Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Did US Gov INSIDER EXPOSE Americas Secret Bitcoin Buying?! EP 1276
Transcript
- 0:00Everyone's been talking about the Bitcoin treasury strategies,
- 0:04and it seems like everyone is forgetting about what's
- 0:07happening with the United States Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
- 0:11But what if we told you that the US government may have already
- 0:15acquired Bitcoin and hasn't told anyone?
- 0:19Yes, we might be in some speculation territory, but
- 0:22Boheim just testified about the United States Strategic Reserve,
- 0:25and I want you to pay very, very closely to what he says in this
- 0:30clip. Let's RIP it and get into the
- 0:31show. There are a lot of different
- 0:33actors that held onto some Bitcoin and some fashion or
- 0:36another. Now the process begins in terms
- 0:39of, you know, establishing the reserve, the actual
- 0:41infrastructure behind it and getting all that accomplished.
- 0:44There's nothing in the EO that mandates that report become
- 0:47public, but we could choose to to make it public at some point.
- 0:51And we are certainly keen on the idea of accumulation.
- 0:53We've stated publicly that Bitcoin is digital gold.
- 0:56We believe it's in the best interest the United States to to
- 0:59garner as much as we can possibly get.
- 1:00I've said that at every conference that I've spoken at
- 1:02in the last two to three months. Now, obviously this has to be
- 1:05done in budget neutral ways that don't cost the taxpayer a dime.
- 1:08The president was clear about that in the executive order.
- 1:10But I think we have some very creative minds, two of which are
- 1:13are sitting up here with me and I think we'll we'll begin moving
- 1:16very quickly on that. OK, so maybe you didn't catch it
- 1:20there, but I will break this all down for you.
- 1:22And of course, I'm not alone. I have Luke with me, probably
- 1:26the most bullish content creator in YouTube period.
- 1:29And then we have Kenobi, who's a Bitcoin mining analyst working
- 1:33for demand pool, the first fully stratum V2 pool.
- 1:36So we got a jam packed show for you guys, but let me break this
- 1:39down for you guys. So again, you heard Bo Hines
- 1:42there and I again, I don't think you caught it, but he said a few
- 1:45important things. One in particular that, you
- 1:48know, are continuing to hold their Bitcoin.
- 1:50We all know this idea that we're the United States with the
- 1:53executive order essentially said we're no longer going to sell
- 1:56seeds Bitcoin. So we know that's happening.
- 1:58We heard him continue to double down on this idea of, hey, you
- 2:02know, we're going to find budget neutral ways to acquire Bitcoin.
- 2:06But there was one point in the middle that made me think and
- 2:09connect this to an article that we dropped literally the same
- 2:12day, and it was titled how many Bitcoins has the US government
- 2:15quietly bought ahead of its strategic reserve reveal?
- 2:19Now, do you know what I'm talking about here?
- 2:21If you heard him correctly, or rather if you were listening
- 2:23closely, he basically said all of this market structure, even
- 2:28our buys, you know, reading between the lines, we don't
- 2:31necessarily have to reveal this to the public via the executive
- 2:35order. Now we've all been wondering a
- 2:37few questions. What is going on with the audit
- 2:40of the Bitcoin reserve and do they even have the Bitcoin?
- 2:43Are they still going to continue and buy Bitcoin?
- 2:45What are these budget neutral strategies?
- 2:48What are they actually doing on the back end?
- 2:50Well, we dropped this article and I'm not going to read the
- 2:52whole article, but please go to our sub stack.
- 2:54We've been dropping some fire over there on our sub stack.
- 2:56So simplybitcoin.substack.com and, and you can see all the
- 3:00different ways of, of potentially buying Bitcoin or
- 3:03rather acquiring Bitcoin. Some of course, as you know from
- 3:06the executive order is this idea that any new seized Bitcoin in
- 3:102025 is no longer going to be sold and it's going to be added
- 3:12to the strategic reserve. That's one of the ways.
- 3:15And you know, just some guesstimates, just kind of
- 3:17speculation that could be roughly around 10 to 20,000
- 3:21coins. Who knows, We're just kind of
- 3:22throwing some numbers out there. Then of course, these budget
- 3:25neutral ways, and some of those could be, you know, selling
- 3:28treasuries over the counter. There's there's financial
- 3:30trickery that they can do to essentially not expose the fact
- 3:34that they are buying Bitcoin. Again, go read the article, but
- 3:37I'm going to give you the conclusion from this article
- 3:39because I think it makes what Bo Hines said come a little clearer
- 3:43in picture going to the very bottom at the conclusion of this
- 3:47we wrote in summary, it is highly plausible that the United
- 3:50States government has been quietly adding to its Bitcoin
- 3:53holdings since the strategic Bitcoin reserve was announced
- 3:56and certainly keeping every coin it can.
- 3:59All signs point to a concentrated effort to
- 4:01accumulate a significant AKA a non trivial amount of Bitcoin
- 4:05under the radar given the incentives of those in power and
- 4:08the strategic rationale of quote by early announced later.
- 4:11While exact figures are unknown, the US likely holds well above
- 4:15its initial 200,000 Bitcoin that was seized base and possibly 10s
- 4:21of thousands of Bitcoin or more. And furthermore, the US
- 4:24government's quiet Bitcoin accumulation aligned with
- 4:26historical precedent of strategic assets stockpiling,
- 4:30such as gold reserves in the early 20th century when the
- 4:32Treasury discreetly amassed bullion to bolster economic
- 4:35dominance. And this geopolitical strategy
- 4:38likely extends to countering rival nations like China.
- 4:42Of course, we're starting to see rumors around the world, whether
- 4:44it's Russia, China, smaller countries essentially start to
- 4:48pivot the Bitcoin or at the very least take Bitcoin seriously and
- 4:51no longer just ignoring it and digging their head in the sand.
- 4:54Now wrapping up here, the government is likely
- 4:57accumulating significant holdings without immediate yet
- 4:59market disruption, positioning itself for a transformative
- 5:03reveal that cements bitcoins role in the national financial
- 5:06strategy. Now the TLDR of this article is
- 5:09this idea that, as I've been saying on the show, you guys
- 5:12heard me coin it a few times on the show as the billionaire FUD
- 5:15playbook that you essentially you know you FUD Bitcoin you
- 5:19acquire Bitcoin at a low price. So once your bags are packed,
- 5:23that's when you announce that you are actually buying Bitcoin
- 5:26and you have a sizable position. Well, again, we, we might be tea
- 5:29leaf reading, we might be reading between the lines, we
- 5:32might be speculating a little bit on today's show.
- 5:34But it is starting to sound like the US government is saying
- 5:39essentially that last part. They are packing their bags and
- 5:43when they're ready to announce that they have fully accumulated
- 5:46their position, that's when they come out and announce that they
- 5:49have bought a lot of Bitcoin, that they are acquiring Bitcoin.
- 5:52They may continue to acquire Bitcoin because that's when you
- 5:55will see the wave of FOMO coming to Bitcoin.
- 5:58The game theory starts to play out.
- 5:59Every nation state will now have a panic rush to get into Bitcoin
- 6:03and I think that's when we will get, you know, I forget what
- 6:06they're called, Omega candles, God candles, the 100K candle
- 6:09everyone's waiting for. Now Bo Hines followed this up on
- 6:13Twitter and he was actually referencing Eleanor Terra and
- 6:16he's talking about the strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 6:19And you can see here, as stated today, we are committed to
- 6:24getting market structure done by the end of September period.
- 6:29So now we have a deadline, we have a timeline by September, we
- 6:33might get some news coming out whether the US is acquiring
- 6:36Bitcoin, whether they bought more Bitcoin, what this market
- 6:39structure is going to look like. And going further, we got this
- 6:42other story coming out of the Wall Street Journal, which is
- 6:46doubling down and continuing this trend again highlighted by
- 6:49TFTC. Many countries are studying ways
- 6:52to inject cryptocurrency into their financial system.
- 6:55So you're seeing that these things are taken off.
- 6:58These conversations are going crazy.
- 7:00Now, I do want to add one more wrinkle in here.
- 7:03I know I've been ranting a little bit, but I'm on fire this
- 7:05morning. I'm geeked up on coffee.
- 7:08I saw this article on Politico this morning and we've been
- 7:11talking about Bitcoin corporate treasury strategy on the show
- 7:14for a while, but now it looks like political aisles are
- 7:18picking this up. It looks like politicians and
- 7:21politics are picking this up and they are starting to kind of
- 7:25pick their lanes here. So here's the title on Politico
- 7:28and it goes forest fire. Corporate America's Bitcoin
- 7:31buying spree fuels concerns. Critics warn that hoovering up
- 7:35digital assets could backfire whenever the volatile crypto
- 7:38markets take a turn for the worst.
- 7:40Again, you can couldn't find this on Politico, but I just
- 7:42highlighted 1 portion here. Washington is beginning to take
- 7:45notice. Again, Washington is beginning
- 7:48to take notice, whether that means acquiring Bitcoin or the
- 7:51opposition side saying, hey, we probably shouldn't do this.
- 7:54But Senator Jeff Merkley, an Oregon Democrat who has
- 7:57criticized Trump's enthusiasm for the upstart industry, raised
- 8:01concerned about companies, quote, investing in crypto
- 8:04despite its financial risk and potential for corruption.
- 8:07And a former Wall Street regulator who was granted
- 8:10anonymity to to be candidly said the rise of corporate or crypto
- 8:13treasuries could be, quote, the instigator of the next crypto
- 8:17crash. And Senator Elizabeth Warren,
- 8:19the top Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, warned that
- 8:22the fallout from any future crypto crisis could reach beyond
- 8:26digital assets. Quote when crypto crashed in
- 8:292022, the shock stayed mostly inside the crypto bubble, So our
- 8:33broader economy kept humming. If businesses start piling
- 8:36crypto onto their balance sheets, the next bus won't be so
- 8:39contained and it could trigger your layoffs and business
- 8:41failures in multiple sectors. Again, we're hearing from
- 8:45Elizabeth Warren. Hey, you know, if if Bitcoin has
- 8:47another bear market, this is a systemic risk to the whole
- 8:50financial system. It's your guys's fault for
- 8:53stacking stats, when in reality, it's like it's the Fiat system's
- 8:56fault that it can blow up so easily.
- 8:58But there was one quote in this article this morning that I want
- 9:03to connect to the clip of Bohinds in our sub stack.
- 9:06And you guys have probably heard this, but now in this new light,
- 9:10let's read what Eric Trump's been saying.
- 9:11And he goes, everybody wants it on as a balance sheet item, said
- 9:17Eric Trump, the president's second son, who's become a
- 9:18leading voice for the family business, said at a the Bitcoin
- 9:21conference. And he goes, everybody wants it.
- 9:23No one wants to get rid of it. And it's incredibly powerful.
- 9:26I think you're going to see the value skyrocket.
- 9:30So I am tea lift reading here, guys.
- 9:32I'll admit to that. But when I heard Bo Hines say
- 9:36what we've had these conversations about is the US
- 9:39buying, I think it's coming very clearly to me that the US
- 9:43government is positioning themselves rather of course, as
- 9:46we've seen with the ETF, with all the insiders into the Trump
- 9:49administration of their bitcoiners.
- 9:51You're starting to see that probably by December we would we
- 9:55should have a timeline on if they have acquired more Bitcoin
- 9:59via what ways they've acquired Bitcoin.
- 10:01And it looks like we might have a slow, you know, a slow
- 10:06summertime. But I'm starting to feel that by
- 10:09the end of this year, we are going to get the fireworks.
- 10:13It looks like the US is going to announce it by September.
- 10:16Some some very interesting news. We might get some buys come out
- 10:19here, but I don't know, guys, tell me in the chat, am I tea
- 10:22leaf reading? Am I reading too far in between
- 10:25the lines? It sounded like Bo Hines said
- 10:27exactly what we said on our sub stack, that even if they are
- 10:30buying, they don't necessarily have to tell us that they are
- 10:34buying. Now, I know we've been wondering
- 10:36what's up with the audit. You know, hey, hey, U.S.
- 10:38government, Hey, Uncle Sam, do you actually hold those 200K
- 10:41coins? What is going on?
- 10:43I'm starting to lean towards the idea that the US government
- 10:47probably has more Bitcoin and this might be some kind of art
- 10:50of the deal thing going on. You know, you don't announce
- 10:53your buys because we already know what China's doing.
- 10:56They've been kind of slowly but surely pivoting into Bitcoin.
- 10:59So things are starting to heat up.
- 11:01It's starting to get interesting here.
- 11:03Anyways, I've gone long enough. I should have broken this up a
- 11:05little bit, but Luke, what's your thoughts on this?
- 11:08Is the US government stacking Bitcoin?
- 11:11Am I speculating too hard or is this right up your alley?
- 11:16Oh, this is right up my alley, my friend.
- 11:18I I certainly do think any of these big western nation states,
- 11:24I think they're all quietly buying Bitcoin again.
- 11:26Let me retract that a little bit all.
- 11:28I'm not so sure whether all of the, you know, the French or the
- 11:32Spanish or a lot of the other, let's call them collectivist
- 11:36countries across the West who like to practice what they
- 11:39preach and they're trying to create kumbaya, so to say.
- 11:43I didn't think they're adopting Bitcoin.
- 11:45They're patiently awaiting the burnt lobsters digital CBBC
- 11:50that's going to be rolling out in October.
- 11:52So I think a lot of these European countries are certainly
- 11:55going one way, but then these Western American countries are
- 11:59going the other way. What I find really interesting
- 12:01is that since America's kind of embraced Bitcoin, they've
- 12:04elected Donald Trump. They seem to be swinging back
- 12:08the other way in a pretty hard fashion.
- 12:11We're watching the Middle East kind of come back together.
- 12:14It looked as if the Middle East was going to go one way.
- 12:18Saudi Arabia joined the BRICS. We saw the Middle East accept.
- 12:25It's. One oil sales in 2022-2023 24
- 12:31but it looks as if since Trump's kind of embrace embrace just
- 12:36call it what it is a lot more real basically not just economic
- 12:43reality it. Looks as if.
