Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB Witching Hour | April 29, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

MLB Witching Hour | April 29, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:03
Ball system's going clear lifting. What is going on Shipping Nation YouTube station.
0:39
It's April twenty ninth, Monday. We got nine games on DraftKings main slate
0:44
and FANDO here. Interesting slate we got on tap. We got three early
0:48
games and then five or six if I could do math here six late games.
0:54
Obviously a lot of those games out on the West Coast, out in
0:57
La out in Arizona, out in Oakland, Seattle, San Diego, little
1:02
early games, a lot more late games. Gonna be talking about it throughout
1:06
the slate here. A lot of expensive pitching at the top in pretty good
1:10
spots here. We'll talk through it. Obviously, got mister Joe Ryan himself
1:14
on the mound here facing these white socks that have what scored twenty run runs
1:19
against the Rays and the pitching staff there. We'll definitely have to talk about
1:23
that because Joe Ryan is the most expensive pitcher on the slate coming in as
1:26
also probably one of the highest stone pitchers on the slate as well. Bought
1:32
Hamwich. We're coming off an incredible week over here at ship in Nation.
1:37
Members crushed all week long on the back of our content and our MLB cores
1:46
and slate plans everything over here. I mean, it's been an incredible week
1:49
over here. I'm just getting back into town. I've been out of the
1:53
office, been down in your hometown. Down there in Nashville has been absolutely
1:57
crazy crazy. I didn't realize there was a mayor on in town and two
2:00
home playoff games. Didn't even look to think of that, being an NHL
2:04
guy myself. Right, the Predators are at home, the marathon's in town.
2:07
Man, no wonder why the flights were so expensive. Everything was jacked
2:10
out, But man, it was a good time. Good to be back.
2:14
But hey, the grind never stops, grind never sleeps. Over here.
2:16
We continue to crush and continue to crush throughout the weekend despite being out
2:21
of town, being in Nashville. So, man, happy Monday. What's
2:23
going on handwhich bring you in right away? Brother? Yeah? Happy Monday.
2:27
Yeah? You want all that money this weekend so you can pay for
2:29
those drinks and flights and hotel rooms that you paid for you were rocking and
2:32
rolling. I see, I got my guy Michael in the chat. I
2:35
got my guy Gator Nation. Hey, guys, just wanted to give you
2:38
make sure that your equipment manager, the Bucks equipment manager. Tomorrow night,
2:42
he's gonna be busy. He's gonna be working overtime come ten o'clock Tuesday night
2:46
into Wednesday morning. He's gonna say, hey, Yiannis, turning your uniform.
2:49
Hey, mister Lillard, don't forget to get your shoes before you exit
2:52
for the to go to Cancun, because it's over for the Bucks tomorrow night.
2:55
Hey, sorry, the Brewers got swept. I think this weekend it's
2:58
a bad time to be a Wiscon tonight. But we're rocking roll over here.
3:00
Let's talk some baseball nowadays. Yeah, I mean no better. I
3:06
mean, listen to this guy right, he's gonna take a little victory lap
3:08
here talking about I mean, what do you need to do to win a
3:12
freaking title in the NBA? You need to stay healthy. One of the
3:15
the Bucks not do stay healthy, And Hamwich comes on being the number one
3:19
hater Wisconsin Sports comes on here and uh tuts touts his Bucks hatred because the
3:25
entire team gets hurt. It's pretty hard to win basketball. The other pretty
3:30
pretty hard, pretty hard to win basketball teams when your entire team gets thrown
3:34
out. And hey, I could care less if the Brewers got swept because
3:37
if you followed my content a whole week and long, I rode those Yankees
3:39
and took those right to the freaking ticket window and printed money all weekend long.
3:46
No Homer takes over here. I'm happy to stack up the Yankees that
3:49
score fifteen runs every game against the Milwaukee Brewers. There print money for me.
3:53
Say hi to a couple of people in chat, Michael, Jake,
3:55
Swales, Adam and the Chat Sean Sullivan, Gator Nation, everybody in here,
4:00
lone Wolf. Hit that like button, hit that subscribe button, and
4:02
if you are not a member yet, still have that promo code, who
4:06
fifteen going on? Get you fifteen percent off any membership plan for life.
4:10
Get access to my slate plan which is already published on the site. Our
4:14
core reports up there, but more importantly, our advanced starting lineup data that
4:17
breaks out home road splits, our premium projections, everything. Not only that,
4:23
these shows are brought to you by four Deep. If you want to
4:27
get in beat Vegas right tail, Tommy G and the crew over there,
4:31
use that promo coach Ship. It gets you twenty percent off any membership over
4:35
there. And if you are a current member at Ship, the nation.
4:38
You want to try them out, and you have not tried them out?
4:40
Are yet? You get a free week over there? Check out their bets.
4:43
They continue to crush it over there. But how much Let's go ahead
4:46
talk pitching like we always do here. We're gonna go eight king above.
4:49
Then we'll go eight king to blow obviously, then talk game by game.
