Latest / Stuff You Should Know / What's the future of the internet?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Brought to you by the reinvented two thousand twelve camera.
- 0:03Speaker 1: It's ready. Are you welcome to Stuff You Should Know?
- 0:08Speaker 1: From House Stuff Works dot Com. Hey, and welcome to
- 0:16Speaker 1: the podcast. I'm Josh Clark. There's Charles W Chuck Bryant.
- 0:19Speaker 1: Welcome to the Future of the Internet. It's called Stuff
- 0:22Speaker 1: you Should Know. We have the past, the present, in
- 0:25Speaker 1: the future of my friend choke on that haters. Yeah,
- 0:31Speaker 1: so that's what we're talking about today, and I'm hoping
- 0:33Speaker 1: you have some awesome cool story about, you know, the
- 0:38Speaker 1: future or the Internet. You'd think I would no intro
- 0:42Speaker 1: on this one. No, there's a surprising um dearth of
- 0:48Speaker 1: stuff out there about the future of the Internet. I
- 0:52Speaker 1: found that a lot of people are really really nervous
- 0:55Speaker 1: about putting their neck out because we finally reached a
- 0:58Speaker 1: point in time where you can build a career based
- 1:01Speaker 1: on successfully and accurately predicting the next move right, So
- 1:10Speaker 1: everybody is kind of confident about what's coming five years
- 1:15Speaker 1: from now, seven years from now, and if we haven't
- 1:17Speaker 1: by the time this thing comes out, uh put it
- 1:20Speaker 1: on the actual name of this episode. I'm going to
- 1:23Speaker 1: go ahead and put what is the future of the
- 1:25Speaker 1: Internet parentheses seven years from now, because that's really what
- 1:29Speaker 1: it's about, unless you want to start talking trans humanism, chuck,
- 1:34Speaker 1: which I'm prepared to I like trans humanism, not on
- 1:37Speaker 1: this one though, Okay, but um, if you unless you're
- 1:40Speaker 1: prepared to talk about that. It's basically like, what's it
- 1:42Speaker 1: going to be like seven years from now? And there's
- 1:44Speaker 1: some pretty good guesses. Uh. And one of the people
- 1:47Speaker 1: who's not too shabby at guessing is um one of
- 1:49Speaker 1: our coworkers colleagues. His name is John Strickland, and if
- 1:54Speaker 1: you don't follow him on Twitter, you're missing out strick
- 1:56Speaker 1: of tex stuff. Yeah, his Twitter handles John Strickland, j
- 1:59Speaker 1: o in Strickland obviously one word, no other anything in between. Well,
- 2:04Speaker 1: Josh and LOUI of an interesting story from you that
- 2:07Speaker 1: is the opposite is supportive? No, no, no, we should
- 2:10Speaker 1: totally support him. I always do. I love straight even
- 2:13Speaker 1: though there's a fake Internet battle between us that fans
- 2:17Speaker 1: like to think exists, I know it's. Uh in lieu
- 2:20Speaker 1: of a great story, then how about I have a
- 2:22Speaker 1: few stats on just the Internet as it is and
- 2:25Speaker 1: as it was, then we can talk about what it
- 2:27Speaker 1: might be. How does that sound. Um, here's a nice infographic.
- 2:32Speaker 1: These all come from the Pew Research Institute Research Center
- 2:37Speaker 1: for People in the Press specifically, that's US Pew the press.
- 2:43Speaker 1: Are we yeah, technically good journalists? Internet adoption. This is
- 2:48Speaker 1: just a little infographic. In June, about four of American
- 2:56Speaker 1: adults eighteen and over adopted an internet used the Internet.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Isn't that crazy? What year is that sounds right? Not
- 3:05Speaker 1: nineteen twelve, not that long ago? No, but yeah, I
- 3:10Speaker 1: remember that was back in the day of like Prodigy,
- 3:12Speaker 1: and they'd have answer prodgy. You'd still be like what
- 3:15Speaker 1: the Prodigy? Yeah? Yeah, what was prodigy? An like it
- 3:19Speaker 1: was a it was a web server? Was browsing I
- 3:22Speaker 1: P or yes? No service provider? Yes? Uh? November oh one.
- 3:29Speaker 1: So between June and November one and went from fourteen
- 3:32Speaker 1: percent to sixty percent, and today we stand at about
- 3:36Speaker 1: seventy seven percent. That's staggering to me. Sent Yeah, it's
- 3:41Speaker 1: not higher. Seventy eight percenter, men seventy six percent or
- 3:45Speaker 1: women pretty evenly divided. Uh, if you want to go
- 3:49Speaker 1: to household income is interesting to the hundred and fifty
- 3:52Speaker 1: percent is split pretty much even. No, no, no, seventy
- 3:56Speaker 1: eight percent of men using it and of women, so
- 4:00Speaker 1: just two percent more of men for some reason, um
- 4:04Speaker 1: household income. Think of the reason. If you make seventy
- 4:08Speaker 1: five grand or more a year, you have a nine
- 4:11Speaker 1: chance that you use the internet. And I guess the
- 4:14Speaker 1: other four percent are old people that don't understand it.
- 4:17Speaker 1: They're filthy rich. They pick up the keyboard and try
- 4:19Speaker 1: to talking to It's uh less than thirty thou dollars
- 4:26Speaker 1: per year. Surprisingly, still use the internet on a daily basis. Well,
- 4:34Speaker 1: this is why they call it ubiquitous. It is ubiquitous.
- 4:37Speaker 1: And then finally, Josh, I'm going to finish up with
- 4:40Speaker 1: what people do on the internet. What American adults do
- 4:45Speaker 1: on the internet on an average day, Um, send or
- 4:49Speaker 1: read email? And then I found period like eight five
- 4:53Speaker 1: percent use email. So people don't check their email on
- 4:56Speaker 1: a daily basis. That's nuts. Those are what they call
- 5:00Speaker 1: the relaxed. People use a search engine to find information,
- 5:07Speaker 1: get their news, go online just for fun. Is that
- 5:13Speaker 1: the category? Yeah, thirty seven percent use some sort of
- 5:16Speaker 1: social networking site. Um, yeah that was November. That's probably
- 5:23Speaker 1: even higher right now. Check the weather bank online every day,
- 5:30Speaker 1: watch the YouTube or a video sharing site. And about
- 5:37Speaker 1: of people look for news and politics political information every day.
