03:13or I'm happy to sit down as many times as you want,
- 1:03:16but in a year we sit down and say,
- 1:03:17hey, what happened?
- 1:03:18Where did the network went?
- 1:03:20My opinion is going to decrease a bit
- 1:03:22and then we start back.
- 1:03:23we're never going to see the jumps that we saw the last three years. That's, in my opinion, gone.
- 1:03:29There's no way to grow that fast, that intense, if you're not a pub co and getting, you know,
- 1:03:34public money behind it. But the reason I ask about the public companies is I know Bob Burnett,
- 1:03:38who's obviously on your board, he's never been a fan of the public mining companies. And again,
- 1:03:42I kind of want to get back to the point, what I don't want people to be as scared by this,
- 1:03:46like, migration away from Bitcoin mining to AI compute, even if it's, you know, hybrid,
- 1:03:51because I think it's actually going to be good for Bitcoin.
- 1:03:53I think it's healthy.
- 1:03:54And again, I don't think public miners are bad for our industry.
- 1:03:59I think they gave us a leg up.
- 1:04:01They improved the mining rigs.
- 1:04:03Oh yeah, I definitely don't think they were bad.
- 1:04:05They raised the bar so high that we all had to, you know,
- 1:04:08race up to the challenge.
- 1:04:09I always tell everybody, I want somebody else to come in
- 1:04:11and build something similar to Ocean and challenge me.
- 1:04:14I will win, but I'm happy to pick a fight.
- 1:04:16I'm happy to bring them in.
- 1:04:18It will be healthy for the industry.
- 1:04:19I don't want more of the same.
- 1:04:22I want something different that's doing it as Satoshi intended
- 1:04:25and helping the network to get decentralized.
- 1:04:27That will help us all because I own Bitcoin.
- 1:04:30My kids are going to have a future because of Bitcoin.
- 1:04:35I've obviously got my ears to the ground on the mining side
- 1:04:37anywhere near as much as you have.
- 1:04:39Is there anything else that's happening now
- 1:04:40that I might not be aware of that's interesting?
- 1:04:44New launch, DES23 and the A3 from BitDeer
- 1:04:47are running 10.5 joules to terahash,
- 1:04:49which is like 50% better in performance
- 1:04:53than the best thing in the market today.
- 1:04:55So that is actually interesting
- 1:04:56because I thought with the miners,
- 1:04:58like the way we've seen the, you know,
- 1:05:00every time a new model comes out,
- 1:05:01it seems like there's been diminishing returns
- 1:05:03on actual output.
- 1:05:05This has been a big step up again.
- 1:05:07Yes, in my opinion, yes.
- 1:05:08Why is that happening?
- 1:05:09Because like I thought we were getting to the point
- 1:05:10where the chips were getting so precise,
- 1:05:12so small that you, like the limit
- 1:05:14in terms of how far you can push it
- 1:05:16was getting reduced.
- 1:05:17I think, again, I'm not a technical guy and the audience can laugh their ass off while I say this, but that's my humble opinion of actually running them and being on a side and actually doing this.
- 1:05:28I think we're going to hit anywhere between seven, eight joules a tee as the bottom, bottom.
- 1:05:35You're going to get them to be even better than that.
- 1:05:38And then it's going to come down to performance, price of power.
- 1:05:40The industry in the future has to go to the price of power being zero.
- 1:05:47How? You can ask. Partner up with a generator, be a generator. There's many, many ways of doing it.
- 1:05:54That's for another podcast. But Bitcoin miners have to go towards zero cost of power.
- 1:06:00And then the power of compute of the ASICs is not going to get even better than that.
- 1:06:05And then now you have a big competitor for those chips. Remember that.
- 1:06:08Like now the bug, AI, is eating everything, even that.
- 1:06:12So do I think we're going to see leaps like we've seen up to now?
- 1:06:18No.
- 1:06:19Do we still have a little bit of runway to make them better?
- 1:06:22I believe, personally, yes.
- 1:06:24It's going to be hard, very hard.
