Latest / Toadstool Sports / Best Bets Today | Rays Finally Unleash Their Ace?! | MLB, WNBA, CFB, NBA & NHL Picks Saturday

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Best Bets Today | Rays Finally Unleash Their Ace?! | MLB, WNBA, CFB, NBA & NHL Picks Saturday · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Well, 0-2 on the show yesterday. Obviously not what I
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: wanted whatsoever. The Miami Heat, not even close to getting there.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: Won't even talk about it. Wrong play. What do you want?
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, I thought it was the right situation, but
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: obviously they did not get that done whatsoever. Tulsa probably
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: should have been a win. I know they fell behind
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: by 14 in the middle of that game, but they
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: came back. They tied the game. They were in a
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: good position there. They had the touchdown lead. really late
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: in the game, gave up the tying score, and then
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: they wound up giving up a 50-yard field goal on
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: the last play of regulation. So we're that close to
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: at least getting into overtime and still having a chance there.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: I'm not happy about it, obviously. Tulsa was in my
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: contest entry, among other things. Got to move on, man.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: We've lost four plays in a row. We're not dwelling
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: on it. We're going to have college football today. Go
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: check out my college football show that I did last night.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: Thanks for everybody who hung out for that. There's still
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: time to go check it out. I'm going to reiterate
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: my college football plays for the day at the end
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: of this show. But this show, we're going to get
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: into NHL, NBA. I'm going to have one play in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: each of those. We'll talk about WNBA finals. Going to
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: avoid that for obvious reasons. And we'll talk about Major
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: League Baseball, the World Series continuing as well. Coming up
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: after the break, let's hope this show doesn't take too long.
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: in your chest Black coffee on the felt, man, you
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: look like a mess Three-team parlay turned to dust in
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: your hand Now you stare at the chips like they
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: made you this man But don't you go quiet, don't
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: you fade from the floor Your name still means something
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: to somebody for sure Put the glass down, baby.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: Look at me.
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: Now Hold on, hold on Not tonight, not now Hold on,
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: hold on Let me pull you out That fell apart
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: by its heart But it don't get the crown Hold on,
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: hold on.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: Stay with me now.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: Alright, what's up everybody? It's Toad back with you. Toadstool
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: Sports Saturday, October 24th. Let's get into it, man. I'm
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: going to run down the hockey board here first. Got
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: a bunch of hockey today. We got probably about 12
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: hockey games here. First game up, two teams kind of
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: going in opposite directions here for this 1 p.m. afternoon
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: game on NHL Network. Anaheim and Philadelphia. Anaheim on a
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: really bad run of games right now. They're winless on
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: this road trip that they're on right now. They've lost
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: five straight games. I think maybe the stock is going
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: to be a little bit too low now on Anaheim
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: because they're not that bad of a team, I don't believe,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: and they've just been on a really bad run right now.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: You've got to think they're going to want to salvage
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: the last game of this road trip here. although they
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: are playing a fourth game in six days, I believe
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: is what this is, all in different arenas. But they're
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: staying in the New York-Philadelphia area for all of this.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: They're at Philadelphia here today. I think they may bounce
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: back here for this game. I would be leaning towards
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: Anaheim in this one, although I believe the market doesn't
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: agree with me on this. Philadelphia, they're coming off a
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: nice run of games here after they had not won
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: a game for their first eight games. They've won three
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: in a row. including beating Colorado and then beating Buffalo
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: in their last game on the road, so beating a
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: playoff team from last year, returning home from that, although
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: I don't consider it to be a road trip return
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: because they only went on the road for one game
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: up to Buffalo, so not really that big of a deal,
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: but a nice win for them there. Yeah, I think, again,
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: if you're going to fade the recency bias, I think
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: that's really kind of the approach here. That's what I
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: would do is I would fade recency in this one
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Anaheim, but the money's not agreeing
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: with me at all. It's 50-50 on the tickets, 74%
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Philly. Philly's a minus 120-something favorite.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: But again, this could be some sort of letdown for
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: Philly after a couple of big wins in a row. Anaheim,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: you got to think they're going to be extra motivated
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: so they don't get swept on this road trip, you
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: would think. So I do not agree with the market
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: in that one. I think I would look towards Anaheim
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: as the dog in that one. Not a strong opinion. Hindian,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. The tadpoles. Are those
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: my fans now? My children swimming around? Yeah. L.A. Kings
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: at New Jersey. And, of course, the big news here
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: is Connor Hellebook, American goaltender and elite goaltender, who was
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: on the Winnipeg Jets, was refusing to play for the
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg Jets. So the league basically suspended him, if I'm
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: not mistaken. He was not allowed to play, which... It
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: was exactly what he wanted, pretty much. So basically he
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: forced Winnipeg to trade him, which is kind of an
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: asshole move. But then again, I don't know. Do you
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: blame him for not wanting to play in Canada? I
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: don't know. So he has now been traded. It was
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: a huge trade where New Jersey traded multiple draft picks.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: They traded, I think, three or four players in addition
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: to that, all to get Hellebuck here. So he is
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: on New Jersey now. I don't believe he's going to
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: play yet, though. You know, I think he's got it.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: they're probably going to give him some time and I
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: would not want to, uh, be on him in the
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: first game that he plays. Cause he's been off for
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: so long and he's going to be on a new team.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: So I think we might be able to fade New
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: Jersey the first time he plays. That's not going to
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: be today though. I would not, I would not imagine
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: at least. Uh, so this is going to be kind
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: of a normal handicap here. New Jersey is coming off
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: a couple of wins in a row. They beat Colorado
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: and then they did not suffer a letdown after that.
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: They beat Anaheim on the heels of that. Um, Could
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: be maybe a little bit of a delayed letdown for
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: New Jersey because they did not have the letdown after
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: beating Colorado. Maybe it happens here because at least Anaheim
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: was a playoff team last year, though the Kings were too,
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: but nobody remembers that because they got swept out of
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: the playoffs by Colorado. New Jersey has Dallas, Colorado, Vegas,
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Edmonton all next in their next four games. Those are
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: all really good opponents, so this to me looks like
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: a spot where New Jersey might look past the Kings
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: who have not had a good season so far. although
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: they're starting to turn things around. They've won their last
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: two games here on the road. Good win over Washington,
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: and then a win that's not as good over the Islanders,
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: but still a nice win anyway. So the Kings are
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: on a little bit of a winning stretch here. When
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: we get to it, by the way, there is one
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: team on a back-to-back today. Actually, yeah, I think there's
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: only one team on a back-to-back today. It's Tampa Bay,
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: but I'll get to it when I get to it. Yeah,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: Kings won that game in overtime, by the way, against
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: the Islanders. But I'd prefer to be on the Kings
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: in this game. And with the Devils, you know, maybe
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: the Hello Book stuff is still maybe, you know, kind
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: of swirling around and causing a bit of a distraction
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: there and whatever. New Jersey's definitely a public side here.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: 94% of tickets, only 87% of the cash on them.
