Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 404 - 11/26/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems go with Josh Appelbaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome. To.
- 0:15Episode 4 O 4. Of the all systems.
- 0:18Go sports betting podcast. Powered.
- 0:21By Rhythm I'm your host, Josh Appelbaum.
- 0:29What's going on, everyone? Happy Wednesday.
- 0:31Happy Hump Day. More importantly, happy
- 0:34Thanksgiving. Eve, that's right, tomorrow we
- 0:36have one of the best holidays on tap.
- 0:39Of course, if you like food. You like family, Hopefully you
- 0:41like your family, but most of all, we got.
- 0:43Football, which is very exciting.
- 0:45We got the triple header coming up tomorrow, Green Bay, Detroit.
- 0:48Kansas City, Dallas, Cincy and Baltimore.
- 0:51I have one official play, I'll kind of re up that a little bit
- 0:55later in the pod here. Could have some more.
- 0:57I do want to mention we do have. Our Rhythm live stream special.
- 1:00Thanksgiving edition tonight, 6:00 PM Eastern Time myself.
- 1:04My buddy Kate Harper. I'll be, will be.
- 1:06Hosting that. As we always do, so probably
- 1:08some more bets will come out of that, but stay tuned, of course,
- 1:11for the sharp report over the next few days.
- 1:13Reminder, no podcast tomorrow, no podcast Friday.
- 1:17So the next one, next time I talk to you guys Will.
- 1:19Be on Monday, but in between. Tomorrow.
- 1:22Going up until Monday, you can still.
- 1:24Read the sharp reports that I write.
- 1:26Every single day for. Visen.com So a full college
- 1:28slate for football, probably Friday and Saturday and then NFL
- 1:33for tomorrow. And Sunday.
- 1:34And of course, stay tuned and tied into the.
- 1:38Juice Reel all systems go. Best bet picks that'll be posted
- 1:41there as soon as I make a play so.
- 1:43Even though no pod over the. Next few days, a little bit of a
- 1:45breather here you. Can have some fun with family.
- 1:48I also have my high school reunion Friday night, which is
- 1:50I'm kind of nervous and quite and kind of excited.
- 1:52About I'll be looking. Forward to that, but still we'll
- 1:55we'll be back out. On Monday, so just want to.
- 1:57Kind of get. Some housekeeping out of the way
- 1:59and then? Looking toward today guys.
- 2:01Feast week continues. I got 3 plays in college
- 2:03basketball. Including a play in.
- 2:05Gonzaga, Michigan The biggest best game of the night here.
- 2:08Tonight, and it's shaping up to be.
- 2:11A great system play, so looking forward to breaking down those 3
- 2:14along with one NBA play. That's right, we're going to dip
- 2:17our toes back into the NBA because my buddy Daroush, one of
- 2:20the sharpest guys I know. He said, are you on this team
- 2:22tonight? You better be.
- 2:23I said Yep, you're damn. Right I am.
- 2:25So we'll see if this team can come through for us tonight in
- 2:27the NBA. Looking back to our last night,
- 2:29guys 1 and 2. -1. .18 units started the night off great with
- 2:33Utah Valley. Rolling for the team and all we
- 2:36needed was either Montana or Georgia Southern to come through
- 2:39to have a 2IN1 winning day unfortunately.
- 2:42Both let us down. Georgia Southern was up at
- 2:44halftime and just got rolled in the second-half and then.
- 2:47Montana was. Kind of back and forth was
- 2:49actually a kind of an. Entertaining game, but man.
- 2:51Oakland just would not miss any of their shots.
- 2:54It was kind of ridiculous and frustrating.
- 2:56So either way, guys 1 and 2 -, 1. .18 units.
- 3:00We'll see if we can finish off the week steaming into.
- 3:03The holiday Big Thanksgiving holiday with.
- 3:05Hopefully a winning Wednesday. Now, without further ado, let's
- 3:09get right into it because I got a lot of college plays, three
- 3:11overall, and then of course we have one.
- 3:14Play in the NBA and one play in the NFL.