4:53
In terms of hitters at the top tier, I want to throw out a
4:56
couple of names. Number one Joe Ryan, Number two Max Freed. Those
4:59
got are the clearcut chalk of the slate. It's gonna be expensive to pair
5:02
those guys together, but there is a lot of cheap offenses here. Joe
5:06
Ryan at ten four. A lot of times last season that we saw a
5:10
pitcher in kind of a spot like this, right, he was gonna be
5:14
twelve k right, sometimes twelve four to twelve five. He's about two thousand
5:17
dollars cheaper than some of these pitchers that we saw last season in a similar
5:20
spot here. So talk on Joe Ryan, talk on Max Freed. I
5:24
do think it's a pretty popular pairing to pair those guys together play some of
5:27
these cheaper offenses here that we'll talk about tonight. But hit on those two
5:30
guys in particular, and then hit on some guys like Lodolo right, who's
5:35
going a little bit overlooked, you guy Garrett Crochet on the other side of
5:40
that Ryan match up there. And then talk about my guy Christopher Sanchez here,
5:44
who I like quite a bit facing this Angels team in a pitcher's ballpark
5:47
out West. He's been up or down, but I do think his talent
5:50
and his skill set does have a performance here where we could see a ceiling
5:56
performance right and be needing him in your lineups here. So break down this
6:00
top tier. I think there's a lot of guys but definitely hit on the
6:02
chalk and Joe Ryan and Max Freed. What you're doing with those two guys
6:05
in particular, Yeah, let's start it with Uh, let's start with Joe
6:11
Ryan to begin. And I think Joe Ryan's in a great spot. He's
6:14
got a tremendous matchup taking on this White Sox team. I know we often
6:17
get questions in the chat about, well, they just saw this guy last
6:20
time out, how does that affect him. I don't really think it affects
6:24
It affects him right. The hitters are making adjustments, but you know what,
6:28
the pictures are making adjustments as well. When you look at Joe Ryan
6:30
and what he's done, I mean, look at his era, look at
6:32
his x FILP, look at his Sierra, look at his home run per
6:35
nine innings. It's just been absolutely dynamite. We know this White Sox team
6:40
is not very good. They did beat up on the rais as you alluded
6:43
to. But man, Joe Ryan, for me, it's gonna be a
6:45
tough fight. I think he's in a great spot, a great matchup in
6:48
the Windy City. I am. I am in on Joe Ryan. I
6:53
don't mind that chalk squarely employee on both sites for me ten to four on
6:57
DraftKings and then Max Free to me. Max Fried, obviously coming off the
7:01
complete game shutout of the of the hapless Marlins team that he played last time,
7:08
now goes on the road up to up to Seattle take on the Mariners,
7:13
who quite frankly, aren't a very good offense. They've struggled all season
7:16
long, struck out a bunch. I think Max Freed is fine eighty seven
7:19
hundred dollars. He's going to be very popular. I think he's even better
7:23
priced over on Fandel just let me look at his price over on fandel real
7:26
quick. I know it's dirt cheap, but I just want to get right
7:29
seventy eight hundred dollars. He's going to be very very popular on both sites,
7:32
and and for good reason. But for me on on Freed, his
7:40
strikeout upside is just not what I think it needs to be. So I
7:44
will I will go other ways, especially on FanDuel, because obviously you want
7:47
the k's, you want the quality starts over there. But I think he's
7:50
still a great play. The three names that I want to mention up in
7:55
this top tier is Nick Ladolo taking on this Padres team ninety eight hundred dollars.
7:59
I really Cladolo tonight to basically manhandle these pi's rays. We saw what
8:05
this Philly staff did, and then this weekend, especially Ranger Suarez, who's
8:09
another lefty. Now you get hard throwing Nick Leddolo going up against them as
8:15
well. Certainly don't mind him at ninety eight hundred dollars. Then I want
8:18
to talk about Garrett Crochet taking on taking on these Twins, and I know
8:22
we talked a little bit pre show Man. I love this matchup for Gear.
8:26
He's been absolutely dynamite at home, stymied the Braves in one of his
8:30
home starts, dominated the Tigers in his other home start. I think these
8:33
twins have strikeouts up and down the board. Looking at his numbers at home,
8:37
he's been very, very good at home. I'm all over Crochet today,
8:41
really like Crochet. And then my favorite picture in this range, you
8:45
like Sanchez, I'm going with Pepio, especially on DraftKings. Much better price
8:48
on DraftKings, ninety one hundred dollars, great swinging, swinging strike stuffed over
8:52
twenty percent to right handed hitters, twelve percent of left handed hitters. And
8:56
hey, when you look at this Brewers lineup and you look at the power
9:00
hitters, they don't get many barrels of the ball. I would be afraid
9:03
of Reese, Hoskins and William Domis. Outside of that, I think Pepio
9:07
can get to them. I really like Pepio tonight, and I really like
9:09
to strike out upside. Yeah, no, excellent breakdown up at the top.
9:15
I agree with you, Joe Ryan. Obviously, the matchup everything.
9:18
I mean, that's the reason you're seeing a ten to four pitcher when you
9:22
got the Dodgers offense, the Phillies right, high price offense, the braves
9:26
that people want to pay for, and Joe Ryan's still coming in around forty
9:28
percent plus. I think he's good. I think he's a great matchup.
9:33
Obviously sp one for me here on the slate, all things considered, not
9:37
really scared of this White Sox offense. What they just did to the Tampa
9:41
Bay pitching staff over the weekend. Here, that's gonna happen, right,
9:43
it's baseball. At the end of the day, White Sox head back home.
9:48
It is interesting to note, though, the White Sox this season at
9:52
home strikeout under twenty percent against right hand and pitching. Obviously they see a
9:56
very very good ridy here, right Joe Ryan thirty three percent strikeout to both
10:01
sides of the plate this season on the road, So it's gonna be an
10:05
interesting test. The White Sox are hitting the ball a little bit right now,
10:09
but I'm still not worried about it too much. Just looking at Joe
10:11
Ryan's last thirty numbers, he does struggle a little bit with the righties,
10:16
the power hitting righties, flyball guys to the righties. But looking at the
10:20
White Sox roster overall, they just don't have too many of those. I
10:22
mean, Multin Martin Maldonhatto leads leads this White Sox team in terms of fly
10:28
balls and power right now, So not worried about that too much. Overall,
10:33
I do think Joe Ryan sp one for me. I actually like Ryan
10:37
Pepio quite a bit here looking at this Brewers offense. I mean, the
10:39
Brewers have been very hot to start the season. I still think overall,
10:43
this is a very young team here. They're gonna regress a little bit here.
10:48
It is a decent hitters park here in Milwaukee. Obviously, the Yankees
10:52
just showcased that this weekend, scoring what forty some runs over the course of
10:56
three or four games. But right Pepio's ben lights out to start the season.
11:01
He does struggle a little bit with some hard hits. But to what
11:05
you alluded to, right, I mean this Brewers offense just I mean overall,
11:09
I mean, Jake Bowers is hitting clean up. I know he's doing
11:11
well. But Reys Hoskins, Adamis, William Catrerez. Yeah, those guys
11:15
are scary. But outside of that, you got a lot of kind of
11:18
low power lefties in there and some young talent. So I do like Pepio
11:22
at the top end with his strikeout upside, he kind of fits all the
11:26
bill. Good, good control, strikeout upside. He does get hit hard
11:31
a little bit, but at his projected ownership at this top tier, I
11:35
do like him. Max freed Man, HiT's tough for me to Max Freed
11:39
I want to say, I want to be underweight. It's just tough man.