- 5:42Speaker 1: So just interesting. That's what's that is the current state
- 5:45Speaker 1: of the Internet. I think I do all of that
- 5:47Speaker 1: except um, news or not news, weather, little commerce, little news, shopping, communication,
- 5:56Speaker 1: social networking. It's all pretty basic it when you think
- 6:00Speaker 1: about it, compared to it's not basic. Um. But yeah,
- 6:05Speaker 1: well that's the whole point of the Internet. It's there
- 6:07Speaker 1: to serve us, right, that's right, Like it's supposedly all
- 6:10Speaker 1: of our needs right there. And what we're seeing right
- 6:13Speaker 1: now is a movement toward making accessibility easier and easier.
- 6:18Speaker 1: Very true. So um, one of the ways to make
- 6:21Speaker 1: accessing the Internet easier and easier, Chuck, is to um
- 6:25Speaker 1: increase download speeds or what's called the effective data data
- 6:30Speaker 1: transfer rate. And also, I think we should put disclaim
- 6:34Speaker 1: right here. If you've ever wanted to chew me and
- 6:38Speaker 1: chuck up alive for missing something, for screwing up something,
- 6:44Speaker 1: for getting something just totally wrong, here's here's your chance. Um,
- 6:49Speaker 1: if you if you couldn't get us on the Sun
- 6:51Speaker 1: podcast or the Epigenetics podcast, here's your chance. So let
- 6:56Speaker 1: us know you can be nice about it. You don't
- 6:57Speaker 1: have to be a jerk, but you can definitely correct
- 7:00Speaker 1: us because we're open to that kind of thing. So
- 7:04Speaker 1: the effective data transfer rate, right, that's the the the
- 7:07Speaker 1: average rate at which x number of bits um transfers
- 7:11Speaker 1: from one place to another, uh in some block of time.
- 7:16Speaker 1: How fast you're junk runs? You know, that's what we're
- 7:21Speaker 1: talking about. When I click on this thing, how fast
- 7:23Speaker 1: is it gonna load this movie? Right? And that's funny
- 7:26Speaker 1: because movies are pretty much the go to standard of
- 7:30Speaker 1: how fast something goes? Right. So um Strickling wrote this,
- 7:35Speaker 1: and one of his first prediction for the future of
- 7:38Speaker 1: the Internet is that it's speed speeds are going to
- 7:40Speaker 1: be increased tremendously. I really went out a lender, but
- 7:45Speaker 1: that's what I'm saying. Like, if you go and look,
- 7:48Speaker 1: if you do a search for future of the Internet,
- 7:50Speaker 1: you're not gonna find anything different than this. It's crazy, like,
- 7:54Speaker 1: no one's no one's sticking their neck out at all.
- 7:57Speaker 1: No one knows but he but he said that. According
- 7:59Speaker 1: to Akamai Technologies, which puts out a State of the
- 8:04Speaker 1: Internet report on a quarterly basis, the average global data
- 8:08Speaker 1: transmission speed late two thousand nine, which might as well
- 8:13Speaker 1: was one point seven megabits per second megabytes. I can
- 8:17Speaker 1: find the current one. I couldn't either. One reason why
- 8:20Speaker 1: is because if you look up stuff like this, all
- 8:22Speaker 1: you're gonna find is a T and D says it's
- 8:25Speaker 1: this fast, Verizon says you can get it this fast.
- 8:27Speaker 1: And it's people advertising how fast they can do it
- 8:30Speaker 1: right or average. It's some obscure website about you know,
- 8:34Speaker 1: like what what a four G network should be for Um,
- 8:39Speaker 1: somebody broke a record, and in fact there's a record
- 8:42Speaker 1: um that he mentions from Bell Labs right from this
- 8:49Speaker 1: is the current record as far as I know. Yes,
- 8:53Speaker 1: it could have been from yesterday and now it's outdated. Uh,
- 8:56Speaker 1: this one, this one is pretty recent. Um. I believe
- 8:59Speaker 1: it was May maybe I'm not sure, but it was
- 9:03Speaker 1: a hundred petabytes. Okay, what's a pot a petabyte, chuck,
- 9:07Speaker 1: is a million gigabytes. So that's a hundred million gigabytes
- 9:11Speaker 1: in a second that they transferred, or a hundred billion
- 9:15Speaker 1: megabits Okay, let's just another way to say it. Or
- 9:19Speaker 1: I guess a trillion bits right better? Math is wrong.
- 9:22Speaker 1: So the and then of course that's that's in a second.
- 9:26Speaker 1: So they managed to transfer, um a hundred million gigabytes
- 9:31Speaker 1: of information in a second. And what does that mean
- 9:35Speaker 1: in DVDs, which are like the big max of the internet. Right, Well, um,
- 9:40Speaker 1: it turns out that they transferred twenty two million DVDs
- 9:44Speaker 1: worth of information in a second. Right now, this is
- 9:49Speaker 1: using a laser. Well yeah, and I need to point
- 9:52Speaker 1: out I did go to the Acamite technology site which
- 9:54Speaker 1: publishes this quarterly report, and it sat there as a PDF,
- 9:57Speaker 1: and I was like, oh great, Q four or Q one.
- 10:02Speaker 1: I was like, perfect, click. You must be a member
- 10:04Speaker 1: to access this information. So the point is, though, is
- 10:07Speaker 1: not that we know the average transfer rate worldwide. The
- 10:12Speaker 1: point is is what we're getting and what is potentially possible.
- 10:16Speaker 1: Uh is there's a huge gap there between what you
- 10:19Speaker 1: can get commercially, right and while that while that transfer
- 10:23Speaker 1: of a hundred peta bytes was across a laser, which
- 10:25Speaker 1: no one's using right now in a commercial network not
- 10:28Speaker 1: yeah yeah, Um, there's the record for fiber optic, which
- 10:32Speaker 1: is in wide use, that's your broadband. Um it was
- 10:37Speaker 1: twenty six terabytes, which is um, I think a thousand gigabytes.
