Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3596 Republicans Get AMAZING Early Voting News In New Jersey!!!

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Ep. 3596 Republicans Get AMAZING Early Voting News In New Jersey!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Something absolutely historic is happening in New Jersey right now and the legacy media is desperately doing everything
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  [SPEAKER_00]: A state that Democrats have controlled for decades, a state where they've had a strangle hold on power so tight, they thought it was untouchable, is about to flip Republican.
• 0:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: And gang, the panic in Democrats circles is absolutely real.
• 0:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: We got the most recent early voting data already coming in and the latest polling and the combination is a one-two punch that has the Democrats flipping out.
• 0:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your Patre professor here at a makes sense to the madness as the far left desperately tries to stop.
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• 1:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: and subscribe button, let's set the context here.
• 1:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: New Jersey is an otherwise reliably blue state.
• 1:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: It leans Democrat by seven points.
• 1:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: But that in and of itself is a warning sign.
• 1:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: Obama won Jersey back in 2008 by 16 points.
• 1:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: It was even worse in 2012.
• 1:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: Jersey was one of the few states where Obama actually increased his margin in reelection he won by 18 points.
• 1:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: Jersey is historically as blue as a blue state gets, but that margin, as we're seeing here with their current voter registration, has steadily eroded over the years.
• 2:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: Jersey has been turning more and more red.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Counties like Morris, Ocean, Monmouth that used to be reliably Democrat are now purple.
• 2:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're competitive, some are leaning Republican.
• 2:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: The demographic shift is real, and it's accelerating so much so that Trump came within just five points of flipping the state.
• 2:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: Trump improved his New Jersey performance by 10 percentage points in 2024's compared to 2020, marking the best GOP presidential showing in two decades.
• 2:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: If Trump had one jersey gang, I mean,
• 2:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: if Trump flip jurors, that would have been utterly historic.
• 2:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: Jersey hasn't voted Republican in a presidential election since 1988, since George Herbert Walker Bush.
• 2:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: And it periodically votes Republican in their gubernatorial elections like the liberal Republican Christine Todd Whitman, it was an absolute disaster.
• 3:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then after her Chris Christie, who started off well and then just ended up a disaster himself.
• 3:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: Well, now we've got Jack Chitorelli, and he is absolutely
• 3:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: crushing it.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: He's in a dead heat with Democrat Mikey Cheryl and in some polls, he's actually ahead.
• 3:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: The race is so competitive that the Democratic National Committee just dumped an additional half a million dollars in a New Jersey on top.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: up of the 3 million they've already spent.
• 3:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: I assure you, the DNC was not planning on spending money in Jersey.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: It's the largest investment the DNC has ever had to make in a Jersey off-year election.
• 3:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: They are that terrified.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: They're absolutely freaking out over this and they should be.
• 3:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: Here's a snapshot of what's been happening
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  [SPEAKER_00]: with the pole.
• 3:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: So this is an overview of the trajectory.
• 3:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Rutgers Eagleton pole, okay?
• 3:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: So back in June, Mikey Cheryl is up 20 points.
• 4:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: Nobody gave Jack to it a really the time of day at that point.
• 4:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: But then something happened.
• 4:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: We began to see some major movement for Jack through July, such that in August, that lead that the Democrat had got cut by half.
• 4:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now Mikey Cheryl is up by only nine points.
• 4:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, it's still formidable, but then you could clearly see there's some momentum on Jack's side and that momentum continued.
• 4:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: So through into October, Cheryl's lead once again merely had.
• 4:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: She's up now just by five.
• 4:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: So that's a 15-point swing toward Jack in the matter of just a couple of months, but what makes us even better is that if we compare these poles to Rutgers, Eagletons,
• 4:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: final pull back in 2021, the last time Jack ran.
• 4:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: They had the then Democrat nominee, the incumbent Phil Murphy, they had him up by 8.
• 5:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: He only won by 2.8, so they were off by over 5.
• 5:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: to hear that.
• 5:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: They were off by over five.
• 5:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: So comparing apples and apples here, if they're applying the same methodology and if they're off by just over five again, this isn't just a tied race.
• 5:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: Jack is actually in the lead by, say, 0.2 points.
• 5:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: And one of the most reliably blue states in the nation that Republican is poised to win.
