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Bitcoin on brink to $13M!? | Simply Originals · Simply Bitcoin

0:00
What is going on? How is Bitcoin not at 500 K
0:04
right now? Well, you better strap in
0:06
because we're about to see the bond market break and when it
0:10
does, it's going to send Bitcoin vertical.
0:14
Here's the head of JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon himself admitting
0:17
the collapse is coming. You are going.
0:21
To see a crack in the bond market, OK, it is going to
0:24
happen. And I tell this to my regulator,
0:26
someone who in this room, I'm telling you what's going to
0:28
happen. And.
0:30
You're going to panic. I'm not going to panic.
0:32
And when the crack hits, the Fed steps in every time.
0:36
Print, inject, bailout. And this time it won't be just
0:41
banks that get bailed out, it'll be the people who front ran the
0:45
collapse with Bitcoin. Which is probably why Michael
0:49
Saylor is starting to think $13 million Bitcoin was a little
0:53
bearish. And apparently why Stormtroopers
0:56
are checking the Bitcoin chart mid battle.
1:01
Michael Saylor said it There is no second.
1:03
Best. We're getting out of here.
1:07
Hey, welcome back. I'm Ruston and we have some
1:09
massive news to get to. Six months have been tremendous.
1:20
All of the fundamental planets have aligned.
1:24
Bitcoin's been acknowledged as the one digital commodity in the
1:27
world by the administration. The banking regulators have
1:31
given a green light to bank Bitcoin.
1:33
The accountants have have upgraded the accounting to fair
1:37
value accounting. There's been a surge of Bitcoin
1:40
treasury companies. There's like 100 public
1:43
companies or more. They're holding Bitcoin on their
1:45
balance sheet. And every single week there's
1:47
another announcement. I think that you know, it used
1:52
to be we're focused on the halvings, but at this point the
1:55
entire natural supply of Bitcoin is only 450 Bitcoin available
1:59
for sale every day. That's sort of about forty
2:02
$550,000,000 a day at this level.
2:05
That is all being that is all being consumed by the Bitcoin
2:10
treasury companies and the Bitcoin ETFs are are coming on
2:14
strong. So I'm very bullish My, my, my
2:20
forecast in July of last year in Nashville was bitcoins going to
2:25
appreciate 29% a year on average for the next 21 years.
2:30
And that moves it from it was about mid 6065 thousand to 13
2:35
million a coin in the year 2045. I'm getting more bullish on that
2:41
forecast, but I'm certainly comfortable forecasting 30% a
2:45
year ARR on average for the next 20 years.
2:49
I think Bitcoins up 57% a year for the past 4 1/2 years.
2:57
Again, that's double the mag 7. That's quadruple the S&P.
3:02
You know, that's you know, it's 8 times real estate and bonds
3:06
are down 4%. So.
3:07
So Bitcoin is smashing everything, Joe.
3:11
Bitcoin is absolutely smashing everything.
3:14
But let's talk about the buyback bonanza. the US Treasury just
3:18
purchased $10 billion worth of its own bonds, the biggest
3:22
buyback in modern history. That's not coincidence, that's
3:26
desperation. The 30 year Treasury yield has
3:29
ripped above 5%, the second highest level since 2008.
3:34
And the markets reacting with pure fear.
3:36
And Treasury Secretary Besant had to reassure markets that the
3:40
US will quote never default. Yeah, but when you have to say
3:43
it out loud, it seems like we've got a little problem.
3:46
And Japan's 30 year yield just hit 3% for the first time ever.
3:50
Bond markets from Germany to Canada are lighting up red.
3:54
And why? Because actual inflation isn't
3:57
going away. Deficits are not shrinking and
4:00
the Fed completely boxed in. This is what fiscal dominance
4:05
looks like. Markets are front running the
4:07
central banks right now when Bitcoin is smelling blood in the
4:11
water. You can't tax your way out of a
4:14
$35 trillion debt. You can't spend your way to
4:18
surplus. The only option left is
4:21
controlled debasement until it's not so controlled and the Trump
4:26
team knows it. That's why Congressman Tim
4:29
Birchett is pushing to make the strategic Bitcoin Reserve
4:33
permanent U.S. policy. Everybody.