- 10:43Speaker 1: That's fast. Yeah, So twenty six thousand gigabytes in a second.
- 10:48Speaker 1: So that's still a broadband, huge gap between what is
- 10:51Speaker 1: available to us. So the whole point of this is
- 10:54Speaker 1: is this is where we can potentially end up. Is
- 10:57Speaker 1: you can download a movie to watch an HD movie
- 11:01Speaker 1: in a second, right just by clicking on it. What
- 11:03Speaker 1: makes me said is that we're not already at like
- 11:06Speaker 1: a petabyte of information transferred already. I wonder what all
- 11:10Speaker 1: the reasons I don't like on our local area network
- 11:12Speaker 1: here at the office, it says like hundred megabytes a second.
- 11:15Speaker 1: It's like, no, it's like, that's what I could be getting,
- 11:17Speaker 1: but it's never what you get, and I just think
- 11:21Speaker 1: it's it's the Internet's fast, but it could be faster. Agreed.
- 11:26Speaker 1: That's point one, all right, And the prediction is it
- 11:29Speaker 1: probably will be wirelessly and landline base and wireless is
- 11:35Speaker 1: going to get faster and faster, and that's probably where
- 11:37Speaker 1: people are going to start putting most of their money
- 11:40Speaker 1: if they're not already in figuring out ways to make
- 11:42Speaker 1: it faster and faster, because wireless is what everybody wants, right. Um,
- 11:47Speaker 1: If the Internet is found in devices, if that's the
- 11:50Speaker 1: future of it and how it's consumed, then wireless is
- 11:55Speaker 1: probably the basis of most of these devices. And not
- 11:58Speaker 1: only that, Chuck, Not only do consumers want it, but
- 12:02Speaker 1: companies Internet service providers want wireless to be the next
- 12:07Speaker 1: Internet as well, because that SEC ruling from December of
- 12:10Speaker 1: two thousand ten on net neutrality basically said, yes, the
- 12:14Speaker 1: Net needs to remain neutral unless it's wireless, and they
- 12:18Speaker 1: left the door open for wireless Internet service providers to
- 12:22Speaker 1: show favoritism. And this is the second part of the
- 12:26Speaker 1: John Strickland prediction extravaganza of the future of the Internet.
- 12:31Speaker 1: Where the Net's going to be going. That's right. Net neutrality, Josh,
- 12:34Speaker 1: is a big can of worms of which we could
- 12:37Speaker 1: do an entire podcast, but we're gonna only pull one
- 12:41Speaker 1: worm from this and simply say, if you've heard the
- 12:44Speaker 1: term net neutrality, you don't know what it is. Basically,
- 12:46Speaker 1: it is keeping the Internet wide open. No matter which
- 12:50Speaker 1: I s P you're using, you can access the same
- 12:52Speaker 1: content as someone else using another I s P. The
- 12:57Speaker 1: potential against this would be, uh if an I s P,
- 13:02Speaker 1: let's say, cuts a deal with certain vendors with the
- 13:06Speaker 1: site a website, Yeah, certain websites doesn't have to be
- 13:09Speaker 1: a vendor, but it could be then they're gonna put
- 13:12Speaker 1: their juice, their best juice into making that really fast
- 13:16Speaker 1: fast load. Right, you would get your hundred megabytes a
- 13:18Speaker 1: second download for that website, but maybe the other website,
- 13:22Speaker 1: which may be the competition of that other website, it's
- 13:25Speaker 1: gonna make it really slow or just not make it
- 13:27Speaker 1: be available at all. And like a cable company, you
- 13:30Speaker 1: can't get our beloved science channel, which is wrong. Yes, uh,
- 13:37Speaker 1: because you know certain cable companies they got a monopoly
- 13:40Speaker 1: in your area and you're like, oh, I can only
- 13:41Speaker 1: go with um blank cable company in my area, and
- 13:44Speaker 1: they don't carry these channels or they don't carry the websites.
- 13:48Speaker 1: That's the future, um And And that's a big problem
- 13:52Speaker 1: because the Internet was the model of it was kind
- 13:56Speaker 1: of based on all the mistakes that have been made
- 13:59Speaker 1: in the past, learning from that and then now once
- 14:02Speaker 1: we realize what we have at our hands, it became
- 14:05Speaker 1: less neutral in December two thousand ten, um And it's
- 14:09Speaker 1: a big, big deal. Yeah, it really is. You We've
- 14:12Speaker 1: seen with the Arab Spring how touchy people get when
- 14:15Speaker 1: um you shut down their access to the Internet. Revolutions occur, right,
- 14:20Speaker 1: So centering the Internet in any way, shape or form
- 14:23Speaker 1: is um is a definite no no. But the problem
- 14:27Speaker 1: with this FCC ruling is that it allows for basically
- 14:31Speaker 1: um financial censorship of the Internet. And one of the
- 14:36Speaker 1: problems with this, this lack of net neutrality is if
- 14:41Speaker 1: you get what you pay for, then the Internet will
- 14:44Speaker 1: become divided across class lines. Yeah, the biggest websites that
- 14:49Speaker 1: can afford fastest download times and speeds will weed out
- 14:55Speaker 1: the mom and pop quote unquote of the Internet. Right,
- 14:57Speaker 1: and then just based on the the basic capitalist theory,
- 15:02Speaker 1: those websites aren't just gonna hang out over here and
- 15:04Speaker 1: hope that, you know, the net expands once again. They're
- 15:07Speaker 1: gonna weather on the vine and die, and we're going
- 15:09Speaker 1: to have a paired down, leaner, probably more corporates version
- 15:14Speaker 1: of the Internet exactly. And what I think should happen, Josh,
- 15:18Speaker 1: and I think a lot of people agree, is to
- 15:20Speaker 1: let it be a little more Darwinian, which is what
- 15:24Speaker 1: it has been, which is keep it an even playing
- 15:29Speaker 1: field and just see who survives. And if you if
- 15:31Speaker 1: you remember when all the startups the big boom in
- 15:34Speaker 1: the nineties, when I mean there were so many new
- 15:37Speaker 1: commerce sites and I remember thinking at the time. You
- 15:41Speaker 1: know the Amazons will survive and all the other ones
- 15:46Speaker 1: are a lot of the other ones will die off,
- 15:48Speaker 1: But you think is going to make it. I had
- 15:51Speaker 1: a director I worked that bought a lot of stock
- 15:53Speaker 1: in the web band. Yeah, I have a friend who
- 15:55Speaker 1: did that didn't work out so well. And I'm not laughing.