- 12:46Have started coming back this way we obviously broke in the
- 12:48news of the billion dollar Bitcoin ETF Saudi Arabia and a
- 12:58lot of these hard to Bitcoin. So again it's really
- 13:03interesting. I think the Middle East, they
- 13:06all seem to be going the and then you know your and your, you
- 13:12know, your Italies and your Frances, a lot of these
- 13:15countries who've kind of down the path of reality and they're
- 13:19going down the different path. The clown.
- 13:26Did we lose him? Did we lose me?
- 13:33No. OK, we're still here.
- 13:36All right, Well, I think we lost Luke.
- 13:38So Luke, if you can hear me, I'll DM him, I'll DM him, we'll
- 13:42get him back on. All right.
- 13:44Well, anyways, you know, we do this live, guys, this show goes
- 13:47live and we do it remotely. So things happen, but.
- 13:50We're trying to censor him, you know.
- 13:52Yeah, yeah. Too much sauce.
- 13:53Too much sauce over there. So Kenobi, what's your thoughts
- 13:58on this? Do you think the US is stacking?
- 14:00Am I speculating too much, reading between the lines?
- 14:03I think when you kind of frame it in this idea of, of course,
- 14:07they're not going to fully Telegraph what they're doing
- 14:09with their buys because of the geopolitical game theory
- 14:11implications here. Now, I do see people in the chat
- 14:14essentially saying, you know, as a, as an American citizen, a
- 14:17taxpayer, they should tell us what they're doing with our
- 14:19money. But I, I don't think this would
- 14:21be a break from everything else they do.
- 14:23So I don't know. I mean, it's kind of like the
- 14:26their modus operandi for the past few decades, even a
- 14:30century, right? I think there's two data points
- 14:33that are very interesting, right?
- 14:34First of all, Jason P, Jason P Lowery, he went quiet like a
- 14:38long time ago, right? And we haven't really heard
- 14:41anything back from him. So what has he been up to,
- 14:43right? I don't really agree with his
- 14:45sophomore thesis on all of that. But hey, I'm not in the US
- 14:49military. I'm not in the US government,
- 14:51right? So perhaps he was able to sell
- 14:54it properly to those people. And, hey, he got into some crazy
- 14:58rooms to tell them how it works, right?
- 15:00So that's the first thing. He disappeared a while back,
- 15:02although we have seen some, you know, indications that he's
- 15:06still alive. And then the second point is
- 15:09it's been eerily quiet over the past three to four to five
- 15:12months since the executive order was signed.
- 15:15It's been way too quiet. You know when it's like
- 15:18definitely quiet like it's suspicious.
- 15:22It's very suspicious and also the way that the market has been
- 15:24moving just chomping sideways, not really going any doing
- 15:27anything going anywhere. I think that's the tell tale.
- 15:30I think that's when you know that they're accumulating.
- 15:33They want to accumulate at a certain spot.
- 15:35They want to accumulate at 100K or what between 100K and 110K,
- 15:39perhaps drop it down to 80 K like a month ago, right?
- 15:43But nothing really has been happening.
- 15:45It's been very boring. Meanwhile, we have we have all
- 15:49of us just speculating what is going on?
- 15:52What are they doing? I mean, while they're just
- 15:54buying up, gobbling them up as well as MicroStrategy meta
- 15:57planet, right? Everyone's buying Bitcoin,
- 15:59everyone's doing it and still the price can't go over 110 Ki.
- 16:03Think that's the that's the telltale sign that they have
- 16:06definitely been buying. And honestly, I feel like by the
- 16:09time they they come out of the woodworks and they show the
- 16:13magic, it'll be a sizable stack, a very sizable stack.
- 16:18And I agree also with Luke. Nice to see you again.
- 16:21By the way. They were trying to censor you.
- 16:25You know, today is the day where they censor all of us.
- 16:27Be careful too much. Sauce.
- 16:30Yeah. But yeah, I definitely think
- 16:33that the US is buying, that's for sure.
- 16:37Other big countries are buying. I've also heard that a few other
- 16:40sovereigns that are not. Hey, we have PTC sessions on the
- 16:44on the chat that hopefully we we survive around here.
- 16:49Luke has already been censored. Love you too BT sessions.
- 16:55But yeah, so I've heard that other sovereigns in Europe has
- 16:58have started buying. I don't know any names.
- 17:00Even if I did, I wouldn't be able to share them, right?
- 17:03But I'm hundred, I'm Spanish and German and I'm 100% sure that
- 17:07Germany with their, let's say, brain Galaxy moves that they've
- 17:11been doing for the past three decades, turning off nucleus,
- 17:16turning on the coal plants, importing nuclear energy from
- 17:19France and then going full crazy on the green stuff.
- 17:23And then also like, well, what happened in 2020?
- 17:26Let's not go into that, right? But it was crazy as well.
- 17:30And then also selling how many thousands of Bitcoin?
- 17:3250 Thousand 50,000. Don't remind me.
- 17:36Jesus Christ. And now you're telling me that
- 17:38these guys are going to buy? No, these guys are going to be
- 17:40last in the queue. They're going to get 1000
- 17:42Satoshi's tops and that's it. And Spain as well.
- 17:45I mean, I'm Spanish, I'm here in Barcelona, not looking good, not
- 17:48looking good. Our politicians are way too
- 17:50worried with other stuff. So French people, you know,
- 17:54they're chilling with their baguettes and their coffees and,
- 17:56you know, whatever they're doing over there, I don't think Europe
- 17:59is woken up. We're still, let's say,
- 18:02collectively asleep as collectivists that we are.
- 18:07Yeah, and in the news, guys, we do have some interesting news
- 18:10coming out of the EU. So, you know, full circle here.
- 18:13But there was something you said Kenobi, that I, that I, I don't
- 18:17know if it really kind of sunk in when I was thinking about the
- 18:20strategic Bitcoin Reserve. But you basically said right
- 18:23now, and just to kind of recap what you said, you're like, when
- 18:26these governments come into Bitcoin, they're not going to
- 18:30buy a measly, you know, 100 coins or something like that.
- 18:32You know, they're going to be buying a huge stack, a sizable
- 18:36stack, a good percentage of what they're holding right now, even
- 18:40like a what 10% of what they allegedly hold, which is 200 K,
- 18:44that's 20,000 coins. Like when the government stick
- 18:48their toes into this market, especially the big governments,
- 18:50you know, the US, the big three, China, Russia, etcetera.
- 18:54Like when they come into this market, the splash they make is
- 18:58a huge splash. You know, they'll do some big
- 19:00sailor 20,000 coin buys type stuff.
- 19:03So if they are working in the background, or rather, you know,
- 19:06as Kenobi, what you were saying, you know, maybe they're doing
- 19:09the the Bitcoin developer ethos, you know, just build in silence.
- 19:14Maybe they're building the strategic Bitcoin reserve in
- 19:16silence here until it's officially announced.
- 19:19But again, you have to remember they have trillions of dollars
- 19:24or rather have trillions of dollars.
- 19:27You know, they can print trillions of dollars.
- 19:28So they can obviously acquire a huge stack of Bitcoin.
- 19:33Now, there is the caveat of budget neutral here.
- 19:36That's probably the the one limitation thing.
- 19:38But there is another kind of interesting trend that I've been
- 19:42kind of following along the last couple of weeks.
- 19:44It's this idea that we are seeing kind of a partisan split
- 19:48in regards to Bitcoin. As you can tell, obviously the
- 19:51Trump administration's going really into Bitcoin.
- 19:54You're seeing some very favorable regulations, you're
- 19:56seeing the SEC flip around Bitcoin, and then you're seeing
- 19:59the opposition essentially laying the groundwork to fight
- 20:02Bitcoin and Bitcoiners, and I've been saying this for a long
- 20:05time, that we're going to get to a point where all of us
- 20:08Bitcoiners are villainized by, you know, half of the aisle
- 20:11here. And it's super important for us
- 20:13to at times remember, like Bitcoin is for anyone, Bitcoin
- 20:18is for enemies here. Like if you want to fight
- 20:21Bitcoin, you're really only. Hurting yourself and the people
- 20:23that listen to you. But I'm starting to see the the
- 20:26bricks being laid towards that future.
- 20:28And it might come a lot faster than we think.
- 20:31So even though a lot of this stuff is bullish and we might
- 20:33see the US kind of come out, Trump come out and claim some
- 20:37bombastic buys in Bitcoin. We also have to stay vigilant
- 20:41that at that time, we might see a vicious whiplash of the media
- 20:45attack us and call us villains. We might even see the the green
- 20:50FUD come back around, you know, we're boiling the ocean.
- 20:52We're going to take all of the energy of I forget what it was
- 20:55like Norway or whatever, you know, all the crazy stuff we
- 20:57lived through in the past. So I find that very interesting
- 21:00that we're starting to see this come out from of course, like
- 21:03politico.com, like I just mentioned right now, Elizabeth
- 21:07Warren's been very notorious for doing this.
- 21:08So as bullish as I think this is going to be and actually, you
- 21:12know when step back for a second.
- 21:14I'm not the biggest fan of governments acquiring Bitcoin,
- 21:17but I can't stop them from doing that.
- 21:19So before everyone in the chat calls me a status here, it is
- 21:22what it is, man. You know, they it's
- 21:24permissionless money. If they want to acquire it, they
- 21:27can acquire it. They don't need me to tell them
- 21:30it's OK or anything. OK, But I found that interesting
- 21:33as well. You're starting to see the the
- 21:36media apparatus get turned on and kind of plant those seeds to
- 21:40make us all into villains. And I think as the price starts
- 21:43going higher, we're going to see that increase as well.
- 21:46I think it's going to be a whole new actually 2 waves, one wave
- 21:49of a whole new retail wave. Like I was telling Niko
- 21:51yesterday before I got on the plane to go up to Canada, I'm
- 21:54like, dude, whenever this bull run comes back, like this is
- 21:57going to be bigger than 2017. And for once, guys, I got the
- 22:00perma bear to be like, yeah, I really think it's going to be
- 22:03bigger than 2017. But again, on the flip side,
- 22:06you're seeing that once this price starts going up, the
- 22:09narratives around Bitcoin, around inequality, about the,
- 22:12you know, the rich staying richer, those are going to get
- 22:14kicked into OverDrive. And so, you know, prepare
- 22:17yourself to that. Anyways, Luke, without getting
- 22:20this band here, what's your thoughts on my last tinfoil hat
- 22:25thought? Yeah, I mean, geez, I have to be
- 22:29careful. My thoughts, if I'm not going to
- 22:31get the channel banned, I do have a tinfoil hat around here
- 22:34somewhere, but I, I do just think that, you know, every
- 22:37nation state will be forced to adopt Bitcoin again.
- 22:40And I do. I don't think retail was ever
- 22:43going to take us to $1,000,000 a coin or $2,000,000 a coin.
- 22:47Like if the billionaires and the nation states never showed up,
- 22:50then I'd probably agree with those losers saying, hey, look,
- 22:52we're going to follow a power law and diminishing returns
- 22:55forever and bitcoins just going to become this boring
- 22:57predictable thing. I would actually agree with the,
- 23:00you know, the experts, so to say in the Bitcoin space who draw
- 23:03the funny lines on charts. But I do think the reason why
- 23:06I'm personally as bullish as I am is because nation states with
- 23:10money printers and sovereign wealth funds that can tap into a
- 23:13$50 trillion capital market, they are now the new buyers in
- 23:17the Bitcoin space. So again, to address the
- 23:20conspiracy theory, I just think it's reality that every nation
- 23:23state will be forced to buy Bitcoin.
- 23:25I think we're just now starting to see this wave and this really
- 23:28big ramp up of public companies beginning to adopt Bitcoin in a
- 23:32really big way. I saw a chart, I maybe we can
- 23:34bring it up later, but in like 2020, there was like one public
- 23:37company adopting Bitcoin. 2021, there might have been like 20 or
- 23:4130. That number stagnated in
- 23:422021-2022, 2023. Now we've got like 130 public
- 23:47companies adopting Bitcoin and it's growing at like 30 public
- 23:50companies a month. So last month there's nearly a
- 23:53new treasury company with Bitcoin on the balance sheet
- 23:57being, you know, started every single day.
- 24:01So I think this, you know, public FOMO that we can see in
- 24:04the realm of these huge big public corporations.
- 24:07I think this is representing what's actually happening
- 24:10underneath the surface. And I think the demand that
- 24:13we're seeing skyrocket on the chart that Opti just pulled up
- 24:17out of the wazoo while I was midway through a rant.
- 24:20I think this is representative of what the nation states are
- 24:24probably doing. But again, they don't have to
- 24:28file these SEC disclosures every quarter publicly announced it,
- 24:33Hey, we got Bitcoin, they don't Nation states can just quietly
- 24:37print and mine Bitcoin all they like.
- 24:40So I think that chart there, it's a really good one and I do
- 24:43think it kind of represents what nation states are doing.
- 24:46So again, we're just too conspiratorial gentleman on
- 24:50YouTube. I'll be, but I I do, I had to
- 24:53speculate. That's what I think is happening
- 24:54underneath. Yeah, though there is a
- 24:55constraint of course, the self constraint or rather self
- 24:58constraint of budget neutral, which I think is kind of this
- 25:01idea that they know there will be political pushback on this if
- 25:05they are quote UN quote, you know, using taxpayers dollars to
- 25:08acquire Bitcoin. So, you know, as critical as I
- 25:11am of politics in general, so it seems like they are thinking
- 25:15very deeply about how to very seriously announce this and
- 25:21obviously make a splash when they do this.
- 25:23So, you know, who knows? I think we just need to be a
- 25:26little patient here. In the meantime, we get to stack
- 25:29stats, right? Kenobi?
- 25:30The stats are cheap right now, so we can just keep stacking.
- 25:33Everything's good. Well, The funny thing is if you
- 25:37look back for years, three years, three years, it's not
- 25:39that cheap, right? And it hurts, right.
- 25:43I still remember we were doing meet ups here in Barcelona
- 25:46around 2022, the bare bottom, you know, and we're buying a
- 25:49beer for like 10,000 SAT's, 12,000, you know, they go for
- 25:53like 2 1/2 euros. So like 10,000 SAT's.