- 1:06:26But I think there's a little bit of more runway to hit that ceiling or bottom on the performance.
- 1:06:35And then everything will come down to operations, ray press power, uptime,
- 1:06:40all the variants that make Bitcoin mining so complex.
- 1:06:43And I will not say it enough.
- 1:06:45Every time somebody asks me,
- 1:06:46hey, I want to be a miner.
- 1:06:47I was like, no, buy Bitcoin and forget about it.
- 1:06:50If you're crazy enough to put in everything you have and more,
- 1:06:55eat dirt for two years,
- 1:06:57and then get two more years of pain, mistakes,
- 1:07:00and everything on your belt,
- 1:07:02then you might, and this is a big might,
- 1:07:05make it on the Bitcoin mining industry.
- 1:07:07That's why it's so hard.
- 1:07:08That's why there's so few of us.
- 1:07:11One of, obviously, like in the US,
- 1:07:13the most hot button topics that everyone's talking about
- 1:07:16right now is data centers.
- 1:07:18And there's half the country that thinks they're great
- 1:07:20and half the country thinks they're terrible.
- 1:07:21And whether you call it a data center,
- 1:07:23you call it a Bitcoin mining site,
- 1:07:24essentially the same thing.
- 1:07:25You're matching power with compute.
- 1:07:27Has this spilled over into Bitcoin?
- 1:07:29Because obviously AI is taking the brunt of this debate,
- 1:07:31but has it spilled over into anything you've seen in Bitcoin?
- 1:07:33We always been challenged by people counties whatever I give you examples When we started going hard in Texas
- 1:07:48neighbors were complaining.
- 1:07:49No, no, they're boiling the seas.
- 1:07:52Dude, come on.
- 1:07:53Killing the polar bears.
- 1:07:54Yeah, yeah.
- 1:07:56You know, killing the bees
- 1:07:57because of the harmonics.
- 1:07:59Like, there's harmonics in Bitcoin mining.
- 1:08:00There's harmonics in transformers.
- 1:08:03So, there's a thing.
- 1:08:04the worst thing about our industry is lack of knowledge.
- 1:08:08Again, we are perceived as, you know, the money for
- 1:08:11dirty business. We are perceived
- 1:08:14as the guys that, you know, are building things that heat
- 1:08:16and change the weather patterns and
- 1:08:20affect the global heating.
- 1:08:23No, we're not even like
- 1:08:25we're not making a dent. But again, lack of knowledge
- 1:08:28and, you know, all this media
- 1:08:31bullshit that we're surrounded with is the only thing
- 1:08:34that will affect us.
- 1:08:36That being said,
- 1:08:37I've been to many, many places
- 1:08:38in the world
- 1:08:38where there's Bitcoin mining,
- 1:08:40where there's intent
- 1:08:41to bring Bitcoin mining on,
- 1:08:42and we're being received
- 1:08:44with open arms.
- 1:08:44Like I told you, Calgary, Albert,
- 1:08:46they're opening their arms,
- 1:08:47asking us to go mine there.
- 1:08:49You see Texas
- 1:08:50with 86 gigawatts of power
- 1:08:52already running,
- 1:08:54still building.
- 1:08:56Of course,
- 1:08:56if you want interconnection
- 1:08:57tomorrow in Texas,
- 1:08:58you have to wait until 2031
- 1:09:00to get one.
- 1:09:00But the guys that are there
- 1:09:02can still grow,
- 1:09:02can be creative,
- 1:09:03can do it.
- 1:09:04You can go off-grid and build it.
- 1:09:06They're really warm to us.
- 1:09:08You get Wyoming.
- 1:09:11One of the biggest Bitcoiners in the Senate now is Cindy Lombus.
- 1:09:15We have representatives everywhere.
- 1:09:17You see now American Bitcoin.
- 1:09:19The president of the US, Sun, has a Bitcoin mining company.
- 1:09:24We're not going away.
- 1:09:25I think sovereigns are going to take into Bitcoin mining.
- 1:09:28I think energy companies are going to start looking at it.