- 15:57Speaker 1: It's not funny. I feel very bad for people who
- 16:00Speaker 1: put a lot of money into a start of field.
- 16:02Speaker 1: But that's my point is it was. It was a
- 16:04Speaker 1: level playing ground. At least, it's whoever does it the
- 16:07Speaker 1: best will win out. And the Amazon's one out, the
- 16:11Speaker 1: YouTube's one out. Did you did you put your money
- 16:14Speaker 1: where your mouth was? And like invest in the Yahoo's Dude,
- 16:18Speaker 1: do you think I had any money in? You can't
- 16:20Speaker 1: have any money in two thousand eleven. If you had
- 16:23Speaker 1: money in ninety five, you would have it in two
- 16:25Speaker 1: thousand eleven. I imagine unless you hung onto that Yahoo stuck. UM.
- 16:30Speaker 1: One of the ways that that net neutrality, I guess
- 16:34Speaker 1: is threatened is is UM a lot of companies that
- 16:38Speaker 1: make devices UM weren't waiting around to see what how
- 16:43Speaker 1: the FCC ultimately ruled or whether the net would remain neutral.
- 16:47Speaker 1: They started making what are called walled gardens. Right, So
- 16:51Speaker 1: the devices, I should say, by the way, they're called
- 16:53Speaker 1: tethered appliances. What are we talking about. It's an iPhone
- 16:58Speaker 1: and droid smartphone. But let's let me Apples is such
- 17:02Speaker 1: a great example of this. I'm gonna pick on Apple,
- 17:04Speaker 1: but it's not just Apple doing this. Like, um, the
- 17:08Speaker 1: Xbox Xbox Live. You can't access Xbox Live through any
- 17:13Speaker 1: other other device than the Xbox. That makes the Xbox
- 17:16Speaker 1: the tethered appliance. You have to have that to do that. Okay,
- 17:20Speaker 1: So um, with the with the iPad or the iPhone,
- 17:25Speaker 1: it's a that's a tethered appliance. Um, you use that
- 17:29Speaker 1: to access what's called a walled garden. Right. The the
- 17:33Speaker 1: it does the iPhone, it's supposed to be. It's a
- 17:35Speaker 1: very nice, pleasant, like um, user friendly, very design heavy
- 17:41Speaker 1: corner of the Internet. It's part of the Internet, but
- 17:44Speaker 1: you can't get to it through traditional means. You have
- 17:46Speaker 1: to get to it through this device that you buy
- 17:48Speaker 1: from this company, and they own this section of the Internet.
- 17:52Speaker 1: The iPhone app Store is a part of the Internet
- 17:55Speaker 1: that Apple owns that you can't get to any other way.
- 17:58Speaker 1: So there's this one way to get in there. And
- 18:02Speaker 1: as uh say, you know you can't get to the
- 18:04Speaker 1: iPhone app store to your droid, right, so you can,
- 18:10Speaker 1: you can. But let's say, let's say the market share
- 18:15Speaker 1: for handheld mobile devices um went to Apple and droid
- 18:21Speaker 1: head ten percent. But you can't survive with ten percent,
- 18:23Speaker 1: and eventually it's going to be Apple that creates the
- 18:26Speaker 1: user experience of the Internet. That ubiquitous design. I'm sorry
- 18:32Speaker 1: to use that word twice, but that that design that's
- 18:35Speaker 1: just so emblematic of Apple, that is so many people's
- 18:41Speaker 1: experience of the Internet. Yet you're experiencing the Internet through
- 18:46Speaker 1: Apple's exactly nice, chuck. But the Android has completely different design.
- 18:52Speaker 1: It's a completely different experience. And if you ever put
- 18:55Speaker 1: an Android user in an iPhone user into the same room,
- 18:59Speaker 1: they are barely talking about the same thing. Yeah, even
- 19:02Speaker 1: though what they're talking about our handheld devices that access
- 19:07Speaker 1: the Internet supposedly the same Internet. And then all right,
- 19:11Speaker 1: think about this. You've got, um, let's say, a less
- 19:15Speaker 1: popular handheld device these days, like the Carnival, like the palm,
- 19:23Speaker 1: Let's say the Carnival, the Carnival. A people are are
- 19:27Speaker 1: designing apps for the droid, and the companies are designing
- 19:31Speaker 1: apps for the droid and the and the iPhone like
- 19:34Speaker 1: crazy because those are the two biggest ones and they
- 19:37Speaker 1: want to get it all over the place. You feel
- 19:40Speaker 1: maybe bad for other handheld devices that don't have people saying, oh, man,
- 19:45Speaker 1: I want to design a CARNIVALI app so CARNIVALI users
- 19:49Speaker 1: can have that same rich experience. CARNIVALI doesn't have the money.
- 19:53Speaker 1: I mean, I'm sure they're trying to get in that
- 19:56Speaker 1: marketplace and design their own cool apps. But the apps
- 20:00Speaker 1: are coming from the apps are coming from how stuff
- 20:04Speaker 1: works dot com and what we do apps for. We
- 20:07Speaker 1: did apps for the droid and for the iPhone. So far,
- 20:10Speaker 1: we haven't done a car Carnival. We have not done one.
- 20:13Speaker 1: And poor Carnivale is gonna suffer one day because essentially
- 20:17Speaker 1: they're being left in the dust. And the Internet experience
- 20:20Speaker 1: is being lived through two handheld devices and eventually there
- 20:24Speaker 1: could possibly be one or you know, or it could
- 20:28Speaker 1: expand in the BlackBerry or I'm sorry, the the uh,
- 20:31Speaker 1: the Strawberry could catch up and and revolutionize things and
- 20:38Speaker 1: get way more apps than the iPhone. Who knows, but
- 20:42Speaker 1: itself follows that same model. I mean, ask Adobe. They
- 20:46Speaker 1: make flash and everybody loves flash. A revolutionized how we
- 20:50Speaker 1: how we consume material on the internet. Right. The Apple
- 20:55Speaker 1: chose not to operate flash on its OS, and it's
- 20:58Speaker 1: mobile OS. So any site that has flash, you just
- 21:03Speaker 1: have that little cube, the little Rubric's cube, and that's it.