• 5:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: But the polls are only
• 5:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Republicans are absolutely crushing it in early voting.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, here's our good friend, Cliff Maloney.
• 5:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: He was just on this weekend, you guys crushed it by the way and helping out Cliff and New Jersey Chase knock on what the half a million doors that they're trying to knock on get that the get out the vote campaign there.
• 5:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: He wants to do to Jersey what he did in Pennsylvania winning it for Trump back in November.
• 5:54
  [SPEAKER_00]: Here is Cliff on the latest in the mail-in ballot votes on the war room.
• 6:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here's the result and here's the big update I want to give the entire war room.
• 6:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: As of this day, if you look just last year in the 2024 election, if you look this far out from the election in 2024, in New Jersey, we are performing at 5.5 percent better than we were one year ago.
• 6:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: And what do I mean by that?
• 6:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, when you look at the returns of Republicans, versus Democrats, we are 5.5 percent better than we were one year ago.
• 6:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: And remember,
• 6:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: the governor candidate, four years ago, lost by just 3%.
• 6:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the program is working.
• 6:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: The NJ Chase effort is having an impact.
• 6:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm not here today to tell you that Jack's going to win.
• 6:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm here to tell you that New Jersey is in play.
• 6:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: And we're going to do everything we can to try to bring him over the finish line.
• 6:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: If you would ask me six months ago, I would have said there's no chance to win New Jersey.
• 6:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: That is changed.
• 6:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: That is different.
• 7:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I think we've got a shock here.
• 7:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I'm asking everybody in the warm room posse to focus on New Jersey.
• 7:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: We've got a chance to flip a completely blue state for the America First Movement.
• 7:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: And what's even better is that we're getting reports now that Republican turnout in working class areas in Jersey is surging beyond expectations.
• 7:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: While Democrat turnout is falling relatively flat, Republicans are outperforming their 20, 24 numbers in mail in ballots.
• 7:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: And the enthusiasm gap is overwhelmingly favoring Jack.
• 7:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now let's talk about what's driving this seismic shift.
• 7:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: first the economy right to the economy stupid.
• 7:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: Well, and Jersey it really is.
• 7:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: Jersey voters cite the economy is their number one concern with the majority 51% calling it the state's most pressing issue.
• 7:54
  [SPEAKER_00]: And they're absolutely getting crushed by high costs, right?
• 7:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so
• 7:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: So, Jack has laser-focused his campaign on tangible issues that hit every family's pocketbook, property taxes, energy costs, utility bills, these are real problems affecting real people, and voters are responding.
• 8:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: Meanwhile, what's the Democrat Mikey Cheryl running on?
• 8:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: The same old tired woke elitist messaging that cost Democrats the White House in 2024.
• 8:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: So she's trying to tie Jack to Trump and Trump's a dictator, and she's pushing the cultural war nonsense abortion abortion abortion abortion, and she's just running the same exact playbook that voters rejected nationally.
• 8:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's the political equivalent of learning nothing
• 8:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: These are the same Democrats who insisted on shutting our entire nation down during all the COVID craziness and who advocated for the mass Firings of anyone who remain unvaccinated.
• 9:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: You know, the good news with that is that things are finally turning around.
• 9:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: By vaccines, is that shocking?
• 9:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, talk about a total inversion of what we saw four years ago.
• 9:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: But what's even more concerning is how many people still don't realize that mRNA vaccines may actually cause ongoing damage long after the shot.
• 9:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: It all comes down to something called spike proteins.
• 9:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, these spike proteins.
• 9:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: could affect your blood vessels, your immune system, even your brain, and for millions of people, the effects are showing up months or even years later.
• 9:44
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• 9:48
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• 9:52
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• 9:57
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• 11:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: So, if Mikey Cheryl's campaign learned nothing from the Democrats' mistakes in 2024, that is not true of a number of New Jersey Democrat mayors, several of them and several council members across Jersey.
• 11:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: are publicly endorsing Jack.
• 11:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're endorsing the Republican and that's because they see their working class constituents moving to the Republicans moving right.
• 12:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're moving to the new Trumpian GOP.
• 12:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's very interesting because like any off-year election,
• 12:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: The occupant of the White House is, he's center stage as it were for the campaign.
• 12:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: So the Democrats trying to tie Jack as just another puppet of Trump's and Jack in fairness is defending his own independence, but he's hardly running away from Trump.