11:43
Max Freed looked great that last start. I get it. It's a
11:45
different offense, but I haven't been impressed with this Mariners offense now gets a
11:48
park upgrade as well, going out to Seattle. Right in that park out
11:52
there, it's hard. At his projected ownership, I think I like Sanchez
11:58
more around him. I'll tuch on Sanchez in a minute. You save the
12:03
three hundred dollars, you save a ton of ownership there, and then I
12:05
have interest in Luis Severino as well. So I'm out on Garret Crochet.
12:09
I get the reason in there. I'm just not going to attack this Twins
12:13
offense. They're hitting the baseball very well right now. It's decent weather in
12:16
Chicago as well, some slight wind blown out not slight win, but but
12:20
ten to thirteen fourteen. Mili hour wins blown out to left field as well.
12:26
I think he's gonna regress a little bit here. I like this this
12:28
Twins offense. I believe in hot streaks in baseball. The Twins I believe
12:31
won seven straight so far. So I'm out on him. Give me Severino,
12:35
give me Sanchez, give me Joe right at the top and Pepio is
12:39
kind of where I'm going up at this top tier. You can play other
12:43
guys in there, but again, I'm looking to spend up at offense.
12:46
We'll hit on offense next. So I'm probably gonna be a little bit lower
12:50
on the top tier, and I wrote that up in the slate plan.
12:54
I'm going to try and live in this low to low eight K range right
12:58
the Sanchez is the Severino. I like a couple of cheaper pitchers as well
13:01
that do have some tough matchups and try and try and get get away with
13:07
that. So that's kind of where I'm going at the top tier. Let's
13:09
talk about the lower tier here. I do want to throw out one guy,
13:13
Joe Boyle here for you against this Pirates offense. Joe Boyle going to
13:16
get a decent amount of ownership here, obviously, it's a pitcher's ballpark out
13:20
there in Oakland. Sixty two hundred for him makes a lot work. Talk
13:24
about him, talk about Matt Waldron, anyone else down here below AK that
13:28
you have interested in, Yeah, I mean you're just looking at these guys.
13:35
It's my favorite of this bunch would be Rodriguez, Jario Rodriguez for the
13:39
Blue Jays. Don't mind him at seven K. I know this Royals team,
13:43
we love them at home there. They haven't been as great on the
13:46
road. I mean, obviously Scoobol is a great picture, but scuobl Uh
13:50
Limited limited their dammage yesterday. So I like Rodriguez at seven K. I
13:56
actually don't mind. I don't mind Joe Boyle, I don't mind and on
14:01
this this Pirates saying they've they've been struggling for the better half of the last
14:05
two weeks, So I don't mind Joe Boyle. I probably won't be getting
14:07
there. I'll be doing most of my damage on Fandel tonight, and so
14:11
it's gonna be upper tier pictures. But if you're on DK, yeah,
14:13
it's Rodriguez for me over Boyle and not not really getting down anywhere else in
14:16
this range. Yeah, I do want to hit on Joe Boyle. Joe
14:22
Boyle is very good against righty's, well, not very good, but solid
14:24
against righty's. This Pirates offense, I mean, they have four projected lefties,
14:30
so he's gonna see about five at six right handed bats right now,
14:33
at or five right handed bats, it looks like right now, if this
14:37
lineup stays the same, I think Joe boyleer at his price as an SP
14:41
two, can navigate that He's terrible against lefties. So if the Pirates do
14:46
throw more lefties in there, that's gonna interest or kind of dictate what I
14:50
do with Joe Boyle. But at his sixty two hundred dollars price point in
14:52
a pitcher's park, I do like that. I don't mind Bailey Felter on
14:56
the other end as well. Right it's just a matchup play again, instance
15:00
Athletics and a salary at sixty five hundred, I like playing pitchers in Oakland.
15:05
These are two below average offenses here. I'm gonna touch on the Pirates
15:09
a little bit when we get to bats, just mainly those lefties due to
15:11
the struggles that Joe Boyle sees against lefties. But overall, this Athletics offense
15:16
isn't a very scary offense in terms of that. So I don't mind either
15:20
of those pitchers. And then the other guy I do want to bring up
15:22
is Matt Waldron here. I like both sides of this. I'm gonna be
15:26
honest. I like the Reds offense a little bit. I'll touch on that,
15:30
But Matt Waldron at his price at sixty eight hundred here, look at
15:33
the numbers this Reds offense on the road this season in twenty plus played appearances
15:37
for many of these guys thirty plus for quite a few of these bats strikeout
15:41
over forty percent against right hand and pitching on the road this season. Obviously,
15:46
they play at home and one of the best hitting environments in baseball.
15:50
Now they head out to the San Diego it's a different park, the pitchers
15:52
ballpark. Waldron, I think if you can limit the hard contact to some
15:58
of these guys in there, I think he can get a nice score to
16:03
be needed in terms of your roster at his sixty eight hundred dollars price points.
16:07
So just a matchup play for me. These Reds outside of great American
16:11
small park, strike on a lot on the road. This season is what
16:14
the numbers are showing, so I don't mind that. And then one other
16:18
guy I will throw in tournaments as basically a sheer unknowned guy is Bryce Wilson
16:23
here from Milwaukee. I don't think this guy is a very talented pitcher overall,
16:26
but this Raised team just looks absolutely horrendous right now. They were chalk
16:32
all week and long, and I just gladly took the Yankees over them all
16:34
week and long and printed money. He ranks very good in our metrics over
16:40
here, and I trust our metrics and I trust our tools at Schiping Nation
16:42
over here. Bryce Wilson's actually our second ranked pitcher right now on the entire
16:45
slate. When you look at stat cast data, you look at posing lineup
16:49
projections and home road splits of these teams. So I will throw him out
16:53
as a sheer unknowned guy at sixty six hundred. If he can go out
16:56
and get us twelve to fifteen drafting points at his price point at sub five
17:00
percent ownership, I think he could be a differentiator in that game. And
17:04
you could see a pitcher's duel in Milwaukee between him and Pepio, So I
17:10
will throw those guys out spewed a lot of nonsense up there, but overall
17:15
one of the talk because I do think it's a pretty interesting pitcher slate because
17:18
there's a lot of top end arms that are in pretty good matchups right the
17:22
Joe Ryan's, Max Friedz but coming with heavy ownership. So I'm looking to
17:26
get a little bit different on some of those and then try and try and
17:30
make up for it and eat some chalk at bats is kind of kind of
17:34
what I'm looking to do. But go ahead and give your top five pictures
17:37
before we go game by game. Yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna get Joe.