4:35
Congressman Tim Birchett, today I'm introducing legislation to
4:38
codify 3 of President Trump's executive orders.
4:41
I think it's time to and we get off the that gum bench and get
4:44
to work. Thank you all for.
4:46
Sending me here. Even Trump himself said he's
4:49
replacing the Fed chair very soon.
4:52
And you know what that means? The money printer is warming up.
4:56
And if we had a good Fed chairman, you would lower rates.
4:59
And you know what? If inflation happened in a year
5:01
from now or two years, let him raise rates.
5:03
But we're going out for long term debt or short term debt.
5:06
We have a lot of debt coming due because Biden had all short term
5:09
debt mostly, and we would get a lower rate and a lower interest
5:13
rate. If this guy would lower rates,
5:16
we get a lower interest rate. It's unbelievable.
5:19
And he's worried about inflation.
5:20
If he worries about inflation any longer, all he has to do is
5:23
get the lower rate. Let us go out borrow at a much
5:26
lower rate, much lower. You can go down a point or two,
5:29
we'll go out borrow. But.
5:30
And if in two years inflation comes back, he raises rates, but
5:34
he keeps them the same. It's just, it's insane.
5:37
What's your next Fed? Chair say it.
5:39
Are you already thinking about who your next fed chair would
5:41
be? I know it's 2026.
5:42
What is term advice? So you're already thinking.
5:44
About. It's coming out very soon.
5:47
What were you thinking about? I could tell you, but I have a
5:51
pretty good idea. What do you make of the
5:55
Ayatollah say? This past week saw 42 new
5:59
Bitcoin treasury updates, 16 new companies added Bitcoin to their
6:03
balance sheets, and one firm, Metaplanet, plans to buy 210,000
6:08
BTC by 2027. That's not FOMO, that's full on
6:12
colonization. And what did Michael Saylor say?
6:15
Buckle up, $13 million Bitcoin is now on the table.
6:20
Not to mention Hal Finney's OG prediction.
6:22
Adam Beck just said it out loud, $10 million Bitcoin is coming.
6:27
Bill thought that $10,000 was a pipe dream and never going to
6:29
happen, right? So I think Hal Finney was just
6:31
like, you know, a decade ahead of his curve in terms of
6:35
thinking about, you know, that this could actually happen,
6:38
right? So I think, you know, because if
6:40
everybody was 100% convinced, but it's going there, it would
6:44
already be there, right. And so there's there's gotta be
6:46
doubt about the, you know, the pace of adoption, how much more
6:52
money is and what the addressable market actually is.
6:55
We don't we don't fully know. I mean, I think half in his
6:57
estimate is reasonable because still today, you know, even they
7:00
made it is because there is a lot of monetary premium where
7:06
people are trying to protect themselves from inflation and
7:08
safe by, you know, buying real estate.
7:10
In some cases they're not even using it.
7:11
It's just vacant. But you know, there's a lot of
7:13
that in New York and China are in different places, right?
7:16
And that is not a great thing because it makes housing less
7:20
affordable. And if there was a, you know, a
7:23
financial products or a monetary instrument that did that for
7:26
you, it would make housing more affordable.
7:28
So improve, you know, cost of housing, access to housing,
7:33
quality of housing that you can afford on a budget.
7:36
So those will all be good things.
7:37
And there are other things with micro premium or where people
7:40
are trying to protect against inflation and like in the bond
7:42
market and some more esoteric things like art, wine, where
7:48
people use that as a kind of novel way to protect against
7:51
inflation. And if you Add all that stuff
7:53
up, it's 200 trillion is possibly a conservative estimate
7:59
at this point because had a lot of inflation between.
8:03
A massive wave is coming. Here is Uber CEO calling Bitcoin
8:07
a quote proven store value. Check it out.
8:10
Pristine instantiations of crypto that has a practical
8:14
benefit other than cryptos. Store value you know.
8:16
Obviously you can have. Your opinions on Bitcoin?
8:19
But it's a proven commodity. Will and you know.
8:23
People have different opinions on where it's going.
8:25
Airbnb, Apple X, they're all circling Bitcoin like vultures.