- 3:16So first one for me, 7:00 Eastern Time tonight, the Dine
- 3:20Pepperdine playing Fresno State. Now this is the.
- 3:24Accra shirt series tournament. It'll be played in Palm Springs,
- 3:27CA. So once again, a neutral site
- 3:29setting the stage both these teams.
- 3:31Little background, Pepperdine comes in three and three.
- 3:33Just came up short against Stephen F Austin, 63 to 60 did
- 3:37not. Cover as a 1 1/2.
- 3:39Point home, dog. Meanwhile, Fresno State, 5:00
- 3:41and 2:00. They've won three in a row, just
- 3:43took down new. Orleans 80. 5 to 76.
- 3:46Covered as a 6 1/2 point home favorite.
- 3:49So I'm just sitting across the market here.
- 3:51Well, this came open. Fresno State very short. 1 1/2
- 3:54point neutral site favorite. And we've seen the one and a
- 3:56halfs get juiced up -1 excuse me -115 -, 120.
- 4:01A bunch of books are at. Two and a couple books even.
- 4:03Touched as high as 2 1/2, so it's been pretty.
- 4:05Clear as soon as. This line dropped and you know,
- 4:08obviously it was bettable. All movement liability.
- 4:10Was toward Fresno State, so that's the first indicator
- 4:13respecting. Money going with Fresno.
- 4:15Fresno stayed at DK looks pretty good.
- 4:17Only 63. Percent of spread bets, but 84%
- 4:20of spread dollars in favor of Fresno.
- 4:23So you have that low bets, higher dollar split.
- 4:25Then we look at a money line opportunity because again I'm
- 4:28going to money line a short favorite.
- 4:29I would hate to. Layout, you know, 1 1/2, two 2
- 4:321/2 with Fresno, they win by 1 and you lose.
- 4:34Your spread because you. Wanted to save some juice so I
- 4:36paid. Up to you at Fresno.
- 4:38I can get them around minus. 120 at Draftking.
- 4:40Some books as high as -125 -, 130, but I really like the split
- 4:45at DraftKings on Fresno. 82. Percent of money line bets, 87%
- 4:50of money line dollars. That tells me you got a lot of
- 4:52respected money playing. Fresno State to win.
- 4:54This game straight up Ken Palm, you're.
- 4:57Going to like this. He does have Fresno State
- 4:59winning by three points. So you might say to yourself, a
- 5:02lay the 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 he's got him by.
- 5:04Three to me, I'm going to protect myself.
- 5:06Still going money line, but that. 3 point edge makes me a
- 5:09little more. Confident here to go.
- 5:11Money line. He also has the Bulldogs ranked
- 5:13higher. 160. 3rd in the country versus 20 eighth for Pepperdine.
- 5:18Now couple. Advantages in advance in an.
- 5:20Addition for Fresno State, they have the better offensive.
- 5:23Efficiency 182nd. In the country.
- 5:25Versus 234th. For the Pepperdine better.
- 5:28Defensive efficiency 164th in the country versus 100.
- 5:32And 83rd for the 9 and the Bulldogs.
- 5:35Also have the better shooting. Better effective field goal
- 5:37percentage, 86th in the country. Versus 300 and 18th.
- 5:41Big advantage there, hopefully in favor of the Bulldogs.
- 5:44Also better three-point shooting, 34% versus 28.
- 5:47Percent so you open as a very. Short favorite Fresno State.
- 5:51They become more of a favorite. Ken Palms got them by three.
- 5:54They're ranked higher. Good splits a better.
- 5:56Offensive and defensive efficiency.
- 5:58Better effective field goal percentage, better three-point
- 6:00shooting. So hopefully the Fresno State
- 6:02Bulldogs can show up. And win a game for us.
- 6:05On the money line -120 Fresno State next one for you 730.
- 6:11PM Eastern Time game, Indiana State at Louisiana.
- 6:14Tech Now this is not a tournament.
- 6:16Neutral site game is the true home game.