- 25:55And now in the recent meet up, I looked at the, at the invoice
- 26:00and it was something like 2300 SAT's.
- 26:02And I was like, all right, I guess that's deflation.
- 26:05That's the, that's the Bitcoin, Bitcoin life.
- 26:07You know, it's the beers have gotten, you know, 75% cheaper.
- 26:11So I mean, that's how you also have to look at it looking
- 26:15forward, right? Because now the same way that
- 26:17the beer has gotten cheaper, your biases have also become
- 26:20less, let's say, impactful. But you also got to remember in
- 26:23like 4 years, eight years, where's Bitcoin going to be at
- 26:27least $2,000,000, at least $3,000,000.
- 26:29I mean, also we got to remember inflation, all of that.
- 26:32Like it's almost like saying, oh, I have a.
- 26:34No, no, 22 million in today's purchasing power, that's.
- 26:37What I was going to say, right? Because otherwise in Venezuela,
- 26:40you know, it's like, yeah, I have $40 million.
- 26:42I can barely buy coffee, you know, but no, we're going to
- 26:45have like easily $1,000,000 with today's purchasing power.
- 26:48So anyone who has like half a Bitcoin or even 0.1 Bitcoin,
- 26:53hey, you suddenly have 100K that's a down payment for a
- 26:56house, which by the way you should not put down like just
- 27:00don't. If you want to do something like
- 27:02perhaps get a little bit of a loan and start playing with
- 27:04that. See if you can leverage yourself
- 27:06a little bit, but don't buy a house.
- 27:07It's not a good business. Just keep renting.
- 27:09I know at the beginning of the of the live stream, some people
- 27:11in the chat that were saying on YouTube like, oh, renting versus
- 27:16owning all the equity and owning and all that is like guys
- 27:19renting nowadays is the trick. You don't put any capital up
- 27:23front. You keep everything, all of the
- 27:25capital for yourself. You just pay a little bit every
- 27:27month. You keep stacking like a
- 27:29motherfucker, you know, like keep going and in 20 years
- 27:34you're retiring entire bloodline.
- 27:35You know, nobody else has to work in your bloodline.
- 27:37So that's that's what I'm seeing right now.
- 27:40Yeah, well, Kenobi, the the chat is just still kind of a reeling
- 27:44after yesterday's show. Nico came on and and said the
- 27:47same thing, but we literally did like a 45 minute segment on it
- 27:51yesterday. So they're still chatting about
- 27:54that. But I agree with you.
- 27:55To me, that makes perfect sense, you know, right.
- 27:57So I know Luke doesn't even rent Luke just, you know, he just
- 28:02rents out Airbnbs. He's just living that nomadic
- 28:05life. So I know Luke agrees here.
- 28:07Hell yeah. Yeah, renting the biggest shit
- 28:10coin. That's a great point.
- 28:11Kenobi. I, I would I, I'm not going to
- 28:13buy a house for a long time. The stick that I have had for at
- 28:17least the past five or six years now is that if a house costs
- 28:21more than 5% of your net worth, then it is a shit coin.
- 28:26I can understand the argument that people make like, oh, but I
- 28:29need to justify my rationalization for loving a
- 28:32real estate and, you know, succumbing to the property
- 28:35propaganda. People will say the biggest
- 28:38narratives I hear is, but Luke, you don't have a family.
- 28:41You're 28 year old with a wild haircut.
- 28:43Of course you don't care about security and owning a home.
- 28:46And that is true. Now let me walk through the
- 28:48caveats. If you are someone who has a
- 28:51family, you might have 4 kids and all of the you know, you've
- 28:54got dogs in the backyard barking, you've got chickens off
- 28:57to the side laying eggs. I, I get all of the arguments.
- 29:00I need a house, I need a farm for my entire big family and zoo
- 29:04of animals I got in my backyard. I still strongly believe that
- 29:08when you run the numbers, if you have more than 5% of your net
- 29:12worth locked up in real estate, whether that is, you know,
- 29:15paying the hundreds of thousands of dollars of a down payment for
- 29:19a home that you have to lock up to get the mortgage, I think
- 29:23you're gonna significantly regret that decision in 10 or 20
- 29:26years, even considering the wildest of circumstances.
- 29:30You might have four or five, six kids and you might have to
- 29:33stress out about getting a new rental lease every six months.
- 29:37I get it all. I've I've thought very deeply
- 29:39about all of the considerations, and I still have a pretty strong
- 29:43opinion on that blanket rule. If more than 5% of your net
- 29:46worth is locked up in real estate, you're going to
- 29:49significantly regret that decision in 10 or 15 years.
- 29:53And I think most of this just simply comes down to the fact
- 29:55that most people are bearish on Bitcoin.
- 29:57Most people think Bitcoins just digital gold, it's just going to
- 30:00be worth 500,000 or $1,000,000 a coin in five or ten years time.
- 30:05And I think when you actually think about what Bitcoin really
- 30:09is and you stop just looking at lines on a chart drawn by
- 30:12someone who parades himself around as an expert and says, I
- 30:15know the price of Bitcoin, it's the gospel.
- 30:17It's going to be $1,000,000 in 2033.
- 30:19When you actually start thinking about what Bitcoin could
- 30:21actually be worth, that is when you start to get a little bit
- 30:24scared If you've got more than 5% of your net worth plowed into
- 30:29real estate. Now again, the caveat 5%, I
- 30:32think that's because you can make a good argument for losing
- 30:35the hundreds of thousands or even the millions of dollars of
- 30:38value that you are going to lose by having 5% of your net worth
- 30:41in real estate versus being 100% all in Bitcoin.
- 30:45Sure, you can make an argument or a trade off and say I prefer
- 30:48to have the security for those five years, which is why I paid
- 30:52hundreds of thousands of dollars or I lost hundreds of thousands
- 30:56of dollars worth of opportunity costs by having 5% of my net
- 31:00worth in real estate. But the big problem that I see
- 31:03is most a lot. Let me retract that.
- 31:06The big problem I see is that a lot of bitcoiners have 1020,
- 31:10thirty, 40% of their net worth tied up in sinking ships and
- 31:15anchors. That's what a real estate is.
- 31:18A real estate investment is an anchor.
- 31:20It's not only a psychological anchor, but it's an economic
- 31:23anchor. So again, I I could talk about
- 31:26real estate for 20 minutes, but. I was yeah, that you did.
- 31:28Actually, every time this topic gets brought up, the the check
- 31:31gets triggered. And and I think Luke said it
- 31:33best and we, we tried to explain it yesterday.
- 31:35Like, everyone's situation is different.
- 31:38You can make pros and cons for both sides of this argument, but
- 31:41when it comes to like a, you know, all in smashed by a house
- 31:46with 100 Bitcoin today or maybe wait a couple of years.
- 31:51I think that argument super simple.
- 31:53You're like, yeah, I'm not spending that much that or 10
- 31:55Bitcoin on a whatever, you know, whatever the argument.
- 31:58And like when you when you think in in Bitcoin terms, you're
- 32:00like, yeah, why would I do that? Like I just rent in four or five
- 32:03years I can buy it for cheaper. So without going without
- 32:08rehashing the whole argument from yesterday because the chat
- 32:10gets livid right now, let's get into the rest of the show guys.
- 32:14I do want to remind you, of course, the smash like button
- 32:17comment on the show. If you think that the US is
- 32:19buying Bitcoin or maybe if you just think I'm stupid, that's
- 32:22fine by me. And of course, hit the
- 32:25subscriber button. Guys, we drop content Monday
- 32:28through Friday live show and we are dropping all kinds of
- 32:31content throughout the week. Anyways, I do I want to give a
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- 34:52Like, all right guys, the the chats, the chat still triggered
- 34:55over whether you should rent or buy.
- 34:58That's that's apparently a hot topic here.
- 35:00Everyone loves that topic. All right, we're over here on
- 35:02Clark Movies Dashboard. Of course, the current Bitcoin
- 35:04price is $107,300. Seems like we're responding very
- 35:10well to the crisis in the Middle East.
- 35:12Things are I think that things are going good, man.
- 35:14I think once we break close to all time high again, it's it's
- 35:18it's off to the races, boys and girls.
- 35:20And then I'm not going to read all the numbers here because you
- 35:22probably don't really care, but block height, probably the most
- 35:25important number to me is at 902,963 TikTok next block and
- 35:31market cap and Fiat terms, $2.13 trillion and the decline from
- 35:35all time high a -420 let's go. So well, you know, I'm not going
- 35:39to read all the numbers here. All right.
- 35:41Anyways, I do want to kind of give a little context here.
- 35:45So as I was kind of talking about in the beginning of the
- 35:48show, or rather I've been kind of talking about it yesterday, I
- 35:51kind of mentioned it. It's this idea that we are
- 35:54starting to see Bitcoin enter the mainstream, whether it's
- 35:58from content creators on the fringe, whether it's more
- 36:01mainstream creators that are, you know, streaming, IRL
- 36:04streaming, everyone is seemingly talking about Bitcoin in certain
- 36:09ways, but we are starting to see a new wave of FOMO.
- 36:14And also we're starting to see the new marketing team out
- 36:16there, You know, the black rocks of the world, the institutions
- 36:18of the world, they're in suits, they talk well, they have fancy
- 36:21charts and numbers. They are all starting to
- 36:24instigate this FOMO. Well, we saw this clip from
- 36:27Squawk Box. It is a billionaire and let's
- 36:30just hear what he's saying about Bitcoin.
- 36:33And I think this is a trend of what we will see towards the end
- 36:36of the year. I just thought some of the big
- 36:39companies are going to be amazingly positioned.
- 36:42Microsoft is going to stay on it.
- 36:44And maybe today it's a $3 billion company, but let's say
- 36:47double S in five years, it could be 5 or 6 billion.
- 36:50Oh, trillion, Trillion, Yeah, sorry, of course, trillion.
- 36:53Then we added Bitcoin. We thought of Bitcoin as a
- 36:56company. Today I think Bitcoin is 2
- 36:58trillion. And we're like, well, could it
- 37:00get to also four or five trillion?
- 37:02Obviously Bitcoin's not a company be like saying if gold's
- 37:05a company. But I thought it was interesting
- 37:06as a new asset market cap, market cap 2 trillion is so big.
- 37:11Involved in Bitcoin? You know, I've not gotten
- 37:14involved with Bitcoin and I wake up every day at 3:00 in the
- 37:17morning and I'm like, why am I such an idiot?
- 37:19What have I been waiting for? Not being involved in it?
- 37:23And it just goes up and up in the past.
- 37:26I think it's interesting, the retail investors, they were much
- 37:29faster at getting involved with Bitcoin than the institutional
- 37:32ones. And I always thought Bitcoin's
- 37:34amazing, but it's double or triple the volatility of the
- 37:37NASDAQ. Nasdaq's already pretty
- 37:38volatile. Why do I need to deal with this
- 37:40added volatility? Recently, Bitcoin, when it went
- 37:44down during the tariff, only went down as much as NASDAQ.
- 37:47So it seems the volatility as an asset class is coming down.
- 37:51OK. So, but given your, your, your
- 37:54sort of thesis, do you say to yourself even at this point in
- 37:56the ball game, if you think it's going to double or triple and
- 37:59going to be part of the NASDAQ 100 if you were to think of it
- 38:02as a company? Yes, I have you think about.
- 38:05It that you should own it now. Yes, I have to think about it
- 38:07now. Do I own it now?
- 38:09Do I own it tomorrow in a few days?
- 38:11But every day I do think, why do I not own it?
- 38:14And I think to be a good investor, it's not just like
- 38:18owning the obvious stock, but sometimes you have to change
- 38:20your mind and you have to just say, well, I made a mistake and
- 38:23I'm changing my mind and maybe Bitcoin will how do?
- 38:25You come up to that evaluation, is it as a percentage of gold's
- 38:30market cap? Or something so I.
- 38:32Thought like the market cap of the world, the net worth of the
- 38:35world is I think 450 to 500. Equities are let's say 120.
- 38:40Gold above and under the ground is 2020.
- 38:43And then Bitcoin is 2 trillion. And I was like, OK, well, 2
- 38:48trillion, let's say it represents half a percent of the
- 38:51net worth of the world. Could it go to one or two?
- 38:54Some people say, oh, a bitcoins going to be 100 trillion.
- 38:57I'm like, OK, that's not, you know, maybe a bit of an
- 39:01aggressive estimate, but could it double over a period of time?
- 39:05And then we talked about the de dollarization of the world, the
- 39:08end of US exceptionalism. So those would be some of the
- 39:12reasons. OK, so something's a breakdown
- 39:15and then I was just about to tell this for you guys.
- 39:17So Skywalker outs, who's this guy speaking?
- 39:20It is Phillip, Phillip Lafont. I'm going to butcher the name of
- 39:23his company. I think it's CO2 Coach Cho, CO2
- 39:27management. Sorry guys, it's a headphone and
- 39:29venture capital firm and he's again, billionaire investor
- 39:33who's invested in some of the biggest companies that you
- 39:35probably know like Bytedance, DoorDash, Instacart, Snap Inc,
- 39:38Spotify and UEI Pass. So like this guy, you know, as
- 39:43he was saying, saying in that clip, like he is a, an investor
- 39:48in startups, like he takes the risk to invest in what he think
- 39:52is going to be the future. And there is a few things that I
- 39:55find the most interesting. One, of course, you can hear the
- 39:58regret. He's like, I stay up at 3:00 AM
- 40:01and I wonder and I kick myself in the ass and I'm like, why
- 40:03didn't I buy this Bitcoin 10 years ago?
- 40:06He'd probably be, you know, one of the richest man in the world
- 40:09at this point. But you can tell that he's
- 40:12probably going into like the early Sailor moment right now.
- 40:15Remember, Sailor was a huge skeptic.
- 40:17Now he's like the profit of Bitcoin right now.
- 40:20He's got the whole biggest, no one probably going to catch up
- 40:23the Sailors holdings here. But you're starting to see this
- 40:26trend play out. And I think this is not only
- 40:28playing out in public, on television, on corporate news,
- 40:32but it's also probably playing out in behind the scenes
- 40:35conversation and personal conversation.