8:30
Even David Marcus, ex president of PayPal, says Bitcoin will be
8:34
settling trillions daily. You know, David, a lot of the
8:37
conversations that we've been having on the ground here are
8:39
all pointing to this idea that the traditional financial system
8:43
is broken. The financial system that has
8:45
taken literally generations to build and trillions that flow
8:49
through it every year have essentially disintegrated as a
8:52
result of the disruption that we're seeing from players like
8:56
yourself. What is the problem that you're
8:58
essentially trying to solve here and what makes your
9:01
infrastructure, the infrastructure that you're
9:02
investing in and building, better than those legacy payment
9:05
rails? 3 words real time money
9:07
movement. That's it.
9:09
We need real time money movement that's global, truly available
9:13
to everyone, truly end to end. So not the thing where you
9:17
receive a digital asset you can't do anything with and you
9:20
can't actually trade for the money that all of the goods and
9:23
services that you need are denominated in.
9:26
So really truly end to end real time money movement and, and
9:32
that goes all the way to your bank account or to the wallet of
9:34
your choice. And, and that's, that's the
9:36
money grid, that's the open money grid that we're building
9:38
on top of Bitcoin with a variety of technologies and capabilities
9:42
like the universal money address that now digital banks all
9:44
around the world are implementing.
9:46
And that allows you to actually send from 1 currency to another
9:48
currency in real time between two banks 24/7.
9:54
So, you know, those are the things that you know are going
9:57
to change the game. So big banks, legacy payment
9:59
systems, SWIFT, watch out. I mean, I think, look, you need
10:04
to build the best tool, right? No one is sending faxes after
10:08
the Internet. So, you know, the the current
10:11
version of the money networks are like the fax or even telex
10:15
of, you know, our age. And if you have a better thing
10:18
that's actually really, truly moving money to the place you
10:21
want and taking it from the place you want globally, then,
10:25
yeah, it's like old networks are not going to be around.
10:30
If you get this right, what does light spark look like by 2030?
10:34
Well, I think you know, Light Spark is, is not the network.
10:37
Light Spark is providing tools and services to network
10:39
participants to be able to get on the money grid.
10:41
And so we take a small cut of transactions.
10:44
We think the addressable market for us is trillions of dollars a
10:47
day. So if we can take a small cup of
10:50
trillions of dollars a day and then build all of the adjacent
10:53
services that stem from having users at the scale of billions
10:57
of people on the network, we'll. We'll do just are you afraid of
11:02
the current thing? Well, maybe you should stop
11:05
wearing women's underwear, Sailor says.
11:08
Don't fear quantum. Stay focused.
11:10
Quantum won't break Bitcoin. It'll make it basically
11:14
immortal. Quantum computing at some point
11:17
could could break the algorithm for for Bitcoin.
11:20
Are there countermeasures that they could be put in?
11:22
You probably understand what I'm what?
11:24
I'm asking. You do you worry about that.
11:26
You look like. You look.
11:27
Like you slept OK. You look like you slept OK last
11:30
night. It's mainly marketing by people
11:33
that want to sell you the next quantum yoyo token.
11:36
But look, Google and Microsoft aren't going to sell you a
11:39
quantum computer that cracks modern cryptography because it
11:42
would destroy Google and Microsoft and the US government
11:45
and the banking system. And at some point, I don't think
11:49
it's this year, next year and the next five years, but
11:51
sometime 1020 years out. If there's a hyper powerful
11:55
computer that that threatens modern cryptography, the answer
11:59
is Bitcoin network hardware upgrades.
12:02
Bitcoin network software upgrades, just like Microsoft,
12:05
Google, the US government upgrade all their messaging and
12:08
banking applications. The key for everybody is
12:11
Bitcoin's a protocol, like the English language and base 10
12:13
math. When the quantum computer breaks
12:16
your calculator and breaks your messaging app, you're not
12:19
learning base 16 math and you're not going to switch to a
12:22
different language. You're just going to upgrade
12:24
your software. And Bitcoin's a monetary
12:26
protocol. We're just going to upgrade the
12:28
software, Joe. Wow, because because there are
12:32
people that that you know that throw that around that that no,
12:35
actually they know less than I do, I think.
12:37
But so there are countermeasures to to deal with that.
12:42
You know, if I wanted to hack your Bitcoin, I'd send you an
12:44
e-mail saying a quantum computer can hack your Bitcoin.
