Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 526 - 6/8/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 526 of the all systems go sports betting
- 0:20podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:30What's going on everyone? Happy Monday, a new week begins
- 0:33as we kick off the second week in the month of June and it is
- 0:36now June 8th. So you know what that means
- 0:38guys? We are now just three days away
- 0:41from the beginning of the World Cup.
- 0:43That's right, the FIFA World Cup.
- 0:46I fully admit, you know, anytime I talk about the World Cup, I
- 0:48got to say right now, I am not a soccer better.
- 0:50I am not a soccer fan. Again, we called soccer in
- 0:53America. Everyone else is saying it's
- 0:55football and then weirdly we have a sport called football
- 0:58where only the kicker uses their foot, everyone else uses their
- 1:01hands. So whole other discussion there.
- 1:04But I mentioned this by saying, even though you may not love
- 1:08soccer or bet soccer or can name a soccer player other than David
- 1:12Beckham, maybe who I guess is retired now.
- 1:15So it tells, tells you how much I know you don't have to be a
- 1:18big soccer fan or big knowledgeable soccer person in
- 1:21order to participate in order to throw your hat in the ring to
- 1:24the Applebaum World Cup Survivor contest.
- 1:26So you've heard me talk about it.
- 1:28But now we're just three days away.
- 1:29So the clock is really ticking. The train 22, it's getting ready
- 1:33to leave the station because coming up on Thursday, which is
- 1:37June 11th at 3:00 PM Eastern Time, the contest closes.
- 1:42So you got to get your entry in before Thursday at 3:00.
- 1:45Make it easy on yourself. Get in right now because we're
- 1:48up to 22 entries. It is 25 bucks an entry.
- 1:51You can do up to 10. You can win up to $22,500.
- 1:55And again, even though you don't have to be a big soccer fan, I
- 1:58can guarantee you one thing, guys, every four years when the
- 2:02World Cup takes place, even though you may not like soccer,
- 2:05it's going to take over everything.
- 2:07It's going to be super popular. It's going to be on it every bar
- 2:10in the in in America. And I, I will tell you this,
- 2:13you're probably going to regret not having some action.
- 2:17Now you can bet each game individually, yada, yada.
- 2:19But this Survivor contest, it's an easy way.
- 2:22Consider it a scratch ticket. And even though you may not know
- 2:25a lot about these teams, you can use polymarket or calcio or
- 2:28prediction sites or look at the odds or look at Nate Silver, who
- 2:33has who did a great job with 538.
- 2:35Now he's got kind of his own website, but he's got
- 2:37projections as well, ESPN. So again, I think it'll be worth
- 2:41your while to throw your hat in the ring to join the World Cup
- 2:44Survivor contest. Very easy to enter.
- 2:47You can go to my Twitter page at Josh under score Insights.
- 2:51I've been tweeting about it. It's a pinned tweet at the top
- 2:53of my profile. You can get right in through
- 2:55that link. You also get the link in the bio
- 2:57description of the podcast. And you can always send me a
- 3:00direct message. Tweet me at Josh under Score
- 3:02Insights if you need the sign up link.
- 3:05But just remember, the only caveat I just want to mention
- 3:08this is that you got to pick four teams to get out of the
- 3:11group stage. It doesn't start by picking one
- 3:13team in round one. The group stage is all these
- 3:16different rounds, like there's twelve overall.
- 3:17You just got to pick four teams total that advance out of the 12
- 3:21and then you go one by one, one team remaining each round.
- 3:24And I did have some people ask me that if you use a team in the
- 3:28first group round of four, can you use them again?
- 3:31No, it's a classic survivor. So if you use Brazil and they
- 3:35make it out of the group stage, that's great.
- 3:37But maybe it wasn't a great pick because Brazil could win it all.
- 3:39You want to save them for later. So just remember, we are now
- 3:43three days away and I would highly recommend and invite you
- 3:46to join the Applebaum World Cup Survivor Contest with Splash
- 3:49Sports. Again, you can sign up on my
- 3:51Twitter page at Josh under score Insights.