17:41
Joe Ryan is number one, although I'll be lower on Joe Ryan.
17:45
I just don't think you said about the strikeouts. I don't think he can
17:48
get there tonight, so I will still say he's number one. My two
17:51
favorite pitchers though that I'll be playing Garrett Crochet, Ryan Pepio or kind of
17:56
my I call him two A, two B, and then Nickle and Max
18:00
Freed would kind of round it out for me. I'm staying up there in
18:03
the big boy price range tonight, not not dipping my toe down there in
18:07
the anything lower than seven K and Rodriguez. Yeah, no, excellent breakdown.
18:11
I will say Joe Ryan, all things considered, sp one for me
18:15
on the slate, it's hard to ignore the spot. My second favorite pitcher
18:21
is gonna be Sanchez. I really like the spot. I'm not scared of
18:25
this Angels offense outside of Mike Trout. It's a pitcher's ballpark in LA.
18:27
I like the talent for Sanchez. So Sanchez at eighty four hundred gonna be
18:33
my second favorite guy. Then I'm gonna go Ryan Pepio. Then I'm gonna
18:36
go Louis Severino, and then down at the bottom tier, I'm gonna go
18:40
Joe Boyle against that Pirates offense, especially if the only four lefties are are
18:45
cracking that lineup. Think he can do enough damage at his sixties hundred price
18:49
point as an SP two over on DraftKings. How much we talk pitching.
18:56
Now, let's kick it over and go game by game in terms of bats.
19:00
We're gonna start with Kansas City and Toronto here on the slate, seven
19:06
h seven lock time. Here Kansas City Royals. I've played them a lot.
19:10
I've been knowing to play these Royals a lot. I like them again
19:11
here tonight facing Yariel Roderiguez here, who struggles with some command, he does
19:18
have the strikeout stuff. Bought this Royals team loaded with power and speed throughout
19:22
the lineup, and they got a lot of hitters throughout that heart of that
19:26
lineup that smash right handed pitching, especially on the road here. So break
19:29
down this one. Kansas City and Toronto. I think both sides are interesting
19:33
in terms of bats tonight. Yeah for me, it's no Royals for me.
19:37
Rodriguez missed his too many right handed bats. I think he has that
19:41
k upside to get there, so he had no Royals for me. And
19:42
then yeah, we got this bowling kid making his major league debut. If
19:47
I'm not mistaken, I think he's throwing twenty pitches, but I think it's
19:49
his first start of his career. Blue Jays slated to score almost five r
19:55
on So hey, give me some Blue Jays. My favorite ones would be
19:57
Bushett and Guerrero's them and both of them are in the lineup, which they
20:03
hold. I do not see Baschette in the lineup, but Guerrero is in
20:07
the lineup, so yeah, I like like Guerrero tonight, I would kind
20:10
of do it for me. I don't it is Bachett on the on the
20:11
IL I didn't see that if he did, but yeah, give me some
20:15
blad tonight. It's tough to stack this Blue Jays team. Man. They
20:18
just always seem to uh to uh to disappoint. So it's just flat as
20:22
a one off for me. Yeah, no great breakdown. I'm a little
20:26
bit different here. I'm off the Blue j side and I'm on the Royal
20:30
side here guaranteeing anything in at bats. I don't know if it's a saft
20:32
spot for me. Maybe it's a little combination of both. I just like
20:36
teams. I'm gonna talk about the Reds when we get to them. The
20:38
Reds basically, I like stolen bases. I like home runs. I really
20:42
like Bobby Witt, really like Salvo door Perez, Eeria Rodriguez does miss writings,
20:48
but when he does get hit by riding's it's with power. Got two
20:51
great power hitters there in Bobby Witt, Salvador Perez. Bobby Whitt obviously a
20:55
cheat code as well in terms of stolen base up side, I'm just gonna
21:00
stack, continue to stack this Royals team, especially here. Add in Vinnie
21:06
p. You got Michael Massey in there hitting fifth tonight behind Perez at twenty
21:10
nine hundred. Nice value option at second base there. Nelson Laska has another
21:12
power alridy. So I like these Royals tonight. I'm off the Blue Jays.
21:17
You can play Danny Ganson here tonight. I think Danny Danson is a
21:19
solid one off at thirty nine hundred. You can play valad every night.
21:22
But in terms of a stack, Royals do crack My top five wrote them
21:26
up over at the Nation here. Give me, give me starting with Salviy
21:30
Perez, Bobby Witt, and then add in and stack around those guys.
21:33
But I am on the Royals here tonight, so we do differ there a
21:36
little bit. Let's go over to New York. Sevearino on the Mound,
21:40
Italian on the Mound. Not a game that I'm going to for bats here.
21:44
I know some talks about jameson Taion here in the chat at seventy five
21:49
hundred. Some people have some interest in him. Some people are saying his
21:52
numbers aren't gonna stay the way they are, but he has looked decent this
21:56
year. Any mets for you, any Cubs either side of this game,
22:00
in New York. Yeah, if I was, I would be lower on
22:04
this game tonight. I mean you said seven Reno. I just don't like
22:07
several Reno's k upside. Cubs team has been good. I'll probably stay away
22:11
from the Cubs bats, and then as it relates to the Mets, it's
22:15
righties for me, starting with Pete Alonzo. He's in the confirmed lineup.
22:18
JD. Martinez is in the lineup, your boy, former Milwaukee Brewer Gary
22:22
See. I don't always say on the Brewers. Tyrone Taylor t Mobile in
22:26
the lineup as a riety, So give me those rights in there. Viantos,
22:30
who was the hero yesterday. Yeah, I mean looks and they obviously
22:33
know. I mean they stuck, you know, six righties in there going
22:37
up against a rity Obviously Talians are reverse flitz. Guy, give me those
22:41
ritis for the Mets. Really like them tonight against Jamison Tyan. Yeah,
22:45
no, I think you mispronounced that. I think you want the lefties there,
22:49
and at least I want the lefties if I'm going to the Mets,
22:52
I want the lefties against Tyon. But hey, we're a little bit different
22:56
there. But overall, I don't have a lot of interest in this game,
23:00
No interest in the Cubs. I do like Severino quite a bit here.