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: So it looks like some of the real money bets
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: are actually playing the Kings in this one, at least potentially.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: The line did drop a little bit down to the
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: minus 160s. So you'd be able to get the Kings at, like,
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: make your own plus one puck line, that type of thing.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Or you could just play them on the money line, really,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: because the money line would probably be plus 130, something
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: in that range. So I would lean to the Kings
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: there and agree with the market in that one. San
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: Jose at my Boston Bruins. Bruins cannot continue to do this, man.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry. I do not think they're this good, but
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: they keep proving me wrong. But I'm going to lean
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: against them yet again in this game. We faded them
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: on the show in their return home from the Pacific Coast.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: I thought it was a terrible spot on the return
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: home after a huge game against Dallas where they fell short. Oh,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: and by the way, the Bruins used their second-string goalie
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: in that game as well, D.P. Atro. And what did
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: he do? He just pitched a shutout. You know, Bruins
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: won the game 6-0. I mean, I don't know, man.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm happy because they're my team. But, yeah,
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: I don't like getting picks wrong either. So Swayman will
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: be back in net here for the Bruins this time.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: But I still don't like them. In the spot, they're
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: coming off a shutout win. They're playing San Jose, who
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: they beat to start the road trip. So they just
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: won in San Jose. And we could dig into this
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: matchup a little bit and see if there was anything
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: misleading about this win. And yeah, kind of. I mean,
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: San Jose had way more shots than the Bruins did.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: Although granted, that was because they fell behind. But they
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: were never really behind by that much until the very end.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: Bruins put an empty net goal in at the end.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: So really, San Jose did give themselves more scoring opportunities
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: in this game than the Bruins did. So this was
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: a misleading final result here. And San Jose actually was
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit more physical than the Bruins as well
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: with more hits. Bruins did win the face-offs slightly. But yeah,
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: that was a little bit of a misleading result. So
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: the Bruins won that game in San Jose. So they
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: may figure it's going to be easy to beat them
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: at home because why wouldn't it be if you beat
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: them 6-3 on the road? Should be pretty easy to
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: beat them at home from the Bruins' perspective. And the
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Bruins have a bigger game on deck. They're playing, who
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: are they playing next? They have some big game on deck.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it's the returning champs. Carolina so I think
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: the Bruins might look ahead to that uh so this
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: is a bad spot it's a uh You're coming off
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: a massive shutout win. And by the way, Nashville, what
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: I didn't realize is that Nashville used Noonan as their
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: goalie in that game. That was his first game of
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: the season. So if I had known that, I might
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: have laid off of that game. I did not expect
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: that to be the case. I don't like playing on goalies.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: in their first game of the season, where I think
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: they're going to be rusty. So that was not good.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: But the situational aspect of that game really screamed that
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: you have to fade the Bruins, so whatever. But now
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: we're in a spot, again, where there's this road reversal
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: revenge angle, or whatever you want to call it, where
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: I think it's more so that San Jose will just
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: make adjustments to that previous game they played, and the
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: Bruins will just take them more lightly. Bruins coming off
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: an easy shutout win. Carolina on deck. I think the
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: only way to play this game is to play the Sharks.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: San Jose is coming off a nice couple of wins
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: over Montreal and Ottawa. Coming into this game with momentum, though.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: They're not going to overlook the Bruins, who just beat
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: them in their own place and are playing well. So, yeah,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: San Jose has got to be the right side here.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: This one was close to being a play for me.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: This is not my hockey play, but this is close.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: I definitely like this one, especially out of the games
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I've talked about so far. Yeah, this one is stronger.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: The Bruins all of a sudden getting a lot of
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: respect in the market. They're minus 190 here. 92% of
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, 88% of the cash. So the Bruins, yeah,
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: they're a public side at this point with less of
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: the money on them. They're probably a bigger favorite than
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: they deserve to be here at this point. I'd take
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: the San Jose side there. You can make your own
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: plus-one puck line or whatever out of that thing and, yeah,
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: have at it. But, yeah, I think San Jose is
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: definitely the right side there. As we get into the
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: 7 p.m. games, NHL Network has a 7 p.m.
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: Game.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Rangers at Ottawa. Rangers starting to slide a little bit,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: which was kind of expected because I don't think they're
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: as good as their hot start. Plus, we know they
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: don't have Shusterkin anymore. He's out for the season. Rangers
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: just took an overtime loss to Toronto. Now they're going
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: over to Ottawa here. I don't know if this is
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: going to qualify as a bounce-back spot or not for them.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: This is a hard game to figure out, actually, but
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: Ottawa's staying at home and just got embarrassed by the
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: Sharks at home. But that was coming off of Ottawa
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: beating Florida, which is a pretty big win for them, so...
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: I think you kind of explained why they didn't play
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: well in the next game against the Sharks. I think
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: this looks like more of a bounce-back spot for Ottawa,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: where the Rangers are coming up that original six matchup
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: that went into overtime. A little bit of a tougher
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: matchup there. I'd be leaning towards Ottawa in this game
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: after that pretty gross home loss. Seems like more of
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: a bounce-back for them. The money, again, does not agree
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: at all, though. 57% of tickets on Ottawa, 89% of
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Rangers. Ottawa minus 120-something on the
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: money line here. I prefer Ottawa in that one, though.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: And again, the market read, you know, it's a little
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: bit tough to figure it out in the morning. Sometimes
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: these percentages are going to flip big time, especially in
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: hockey when the volume, because the volume's just not that
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: big in hockey, especially on a college football Saturday. So
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: you have to kind of be careful with that. Like,
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: there's obviously way more volume on the football games.
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: All right.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Nashville and Pittsburgh. I considered this one. I like Nashville
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: again in this one. I just couldn't really quite do it.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Nashville's coming off a 6-0 loss to the Bruins, like
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: I said. And Pittsburgh, on the other hand, is coming
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: off a shutout win, I believe, over Florida. Yeah, they
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: won 4-0 against Florida, staying at home. The good thing
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: for Pittsburgh is they ended a four-game losing streak with that.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: And they played some tough opponents in that streak as well.
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: But when you end a losing streak, sometimes it does
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: give you positive momentum. However, when you beat the Florida
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: Panthers in a shutout, that could put you in a
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: letdown spot. And the Predators, horrible name, coming off of
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: a shutout loss. I'm pretty much always going to be
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: on the team that took the shutout loss against the
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: team that's coming off a shutout win. You know what
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: I mean? So I would have to lean towards the
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: Predators in this one. I also don't really think Pittsburgh's
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: that good, so there is that too. Pittsburgh does have
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: Utah on deck, although it's not for five days. That
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: might be a bigger game because Utah just beat them
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: during that losing streak. They had literally the game before
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: the Florida game, so they might have their eye on
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: that Utah game next. And then Montreal, Vegas, Boston all
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: coming up after that. Nashville's an easy team to overlook
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: because they're not good. But I don't think Pittsburgh's that
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: good either, so I'm going to lean Nashville here. Pittsburgh
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: looks like they're somewhat public, 60% of tickets, 62% of
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: the cash, not a huge disparity there. Minus 130-something is
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: the price on Pittsburgh, so it would be a money
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: line play on Nashville. That would be what I would
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: recommend in that game. All right, Buffalo and Washington, pretty
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: good game here, actually. Two pretty good teams in the East,
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: although I think Washington is the better team, and they're
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: really not getting that much more than home ice really
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: in the, uh, the line here. So I think maybe
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: Washington is still getting undervalued in the market a little bit.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: Cause they have kind of a mediocre record here. So
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: does Buffalo. Buffalo did just lose pretty ugly at home
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: to Philadelphia though. And it was a return home spot
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: as well. So you can kind of explain why they
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: lost that game. They were coming off a huge game
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: against Montreal. They played Montreal twice during the road trip
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: and that's their revenge, uh, those are their revenge games
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: there because Montreal eliminated Buffalo from the playoffs last year.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: Buffalo still has not gotten their revenge on them. So
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: coming off all that, plus the return home spot, you
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: can kind of explain why they lost to Philly like that.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: So it could be a bounce back for them. You
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: could argue that going back out on the road, starting
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: a road trip, they should be focused at least against Washington.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: But I think Washington is going to be focused here
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: as well as they just lost at home to the Kings,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: staying at home, kind of an ugly loss there. Um,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: after beating the Canadians and the Devils in the prior
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: two games. So when you have both teams in what
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: I think are focus spots here, I'm going to lean
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: towards the team that I think is the better team,
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: and in this case, that is Washington. 80% of the
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, though. 94% of the cash as well, though.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: So it looks like the real money may also be
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: on that side, but their line did drop a little bit,
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: the money line. They're in the minus 125 is basically
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: what the money line is on them. But yeah, I
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: would lean Washington there. Not that strong of an opinion, though. Again,
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: my strongest opinion so far, San Jose would be my
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: strongest that I've talked about so far. And then probably
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: after that, I would say Nashville. Oh, God. Next game
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: is Vegas at Columbus. This Vegas team, as I pointed out, man,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: good record, but they've done it against a pretty weak schedule.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: And they've played pretty poorly in their last two games.