- 3:54With that being said, guys, hope everyone had a great weekend.
- 3:57I want to mention I wasn't able to do a pod on Friday.
- 4:00I had a couple people reach out. Where's the pod?
- 4:03I tell you what, now that I'm a dad, sometimes there are days
- 4:05where just you can't, you can't do a pod.
- 4:08You want to do a pod. You can't add some things going
- 4:10on. Everything good, baby's doing
- 4:11great, but I had some responsibilities I had to had to
- 4:15tend to. So unfortunately no pot on
- 4:16Friday, but we're back at it. Hopefully starting off a new
- 4:20week on a winning note here for tonight.
- 4:22So that being said, we're going to get right back to betting
- 4:25Major League Baseball. So I do have a three pack of
- 4:28sweats overall guys, all three relatively short money line
- 4:32favorites. We got a couple, we got a
- 4:35neutral site team. There's a weird baseball game
- 4:37going on today we got to talk about we have a road favorite
- 4:40and a home favorite. All three of which have a sharp
- 4:43mush edge. 2 out of the three have multiple rhythm
- 4:47recommendations lighting up in their direction as well.
- 4:49So as always realistic expectations, embracing the
- 4:52challenge, knowing it's hard to beat a betting market because of
- 4:55the razor sharp odds the the juice we got to overcome the bad
- 4:58beats which are known to happen every now and again.
- 5:02We are going to try to grind out a 2IN1 which is our always our
- 5:05goal. Now I want to mention one more
- 5:07thing before we get to these baseball games because as you
- 5:10may know, I am a big proud affiliate member of Odds Logic.
- 5:15Odds Logic, to me it's the best live odds page around and I
- 5:18teamed up with Odds Logic because I use it and it's a
- 5:21great tool just in terms of tracking the market, you know,
- 5:26identifying line movement, Steam and I've always recommended it.
- 5:30You can always sign up, get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
- 5:33first month using my special affiliate link
- 5:36oddslogic.com/josh 123. But I just wanted to mention
- 5:41that there I woke up today, logged into my Oddslogic account
- 5:44and got a great pop up. And this just goes to show what
- 5:47a great product Oddslogic is and that they're always working
- 5:50behind the scenes. My guy Rick Alec who runs it
- 5:52does a great job and the pop up said best line is live.
- 5:57Every league, every market odds logic now identifies the best
- 6:01available market value across your selected sports books using
- 6:04market aware calculations for all markets and leagues.
- 6:07The best line column updates instantly with the table and
- 6:10matching cells are highlighted automatically so the strongest
- 6:13available price is easy to spot one turn the best line column on
- 6:17or off from the column setup, yadda yadda.
- 6:19Choose which sports books you want to include.
- 6:21Best line highlight cells can be turned off in miscellaneous
- 6:23options. So I know I rattled off a bunch
- 6:26there, but one thing we preach so heavily on the pod is
- 6:29shopping for the best line. Some people call it line
- 6:32shopping. Shopping for the best line,
- 6:33finding the best number, having multiple outs.
- 6:36I mean, there's different ways to explain it, but the whole
- 6:38idea here is not only does the live odds page allow you to
- 6:41track the market, the opening column never changes the current
- 6:44odds to the right. OK, immediately I can see this
- 6:46team open -120 now they're -140 that's a jumping off point for
- 6:50me. The line is moved in their
- 6:51favor. Probably smart money is in their
- 6:53favor. But the other part of it is
- 6:55making sure you get the best number because again, in
- 6:58baseball, if I bet a -, 120, you bet a -, 130, the team wins,
- 7:02We're both happy, but I'm getting more money back in my
- 7:05pocket because I risked less juice.
- 7:08The other angle would be, again, we're not betting football.
- 7:10It's it's baseball mostly right now, a money line sport.