- 6:18For LA Tech. Indiana State, by the way, comes
- 6:21in four and two on the air. They've won two straight.
- 6:23They just beat Ball State 70 to 52, easily covering.
- 6:27As a 7 1/2 point home favorite, LA Tech.
- 6:29On the other hand, Two and Two just saw their two game win
- 6:32streak come. To an end, though, they lost.
- 6:34Indiana State Who? They're playing tonight.
- 6:36More on that in a. 2nd 60 to 51 didn't cover as a. 3 1/2 point
- 6:40Rd. Dog.
- 6:41So we've seen across the market here.
- 6:43Well, this game opened. LA Tech A2 Point favorite at
- 6:46home? We've seen all movement
- 6:48liability. Toward LA Tech, that minus.
- 6:50Two got bet. Up to -2 1/2.
- 6:52And if you look at the juice move to half point and it's
- 6:56juiced up. Further toward La tech -2 1/2 -
- 6:591. 15 so even. Creeping up maybe toward three
- 7:03you. Look at the splits here.
- 7:04Look pretty good at DK. LA Tech 57% of spread bets.
- 7:08But 82% of. Spread dollars.
- 7:10Nice little sharp action split in favor of the home team.
- 7:14Ken Palm has Lot Tech winning by.
- 7:16Two points. So again.
- 7:17Not an edge on. The lane of 2 1/2 but.
- 7:19Hopefully an edge on a money line play.
- 7:21So that's what I did. I got lot tech -145.
- 7:24To win this game. Now lot tech I mentioned a
- 7:27second ago, but it's a revenge spot for them their last game.
- 7:31Was against Indiana State. They lost by 9.
- 7:33At Indiana State. So now it flips to their home
- 7:36courts, hopefully. You have a motivational edge to
- 7:38bounce back in a revenge play. Also, Bulldogs rest advantage.
- 7:42They last played on November. 19th again against Indiana
- 7:45State. Indiana State played again on
- 7:47the 22nd and now goes to La Tech.
- 7:49So you are rested, more time in the gym, more more film and prep
- 7:54as well as a. Revenge play against a team that
- 7:56just beat you. Now Bulldogs.
- 7:58Better defensive efficiency. This jumped out to me only
- 8:01allowing 56 points per game. Indiana State gives up around 71
- 8:05points per game and hopefully an.
- 8:06Advantage on the boards because if you cannot rebound.
- 8:09Your team again, you don't give up.
- 8:10Extra possessions, you can kind of go in transition, go the
- 8:13other way, but they're averaging 46.
- 8:15Rebounds per game. 38 rebounds. Per game for Indiana State and
- 8:20then a little. Home Rd.
- 8:20La Tech A true homecourt game. And again, if you're playing
- 8:24college hoops right now, you got to be aware.
- 8:25Of which games are? Neutral Which games are true?
- 8:28Homecourt A lot of times your odds live odds page will have a
- 8:31little lowercase. N in parentheses to say neutral.
- 8:35If not, you got to do a little research on your own.
- 8:37But LA Tech is. Two and old home this year.
- 8:39Indiana State. Just one.
- 8:41And two on the road. So kind of like Fresno?
- 8:44Even though it's not. Neutral.
- 8:44It's homecourt, but the line is. Moved in their favor.
- 8:47Good splits. Ken Palms.
- 8:49Got him by two revenge angle. I got LA tech.
- 8:51Here hopefully to win the game. -145 on the money line now to
- 8:56the big. Boy, the big.
- 8:58Matchup tonight. Couple powerhouses going head to
- 9:00head. In the.
- 9:01Players Era Festival. Championship game in Vegas at
- 9:05the. MGM Grand Arena, we got Gonzaga.
- 9:08Against Michigan should be a great game.
- 9:11Now Gonzaga comes in seven and O ranked 12th.
- 9:14Just beat up on. Maryland 100 to. 61 easily
- 9:17covered a 14 1/2 point. Neutral site spread.
- 9:20Meanwhile, Michigan 6. And O ranked 7th.