- 1:09:31Again, like I told you, if you're an oil and gas company
- 1:09:33and you're making millions and millions of dollars
- 1:09:36on those barrels,
- 1:09:37would you flinch if I say,
- 1:09:39hey, I can go there and Bitcoin mine
- 1:09:40and you can get a couple million dollars extra?
- 1:09:42It's like the guy will look at me with a cigar
- 1:09:44and say, hey, buddy,
- 1:09:45I do that in two hours
- 1:09:47with two of my rigs.
- 1:09:52They don't even flinch.
- 1:09:53Are they going to look at it
- 1:09:54so they can get more oil?
- 1:09:56Probably, yes.
- 1:09:57So I think Bitcoin mining is going to get
- 1:09:59even more professional.
- 1:10:02It's going to get even...
- 1:10:03more intense. And the one thing that we always hated as an industry, and now we need to embrace,
- 1:10:09is the finance pros. So after 28, if you are burning your Bitcoin to pay your daily,
- 1:10:16you won't be able to make a profit. So you need to find ways to be creative with your Bitcoin,
- 1:10:22to hold your Bitcoin, get loans for the barriers, navigate them. I'm not a financial wizard. There's
- 1:10:28plenty of people that are smarter than me in the financial world that can attest to what I'm saying,
- 1:10:32but you need those guys that we always hated.
- 1:10:35Like we were making fun of this earlier today.
- 1:10:37You know, I went to a conference.
- 1:10:38It was full of finance bros,
- 1:10:39all those like puffy jackets.
- 1:10:42The Patricone jacket.
- 1:10:43We made fun of them back in the day.
- 1:10:45Now we need them.
- 1:10:46Yeah.
- 1:10:46We need smarter people.
- 1:10:47We need to be more professional.
- 1:10:48We're evolving into something that,
- 1:10:50again, you've seen the pace of the last two years.
- 1:10:53Picture was going to be the next two
- 1:10:54and with the halving in the middle.
- 1:10:56And so this is the stuff that like CleanSpark
- 1:10:58are doing some really interesting stuff
- 1:10:59on the finance side.
- 1:11:00I'm speaking to Harry next week,
- 1:11:01so we'll probably get into that.
- 1:11:02But you said then that you think
- 1:11:04Sovereign's going to get into mining Bitcoin.
- 1:11:07Why?
- 1:11:08Why would they mine Bitcoin
- 1:11:09rather than, like you say, just buy it?
- 1:11:11Let's paint a picture.
- 1:11:13If you want to buy it,
- 1:11:14you need to get out of pocket,
- 1:11:17go through any financial structure
- 1:11:19the country has,
- 1:11:20you know, get a reserve.
- 1:11:22You've seen it's been hard for the US,
- 1:11:24which is the safe haven of Bitcoin,
- 1:11:26and a president that's pro-Bitcoin,
- 1:11:27it's been rough.
- 1:11:29You see Texas,
- 1:11:30one of the biggest players in our industry,
- 1:11:33the reserve is not as big as everybody's thinking it is.
- 1:11:36So it's not an easy endeavor if you want to go that way.
- 1:11:39That being said, if you have an energy asset
- 1:11:41that's wasted or not used,
- 1:11:45which is the fastest way to turn into an actual asset
- 1:11:48that's worth a lot of money?
- 1:11:51Bitcoin.
- 1:11:52They still need the money to buy the machines and...
- 1:11:54But that's besides the point.
- 1:11:55That's investing into a business that will get you the asset.
- 1:11:59It's like, let's paint a picture.
- 1:12:01Gold is what happened with all.
- 1:12:06There's a massive, and we know it,
- 1:12:08and this is informal information,
- 1:12:10and I want to go into the Joe Rogan side of things
- 1:12:12and go really dark,
- 1:12:14but they found a ton of gold in China,
- 1:12:16and the Chinese are not releasing it or selling it to the market
- 1:12:18because if they do it, the price of gold goes down.
- 1:12:21That's basically it.
- 1:12:22And this is a government thing.