- 40:37So if this is just a continuation of the trend we're
- 40:41seeing, I think again, we might be seeing a huge splash come
- 40:45from not just the nation states, not just the corporate treasury
- 40:49strategies, not just the bond markets, but individual personal
- 40:54wealth investments. It's, I think it's playing out
- 40:56really soon. I it really starting to look
- 40:59like how's this price not going up.
- 41:01But there's one last thing I want to say before I pass it
- 41:03over to you guys. The one thing that I thought was
- 41:05very interesting from that clip was this idea that we've been
- 41:09dealing with around Bitcoin for a long time, that Bitcoin is too
- 41:12volatile. As I said earlier, you know, in
- 41:15the face of all the things we've seen in the last couple of
- 41:17weeks, Bitcoin is holding up very, very strong.
- 41:19I think it's spent like 40 days above 100K, even though it
- 41:23seemed like the world was melting around us.
- 41:25And as Phillip was saying, you know, when we got the the drops
- 41:31down, when the all the global markets dropped, Bitcoin only
- 41:34dropped as much as the S&P 500, like it's no more volatile than
- 41:39traditional macro stocks at this point.
- 41:41So a lot of the FUD that has stopped, a lot of huge deep
- 41:44pockets to come into Bitcoin, I think are slowly but surely
- 41:48starting to iron themselves out. And now the real question here
- 41:51is, yeah, we might be getting dampened on the on the the
- 41:54downside, but are we still are we going to be dampened on the
- 41:58upside question, you know, is there is there paper Bitcoin?
- 42:01Is the price manipulations going on?
- 42:03Like what exactly is the mechanics playing out Well
- 42:06again? You know, keep it simple stupid.
- 42:08AKA keep it simple Opti. It's it's demand, supply,
- 42:12economics. At a certain point it will break
- 42:15and that's when we will see Valhalla.
- 42:17So you know, stay, stay patient, stack some stats, stay humble,
- 42:21stay solvent. This is the key.
- 42:22Anyways, I will pass it to Kenobi.
- 42:24Kenobi, what's your thoughts here in this clip?
- 42:26Are are you just relishing in the fact we're seeing
- 42:28billionaires have some regret and some FOMO around stacking
- 42:33Bitcoin now? Well, it's never good to like.
- 42:39You know, have shot, you know, like where you like enjoy other
- 42:42people, like, you know, getting hurt or something like that.
- 42:45But same time it's like you guys feel like making fun of us.
- 42:48You guys have not really been taking us seriously.
- 42:50And now you're suddenly like, oh, what happened?
- 42:52Like we got to wake up, you know, So I think to a certain
- 42:56degree we shouldn't do this. But same time as like I told
- 42:59you, so you know, on another note, the whole like, you know,
- 43:03the whole classic of like there's 48 million millionaires
- 43:06or something like that, but there's only 21 million Bitcoins
- 43:09or no, there's 48,000 millionaires.
- 43:11I don't know, something like that.
- 43:12If and if each millionaire wanted to have one Bitcoin, they
- 43:15couldn't all have it. Well, for billionaires, it's
- 43:19well past time, you know, like they're not going to get it,
- 43:22like they don't realize it yet, but they're not billionaires
- 43:24anymore. It's just a matter of time.
- 43:26Oh, well, depending on how inflation goes, because at some
- 43:29point we're going to have the big print, right?
- 43:32They're going to become trillionaires and
- 43:33quadrillionaires like people in Venezuela.
- 43:35You know, they're also millionaires.
- 43:37They can't have a coffee or an apple afford an apple, right?
- 43:42So that that that's on one side. And I think we're going to start
- 43:45seeing this more. We're going to start seeing this
- 43:46more. And they're going to be the last
- 43:48ones to get Bitcoin. They're still still going to own
- 43:51assets. There's because the way that
- 43:53these guys, they got rich is that they own assets, but
- 43:55they're going to see many people just basically rocket past them,
- 43:59you know. And that's actually something
- 44:01that David Zell told me in Oslo during the also Freedom Forum,
- 44:05They would tell the guy that runs BPI with Graham McCarthy,
- 44:08He was giving this this factoid that by the time Bitcoin has the
- 44:13market cap of gold, which could be any day now.
- 44:16So like for tomorrow guys, I know, but honestly, you could by
- 44:20the end of the year, we could honestly be there.
- 44:23Like it wouldn't be crazy. I would not be surprised at that
- 44:27point. Half of the world's billionaires
- 44:29will be Bitcoin and shit coin adjacent.
- 44:32You know, like crypto billionaires, you know, people
- 44:34that have the like cypherpunk, liberty, first Austrian
- 44:39economics at least close to them.
- 44:41You know, 'cause there's some, you know, like the, who's the
- 44:43guy from Tron, The Who, like bought the apple and not the
- 44:47apple, but the banana. Yeah, Justice.
- 44:50He's also going to be a billionaire, right?
- 44:52He's also going to be part of that number.
- 44:53But anyway, he, he's better than, I don't know, some of
- 44:57these billionaires that just don't care and they just want to
- 45:00enslave us, so to speak. So, yeah, I think it's going to
- 45:04be, it's going to be great to have so many billionaires that
- 45:07are that, well, so many this like reshuffle of like wealth
- 45:12where so many billionaires are going to be Bitcoiners or like,
- 45:16you know, they're going to have to fight in them.
- 45:18They, they know what it is. They've been there.
- 45:20They were called, you know, criminals, terrorists, all of
- 45:24that back in 2013, 1415. And now they're billionaires and
- 45:27they're in the same room as us. Trump, for example, right?
- 45:30As as Macron, as whoever is running Germany nowadays, right?
- 45:35Or whoever's running the UK nowadays, right?
- 45:37They're going to be there and they're going to be telling them
- 45:39what's up and what is not up, right?
- 45:42So that's going to be good. And I think that should have
- 45:44some great positive impacts, not just on surprise, but also
- 45:47unlike ourselves Bitcoiners, because going back to what the
- 45:50point you, we were saying before, like we are going to be
- 45:53blamed whenever the whole like bubble explodes, they're going
- 45:57to point at us. Like when the Titanic sinks,
- 45:59they're going to point at everyone who got in the life
- 46:01rafts called Bitcoin. And they're going to be like
- 46:03you, it's your fault, as if we had created the, the Fiat
- 46:07iceberg that that sunk the Titanic, You know, like they're
- 46:11going to blame us. And we're going to need as much
- 46:13help as many people on our side on the like political with
- 46:18political capital, with real capital, you know, and, and
- 46:22positions of power to say, actually, wait, hold up, don't
- 46:25prosecute these guys. They were actually calling all
- 46:27of us. They were in the, you know, in
- 46:30Thanksgiving dinners, they were in summer parties, you know,
- 46:33always talking about Bitcoin. They were your annoying friend.
- 46:35They were telling you, hey, get on the live raft.
- 46:37It's here. And it's like this life raft is
- 46:39not just good, it's going to make you a shit ton of money and
- 46:43nobody listens. And now that everyone's become
- 46:45Venezuela, you know, everyone's just the big Prince has arrived
- 46:48and you are a billionaire, but you can barely afford an apple.
- 46:51Now you want to blame them. Now you want to blame them.
- 46:53You know, when we were the first ones from like ages ago saying,
- 46:57hey, guys, it's coming, it's here, right?
- 46:59So I think that's what's going to happen.
- 47:00And, and honestly, I'm happy that some of these billionaires
- 47:03are going to are going to, you know, eat their own words.
- 47:06Basically, we shouldn't be too happy, as I said at the
- 47:08beginning. But again, it's like it's right.
- 47:11It's just right while you're talking.
- 47:14I. Was I was seeing the headline
- 47:15already flash in my mind from like the New York Times or
- 47:19something in a few years? Like the Bitcoiners weren't loud
- 47:22enough, Why didn't they tell us to buy Bitcoin now we're all
- 47:25poor or something like that. It's already going to happen.
- 47:28You heard it here 1st and actually while you were talking.
- 47:31I do, I do. I do want to make another joke,
- 47:33another Optidad joke. Since you guys aren't get memes
- 47:36today, I'll throw a meme right here.
- 47:38As Kenobi was saying, you know all of you will be millionaires.
- 47:42Everyone will be a millionaire because of hyperinflation.
- 47:44Unless you own Bitcoin, you can also be a millionaire.
- 47:47You and you and you will all be millionaires.
- 47:50But no, Kenobi, that's actually I, I never actually heard that
- 47:55idea that you were recapping of Zelle, you know, at the market
- 47:59cap of Bitcoin or of gold, Bitcoin would be, you know, so
- 48:04entrenched in the system that half of the billionaires would,
- 48:07you know, be Bitcoin adjacent. And of course, again, that's
- 48:10basically $1,000,000 Bitcoin. So it's not that far away guys.
- 48:13Like it's, it's not this far fetched idea.
- 48:16It could potentially happen at this, whatever this next
- 48:19parabolic bull run could be. So it's probably closer than you
- 48:22think anyways, Luke, what's your thoughts on that clip by Philip
- 48:26Lafont? What's your thoughts on
- 48:28billionaire FOMO starting to take place?
- 48:30Is this the, what's it the mother of all supply shocks
- 48:34coming? Is the supply shock coming?
- 48:36Is this going to send us to what was your ridiculous price
- 48:40prediction last time, like $10 billion per coin or something
- 48:43ridiculous? What's your thoughts watching
- 48:45that clip? So. $4 billion.
- 48:49Four billion. It's gonna happen.
- 48:52It's. Gonna happen.
- 48:53We laid out the maths in the last live stream, so I encourage
- 48:55the people to go check that puppy out.
- 48:57But yeah, I think firstly the clip was hilarious.
- 49:00I thought that was really funny there with the the billionaire,
- 49:05they're regretting the fact that he couldn't buy Bitcoin and it
- 49:09wakes him up at 3:00 AM in the morning.
- 49:11I thought that was absolutely hilarious.
- 49:13But I think like we always talk about the Bitcoin on the
- 49:16exchanges, that's the biggest indicator that, you know, the
- 49:19billionaire FOMO has started. And I just think it's only going
- 49:23to accelerate again. Over the past six months, we got
- 49:26six months of data showing 100,000 Bitcoin leaving the
- 49:30exchanges every single month. I think we're kind of at this
- 49:33hockey stick right now. And I do think to lightning
- 49:36goats comment, we are on the precipice of the mother of all
- 49:41supply shocks. I think it's coming.
- 49:43I think it's much closer than most people think.
- 49:44And like I continue to beat the drum about it's all over.
- 49:48By 2030, 2030, it's all over. I expect that's going to come a
- 49:52lot quicker than most people think.
- 49:55And again, the price of Bitcoin, it's not in the hundreds of
- 49:58thousands and it's not in the 1,000,000 when it is finally all
- 50:02over, when we see probably what's going to be the most
- 50:06extreme volatility we've ever seen in our life, Price of
- 50:09Bitcoin is going to be 8 figures and nine figures.
- 50:12It's not going to be hundreds of thousands of dollars a coin.
- 50:14And I just got my popcorn and I'm just sitting back and
- 50:18renting until that day finally comes that Bitcoin is valued
- 50:23where it should be valued. That was a.
- 50:26That was a. This is why you're good at what
- 50:28you do, Luke. That was good.
- 50:29That was good. All right, guys, as I was saying
- 50:32earlier, we do have some crazy stuff coming out of the EU.
- 50:37They are saying the quiet part out loud.
- 50:40You probably won't believe it if I don't actually just read you
- 50:43the headlines. So let's just get into the news
- 50:44segment. I want to give a shout out to
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- 53:15All right, guys, I'm going to jump straight.
- 53:17Into this because this is just batshit insane.
- 53:20So this came out this morning at 5:02 AM Eastern Time and it goes
- 53:24by the European Central Bank on on Twitter it goes there is an
- 53:29urgent need to channel retail savings into capital markets to
- 53:33develop those markets and finance EU priorities.
- 53:37An EU savings standard could increase retail participation,
- 53:41benefiting savers, boosting investment and supporting
- 53:45strategic priorities. And I saw someone in here say
- 53:48like, maybe maybe I didn't see, I don't know.
- 53:51Is this like, what the hell does this even mean Is basically what
- 53:53the tweet said. Anyways, let's break this down,
- 53:56guys. So here's from the ECB blog.
- 53:59And of course, you know, we talk about this constantly on the
- 54:02show. Why should everyone be forced to
- 54:05be investors if we just want to save our money?
- 54:08Now keep that in mind when you kind of hear some of these
- 54:11points that they wrote in this blog, which they did caveat at
- 54:14the end that this is, you know, the opinions of just the authors
- 54:18and not the European Central Bank.
- 54:20But you know, at this point, it's kind of like us here.
- 54:23It's simply like Nico gets all the Flack for stuff, but it's
- 54:26really all of us doing crazy stuff.
- 54:28Well, Chrissy Lagarde gets all the blame for all of this stuff.
- 54:30The head of the European Central Bank gets the blame for this.
- 54:35So they can try to skirt the the responsibilities away.
- 54:38But let's just let's just picture Christine Lagarde saying
- 54:41this stuff here. So the title is crossing 2
- 54:44hurdles in one leap, How an EU savings product could boost
- 54:48returns and capital markets. You heard that right, Your
- 54:51savings will boost the capital markets.
- 54:54There is now an urgent need to channel retail savings into
- 54:56European capital markets in order to develop those markets
- 54:59and finance EU priorities. In this edition of the ECB blog,
- 55:03we show that an EU saving standard could increase retail
- 55:06participation in the capital markets, benefiting savers,
- 55:09boosting investment in EU companies and supporting
- 55:12strategic priorities. Honestly, it's, it's almost
- 55:15like, what's it oxymoron? You know, like jumbo shrimp.
- 55:18It's like I'm just trying to save.
- 55:21Yet I am now a participant in the capital markets, like make
- 55:24it make sense. European Central Bank, but of
- 55:26course their Fiat bank. Anyways, I'm not going to read
- 55:30the whole thing. I highlighted some points here.
- 55:31The trade off between investment cost and investment objectives.
- 55:35A fundamental feature to factor into the design of a European
- 55:38savings initiative would be a low cost of investing.