- 9:22Just beat up on. Auburn One.
- 9:24O2 to 71. Cruised as a 5.
- 9:26Point neutral site favorite. So what do you see across the
- 9:29market? Here, well, this game opened at
- 9:31a. Pickup spread of 0.
- 9:33On a neutral site. So basically these teams are
- 9:34evenly matched. What's interesting to me?
- 9:37Is that the? Public is on Michigan most
- 9:40likely because. They're ranked higher seventh
- 9:42versus 12th, however. Even though you're getting 65.
- 9:45Percent of spread bets. Taking Michigan, we haven't
- 9:48flipped to Michigan. -2 - 3. We flipped to Gonzaga. -2 -, 2
- 9:541/2. So if the public.
- 9:55Is on the Wolverines. Why did this line move toward
- 9:59the Zags? That is a dead.
- 10:00Giveaway to me that we have some fade the trendy dog.
- 10:03Reverse line movement in favor of Gonzaga.
- 10:06Now this. Is the most heavily bet game of
- 10:08the. Night.
- 10:08It's on TNT. Nationally televised, it's even.
- 10:11Your late game, your. 930 game and a.
- 10:13Lot of people you know getting. Off of work.
- 10:15Getting their holiday going, this is going to be extremely
- 10:17heavily bet. So just from the standpoint of
- 10:19if you even take away this. Really sharp line move.
- 10:21Just a contrarian play. This is your top contrarian play
- 10:24of the night. To take Gonzaga as the Zags.
- 10:26Are only getting 35% of spread bets in a heavily bent primetime
- 10:30game, but what do we always talk about It's not enough to.
- 10:32Just be contrarian and fade the public you got to.
- 10:34Have some element of smart money, and the smart money
- 10:36element is the fact that this line is moving RLM toward
- 10:40Gonzaga. Even though the public is on
- 10:41Michigan, so. Gonzaga only 35% of spread bets.
- 10:45But 63? Percent of spread dollars now
- 10:48Ken Palm, he has Gonzaga winning by one point. 80 to 79 so.
- 10:53Again in that spot. It's a money line play for me.
- 10:56I got Gonzaga -135 on the money line, but what I like is that
- 11:01Ken Palm. Doesn't go off of the voting.
- 11:03The AP voting like this was interesting to me that, you
- 11:06know, the public says Michigan's the better.
- 11:08Team ranked 7th, Gonzaga's 12th, but.
- 11:10Ken Palm's rankings. He actually has Gonzaga the
- 11:13number. One team in the country now?
- 11:15Michigan's No. Slouch.
- 11:16They're 4th. But it goes to show you the.
- 11:18Analytics. It's not the.
- 11:19Opinion based. Like the voters?
- 11:21It's just based on the numbers you'll get a splits on the money
- 11:25line for the Zags 51% bet 64. Percent dollars now I.
- 11:30Did see a lot. Of over money here.
- 11:32It opened at 160 1/2. It's up to 160. 3 1/2 heavy bets
- 11:36in dollars on the over so if you.
- 11:38Like the over? Certainly looks like it's gotten
- 11:40hit, but when I saw the most heavily bet game of the night,
- 11:43everyone on Michigan but the line move towards Zags, that was
- 11:46a Zags play from you guys. So I'm going to be a big Gonzaga
- 11:48fan tonight. Let's go Zags on the money line
- 11:52win. The damn game minus. 135 S
- 11:54Gonzaga, La Tech in Fresno State.
- 11:57Can we find a way to get? Two out of three.
- 11:59That would be. That'll be ideal.
- 12:01Now. Let's go over to the NBA cuz I
- 12:03got an NBA play for you. Now this game jumped.
- 12:07Out to me. It is the NBA.
- 12:09Cup the group play. And it is the Golden State
- 12:12Warriors hosting the Houston. Rockets now.
- 12:16The big thing jumped out to me is this line move.
- 12:18Toward the Warriors now to set the stage a little bit.
- 12:21Rockets come in 11 and four rockets.