- 21:07Speaker 1: In Apple is not the least bit apologetic of it.
- 21:09Speaker 1: And the crazy thing is is Apple users aren't demanding flash.
- 21:13Speaker 1: Flash is just going the way of the dinosaur because
- 21:16Speaker 1: Apple chose not to support it. And now everybody's like,
- 21:20Speaker 1: there's a whole HTML five developer movements out there where
- 21:26Speaker 1: this is the next thing that's going to replace flash,
- 21:28Speaker 1: right because Apple chose not to support flash, Right, how's it?
- 21:32Speaker 1: That's that's the That's the Internet being carved down by
- 21:35Speaker 1: people who, um are making decisions for everybody else. How
- 21:38Speaker 1: are we doing on this? We could? I think we're okay.
- 21:41Speaker 1: I think one of the ways we're getting away with
- 21:43Speaker 1: this in large part is that we are this is
- 21:46Speaker 1: opinion well, and I know I feel like I'm in
- 21:49Speaker 1: a in a lake with like the waters just under
- 21:51Speaker 1: my nose because dealing with this text stuff is such
- 21:54Speaker 1: Strickland's line of work and he feels so comfortable with it,
- 21:58Speaker 1: and uh, I just have And with Techy's especially, it's
- 22:01Speaker 1: not like we're talking about you know, bear spray and
- 22:04Speaker 1: like five people know that we're in over our heads.
- 22:07Speaker 1: Techy's really pay attention and there to be like these
- 22:09Speaker 1: guys are so wrong. I know, I know, and again
- 22:12Speaker 1: if we are, if we are wrong, please do correct
- 22:14Speaker 1: started discussion. We like that. Yeah, um, but Chuck, I
- 22:17Speaker 1: feel like I'm bleeding from under my fingernails from just
- 22:19Speaker 1: hanging on. That's two. Number two is that the Internet
- 22:24Speaker 1: will be a leaner, slicker, more corporateised version of itself.
- 22:27Speaker 1: Now perhaps possibly there's a book I read across. I
- 22:30Speaker 1: haven't read it. I just came across it today. Um,
- 22:33Speaker 1: it's by a guy named Jonathan ZiT Train z I
- 22:38Speaker 1: T t R A I n uh. It's called The
- 22:40Speaker 1: Future of the Internet and How to Stop It. That's
- 22:43Speaker 1: where I got the tethered Appliances thing. And he's basically like,
- 22:47Speaker 1: we need more like user generated stuff and less walled gardens.
- 22:52Speaker 1: And if we don't have them, if we don't do
- 22:54Speaker 1: something now, then when it's we're toast because there's so
- 22:58Speaker 1: much cash to be made out there on the Internet,
- 23:01Speaker 1: that it's gonna be a big fight either way, even
- 23:04Speaker 1: if there is success in creating um a more democratic internet,
- 23:10Speaker 1: right or maintaining it. I guess. So that's some of
- 23:13Speaker 1: the tech stuff. What's the third one? Oh, yeah, we
- 23:16Speaker 1: know this one. Yeah, Nicholas Carr, We've talked about this. Uh.
- 23:19Speaker 1: This guy wrote a book, I'm sorry, an article called
- 23:21Speaker 1: his Google making a Stupid that got a lot of press.
- 23:24Speaker 1: We used it in presentations, we've used it in podcasts,
- 23:27Speaker 1: and the hypothesis is that the way you navigate and
- 23:30Speaker 1: read things on the Internet is not like book learning.
- 23:33Speaker 1: In book reading, it's not deep vertical absorption. It's horizontal
- 23:39Speaker 1: and it's spotty or right bapid absorption. And it's basically
- 23:43Speaker 1: his argument that just because we have this library of
- 23:46Speaker 1: information doesn't mean that we're using it to make a
- 23:50Speaker 1: smarter Well, he was saying that it's it's so revolutionized
- 23:56Speaker 1: how we learned by the access we have the information
- 23:59Speaker 1: that it's changing our brains were being cognitively restructured. I
- 24:05Speaker 1: believe that to a certain degree. Oh I do too, man.
- 24:07Speaker 1: My attention has decreased spectacularly over the last four years.
- 24:13Speaker 1: Since I've worked here well, and then I did Stuff
- 24:16Speaker 1: from the Future podcast this week. It's one over us.
- 24:20Speaker 1: It is out awesome. Tell them everybody about it, real quick.
- 24:22Speaker 1: Stuff from the Future. It's a podcast where someone just
- 24:25Speaker 1: muses on something for about five minutes on what it
- 24:27Speaker 1: might be like. Mine was personal communication, and my point
- 24:30Speaker 1: that I was making is that people are not communicating
- 24:34Speaker 1: the same way since the advent of the smartphone. They're
- 24:37Speaker 1: not even talking on the phone as much because the texting. Uh,
- 24:40Speaker 1: they're not talking face to face. And what does that
- 24:42Speaker 1: mean a hundred years down the road? Are people gonna
- 24:46Speaker 1: be freaked out having when someone drops by their house
- 24:48Speaker 1: and knocks on the door, or when someone I'm already
- 24:51Speaker 1: close to that point, or when somebody has a personal
- 24:56Speaker 1: eye to eye confrontation with you. I'm right there, buddy,
- 24:59Speaker 1: I'm the future. You're looking at it. So I argue
- 25:02Speaker 1: that all you see nowadays, or the tops of people's
- 25:04Speaker 1: heads instead of eyes, all you see is people looking
- 25:07Speaker 1: down all the time everywhere, and that we're not flexing.
- 25:11Speaker 1: We can't remember anything. We don't have the opportunity to
- 25:15Speaker 1: remember something we used to know and flexing those deep
- 25:18Speaker 1: memory muscles because you can hardly get the word out
- 25:21Speaker 1: who was that someone before someone has looked it up
- 25:24Speaker 1: and told you who it was. So there's no more
- 25:27Speaker 1: tip of the tongue experiences, there's no more deep memory.