- 55:41This would capture the most cost effective products.
- 55:44On the one hand, this highlights a crucial trade off between low
- 55:47cost products, higher returns and diversification for savers.
- 55:52On the other, it showcases an opportunity to align with
- 55:55European financing priorities from the consumers perspective,
- 55:59ensuring that investments have a broad geographical scope can
- 56:02enhance returns and diversify risk.
- 56:04However, this approach may conflict with the goal of
- 56:07financing European priorities, especially when tax incentives
- 56:10are used to encourage investments in the EU.
- 56:14Now going further again, bunch of mumbo jumbo.
- 56:16It's it sounds like they're trying to collectivize your
- 56:19savings here. You know, they're trying to take
- 56:21your savings and push it towards quote EU priorities.
- 56:25Sounds interesting. Now I found this, it's
- 56:27interesting considering we always talk about Bitcoins,
- 56:30Kegger, I do have those numbers here for you if you need a a
- 56:33refresh here, but increased capital markets participation
- 56:37can benefit savers. You know, you just, you got to
- 56:39just, you know, gamble your money, gamble your savings away
- 56:44and you can increase capital markets, man.
- 56:46But here we go. Here's some numbers.
- 56:48The funds in our sample achieved an average annualized return of
- 56:526% over the past 10 years, an average 6% per year over the
- 56:58last 10 years, man, really good savings, Chrissy.
- 57:00ECB 6% a year, you know 6% kegger basically kind of amazing
- 57:06you're kind of killing it over there.
- 57:07Similar to the return on European stock indices such as
- 57:11the MSCI Europe. I think I'm going to take a
- 57:13pause here 'cause I do have the you know the Bitcoin keggers
- 57:16over here five year 4 year and 10 year keggers.
- 57:21So you know I, it's, it's not as good as 6%, but you know the
- 57:25kegger over the last 10 years is 83.8%.
- 57:29The kegger over the last five years is 62.7% and even the
- 57:33kegger over the last four years is 32.0.
- 57:36Wait, you didn't see it? Yeah, yeah, you did 32 point.
- 57:39What was it, 4% or something like that?
- 57:42So, man, dude, the ECB is doing really good with your savings.
- 57:46You know, you got to trust them. They're, they're they're giving
- 57:49you better returns, man. You got to trust your savings to
- 57:52the ECB. And then of course, investing in
- 57:55capital markets. It's not without risk, of
- 57:57course. Kind of interesting.
- 57:59You know, I really want to save in something that doesn't
- 58:01actually increase my risk here. And yet you're telling me that I
- 58:06should increase my risk here so that we can get our savings into
- 58:10the capital markets to push EU priorities forward.
- 58:13Remember yesterday when I was telling you that the EU is
- 58:16cooked and everything they're doing is because they're
- 58:18seemingly probably going bankrupt?
- 58:21I don't know. This might be some more signal
- 58:23of that. Again, your savings initiative
- 58:26could boost the EU capital market integration.
- 58:30Man, at least you're doing a good thing here.
- 58:32You know, you're boosting the EU's priorities with your
- 58:35savings, man. Sounds great.
- 58:37You know, the collective good and all that.
- 58:39Anyways, conclusion, calibrating or here actually, I'll read the
- 58:43whole thing. Why not?
- 58:44European savings standards could benefit both savers and
- 58:47companies by channeling a share of existing liquidity to the
- 58:50more productive part of the economy.
- 58:52Again, your savings isn't productive bro.
- 58:55It's not productive for you to hoard all that cash.
- 58:57You know it's not productive for you to hoard all that money for
- 59:00your retirement. You need to funnel that into the
- 59:03capital markets. OK, OK, sorry, sorry, I'm I'm
- 59:06getting triggered here. Existing liquidity of the more
- 59:09productive part of the economy while also providing savers with
- 59:12competitive returns 6%. But it's design matters.
- 59:16Calibrating the selection criteria, coupled with tax
- 59:19incentives and dismantling barriers to a more integrated EU
- 59:22capital market will be key to achieving the dual goals of
- 59:25maximizing your returns and supporting European Union
- 59:29objectives. Crucially, investors should
- 59:32continue to enjoy flexibility when choosing with products to
- 59:35invest it, as they will ultimately be the ones who
- 59:38shoulder the risk of investing in the gavel.
- 59:41You again. You heard it there one more
- 59:43time. Give us your savings.
- 59:46We're going to give you something that doesn't acquire
- 59:48risks, but capital markets are risky.
- 59:50So, you know, invest at your at your own risk.
- 59:54Here. And we're going to boost
- 59:58European Union priorities, which a lot aren't doing a good job
- 1:00:02anyways. And as Marty Bent said right
- 1:00:05here, they're doing a covert bail in in Europe to prop up
- 1:00:09their flailing economy. Again, we said this yesterday
- 1:00:14and you know, here we got Dan he goes.
- 1:00:16And don't forget that Lagarde was head of the IMF in 2013 when
- 1:00:19they published this little note telegraphing their playbook to
- 1:00:22suddenly seize Fiat in people's bank accounts in order to pay
- 1:00:26off government debt. Bitcoin fixes this.
- 1:00:29I mean guys like at this point I, I like.
- 1:00:34At this point, Kenobi what? Are you doing over there?
- 1:00:36Look. Look, I mean, you're getting.
- 1:00:40Pretty and you're American. I'm, let's say double European
- 1:00:43because I'm half Spanish, half German.
- 1:00:44You know, my mom's Spanish, my dad's German.
- 1:00:46And trigger doesn't even like get close to it.
- 1:00:50Like we are currently in Europe in a committing a mass suicide
- 1:00:59basically. But be like, you know, the Pied
- 1:01:01Piper, you know, like with the fluid and everything and taking
- 1:01:03over the rats. Well, that's what's happening.
- 1:01:06Like that's literally what's happening.
- 1:01:07And they're literally telling us like the, the fluid, it's
- 1:01:11saying, you know, hey, we're going to kill you all
- 1:01:12metaphorically, people are. Eating it up.
- 1:01:16People are eating it up. It's crazy, man.
- 1:01:18It's crazy. And the the the craziest part is
- 1:01:21that this all comes like because if you.
- 1:01:26Trace it all back. The European Union only works
- 1:01:29because Germany was financing everything like Germans, they're
- 1:01:32one of the greatest nations like like the amount of stuff they
- 1:01:35produce. You know, they, they were one of
- 1:01:37the they're one of the few nations that have like a
- 1:01:40positive account surplus. Like compared like they export
- 1:01:43more than what they import. And that means that they are on
- 1:01:46net saving. So they're savers on that.
- 1:01:48So there, that's why also Germany is the number one to
- 1:01:51second country to have when ranked by nodes, right?
- 1:01:55There's like 3000 nodes in clearnet in Germany, right?
- 1:01:58Right after the US. I think that's why the community
- 1:02:01is so strong there because Germany by de facto, by the
- 1:02:05culture, they're savers. They produce a lot and then they
- 1:02:08export more than what they consume, right?
- 1:02:10They're great Bitcoiners. They're great Bitcoiners, But
- 1:02:12what happened? They're politicians.
- 1:02:14They wanted to be more green and they saw nuclear and they saw, I
- 1:02:17don't know, some propaganda that oh, nuclear is bad.
- 1:02:20They Bitcoin mining didn't exist back then, but it existed on a
- 1:02:24good capacity since 2019, you know, on an industrial scale.
- 1:02:26So they could have stopped, you know, hit the brakes, but they
- 1:02:28didn't. So they just kept going full
- 1:02:30ahead, destroying all of their nuclear facilities, like
- 1:02:34decommissioning them all and then just basically shooting
- 1:02:38energy prices through the roof at the same time that they have
- 1:02:42energy shortages. So not only do they not have
- 1:02:45enough energy, but also the energy super expensive.
- 1:02:48So with that you get that all of this industrial capacity
- 1:02:53Germany, the beating heart, heart and lungs and brain, if
- 1:02:56you want, of the European Union suddenly was getting choked by
- 1:03:01their by themselves. They were choking themselves.
- 1:03:03They, they, they, they, they for, for 20 years, they decided,
- 1:03:05what if we just keep pressing? Like what if we just don't
- 1:03:09breathe? What would happen?
- 1:03:11Well, we're discovering it now because Spain, Italy, Portugal,
- 1:03:15Greece and a few other countries, like all of the
- 1:03:18right, we're known as the pigs, right?
- 1:03:21We're not contributing on net. Like we take more than we get.
- 1:03:24So we're a drag on the European Union.
- 1:03:26And if Germany suddenly I think was this past year, they also
- 1:03:29became a drag on the European Union.
- 1:03:31It's like, wait a second, who's who's running this thing then?
- 1:03:35Who's financing all of this then?
- 1:03:38And well, we're realizing that if Germany's not financing it,
- 1:03:42then we all have to. And I'm going to be honest with
- 1:03:45you guys, I don't want to, I don't want to finance this
- 1:03:48bullshit project with a central bank in Frankfurt that is
- 1:03:52accountable to absolutely no, no one.
- 1:03:54Not that the rest of central banks are accountable to anyone,
- 1:03:57but anyway. And furthermore, this is not the
- 1:04:01first time they were telling us. And I think this is actually
- 1:04:04they were doing the whole like art of the deal.
- 1:04:05They act like they took a page out of Trump's playbook and they
- 1:04:11decided to, you know, Trump, what he does is he goes crazy.
- 1:04:14First he does he does a crazy move.
- 1:04:15Nobody expects it. And it's like, whoa, whoa, whoa.
- 1:04:17And then he settles in the middle.
- 1:04:18So but he still got much more than what the other side would
- 1:04:21have been willing to give. So in this case, a few months
- 1:04:24ago, they were telling us, Hey, we're going to move.
- 1:04:26I don't know, the number was seeing like $10 trillion or
- 1:04:30something like that of savings of like money in your bank
- 1:04:32account. We're going to move it to
- 1:04:34finance the war in Ukraine. Like like we like these guys,
- 1:04:39there's they're supposedly, you know, left wing progressive, you
- 1:04:42know, oh, peace kumbaya, you know, John Lennon, imagine all
- 1:04:46of that. And now they're talking about
- 1:04:47financing a war. Like anyway, I don't want to get
- 1:04:51into that there. That's a whole yeah, that's
- 1:04:52going to get us new, but. I do have a question for you.
- 1:04:56Obviously, as you said, you're getting triggered and you're an
- 1:04:59American that, you know, talking about me.
- 1:05:02And I mean, I, I can venture to guess that if I talk to a normal
- 1:05:07person in America, they probably wouldn't understand what the
- 1:05:10hell we're even talking about. Obviously in Bitcoin circles,
- 1:05:13it's like very, very obvious what this means.
- 1:05:16So I pose that question to you. If you talk to normal people, if
- 1:05:20you still talk to normal people here, you know, if you don't
- 1:05:23just speak to Bitcoiners, do they understand what's going on?
- 1:05:26Do they think this is a good thing?
- 1:05:27Like, what's the general consensus of the population over
- 1:05:30there? Wow, not good.
- 1:05:35Because some person like that, I mean, the problem with Europe
- 1:05:41and the EU is that it's worked good enough for the past.
- 1:05:45Well, Europe for the past 80 years since the Second World
- 1:05:47War, you know, reconstruction, all everything is great
- 1:05:49institutions. You know, Spain got out of
- 1:05:51dictatorship. Now we're a democracy.
- 1:05:53Well, apparently we're not really.
- 1:05:54But anyway, there's peace and there's no wars and oh, it's so
- 1:05:58great. And our institutions, our
- 1:05:59politicians, everything works, you know, Oh, the welfare
- 1:06:03system, it works, right. And that means that basically
- 1:06:05the previous generation, the one before, like before nine 2000s,
- 1:06:09right? Because I was born in 1999.
- 1:06:11So anyone like 10 to 15 years born before that, they didn't
- 1:06:16they, they're asleep. They they they were born to a
- 1:06:20generation to their parents, my grandparents.
- 1:06:22They they had only enjoyed Europe.
- 1:06:25Good times. Then they were born into like,
- 1:06:28OK, decent times, yes. OK, by the time that we're
- 1:06:30getting into the market, 2008 financial crisis wasn't great,
- 1:06:33but still, you know, hey, we can still at least live at our
- 1:06:35parents house and hey, we're not Venezuela, You know, like at
- 1:06:39least it's working and it and they're they've been like put to
- 1:06:42sleep. They're basically to sleep.
- 1:06:44There's just an entire section of the population between the
- 1:06:47ages of like 30 or like 34 to like up, just up, just
- 1:06:52everything up there like they, they, they're asleep.
- 1:06:55They trust blindly. They, you know, the don't trust
- 1:06:58verify. They're just trust and trust and
- 1:07:01trust and trust and never verify.
- 1:07:03That's their motto, right? Like, don't even try to think
- 1:07:06for yourself. Oh, oh, don't think for
- 1:07:07yourself. That's crazy.
- 1:07:08Wait, you're having thoughts? No, no, no, we cannot have that
- 1:07:11here. Wait, you wrote, you read a book
- 1:07:13about something that isn't mainstream.
- 1:07:15Oh, whoa, whoa. We cannot have that here.
- 1:07:17What? That's the general vibe.
- 1:07:19So in a way, we're getting what we deserve because most of the
- 1:07:24population is asleep on the wheel.
- 1:07:26Like there's here's another news yesterday, the IRS, the Spanish
- 1:07:30IRS announced that they're going to start literally
- 1:07:34propagandizing. Well, they call it education,
- 1:07:36but come on, we all know what that's about.
- 1:07:38You know, they, they're going to start propagandizing 88,000
- 1:07:42students in Spain about the benefits of paying taxes.
- 1:07:46Because look, there's no streets in Spain, there's no hospitals
- 1:07:50in Spain. We have to pay taxes in order
- 1:07:51for the, for, for them to exist, for someone to put them there,
- 1:07:55right? It's just just propaganda.
- 1:07:57They just want to keep propagandizing.
- 1:07:59Cuz the problem is with my generation, we're not gonna have
- 1:08:02like a pension. We're not gonna see that we're
- 1:08:06most likely gonna get €2.00 worth in two days, right?