- 12:23Just beat Phoenix 114 and 92, Golden State 10:00 and 9:00.
- 12:27But what's interesting and they just beat up on Utah one. 34 to
- 12:311. 17 Golden State. 'S kind of Jekyll and Hyde at.
- 12:34Home, they're six and. One on the road, they are four
- 12:37and eight. They're at home tonight.
- 12:39And also Kevin. Durant is not playing.
- 12:41Here I don't think it's injury based or read.
- 12:43Something I think it's a personal issue.
- 12:45But this looks like a clear play to me in favor.
- 12:48Of Steph Curry in the Warriors. This is the game I was.
- 12:51Joking earlier when my buddy da Rouche, my wise guy friend said
- 12:54Hey, are you on the Warriors? Tonight said Yep, yes Sir,
- 12:57because this game opened. Roughly a pick em.
- 12:59I saw one book open -1 Houston. Even a lot of books opened.
- 13:03You know -1 warriors. But regardless of the.
- 13:06Opener all movement. Liability has been toward the
- 13:09Golden State Warriors. So if you look at the spread
- 13:12splits. They look really good at
- 13:13DraftKings. Only 52.
- 13:15Percent bets, but 71% dollars at circa 50% bets, 66% dollars.
- 13:22So that kind of tells you that the public really doesn't know
- 13:25where to go here. You know, do you back the?
- 13:27Warriors at home, you know, do you just.
- 13:28Take the Rockets, even though Durant's out there.
- 13:30Still a really good team however, even though.
- 13:32Only half the tickets, heavy dollars and movement toward the
- 13:36Warriors. But again.
- 13:38Money lining a short. Favorite here because it could
- 13:40be a tight game. DraftKings money line splits 56.
- 13:44Percent bets 84. Percent dollars on the Warriors
- 13:47and circa 971% bets over 90% dollars on the Warriors.
- 13:53So I played Warriors. To win this game. -140 on the
- 13:56money line again, no Kevin Durant.
- 13:59Golden State has. Been really good at home.
- 14:01But here's some angles in terms. Of winning the game.
- 14:04Straight up. Home favorite straight up in the
- 14:06NBA this year? 111 and 40, a 74% win rate, a 2%
- 14:11ROI. Now that's a 2% ROI and that.
- 14:14Accounts for, you know. Teams that are -10 -, 12 at
- 14:16home. If you are a home.
- 14:18Favorite with at least. A1 point line move in your
- 14:21favor. Those teams are 59 and 16.
- 14:24Straight up this year, 79%, 6% ROI.
- 14:28So this spot, the home favorite winning the game, the home
- 14:31favorite winning the game when the line moves.
- 14:32In their favor. Have been really good
- 14:34historically. Which would or.
- 14:35At least this year. And that points us toward the
- 14:38Warriors. To win this game.
- 14:39It is a 10:00 game by the way. I think it's.
- 14:42On ESPN so. Should be able to watch it if
- 14:44you want, but. It seems to me like a a market
- 14:47based move. As well as a.
- 14:49You know, kind of an injury. Based fade of the Rockets
- 14:52without Kevin Durant. So got it all up guys.
- 14:55I'm root for Steph Curry and I got Warriors money line.
- 14:58At -1. 40 now just want to hit on a little bit of NFL.
- 15:03Because again, I only. Have one official play as of
- 15:05right now for this one and that game is.
- 15:09Chiefs. Dallas Cowboys The Sandwich.
- 15:11Game 4:30 PM Eastern. Time on.
- 15:14Thanksgiving Day. So when?
- 15:15You are all cracked out on your on your Turkey tryptophan.
- 15:18You're falling asleep next to your, I don't know your son,
- 15:21your grandpa, your uncle, but I'm going to take the points of
- 15:23the Dallas Cowboys. I mentioned this yesterday.
- 15:25This looks like a spot where. The hook could be very critical
- 15:28because we've seen this line move.
- 15:29Toward Dallas now. Kansas City.
- 15:32Obviously a big public. Team.