12:47
Click on the link to upgrade now and then I'd steal your Bitcoin.
12:50
It's 10,000 times more likely I'm phishing you than there is
12:54
there, than there is a threat. So now I'm not worried about it.
12:58
Bitcoin's a protocol. The software gets upgraded all
13:02
every year. The hardware is being upgraded
13:05
continuously and it's the hardest thing in the universe to
13:08
hack. They will hack your banking
13:11
system, your Google account, your Microsoft account, and
13:14
every other asset you have. You know, much sooner because
13:17
they're in order of magnitude weaker.
13:19
OK, great. What on Halloween?
13:22
What color tie do you wear? Look, we're all orange.
13:26
It's the orange. It's always going.
13:28
So even on Halloween, it's just a orange orangey or it's an
13:31
orangey sky, Yeah. There's an orange wave coming
13:35
and and every public company is going to be thinking about
13:39
Bitcoin on their treasury because, you know, Bitcoin is
13:43
digital money. What if Moore's law applies to
13:46
money and and your capital is doubling every 18 months?
13:50
That's what the Bitcoin treasury companies have have included.
13:53
You've got between 37 trillion and 50 trillion reasons to buy
13:59
Bitcoin, I think. Don't you probably come up with
14:02
that 37 and count 37 trillion and counting?
14:06
Like Bitcoin is the future, Bitcoin is the future and it's
14:11
it's the opportunity for everybody.
14:13
Thanks for coming on today, Michael.
14:16
We'll see you later. Yes, thanks for having.
14:18
Me Elon. Well, Elon is being Elon and he
14:21
isn't wrong. He just needs to use his safe
14:25
word I. Mean, frankly, I can't believe
14:26
I'm here doing this. It's kind of bizarre.
14:29
But I I kind of think that the. Yeah, we've got.
14:36
This enormous federal budget. Deficit and it's.
14:39
A. It's a true.
14:39
Trillion dollar deficit it. Keeps.
14:41
Growing our interest payments. Are higher than our Defense
14:48
Department budget. That's that's I think was the
14:50
real wake up call for me. Was looking at seeing.
14:54
That the interest payments the national debt exceeded the
14:57
Defense Department budget. And that was.
14:59
Only growing over time. Which meant if if we didn't do
15:02
something about this then. There won't.
15:06
Be any money for. Anything, we'll just be.
15:08
Servicing debt and you know how to read an income statement and
15:11
you know how to read a balance sheet.
15:13
You've had some business. Experience.
15:14
I'm kidding, but you know about this stuff.
15:19
Yeah, I mean, really, I just don't want America to go
15:21
bankrupt so. With this level of bullish
15:23
momentum, why isn't Bitcoin already at 250K?
15:26
Because monetization takes time. As Vijay Boyapati explains, old
15:31
whales are handing their bags to the institutions.
15:35
It's the calm before the parabolic.
15:37
You don't want to be scoring points for a social credit
15:41
system run by AI. That's the future they want.
15:45
Meanwhile, Bitcoin buyers, we rest easy because our money
15:48
isn't being debased. And soon one Bitcoin won't buy
15:53
you a phone, it'll buy you your freedom.
15:56
They're saying the quiet part out loud, and the quiet part to
16:00
me is a monetary regime change. The end of the Bretton Woods era
16:04
in the 1970s fundamentally changed the conduct of monetary
16:08
policy. OK, that was a lot of boring.
16:14
Let me break it down. The Bretton Woods era, the
16:16
divorce of the gold standard, is the death of the US dollar.
16:21
You cannot divorce yourself from the physical, physical realities
16:25
of Mother Nature. To be candid, I'd never really
16:29
seen a chairman say something so painfully true and so brutally
16:35
honest like that. And that when we divorced from
16:37
the gold standard, shit got fucked.
16:41
Sorry kid show, excuse my language.
16:44
Let's just make it simple. You owe someone $37 trillion.
16:49
How do you make that affordable so you can pay that back?
16:52
Will you make the dollar, the thing that you owe, worth less?
16:56
In real life, when someone is in debt, they have two options
17:00
typically. 1. You could pay it back like an
17:03
honest man. 2 You can default. If I owe you $20, I either can
17:10
pay the $20 back and erase my debt or I can call you up and
17:13
say, listen, I get it if you don't want to be friends with
17:16
me. But I default on the $20.00.