- 1:08:10We're gonna get a coffee and they're gonna be like, hey, at
- 1:08:12least say thank you, right? And we're like, what are you
- 1:08:14talking about? Like I've paid like in total
- 1:08:17like what, half $1,000,000 my or EUR my entire life.
- 1:08:20And I just get a coffee a month. That's what we're going to get,
- 1:08:23right? And we know that my generation
- 1:08:25knows that like most people in my age, we're kind of like
- 1:08:28jaded. We're kind of like jaded when I
- 1:08:30discovered Bitcoin, you know, Bitcoin is hope literally.
- 1:08:33But for most of my generation, they still don't get it.
- 1:08:35But the problem is that they are asleep.
- 1:08:37They're still asleep because there's all of this like built
- 1:08:40up propaganda of like, don't think no need to.
- 1:08:42The government has got it more or less right.
- 1:08:44They'll figure it out, right. And people are just, they know I
- 1:08:48shouldn't trust politicians and all of that, but they they still
- 1:08:51don't do anything. Like even the few ones that wake
- 1:08:54up in my generation, they're still kind of like, you know,
- 1:08:58they no hope, no hope. And you try to tell them about
- 1:09:00Bitcoin. They're like, it's too volatile.
- 1:09:03I'm too late. And it's like, you know what?
- 1:09:06It is what it is, I guess. I guess, you know, it's like
- 1:09:09with little kid, like you tell them, hey, it's hot.
- 1:09:12The fire's hot. Yes, it's great and it's
- 1:09:14mesmerizing. You know, we like men.
- 1:09:16We will literally build fires just to stare at it and sit at
- 1:09:19it, right? That's what we do.
- 1:09:21But hey, don't touch it and the kid and then it goes and touches
- 1:09:25it and then it learns that it's hot.
- 1:09:26And I feel like we're going to see that, but on a massive
- 1:09:29scale, on a massive scale and it's going to burn.
- 1:09:33It's going to burn. So actually going back for a
- 1:09:37second, I know it's going to get everyone on the on the chat
- 1:09:39triggered. But like if you're in Europe and
- 1:09:42you have a house and you are opening, that's a liability.
- 1:09:46Yes, it looks like an asset. Oh, I have equity, all of that.
- 1:09:48It's a liability. You do not know when it's going
- 1:09:50to go down the hill, when you're going to get expropriated, when
- 1:09:55something shit is going to hit the fat and it could hit in 1000
- 1:09:57different ways, right? If you're renting, at least it's
- 1:10:00not your capital. You have everything on Bitcoin.
- 1:10:02You don't have that opportunity cost of like a house.
- 1:10:05You can just get your bags next flight or just boat or car out,
- 1:10:10right? But if you have a house, it's
- 1:10:11like, oh, I got to sell it. Oh, what'd they do, right?
- 1:10:15That's what Bitcoin in the fourth turning, right?
- 1:10:18Bitcoin in the fourth turning is going to like separate the
- 1:10:22people that make it and the people that don't make it right.
- 1:10:25And I think Europe is not going to make it as a whole, not at
- 1:10:28all. We're not going to make it.
- 1:10:30So individually, some of us, we're going to make it.
- 1:10:34The Bitcoiners. We have a very strong community
- 1:10:36here in Spain, here in Barcelona, lots of meetups, 2030
- 1:10:40people showing up, hundreds of people in the Telegram groups
- 1:10:44and slowly more people getting orange built.
- 1:10:47But as a whole, we're it's over, Europe is.
- 1:10:53Cooked. I've been saying that for a
- 1:10:54minute. Well, Luke has a funny accent,
- 1:10:58but he's not actually from Europe.
- 1:11:00But similar things are happening in Australia.
- 1:11:03So Luke, what's your thoughts seeing the ECB basically say,
- 1:11:07hey, give us your savings, bro, we're going to go gamble it into
- 1:11:10the casino. You're going to get a better
- 1:11:12return, man. Trust us.
- 1:11:13We need to employ or we, we need to build up the capital markets,
- 1:11:17man. Don't you care about the roads?
- 1:11:19Luke, what's going on over here? Yeah, so it's hilarious that.
- 1:11:24It's actually the news of bank bailings all the way back in
- 1:11:2920/17/2018 and 20/19 that originally got me interested in
- 1:11:34gold before I even found Bitcoin.
- 1:11:37So I thought it was interesting. There was like, if you look at
- 1:11:39the number of countries implementing a bank bailing, the
- 1:11:43numbers start going parabolic in 20/17/18 and 19.
- 1:11:46And that's because for the first time since the 2008 great
- 1:11:50repression, Great Recession, sorry, the banks started going
- 1:11:55bankrupt again. You saw the interest rates in
- 1:11:57the repo market spike in late 2019.
- 1:12:00We saw the yield curve invert in 2019.
- 1:12:03And all of the banks started saying exactly what Christine
- 1:12:06Lagarde said in 2013 and what the ECB is saying this week.
- 1:12:11We need to steal the people's savings.
- 1:12:13That's what a bank bailing is. Obviously a bailout is when the
- 1:12:17bank goes bankrupt and we steal the people's money through
- 1:12:21wealth destruction. So we print the money, we give
- 1:12:23the money to the bank. A bail in is different.
- 1:12:26A bail in is when we say, OK, the bank's bankrupt, why don't
- 1:12:29we just steal all of the depositors and the savings money
- 1:12:32from the inside? It's a little bit more of an
- 1:12:34overt form of theft. But it's just as.
- 1:12:37Bad as the bail out with the printed money and the your
- 1:12:40savings being devalued. So anyway, Long story short, I
- 1:12:43saw all of these bank bailings happening in 20/17/18 and 19 and
- 1:12:47that's what inevitably turned me into a gold bug and then a
- 1:12:51bitcoiner. And I just think if you just
- 1:12:53study the collapse of every Western government or every
- 1:12:57civilization in history, it follows the exact same
- 1:13:00trajectory as what we're seeing today, which is again, why I
- 1:13:03have such a hard line stance on real estate.
- 1:13:07Go and study every single collapse of not only a
- 1:13:10collectivist society, but any Western government.
- 1:13:13Again, since the year 1800, there's been 52 governments that
- 1:13:18have reached debt to GDP levels of 130%. 51 of those countries
- 1:13:23defaulted within 15 years. And default typically means
- 1:13:28multiple different scenarios. The government goes through
- 1:13:31hyperinflation to pay back its enormous debt, goes through a
- 1:13:34period of very high inflation to pay back its debt, or it just
- 1:13:38outright starts confiscating the people citizens.
- 1:13:42Sorry, it starts confiscating the citizens money to pay back
- 1:13:45its debt. So again, if you look like this
- 1:13:47is just shouldn't be a surprise, like we've got a 98.7% chance
- 1:13:52that I think we're living through a global government
- 1:13:55default right now. And that's because we have about
- 1:13:5712 or 13 countries around the world with debt to GDP levels of
- 1:14:01130%. Most of them are countries we're
- 1:14:03talking about today. It's the pigs, like Kenobi said
- 1:14:06earlier, Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain.
- 1:14:08It's France, It's America, Canada, Australia, New Zealand.
- 1:14:13If you look at the most indebted countries around in the world,
- 1:14:15ask yourself why are they implementing the exact same
- 1:14:19playbook? Think about it for a minute.
- 1:14:22It's all because of that four letter word.
- 1:14:24It's debt. They all have too much debt.
- 1:14:27So what is the solution for too much debt?
- 1:14:29High taxes. You attack the entrepreneurial
- 1:14:33or the business owners in a country.
- 1:14:36You strip all of the the wealth out of the business owners and
- 1:14:40the high earners. We're seeing that in Australia.
- 1:14:42Wealth taxes, taxes on retirement accounts.
- 1:14:46Spain just implemented A wealth tax in 2022.
- 1:14:48France is proposing citizenship based taxation.
- 1:14:51You know, America's, you know, doing what they're doing best.
- 1:14:55Obviously they're one of the first countries with citizenship
- 1:14:57based taxation and then so high taxes, money printing, high
- 1:15:01inflation, woke culture again, woke culture is just another
- 1:15:05excuse to distract the masses. Again, it's bread and circuses
- 1:15:10if you give the. Masses, bread and circuses.
- 1:15:12They won't even realize what's going on and they will never
- 1:15:15revolt. It's as simple as that.
- 1:15:16And then think about the massive big I need to be very careful
- 1:15:19with this, but just think about who those countries are letting
- 1:15:23into their borders and why would they be letting those people
- 1:15:27into their borders? Just think about that.
- 1:15:30The most indebted countries around the world pretty much
- 1:15:32have open border policies. Ask yourself why.
- 1:15:37You can get really conspiratorial, and that's going
- 1:15:40to take you down some really scary paths if you live in those
- 1:15:43countries. When we start looking at the
- 1:15:46degradation of safety in the places like London, for example,
- 1:15:50which is just a horrifying place right now, but also just think
- 1:15:54about it from pure, pure economic sense.
- 1:15:56If you just open up your borders and let everybody into your
- 1:15:59country, this props up the housing Ponzi bubble.
- 1:16:03So again, I could talk about this for 20 minutes, but I think
- 1:16:05the summary is pretty much what Kenobi said.
- 1:16:09Owning property in the EU or Australia or Canada or even
- 1:16:14America, it's really risky because you're just putting your
- 1:16:18livelihood on the line. So to say, we'd careful what I
- 1:16:21say there. You're putting your livelihood
- 1:16:23on the line and you're saying, look, I've got half of my net
- 1:16:25worth in this stationary asset, come and tax it.
- 1:16:28Oh, you need, you're going bankrupt.
- 1:16:30You're the government, you've run out of money.
- 1:16:32Well, here's half of my savings, Come and tax it.
- 1:16:34Come and take it away. And that's what they will do.
- 1:16:37They will do that through rising property taxes.
- 1:16:40You should see the amount of taxes on property in Australia.
- 1:16:43There's something called stamp duty.
- 1:16:45You have to pay $20,000 for the government just for buying a
- 1:16:47home in the 1st place. Then there's property taxes,
- 1:16:51thousands if not 10s of thousands of dollars a year.
- 1:16:53And then now we've got, what is it?
- 1:16:56We've got a retirement wealth tax in Australia.
- 1:16:59So if you have more than $3,000,000 of assets in your
- 1:17:01retirement account, if that rises, guess what?
- 1:17:04You've got to pay unrealized capital gains taxes even if you
- 1:17:08didn't sell any of the assets in your retirement portfolio.
- 1:17:11So again, let's talk about this for 20 minutes, I think.
- 1:17:13I think it's just a simple summary.
- 1:17:15Do not trust the West. They're bankrupt and they're
- 1:17:18going to take your money. If you have wealth, why would
- 1:17:21you have 2030% of your wealth in a big stationary asset that the
- 1:17:25government knows where you keep it?
- 1:17:27Terrible idea. Yeah, totally.
- 1:17:29And actually Luke. You, you reminded me of, I don't
- 1:17:31know if you guys saw it in the chat or, or you 2 Jack Mullers
- 1:17:35did a great clip the other day and this idea and you, and you
- 1:17:39brought it up, you know, that we're probably in some kind of
- 1:17:42global financial recession, depression, some kind of global
- 1:17:46calamity. And I think all of the things
- 1:17:48you were kind of talking about are obviously factors of the
- 1:17:51fact that the money's going down.
- 1:17:52But everyone continues to look at the dollar.
- 1:17:56And of course, we've all seen this chart here, the purchasing
- 1:17:59power of the dollar. So I'll bring it up here.
- 1:18:01And, you know, let me zoom in a little bit here.
- 1:18:03You can see the dollar's worth since what, like 1930 of the
- 1:18:07Federal Reserve. Obviously, it's lost 99%.
- 1:18:10You've heard all these tropes. You can see here is the stock
- 1:18:13market crash and the lead up of the Great Depression.
- 1:18:16And then since the dollar has just been decimated.
- 1:18:19And now we still kind of look at the dollar as an indicator of
- 1:18:23what's going on in the global markets.
- 1:18:24Of course, we've been watching the global M2 liquidity supply,
- 1:18:28but what Mahlers was saying in this clip is like everyone is
- 1:18:32really looking at it differently because what was this purchasing
- 1:18:35power against? What was it measured against?
- 1:18:37It was the purchasing power of paper money against gold.
- 1:18:41And this is what they're you're kind of seeing in this chart is
- 1:18:44that your purchasing power of the dollar has decreased against
- 1:18:47gold. And everyone's looking at the
- 1:18:49Bitcoin price price in Fiat dollars.
- 1:18:52But when you look at the big gold priced in Bitcoin, it's
- 1:18:56starting to look exactly what you're seeing with the Fiat
- 1:18:59dollar, which is this is where you're starting to see that
- 1:19:03we've probably been in a global depression, recession, whatever
- 1:19:08you want to call it for a long, long time.
- 1:19:11But everyone is just looking in the wrong direction.
- 1:19:14And I found that to be just like a very powerful clip there.
- 1:19:16And you know, just showing you guys the charts here.
- 1:19:19This is gold priced in Bitcoin. As you can see, it's losing a
- 1:19:24lot of it's purchasing power. It's looking exactly like the
- 1:19:27Bitcoin or the dollar purchasing power chart here.
- 1:19:30So, you know, there's a lot of things going around that it all
- 1:19:34boils down to like fixed the money fixed, or a lot of these
- 1:19:36problems really do come down to, hey, I need to save capital.
- 1:19:41If I can save capital and you save capital, then we all get
- 1:19:44richer. As long as there's no one in the
- 1:19:46middle that is constantly debasing the purchasing power,
- 1:19:50inflating the currency so that we all don't feel the pain, but
- 1:19:55we collectively get poorer. Take back your sovereignty, take
- 1:19:59back your money, take back your life.
- 1:20:01Stay humble, stack sats. This is the way.
- 1:20:04This is how we fix everything, everything.
- 1:20:06You know, Bitcoin won't fix everything, but if you fix the
- 1:20:08money, then we can start working on all the other problems.
- 1:20:12You know, you can't you can't fix a a a leaky sink.