- 7:13But when you get into spread sports and I get the the
- 7:16Dolphins plus 3 1/2 and you only get them +3 and they lose by
- 7:20three, I win because I got the hook.
- 7:22You push because you only got a three.
- 7:24You know you want to take the under 47 1/2 you get under 47 FI
- 7:29get under 47, it lands 47, you win and make money.
- 7:33I push. So it's so critical in what's
- 7:36super cool there odds object is calling this quote UN quote best
- 7:39line. This is so awesome because what
- 7:42it does is not that it was super hard before you just look at all
- 7:45the numbers, find the best number, but now you don't even
- 7:48have to search. You don't have to look at all
- 7:49different columns. There's a new column on odds
- 7:52logic that just says best line. You'll see it lit up in green.
- 7:56And then it'll not only just give you the best number or the
- 7:59best book offering the best number.
- 8:01So it'll say like, you know -120 FanDuel or total of eight.
- 8:05Everyone else is 7 1/2. And that's at Fanatics.
- 8:08But also it's going to circle the actual number or actually,
- 8:12you know, not a circle, but a rectangle.
- 8:14It'll highlight the number from whatever book is giving you the
- 8:17best price. So it's just an awesome tool
- 8:20that makes it super easy to find the best number.
- 8:22It is now live on odds logic and you can go to the settings and
- 8:26pick the books used because, you know, I'm in Massachusetts.
- 8:29So if Circa has the best number, that's great.
- 8:32If you're in Vegas, it doesn't mean much to me because I can't
- 8:35bet it's circa. So I undid or didn't or
- 8:39deselected unselected circa because I like knowing the
- 8:43movement at Circa and where the lines going.
- 8:44I respect the movement, but I can't bet there.
- 8:46So I just highlighted in my settings all the books that I
- 8:50can bet at. So you know, FanDuel,
- 8:52DraftKings, Caesars bet, MGM Fanatics, what else?
- 8:57Bally bet. I'm probably missing a couple
- 8:59here there, but those are the books that are important to me.
- 9:02I select them in odds logic. Now when I go to that odds page,
- 9:05I immediately get notified. Don't even have to do any, any,
- 9:08any legwork. It's super easy right there.
- 9:10Boom, the best line column is giving me the best number.
- 9:14So just another really cool example of odds Logic continuing
- 9:17to be the best live odds page around.
- 9:18So utilize best line and again, if you want to give Odds Logic a
- 9:21shot, that's Odds logic.com/josh 123.
- 9:27So with that being said, now let's get into some games for
- 9:30tonight because I'm going to focus on Major League Baseball.
- 9:32I'll just make quick mention of the fact that the Spurs and the
- 9:36Knicks game, you know me, I feel like we'll have a three pack of
- 9:39baseball go 2 and one. I'll add a hockey play or an NBA
- 9:42play and we'll lose that and we'll go like, you know, two and
- 9:45two or or whatever and have a losing night.
- 9:47So I'm, I'm continuing to try my best at, at laying off some of
- 9:52these games. I just feel like I don't have
- 9:53much of an edge. But it will be interesting to
- 9:55see tonight because the Knicks look like a team of destiny and
- 9:59everybody and their mother is betting the Knicks tonight.
- 10:01Yet we've seen a little bit of sharp movement toward the Spurs.
- 10:05Spurs have gone at some shops like plus 2 + 2 1/2 down to plus
- 10:092 + 1 1/2. So maybe you'll see Chalamet and
- 10:12Kylie Jenner or Ben Stiller on the in the stands are on the 1st
- 10:16row on the floor. But we'll see if the sharps can
- 10:19get the Spurs right because it looks like how they do like the
- 10:21Spurs, they're only 30% bets, 65% money at at Circa.
- 10:27So again, just something to monitor even if you're not
- 10:29betting the game. But boy, doesn't look like the
- 10:32Knicks laying that short number looks pretty good, but it looks
- 10:35like Spurs might be sharp. Anyway, I got no action on the
- 10:37game, just wanted to mention that.