- 15:33And they are. Even though again, they're
- 15:34struggling a bit, still a slight public, not a public team in in
- 15:38this regard, but I guess. Making them.
- 15:41Kind of a a fade because you don't know what.
- 15:43You're going to get. Out of them, especially
- 15:45recently, but in this spot. We've seen this line move
- 15:48toward. The Dallas.
- 15:48Cowboys, because we saw the Kansas City Chiefs.
- 15:51Open as high as -4 1/2, three and a half.
- 15:54A lot of books are getting down to three now.
- 15:56I mentioned this yesterday. You got to grab.
- 15:57If you like the Cowboys, you got to get it.
- 15:59Sooner rather than later. Because this +3 and a.
- 16:02Half is really juiced -115. -120 toward Dallas, so it tells me
- 16:06that there's. Further liability.
- 16:08On the Cowboys and maybe getting down.
- 16:10To the key number of three. Why is that important?
- 16:12Because if you get the hook, Dallas loses by three most
- 16:15common margin of victory. You want to cover with the hook,
- 16:18but it's moving toward Dallas. Now you.
- 16:20Look at the splits look pretty good on the Cowboys 59.
- 16:23Percent of spread. Bets so slightly public.
- 16:25Very, very slight, but 78% of spread dollars.
- 16:29And then this one really jumped out to me at circa only 35.
- 16:33Percent of spread bets, but 74% of spread dollars.
- 16:37So a huge. Low bets, higher dollar split
- 16:39in. Favor of the Cowboys.
- 16:40Which aligns with the line. Move toward the Cowboys.
- 16:43Now Cowboys, of course. With Pickens, who's been great,
- 16:47and CD Lamb and they bring in Quinn and.
- 16:49Williams, obviously some cash big for us.
- 16:52Bigley, I should say, against the Eagles coming back from 21
- 16:55to nothing. Down.
- 16:56But they would be a dog who can score.
- 16:57System match averaging nearly. 30 points per game.
- 17:01But even if that weren't enough. To make me play Dallas, it's.
- 17:03All of these rhythm. Recommendations.
- 17:05Lighting up on the Cowboys because I have 3 models.
- 17:09Cowboys plus 3.1. Cowboys plus 2.5.
- 17:13Cowboys plus. 2.1 So all of these.
- 17:16Rhythm edges are telling me to take Cowboys in the points.
- 17:19And you can still. Get the hook the 3 1/2 there.
- 17:22So that's what I did. I jumped on Dallas 3 1/2.
- 17:24For that middle game. Quick thoughts on just.
- 17:27Some of these other games look at Detroit.
- 17:30And in Green Bay, that line has moved toward.
- 17:33Green Bay, a little bit Green Bay was. -3 it's down to 2 1/2.
- 17:37Public is. All over the Lions, there's a
- 17:39ton of, ton of money there. I'm if I'm going to play Green
- 17:42Bay, I got to get the hooks. So I'm I'm looking for a three.
- 17:45Also, you look at the late game Cincinnati and.
- 17:48Baltimore with Joe Burrow playing and Jamar Chase back
- 17:50from suspension, but they will not have T.
- 17:52Higgins, who was injured, I think he's in.
- 17:55Concussion protocol. When we didn't know if it would
- 17:57be. Burrow or not, you saw that line
- 17:58as high as Baltimore -10 it's all the way down to 7.
- 18:02And you do have some good splits on the Bengals. 57% bet, 75%
- 18:06dollars. At DK and the Bengals would
- 18:08match as a prime time dog and a divisional dog.
- 18:12So that would all kind of lean toward Cincinnati.
- 18:16Now the one thing that complicates it is that we.
- 18:18Have seen favorites on Thanksgiving do very well.
- 18:21Thanksgiving. Favorites if you look all the
- 18:24way back, going back a long way since 2004, favorites on.
- 18:28Thanksgiving are 38 and 20 against.
- 18:30The spread 66%. So again, the markets telling me
- 18:34Green Bay, the markets telling me Cincy.
- 18:37Obviously I'm already take. Committed with Dallas.