- 1:20:15If if you're just kind of putting tape around the the
- 1:20:18sink, you got to, you know, maybe probably redo the plumbing
- 1:20:21here. Simple, simple idea.
- 1:20:23Anyways, I do want to move on because I want to talk to
- 1:20:25Kenobi. He's working on something super
- 1:20:28cool and you know, Bitcoin mining and running nodes has
- 1:20:32been all up in the news lately. And I think Kenobi is part of
- 1:20:37the vanguard here helping maintain bitcoins
- 1:20:41decentralization. So let's get into the culture
- 1:20:43and we will wrap up today's show.
- 1:20:47I want to give a shout out to our.
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- 1:22:29All righty then. Kenobi, thank you for coming on
- 1:22:33this show. Of course, as I said in the
- 1:22:35beginning, you work for demand pool, the first fully stratum V2
- 1:22:39pool, mining pool here. Maybe actually, let's just start
- 1:22:44with the question. We've been hearing it all all
- 1:22:47around Twitter recently. You know, there's a lot of
- 1:22:50concerns about Bitcoin mining being too centralized.
- 1:22:54You know, there's even the concern about the the nodes, you
- 1:22:58know, attack with the nodes and all this stuff.
- 1:23:01But maybe for the people that aren't as initiated, what is
- 1:23:05stratum V2? What are you guys working on
- 1:23:08over there and is there a real issue in centralizing Bitcoin
- 1:23:12mining? Yeah.
- 1:23:16So I think the last. Analogy you used was a perfect
- 1:23:20example for what's happening right now.
- 1:23:21So people may not know this, but pools and miners, they
- 1:23:26communicate with each other. So miners, they have ASICS, they
- 1:23:29have data centers. It was fun to see Hive and their
- 1:23:31data centers. That's where they have their
- 1:23:33ASICS. They have the chips doing all of
- 1:23:35the mining, the SHA 256 crunching to find the next a
- 1:23:39valid block. But in order to communicate with
- 1:23:42the pool, which is the ones giving them, let's say a
- 1:23:46financial service by grouping a lot of hash together in order to
- 1:23:50like smooth out the variability and the variance in payouts.
- 1:23:54Well, to communicate between the pool and the minor, they need to
- 1:23:57use something, they need to use a protocol.
- 1:23:59Right now the plumbing in the mining industry is a stratum V1.
- 1:24:03So the first version, the one created in 2012 by Slush, the
- 1:24:07creator of the first Bitcoin mining pool, which nowadays is
- 1:24:11brains pool. And he created a system, a
- 1:24:16protocol that helps miners communicate with pools.
- 1:24:23But the problem is he did it in a good, good enough way.
- 1:24:25He just like put it together. I don't know what how much time,
- 1:24:29but I like to picture it, you know, in his garage, you know,
- 1:24:32just put it together an afternoon and it was good
- 1:24:34enough. And he just let it RIP, you
- 1:24:36know, and good enough it was the whole industry started using it.
- 1:24:40And now what's the standard? Now everyone's using it to our
- 1:24:43own detriment, as we'll see in the future because, you know,
- 1:24:47block size wars happened. We realized, hey, yo, what's
- 1:24:49going on here? The miners, they have a lot of
- 1:24:51power, not just the miners, but like the pools and like the
- 1:24:54producers. We need to start decentralizing
- 1:24:56this, you know, like, of course, proof of stake, proof of shit,
- 1:25:00rather that's decentralized from the get go, right?
- 1:25:04All of these proof of stake networks that keep being turned
- 1:25:07on and off, turned on and off because they don't work, of
- 1:25:10course. Meanwhile, on Bitcoin, thanks to
- 1:25:12proof of work, we have had, what's the number now, 99.99% up
- 1:25:16time. And in the past 10 years it's
- 1:25:18just been 100%, right. That's thanks to proof of work,
- 1:25:21thanks to decentralization of mining.
- 1:25:23But we can make it better because right now we only have 5
- 1:25:28nodes between 5:00 and 6:00 nodes deciding what goes into
- 1:25:3395% of the blocks. So if at any time you look at
- 1:25:36the at the mem pool, mem pool dot space.
- 1:25:39Yeah. Awesome.
- 1:25:40When was the last one, 2013? Yeah.
- 1:25:43So in the past 10 years it's just been 100%, right?
- 1:25:45Since 2015 to now, basically 100%.
- 1:25:49And that's thanks to proof of work, which is one of the
- 1:25:51biggest innovations in the past century.
- 1:25:53I would say thanks to Takamoto. The thing is.
- 1:25:58The way that it works right now as I.
- 1:26:00Was saying it gives the pools thanks to due to strata V1 a lot
- 1:26:05of power because they are the ones deciding what goes into the
- 1:26:08blocks. So at the end of the day, it's
- 1:26:10only 5 to 6 nodes to decide most of the transactions and most of
- 1:26:14the blocks how they look like. That's not really what Satoshi
- 1:26:17Nakamoto wanted, right? He didn't want hundreds of
- 1:26:20thousands of hashers or mercenaries, if you will.
- 1:26:24And then just a few miners, a few people decided on what goes
- 1:26:27into the block. No, he said one CPU, one vote.
- 1:26:30Meaning you have your CPU, you have your ASIC, you have your
- 1:26:33minor, you get to decide what goes into that block and publish
- 1:26:37it once it's once you found the valid one, right?
- 1:26:40So with that, after the block science wars, everyone realized
- 1:26:45wow we fell asleep in the wheel. How did we allow stratum V1 to
- 1:26:50take a hold with this key mistake giving the pool so much
- 1:26:54power. That's when Matt Corallo, he
- 1:26:57created better hash was an attempt, but not good enough,
- 1:27:00but good enough to get a lot of people involved.
- 1:27:03So from companies, from miners, from pools and developers and
- 1:27:07then also other type of stakeholders, right?
- 1:27:09But these are the, the big three got them in one room and said,
- 1:27:12hey, guys, what should the, the, the protocol, the plumbing of
- 1:27:17mining look like in the future? Like for the next 1000 years,
- 1:27:22what are we going to be using to mine?
- 1:27:23It cannot be straight on V1 because it's definitely not
- 1:27:26good, right? It's centralizing.
- 1:27:28It's it doesn't give them power to the miners.
- 1:27:30And also as to how things happen, miners are going to go
- 1:27:34from being subsidized or like or being like emitters of new coins
- 1:27:40because till now there have been minting, creating quite a few
- 1:27:44new coins per block. You know like till recently it
- 1:27:46was 6 coins per block, now it's 3.125 but in two halvings it's
- 1:27:52going to be 0.6 something like it's gonna be less than a full
- 1:27:56Bitcoin. That what they're gonna be
- 1:27:59creating per block. So they're gonna actually start
- 1:28:01selling the block space. That's gonna be the new
- 1:28:03commodity. We already have hash rate as a
- 1:28:04new modern day commodity. But now block space, like
- 1:28:07actually space in the blocks, putting transactions in there,
- 1:28:11that's gonna become the future commodity because people,
- 1:28:14nations, as we were talking at the beginning, right, the US
- 1:28:17whenever they want to do a transactions, A transaction,
- 1:28:19they don't want to be guessing. They don't want to be hoping,
- 1:28:21you know, like crossing their fingers.
- 1:28:23No, they're going to have subcontract, they're going to
- 1:28:25have contracts with minors. They're going to be like, look,
- 1:28:27we're going to pay you this much and you're going to assure us
- 1:28:29the first, I don't know, megabytes of each block that you
- 1:28:32mine, you know, stuff like that. So as that happens, stratum V1
- 1:28:36is not prepared for that. Plus also stratum V1, it's not
- 1:28:40encrypted like your ISP, your Internet service provider, they
- 1:28:43can see that you're mining, they can block you at any time,
- 1:28:46right? It's clear text, right?
- 1:28:48It's also not specified meaning like we all imagine as if the
- 1:28:53English that you speak and the one that I speak and the one
- 1:28:56that they speak in the UK was actually different.
- 1:28:58Not just the accent, not just the funny accent, you know, but
- 1:29:00like literally different, like they use different sentences and
- 1:29:03how they build it. That's actually how this
- 1:29:05protocol works. It's in a weird way, it kind of
- 1:29:07works, but it doesn't really, right.
- 1:29:09And we see it in the, in the between 0.2 and 1.5% of stale or
- 1:29:14rejected chairs. That's basically kind of like
- 1:29:16the 2% inflation rate of like, oh, it's just how the system
- 1:29:19works. Oh, 2% inflation, but with
- 1:29:21mining, we have the same of like between 0.1 and 1.5% of your
- 1:29:27work will just not get paid. That's part of the problem of
- 1:29:30Strata V1 because of how it was built.
- 1:29:31And then third, it's in clear text, like the messages in
- 1:29:36Strata V1 between a machine and a machine, the ASIC and the pool
- 1:29:40infrastructure, like the nodes that we have, like it's, it's,
- 1:29:45it's in Jason's, it's in Whatsapp's, it's in emails.
- 1:29:47And it's also unencrypted. Like anyone can read it, anyone
- 1:29:50can see the what, what you're sending.
- 1:29:52So that's not efficient. It's almost like, imagine I'm
- 1:29:55speaking English now, but in order for us to communicate, I
- 1:29:58would have to like translate to Chinese.
- 1:30:00He sends you the information, but not directly to you.
- 1:30:02He sends it to your translator from Chinese to English.
- 1:30:05And then, oh, now you get the English message.
- 1:30:07You know, it's, it's stupid. It's stupid.
- 1:30:09So was trying to be two. They all got together and they
- 1:30:11said, OK, the future of mining needs to look like this.
- 1:30:14And the three main features I'm going to leave the the star for
- 1:30:18for the last would be binary. So we're going to communicate.
- 1:30:21I'm going to communicate directly to you in English.
- 1:30:23You know, it's going to be binary machine to machine.
- 1:30:25That also makes the packages smaller.
- 1:30:28Then we're going to encrypt it. We use modern encryption to like
- 1:30:31make sure that hey, your hash rate cannot be stolen because
- 1:30:33that's a thing that we know it's never been fully confirmed.
- 1:30:37But all of the miners, they, they have stories and they have
- 1:30:39heard stories of hey, I was one percent, 2% of my hash, which is
- 1:30:43like missing, you know, And that's because because you have
- 1:30:47unencrypted clear text messages shares being sent to the pool.
- 1:30:50Someone can intercept them and they can just claim them for
- 1:30:53themselves. But with encryption, that's
- 1:30:56impossible. The only thing they would see is
- 1:30:57just gibberish. Nothing, nothing to see there,
- 1:31:00right? That also prevents censorship
- 1:31:02from your ISP and all of that because it's just another
- 1:31:05Internet package. Who knows what it is, right?
- 1:31:08And and 3rd, but most important, it enables minor side block
- 1:31:14template generation. Basically, miners stop being
- 1:31:17mercenaries, miners stop being just hashers, miners stop just
- 1:31:21renting out their hash rate to the best or usually the worst
- 1:31:25bidder, those being the pools, and they become miners again.
- 1:31:29So you create your own blocks and you decide what goes in
- 1:31:32them. And that's the magic of
- 1:31:34Astronomy 2. That's what we're doing.
- 1:31:36But The thing is, we at demand, we are the 1st pool to
- 1:31:40implement. So Stratum V2, it's a protocol,
- 1:31:43it's independent of us. Like it's not our protocol, it's
- 1:31:47by the community, free open source software, you know, FOS
- 1:31:50and it's actually created by a couple of very intelligent,
- 1:31:56smart people. Some of them you may even know
- 1:31:58them like Pad Linux, right? He's the project manager, so to
- 1:32:01speak, of Stratum V2. And actually our CTO used to be
- 1:32:07the lead developer for Strat MV2.
- 1:32:09And the advantage of that is that anyone can go to GitHub,
- 1:32:14check out the code, start participating, start fixing
- 1:32:17stuff if they see any mistakes or just help us build.
- 1:32:23And yeah, we're just the first pool to implement it.
- 1:32:25Because the thing with pool mining is that it's a cartel.
- 1:32:29Like they don't tell you, but it's not really a free market.
- 1:32:33Like I don't know if you remember, but 2-3 years ago
- 1:32:35Foundry was going all around saying 00 percent fees pools in
- 1:32:39the future, they're going to have 0% fees, you know, because
- 1:32:41of all the ancillary services that we're like we're providing
- 1:32:44and all of that. Which also anyway that like they
- 1:32:48were, they were, they were saying that.
- 1:32:49But now recently, two months ago, three months ago, right
- 1:32:52before mining Disrupt, which is where we met Opti, they actually
- 1:32:57hiked the fees for all of their clients.
- 1:32:59So what happened there? They were promising 0% fees, but
- 1:33:02they had to hike the fees. Well, The thing is that the
- 1:33:07technology is just one of the vectors of centralization and
- 1:33:10mining, pooled mining. The second centralization vector
- 1:33:14is FPPSFPPS stands for full paper share and it's the most
- 1:33:20common is actually the reigning payout method in the mining
- 1:33:24space. And the, the story of it is that
- 1:33:27it appeared around 2017 18. And basically what happened is
- 1:33:30that pools, they were, they were just payment distributors.
- 1:33:33They were just payment mechanisms, you know, like we
- 1:33:36all get together and we just need a third party, you know,
- 1:33:38some independent third party to like distribute the payments so
- 1:33:41that there's no conflict of interest.
- 1:33:42You know, I get my fair share, you get your fair share, you get
- 1:33:45your fair share. We're all happy, you know, and
- 1:33:47we only get the pizza once the pizza's baked.
- 1:33:49Once a block is found, then we get paid, right?
- 1:33:51Then you get to eat well with full, full paper share FPPS you
- 1:33:56actually get to eat even if the pizza hasn't been baked.
- 1:34:00Because what happened is, you know, like an Indiana Jones in
- 1:34:02the first, in the first movie, Raiders of the Lost Ark, the 1st
- 1:34:065 minutes, you know, he goes into that cave and at the end of
- 1:34:08it there's this like golden totem and he takes it and he
- 1:34:12puts sand right. He took the valuable thing and
- 1:34:14he just left sand right. And that's what happened with
- 1:34:17with pools. They thought they were just
- 1:34:19switching one payment method for another.