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: They lost badly to Tampa Bay. They did not bounce
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: back in the next game. They lost really badly again
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: to St.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: Louis.
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: Maybe this does kind of turn into a bit of
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: a bounce-back spot for them here, though. Like, they're not
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: going to want to go 0-2 on this road trip here.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: You would not imagine. So, after two ugly losses, especially
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: the St. Louis one, maybe you are going to get
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: a Vegas bounce-back type of thing here. But they're also
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: going to be a road favorite. They're also going to
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: be really public. And Columbus... Also had a bad loss
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: in their last game. They lost ugly, 6-2 to the
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: Maple Leafs. But Columbus was coming off a huge performance
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: against the Wild in the game before that. Minnesota, good team.
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: Columbus may have been hungover after that big performance there.
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: Tough game. They may have had not a lot left
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: in the tank for that Toronto game. Almost said Montreal,
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: excuse me.
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: Sorry.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: After that Maple Leafs game, Toronto game. So to me,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: it looks like kind of a bounce back spot for
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: both teams. Both teams coming off a 6-2 loss. So
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: that being the case, I might have to link Columbus
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: still in this one. And who does Vegas have up next?
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Hold on. I looked at this earlier in the morning,
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: but ESPN doesn't make it that easy. You got to
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: go to the schedule. They have Ottawa on deck, which
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: I was looking at a little while ago. Maybe that
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a bigger game. I think
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: both teams show up focused here, though, but you're going
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: to get a This Vegas team is going to be
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: very public. Yeah, they have 91% of the tickets, 89%
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: of the cash. Hugely public side with less of the
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: money coming in on them. About minus 130-something here on
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: the money line. I'd probably have to lean towards Columbus there.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: It would, again, be a money line play. Not going
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: to do it, though. All right, then we have Carolina, St.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: Louis.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: And you'd think, well, St. Louis is going to be
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot after they had that huge win
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: over Vegas. Maybe, but Carolina's not in a good spot
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: either because Carolina just had a huge game against the
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: Oilers and fell just short in overtime. Coming off a
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: big game like that, you might absolutely be hung over
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: after a game like this. If you dig into this,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: by the way, though, Carolina was the better team in
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: this game. They had more shots. They had significantly more hits,
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: and they won the face-off battle. So statistically, Carolina probably
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: should have won that game. But either way you look
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: at it, it's still a big game, and they took
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: that close loss, and now they have to turn around
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: and play St.
• 19:09
  Speaker 4: Louis.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: So not a good spot for Carolina. I also think
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: it might be a little bit of a sandwich as well.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: They're playing the Bruins next, at least, which I mentioned
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: earlier in the show. That is an ESPN game, and
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: the Bruins, good record so far. So they may be
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that. So I can't get on board
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: with either team here. And like I said, St. Louis
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: coming off a big win over the Golden Knights. Carolina's
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: probably going to be overvalued in the market, though, so
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: there is that. St. Louis isn't going to overlook them.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: I just think that the worry with St. Louis is
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: they're just going to be too tired trying to put
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: in two huge efforts in a row like this. If
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: you force me to lean towards a side in this one,
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: I probably would still lean towards St. Louis here. 86%
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: of tickets and 88% of the cash on Carolina. They're
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: like a minus 150-something road favorite, so you'll get St.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: Louis as a decent home underdog here. I'd probably prefer
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: to play this game over, though. As you know, if
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: you watch me, I haven't given out any of these totals.
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: I'm going to keep an eye on it and Maybe
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: I'll start incorporating the totals again, but the money doesn't
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: seem to totally agree. It looks like a lot of tickets,
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: but also a lot of money in the under, but
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: the total did go up a little bit from six
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: to six and a half. That's about the highest type
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: of total you're going to see in the NHL, six
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: and a half. This one is juiced to the under, though.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: But even so, I think the over makes the most
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: sense here. You have teams that might both be fatigued
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: and or distracted in a way. That tends to affect
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: the defense more than anything else. So I like the
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: over in that one. All right, then we have the
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: game that is my actual play, Toronto and Edmonton. I
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: think you know where I'm going with this. You want
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: to know what I'm betting? Yeah, we're going to take
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: the Toronto Maple Leafs in this one. We're going to
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: make a plus one. puck line out of this thing
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: you might have books that just offer that as a
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: bet but if you have multiple books available you can
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: get a better price by playing the best price on
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: each one of these because they're separate bets you can
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: play them in separate books uh so there's going to
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: be a plus one and a half puck line component
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: to this where i have the the breakdown here too
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: using this johnny ma baseball run line calculator It's essentially
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: the same idea. When it's an underdog, you just have
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: to kind of flip the two values here. So the
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: minus money part of it is the puck line part
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: of it. For these purposes, if you're doing this out
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: of 100, you're going to be putting about 61% of
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: that on the minus part of it on the puck line.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: Whatever you can win with that, which is about 40,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: that's how much you bet on the money line. So
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: basically what it comes down to is that you will...
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: If they lose by exactly one, you'll push the bet.
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: That's how it works. So minus 155 was the.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: The price on the plus one puck line that I
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: found is the best price, and plus 155 on the
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: money line. If you wanted to just go money line,
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't disagree with that. It's a little bit crazier,
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: but you'd have to put less money at risk to
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: do it, so you could do that too. But I
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: like Toronto either way here. I think this is a
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Edmonton. As I already pointed out, they
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: probably should have lost that Carolina game statistically. because Carolina
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: won every one of the statistics in that game. Edmonton, again,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: they're still more of a finesse team, man. I've been
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: telling you, I still don't think their defense is that good,
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: and they've given up some goals in these last couple
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: of wins. Their offense has had to carry them. They've
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: won three pretty big games in a row, though, man.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: They had a revenge win against Utah on the road,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: and then they won in overtime and shootout against Minnesota
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: and Carolina. Those are two huge wins. So after that,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: I just think it's a letdown spot for them, plain
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: and simple. I don't know how much they're really going
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: to focus on Toronto here. I wish it was a sandwich.
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: I wish they had another big game up next. They don't.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: They play Detroit. But still, either way, I'm going to
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: be on Toronto here. Toronto, a little bit of a
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: sneaky run of three wins here that I think people
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: probably just won't really pay that much attention to. They
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: did just play an overtime game as well, but it
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: was against the Rangers. So not as big of a
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: deal there. Oh, sorry, that wasn't an overtime game. I
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: thought it was. I'm wrong. It was not. They won
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: that game in regulation. But they're starting a road trip here.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: And the concern with that as well, you know, the travel, whatever,
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: these Eastern teams going further west. But the good news
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: is it's only a 7 p.m. Eastern game. So that's
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: kind of a normal playing time. So that's not going
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: to be a problem, I don't think, for them. Starting
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: a road trip, usually your focus. And this is the
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: biggest game on the road trip. I mean, after this,
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: they have three weak opponents, even though I know Seattle's
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: record's good, but I still don't think they're good. But yeah,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: this will be the biggest game for them on the
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: road trip. So I like it. I like them starting
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: the road trip with a little bit of momentum here.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I think it's a horrible spot for Edmonton. And as
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: far as the money is concerned, yeah, Edmonton's a largely
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: public side here, as you could guess. 94% of the tickets,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: 94% of the cash will fade the public in this one.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: um as you should do in most cases at least
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: edmonton is the minus 180 favorite here um so yeah
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: we'll take toronto this um very generous underdog price i
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: would say in what i think it's a pretty good
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: spot to do it so yes there you go charles
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: what's up um great what did i say about being
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: crazy i have no idea um Tampa Bay at Utah.
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: This is one of the better games on the slate here, really.