- 18:40But that's just. One thing to keep an eye out
- 18:41for. Because I know a lot of people I
- 18:42respect like Detroit, and I'm like, I can't really take.
- 18:45A team getting 80. Percent of tickets.
- 18:47And when the lines going away from them, but maybe the.
- 18:50Reason why is these ferrets have done well.
- 18:52On Thanksgiving, so stay tuned Might.
- 18:54Have a prop bet, might have a play on the totals here.
- 18:56And then of course, we got a lot of games coming up, a game on
- 18:59Friday as well. As a bunch of games on Sunday,
- 19:01so stay tuned. To the Sharp report the Juice
- 19:03Reel best bet picks and I'm sure I'll have.
- 19:06A few more plays. Before it's all said and done.
- 19:10But that about does it for episode.
- 19:11Four O 4. Of the ASG pod.
- 19:14Powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 19:16where we wrap things up and I always start first by saying.
- 19:18Thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
- 19:20you for tuning, and thank you for grinding in the arena with.
- 19:22Me every single day. It means a lot.
- 19:25And if you do. Want to support the pod?
- 19:27Please would you give it a? Five star review on Spotify or
- 19:31iTunes if you want to click the follow button, recommend the pod
- 19:34to a friend. That would all be very much
- 19:36appreciated next. If you enjoy this style of
- 19:39sports betting, data-driven. Sharp contrarian betting
- 19:42focusing. On the lines the splits the
- 19:44system. Matches taking a contrarian.
- 19:46Approach. If you need to get a.
- 19:47Holiday gift for somebody. A stocking.
- 19:49Stuffer, you got no clue what to get.
- 19:51Your uncle, your cousin, you know.
- 19:53Your brother. You know what you should do.
- 19:55You should. Bang it out, get it out of the
- 19:57way. Just go to.
- 19:58Amazon.com. Type in the the.
- 20:00NFL Sharp Betting Playbook or the Everything Guide to Sports
- 20:02Betting, The two books that I've written.
- 20:04Very proud of both, but they make a great stocking stuffer.
- 20:07It won't break the bank. They're like 20 bucks each.
- 20:10And you'll learn more. And you'll you'll give the gift
- 20:12of data-driven. Betting to that that person in
- 20:15your life if you. Do want to give?
- 20:17Them a five star view. And a nice.
- 20:19Comment on Amazon, I would very much appreciate that as well.
- 20:22You can bring them to. The sports book.
- 20:23I'll sign them for you. Buy a beer and we'll sweat some
- 20:26games together next. Have you downloaded?
- 20:29Rhythm and Juice Reel, yet my two favorite sports betting
- 20:31apps. We got our Rhythm Rundown live
- 20:33stream. Tonight at 6:00 PM.
- 20:35But rhythm great for their AI backed models and predictions
- 20:37for game bets and player props. And then of course, Juice Reel
- 20:40or. You can get the.
- 20:41All systems go best bet picks tip your podcast host 5 bucks a
- 20:45week you'll get all the plays that I.
- 20:46Make you can also. Get the Robo Jackson best bet
- 20:48picks the. Sharp mush indicators the.
- 20:50Arbitrage plays the shop for the best line futures, all available
- 20:54when you download Juice. Reel.
- 20:56So download rhythm, download Juice Reel, give them a five
- 20:58star review. In the App Store, next do.
- 21:02You have a live. Odds page.
- 21:04If you don't have one, you need one.
- 21:05You know what I'm? Thankful for my Odds Logic live
- 21:07odds page because it lets me track the entire market in real
- 21:10time. Obviously getting updates as
- 21:12soon as lines move they get highlighted.
- 21:14In red tracking line movement. Comparing the opening column.
- 21:17To the current prices, Shopping for the best number, pulling up
- 21:20the line history. Live in game wagering.
- 21:22Odds. It's all available with odds
- 21:24logic, so if you want to give it a shot 7 day free trial, 50% off
- 21:28your first month of service, go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 21:34Lastly. Have you given a shot to Novig?