- 1:12:25So let's go back to our sovereign mining.
- 1:12:27There's assets that are stranded everywhere in the world.
- 1:12:30Nobody's theirs go there.
- 1:12:33And most of those in different countries, like Argentina, are owned by the government.
- 1:12:39So if you want to, again, try to monetize that or do anything, it's hard.
- 1:12:45That means if you building an industry bringing labor building a data center Maybe reusing the heat or whatever the PR thing that country loves more is it easy to do and you still get the asset
- 1:13:00So you're investing into the country, you're generating jobs, you're generating jobs to
- 1:13:05build it, you're popping up these communities that were perishing because there's nothing
- 1:13:09there.
- 1:13:10It's just like dirt and a few houses or a little town that's dying.
- 1:13:14So you're injecting a new industry in it and then you are keeping the asset.
- 1:13:19and making something that's wasted,
- 1:13:22it might be a dam,
- 1:13:25it might be a gas field,
- 1:13:27it might be whatever it is,
- 1:13:29the type of energy you wish,
- 1:13:31you can turn it into something.
- 1:13:33So I think sovereigns are coming in
- 1:13:34and the worst thing we had back in the day
- 1:13:38was the lack of knowledge about Bitcoin.
- 1:13:39With Trump being so vocal,
- 1:13:42Lavi Mohaydem,
- 1:13:43with Saylor going out there
- 1:13:44and doing what he did,
- 1:13:45Bitcoin started to pop up everywhere
- 1:13:48and we got a lot of exposure.
- 1:13:50Yeah.
- 1:13:50Is it enough?
- 1:13:51Not even close.
- 1:13:52Do we need more?
- 1:13:53A hundred percent.
- 1:13:54People understand it?
- 1:13:56No way.
- 1:13:57But they know what Bitcoin is.
- 1:13:59They know how Bitcoin works in the base layer.
- 1:14:01So now from, we were the outsiders,
- 1:14:05the weirdos, the nerds.
- 1:14:07I've been called nerds so many times.
- 1:14:09Now that Bitcoin ripped,
- 1:14:11all those that called me nerd came running at me.
- 1:14:13How do I buy it?
- 1:14:15Where do I keep it?
- 1:14:16We should get into your background.
- 1:14:17then everyone will know you're definitely not a nerd. But before we do that, so which sovereign
- 1:14:22do you think will move first? Because obviously like Bhutan mining Bitcoin for a long time,
- 1:14:25they've actually been incredibly successful for such a tiny country. Do you think this will be
- 1:14:31places like Paraguay that have this huge amount of power that they're really not monetizing? Or do
- 1:14:35you think it could be a country as big as the US? I think we're going to see a blend. I think,
- 1:14:41Look at the example.
- 1:14:43They have almost no energy,
- 1:14:46and what El Salvador did with Bitcoin was remarkable.
- 1:14:49But on the power side of things,
- 1:14:51on those stranded assets,
- 1:14:52you're going to see big countries doing it.
- 1:14:55Like, hey, we don't know,
- 1:14:56but the motherland, trust me, for sure is doing this.
- 1:15:00Oh, yeah, Russia mining.
- 1:15:01For sure.
- 1:15:02And they have so much power.
- 1:15:04Yeah.
- 1:15:04So much power.
- 1:15:06And basically, they don't care about anything,
- 1:15:08but the benefits of the powers that be.
- 1:15:12So it's happening.
- 1:15:14We're not seeing it.
- 1:15:14There's no communication at it.
- 1:15:16We cannot attest for it.
- 1:15:18And China's most likely the same.
- 1:15:21But what about what you consider
- 1:15:24like a Western nation?
- 1:15:27I believe we're going to see countries
- 1:15:29that are a little bit more edgy.
- 1:15:31Like I hope to God Argentina looks at it
- 1:15:33and the president that's still in power today
- 1:15:35remains and understands how to do it.
- 1:15:39I see Brazil, there's an opportunity.