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: These are two good teams here. Tampa Bay is coming
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: off beating Vegas. Nice win. Or, sorry, they lost to
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: the Avalanche after that. My mistake. So, yeah, they beat Vegas,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: but then they did play Colorado. My mistake. I keep forgetting. Tampa,
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: as I mentioned earlier, yeah, Tampa is in a back-to-back.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: They actually played yesterday, and they lost to Colorado. So,
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: I don't really want Tampa coming off of that. I mean,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: that's a game you at least get up for emotionally.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: And now they're coming off two big games. playing another
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: game in elevation here on the back-to-back. Yeah, I don't
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: love it for Tampa, really, even though they did lose
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: kind of badly yesterday. I would not really want to
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: be on Tampa here. Would I want to be on Utah, though?
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: Utah might be in more of a bounce-back spot because
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: they just lost to what I think is not that
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: good of a Seattle team. It was a weird spot
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: for Utah because, I don't know, they had a single-game
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: road trip going all the way to Seattle yesterday, Maybe
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: just a spot where they really weren't that focused, and
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: they had these big games on deck against Tampa, Minnesota.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: So to me, it looks like it's an easier spot
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: for Utah here with Tampa being on the back-to-back. So
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: Tampa will switch goalies here most likely as well. So
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: hold on. Does that mean, let me see, did Vasilevsky
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: play yesterday? He probably did, but let me see. He did.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: So you're going to get Tampa's lesser goalie here with Hildeby.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: although they're actually 2-0 in his game so far, and
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: one of them was against Minnesota, the other only against Vancouver.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: But either way, Vasilevsky is their primary goal, and it
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: won't be him in this game, I would assume, because
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: it's a back-to-back. So Tampa Bay will have a goalie
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: downgrade here with Hildeby in net. So yeah, I'd lean
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: Utah in this one. 50-50 on the tickets here. Utah
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: looks like they're getting the money. 87% of the tickets
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: on them. They're about a minus 140 favorite. I think
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: they're the right side in that one. All right, Detroit-Calgary. Detroit,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: let me see. Detroit just beat Vancouver to get a
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: win on this road trip here. Not a big deal.
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: Calgary also kind of a team that you can easily overlook, though.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: Detroit has Edmonton on deck, so yeah, there is the
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: danger that they look past Calgary because Edmonton's a big
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: game on deck, so that is kind of an issue
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: maybe for Detroit here. Calgary... It's coming off two big wins, though,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: over the Hurricanes and the Wilds. So this looks like
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: kind of a letdown spot for Calgary here after those
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: two huge wins. But, you know, Cooley, two good games
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: in a row, man. For him, their young goaltender seems
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: to be, I believe he's really young, right? He seems
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: to be finding himself here, let's say. The spot to
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: me looks easier for Detroit, though. Calgary, I know they're
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: an easy team to overlook. Detroit's a hugely public side.
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: 92% of tickets, 94% of the cash on them. There
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: is the worry Detroit might look ahead to Edmonton. Calgary
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: might just have nothing left in the tank, though, after
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: those two huge wins. So I actually probably prefer the
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Detroit side here. They're in the minus 140-something range. The
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: money did fade them, though, because they were minus 150-something.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: The money line did drop on them, so it looks
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: like the real money did kind of come in and
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: fade the public Detroit side a little bit here, but
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: I would not really want any part of Calgary in
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: the spot that they're in there, so I think I'd
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: slightly lean Detroit. I don't want to do it, though.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: Like I said, there are definitely some negatives for Detroit there, too.
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: Could be another over if you want to use that approach.
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: The public is on the over, though, and less of
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: the money on the over, but it's gone up from 5.5
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: to 6. Again, if you think Bucs, Both teams might
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: be distracted and or fatigued. That is where I tend
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: to lean is the over because I think it affects
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: the defense. So those are my thoughts on that. And
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: then the last hockey game is Minnesota-Seattle. Minnesota just lost
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: to Calgary, which is pretty ugly. So they may have
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: a bounce back here. Seattle, they're really not as good
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: as their record would suggest. Man, I'm going to keep
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: saying that until I'm proven wrong, and I don't consider
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: myself to be proven wrong yet. Seattle is not as
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: good as this record indicates. They're coming off a nice
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: win over Utah, staying at home. Now, they're not going
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: to overlook Minnesota, but that being said, Minnesota's the better team,
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: such that they're favored on the road. So you've got
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: to listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you. Minnesota's
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: a minus 150-something favorite here, even though they have a
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: lesser record than Seattle, believe it or not. But the
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are telling you Minnesota's the significantly better team, such
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: that they're a pretty sizable road favorite here. 94% of
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on Minnesota though, and only 90% of
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: the cash. So they are getting the public action. But
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: in this case, I think Minnesota is actually the right
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: side in this one. I would, um, I would be
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: going against the market reading that one and actually being
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: on the public side. So each of these last two games, uh,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: I would be leaning towards the, uh, the public road
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: favorite there, which is, uh, usually not a good thing. So,
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: but that's the way that I see that situation, man. And, um,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: Just where the line is, like where the oddsmakers price
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: that game is kind of telling you. you not to
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: believe these records and then Minnesota is the better team
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: again better team better spot so I like Minnesota and
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: that one and that will do it for hockey all
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: right we have NBA coming up so I don't know
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: we're about halfway through the show is it a hydration
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: break time maybe Money line only? You're taking the money
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: line on Toronto?
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah, just put less money on it, I guess. But, yeah,
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, if they lose by one, I'm going to push, though,
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: and you're going to lose. So there is that. But
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: that's the tradeoff, man. You put less money on it.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what the hell situations is. All right,
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: I'll be right back. We'll go into the break, and
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: then I'll talk about NBA. You're not going to like
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: my NBA play. I always say that nobody likes any
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: of my plays, but I'm trying to come up with
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: games that are going to actually win the bet, man.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: That's the whole deal here. So I have a situational
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: spot in the NBA that will come up after the
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: break here.
• 32:26
  Speaker 4: All right.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: NBA is up next. As you can see here, we
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: have no market percentages in the NBA. So thank you
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: to odds logic for that. But we're going to, situationally
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: handicap these things anyway. First game's at 6 p.m. Eastern,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: Miami at Charlotte. A lot of these teams played yesterday,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: so yesterday full slate of basketball, so a ton of
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: these teams are on back-to-backs, including both Miami and Charlotte,
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken. Miami lost pretty badly to the Pistons,
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: as we know, because that was my loser that I
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: gave out in the NBA yesterday. So they're off to
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: an 0-2 start. The Hornets lost yesterday as well, if
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: I'm not mistaken. they lost to the Hawks even worse.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: They lost by 47 points to the Hawks yesterday, and
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home. So, yeah, I mean, to me, yeah,
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: I guess Charlotte may be the way to look here.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: Miami's a three-and-a-half-point favorite here. So the odds are telling
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: you Miami is the better team, though, and they're 0-2,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: and Charlotte's 1-1 because Charlotte has a win over Brooklyn.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: Big deal. But it's tough to figure out, man, because
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: an 0-2 team laying points on the road is usually–
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: where you want to go. The odds makers are telling
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: you Miami's actually the better team here, but Charlotte's coming
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: off a more embarrassing loss yesterday. Miami almost got back
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: into that game. I don't know if anybody was watching that,
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: but they were getting blown out most of the game.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: And then I looked and all of a sudden they
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: were down like nine or something. I think in the
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter, I was like, holy shit, Miami might actually
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: come back here. But of course they did not. Um,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: Giannis has been really good in the first two games,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: but problem is the team is not playing as a team.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: Like Giannis is just trying to carry the team and
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: that's not working. So, um, yeah, I think I would
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: be more inclined to take the points of Charlotte there,
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: but I do not like that game whatsoever. Um, escape
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: the fate. Ronnie Radke. Is he the guy from, uh,
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: falling in reverse? I forget who's who. Um, What are
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: you talking about? The Pistons, they're 2-0. What are you
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: talking about? Miami was our loser on the show yesterday,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: losing to the Pistons. Next game up is my play.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: Like I said, you're not going to like this one.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: You want to know what I'm betting? But if you
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: want to actually win money, don't be a coward, man.