17:18
I just can't pay you back. Those are the two options in all
17:23
of our lives, in any normal human's life.
17:26
The US government has a third option unique to them.
17:31
They can print what they owe. As a central bank, we have the
17:34
ability to create money. Guys, just run the math.
17:37
They cannot pay the debt back, they cannot default.
17:42
So it's it's a multiple choice question with one obvious
17:46
answer. But for the life of us
17:49
bitcoiners, no one was ever willing to admit the truth.
17:53
We were being gaslit and lied to and manipulated by media, by
17:58
government, by financial authorities, by TV analysts for
18:02
years. Now to hear it from Jerome
18:05
Powell and Reuters. And and this isn't even like
18:09
beating around the Bush. I'm going to read this title one
18:12
more time just because it feels good rolling off the tongue.
18:16
Historic. Historic.
18:18
Not, you know, a mild version. Historic dollar fall is needed
18:24
to eliminate the US trade deficit.
18:29
They need a weaker dollar. Which weaker against what?
18:34
I have an answer to that. This is debasing the dollar
18:38
against an asset. I expect the dollar to be weaker
18:45
in Bitcoin and gold turns because it's all about weak
18:47
against what? How are they going to devalue
18:51
their way out of this? Against what?
18:53
What's the one thing Trump did not tariff?
18:56
What's the one thing he set up a strategic reserve for?
18:59
There's an obvious, obvious, obvious best expression of
19:02
currency debasement. Look at that.
19:05
Just trying to catch myself. I don't want my lawyers to get
19:09
upset. We still have Joe Rogan, more
19:12
sailor and bullish action to get to.
19:13
But before we do, look at our likes 3 or 4 times.
19:17
Maybe I pump those numbers up. Those are rookie numbers in this
19:20
racket. Don't forget to like, subscribe
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20:24
Big finish time, apparently Joe Rogan says Bitcoin is the most
20:27
likely universal money. I mean the the real fascinating
20:31
crypto is Bitcoin to me. I mean, that's.
20:34
The one that I. Think has the most.
20:37
Likely possibility of becoming. A universal viable currency.
20:41
It's limited in the amount that there can be.
20:44
It's you know, you people mine it with their own.
20:47
It's like that to me is very. Fascinating and I love the.
20:50
Fact that it's been implemented and Michael Saylor says it's
20:56
going to grow 30% a year to 5 million cut bucks.
21:00
I'm certainly comfortable forecasting 30% a year ARR on
21:04
average for the next 20 years. I think bitcoins up 57% a year
21:12
for the past 4 1/2 years. Again, that's double the mag 7
21:16
that's quadruple the S&P. You know, that's, you know, 8
21:21
times real estate and bonds are down 4%.
21:24
So. So Bitcoin is smashing
21:26
everything, Joe. Yeah, but I thought we were
21:28
supposed to go to $13 million and beyond.
21:31
Oh, yeah, That's because it's just the beginning.
21:34
Like Kathy Wood said, the $100 billion that I mentioned,
21:39
institutions have to either take up those newly minted Bitcoin,
21:45
and that's going to happen over years and years, or they'll have
21:48
to pay up to get holders to sell it.
21:53
So again, scarcity value will drive or will increase because
21:59
of the supply demand imbalance with institutional investors
22:03
really having very little involvement yet.
22:08
And so we think this is just the beginning.
22:11
And advisor to President Trump has said that more Bitcoin
22:15
accumulation is coming. Our Democratic counterparts
22:18
certainly recognize that we we have to harness this asset class
22:21
for the American people and they're certainly going to be
22:23
countries overseas that are racing to accumulate as much as
22:25
they can. And I've had this question asked
22:28
to me repeatedly by journalists, like, how much do you want
22:30
somebody? That's the silliest question of
22:32
all time. And lo and behold, I can ask
22:33
that question. No, I mean, I, I will say very
22:38
clearly, we want as much Bitcoin as we can possibly get.