- 10:39But we do have some action in Major League Baseball.
- 10:41So first, but on the board, small slate today, only eight
- 10:44games. Let's go to a early game, 6:40
- 10:46PM Eastern Time, first pitch with the New York Yankees
- 10:50visiting the Cleveland Guardians.
- 10:52Let's set the stage. Talk splits, line move system
- 10:54matches and I'll give you my play for this one.
- 10:56So the Yankees come in 38 and 2538 and 26 on the year.
- 11:01They just split A2 game set with the Red Sox.
- 11:04They won the yesterday's series finale 6 to 1 as a -150 home
- 11:09favorite. Meanwhile, the Guardians 37 and
- 11:1130, they just dropped two or three against the Rangers.
- 11:13They lost 10 nothing yesterday as a + 120 road dog.
- 11:17So pitching match up for tonight, Yankees are going to go
- 11:20with the ready Will Warren. He's 7 and one with a 3.22 ER a
- 11:25Meanwhile, the Guards are going to go with the fellow ready
- 11:27Gavin Williams. He's nine and three with a 3.2 O
- 11:30ERA. What?
- 11:31Do we see across the market? Well, this game open, Cleveland
- 11:34listed as a short -115 home favorite with New York around a
- 11:38-, 1 O five row dog and the public, even though Aaron Judge
- 11:42is hurt, they're saying this is the wrong team, is favored.
- 11:46Yankees are the better team. It should be Yankees -115 so 58%
- 11:50of money line bets are going with the Yankees, which would
- 11:52make them a trendy dog. But the line is moving further
- 11:56toward Cleveland. So even though Cleveland's only
- 11:58getting 42% of money line bets at DK, Cleveland has gotten bet
- 12:02up -115 up to -130 So what do we call that reverse line movement
- 12:09public? And the betting line is on one
- 12:10side, yet the line goes the other way.
- 12:12So the majority of tickets are Yankees.
- 12:14But this line move to Cleveland tells me Cleveland is a smart
- 12:16play here tonight. Guys, dig a little further
- 12:20system match on the Guardians. If you are a short home favorite
- 12:23-140 or less Guardians match, those teams are 172 and one
- 12:283057% with a 3% ROI this year. If you're a sweet spot home
- 12:33favorite priced between -125 and -140 and you made the playoffs
- 12:37the previous year and the opponent that you're facing off
- 12:40against also made the playoffs, the.
- 12:41Previous year. Those teams are 47 and 2268%
- 12:46with a 20% ROI since the start of last year.
- 12:49Also, you'll get Monday favorites off a loss who made
- 12:52the playoffs the previous season.
- 12:53Also matching with Cleveland here, those teams are 20 and
- 12:561165 percent, 8% ROI this season.
- 13:00Did you know Guardians are one of the best bounce back teams in
- 13:03baseball? Coming off a loss, the Guardians
- 13:06are 19 and 10 on the year. That is a 66% win rate, 33% ROI.
- 13:12That is actually the most profitable bounce back team in
- 13:14baseball. Cleveland also have some
- 13:16additional correlative betting value.
- 13:18Favorite low total pull. This one is 8 juiced under some
- 13:21shops even down to 7 1/2, so fewer amount of expected runs
- 13:24scored more likely to come from quote UN quote the better team
- 13:27and non division favorite where we have the lack of familiarity
- 13:32typically benefiting. Also the better team is expected
- 13:34to win. Guardians also, knock on wood,
- 13:38you know, they've done well with Williams on the bump.
- 13:40They're 10 and three and the 13 starts that he's made this year.
- 13:43And at home, he's four and one with a 2.29 ERA.
- 13:48So add it all up here, guys. Publix on the Yankees, but this
- 13:51line's moving toward Cleveland. So I'm going to go with this
- 13:53sharp reverse line move. And late with the Guardians.
- 13:56Oh, by the way, a 7% sharp mush edge from our friends at Juice
- 14:00Reel. Also lighting up on the
- 14:01Guardians. So I was able to shop around,
- 14:04find the guardians -120 at Bally Bet.