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: Take the Brooklyn Nets plus 11 here. This is so
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: clearly a fade spot for Cleveland. I don't know what
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: else to tell you, man. Cleveland, just like we did
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs last year, if you remember, I gave
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: out a play on the Knicks during that playoff series
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: last year after Cleveland had that complete implosion in what
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: I think was game one. Cleveland had a huge lead
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: against the Knicks in game one of the playoffs last year.
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: Completely blew the game, and I think mostly it was
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: because the Knicks got off to a cold start because
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: they had too much rest going into that series. And
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: I was correct about fading Cleveland in the next game.
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: They just got blown out in the next game by
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: the Knicks. I'm not going to say they're going to
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: get blown out here, obviously, because they're an 11-point favorite,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: but this feels eerily similar to that, where Cleveland had
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: an even worse implosion in their first game of the
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: season against the Philadelphia 76ers, who everybody's hailing as the new...
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: elite team you know I mean yeah they're one of
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: the best teams I still think they're a bit of
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: an overrated team and Cleveland was making it look that
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: way Cleveland was winning by 29 points in the second
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: half of that game I'm pretty sure And it became
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: the largest blown lead in modern NBA history. Blowing a
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: 29-point lead is unheard of, man. So for Cleveland to
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: go from thinking, we just beat one of the best
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: teams in the league, Philly, huge win for Cleveland. No,
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: instead they actually wind up losing that game. Like, how
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: do you possibly get back up off the mat after that?
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's possible. You put in all that effort,
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: such a huge game, and then you somehow lose that
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: game in the worst way imaginable? and now you have
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: to play the Nets? How are you going to get
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: up for this game against the Nets, who are one
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: of the worst teams in the league? Yeah, no, it's
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: not going to happen. This Cleveland team is ass. They're
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: horribly coached. Atkinson needs to be fired. And it's a
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot, too, in my opinion, because they have Minnesota
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: on deck. Minnesota, strong team. They're 2-0, and one of
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the Western Conference. So, yeah. Good
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: luck to Cleveland in this game. They're not covering an
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: 11-point spread here, man. I'm sorry. Brooklyn is 0-1. Brooklyn
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: has one extra day off, too. I believe Cleveland only
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: has one day off, and Brooklyn has two days off here.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn played okay in their first game. They only lost
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: by seven to the Hornets. I mean, the Hornets are
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: not that good this year, but that's still at least
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: not an embarrassing result, really. Going on the road may
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: be a good thing. You get to just focus on
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: the game at least. Horrible, horrible spot for Cleveland, though. So, yeah,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: we're pretty much fading. Yeah, we have to fade Cleveland after,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: you know, it was a historic collapse, like the worst
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: collapse in the history of the NBA, at least in
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: the last, like, few decades or whatever. We have to
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: do it. Take the Brooklyn Nets, plus 11 points. And
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: put a little bit of it on the money line, too,
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: because I'm not convinced Cleveland is actually going to win
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: the game outright. I don't know, but at least Brooklyn
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: is going to hang around in that game. Let's do it. Yeah.
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: I'm also on no sleep, so that's not an excuse.
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: All right. Milwaukee at Philadelphia on NBA TV. Philadelphia, two
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: big wins to start the season against the Knicks and
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: the Cavs, two playoff teams, and now... They're going to
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: play a Bucs team that's really easy to overlook. And
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia has Detroit on deck. So, yeah, this, I believe,
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: qualifies as a sandwich spot as well. And, of course,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: Philly had to put in that huge effort to beat
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: Cleveland there. Philly was not playing well for the majority
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: of that game. Although, when you look at the stats,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: the final statistics in that game, it was actually a
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: close game statistically as far as how the game wound
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: up going. In total. But yeah, the only way I'd
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: be able to play this game is to take the
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: points with Milwaukee. I was not able to quite get
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: there with that one in my mind, I guess. But
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: it looks like a pretty obvious sandwich spot here. Milwaukee, though,
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: they played yesterday and Philly did not. So that's one
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: concern is Milwaukee's on a back-to-back. But they, again, looked
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: pretty bad yesterday, losing to the Bulls. But now they
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: have to go from Milwaukee to Philly here with no
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: time off. I'm just going to pass on the game,
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: but if you're going to play the game, I think
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: you have to take the points with the bucks. Again,
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: I know it sounds insane. This is what I do, man.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: This is what works. I know you have no reason
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: to trust me, but trust me. Well, you should because
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: I've been doing it. this for 20 years almost. So, yeah,
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: I know how this works. I know how these situations work.
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: I think Milwaukee is the right side here. You get 12, 12.5
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: points in that one. So that's the way I would
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: lean in that one. And, by the way, the Brooklyn game,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: the total is actually a little bit lower, by the way.
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: The total collapsed. six points in that Brooklyn Cleveland game.
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: So it makes it a little bit more enticing to
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: take the, uh, large underdog with a total. That's one
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: of the lower ones on the board. So, uh, the
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee Philadelphia total is a little bit higher, although it's
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: in kind of just, um, I guess, mid range NBA
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: total there. Uh, but the Brooklyn Cleveland one is low.
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: It's one of the lowest on the board. Uh, all right, Washington, Chicago,
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: we might finally see, uh, the, uh, debut of Debon's, uh, the,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: the debut son, uh, I don't know. DeBonsa has not
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: played yet, Washington's number one draft pick. Washington has not
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: played too badly so far, though. They won their first game,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: which they were supposed to, against the Bucs, and then
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: they lost to a pretty decent Raptor team yesterday, I believe,
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: only by 10. Washington is having to travel, though, having
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: to go to Chicago for this. Both teams played yesterday,
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken. I'm pretty sure that's right, yeah.
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: Chicago won in Milwaukee yesterday, yesterday so I'd probably rather
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: have Washington just because they lost yesterday and Chicago won
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: although Chicago's travel spot is easier because they're only coming
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: back from Milwaukee so that's a quick journey there but
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know I don't know if teams are really
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: going to take this Washington team seriously yet although Chicago
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: is just a bad team this line looks like it's
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: kind of flipped between each team being a one and
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite so I don't know the line's
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: right around to pick them basically here it's kind of
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: just like Whatever, do your thing, and it's a high
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: total in the mid-240s, so expect that there's not going
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: to be a whole lot of defense in this game.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: It'll be interesting to see if DeBonsa is going to
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: play here, and if he does, I might like Washington
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: actually less if he does play because he hasn't played yet,
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: so it's going to be kind of a chemistry thing
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: where the roles have to shift and they've got to
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: figure it out. So, I don't know. That's a tough
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: game to figure out, man. But overall, I think Washington
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: is the better team at this point, though. And obviously,
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: the Osweggers are telling you that. That's why they're sort
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: of a favorite there on the road. But yeah, those
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: are my thoughts there. San Antonio and Dallas. San Antonio
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: has started off 0-2 for the first time. I saw
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: it on ESPN earlier. I think since like 08, 09,
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. Even though San Antonio, I think
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: it's had some years that weren't that good in there.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: But They haven't started 0-2 since then, but obviously they
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: have not played an easy schedule. I mean, they played
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: the Thunder and the Rockets. Those are two really strong teams.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: They lost to the Rockets yesterday, so San Antonio has
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: a big step down in class against a Dallas team
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: that's Dallas, basically. But it's still kind of a tough spot, right?
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: Because San Antonio had these two huge games, even though
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: they didn't win either of them. Yesterday's game was close.
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: Could be a little bit of a hangover after that.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: But then again, you could make the argument that, well,
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: San Antonio was a favorite against Houston. They were supposed
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: to win that game. That was a neutral site game,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: by the way. That was in Austin, Texas, I believe,
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: for whatever reason. So you could argue that maybe San
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: Antonio should be in a bounce back after that because
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: they're supposed to win that game. But I don't know, man.