23:03
I'm not scared of this Cubs offense. They got a lot of strikeouts
23:04
throughout the middle of that lineup, all right around thirty percent. Michael Bush
23:08
Morell Dansby Swanson, Ian happ Amaya. I know we played this Cubs offense
23:15
quite a bit at home when it's a ring win game in Wrigley, but
23:18
not going to attack Severino here. I like Severino quite a bit so off
23:21
the Cubs. In terms of the Mets side, I do like some of
23:23
these lefties if I was going to them, But I like so many other
23:26
offense on the slate. You don't need to force this one. With nine
23:30
games, eighteen offenses A pick from I'm under on this game as a whole
23:33
in terms of bats. Don't want to spew some stuff that I think you
23:37
don't. You don't need to go to so you pop something up on the
23:41
screen. Yeah, yeah, someone was asking about I don't think we have
23:44
any interest in him. I don't think their lineup is out yet, but
23:48
he looks to be I don't even seen him, and well I see him
23:51
second. If he's second, I don't think it's the worst play, but
23:53
yeah, I don't think either of us will get there tonight. Yeah,
23:57
I think there's better value. I mean you can never I mean guarantee nine
24:02
thing at bats. Mike Tackman has some power at thirty four hundred is a
24:06
good price point as a as an outfielder. Obviously get three outfield spots as
24:08
well that you can play. But I like other values more. I think
24:14
he's fine. I just like other spots better, so I'm not going to
24:17
get to him much. Kind of like this next game here, we go
24:19
back to Milwaukee here, if you had interest, I'm I'm assuming you have
24:26
more interest on the race side because you did like Pepio quite a bit.
24:29
But talk about Tampa, talk about Milwaukee Brewers here. Any interest in terms
24:33
of hitters here in former Miller Park, Yeah, no, no rais for
24:41
me. I mean they just let us down all week in long for the
24:42
most part against against that White Sox team. I think I think Richard Pelosio's
24:48
hit two home runs one night. I don't even I still know they they
24:52
were on the winner. But yeah, no race for me. Someone said
24:53
Bryce Wilson is trash, which I don't disagree with, but like you said,
24:57
got eighteen teams to choose from, no race for me, and then
25:02
if on my non Pepio teams, I'll set it a minute ago. Reee
25:06
Hoskins really like Reese tonight. I think he could do some damage, maybe
25:11
even go over the fence. Let's see where do we have him ranked on
25:14
our hit or rankings? I need to check that, but yeah, give
25:15
me some Reee Hoskins tonight. Don't don't mind him at all. Yeah,
25:21
in terms of this game, it would just be the lefties for me for
25:25
the Rays. That's the reason I have interest in Bryce Wilson. Bryce Willis.
25:27
Wilson's been solid at least serviceable against the righty's. He gets hit very
25:33
hard against lefties and struggles with command against lefties, while the Raised lineup only
25:38
has Pelasios and Ben Rodervett right now at least projected. So that's the reason
25:45
at sixty six hundred, I don't think Bryce Wilson. I opened the statement
25:48
saying Bryce Wilson, I don't think he's a very good pitcher. But it's
25:52
just a matchup. I like playing matchups in baseball. It's been working for
25:55
me all season. Long. I'm going to continue to do what's been working.
25:59
And if he he faces seven ridies here, I think he can do
26:02
enough at his price points. So not going to stack up these rays.
26:04
Richie Placios at forty seven hundred, a lefty in there with power, I
26:07
think he's solid. But outside of that, I'm off this game. In
26:11
terms of bats on both sides. Don't want to attack Pepio. I think
26:15
there's better spots to attack here. So no Homerism, no Homer Brewer stacks
26:19
for Naids here tonight, jump to this next game here, and I think
26:22
this is an interesting one here to talk about it. It's decent hitting conditions
26:26
there in Chicago, decent weather, some slight wind blowing out, but two
26:32
good pictures on the mound that both of us had some interest in Twins coming
26:36
to town, red hot to face Garrett Crochet guaranteed nine thing at bats and
26:40
then Joe Ryan on the hill for the Twins against this White Sox team coming
26:44
off a hell of a weekend against that Tampa Bay staff. Any interest in
26:48
the bats? Do the White Sox keep it going against the Chuck pitcher of
26:51
the slate, and then any Twins do they keep it rolling against your boy,
26:55
Garrett Crochet. Here, Garrett Crochet is going to slice and die this
27:00
Twins team up. They were in LA all weekend partied, score twelve runs
27:04
a game. I felt like now they traveled to the Midwest, to the
27:07
great city of Chicago. Hey, Garrett Crochet, facing nine righties, you
27:12
just can't barrel them up. NDEs He's got a sub five percent barrel rate
27:17
against righties, eighteen percent swinging strike rate against rightys. Lock and load,
27:22
Garrett Crochet, He's about to go ham today in honor of hand. Let's
27:26
get ten K's Crochet. That's my call, Garrett Crochet. Ten K's Obviously,
27:30
we like Joe Ryan, so we're not gonna play any White Sox.
27:34
Yeah. I actually don't mind some of these Twins just I mean Jose Miranda
27:41
at thirty one hundred fly ball hitter with some power there, nice righty.
27:45
In his leven plate appearances, he didn't strike out one time against left hand
27:48
pitching so far this season. I don't hate him, but I don't want
27:52
to stack up this Twins offense. I just think some of these righties with
27:57
some power at at the price point, I think you could play Josey Moranda
28:00
my favorite bat. Outside of that, not a ton of interest in either
28:04
one of these sides. Joe Ryan does struggle with some power, so a
28:08
Gavin Sheets I don't think is a crazy play at his thirty four hundred dollars
28:12
price point. He's got some power there, a nice lefty. But another
28:18
spot where I don't like a lot of bats. I like a lot of
28:21
bats late here, which we're going to talk about starting with this next game.
28:25
My favorite stack of the board here, Philadelphia Phillies, especially these lefties
28:30
coming into Angels Stadium here to face Griffin Canning, who has looked absolutely horrendous
28:34
to start the season here. I have no interest in the Angels, but
28:37
I have a ton of interest in these Phillies. Talk about these Phillies and
28:41
the Angels, Sanchez and Canning on the hill, Yep, I'm I'm in
28:47
total agreement with you. With these Phillies, they've been rocking and rolling.