- 14:07But definitely shop around because most books now -130 So
- 14:10see if you can get as much as you can lower than the -130 if
- 14:14possible. But let's go, Guardians.
- 14:17Next one for you. Got a couple late games.
- 14:19Let's go out to LA or I guess Anaheim, where the Angels are
- 14:23hosting the Houston Astros. 9:38 PM Eastern Time.
- 14:27First pitch now the Strohs 30 and 37 on the year.
- 14:31Just took two or three against the A's.
- 14:33Couldn't complete the sweep, though.
- 14:34They lost 5. Nothing yesterday as a - 110
- 14:36home pick em. You know all the Halos 25 and 41
- 14:39on the year just dropped two or three against the Dodgers but
- 14:42actually avoided the sweep. They won a 13 to 5 yesterday.
- 14:45They're plus 210 huge Rd. dog at the Dodgers in one.
- 14:49So give him credit tonight's series opener.
- 14:52The Stroh's are going to go with the ready Spencer era.
- 14:54Getty He's having a good year seven and one 1.94 era.
- 14:59You know all the Halos are going to go with the ready Grayson
- 15:01Rodriguez not having a Goodyear two and two 9.5 O ERA.
- 15:06So what are you sitting across the market?
- 15:08List game open Houston listed around a -, 120 road favorite LA
- 15:12around a + 100 home dog and the sharps.
- 15:15They're not outsmarting themselves.
- 15:16They're batting arrow Getty or backing arrow Getty.
- 15:19I should say. They're fading.
- 15:19Rodriguez going to Houston because we've seen this line
- 15:22move further toward the stroh's -120 up to -130 good bet splits
- 15:28on Houston at DraftKings. 79% money line bets, 89% money line
- 15:33dollars on Houston. At Circa Sharps in Vegas, over
- 15:3690% of money line bets in dollars are on Houston.
- 15:40So it tells us we got a one way pro and Joe split in favor of
- 15:43the Stroh's. Now the Stroh's matches system,
- 15:46I like here a road favorite after getting shut out in the
- 15:49previous game. So you get shut out your
- 15:51favorite on the road the next game.
- 15:53Those teams are 14 and 961 percent, 6% ROI this year and
- 15:58they are 156 and 87. That is a 64% win rate with an
- 16:0311% ROI since 2022. Now Stroh's offense, knock on
- 16:08wood, has been better. Houston is overall hitting two.
- 16:1146321 on base, 413 slug, 3 O seven runs scored.
- 16:17LA 2 hitting two. Sorry.
- 16:20Hitting 233 with a 314 on base. 388 slug, 291 runs scored.
- 16:26We got a couple Reddies on the bump.
- 16:28Astros have hit better against Reddies than the the Halos.
- 16:31Astros are hitting 245 against ready.
- 16:33That's 12th best in baseball. Angels hitting 233 that ranks
- 16:3724th. Houston meanwhile, 8 and one and
- 16:40ERA. Getty's 9 starts this year and
- 16:42on the road, knock on wood, he's been good four and one with a
- 16:451.69 ERA. Meanwhile, Rodriguez, remember
- 16:49he was a highly touted, I don't know if he's AI know he's a
- 16:51first round pick, might have been like 5th overall, but he
- 16:54was a highly touted pick from the Orioles and they gave up on
- 16:59him. He got hurt, they traded him to
- 17:01LA, but he's made three starts at home this year.
- 17:04He's one and two with a 12.46 ERA.
- 17:07So I want to fade Rodriguez. I want to pat a back ERA.
- 17:09Getty also doesn't hurt that we have a 13% sharp mush edge on
- 17:15Houston from her friends at Juice Reel and Rhythm.
- 17:18Also, the A model for rhythm likes the Astros as well.
- 17:22All three rhythm recommendations are on Houston.
- 17:24Two out of the three are a Green Star recommendation.