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, Houston, that's kind of a rivalry here. It's
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: a Texas rivalry. I think at this point, San Antonio
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: and Houston... They're the two good teams in Texas. San
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: Antonio is a level above Houston, though. Dallas is obviously
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: like the little brother of the three right now as
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: far as what these rosters look like. So Dallas is
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: absolutely going to get up for this game. But Dallas
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: is 1-1. San Antonio 0-2. But is the public really
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: going to draw the conclusion from that? Are they really
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: going to think Dallas is actually the better team? I
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: don't really think so. Flag got injured, by the way.
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: although Dallas actually won the game in Indiana yesterday after
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: Dallas lost to Houston pretty badly in the first game.
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: They beat an Indiana team that's probably not really that great,
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: although Halliburton is finally back for them. And somehow Dallas
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: is able to win that game on the road. So
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: Dallas actually pulled off a big upset. So I don't
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: want to be on Dallas here either, man, even though
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: this will be a big game for them. They're having
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: to come back from Indiana. It's a return home spot,
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: although I'm not really considering these return home spots today
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: to be like really negative or anything because these teams
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: just haven't had long road trips yet. So I don't
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: really worry about that yet. But it could be a
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for Dallas off a big upset win. Spurs
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: coming off an upset loss. So that would kind of
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: actually indicate maybe the Spurs are the team to look
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: at here. Both teams are on a back-to-back. But then again,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: Dallas is not going to overlook the Spurs. Spurs are
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: coming off two huge games. And this is going to
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: be an injured player spot, right, for Dallas. If Flagg
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: is out, you know, when your star player goes down,
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: it looks like he is definitely not playing here. Kyrie
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: Irving apparently is back, by the way. I've totally forgot
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: about him. Yeah, he's played both games so far. He's
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: done all right. I mean, all right, that's interesting. So
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: this Dallas team, yeah, maybe a little bit better than
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: maybe we think. But yeah, maybe Dallas does actually... Have
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: a little bit more motivation here because when your star
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: player goes down, again, I'm going to say it, injured
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: player theory spot, it works the most in NFL with
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: a quarterback and NBA with a star player. When he
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: goes down, the team usually gets up for that first
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: game without him because they know they have to put
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: in a bigger effort and you get more line value.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: So overall, I do think that the only way to
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: play this game is to take the points with Dallas.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: You're going to get a huge point spread here. I mean,
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: San Antonio's the way better team. There's no doubt about that.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: But 12.5 is the number there. I think I would
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: take the points with Dallas if I was going to
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: play that game, even though I still think they're Dallas.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: All right, Houston and Atlanta. You probably know what my
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: thoughts are going to be on this. Houston, they're the
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: king of Texas right now. They beat Dallas and San
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: Antonio to open the season. Huge upset win yesterday against
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: San Antonio. which was, again, in Austin. But this has
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: to be a letdown spot for Houston off of that, man.
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: I don't see any other way to look at this.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: They're going on the road to play Atlanta here. Not
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot, though, but to me, it's a pure
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: letdown spot. Atlanta's 2-0, though, so maybe they won't be
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: overlooked here. But Atlanta, I mean, they looked so good
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: yesterday in a 47-point win and returning home from that.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: I don't really want Atlanta either here, so... I think
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Atlanta is the right side here. I think Houston is
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: going to be in a letdown spot big time after
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: that win yesterday. But Atlanta, such a satisfying win yesterday.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: You got to imagine whenever you beat anybody by a
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: score like that. Yeah, I'm just going to pass on
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: the game, but I like Atlanta here. Atlanta's actually favored 1.5,
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: although they opened 2, it looks like. 1.5, both teams 2-0.
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: But you got to think the public is probably going
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: to be on the Houston side here because it's much
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: more impressive that they were able to beat San Antonio
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: than anything that Atlanta's done so far. And yeah, I agree,
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: Houston's the better team and the better defense. So normally
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: in a matchup like this, I would be looking towards
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: the better team and the better defense, but not in
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: this spot. I just think it's too big of a
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: letdown spot.
• 46:44
  Speaker 4: So.
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: We will be leaning towards... What did I just say? Atlanta. Yes,
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: the Hawks are definitely going to lean there. I think
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: that's one of the stronger opinions. So aside from the
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn play that I gave out, I think Milwaukee plus
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: the points and Atlanta, Moneyline or minus one and a
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: half or whatever the hell, those are the two other
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: strongest opinions that I have here in the NBA. Kyrie,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah. I mean, he refused the VACs and whatever.
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: And he... He opposes the country that you're not allowed
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: to oppose, so yeah, those things are based. New Orleans
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: at Denver, and he used to be on the... All
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: the Celtics fans hate him, although obviously I do not.
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: Although I trolled Celtics fans, by the way, when I
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: went to game one of the Celtics-Mavs final, because Kyrie was...
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: on the Mavs at that point. And I had a jersey,
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: a Celtics jersey with Kyrie's number, number 11. And when
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: everybody sees the 11, they typically think that's a Kyrie jersey.
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: And I got on the Jumbotron and I showed the
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: jersey and everybody booed me because it was an 11,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: even though it was a Celtics jersey. And I turned
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: around and showed everybody that it was a Glenn Big
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: Baby Davis jersey and everybody cheered. I was like, yeah, man.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: I wanted to get on the Jumbotron just for that reason.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: And I got on there. I was like, yes, I'm
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: doing it. Got to quickly, yeah, got to troll the
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: crowd and turn around. Nope, it's Big Baby. There you go. Yes, correct.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: Maybe some people thought it was Ricky Davis. I don't know.
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: What number did he have when he was on the Celtics?
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: Glenn Big Baby is the other way to go. Free
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: Glenn Big Baby Davis, though. I think he's in prison
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: right now for, I don't know, scamming some out of
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: some amount of money or whatever. I mean, yeah, you
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: shouldn't do that. But I mean, he's got like four
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: years in jail or something for that. I mean, give
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: me a break. Free big baby. That's what I got
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: to say. All right. New Orleans is at Denver. Obviously,
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: we know Denver's the better team here. New Orleans is
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: having to play two games in a row, back-to-back days
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: in elevation. They had a pretty good performance yesterday, only
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: lost by one against this probably upstart Utah Jazz team. Denver,
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: different animal, though. Denver's a very strong team. New Orleans
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: coming off that, maybe not an easy game, spot for
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: them to have to play two games like this in
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: high elevation back-to-back. It's not a good spot for Denver, though.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: Denver doesn't have the back-to-back, though, at least. So Denver
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: does have more rest here. so the Pelicans are on
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: less rest. So that is a disadvantage to the Pelicans.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: But Denver had a huge game in their first game.
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: They were leading more than half the game against the Thunder.
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: That was a huge game, man. And Denver wound up
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: not even covering that number. I'm pretty surprised. Denver looked
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: like they were in great position to cover that number
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: the whole time, and they wound up losing in a
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: low-scoring battle by 12. Thunder, really, really tough team to
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: beat in their own place, man. Denver fell short in
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: the game. It was a big game for Denver. I
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: would say it was closer than the final score would
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: suggest because I was watching a decent amount of that game,
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: and it was close for most of the game. So
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: Denver may not be in a good spot coming off
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: of that type of game. And who does Denver play next?
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: Hold on. They play Golden State next. Golden State's not
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: really good anymore, but they still have that aura behind them.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: They still have Curry and Green and whatever there. Butler
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: may not ever come back, but it's still the Golden
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: State Warriors. This doesn't look like a good spot to
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: me for Denver either. Denver's an 11.5 point favorite. And Denver,
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: you know, they were kind of an overvalued team at
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: home last year for whatever reason. I guess because people just,
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: the odds makers, whatever, the market just started overrating the
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: high elevation thing. This is a tough game to figure out.