- 25:30Speaker 1: But we're flexing different parts of our brain, like how
- 25:33Speaker 1: to use my thumbs to type, so I think, but
- 25:37Speaker 1: it's making us stupider. So that's your that's I mean,
- 25:41Speaker 1: it's certainly changing things, and I don't know if it's
- 25:43Speaker 1: for the better. I mean, we have immediacy of information.
- 25:45Speaker 1: But the way Strickland took it was that car was saying,
- 25:49Speaker 1: like we're taking our um need to keep this information.
- 25:55Speaker 1: And I know he made this point in this article,
- 25:57Speaker 1: but like we had to to to to know the
- 26:00Speaker 1: right answer to something before we had to know it,
- 26:03Speaker 1: and now we don't have to know it because we
- 26:05Speaker 1: have a repository that anybody can access through their phone
- 26:09Speaker 1: now to go get the answer. So it's like a
- 26:12Speaker 1: giant collective brain that we're coming to rely on, exactly.
- 26:15Speaker 1: But what happens when that brain malfunctions or that brain
- 26:18Speaker 1: is being fed certain information that's false, that's false, or
- 26:24Speaker 1: that's you know. I'm not saying it's gonna be like
- 26:27Speaker 1: but dumbed down if it net neutrality, if the government
- 26:29Speaker 1: gets more involved and all of a sudden, I mean,
- 26:31Speaker 1: look at what's already going on in China. They're being
- 26:33Speaker 1: fed specific information and that could one day be our
- 26:38Speaker 1: truth in reality. Man, that was dystopian. Yeah, with my
- 26:45Speaker 1: my um concern about it, it's kind of closer to yours.
- 26:49Speaker 1: But it's more that, like my brain is literally being
- 26:52Speaker 1: restructured physically through plasticity, that instead of being able to
- 26:57Speaker 1: absorb something deeply, I'm getting the bits of information I
- 27:02Speaker 1: need out of something very quickly. And then you know,
- 27:05Speaker 1: when that brings up another question, I just opened a
- 27:07Speaker 1: new tab swarch for that question. Start putting stuff together,
- 27:11Speaker 1: so I'm able to connect seemingly disparate ideas into a
- 27:17Speaker 1: third hybrid idea. But at the same time, I'm not
- 27:22Speaker 1: necessarily getting it that you know, when something clicks, it's
- 27:27Speaker 1: things don't click anymore, But though those are such beautiful
- 27:30Speaker 1: moments when they do click, the tip of the tongue
- 27:33Speaker 1: moments when you finally think that thing, it's such a
- 27:35Speaker 1: rewarding experience. And that's going away to a large degree. Yeah,
- 27:39Speaker 1: when things just clicking, when you know it is that
- 27:40Speaker 1: what you mean, that's not what you're saying. Is it clicking?
- 27:43Speaker 1: You know? What I'm saying is like the tip of
- 27:45Speaker 1: the tongue moment, like when you can't think of something
- 27:46Speaker 1: like oh, what was it? What was it? And when
- 27:48Speaker 1: you finally think of it two hours later, it's so great.
- 27:51Speaker 1: But that can't happen anymore because I'm dummy, won't even
- 27:54Speaker 1: give you the chance to think of it. It's just here.
- 27:56Speaker 1: It was the Jackie Chan We actually at Max foncan
- 28:01Speaker 1: at um Uh the after party in Hodgeman's room. He
- 28:07Speaker 1: was about twelve folks hanging out and he'd said, this
- 28:09Speaker 1: is a Google free evening. He said, no one touch
- 28:11Speaker 1: your phone, leave in your pocket. And we spent three
- 28:14Speaker 1: hours talking and many things came up that people were like, oh,
- 28:18Speaker 1: what was that? What was that? And it was it
- 28:21Speaker 1: was like no one like it was like the old
- 28:24Speaker 1: days six years ago when you would have these awesome
- 28:26Speaker 1: conversations and not be able to think of something and
- 28:29Speaker 1: be like, oh man, And then the next day you
- 28:31Speaker 1: would see one of those people and say, dude, I
- 28:32Speaker 1: thought of what that was? And uh, I don't know.
- 28:36Speaker 1: I think the smartphones are ruining things in a lot
- 28:38Speaker 1: of ways. Yeah, there's a lot of problems they're not
- 28:41Speaker 1: connecting people like they're kind of putting up walls in
- 28:43Speaker 1: a lot of ways as they also connect. It's a conundrum.
- 28:47Speaker 1: I read something once. I think we should end on this. UM.
- 28:51Speaker 1: There's a rule of thumb out there that if it's
- 28:56Speaker 1: basically ETIQUETTEUM, when you can use your phone in a
- 28:58Speaker 1: social situation where I feel like, if you follow it,
- 29:00Speaker 1: you can still be a normal person. But if you wouldn't,
- 29:05Speaker 1: if you wouldn't pull out a crossword puzzle and start
- 29:08Speaker 1: doing it in the social situation, you shouldn't pull out
- 29:10Speaker 1: your fun right, It's pretty much the same thing. Yeah,
- 29:14Speaker 1: I like that. Yeah, Yeah, I'm gonna just go over
- 29:17Speaker 1: a few of these. UM. Sarah Kessler at Mashable road. Oh, yeah,
- 29:21Speaker 1: these are a cool thing. UM. Six web pioneers on
- 29:24Speaker 1: what the Internet of the future will look like. Chuck
- 29:26Speaker 1: found five satisfactory, and so we'll this briefly go over
- 29:31Speaker 1: a couple of these. UM. Verry Glick, founder of map Quest,
- 29:36Speaker 1: you know the glixter. He says, uh, kind of what
- 29:40Speaker 1: we were talking about earlier. He said, right now, the
- 29:41Speaker 1: internet has been very computer oriented and that's the association.