- 17:28So the AM model, again, is really lighting up here on the
- 17:30Stroh's. So shop around.
- 17:32I got Astros -126 at FanDuel, but again, most books here.
- 17:38Closer to -130 let's go Stroh's last bit of the night.
- 17:43Let's go out to Vegas, where the Athletics are actually hosting
- 17:48the Milwaukee Brew Crew. You might be saying yourself,
- 17:50oh, I know they're moving to Vegas, but the stadium's already
- 17:53ready to go. No, this game is actually going
- 17:55to be played at Las Vegas Ballpark in Nevada.
- 17:59They are the home of the Las Vegas Aviators of the Pacific
- 18:03Coast League, so it should be kind of fun.
- 18:06I'm one of those crazy people who paid for the MLBTV package,
- 18:09so I'm looking forward to checking out the stadium here.
- 18:12But if you're wondering why this is a neutral site and it's in
- 18:16Vegas, it's again because they're playing at this Pacific
- 18:19Coast League stadium where again, I think 2 years from now
- 18:22they'll be officially in Vegas with the with the stadium built.
- 18:26Now Brewers come in 40 and 23 on the year they just swept the
- 18:29Rockies. They won 12 to 4 yesterday as a
- 18:31-, 185 road favorite. Even all the A's 31 and 34 just
- 18:36dropped two or three against the Stroh's just mentioned that a
- 18:38second ago. But they did win 5 nothing to
- 18:40avoid the sweep yesterday as a -, 110 road pickup.
- 18:43So tonight's series opener. The Brew Crew.
- 18:46Are going with the lefty Kyle Harrison 7 and one 1.57.
- 18:49Uh, a great job, Craig. Craig Breslow trading First you
- 18:53asked for him in the Devers deal, then he traded him away
- 18:55for Durbin. Great move, Breslow.
- 18:58Who's supposed to know pitchers? Can you tell him?
- 18:59An angry Red Sox fan. Every time I see Kyle Harrison
- 19:02and his record get better, I'm like, yeah, awesome.
- 19:04He should have been a Red Sox player, but our management is
- 19:07stupid. The A's, meanwhile, going at the
- 19:09fellow southpaw Jeffrey Springs. He's three and six with a 4.37
- 19:13ERA. So.
- 19:14What have you seen across the market?
- 19:16Well, this game open with an Old Milwaukee listed around a -, 145
- 19:20neutral site favorite with the A's around a + 125 neutral site.
- 19:23Dog and sharps are laying it with Milwaukee here, I'm going
- 19:27Brew Crew. We've seen the Brewers get
- 19:29steamed up -145 up to -150 or even -155 across the board.
- 19:34The splits at DK look good on the Brewers. 89% bets, 94%
- 19:39dollars. They look good at Circa where
- 19:41the Brewers are getting 69% dollars, 69% bets, but 74%
- 19:46dollars. So both DK and Circa showing a
- 19:49good low bets, higher dollar split on the beer makers.
- 19:52Brewers have betting system value as an interleague
- 19:55favorite. So lack of familiarity typically
- 19:57benefiting quote UN quote the better team who's expected to
- 20:00win. Milwaukee's offense has been
- 20:02better than the the A's so far this year.
- 20:05Milwaukee's hitting two 51339 on base percentage, 329 runs
- 20:10scored. A's are hitting 244324-ON base,
- 20:13273 runs scored. Get a load of this Harrison.
- 20:18In his last eight starts, the Brewers are 8 and O.
- 20:20And in those last eight starts, seven of them he's given up 1
- 20:24earned run door, 1 earned run or less.
- 20:28Meanwhile, the A's in Jeffrey Springs last nine starts,
- 20:31they're 2:00 and 7:00. So I want to fade Springs on a
- 20:34back. Harrison.
- 20:36Hopefully the Milwaukee Bull pen will pitch well tonight because
- 20:39they have the 7th best bullpen, ER, a 3.31.
- 20:42The A's have one of the worst, ranked 21st in baseball, 4.46.