28:51
I think they did. They sweep the Padres or I know they won the
28:53
first two. I don't know about yesterday, but they've been down to my
28:56
you know, Bom hit a homer, marsh At homer this week in obviously
29:00
Harper and Schwarber are always in play. But I differ from you a little
29:04
bit as it relates to these Angels. I mean, Sanchez is a is
29:10
a ground ball pitcher, which we normally don't like to pick on. But
29:12
in his two starts on the road, he struggled. He hadn't got out
29:15
of the fifth inning in either game, only made it three inchs his last
29:19
game in Great America Small Part four and a third inning the time before that.
29:23
Hey, he struggled on the road. He's gonna be facing a bevy
29:26
of right handed hitters. Obviously, Mike Trout, Taylor Ward would lead the
29:30
charge. Anybody that can get fly balls off of him, I think are
29:33
good. But I think LA is gonna be my sneaky stack of the nine.
29:37
I really liked them as a contrarian. Maybe a three man stack,
29:41
uh with with the big dogs in it. I don't hate that at all.
29:42
I think you can stack either side of this game. But the Angel
29:45
will be my sneaky stack of the day. Yeah, I'm gonna I'll leave
29:51
the Angels to you. You can have the Angels and we'll we'll see.
29:55
Maybe maybe I come to a screeching halt tonight, Ben Ben rydhim pretty well.
29:59
But I'm gonna ride the well here with the Phillies. I love these
30:02
lefties, starting with Swarber, starting with Bryce Harper, Brandon Marsh, Bryson
30:06
Scott, build around those, stack them up any which way. This team
30:08
has a two or three expected isso on the road this season against right hand
30:11
and pitching, I think the Phillies are the highest scoring team on the slates.
30:15
Love these Phillies tonight. My favorite stack of the board when effect or
30:19
in their salaries, because they got a lot of guys that can round it
30:22
out, like a Brandon Marsh, like a Costeanos, like a Bryson Stott,
30:26
a Rojas that make the stack overall a little bit affordable. Give me
30:30
all the lefties first, build around them, and then no Angels for me.
30:33
The only angel I would say, Mike Trout. You can play him
30:34
any slates obviously there or a Logan o Hop at forty three hundred catcher position,
30:40
but outside of that, not going to be going to these angels.
30:42
I'll leave the angels to Hamdwich over there and see if he can strike some
30:48
gold with the low own Angels. But not for me. Here's jump to
30:52
probably my favorite overall game on the entire slates here this next game, I
30:56
love both sides of the slates. Both these two teams crack my top three.
31:02
In terms of offenses, it's the Dodgers, it's the d Backs.
31:04
Dodgers very expensive, but the d Backs are very much more affordable. Here.
31:10
Paxton's looks absolutely horrendous. This season. D Backs might be my second
31:15
favorite stack on the board, behind the Phillies when you factor in their salaries.
31:19
Love me some Arizona here, Love me some Blaze, Alexander Lords,
31:23
Garyel, Christian Walker. I mean, I love this entire lineup, Hower
31:27
and Speed throughout this lineup. Give me the d Backs here tonight, and
31:30
then obviously the Dodgers another day ending and why but it does get very expensive
31:34
to stack up the Dodgers. Talk about this one out in Arizona. Tommy
31:38
Henry on the mound, James Paxton, two pitchers that haven't looked very good,
31:42
especially James Paxton. Yeah we finally agree on one age. Yeah all
31:48
in, not all in, but you know what I mean, I'm with
31:49
you with on the on the Diamondbacks. I really like the Diamondbacks tonight.
31:53
I mean James Paxton is just he's washed. Man. He's not any good
31:56
anymore. Terrible x FIT, terrible Sierra, terrible e r A on the
32:01
road. I know he's got a good era on the road, but a
32:04
terrible x FIP and and I think he's washed. And I think that the
32:07
Diamondbacks can get to him the night, especially the righties. Don't mind them,
32:10
Marte Walker, you name it any right that they have in there.
32:14
I think I saw something earlier where Corbin is batting like seventh or eighth.
32:16
Now, I don't know what's up with that. It's like the seventh or
32:20
eight straight game and he's batting down there. Uh, you know, obviously
32:22
in the lower half of the order. So Blade Alexander's leading off. To
32:27
me, he's gonna be popular, U but yeah, give me those ritings.
32:30
And then on the other side, I mean it's tough to uh tough
32:32
to fade those those Dodgers, especially going up against Tommy Henry. The thing
32:37
that we run into with the Dodgers is it's tough to full stack them because
32:40
you can't full stack them and get you know, ah A Joe Ryan and
32:46
you know, two good pitchers. So you got to mix and match and
32:50
kind of figure out who you want to get because those guys at the bottom
32:52
of the order, they're very cheap. But they're also going to be coming
32:55
out in the game of the fifth, sixth, you know, seventh,
32:58
eight inning once it gets close to that. So I'll be playing more minis
33:01
of the Dodgers, and I think the full stack on the Diamondbacks is the
33:04
way to go. Yeah, I see the roof is open in Arizona as
33:08
well. I haven't confirmed that. I just see the chat, so I'm
33:12
trusting you, Matt Smith and the chat saying the roof is open. But
33:15
yeah, I love the d back side in terms of a full stack,
33:17
the issue for me and the Dodgers is just the price points. I love
33:21
Mookie bats, I love Will Smith, two power hitting righties against the lefty.
33:25
Obviously lefty mashers in Mookie bats in Will Smith too. Hernandez hits lefties
33:30
very well. Keiky Hernandez has hit Tommy Henry very well and hit lefties very
33:35
well as well. But as soon as already comes in, Keky Hernandez is
33:38
getting yanked out of that lineup. But I do think at second base twenty
33:42
eight hundred Salid, solid salary saver there. I expect him to be pretty
33:46
popular. Expect the overall Dodgers offense to be decently popular here, but ownership
33:51
should stay somewhat in check just due to the salary that it does charge to
33:55
full stack on. But my favorite offense in this game is the d Backs.