- 1:34:22But what they got is they switched out a working and
- 1:34:24perfectly fine PPLNS payment method for an insurance product.
- 1:34:29Suddenly they went from being payment providers or payment
- 1:34:33distributors or however you want to call them to being insurers.
- 1:34:36They were providing an insurance policy.
- 1:34:38But what happens with insurance policies?
- 1:34:41In order to not go bankrupt, you need a shit ton of cash.
- 1:34:44You need in this case actually Bitcoin, which is even harder to
- 1:34:47get, right, like you cannot print bitcoins.
- 1:34:49So these guys, they need to get a lot of of of Bitcoin, a lot of
- 1:34:53capital to back them up. Because otherwise, let's say you
- 1:34:55have a streak of bad luck for two or three days.
- 1:34:58You need to give your payouts to your miners, but you don't find
- 1:35:01any blocks. Well, you still need to pay
- 1:35:03them. Even if you didn't get paid as a
- 1:35:05pool, you're eating up all of the risk, right?
- 1:35:07So you need to be capitalized. Otherwise one day you wake up
- 1:35:10and it's like, well, I guess the party, the party's over.
- 1:35:14That's it, guys. We didn't make it.
- 1:35:16We ran out of reserves. The pool is shutting down and
- 1:35:19nobody wants that, right? So they need to have a lot of
- 1:35:21capital. A capital wants to be paid.
- 1:35:23There's, you know, like a hurdle rate.
- 1:35:26So that that actually makes running a pool very expensive.
- 1:35:29Something that should be very easy, just a bit of
- 1:35:30infrastructure. And once the pizza is baked, you
- 1:35:33distribute it, so to speak, right?
- 1:35:35Suddenly becomes very expensive and that's the second
- 1:35:38centralization vector because not everyone has all the dope,
- 1:35:41not everyone has all of the coins to actually start a new
- 1:35:44pool and start decentralizing mining.
- 1:35:46So that's why the the Co founders of demand, Alejandro
- 1:35:50Latorre and Filippo so that the our CTO is Filippo.
- 1:35:53He's the lead developer of Stratamy Tuor was, although he's
- 1:35:57still involved, you know, free open source software.
- 1:35:58You're like the devs are always like contributing back to the
- 1:36:02main product to the main GitHub. They got together because
- 1:36:06Alejandro, he had he's created. Well, he took two different
- 1:36:10pools to number one. In 2018 he took btc.com and in
- 1:36:142019 he took pool in to number one spot.
- 1:36:17So he's he's he knows how the sausage just made.
- 1:36:19He's been in the belly of the beast and he was like, whoa, we
- 1:36:23we need to change stuff. That's how he found stratomy 2.
- 1:36:26He met Philippe and he was like, right, whenever it's ready, you
- 1:36:29give me a call and we get this started.
- 1:36:31Because he also knew that pools, they're comfortable.
- 1:36:34They're comfortable. They're chilling, you know,
- 1:36:35Yeah, they have their Capital Partners.
- 1:36:37They're raking in the cash. They also have hidden spreads.
- 1:36:40Like they tell you, oh, it's just 1%, but in reality it's,
- 1:36:43you know, like the airport exchanges, you know, like money
- 1:36:46exchanges. You go there and they tell you,
- 1:36:47oh, it's 0% and you give them €100 and instead of giving you
- 1:36:51$110, they give you like 95. And you're like, what happened
- 1:36:54there? I thought it was 0% fee, right?
- 1:36:57Well, there's hidden fees, there's hidden spreads, right?
- 1:36:59And that's what happens with FPPS because they need to make
- 1:37:02money, otherwise they're going to go bankrupt.
- 1:37:04And they're too comfortable, too comfortable.
- 1:37:07They're raking in the cash. So they're making a lot of
- 1:37:09money. They're too comfortable.
- 1:37:10It's also cartel like they're, they're all talking to each
- 1:37:13other. They don't want to move things,
- 1:37:14you know, just let the industry sleep, you know?
- 1:37:18So the moment that Stratum V2 was good enough to go like
- 1:37:22production ready, they partnered up and they said let's go if we
- 1:37:25don't do it, nobody else is gonna do it so they decided to
- 1:37:27launch demand and now I'm here talking to you trying to
- 1:37:32decentralize go all right well doing.
- 1:37:35The noble work, you know, I just talk about Bitcoin.
- 1:37:38You're actually helping, you know, I'm just trying to get
- 1:37:40more people into it. You're actually helping
- 1:37:41decentralize the network. So I think that the question for
- 1:37:45me, well, I don't mind, but maybe someone in the chat does.
- 1:37:49They can just, you know, jump on to the website and then connect.
- 1:37:54Like how does that work for them?
- 1:37:57You know, could they solo mine? How does this all work out for
- 1:38:00them? So The thing is, for now, we.
- 1:38:04Haven't launched yet. We had like like we're the we
- 1:38:08launched, but we're in beta still.
- 1:38:09You're still in beta? Yeah, exactly.
- 1:38:13We're actually doing private testing right now with some of
- 1:38:16our big miners corporations that we've contacted that they're
- 1:38:21willing to support us because the thing with launching a non
- 1:38:24FPPS pool, because that's the thing.
- 1:38:26If you want to just call up and pull call up bit main and be
- 1:38:30like, hey guys, just give me a new website and I'll be a new
- 1:38:33pool for you. Perfect.
- 1:38:34Yeah, you can do that. It's very easy to actually
- 1:38:36launch a pool like that. And recently we actually saw
- 1:38:39that I think it was b ^2 network that came out of nowhere and
- 1:38:42we're all like, oh, who's this network?
- 1:38:44Who's this new pool that has like 7 to 8 exogenicism getting
- 1:38:47a blog once or twice a day, you know, and at the beginning was
- 1:38:51like crazy, but then we quickly realized, oh, they're just,
- 1:38:54they're just another proxy. And you know, like from the from
- 1:38:57the outside, it looks like there's many shops, but on the
- 1:38:59back end they're all, they're run by the same guy, so to
- 1:39:01speak, right. And that's what's actually
- 1:39:03happening nowadays with Bitcoin mining, right?
- 1:39:05With all of these pools that they claim to be independents.
- 1:39:08But when you actually look, you know, you open up and you're
- 1:39:11like, wait, there's only one person here.
- 1:39:13What's going on, right? So if you don't want to do that,
- 1:39:16if you don't want to go the easy route, the centralizing route,
- 1:39:18you need to go the PPLNS route. And that's basically doing pools
- 1:39:23the classic way, just getting enough hash rate together and
- 1:39:26using maths and statistics to like smooth out the variability,
- 1:39:30the variance of payouts. But of course, to do that, if
- 1:39:32you want to do it right, you need to get some big partners.
- 1:39:35You need to get at least between 0.8 and 1% of the hash rate in
- 1:39:40order to like launch and give the same experience to the to
- 1:39:44the miners as with FPPS, because they also want to get, you know,
- 1:39:47regular payouts because they have bills to pay.
- 1:39:49They have, you know, families to feed, so to speak, you know,
- 1:39:51salaries, wages and electricity bills and machines to to buy
- 1:39:56right. So they want to get paid and in
- 1:39:58order to get paid, you cannot be like the new parasite pool,
- 1:40:01which by the way, fully endorsed for like if you haven't bid axe,
- 1:40:04try it out. They have a new payout model
- 1:40:06apparently. Like whoever finds the blog gets
- 1:40:08a Bitcoin and the rest just get the rest.
- 1:40:10Very interesting. But of course they only have
- 1:40:13like 80 pin a hash. They have been live for like I
- 1:40:15think a month now. They haven't found a block.
- 1:40:18If you if you want to do industrial level mining, if you
- 1:40:22want to do serious mining, profitable mining, that that's a
- 1:40:25no go, right, That's a no go. So you need to get big partners
- 1:40:28willing to bet on your solution, but on the future and do some
- 1:40:33testing, make sure that everything's right.
- 1:40:35Because the worst thing would be, you know, we launch and then
- 1:40:38you know, something goes wrong. That would be horrible for
- 1:40:41everyone. Nobody wants to see that.
- 1:40:43Cuz also we represent strata V2 to a certain degree, right?
- 1:40:47Cuz we're the first fully strata V2 pool, right?
- 1:40:49And we want our miners to get a good experience and to start
- 1:40:53building their own blocks with Strata V2, because we believe
- 1:40:57the technology it represents the next 1000 years of mining.
- 1:41:00Like for with strategy two, you can comfortably mine for the
- 1:41:04next 1000 years, so to speak, right?
- 1:41:05And so we want to do it right. And launching a month, a month
- 1:41:09earlier or a month later doesn't really matter, right?
- 1:41:11When you're thinking in a scale of hundreds of years, thousands
- 1:41:14of years, like with Bitcoin, right?
- 1:41:16So, so we're first testing with our big miners, we're going to
- 1:41:20get a lot of hash rate. That's we have already contacted
- 1:41:23a few, a few people. Well, big means actually
- 1:41:25anything above 50 peda hashes more or less, which, hey, in
- 1:41:30Spain that's actually quite crazy because thanks to our
- 1:41:32great leaders, we don't even we don't have mining anymore, which
- 1:41:36by the way, also takes me to like the blackout.
- 1:41:37We had a blackout recently. Had we had mining in Spain, that
- 1:41:41wouldn't have happened, right? We had a blackout similar to the
- 1:41:44one that Texas had in two in 2021.
- 1:41:47Thankfully there was no cold or anything like we just had a
- 1:41:50blackout for our full game. Yeah, we just it was hot, but
- 1:41:54not as hot as right now and yeah, we had a blackout and
- 1:41:58truly, if we had Bitcoin mining, that would have been solved.
- 1:42:00But anyway, that's that's besides the point.
- 1:42:03Awesome man. Well, you.
- 1:42:04Know more power to you guys. I can't wait to see it launch.
- 1:42:08Actually, I don't know if you can leak it, but is there an ETA
- 1:42:11so the audience can keep an eye out like what's what's the
- 1:42:14timeline here? And then we'll wrap up today's
- 1:42:15show. I cannot say too much.
- 1:42:19Plead the 5th. Plead the 5th.
- 1:42:20It's fine by me. I cannot say too much, but I can
- 1:42:24say like we're aiming for this year definitely be live and for
- 1:42:29now we're keeping it private. You know, I like almost like a
- 1:42:31private pool. But we're definitely looking
- 1:42:34looking out to like welcoming more people and having more
- 1:42:38minors start trying out Stratum V2.
- 1:42:40So we also have a few things in the pipeline for those curious
- 1:42:44bees out there that also want to try Stratum V2.
- 1:42:47We'll see what we can provide in the next couple months.
- 1:42:51But yeah, we definitely want to launch this year, get it going.
- 1:42:53But I said 1000 years, right? Like when in doubt, zoom out,
- 1:42:59you know, take a chill. Rather do it right than do it
- 1:43:02fast, you know, if you can do it right and fast, perfect, great.
- 1:43:06But rather do it right, you know, And that's what we're here
- 1:43:09to do. And Opti, before I go, thanks
- 1:43:12for having me, man. It's been a pleasure.
- 1:43:14I've loved it. It's been an honor to be here.
- 1:43:16And also I love the community. I love how riled up again with
- 1:43:20topics. Yeah, appreciate it, man.
- 1:43:22All right. Guys, for the audio listeners,
- 1:43:24go check out what Kenobi's working on.
- 1:43:26It's demand dot work. That is DMND dot work Kenobi.
- 1:43:32I know, I know I asked you this earlier that on the show, but if
- 1:43:35people want to get in touch with you, what's your Twitter again?
- 1:43:37Because I know you just got banned again.
- 1:43:38So what's the what's the freshest Twitter account?
- 1:43:43Yeah, so I mean, I'm Noster. You can find me there.
- 1:43:45I don't use it too regularly yet because I feel like it's not
- 1:43:48ready, like anyway. But yeah, I'm there.
- 1:43:50General Kenobi, Kenobi Nakamoto, any of the two should work.
- 1:43:54And on Twitter will be Kenobi General Five.
- 1:43:58I think at this point the five tells you, yeah, sounds like a
- 1:44:02scam account. I'm not gonna lie.
- 1:44:05Exactly. Sounds like it's.
- 1:44:06Almost like to impersonate me, right?
- 1:44:08But no, it's actually me. You'll see me talk every now and
- 1:44:11then, do a retweet, Whatnot, and otherwise demand under score
- 1:44:15pool. That would be the Twitter
- 1:44:17account. That's where we post updates on
- 1:44:20Whatnot. We also try to do stuff on
- 1:44:21LinkedIn, try to get some of those Fiat people, you know,
- 1:44:24more orange pills. But yeah, Kenobi, thank you.
- 1:44:28So. Much for coming on today.
- 1:44:29It was an absolute pleasure. Great show and honestly fitting.
- 1:44:33We were talking about the EU and you're like, yeah, they're
- 1:44:35cooked. The EC BS cooked.
- 1:44:37Aw, so man, thank you so much. Hang out.
- 1:44:40I'm behind the scenes for a second while I wrap up today's
- 1:44:43show. All right, guys, there you have
- 1:44:46it. This was the Friday show.
- 1:44:49You already know the deal. Go outside, eat some good food,
- 1:44:53call your loved ones, cut some grass.
- 1:44:56Person you're arguing with on the other side on Twitter will
- 1:44:58be there when you come back. We will see you on Monday.
- 1:45:01Luke and I will maintain the bullishness on Monday.
- 1:45:05Do check out all the content we're dropping on our channel,
- 1:45:09but I'm pretty sure you guys can find Nico at the Bitcoin Rodeo
- 1:45:13this weekend. I don't know the schedule yet,
- 1:45:15but Nico's in Canada. He won't be back until probably
- 1:45:18Tuesday and then we'll get back to our normally scheduled
- 1:45:21programming. On that note, been your boy
- 1:45:23Opti. I will see you on Monday.
- 1:45:25Peace out. Today's episode was brought to
- 1:45:28you. Bybitcoinwell.com a Bitcoin only
- 1:45:30platform on a mission to enable financial independence.