- 20:47And oh by the way, the Brewers, when they are a favorite,
- 20:50they're 29 and 1467 percent, 12% ROI.
- 20:55That makes them the second most profitable chalk team in
- 20:57baseball, only behind I think it is the Braves.
- 21:01So this game is in Vegas. I actually looked at the
- 21:05temperature. I don't think it's too hot.
- 21:08So who would want to play baseball on 120°?
- 21:10You better have a Dome or a closed room stadium.
- 21:13But we have a line move toward the Brew Crew.
- 21:15You have a 5% sharp mush edge from our friends at Juice Reel
- 21:18on the Brew Crew. And we have two rhythm
- 21:21recommendations, both lighting up on the Brew Crew.
- 21:24So I'm staying up late. Let's go to Vegas, baby.
- 21:28Give old Rain Man the sweep. Vegas baby.
- 21:30Your money baby. And you don't even know it.
- 21:32Swingers from my favorite movies of all time, but I'm going
- 21:35Brewers here. I got Milwaukee -145 at
- 21:38Caesar's, but shop around a lot of books as high as -150 -, 155
- 21:43S, the guards, the Stroh's and the Brew crew.
- 21:46Let's find a way to scratch and claw.
- 21:48Get 2 out of these three and start our week off hopefully on
- 21:51a winning note. So that about does it for
- 21:53episode 526 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast
- 21:57powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod we
- 21:59wrap things up and I always start first by saying thank you.
- 22:03Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for
- 22:05grinding in the arena with me every single day through the UPS
- 22:08and the downs, the good and the bad, the great wins, the
- 22:11heartbreaking losses. Just like in life betting, it's
- 22:14a roller coaster. But if we stick to the model,
- 22:16stick to the blueprint, we know we're going to come out on top.
- 22:19So if you do enjoy this pod, hopefully you value the
- 22:21insights. Whether you, you know, make
- 22:24every bet that I recommend, or you pick and choose, or you just
- 22:27listen, or you fade, whatever you might do, hopefully you
- 22:30value the insights. And if so, please help me grow
- 22:33this podcast. Do me a big favor, do me a
- 22:35solid. Just give this podcast a five
- 22:37star review. If you listening on Spotify or
- 22:39iTunes, you can again give that five star review rate and
- 22:43review. If you'd like to click the
- 22:44follow button, recommend the pod to a friend or retweet the pod
- 22:48when I put it out on Twitter each day at Josh under score
- 22:50insights. I'd very much appreciate any or
- 22:53all of those things. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 22:57sports betting and you want to learn more about data-driven
- 22:59betting, and I know, I know Father's Day is coming up and
- 23:02you have no clue what are you going to get dad for Father's
- 23:04Day? What are you going to get your,
- 23:05your son, your uncle, your, your, your grandpa?
- 23:08Well, you know what you should do?
- 23:10You should get it out of the way early and you should go to
- 23:12Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to Sports
- 23:15betting or type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 23:19Because dad, grandpa, your son, whoever may be, they want to get
- 23:23better at sports betting and they want to be introduced to a
- 23:25way of betting sports that maybe they're not used to.
- 23:28If you want to grab one or both my books for Father's Day or any
- 23:31other reason, you just want to support the pod or you know,
- 23:34help somebody out and teach them the data-driven approach.
- 23:38I very much appreciate that. And when you bring those books
- 23:40to the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
- 23:41I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
- 23:44together here tonight. Next to be downloaded Rhythm and
- 23:47juice real yet my two favorite sports betting apps to help me
- 23:50win. They're going to help you win
- 23:52rhythm great for their AI backed models and predictions for game
- 23:54bets and player props and juice reel.
- 23:57So many great features. The robo Jackson best bet picks
- 23:59the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays the shop for the
- 24:02best sign features syncing up your sports books.
- 24:05Get a running report card of your action or if you want to
- 24:08support the pod because if you're listening, you're
- 24:10listening for free. This pod is free.