34:00
Love all of them one through nine firmly in play. Corbyn Carrol,
34:02
I get it, he is in base slump. He's hitting eighth tonight at
34:06
fifty four hundred, going to keep his ownership in check and could be a
34:09
good by low spot here against James Paxton. I mean, looking at Paxson's
34:14
last thirty day numbers, a twenty percent walker just about a twenty percent walk
34:17
rate to both sides of the play, a twelve point four percent strikeout rate.
34:21
Now faces a team that strikes out at thirteen percent against left handed pitching
34:25
at home and hits for a two hundred isol I mean, I think the
34:29
d Backs could could be the highest scoring offense easily here tonight. So love
34:34
me some Arizona Dodgers great play as well. My favorite game overall in terms
34:38
of offense on the slate is coming from Arizona tonight jump into the next game
34:44
here heading out to Oakland. Joe Boyle on the Mountain, Bailey Falter,
34:47
two pitchers that I have a decent amount of interest in is just stoning punts
34:52
sp two options on DraftKings in particular. But you got your boy Asteeriy Ruiz
34:57
here likely gonna be batt leadoff again. The left handed pitching as Terry Ruez
35:00
finally back in that Ages lineup has looked decent to start the season. Any
35:06
interest in terms of these bats on the Pirates side, I don't hate some
35:09
of these lefties. If the lefties are in there, led by the charge
35:14
of my boy ex Brewer Rowdy tells here thirty one hundred likely slated to hit
35:19
clean up here tonight against Joe Boyle, who's looked horrendous against lefties. So
35:23
I wouldn't be on any of these righties for the Pirates, just the lefties
35:27
mini stack for me talk on Pirates and Oakland. Yes, this is a
35:31
unique game to break down, man, because both these teams are just horrendous.
35:35
We got a great Pictures ballpark, but they both these pitchers have been
35:38
bad in my opinion. I mean, Joe Boyle been absolutely abysmal at home.
35:42
You talk about the lefties, I'm okay with the lefties and the rightis
35:45
because Boyle's been horrendous. And then on the flip side, I mean Bailey
35:49
Falters struggled on the road as well. X fip over five on the season,
35:52
Ruiz, you talk about if he's leading off looking pretty good. And
35:55
we saw what those Aids did in Baltimore this past weekend. It was they
36:00
hit three or four home runs yesterday, So you know who knows. I
36:04
mean, I don't mind them at all. I would I would prefer the
36:07
A's at home versus Falter than the Pirates. The Pirates have been struggling,
36:13
days have been hot. You give me some, Ruiz. It's gonna be
36:15
tough to full stack either team. It'd be either a one off or a
36:17
mini on both sides. But I do prefer the A's in this one.
36:22
Yeah, let me clarify. I'm not full stick in either side of the
36:23
game. It would just be the mini stacks for the Pirates. The lefties
36:28
in particular. Rowdy tells Jack Swinsky, my two favorite guys there, O'Neal
36:32
Cruz if he's in there, but shortstops a valuable position. I like a
36:36
lot of shortstops, obviously Bobby Witt. I like Eli da Cruz. We're
36:38
gonna get to in the next game. Many other shortstops as well. Mookie
36:43
bats right, So just the lefties for me and the Pirates, and then
36:46
the A's. My favorite bat would be Esteri Ruiz as a one off.
36:51
Tyler Nevin. I don't think is a terrible play as well if he's in
36:53
there, but more interest in the Pirates, so we differ a little bit
36:58
there. Another's spot. I just like to guarantee anything at bats, and
37:00
Joe Boyle's just look horrendous against lefties. So mini stack only for me on
37:07
the Pirates lefties in this game. Two more games to talk about here.
37:10
Let's talk the next one here the Cincinnati Reds, who lead the MLB in
37:16
stolen bases. They do have some power throughout that lineup that we've seen as
37:21
of late. My boy Nick Martiniz slated to be in there, but I
37:24
really liked me some Ellie day La Cruz here against Matt Waldron. Talk about
37:29
this one. I do think we could have the ability to see a pitcher's
37:32
duel here. Nicko Ledolo, Matt Waldron, but some of these Reds could
37:37
get there just on stolen bases alone. Talk about Cincinnati, talk about San
37:42
Diego. Any interest in terms of bats? Not a decent, not a
37:44
very high total overall in this game, but stolen bases add up quickly in
37:47
terms of daily fantasy scoring, and that's what we play. Yeah, man,
37:53
you're kind of like the Reds and the Royals. Whisper. Yesterday you
37:57
coored Dane Dunning and all he did was going throw ten k and shut them
38:00
down. Hey, you know your Reds better than anybody I feel like.
38:02
But yeah, don't don't mind this this Reds team. I mean, Waldron's
38:07
pretty bad, but the red struggle on the road. It gets right handed
38:10
pitching as well. I have more interest in the Reds than I do the
38:15
Padres. I won't have any Padres. I have a ton of interest in
38:16
Lodolo than if it was gonna be the Reds. For me, it would
38:21
be those lefties that you just mentioned, Elie de la Cruz, Will Benson
38:23
at the top. It'd be you know, one or two off with those
38:27
guys are a mini Both of those guys power speed combos. They can both
38:30
hit the defense, they can both also turn a single into a triple with
38:35
two stolen bases, So yeah, give me will Benson Ella da Cruz would
38:37
be the only two that I have interested in. And then no Padres for
38:40
me. I think Lodolo mows this team down. Yeah, no Padres.
38:45
I'm off the Padres here. I'm just not a I mean, Fernando Tatis,
38:49
you could play him any slate. I think he Guy Rosario's have very
38:52
good numbers at twenty six hundred. He's basically been boom or bust in terms
38:58
of his numbers. But I like Lodola more than I like the Padres offense,
39:01
So off the Padres. Don't think Lodola is the craziest pitcher play at
39:06
ninety eight hundred as a pivot off of Joe Ryan at the top there with
39:08
a similar ceiling. But I don't mind some of these Reds. It's just
39:12
Ellie de la Cruz was my favorite. But again, I just don't like
39:15
playing bats out in San Diego a ton here. It's just the nature of
39:17
slate, and this Reds team as a whole has struck out. I mean,
39:22
looking at they have seven hitters that strike out twenty five plus percent against
39:27
right handed pitching on the road in all twenty plus played appearances, I mean
39:30
Martini thirty eight and a half percent strike out rate, Candelario fifty percent strike
39:35
all rate, India thirty percent strike all right, Ellie de la Cruz even
39:38
a thirty two percent strikeout rate, you're a leadoff hitter. And Will Benson
39:42
in thirty two played appearances strikes out at forty one percent. So well,
39:45
Waldron's not a crazy strike up pitcher. He's twenty percent on there on the
39:51
season at home. It's just a matchup here, so I do like a
39:54
little bit of both sides, just due to the Reds being able to steal
39:58
bases. I haven't looked at Waldrons still and base numbers too much, but
40:00
the Reds run on anybody, and I don't think they're gonna change just because
40:05
Matt Waldron's on the mound right and Louis Campusano's behind the dish. So give
40:08
me some Reds, but also give me some Waldron. Kind of the city
40:14
way out in this game. But if Waldron does go out there and shut
40:17
them down, the Reds could also get there just on stolen bases alone.