- 1:15:41There's a lot of, you know, again,
- 1:15:42the generation matrix in Brazil,
- 1:15:46so the energy being generated is going,
- 1:15:48is more than they are consuming.
- 1:15:49So there's a massive opportunity.
- 1:15:51What will you do with it?
- 1:15:53Build the steel mill, takes 10 years,
- 1:15:55and then you're going to make, what, two cents?
- 1:15:58Again, build the steel mill.
- 1:16:00I'll mine the hell out of it for the next 10 years
- 1:16:02until you build it.
- 1:16:03So I think there's going to be these big countries.
- 1:16:07And then, like I told you, Peru, if they understand it, if there's people that are edgy enough, there's appetite for it.
- 1:16:14It's a safe haven.
- 1:16:16Colombia has a ton of gas.
- 1:16:17Is it rough?
- 1:16:18It's crazy.
- 1:16:18They came out of a socialist government.
- 1:16:20It's really hard to navigate.
- 1:16:21But as you said with Ethiopia, if you have a local that understands how to navigate it and you have a guy that can do that, it's doable.
- 1:16:30It's feasible.
- 1:16:30There's those countries over there.
- 1:16:32I'm talking about on this side of things.
- 1:16:34And then there's plenty of places.
- 1:16:37I've been around the world a lot,
- 1:16:39but there's places I don't know.
- 1:16:41And probably they're looking at us and saying,
- 1:16:43oh, so I have this dam.
- 1:16:45It's a couple gigawatts, a couple megawatts.
- 1:16:48Can I mine here?
- 1:16:50The water is there.
- 1:16:51It keeps going.
- 1:16:53Like, look at the example.
- 1:16:54Itaipu, the dam in Paraguay,
- 1:16:56is the second biggest dam in the world.
- 1:16:58People that are listening,
- 1:16:59probably never heard of Paraguay,
- 1:17:00don't know what it is,
- 1:17:01much less that the second biggest dam in the world is there.
- 1:17:0512 gigawatts from one dam that runs all the time.
- 1:17:08There's no water shortage.
- 1:17:10There's nothing.
- 1:17:12You know how much energy the country consumes?
- 1:17:152.5 gigawatts.
- 1:17:17Of that dam, six gigawatts are for Paraguay
- 1:17:20and six are for Brazil because it's in the border.
- 1:17:22They're selling it to Brazil for cheap change.
- 1:17:26The thing is, when you actually look at it,
- 1:17:28there's almost no country in the world
- 1:17:29that couldn't benefit from this.
- 1:17:30Of the countries that I know the best, like the UK, there's massive wind farms all over the North Sea, all over the Irish Sea.
- 1:17:38Whether you like them or not, it doesn't matter. They're there.
- 1:17:41What's the problem with them? Regulation on the government.
- 1:17:43So these guys have the stranded asset. They have the appetite to do it.
- 1:17:46And they're wasting so much of that power output.
- 1:17:49We can come in there and save them and say, hey, let's join venture.
- 1:17:53I'm not going to pay you for the power that you're throwing away. I'll give you Bitcoin for it.
- 1:17:57Yeah And it just makes total sense Australia like Australia is sat on so much like every natural resource you could basically imagine It also incredibly hot sunny all the time windy Like all these places have such an opportunity It just going to take someone to make that sort of leap of faith
- 1:18:14to actually do this thing.
- 1:18:15But bear in mind, investing into these massive endeavors on generation,
- 1:18:18that's why I said sovereigns are coming in
- 1:18:20and energy companies are coming in.
- 1:18:21It's very, very expensive.
- 1:18:22It's really, really, it's really, when you do the math,
- 1:18:27to return that investment, we're talking about 30, 40 years.
- 1:18:30And then we as Bitcoin miners, because we're talking about the sweet spots and all that stuff, we need to stop thinking as the cowboys that, you know, drop in, make the Bitcoin, move, and start thinking, okay, if I build a power plant here, it lasts for 30 years.
- 1:18:46If I'm mining on gas and I have turbines there or generators, their lifetime, if we do it right, is 15, 20, 30 years, depending on what you're running.