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: I think I might lean towards taking the points with
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. It sounds really bad. Don't want to do it,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: but that might be the way I would lean in
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: that game. And then the final game is the Golden
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: State Warriors at Phoenix on NBA TV. Golden State played
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: yesterday and lost again to the Memphis Grizzlies. Here's Steph
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: Curry getting manhandled, it looks like here. The Warriors blew
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: a huge lead, by the way. Grizzlies went on a
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: 17-0 run late in the game to win that game.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: I believe I leaned Warriors in that game, and it
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: looks like they should have won, but they didn't. Now
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: they're having to turn around off of that game and
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: play on the road with no time off. Phoenix got
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: totally embarrassed in their first game, losing horribly to the Trailblazers,
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: the Jailblazers. with John Morant now. 41-point loss. Phoenix traveling
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: home from that with a day off here. I think
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: you've got to lead Phoenix here, even though Golden State
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: is going to be trying to get that first win.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Golden State on no rest on the back-to-back
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: after imploding in the game yesterday, even though Memphis isn't
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: really that good. So Golden State was the favorite there,
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: so they did technically lose as a favorite, but still...
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: Back-to-back with travel doesn't look good to me. They get
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: this Phoenix team off of a disgustingly bad-looking loss. I
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: would prefer the Suns in this one. I think the
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: public will shy away from it, too, because Phoenix is
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: a 9.5-point favorite here. The public's got to be thinking, like, oh,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: my God, even though they're 0-2, I'm getting Steph Curry
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: as a 9.5-point underdog here. Like, that looks pretty tempting, right?
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: But I still don't think this Phoenix team is that bad.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: I don't think they could be. I mean, they got Booker,
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Brooks still, you know. This isn't that bad of a
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: Phoenix team, I don't think. So, yeah, I would lay
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: it with Phoenix if I was going to play that one.
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: All right, then we have the horrific WNBA– Golden State
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: facing elimination here, down 2-1 in Atlanta here. I think
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: the only way to look at this game is to
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: still lean to Golden State, though, after two pretty ugly-looking losses.
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: And the last one was disgustingly bad. And this is
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: after Golden State swept the season series and won the
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: first game of this series. They lost both games here
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: by double digits and lost this last one by 26 points.
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: And we took a loss on the show. I'm not
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: going to deny it. Yeah, I thought it was a
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: zigzag spot for Golden State. They could not get it done.
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: But if you look at what was happening in this game, yeah,
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: Atlanta had the upper hand for a lot of it.
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: But Golden State went on a run, and it looked
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: like they were about to flip the script in the game.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: They were close, and then all of a sudden they
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: just imploded late in the third quarter, and everything went
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: completely wrong after that. Golden State shot unbelievably badly in
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: this game, 35% from the field. Even though, yes, they
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: did hit 40% of their threes. But even so, you're
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: not going to win when you shoot 35% from the field, man.
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: It's just not going to happen. And Atlanta shot almost 50%.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: So I still think there is a bunch of regression.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: There are a bunch of regression angles here. I don't
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: think Atlanta is going to shoot this well again. Golden
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: State should shoot better than they did. And Atlanta, for
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: the second straight game, went to the free throw line
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: way more times. They went 12 more times to the
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: free throw line, and they were plus nine from the
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: free throw line. So again, I think that thing is
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: going to turn around a little bit. I think Golden
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: State is going to clean up these turnovers at some
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: point after they had 19 and then 17 turnovers in
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: each of the last two games. I know it's the
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: same handicap I gave out in this game, and it
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: didn't work. But again, I think there's going to be
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: regression here. And this time it includes the shooting percentages too,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: where Atlanta shot too well in this game. And they
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: even shot better from three as well, although it was
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: only slightly. Golden State shot way too poorly in this game.
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: Golden State's got the turnovers to clean up here. Yeah,
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: and the free throw disparity was just crazy in the game.
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: So I would have to lean Golden State here, and
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: I know the money's not agreeing with it, but also
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: you're getting extra value. Like Atlanta was a two and
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, or three and a half I
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: think is what it was up to in Atlanta. Game three,
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: and now you're looking at five and a half. I mean,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: come on, man. This is the biggest underdog price you're
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: getting on Golden State here, and they're facing elimination. So
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: you know you're going to get their best effort in
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: this game. Yeah, the only way to play this, in
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: my opinion, is to take the points with Golden State.
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: You got some regression angles supporting it. The line has
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: over-adjusted based on what we saw last. There's no huge
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: injury here that's like anything, you know, that's something that's
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: different from the previous game, I mean. 60% of tickets
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: and 95% of the cash on Atlanta. I do not
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: agree with that market read. I would only take the
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: points of Golden State there. This game's in the afternoon,
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: by the way, 1 p.m., I will remain off of
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: the WNBA, though, because things have just gone so badly. But,
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: of course, now that it's not a play for me,
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: you know it's going to be right. And the money's
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: also coming in on the under. This has been an
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: under type of series for the most part. I thought
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Game 2 was going to go over. It didn't. And
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: then I liked the over in Game 3 as well,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: and it finally did go over in Game 3. The
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: only big scoring came from Atlanta in Game 3 there
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: because all of a sudden they had the only good
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: shooting performance in the series so far. So I don't
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: really want the over after that. This could be more
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: of an under type of game because it's a big game.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: It's an elimination game, you know. You might seem more
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: focused on defense again in this one. So I would
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: not disagree with the under. It's kind of zigzagging what
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: we saw last. In games one and two, both went under.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: And game two, I thought was a good setup to
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: go over, and it didn't happen. But then again, on
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: somewhat short rest, I like it a little bit less,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: although they did have an extra day off. I think
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: these teams haven't played since Wednesday, so... Um, the extra
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: rest I think should help the defense and maybe cool
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: off the offense a little bit. So I would not
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: disagree under in that game. Healthcare NBA fraud.
• 56:30
  Speaker 4: Yes.
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: Glenn Davis. Oh, he's out. All right. Free big baby.
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: All right. So he is free. All right. Uh, Tampa Bay, Milwaukee,
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: my lean on the under yesterday was correct. Uh, Milwaukee
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: wound up, uh, they won three to two after they
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: scored two runs in the first inning. And then they
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: wound up holding on to a three to two win, uh,
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: But this game actually should have gone over the total,
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: and I saw a lot of professionals actually on the
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: over in this game. And remember, I had my concerns
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: with it because Nick Martinez is very familiar to Milwaukee.
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: Mizurowski wasn't good up to this point in the playoffs,
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: though he actually had his best performance in the playoffs
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: so far yesterday. He was much more efficient. He pitched
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: really well. Martinez was also okay in the game yesterday too, though.
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. My gauge on the starting pitching
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: wasn't too bad in the game yesterday as well. But
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: you can see the teams combined for 15 hits. So
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: these teams should have combined for more than five runs here.
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: So there were a lot of guys stranded on base.
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: And Tampa Bay's pitching also walked four guys in the game,
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: most of it in the middle of the game from Mott's. But, yeah,
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: there could have been more scoring in this game than
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: there was. I actually think it was kind of a
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: misleading low-scoring game here with Milwaukee winning 3-2. So I
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: actually like the over in this game here. And we
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: saw bullpen usage, obviously, in the game yesterday. Milwaukee used
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: their best relievers, including their closer again, McGill, to finish
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: the game off. So playing again right away on a back-to-back.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: Some of those guys might not be available. So I
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: think the bullpen usage, you know, obviously is a little
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: bit of a factor here as well. Tampa Bay didn't
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: use like their absolute backend guys, but they still use
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: like four relief pitchers. So believe it or not, I
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: like the over in this game, even though the starting
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: pitching looks like it's a really, really good matchup and
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: looks like the type of game where I'd play the under.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: Drew Rasmussen is pitching for Tampa. Tampa decided to have
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: him pitching game two instead of game one, even though
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: he's definitely their ace. He had a great season. 2.67 ERA,.
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: 91 whip. He was really good on the road. 2.47
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: road ERA. He's been really good in the playoffs. So
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: why do I want to fade him when he has
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: a 23-3 strikeout walk ratio in the playoffs so far?
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: He's gotten at least six innings in all three of
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: his starts and has a 1.29 ERA so far in
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. Well... I don't like his numbers against Milwaukee,
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: so I just think it's a combination of everything that
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: leads me to believe that there's just so little leeway
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: on the total that I think this thing's going to
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: go over. Rasmussen is actually not that good against the Brewers.