- 29:45Speaker 1: You need a computer to connect. He said, that's going
- 29:47Speaker 1: away of course already. But basically he sees the future
- 29:50Speaker 1: of there being no boundaries. The Internet is just this
- 29:53Speaker 1: invisible present power supply, and all you will have is
- 29:59Speaker 1: uh access devices. There will be no more television, there
- 30:03Speaker 1: will be no more telephone. You'll just have these devices,
- 30:07Speaker 1: everything crammed into one that tap into the brain of
- 30:11Speaker 1: the earth. Interesting, you came up with the brain of
- 30:16Speaker 1: the earth thing, right, do you want to read? Uh? Yeah,
- 30:19Speaker 1: I liked UM. Jeremy Stoppelman, who is the CEO of Yelp,
- 30:23Speaker 1: and he talked about augmented augmented reality, which kind of
- 30:26Speaker 1: UM dovetails with his business because of his applications. Well,
- 30:32Speaker 1: there's an app for Atlanta I read about recently where
- 30:35Speaker 1: it's like you hold up your phone, this Matt feature
- 30:39Speaker 1: UM pops up like augmented reality on all the stuff
- 30:43Speaker 1: that's showing up on your phone of the area around you,
- 30:47Speaker 1: Like here's this restaurant special today, or um, this is
- 30:50Speaker 1: a great place to go dancing if that's your kind
- 30:53Speaker 1: of thing. But I don't think the augmented reality says
- 30:56Speaker 1: that part. But it's UM. I mean, it's already here.
- 31:00Speaker 1: That's that's I think extremely interesting to me that it's
- 31:05Speaker 1: like this. Do you remember those um, the human body
- 31:10Speaker 1: and like the little celluloid. Yeah, you could peel back
- 31:14Speaker 1: right and it was like the skin and then you
- 31:15Speaker 1: peel back the skin and there's like all the muscles.
- 31:17Speaker 1: You peel that back, there's the organs and the nerves
- 31:19Speaker 1: and all that. It's kind of like laying one of
- 31:21Speaker 1: those over real life. I just it's really cool. I
- 31:24Speaker 1: think if you peel back the final one of those
- 31:26Speaker 1: books that just should have your face like the right
- 31:28Speaker 1: around the abdomen, but it but it's dead. It's like rotting.
- 31:34Speaker 1: U that's horrifying. Actually, Ryan osamec president of Open Source Matter,
- 31:39Speaker 1: sees more and more focused on the cloud. Yeah, well yeah,
- 31:43Speaker 1: I yeah, obviously yeah. Um, I mean, like I said,
- 31:48Speaker 1: these guys aren't exactly going out on a limb uh
- 31:51Speaker 1: dries uh by a tart of the founder of Drupele
- 31:56Speaker 1: thinks more websites within a single organization, more different devices
- 32:02Speaker 1: that need to consume those websites with different experiences, and
- 32:05Speaker 1: more social things. So basically more of what's going on
- 32:08Speaker 1: is what he thinks exactly more of the same. Interesting.
- 32:13Speaker 1: So I guess I want to say if anybody wants
- 32:15Speaker 1: to uh to tell us what we got wrong, that's fine,
- 32:19Speaker 1: or speculate on what you think. Ye, we'd love to
- 32:23Speaker 1: hear you stick your neck out, so send us an email.
- 32:25Speaker 1: We'll give you the email address when we're finished. But
- 32:27Speaker 1: if you want to learn more about the future of
- 32:29Speaker 1: the Internet, uh, type in future Internet in the search bar,
- 32:33Speaker 1: how stuff works dot com and that brings up what
- 32:35Speaker 1: chuck uh Facebook as Josh and Chuck feature. Let me
- 32:41Speaker 1: call us something different every time? All right, we did
- 32:43Speaker 1: this that these are running concurrently on the previous show
- 32:46Speaker 1: where we post on Facebook. Ask us whatever. We'll buzz
- 32:49Speaker 1: through as many as we can. Some are funny, some
- 32:52Speaker 1: are serious, and we will treat them bestlie, We'll treat
- 32:55Speaker 1: them all funny. H Alex Embre You do you guys
- 32:58Speaker 1: prepare what you say together or by yourselves before your record? Alex,
- 33:02Speaker 1: We've answered this before, but for new listeners, we do
- 33:05Speaker 1: not prepare. We do not go over stuff. We try
- 33:09Speaker 1: to just prepare separately and have a conversation. Yeah, and
- 33:12Speaker 1: record it pretty simple, That is it. That's the mojo.
- 33:16Speaker 1: Um I got one have we ever met Jad and
- 33:20Speaker 1: Robert from Radio Lab. I have not, but Robert Lamb
- 33:24Speaker 1: of Stuff to Blow Your Mind has interviewed him one
- 33:26Speaker 1: of the guys on the phone. Yeah, he's a big
- 33:28Speaker 1: fan of this. Yeah, I am too a huge fan. Uh.
- 33:32Speaker 1: What you gotta Chuck? Uh? What music are you listening
- 33:36Speaker 1: to right now? Attending any concerts this summer? I'm hopefully
- 33:40Speaker 1: going to attend here you, Louise, I'm listening to the
- 33:45Speaker 1: new Bonnie Bear. It's good, new My Morning Jacket, New
- 33:48Speaker 1: p J. Harvey Tyler the Creator. Have you heard this kid? No,
- 33:52Speaker 1: it's your rapper. He's a part of that group DH
- 33:58Speaker 1: Future Will Destroy or the Earth or something like that.
- 34:01Speaker 1: They're there's just like nineteen year old kids out of
- 34:03Speaker 1: l A and it's just crazy. I'll check it out.
- 34:07Speaker 1: It's really good and it's very creepy to like there.
- 34:10Speaker 1: I wouldn't kids shouldn't go listen to this stuff. No, yeah,
- 34:13Speaker 1: they think about some pretty awful stuff that the snakes. Yeah. Uh,
- 34:16Speaker 1: I'm listening to Herb Albert and Chuck Mangione. Two days
- 34:21Speaker 1: that I've been listening to you. I am going to
- 34:23Speaker 1: see Dylan in a couple of weeks. Are you Fred Dylan,
- 34:30Speaker 1: Matt Dylan, my morning Jacket and with Niko ka is
- 34:34Speaker 1: going to see them in a month or so. Oh
- 34:36Speaker 1: that's a good uh mash up? Yeah, good twosome. Yeah.