- 21:38You know what the betting exchange is.
- 21:40The betting exchange is like a sports book, but it's actually.
- 21:42Not a sports book because instead.
- 21:43Of going up. Against the House.
- 21:45And then crushing you with -115 -, 120 juice.
- 21:48You're in an exchange where you're betting.
- 21:50Against a better who's taking the opposite side of you and all
- 21:53the odds are going to be much better.
- 21:54Better money lines, better totals.
- 21:56But better juice? Prices.
- 21:57So instead of -1. 15 -, 120. You're typically getting minus
- 22:01one O 6 -, 1 O2 plus one O 5, so you.
- 22:04Can win at the same rate you. Would had a sports book but make
- 22:06more money because you're risking less.
- 22:08Juice so download novig use the promo code.
- 22:11Josh 123 for extra 25. Bucks to fund your account.
- 22:15So that about does it. For episode 4, O four of the ASG
- 22:18pod, two final thoughts. Before we steam into the
- 22:20Thanksgiving break, one whether I see you at the Borgata and
- 22:23Atlantic City Twin river in. Rhode Island.
- 22:25The Brooklyn, New Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in
- 22:27Connecticut. At the Encore in Boston Plain
- 22:30Ridge Park. Casino MGM Springfield the.
- 22:32Nash and my neck of the woods on the border of Nashua, NH,
- 22:35Massachusetts, or of course, out in the desert.
- 22:38Where the true grinders? Get down or Billy Walter sends
- 22:41his number runners with lowest juice possible is found at the
- 22:44South point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
- 22:46Jumping in the stadium, swimming.
- 22:48Pool when you catch a big ticket at Circa.
- 22:50Wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me and you're
- 22:53going to show me a nice. Utah Valley ticket first one's
- 22:56on me next. One's on you will post about the
- 22:58book. So that's some sharp contrarian
- 23:00plays together as always, guys. Coming off a one and two or A2.
- 23:04And one A3 and over. And O and.
- 23:05Three A good day, a bad day, a hot streak, a cold streak.
- 23:09Just got to. Stay grinding.
- 23:11Stay staying too true to the. Model and the blueprint.
- 23:15We can find games that. Fit our model against the public
- 23:18with the house with the pros Flat bet.
- 23:20Avoid parlays and get that CLV if we can do that.
- 23:23We're going to be successful sports betters.
- 23:25So I wish everyone a fantastic Thanksgiving.
- 23:28Break hope you cash your tickets, enjoy time with family.
- 23:32If you're one of the families that.
- 23:33Leaves the TV on. During during dinner, I salute
- 23:36you, but of course. If you are going out the night.
- 23:39Before tonight or Friday night, just don't drink and drive.
- 23:43Maybe you're getting together with friends again.
- 23:45Doing whatever you want. Catching up?
- 23:47Just call an Uber. Have someone pick you up.
- 23:49Don't be dumb. As my sister always said when I
- 23:51was younger, she was five years. Older than me so anytime I'd go.
- 23:54Out with my friend, she'd say. Make good decisions and it would
- 23:57always annoy me but I kind. Of understand that I'm older
- 24:00what she meant but either way guys wish you the best of luck.
- 24:03Have a great. Thanksgiving again.
- 24:05Stay tuned. On Twitter at Josh Under Score
- 24:07insights for the Sharp reports over the next few days and the
- 24:10best bets will be posted on Juice Rail and I'll be.
- 24:12Back at it and see you guys. Again, back on Monday.
- 24:16And Monday. Believe it or not.
- 24:17I think it's the. 1st of December so probably have to get
- 24:21the Christmas tree and get the Hanukkah menorah.
- 24:24Get ready. Getting ready.
- 24:25Yeah, I'm. One of those.
- 24:26Kids, we did both holidays cuz I'm half Jewish.
- 24:28But anyway have a great break everybody.
- 24:30I'll see you back on Monday for Episode 4 O five of the all
- 24:34systems. Go sports betting podcast.
- 24:36Have a great Thanksgiving. Good luck.