- 24:12If you want to support the pod and tip your podcast host.
- 24:15I would love for you to sign up to get the all systems go best
- 24:18bet picks from the Juice Reel app.
- 24:20You just download Juice Reel, you click buy sell in the bottom
- 24:23right corner. You little search box.
- 24:25Just type in ASG, you'll find my page.
- 24:29And you can do a 7 day free trial or you can do $9.99 a week
- 24:34to get all the best bets, $24.99 for a month or $199.99 for a
- 24:41full year. But if you'd like to support the
- 24:43pod, that's a great way to do it.
- 24:45And not only are you tipping your podcast host and
- 24:47contributing to my daughter's future childcare fund, but you
- 24:51are also getting the plays earlier in the day and hopefully
- 24:53beating some closing lines. So again, you can do it all
- 24:56through Juice Real. Download Rhythm download Juice
- 24:58Real. Give them both a five star
- 25:00review in the App Store. Next, you have a live odds page.
- 25:03If you don't have one, you need one.
- 25:04And you got to use odds logic. I started the pod mentioning
- 25:08this earlier, but we have the new best line feature.
- 25:11But odds logic is just an incredible tool if you're
- 25:13betting on sports. It just gives you a glimpse into
- 25:16the betting market. Got to be able to know what the
- 25:18betting market is doing. What did this line open it?
- 25:20How is it moved? Pull up line history, find the
- 25:22best price. Get those live in game wagering
- 25:25odds. You can do it all with odds
- 25:27logic. So for a 7 day free trial and
- 25:3050% off your first month, use this special link.
- 25:33Odds logic.com/josh 123. Of course, sign up for the
- 25:39Applebaum World Cup. Survivor mentioned this earlier
- 25:41as well. You have three more days.
- 25:43The deadline is Thursday at 3:00 PM 20-5 Bucks pick your four
- 25:47teams out of the group stages and one team or country per
- 25:50round and you could possibly turn 25 bucks into around 20
- 25:54grand and who wouldn't like that again, you can sign up via my
- 25:57Twitter page at Josh under score insights.
- 25:59So that about does it for episode 526 of the ASG pod.
- 26:03As always, guys, two final thoughts.
- 26:05One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 26:08River in Rhode Island, the Brook in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
- 26:10Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain
- 26:13Ridge Park, Casino, MGM, Springfield, or the Nash, and my
- 26:17neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts in New
- 26:19Hampshire. We're out in the desert where
- 26:21the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends his
- 26:23number runners, where the lowest true as possible is found at the
- 26:26South Point, or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
- 26:29stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 26:31Circa, whatever it may be, you're going to walk up to me
- 26:34and hopefully show me a winning World Cup Survivor ticket and
- 26:38you'll be, you'll be buying drinks for everybody because
- 26:40we're making quite a bit of money there.
- 26:42But as always, guys, whether they're coming off a winning
- 26:45weekend, losing weekend, a hot streak, a cold streak, whether
- 26:48things are going great or nothing's going our way or we're
- 26:50just grinding, just, you know, up .1 units -2.2 units, you
- 26:55know, we're just grinding, grinding, grinding, looking to
- 26:57breakthrough. We just got to stick with it.
- 26:59We can never get too high when things are good or too low when
- 27:01things are bad. We got to stay disciplined with
- 27:04our bankroll management, flat betting, risking 1 unit 3% per
- 27:07play, firing on the games that fit our model, avoiding and
- 27:11laying off the games that don't fit the model.
- 27:13So as always, we're looking for games that are against the
- 27:15public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays
- 27:19and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 27:21to be successful sports vendors. So I hope everyone has a great
- 27:24Monday night. Again, only three days left to
- 27:27join the Survivor contest. So come on down and I'll be
- 27:29right back at it tomorrow for Big Tuesday edition.
- 27:31That'll that'll be episode 527 of the all systems go sports
- 27:36betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 27:38Good luck everybody and have a great Monday night.