- 1:18:55I don't want to get into that technical
- 1:18:57but Bitcoin mining is
- 1:18:59three and a half years. The moment you energize
- 1:19:01the first until you get to that
- 1:19:03spot where the miner is not profitable
- 1:19:05anymore, it's about three and a half years
- 1:19:07You make most of that Bitcoin the first
- 1:19:09year and a half and then you start
- 1:19:11making less and less and less for obvious reasons
- 1:19:13growth of the network, performance, better
- 1:19:15equipment, so on and so forth
- 1:19:16That being said
- 1:19:19you don't need to think three years and a half
- 1:19:21when you're spending a ton of money
- 1:19:23into building that infrastructure. You think
- 1:19:25okay, this will last 30 years.
- 1:19:27Maybe generation will get here in 5, 10, 15 years.
- 1:19:30I'll still own the asset that's generating.
- 1:19:33I still will be mining on that.
- 1:19:34And then what I can do is either,
- 1:19:36if it's a regulated market like Texas,
- 1:19:39curtail and sell back to the grid,
- 1:19:40or sell the asset to the grid or to another industry
- 1:19:44or whatever you want.
- 1:19:45So there's layers.
- 1:19:46That's why I'm saying Bitcoin mining became not only industrial,
- 1:19:50but now extremely professional and complex to navigate around.
- 1:19:53Yeah. But so when you say that, it's not even like the Bitcoin mining companies or the people
- 1:19:59want to set up Bitcoin mining companies that are the bottleneck here, though. It's all regulation.
- 1:20:02Like it needs the companies, the countries that are regulating these power markets to realize that
- 1:20:07if they allow Bitcoin miners to come in, they're just going to, potentially they can just eat the
- 1:20:11wasted power. It can drop the price of power for everyone. Like this can be a huge win for any
- 1:20:16country that actually adopts this. What did I tell you first? Lachronology is the worst thing we have
- 1:20:21as an industry.
- 1:20:21People don't understand it.
- 1:20:22They're just writing
- 1:20:24on the perception
- 1:20:24of the movies
- 1:20:26and the TV series
- 1:20:27and the platforms gave them.
- 1:20:29And they don't understand it.
- 1:20:30They don't know how we work.
- 1:20:32And again,
- 1:20:33when they think,
- 1:20:34it's like,
- 1:20:34oh, if I move this industry here,
- 1:20:35it's going to take like three years.
- 1:20:37Dude,
- 1:20:38if there's mid-voltage power,
- 1:20:39I'll be mining in four months.
- 1:20:41Anything that we've not talked about
- 1:20:42in here that you want to?
- 1:20:44Because before we close out,
- 1:20:45I do want to touch on your background.
- 1:20:47Oh, let's go in there.
- 1:20:48I love talking about the industry,
- 1:20:50but I can stay here for four hours.
- 1:20:52The audience will be bored after three minutes.
- 1:20:54Like, oh, it's not you.
- 1:20:56No, no, no.
- 1:20:56This is not boring
- 1:20:57because you said that people call you a nerd.
- 1:20:59You should tell everyone what you did
- 1:21:00before you came to Bitcoin
- 1:21:01because this is cool.
- 1:21:02Oh, yeah.
- 1:21:02Well, I was born in Argentina.
- 1:21:04I played rugby for 30 years.
- 1:21:07I traveled the world, my country, playing rugby.
- 1:21:10I was in media.
- 1:21:11I did a lot of things.
- 1:21:14But, you know, we were talking about the scars of war,
- 1:21:17which Bitcoin mining will give you a bunch.
- 1:21:19mine are physical because of rugby um i i wrecked my shoulder everything about this one four broken
- 1:21:26nose i broke my nose four times six ribs have surgery in my knee my ankle three in my wrist like
- 1:21:33i i was a nerd that was blessed with the gifts of being a jock and i traveled the world and my
- 1:21:41country with rugby which gave me the most amazing experience ever but the one thing i want to talk
- 1:21:47about is why did I jump into our industry and why did I found Bitcoin? Being in a socialist country
- 1:21:55and this gap happened and everything, you know, wrecked our society. We were one of the most
- 1:22:02educated countries back in 45. After the Second World War, we had the biggest gold reserve in the
- 1:22:07world. And then socialism came and that within the next 70 years went down the drain completely.
