Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Claire Matthews: The government's plan for Kiwibank might not be enough
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: So we've got an update to the banking environment in
- 0:03Speaker 1: New Zealand. The government is looking to inject Kiwibank with
- 0:06Speaker 1: five hundred million dollars in capital to i quote disrupt
- 0:10Speaker 1: the status quote Kueibank's parent company, Kiwi Group Capital and
- 0:15Speaker 1: Treasury have been instructed to talk to potential investors, but
- 0:18Speaker 1: the government has ruled off actually selling its Quei bank
- 0:21Speaker 1: chares to the public and IPO massive university banking expert
- 0:25Speaker 1: Clear Matthews joins, we now have a clear.
- 0:28Speaker 2: Marienna Andrew, so good move. It's an interesting move. It's
- 0:34Speaker 2: not it's not an unexpected move. It's where it's going
- 0:38Speaker 2: to really make a difference as something that we will
- 0:41Speaker 2: wait to see.
- 0:42Speaker 1: Well, that's a nothing answer, and why did you cackle?
- 0:48Speaker 2: Because the government is pushing this very much as it's
- 0:52Speaker 2: going to make a huge difference to competition, and I'm
- 0:55Speaker 2: struggling to see that it really will make that much
- 0:57Speaker 2: of it as.
- 0:57Speaker 1: Well, because it's just an extra five hundred million dollars
- 0:59Speaker 1: on the balance sheet, which won't when you're competing with
- 1:02Speaker 1: other banks that have billions and billions and billions.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean five hundred million is obviously not a
- 1:07Speaker 2: small amount of money, but the government has indicated that
- 1:10Speaker 2: we'll enable it to do four billion dollars worth of
- 1:13Speaker 2: business leaning or ten billion dollars of home lending. And
- 1:17Speaker 2: at the moment the banks between them have got a
- 1:19Speaker 2: total of just under four hundred or around four hundred
- 1:22Speaker 2: and ninety billion dollars worth of lending. So that amount
- 1:26Speaker 2: of additional leanding is really quite a drop in the bucket.
- 1:30Speaker 2: And you've got a question how much of a difference
- 1:32Speaker 2: that can make to the competitive environment.
- 1:34Speaker 1: Okay, now the left and let us talk about another
- 1:36Speaker 1: part to it. The left is squealing that this is
- 1:38Speaker 1: a part privatization, which I think is true. This is
- 1:41Speaker 1: not taxpayers money, broadening the capital base, but don't appeal
- 1:45Speaker 1: to private investors. So will this appeal to those private
- 1:48Speaker 1: investors to invest?
- 1:51Speaker 2: You'd really have to ask the private investors. It's going
- 1:53Speaker 2: to depend on the conditions and the terms associated with
- 1:57Speaker 2: the issue of the capital. What are they going to get,
- 2:01Speaker 2: What are the options associated with that. One of the
- 2:04Speaker 2: key things is it does appear to be what they
- 2:09Speaker 2: call a put option, So the investors are going to
- 2:12Speaker 2: have a right to sell those shares back to the
- 2:14Speaker 2: government as a proposed IPO doesn't go ahead, So they're
- 2:18Speaker 2: talking about making an IPO whereby the public could buy shares.
- 2:23Speaker 2: I think the public would have an interest in buying
- 2:25Speaker 2: shares where that private investors would. But if they know
- 2:28Speaker 2: that they're going to be able to get rid of
- 2:29Speaker 2: them in a couple of years time, either to the
- 2:32Speaker 2: government or to private investors, then maybe that's attractive. But
- 2:36Speaker 2: it will depend on the terms exactly, and they may
- 2:39Speaker 2: be able to lock in some really good terms, in
- 2:41Speaker 2: which case you've got to say, is that good for
- 2:43Speaker 2: the government?
- 2:44Speaker 1: Well, leaving out that IPO is interesting. They say it's
- 2:47Speaker 1: because of technical reasons that they haven't finished the computerization
- 2:50Speaker 1: of Kiyi Bank or something like that, so the IPO
- 2:52Speaker 1: couldn't happen until twenty twenty eight, So is that actually smart?
- 2:55Speaker 1: Was that forced by necessity? And the fact is, no
- 2:58Speaker 1: one is going to invest in some shares in five
- 3:02Speaker 1: hundred million dollars of extra capital if they can't on
- 3:05Speaker 1: sell at a later date at a market price and
- 3:08Speaker 1: not to a government.
- 3:11Speaker 2: I know they might be happy to have a guarantee
- 3:13Speaker 2: that they can sell back to the government. So that
- 3:15Speaker 2: doesn't necessarily mean that they have to be able to
- 3:17Speaker 2: sell to the public. But they do want to be
- 3:18Speaker 2: able to sell because they don't want to be stuck
- 3:20Speaker 2: with them. I personally don't understand why they have to
- 3:24Speaker 2: complete the digital changeover in order to do the IPO,
- 3:29Speaker 2: but you know, maybe there's something I'm missing there. But
- 3:33Speaker 2: investors want to have a way out. They don't The
- 3:36Speaker 2: government might be happy to have no way out, but
- 3:41Speaker 2: for investors, they need to be able to know that
- 3:42Speaker 2: if the time comes and they want to sell the
- 3:44Speaker 2: shares for some reason, they've got to be able to
- 3:46Speaker 2: do that.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Okay, And your opinion is our banking environment does it
- 3:51Speaker 1: need a revamp because this is a common talking point,
- 3:56Speaker 1: and yet we have many bangs, We have competition. They
- 3:59Speaker 1: are running businesses. Their margins are not excessive.
- 4:03Speaker 2: Well that's the problem. Some people think they are excessive.
- 4:06Speaker 2: It's just that they make large amounts of money and
- 4:08Speaker 2: it sounds terrible because it sounds like they're making all
- 4:12Speaker 2: this money off New Zealanders. But in reality, they need
- 4:15Speaker 2: to make a return because if they're not making a
- 4:17Speaker 2: satisfactory return for the capital that they've got investors, they're
- 4:20Speaker 2: not going to continue to operate. And they do spend
- 4:23Speaker 2: a lot of money in New Zealand as well as
- 4:25Speaker 2: those operations in terms of the profits they're making, they
- 4:28Speaker 2: spend a lot of money to make that and most
- 4:30Speaker 2: of that comes into the New Zealand economy.
- 4:32Speaker 1: Thank you so much, Claire, doctor Claire Matthews, who is
- 4:34Speaker 1: the Associate Professor Banking at Massi University. And remember these
- 4:38Speaker 1: are not Australian banks. In fact, the Australian banks have
- 4:40Speaker 1: owners as well. There's always a bigger fish, as they
- 4:43Speaker 1: said in Star Wars.
- 4:45Speaker 2: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge. Listen live
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