40:22
I think it's tough to steal first base Nates. I have yet to see
40:24
it this year. Maybe the Reds will be the first to do if they
40:27
can steal first and they're they're for a hell of a night, right right
40:30
exactly. So yeah, I have more interest in Waldron, I think,
40:35
than I do on the Reds. But I did write up the Reds in
40:37
our slate plan over at Ship and Nation just due to their upside. I
40:44
mean, they got power and speed throughout the lineup, and anytime you have
40:46
that, they can pop off and break a slate, and especially when they're
40:50
at low ownership. I'm gonna have interest anytime they're on the slates and nobody's
40:53
gonna be playing them. Jump to the last game here. We got the
40:58
Braves a four under, a four and a half run total, which is
41:02
kind of crazy to say, but dude, probably do them being out in
41:07
Seattle in that ballpark, Bryce Miller on the mound. Bryce Miller has been
41:10
known to get hit pretty hard. The Braves are going to have absolutely no
41:14
ownership here tonight. Last game of the Slates. Are you getting to Atlanta
41:17
this offense? Max Freed on the hill for the Braves. No interest for
41:22
me in terms of the Mariners, any interest last night or last game of
41:27
the slate for you. Yeah, I'm not picking on Max. I mean
41:31
it's tough. This guy's got a seventy percent ground ball rate to ridings and
41:36
we should see seven to eight ridies tonight in this lineup. He's got a
41:39
sub five percent barrel rate against ridings. I mean, you know, his
41:44
struggles early in the season was his command to control walking people getting people on
41:49
base. So I think he hopefully is, as you know, slowing that
41:52
down right. We saw it last game against the Marlins. Similarly bad offense.
41:55
I mean, the Mariners have a right above a three and ploid run
41:59
total. So definitely no Mariners for me tonight. The projected lineup as Julio
42:02
Rodriguez baton first, which is a change. Uh you know he used to
42:07
batten second. Uh, so it'd be Hulio Rodriguez if I was gonna play
42:12
anybody if he was batting lad up. But I probably won't get there just
42:14
because of his stolen base upside as well. And then, man, I
42:16
wanted to play these these braves so badly. Needs you said it, nobody's
42:22
gonna have them, but just looking at their numbers, it's tough to do
42:24
me. Bryce Miller has been a respectful pitcher this season over a twenty five
42:29
per k rate from both sides of the plate. Does give up some fly
42:31
balls to lefties. And if if we're gonna be playing that game, I
42:36
would have interest in in just one Brave really, and that's Ossie Alby's would
42:39
be my favorite Brave. He would be a one off. I don't think
42:42
we could full stack this team tonight though. Yeah, I'm not gonna full
42:45
stack either. I just I just hate this ballpark. I like the other
42:49
offenses a lot more. And at the salaries of the Braves, if I'm
42:52
paying off for the Braves that get it, they're gonna be low owned.
42:55
I just rather pay for the Phillies. I rather play for the Dodgers,
43:00
obviously, the d Backs, these other teams that we already talked about.
43:02
So for me, I'm out on this game. In terms of bats,
43:06
you can always play in Ozuno, who's red hot at the dish right now
43:09
or has been obviously Acuna anytime. Some of these Braves are kind of falling
43:15
the category. You can play them anytime they're on the slates. But for
43:17
me, I like the other offenses more so, I'm gonna be under on
43:22
this game in terms of bats as well. That's all nine games, talk
43:25
pitching, talked hitters. How much you want to give a home run call?
43:28
Throw it over to you. Do you have a home run call for
43:30
the evening? Here? Who's hitting one over the wall tonight? Home run
43:38
tonight? Give me. I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go Milwaukee. I'm
43:44
gonna I'm gonna make all my Wisconsin fans happy. Give me Reecee Hoskins.
43:49
I love Pepio, but I think Reece Hoskins can get to Pepio and take
43:52
one over the wall to like Reece Hoskins my home run call of the day.
43:58
All right, well, I'm going to one of the first game,
44:00
actually the first game on the slates. He's gonna get us started with a
44:05
nice fourteen spot minimal. Salvador Parrez taking Rodriguez deep here tonight in Toronto.
44:12
Absolutely love me some right handed power from big Salvi Paraz here tonight. I'm
44:17
different than you. You're off the Royals. I'm on these Royals. I
44:21
like the Royals. I love me some Salva or Perez here tonight at the
44:24
catcher position, all the way up at the top at forty seven hundred against
44:29
Yariel Rodriguez. How much any closing remarks for the people before we get on
44:35
out of here. Yeah, no, no, no closing comments. Good
44:38
luck tonight and everyone's contest. Let's have us, let's have us a good
44:42
night. We need a shipperrund have we been closed a couple of times?
44:45
We need to see one hundred k shipper for that ship at Nation. We
44:49
need a logo in the in the winner circle tonight, either side. Yeah,
44:52
and if you guys want to throw that logo up, feel free to
44:54
do so. But if you want access to all of our premium concept behind
44:59
the paywall, use that promo code. Hoop fifteen gets you fifteen percent off
45:02
any membership plan for life you do sign in for all access, get at
45:06
all access to all of our sports. Takes it down to under two dollars
45:09
a day for that fifty eight dollars a month. It comes to with that
45:14
promo code. But that's going to do it today for the show here at
45:20
ship a Nation four Hamdwich, I need to five good luck tonight in your
45:23
contest. Hope to see those logos at the top let's ship it.