- 1:22:15So I was making a living. I had my own company. I was running my media company. I was live streaming in 2014. Like you guys see now all this that's going on, podcasts and live streaming. We're doing that back in 2014. So we were breaking ground that nobody was bringing it. Like we were running a radio and a theater.
- 1:22:35again, all radio guys, this is the thing that you pay in the car.
- 1:22:40For us that were a little older, we experienced it.
- 1:22:42Most of you probably don't, but we were running that,
- 1:22:45the theater, live streaming, everything in the same place.
- 1:22:47We had Slash, Dua Lipa, Gary Clark Jr.
- 1:22:51We had everybody was coming in there because they were so impressed
- 1:22:54about the fact that they could see themselves online
- 1:22:57and we had to go to another thing.
- 1:22:58So we're doing all that.
- 1:23:01And then all of a sudden, the government in Argentina
- 1:23:03decided to do something that was called
- 1:23:04the corral, the corralito.
- 1:23:07They put our money
- 1:23:08in the bank.
- 1:23:10That's my money that I made. That's my account.
- 1:23:13And I was put on an allowance
- 1:23:15with my own money.
- 1:23:16I was like,
- 1:23:18excuse me? Yeah, yeah, yeah. You can
- 1:23:19feed your family, you get a grand a week. Like, what? That's my money. If I want to take it all
- 1:23:25out tomorrow, I'll take it. No, you can't. Because the government said so. We were paid in bonds
- 1:23:31that look like bills that were worth nothing. Literally nothing. They were paying with monopoly
- 1:23:39money. Our salaries were paid with monopoly money. I was blessed. I was part of the 1% of the population
- 1:23:44that actually had real good lawyers and I could get protection for that. And I took my money out
- 1:23:49and I was kind of safe.
- 1:23:52But then I started looking,
- 1:23:53like, hey, is this real?
- 1:23:55Like, how the hell can somebody
- 1:23:58take ownership of my asset,
- 1:24:01my money that I put my blood, sweat,
- 1:24:05and tears into getting?
- 1:24:06And now I'm on an allowance.
- 1:24:07It's insane.
- 1:24:07So when that happened,
- 1:24:09I gravitated to our Bitcoin,
- 1:24:10started studying and looking at it,
- 1:24:13tried mining it, failed.
- 1:24:1518 came, I got wrecked, lost everything.
- 1:24:19And then I moved to Paraguay and then I was headhunted into a minor. Penguin was the best education I've ever had. Hard, rough, intense. It was like not sleeping, going into it, like everything.
- 1:24:37So my personal life and again when I left Argentina I was broke my wife was pregnant I had nothing And again in this industry and with the knowledge I had I came in and I was saved by this Why Because there was a lot of pain and hard work
- 1:24:57attached to it. But going back to my personal story, it all came back from sports. It all came
- 1:25:02back from representing my province, representing my country, running everywhere. Again, now I'm 44
- 1:25:10years old and I call myself like I'm tiny and skinny and people make laugh at this like I'm
- 1:25:15still 114 kilos but I was much bigger but that gave me a lot of things that are relatable with
- 1:25:22the values that we have so that discipline that hard-headedness that going hey you cannot do this
- 1:25:28oh oh oh now I can do this you want to bet so that discipline everything gave me that that that
- 1:25:36edge that I took into our industry. So yeah, my background is kind of crazy, but I was still
- 1:25:40an nerd, dude. I was still reading and doing all these things. And I was blessed because I found
- 1:25:47the sport that embraced me and gave me a lot of things. But yeah, it's...
- 1:25:51That's very cool. Time for some more beers.
- 1:25:54Thank you very much. These are not for you guys. We're going to keep going ourselves, but...
- 1:26:06Thank you.