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: These numbers are just really mediocre. He does not dominate them.
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: They have 48 at bats against him 11 strikeouts 3
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: walks so that's a good ratio for him but they
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: have a 250 average and 752 OPS against him while
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: that's that's not great obviously for offensive numbers but he
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: doesn't have really the upper hand against them you know
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: what I mean he just has really mediocre numbers against
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: them so this isn't his best matchup And on the
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: other side, Logan Henderson, great pitcher. No doubt about that.
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: Had a really good season for Milwaukee. 2.47 ERA,. 84 whip.
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: He was awesome at home. 1.84 home ERA. But he's
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: really struggling in the playoffs, man. He's a really young guy.
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: He's inexperienced. I think he may have pitched a little
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: bit in the playoffs last year, but this year... he's
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: massively struggled even though they won both games that he
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: pitched and he does have a three era uh so
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: far in the playoffs it could be a lot worse
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: because he's walked five guys in nine innings so far
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: with only six strikeouts so these are not good numbers
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: man so henderson has definitely been really shaky so i
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: would worry about him especially on a stage like this
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: and thinking well we won yesterday so that can make
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: you a little bit overconfident possibly here The public all
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: loves Milwaukee here. Henderson doesn't have that much experience against Tampa, though,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: so he is unfamiliar to them. So that could be
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an edge for him, for sure.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: When hitters haven't faced a young pitcher like this before,
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they struggle to figure him out.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: Hicks and Mullins are the only guys who have faced him,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: I believe because they were in the National League. They're
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: 0-4 combined often with two strikeouts, no walks. So Henderson
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: looks like he has the better of the matchup here,
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: but he's just struggled, man. We don't see the percentages
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: on this either, but I like the over in this one.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: It's six and a half, so you're getting it below
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: that key number seven. I mean, the oddsmakers pretty much
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: have to do that because they can't really put a
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: total higher than that out on this game because it
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: is an elite pitching matchup. I wouldn't disagree if you
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: said that, but I just think the specific matchup for
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: Rasmussen is not the best, and Henderson... He just looks
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: like he has a lot of nerves right now as
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: a really young dude. So, yeah, I like the over here.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: And I actually, I probably lean Tampa Bay to bounce
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: back and get this game. I know I said people
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: gave me a lot of shit going into this series.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: I said there was going to be potentially value on
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: the American League team because Milwaukee looked too good, having
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: the best regular season record, sweeping the Dodgers out of
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, extra good. Rest, which I thought might turn
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: into rust. That's all, I think, a negative for Milwaukee.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: And Milwaukee, overall, is kind of the less experienced team.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: They have an inexperienced pitching rotation, although Miz did look
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: good yesterday. Still, inexperienced starting pitching for Milwaukee here. Yeah,
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. Those are my thoughts about the
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: overall matchup here. But just putting this all in a blender,
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, Rasmussen is the more experienced of these two pitchers, so...
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: And Tampa, you know, basically, like, they got to try
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: to even the series up, man. So, I don't know.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Tampa. This is why they have
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: Rasmussen pitching game two. You know, like, it seemed like
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay was setting this up. Like, we're going to
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: give ourselves a decent opportunity to win game one. And, yeah,
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: it was close. I mean, it was a one-run game.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: I know it was 3-1 late, but still. That game
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: was just kind of, it wound up being kind of
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: a toss-up. I think that game was up in the air.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: So I think my analysis was correct. Basically, I was
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: saying this is not going to be a dominating... Like,
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee is not going to dominate this series, essentially, is
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: what I said. And I don't think that they will.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: Even if they wind up sweeping or whatever, I don't
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: think they're going to have that many blowout wins in here. But, yeah,
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: I like the experience of Rasmussen here, actually, better than Henderson.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: Rasmussen has just been way better in the postseason. He's
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: turned it up, so he's in way better recent form.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: And Tampa Bay has more of their better bullpen arms
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: available in this game. Milwaukee is about a minus-120 favorite.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: It looks like the money has kind of come in
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: towards Tampa. because Milwaukee opened minus 130, and that's dropped
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: a little bit, I think the public will only be
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: on Milwaukee here, for all the reasons I already stated, plus, additionally,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: they won the game yesterday, so the public is only
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: going to jump in on Milwaukee here, in this game,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: you would think, even though maybe, I don't know if
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: they'll shy away a little bit, because they don't want
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: to go up against Rasmussen, but yeah, I would lean
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: Tampa in that game, as far as the side, the
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: underdog price, I probably prefer the over, as far as
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: how to play that game, but Yeah, for the side,
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: I like Tampa in that game as well. I know
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: I liked them first five yesterday, and that didn't happen.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: It was a 2-1 game, I think, at the end
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: of five. But, yeah, that's what I got, man. And
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: then we'll do our final market read here. So we
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: have all of our plays ready to go here. Go
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: check out the college football show from last night, and
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: you'll see my analysis on the plays. We have Michigan
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: plus 7.5, UCF plus 7.5. I know people are going
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: to hate these plays, but it's about the spot, man.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: vandy plus 10 and a half iowa state plus 11
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: and then additionally in this show i added the toronto
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: maple leafs in hockey as a split bet plus one
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: puck line and then uh the brooklyn nets plus 11
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: for the nba so six plays in total today that's
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: what we got let's look at the final market read
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: here for the college football plays that i gave out
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: here which I just saw BYU, so we can look
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: at that. Yeah, BYU is still a public side with
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: less of the money on them, so still agreement with
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: me on the UCF side. It looks like if you
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: want UCF, those 7.5s that were out there last night
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: look like they're kind of disappearing, although you might still
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: be able to find the 7.5, at least get the
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: 7 on Central Florida, though. As far as my other reads,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: it looks like South Carolina still is the right market
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: read in their game. They're an anti-public favorite. LSU is
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: still getting all the money in that game, which is
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: another game that I liked Minnesota still getting the money
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: going against the public there as well, which was one
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: of the other games I felt strongly about. But my
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: other plays were, what were they now? I don't even remember.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: How do I already forget? Oh, yeah, Michigan against Indiana. Yeah,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: Indiana's still the somewhat public side. Michigan looks to be
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: getting more of the money there, so that market read
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: still aligns. Iowa State looks like their market read kind
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: of still aligns. Arizona's just slightly public there. That hasn't
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: really changed since last night, although we'll see if anything
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: changes prior to tonight. But I still, you know, based
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: on the spot, I still like all these plays. And
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: really strong market read with Vandy. Kentucky, very public. very
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: overrated team right now in my opinion and vandy seems
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: to be getting pretty much all the money the actual
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: professional money there so all the market reads look good
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: to me confirmed confirmation love the confirmation that's going to
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: do it learn to tote on twitter learn to tote
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: on instagram and on tiktok um sort of uh like
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: subscribe to this channel here you'll get notified when i
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: go live i'm going to be out tonight but when
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: i get back um yeah, we will, uh, have the
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: NFL show for tonight. I might be only giving out
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: two NFL plays. I have some other opinions that are
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: fairly strong, but I think I'm narrowing it down to
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: two plays. We'll see. It's a little bit of a
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: shorter NFL week because of all the buys, uh, but
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: not the gays, uh, the buys. Um, yeah. So be
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: on the lookout for that tonight. Uh, you know, uh,
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: listed on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker, of course, uh, like
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here, of course, comment, boost it up. Uh,
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: Covered in ukulele covers on YouTube. Patreon.com slash LearnToToad if
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: you want to support me over there. Losercast Tuesday nights.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: That's going to do it. I appreciate it. Thanks, everybody. Peace.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: Let somebody answer.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 3: Let somebody know you do not have to. lose this
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 3: round alone.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 3: On, not tonight.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: Not now.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 3: Hold on.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 4: Hold on.
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 3: Let me pull you out. That bad luck bites hard,
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 3: but it don't get the crown.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 4: Hold on.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 3: Hold on.
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: Stay with me now.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on You're still here now guitar solo