• 12:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that's because he knows Trump really is the only Republican that's so many of these disaffected working-class Democrats would ever vote for.
• 12:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: The people make the state run.
• 12:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: They are done with the radical left agenda.
• 12:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: They are done with Democrats like Mikey Cheryl and they're moving right and they're Democrat mayors and some of their city councilmen and so forth.
• 12:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: They see that and are moving to the right right along with them.
• 12:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now,
• 12:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: all of that said I do not want to minimize or sugarcoat the challenges here we never do that on this channel we're very optimistic but we're also realists as well and that's easy to be both because things are moving in our direction the world is moving right that said New Jersey has a very discernible voting pattern that's not working in Jack's favor
• 13:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: has elected governors from the party opposite the sitting president in every single election since 1989.
• 13:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: Right, there was the sole exception, the last election.
• 13:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: That was back in 2021.
• 13:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that, and even then, that was about as close as it gets with Jack coming within just 80,000 votes of winning.
• 13:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: So this pattern of jersey-electing governors from the party opposite of the one sitting in the White House, obviously does not favor Jack.
• 13:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: So that's working against him.
• 13:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: But the very fact that it is now as competitive as it is,
• 14:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: shows that perhaps 2021 was the beginning of a reset on that pattern.
• 14:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that of course would be a reset reflecting the political realignment happening among working class voters who've had it with a woke Democrat party that no longer represents them or their values interests and concerns.
• 14:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that defection.
• 14:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: appears to be a highly catastrophic, at least when it comes to the Democrats internal polling.
• 14:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: And we know that because they're having to roll out the old skeleton himself, Barack Obama.
• 14:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: He's coming to Jersey to campaign on behalf of
• 14:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: of the Democrat Mikey Cheryl, the Democrat Governor's Association is committed $20 million to advertising significantly outspending the Republican Governor's Association, which is by and large worthless at this point, but they are pouring $6 million into Jersey.
• 15:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're pulling out the Democrats are pulling out every possible stop to save a seat that they should
• 15:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: But here's what they can overcome.
• 15:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: Authenticity.
• 15:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Jack's talking about lowering energy bills, talking about property taxes, and Mikey Cheryl's talking about Trump and dictatorship and running the same divisive playbook that's failed everywhere else.
• 15:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: Voters aren't stupid.
• 15:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: They know who's addressing their real concerns, and who's just spouting talking points from DNC headquarters.
• 15:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: The early voting tells the story, Republicans are even more motivated than they were in 2024.
• 15:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: So here's what we're going to be looking for going forward.
• 15:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: In-person early voting starts in just a couple of days in Jersey.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: If the Republicans come out and mass, if there is a huge gap between their in-person voting and the Democrats.
• 16:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: that will be an indicator that will be a foretaste of what to expect on election day.
• 16:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: Remember Democrats overwhelmingly vote by mail Republicans overwhelmingly vote in person historically.
• 16:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so what the Democrats have done and how they've taken advantage of that in blue states is they amass a huge firewall of mail in ballots that Republican in-person voting simply can't.
• 16:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: Overcom, we saw that particularly in Arizona right back in 2022, Katie Hobbs, a massive huge firewall of early mail-in votes, and then all of a sudden you had all of these problems at the polls on election day, where even that it was a mass overwhelming.
• 16:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: majority Republican turnout on election day, they couldn't overcome that.
• 16:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: So Republicans, what they've been doing since is they've been eating into those firewalls, but and that's exactly one of the things that Scott Pressler has been doing of early vote action, and of course Cliff Maloney's been doing New Jersey Chase, Republicans have been eating away at that New Jersey.
• 17:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: Firewall and they're doing it right now at a higher rate that they were doing it in 2024 and if they come out and an equally higher margin for in-person voting Given that Jersey came within just three points 80,000 votes a flipping back in 2021.
• 17:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: They keep doing that In just a couple of weeks we will have accomplished what just a few months ago seemed impossible
• 17:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: Regardless of what happens, the big takeaway here is that the era of Democrat dominance in blue states is over.
• 17:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: The great realignment is indeed here.
• 18:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: And on November 4th, the entire nation might just witness history.
• 18:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening this episode of the Trolley Talks podcast.
• 18:14
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• 18:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.