- 34:39Speaker 1: So that's all I have on the concert schedule. Tapes
- 34:41Speaker 1: and tapes actually in a few months too, Steve Mountain
- 34:44Speaker 1: as he's coming to and you saw, Um, I saw
- 34:48Speaker 1: a dinosaur Jr. Recently? Oh yeah, how's that? It was good?
- 34:52Speaker 1: James mask Us at the airport. Yeah, he was not
- 34:54Speaker 1: looking good. He was He was probably looking exactly the
- 34:57Speaker 1: same as when I saw him, a little haggard. Still,
- 35:01Speaker 1: it's a good show. Loud there, I said it was loud.
- 35:05Speaker 1: That's what you can say about dinosaurs Jr. Um Let's see,
- 35:09Speaker 1: what's my drink of choice, Chuck, what's your drink of choice?
- 35:14Speaker 1: Like a good gin tonic or a good bourbon on
- 35:16Speaker 1: the rocks on the gin and tonic. Right now, I'm
- 35:18Speaker 1: on this one called Guadalajara Sour. It's awesome. Really. I
- 35:23Speaker 1: make a modified version of it that I'm not going
- 35:25Speaker 1: to give the secret away, okay, but um it's it's
- 35:28Speaker 1: good stuff. Lately, I've been by Decatur has a craft
- 35:31Speaker 1: beer store called Ale. Yeah, yeah, and they have they
- 35:34Speaker 1: sell growlers, So you buy your growler for like five bucks,
- 35:38Speaker 1: and then you just go up there and they have
- 35:39Speaker 1: like eight beers on tap and you can fill it
- 35:41Speaker 1: up for Can you ride off with it on your bike? Ah? Sure.
- 35:46Speaker 1: There's a there's a little uh market by Dead's garage
- 35:52Speaker 1: that has like a wine island, and it's like they
- 35:57Speaker 1: sell it by this measured amount and that you go
- 36:00Speaker 1: get a little prepaid car and you slap your card
- 36:03Speaker 1: in there and you stay in the middle of this
- 36:04Speaker 1: market and drink your wine start laughing at people after
- 36:07Speaker 1: a couple of glasses. That's right next to in we shot.
- 36:09Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to check that out. No, no, no,
- 36:11Speaker 1: not indicator. It's um Dead's garage. Okay. I was thinking
- 36:15Speaker 1: Bush Bush Yeah, and him and part Yes, Brian TBone Perkins,
- 36:19Speaker 1: Donald Duck versus Daffy Duck, Tim Boom Perkins, t Bone Perkins.
- 36:25Speaker 1: You have Ryan Tibon Perkins, Donald Duck or Daffy Duck. Um,
- 36:29Speaker 1: he says in a sing off. But I'm just gonna
- 36:30Speaker 1: say in general, easy Daffy Duck, Like that's who you
- 36:37Speaker 1: rather here, dude, No question. I was I was Looney
- 36:40Speaker 1: Tunes all the way. I was not a Disney kid.
- 36:44Speaker 1: I like Donald Duck. I heard when I was the
- 36:47Speaker 1: Kids that he was banned from like Sweden or something
- 36:49Speaker 1: like that for not wearing pain. You know, we heard
- 36:51Speaker 1: that in the podcast. I heard it a long time ago,
- 36:53Speaker 1: but the lady confirmed it in the podcast in a comic.
- 36:56Speaker 1: I think it was Sweden. Yeah, that's right, she did
- 36:59Speaker 1: send the calm. Yeah, what was that like two years ago?
- 37:02Speaker 1: It was a long time ago. You got any more?
- 37:03Speaker 1: You want to do one more each? Yeah? One more each? Um.
- 37:06Speaker 1: Let's see. How was Nick Cage an Academy Award winner
- 37:11Speaker 1: because of raising Arizona. That's not what he went for that.
- 37:15Speaker 1: It doesn't matter. He won because leaving Las Vegas. He
- 37:19Speaker 1: was awesome in that, and the competition that he was
- 37:22Speaker 1: pretty weak. The depressing movie Richard Dreyfuss and Mr Hollins
- 37:27Speaker 1: Opus was that year. Anthony Hopkins, Is Nixon, Massimo Troy
- 37:33Speaker 1: c and Il Postino. I thought bank I won. Now
- 37:36Speaker 1: you're thinking of roberta be Eating No, No, I know,
- 37:39Speaker 1: but Il Postino was like the Just and then the
- 37:44Speaker 1: other actually Sean Penn and Dead Men Walking. That was
- 37:46Speaker 1: his only real competition he didn't win. Now he should
- 37:48Speaker 1: have that, although Nick Cave was great. Yeah, all right,
- 37:51Speaker 1: my last one, Um, I ever want to do the
- 37:55Speaker 1: show without wearing pants? And my that is Cody Hi
- 38:00Speaker 1: Kneman and Cody. My answer is, what do you mean?
- 38:04Speaker 1: How about with wearing pants? Hey? Nice Chuck, I think
- 38:09Speaker 1: you answered for both of us on that. Yeah. Kelly
- 38:11Speaker 1: Chromely asked about Nick Cage by the way, Yeah, I'm
- 38:13Speaker 1: sorry about that. I haven't been uh saying people's names,
- 38:16Speaker 1: have I I don't know, I haven't. Sarah Chriscilius asked
- 38:21Speaker 1: what our drink of choice is? Uh. Well, if you
- 38:24Speaker 1: want to ask us questions, go on to Facebook for
- 38:26Speaker 1: once in your life, why don't you? That's Facebook dot
- 38:29Speaker 1: com slash stuff you should know um, and you can
- 38:32Speaker 1: also tweet to us at s y s K podcast
- 38:36Speaker 1: and you can send us email. Remember, if you have
- 38:38Speaker 1: a prediction for the future of the Internet, we want
- 38:40Speaker 1: to hear it, right, We'll pass it along to all
- 38:42Speaker 1: these so called experts. You can send us email at
- 38:46Speaker 1: Stuff Podcast at how stuff works dot com. Be sure
- 38:55Speaker 1: to check out our new video podcast, Stuff from the Future.
- 38:58Speaker 1: Join how Stuff Work staff as we explore the most
- 39:00Speaker 1: promising and perplexing possibilities of tomorrow, brought to you by
- 39:07Speaker 1: the reinvented two thousand twelve camera. It's ready, are you