22:42
We have to do this in budget neutral ways that don't cost a
22:44
taxpayer a dime. But there are countless ways in
22:46
which we can do it. And you know, if you read the
22:48
fine print of the executive order, it kicks these, these
22:50
innovative ideas over to commerce and treasury to come up
22:52
with. But we'll flesh these out
22:54
amongst our working group actors.
22:56
We will move expeditiously on those that can be quickly
22:58
implemented. But it's not one-size-fits-all.
23:00
It's not like we have to do this in one singular format.
23:03
You know, there, there can be hundreds of different ways we do
23:05
this, if not thousands. And so we talked about this in
23:08
different verticals, whether it be like through mining activity,
23:10
whether it be through bit bonds. I mean, there's tons of creative
23:13
things we can do in Bitcoin. Yeah, I mean, it's endless.
23:16
And so people ask me to give clear examples.
23:18
And the reason I don't want to tell you what we do first yet is
23:20
because I really want to poison the well.
23:22
We want to do something that's going to be the most effective
23:23
in the United States. And so when we're ready to
23:25
announce that, which I'm sure we will be in short order, I think
23:28
that this community will be extremely pleased.
23:30
And then there's the cherry on top $100 trillion Bitcoin market
23:34
cap. And Bitcoin, of course, emerged
23:37
as the alternative to bonds in 2024.
23:41
That was the point at which the SEC endorsed the Bitcoin ETFs.
23:46
That's the point at which you could see FAZ be fair value
23:48
accounting was coming. That was kind of year zero.
23:51
We're now in year 1. There's basically there's three.
23:57
If you define money as a liquid fungible asset, there's three
24:03
monies that you can use to capitalize a company in this
24:06
world today. There is treasury bills,
24:11
sovereign debt that is, but generally short dated treasury
24:13
bills. There's gold and there's
24:16
Bitcoin. Yeah, you've got 19th century
24:19
money in gold. That was the best idea in the
24:23
19th century gold. You've got 20th century money in
24:28
Treasuries and sovereign debt, and Bitcoin represents 21st
24:33
century money, liquid fungible capital asset alternative to
24:39
bonds. And so you have a choice to make
24:43
at Microsoft. You can cling to the past, which
24:47
is conventional finance strategies, use Treasury bonds,
24:51
do stock buybacks, dividend out your cash flow, or you can
24:56
embrace the future. You can take innovative
24:59
financial strategies based on Bitcoin as a digital capital
25:02
asset. The first choice is a
25:04
regression. You're divesting yourself of
25:08
$100 billion a year. You're increasing investor risk,
25:12
and you're slowing your own growth rate.
25:15
The second choice is a progression.
25:18
You're investing 100 billion a year in your enterprise.
25:21
You're decreasing the risk. You're accelerating the growth.
25:27
If you look over the last five years, Microsoft surrendered
25:30
$200 billion of capital. They literally won it.
25:34
How many companies on earth ever generated $200 billion in after
25:37
tax cash flow, right? It's like it's got to be one of
25:40
the 10 greatest achievements ever.
25:42
They won, and they snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.
25:46
It's not a prediction, it's a path.
25:48
They printed, we bought, they diluted, we multiplied.
25:51
The bond market is a dumpster fire, and Bitcoin is the escape
25:56
hatch. The printer is coming, and so is
25:58
Valhalla, and so is the biggest Bitcoin mining conference on
26:02
earth. Don't forget to grab tickets to
26:04
Mining Disrupt 2025. That's right, they're at it
26:07
again. Mining Disrupt is headed to the
26:08
Bitcoin mining capital of America and possibly the world.
26:12
Dallas, TX. Get ready Bitcoin is taking over
26:15
November 11th through the 13th and the simply team will be on
26:19
site and we hope to see you there grab those tickets today
26:22
and use promo code simply Bitcoin for 20% off.
26:25
Hope you guys enjoyed this one. What do you think let us know
26:28
below with the bond pocalypse and Bitcoin to Valhalla.
26:31
Don't forget to like subscribe and give us a pan by sharing the
26:34
sound money gospel a lot more coming your way It's going to be
26:37
a massive week. It looks like calm before the
26:40
storm. The storm may have arrived.
26:44
Bitcoin was built for this moment.
26:46
Be the light in the darkness, my friends.
26:48
I love you guys. Catch you next time.
26:50
If you. Prefer to go down.
26:52
With the ship.